Can the world achieve “herd immunity” with respect to COVID-19? Anthony Fauci has said that 80% of the population needs to be vaccinated in order to reach herd immunity. My view is that using vaccines is unlikely to achieve this result, something I discussed in my August 2020 post, We Need to Change Our COVID-19 Strategy. Now, the news arm of the prestigious journal Nature has published a similar view: Five reasons why COVID herd immunity is probably impossible.
In this post, I explain why, in my view, COVID-19 seems likely to become endemic, like the flu. The vaccines won’t be enough to make it go away completely. I will also look at the issue of how we should respond to the cases of COVID-19 that we will almost certainly experience in the future.
To a significant extent, what we can and should do in the future is an energy issue. If we plan to transition to a green energy future, or if we simply plan to reduce usage of fossil fuels in future years, we probably need to scale back our plans for vaccines. In fact, any treatment that would be given in today’s emergency rooms is likely to become less and less possible as energy supplies deplete.
We will need to focus more on what our bodies can do for us, and what we can do to assist them in this effort. We also need to think about what simple changes to our environment (such as windows that open) can do for the prevention of both COVID-19 and the many other communicable diseases that we can expect to encounter in the future. The big issue will be changing expectations.
[1] Why herd immunity is unlikely
[1.1] Viruses don’t pay any attention to the geography of humans. As long as there are active cases anywhere, they will tend to spread to other countries.
Over the past year, we have seen how ineffective cutting off travel between countries is in stopping the path of the virus. Even New Zealand, far out in the Pacific Ocean, has been battling this issue. The country has found that occasional cases slip through, even with a required two-week stay in managed isolation after arrival.
Furthermore, there are hidden costs with staying this removed from the rest of the world; New Zealand’s only oil refinery has been losing money, given its low use of oil. This refinery has laid off about a quarter of its staff and is considering the option of quitting refining in 2022. New Zealand would then need to import a full range of refined products if it wants to continue having industry. Perhaps being too cut off from the rest of the world is a problem, rather than a solution.
[1.2] The cost of vaccines is high, especially for poor countries.
We can get a rough idea of the cost involved by looking at a news article about Israel’s dispute with Pfizer regarding its vaccine purchases. We can also see what goes wrong politically.
Israel recently made news for failing to pay Pfizer for the last 2.5 million vaccine doses that it purchased from the company. Pfizer retaliated by cutting off future vaccine shipments to Israel. The article linked above doesn’t tell us exactly how much Israel paid for Pfizer’s vaccine, but a calculation based on information in the article seems to indicate that future doses from a mixture of vendors would cost about $35 per dose, on average. We also know that US Medicare is paying $40 per dose for administering each dose of the vaccine. Putting these two amounts together, we can estimate that the purchase and administration of a single dose of COVID-19 vaccine costs about $75. Thus, a two-dose series costs about $150, with the high-tech vaccines Israel is now using (Pfizer, Moderna, and AstraZeneca).
We also know that Israel was planning to administer two doses per person, every six months, based on an early review of how well immunity was holding up for the vaccines. If it is really necessary to repeat the two-dose regimen every six months, then the annual per-person cost of the vaccine would be approximately 2 times $150, or $300 per person. Benjamin Netanyahu favors buying all of these doses, quite possibly because it might make him popular with voters. Netanyahu’s opposition does not, which seems to be why payment has not been forthcoming.
A cost of $300 per person would amount to 0.7% of Israel’s 2019 GDP, which is theoretically feasible. But for poorer countries, the relative cost would be much higher. For South Africa, it would amount to 5% of 2019 GDP. For Yemen, it would come to 40% of 2019 GDP. (These are my calculations, using World Bank GDP in current US$.) For countries with severe financial problems, any payment for vaccines would almost certainly be a problem.
There are less expensive vaccines being made, but their percentages of efficacy in fighting the virus that causes COVID-19 seem to be lower. Thus, it would be even more difficult to greatly reduce the number of cases down to the point where the disease would simply disappear for lack of an adequate number of victims to infect, using these vaccines.
[1.3] The fact that the disease can infect animals further adds to the problem of getting rid of the disease completely.
The disease supposedly jumped from an animal to humans to begin with. We know that the virus that causes COVID-19 can infect animals of many types, including ferrets and cats. While the disease jumping from animals to humans is supposedly unusual, we know that the disease spreads easily among humans with inadequate immunity. Having a reservoir of disease among animals raises the likelihood of this happening again. Having a reservoir of vulnerable people (not immune and in poor health) also increases such a risk.
[1.4] Microbes of all types mutate frequently. We are fighting a losing battle to stay even with them. This is especially a problem for narrowly targeted vaccines.
We know that whenever we try to reduce the population of microbes, scientists can find solutions that work for a while, but eventually we start losing the battle. Scientists can develop antibiotics against bacteria, but eventually some bacteria will evolve in a way that allows them to resist the effects of the antibiotic. In fact, antibiotic resistance is becoming a greater and greater problem. Similarly, scientists can develop weed killers, but weeds soon develop resistance to whatever we develop. The situation seems to be similar with vaccines, unfortunately.
In this case, scientists have developed vaccines that target the RNA of the spike protein of the virus that causes COVID-19. In some sense, this approach is very precise, leading to a high proportion of COVID-19 cases being stopped. The drawback is that it is very easy for small mutations in the spike protein to make the vaccine not work well. We end up needing to obtain booster shots of slightly revised versions of the vaccine quite often, perhaps every six months. If booster shots are not given, the vaccine is likely to become less effective against the new mutations that arise.
One danger is that manufacturers cannot keep up with all of changes needed to match the new mutations. Another is that the cost of trying to keep up with this whole process will become prohibitive. The medical care system may be forced to give the vaccine process up, leaving citizens worse off than they might have been if we hadn’t “flattened the curve” and kept the virus around for an extended period of time, allowing all of these mutations.
[1.5] There are very real reasons for people’s reluctance to accept the vaccine, when it is offered to them. Because of this, it is difficult to get very close to 100% acceptance (or even 80% acceptance) of the vaccines.
There seem to be any number of reasons why people are reluctant to get the new vaccine. Some are afraid of the pain involved with the shot. Others are afraid that they will be somewhat ill afterward, causing them to miss work. If employees are paid on an hourly basis and they barely have enough income as it is, this, by itself, could be a reason for avoiding the shot. Financial incentives might help with these issues.
Others who are reluctant have followed the situation more closely. They realize that important steps in the normal vaccine approval process have been skipped, making it difficult to identify adverse effects that occur fairly infrequently. Even worse, it becomes impossible to discover problems that take many months or years to become evident. Over 100 doctors and scientists from 25 countries have signed a letter saying that offering vaccines that are as radically different from what has been used in the past, without more testing, is unethical.
One concern is the likelihood of blood clots in the immediate period after the vaccine is received. Blood clots have also been observed with the AstraZeneca and Johnson & Johnson vaccines, and may be a concern with other vaccines, as well. There seem to be several related conditions, including sudden blindness, heart attacks, and sudden deaths of elderly people in nursing homes. These issues seem to be fairly rare, but people worry about them without adequate data on their frequency. If the issue is blood clots, it would seem as if simple adjustments such as taking low-dose aspirin for the time period of risk might be a partial solution.
We know that in some cases, vaccines can inadvertently make later exposure to somewhat different versions of the virus worse, rather than stopping these infections. The virus that causes the illness SARS is very similar to the virus that causes COVID-19. When an attempt was made at a vaccine for SARS in 2012, a study on mice showed that exposure at a later date to a slightly different virus led to blood clots forming in the lungs. We already know that blood clots can be an issue for COVID-19 vaccines. Will COVID-19 vaccine recipients who are later exposed to mutations have an adverse reaction such as blood clots in the lungs? We don’t know. There have been no animal studies with respect to the vaccines for COVID-19.
Another risk of COVID-19 vaccinations would seem to be auto-immune problems, especially in people who are already predisposed to such issues. Not much research has been done yet to clarify this issue.
A related issue is allergic reactions to vaccines, including anaphylaxis. The possibility of allergic reactions is one reason vaccine recipients are asked to stay for 15 minutes after receiving their immunizations. Even with precautions, some deaths are occurring because severe allergic reactions can take up to 150 minutes to become apparent. It is impractical to keep vaccine recipients this long.
The very long-term effects of both the COVID-19 illness and vaccines to prevent the COVID-19 illness are unknown. The Alzheimer’s Association recommends studies to see whether people who contract COVID-19 have a long-term increase in dementia-type illnesses. In theory, the vaccines could also lead to similar issues because of prion-like structures that are formed, both with the vaccine and the disease. Without long-term studies, we don’t know whether either of these concerns is valid. If dementia is an issue, will repeated vaccinations raise the long-term risk of dementia? We don’t know. If the disease itself and vaccines can both lead to dementia, is there an optimal strategy?
Without a better understanding of what the risks are, it is hard to convince young people, especially, to take the vaccine. Their chances of a severe outcome from the disease are low to begin with. What is the point of taking a vaccine that may raise their risk of serious injury or death? The vaccine may be appropriate for people aged 80 and over, but is the risk really necessary for young people? Without better data, it is hard to know for certain.
[2] Why a change away from dependence on vaccines is needed
The Nature article referred to earlier says in its concluding paragraph, “It’s time for realistic expectations. . . we need to think of how we can live with the virus.”
Also, as I mentioned in the introduction, we are reaching energy limits. Even if in theory we could vaccinate everyone on the planet twice a year for COVID-19, we do not have the resources to do this. In some ways, the problem looks like a cost problem (poor countries especially cannot afford to buy high-priced vaccines), but it is just as much a resource problem. We cannot devote enough resources to this project without taking them away from other necessary projects. The vaccines are very much a product of today’s fossil fuel economy. We can’t expect to make vaccines with intermittent electricity.
Because of limited resources, we may encounter something similar to the “empty shelf” problem in the grocery stores. We may find that only limited doses of vaccine are available because too many doses were accidentally ruined in production. Or, not enough of the right reagents were available. Or, more doses are needed in the country where the vaccine is manufactured, leaving less for use elsewhere. Or, there is a war in a country integral to vaccine supply lines, interfering with production.
In fact, obtaining promised supplies of vaccines is already a problem. Trying to scale up production at the same time that resources in general are squeezed is likely to make this type of problem increase.
[3] Learning to live with COVID-19 and diminishing resources per capita
If we can’t really fix the COVID-19 problem with endless vaccines for everyone, we need to look at other options.
[3.1] Strengthening our own immune systems
Our bodies come with built-in immune systems. It is the action of the immune system that tends to lead to a low incidence of and low severity of COVID-19 in some people, compared to others. Some of the things that seem to be helpful include the following:
- Being young
- Getting plenty of sleep at night
- Not being overweight. Proper exercise and diet are helpful in this regard.
- Maintaining a healthy microbiome. Our bodies need good microbes to help fight the “bad” microbes. Antibiotics, excessive antibacterial cleaners and a lack of exposure to “good” bacteria could be problems. Staying away from everyone and wearing masks, indefinitely, is not necessarily helpful.
- Getting adequate vitamin D through sun exposure, eating of foods that are high in vitamin D and/or supplementation. Dark skinned people living away from the equator are especially at risk for inadequate vitamin D.
- Getting adequate vitamin C from fruits and vegetables and perhaps supplementation.
Researchers need to be actively looking into optimal strategies to advise citizens. Schools might start teaching about these issues in health classes.
[3.2] Changing our customs and infrastructure to try to reduce the problem of communicable diseases in general, not just for COVID-19.
Customs for greetings among people vary greatly around the world. Some people use hugs and handshakes, others greet with bows. We may need to adopt more distant physical greetings, simply to help reduce the transmission of disease. Of course, hugging at home is still fine.
In the last 100 years, the emphasis increasingly has been on building tighter, more energy-efficient buildings. This is good from a point of saving energy, but it doesn’t work in a world with many communicable diseases. We need to move toward much more ventilation, often based on open windows. Because of energy constraints, we likely cannot expect to keep heating and cooling our buildings as much in the future. We will need to dress more for outdoor temperatures, indoors.
Some leaders have suggested rapid electric rail is the way of the future, but rail transport also needs to be well ventilated. It is also likely that we will be dealing with more intermittency of electricity supply in the future. We need to plan as if we are dealing with an electricity constrained future, as much as an oil and vaccine constrained future.
[3.3] Finding low energy ways to deal with the likely COVID-19 cases that do occur.
The approach in the “rich world” to date in looking for ways to deal with COVID-19 has been to look for new, high technology drugs and vaccines that might have a two-fold benefit (a) help sick people and (b) help the pharmaceutical industry. What we really need are technologies that are low cost and can be used at home. Repurposed old drugs, such as steroids, are ideal, especially if they can be made locally without dependence on international supply lines.
If COVID-19 doesn’t really disappear, we can expect recurring instances of having inadequate medical facilities to treat all of the patients in a given area. Countries need to plan strategies for dealing with this likely long-term problem. Should there be an upper age limit on patients using these facilities, for example, especially when demand is high? Or can the richest citizens have the ability to buy services, when others cannot? Should there be a lottery for beds? Ordering everyone to remain at home is sort of a temporary solution, but it is very damaging to the economy as a whole.
[3.4] Finding leadership that can think in a direction other than “more technology will save us.” Unfortunately, this is pretty much impossible.
Back in 1979, Jimmy Carter tried to change the direction of the US economy when he gave his famous Sweater Speech. In this speech, he told people that they needed to adjust their thermostats and drive their vehicles less because there was an energy crisis. We all know that Jimmy Carter was not reelected after this speech. Instead, Ronald Reagan was elected. He cut taxes and raised debt levels, temporarily delaying our need to deal with our energy problem.
When Anthony Fauci took on the COVID-19 issue, he led us in the direction of spending more money on vaccines and pharmaceuticals. His own financial interests and his work interests were in the direction of helping the vaccine and pharmaceutical interests. He certainly didn’t stop to think, “This is not a battle that we can win. There are too many instances of transmission of the virus by people who have no symptoms. Our track record at wiping out diseases with vaccines has been pretty dismal in the past. Stopping COVID-19 in one part of the world won’t stop the long-term problem.”
I expect that President Biden will continue on his current path until the economy “runs off the cliff.” I wrote in my recent post, Headed for a Collapsing Debt Bubble, that the economy was reaching a point where a major discontinuity would occur. Interest rates are about as low as they can go, and debt levels are reaching an upper bound.
Ronald Reagan’s administration started to decrease interest rates shortly after he took office in 1981. This drop in interest rates has hidden rapidly rising debt and energy problems for many years. We are now running out of room on both energy and debt. When the world’s debt bubble collapses, our ability to fight COVID-19 with vaccines will likely go downhill quickly. We will then need to find new strategies. Unfortunately, considering new strategies in advance is almost impossible.
[4] Conclusion
While it is possible to see what change in direction seems to be needed with respect to COVID-19 and infectious diseases in general, it is not something that those in leadership positions will be able to implement. Instead, we will likely “go off the cliff” at full speed. Changing expectations in advance is almost impossible.
At most, a few interested people can try to explain to their fellow citizens what is happening. Perhaps, in our own little spheres of influence, we can make some small changes in the right direction, starting with strengthening our own immune systems.
