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In my view, there are three ways a growing economy can be sustained:
- With a growing supply of cheap-to-produce energy products, matched to the economy’s energy needs.
- With growing debt and other indirect promises of future goods and services, such as rising asset prices.
- With growing complexity, such as greater mechanization of processes and supply lines that extend around the world.
All three of these approaches are reaching limits. The empty shelves some of us have been seeing recently are testimony to the fact that complexity is reaching a limit. And the growth in debt looks increasingly like a bubble that can easily be popped, perhaps by rising interest rates.
In my view, the first item listed is critical at this time: Is the supply of cheap-to-produce energy products growing fast enough to keep the world economy operating and the debt bubble inflated? My analysis suggests that it is not. There are two parts to this problem:
[a] The cost of producing fossil fuels and delivering them to where they are needed is rising rapidly because of the effects of depletion. This higher cost cannot be passed on to customers, without causing recession. Politicians will act to keep prices low for the benefit of consumers. Ultimately, these low prices will lead to falling production because of inadequate reinvestment to offset depletion.
[b] Non-fossil fuel energy products are not living up to the expectations of their developers. They are not available when they are needed, where they are needed, at a low enough cost for customers. Electricity prices don’t rise high enough to cover their true cost of production. Subsidies for wind and solar tend to drive nuclear electricity out of business, leaving an electricity situation that is worse, rather than better. Rolling blackouts can be expected to become an increasing problem.
In this post, I will explore the energy-related issues that are contributing to the recessionary trends that the world economy is facing, starting later in 2022.
[1] World oil supplies are unlikely to rise very rapidly in 2022 because of depletion and inadequate reinvestment. Even if oil prices rise higher in the first part of 2022, this action cannot offset years of underinvestment.
The IEA, in its Oil Market Report, December 2021, forecasts a 6.4-million-barrel increase in world oil production in 2022 over 2021. Indications through September of 2021 strongly suggest that there was only a small rebound (about 1 million bpd) in the world’s oil production in 2021 compared to 2020. In my view, the IEA’s view that liquids production will increase by a huge 6.4 million barrels a day between 2021 and 2022 defies common sense.
The basic reason why oil production is low is because oil prices have been too low for producers since about 2012. Companies have had to cut back on developing new fields in higher cost areas because oil prices have not been high enough to justify such investments. For example, producers from shale formations could add new wells outside the rapidly depleting “core” regions if the oil price were much higher, perhaps $120 to $150 per barrel. But US WTI oil prices averaged only $57 per barrel in 2019, $39 per barrel in 2020, and $68 per barrel in 2021, so this new investment has not been started.
Recently, oil prices have been over $80 per barrel, but even this is considered too high by politicians. For example, countries are releasing oil from their strategic oil reserves to try to force oil prices down. The reason why politicians are interested in low oil prices is because if the price of oil rises, both the price of food and the cost of commuting are likely to rise, since oil is used in farming and in commuting. Inflation is likely to become a problem, making citizens unhappy. Wages will go less far, and politicians who allow high oil prices will be voted out of office.
[2] Natural gas production can be expected to rise by 1.6% in 2022, but this small increase will not be enough to meet the needs of the world economy.
With natural gas production growing at a little less than 2% per year, a major issue is that there is not enough natural gas to “go around.” Natural gas is the smallest of the fossil fuels in quantity. We are depending on its growth to solve many problems, simultaneously:
- To increase natural gas imports for countries whose own production is declining
- To provide quick relief from inadequate production by wind turbines and solar panels, whenever such relief is needed
- To offset declining coal consumption related to a combination of issues (depletion, high pollution, climate change concerns)
- To help increase world electricity supply, as transportation and other processes are gradually electrified
Furthermore, the rate at which natural gas supply increases cannot easily be speeded up because (a) the development of new fields, (b) the development of transportation structures (pipeline or Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) ships), and (c) the development of storage facilities all require major upfront expenditures. All of these must be planned years in advance. They require huge amounts of resources of many kinds. The selling price of natural gas must be high enough to cover all of the resource and labor costs. For those familiar with the concept of Energy Returned on Energy Invested (EROEI), the basic problem is that the delivered EROEI falls too low when all of the many parts of the system are considered.
Storage is extremely important for natural gas because fluctuations tend to occur in the quantity of natural gas the overall system requires. For example, if stored natural gas is available, it can be used when wind turbines are not producing enough electricity. Also, a huge amount of energy is needed in winter to keep homes warm and to keep the lights on. If sufficient natural gas can be stored for months at a time, it can help provide this additional energy.
As a gas, natural gas is difficult to store. In practice, underground caverns are used for storage, assuming caverns of the right type are available. Trying to build storage, if such caverns are not available, is almost certainly an expensive undertaking. In theory, importing natural gas by pipeline or LNG can transfer the storage problem to LNG producers. This is not a satisfactory solution, however. Without adequate storage available to sellers, this means that natural gas can be extracted for only part of the year and LNG ships can only be used for part of the year. As a result, return on investment is likely to be poor.
Now, in 2022, we are hitting the issue of very slowly rising natural gas production head-on in many parts of the world. Countries that import natural gas without long-term contracts are facing spiking prices. Countries in Europe and Asia are especially affected. The United States has mostly been isolated from the spiking prices thanks to producing its own natural gas. Also, only a small portion of the natural gas produced by the US is exported (9% in 2020).
The reason for the small export percentage is because shipping natural gas as LNG tends to be very expensive. Long-distance LNG shipping only makes economic sense if there is a several dollar (or more) price differential between the buyer’s price and the seller’s costs that can be used to cover the high transport costs.
We now seem to be reaching a period of spiking natural gas prices, especially for countries importing natural gas without long-term contracts. If natural gas prices rise, this will tend to make electricity prices rise because natural gas is often burned to produce electricity. Products made with high-priced electricity will be less competitive in a world market. Individual citizens will become unhappy with their high cost of heat and light.
High natural gas prices can have very adverse consequences. In areas with high prices, products made using natural gas as a raw material will tend to be squeezed out. One such product is urea, used as a nitrogen fertilizer. With less nitrogen fertilizer available, food production is likely to fall. If food prices rise in response to short supply, consumers will tend to reduce discretionary spending to ensure that there are sufficient funds for food. A reduction in discretionary spending is one way recession starts.
Inadequate growth in world natural gas production can be expected to hit poor countries especially hard. For example, a recent article mentions LNG suppliers backing out of planned deliveries of LNG to Pakistan, given the high prices available elsewhere. Another article indicates that Kosovo, a poor country in Europe, is experiencing rolling blackouts. Eventually, if natural gas available for export remains limited in supply, electricity blackouts can be expected to spread more widely, to less poor parts of Europe and around the world.
[3] World coal production can be expected to decline, further pushing the world economy toward recession.
Figure 3 shows my estimate for world coal production, next to a recent IEA forecast.
Figure 3 shows that world coal consumption has not been rising for about a decade.
Coal seems to be having the same problem with rising costs as oil. The cost of producing the coal is rising because of depletion, but citizens cannot afford to pay more for end products made with coal, such as electricity, steel and solar panels. Coal producers need higher prices to cover their higher costs, but it becomes increasingly difficult to pass these higher costs on to consumers. This is because politicians want to keep electricity prices low to keep their citizens and businesses happy.
If the cost of electricity rises, the cost of goods made with high-priced electricity will tend to rise. Businesses will find their sales falling in response to higher prices. In turn, they will tend to lay off workers. This is a recipe for recession, but a slightly different one than the ones mentioned earlier. It also is a good way for politicians not to get re-elected. As a result, politicians will try to hide rising coal costs from customers. For example, laws may be enacted capping electricity prices that can be charged to customers. Because of this, some electricity companies may be forced out of business.
The decrease in coal production I am showing for 2022 is only 1%, but when this small reduction is combined with the growth problems shown for coal and oil and the rising world population, it means that world coal supplies will be stretched.
China is the world’s largest coal producer and consumer. A major concern is that the country has serious coal depletion problems. It has experienced rolling blackouts since the fall of 2020. It has tried to encourage its own production by limiting coal imports, thus keeping wholesale coal prices high for local producers. It also limits the extent to which high coal costs can be passed on to electricity customers. As a result, the 2021 profits of electricity companies are expected to be reduced.
[4] The US may have some untapped coal resources that could be tapped, if there is a plan to ship more natural gas to Europe and other areas in need of the fuel.
The possibility of additional US coal production occurs because coal production in the US seems to have occurred because of competition from incredibly inexpensive natural gas (Figure 4). To some extent, this low natural gas price results from laws prohibiting oil and gas companies from “flaring” (burning off) natural gas that is too expensive to produce relative to the price it can be sold for. Prohibitions against flaring are a type of mandated subsidy of natural gas production by the oil-producing portion of “Oil & Gas” companies. This required subsidy leads to part of the need for high oil prices, especially for companies drilling in shale formations.
A major reason why US coal extraction started to decline about 2009 is because a very large amount of shale gas production started becoming available then as a byproduct of oil production from shale. Oil producers were primarily interested in extracting oil because it (hopefully) sold for a high price. Natural gas was a byproduct whose collection was barely economic, given its low selling price. Also, the economy didn’t have uses, such as trucks powered by natural gas, for all of this extra natural gas production. Figure 4 suggests that wholesale natural gas prices dropped by close to half, in response to this extra supply.
With these low natural gas prices, as well as coal pollution concerns, a significant amount of US electricity production was switched from coal to natural gas. It is my view that this change left coal in the ground, potentially for later use. Thus, if natural gas prices rise again, US coal production could perhaps rise again. The catch, of course, is that many coal-fired electricity-generating plants in the US have been taken out of service. In addition, coal mines have been closed. Any increase in future coal production would likely take place very slowly because of the need for many simultaneous changes.
[5] On a combined basis, using Tverberg Estimates for 2021 and 2022, fossil fuel production in total takes a step down in 2020 and doesn’t rise much in 2021 and 2022.
Figure 5 shows that on a combined basis, the overall energy being provided by fossil fuels is likely to remain lower in 2021 and 2022 than it was in 2018 and 2019. This is concerning, because the economy cannot go back to its 2019 level of “openness” and optional travel for sightseers, without a big step up in energy supply, especially for oil.
This same figure shows that the production of the three fossil fuels is somewhat similar in quantity: Oil is the highest, coal is second, and natural gas comes in third. However, oil shows a step down in 2020’s production from which it has not recovered. Coal shows a smoother pattern of rise and eventual fall. So far, natural gas has mostly been rising, but not very steeply in recent years.
[6] Alternatives to fossil fuels are not living up to early expectations. Electricity from wind turbines and solar panels is not available when it is needed, requiring a great deal of back-up electricity generated by fossil fuels or nuclear. The total quantity of non-fossil fuel electricity is far too low. A transition now will simply lead to electricity blackouts and recession.
