A Few Insights Based on CDC Data Regarding COVID and its Vaccines

My background is as a casualty actuary. I am used to looking at data from standard sources and trying to make some sense of it. I am hesitant to take someone else’s word for what the data show because I know that it is easy for mistakes to creep in. In this post, I will provide observations based on data from the databases of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the Johns Hopkins University. Hopefully, some of these observations will prove insightful.

I am aware that the proper reference for COVID is “COVID-19.” In this post, I have elected to use the shorter reference, except when shown in an exhibit prepared using software developed by someone else (Figure 3).

[1] Recent data show that COVID vaccines don’t really prevent a person from catching and passing along the virus that causes COVID. The CDC has recently changed its guidance to reflect the fact that the vaccines mostly reduce the chance of severe illness. Vaccines are still recommended by the CDC, not because they reduce transmission, but because they may reduce COVID-related healthcare costs.

Figure 1. Number of US vaccine doses provided to various age groups, based on data from a CDC database.

It is clear from Figure 1 that the big initial push for vaccine delivery peaked around April 2021. The rollout was substantially accomplished by July 2021. Then there was a second, lower peak, related primarily to boosters in the November 2021 to January 2022 period.

Figure 2 shows the pattern of newly reported COVID cases, relative to the first round of COVID vaccinations, based on data reported to the Johns Hopkins University database.

Figure 2.US reported COVID cases by month based on data from the Johns Hopkins University database.

Clearly, the first round of vaccinations did not put an end to new COVID cases. In fact, the CDC started becoming concerned about transmission among the vaccinated as early as July 2021. At that time, it started recommending that everyone wear a mask in conditions that represented high transmission. It also began using the term breakthrough infection to describe the (hopefully uncommon) condition of coming down with COVID after being vaccinated.

In fact, back when the Delta wave hit in the fall of 2021, it was possible to blame at least part of the problem on the lesser-vaccinated Southern part of the US. The well-vaccinated Northeast seemed to fare relatively much better (Figure 3).

Figure 3. US reported COVID cases (moving 7-day average, relative to population) by part of the US based on data from the Johns Hopkins University database. Visualization is available at this web address.

Figure 3 indicates that a quite different situation occurred when the Omicron variant hit close to the beginning of 2022. The heavily vaccinated Northeast clearly led the way, both in timing and in the number of COVID cases relative to population. The relatively less vaccinated South was much lower, close to the Midwest in its number of cases, relative to population.

The Omicron variant is very different from the original Wuhan version of the virus. This difference between virus variants is at least part reason that current mRNA vaccines fail to block transmission of the Omicron virus. Instead, current vaccines mostly reduce severe symptoms. This is very similar to the explanation we have heard when getting influenza vaccines each year. Researchers make a guess with respect to which particular strains will be circulating the following year. The level of protection will vary, depending upon whether the researchers’ guesses prove to be accurate the following year.

There are also indications from patterns elsewhere (and from theory) that it is not good practice to vaccinate at the time a virus is already starting to circulate widely. The booster vaccinations that took place in November and December 2021 (Figure 1) may have inadvertently raised, rather than lowered, their recipients’ chances of catching COVID. But, of course, the illness would be (on average) relatively mild. This lower severity of outcome is to be expected, partly because the mutated virus seems to be less virulent than the Wuhan COVID virus, and partly because the vaccines tend to reduce the severity of the disease.

The CDC started moving in the direction of treating vaccinated and unvaccinated people alike back in July 2021. Now, with the evidence from the Omicron wave coming in, it has had no choice but to move even further in the direction of treating everyone alike. For example, for domestic travel, the CDC recommends tests for both vaccinated and unvaccinated travelers if there is a concern about COVID. Recent CDC recommendations with respect to the wearing of masks do not depend upon vaccine status, either.

The idea of requiring everyone to be vaccinated likely originated from the cost-savings and profits that were expected to occur if people could be vaccinated and kept out of hospitals. Employers were very much in favor of such cost-savings because their workers likely would be able to stay on the job more of the time. Insurance companies were in favor of such an approach as well, because it would lower health care claim costs. Hospitals and physicians were in favor of the recommended COVID vaccines because physicians could perform more elective surgery (and thus make more money) if the hospitals were not full of COVID patients. Of course, the drug companies selling vaccines were in favor of selling more vaccines, too.

Furthermore, we know from prior experience with viruses that the ability to stop transmission with a vaccine varies greatly from virus to virus. Forecasting that any proposed vaccine will prevent transmission is a very “iffy” proposition. The viruses that cause the common cold, HIV and SARS are related (in some way) to the virus that causes COVID. Despite decades of research, none of these viruses has a successful vaccine. This suggests that COVID cannot be stopped by a vaccine, either. We also know, in general, that if a virus jumps from an animal to human hosts, transmission can only be stopped if all of the animal hosts are successfully vaccinated, as well.

[2] COVID vaccines used in the US do not seem to have done much to reduce total COVID deaths.

Figure 4. Number of US COVID deaths by month on two slightly different reporting bases. CDC data are based on death certificate data, reported up to several months after the date of the death, but backdated to the date of actual death. Thus, its indications will tend to be low for recent months. The Johns Hopkins University database contains reports sent in by providers. It should be more complete for recent dates.

Vaccinations started in December of 2020, but there were about 20% more COVID deaths in 2021 than in 2020. Part of the problem is that after the Delta peak in deaths in September, deaths never retreated to zero, or close to zero. COVID deaths immediately began increasing with the Omicron peak. While there was a lull during March 2022 in reported cases (Figures 2 and 3), data for April and May seem to indicate that reported cases are again on an upward path.

If today’s vaccines really worked as people initially hoped, I would expect to see a lot more progress in reducing new cases than shown to date.

[3] Data from OurWorldInData.org provides excess mortality indications for five age groupings. This data indicates that Ages 15-64 were particularly hard hit by the last two waves of COVID (Delta and Omicron). Ages 85+ were hit very lightly.

Figure 5. Chart prepared by OurWorldInData.org showing excess mortality.

Since these charts are for all causes of death combined, they will reflect deaths that might have occurred due to other problems of the 2020 to 2022 period, in addition to COVID deaths. For example, increased suicides and homicides would be included, as would a rise in drug overdoses and motor vehicle accidents. If there are deaths stemming from the use of vaccines, these deaths would be included in the total deaths from all causes, as well.

The rise in deaths in the Ages 15-64 grouping is particularly striking. This group is known for being more likely to be depressed by the events of the day. The base number of expected deaths is relatively lower than for the older ages. This allows the deaths from newly increased causes to magnify the total death rate of the period by a greater factor. Life insurance companies have been complaining about the high numbers of deaths experienced on their policies, predominantly for this age group.

The strikingly low deaths in the Ages 85+ group in 2021 may reflect the working of the vaccine. There might be other causes as well. Some of the weaker members of this group likely died in 2020, leaving fewer to die in 2021. This lower death rate may also reflect the impact of antibodies gained from catching COVID in 2020. People included in Ages 85+, more frequently than younger age groups, lived in care homes of various kinds during 2020. In this setting, they were more exposed to the early rounds of COVID than those living in home settings. Thus, they had more of a chance to develop antibodies from catching the illness.

[4] If we prepare charts showing provisional mortality data for 2021, together with similar indications for prior years, we can see how US mortality rates have been changing for different age groups. We can also see the relative role of COVID cases in these changes.

Figure 6. Death rates for four youngest age groupings, based on CDC Provisional Mortality Data for various years.

The CDC data show mortality rates based on deaths from all causes. For the years 2020 and 2021, it gives a separate indication of mortality associated with COVID. The orange line represents what the mortality would be if all COVID deaths (using a broad definition of COVID death, based on COVID appearing as “any cause” on the death certificate) were removed.

COVID vaccines were not available until mid-December 2020, and then for only a very small group, so the difference in the orange and blue lines at the 2020 point represents the number of COVID deaths for the age group, before the vaccines became available. The 2021 difference between the two lines represents the number of deaths from COVID taking into account whatever vaccines were used for this age group. We might expect the gap between the blue and orange lines to become smaller in 2021 than in 2020 if the vaccines given to the particular age group (or the prior antibodies from catching the illness) were making a significant change in reducing COVID cases in 2021.

Looking at Figure 6, COVID has essentially no impact on babies under Age 1. The total number of deaths seemed to drop more than usual in 2020, perhaps partly because mothers were at home more. For Ages 1-4, death rates are up in 2021, but not because of COVID. COVID seems to play practically no role in the mortality of Ages 5-14 and at most a very minor role for Ages 15-24. For the latter group, mortality is significantly up in both 2020 and 2021, perhaps because of more suicides and risky behavior resulting in death (such as car accidents and drug overdoses).

Figure 7. Death rates per 100,000 for four groupings between ages 25 and 64, based on CDC Provisional Mortality Data for various years.

We can see similar patterns to what we saw for Ages 15-24 in the chart above, but with progressively more COVID in the mix of causes leading to the uptick in the overall death rates. The share of COVID cases in the mix rises in 2021 relative to 2020 for all of these age groupings, despite the vaccines and prior immunity which should start building up (if immunity is truly “durable,” something that is not always the case).