I am enjoying the new narrative: the pure must avoid the unclean, the vaxxed. The vaxxed are shedding mRNA and can pollute/sicken the healthy pure humans.
Somebody’s gonna make a phone-app mapper that connects to a database of vaccinated people and gives the user an immediate view of their surroundings; maybe a user could even calibrate it for automatic alerts given their proximity risk-tolerance.
In other news, maybe I’ll put this one on my van and go trolling for a broken windshield?
YOUR VACCINATION SUPPOSEDLY PROTECTS YOU BUT IT DOESN’T. WORSE YET, IT MAKES YOU INTO A POTENTIAL SILENT-SHEDDER OF VIRUS AND AN INCUBATOR FOR MUTATIONS. SO, NOW YOU ARE A DANGER TO ME. HAVE A NICE LIFE AND STFU IN THE MEANTIME.
We need better information on whether those with vaccine are a danger to the unvaccinated.
Yes and I see they’re working on it. There’s 11 papers on a search for “L452R” mutant spike protein. Some concern:
“Recombinant genomes were also found to contain substitutions of concern for elevated transmissibility and lower vaccine efficacy, including D614G, N501Y, E484K, and L452R. Adjusting for an unequal probability of detecting recombinants derived from different parent clades, …”
”
While the functional impact of L452R has not yet been extensively evaluated, leucine-452 is positioned in the receptor-binding motif of RBD, in the interface of direct contact with the ACE2 receptor. Its replacement with arginine is predicted to result in both a much stronger binding to the receptor and escape from neutralizing antibodies. If true, this in turn might lead to significantly increased infectivity of the L452R variants, warranting their close surveillance and in-depth functional studies.”
“Neutralising antibody escape of SARS-CoV-2 spike protein: Risk assessment for antibody-based Covid-19 therapeutics and vaccines.”
PMID: 33724631
“The Spike protein has different hotspots of mutation and deletion, the most dangerous for immune escape being the ones within the receptor binding domain (RBD), such as K417N/T, N439K, L452R, Y453F, S477N, E484K, and N501Y. Convergent evolution has led to different combina …”
Pure of heart and blood, clear of sight and thought: that’s us – the Un-vaxxed!
When anyone says they have been vaxxed, I say a prayer, and regard them as as good as dead, and murdered.
I’ve responded to a few people who have taken the vaccine with ‘ah so you’ve had the lethal injection’… they think I am joking
NURSE WARNS – STAY AWAY FROM VAXXED PEOPLE
https://seemorerocks.is/nurse-warns-stay-away-from-vaxxed-people/
VIDEO – Houston Methodist Hospital nurses say they’ll be fired because they aren’t ready to get COVID vaccine
https://twitter.com/conspiracyguy78/status/1385549964701544448
We are all responsible towards society and have a role in preserving its health and safety, the vaccine is our best means to recover and return to a normal life.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EzcEynXVoAAFWWL?format=jpg&name=900×900
DarkHorse Podcast with Geert Vanden Bossche & Bret Weinstein
This is a very good talk. Bret Weinstein is the perfect interviewer For Geert Vanden Bossche. He asks a lot of pertinent questions and guides his guest into clarifying some things that most of us laymen, laywomen and lay children have had trouble wrapping our heads around.
What’s Going on with Women’s Cycles?
Miscarriages, hemorrhaging, missed periods – something is happening lately with women’s cycles from those that aren’t vaccinated as well.
Dr. Larry Palevsky and MAMM’s founder, Maureen McDonnell RN, discuss possible theories as this situation evolves in real time.
These are the opinions and conclusions based on experience and understanding of those stating them and are not meant to be taken as medical advice.
Watch with discernment. Do your own research.
https://mamm.org/womens-cycles-covid-vaccine/?fbclid=IwAR0g7clEigT3KvhhvkjY9-XaaUB6fmn1nyKEkBRJEpbWk4d9g5C6UzTSOrA
Nurse Warns – Stay Away from Vaxxed People
https://www.bitchute.com/video/uNpRqMROrZQB/
It is good practice to avoid MORE ONS.
Stupid Lemmings…Good Riddance
Scenes from the ‘Hunger Games’ of trying to get a vaccine in a COVID-19 hot spot
https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2021/04/22/scenes-from-the-hunger-games-of-trying-to-get-a-vaccine-in-a-covid-19-hot-spot.html
Vaccinodromes are empty in most places, so why would lemmings line up there to get their jab ? Doesn’t make any sense. It’s all made-up.
It’s a tried and PR tactic to rent a crowd for product launches…. to create buzz.
Doctor threatens pregnant women that he won’t be able to deliver her baby in a hospital unless she gets the coronavirus vaccine. Medicine has become a disgrace.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EzTnM4_UYAEW-1n?format=jpg&name=900×900
When a student, I mixed a lot with medics: what I observed then is that they tend to be conformist.
A medic friend wrote a brilliant but clear unorthodox thesis on principles and philosophy of treatment, and none of his peers could grasp it.
He asked me to read it, and I got his argument in one.
Their conformism had blinded them.
‘Medical training’ says it all. Add to that financial pressures…..
Hear ya there. I was reading Hal Huggins and George Meinig in the 90’s and explained to my dentist why I wanted my amalgams replaced with gold or composite. He looked straight to the floor and read me verbatim the ADA’s position. He had breathed too many mercury vapors I suspect, which may have explained his rather quirky manner. He collected Betty Boop memorabilia and talked endlessly about it. Finally got a country-doc to do the work. He was crazy too. Had his 12-year old daughter put the nozzle of a small shop-vac up to my mouth while he drilled them out. Adventures in medicine.
George Meinig was an endodontist (root-canal guy) for 50 years. Was the president of their society for some of those. Hal Huggins brought him the 1920’s work of Westin Price’s team of ace researchers on non-local infections and pathogens residing in a dead-tooth and after a thorough review he stopped doing root-canals and wrote “Root Canal Cover-Up”. I’d be willing to bet there’s very few MD’s out there who include that possibility in a differential diagnosis. A lot of people experience the miracle of cured symptoms after root-canal extractions. Back in Price’s day, few doctors accepted the idea of non-local infections, any more than they did bacterial pleomorphism. It’s like pulling teeth with those guys, even the “functional docs” at times. Professional myopia.
Again … we can see the power of money over people.
1/ A reader points to a VERY worrisome finding in the
@cdcgov
Chicago nursing home report: patients L19, a 49-year-old staffer, and M20, a 77-year-old resident – both had very low PCR threshold counts (the nurse’s was under 17) and NO symptoms. Why does this matter?
2: Lower PCR counts mean a person has a heavier viral load – and is thus both more likely to be very sick and more infectious. (That’s why people with PCRs over 30 or certainly 35 don’t need to be quarantined). These two should have been extremely symptomatic.
3: Instead, the vaccine seems to have protected them from feeling sick – but not from being thoroughly infected and potentially spreading the virus. THIS IS EVIDENCE FOR A POSSIBLE MAREK’S DISEASE OUTCOME, where vaccinated people spread the virus aggressively to the unvaccinated.
https://twitter.com/AlexBerenson/status/1385311392484532226
This would be a real problem: “. . . the vaccine seems to have protected them from feeling sick – but not from being thoroughly infected and potentially spreading the virus.”
I open the door and step onto the porch under a star-laden sky…. a bright moon clears the rough mountain peak…. a faint voice drifts across from the vines… ‘I’m coming… I’m coming’ …. a hulking black-cloaked man peers at me from the fence line… a shiver runs through my body… I reach for another ice cold Pan Head… and shout into the darkness… ‘F789 You.. Bring It. We Will Not Resist’
He is close now… so god damn close…
Just in case anyone missed this … who wants to watch Al Gore lie through his teeth as he makes a fortune off of his fake G W nonsense
Al Gore = Con Artist
https://www.bitchute.com/hashtag/planet-of-the-humans/
As you are widely known for misrepresenting evidence it would be a waste of our time to watch a documentary you claim shows Al Gore to be lying. You might better say that Al Gore makes claims that you disagree with and outline those for us.
Ha ha ha… that is EXACTLY the same response I get from CovIDIOTS when I give them this and ask them to find Sweden https://www.statista.com/statistics/1104709/coronavirus-deaths-worldwide-per-million-inhabitants/
Bury your head in this
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d5/Waves_sand_shadows.JPG/1200px-Waves_sand_shadows.JPG
For the life of me… why do people attempt to challenge the God of Logic????
Fast Eddy makes Spock look like a f789ing amateur.
Ha, that’s what it is, I’m getting a Fast Eddy Mind Meld visiting over here every day. You got time to bottle it? You know what would be great is if you had some software that could throw all your posts up on a Google Drive file. Interpol would probably put you on a most wanted list for causing suicides, but then again, they’d probably have to fight the Elders for jurisdiction, given that you’re promoting the jab. Or, maybe they’d just chip-in on a private jet so you can spread the word in person. If you line that up, I’ll commission Banksy to paint it.
Actually, Al Gore has lost money on his various ‘green investments’. He made his fortune on more his regular investments such as stock trading in APPLE and the founding and selling of a TV network.
Oh? https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/decision2012/al-gore-has-thrived-as-green-tech-investor/2012/10/10/1dfaa5b0-0b11-11e2-bd1a-b868e65d57eb_story.html
Fast Eddy uses exaggerated and inflammatory language, granted, and this is not always part of his charm. But he almost always thoroughly sources his claims. As, I note, you have not done; and, as Pythagoras said, you can’t beat a horse with no horse.
All right, it was Heywood Broun (1888-1939) in 1934.
Nowhere in that article is ae a definitive statement about profitting from green intiatives, The headline and some statements say that he received loans and grants but as the following source shows he did not personally profit from them.
According to this source https://financialpost.com/news/how-al-gore-amassed-a-200-million-fortune-after-presidential-defeat
“Gore also had his share of flubs, most of them in his efforts at green-tech investing. An investment firm he helped to start took stakes in two carbon-trading firms that fizzled and also racked up tens of millions in losses in a solar-module maker.”
I’m guessing an itellual light weight like FE just reads the headline and lacks the reading comprehension to do duediligence to an argument.
I think I am riding a horse while you are just ……… ass
Grade school insults are a good way to close a conversation. Consider it closed.
Reading FE’s headline and using grade 5 reading comprehension for the rest of the article might see me wrong but in actual fact according to my sources the loans and grants Al Gore received did not make him rich, they only ended up in failed enterprises
https://financialpost.com/news/how-al-gore-amassed-a-200-million-fortune-after-presidential-defeat
“Gore also had his share of flubs, most of them in his efforts at green-tech investing. An investment firm he helped to start took stakes in two carbon-trading firms that fizzled and also racked up tens of millions in losses in a solar-module maker.”
No doubt everything he has touched has not turned to gold but…
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/decision2012/al-gore-has-thrived-as-green-tech-investor/2012/10/10/1dfaa5b0-0b11-11e2-bd1a-b868e65d57eb_story.html
And then there is that sea level mega mansion…. now why would you buy that when you know sea levels are going to rise dramatically…..
Repeat after me…. L-O-G-I-C.
Then the other green warrior Leo D is pouring millions into this
https://www.travelweekly.com/Travel-News/Hotel-News/Leonardo-DiCaprio-developing-eco-resort-on-private-island
https://www.travelweekly.com/uploadedImages/All_TW_Art/2015/041315/T0413DICAPRIORESORT3_C.JPG
I find the arguments whether X had more or less precious electronic zeros and ones to be largely irrelevant.
Will Gore ever not have a nice house a nice car and eat nice food?
Will Fauci?
Money is only one aspect of power.
I think you’ve missed the point… it’s ok though … I am here to help (did you know that during Uni… Fast worked in a school for severely f789ed up kids… I’m talking so severe that many of them would ‘drop out’ each year… as in die… Fast has experience with helping… this experience helped form Fast’s views on youth-in-asia… )
If you believed the oceans were going to rise ‘soon’ you’d build this:
https://cdn.trendir.com/wp-content/uploads/old/house-design/assets_c/2014/10/la-homes-view-mcclean-design-2-bluejayway-thumb-970xauto-46619.jpg
no?
And you’d probably not fly around in private jets… since you are a role model and you are trying to convince people to take cold showers and wear a sweater in the house over winter….
Yes, I’m increasingly impressed by that too, having only been here for a short while. Hey FE, if you haven’t purchased it yet, here’s the free pdf –
http://s-f-walker.org.uk/pubsebooks/pdfs/Julian_Jaynes_The_Origin_of_Consciousness.pdf
Stopped reading at “the consciousness of matter”
Attributing mystery onto substance…
It is not the substance that is of importance. It is that of processing. The physical medium is at best superficial.
Thoughts have no material substance attributed to them. The thoughts appear out of the processing and not some magical property of matter and protoplasm.
It is the same fallacy as to attribute the magic of computation as embedded in the semiconductor material.
The patterns created by lithography and associated manufacturing process, and how those patterns are excited by state transition (program) is that which matters.
Those cognitive processes that monitor other processes is the self. Stroking the whims and delusions of the self is ego.
As for creating hot coding sequences that can monitor themselves – easier said than done, and quite possibly as easily forgotten. All that which remains is coding sequences of unknown origins, such as the DNA. Forever lost in the sands of time.
Thanks … was unable to find a copy other than out of the US … too pricey to ship
Not sure why this came up, but it is worth reading or anyone with an interest in the human mind. I bought and read Jaynes’s masterpiece almost forty years ago, and found it fascinating but hard to follow. I re-read it around 2008 and it made a lot more sense. He takes us back to Homer, whose human characters don’t so much chat or voice their own opinions as verbalize the thoughts of the gods.
Anyway, a good read, although not a lot of laughs in it, and it doesn’t provide any tips for picking up girls. He has done for psychology what Velikovsky did for ancient history: Forced us to look with new eyes. I would guess that Robert must have read it as it is a classic work of non-orthodox thinking.
Thank you for this support Robert.
Here’s the thing… as a God of Logic … I am sure you will appreciate that it is frustrating to try to walk amongst cattle. You feed them tasty treats … and do they give thanks? No. They shout back in anger…they bang koombaya drums, the spout utter nonsense….
The cattle should be grateful for the tasty treats.
Sometimes you just feel like smacking the cattle on the arse with cane.
Al Gore is a G Www shyster. Any supposed losses he had in the Carbon Credit business were offset by all the tax loopholes and expenses paid to ….Al Gore.
Davos 2019: Record number of private jets set to fly into conference addressing climate change
https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/davos-2019-private-jets-climate-change-world-economic-forum-summit-attenborough-a8742681.html
This is taking the piss… but the green groupies are piss-proof
The documentary is excellent. Helped my wife finally understand my perspective. Since it has Moore’s backing more are willing to watch.
And that’s why it was pulled off of YT… the Elders have put way too much money and effort into creating this renewable energy/EV/GW matrix…. and this documentary could expose the entire thing as the scam it is.
Showed this to a green groopie friend — his response was ‘confronting’….
I can see why most GGs will not watch — their pea brains might explode
To all the fools who were telling me I need to get the jab because we’re opening up!!!
This is I think the THIRD time they’ve snatched defeat from the jaws of victory hahaha
https://www.forbes.com/sites/siladityaray/2021/04/22/hong-kong-singapore-travel-bubble-delayed-again-after-singapore-reports-outbreak-among-migrant-workers/?sh=2ef327ad3f16
This is nothing less than FANTASTIC.