Figure 6 shows a summary of non-fossil fuel energy production for the years 2000 through 2020, without a projection to 2022. For clarification, wind and solar are part of the electrical renewables category.
Figure 6 shows that nuclear electricity production has been declining at the same time that the production of electrical renewables has been increasing. In fact, a significant decrease in nuclear electricity is planned in Europe in 2022. This reduction in nuclear electricity is part of what is causing the concern about electricity supply for Europe for 2022.
The addition of wind and solar to an electrical grid seems to encourage the closure of nuclear electricity plants, even if they have many years of safe production still ahead of them. This happens because wind and solar are given the subsidy of “going first,” if they happen to have electricity available. Wind and solar may also be subsidized in other ways.
The net result of this arrangement is that wholesale electricity prices set through competitive markets quite frequently fall too low for other electricity producers (apart from wind and solar). For example, wind and solar electricity that is produced during weekends may be unneeded because many businesses are closed. Electricity produced by wind and solar in the spring and fall may be unneeded because heating and cooling needs tend to be low at these times of the year. Wind and solar electricity providers are not asked to cut back supply because their production is unneeded; instead, low (or negative) prices encourage other electricity producers to cut back supply.
Nuclear electricity producers are particularly adversely affected by this pricing arrangement because they cannot save money by cutting back their output when wind and solar are over-producing electricity, relative to demand. This strange pricing arrangement leads to unacceptably low profits for many nuclear electricity providers. They may voluntarily choose to be closed. Local governments find that if they want to keep their nuclear electricity producers, they need to subsidize them.
Wind and solar, with their subsidies, tend to look more profitable to investors, even though they cannot support the economy without a substantial amount of supplementary electricity production from other electricity providers, which, perversely, they are driving out of business through their subsidized pricing structure.
The fact that wind and solar cannot be depended upon has become increasingly obvious in recent months, as coal, natural gas and electricity prices have spiked in Europe because of low wind production. In theory, coal and natural gas imports should make up the shortfall, at a reasonable price. But total volumes available for import have not been increasing in the quantities that consumers need them to increase. And, as mentioned above, nuclear electricity production is increasingly unavailable as well.
[7] The total quantity of non-fossil fuel energy supplies is not very large, relative to the quantity of fossil fuel energy. Even if these non-fossil fuel energy supplies increase at a trend rate similar to that in the recent past, they do not make up for the projected fossil fuel production deficit.
With respect to anticipated future non-fossil fuel electricity generation, one issue is how much nuclear is being shut off. I would imagine these current closure schedules could change, if countries become aware that they may be facing rolling blackouts without nuclear.
A second issue is the growing awareness that renewables don’t really work as intended. Why add more if they don’t really work?
A third issue is new studies suggesting that prices being paid for locally generated electricity may be too generous. Based on such an analysis, California is proposing a major reduction to its payments for renewable-generated electricity, starting July 1, 2022. This type of change could reduce new installations of solar panels on homes in California. Other locations may decide to make similar changes.
I have shown two estimates of future non-fossil fuel energy supply in Figure 7. The high estimate reflects a 4.5% annual increase in the total supply, in line with recent past increases for the group in total. The lower one assumes that 2021 production is similar to that in 2020 (because of more nuclear being closed, for example). Production for 2022 represents a 5% decrease from 2021’s production.
Regardless of which assumption is made, growth in non-fossil fuel electricity supply is not very important in the overall total. The world economy is still mostly powered by fossil fuels. The share of non-fossil fuels relative to total energy ranges from 16% to 18% in 2020, based on my low and high estimates.
[8] The energy narrative we are being told is mostly the narrative that politicians would like us to believe, rather than the narrative that historians and physicists would develop.
Politicians would like us to believe that we live in a world of everlasting economic growth and that the only thing we should fear is climate change. They base their analyses on models by economists who seem to think that an “invisible hand” will fix all problems. The economy can always grow; enough fossil fuels and other resources will always be available. Governments seem to be able to print money; somehow, this money will be transformed into physical goods and services. With these assumptions, the only problems are distant ones that central banks and carbon taxes can handle.
The realists are historians and physicists. They tell us that a huge number of past economies have collapsed when their populations attempted to grow at the same time that their resource bases were depleting. These realists tell us that there is a high probability that our current economy will eventually collapse, as well.
The general shape that economic growth is likely to take is that of a “Seneca Curve” or “Seneca Cliff.” In the words of Lucius Annaeus Seneca in the first century CE, “Increases are of sluggish growth, but the way to ruin is rapid.” If we think of the amount graphed as the total quantity of goods and services received by citizens, the amount tends to rise slowly, gradually plateaus and then falls.
We now seem to be encountering lower energy supply while population continues to rise. It takes energy for any activity that we think of as contributing to GDP to occur. We should not be surprised if we are at the edge of a recession. If we cannot get our energy problems solved, the downturn could be very long-lasting.
“Senator Dzhabarov: US response to Russia’s proposals on security guarantees is unsatisfactory and cannot be accepted. Russia will prepare a response within a few days. He admitted that allies, including China, could take part in compiling the answer.”
I don’t know what the heII is going on. Maybe there’s nothing under the waves off Crimea. Maybe people are just going mad. Mad men fighting for global dominance.
The US is pushing Ukraine to liberate Donbas and Crimea. Continental Europe is trying to cool things down.
people climbing over each other to reach the stern of the titanic
Not a real liberation, since those oblasts voted 80% for Yanushenko in the last elections before 2014, and Crimea voted 90% to join Russia in the 2014 referendum. Plus the population will resist said liberation, as it has done since 2014…
I have immersed myself in recent reports from Canada, and this is rather interesting. This “Freedom Convoy” have gathered an enormous momentum, coming from absolutely nowhere! It was certainly not on any of my maps!
I think it was John Dolan who wrote something like “If an Iranian screams at you it is just the way they talk and nothing to bother about, but if a Canadian raise his voice a little you better get a court restraint order”.
Well, I dont now if counts as ‘screaming’ when they hang on those bullhorns but they sure sound very upset and determined. How remarkable if Canada would become the first western democracy to do a revolution – using the last drops of fuel.
I think of hot heads in hot countries being the ones most likely to revolt. Not truck drivers in a cold country in the middle of winter.
NATO estimates that Ukraine has 4 to 13 trillion cubic meters of natural gas reserves off Crimea.
Those reserves could supply EU for 10 to 30 years. Russia would lose its energy dominance over EU. Natural gas prices would fall…when Russia needs high natural gas prices. Russia would have no other option than to occupy Crimea.
EU offered Ukraine the European Association Agreement which sparked the EuroMaidan after the pro Russian President of Ukraine turned down the deal.
https://www.nato.int/docu/review/articles/2014/05/27/the-energy-dimensions-of-russias-annexation-of-crimea/index.html
C’mon. In every literature it states “there will come a time of resource wars”. Is this a surprise?
We do not buy your resources because we deserve to own them.
And you deserve to pay for our products before you own them or starve to death.
That was the kind of… ‘logic’… behind Operation Barbarossa. Ending up with a large number of human bones sticking out of snowpiles, the Sovjet flag on the Reichstag and half of Germany converted to communism. Someone seems to be thinking that it will be different this time…
Bonus stupidity score since that gas WILL be sold and used in any case. It does no good to anybody sitting in the ground.
“NATO estimates that Ukraine has 4 to 13 trillion cubic meters of natural gas reserves off Crimea.”
That report is almost 8 years old. Have the 4 to 13 trillion cubic meters of natural gas reserves been found and developed, or were they just more fantasy reserves?
Perhaps if the price is as high as it is now, and stays that high, there might be a possibility (I don’t know.)
Reserves don’t seem to be established with much attention to how high the price needs to be.
Brent Tops $90 As Oil Prices Dip Then Rip After US Inventory Data
https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/wti-dips-after-surprise-crude-build-us-crude-production-slows
Natural Boosters
The government in Finland now says that there’s no reason to take vaccine boosters every year. As people are getting infected now and then…they will receive a natural booster.
So… everyone…get back to work, get infected and resume a normal life…before we all starve and freeze to death.
Finland now reports zero Covid cases. Let’s see what goes wrong this time.
Let’s just wait and see what Albert Bourla, veterinarian and CEO of Pfizer, has to say about that.
In recent days I have got exposed to a lot of linguistics connecting his name with words like “fair trial” and “hanging”. Zeitgeist going a little crazy…
They got their spanking brand new nuclear reactor phased in and started production yesterday. Now they can at least keep the lights on a little longer than Italy, Austria and Germany. Sweet revenge for the demise of Nokia phones also.
Ukraine’s natural gas fields are 80% depleted and their coal mines are occupied by Russia. Crimea and Donbas are internationally recognised as Ukrainian territories. Coal and natural gas prices are high today.
The first thing Biden said about Ukraine when he took office was that he supports Ukrainian territorial integrity. The next thing that happened was that Ukraine moved half of its military close to the contact line in Donbas. Russia responded by moving troops to the Ukrainian borders.
The natural gas fields would provide Ukraine with natural gas for 50 years…all they have to do is take it from Russia.
Thanks for expanding on this.
If Russia doesn’t want fossil fuels, what does it want? More farmland? More territory?
the problem seems to be, that while such as we are discussing resource distribution, and recognising the problems,
those holding the financial reins are still thinking of profit and loss
I agree and that’s why the problem will never be fixed until it all collapses catastrophically. Just take China as an example, they have built 27 Mega sized ghost cities, the size of NYC just to give the appearance they are growing economically. The cost is anywhere between $36-166 trillion. Those Evergrande cities are then left to rot. In some instances, the Chinese government has many of those buildings torn down.
It’s beyond wasteful with regards to energy and resources. China is now dealing with an energy problem. I bet they would like to have that energy back so they could make things to sell it to the world.
i agree
except for the part about selling to the rest of the world.
problem with that is, that the ‘rest of the world’ has to also have sufficient surplus energy to be able to buy stuff (from anywhere)
Where th f* did you get that from? I do not have that in my speadsheet!
everything is interlocked with everything else–even in minute ways, it’s the butterfly wing effect.
the commercial enterprise that fills a 100000 ton container ship on one side of the world cannot function without the same level of enterprise by people on the other side able to buy the the stuff.
they might think of themselves differently, but essentially they are just on opposite ends of the same seesaw
Whistleblowers share DOD medical data that blows vaccine safety debate wide open
According to the military, DMED is the Armed Forces Health Surveillance Branch’s (AFHSB) “web-based tool to remotely query de-identified active component personnel and medical event data contained within the Defense Medical Surveillance System (DMSS).” In other words, it contains every ICD medical billing code for any medical diagnosis in the military submitted for medical insurance billing during any given period of time. Three military doctors have presented queried data to Renz that shows a shocking and sudden spike in nearly every ICD code for common vaccine injuries in 2021.