Figure 8. Death rates for three groups from age 65 and up, based on CDC Provisional Mortality Data for various years.

It is only when we get to these oldest ages that death rates stop increasing in 2021. In fact, when the impact of COVID deaths is removed, the death rates seem to be improving. These age groups tended to get the vaccine early. They also lost quite a few sickly members in 2020, when the first round of COVID hit. The remaining group may be in somewhat better health than the original mix. Also, as mentioned in Section [3], they may also have more antibodies from actually catching COVID during 202o, while living in a care home.

[5] We can perhaps get an inkling of what is going wrong with death rates by comparing deaths by cause for January 2020, January 2021, and January 2022, based on monthly provisional death data.

A sample of one month is not very much, but January tends to be bad for mortality because the cold weather encourages dry indoor conditions, especially in the colder parts of the country. People tend to stay inside more because of cold weather. Vitamin D levels tend to be low because of lower sunlight exposure. Communicable disease deaths, including those of COVID, tend to be high at this time of year.

Figure 9. Chart prepared by Gail Tverberg using CDC data for Select Natural Causes. Amounts for January 2022 are likely somewhat incomplete because of the lag in death certificate preparation.

Looking at Figure 9, the first thing we notice is that total January 2022 deaths from natural causes are still outrageously high compared with January 2020 deaths. These deaths exclude deaths from suicides, drug overdoses, car accidents and many other unnatural causes that we know are trending up substantially, so the overall situation is probably even worse than natural death indications would suggest.

One thing we notice is that heart disease deaths seem to be trending higher. This could be a fluke, or it might be caused by COVID or the vaccines (or both). Investigation might be useful.

Cancer deaths, at least based on this tiny sample, seem to be flat. This suggests that fears of a rapid rise in cancer deaths because of vaccine-related issues may be unwarranted.

COVID deaths in January 2022 are down from their very elevated level in January 2021.

Cerebrovascular diseases, diabetes and kidney disease deaths all are higher, in this very small sample. These diseases would all seem to possibly be influenced by a greater number of COVID cases or perhaps by side effects associated with vaccines or with treatments. Researchers interested in these topics should be aware that data are being collected that might give insight into changes in the number of deaths associated with these causes.

One thing that alarmed me when I looked at the CDC’s list of “selected” natural causes is that the list of diseases for which data is given is not very complete. One grouping that clearly has been omitted is diseases of the liver. I would strongly suspect that deaths from diseases of the liver are rising, if people have been staying at home and drinking more alcoholic beverages.

[6] Conclusions and ideas for further examination.

Clearly, the CDC has a huge quantity of data that can be examined if anyone wants to put the time and energy into looking at it. Too often researchers coming from the biological sciences do not stop and think about using whatever data is available to support or refute their ideas, at least based on the evidence to date.

The significant increases in mortality for the many age groups between 15 and 64 would seem to suggest that something is going badly wrong. Someone should be examining these changes. If part of the problem is that vaccines are having serious side effects, this can perhaps be seen by analyzing deaths by cause for these age groups.

The lack of COVID cases in the youngest age groupings (babies and Ages 1-4) would suggest that vaccines are not really needed for these age groupings. Babies don’t excessively fill hospitals with COVID cases. Training their immune systems to look for a long-extinct version of the virus cannot be very helpful in the long run.

If the underlying purpose of vaccines is to help the profitability of big companies, hospitals, doctors and vaccine-makers, this makes a big difference in our understanding of what we are being told. Clearly, the government is also a big employer; its ability to stay within its budget is enhanced by holding down the hospital and other medical costs of its employees. For example, if the government wants the hospitalization costs and work lost by those in the US Army and US Navy to be as low as possible, it will mandate vaccines for these employees. The CDC, being a government agency, cannot help but be at least somewhat influenced by what government leaders are demanding when interpreting scientific evidence.

The government cannot explain that the reason it wants everyone to be vaccinated has essentially nothing to do with disease transmission, without upsetting many people, so it publicizes its change in stance with respect to vaccines as little as possible. Businesses do not want it known that their reason for demanding vaccines is to hold down their own COVID healthcare costs, so they are not anxious to publicize the underlying reason, either. Thus, the vast majority of citizens are not aware of the fact that even with boosters, their chance of catching COVID and passing it along to others is still very high. Studies seem to indicate that boosters may provide an individual person with a short window (6 weeks, or so) of lower likelihood of catching COVID, but the overall effect is not enough to reduce the overall pattern of disease transmission.

If a vaccine against Omicron is developed, we need to be aware that there is a high probability that by the time the vaccine is widely distributed, the virus will have mutated sufficiently that its only benefit will be to somewhat reduce the severity of whatever version of COVID is prevalent at the time the next wave of cases appears. Thus, we cannot hope that with a better-directed vaccine, it will make any substantial difference in disease transmission. Thus, we should expect that the major benefit will always be “reduced healthcare costs with respect to COVID.”

There are quite a few people who have discovered from reading on-line articles that there are ways of potentially reducing the severity of COVID besides receiving the vaccine. These include raising vitamin D levels in advance of contracting COVID and taking any number of common, inexpensive drugs (including aspirin) if the disease does hit. They also recognize that the long-term effects of the vaccines are unknown. For example, if repeated too many times, the vaccines may damage the immune system, according to some analyses. The views of these vaccine-refusers need to be respected. The vaccine-refusers can easily be turned into scapegoats.

About Gail Tverberg

My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
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4,227 Responses to A Few Insights Based on CDC Data Regarding COVID and its Vaccines

  1. Fast Eddy says:

    VOICEMAIL from Joe Biden to Hunter about NY Times report on his Chinese business dealings proves he DID speak to his son about his relationship with criminal dubbed the ‘spy chief of China’

    Joe Biden called Hunter in December 2018 saying he wanted to talk to him after reading a New York Times story about Hunter’s dealings with the Chinese oil giant CEFC

    Files on Hunter’s abandoned laptop previously disclosed by DailyMail.com show that he struck a deal with the Chinese company worth millions of dollars

    The Times’ 2018 story pointed out CEFC’s chairman Ye Jianming had been arrested in China and his lieutenant Patrick Ho had been convicted of bribery

    Hunter accidentally recorded himself referring to Ho as the ‘spy chief of China’

    After seeing the story online, Joe called Hunter and left a voicemail

    ‘I thought the article released online, it’s going to be printed tomorrow in the Times, was good. I think you’re clear,’ Joe said in the voicemail

    The message flies in the face of the president’s repeated denials that he ever discussed Hunter’s overseas business dealings with his son

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10938637/Voicemail-Joe-Biden-Hunter-proves-president-DID-speak-Chinese-business-dealings.html?ico=embedded

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      No matter what revelations are made about Hunter Biden, most MSM sources will not print them. So the story is likely to stay in the Daily Mail, rather than being echoed around the world.

  2. Fast Eddy says:

    Joe Biden Covered Hunter’s Russia-Linked Hooker Tab; Leaked Audio Proves Joe Spoke Of Dealings

    After Hunter spent more than $30,000 on prostitutes between November 2018 and March 2019 – including several who use “.ru” email addresses linked to Russia, and an “exclusive model agency,” UberGFE, Joe wired $5,000 while Hunter was “actively engaged” with an escort.

    Hunter Biden disclosed in text messages with a woman named Eva, the go-between who served as his primary point of contact for UberGFE, that his accounts were temporarily frozen at one point because his attempted payments to her “girls” with Russian email accounts were too much of a “red flag” for his bank. Eva refers to him as Robert in the messages, which is his birth name. -Washington Examiner

    Hunter also convinced Joe to send $20,000 more, claiming it was to pay for drug rehab in New York, but which never actually happened.

    The Examiner notes that there’s no suggestion that Joe knew what Hunter was spending the money on.

    “What’s wrong with you,” Hunter asked the Examiner just after the above story was published.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/joe-biden-covered-hunters-russian-hooker-tab-while-leaked-voicemail-proves-joe-spoke

    https://assets.zerohedge.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_mobile/public/inline-images/hunter%20dogman_0.PNG

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      When I was in the Supermarket recently, I noticed the headline on one of the “magazines” next to the register was something like, “Joe Biden and his wife having marital difficulties.” At some point, it would seem like Jill Biden might get disgusted with all of this.

      We are reminded of Bill and Melinda Gates.

  3. Fast Eddy says:

    Urgent care medical practice closes hours early, overwhelmed by demand

    https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/health/129096215/urgent-care-medical-practice-closes-hours-early-overwhelmed-by-demand

    So we got us staff walking because they’ve seen way to many vax injuries and they won’t take the boosters… (mandated for medical workers)…

    We got us all those vax injuries… then we got us the VAIDS thing that is resulting in hospitalizations for the flu… gotta be lots of cancers and other opportunistic diseases hammering the VAIDS sufferers as well…

    She’s gonna blow — she’s gonna blow!!! SOOO EEEEEE!!!!

    • Xabier says:

      Yep, she’s gonna blow.

