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Recent Posts
- Why raising interest rates to reduce inflation may work out very badly
- A Few Insights Based on CDC Data Regarding COVID and its Vaccines
- Is the debt bubble supporting the world economy in danger of collapsing?
- The world has a major crude oil problem; expect conflict ahead
- No one will win in the Russia-Ukraine conflict
- Russia’s attack on Ukraine represents a demand for a new world order
- Limits to Green Energy Are Becoming Much Clearer
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Academic Articles
- An analysis of China's coal supply and its impact on China's future economic growth
- An Oil Production Forecast for China Considering Economic Limits
- Analysis of resource potential for China's unconventional gas and forecast for its long-term production growth
- China's unconventional oil: A review of its resources and outlook for long-term production
- Financial Issues Affecting Energy Security
- Oil Supply Limits and the Continuing Financial Crisis
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Search Results for: steady state
The world has a major crude oil problem; expect conflict ahead
World crude oil production has been falling behind needed levels since 2019. This problem, by itself, encourages the world economy to contract in unexpected ways, including in the form of economic lockdowns and aggression between countries. This crude oil shortfall seems likely to become greater in the years ahead, pushing the world economy toward conflict and the elimination of inefficient players. Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications, oil shortages
Tagged Food prices, Iran oil supply, oil prices, peak oil
4,255 Comments
Today’s Energy Predicament – A Look at Some Charts
Today’s energy predicament is a strange situation that most modelers have never really considered. Let me explain some of the issues I see, using some charts. [1] It is probably not possible to reduce current energy consumption by 80% or … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications, Introductory Post
Tagged energy demand, low oil price, oil price, peak oil
2,368 Comments
Energy limits: Why we see rising wealth disparity and low prices
Last week, I gave a fairly wide-ranging presentation at the 2016 Biophysical Economics Conference called Complexity: The Connection Between Fossil Fuel EROI, Human Energy EROI, and Debt (pdf). In this post, I discuss the portion of the talk that explains several … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged coal prices, commodity prices, debt levels, oil prices, peak coal
1,725 Comments
Expect low oil prices in 2020; tendency toward recession
Energy Forecast for 2020 Overall, I expect that oil and other commodity prices will remain low in 2020. These low oil prices will adversely affect oil production and several other parts of the economy. As a result, a strong tendency … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged electric transmission, electric vehicles, oil production, peak oil, recycling
1,162 Comments