Southeast Asia can perhaps avoid the worst impacts of inadequate oil supply

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Some of my frequent commenters know that I recently returned from a visit to Southeast Asia. In this post, I would like to present a little energy-related information about this part of the world. Most of my information is from published energy reports, but a little is from my visit to Thailand, Cambodia, and Vietnam. I have included these countries in my Southeast Asia totals, plus Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and (to the extent I could find the data), amounts for a few other small countries included in the grouping used by the United Nations in its “Southeast Asia” grouping.

While Southeast Asia shares most of the energy problems of the rest of the world, it seems to me that this region is somewhat better placed to handle the energy shortfalls that lie ahead than many other regions. Southeast Asia’s warm, wet climate is helpful, as is its supply of coal, particularly in Indonesia. Many of the people in this part of the world are used to living in cramped quarters–three generations in a large one-room home, for example. Abundant forests provide a renewable source of energy. Religious traditions help provide order. These factors may work together to allow the economies of these countries to continue to some extent, even as much of the rest of the world pushes in the direction of collapse.

[1] Southeast Asia is finding it must import ever-larger amounts of oil to meet the needs of its growing economies.

Figure 1. Oil production and consumption are from the 2024 Statistical Review of World Energy, published by the Energy Institute. Oil imports are calculated by subtraction.

Figure 1 shows that Southeast Asia produces a little oil itself. This oil production (blue line) reached a peak in 2000 and has fallen since then. Such a pattern is common among the countries of the world–oil production starts falling once the easily extracted oil is removed.

Southeast Asia’s oil consumption (orange line) has generally been growing. Up until 1993, the area produced enough oil for its own needs. More recently, Southeast Asia’s oil needs have been met through increasing imports of oil. Thus, Southeast Asia has been a net importer of oil for over 30 years. With reduced travel related to Covid in 2020 and 2021, there was a dip in consumption and imported oil in these years. By 2023, however, consumption was back above 2019 levels, and imports were higher than in 2019.

[2] Natural gas production in Southeast Asia reached a peak in 2015, and it has been declining ever since.

The situation with natural gas production is similar to that of oil. Southeast Asia’s natural gas supply reached a peak in 2015, and it has been falling ever since.

Figure 2. Natural gas production and consumption are from the 2024 Statistical Review of World Energy, published by the Energy Institute. Natural gas imports are calculated by subtraction.

Figure 2 shows that once natural gas production (blue line) began to decline, Southeast Asian natural gas consumption (orange line) started to flatten out and even decline a bit. Natural gas exports began to decline, as well, beginning more than a decade before the peak in production was reached. Some of the natural gas exports are liquefied natural gas exports, under long term contracts. These cannot easily be cut back because of inadequate production.

Today, in many parts of the world, there is high demand for natural gas to balance out electricity generated by wind and solar. Southeast Asia, which has a declining supply of natural gas available for export, cannot provide much natural gas to help the countries dealing with this intermittency problem. But, as we will see, Southeast Asia itself seems to have mostly stayed away from wind and solar. This is a plus.

It seems likely that both oil and natural gas extraction within Southeast Asia will continue to decline. This is a worry for the future.

[3] Southeast Asia’s coal supply has been growing, helping to support its industry and exports.

Coal production is still growing in Southeast Asia, with Indonesia being the primary source of production.

Figure 3. Coal production and consumption are from the 2024 Statistical Review of World Energy, published by the Energy Institute. Coal imports are calculated by subtraction.

A recent report says that coal production in Indonesia in 2024 increased by 7.1% over production in 2023, showing that growth in coal production continues. Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam are all importers of coal, much of which likely comes from Indonesia.

[4] Southeast Asia’s per capita energy consumption has been rising, due to increasing coal consumption and the addition of other types of energy, made possible by fossil fuels.

Figure 4. Per capita energy consumption by type, based on data of the 2024 Statistical Review of World Energy, published by the Energy Institute.

Hydroelectricity seems to be the single largest category of “All Other” energy supply. Building dams to produce hydro-electric power has been made possible by the availability of coal to produce concrete and steel.

Another major category of “All Other” seems to be the burning of wood chips.

Figure 5. Place in Vietnam where trees on the side of a mountain were being clearcut to provide wood chips. We were told that the area would be reforested with a rapidly growing species that would again be clearcut.

A third category of “All Other” energy production is geothermal power. Both Indonesia and the Philippines generate electric power using geothermal energy. Geothermal works best when a country has volcanic mountains that can provide the high temperatures required. Southeast Asia seems to have more than its share of volcanoes.

Wind turbines and solar panels seem to be relatively little used in this part of the world. Nuclear does not seem to be used at all in this part of the world.

This combination of All Other energy supply seems to be more stable than the more common “wind and solar” version of All Other energy supply. Also, nuclear electricity now seems to have a uranium supply problem, as I discussed in a recent post. It is a high-tech solution that poor countries, such as those in Southeast Asia, are likely to have considerable problems trying to emulate.

[5] Southeast Asia has multiple advantages that allow its population to get along with relatively little energy, if fossil fuels become less available.

As mentioned in the introduction, the mild climate of Southeast Asia allows people to get along without heating or cooling their homes. In fact, homes don’t need to be very substantial if they don’t need insulation. They can easily be rebuilt with local materials.

On our trip, we saw several one-room homes in which up to three generations lived together. Of course, people everywhere would like fancy homes with lots of rooms, indoor bathrooms, and heating and cooling. But these things require fossil fuels, both to initially build and to maintain. If people can learn to live in very modest housing, it greatly reduces the fossil fuel energy needs of an economy.

It seems to me that if the world is heading in the direction of not enough fossil fuels, Southeast Asia is a region that can get along without much harm, even on less fuel than is available today. Farming seems to be done with little use of fuel, right now. Many families are used to living in shared living spaces. Daily markets, selling meat, including live chickens and ducks, seem to be common.

Based on my calculations, the per-capita energy consumption of Southeast Asia is about half that of China and about 21% of the US’s average per-capita energy consumption.

Economies in warm, wet climates have an advantage because agriculture can be done year-around. Without fossil fuels, Southeast Asia would not be able to support as large a population as today, but it seems likely that these countries could still support a substantial, if lower, population. The Garden of Eden mentioned in the Book of Genesis in the Bible seemed to have some of the characteristics of Southeast Asian countries today. If “warm and wet” was a solution in the early days, it may be a solution in the future.

[6] Southeast Asia has nowhere near the scale of energy supplies to replace China, with its huge industrial output.

Figure 6. Total electricity production of Southeastern Asia compared to that of China (excluding Hong Kong), based on data of the 2024 Statistical Review of World Energy, published by the Energy Institute.

China’s electricity production in 2023 was 23.0 times its electricity production in 1985. Southeast Asia’s electricity production in 2023 was 12.8 times its electricity production in 1985. Thus, China’s growth rate has been close to twice as fast as Southeast Asia.

While China’s rapid growth has been impressive, it is very hard to maintain. Southeast Asia’s slower growth curve, which is still somewhat rising, would seem to be easier to maintain. If it does start to fall, it will hopefully be a slower fall.

[7] Indonesia, which is part of Southeast Asia, is a world leader in coal production.

Coal tends to be an inexpensive source of heat and electricity and is essential in making steel. The industrial revolution around the world was started with the use of coal. Coal is still used heavily in manufacturing. While the wealthy countries of the world talk a great deal about carbon dioxide and climate change, the poorer countries of the world–including those in Southeast Asia–continue to use coal, to the extent it is available.

Worldwide, China is number one in coal production (93.10 exajoules), according to the 2024 Statistical Review of World Energy. India is in second place, with production of 16.65 exajoules. Indonesia is close behind in third place, with coal production of 15.73 exajoules. The advantage that Indonesia has is that its population (281,000) is much lower than that of India (1.4 billion), so that its coal-benefit relative to population is much greater than that of India.

I don’t think that we know how long coal production will continue to grow. Theoretically, how long production will continue to grow is tied to the amount of coal reserves, but it is questionable whether today’s published reserve numbers are very useful in determining the quantity available at a price customers are willing to pay. The 2024 Statistical Review of World Energy report shows quite low coal reserves for Southeast Asia, and quite high coal reserves for the US, Russia, and Australia. This same report has a note at the top of the page showing coal reserves that says, “The methodology and timing of updating reserve numbers is under review.” The authors of the report seem to be saying, “Expect big revisions of these reserve numbers in the future.”

[8] People of Southeast Asia seem to have a tradition of being hard working and co-operative.