And guess what – if you were to show this to a CovIDIOT — they’d refuse to read it — or read it and tell you to f789 off and die.
The Covidian Cult (Part II)
Back in October of 2020, I wrote an essay called The Covidian Cult, in which I described the so-called “New Normal” as a global totalitarian ideological movement. Developments over the last six months have borne out the accuracy of that analogy.
A full year after the initial roll-out of the utterly horrifying and completely fictional photos of people dropping dead in the streets, the projected 3.4% death rate, and all the rest of the official propaganda, despite the absence of any actual scientific evidence of an apocalyptic plague (and the abundance of evidence to the contrary), millions of people continue to behave like members of an enormous death cult, walking around in public with medical-looking masks, robotically repeating vacuous platitudes, torturing children, the elderly, the disabled, demanding that everyone submit to being injected with dangerous experimental “vaccines,” and just generally acting delusional and psychotic.
How did we ever get to this point … to the point where, as I put it in The Covidian Cult, “instead of the cult existing as an island within the dominant culture, the cult has become the dominant culture, and those of us who have not joined the cult have become the isolated islands within it?”
To understand this, one needs to understand how cults control the minds of their members, because totalitarian ideological movements operate more or less the same way, just on a much larger, societal scale. There is a wealth of research and knowledge on this subject (I mentioned Robert J. Lifton in my earlier essay), but, to keep things simple, I’ll just use Margaret Singer’s “Six Conditions of Mind Control” from her 1995 book, Cults in Our Midst, as a lens to view the Covidian Cult through.
Six Conditions of Mind Control
1. Keep the person unaware of what is going on and how she or he is being changed a step at a time. Potential new members are led, step by step, through a behavioral-change program without being aware of the final agenda or full content of the group.
Looking back, it is easy to see how people were conditioned, step by step, to accept the “New Normal” ideology. They were bombarded with terrifying propaganda, locked down, stripped of their civil rights, forced to wear medical-looking masks in public, to act out absurd “social-distancing” rituals, submit to constant “testing,” and all the rest of it.
Anyone not complying with this behavioral-change program or challenging the veracity and rationality of the new ideology was demonized as a “conspiracy theorist,” a “Covid denier,” an “anti-vaxxer,” in essence, an enemy of the cult, like a “suppresive person” in the Church of Scientology.
2. Control the person’s social and/or physical environment; especially control the person’s time.
For over a year now, the “New Normal” authorities have controlled the social/physical environment, and how New Normals spend their time, with lockdowns, social-distancing rituals, closure of “non-essential” businesses, omnipresent propaganda, isolation of the elderly, travel restrictions, mandatory mask-rules, protest bans, and now the segregation of the “Unvaccinated.”
More https://off-guardian.org/2021/04/22/the-covidian-cult-part-ii/
ATTENTION Goobal Worrrmer Cult Members…. now go back and replace Covid with Gooobal Worrrrming and … think about this …
I think that the virus was actually quite a bit more virulent in Wuhan, China. It has mutated to be more transmissible and less virulent, which has confused people.
I’m thinking … not. I’m thinking those photos are psyops.
I’m also thinking — why did only Wuhan experience this… when millions of people living in that city left for the CNYr holiday right when the virus was peaking in the city.
Open to explanations….
Was it is Peaking then ;).
There are also lots of stories saying that the virus is mutating into something that is more virulent as well as more infectious. So, does this mean it mutates to be less deadly or more deadly depending on when and where it is mutating?
In March last year, the following very reasonable explanation for the variable death rate was given, which takes no account of mutations:
When it comes to the spiraling global coronavirus outbreak, scientists are still trying to pin down the answer to a basic question: How deadly is this virus?
Estimates have varied widely. For instance, at a Feb. 24 news conference in Beijing, a top Chinese health official, Liang Wannian, said the fatality rate for COVID-19 was quite high.
“Between 3 to 4% of patients have died,” said Liang.
Then he added a twist. Outside of Wuhan — the city at the epicenter of the outbreak — the death rate in China has been much lower: about 0.7%. That’s fewer than 1 fatality per 100 cases.
Similarly, a study released by China’s Center for Disease Control last month found that if you factor out all the data from Hubei province, where Wuhan is located, the fatality rate in the rest of China drops to 0.4%.
Why such a big difference between Hubei and the rest of China?
At a news conference the next day, Dr. Bruce Aylward — who had just concluded a fact-finding mission to China for the World Health Organization — pointed to three likely factors.
First, said Aylward, is that Wuhan suffered from being the first place where the new coronavirus surfaced. “Wuhan started fast and, and early. People didn’t know what we were dealing with. We were learning how to treat this.”
The more patients medical staff saw, the more they could start identifying what kind of supportive care made a difference. So by the time patients started showing up in hospitals in other provinces, doctors and nurses there had a lot more information about what it takes to keep patients alive.Hospitals in the rest of world will likely also benefit from that knowledge.
The second reason for the higher death rate in Hubei “was just the sheer scale of the numbers,” said Aylward.
Hospitals in Wuhan were flooded with thousands of sick people. That stressed their capacity to provide the kind of round-the-clock intensive care needed for a patient with a critical case of COVID-19.
Elsewhere in China the caseload was much lower.
The implication for other countries: It’s worth trying to at least slow the pace of an outbreak with measures to keep the number of patients from overwhelming local hospitals.
The final factor, says Aylward, “At the beginning of this outbreak remember, people were finding severe disease. And that’s why the alarm bells went off.”
Those early severe cases made COVID-19 look like a much bigger killer. It was only after officials in China stepped up surveillance that they started uncovering many more mild cases (people with symptoms such as fever and dry cough but limited or no pneumonia).
All of this may also help explain why over time the death rate for COVID-19 has steadily dropped.
According to the China CDC study, among patients whose symptoms started between Jan. 1 and Jan. 10 the death rate was 15.6%. But it was just 0.8% among those who didn’t get sick until Feb. 1 to Feb. 11.
https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/03/03/809904660/why-the-death-rate-from-coronavirus-is-plunging-in-china
The problem with that hypothesis is that people in the US seem to have reported particular flu-like illness even in the fall of 2019, prior to those images having been disseminated.
https://www.livescience.com/covid-19-united-states-december-2019.html
If we choose to believe the testing (which I wouldn’t blame anyone for not doing), and believe that people who submitted the blood samples referenced above actually had or were exposed to what is claimed to be SARS-CoV2, then how can SARS-CoV2 be what made those Chinese keel over, since that didn’t happen here (or anywhere else, for that matter, that I have seen)??The Wuhan-ites also seem to bounce back stunningly quickly, with their mass water-park parties and such.
I also find it strange that people would happen to drop dead just as a person with a hand-held camera is filming them walking down the sidewalk from some distance away… what are the odds of that?
Agree. Let’s remember the brave individual in Wuhan screaming its a lie.
A guy I know down the road had the Covid symptoms in the fall of 2019. Doctors could not diagnose it.
Or a bioweapon designed to hit chinese? Oh i know what about Taiwan… Viruses mutating to be less deadly to the hosts is nothing new, still im not sure that it explains the huge differences in between what happened in wuhan and what is happening now. Do i know? Of course not but somthing seems off. I dont think we can dismiss the possibility that the virus was designed to effect wuhan residents very adversly just because the implications are very very disturbing.
Ive heard weapons are demonstrated somtimes to assert power,
1. Wuhan= fear porn= severity exaggerated . Shut up put your face diaper on and its if its in a syringe its good for you.
2 Virus mutates from black plague to flu in a couple months
3 Virus effects wuhan residents more adversely because its designed to.
4 Virus is designed to both effect asians more adversly and mutate to be less deadly.
If Goooobal Wooorrrming was a psyop using the smae tactics as COVIDidiotism then why was it such a faliure? There’s very little difference in cultural behaviour today. If anything people are more likely to act in profligate ways today than they were a decade ago. This paranoia of authority figures (as incompetent as they are) which you constantly promulgate is certainly a psyop itself – a psychological obsession which many readers of this blog can diagnose.
Have you had an IQ test recently?
It is not a failure — the purpose is to prevent the cattle from worrying about peak oil.
I reiterate – ask someone if they are concerned about oil running out ….
I can tell you what they will say — they will acknowledge oil is finite but that we will transition off of it long before it runs out.
What do you think these headlines indicating countries will ban ICE vehicles — didn’t the UK say 2025 — there is no way in hell that will happen – it is impossible.
Why do you think the PR Team puts headlines like that out there? It’s about convincing the cattle that the transition is imminent.
GW along with renewables and EVs has been incredibly successful… far more successful than the Covid Project…. almost everyone believes in GW (and that we will soon be living in a green utopia replete with personal helicopters hahahahaha)
If Gooobal Worrrrming advocates and incompetent politicians share the same psyop tactics then why do people continue to live just as profligate lifestyle as they ever did?
I think psyop and FE should be relabelled psychological obsession with paranoia about authority
You are hopeless.
In reality i’m voicing the opinion that many readers share but lack the desire to waste their time typing out.
Your CEP, psyop, El.ders fascinations are the product of a deluded mind
You label any disagreement as normie or delustani when you forget that most readers and contributors here share common interests about collapse.
You complain about FE calling people “delusistani” (which means “a person with a deluded mind”) in the very next sentence following the one in which you imply that he is a person with a deluded mind. So your complaint cannot be over the use of the word itself; it must be over the identity of the person wielding it.
Also, you complain about FE calling people “normie” (which is a term of affection for normal people used by the “non-normies”, the abnormal, who are a small minority by definition even at OFW, and in constant danger of being persecuted). Would you prefer another more accurate descriptive noun, such as conformist, sheeple, yes-man, simpleton, credulous more-on, Mr. Gullible, or something like that? I think “normie” is a polite means of acknowledging the fundamental gulf between those rare and increasingly endangered specimens who think for themselves on one side and those who are educated beyond their intellectual capacity or who get their thoughts and opinions from the dying legacy media on the other.
I’m not allowed to refer to people as 80IQs…. even though that is actually a compliment…
Anyway…
I am still waiting for a response to my question about why the MSM bleats on about GW when we know full well there is no alternative.
Future, I appreciate your comments but you are wasting your time. When I asked FE a question he became abusive and keep bragging how smart he is. So I stopped commenting and just read for a while.
My conclusion is that some people here are just class clowns. You will notice they never engage in debates instead they keep repeating the same points forever then run away.
Duncan is the most obvious but FE is the most prolific.
I still appreciate the information provided by many diligent commenters but unfortunately this is not the place for people that have questions. Almost everybody has their mind made up already and speak past each other.
Unfortunately, it is difficult to get around the problem of people who already have their minds made up. We need a balance of different views. I have tended not to cut off prolific commenters as long as they are not (too) abusive, because we at least get some different points of view. People who are knowledgeable in a given area often have their minds made up.
Right now, the vaccine/virus question is on a lot of people’s minds. Given that this issue is the topic of this post, I have been hesitant to cut back comments on it. Hopefully, this issue will somehow calm down in people’s minds. I have a hard time seeing conspiracy theories really playing out in this area, even if they are intended.
“everybody has their mind made up already and speak past each other”
I have made up my mind it’s like that everywhere.
I think you are correct. When there is really no acceptable solution to our problems, we end up with two different proposed future scenarios. Everyone takes sides. It is at least partly the “taking sides” that is very divisive to the system.
A lot of what is happening now and in the future is a battle for resources. In this battle, there has to be winners and losers. This is part of the reason that the shift toward taking sides take place.
I think the issue here is that people assume themselves being unbiased.
One simple question suffices:
1. Do I have worldly attachments?
If the answer is “yes”
You already know the explanation accompanying my observations, so that’s that. And as you know, I’m the uncrowned king and master of observation.
I challenge you to find anyone, lucidly considering outcomes of the closure of IC, that seriously would like it to end. I challenge you to prove me wrong.
Giving pinpoint accurate descriptions of objective reality is by its very nature damaging to hope and desires. Keep that in mind.
Worldly attachments are, in fact, very important to people here on earth. People without worldly attachments tend to be depressed loners. There is no point in telling people to do without worldly attachments.
I’m not arguing against worldly attachments. I am it myself, that of my parents.
What I am saying is that a certain bias comes with that, for good and bad.
Arguing against that is like arguing against drinking when thirsty. It is what it is. Let us not fool ourselves. A truthful statement would be:
1. I have attachments
2. I refuse to accept total and utter extinction
Fair enough. Necessity is the mother of invention.
It is just my pinpoint accurate observations, as a person with little worldly attachments except existence, Mother Earth and my parents. By design as a matter of fact. A bit of luck indeed, but for the most part chosen of that which is called ‘free will’ and a slight contempt of humanoid shenanigans.
Oh… since Future won’t answer then perhaps you can help me …
Why does the MSM continually bleat out about GW … when there is no alternative to fossil fuels?
The God of Logic… demands a response… if you are unable to logically address this Most Excellent Question … then you need to crawl back down in your hole.
I think MSM bleats about GW because coal and oil are the fuels that are disappearing first, whether we like it or not. The only alternative is to move on to “worse” fuels. Natural gas is one of these, because it is energy intensive to ship and to store. Often times, it is impossible to store without the right geology. Wind, solar, hydroelectric and nuclear are all less desirable fuels for varying reasons.
If MSM can convince us that we want to leave coal and oil because of global warming, then our huge problem is reframed as something desirable that we can choose to do and somehow lead to a happily ever after ending.
Other countries go along with this nonsense as well. The poor countries think that they can “shake down” the rich countries for part of their energy, in return for not cutting down their trees as quickly. China goes along with the story, because it allows them to sell more solar panels, made using coal. It also allows them to maintain their coal extraction. They can make lots of promises (reflecting, of course, that supplies are in some sense “running out”).
They know that if US and Europe go along with the global warming/ solar panel nonsense, it will weaken their economies. Of course, the economies of US and Europe will already in poor shape.
Ultimately, those with the most energy resource that they can use, relative to population, will be able to continue. Cutting back of the US and Europe’s energy consumption (and population) is hugely helpful, because then China (or China plus Russia) can use their resources to take over whatever share of the world’s resources they choose.
China likes electric cars because they allow the country to substitute coal use for oil use. Outside of China, electric cars are pretty much a waste of energy. Electricity is a problem in the locations like California, UK, Europe, and Japan. Shifting vehicles to electric doesn’t help.
Still doesn’t provide a viable explanation for spending (wasting) hundreds of billions on solar, wind and EVs….
EV’s and solar panels don’t appear to making a dent in china’s petroleum consumption…if EVs became more than a blip we’d hit a bottleneck on lithium…. me sees EVs as the mascot for the football team… an amusing jester… but he’s not a player….
https://www.statista.com/statistics/264355/chinese-oil-consumption/
I can accept that there are some elements of truth to what you say … however I remain faithful to the theory that the EV, renewable GW lie — is primarily aimed at convincing the cattle that there are endless fields of grass… just over the next hill… always over the next hill.
The way to test it out is to ask people if they are concerned about peak oil…. the PR Team has done a fantastic job of telling them how to respond.
I am aware that I have detractors in DelusiSTAN…. but they remain silent because they understand what happens when they attempt to challenge the God of Logic…
You made that mistake … and I am sure there are many DelusiSTANIS cringing as they watch Fast Eddy dismantle you.
