Tag Archives: oil prices

The Afghanistan Fiasco (and Today’s High Level of Conflict) Reflect an Energy Problem

The way energy limits play out is not at all intuitive. Most people assume that we will run out of oil, leading to a spike in oil prices. We will then transition to renewables. As I see it, this understanding is completely wrong. Limited energy supply first leads to a need for simplification: Stepping back from Afghanistan would be one such type of simplification. It would save energy supplies and reduce the need for greater tax revenue or added debt. Continue reading

Posted in Financial Implications | Tagged Accrual accounting, oil prices, oil production, Social Security funding | 3,463 Comments

Don’t expect the world economy to resume its prior growth pattern after COVID-19

Most people seem to think that the world economy is going through a temporary disruption, caused by a novel coronavirus. As soon as COVID-19 goes away, they expect the economy will be back to normal. I think that this assessment is overly optimistic. The way I see the situation, the world economy was already having severe growth problems, caused indirectly by resource problems, even before COVID-19 hit. Continue reading

Posted in Financial Implications | Tagged China coal, economic growth, oil prices, resource shortages | 3,576 Comments

COVID-19 and the economy: Where do we go from here?

The COVID-19 story keeps developing. At first, everyone listened to epidemiologists telling us that a great deal of social distancing, and even the closing down of economies, would be helpful. After trying these things, we ended up with a huge … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Implications | Tagged collapse, low oil prices, oil prices, overshoot, peak oil, renewables | 2,824 Comments

Our Energy and Debt Predicament in 2019

Many people are concerned that we have an oil problem. Or they are concerned about recession and the need to lower interest rates. As I see the situation, we have a problem of a networked economy that is not functioning … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Implications | Tagged economic growth, interest rates, oil prices, OPEC oil, recession | 1,325 Comments

Debunking ‘Lower Oil Supply Will Raise Prices’

We often hear the statement, “When oil supply is lower, oil prices will rise because of scarcity.” Now, we are getting to see firsthand whether oil prices really do rise, as oil supplies become more scarce. Figure 1 shows that … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Implications | Tagged coal prices, energy demand, oil prices, OPEC oil, wage disparity | 1,469 Comments