      Not unlike those lovely Russian ladies, one assumes. Or perhaps they had other specialities – just how depraved is Hunter? We want to know!

      This is all most entertaining, at the End of the World!

      I wonder if dear old Norman, self-declared guardian of morals and respecter of women, is still impressed by the Biden mobsters?

      Anyway, we need feel no pity for the public humiliation inflicted by his handlers on poor old senile Joe. His whole life of laziness, lies and grifting has earned this.

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      Of course, New Zealand is now headed into winter. Winter is the normal peak time for viruses of all kinds. The vaccines don’t really protect the health care workers from catching the illness, so this adds to the lack of workers. People quitting would be on top of this problem.

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      Any further word on this? The plane went down with two occupants.

  4. Fast Eddy says:

    Smash and Destroy

    https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/36977

    https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/36978

    Meder https://t.me/chiefnerd/3943

    Citadel & 300 senior Goldman executives are moving to Florida. Wall Street appears to see a collapse of large metropolitan areas due to tax revenue leaving. They are just getting ahead of the chaos that will be created from bankrupt blue cities. Talked to New Yorker visiting a friend this weekend & told him to have a bug out bag…he already does. This is the reality of the world.

    @DowdEdward

    “Far More Serious Than Nuclear War” – We Must Put an End to Gain-of-Function Research

    Dr. Roger Hodkinson: “Any place that continues to do gain-of-function … should be [expunged] out of existence because of its grotesque potential to kill the human race. Period.”

    truthsocial.com/@VigilantFox/108557670420027260

    @VigilantFox | Rumble (https://rumble.com/v1ad231-far-more-serious-than-nuclear-war-we-must-put-an-end-to-gain-of-function-re.html) | Full Video (https://www.redvoicemedia.com/video/2022/06/could-gain-of-function-research-wipe-out-humanity-dr-roger-hodkinson-video/ref/8/)

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      With less energy consumption in total, less energy can be consumed at great concentrations in large metropolitan areas. Also, many of the employees have moved to less expensive areas. Businesses catering to this group (restaurants and commuter trains, for example) find it hard to generate enough revenue.

      Europe, in general, has much more of its population concentrated in urban areas. It relies heavily on trains. As the economy shrinks back, it will be less able to support its urban areas.

  5. Fast Eddy says:

    Antibiotic drug resistance; you know that arises when the wrong antibiotic, wrong dose, not completing the dose ensues; you know this; outcome can derive drug-resistant bacteria, complex to treat…

    expensive to treat, often leads to multi-drug resistant bacteria that is deadly; well, this is what Geert and I and others are telling you; this COVID mRNA shot is similar, cannot neutralize the spike

    https://palexander.substack.com/p/antibiotic-drug-resistance-you-know

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      Perhaps the proposed new vaccine (against all viruses at once), will lead to all viruses becoming drug/vaccine resistant. And immune systems not really working.

      • Just watching the nightly news on ABC…Govermint has just ordered 5 Billion bucks of the new improved Pfizer Juice for the upcoming season.
        Fauci claims right after he’s feeling much better after a tuff time…
        Everything going according to the Elder Master plan…
        Just keeping everyone updated

        • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
          Gail Tverberg says:

          I am sure that the shareholders of Pfizer are happy.

  6. banned says:

    Once upon a time there was a happy couple. Their abode was modest but they took great pride in their cooking. They had a superb collection of cooking ware.
    They were largly cofee drinkers but once in a while liked a bit of tea. But they had no teapot- not acceptable.
    Off the went to teapots r us. There were all sorts and sizes. A slender well designed Italian model caught the wifes eye- done deal.
    Home they went the huspand sturdily mounted a hook on the wall next to the other pots. But what shall we call her well Italian her name is Mera. There she was Mera on the wall.
    The other pots greeted her. “Welcome to the kitchen”. Mera replied i dont care if you welcome me or not. Im a nihlist. Sam the saucepan inquired whats that. I dont get hot Mera replied. fred the fryingpan scoffed your cookware you get hot. Mera replied I have done my dissertation on this you are ignorant. Sam said look Mera it is a little scary getting hot but you learn to enjoy it. Chen Chi the scarred wok spoke up I have learned to feel the molecules of my structure through the flame. Whatever Mera replied, im a nihlist. we dont get hot.
    Eddy was a solid platinum pan delivered by a canadian trucker. He was a bit jaded and michevious. Mera eyed him up and down. i think your a nihlist like me we will get along. OK said eddy but already miscief was forming in his solid platinum surface.
    a week later it was time for some tea! The owner placed water in mera and placed her on the flame. Looks like your getting hot opined eddy. Not at all mera replied. Frosty. Then a a few plumes of steam wafted up. Looking like a bit of temperature there mentioned eddy. Cold as ice replied Mera.
    But slowly gradually the inevitable occured. Steam formed and mera started to shriek. AAHHHHHAAAAAAAAAHHHH YOUR ALL CANCELLED.
    even eddy was taken back. this little teapot was trippin hard.
    AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHAAAAAAAA
    MERA SHRIEKED YOUR ALL CANCELLED, YOUR ALL SATANISTS
    The pots looked at each other. WTF?
    Mera was removed from the stove. tea poured she was placed on the wall and cooled down.
    The next day sam addressed Mera. See its not so bad. What replied Mera coldly. Getting hot said sam. Im a nihlist we dont get hot replied Mera aloofly. I didnt get hot and i never will

    The pots were in disbelief. she really was still talking this talk after flipping out. Was she Crazy?

    Sam and fred discussed it amongst themselves. I think someone she trusted told her she has no value said sam. Could be said fred but who hasnt had that happen to them. Regardless opined sam its a dam shame. If she put just a little of the effort of denial into enjoying the flame she be one hell of a teapot with her intellect. Fred nodded in agreement.

    THE END

  7. Fast Eddy says:

    Long term bullish? Then why not hold? If you don’t sell you don’t lose hahaha (of course you lose… f789ing MOREONS… it’s called marking to market price… )…

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cypherpunk-dumps-bitcoin-ether-avoid-033202475.html

  8. Fast Eddy says:

    On June 14, following the hiring freeze announced on June 5 and reports of rescinded job offers, Coinbase announced that it would lay off 18% of its workforce. Which was easy to do since the company switched to working-from-home during the pandemic in May 2020 – it became what it called a “remote-first” company – which was made permanent in 2021. And 1,100 laid-off people found out via personal email, after they’d been locked out from their corporate emails and other access. So that was easy.

    These layoffs followed the debacle of the disclosure in an SEC filing that crypto holders on its platform were just “unsecured creditors,” made worse by CEO Brian Armstrong’s tweet storm which promised that “We have no risk of bankruptcy,” which inspired huge amounts of confidence.

    All this came with an earnings report that was a total fiasco, including a loss of $430 million in Q1, a 35% plunge in revenues, and a drop in monthly users. And it said at the time that revenues and users would continue to drop.

    https://wolfstreet.com/2022/06/27/goldman-sachs-cut-its-own-hype-and-hoopla-creature-coinbase-to-sell-after-it-collapsed-87-from-high-as-crypto-trading-activity-dries-up/

    SOOOO EEEEE!!!

    https://youtu.be/20R5dn7g5GE

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      Perhaps cryptocurrency is another failed business attempt, that will ultimately contribute, in a small way, to collapse.

      I think of recycling efforts as another attempt to “make something out of nothing.” A lot of recycling became failed businesses in 2018, when China put a ban on importing mixed recycling of paper and plastic. Subsidies for this recycling was a way of allowing ships that deliver goods to the US and Europe to send the ships back full, thereby keeping shipping costs low. Later other Asian countries followed suit. No one could operate these recycling operations profitably. I see the cutback in recycling as being one of the things that has cut back world economic growth. It simply is too expensive to subsidize.

      Cryptocurrency seems to be a way of helping companies with electricity generated by fossil fuels or in other ways (geothermal in Iceland, for example) to sell this electricity, even if it is too far from markets to make sense otherwise. Now, oil and gas companies are sponsoring cryptocurrency, as a way to use natural gas that would be expensive to send to market. Can this subsidy continue? We will find out.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Recycling is another mass psychosis — the goal was to create the perception that we could create a circular economy and then we’d never run out of resources…

        It was obviously never possible and most of the stuff in the blue boxes was burned or dumped in the oceans.

        But this served a purpose — keep the MOREONS calm and happy.

        We’ve had decades of polices that were dedicated to calming the MOREONS — from EVs to renewable to energy to colonies on Mars… the PT Team has been at this for a very long time.

        • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
          Gail Tverberg says:

          I agree. Dumping all kinds of unsorted waste into “recycling” makes people feel like they are doing something virtuous, but this is not the case.

  9. Fast Eddy says:

    Daily Taunt … called https://www.nzblood.co.nz/ asked if it is possible if I were to need blood if I can request blood from someone who is not contaminated with the covid vaccine…

    Not possible.

    Ok thanks.