One report describes the work culture of Southeast Asia as “Community oriented, with respect for seniors, and flexibility.” The same report indicates that maintaining a calm demeanor and not showing anger in public are important in countries like Thailand and Indonesia. The article indicates that smiling plays a critical role in communication, keeping the interactions positive.

My husband and I were impressed by how happy the Buddha figures seemed to be.

Figure 7. Happy Buddha statue in southern Vietnam.

Religions seem to help provide a safety net for the poor. Working as a priest gives an option for income for those who would otherwise be unemployed and are willing to study.

[9] The world economy, including Southeast Asia, is already beginning to encounter oil shortfalls. One way they affect the economy is through less growth in long-distance tourism.

There is a temptation to believe that the tourist trade will grow, allowing the economies of Southeast Asia to grow at the same time. However, it is becoming apparent that this doesn’t necessarily work well in a world struggling with inadequate oil supplies.

We saw many examples of buildings, including entire resorts, that had been started and apparently abandoned. In particular, Cambodia seemed to have many buildings that were started as Chinese investments. We were told that these structures had been left without being completed, in or around 2020.

The northern part of Vietnam seemed to be experiencing some of the same difficulty. This partly completed building is from Da Nang, a coastal city in what was formerly North Vietnam.

Figure 8. A building in the Da Nang, Vietnam, area that seemed to have been abandoned before it was completed.

[10] We will have to wait and see how things really turn out.

Southeast Asia seems to be able to feed an awful lot of people with its rice fields and fish farms, operated with very little fossil fuel input.

Figure 9. A rice farm in Vietnam. White “flags” are to scare away birds.

There are a lot of pieces of the story we don’t understand. Without enough oil, people may need to stay closer to home. But quite a few people in warm, humid climates may be able to get along, for quite a while, with very modest living arrangements.

About Gail Tverberg

My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
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1,673 Responses to Southeast Asia can perhaps avoid the worst impacts of inadequate oil supply

  1. Student says:

    Ukraine – Russia war.

    Listening to recent tv news or reading recent articles on what Zelensky and his team are saying and also thinking about their future, I have the impression that they think to have some new cards to play on the table or to have some power to express about their political future or about the future of Ukraine.
    My impression is that they don’t have any money left and they are also a sort of bankrupted Country, therefore they don’t have any cards or power.
    Yet, they go on giving their own terms of negotiation and go on being completely divorced about what is being discussed by who seem to have the real cards and seem to have the real power (that is US and Russia).
    It is a really strange situation…

    “Zelensky offers to resign in exchange for Ukrainian NATO membership”

    https://english.alarabiya.net/News/world/2025/02/23/zelenskyy-says-he-is-willing-to-step-down-for-peace-in-ukraine

    “Ukraine cannot compromise on independence, territorial integrity, presidential aide says”

    https://english.alarabiya.net/News/world/2025/02/23/ukraine-cannot-compromise-on-independence-territorial-integrity-presidential-aide-says-

    • drb753 says:

      Student, I think things are changing very rapidly now. Zelensky’s important part of his Middle East trip was the UAE stop, where presumably he transferred money. With the UK and France going crazy, I expect rapid changes in the immediate future.

    • It is possible to be oblivious to reality. To tell yourself a different narrative than what the rest of the world is observing.

      • Dennis L. says:

        As a general observation, guess.

        We are now able to quantify many things and AI makes it possible to draw conclusions from those observations with what I assume are distributions of the outcomes; outcomes guessed in the past would have been supported by narratives by interested parties.

        The narrative wall is being brought down by so much open source information on the internet. It is getting tough to lie, many are caught with cognitive dissonance and are having a difficult time especially if their personal capital is invested in a narrative which is being shown not to work.

        It is a challenging time for all of us and retribution will not be helpful to us all. We are all going to need to adapt, it will be bumpy.

        Dennis L.

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      Z is obviously a poodle on the West’s leash.

      a puppet, a tool.

    • Dennis L. says:

      The tragedy for their people is all the capital was destroyed when the same result could have been obtained with some simple agreements 2-3 years ago.

      People’s lives destroyed.

      Dennis L.

    • drb753 says:

      Below I asked if it is possible to contact you. But it will be most visible if I post it here too.

      • Sometimes, readers ask me to be an intermediary in trying to contact another commenter. Sometimes things work out, but quite often, the other person is not interested. I do not give email addresses away without permission.

    • ivanislav says:

      >> Ukraine cannot compromise on independence, territorial integrity, presidential aide says

      How delusional. The loser wants to set the terms of the post-war settlement.

      • drb753 says:

        He is just playing for time until the UK France troops arrive.

        • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

          do you think NATZO is going to get into a ground war?

          • drb753 says:

            Difficult to say. It is a play for odessa by the French UK. But the West really does not have the wherewithal to wage war anymore. Netanyahu is a big mouth to feed too, and is chafing to restart genocide.

  2. MG says:

    The resources become costly everywhere.

    And the people urbanized a lot of the world that was originally agricultural land.

    So the agriculture had to move to less suitable areas (see Brazil).

    The increasing number of the people have no idea about the rising costs of food production.

    Have a look at any urbanized area and you can see the scale of this hidden famine, where the population with inadequate wages struggles to survive.

    Neither Canada, nor Russia are saved from this food problem.

    The soil is depleted and degraded with pollution and the cost of maintaining the food production is rising.

    The car ownership is becoming a luxury.

    The cost of accomodation is rising.

    Affordability is simply going down.

    Everywhere.

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      I agree with all of that really.

      “Neither Canada, nor Russia are saved from this food problem.”

      yes, in the long run.

      though in the next decade or two, the larger stronger countries with abundant resources, especially FF and farmland and fresh water and wood, will hold up far better than smaller weaker countries like Slovenia and the UK.

      USA/Canada, and Russia look like they have the best chance of delaying the dire poverty coming to almost all people within the next few decades.

      • Ed says:

        I would add China because they build out their alternate energy at a large enough scale.

        All three Russia, China, USA have large ocean access that they make good use of.

        • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

          sure China too.

          especially if they can keep up an export/import relationship with their Asian neighbor Russia.

        • Dennis L. says:

          I would agree on China regarding education and manufacturing; would have concerns on their agricultural land regarding pollution and degradation.

          Degradation is a problem world wide, much modern agriculture literally mines the soil. The catch, it can be done more profitably is a much more sustainable manner, but the gross output declines, food prices o the consumer most likely go up and socially the problem is farm income increases. A political problem.

          Dennis L.

      • MG says:

        Today’s real owners of the agricultural land are those who can keep the more and more complex machines operating. Without these machines, the food production for the urbanized areas simply stops. The land immediately loses its agricultural capacity and turns into wilderness, as the weeds and invasive species are just waiting for their opportunity.

        Agriculture is finished immediately.

        • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

          true, there will be massive food shortages by the 2050s.

          • MG says:

            The real weapons of today is the agricultural machinery: it is used to fight the worsening conditions for agriculture.

            • Dennis L. says:

              MG.

              Nope, machinery is a huge cost, many “independent” farmers are using pre emission machinery and a good piece of preemission machinery, e.g. a tractor sells at a premium and are sought after.

              Farming in many areas is going to regenerative farming, see Gabe Brown on YouTube. The claim it is more profitable for the farmer, but has a lower output which implies higher cost for the consumer.

              There are no easy answers. Much of the equipment you see is secondary to maintenance costs and depreciation expenses being deductible. That is a race of depreciation schedules with a larger one required each year.

              Dennis L.

        • Dennis L. says:

          Yes regarding the machines, but…

          Apparently current machinery has a limited engine life time secondary to various issues. Large operators are leasing their equipment for two years and then turning them back to avoid maintenance. Metaphorical “oil” changes are done in million+ dollar machine sheds.

          These farmers do at times own their land, but they do not own their capital in the equipment, they are now renters of said capital.

          Many are sort of centralized operators hostage to depreciation and tax issues. Farming is a very low margin business which applies to the land as well.

          Owing land is an after tax cost, how this land will end up is a question.

          Dennis L.

          • MG says:

            You named: the food prices rise and the yields stagnate at the best. But large scale agriculture is not possible with small machines and lot of the people. You can as well produce your food alone at this high price.

            • Not if you have to buy the land and provide all of the support for the plants that is required.

              Land is especially high-priced. This is a big reason why food prices are high.

            • Dennis L. says:

              I am not so sure. Much of the reason for large machines is manpower. The more the HP, the more one man can do in a given amount of time.

