Tag Archives: economic collapse

Is the debt bubble supporting the world economy in danger of collapsing?

Posted on May 17, 2022 by Gail Tverberg

With an ever-lower cost of debt, the economy has had a hidden tailwind pushing it long between 1981 to 2020. Now that interest rates are again rising, the danger is that a substantial portion of this debt bubble may collapse. My concern is that the economy may be headed for an incredibly hard landing because of the inter-relationship between interest rates and energy prices (Figure 2), and the important role energy plays in powering the economy. Continue reading →

Posted in Energy policy, Financial Implications | Tagged , , | 4,216 Comments

Russia’s attack on Ukraine represents a demand for a new world order

Posted on March 2, 2022 by Gail Tverberg

Russia’s attack on Ukraine represents a demand for a new world order that, over the long term, will support higher prices for fossil fuels, especially oil. Such an economy would probably be centered on Russia and China. The rest of the world economy, to the extent that it continues to exist, will largely have to get along without fossil fuels, other than the fossil fuels that countries continue to produce for themselves. Population and living standards will fall in most of the world. Continue reading →

Posted in Energy policy, Financial Implications, News Related Post | Tagged , , , , | 5,373 Comments

It Is Easy to Overreact to the Chinese Coronavirus

Posted on January 29, 2020 by Gail Tverberg

Recently, a new coronavirus has been causing many illnesses and deaths. The virus first became active in Wuhan, China, but it has already spread to the rest of China. Scattered cases have been identified around the rest of the world … Continue reading →

Posted in Financial Implications | Tagged , , , | 1,772 Comments

Low Oil Prices: An Indication of Major Problems Ahead?

Posted on November 28, 2018 by Gail Tverberg

Many people, including most Peak Oilers, expect that oil prices will rise endlessly. They expect rising oil prices because, over time, companies find it necessary to access more difficult-to-extract oil. Accessing such oil tends to be increasingly expensive because it … Continue reading →

Posted in Financial Implications | Tagged , , , , | 1,595 Comments

Nine Reasons Why Globalization Can’t Be Permanent

Posted on January 31, 2018 by Gail Tverberg

Since the late 1990s, globalization has seemed to be the great hope for the future. Now this great hope seems to be dimming. Globalization sets up conflict in the area of jobs. Countries around the world compete for development and jobs. … Continue reading →

Posted in Financial Implications | Tagged , , , , | 2,343 Comments