    See norm… Fast can be polite… this is a Polite Taunt… as opposed to the taunting of the Pharmacists… cuz the Pharmacists are injecting children with deadly garbage… they are not deserving of polite… they are deserving of a shovel to the back of the head…

  10. Fast Eddy says:

    https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/dr-faucis-paxlovid-rebound

    If he is fully jacked and he knows these shots are BS .. he obviously has a death wish… and wants to be part of the extermination…

    That makes sense .. he’d be one of the first to be skinned alive….if UEP fails

    • “If his immune system, damaged by quadruple vaccination, is unable to form a response in yet five more days, he may end up having a SECOND REBOUND. Fauci is in uncharted territory, because to my knowledge, two Paxlovid courses with a rebound in between, were never tried on anybody.

      Be aware that Paxlovir is made of two somewhat toxic components — ritonavir and nirmatrelvir — and by taking a double course, Fauci risks liver toxicity and other toxicity. Being 81 years old, two courses of Paxlovid may be too much for him.”

      whoa! wooooooo!!!!!!!

      and now he feels WORSE!!!!!!!

      this could be the big one, if he goes down for good, if you know what I mean nudge nudge wink wink.

      go Pfauci go.

      go Pfauci go go go.

      go all the way!!!!!!!

      do it for the good of humanity.

    • Rodster says:

      Yup, the Plebs always turn on the Elite. It goes along with my favorite quote. “When people lose everything and have nothing else to lose, THEY LOSE IT”.

      • CTG says:

        You actually think St. Fauci took the jab and Paxloid (or whatever)?

        If he did, then I SERIOUSLY have nothing to comment. We have hit MAX stu.pidi.ty

        • Xabier says:

          It might be a false narrative, certainly.

          ‘Despite being fully vaxxed up, St Fauci faces the terrible variants. He struggles, but multiple doses of new wonder drug Paxlovid save him after a hard fight….. So get vaxxed, and take Paxlovid when ordered to, or it’s the VENTILATOR for you!’

        • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
          Gail Tverberg says:

          Perhaps we have reached maximum stupidity. Actually, maximum focus on the profits of the pharmaceutical companies.

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      This is amazing! He feels much worse, after the rebound. We will see how this all turns out. I will have to admit I do not feel at all sorry for Fauci.

  11. Fast Eddy says:

    hahaha

    Nemeroff’s sudden death has left millions of his fans shocked as they are still clueless how he died. “It is with profound sadness that we announce the sudden passing of our beloved brother Nick Nemeroff,” the family said in the statement.

    nice monkey pox ad at the top https://www.ibtimes.sg/how-did-nick-nemeroff-die-canadian-stand-comedian-juno-awards-nominee-dies-suddenly-aged-32-65477

    It’s so SADS when a healthy 32 yr old just dies

  12. Fast Eddy says:

    “Nick Nemeroff tragically dies in his sleep this past Monday“ (2022.06.28).

    This past Monday evening, Canadian comedian Nick Nemeroff, 32, sadly passed away in his sleep. The cause of death is not yet known.

    Right now, the cause of Nick’s death is not yet known. So far, the family only shared that the comedian tragically passed on in his sleep. Further details are yet to emerge.

    May he rest in peace.

    https://live2fightanotherday.substack.com/p/nick-nemeroff-32-suddenly-died-in

    And still… the MOREONS remain in denial…

    • Kim says:

      It appears to have been shoahed.

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      This is a video which was published in February 2020 by the US Public Broadcasting Service. According to the blurb that goes with the video:

      25 years ago this July, the former British colony of Hong Kong was returned to China and granted special status for 50 years, allowing for far more freedoms than in mainland China. Activists warn those freedoms are narrowing. Revisit FRONTLINE’s look at the pro-democracy protests that started in mid-2019 in Hong Kong, the largest on Chinese territory since Tiananmen Square. (Aired 2020)

      In 2019, a controversial extradition bill that would have allowed criminal suspects to be sent for trial in mainland China sparked a massive pro-democracy movement in Hong Kong. At the start, the vast majority of protesters were peaceful, but a few tried to take on the police. “Battle for Hong Kong” traced what happened next. With remarkable access, the documentary followed five young protesters through intense and escalating clashes with Hong Kong’s police. The protesters said they’re fighting for their freedom against the communist government of China, which is due to take complete control of Hong Kong in 2047. China, meanwhile, said the protestors were “radicals,” “thugs” and “separatists.” Go inside the protests and the fight over Hong Kong’s future in “Battle for Hong Kong.”

      Protests like these are no doubt part of what contributed to the desire of some governments to enact lockdowns.

  13. CTG says:

    “Stage 6” Power Blackouts Hit South Africa Amid Labor Unrest

    South African state power utility Eskom has been hit with labor unrest contributing to widespread blackouts after ten generation units went offline.

    Reuters says Eskom is facing “Stage 6” power cuts that mean most South Africans will experience six hours without power, beginning Tuesday night, one of the worst power crises since 2019.

    “Three of the 10 generation units that had tripped during the night have been returned to service. This, however, is still insufficient to stave off the implementation of Stage 6 load-shedding,” Eskom said in a statement.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stage-6-power-blackouts-hit-south-africa-amid-labor-unrest

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      Not really a surprise!

  14. Rodster says:

    “The Great Reset is Causing a Great Recession” by Chris Martenson
    https://peakprosperity.com/the-great-reset-is-causing-a-great-recession/

    Excerpt: “Well, I won’t be at all surprised if what “emerges” from all these WEF shocks is complete chaos. Economic and financial meltdowns, asset destruction, currency gyrations unseen for generations – you name it!

    At the end of it all, however, this prediction is easy to make; the aftermath of an energy-starved economy is that living standards go down. Well, for the masses. Not so much for the wealthy elite who are the same ones now running their Great Reset experiments on us all.”

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      I am certain that the people in charge very much are hoping that they personally will come out ahead, regardless of what happens to others.

  15. Tim Groves says:

    Anthony Fauci says that he’s experienced a rebound in Covid symptoms after taking a course of Pfizer Inc.’s antiviral Paxlovid. I’m sure you’ll all join me in wishing him a full and speedy recovery.

    https://twitter.com/hashtag/FPGlobalHealth?src=hashtag_click

  16. MG says:

    The plants are here to stay

    “Scientists have uncovered mechanisms that allow plants to thrive in highly radioactive environments like Chernobyl.

    They analysed seeds from soybean and flax grown near the site of the Chernobyl nuclear reactor which exploded in 1986.

    The team says that plants may have an innate ability to cope with radioactivity.

    The study appears in the Environmental Science and Technology journal.

    One of the researchers speculates that such mechanisms could trace back millions of years, when early life forms were exposed to higher levels of natural radiation.”

    https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-11345935

    Moscow will be nuked worse than Hiroshima, but the plants will survive. It has already been tested by the Russians

    https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20190701-why-plants-survived-chernobyls-deadly-radiation

    • MG says:

      Bombing the Russian power plants and energy infrastructure during the Russian winter will make the Russians freeze to death. Unlike those who live in the warm countries. They will not have electricity, but they will make it through somehow. India is ok. They are ready to squeeze the juice out of the Russians with Russians providing discounts for Russian oil.

      • MG says:

        India: We need some juice for Sri Lanka. They pay with printed paper.
        Russia: It is ok, we need printed paper for wiping our buttocks, as the debt financing is out of our teach.

      • Tim Groves says:

        What did the Russians do in the old days before electricity?

        Back when they had fire places, I know the British used to make fires to keep warm. If they didn’t have any matches they would simply rub two Boy Scouts together.

      • JesseJames says:

        Bombing the Russian power plants and energy infrastructure during the Russian winter will make the Russians freeze to death.

        Try this..with equal truth..
        Bombing the Canadian and American power plants and energy infrastructure during the Canadian and American winter will make the Canadians and Americans freeze to death…at least a significant portion of Americans.

        I fail to detect any sense in your statement MG….

        What are you proposing MG?…Nuclear war. Do you really thing that Russia, with the most advanced anti-air/missile defenses would suffer more than the US?

        • MG says:

          There are various options for nuking Russia. Including a nuclear suicide. USA with nuking Japan after WWII just did the dirty job. Today, various countries have nuclear weapons, including beloved India.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      1. Chernobyl was a minor accident that was contained within days. Spend fuel ponds left unmanaged will spew immense amounts of toxic material for centuries

      2. Would you eat the plants that are growing around Chernobyl hahahahaha

    • yes, the weeds will survive!

      did you look at it that way?

      imagine, humans are extinct, and the weeds keep evolving for many millions of years.

      it almost sounds like Paradise.

      que sera sera.

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      Life forms are amazingly resilient, thanks to random variability in each generation of each species. It is the best-adapted to the current situation that survive. With species with short reproductive cycles, they can adapt especially quickly. Viruses quickly adapt to whatever is thrown at them. But also insects and perhaps types of grains.

  17. Gonzalo argues that NATO’s own analysis shows that USA/ NATO lacks the industrial base to maintain a war against a serious major peer like Russia or China, and they would lose.

    He also argues that USA is about to lose its hegemony to a tripolar geopolitical arrangement. Also, Russia is not interested in dealing with Europeans any more, as they cannot be trusted, and Europe faces a long, cold winter.