              My guess is machines are going autonomous, smaller machines are easier to maintain and one breaking down does not stop many others from being useful at the time period.

              Nature does not make a ten-ton grasshopper, she makes millions of the things.

              Computers have gone the same way, when I began the most modern home computer was a teletype machine on a phone modem to a mainframe. Today a good desktop will blow that old mainframe away.

              Land is a cost, but huge equipment and input costs drive up the need for more land to gain scale.

              Regenerative agriculture does not seem to require the same inputs, around me I see farmers apparently living quite well without large inputs. They are called Amish among others, but I also see farmers using dated equipment.

              There is a reason JD makes their machines so esthetically pleasing, their cabs so comfortable. Compared to a 40 year old automobile, a JD cab is much more luxurious and there is something to all that hp at your command.

              The problem is output, it will be less, costs to consumers seem likely to increase.

              As always, the future is bumpy.

              Dennis L.

            • Good points!

            • Dennis L. says:

              MG,

              See above, “But large scale agriculture is not possible with small machines and lot of the people.”

              Autonomous machinery changes all that. So, purchase a million dollar combine with caution, the head is extra by the way, one for beans, one for corn.

              For a different view see following:

              https://www.youtube.com/@GierokFarms

              This is not autonomous, but on video, it looks pleasant.

              I see the Amish living “well.”

              Dennis L.

    • Mike Jones says:

      I’m ready MG, ready to live in a cave (with clean sheets of course) without a wife…if I do have one then I’m in deep trouble…

    • The availability of jobs that pay well is shrinking. The payback on advanced degrees is far from uniform.

      • Dennis L. says:

        Heard this problem mentioned somewhere. Recalling, not quoting: “Approximately 3M individuals in the US basically “make” the necessary technology.” Sixty percent of the US population has literacy skills below a sixth grade level.

        The depth of technology is incredible, even at a community college level the electronics books are 1200 pages, dense, math intensive. To keep up with three or four courses a semester is intense. Go for a four year degree and a minimum first two years are through diff. eq. and physics. This stuff is not easy and it builds upon itself, it is not sufficient to pass a test, it is necessary to retain the material. I have mentioned previously in my review of calc two of the students were home schooled and basically leaving “high school” one to two years early and starting as juniors in engineering programs.

        I am told for a good programmer, C++ is a one year learning curve to use the basics.

        Copilot is a godsend for us old timers; it is an incredible tutor and beats the heck out of searching for something in indexes of books.

        A guess on “lower level” education is much of it will be by examinations. Cisco has their own exams, timed, tough, for me one trip through, no time to check answers. Yes, I passed, B+_ basically, not good enough to make a living were I young and hoping to have a career.

        Much of the future education will be by testing out, not college tests, CompTIA comes to mind. These are certifications, same as actuary exams I would guess.

        It is damn fast, damn hard.

        Dennis L.

        • The actuarial profession has figured this out, with its exams.

          In universities, there is huge pressure to give high grades, even to marginal students. There is a need to show high graduation rates. Also, professors are likely to be evaluated better by their students in the evaluations made at the end of the term. No one wants to trust what a university certificate means. Even if you want to go to graduate school, there is a test that a person needs to take, besides supplying other information.

          • Dennis L. says:

            Yes, I see that also. My small CC is tough in grading, there are jobs waiting for their students before they graduate.

            Dennis L.

  3. MG says:

    I have just repaired my home water supply (valves and pipes), also my brother and his son helped me on Monday.

    Many people who contribute here into these comments do not understand at all the costs of the infrastructure and how difficult it is to maintain when there are many other things to do.

    And when the populations are ageing. And when the weather outside is cold. And when the people have low wages and can not afford to pay these repairs. It is no fun…

    Russia is falling exactly because of its harsh climate and a lot of long distance infrastructure. No matter what leader is in Kremlin.

    You naive Putin admirers!

    • My short visit to Russia suggested that the roads were not very good. Keeping long distance roads in repair in a part of the world that freezes every winter must be a nightmare.

      • raviuppal4 says:

        MG, Gail then let us talk about the infrastructure in the West . How is that faring ? Having lived in Budapest for 15 years I can assure that no Russkie / Hungarian is travelling more than 20/30 kms one way to his place of work . Meanwhile here in Belgium I can site thousands who travel 60/70 kms one way to their workplace . My son was driving 100 kms one way to Brussels for his initial job for EY . I now see the degradation of infra in Belgium especially where the truck traffic is high e.g the ring around Antwerp , ring of Ghent , ring of Brussels etc . I would worry more about the breakdown of infra in the West then in the East . The Communist bloc built a very robust public transportation system because they had no cars . I lived in Budapest and for initial years [ 1991-93] using the tram , bus and metro and the connections were flawless . The West is more dependent on ” flow ” then the East . Heck , ” Orient Express ” is in Russia and not in USA . 🤣

      • drb753 says:

        It is good to summarize what brought the Rus to that cold part of the world. To the South were some of the nastiest tribes the world has ever seen (after many transformations, one of them runs most of the industrialized world, although its power is slowly decreasing). Rather than being in a constant state of war they chose to settle in a less hospitable, colder part of the world. The Rus soul is, compared to the rest of Central Asia, quite mellow.

        As luck may have it, there is a lot of land up here, and therefore a lot of resources. So long as the energy input from extracted resources exceeds the larger energy costs of living, plus the large energy cost of defending said resources, Russia will continue. It might not be a tangible good for the consumer, but Russia (147M) produces 3 times as many artillery shells as the West, combined pop. 700M.

        Give Russia two decades of peace and standards of living will increase dramatically. Yes, the roads need repaving often. In my 3 years here the road to town has been repaired every summer. That is the cost of living up North. It is a burden but a bearable one if you have the resources. Countries with less energy needs but no resources fare a lot worse.

      • Mike Jones says:

        My grandfather was from the old country in Slovakia and came to America, was born about 1880 or so. His mentality was also fixing not replacing…it cost too much to replace …plumbing , wiring, heating stairs..
        When he died, his home was sold and the new owners just basically started over and rebuilt it…
        Very frugal person…but nice guy…gave me a quarter on Christmas

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      “Russia is falling exactly because of its harsh climate and a lot of long distance infrastructure. No matter what leader is in Kremlin.”

      Russia has HUGE FF resources, it is not “falling”, it makes me suspect that Slovenia is “falling” and you’re looking for a target to project your anger and frustrations.

      “You naive Putin admirers!”

      Reality doesn’t care about my opinion of Putin, it’s just opinion.

      though I will say that it is fun to greatly exaggerate the godlike qualities of Putin.

      now I’m starting to feel that Putin isn’t even going to die, he actually is going to transform into God and rule over the world forever and bring Utopia to all people.

      though the God Putin will not use the name Utopia, instead the Earth will be renamed Putinworld.

      it’s going to be great.

      • drb753 says:

        He is in Slovakia… I know, it does not matter much.

        • MG says:

          The Slovakia’s climate in the mountains is similar to the parts of Russia with more favourable climate. You know very well how bad is the cold and what are the cost of living in cold areas.

          I am dreaming about moving to warmer parts of the world like Russians…

    • guest2 says:

      You naive Putin admirers!

      Just for that I’m going to personally write to Putin and ask him to invade Slavania.

    • Mike Jones says:

      Invisible Losses: Tens of thousands fighting for Russia are dying unnoticed on the frontline in Ukraine
      Olga Ivshina – BBC News Russian
      Sat, February 22, 2025 at 8:24 PM EST
      https://www.yahoo.com/news/invisible-losses-tens-thousands-fighting-012447223.html
      Over 95,000 people fighting for Russia’s military have now died as the war in Ukraine enters the fourth year, according to data analysed by the BBC.
      This figure doesn’t include those who were killed serving in the militia of the self-proclaimed Donbas republics which we estimate to be between 21,000 and 23,500 fighters.
      BBC Russian, independent media group Mediazona and volunteers have been counting deaths since February 2022
      The list includes names of the deceased that we verified using information from official reports, newspapers, social media, and new memorials and graves. The real death toll is believed to be much higher.

      Doubt Mother Russia will be able to hold it all together in the years ahead.
      Siberia is certainly lost to the more populous nation, China.
      It’s a slippery slope

      • guest2 says:

        independent media group Mediazona

        lol

        • drb753 says:

          In the near town only one soldier died (I discussed him and his mother, I ran into his father yesterday, who gave me half a kg of honey). It is an economic depressed zone so many are in Ukraine. Still, assuming it is avergae I extrapolate it to 30,000 dead for the whole of Russia. yes, errors are huge, N=1. 30-100K probably a good range. I hope you are not counting the many civilians massacred in Kursk.

