Item of General Interest
July 25. I received notice today that an article I helped write is available for free download for the next fifty days. The corrected free link for the article is "An Oil Production Forecast for China Considering Economic Limits." The article discusses the possibility that oil prices may not rise endlessly, and evaluates three future price scenarios. Under the "low" scenario (prices remain under $50 per barrel), oil production in China has already peaked.
Monthly Archives: April 2012
Can we expect the economy to keep growing?
If we read the financial pages, economic growth seems to be viewed as the “normal” situation to which economies inevitably return. But is it really? If we look back over the past 50 years, or even over the past 100 … Continue reading
Posted in Book draft, Financial Implications
Tagged collapse, economic growth, oil, oil price, recession
124 Comments
What the new 2011 EIA oil supply data shows
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) recently released full-year 2011 world oil production data. In this post, I would like show some graphs of recent data, and provide some views as to where this leads with respect to future production. … Continue reading
Posted in Oil and Its Future
Tagged Iran, Iraq, Libya, oil production, oil supply, Russia, Saudi Arabia, world oil supply
78 Comments
Age of Limits Conference
Over Memorial Day weekend (May 25-28), I will be speaking at the Age of Limits Conference in southern Pennsylvania, not too far from Baltimore. The other speakers will be John Michael Greer, Carolyn Baker, Dmitry Orlov, and Tom Whipple. The … Continue reading
Posted in Administrative Issues, Planning for the Future
Tagged Conference, limits to growth
31 Comments
