Item of General Interest
July 25. I received notice today that an article I helped write is available for free download for the next fifty days. The corrected free link for the article is "An Oil Production Forecast for China Considering Economic Limits." The article discusses the possibility that oil prices may not rise endlessly, and evaluates three future price scenarios. Under the "low" scenario (prices remain under $50 per barrel), oil production in China has already peaked.
Category Archives: Energy policy
Intermittent Renewables Can’t Favorably Transform Grid Electricity
Many people are hoping for wind and solar PV to transform grid electricity in a favorable way. Is this really possible? Is it really feasible for intermittent renewables to generate a large share of grid electricity? The answer increasingly looks … Continue reading
Eight Pitfalls in Evaluating Green Energy Solutions
Does the recent climate accord between US and China mean that many countries will now forge ahead with renewables and other green solutions? I think that there are more pitfalls than many realize. Pitfall 1. Green solutions tend to push … Continue reading
Posted in Alternatives to Oil, Energy policy, Financial Implications
Tagged electric grid, EROEI, green energy, oil prices, renewables, solar PV, wind energy
1,278 Comments
Eight Energy Myths Explained
Republicans, Democrats, and environmentalists all have favorite energy myths. Even Peak Oil believers have favorite energy myths. The following are a few common mis-beliefs, coming from a variety of energy perspectives. I will start with a recent myth, and then … Continue reading
Oil Limits and Climate Change – How They Fit Together
We hear a lot about climate change, especially now that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has recently published another report. At the same time, oil is reaching limits, and this has an effect as well. How do the … Continue reading
Posted in Energy policy, Financial Implications
Tagged carbon dioxide emissions, climate change, CO2 emissions, collapse, IPCC, oil limits, peak oil
825 Comments
Why EIA, IEA, and Randers’ 2052 Energy Forecasts are Wrong
What is the correct way to model the future course of energy and the economy? There are clearly huge amounts of oil, coal, and natural gas in the ground. With different approaches, researchers can obtain vastly different indications. I will … Continue reading