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      I think Gonzalo is likely correct. In its current state, USA/NATO cannot maintain a war against Russia or China. It would take too much fossil fuel.

      Europe has not realized how vulnerable it is to being cut out of fossil fuel supplies from Russia and how bad that would be for the economy.

      Perhaps a group of countries can take the lead, and keep part of the world economy running for a while longer.

  18. Fast Eddy says:

    This is what happens .. if UEP fails… actually far far worse… they don’t eat the driver

    https://www.birminghammail.co.uk/news/midlands-news/moment-armed-mob-drag-men-24333891

  19. Fast Eddy says:

    Ghislaine Maxwell sentenced to 20 years for trafficking girls for sex with wealthy people, still not one has been named!

    https://www.itv.com/news/2022-06-28/ghislaine-maxwell-sentenced-to-20-years-in-prison

  20. CTG says:

    I put on my thinking cap this morning. I am not putting in any links because it will be put into moderation.

    1. BASF is a large multinational. It is a known fact here on OFW and in may forums that multinationals generally don’t play by the rules. They make the rules.

    2. It is extremely costly to shutdown a factory. A cold restart is horrible and totally unwarranted. I used to work in a factory. It has to run 24 hours.

    3. The BASF factory in Germany is a very large one and shutting it down partially is something that is not done unless it is absolutely necessary.

    4. Multinationals will skirt any laws just to achieve maximum profits. Anyone disagree?

    To me, this whole thing is not logically unless what is being said is just a story. To me, it is like USA government telling Microsoft that they are not allowed to buy Intel processors due to some sanctions and Microsoft agrees and shutdown the Washington campus. Microsoft then takes a big hit on their revenue.

    We play connect the dots.

    1. Turkey has agreed to allow Finland and Sweden to join NATO. Pass the irradiated pop corn please

    2. 1st July is the date without ECB QE. Yes I know Central Banks cheat. Fed’s balance sheet rose even though it is suppose to shrink.

    3. It is not a problem for BASF to pay in Rubles or as one commenter Ivanslav mentioned that the German provider is paying in Rubles.

    3. As I have stated earlier, if EU does not start filling up their natural gas reserves now, they may not have enough time to last till the end of winter.

    4. What happened to NordStream1, still at 40% capacity? No updates?

    BASF may be providing the feedstock for fertilizers. By shutting down or partially shutting down due to “high input costs”, it does not make sense unless mass culling is the desired result.

    Maybe BASF sees that there is no gas. Perhaps Russian gas is gone? Perhaps deflation is coming?

    Taken separately, all these events make no logical sense. Taken together, perhaps some sense.

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      People only see things from their own particular perspective. Their views have a strong “normalcy bias.” So they cannot imaging any terrible outcome from any action on their part.

      I don’t think that governments really can provide any more low-cost inputs for fertilizer. Without low-cost inputs, fertilizer production almost has to stop, even if it means many people will die. Maybe no one has put together the idea that these people might be living right in Europe.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      It is hard to image BAU being around come winter up North.

    • Fauci tested +, took paxlovid, tested neg, and now is positive again!

      so what does the corrrrupt compromised moreon do?

      he’s taking another course of paxlovid.

      primates gonna primate.

      he’s siccckkkko.

      • Rodster says:

        I love the quote which says: “the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again, expecting different results”. But we all know the whole thing was a scam from day 1 just like Saddam Hussein has WMD’s which eventually brought about the Patriot Act and the TSA. As FE likes to call them, moreons and stoopid people not figuring out that they have been played.

  21. Fast Eddy says:

    Urgent warning to Aussie parents over deadly winter virus spreading fast due to Covid lockdowns – with cases multiplying TENFOLD in less than a month

    RSV – respiratory syncytial virus – kills 120,000 young children each year globally
    NSW cases have exploded from 355 a week just three weeks ago to 3775 a week
    Expert predicts the current outbreak will spread across southern half of country
    There is no vaccine for RSV but it has almost identical symptoms to flu and Covid

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10948431/RSV-virus-spreading-fast-New-South-Wales-cases-TENFOLD-month.html

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-06-27/flu-cases-and-covid-increase-pressure-on-nt-health-system/101176238

    VAIDS hath arrived!

    • Kim says:

      Population of Sydney increased from 4m to 6.2m in the period 2012-2022. So no need to worry about running out of people.

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      Vaccines not really helping, at all!

  22. Michael Le Merchant
    Michael Le Merchant says:

    U.S. to deploy nearly 300,000 monkeypox vaccine doses to fight outbreak

    The U.S. will deploy nearly 300,000 monekypox vaccine doses in the coming weeks in an effort to stamp out the growing outbreak of the virus.

    The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is recommending that people who have had confirmed or presumed monkeypox exposures get vaccinated against the virus. Vaccination should occur within two weeks of exposure to the virus, but the sooner the better, according to the CDC.

    The U.S. is immediately releasing 56,000 doses of the Jynneos vaccine from the strategic national stockpile, which will be followed by 240,000 doses in the coming weeks. A total of 1.6 million doses of Jynneos will be available in the fall, according to the Health and Human Services Department.

    Jynneos is a two-dose vaccine approved by the Food and Drug Administration for adults ages 18 and older who are at high risk of exposure to smallpox or monkeypox. HHS is prioritizing allocation of Jynneos doses to communities with the highest number of monkeypox cases because supply is still limited.

    Local health departments can also request shipments of the older generation smallpox vaccine ACAM2000, which the U.S. has in much greater supply. However, the vaccine can have serious side effects and is not recommended for everyone.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/28/us-to-deploy-nearly-300000-monkeypox-vaccine-doses-to-fight-outbreak.html

    • Fast Eddy says:

      I imagine they’ve inserted a bit of spike into those shots hahaha…

      At this point I’d not be taking shots of anything … particularly vaccines… keep in mind they’ve given people saline shots instead of covid — exactly how do they mix that up … and why would they have saline vials at all???

      Oops we thought we gave you Tetanus but its a Covid shot … sorry … f789 off you can’t sue us. cuz.

      Gotta be around for the End Game… we are so close… hate to mess up and get a death shot now

  23. Fast Eddy says:

    Exactly https://t.me/VigilantFox/5022

    Holland closes dozens of farms and cattle ranches to reduce nitrogen by 30%. Angry farmers take to the streets !

    via https://twitter.com/RadioGenova/status/1541725369572655104

    Hundreds of Amazon employees signed an open letter to Amazon leadership demanding they cease doing business in states where abortion is illegal and requesting time off to grieve the Supreme Court ruling

    H/T: https://twitter.com/libsoftiktok/status/1541557369179619331

    • Rodster says:

      CEP – FTW. I say let’s just cut to the chase and let the Nukes start flying. That’s the easiest way to reduce the population.

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      The world has started fragmenting into fighting groups.

      How important is it to reduce fossil fuel use?

      Does the world now need a conservative or liberal world view now? With less energy per capita, a person could argue that a more conservative world view would be helpful.

    • Rodster says:

      Arriving to a Country near you.

    • CTG says:

      You have an uncle who likes to gamble. He lost his money. He borrows from you. How many times do you plan to “lend” him money? He has no way of repaying

      a.k.a. Throw good money after bad

      • Fast Eddy says:

        The only reason to feed SL any more $$$ and oil… is to prevent a total cataclysm from happening .. and spooking the herd of MOREONS…

        Unless for some reason you want to spook the herd…

        SL being an island is a ideal place to test drive Mad Max… I doubt it contributes any important tech to the world so if it was nuked it would not have any impact on the global supply chains…

        Sucks to be them if they are abandoned

    • Ed – I am interested in energy issues.
      Ed says:

      They need to form the G4 an organization of medieval countries along with Cuba, North, Korea, and Yemen.

  24. Fast Eddy says:

    AN EXCELLENT VIDEO TO SHARE WITH FRIENDS AND FAMILY WHO ARE JUST STARTING TO WAKE UP…EVEN A LITTLE BIT…

    Australian Pharmacologist gives a brilliant, calm, balanced and authoritative summation of all the issues surrounding the Covid red flags…with a special focus on the vaccines.

    A long but very worthy watch

    https://amps.redunion.com.au/blog/episode9_phillip_altman?

      • Fast Eddy says:

        The question is correct…

        What force is powerful enough to synchronize every leader in almost every country to do the wrong thing on almost every covid action without assuming every leader is evil and/or stupid?

        The conclusion is completely wrong and makes zero sense… totally illogical…

        Only this provides a logical explanation as to why all leaders the MSM social media the military etc… is on board …

        There are only two options when you have 8B people that are fed using inputs that are finite – and running out… 1. ROF – Ripping of Faces or 2. UEP https://www.headsupster.com/forumthread?shortId=220

        Put aside all these mass formations that are trying to convince there are other options (Great Reset – Transhumanism and so on)…. those are not options. They are intended to distract you from the Only Two Options … see above.