In a declaration under penalty of perjury that Renz plans to use in federal court, Drs. Samuel Sigoloff, Peter Chambers, and Theresa Long — three military doctors — revealed that there has been a 300% increase in DMED codes registered for miscarriages in the military in 2021 over the five-year average. The five-year average was 1,499 codes for miscarriages per year. During the first 10 months of 2021, it was 4,182. As Renz explained to me in an interview with TheBlaze, these doctors queried the numbers for hundreds of codes from 2016 through 2020 to establish a baseline five-year average. These codes were generally for ailments and injuries that medical literature has established as being potential adverse effects of the vaccines.
https://www.theblaze.com/op-ed/horowitz-whistleblowers-share-dod-medical-data-that-blows-vaccine-safety-debate-wide-open
This is a study of US military data. It was put together with the idea of finding new illnesses adversely affecting the military.
Good luck on getting people to believe this data. It goes along with the increase in deaths in New Zealand at the time of its immunizations.
The military does seem to enjoy a certain prestige still: and why would the three doctors – all of senior rank – suddenly be revealed as having been three crazy anti-vaxx CT nuts all along?
A tough job for the propagandists to dismiss and smear them, I should have thought.
Equally difficult to dismiss the military database as they try to do with VAERS.
Of course, the story will just be buried, like so much else – a simple and effective technique: it can even make whole crowds of demonstrators disappear, just like that…..
TV news: “What you saw in the star trek movies is now just real: We can beam away people to some safe spaces. No traffic disruptions today”
There were no increased excess deaths that correlated with vaccinations, Gail. If you’re referring to the graph Chris Martenson bought hook line and sinker, that was just a correlation that would have happened if the guy (actually called Guy) had tried to correlate over 60s deaths from almost any year with vaccinations for the same group in 2021. It’s sad when someone I’ve seen do some good solid analysis can be easily fooled by poor work.
Concerning me, I’d like to ask the dead and injured or their relatives.
Anything else is only on a screen.
But yeah, let’s discuss about dots on screens. What about a joke about dots ?
Here we go again… mike Roberts is making an assumption that is intolerable: that we can all know the truth if we just follow the right path(ie the one he’s taking) but we must all psss or fail based on our own merits- hence freedom of choice.
MOREONS will be MOREONS… mike needs to stick to pie
Meanwhile let’s check in on what’s happening in Donkey Land https://www.nzherald.co.nz/
See what happens when you take too many boosters?
Higher deaths in winter is the issue? I would suppose that peak vaccinations could have happened in winter. I don’t know how big a peak usually occurs in winter.
Peak vaccinations for the over 60s in winter was just coincidental because of when the vaccine roll-out start and how different people were prioritised. Plus the delta outbreak started before winter was over, boosting the numbers.
I checked data in previous years and a commenter on Peak Prosperity even graphed it. If there is something in the data that could suggest vaccines caused a lot more deaths it certainly isn’t obvious and would require much more analysis than was done in that article. Over 60s are the only group that seems to consistently peak in winter, for deaths. I doubt there would even be a noticeable correlation for other age groups. This is one story, though, that will run and run because some people will hang on to a discredited analysis given that it appears to bolster their stance. It’s a shame that so many were taken in originally and that so many have refused to acknowledge that it was wrong.
US new home sales crashed YoY as mortgage rates soar
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FKC0ihOXIAIInaM?format=jpg&name=900×900
Higher interest rates = fewer homes sold.
If interest rates on car loans rise, I expect the same effect.
Ford had to stop production of the new Ford Maverick pickup trucks because they were unable to build that many. It appears people were ordering the new pickup truck because of the $20,000 price tag and because some of the used cars were already beginning to hit that range as well. Inflation !
It seems like covid fear is ebbing out… Wonder what posts here will be about.
I think something will come about. How about the U.S stocks down 1000 and then back up 100
and then down 2000 and back up 50
Well, I’m penning on a piece of futuristic utopism. In the spirit of Charles Eisenstein – A more beautiful world our hearts know is possible. Will take a couple of more days.
Inflation Could Push Oil Supply Into The Danger Zone
By Irina Slav – Jan 24, 2022, 5:00 PM CST
Concern about crude oil supply began to show around the time some central bank policy observers started warning against taking inflation trends lightly, as something transitory. Since then, both the oil supply situation and the inflation situation have deteriorated fast. Forecasts that Brent crude will reach and top $100 this year now sound a lot more plausible than they did in November. The supply issue is in the focus of attention as most OPEC+ members appear to be struggling to reach their assigned production quotas. Yet geopolitical tensions after the Houthi attacks on the UAE and the situation around Russia and Ukraine have substantially added to upward price pressure.
In the meantime, the United States booked a 7-percent inflation rate for December, which was the highest in four decades. In the UK, inflation reached the highest in 30 years at 5.4 percent. In the eurozone, consumer prices jumped by a record-breaking 5 percent in the same month.
…”It could be the cherry on the inflation cake if we don’t get a moderation in energy prices,” Frederik Ducrozet, a strategist at Pictet Wealth Management, told Reuters last week. “This time it’s a bit different because we’re already at a point where the risks are tilted up and central banks are worried about a wage-price spiral since energy prices contribute to second-round effects.”
The oil price rise really could not have come at a worse time for central banks, which are preparing to start winding down the stimulus they dispensed generously during the worst of the pandemic to keep their economies going. That stimulus had to end sooner or later, but now, with inflation where it is, there is fear, especially in the United States, that the that the wind-down could cause a debt crisis and it would be an international one.
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Inflation-Could-Push-Oil-Supply-Into-The-Danger-Zone.amp.html
More to the article there..seems collapse will occur on 02/22/2022 at 2.22 pm on my Birthday 🎉🎂, of course!
Max out some customers and the price will stabilize. Until the music stops and we just take out another chair. As FE would say: this child’s play is fun to watch!
Some of the biggest customers are the u.s and China. Take them out and the house of cards falls
NEW YORK (AP) — The COVID-19 booster drive in the U.S. is losing steam, worrying health experts who have pleaded with Americans to get an extra shot to shore up their protection against the highly contagious omicron variant.
Just 40% of fully vaccinated Americans have received a booster dose, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. And the average number of booster shots dispensed per day in the U.S. has plummeted from a peak of 1 million in early December to about 490,000 as of last week.
Also, a new poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research found that Americans are more likely to see the initial vaccinations — rather than a booster — as essential.
“It’s clear that the booster effort is falling short,” said Jason Schwartz, a vaccine policy expert at Yale University.
Overall, the U.S. vaccination campaign has been sluggish. More than 13 months after it began, just 63% of Americans, or 210 million people, are fully vaccinated with the initial rounds of shots. Mandates that could raise those numbers have been hobbled by legal challenges.
Seems the MOReON s are getting 🤔👍🧐 wiser about the fake scam serum
Hmmm, how will the powers to be respond!?
So just 25% of Americans have had a third dose, a so called booster.
The number of COVID-19 cases has declined by 9 percent in the United States over the past two weeks. However, deaths have jumped 25 percent and hospitalizations have climbed 13 percent. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reports that while breakthrough infections for vaccinated persons are “likely to occur,” vaccines remain effective at “preventing severe illness, hospitalizations, and death.”
How Worried We Should Be by Stealth Omicron Variant Found in Several States
After New York Decision, Only 11 States Have Mask Mandates in Place
While at the moment some 63 percent of Americans are fully vaccinated and nearly 76 percent have taken one dose, the remaining 24 or so percent generally hold strong feelings against taking the shot. A recent Morning Consult poll found those who plan on not getting the shot list concerns about side effects, quick clinical trials and mistrust in the vaccine producers as their top concerns.
From Newsweek .com about Sleepy Joe’s defeat of his BS mandate.of 100 workers under OSHA..
Which IMOP worthless agency for the most part
For anyone interested in the funny and very unusual spectacle of a blogger being generally thrashed by his own readers (on the vexata queastio of virus isolation) this Steve Kirsch’s blog is a must.
https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/do-you-know-why-they-never-want-a/comments
But we do know that COVID is caused by a virus. I am not very interested in this discussion.
Sorry, Gail. You don’t know. you believe. Until 2020 I was also a believer in virology, just as I used to believe in moon landings and, many moons ago, in the theory of using airplanes to demolish skyscrapers, and now I just don’t. If you start questioning the history and science behind the germ theory, you will see that it is simply the most successful PR campaign ever. But of course if you don’t want to go there, you are exercising a right that no one can deny you.
Agree; terrain theory for me.
https://www.westonaprice.org/health-topics/notes-from-yesteryear/germ-theory-versus-terrain-the-wrong-side-won-the-day/
Even the ‘debunking concedes the point, after some name calling of course!
Anti-vaxxers mentioned of course. Moreons.
‘Béchamp was a bitter crank who argued that microbes became dangerous when the health of the host—its “terrain” or environment—deteriorated. Béchamp was comprehensively wrong: Pasteur’s germ theory of disease, which describes how sicknesses are caused by bacterial infections (as well as by viruses that invade our cells), or else by genetics, aging, and accidents, is supported by evolutionary theory and all the observations of modern medicine. Today, Béchamp is invoked only by anti-vaxxers and disciples of alternative medicine who believe that food is medicine.’
https://www.wired.com/story/the-19th-century-crank-who-tried-to-tell-us-about-the-microbiome/
‘Janelle Ayres, a professor of immunobiology at the Salk Institute, is seeking to replace antimicrobials, such as vaccines, antivirals, and antibiotics, used to fight infections with the beneficial microbes in our guts for “damage-control therapeutics.”
These kinds of scientific resurrections occur from time to time in a complication of Thomas Kuhn’s episodic model of scientific progress (which holds that science advances as “paradigms” are overthrown when they no longer explain the world).’
Clearly, I am a believer of the terrain theory. Difficult to figure out since the whole population is immune impaired, except for the young… note that, IMHO, the terrain theory is firmly rooted in evolutionary theory, since it takes months for a virus to evolve, but days for the immune system to adapt. My own experience tallies with it. often sick when younger and eating mostly carbs, never sick now.
Definitely, the state of the immune system is very important in preventing serious disease, as is the state of a person’s general health. The vaccines seem to make the immune system less able to protect us against disease. So do the antibiotics that kill part of our gut biome. I imagine that staying home and wearing masks when a person goes out is damaging to our immune system as well.
Immunizing very small babies against many diseases at once sounds like a good idea, but it probably isn’t. We don’t have a control group with respect to this practice, except that today’s older people seem to be relatively healthier than today’s young people. Certainly, the incidence of autism is a lot higher in the younger generation. But the problem could be many other things, including glyphosate (Round-Up).