          • Mike Jones says:

            That was very solid statistics drb,
            Wonder how many were wounded and made handicapped by injuries, never mine mentally unstable.
            Unimaginable…Addie Hitter is laughing in his cell in Hell

            • drb753 says:

              In my little locale, no wounded. Though I see wounded soldiers in trains. Yes, war is hell, but the local culture is attuned with giving help to and reintegrating returning soldiers. Has been since 1650 at least.

            • guest2 says:

              Wonder how many were wounded and made handicapped by injuries, never mine mentally unstable.

              Your enjoyment is showing a little too much, you might want to tone it down.

            • drb753 says:

              It’s not just that, guest2. When the alternative is nuclear tipped missiles in Kharkov and Chernobyl you choose war all the time. Surely this war has shown that, despite AD supremacy, a good 5-10% of ATACMS flew through, if the flight path is short enough. NATO missiles have to retreat to Western Europe. Life is full of tough choices but this one was a no brainer.

              Putin, willing or not, has now pulled in his worst pacifist instincts and sits in Spravka meeting like a polite guest, while the generals run the show.

              OTOH, comparing the victims of the war in Russia with the victims of forced vaccinations in the US shows that the losses are similar.

            • guest2 says:

              OTOH, comparing the victims of the war in Russia with the victims of forced vaccinations in the US shows that the losses are similar.

              Not to mention the weekly mass shootings or mass vehicle homicides in America, quite a death toll from those over the years. There was one at New Year, wasn’t there? It’s nice of Mike to be more upset about Russians being injured than all those Americans.

            • drb753 says:

              He’s got a heart of gold.

            • Mike Jones says:

              Drb, I feel fine too, so it’s all make believe like Fast Eddie stated..
              And we all know FE is always right…
              Sure he is…you are too funny
              Addie Hitter is having a jolly good laugh too

            • guest2 says:

              Drb, I feel fine too, so it’s all make believe like Fast Eddie stated..
              And we all know FE is always right…
              Sure he is…you are too funny
              Addie Hitter is having a jolly good laugh too

              What in God’s name are you babbling about?

            • Mike Jones says:

              Of course you are directing your comment to drb

            • guest2 says:

              Of course you are directing your comment to drb

              Why would I speak to him in that manner? He’s a decent human being. I’m talking to you.

            • Mike Jones says:

              In case, best you mind your own because it removes all doubt on your simple mind.

    • Dennis L. says:

      Smart move on the plumbing. That is high value added, and for you it is legal, after tax income without taxes. It is a capital expense which means it has multiple years of depreciation.

      Hire grass and snow, do the capital stuff yourself, it pays over a time period. Grass cutting lasts a week and you have to store the mower over winter, etc.

      Dennis L.

  4. Dennis L. says:

    I like the direction:

    https://www.youtube.com/shorts/mEsAH1niqbw

    H engine for heavy duty applications. H from sunlight, pollution water and probably some N oxides. H will need to be produced on site, transportation to the machine is expensive.

    Now, has anyone seen my cubic mile of Pt?

    Dennis L.

  5. Abundance for many is an anomaly, basically to placate the populace in English speaking countries whose denizens enjoyed lifestylels they did not deserve.

    Throughout history the norm was only the very few enjoyed luxury, and the rest not really having enough to eat at any times and not having what Americans would call decent housing.

    The cornucopians here think their strange contraptions will be enough to let those who do not deserve to live comfortably to continue to enjoy their undeserving lifestyles. Dennis L mentioned either one of his delusional contraption or eating bugs, and I have no qualms for 90% of pop eating bugs since that was kind of the normm as experienced by the Montagnards, aka the Hmongs, who continued to do that after being shipped to USA (they did help the CIA during the Vietnam War) and did not really prove to be compatible with modern civ.

    That is the norm for humanity, not the Americanized lifestyle which should never have been allowed to the general public.

    • None of us think of abundance as an anomaly. We seem to assume everyone will have it, forever forward. But it is a temporary gift for a subset of the economy. The size of this subset increases with fossil fuel abundance, but it falls as population gets too large for resources of all kinds.

    • hkeithhenson says:

      “enjoyed lifestylels they did not deserve.”

      Deserve is not clear in this context. But why the people of the UK and northern Europe generally came to dominate much of the rest of the world is due to vicious (but unintentional) genetic selection.

      Genetically Capitalist? The Malthu-
      sian Era, Institutions and the For-
      mation of Modern Preferences.
      3 March 2007
      Before 1800 all societies, including England, were Malthusian.
      The average man or woman had 2 surviving children. Such
      societies were also Darwinian. Some reproductively successful
      groups produced more than 2 surviving children, increasing their
      share of the population, while other groups produced less, so that
      their share declined. But unusually in England, this selection for
      men was based on economic success from at least 1250, not
      success in violence as in some other pre-industrial societies. The
      richest male testators left twice as many children as the poorest.
      Consequently the modern population of the English is largely
      descended from the economic upper classes of the middle ages.
      At the same time, from 1150 to 1800 in England there are clear
      signs of changes in average economic preferences towards more
      “capitalist” attitudes. The highly capitalistic nature of English
      society by 1800 – individualism, low time preference rates, long
      work hours, high levels of human capital – may thus stem from
      the nature of the Darwinian struggle in a very stable agrarian
      society in the long run up to the Industrial Revolution. The
      triumph of capitalism in the modern world thus may lie as much
      in our genes as in ideology or rationality.
      Gregory Clark
      University of California, Davis, CA 95616

      https://faculty.econ.ucdavis.edu/faculty/gclark/papers/Capitalism%20Genes.pdf

      It’s not politically correct (woke might be the current word) but it does explain the racial differences we see in the world. At the end of the paper, Clark notes that the Chinese were subject to less intensive selection, but for a longer time, so it should be no surprise that they are serious competition.

      • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

        the BritishevilEmpire was enabled by the vast coal and iron in Britain.

        they were ingenious but would not have become an empire without the right natural resources.

        Gregory Clark is cluelless about surplus energy economics.

        • for once we agree david

          by book on it all is published in June this year

          https://www.waterstones.com/book/the-iron-men-of-shropshire/norman-pagett//9781398122390

          • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

            book looks interesting.

            coal and iron, a really great combo.

            • Dennis L. says:

              Both were in abundance in N. America; it wasn’t used in practical amounts until
              the Mayflower landed. As is said, there went the neighborhood.

              Dennis L.

            • hkeithhenson says:

              “there went the neighborhood.”

              I just found out today that I am a descendant of one of the Mayflower passengers

            • the theme is coal and iron—but also the ways they made use of it and turned it into wages—and then the world followed.

            • Ed says:

              Keith, bro, I too am a Mayflower descendant.

              It was a brief flash of light. It can come again with the Mars colony with strong immigration control.

            • hkeithhenson says:

              “a Mayflower descendant. ”

              A cousin of mine traced out that her and my kids qualify for DAR about 5 ways. None of them care. I found it interesting to be connected if remotely to the Ames family who certainly had a number of accomplished people,

          • The site says the book is available for preorder. The synopsis says:

            Though the Industrial Revolution was born in Shropshire, iron-working techniques had been known for millennia. However, it was an expensive undertaking in real terms, needing large amounts of wood to make the charcoal to produce the iron and objects that had to be beaten out in a blacksmith’s forge.

            Then one man made the breakthrough that kickstarted the Industrial Revolution: making iron in vast quantities using coke instead of charcoal. In 1709 Abraham Darby built his pioneering coke-fired blast furnace to produce cast iron at Coalbrookdale.

            Abundant iron and coal brought together men with a common purpose. Amongst them, Wilkinson and Watt developed the technology of the modern steam engine. Richard Trevithick built his viable locomotive here, whilst Abraham Darby II supplied the iron rails for it. Hazledine’s ironworks at Shrewsbury built the Ditherington Flax Mill, still standing today as the grandfather of all skyscrapers. Thomas Telford became surveyor of public works here, and built forty bridges in the county, churches, major canal infrastructure, and the London to Holyhead road.

            It was the technology and vision of these men that set the groundwork for modern mass production, which built our cities and all the complexity that sustains them, and us.