        Once you accept that these the only two options (even if you remain deluded that’s ok – it will keep you from falling into despair and offing yourself)… play along with me…

        If you had to choose from those two options and ONLY those two options…

        Which would you choose ? (Consider that if you are making the choice then you are in the uber-elite and if you choose 1. you are definitely going to be skinned alive and blamed for the global holodomor)

        • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
          Gail Tverberg says:

          Leaders definitely need some solution that will bring population down. Otherwise, they will all be killed by the angry hoards. That seems to be the only reasoning behind the illness and the “vaccines” that makes sense.

          • Fast Eddy says:

            Yes. It took me some time to come to that conclusion …

            The obstacle is that one has to realize what collapse of BAU entails… we cannot imagine mega powerful people being abandoned by their entourage of sickofants, body guards… the most powerful military in the world does their bidding at present…

            But when BAU goes … BAU goes — all these people are gonna reconsider their commitment to the Elders and other highly placed elites…

            They of course will quickly see that the ship is sinking and BAU is no more – and they would return to their families… there is no reason to stick around and help the old geezers.

            Mithridates was the wake up call… and this was the case study

            A former Sri Lankan ruling party legislator who died in a violent clash in the western town of Nittambuwa was beaten to death by a mob and it was not a suicide as reported earlier, police said on Friday.

            The Elders could simply off themselves and abandon 8B of us to deal with ROF … but it does not seem they are going to take the easy way out.

            They instead are going to exterminate us… and safe us from the horror of ROF.

            On the surface this seems horrible… but really .. is it… we just read about how BAU was going down in 2019… they could have dropped the Big F and exited…

            But they — along with a huge team of organizers — decided to stick this out – they spent decades working out exactly how to to this with the least possible suffering.

            And what do they get for their kindness? We spit in their faces… we call them monsters…

            Imagine how they must feel – they are sacrificing to reduce the suffering –they can never admit it.

            I am reminded of this

            https://i.pinimg.com/originals/34/03/83/340383a20824728a6dd3306a33e19a98.jpg

            • Xabier says:

              Let’s see: they might also possibly believe that they have worked out a way to do this without killing everyone, while they surf the wave of Collapse, to triumph at the end.

              If it has been exhaustively modelled (and it would be) and there seems to be at least a chance that it might work – by however slim a margin – they’d go for it without a doubt.

          • Ed – I am interested in energy issues.
            Ed says:

            It is not working only a tiny kill rate.

            • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
              Gail Tverberg says:

              There may be a longer term cumulative problem, from more vaccinations and poorer immune function.

            • Student says:

              I agree with Gail, we are already seeing negative immune responses to various kind of viruses due to prolonged vaccinations with experimental mRNA injections.
              But we are also already seeing negative effects on fertility, both on males and females.
              Everything seems to be going in that direction.
              But I also agree with first part of FE post.
              I think that at a certain moment people who are supporting them will probably stop doing it.
              Let’s see.
              It is a terrible plot going on.

            • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
              Gail Tverberg says:

              I don’t think the situation is the result of a “plot.” It is the result of the way our self-organizing economy works. Each area acts in its own self-interest, without seeing how the parts fit together. Vaccines are regarded by a whole lot of people as “the way” to control viruses (and, of course, the pharmaceutical industry would like to maintain this image).

              Vaccines, especially if they are mandated by governments and paid for by governments, can be extremely profitable to pharmaceutical companies.

              Pharmaceutical companies have long had a way of holding back inexpensive competition. This is done by mandating long, expensive, double-blind studies to “prove” that the substance is suitable and will not cause side effects at the doses recommended. These studies must be published in widely read medical journals. Supplements of all kinds have run into this barrier for many years.

              Public officials around the world cannot admit that their economies are not really “keeping up.” The world economy started sliding downward in 2019. The financial system was showing great stress in late 2019. Shutdowns in 2019 served multiple purposes, including hiding the poor shape the world economy really was in.

              Ultimately, the payers of healthcare costs tend to be governments, in many countries. In the US, employers tend to pay healthcare costs through premiums that very closely match the actual healthcare experience. If vaccines looked like they might reduce healthcare costs, both governments and large employers would be behind them.

              Physician would endorse the use of vaccines and high-cost, specially made drugs to attempt to treat COVID, because they would have no role if cheap, over-the-counter drugs would be sufficient to handle most cases. Furthermore, hospitals are a big employer of physicians, so they want the physicians to do well. They also want to keep beds free for surgery patients. These patients generate a lot of revenue for both hospitals and doctors.

  25. Michael Le Merchant
    Michael Le Merchant says:

    CDC activates Emergency Operations Center for monkeypox

    The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention announced on Tuesday the activation of its Emergency Operations Center (EOC) to respond to the US monkeypox outbreak.

    The activation of the EOC “allows the agency to further increase operational support for the response to meet the outbreak’s evolving challenges,” the agency said in a news release.

    This facility is currently activated for Covid-19 and is where experts monitor information on other public health emergencies, such as hurricanes, earthquakes and oil spills.

    According to CDC’s webpage, the center works to outline a structure of response from the government and alongside non-government actors in emergency response.

    Most recent data from the CDC show at least 244 probable or confirmed cases of monkeypox in the US.
    https://www.cnn.com/2022/06/28/health/cdc-eoc-monkeypox/index.html

    • Fast Eddy says:

      head fake? impossible to know

    • Lastcall says:

      Nice moves;.

      Keep the oil flowing using strategic reserve; avoid worse price spike
      Smother the adverse reactions from the manadtes by encouraging fat angry women to cry my body my choice (thats three bodies, multi-coloured hair, and they aren’t choice at all)
      Blame Putin, blame The Trump, blame Capitol Hill event, blame free speech
      Let a school sh@@ting go on and on and then attack gun-owners
      Expand Nato via Finland despite previous agreements with Russia
      Finally, introduce the next scamdemic in time to shut down the mid-terms.

      Going to be a Right Royal Reckoning Come Autumn(RRRCA tm)!!

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      It never hurts to have some problem for citizens to worry about, besides the obvious ones.

  26. Michael Le Merchant
    Michael Le Merchant says:

    Geert’s worst nightmare has come to pass:

    FDA advisers recommend strain update to Covid-19 boosters ahead of expected fall surge

    The advisory committee signaled a preference for the strain composition to target the BA.4 and BA.5 subvariants.

    The FDA’s independent vaccine advisers voted 19-2 Tuesday to recommend the agency authorize Covid-19 booster formulations that target the Omicron variant, while acknowledging data gaps that persist on the shots’ efficacy over time.

    The advisory committee signaled a preference for the strain composition to target the BA.4 and BA.5 subvariants that currently account for more than half of all U.S. Covid infections, rather than deploying shots targeting the original Omicron variant that began circulating domestically in late 2021. Panel members also suggested they prefer a bivalent shot, or one formulated to target both Omicron and the novel coronavirus that emerged in late 2019.

    Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna announced data in recent days suggesting their Omicron-targeting boosters elicit promising antibody responses of varying degrees, depending on dose level and whether the shot targets Omicron alone or that variant plus the ancestral virus strain.
    https://www.politico.com/news/2022/06/28/fda-strain-update-covid-19-boosters-00042943

    • Fast Eddy says:

      makes sense to continue injecting people with stuff that caused the mutations in the first place…

      (if you want to exterminate them)

      at what point does GVB acknowledge that this is the intention (he surely knows this but likely is not saying much because that would diminish his message — there are lots of norms out there)

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      New product to sell and offer renewed hope and renewed revenue stream.

  27. Fast Eddy says:

    did BA.4-5 interacting with vaccines cause the death spike in portugal?

    https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/did-ba4-5-interacting-with-vaccines

    • “… a large drop in severity esp as new variants seem to lack affinity for deep lung infection.”

      too bad for the CEP “large drop in severity” oops no CEP hahahahaha.

      “… the case that this is now predominantly a disease carried and spread by the vaccinated looks strong and that means that it is they and their leaky vaccines that are driving covid evolution.”

      herd antigenic fixation.

      “covid is adapting to herd antigenic fixation by selecting for variants that spread most readily in the vaccinated. they have become the primary infected and the primary spread vector.”

      herd antigenic fixation.

      “and they seem to be getting covid again and again and failing to generate long term immunity.”

      it’s herd antigenic fixation in the Jabbed.

      the opposite of herd immunity.

      the herd of sheeple are cluueeless about how they have damaged their immune systems.

  28. Fast Eddy says:

    Bieber’s post came after he canceled his shows in Toronto and Washington, D.C. The singer demonstrated in the video that he could barely move one side of his face, calling the ailment “pretty serious.”

    Dr. Matthew Miller, director of the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Facial Nerve Center, treats people with facial paralysis caused by the condition.

    “The easiest way to think about Ramsay Hunt syndrome is shingles of the facial nerve,” Miller explained.

    So, it’s caused by the same virus that causes chicken pox.

    “Once you beat that chickenpox infection, that virus always lives within you,” Miller said.

    https://www.wdhn.com/news/unc-doctor-explains-whats-causing-justin-biebers-condition/

  29. Btw. Tim, I would not knock Nietzsche’s statement, that ‘nothing is true, everything is permitted’, too much. TGOM is the only book in which he looks the readers in the eye, and lies to their face, that the psychological evolution of Europeans has been for the best, and that they have a uniquely bright future ahead of them. He is much more candid in his other writings. LOL

    • Tim Groves says:

      Cheers, Mirrror. Thanks for the tip. As Norman will tell you, it is sometimes hard to know when I’m just pulling your leg. I’m sure Nietzsche’s philosophy was much more profound and subtle than Bertrand Russell, for one, gave him credit for.