“seems to”, “I imagine”?
I see a lot of bamboozlements and would not be surprised of one or two more. If there exists a dominant version of “reality” it is always good to look on what fundaments the domination is built or who has brought it about by what means.
I have looked at the latest ONS stats on live births in a bit more detail.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/livebirths/datasets/birthcharacteristicsinenglandandwales
White British births declined from 66.25% of all births in 2010 to 58.62% in 2020, which is a decline of 7.63% of the total or 0.763 per year, at which rate they would be a minority of births in 12 years from 2020 or in 2032 at 49.46%. Obviously projections are not precise, and I do not expect the precise date to be born out, but that is the trend.
As already said, white British births have fallen by 24.52% in 9 years, ie. a rate of about 1/4 per decade, which would be about 1/2 in 20 years.
The British State will be pushed to maintain its labour force levels in coming decades, and it will be interesting to see how it adapts, but it is going to require a lot more immigration if GDP growth is to be maintained.
Or industrial civilisation may well collapse in the meantime, in which case we will never get to see, which would be a real shame.
This seems to be true for Europe in general, Japan, and China, to name a few countries. Even the US seems to depend on immigrants to keep the workforce up.
“…if GDP growth is to be maintained.”
I don’t believe it can be. UK GDP growth was peaking and negligible prior to the pandemic. We’ve been a net energy importer since 2003. Our total energy consumption has been declining since around 2005 and was flat for years before that.
We’ve compensated by shedding energy-intensive industries, moving towards a more FIRE-based economy, pumping up house prices – and of course expanding credit in unsustainable fashion, which makes such GDP growth as we appear to have achieved in recent years increasingly a mirage.
We do not have the energetic foundations to continue hosting a growing population, either of indigenous citizens or immigrants, and enabling growth in “real” economic activity – certainly not over several years in the gentle upward trend you describe.
The UK wasn’t alone in peaking out in 2018/19 – much of the global economy also appeared to be doing so. And now we have the pandemic messing with supply-demand equations, pricing signals, labour availability and the flow-rate of energy inputs, on top of the pressing resource-constraints Gail has long been warning about.
What we face, once the dust settles from the rebound, is at best a short period of shaky stagnation founded on further financial sleight of hand before the reality of de-growth imposes itself, probably rather messily, chaotically and self-reinforcingly.
In that context, populations may shrink to fit physical constraints. Refugees and economic migrants may move around the board ever more desperately. Economies that briefly appear to have a lifeboat function may admit highly qualified immigrants, whose learning represents a lot of embodied energy. Even that may be problematic as xenophobia will run rampant as populaces feel that their own economic prospects are threatened.
What we are unlikely to see is a gradual displacement of British whites by immigrants over time. In other words, your final para is probably on the mark.
Harry, yes, this is the story peak IC 2018/2019. The confusion of the moment is just a distraction from the unavoidable decline.
Elon, I am afraid your timing was just off by fifty years. No mars colony. Maybe a desperate moon colony that hangs on for one hundred years.
Ed, right – a distraction and perhaps a symptom, too. The global economic superorganism took unwell due to insufficient nutrition.
in 70 years white Britain’s are a memory and an occasional freak.
As far as I’m concerned, they can inherit the Earth, along with the bugs, vermin and viruses…
Anyhoot, I agree will Gail, the population crash will be so severe it won’t matter anyway…
Needless to say, no little Herbie’s running around..
Perhaps not strictly relevant but Italy’s wild boars are going rogue! 😆
“China’s agriculture ministry said on Wednesday it had suspended pork imports from Italy after African swine fever was detected in a wild boar in the country.”
https://www.agriculture.com/markets/newswire/china-suspends-pork-imports-from-italy-due-to-african-swine-fever-case
“A wild boar turned from the hunted to the hunter after fatally biting an Italian man who had shot at it for sport… the beast sprang to its feet and …severed his femoral artery.”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10438925/Wild-boar-kills-Italian-hunter-father-shot-animal.html
“Swine fever to drive up price of Italy’s truffles… the delicacy adored by foodies around the world has become even harder to find as woodland in northern Italy is sealed off after the arrival of wild boar spreading a dreaded disease.”
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/swine-fever-to-drive-up-price-of-italys-truffles-p8rwkp38x
“A family of 12 wild boar strolled through Rome traffic on Tuesday spurring a video that went viral on the Web in the latest in a slew of such sightings over the past months…
“Rangers said the animals were completely urbanised and were in no way afraid of pedestrians or the heavy traffic in the Italian capital.”
https://www.ansa.it/english/news/general_news/2022/01/12/family-of-12-boar-stroll-through-rome-traffic_6d7a7f62-a5d6-4b06-88ca-732d6bc100c0.html
Harry, just to give you an update if you want to know what happens here.
The only concrete news for you outside is the one about China.
I think it is like that because now Italy has completely gone on US side, so it is punishment for Italy.
About all the rest, wild boars in Italy have always been in big number and it has always been simple to see wild boars in periferial areas of some cities, like Rome or Genoa.
Swine fever on wild boars seems to come from pig of industrial hog farmers comes into contact of wild boars or viceversa.
But it seems something in the direction of creating another virus fear, because the problem is really extremely limited.
We live in virus fashion times, so I expect maybe also a new virus from mosquitos this summer.
as well to bear in mind that microbial species form the dominant life-forms on this planet
not us
Student, thank you for the on the ground intel!
We have our own version of that in NZ… Plough Hog Wimmin…. they waddle through the streets of Invercargill without fear of cars or humans… and they are hairy like wild pigs…
I would post video of this but they are quarantined on the Auckland Islands until covid ends.
A five-year-old Toyota Land Cruiser was listed at US$312,500, which is enough to buy a luxury flat in central Colombo
https://www.scmp.com/news/asia/south-asia/article/3164761/used-cars-cost-more-luxury-flat-sri-lanka-amid-economic
Swine fever is a real issue around the world. It is another epidemic that we don’t hear as much about. It raises the cost of pork by killing many pigs, if it gets into local farms.
I looked up Swine Flu on the US CDC website. It doesn’t seem to see much of a threat to the pig population of developed countries because:
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/swineflu/keyfacts_pigs.htm
“Just as there are influenza vaccines for people, there are specific swine influenza vaccines available for pigs.”
This sounds like another money-maker for the vaccine industry. China doesn’t seem to have had the benefit of such a vaccine to try to vaccinate all of its pigs, before it lost so many. I am not sure how well mass vaccination would work in countries such as Italy, either. They have other priorities beside vaccinating pigs.
As I have posted before, Swine Fever is NOT the same as Swine Flu. Although, both are viral infections, they are not the same virus.
Sorry. I have been known to get things wrong sometimes.
Can a Plough Hog NZ Women spread Swine Fever and/or Swine Flu?
And should we be culling them pre-emptively?
Italy has no money at all, we are a default Country and we receive money from Europe to do what they ask to do.
So I don’t see something difficult that Europe will soon ask Italy to vaccinate all its porks with the money they give us, in order to be forerunner and set a good example for other Countries to vaccinate in turn their porks, but this time, with their own money.
That is the same reason why Italy made Covid-19 vaccines mandatory…
Best regards from Italy 🙂 🙁
Deputy Health Minister of Italy:
“We will make life difficult for the unvaxxinated, as we are doing, because they are dangerous!!
https://twitter.com/LeylaRostami/status/1486367687865507852
I wonder why there is no discussion about invading Italy instead of Ukraine.
Whatever Country will invade us will provide an improvement of our current conditions.
Thanks in advance..
Student, there are no fossil fuels in Italy. Only the finest wines, excellent food, beautiful cities, art, beautiful countryside (Toscana,…), beautiful mountains (Dolomiti,…), beautiful seaside. It is on the most beautiful country in the world.
Thank you rufustiresias999.
We just have the habit to fall periodically in an authoritarian regime, but for the rest it is a delightful place…
I probably mixed up similar sounding names of illnesses, so my quote probably isn’t right for this illness, however.
“A man who held up a bank to withdraw his own money has been hailed as a hero by Lebanese furious at capital controls that are preventing them from accessing their savings amid a financial collapse.
“Abdallah Assaii is accused of holding seven staff hostage at a bank in Lebanon’s Bekaa Valley last week, dousing them in petrol and threatening to set them alight unless they provided him with $50,000 from his account.”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2022/01/26/man-has-raid-bank-get-money/
“Lebanon’s economy contracted by more than 58%, the World Bank said Tuesday, warning in a report that the small country’s financial meltdown poses a threat to long-term stability and social peace.
“It accused Lebanese leaders of being indifferent to the nation’s economic collapse, refusing to adopt a credible recovery plan and begin implementing reforms.”
https://apnews.com/article/business-middle-east-lebanon-beirut-gross-domestic-product-6e1d2d4f76b7b247247ed4ed76cf3d87
A contraction of 58% is terrible! What kind of recovery plan could the country possibly put into place? There are not enough fossil fuels to go around; Lebanon is being left out.
“Nepal Oil declares itself bankrupt as Kathmandu’s tourism dependent economy hits a new low…
“Sharp spike in prices in Nepal is hurting its common citizens. What is worse is that many believe that prices will further rise in the coming months especially with the state owned Nepal Oil declaring itself bankrupt just a few days ago.”
https://www.daijiworld.com/news/newsDisplay?newsID=919493
“Supermarket shelves are bare and restaurants can’t serve meals, but Sri Lanka’s economic crisis is a bonanza for used car dealers, with vehicle shortages pushing prices higher than a house in a nice area.
“The island nation of 22 million is on the brink of bankruptcy, inflation is red hot and the government has barred a range of “non-essential” imports to save dollars needed to buy food, medicine and fuel.”
https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/business/2022/01/26/used-cars-turn-to-gold-with-sri-lanka-almost-bankrupt/
“Cuban peso in free fall against the dollar…
“The peso’s free fall is bad news for a population that for two years has confronted a grave economic crisis and unusually severe shortages of food, medicine and other goods…”
https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/cuban-peso-free-fall-against-dollar-2022-01-26/
Cuba is a big oil importer. At one point, it was getting subsidized oil from Venezuela, but now that is gone, I expect. I can see why it has a problem now.
At one time, most of its electricity was from oil, as was its transport. I don’t know if this has changed at all.
Cuba seems to have a small amount of oil production of its own and a small amount of natural gas production. It uses this natural gas itself, probably for part of its electricity production.
This is a link to the EIA’s page on Cuba.
https://www.eia.gov/international/overview/country/CUB
Time for some one to keep a watch of self sufficient nations and their living standards.
I think we all expect all nations to be self sufficient by 2050. Even TPTB think that but from a totally different perspective. We see a world without fossil fuels they see a world run on PV and wind. I may live long enough to find out who is right not particularly happy about that.