            • thank you Gail

              the book is already selling quite well on pre order, but i doubt if i will make a fortune out of it.
              the publishers schedule means it won’t be in bookstores till June this year.

              the premise of it, basically, is to make the point that industrial economic systems did not appear until iron was made in vast quantities, which made it ultra cheap.

              having cheap iron provided cheap steam engines in 000s, which allowed deeper mining—more coal, and still more iron.—from that came iron ships, guns and car assembly lines.—and everything else really.

              iron is our basic tool.

              that created the forward debt system, (and our money creation system) we are currently in, because there was constant future investment in more mines and ironworks.—-hence ”putting the world to work”. in the title.

              which is what happened of course.

            • yup

              cleopatra was my ex—i’ve written a book about it, but with instructions not to publish it it until ive been frozen—-that way i’ll have millions waiting for me when i get defrosted in 2500—

              too raunchy for this current market anyway

            • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

              I haven’t bought a book in ages, but I might just buy a copy in June.

        • ni67 says:

          WELL you need both david, giving africans coal and iron without technology transfers is not going to enable an evil british empire lol. you need iq, perseverance AND resources

          • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

            yes true.

            mainly I wanted to point out how cluelless Gregory Clark is about surplus energy economics.

          • guest2 says:

            WELL you need both david, giving africans coal and iron without technology transfers

            Actually Africans developed iron working independently around or just before the time the Iron Age began in Europe.

            • the trick is not about producing iron per se—but about making it in enormous volume and selling it cheaply….hence my book about ‘putting the world to work’-

              that’s the point of it all.

              you might make enough to make a spear—but industrial wealth derives from producing enough iron to make a ship or a car

            • guest2 says:

              the trick is not about producing iron per se—but about making it in enormous volume and selling it cheaply….hence my book about ‘putting the world to work’-

              I didn’t say anything about that, I merely pointed out that Africans developed iron working themselves. The poster appeared to believe that had not happened.

          • hkeithhenson says:

            ” Gregory Clark is cluelless about surplus energy economics.”

            I doubt that given that he is an economist. Google Clark and coal

            AI Overview
            Learn more
            https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d4/Economic_Historian_Gregory_Clark.jpg/1200px-Economic_Historian_Gregory_Clark.jpg
            Gregory Clark is an economist who has studied the role of coal in the Industrial Revolution. His research includes Coal and the Industrial Revolution, 1700–1869 with David Jacks.
            Key insights from Clark’s research

            Coal transformed economies and improved living standards.

            However, the air pollution from burning coal harmed health and slowed economic growth.
            As countries move away from fossil fuels, care must be taken to avoid disproportionately burdening the poor and working classes with regulation costs.
            Coal was important to the British economy between 1830 and 1913.
            Coal played a role in the British Industrial Revolution, which was spurred by technological innovation and trade.
            Without coal, Britain might not have experienced the same sustained growth that led to the transformation of living standards worldwide.

            Related research

            Coal Is the Wrong Materialism by Gregory Clark

            “Coal and the Industrial Revolution, 1700-1869” by Gregory Clark and David Jacks

            Coal Is the Wrong Materialism | Cato Unbound
            Oct 27, 2010 — You don’t need coal to introduce threshing and reaping machines in farming — horse power again. … Coal Is the Wrong …

            Cato Unbound
            Coal Sustained the Industrial Revolution – Cato Unbound
            Oct 28, 2010 — I concede Greg’s point, namely that cheap energy played a small role in the starting of the British Industrial Revolut…
            Cato Unbound
            What can we learn from the role of coal in the Industrial Revolution?
            Aug 31, 2021 — But, the air pollution that accompanied this revolution affected both mortality and health, and eventually slowed down…
            Economics Observatory

            Show all

            Show more

            Coal and the Industrial Revolution, 1700-1869 – GPIH
            UC Davis
            https://gpih.ucdavis.edu › files › Clark_Jacks
            PDF
            by G Clark · Cited by 258 — Gregory Clark (UC-Davis, Economics) and David Jacks (Simon Fraser, Economics) … Without coal, water power, wind power and firewood would have alone served the …
            54 pages

            If you have a paper on this subject that’s been cited 258 times let us know.

            “WELL you need both david, giving africans coal and iron without technology transfers is not going to enable an evil british empire lol. you need iq, perseverance AND resources”

            I turns out that Iron metallurgy may have happened first in sub Saharan Africa.

            https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_metallurgy_in_Africa
            https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_metallurgy_in_Africa

            They only used charcoal.

            • without cheap coal in quantity, —-no industrial revolution

              simple as that

              use charcoal—(which overlapped the introduction of coal/coke) —and you quickly run out of trees.—forests were strictly protected for that very reason.—a ton of iron needs a lot of wood/charcoal to produce it.

              //////I concede Greg’s point, namely that cheap energy played a small role in the starting of the British Industrial Revolution…///////

              utterly fatuous

              cheap coal accessed cheap iron—which produced cheap steam engines—which pumped out deeper and deeper mines–which delivered more cheap fuel to smelt more iron.—-and so on.

              the industrial revolution in a single paragraph.

            • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

              hkeith:

              just a theory, but I have added to my scenario:

              yours is the Religion of Progress, your cullt is The Singularity, one of your hollymen is Kurzweil, a book of his is probably your sacredscripture, the Singularity is your Rapture, the Tabby Star destination is your HolyGrail, and cryonics is your “eternal life”.

              perhaps this is a massformationpsychosis type of thing, you and your friends and colleagues are obviously smart but surely there were not enough checks and balances and filters to prevent your group from starting to “believe” in all of your fiction that is insisted to be fact.

              anyway, just a fascinating theory that I have, but it looks solid.

            • hkeithhenson says:

              “yours is the Religion of Progress, ”

              If you have to have a religion, that sounds better than most.

              “your cullt is The Singularity, “one of your hollymen is Kurzweil, a book of his is probably your sacredscripture, ”

              You could do a lot worse, like being a scientologist.

              But if it was a cult, Vinge and Drexler would rank higher.

              “the Singularity is your Rapture,”

              https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Rapture_of_the_Nerds

              ” the Tabby Star destination is your HolyGrail, ”

              Among that group, I am the only one who thinks we are seeing the shadows of data centers full of uploaded aliens. Long term project, the closest blinking star is 511 LY. On the other hand, they may be on the way here and started a long time ago.

              “and cryonics is your “eternal life”.

              It is the only ticket I know of to the future, aside from just living into the era of radical life extension. There are a few thousand signed up and a few hundred in liquid nitrogen, including several friends.

              “fiction”

              Everything is fiction until it happens.

            • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

              “Without coal, water power, wind power and firewood would have alone served…”

              no, the surplus energy in British coal reserves was far greater, and chopping down every tree would possibly have been enough surplus energy, but not a wise move.

              unless Clark explicitly writes about the surplus energy within coal, it seems obvious that he does not know surplus energy economics.

              so though his book probably has much to say about the years of the Industrial Revolution, it surely falls sort of giving the PRIMARY reason for its success, which was the surplus energy within British coal reserves.

            • Wrigley’s chart shows how quickly total energy consumption per capita was able to expand in the UK, once coal became available.

              https://ourfiniteworld.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/wrigley_annual-energy-consumption-per-head-1561-to-1870.png

              Water power never amounted to much.

        • guest2 says:

          they were ingenious but would not have become an empire without the right natural resources.

          Correct. Culture is irrelevant. Ethnicity is irrelevant. Politics is irrelevant. Religion is irrelevant. The stuff is in the ground, or it is not.

      • Ron Unz write a lot to describe chinese selective breeding

        • hkeithhenson says:

          “chinese selective ”

          Clark mentions this at the end of that article.

          I have read elsewhere that growing rice vs wheat selected people to the point it is easy to distinguish different psychological profiles between them. As I recall, the ones with a rice genetic background are more cooperative people. The differences persist a couple of generations or more after they have moved to a city, so a purely social cause seems hard to justify.

      • wealth was all around them. in the ground for the taking—they took it.

        it happened in my backyard, —literally, not metaphorically….and thousands of other places around here.

        nothing to to with politics, malthus or whatever—a few ironmasters got stinking rich because of local geology—it was just that easy and simple….coal was 20ft below the surface

        • hkeithhenson says:

          “they took it.”

          The coal and iron had been there along with people for a long time. The question Clark was concerned with is why they started using it when they did?

          Clark’s explanation was that the character of the people changed as a result of strong genetic selection from at least 1250. There is little doubt that the psychology of average people who have this background is different from people in other parts of the world. There is no doubt the selection happened, written records make that clear.