      I grew up in an era when Nietzsche’s work and the man himself was despised and vilified in the UK at least. And I was never tempted to study him on that account alone. It’s a prejudice that many British people share due to the training most of us experienced in the course of fighting the Germans through two World Wars and the 1966 World Cup!

      Heidegger and even the composer Wagner were similarly black-balled as they were deemed to have shared in the collective guilt, while Kant, Hegel and Goethe retained their respectable status but only by virtue of being historically a little bit too early to be blamed for the horrible mess that was made in the twentieth century.

      I really should recognize this prejudice for what is, climb into a hammock under some shady trees, and read some of Nietzche’s work with fresh eyes.

  30. Fast Eddy says:

    Hey mike…. your thoughts hahahahaha

    Omicron BA.5 Prefers Hypervaccinated Masking West Germans, Avoids the Former DDR

    Behold the latest map of 7-day Corona incidence across the Federal Republic of Germany:

    https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff2016415-b237-449e-a7f6-4bf3ee38fd28_830x1070.png

    This is the Omicron BA.5 wave in central Europe, and it is attended by a curious phenomenon: Every day, you can see more clearly the borders of the old DDR in the district-level data. I’ve traced these in green just to make the phenomenon clearer.

    Yes yes, there are systematic demographic differences between East and West Germans, and there are probably some differences in testing rates, but above all, there is an important difference in vaccine uptake. In this map of triple vaccination rates across my country, the old DDR borders are also evident:

    https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4f049b11-6788-4ae5-a457-71dfe4456098_1303x1052.png

    East Germans have direct experience with government propaganda, and have proven more resistent to the vaccination campaign than Westerners. Their reward, after being much maligned by state media, is now higher levels of natural immunity and lower rates of BA.5 infection, which appears to prefer vaccinated populations.

    As the effects of vaccine failure grow clearer, you have to wonder how long the pandemicists will be able to publish even simple infection statistics, without raising extremely awkward questions.

    https://www.eugyppius.com/p/omicron-ba5-prefers-hypervaccinated

    • Student says:

      Very interesting FE. Thank you.

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      The West’s “solutions” are not really solutions.

  31. kulmthestatusquo
    kulmthestatusquo says:

    I can see billions of people dropping dead like flies.

    Little babies crying their last after having no food for 48 hours, while militaized police mows their parents to get them out of misery.

    Malthus having his last laugh, as the world’s unnecessariats are eliminated from the meal line.

    If things get scarce, mathusianism and social darwinism are bound to win. It can’t be changed.

    during the horrible march after the fall of Dien Bien Phu, NOT ONE soldier with head or torso wound survived. On the first day fellow soldiers carried those who could not move. Sympathy began to disappear from the second day, and by the seventh day those who could not move were simply abandoned at the jungle, to be eaten by critters like bugs and scrorpions. A few luckier souls made it to the prison camps where they were fed rice porridge and an occasional protein, usually chicken heads or some other stuff unlikely to be seen in Paris cafes, to be shared among 40 people. Not one of them were alive by the end of captivity which only lasted a few months.

    That’s how humans will behave under duress. All sympathies and human decency gone. Not surprisingly the prisoners from DBP tend to prefer not to talk about what happened at there.

    • “If things get scarce, mathusianism and social darwinism are bound to win. It can’t be changed.”

      Only Nature can bring matters to a head. The humanity of the past two centuries could live the same period of time, say in a time loop, over and over again a million times, and the outcomes would be entirely the same.

      A different future, a different humanity, and different outcomes rely entirely on history taking its further course, and Nature intervening. The present is ‘redeemed’ in the future.

      Bourgeois civilisation is a temporary experiment, and one that will fail, it is not a permanent situation, even if can feel like a permanent experience from the inside of it.

      The wills of present men will count for little when History and Nature assert their own Will. Everything is headed that way anyway, so they may as well get on with it. They could even be urged on with their present course.

    • Xabier says:

      Just as British prisoners in the Japanese camps had to steal food from others in order to survive; and even in the German camps you could increase your tiny chance of survival by theft – which amounted to murder in those conditions, and of course some did commit murder in order to steal.

      A little more food, even a better-fitting pair of shoes could extend your life (bad shoes caused wounds which festered).

      There are many reasons for the silence of former prisoners in such horrendous places.

      Recall, too, the Brits who quietly shot German prisoners in WW1 while walking them back as ordered from the lines, as it put them in increased danger to do so – better stay in a bunker…..

  32. Michael Le Merchant
    Michael Le Merchant says:

    Another sign of extreme tightness in the crude market comes from the Murben grade produced in UAE.

    This grade is getting bid by EU refiners, but it has also very little liquidity compared to Brent/WTI.
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FWXFeC8XwAE1Kv_?format=jpg&name=medium

  33. Michael Le Merchant
    Michael Le Merchant says:

    ‘Pandemic babies’ with no immunity are ending up in intensive care across Australia with respiratory illnesses

    A concerning number of ‘pandemic babies’ with no immunity to respiratory viruses are ending up seriously ill in ICU.

    Doctors have revealed children born during the Covid-19 pandemic are requiring intensive care ‘from encountering viruses they haven’t come across before’, such as influenza, RSV and Covid.

    The children had been born and raised when there were virtually no other viruses circulating in Australia, other than Covid-19.

    The Children’s Hospital at Westmead infectious diseases paediatrician Dr Philip Britton said an analysis of ICU admissions across shows babies are testing positive for influenza and Covid at the same time.

    ‘Over the last month or so, we have seen four times the admissions to hospital for flu in children as for Covid,’ Dr Britton told The Daily Telegraph.
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10958689/Covid-19-Australia-Pandemic-babies-no-immunity-viruses-ending-ICU.html

    • kulmthestatusquo
      kulmthestatusquo says:

      The story of the bubble boy

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E7hd_etqKdM

      Frankly, the merciful thing to do is cough , very hard, before such children who won’t be fit for life.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      hahaha… jab the mothers … they pass the poison to the babies… and VAIDS

      Of course there is always another explanation from the PR Team.. and the mothers are MOREONS so they will always blame anything but the injections

      Brilliant Stuff!

      norm?

      BTW I might have some racier photos of Doris … but given your geriatric condition and 4 or is it 5 jabs… we’ll not tempt you

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      Not enough exposure to “regular” viruses is part of the problem.

  34. https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/28/nato-reaches-deal-with-turkey-to-admit-sweden-and-finland-secretary-general-says.html

    Finland set to join NATZO!

    crank the oats and munch the pedals, r/pacious primate princesses.

    what does WW3 stand for?

    que sera sera.

    • Kowalainen says:

      Well; fsck ‘em.
      No, not the oats and cranks.
      The loonie Finns and Swedes.

    • vbaker says:

      Adding Finland will almost certainly result in a nuclear war

      • ivanislav says:

        No, Russia doesn’t care much about their accession, only whether missiles are staged in Finland. If they try to stage any serious weapons there, there will be war.

        • Russia seems to be well informed about how valuable preemptive special military operations can be.

          they decided on the high value of taking the eastern portion of Ukraine that borders Russia.

          does Finland have an eastern portion that borders Russia?

          can it be taken BEFORE Finland joins NATZO?

          we’ll see.

  35. Michael Le Merchant
    Michael Le Merchant says:

    Another day in the People’s Republik of Kalifornia

    CA law upheld requiring property owners to pay 1 month’s rent to tenants being evicted
    https://www.kcra.com/article/ca-law-upheld-requiring-property-owners-pay-1-months-rent-tenants-being-evicted/40448773?utm_campaign=snd-autopilot

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Makes perfect sense… just like trannie shows for 7 yr olds

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      Tenants being evicted often are already behind on their rent.

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      Citizens see the problem.

  36. Yoshua says:

    We are now drawing down our oil storage to maintain consumption at the level of 2018

    The US is drawing down 1mmbpd from the SPR

    • Ed – I am interested in energy issues.
      Ed says:

      US uses 20 mmbdp so five percent is not a lot.

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      Wow! Trying to hide the problem.

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      Now, on Wednesday, June 29, there are are at least some reports out, including this one.

      https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_sum_sndw_dcus_nus_w.htm

      The big drawdown in supply comes from the SPR. The EIA claims that US oil production is rising, at least a bit, up to 12.1 million barrels per day.

      More reports will be added, as they get their system fixed.

  37. Yoshua says:

    “ECB balance sheet hit another ATH amidst record-high inflation. Total assets rose by €8bn to €8,836bn shortly before the end of the bond purchase program. ECB balance sheet now equal to 82.5% of Eurozone’s GDP vs Fed’s 36.6%, BoE’s 39.6%, BoJ’s 137%.”

    The Eurozone will collapse on Friday 1st July with the end of QE

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      QE is necessary to keep the system going. QT is a disaster, waiting to happen.