It’s like watching Lebron James go one on one with Greta Thunberg….. and Lebron bringing his A game.
California coronavirus case rate drops to lowest in continental US
https://www.sfgate.com/bayarea/article/2021-04-California-CDC-data-lowest-case-rate-US-16120284.php
Those crazy liberals!
“On the other end of the spectrum, Michigan has the highest seven-day rate with 483 new cases per 100,000. New Jersey is the second-highest with 269.7, Delaware third at 269.7 and Pennsylvania fourth at 248.5.”
THOSE crazy liberals!
Might be having problems with the cycle rate dial…
See Bossche.
“Gov. Gavin Newsom announced earlier this month the state will fully reopen its economy June 15 and dissolve the so-called Blueprint for a Safer Economy, whose tier levels dictate which businesses can open based on the severity of virus spread in a county.
“’We will be moving beyond the blueprint and getting rid of the colored tiers,’ Newsom said at an April 6 press briefing. “We’ll be getting rid of the dimmer switch.’”
I live in California. The alternative explanation for the drop in case rates is that Gov. Nuisance will soon be facing a recall election. The lockdowns have pissed off a lot of Californians, including those with serious money to put behind the recall effort.
“California should officially know by late next week what political insiders already know — that a review of petitions by elections officials will open the door to a special election seeking the recall of Gov. Gavin Newsom.
“Given bureaucratic procedures, it appears likely that the recall, only the second of its kind in the state’s history, will be scheduled for some time around the Thanksgiving holiday.
“Republican organizers have gathered more than 2 million voter signatures, which should provide ample cushion to account for declaring invalid the redundant or incorrect names that typically are part of a petition campaign.”
https://www.kcra.com/article/riggs-report-california-newsom-recall-deadlines/36199546#
Nuisance abused the so-called “dimmer switch” he was often fond of describing – kind of like a sociopathic torturer speaking fondly of his favorite tool in front of a powerless victim.
Positive case numbers don’t mean shit. Show me the masses of people who are debilitated by illness and I’ll give you your “pandemic.”
I have family members living in Alaska, Massachusetts, Oregon, California, Washington and England – none of them have been ill, none of them are ill, and none of them are going to be ill with COVID-19. All bets are of, though, for anyone who has been “vaccinated.”
I thought this interview with Dr. Lee Merrit was worth listening to:
https://www.bitchute.com/video/Ko3KlzdqK07w/
It is an interesting interview. This female medical doctor with good credentials makes many of the same points we have seen elsewhere. We have good treatments for COVID-19 that are being hidden from us as much as possible. The disease itself does not kill many; as it mutates, it tends to become more transmissible but less deadly. The animals used to test similar vaccines all died of ADE.
PR Team to the Elders… sorry guys .. but we’ve run out of CovIDIOTS…
https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/us-states-close-mass-vaccination-centers-due-falling-demand
Elders to PR Team … no worries … the Science Team says we are well past the threshold required to achieve The Nightmare Scenario. As the French would say … it’s a fait accompli
Why don’t you guys jump on one of the private jets and take a week in the Bahamas… all expenses paid.
It’s an interesting existence … Jekyll and Hyde-like…
Here on OFW one can express hard core truths backed up by logic … but if one were to espouse these thoughts in the real world… one would be a freak… a crack-pot … a pariah… it’s a fine line between staying alive and being stoned to death
Eddy, I can offer up some quotes from Jay Hanson who was way ahead of the curve on these issues:
“The only escape from human nature is death”
“The elites are going to realize there is no solution to the shortage of oil problem. So they are going to re-define the problem as a long-age of critters. And then solve it.”
“15 years +/- 10 is when I anticipate the collapse of society.” That was in 2007 so we are right on track.
so he was essentially guessing 2012 to 2032.
unless there is a giant black swan or some presently low-evidenced C theeeeory happens to turn out to be somewhat true, his midpoint of 2022 will pass by without “the collapse of society”.
and if the present flow of energy through the economy manages to decline linearly, then there is a very good chance that his 2032 far side also will pass by without collapse.
so much depends upon when the energy based economic decline becomes exponential.
could be in, you might just guess, a month or a year or a decade or two.
Good grief David are you serious? We are right on the brink now, how on earth do you think we will make it through another 10 years? I live in Vermont. 15 years ago I could drive to Montreal to see a show with just my drivers license. Now the Canadian border is closed and I can’t even go to New York without quarantining. Soon you won’t be able to travel within the U.S. without a permit. How is this fragile system going to manage a linear decline in energy flow which is soon going to accelerate?
to some persons, we were right on the brink in 2008, and yet here we are 13 years later.
I do give you credit at least for referencing the decline in energy flow, about which we seem to agree on its importance.
the decline definitely will accelerate. When and by how much?
FF usage was increasing for 300 years.
relative to that HUGE number, the decline could be roughly linear for a tiny number such as 10 years.
You are completely ignoring the relevance of how systems work.
Non-linear changes happen as a result of linear changes in inputs.
I don’t see where I’ve negated that.
tiny linear decreases in energy flows for the next 10 years will give what result?
it probably will put the economy at the early stage of the proverbial Seneca cliff.
by the way, IF energy flow increases in one or two of the next 10 years, that would probably be enough to delay the exponential plunge.
it definitely won’t be a smooth path, and a small bump or two up can be expected in a similar manner to the down bumps during the 300 years of generally increasing FF usage.
It depends if the system is nonlinear. And with that being said it is safe to conclude that all systems in the real world being nonlinear.
How does one create a stable region in a non-linear system (assuming it is possible)? By state space feedback.
If the system exhibit chaotic behavior, it is of course imperative not to cross certain thresholds and remain within bounded state trajectories. Never “kick” chaotic systems into obedience.
Wu wei.
☯️
Thanks for your thoughts.
In a non-linear system, it looks like we run into difficulty with state space feedback in creating a stable system if the activity in that region of the non-linear system is controlled by more than one input variable. According to Wikipedia, Multiple input systems will have a K matrix that is not unique. “Choosing, therefore, the best K values is not trivial.”
Climate is clearly controlled by many variables. Assuming that pushing on the CO2 lever to solve our climate problems is not likely to work.
Yes, multi variable feedback systems is inherently tricky due to the possibility of contradictory effects of inputs and states. Such as slamming the accelerator and brake pedals at the same time. Usually the brakes ‘wins’.
GND financed gimmicks -> accelerator
Intermittency -> brakes
Unreliability -> brakes
Lifespan of the gimmicks -> brakes
Ultimately it is just a project of futility, a narrative spun out of of delusions and hopium. And of course a possibility for MOAR through the racket.
david, what do you define as “the collapse of society”? Though we can understand such a thing as a process rather than a single point in time, I’d say that the rule of law has been all but completely discarded and it’s all over but the crying.
With people denied the ability even to see their own elders, or to take their children to a playground, or to get together with friends in their own homes much less a restaurant… when the government surrounds churches with giant fences to prevent people from going in, when there are armed patrols blocking people from leaving their state or province… what “society” is there, exactly?
okay I see what you are saying.
though even those issues could somewhat reverse.
I thought this thread was more specifically about economic collapse.
I’d agree, Lydia: good scientific method, reason, logic all cast aside by governments and experts in a fundamental betrayal of our trust, and their duty.
Decency forgotten, normal human relations prohibited, kindness and humanity discarded, the end of ‘civilita’ as we are precipitated, masked an bullied, by liars and psychopaths into their fantasy and long-planned Techno Dystopia.
First terrified and imprisoned, soon to be enslaved, pauperised and dispossessed,and finally killed if deemed unprofitable – ‘modified’ and wired-up if useful.
They intend to leave us with nothing, and have demolished and banned much already.
I would argue that there wasn’t much of a society/civilization in IC to begin with. Rather ICM as in ‘Industrialized Consumerism and Materialism’ taken to its logical conclusion on a finite planet.
My PHD focus is more on the outcomes … https://www.quora.com/What-would-the-world-be-like-if-society-collapsed and spent fuel pond radiation ….
Where so many people go wrong is they identify the problem… but they believe there is a soft landing… usually involving growing pumpkins…
Tim Morgan is very disappointing in that respect… he appears to actually believe we can operate a Utopian civilization on a declining energy supply.
For all his intellect, and financial experience in the City, Tim Morgan is living an isolated life on a pleasant island, and simply refuses to face reality.
Reading him it is as if the last year or so hasn’t happened.
I suspect that he also cannot comprehend psychopathy and totalitarianism. Too decent a man.
Tim and Mike Yeadon seem similarly decent men.
I think Tim has gone into deep denial and is unable to comprehend/accept what we are facing.
I think that Tim is no different than most people in that they need to maintain hope otherwise they would probably crack up and end up in the asylum.
I have a mate who works with clinically depressed patients and he was explaining to me that the severely depressed are not even able to get out of bed and get dressed. That would likely be Tim if he were to peak behind the curtain.
I think everyone who ‘knows’ must be feeling a bit of le cafarde…
I must admit that even though I have been expecting this for years… to feeling slightly listless… as I wait for the Titanic to crash into The Borg….
In fact I mentioned to M Fast after a hockey session earlier this evening that I think I might have the answer to my lack of enthusiasm for all things… https://www.odt.co.nz/sport/racing/winning-greyhound-tested-positive-meth
yeah, it’s been all downhill in sports of all kinds since Dick the Bruiser and Peter Gent.
“North Dallas After Forty” sealed the deal in my world.
What happens when there’s no power?
https://www.theblackoutreport.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/blackout_report.pdf
This is a UK report from 2019. On page 2, it gives the chance of a total temporary shutdown of the UK electric grid in the next five years as 1 in 200. It is a long report with descriptions of what it considers risk factors. After the big outages in California and Texas, a major outage in the UK sounds quite possible.
Or … just read this … but keep in mind they still had some food.. some petrol… some medicine… and this was temporary…
So you might call this Utopia…. compared to what the end of BAU will bring:
https://www.quora.com/What-would-the-world-be-like-if-society-collapsed
Bad odds considering we are now regularly getting 1 in 1000 floods, 1 in 500 droughts, 1 in 200 number of hurricane events in a year, 1 in ……………
No we are not.
French drug assessment center demands removal of all four widely used COVID vaccines
According to the CTIAP, all of the vaccines were put on the market and actively used on human beings before ‘proof of quality for the active substance and the finished product’ was produced.
April 22, 2021 (LifeSiteNews) — A regional independent drug assessment center, the CTIAP (Centre territorial d’Information indépendante et d’Avis pharmaceutiques), which is linked to the Cholet public hospital in the west of France, recently published a report showing that the vaccines used against COVID were not only submitted to insufficient clinical testing, but that the quality of the active substances, their “excipients, some of which are new,” and the manufacturing processes are problematic. “These new excipients should be considered as new active substances,” the Cholet hospital team stated, in a study that according to them raises issues that have not been commented to date.
The team led by Dr. Catherine Frade, a pharmacist, worked on public data released by the EMA with relation to the Pfizer, Moderna, AstraZeneca and Janssen (Johnson & Johnson) shots, and its first caveat was that all these products only have temporary marketing authorizations. They are all subject to further studies that reach as far as 2024 and even beyond, and these will be almost impossible to be completed because of the way the vaccines are now being distributed, said the CTIAP report.
These studies even include the stability and comparability of the vaccine batches put on the market and the quality and safety of excipients — substances formulated alongside the active ingredient of a medication to facilitate or enhance their absorption.
According to the CTIAP, all of the vaccines were put on the market and actively used on human beings before “proof of quality for the active substance and the finished product” was produced: all the manufacturing labs obtained future deadlines to submit their studies in this regard.
The authors of the report consider that the “variabilities, which impact the very core of the product, could even invalidate any clinical trials conducted” in the coming months and years.
They go so far as to state: “Prudence would even dictate that, in all countries where these vaccines against COVID-19 have been marketed, all the batches thus ‘released’ should be withdrawn immediately; and that these MAs that have been granted should be suspended, or even canceled, as a matter of urgency until further notice.”
https://www.lifesitenews.com/news/french-drug-assessment-center-demands-removal-of-all-four-widely-used-covid-vaccines?utm_source=top_news&utm_campaign=standard
well I you look further who is Catherine Frade this is weird.
She presents her methods that are:
astrology
quantum physics
chines medicine
sexology
Tantra
Yoga
and many others.
her website is in French but you should understand quickly how serious she is..
http://www.catherinefrade.com/approche-psychosomatique-therapeutique-psychocorporelle-mentale-energetique-emotionnelle-spirituelle/
Sadly another loony people who will discredit legitimate questions.
Picking the flowers of ignorance to suit her sprawling ikebana of delusion.
I HIGHLY recommend people take the time and watch this VIDEO I posted earlier:
https://rumble.com/vfy3xf-lethal-deception.html
Truly terrifying implications for all of us.
This interview is about 1.5 hours long. I haven’t gotten very far through it. A young lady, Dr. Lima Yan, does a lot of the testimony. She seems to have a lot to say. She says that the Chinese didn’t have a vaccine for SARS2 in advance. In fact, the vaccines China makes aren’t very good. She talks about SARS1 being a manufactured virus, quite a few years ago.
Her Chinese accent makes the testimony somewhat difficult to understand, so listening to the video takes some patience, besides quite a bit of time.
The real important part starts at 47:00 if you don’t have the tme to watch the whole video.
Thanks for the additional information.
Reconfiguration of the CPI basket coming soon…for some perfectly reasonable reason
In the last 40yrs, the widest spread between PPI and CPI has been 4.4%. Therefore, if the Kansas data is indicative and PPI is heading towards 10%, +5% CPI seems reasonable.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EzlsQeXVUAkoJgf?format=png&name=4096×4096
NIH Director: Mandating Covid vaccine ‘will make a lot of sense’ in many cases
https://twitter.com/conspiracyguy78/status/1385326203498901509
Vaccine propaganda
https://twitter.com/conspiracyguy78/status/1385337099365371914
‘The US is the most technologically advanced country in the world and we have been able to roll out these vaccines in less than a year — I get that some people don’t to take the vaccines because of the conspiracy theories and all that’
Hahhahahahahahahaha…. is this a comedy show?
“And look, if the wealthy and the powerful in our society are all lining up to get shots, that means everybody should know it’s a good thing to get.” – Barack Obama
Really? We should follow the wealthy and the powerful, eh?
“It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society.” – Jiddu Krishnamurti
obama is a wonderful liar… very convincing…. even better than clinton
Hero-mom explodes on school board “Take these masks off my child”
https://twitter.com/conspiracyguy78/status/1385339255950561282
Funny how you still need a mask after the vaxx….
Funny how the oceans didn’t rise 13 ft like Al Gore promised
Hahaha
Can you deny sea level rise? Can you point to a specific prediction that it would amount to 13 feet by 2021? If not, then admit you are c.hump.
Eddy, you caught a live one here. Be careful how you handle him. He’s likely to bight when you take the hook out of his mouth.
From 2017:
Like many doom-mongers before him, Al Gore’s predictions of impending disaster have fallen somewhat short of the mark — a point to keep in mind as his Inconvenient Sequel hits theatres this summer.
It’s a good thing he was wrong, too, because I was worried we might not be around in 2017, given the alarms he was sounding in 2006’s An Inconvenient Truth!