          • to put a bit more meat on the ‘ironmaster’ bone.

            the first ironmasters of the 18th c were quakers.

            as quakers they were banned from government, the law, the military and the conventional church.

            but they were clever, so sought other lucrative trades—iron was not closed to them, so the made the breakthrough of making iron ultra-cheap—ie by perfecting smelting with coke, which was derived from coal.

            charcoal could reach the necessary high temperature, yes, but as trees grew scarce, they cost more and more

            whereas the uk was effectively a gigantic coalfield…coal itself wasnt any good for smelting, but coke was.

            once the quaker ironmasters cracked the problem, iron became cheap as chips.

            ”genetic selection’ or whatever is absolute nonsense.

            it was the profit motive, and they became very wealthy indeed.—the mansion left by one of them is right opposite my house.

            the quaker movement started in the 1600s, it took a while to get going, but that resulted in the industrial revolution.—ie cheap iron, affordable in quantity to everyone.—for everthing.

            without cheap iron, you cant have an industrial economic system on the scale we know it.

            hence we now have iron ships, (not diamond ships–lol)–and car assembly lines.—it put the world to work—in the context that we understand it.—it also created the debt economy.

            All these things can trace their lineage back to 1709–

            and explains why there will never be another ”industrial revolution”—all that is so much bs.

            • Thanks! That is very interesting.

            • hkeithhenson says:

              “”genetic selection’ or whatever is absolute nonsense.
              it was the profit motive, and they became very wealthy indeed.”

              Right. But was everybody motivated by profit? Those who were became wealthy and if you look at the probate records, they had twice as many surviving children as the poor.

              To whatever extent wealth is the result of inheritable psychological characteristics the genes for such characteristics were passed to their children while the children of the poor mostly died in the famines and epidemics. That sounds like genetic selection to me. Enough generation of this and the character of the whole population is changed.

              Just like the selection for tameness in those Russian foxes.

            • certianly more children survived to adulthood

              they became foundry fodder—and of course cannon fodder because guns were so much cheaper to produce.

              that led directly to factory based warfare—1914 0n—

              here the ironmasters were good employers on the whole, it is on record that they kept farms and supplied their workers with food during inevitable recessions. they also built a lot of company housing to a decent standard—that also led to improved infant survival.–clever kids were also supported by employers to better themselves.

            • hkeithhenson says:

              “certianly more children survived to adulthood”

              Not just children in general, but the children of the relatively wealthy. Being born into a poor family was most of the time a sentence to an early death. That’s selection against whatever genes are involved in being poor. It is not hard list some of them.

              By about 1800 the genetic advantage of being rich faded out because the rise in society wide production lowered the relative cost of food. By that time, genes for the psychological traits leading to wealth were widely distributed through the population by what Clark calls downward social mobility.

            • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

              spot on, NP.

              you fully understand surplus energy economics, and Clark doesn’t fully grasp it, and maybe doesn’t even partially grasp it, which is very common for university educated economists.

        • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

          NP, did Brits reluctantly turn to coal because they had burned most of their trees?

          reluctant at first, but turned out well in the next couple of centuries?

          • hkeithhenson says:

            “burned most of their trees”

            Not exactly, production of wood to make charcoal was a long standing practice.

            https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coppicing

            In the 16th and 17th centuries, the technology of charcoal iron production became widely established in England, continuing in some areas until the late 19th century.[9] Charcoal once fueled all metalworking (with evidence dating back many thousands of years) and other high temperature industrial processes (see white coal) but scarcity led to the eventual adoption of coal as the primary fuel. Decline in charcoal as an industrial fuel accelerated after the discovery of coke (coal heated in limited oxygen) in the 18th century and leading to a crash in UK charcoal production in the century thereafter. Notably, scarcity of charcoal for industrial processes actually led to the survival of large areas of woodland in the weald of Kent and the Sussexes as large areas of coppiced woodland were jealously guarded by Roman ironmasters and later by Medieval ironmasters. Charcoal hearths in woodlands are indications of ancient status (in context)

            • keith
              iron smelting is 000s of years old—that is not disputed

              the industrial revolution kicked off because iron became affordable to evveryone.

              you know what the first mass produced cast iron object was?–from a re-usable mould?

              the iron cookpot.

          • in the 18thc they also needed trees to build ships.

            so yes wood was getting very expensive in real terms, coppiced wood for charcoal making needed 14 years to regrow—so you can see the problem.

            they were reluctant to make the changeover, it took at least 50 years, but in the end they had no option.

          • yes david, as long as we have energy that is surplus to our working needs—we can have a ‘modern’ economy in the sense that we know it.

            the harder we have to work to get hold of our functioning energy, the less we have available to liesure pursuits—travel, nice homes, and so on.

            we ‘live’ on energy–but its the surplus that provides the illusion of ‘The American Dream’–and of course gullible people think they can get that back just by voting for it—it applies to every industrial economic system.

  6. Tim Groves says:

    Save the Ostriches!

    From the genocidal bureaufascistcommunopathic nutjobs at the WHO!

    Norman, I trust we can count on your full support?

    Bird Lives Matter!

    https://jamesroguski.substack.com/p/emmanuelle-soubeyran

    • i am always certain that i can draw on your expertise on the subject of guano tim

    • The plan I have read about as an alternative is to vaccinate herds of desirable birds with a suitable mRNA vaccine aimed at bird flu. Since bird flu mutates rapidly, this vaccine needs to be frequently updated. It is labor intensive to administer this vaccine. Also, when chickens are vaccinated with this vaccine, many countries will not import them. (Perhaps they know something we should be aware of.) I wonder what is the condition of the eggs they produce?

      If we let bird flu run its course, there may be some loss of bird population around the world, but it is unlikely that all birds of all types will die out. Nature takes care of itself, without our meddling. Perhaps our large populations of chickens and other captive birds will have a problem, but nature has not evolved to protect these large captive groups of birds, including chickens and ostriches. Maybe we will have to learn to get along with them.

      • JavaKinetic says:

        We actually donated to the fund to in order to help push back on Canadian tyranny. Birds die when they are in close quarters, and not provided with fresh air and water. So, chickens in a factory may die off when an outbreak occurs. Outside animals will adapt, even if one or two die. Immunity will take hold… that’s how nature works.

        So, why are they attempting to destroy these birds and the by extension, the owners’ business? Well, you are nearly touching on it above, and that’s where I will leave it.

      • adonis says:

        so if the plan is to vaccinate all egg laying birds with mrna vaccines and countries will not import any of those eggs people will consume eggs that do not have any mrna vaccines in them or avoid eggs and consume other protein sources found in plant food. Maybe they are trying to get us to eat more plant food and not animal sourced food as that is more of a sustainable way to live especially since diminishing returns are becoming the ‘norm’. Another alternative would be insects as a protein source. At a festival two days ago that my wife attended she purchased a can of alcohol containing gin and ants she told me that she drank the can but ended up spitting out and picking out all the ant bodies that were in her mouth from this beverage . I told her i dont think i’ll be kissing you anymore.So you see slowly insects are being added to our purchased drinks and vegan products are becoming the norm there seems to be a quiet push towards an alternative food source

  7. raviuppal4 says:

    11. Trump kicked out around fifteen hundred illegal aliens by flying them on military transports to various tropical destinations. At this rate, it will take several centuries to get rid of them all. Infinitesimally small change.

    12. Gathered a lungful of air to announce tariffs against the EU… but didn’t. No change.

    13. Verbally attacked South Africa for land confiscations which are none of his business. Was told that it’s none of his business. It was a rather transparent and pathetic effort to pound a wedge into BRICS. No change.

    14. Tried to cancel birthright citizenship guaranteed by the 14th Amendment; got stopped by the courts for exceeding his authority (constitutional amendments require a vote in congress). No change.

    15. Had Musk and his minions demolish USAID on their way to moving on to various other federal agencies that are hemorrhaging money. This is indeed a change, and a welcome one. But it is still nothing. USAID is just one piece of the entire operation to corrupt politics the world over. There is also the National Endowment for Democracy and the Soros foundations. Just the effort to politically destabilize Russia (a failed one) has been costing on the order of $30-50 billion a year. Slaughtering USAID is a baby step.

    But, one way or another, this orgy of corruption will come to an end. The US could stop the payments, then go bankrupt or go bankrupt, then stop the payments. And it is still going bankrupt. It isn’t known how many more countries will go up in flames before that happens.