I still like solar power satellites built from lunar material. It and any solution is a LONG shot at this point. If only people had listened to president Carter.
Solar panels didn’t work back then, and they don’t work now, unfortunately.
Any change would have had to come much earlier, say at the time of Hubbert.
A big part of Nepal’s problem is a population problem:
This is a link to the EIA page on Nepal energy.
https://www.eia.gov/international/overview/country/NPL
Nepal produces no oil, yet in 2019 it consumed .095 quadrillion Btu’s of oil. There is no analysis. It consumes .011 quadrillion Btus of coal and absolutely no natural gas.
There is an “other” category as well, which I am guessing for Nepal is mostly hydro-electricity. In this category, it produces 0.038 quadrillion Btus and consumes 0.043 quadrillion Btus. Thus, it is a net importer in this category as well.
Tibet is also landlocked, making it difficult (and expensive) to import and export products of any kind.
‘dependent on tourism’ is another way of saying that energy, (in the form of energy tokens) is brought in from other parts of the world.
Great mini-series on uktv on Dubai last few weeks.
Insane spending on idiotic egos—but essentially Dubai is the same as Nepal, entirely dependent on energy tokens brought in from elsewhere to support the deserrt Ponzi scheme
Everywhere you look, starvation looms when the energy and food imports end.
Total Global Famine is imminent (TGF)
Reuters
Talks between oil companies, U.S. union intensify as deadline nears
Mon, January 24, 2022, 10:50 PM
HOUSTON (Reuters) – Talks for a new national contract for U.S. refinery and chemical plant workers intensified on Monday between the United Steelworkers Union (USW) and oil companies, the union told members in a message seen by Reuters.
Talks for the new pact began on Jan. 13 between the USW and lead company negotiator Marathon Petroleum, the union has said, ahead of the Feb. 1 expiry of an existing three-year agreement covering 30,000 workers across the United States.
In addition to the contract talks, which will set pay and benefits, USW locals are meeting refinery and plant managers to agree on local issues.
Monday’s message said BP Plc, chemical maker Ineos, Chevron Corp and Citgo Petroleum Corp were making “tough, concessionary demands” in local negotiations.
– ADVERTISEMENT –
Last week, the Steelworkers said BP had made a proposal in talks at local unions for a no-strike period of up to 120 days following expiry of contracts..
A Chevron spokesperson did not have an immediate comment on Monday night, while spokespersons for BP, Ineos and Citgo did not immediately reply to requests for comment.
Sources familiar with local talks at Chevron’s refinery in Pasadena, Texas, said the company had asked for significant changes.
(Reporting by Erwin Seba; Editing by Clarence Fernandez)
Oil company margins are getting squeezed. It is hard for companies to give workers raises to allow their buying power to keep up with inflation.
“Soaring gas prices could lead to global famine – Russian pressure on the market will have a devastating effect on fertiliser costs and crop yields…
“Strategic planners have spent decades worrying about World War III but they were missing the point. War, when it comes, will have some 20th-century features but probably won’t be fought in multiple interlocking theatres. Rather, the fighting will be swift and confined — but the victims will be worldwide.”
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/soaring-gas-prices-could-lead-to-global-famine-np892fg7r
“Investment bank warns gas prices could quadruple if Russia invades Ukraine.
“Analysts have warned that UK gas prices could increase four-fold to over £10 per therm, if flows from Russia to the continent are cut off amid potential conflict in Eastern Europe.”
https://www.cityam.com/investment-bank-warns-gas-prices-could-quadruple-if-russia-invades-ukraine/
“Mideast would struggle to cover Russian oil loss.
“Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Iraq would struggle to cover the shortfall in crude supply created by a blanket ban on Russian energy exports as they have already allocated their annual term supplies, according to sources close to the matter.”
https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news/2295153-mideast-would-struggle-to-cover-russian-oil-loss
A blanket ban on Russian energy exports? This is craziness. Without Russia’s energy exports, the whole world would have a problem.
It would not include Russian exports to China.
“Russian pressure on the market…”
As usual, in the UK, it is Russia’s / Putin’s fault. Nothing to do with natural gas being a finite resource whose time has come and is now going.
Shortages all over the place, and all Russia’s fault?
A coal mining company is worried about continuing to get Russian nitrates (explosives) exports.
“U.S. Clears Second-Largest Ever Loan of Oil From Strategic Reserve…
“The U.S. Department of Energy announced the loan of 13.4 million barrels of crude oil from its strategic reserve as part of a renewed effort by the Biden administration to contain oil prices that have surged to their highest level since 2014.”
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-25/u-s-announces-second-largest-ever-exchange-of-oil-from-reserve
“The oil market is running out of sellers in its surge to almost $90 a barrel.
“Whether it’s speculators, traders hedging their barrels in storage tanks or U.S. producers, some of the biggest drivers of bearish price movements have all retreated in recent months. As global stockpiles fall to seven-year lows, traders don’t need to sell as many futures contracts to hedge those supplies.”
https://www.worldoil.com/news/2022/1/26/oil-markets-run-out-of-sellers-in-race-to-90-per-barrel/
“Oil and gas markets to tighten on lack of upstream spending…
“…the global rig count is still about 23% below December 2019 levels. Looking at the count by region, only Canada’s rig count is above 2019 levels.”
https://think.ing.com/articles/oil-and-gas-markets-to-tighten-on-lack-of-upstream-spending/
What ever happened to all those oil tankers sitting off shore waiting for the price to rise? I recall they were arbitraging the costs of storing fuel in the ships at sea as opposed to collecting payment for delivery.
i might be missing a trick here–but the USA uses just under 20m barrels of oil per day
No Norman you are only missing the political grand standing of a small man run by fools.
Oil companies need higher prices; the loan of oil from the strategic oil reserve is aimed at reducing world oil prices. This hardly make sense.
***Absolutely shocking and baffling***
Here is the updated AHS chart for cases per 100,000 since their “technical difficulties”
Look at the before, and now revised…
https://twitter.com/AB_CovidFacts/status/1486112498977685506
Strange! If we don’t like the data, we change it to a way we do like it!
With power comes the ability to create or ignore reality.
No wonder why a lot of folks want power!
When it gets really serious — you have to lie (and totally manipulate the data)
‘As Covid restrictions ease, it’s time to get tough on anti-vaxxers’
Enough is enough, says Polly Hudson. As Boris Johnson scraps restrictions to save his own skin, we need to convince everyone to get a Covid jab. And that means hitting them where it hurts
Get jabbed, or else. It sounds harsh – and it is – but the time has come where it’s essential. Because we’re on our own now.
Boris Johnson is forcing people to pay for his career with their health and, inevitably, in some cases their lives.
To please his right-wingers and try to cling to power he’s dropping most Covid restrictions from tomorrow, to the alarm of the scientific and medical communities.
Even isolation after a positive test will apparently be scrapped by March. It’s unlikely this government will bring back restrictions ever again, no matter what.
The best thing we can do to protect ourselves is get vaccinated and boosted. Then your chances of catching Covid are reduced, but even if you do, you’re much less likely be seriously ill, or – crucially for society – to spread it to others.
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/as-covid-restrictions-ease-its-26046616
The story, “The best thing we can do to protect ourselves is get vaccinated and boosted,” is really iffy. Getting vaccinated and boosted seems to make a person more likely to spread the disease to others, not less.
For example, Israel seems to see setting records with respect to the number of people with new COVID cases. The latest 7-day average for Israel is 1,110.7 per 100,000 people. This compares to 194.1 for the US. In other words, it is 5.7 times as high. Israel is easily at the top of the chart of the 25 top countries shown.
Israel’s death count keeps rising also. It is too soon to tell how high it will be.
Yes how long before the tide shifts. I would like to think this is all planned but when I hear these people talk I think they are just dumb. The vaccine is overused….kinda like the cigarette companies hiring doctors to tell you how good they are for you
I showed the Israel data to a CovIDIOT – his response – I don’t believe any of this.
Even though the data is published in the Israeli MSM … so surely he’d trust it
“Polly Hudson is a Daily Mirror columnist and cat lover” (from her page on the Mirror newspaper)
In other words, has zero relevant credentials.
No mention of Focused Protection? hmmmmm…
Even isolation after a positive test will apparently be scrapped by March.
Let er Rip… means … Let er Rip (but also get injected… lots of injected people — getting infected… hmmmm….)
Not too enthusiastic about this particular Substack;
But Kelleigh Nelson’s post documenting what Dr. Malone has written and said during interviews is quite persuasive as to his hypothesized controlled-opposition role in this overall Covid-operation.
https://tinyurl.com/2p8kwkbn
What if Kelleigh is controlled opposition…
I think these hit pieces arise out of jealousy – just my 2 pence
Insinuating that someone is ‘controlled opposition’ is, of course, a very good technique for sowing discord and dividing the opposition.
On the whole, Malone takes the right ethical stance. He gives so many interviews that it would be easy to find something to take exception to, or use to cast aspersions. Also, the good guys in a fight don’t have to be saints, as Machiavelli would have observed.
It all becomes a bit ‘Popular Front for the Liberation of Judea’ v ‘Judean Popular Liberation Front’. for those who know their sacred Book of Monty Python…..
UK:
“**Interest payments on government borrowing last month hit a record high for December as surging inflation increased the cost of debt.**
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said interest on government debt hit £8.1bn last month – up from £2.7bn a year earlier.
The increase came as soaring energy costs sent inflation to a 30-year high.
Official borrowing – the gap between spending and tax receipts – last month was a lower-than-forecast £16.8bn.
The figure was down £7.6bn from the same month a year earlier, with the Treasury’s coffers bolstered by more income from housing stamp duty and fuel taxes.
But public debt interest payments are linked to the Retail Prices Index of inflation, which hit 7.5% last month, the highest rate since March 1991.
For the financial year to date, borrowing has now reached £146.8bn, the second-highest figure for the period since records began in 1993.”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-60117150
Dear Friends. When Will be collapse? I mean stock market crash and blackout in Europa
Marco,
This report suggests that spare oil production capacity will no longer exist from Q4 2022: https://blog.gorozen.com/blog/running-out-of-spare-capacity-global-oil-markets
This suggests that towards the end of 2022, October to December, we will see the beginning of fullscale industrial collapse due to physical constraints becoming more and more apparent.
Inflation is at 7% year-on-year in the USA, and 5.4% in the UK. In December of 2021, it was 3.9% in Italy. It is clear this figure is accelerating monthly. My estimate is that by December 2024, all developed nations will be in the thralls of hyperinflation and mass social conflict.
Ocampo tellez said the same. After September Total collapse
The collapse will begin this Friday at 3:15pm EST. Grab some popcorn, party supplies and bring your friends to the festivities. It will be jammed packed. But please because of the nature of the event we ask not to bring any small children under the age of 10 yrs old as it may be upsetting to children.