For one thing, I thought sea levels would have risen 20 feet by now thanks to the melting of either West Antarctica or Greenland. Al Gore claimed that this would happen in the “near future,” but thankfully, we’ve been spared so far. In fact, sea levels seem to be rising at maybe three millimetres per year. Twenty feet is over six thousand millimetres, so at this rate, we wouldn’t even be halfway by the year 3017.
That’s what a High Court judge in the United Kingdom said ten years ago when he ruled that Gore’s film could only be shown in British schools with guidance notes to prevent political indoctrination: “The Armageddon scenario he predicts, insofar as it suggests that sea level rises of seven metres might occur in the immediate future, is not in line with the scientific consensus” and would only happen “after, and over, millennia.”
The judge had other problems with the film’s claims. For instance, the film speaks of global warming “shutting down the Ocean Conveyor,” by which the Gulf Stream is carried over the North Atlantic to Western Europe, among other things. But the judge said it was “very unlikely” that the Ocean Conveyor would shut down, although it might slow down, based on the findings of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Again, though, so far so good, as NASA found in 2010 that there had been no significant slowing over the previous 15 years, and in fact that the Ocean Conveyor “may have even sped up slightly in the recent past.”
The polar bears are doing fine as well, despite the film’s claims that they were drowning because they were unable to find ice. In fact, their numbers have increased over the past decade, from 20,000-25,000 to 23,000-32,000 bears in 2016.
Finally, though not in the film, Al Gore often predicted that the Arctic Ocean would be ice-free in the summer by now. To be specific, according to the fact checkers at Snopes.com, “In the late 2000s, Al Gore made a series of high-profile statements suggesting the possibility that Arctic sea ice could be completely gone during the summer by around 2013 or 2014.” They go on to conclude that while “Arctic sea ice is, without question, on a declining trend,” Al Gore “definitely erred in his use of preliminary projections and misrepresentations of research.”
None of this is to say that climate change is not an issue worth addressing, that it won’t require adaptation and innovation in the coming decades. It is and it will. But is it an impending catastrophe? Is it a concern that should outweigh, for instance, efforts to help the poorest parts of the world rise out of crushing poverty through the use of cheap and efficient fossil fuels?
In trying to answer these kinds of questions, we need reliable information of likely costs and benefits. “Misrepresentations of research,” which Al Gore seems all too fond of, are the opposite of helpful.
—Jasmin Guénette is Vice President of the Montreal Economic Institute. The views reflected in this op-ed are his own.
Already posted the clip from ‘Inconvenient Truth’ — chump.
Bought an ocean front property 4 years ago — 50 metres from the sea — no rise in sea level whatsoever… sold it 3 months ago in an auction (lots of bidders!) for way above the rateable value…..
Seems there are others who don’t think the ocean is going to rise much.
Hahaha…Duct Tape … More Duct Tape
It’s ok to be wrong… I used to believe in G W too! But then I emerged from a multi-decade coma and realized I’d been stitched up.
I used to read the NYTimes as well … but then I realized that I had been stitched up again!
No need to get upset… once you open one or two of the doors… a thousand open… and the truth shall … set you free!!!
Yee Haw … sumbitch… more Duct Tape…
Is “reality” beginning to crack? Light seeping in through the crumbling wall of lies?
https://memegenerator.net/img/instances/81243265.jpg
Usually you repost evidence when applicable. I’m suspecting that this time, like many others, your evidence doesn’t actually back up your claim.
If you’re willing to use duct tape then you better take your hand off your….
I’ve read some of your statements of evidence against GW over the years and they smack of infantile logic as much as your repeated Elders CEP does of late.
So when exactly do we hit the tipping point that we’ve been warned about for decades?
I thought the Arctic was supposed to be ice free by now?
You see — I used to believe in all this nonsense… but after awhile… when the girl cries wolf too many times… you gotta wonder if there is a wolf…. and their ain’t no wolves in this country.
Can you please answer my question — if there is nothing we can do about GW… (I assume you accept that) then why does the MSM keep pounding this into our heads… then telling us EVs and solar panels are the way forward?
If you continue to refuse to respond to that then I may have my witch doctor put an evil spell on you… and you will end up with Norm… in purgatory…
There we have it folks.
Man who lives in a property for a few years observes that he didn’t notice any sea level rise on one spefic point of the globe.
Doesn’t that just warm your unscientific cockles, especially when the arrogant irrelevant blather about selling for a good prive is added in
Um… I didn’t build the house… and it’s been there for many decades… 50m from the sea…
The Guardian doing its thing in 2004:
“A secret report, suppressed by US defence chiefs … warns that major European cities will be sunk beneath rising seas as Britain is plunged into a ‘Siberian’ climate by 2020.”
I don’t know of any European city that has been swallowed up by the sea. And the only similarity that the UK today has with Siberia is not climatic, but political, as the world becomes an immense gulag.
MSM doing its thing in 2004:
“A secret report, suppressed by US defence chiefs and obtained by The Observer, warns that major European cities will be sunk beneath rising seas, as Britain is plunged into a ‘Siberian’ climate by 2020”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2004/feb/22/usnews.theobserver
No european cities underwater, AFAIK.
And the only siberian issue UK is facing today is political, not climatic, with the island (and all the world around) in the process of becoming a huge gulag.
Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) vvvHahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) vvvHahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) vvvHahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) vvvHahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) vvvHahahahahahahahahahahahaha (duct tape!!!) x 1,000,000,000,000,000
The Guardian, as usual, is incapable of critical thought. If Britain, and therefore most of Northern Europe, will have a Siberian climate, where will the ice come from? Sea water, of course. And what will that to to the sea level? Lower it.
The two predictions are mutually contradictory.
I wonder if she is planning to vaxx her child….
What was the origin of the SARS-CoV-2 virus that causes COVID19? This question and more will be answered in tonight’s discussion with scientist Dr. Yan and Dr. Fleming.
https://rumble.com/vfy3xf-lethal-deception.html
This is very good. I started at the 45 minute mark.
Apologies if this has been previously posted, but after reading a few days ago I’m finding it wonderfully prophetic 😉
“The future will be about finding a way to reduce the population. We start with the old, because as soon as they exceed 60-65 years, people live longer than they produce and that costs society dearly. Then the weak, then the useless that do not help society because there will always be more of them, and above all, ultimately, the stupid. Euthanasia targeting these groups; Euthanasia will have to be an essential tool in our future societies, in all cases. Of course we will not be able to execute people or build camps. We get rid of them by making them believe that it is for their own good. Overpopulation, and mostly useless, is something that is too costly economically. Socially, too, it is much better when the human machine comes to an abrupt standstill than when it gradually deteriorates. Neither will we be able to test millions upon millions of people for their intelligence, you bet that! We will find or cause something a pandemic targeting certain people, a real economic crisis or not, a virus affecting the old or the fat, it doesn’t matter, the weak will succumb to it, the fearful and stupid will believe in it and seek treatment. We will have made sure that treatment is in place, treatment that will be the solution. The selection of idiots then takes care of itself: You go to the slaughter by yourself. ” [The future of life – Jacques Attali, 1981] Interviews with Michel Salomon, Les Visages de l’avenir collection, éditions Seghers. “…
With that in mind, how do the reports of future population reduction correlate with percentage needed for the wonder “Vax” to save us all from ourselves?
I’m guessing they both come in at around 80%.
I think we look at situations based on the way we see things at the time. The quote from 1981 was about the time we had oil problems in the 1970-1981 period, followed by an interest rate spike, and then a huge rise in debt.
Now, it seems to be the very wealthy who are coming out ahead, regardless of other conditions, such as intelligence, age or physical health. We have the oligarchs trying to dominate the situation. “You will own nothing, yet you will be happier than you have ever been before.”
Another group may come out ahead is the group that has possession of energy resources that can easily be extracted. China has done well with its coal, but this coal is also becoming expensive to extract, relative to the price it command. Russia has done well with fossil fuels in general. The population fight may very well become a conflict among countries (and alliances of countries), rather than some group thinking about population reduction, more or less in the same terms that it was considered at the time of World War II. Big importers of fossil fuels may have a problem, for example.
I am not sure we know what is ahead.
Russia and China make a good couple. Russia has the FF and China makes everything. Not clear what role is left for the US or the EU.
Good points, Ed.
except the USA has almost as much FF as Russia.
while EU has almost none.
There’s a thousand years worth of good coal there for the taking just off the North Sea coast of Great Britain. Once the natives are close to eliminated and the new Mandarin-speaking overlords put the rest on reservations, the North Sea will be back, making a major contribution to whatever form of BAU is running then.
Great post Tim. You are taking the big picture.
Maybe Elon’s boring machine can help harvest the coal.
Interesting. NZ has told USA, ‘Hmm, no, it is alright, thanks.’
USA is trying to rally the last remnants of its hegemonized ‘bloc’ into hostilities with China, its emergent economic and geopolitical competitor, with ‘moral’ pretences like ‘rights’.
China is the main trading partner of NZ. China has developed extensive networks of mutual interest, and USA is running out of poodles. Certainly USA has no ground over China at the UN, and its ‘5 Eyes’ info network is largely all that it has left.
EU has also largely told USA to ‘go do one’. UK still likes to have a ‘yap’ to order, but it too has interests with China. Out of the EU, UK is otherwise in danger of geopolitical isolation – so, ‘yap, yap’ it is, even if it goes no further than that. UK parliament under the Tory Party recently voted to pursue trade agreements with China, regardless of ‘genocide’ claims.
> New Zealand pushes aside Five Eyes to pursue closer ties with China
South Pacific nation puts itself at odds with UK and others in intelligence-sharing network by pursuing closer ties to the Communist state
New Zealand has broken with its “Five Eyes” intelligence partners, including the UK, as it pursues a closer alliance with China, its largest trading partner.
New Zealand’s foreign minister said she would not allow the intelligence alliance to dictate the country’s dealings with China, putting it at odds with the other members of the ‘Five Eyes’ alliance: the UK, US, Canada and Australia.
In her speech to the New Zealand China Council, Ms Mahuta said Five Eyes should not stray from its scope of intelligence-sharing between member nations.
“We are uncomfortable with expanding the remit of the Five Eyes relationship,” she said.
“We would much rather prefer to look for multilateral opportunities to express our interests on a number of issues.”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/04/19/five-eyes-become-four-new-zealand-takes-different-view-china/
It sounds like countries are increasingly growing apart in their interests. The problem of not enough energy to go around is overwhelming. There are not enough jobs that pay well either. New Zealand needs someone to help look after its interests. So it will team up with China, if it can make some arrangement in that direction.
Putin’s speech on Wednesday covered mostly health care in Russia. He did mention using AI in health care 🙂
It seems like health care is a problem in every country. No matter how much is spent, the population would always like more, but they don’t want to pay for it.
Good to know!
> Eating just one medium mushroom a day can reduce your risk of CANCER by 45%, study claims
Higher mushroom consumption is associated with a lower risk of cancer, according to a new study from researchers at Penn State University.
…. Shiitake, oyster, maitake and king oyster mushrooms all have higher amounts ergothioneine than white button, cremini and portabello mushrooms.
Despite this, the team’s analysis – comprising data from more than 19,500 cancer patients – found that people who incorporated any variety of mushrooms into their daily diets had a lower risk of cancer….
Mushrooms are also linked with other benefits – in 2019, experts detailed a link between mushroom consumption and lower levels of mild cognitive impairment….
‘It seems that a commonly available single ingredient could have a dramatic effect on cognitive decline.’
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-9499983/Eating-just-one-medium-mushroom-day-reduce-risk-CANCER-45.html
Interesting! I had recently heard that mushrooms are good for you, but I had forgotten the cancer connection.
Unlike the other mushrooms mentioned for their health benefits, white button and cremini and portabello are all the same species.
I grow shiitake on logs, and in the springtime I harvest so much of it that, despite stuffing some into every other meal, I have to give most of it away. Fortunately it can be dried or frozen for long-term storage, but we are currently in the season when we have to scratch our heads a bit in order to find different ways of serving it.
Certainly, lack of shiitake is not the cause of my cognitive decline. I must look elsewhere for answers.
Interesting: How to you grow them?
US States Close Mass Vaccination Centers Due To Falling Demand
As we noted a few weeks ago, America has smashed President Biden’s revised target of 200M COVID-19 jabs in arms by the end of his first 100 days in office while moving up his target for having the entire adult population vaccinated. According to data from the CDC, the US has easily surpassed 200M jabs-in-arms. But as the COVID-19 cases climb, the world is beginning to rethink expectations surrounding herd immunity, while also questioning the efficacy of vaccines as some patients are reinfected by “mutant” COVID-19 strains, or – even more rarely – fall victim to strange side-effects (like cerebral blood clots).
But while Biden’s Dr. Fauci-led White House advisory team refuses to acknowledge this reality, Dr. Scott Gottlieb pointed out a few weeks back that he expected demand for vaccines to dampen as more young people refuse shots on the belief that they aren’t susceptible to severe infection. Already, unused doses are piling up in certain US states.
https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/us-states-close-mass-vaccination-centers-due-falling-demand
India has 3 million new Covid cases a day?
Crematories are reporting 10 times higher Covid deaths than official numbers. Hospitals are overwhelmed and running out of oxygen. People are dying in the streets. The health care system is breaking down.
India is the largest vaccine producer in the world and will ban exports?
>>The health care system is breaking down.
Could you be more specific?
Not sure what reports are to be believed:
https://media.gab.com/system/media_attachments/files/072/138/362/original/0c348c24e7444a7e.png
Both perhaps; first wave/infection, the grim reaper harvests the weakened ones. Second wave; not much hospitalizations for those who already survived first wave.
Let’s just round it up to 5M per day…. and let’s get a photo of coffins with ‘Covid’ marked on the side and say the ovens are roaring 24 7….
Keep the MSM to run with this….
How would anyone know if this was true or not? Maybe you work at one oven facility and it’s not any busier than normal… but maybe the one down the road is really busy…. and what can you do — tell people? They’d just say you were full of crap ‘the new says’
How would you know if 100 or 5M were getting covid per day?
Any medical staff speaking out loses his job…. and nobody believes them anyway…
We may need to put the vaccinated into camps. Love you Cliff High.
https://www.bitchute.com/video/VJ4A4yu0veDA/
Vaccinosis
https://www.bitchute.com/video/AQmJ6xo07iIS/
German-Thai-American microbiologist Dr. Sucharit Bhakdi warns that the COVID hysteria is based on lies and that the COVID “vaccines” are set to cause a global catastrophe and a decimation of the human population.
https://thenewamerican.com/covid-shots-to-decimate-world-population-warns-dr-bhakdi/
a “crop of debunked but credentialed so-called experts minting conspiracy theories and undermining fact-based information”
that will teach them, Dunc.
Another excellent talk. German-American microbiologist Dr. Sucharit Bhakdi.
Scrape the “German” and “American”. Bhakdi is a Thai.
Ooops Sorry!
77 inmates at Iowa prison incorrectly given overdoses of Pfizer vaccine
Staff from the Iowa Department of Corrections incorrectly gave 77 inmates overdoses of the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine, the department confirmed to the Des Moines Register.
The incident happened Tuesday at the state maximum-security prison at Fort Madison, according to Cord Overton, a spokesperson for the department.