    There was also a flurry of presidential orders having to do with gender madness, much of it destined to get stuck in the courts. These are symbolic actions that do not affect the state of the world. The US will remain gender-mad for at least two generations, which is how long it will take for gender-mad people to go extinct (they don’t breed well).

    Trump’s only success so far is in remaining a major topic of conversation. My prediction is that in another three weeks people will start to tire of talking about Trump and move on to more interesting topics of conversation.

    • JavaKinetic says:

      I really like Orlov. Ive very much enjoyed his take on things over the yeras.

      However…

      He is so clouded with all things USA, that he is taking everything at face value. It’s far more complex than that. For example, as a Canadian who believes his country is dying rapidly, the notion that Canada has responded in any way is beyond laughable. Canada is not a nation. It has no leadership, and the response has been words only to the tariffs. There has not, and will not be any resolution to this, and this country will get what it deserves in weeks.

      I would leave Orlov’s take on the table for the next little while. He has not examined the issues very well at all this go round. My take on it is, life in Russia must be wonderful for him these days.

      • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

        Orlov surely is raking in big bucks from western Patreons and Substack subscribers etc.

        last I looked, I estimated that he must be bringing in more than $10,000 per month.

        western money flowing into Russia.

        life is good there, da!

  8. raviuppal4 says:

    6. Trump announced tariffs against China. China introduced retaliatory tariffs, which are much more painful because they don’t just cost money but curtail industrial production. A phone conversation between Xi and Trump was planned for February 4, then for February 6, then at some unknown date. Clearly, Trump doesn’t know what to say to Xi, since there is nothing that he can threaten Xi with. No change.

    7. Trump has announced several times that he is already involved in productive discussions with the Russians about the former Ukraine. In response, Peskov, Lavrov, Ryabkov and Zakharova announced that no such discussions are ongoing or even planned. Apparently, these discussions are taking place strictly inside Trump’s own head. Meanwhile, some in Trump’s cabinet are still proposing that he put pressure on Russia or threaten Russia to get it to accept some sort of deal on the former Ukraine. There is nobody competent enough there to tell him that Russia has already won and that the longer it takes him to accept this fact, the worse it’s going to look for him. No change.

    8. Trump announced that he is willing to keep supplying the former Ukraine with weapons in exchange for rare earth minerals mined on Ukrainian territory. Apparently, nobody at the White House has a clue that the rare earths are found under the part of the former Ukraine which has become part of the Russian Federation. What little of them is left on territory still held by Kiev is inaccessible using the technology at Kiev’s disposal. Much ado about nothing.

    9. Trump made plans to expel Gazans and resettle them somewhere… in Somalia, or Marocco… and to build a huge Trump resort/hotel/casino on Gaza’s territory. Here, there is a definite change: the Arabs, and the Iranians, now hate Trump more than ever. As far as the reality of Trump’s plan — none of it is real by any stretch of the imagination. Everyone except Trump and Bibi want to keep the Palestinians kettled inside Israel while continuing to pay lip service to the idea of a Palestinian state. Nobody wants any more Palestinians on their soil; Islamic extremism is a big enough problem already.

    10. Trump decided to establish a sort of losers’ club with Bibi Netanyahoo. So far, there are just three members, the third is that rabid mutt from Argentina. Together, they decided to boycott the UN Human Rights Council. Apparently, the other two want to violate human rights just like Bibi. Purely symbolic change.

    • guest2 says:

      Apparently, nobody at the White House has a clue that the rare earths are found under the part of the former Ukraine which has become part of the Russian Federation.

      The 17 rare earth metals are as follows:

      lanthanum (La), cerium (Ce), praseodymium (Pr), neodymium (Nd), promethium (Pm), samarium (Sm), europium (Eu), gadolinium (Gd), terbium (Tb), dysprosium (Dy), holmium (Ho), erbium (Er), thulium (Tm), ytterbium (Yb), lutetium (Lu), scandium (Sc), and yttrium (Y).

      There are no such deposits anywhere in Ukraine.

    • raviuppal4 says:

      The above is part of a 3 part post from Dimitry Orlov . The first part and the 3rd are obviously in the filter . Hope Gail will find them and post . Are the Trump/Elon team a nothing burger ?

    • The world doesn’t have enough resources to continue the past level of industrialization. Perhaps, just what it needs is tariffs and retaliatory tariffs, to help this process along. Thus, Item 6. is a positive step.

      • guest2 says:

        The burden goes on the people which is unfortunately where it has to go.

      • Dennis L. says:

        Okay, we all agree there is not enough stuff on earth and if there were the pollution from extracting it would destroy spaceship earth.

        Musk has the answer, blastoff. AI has the solution, robotics in space fusion is the energy(for those in the dark, it produces photons, follow the dots).

        All the minerals on earth came from space and aggregated in some way. The solar system is huge compared to the mineral/metal requirements to make spaceship earth. February 26 is the current date for another step for mankind.

        The good news is we don’t have to assemble a spaceship earth from the stuff in the solar system, we can pick and choose in a very elementary way.

        TINA, we need a cubic mile of Pt.

        Dennis L.

      • hkeithhenson says:

        “doesn’t have enough resources t”

        The air has hundred of cubic km of CO2 ready to mine. When and if the basic technology is figured about to use it, the main input for industry will be carbon from the air. How long this will take is a guess. Most guesses are no later than the mid 2040s. With the help of AI, it might be sooner.

        If you don’t think this will work, how to you account for trees?

        • Dennis L. says:

          Like the last sentence. The problem with trees is not the thermodynamics, it is the reaction rate. Were that not the case there would be some very large trees and perhaps an imbalance in the CO2/O ratio.

          • hkeithhenson says:

            “The problem with trees is not the thermodynamics, it is the reaction rate. ”

            Not long after the SF thriller _Nano_ came out I complained in a review about that very point. Human designs can do better than nature, even selective breeding of the southern pine has reduced the time to harvest by a substantial factor.

            “imbalance in the CO2/O ratio.”

            By geological standard that’s the case. But it was not trees. It was a plant that could double every three days and get buried in the arctic ocean.

            https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Azolla_event

            • Dennis L. says:

              Nano, author please.

              Dennis L.

            • hkeithhenson says:

              “Nano, author please.”

              By John Robert Marlow

              This book is on topic here being fiction about the Singularity, having
              Vernor Vinge on the back cover and Eliezer in the acknowledgments.

              And Vinge is right in what he says, the book will make a spectacular movie.

              But oh man is it painful to read. Not because of the story line. Even if
              a bit predictable it’s ok for Matrix type violent adventure.

              The problem is the “science,” or rather what is supposed to pass for science.

              Nanotechnology is not magic and most of my complaints are about gross
              violation of conservation of mass, thermodynamics, mass flows, doubling
              times and the like. But that’s not all the places it will irritate
              you. On page 133 the good guys are trying to see who the bad guys are by
              analyzing a depleted uranium bullet. “We should have a signature on the
              uranium by the end of the day; from there we’ll have the nation and reactor
              core of origin.”

              I know what this story bit is imitating–Tom Clancy’s excellent “Sum of all
              Fears” where the origin of plutonium in a bomb is determined. But depleted
              uranium that’s used for things like bullets never went near a
              reactor. It’s “depleted” of the easy to fission isotope U235. This is the
              kind of error a knowledgeable editor should have caught.

              In another place Marlow describes an invisible aircraft, one that has light
              emitters on it that make the surface of the aircraft look like the
              background and the story line makes use of the invisible properties of the
              aircraft. It is reasonable to assume that we could eventually have
              aircraft surfaces that can display the view blocked by the aircraft. But
              if you think about it, to do this you have to know exactly what direction
              you want to fool someone. Otherwise, you don’t know what background to
              present. This is applying pre high school geometry and a bit of logic.

              The scenes with nanotechnology devices are every bit as bad. Toward the
              end of the book he has nano disassemblers eating away at a sea port
              city. In a short time they have created a hole where massive amounts of
              sea water is pouring in. So where did a fair fraction of a cubic mile of
              dirt go?

              Early in the book the hero stops a car in seconds by growing a huge redwood
              tree in the middle of the street. Now, nanotechnology *can* grow redwoods
              a good deal faster than the natural way, but not *that* fast, not starting
              with a tenth of a cubic centimeter of nano machines. Eric Drexler makes a
              case for doubling in an energy- and material-rich environment of 20
              minutes. Estimating a redwood at meter square by 100 meters tall, growing
              from a 0.1 cc is an expansion of a billion, 10 exp 9. Since 10 exp 3 is
              about 2 exp 10, we are talking 30 doubling, ten hours by Drexler’s estimate.