Why friday
Think it was a joke about how it’s difficult to predict collapse.
I don’t really know. We need to enjoy every day we have now.
Collapse will be different days, in different parts of the world. Europe, with its dependence on energy imports and wind and solar could be ahead of some other place. But if one big area goes down, it will tend to pull other areas down.
Days, few weeks if we are lucky:
Re written responses to Russia on Ukraine. I’m told they do not go beyond what the US and NATO allies have already said and that Russia’s all or nothing demands about Nato expansion and contraction are unacceptable.
Russian troops move close to Polish border in Belarus
A Russian airborne detachment has been deployed to the Belarusian city of Brest, near the Polish border, the Conflict Intelligence Team (CIT), an organisation tracking Russian military movements, has reported.
CIT, which analyses online recordings of Russian military movements, said a Russian airborne battalion had been sent to the city, which is also 50km north of the Ukrainian border.
Belarusian defence ministry pictures confirmed the presence in Belarus of the commander of the 217th Airborne Regiment of the Russian Army.
https://www.thefirstnews.com/article/russian-troops-move-close-to-polish-border-in-belarus-27503
My web dev team is in Belarus… hmmmm….
Grazie
Big systems change slowly. I think even if we see a region “collapse” it will still be five years before that region has 20% population starve off. Collapse if a marathon not a sprint. Even with Seneca cliff. Three hundred years up thirty years down is super fast Seneca.
Let’s hope you are right. I don’t think that the issues is a “population starve off,” however. I think it is the fact that humans will lose the battle against pathogens of all types, and poor nutrition will push the system downhill faster.
Disease rather than starvation huh. Guess we will find out.
Excellent question! I desperately need an accurate answer myself. So I can :
– tell my boss he can go f*k himself
– plan a last trip to some places in the world I always wanted to see (you know, when I get retired)
– plan how I shall empty my wine cellar
Beware the Ides of March
hahahaha https://thehighwire.com/videos/healthy-athletes-are-still-inexplicably-collapsing/
https://rumble.com/vs9713-its-beginning-to-look-a-lot-like-genocide-mirrored.html
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FJ9HPUsX0AIS3r5?format=jpg&name=medium
What will they choose?
Millions Without Power After Blackouts Hit Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan
WEDNESDAY, JAN 26, 2022 – 04:15 AM
A massive power outage was reported on Tuesday across several Eurasia countries that left millions in the dark.
Reuters reports Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Kyrgyzstan found themselves without power today. All three ex-Soviet republics have interconnected power grids connected to Russia.
The source of the disruption could be due to Kazakhstan’s North-South power line, which links its two neighbors to power stations in northern Kazakhstan and the Russian power grid. On Tuesday morning, Kazakhstan Electricity Grid Operating Company (KEGOC) said “emergency imbalances” resulted in disruptions.
“At 11:59 [05:59 GMT], due to a significant emergency imbalance created by the energy system of Central Asia, there was a power surge for the electricity transit … As a result, an emergency separation of the transit ‘North-East-South of Kazakhstan’ occurred with the repayment of a significant part of consumers in the southern zone of Kazakhstan,” KEGOC said in a statement.
The loss of power in Tashkent, the capital of Uzbekistan, triggered citywide blackouts and brought metro stations to a standstill.
https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/millions-without-power-after-blackouts-hit-kazakhstan-uzbekistan-kyrgyzstan
hahaha https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/health-environment/article/3164763/omicron-growing-fear-among-residents-locked-down?module=lead_hero_story&pgtype=homepage
https://img.i-scmp.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=contain,width=1098,format=auto/sites/default/files/styles/1200×800/public/d8/images/canvas/2022/01/26/a39d5e37-9410-4943-a1ac-94f4e091f9d7_99851930.jpg
Friend of M Fast’s friend pulled kids out of school in QT.. sold house etc… bought an ocean going catamaran — and are now in marlborough sounds learning to sail — and will then get out of dodge and sail the world to avoid the covid shit…
That would be my first option if M Fast would ‘get on board’ with the boat idea
Didn’t the Russian Dimitri Orlov do that for a spat and now is back in his Homeland?
Believe he did a number of posts on the sailing vessel
Mother Earth News had a great article on a DIY build called the Bandy Bar years past I was pipe dreaming about to live on at the Indian River by Cocoa Beach Florida.
https://shantyboatliving.com/2021/mr-shantyboat-brandy-bar/
The vessel is still floating in Portland Oregon!!!
They might run into a problem at ports… they will be allowed to dock but may not be allowed to leave the boat.. this is from a company that organizes passengers looking to travel on freighters:
The COVID 19 Pandemic has completely decimated Freighter Travel globally for the last 2 years; we are unable to offer any Freighter voyages anywhere in the world as a result of National Health regulations – that are different every day and different in every country
Most of the major shipping companies (that carry passengers) such as Grimaldi/ACL, CMA-CGM and NSB have cancelled all passenger tickets. Most of the ports have also closed their services for crew changes and passenger movements; even most cruise ships have been tied up except for East Coast of North America to the Caribbean.
The Delta & Omicron variant of the coronavirus has devastated parts of Asia & Europe and prompted many nations to cut off land access for sailors. That’s left captains unable to rotate weary crews and about 100,000 seafarers stranded at sea beyond their stints in a flashback to 2020 and the height of lockdowns. “We’re no longer on the cusp of a third crew change crisis, we’re in one,” Guy Platten, secretary general of the International Chamber of Shipping, told Reuters.
Great idea for you!! My friend bought a sail boat and had it refitted in Florida. Just sailed it up the coast for docking in preparation for an indefinite journey. Better to have a way out and not need it, then to be stuck with no plan. Get your false flags ready. Best of luck!
As a former boat owner if one decides to go the sailboat route and has the money to spare, then get something over 12 meters with a wide beam. Also make sure you are setup to be as off the grid as possible such as solar powered, being able to filter rain water and such. Living on a boat is awesome and some of the best sleep you will ever get. It’s like sleeping on a giant water bed.
I do have some concerns about someone taking a crash course on sailing then setting out into the open ocean…
My thoughts also. Having to learn navigation, weather, currents, potential shallows, and the maintenance and repair of significant amounts of technology new and old not to mention human behavior of pirates, harbor masters, fellow travels, and supply dealers and crew dynamics over long time and high stress.
UK lawyer seems confident covid criminals will face justice
19 min.
https://www.brighteon.com/86b5c909-4378-4f04-bc91-3f9f2dd85581
She’s got it wrong. This is a gift to humanity
“Quebec has announced that unvaccinated citizens are not allowed inside of large stores unless accompanied by a Health Warden who will monitor them to ensure that they do not purchase anything except for food and medicine” – I wonder if those who make these rules ever pause for a moment of self-reflection.
https://twitter.com/Based__UK/status/1485781825301663746?s=20
If covid is over… why this …
And why this? https://mises.org/power-market/austrias-blueprint-covid-despotism surely they’d cancel this new law?
“Health Ministry experts back fourth Covid vaccine dose for over-18s” – Advisory panel recommends second booster when five months have passed since third shot or recovery, reports the Times of Israel, despite the recent Government study finding no benefit.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/health-ministry-experts-back-4th-covid-vaccine-dose-for-over-18s/
If this was then end of covid… why this?
There is benefit … if the goal is to create Marek’s
Or perhaps to shift unused vials of gunk, or complete an experiment…..
Some Israeli’s have gone mad: the elderly father of my neighbour, in his 80’s, won’t leave his house(his wife is braver!): with only a few years or even months to go anyway he is terrified of Covid and begging for the boosters.
A mate’s elderly but very healthy parents have now both died during Covid … he says they were terrified of covid and have self-isolated for the duration – both died of heart failure which he attributes to stress and inactivity. He just buried his father last week
Why Are Deaths in Europe Soaring When Covid Isn’t to Blame?
https://dailysceptic.org/2022/01/25/why-are-deaths-in-europe-soaring-when-covid-isnt-to-blame/
https://dailysceptic.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/Europe-9-graph.jpg
this is complete bullshit. Deaths this winter in europe are much lower than in 2020 or 2021. they are about the same as 2018.
Shadowy China Firms Spend Billions on Land Shunned by Developers
(Bloomberg) — On the surface, the recent land auction by the Chinese city of Rizhao appeared routine. There were four bids, pushing the price up 11% to $170 million. A closer look reveals something curious: The offers were reportedly made by a finance entity owned by the Rizhao government, meaning the city effectively sold land to itself.
Across China, local government financing vehicles have replaced cash-strapped property developers as the biggest buyers of land for real estate development, stoking fresh concerns over the ability of these off-balance sheet borrowers to repay a debt pile that tops $8.4 trillion by some estimates.
In nine of 21 large Chinese cities that packed in land sales over the last two months of 2021, at least half of the plots were bought by these so-called LGFVs, according to consulting firm China Index Holdings. Some of these purchases were worth billions of dollars.
While the moves may help arrest a land sale slump and provide much-needed revenue for local governments, the purchases threaten to exacerbate risks for LGFVs — the second-biggest non-financial borrowers in the offshore market and the biggest onshore.
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/shadowy-china-firms-spend-billions-on-land-shunned-by-developers-1.1713210
Courtesy of the same people who love to build ghost cities and then tear them down just to give the appearance of economic boom That doesn’t surprise me at all.
Recently, my attention was caught by the story of Carrie Fisher, a former wife of Paul Simon, when finding this little gem, featuring the unreleased duo version of Paul Simon song with his former singer partner Art Garfunkel during the implosion at the beggining of the 80s:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_oil_industry_in_Saudi_Arabia#/media/File:Saudi_Oil_Production.png
https://youtu.be/_6jtvTAVvpU
When there is less energy, the system implodes and the stars die during the Christmas time. The story of Carrie Fisher and her mother Debbie Reynolds:
https://sk.pinterest.com/pin/339388521924854179/
https://www.thesun.co.uk/living/2473909/could-star-wars-actress-carrie-fishers-past-drug-use-and-rapid-weight-loss-be-behind-her-shocking-heart-attack/
” The 60-year-old has had a series of health issues all her life, battling addiction to cocaine and prescription medicine and yo-yoing weight since first shooting to stardom as a 19-year-old.”
https://www.nbcnews.com/pop-culture/pop-culture-news/debbie-reynolds-had-christmas-table-set-when-carrie-fisher-suffered-n1108186
“Debbie Reynolds had everything prepared to celebrate Christmas 2016 with her family when her daughter, actress Carrie Fisher, suffered a heart attack aboard a flight on Dec. 23.
Fisher died four days later, on Dec. 27. Her mother, Reynolds, passed away the following day from a stroke. Her son, Todd Fisher, blamed heartbreak for his mother’s death.”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debbie_Reynolds
nz hog laying down the law for Covid in New Zealand. She’s having trouble breathing because she’s so fat as she is telling people how to safeguard their health. Some spastic is waving while she is talking.