Overton did not say how much extra vaccine each inmate was given.
Kimberly Koehlhoeffer, 51, of Fairfield, told the Register her son, Anthony Koehlhoeffer, is among those 77 inmates. She said Anthony told her doctors informed him and others they had received “six times the recommended amount.”
Kimberly Koehlhoeffer said her son and other inmates have experienced symptoms that include nausea, lack of appetite, severe bruising at injection site, and severe dehydration.
In an emailed statement to the Register, Overton stated that once the department was made aware of the error, its staff immediately sought guidance from the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and from Pfizer.
“The affected inmates have been notified and are being closely monitored by medical staff. At this time, the only side effects experienced by the inmates are those commonly associated with the Pfizer vaccine,” Overton wrote in the statement.
For now, administration of COVID-19 vaccines have halted in the prison and an investigation will be conducted, Overton said. Two nursing staff members, who allegedly administered the vaccine to the 77 inmates, have been placed on leave “pending the outcome of the investigation,” Overton said.
Erik Maki, a Drake University pharmacy professor who is not involved in the Fort Madison situation, said the Pfizer version of the vaccine is trickier to handle than the Moderna version.
Maki said both versions come frozen, but the Pfizer version is packaged as a concentrate that must be diluted with a significant amount of saline solution. The Moderna version comes premixed, he said in a phone interview Wednesday evening.
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/crime-and-courts/2021/04/21/iowa-prison-gives-overdoses-coronavirus-covid-19-vaccine-inmates-fort-madison-department-corrections/7328432002/
A convenient cover story for experimenting on prisoners. SCIENCE will get to see what happens when humans are injected with six times the recommended dosage.
Yale public health professor suggests 60% of new COVID-19 patients have received vaccine
NEW HAVEN, Connecticut, April 21, 2021 (LifeSiteNews) — An American Professor of Epidemiology at Yale University revealed that the majority of people now coming down with COVID-19 have been vaccinated against the virus.
“Clinicians have been telling me that more than half of the new COVID cases that they’re treating are people who have been vaccinated,” said Dr. Harvey Risch.
A professor at the Yale School of Public Health, Risch appeared on Steve Bannon’s “War Room” program and contrasted the public’s perception of the vaccines’ efficacy with that of the medical establishment.
“I think the American public has been sold on the vaccine by the research that shows that they reduce the infection of mild to moderate symptomatic infection by somewhere between 60-90% depending upon age and vaccine and so on and that is pretty good performance for an individual who wants to take a vaccine to protect himself,” Risch said.
https://www.lifesitenews.com/news/yale-public-health-professor-suggests-60-of-new-covid-19-patients-have-received-vaccine?utm_source=LifeSiteNews.com&utm_campaign=e7e58cdd91-Daily%2520Headlines%2520-%2520World_COPY_1000&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_12387f0e3e-e7e58cdd91-406598418
It would be interesting to get some actual statistics on what is happening.
I think part of what is happening is people get the first of the two shots, and literally half an hour later start going out to restaurants and doing other things that they hadn’t done.
But there are also breakthrough infections after the time the person is supposed to be protected by the vaccine.
hint:
https://twitter.com/FaheemYounus/status/1384442462391910403?s=20
No surprise here given the NZ Ministry of Health Covid page stated very clearly that these vaccines do NOT stop you from contracting and spreading Covid.
Well at least it did say that…. I jumped onto their page to again copy and paste that info … but it’s now GONE.
I know it is there because I have been to that page dozens of times to grab that and send it to CovIDIOTS…
https://www.immune.org.nz/covid-19-vaccines
Perhaps my taunting emails and phone calls to Hipkins office and Medsafe PR have had some effect after all!!!
FDA Takes Key Action in Fight Against COVID-19 By Issuing Emergency Use Authorization for First COVID-19 Vaccine – [Pfizer]
December 11, 2020
“At this time, data are not available to make a determination about how long the vaccine will provide protection, nor is there evidence that the vaccine prevents transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from person to person.”
https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/fda-takes-key-action-fight-against-covid-19-issuing-emergency-use-authorization-first-covid-19
FDA Takes Additional Action in Fight Against COVID-19 By Issuing Emergency Use Authorization for Second COVID-19 Vaccine – [Moderna]
December 18, 2020
“At this time, data are not available to determine how long the vaccine will provide protection, nor is there evidence that the vaccine prevents transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from person to person.”
https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/fda-takes-additional-action-fight-against-covid-19-issuing-emergency-use-authorization-second-covid
FDA Issues Emergency Use Authorization for Third COVID-19 Vaccine – [Janssen]
February 27, 2021
“At this time, data are not available to determine how long the vaccine will provide protection, nor is there evidence that the vaccine prevents transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from person to person.”
https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/fda-issues-emergency-use-authorization-third-covid-19-vaccine
Nicely done… let’s add this to the mix (again) https://twitter.com/wakeupfromcovid/status/1383891091166879744
Duncnorm…. Normdunc… your thoughts?
Wow, did they lay-off all of their media staff? Maybe they’re on auto-pilot.
Autopilot. The FDA’s personnel had already left for the underground bunkers prior to the “vaccine” emergency use authorization announcements. They knew the “vaccines” would mean the end of the human species. They’ll wait out the biological chaos that will ensue on the earth’s surface and then emerge as the survivors who will build the new global aristocracy.
I kid. 😉
GPT-3 generated garbage running in maximum restricted mode – behind bars, in a cage, chained, yokes and shackles.
http://web.archive.org/web/20210305035345/https://www.immune.org.nz/covid-19-vaccines
“Based on how the vaccine works, it is unlikely to pose a specific risk when given to pregnant women. Whereas COVID-19 in pregnancy can be very severe in pregnant women and can lead to premature births or miscarriage.”
WOW! To bad they have no references.
A dangerous misunderstanding – Tim Watkins
How much money should there be in the world? It is an interesting question; to which, at any time, there is a correct answer that is unknown to anyone. It is the amount at which money is able to perfectly perform its two key functions – being a medium of exchange and a store of value. Too little money in circulation and it would cease being a fair store of value because its value would be increasing – something that hasn’t occurred in half a century. Most often, money ceases to be a store of value on the downside – losing its value – because it is far easier for states and banks to create new currency than it is to destroy it.
In practice, whether there is too much, or not enough money in the system is largely a matter of political economy rather than science. There are two broad economic camps – Monetarists and Keynesians – which largely correspond to conservative and liberal politics. The conservative-monetarist camp has been arguing for more than a decade that there is too much money in a system which should have been allowed to fail back in 2008. The liberal-Keynesian camp in contrast, argues that the absence of productivity gains, inflation and wage growth pressure show that there is too little money in circulation.
What we are witnessing in 2021 is not the result of currency printing. That will arrive soon enough. But the increased prices today are a consequence of real economy shortages – some of which began before the pandemic – to which the economy will have to adapt. With not enough energy to go around from here on in, the price of material goods and services will be rising anyway. That means that people will be buying them less often; and that those at the bottom will no longer be buying them at all. Allow this rebalancing to occur – as they should have done in 2006 – and the landing is going to be a lot less bumpy than if the rug is pulled out from beneath the economy before it has had chance to adjust.
In the longer term, we will have no choice than to deal with inflation; because the answer to the question I posed at the beginning is that there should be the same amount of money as there is value derived from our available useful energy… and, of course, nobody knows how much that is. This is why historically humans have flipped between two types of money – money backed by some real commodity, most often precious metal; and fiat money backed by the writ of the state. The advantage of the former is that it tends to reflect the available energy; especially in economies which run on renewable energy alone. In fossil-fuel economies, though, commodity-backed money acts as a fetter on productivity because the energy supply in the growth phase expands far faster than the commodity backing the money supply. This is where fiat currency has the advantage – you don’t need to wait for new gold mines to produce enough to catch up with the massive expansion in coal, oil and gas; you just print more currency out of thin air. The downside, of course, is that when energy production stalls – as it did in the 1970s and after 2005 – the supply of fiat currency overshoots the real economy, creating massive asset bubbles which have to burst sooner or later.
The gold bugs can correctly claim that they would have never allowed the bubbles to grow in the first place. But the supporters of fiat can just as correctly point out that left to the gold bugs we would never have grown beyond the economy of the nineteenth century. Both though, are engaged in a superfluous debate, because both assume that a growing economy is the natural state of affairs. What we face in the post-pandemic landscape though, is an economy which is visibly shrinking.
https://consciousnessofsheep.co.uk/2021/04/22/a-dangerous-misunderstanding/
Very interesting analysis. I hadn’t thought of the situation quite in the way quoted, but I would agree with it.
Tim misses that the CB’s have not really created money. They have created bank reserves. These bank reserves do not circulate in the economy, they just legally allow banks to maintain the mathematics required to extend loans. There are two problems still (1) The bank has to have the capital to loan and be able to pass a risk premium onto a lender, and (2) potential lenders have to be confident of their ability to repay the loan with interest. For firms this means being confident they can invest in activities which will produce a future flow of revenue.
The economy is visibly shrinking – but so are the banks. They have decreased their balance sheets since 2008. Also, the loan/deposit ratio shows that there is very little response to CB activity.
The loan/deposit ratio is at a 30 year low. https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/latest-news-headlines/loan-to-deposit-ratio-at-us-banks-hits-29-year-low-as-transaction-accounts-surge-59103892
Higher prices will in short order forestall any recovery.
As a kind of parallel to your reserve insights, here’s FOFOA’s take on the bullion banking side of the equation.
https://fofoa.blogspot.com/
The Achilles Heel of the Paper Gold Market
after discussing certain facts about the dynamics of physical gold;
excerpt:
“The only tightness that matters is in the LBMA bullion bank reserves. The slack in the flow is their reserves. If the inflow is greater than the outflow, then their reserves are expanding, and if the outflow is greater than the inflow, then their reserves are shrinking. It’s like a rope, and when there is no slack, the rope is tight. It is my contention that their reserves are all but gone, and at this point the rope is stretched so tight it’s barely a thread, which (I think) may be why we see some banks exiting the bullion banking business.”
Thanks for your insights. The article you link is from June 2020. I found a more recent article (April 12, 2021) that says Fed Data Shows Big Banks’ Loan-to-Deposit Ratio At 36-Year Low.
This indication is not for the same group of banks, but a person can see the trend keeps increasing. All of the QE is not necessarily leading to a corresponding (or greater) amount of loans going out into the market.
Thanks for the newer link! Banking is becoming unprofitable, and so it is not expanding as CB’s would hope. Another indicator of diminishing returns.
A very good analysis. I have but one quibble: “Too little money in circulation and it would cease being a fair store of value because its value would be increasing”.
I don’t think this is true. In the first place, increasing value means that the same gold will buy more next year than this year. This encourages more saving, hence more (real) investment, hence more productivity and production. It is a positive feedback loop, and it is why the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries were associated with a major increase in wealth.
Secondly, the higher price encourages more exploration, mining, and refining of gold, so the system is self balancing: a pure gold standard tends to remain close to dynamic equilibrium.
And, of course, the overriding advantage of real money is it cannot be manipulated by governments; which is why the US Constitution mandated it (Art I sect 10).
Shoulda woulda coulda… Easy fiat money meant that we could use our dear fossil energy resources faster. The MPP approved of this and we went all in. Now we must settle for the crumbs that are left on the table.
I think there’s a serious “non-buggy” argument that we could have grown beyond the economy of the nineteenth century on a gold standard. I haven’t tried to verify it but Keith Weiner mentions it often that in 1890, with London at the center of world everything, they did it with 160 tons of gold. Nevada mines produce near that each year. As much as I like Tim’s curation of events, I think he’s fallen for a standard meme that adds to the misrepresentation of a system that facilitated the clearing of debt, at the same time that it gave savers the option to discipline bankers. We could have made many of the same over-shoot mistakes on a gold standard, but might not have.
Only half the people will participate in the eugenics program.
https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2021/04/14/987265125/ex-fda-chief-sees-struggle-to-vaccinate-more-than-half-u-s-population
I am not convinced that it is a eugenics program. The medical community has had a history of introducing new techniques without a whole lot of testing. Some of them work out better than others.
With as many different companies involved as there are, I am convinced the companies are doing the best as they can with respect to providing benefits that exceed the risks. But this risk/benefit ratio varies for different people. For people who are very elderly or in very poor health, the benefits may clearly exceed the risks. For very young people and pregnant women, it is a lot less clear.
The uptake within the population would seem to follow this pattern, with people in nursing homes being the ones most likely to accept the vaccine.
I would define eugenics as modifying genetics to obtain a desirable outcome.
IMO All of the currently offered “vaccines” clearly fit that criteria.
Isnt that a rather important indicator of what is happening? All of the “vaccines” offered are gene therapy substances. Not one of them is a vaccine as was defined prior to this “pandemic”. Why is that? Why is it that all of a sudden a plethora of different “vaccines” are suddenly advocated and every single one is a gene therapy substance?
Shouldnt this radical change in what constitutes a “vaccine” be discussed in a free society prior to it being administered? Perhaps were too stupid to be able to have a debate about what gets injected in our own bodies? Is it unreasonable to be informed as to the nature of whats in that syringe?
The concept of eugenics typically might denote desirable outcomes that are elective not a response to a supposed crisis.
That remains a unknown. Duncan would have us believe that this eugenics is is response to a horrible and completely deadly threat administered by all knowing and benevolent authorities, FE would have us believe it is a “lethal injection” administered to cull the herd. The circumstance and motives of the eugenics are debatable. That it is eugenics to my mind is not debatable. Gateway eugenics. I would place the probability that this is not gateway eugenics very low. Why? Well we have a multitude of new gene therapy substances that have never made it even close to making it through trials being advocated and distributed. And what is the new safety mechanism with trials bypassed?
The results are being closely monitored with state of the art technology.
The results of what?
the experiment
It seems clear to me that one foot is indeed in the door of this brave new world.
I would have a lot more trust in the authorities if their was a open and honest discussion about this. After all eugenics programs are typically associated with some not so nice things. If the argument is that genetic modification is necessary now due to the pandemic that argument should be clearly and honestly presented, The issues raised by just calling it a “vaccine” ignoring the implications of the decision of our species to tamper with our genetics is profoundly suspicious and disturbing to me alone let alone the multitude of other suspicious and disturbing aspects related to the motives and purpose of this decision. Perhaps the term eugenics is not helpful. Lets discard it for the moment.
It is being advocated that we administer a agent that alters the blueprint of what we are in a manner that has not been done before and will create changes in our bodies and essence that has not been done before.
Is that accurate and more palatable?
I suppose another purpose of the vaccines could be to divide the population into two groups: Those getting the vaccines and those not getting the vaccines. Each group will want to shun the other, for various reasons. Or maybe it is three groups, depending on availability of vaccines.
In long term, Churchill was a great leader for the world, because he finished Britain as a Great Power.
Thanks to him, Britain became an insignificant appendage of USA. The North Sea oil extended its life by a generation, but it is time for Britain to go back to the days of Seven Kingdoms.
England’s policy of dividing europe only benefited Asia. With a Hindu prime minister around the corner, it is time for the British to repent its meddling of Europe, and revoke the dukedoms of Marlborough and Wellington to begin with.