  38. Michael Le Merchant
    Michael Le Merchant says:

    Russian crude (Urals) price is recovering. Up 20% from a month earlier. Asia and a bunch of Russian traders in Dubai have kept the flow strong.
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FWW69rLWAAIUknG?format=jpg&name=medium

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      Sounds good. Keeps the world economy going.

  39. Michael Le Merchant
    Michael Le Merchant says:

    Elmo is now vaccinated for Covid-19

    Elmo, everyone’s favorite red Muppet, has received the Covid-19 vaccine.

    In a public service announcement released on Tuesday by Sesame Workshop, the nonprofit educational organization behind Sesame Street, Elmo’s dad Louie – also a Muppet – shared his questions about the Covid-19 vaccine for children under 5. Elmo is 3 and a half years old.

    “Was it safe? Was it the right decision?’ I talked to our pediatrician so I could make the right choice,” Louie said in the PSA. “I learned that Elmo getting vaccinated is the best way to keep himself, our friends, neighbors and everyone else healthy and enjoying the things they love.”

    Covid-19 vaccines are now available for children under 5, and parents may have some questions, said Jeanette Betancourt, senior vice president of US social impact at Sesame Workshop.

    “We hope that Louie and Elmo will inspire parents and caregivers across the country to speak with their healthcare providers and seek out information to learn about how the COVID-19 vaccines can keep young children and their families healthy,” Betancourt said via email.
    https://www.cnn.com/2022/06/28/health/elmo-covid-vaccine-children-psa-wellness/index.html

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      How awful!

    • Xabier says:

      Unspeakably disgraceful, disgusting, and criminal.

      It should have read:

      ‘I spoke to a paediatrician, who told me it was more than his job was worth not to recommend it, and it will keep him safe from the medical board and earning the money he loves so much!’

      Anyone else feel a kind of silent scream inside when they read of things like this?

    • Rodster says:

      Wow just wow. No mention that children under the age of 5 are nearly as close to zero risk as you can get.

    • Student says:

      Deviant manipulation. Not different (even worse) than the one seen during WWII.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      He’s a muppet… one step up from a MOREON….

      Rather than be incensed by the fact that 0 risk young people are being subjected to the intensive PR campaign …. the more rationale response is why….

      Why inject the next generation with an experiment that is known to be extremely dangerous and that most definitely damages their immunity/health?

      It’s not as if they are injecting only the children of crack addicts… they are going after anyone who will agree to it … they are wiping out the future… now why would theydo that?

      And why would they inject the military?

      • Xabier says:

        Why indeed.

        Not just sweeping out the obvious trash, the ‘useless eaters’ and the soon-to-be-redundant service sector workers – this would be logical – but sticking it in everyone they can dupe, even the super-rich (as I’ve cited before, the ultra-high net worth types I know).

        The most determined, malevolent, assault on general public health one can imagine.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          I went to the opera in Italy once (might have been Milan… ) and made the mistake of taking seats with the type of people you refer to — it was very distracting sitting amongst the freak show – there was enough Botox on display to float a small boat… just being in close proximity ironed out the creases in my nut sack … and the face lifts… had to be millions of dollars spent on trying to preserve these horrifying diamond studded old hags….

          When I lived in Bangkok a mate and I would go to the Shangri La hotel on Sundays for lunch … then we’d wander over to the ballroom where there was a regular afternoon ballroom dancing thing … just to look at the freak show… the geriatric elite of Thai society would be floating across the floor like so many corpses… again pumped with botox and with skin stretched as tight as a drum… all shiny and unnatural… plenty of diamonds on display here + that horrible shiny pure gold…

          The thing is…

          Thai sounds very much like Martian .. ka naka cup koon ack ack… ack… I think there weirdos were originally from Mars… they came to Earth in a rocket ship loaded with many tonnes of gold that they’d mined back home… and they set themselves up as humans…

          After that we’d grab a box of beers and some ice … with a couple of joins.. hire a boat and head to the floating market

          • Xabier says:

            One only has to know the very,very rich not to envy them in the slightest.

            Of course, wanting to bonk them on the head and make off with their loot to have some real fun with it is quite another matter…..

            The funniest thing is they refuse to accept that poorer people (and their definition of ‘poor’ is itself amusing) aka ‘scum’, can actually be happy, have lovely girlfriends, be satisfied with their sorry little lowly lives, etc.

            Anyway, they too are clearly getting jabbed with the pure venom, so all is well in this best of all possible worlds…..

            • Fast Eddy says:

              A mate of mine is an accomplished architect… he has done some work for a couple out of Singapore who own many luxury hotel properties in Asia…. he has his stable of properties and other businesses – she has hers…

              He says all they ever talk about is $$$ — and they are very competitive on the business side of things.

              I suspect that is par for the course with these hyper wealthy people — they are totally obsessed with accumulating … that’s the only way I suppose you can as a billionaire…

              It’s like a pro athlete in a big money sport — you ain’t getting into the league unless you live for the sport… you have to put many thousands of hours into developing the skills and fitness…

              It’s also a bit like having the King Midas syndrome….

    • nikoB says:

      Muppets like and listen to their fellow muppets.

      I guess most people just don’t realise that just like the muppets there is a hand up their arse. The hand of government and big pharma.

  40. EnergyShifts.net – Energy Shifts is a series of essays about the future of humanity in relation to physical and non-physical energy trends.
    EnergyShifts.net says:

    About BRICS, Bolsanero commented (at the BRICS summit) on how it very much resembles nothing new. Just an Eastern version of Western policies.

    • Rodster says:

      Iran and Argentina just applied for membership to be a part of the BRICS economies.

      • EnergyShifts.net – Energy Shifts is a series of essays about the future of humanity in relation to physical and non-physical energy trends.
        EnergyShifts.net says:

        Yeah, and so?

        • Rodster says:

          It’s called the collapse of an Empire. Buh bye USSA, history will add you to the list of past empires.

          • EnergyShifts.net – Energy Shifts is a series of essays about the future of humanity in relation to physical and non-physical energy trends.
            EnergyShifts.net says:

            Ho ho, well , I’m not pro-empire, I’m pro no/non-empire. Moving from the Western Empire to the Eastern Empire still leveas us with Empire! LOL

  41. ivanislav says:

    I just got an email from my investment broker (one of the largest globally) that all RUB (Russian Ruble) balances will be automatically converted to USD unless I instruct otherwise in writing. Accounts that are Ruble-denominated (eg for Russians) will also be converted to either USD or EUR.

    This is crazy. It appears that the exchange rate pressure is getting so bad for western countries that they’re trying to force people out of their positions.

    • MM says:

      This looks like a test run for a global bank database update procedure.

      Simply eliminate absolutely everything needed to run a functioning society.

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      Somehow, the world financial system has to start falling apart. This may be one piece of that process.

    • “Energy developments
      Primary energy demand increased by 5.8% in 2021, exceeding 2019 levels by 1.3%.”

      awesome, cool, great, magnificent, wonderful.

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      I was waiting for this report to be published. It comes out every June. Thanks for letting me know.

      The download of the .xlxs file can be obtained at this page of the webstite:
      https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/energy-economics/statistical-review-of-world-energy/downloads.html

      • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
        Gail Tverberg says:

        Looking at the new BP report, the year of highest energy consumption per capita was 2018 at 76.3 gigajoules per capita. Second highest was 2019, at 76.1 gigajoules per capita. 2021 is coming at third highest, at 75.6 gigaojoules per capita.

        We cannot really maintain this, however. It is too big a strain on the system; the inflation rate is too high. Anything that is done to bat down the inflation rate will destroy part of the system that makes our current economy possible.

        • Xabier says:

          The system evades control: just as AH couldn’t control his world war once he’d set it in motion…….

          • problem was

            AH thought he was controlling WW2 until 10 seconds before he pulled the trigger against his own head.

            that is the problem besetting all nutcase leaders

  42. EnergyShifts.net – Energy Shifts is a series of essays about the future of humanity in relation to physical and non-physical energy trends.
    EnergyShifts.net says:

    Ho, ho, ho – after 12 years od power cuts:

    “But he said the situation should return to normal soon: “In the few hours that I spent at Eskom today, I was given the assurance that everything will be done to bring the country to normality as far as the supply of electricity if concerned sooner rather than later.”

    https://ewn.co.za/2022/06/28/wage-strike-ends-as-eskom-and-unions-reach-an-agreement-gordhan

    • Gail Tverberg – My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
      Gail Tverberg says:

      South Africa – somehow have enough electrical power. I would agree, “Ho, ho, ho – after 12 years of power cuts.”

      This is a story people tell their citizens, whether it is true or not.

      • EnergyShifts.net – Energy Shifts is a series of essays about the future of humanity in relation to physical and non-physical energy trends.
        EnergyShifts.net says:

        Coming to a city near you …

  43. https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/TG*1

    European base natural gas pricing has settled into a 130 range which is about $39 in the equivalent US pricing.

    the US pricing today is under $7.

    the energy equivalent for European gas would be about $240 for crude oil.

    good luck Europe, winter’s coming.

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