A comical scene which could only take place in a joke country like new zealand.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/covid-19-omicron-outbreak-testing-and-processes-to-change-as-three-stage-plan-for-omicron-revealed/BQUSGBQ2CSR6TWZKWDAKQJSP3A/
Who let that Re t arded (yet very dramatic – as many re tar ds … can be) into the press conference? Is that a woke policy? Or is it an attempt to be first to Idiocracy?
Maybe the NZ women’s para-volleyball team could perform at the next presser by slithering around the floor and making lewd gestures… or the men’s para – basketballers could show us how they dunk on a 5 foot high hoop… hurrah
I couldn’t watch the obese hog for more than 30 seconds before the gag reflex kicked in … she’s been eating too much butter chicken and vindaloops.
As we can see… Omicron is NOT about declaring the end of covid … they are continuing to promote getting injections even after you contract covid…
Had two shots? Got Covid? Get a Booster and you’ll be Super Immune!!!
hahahahaha… Marek’s.. here.. we… come!
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/covid-19-omicron-outbreak-scientists-say-a-covid-infection-after-vaccination-triggers-super-immunity/MRTMRO73NMUUXNWVI6337NTMQU/
$64 billion burned so far (I doubt that includes all the tax revenue that was lost as tourism driven businesses and others paid nothing…) and we are told — we have to prepare for lots of sickies..
Have not noticed a single facility prepped for the sickies… not one … go figure
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/as-the-economy-goes-down-the-pandemic-toilet-paper-is-nzs-big-worry/
Very interesting thread:
A critical thing to note in this chart, is that the three Omicron sub-variants 21K, 21L, 21M
ARE MUTATING SLOWER THAN ALL OTHER COVID-19 VARIANTS since their appearance…
Let that sink in… (as well as ponder why no one has cited this…)
Omicron is OLDER than Wuhan.
https://twitter.com/EthicalSkeptic/status/1486176500042944514
for norm dunc mike
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23822f8f-ab26-487b-9d19-0cb6de44ea68_1080x667.jpeg
A Pfizer Rewards card 😀
‘Freedom’ truckers may form world’s longest convoy
According to Guinness World Records, the longest truck convoy ever recorded was 7.5 km long, in Egypt in 2020.
The Freedom Convoy heading from British Columbia to Ottawa is said to be considerably longer.
“It’s 70 km long,” said Benjamin Dichter, spokesman for the Freedom Convoy 2022. “I have seen footage from an airplane. It’s impressive.”
By Wednesday, truckers hope to have taken their protest through to Manitoba and will make it to southern Ontario on Friday.
Plans call for the convoy to arrive in Ottawa on Saturday for a protest.
If it gets there on time — and if the convoy holds together as it has in British Columbia, Alberta and Saskatchewan — it could be 10 times larger than the world record.
“The largest parade of trucks consisted of 480 trucks and is achieved by Tahya Misr Fund (Egypt), in Cairo, Egypt, on 20 November 2020,” Guinness says on its website. “With a length of 7.5 km, Tahya Misr Fund was able to organize a parade of 480 trucks, amid the harsh weather and heavy rain, breaking the Guinness World Records title for the largest parade of trucks, which was achieved 16 years ago in the Netherlands with a parade size of 416 trucks.”
https://torontosun.com/news/local-news/warmington-freedom-truckers-may-form-worlds-longest-convoy
There are currently several convoys, and the longest has grown to 150km. There are also some convoys from the US on their way to Ottawa.
And here’s a summary from a Canadian Geordie.
The United States is negotiating with major energy companies on gas supplies to the European Union, if necessary, in the event of an aggravation of the situation in Ukraine and a disruption in supplies from Russia. This was stated at a briefing by an unnamed representative of the administration of President Joe Biden, reports Reuters.
He did not specify which companies he was talking about, but noted that consultations are being held with liquefied natural gas (LNG) producers. “We are working to identify additional volumes of natural gas of non-Russian origin in various regions of the world, from North Africa and the Middle East to Asia and the United States,” the administration said.
Now EU don’t have to worry about gas supplies, as US is in charge, solution is along the way.
That will inevitably make Japan and South Korea unhappy, along with less developed allies such as Turkey.
As I know, US was buying russian lng-gas in Netherlands and sold to Poland/Ukraine with their premium.
‘When I Told Pfizer About Incidents of Myocarditis They Refused to Believe Me for Four Months’
An article published in the New England Journal of Medicine by Prof. Dror Mevorach, head of the internal medicine department at Hadassah University Hospital, Ein Karem, has aroused much interest worldwide, in the wake of a gut feeling that he had.
It happened when a healthy young man arrived in his department with myocarditis, an inflammation of the heart muscle, just one day after having received a vaccination against the coronavirus. Mevorach asked himself if this was merely a coincidence, and set out to investigate the matter internally, at Hadassah. He found two more instances of similar inflammation in newly vaccinated individuals at the hospital. This led him to develop a serious suspicion of a link between the two. Mevorach then began phoning colleagues at other hospitals in Israel, as well as the director general of the Health Ministry.
Ministry officials did not take the matter lightly, and appointed Mevorach to head up a team of inquiry. The team sent letters to every internist and cardiologist in Israel, asking them if they had come across any instances of myocarditis occurring soon after vaccination. “Within two months,” he now says, “one hundred such cases were logged.”
https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/.premium.MAGAZINE-when-i-told-pfizer-about-the-myocarditis-they-refused-to-believe-me-for-4-months-1.10564613
The article is tricky. It dismisses the extraordinary number of British adverse events reports compared to Israel without any mention of criteria other than finding that they were not related to vaccination.
Mycocarditis, appendicitis, lymphodema, menstrual irregularity and a few others are mentioned as legitimate adverse events related to the vaccine. The risk of myocarditis doubles with the vaccine. The article creates a new hero and criticizes the Israeli health authorities slow response to the concerns over early myocarditis reports.
The takeaways.. Big Data vaccine tracking system is needed, Adverse event reporting mostly results from Nocebo effect or expectations of the patient rather than clinical diagnosis and most adverse events are the result of the virus rather than the vaccine.
Interesting that the Nocebo effect accounts for amputation… and death… powerful thing the mind…
https://flccc.substack.com/p/large-peer-reviewed-research-study
Large, peer-reviewed research study proves ivermectin works
Link to the study:
https://www.cureus.com/articles/82162-ivermectin-prophylaxis-used-for-covid-19-a-citywide-prospective-observational-study-of-223128-subjects-using-propensity-score-matching
Ivermectin Prophylaxis Used for COVID-19: A Citywide, Prospective, Observational Study of 223,128 Subjects Using Propensity Score Matching
Note that this was only prophylactic use before getting an infection. NOONE in this study was given Ivermectin for an active infection (dispensation was stopped upon infection.)
This was a retrospective review of health records of a preventative public health effort (not randomized study) where participants self selected to take IVM prophylactically or not. Review of population characteristics showed that as a whole an older, generally more unhealthy fraction of population chose ivermectin while generally healthier younger participants did not.
Thus this can be looked upon as a relatively low estimate of the effectiveness of IVM. It would be expected from other studies, that if participants had been given additional IVM at time of symptom onset that fewer hospitalizations and deaths would have occurred. Also if experimental and controls groups had been selected to have relatively similar health characteristics/demographics (rather than result of participant self selection) then a greater percentage improvement in reductions of hospitalization & mortality would be expected.
Now all we need is a cost analysis; i.e. how much would it have cost to dispense ivermectin to all vulnerable people for a year vs the cost of lockdowns, experimental injections, etc…
The last 2 years have been a looting exercise, as well as a war on youth. I wonder if the youth will ever forgive the older generations for what has been done to them…
Wonder when people will realize this all about our energy predicament…
Hong Kong Covid Isolation Could Last to 2024, EU Chamber Says
(Bloomberg) — Hong Kong’s zero-tolerance approach to Covid-19 could keep the Asian financial hub cut off from most of the world until 2024 and fuel a large-scale exodus of international workers and executives, according to a draft report by the European Chamber of Commerce in the city.
The most likely scenario for Hong Kong’s exit from its isolation is to wait for China to finish developing a powerful messenger RNA vaccine and immunize its 1.4 billion people, the business group said in an internal document seen and verified by Bloomberg.
A reopening could then happen late next year or early 2024, the document said, adding that companies should prepare for Hong Kong to remain “semi-closed” to international travel.
“We anticipate an exodus of foreigners, probably the largest that Hong Kong has ever seen, and one of the largest in absolute terms from any city in the region” in recent history, the report said.
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/hong-kong-covid-isolation-could-last-to-2024-eu-chamber-says-1.1713286
It would never occur to anyone that this is about conserving energy
Even Mike Yeadon refuses to go there… (scared of Fast Eddy)
Mike Yeadon probably just needs some time for energy reality to sink in – it took most of us some considerable mental adjustment after all.
First, to grasp the crude and terrifying reality; and then the fact that the powerful are acting on it, globally….
Yip. Mike Yeadon’s personal life has been torn apart over the last two years trying to save humanity, and now he has been told we are all screwed anyway. Perhaps now he will retire quietly. Florida seems as good a place as any, if that is where he is.
Agreed — if this is wrecking his health and life… walk away. It’s at best futile — at worst counter-productive… the CEP is a good plan. A necessary plan.
Why oppose it?
Perhaps you could dial up Albert Bourla.
“… wait for China to finish developing a powerful messenger RNA vaccine and immunize its 1.4 billion people…”
this is not just your everyday routine omoronic stooooopidity, this is top level omoronic stooooopidity.
the vaccines so far are the exact opposite of “powerful”, they not only don’t work against the latest variants, but they have NEGATIVE efficacy.
but again I repeat myself.
there is zero chance that China or anyone else can develop an effective “powerful” coronavirus vaccine.
the latest variants will always be ahead of the latest “vaccine”.
The Narrative is Broken.
1. there has never been a successful coronavirus vaccine.
2. there never ever will be.
trust the science.
I am encountering resistance to the CEP in my few anti vax contacts…
They subscribe to the MSM PR that Omicron is mild and signals the end of Covid … Big Pharma has made their $$$… now they are walking it back by releasing this milder version of Covid…
They are aware of Bossche’s warnings and FE’s assertion that now that vax rates are high – the goal is to infect the billions of injected CovIDIOTS and try to trigger ‘Marek’s’
That is rejected outright because that would mean the elites die too. (and nobody will accept that they know they are already dead because of the energy story… )
1. If this was a walk back then why not invoke Focused Protection so fewer die and the politicians are heroes.
2. If this was a walk back why not stop the boosters – why not stop injecting children — why did Pfizer just announce a series of 3 MORE boosters formulated for Omicron
Nobody can answer these questions.