Instead some English are quite delusional and they still think they can hold on to Scotland. I don’t think the “Asians” and Africans in England give a scone to there.
Future generations of Europeans will thank Churchill for dismantling the British power once for all.
Yes, the Indian Ocean should be given to India, and we should help India, China and Myanmar re-educate their Muslims until they can no longer remember what Islam is.
Britain did not ‘invent’ the strategy of the ‘balance of power’ (BOP). Ancient Greeks used it, and it re-emerged as a policy in the Italian Renaissance. Britain used it from the 17th c. to avoid any rival to its naval power and Empire. If it had not been Britain, then it likely would have been some other dominant power with the same policy to exploit BOP.
BOP had certainly run its course by 20th c. It had long encouraged competitive alliances, and the industrialisation of war by WWI led to severe outcomes. BOP was obviously not ‘working’ beyond short term British state interests. It was only a matter of time before some power or other took the competitive industrialisation of war to its logical conclusion to ‘tip’ the ‘balance’.
Churchill was warned that BOP had had its day, and that some sort of combine with a dominant continental hegemon was needed, but he pursued WWII on its basis, to maintain the British Empire and the rest is history. Britain failed to adapt in the 20th c. and lost its hegemony. It is hard to see how it would have kept it anyway, as other powers industrialised, like Russia and USA. The simple fact is that it did not.
Post-war, the trend on the continent has been away from BOP and toward ‘internationalism’, the cooperation of powers as a combine, eg. EU. Internationalism was the status quo on the continent, under the Holy Roman Empire of the German Nation, until the religious divisions and the Peace of Westphalia (1648). On the other hand, there has been global competition between USSR and USA and there has been wars all the time. China is aware that it needs to be as militarily strong as possible to avoid obliteration by USA. So the global situation is complex, and it is perhaps inevitably about relative power.
Churchill fantasised after the war, when he could see the wreckage of Europe and of Britain, and soon of the British Empire, the emergence of USA as financially and militarily dominant, and the mounting threat of the USSR, that Anglo countries and the ‘Commonwealth’, would combine as an overwhelming force in the place of BOP. USA did take over as the main global hegemon, USSR had half of Europe until the 1990s, and the continent developed the EU combine. Britain has been a run down back water, no more than a symbolic poodle of USA, with no power or influence, and the ‘Commonwealth’ is basically irrelevant.
Whether the present status quo of global capitalism is energetically sustainable is another matter. Obviously not, but it would have taken a very different ideological and socio-economic orientation to have ‘avoided’ or at least ‘postponed’ that. Western capitalism won WWII, with its ideology of maximum economic expansion, and here we are. History is what it is, and in a sense, it was ‘always’ going to run this course. What comes next is anyone’s guess.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Balance_of_power_(international_relations)#England
> …. In fact, Churchill shortly adopted a similar view: Our Russian friends and Allies, he spoke in 1946, most admire strength and least respect military weakness. “For that reason the old doctrine of a balance of power is unsound. We cannot afford … to work on narrow margins, offering temptations to a trial of strength.” If the Western Democracies do not stand together “then indeed catastrophe may overwhelm us all.” If, however, “the population of the English-speaking Commonwealths be added to that of the United States with all that such co-operation implies in the air, on the sea, all over the globe and in science and in industry, and in moral force, there will be no quivering, precarious balance of power to offer its temptation to ambition or adventure. On the contrary, there will be an overwhelming assurance of security.”
”History is what it is, and in a sense, it was ‘always’ going to run this course. What comes next is anyone’s guess.”
Likely, never certain. In chaotic nonlinear systems there usually exist several equilibriums. Attractors.
That being said, it could equally have been worse, or better. Hindsight and forgiveness is a bitch. Can’t go back in time to fix stupid. It is never too late to give up on stupid and move ahead.
Indeed it is what it is. Grim, intractable, predicament, absurd.
~Western Capitalism~
American Capitalism , based upon infinite resources, won WW2.
Despite of Soviet claims of heroism, without the American radios and American produced cans of tushonka (Soviet style of spam, with better cuts of meat than given to US troops), the Soviets would have folded.
England’s habit of weakening Europe while propping up Asia paid a HUGE dividend as it exported consumerism to Asia, which basically led the world to where it is now
Brisbane man hospitalised for clots days after receiving Pfizer vaccine
Health officials have launched an urgent investigation into how a Brisbane frontline worker developed blood clots days after receiving the Pfizer vaccine.
The Queensland government has confirmed health authorities will investigate any potential link between the Pfizer vaccine and a man who presented at a private hospital with blood clots just days after receiving the jab.
The 40-year-old man, believed to be a police officer and frontline worker responsible for patrolling Queensland quarantine hotels, received the Pfizer shot on Sunday, 9 News reported.
Deputy Premier Steven Miles said Health officials would urgently look into the matter.
“It’s too early to say if this incident is linked to the Pfizer vaccine,” Mr Miles said on Wednesday.
“Clearly, our authorities will be looking into whether there is a link; looking to see whether it can help inform that vaccine rollout.
“What people should be very confident in, though, is our medical authorities are keen to investigate any such incident and provide information and data nationally and internationally.”
A spokesman for the Department of Health reiterated Mr Miles’s comments, telling NCA NewsWire the Vaccine Operations Centre was “working closely” with Queensland Health to investigate the case.
“We take all reports of adverse reactions very seriously and they are reviewed through the appropriate channels,” a statement from the department read.
“The Therapeutic Goods Administration (TGA) has rigorous safety standards and monitors the safety of all vaccines supplied in Australia. The TGA has robust procedures to quickly detect, investigate and respond to potential safety issues if they arise.
“The TGA encourages health professionals and consumers to report suspected side effects following immunisation with COVID-19 vaccines. Every report is valuable and contributes to our safety monitoring.”
https://www.news.com.au/lifestyle/health/health-problems/brisbane-man-hospitalised-for-clots-days-after-receiving-pfizer-vaccine/news-story/a64a53c8351d36a180033acf3dbe1296
Childcare worker sacked for refusing flu vaccine loses legal appeal
A childcare worker who was sacked for refusing to get vaccinated because she had a “conscientious objection” has lost a legal claim to get her job back.
The Fair Work Commission backed major childcare provider Goodstart Early Learning, which required its staff to get a flu shot, in a decision with major implications for businesses’ power to demand employees get coronavirus jabs.
Bou-Jamie Barber claimed she had been unfairly fired when she was sacked from the childcare chain in August last year after she refused to get a flu vaccination.
Fair Work Commission deputy president Nicholas Lake dismissed Ms Barber’s case, finding that despite her claim to have suffered migraines after a previous flu shot and have a “sensitive” immune system, medical evidence did not show she had a valid exemption.
Industrial law allows employers to issue lawful and reasonable directions to staff, including on issues such as a vaccine. This has been a hot topic among businesses, which are uncertain whether it is “lawful and reasonable” to compel their employees to get the COVID-19 vaccine.
Barrister Ian Neil SC, a labour law expert who was not involved in the Barber case, said it was the first considered decision on the subject and suggested employers with vulnerable workforces could mandate a coronavirus vaccine.
Deputy president Lake found it was reasonable to require childcare staff to have a vaccine because of children’s risk of influenza, close contact, and the inability of some to have a vaccine because of their age.
Mr Neil said it “is difficult to see why the same reasoning wouldn’t apply to COVID vaccinations”, adding it would extend beyond childcare to other industries such as aged care.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/childcare-worker-sacked-for-refusing-flu-vaccine-loses-legal-appeal-20210421-p57l37.html
It sounds like this is an Australian case.
I read the link James posted awhile back: “Restoring the Rule of Law: Legal Implications of Covert Population Control Measures” by Kevin Galalea. It had a sort of schizophrenic thread running through it, where different paragraphs didn’t seem possible in the same piece. For instance:
“There is no evidence of direct and public incitement to commit genocide as that would damage the secrecy that protects the program from public scrutiny and since the program is not malevolent but benevolent in as much as it is intended to do as little harm as possible to individuals while accomplishing objectives necessary for the longterm survival of mankind.”
“Every day the depopulation program is allowed to continue countless innocents around the world are being crippled, sterilized, chronically sickened, enfeebled, prematurely killed and irreversibly degraded both intellectually and genetically. Failure to stop the Global Depopulation Policy is according to the article 128 a failure to offer aid in an emergency, a crime punishable by up to three years imprisonment.”
So, which is it? Benevolent or not, required or not?
Well it seems like the mental stress has lifted and Kevin Galalea has planted his stake firmly in the ground, lauding the evolution of the “Plandemic”.
“https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pICScm3f8mk”
Part Six: Accomplishments of the Plandemic Strategy
Galalea has preached depop for a long time. He got into a bunch of trouble because of that, and he has become quite crazy after he lost the custody of his sons. That aside, he has some good points.
I would be hesitant to quote Kevin Galalea on anything. He publishes “academic” papers that simply refer back to what he wrote earlier. Even if there is some evidence that some people have planned epidemics and other related things, whether they can actually carry out their plans is very iffy. He tries to include all kinds of things besides COVID-19 in his writings.
Activists hand out free joints to adults who have been vaccinated
https://twitter.com/conspiracyguy78/status/1385097910954643462
Marijuana handout to get vaccinated. Original idea!
The QEnundrum
The US Treasury Department announced today that it has completed an auction of 20-year bonds. Quite unlike the one 7s auction – you know, that one – this particular bond sale was positively uninteresting. Like all the rest of the bills, notes, and bonds since February 25, there an overwhelming number of bank dealers and other participants some of whom seem hellbent on paying any price for the paper.
The low accepted yield today, which represents 5% of all bids, was practically zero, just 8 bps. Demand for long bonds yielding barely more than 2% continues to be thorough even as, discussed yesterday, US central government debt levels skyrocket and show absolutely no sign of slowing down though the gross economy has for more than a decade.
How can this be?
Some say that it is the Fed which is artificially inflating demand for Treasuries (and other asset classes) due to its own bond buying programs. This latest LSAP, or large scale asset purchase, otherwise known as QE6, has seen the central bank’s SOMA holdings of notes and bonds (though, curiously, very few bills) explode upward by $2.5 trillion since last March.
Yet, even the central bankers know this isn’t the reason for stubbornly low yields on these securities. As I’ve endeavored to point out as often as I possibly can, the academic literature, most of which has been sponsored and written by central bank staffs, is conclusive. I still love the way the Reserve Bank of New Zealand just comes right out with it:
Studies found the government bond purchases worth 10 percent of GDP have, on average, lowered 10-year government bond yields by around 50 basis points.
Underwhelming, isn’t it? Pitiful, actually.
The Federal Reserve’s purchases over the last thirteen months are only a bit larger than 10% of GDP, thus, best case, bond yields are just 50 bps lower than perhaps where they otherwise would have been – if you take this average view at face value. Arguably, and there’s much data to support significantly less than this, the reason why most of these papers use “term premiums” as a standard for measuring QE impacts, the effect on yields is negligible.
Even if we account for somewhere between zero and 50 or so bps, that still means US Treasury rates are ridiculously low otherwise; demand easily sustained (as the auctions results demonstrate, one after another with the single exception).
What is this demand?
As usual, we’ll leave it for Richard Fisher (of all ex-FOMC officials) to explain:
MR. FISHER. In summary, I want to mention that, as I said earlier, most of these variations that have been suggested are very un-Bagehot-like. And what I mean by that is, twisting [or QE and yield caps] entails purchasing assets that investors are fleeing toward, not assets that they are fleeing from. [emphasis added]
https://alhambrapartners.com/2021/04/21/the-qenundrum/
Perhaps bond purchasers want the stability that US Treasury Debt will provide. Also debt of other governments. They don’t see very good investment opportunities anywhere, so a very low interest rate is acceptable.
Much of the bond market demand is about balance sheet operations. Banks aren’t really buying bonds for the coupon/interest, It is primarily the liquidity of UST that is really desirable when compared against higher yielding but riskier forms of collateral. The general question of cash lenders is “If my counterparty can’t repay today, can I sell the collateral instantly to maintain solvency?”
Large fixed income pension type entities do buy and hold bonds. But even these entities are often trading them based on changed value relative to interest rates (i.e. even a low yielding bond increases in value by a large % if rates decline).
This remains true even at low interest rates. If rates go from 1.5% to 1% that’s only 50bps, however it’s a 30% decrease, which makes bonds purchased at the previous rate significantly more valuable.
It’s these pension funds that have become riskier in their failed search for yield.
Thanks for your insight. I agree with your analysis “If rates go from 1.5% to 1% that’s only 50bps, however it’s a 30% decrease, which makes bonds purchased at the previous rate significantly more valuable.” Buyers have been going after price changes relating to falling interest rates.
“The debate in France on incorporating the cost of inputs into the price received by farmers has moved forward with the proposal of a law made by a member of the French National Assembly.
“Gregory Besson-Moreau has proposed a bill that will put mandatory cost indicators into the price negotiations between farmers and processors and supermarkets.
“The proposal aims at ensuring that farmers get a better share of final consumer price by legally insisting that the cost of producing food are factored into the prices paid to farmers.”
https://www.farmersjournal.ie/france-moves-closer-to-incorporating-input-costs-into-food-price-by-law-617130
“Scottish fishing leaders have condemned plans for a “scandalous” blockade by French rivals that threatens to prevent them landing their catch.
“Jimmy Buchan, the chief executive of the Scottish Seafood Association, said the action at Boulogne-sur-Mer would damage UK businesses already hard hit by Brexit.”
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/scottish-fishermen-call-for-action-over-french-plan-to-blockade-port-6d8np60nw
A “war” between the French and the Scots!
Which side will the Norman invaders in London side with?
Their own side. Viking mentality: Coin inserted – loyalty given.
Interesting phenomenon there. The FDR administration instituted a semblance of Parity during the war. Farmers later claimed it made winning the war possible. It certainly indicated that the “system” knows how to properly distribute surplus, when required by circumstance. The last (almost vestigial) organization I know of that has carried the torch for Parity Pricing, over a number of decades, is the National Organization for Raw Materials. Their membership overlapped that of the American Agriculture Movement. Those were the farmers who self-organized the phenomenal tractor-cade to Washington, DC during the Carter administration. Hundreds of them spent all winter lobbying. A great little book on that is titled From the White House to the Hoosegow by Gerald McCathern.
Excerpt from the NORM Economics Home Page
Briefly stated, here’s how NATURAL ECONOMIC LAW works:
When the nation’s production of raw materials from its farms, ranches, timberlands, oceans, mines, wells, and recycling centers first enters into trade channels at prices in balance with the costs of labor and capital, then the U.S. economy will operate at virtually full employment, debt expansion will cease and public and private debt will shrink, interest rates will decline and stay low, inflation will be nil, and there will be sufficient taxes collected to balance governmental budgets at all levels.
Why does the U.S. economy respond so positively to “parity” raw material prices? Simply stated, it’s because the “Trade Turn” for every raw material dollar of income is maximized. The Annual Economic Cycle of production, processing, distribution, and consumption of the nation’s goods and services operates at full efficiency on an earned-income basis.
In recent decades, it’s become unfashionable to educate the American public about the Annual Economic Cycle of Production, Processing, Distribution, and Consumption. In fact, dictionaries and encyclopedias no longer define economics in terms of the Annual Economic Cycle. This is unfortunate because it is misleading. Citizens erroneously begin to believe that wealth is always counted in terms of money when, in truth, they should understand that all “new wealth” originates in the natural world and that all of Man’s subsequent activities simply “add value” to the Earth’s products.
The summation of NORM’s findings from more than 70 years of analyzing the nation’s economic record boils down to this statement:
The health, robustness, and sustainability of the American economy is directly tied to the production of raw materials and the price at which those raw materials first enter into commercial channels. When raw materials enter trade channels at prices in balance with the prices of labor and capital, the economy operates on an earned-income basis with no buildup of public and private debt. Conversely, when raw materials enter trade channels at less-than-parity prices with labor and capital, the economy lacks sufficient earned dollars to operate on an debt-free basis, therefore, public and private debt accumulates.
That simple explanation of raw material economics explains why America today suffers from more than $50-trillion in public and private debt and why much of it is unserviceable.
Gail – apologize for the double post. I was using a different browser and the first didn’t appear so I tried again. Didn’t see them until I went back to my normal browser. Won’t happen again.
Interesting phenomenon there. The FDR administration instituted a semblance of Parity during the war. Farmers later claimed it made winning the war possible. It certainly indicated that the “system” knows how to properly distribute surplus, when required by circumstance. The last (almost vestigial) organization I know of that has carried the torch for Parity Pricing, over a number of decades, is the National Organization for Raw Materials. Their membership overlapped that of the American Agriculture Movement. Those were the farmers who self-organized the phenomenal tractor-cade to Washington, DC during the Carter administration. Hundreds of them spent all winter lobbying. A great little book on that is titled From the White House to the Hoosegow by Gerald McCathern.
NORM Economics Home Page
Briefly stated, here’s how NATURAL ECONOMIC LAW works:
When the nation’s production of raw materials from its farms, ranches, timberlands, oceans, mines, wells, and recycling centers first enters into trade channels at prices in balance with the costs of labor and capital, then the U.S. economy will operate at virtually full employment, debt expansion will cease and public and private debt will shrink, interest rates will decline and stay low, inflation will be nil, and there will be sufficient taxes collected to balance governmental budgets at all levels.
Why does the U.S. economy respond so positively to “parity” raw material prices? Simply stated, it’s because the “Trade Turn” for every raw material dollar of income is maximized. The Annual Economic Cycle of production, processing, distribution, and consumption of the nation’s goods and services operates at full efficiency on an earned-income basis.
In recent decades, it’s become unfashionable to educate the American public about the Annual Economic Cycle of Production, Processing, Distribution, and Consumption. In fact, dictionaries and encyclopedias no longer define economics in terms of the Annual Economic Cycle. This is unfortunate because it is misleading. Citizens erroneously begin to believe that wealth is always counted in terms of money when, in truth, they should understand that all “new wealth” originates in the natural world and that all of Man’s subsequent activities simply “add value” to the Earth’s products.
The summation of NORM’s findings from more than 70 years of analyzing the nation’s economic record boils down to this statement:
The health, robustness, and sustainability of the American economy is directly tied to the production of raw materials and the price at which those raw materials first enter into commercial channels. When raw materials enter trade channels at prices in balance with the prices of labor and capital, the economy operates on an earned-income basis with no buildup of public and private debt. Conversely, when raw materials enter trade channels at less-than-parity prices with labor and capital, the economy lacks sufficient earned dollars to operate on an debt-free basis, therefore, public and private debt accumulates.
That simple explanation of raw material economics explains why America today suffers from more than $50-trillion in public and private debt and why much of it is unserviceable.
“Citizens erroneously begin to believe that wealth is always counted in terms of money when, in truth, they should understand that all “new wealth” originates in the natural world and that all of Man’s subsequent activities simply “add value” to the Earth’s products.”
Of course, there are all kinds of products of the Earth that are important. Fresh water (relative to population) is important. So is arable land (relative to population). We think of oil being important, but it is really oil, relative to population that is important. As population rises, it becomes more and more difficult for the economy to function in a “normal” manner. Depletion of aquifers that have built up over thousands of years, as well as oil fields and coal mines is another issues.
We encountered a lot of contentious water issues while living in Texas where companies were contracted to drill into various aquifers to send water to growing communities far from the source. After the drought of 2011 in Hays County, neighbors who were all on private wells became quite sensitive to this issue, having had theirs go dry. Texas law is quite antiquated, going back to the early 1900’s and codifies virtually unlimited water extraction from private land. I went to a meeting in Wimberley, TX to hear geologists explain their view of the next 50 years and the difficulty of even mapping the complex nature of the different aquifers that exist in Hays County. Indignant ranchers stormed out of the meeting at the mention of putting meters on wells and changing the law. These poor geologists were retired experts who had been finagled into accepting a role that few would want.
Boone Pickens was planning a pipeline from the Ogallala Aquifer under the Panhandle area to get water from there to Dallas. There was quite a squall over that plan. Don’t know how or if it was resolved.
My old neighbors have recently been fighting both the water war and against a Morgan Kinder gas pipeline being laid through the Hill Country south of Austin; it’s intended to bring gas from the Permian Basin of West Texas to somewhere around Houston. Their drilling under rivers is causing mud to enter residential wells and the activism in a tri-county area is ramping up but the forces behind that pipeline are seemingly relentless. Minor court victories are short-lived and activists get exhausted.
The NYC water tunnel is 600 feet down no issue with neighbors. You folks just need to go deeper. Contact Elon Musk.
Same thing in California’s central valley. Years of over pumping, combined with drought, made many shallower wells go dry, also causing in some areas substantial land subsidence that reduces aquifer capacity. Farmers spend a fortune digging deeper wells. Some households can’t afford to lower wells so resort to tanked in water.
California very recently started to regulate well pumps to reduce further damage.
With the needed price for farmers in the indications paid by supermarkets and by processors, perhaps it will be the supermarkets and processors who go out of business, rather than the farmers. One way or another, the chain to those who want to buy the food gets broken, because the total price customers in the aggregate can afford to pay is not enough to cover all of these costs.
Gail, I saw a microcosm of that scenario in the mid-70’s, building walk-in coolers for Chaldean immigrants in Detroit. All the big chains had up and left. We cannibalized old Kroger store coolers at one point, reconfiguring their equipment into smaller coolers we installed in the new “party-store” method of food-delivery. Those replaced the Farmer Jacks, A&P’s, Kroger’s, etc.; a localized model which still exists to a great extent there, albeit heavily corporatized (7-11 and such) and staffed these days by a different mix of immigrants.
It was open-carry back then (now it is again) and it was before plexiglass came into vogue. They were all packing as natural as could be. Like they were born with handguns. Those Chaldeans had seen much more danger in the Middle East than anything Detroit could dish out. They were really tight, family-based solidarity to the max. The George’s were at the top of the pyramid (Melody Farm Dairy). They’d bring a new kid over and work him a couple of years in an auto factory, if he kept his nose clean, they’d put him in a store of his own where he’d work 16-hour days. Those new guys lived in their stores pretty much. The George’s were way up at the wholesale end.
We’ll be increasingly going back to some simpler kind of food distribution. I see the anticipation of that all around our area. CSA’s sprouting like mushrooms, livestock CSA’s, increasing numbers of farmer’s markets, co-op groceries, consignment groceries, local distribution anchored by one high-end independent brick-and-mortar store.
The ‘super-organism’ has been anticipating what’s to come. That’s all around us. 15 years ago there were two CSA’s in the Ann Arbor area. Today it’s probably 50 or more. There’s an incubator farm to help get young people going. I’m thinking mobile abattoirs at some point, like a few chicken folks are doing on the east coast, except for cattle down the road.
It only takes need and some effort to de-link farm and ranch operations from their existing distribution models. There’s going to be a ton of compromising and creativity once people get hungry enough. I’ve been thinking about buying an industrial food-dehydrator and setting-up a co-op kitchen. Whatever happens, we’ll surely be expending energy on preserving food at a local level. Does the electric or natural gas model make more sense?
“Wall Street bears battered by the Reddit crowd earlier this year have yet to regain their gumption, even with stocks at records and valuations near two-decade highs…
“”There’s just mass euphoria,” said Benn Dunn, president of Alpha Theory Advisors. “No one wants to get their head ripped off by a short anymore.””
https://www.pionline.com/markets/stock-shorts-collapse-no-hedge-fund-wants-head-ripped
“$12.3 Trillion in Stimulus Killed the Debt Default Cycle.
“Almost all fear of bankruptcy has been obliterated from bond markets even though the global economy is still struggling.”
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-04-21/-12-3-trillion-in-stimulus-killed-the-debt-default-cycle
It is difficult to know how long this bubble economy can exist.
CLO’s (collateralized loan obligations) are the new hotness. These are supposedly not risky because the business loans in the pool are spread across multiple industries/sectors. Further, the mix is separated into tranches of riskier and safer assets.
Of course the assumption is that we couldn’t have an event which will effect businesses across these sectors and levels of quality.
On the other hand, I think we here are almost certain that something DEFINITELY will happen such as this. For instance, if non-essential products become unaffordable to most people.
“Global wine consumption fell to its lowest point since 2002 last year amid curbs on hospitality venues amid the coronavirus pandemic, according to Paris-based International Organisation of Vine and Wine…
“OIV puts the total exports of wine-producing countries in 2020 at an estimated 29.6 billion euros ($35.6 billion), a figure that would represent a fall of nearly seven percent.”
https://www.thedrinksbusiness.com/2021/04/covid-leads-to-lowest-global-wine-consumption-levels-since-2002/
“Frost damage could cut French wine output by a third:
“Frost damage to French vineyards this month could reduce wine production by about 15 million hectolitres in 2021, farm office FranceAgriMer said on Thursday, citing initial estimates from wine producers.”
https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/frost-damage-could-cut-french-wine-output-by-a-third-2021-04-22
The first to covert their LED Grant subsidized, Controlled Environment Agriculture to grape production wont be the last. But then even Charles Shaw will be 20 a bottle.
I expect that most of the rest of the world’s wine production will go on as in the past. Australia likely will have quite a bit to sell, if China is not buying its wine.
Sigh. Australian wine is cheap muck. New Zealand wine is expensive muck. By far the best Southern Hemisphere wine comes from Chile.
100% agree.
“‘Economic collapse amid escalating conflict’: is Myanmar becoming a failed state?
“What started as a domestic political crisis caused by the military’s toppling of Aung San Suu Kyi’s government has quickly escalated. First into a human rights emergency as troops shot and killed unarmed protesters and more recently into something resembling a civil conflict…”
https://www.ft.com/content/6189a752-6f68-4d61-99ea-9e83137a1d3d
“Food insecurity is rising sharply in Myanmar in the wake of the military coup and deepening financial crisis…
“Up to 3.4 million more people will struggle to afford food in the next three to six months with urban areas worst affected…”
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/millions-face-hunger-myanmar-crisis-worsens-united-nations-says-2021-04-22/
The story keeps repeating in different parts of the world!
It has been a Failed State for quite a while.
One of the richest of the UK’s ex colonies, that has taken a different path.
I’ve actually been there, but it has been a while.
I’ve been twice — it was not a failed state… there has been massive Chinese investment pouring in.
Yemen is a failed state. Haiti is a failed state. Been to both – you cannot compare Burma with either
Burma is a Totalitarian State. Like China
“Jerusalem seethes with clashes between Jews, Arabs…
“Jerusalem police report having detained more than 50 people suspected of rioting. Police Commissioner Kobbi Shabtai arrived yesterday to east Jerusalem as the situation escalated. Police fear further escalation as members of the extreme right call for supporters to come to Jerusalem and confront local Arab residents.”
https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2021/04/jerusalem-seethes-clashes-between-jews-arabs
“Syrian missile lands near Dimona nuclear reactor, interception fails…
“Israel and Syria exchanged missile attacks early Thursday morning after Damascus launched an advanced surface-to-air missile that landed all the way in the Negev Desert.”
https://www.google.com/amp/s/m.jpost.com/breaking-news/alarms-sound-in-south-of-israel-665953/amp
It was my experience that there were police almost everywhere in Jerusalem. A person needed to go through a weapon checkpoint to get into a shopping maul. It sounds as if there are still problems, in spite of all of their precautions.
Jerusalem, and indeed all of Israel, was designed to be a concentration camp for Palestinians. It is now also a concentration camp for the other inmates. “Whoso diggeth a pit shall fall therein; And he that rolleth a stone, it shall return upon him.” (Proverbs xxvi:27)
Death to Humans! Fast Eddy Akbar!!!
“A slide in the rupee is exacerbating a slump in Indian corporate dollar notes that are now among the worst performers in Asia, just as concerns mount that companies are hedging less…
“The weaker rupee pushes up servicing costs on foreign debt. The currency has plunged about 2.4% against the dollar this month… Spiking Covid-19 cases threaten to worsen the selloff.”
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-22/rupee-fall-is-hurting-bonds-now-among-asia-s-worst-india-credit
“India’s health care system and other essential services are close to collapse as a second coronavirus wave that started in mid-March tears through the country with devastating speed.
“On Wednesday, the country saw its highest daily rise in infections and deaths since the start of the pandemic…”
https://edition.cnn.com/2021/04/21/world/coronavirus-newsletter-intl-04-21-21/index.html
Of course, India is a big maker of many kinds of medicines, including vaccines. If it is doing badly, it will be difficult for it to keep up its roles in vaccine making. A falling rupee will make its costs higher.
“Japan’s government is expected to issue a third state of emergency on Tokyo and three western prefectures that could last for about two weeks…
“[This] may push Japan back into recession… A renewed state of emergency would also cast doubt on whether Tokyo can host the Olympics in July, despite Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga’s assurances it will proceed as planned.”
https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/recession-risk-looms-as-japan-eyes-third-state-of-emergency-1.4544528
“BOJ faces communication dilemma as weak inflation leaves Kuroda with complex policy…
“The BOJ’s struggle highlights the challenge global central banks face in telegraphing their policy intentions to financial markets after their mandates broadened during the COVID-19 pandemic. The wall of money they and many governments are pumping in is making future inflation trends, and potential policy responses, even harder to predict.”
https://kfgo.com/2021/04/22/analysis-boj-faces-communication-dilemma-as-weak-inflation-leaves-kuroda-with-complex-policy/
“Japanese financial institutions have become more exposed to market risks triggered by non-bank and overseas funds, the central bank warned on Tuesday, in the wake of losses caused by the collapse of family office Archegos Capital Management.”
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/boj-warns-low-rates-structural-woes-hurt-banks-even-after-pandemic-subsides-2021-04-20/
Japan’s number of cases, even with the recent increases, is tiny compared to much of the rest of the world. On a seven day moving average basis, its number of new cases is 3.46 per 100,000. In comparison, the US is currently at 19.1 new cases per 100,000, and the EU is at 29 new cases per 100,000. Israel, with all of its vaccinations, has 1.49 cases per 100,000, so is a little lower.
Yet:
https://english.kyodonews.net/news/2021/04/cf1704b9940e-japan-prepares-for-covid-19-emergency-in-tokyo-osaka-kyoto-hyogo.html
https://english.kyodonews.net/news/2021/04/02b12b7c8022-suga-to-declare-covid-19-state-of-emergency-in-tokyo-western-japan.html
Reminiscent of Geta’s G W Emergency!