Everything points to the CEP — they are purposely trying to infect CovIDIOTS… why would they do that unless they were purposely trying to create mutations.
This is virology 101 – you do NOT deploy leaky vaccines into a pandemic.
They have created the Mother of All Pandemics using leaky vaccines to produce the highly contagious Omicron virus….
And instead of stopping the vaccines – they are throwing gasoline on the fire — by continuing to deploy with record numbers of infections
Psychological Immunity is on display here Big Time.
How much more obvious does it need to get before people recognize there is a sinister plot happening?
Obviously to acknowledge the obvious — would be to crash into deepest despair… (unless one is a hyper misanthrope)
I get it.
Fast Eddy will be proved correct. HE … will … be … Right… in the End.
Ugo Bardi has a good post up:
The Secret of Propaganda: Teaching Obedience
I got to thinking. Perhaps this is one reason why university faculty members are disproportionately liberal in their way of thinking. Democrats in the US. University administrators seem to be especially interested in woke ideas.
The concepts presented by Gail and Ugo are extremely well known by anyone working in american academia these days.
This is why we must look to Fast Eddy for Guidance… and Tim
I think that there’s 2 sides to it…..students are willing conformists to some extent….because ultimately they crave the credential over and above the learning experience…..
Allan Bloom’s book published in 1990 is worth a read….sure, he charts the change in philosophy guiding university administration beginning in the 1960s…but he also laments the declining curiosity of American students over the decades…
“The Closing of the American Mind: How Higher Education Has Failed Democracy and Impoverished the Souls of today’s Students”
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Closing-American-Mind-Education-Impoverished/dp/1451683200/ref=sr_1_1?crid=2KH9YYNL9Q4J4&keywords=the+closing+of+the+american+mind&qid=1643179705&sprefix=the+closing+of+the+am%2Caps%2C127&sr=8-1
I found it heavy going in places….but overall, I recommend it.
Well, Ugo should know better than most. Despite a thorough training in Physical Chemistry he fell for that “climate change” propaganda. Bait, hook, line and sinker.
Quebec Has BANNED the Unvaxxed from Walmart – And It Isn’t Going Well – Viva on the Street 
All-time NBA great Kareem Abdul-Jabbar had a message for fellow Hall of Famer John Stockton Monday morning. Appearing on CNN, Kareem was asked about Stockton’s delusional comments that the COVID-19 vaccine is killing professional athletes. Here’s what the thoughtful 19-time All-Star had to say:
“I think statements like that make the public look upon athletes like dumb jocks, for trying to explain away something that is obviously a pandemic
John Stockton, a Gonzaga legend, had his season tickets revoked after he refused to comply with the school’s mask mandate.
The NBA’s all-time leader in assists has a history of regularly peddling baseless COVID-19 conspiracy theories. Highlighted by an interview with the Spokesman-Review in which Stockton asserts that around 150 professional athletes have died because of the vaccine.
“I think it’s highly recorded now, there’s 150 I believe now, it’s over 100 professional athletes dead — professional athletes — the prime of their life, dropping dead that are vaccinated, right on the pitch, right on the field, right on the court,” Stockton said in the interview.
Kareem Abdul-Jabbar isn’t the only former athlete to slam Stockton’s comments. Three-time NBA All-Star Detlef Schrempf also took aim at Stockton’s unhinged claims.
https://thespun.com/more/top-stories/kareem-abdul-jabbar-reacts-to-john-stockton-controversy/amp?fbclid=IwAR3RUY15Pe4vRufnYjyP33D6NW7iS4gnA5nPUJjotTTbXb7zbHiguaVNZug
Organizers for the convoy insist they are abiding the laws and intend for a peaceful rally in Ottawa this weekend.
Even though the organizers say it will be peaceful,Phillips said he’s seen people online calling the trucker convoy Canada’s version of the U.S. Capitol insurrection on Jan. 6, 2021, for the truckers to ram their trucks into Parliament, and people encouraging the hanging of politicians.
https://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/so-many-angry-people-experts-say-online-conversation-around-trucker-convoy-veering-into-dangerous-territory-1.5754580
They also need to keep warm in the winter… fire is a good option … or mittens
Nathan Place. The Independent
Tue, January 25, 2022, 6:01 PM
Christian Cabrera, 40, regretted not getting vaccinated as he died of Covid-19 (KTLA)
Shortly before dying of Covid-19, a father in Los Angeles texted family members to express his regret over not getting vaccinated.
Christian Cabrera, 40, tested positive for the coronavirus around Christmas. Not long afterward, he was in an emergency room with pneumonia in both lungs.
“I can’t breathe again,” he texted his brother, according to KTLA. “I really regret not getting my vaccine. If I can do it all over again I would do it in a heartbeat to save my life. I’m fighting for my life here and I wish I [had] gotten vaccinated.”
On 22 January, Mr Cabrera died. His family shared the tragic news on a GoFundMe raising money for his three-year-old son, Noel.
“We are very sad to announce that our beloved brother Christian Cabrera … has lost his battle with Covid pneumonia and passed away tonight,” Mr Cabrera’s brother, Jino Cabrera, wrote in the fundraiser. “He touched so many people’s lives because he was a very loving, kind, generous, caring person with a beautiful heart and soul.”
Even before Mr Cabrera’s death, his brother said, he worried he might not survive.
“He keeps saying, ‘Please take care of my son,’” Jino told KTLA last Thursday. “He knows he might not make it. He might die in there.”
Covid cases in Los Angles are currently dropping from their Omicron-era peak, but they’re still extremely high. As of 24 January, the city was facing an average of almost 33,000 new infections per day. And on 20 January, just two days before Mr Cabrera died, LA County reported 102 deaths from the virus in a single day – the highest number in a year.
As in the rest of the country, the worst outcomes have been among the unvaccinated. According to LA’s Department of Public Health, unvaccinated LA residents have been six times more likely to end up in an ICU than someone fully vaccinated, and 25 times more likely than a fully vaccinated person who’d also received a booster.
I wonder what the numbers would be, if the ill people were given proper treatment. In fact, it would also have been helpful if people had been instructed to get their vitamin D level up in advance of the time
This is a link to a CDC report that shows LA County data with nice little charts. While hospitalizations may have peaked, it doesn’t look like deaths have peaked. https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#county-view?list_select_county=6037
Perhaps it might also be worded as follows.
“Shortly before dying of Covid-19, a father in Los Angeles texted family members to express his regret over not having been informed by his doctors and health authorities to take adequate amounts of Vitamin D and Zinc, and that had he lived in Africa, and been on a normal regimen of the most prescribed medicine (and safest) in the world, IVERMECTIN, that he would not have gotten sick with COVID at all. Lastly he said that being vaccinated with a non-vaccine was the last thing he should have done.”
Link for this if possible please?
Ivermectin, ‘Wonder drug’ from Japan: the human use perspective
from Proc Jpn Acad Ser B Phys Biol Sci. 2011 Feb 10; 87(2): 13–28.
“Discovered in the late-1970s, the pioneering drug ivermectin, a dihydro derivative of avermectin—originating solely from a single microorganism isolated at the Kitasato Intitute, Tokyo, Japan from Japanese soil—has had an immeasurably beneficial impact in improving the lives and welfare of billions of people throughout the world. Originally introduced as a veterinary drug, it kills a wide range of internal and external parasites in commercial livestock and companion animals. It was quickly discovered to be ideal in combating two of the world’s most devastating and disfiguring diseases which have plagued the world’s poor throughout the tropics for centuries. It is now being used free-of-charge as the sole tool in campaigns to eliminate both diseases globally. It has also been used to successfully overcome several other human diseases and new uses for it are continually being found. This paper looks in depth at the events surrounding ivermectin’s passage from being a huge success in Animal Health into its widespread use in humans, a development which has led many to describe it as a “wonder” drug.”
Bobby, did you see the note that IVERMECTIN is helping “billions” of people?
also, from India’s Ivermectin Blackout – Part III: The Lesson of Kerala
“On August 15, Kerala accounted for 18,582 of India’s 32,937 new cases and 102 of India’s 417 new deaths. By contrast, the Ivermectin-using state of Delhi, with nearly the same population size, recorded only 53 new cases and ZERO deaths. In comparison, Uttar Pradesh, with almost eight times as many inhabitants, had only 30 new cases and ONE death.
Kerala had 619 times as many new cases as Uttar Pradesh and over 100 times as many deaths.
So what could Kerala be doing wrong?
Hint: Over-reliance on vaccines and under-reliance on Ivermectin”
This fact is suppressed by the Western media. IVERMECTIN kills the Corona virus.
IVERMECTIN is truly one of the safest medicines in the world.
Brilliant, spot on Jesse!
Unsubtantiated PROPAGANDA.
Saw this recommended by malcolm gladwell … starts a bit slow but Ch 2 it gets really interesting .. am into Ch3… I like the theory of Psychological Immune System — similar to how our bodily immune system protects us from disease but the psych one protects us from information / realities … that would damage our psyche … anything that would lead to deep despair etc.. gets blocked by this system… if it is functioning properly….
https://www.audible.com/pd/Strangers-to-Ourselves-Audiobook/B0069USW50?ref=a_library_t_c5_libItem_&pf_rd_p=80765e81-b10a-4f33-b1d3-ffb87793d047&pf_rd_r=0ECHWB99MVA2X8JW0DQF
I can see why a Psychological Immune System would make sense. We have to think things will be getting better and better. We come up with narratives, to make things work out that way.
I just tested the theory — I DMed this to 2 CovIDIOTS and asked them how this is possible in highly boosted israel…
It’s like I used invisible ink… I can see they’ve received something because they show green… but they must not see anything… they do no respond.
Israel reported 871 serious coronavirus cases on Monday, 10 times the amount of serious patients recorded a month ago, on December 25, when there were merely 88 patients in serious condition.
Coronavirus deaths too, continue to increase drastically, with 16 deaths newly reported on Monday, in comparison to December 24 when one coronavirus death was reported, and December 25 where none were reported.
Where does that leave ofwers? Are we lacking the basic psychological immune response? It is strange of how when you try to explain our energy problem they can shut down or attack the messenger
I have toled it several times. Most of the OFW-ers are psychopaths. Pasychopaths are immune to the group safety mechanisms of shared (projected) reality.
…translation anyone?
toled = told
I think there is a lot of room between stubborn and psychopath.
Being stubborn is a good start 🙂
I suggest it’s not because we are psychos, just rather odd people……
Psychopaths are often just realists…
No need to advertise it to me, Eddy 🙂
who are forced to live in their own version of reality
Who wants to WATCH????
I do I do
https://twitter.com/i/status/1485106239910690816