              And you don’t even want to think about Marlow’s understanding of
              thermodynamics. Someone told him that heat is a problem when making nano
              things fast. So he “solves” it thus:

              “Thermal problems?” . . . . “If it becomes a problem you assemble water
              for evaporative cooling, then grab the atoms in the vapor and do it over
              again.”

              *Sigh.*

              (Grabbing the vapor returns every bit of heat evaporation took away, and
              “assembling” water from atoms releases the searing heat of an oxy hydrogen
              flame.)

              I am reminded of the first “chemistry” teacher I had in high school. First
              day he told us that boiling water was a chemical reaction that broke up the
              water into hydrogen and oxygen which was called “steam.”

              About half way into the first semester the FBI took him away. Fortunately
              for Mr. Marlow they don’t do that for authors making mistakes.

              The shame is that with some advice on science and engineering the story
              could have been written so that it didn’t violate physical laws and been
              just as exciting.

              As Dr. Vinge says, it will make a spectacular movie. But if you know even
              a little about science and engineering reading the book will irritate the
              heck out of you.

              Keith Henson

              PS If you want an example of high adventure that does not violate physical
              laws try _The Revolution from Rosinante_ by Alexis A Gilliland. A bit
              dated (1981) but still it has an excellent treatment of computers that
              transcend humans and are starting to take care of them the way humans take
              care of cats.

        • of course

          when and if—-we like whens and ifs keith.—especially your kind.

          in case you hadn’t noticed—trees suck in co2 for maybe 500 years, then fall over.

          and thats it

          they do not—repeat not—run around all over the planet causing mayhem to other species—they stay put and just do their tree thing.

          we on the other hand convert the explosive forces of carbon into heat and rotary motion

          wish science again keith

          • hkeithhenson says:

            “wish science again”

            Not the only one.

            https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Cryonicists

            There are a fair number of other people with Wikipedia pages who are private about being signed up.

            • i dont doubt it keith

              my concern would be a society able to keep the lights on for the next 500 years.

              then suppose it works—and you do get resurrected

              you are a freak for a week, so to speak

              then what—you are totally alone in a strange unknown world, where you have no roots and no links or interest.

              no friends—no family–no actual home–no way of earning a living except as some kind of exhibit.—just scientists who lose interest in you very quickly, and move on to something else.—they leave you lying in a laboratory somewhere and forget about you

              can you imagine anything worse?

            • Interesting point!

            • hkeithhenson says:

              “next 500 years.”

              From all indications the AI part of the singularity will go to completion within the next 5 years, not 500. Nanotechnology, the other element of the singularity is harder to predict, but now that we have AI to help,,it would surprise me if it took more than 20 years.

              “no friends—no family”

              Many friends are signed up. So is family. The people listed in the Wikipedia would be exceptionally good party guests, they are now.

              “can you imagine anything worse?”

              Yes. Missing out finding out what goes on at Tabby’s star and the 23 other stars that blink.

              I have a number of friends who are in suspension One of the first ones I helped freeze has been in 30 years. I occasionally think about the task of bringing him up to date.

            • no answer to all that keith

            • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

              “From all indications the AI part of the singularity will go to completion within the next 5 years… ”

              hubris.

  9. raviuppal4 says:

    Are the Trump/Elon team a nothing burger ? Dimitry Orlov .

    1. Trump demanded that Denmark hand over Greenland, which has been Danish ever since Eric the Red, a.k.a. Eirikr rauði Þorvaldsson (the funny letters in his name reflecting a speech defect caused by teeth missing due to scurvy) landed there around 950AD and gave it its name (it was green at the time thanks to global warming but is now mostly white because we are in an ice age). The Danish prime ministress (who has all her teeth but still lisps) complained tearfully to anyone who would listen, then said “Nej!” That’s Danish for “Nyet!” — not quite as forceful, but still somewhat effective. The Danish monarch took the unprecedented step of adding a polar bear to his royal crest. Brave, brave monarch! Greenland remains Danish. No change.

    2. Trump declared that Mexican drug cartels are terrorist organizations. Drug cartel honchos gulped anxiously and hid their eyes? No, they didn’t. The New Opium War will go on as before. Previously, huge profits were derived from Afghani heroin, flown out on US military transports via Camp Bondsteel in Kosovo, but then synthetic fentanyl came along, much cheaper and much more potent (and lethal). The problem is that the fentanyl profits haven’t been going to the right people. This may perhaps change in the future but, for now, no change.

    3. Trump announced tariffs against Mexico. Mexico announced retaliatory tariffs. Trump and Mexico’s presidentress Claudia Scheinbaum talked politely on the phone and postponed the sanctions by a month. No change.

    4. Trump announced tariffs against Canada. Canada retaliated. Then they also talked and postponed tariffs by a month. Canada announced a number of steps to strengthen border control. Trump claimed that as a victory. Then it turned out that the order to strengthen border control was signed last December, before Trump’s inauguration. No change.

    5. Marco Rubio went to Panama and, in his fluent Spanish, kicked out the Chinese and got the Panamanians to grant free passage through the canal to US vessels. But then the Panamanian president said that the free passage deal is a damned lie. As far as kicking out the Chinese, Panama’s participation in China’s Belt and Road initiative will be up for review in some number of years. No change.

    • drb753 says:

      Patience Grasshopper. I think they will eventually annex Greenland. But Trump is already showing a trajectory similar to Gorbachev.

    • drb753 says:

      But also I marvel at the callowness of Orlov. Given the environment in which Trump operates, some of this maneuvering is necessary. Trump wants to get out of Eastern Europe, then concentrate on the domestic front and the western hemisphere. it is not so easy. Like Gorbachev, he has to do a whole lot of stuff in preparation.

      • raviuppal4 says:

        drb , Dimitry has already said Trump will be America’s Gorbachev . I had posted here his views earlier because it was a free post . Gail can search and re post or I will find and repost tomorrow . My view — until he acknowledges that — Energy is the economy , he will keep flailing like a drowning swimmer . Haphazard decision making . The point Dimitry makes is that all his actions so far have not moved the needle on the ground but only made media waves . All air , no punch .

        • drb753 says:

          In 33 days? I am sure that even the annexation of Greenland (pop 57000) will take longer than that. I think he has his eyes on energy, hence Greenland and Canada being targets for annexation. To compare, Obama’s wars took two years to prepare. He barely fired 5 generals, and needs to fire another 20 at least. or do you expect him to invade Greenland with transvestites? Meanwhile, it is fairly obvious that not sending weaponry to Ukraine saves energy.

  10. ivanislav says:

    “Blockbuster Yale Study: Millions Of Long COVID Patients Might Actually Be Vaccine Injured”

    https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/blockbuster-yale-study-millions-long-covid-patients-might-have-been-misdiagnosed-and-are

    … I can think of someone who is going to have a field day with this one.

    • Ed says:

      Every lawyer in Manhattan.

      • Dennis L. says:

        Ed,

        I strongly suspect there is not sufficient liquidity left.

        All the Doge stuff is very possibly linked to insufficient liquidity.

        In a liquidity crisis they always sell the best stuff first because it is sellable.

        Dennis L.

      • But the makers of the vaccine have no liability .

    • Dennis L. says:

      Interesting that this site was mostly cautious on the jab.

      What is written here I read with interest, trust but verify, get general ideas of overall directions.

      Avoided the jab, good guess.

      Dennis L.

  11. davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

    Putin is obviously now the greatest human who has ever lived, and who ever will live.

    and Russia is obviously the greatest country ever, and will be the only country remaining after the rest of the world collapses.

    Russia probably will exist forever, it is so amazingly great.

    • I like Putin’s speeches. He seems to have reasonable insight into many problems that others have. I’m not sure I would go as far as “greatest human who has ever lived.

      Russia is awfully far north, for it to work, without either a huge amount of climate change or else a lot of cooperation with nearby neighbors. Perhaps something can be worked out. Otherwise, all countries of the world will disintegrate into smaller and smaller units. They will support only small local populations.

      • drb753 says:

        I agree with Gail. Lots of expenses in the North. Clothing, heating, silicon grease to avoid the car doors freezing shut, clothes for the tractors, heated water for the animals, heating for the container my workers use for 1 hr a day for relaxing and eating, heating cables for the gutters, better car batteries, and many more items which I can’t remember. During a cold spell my animals eat twice as much as normal. I produce all silage and hay but keep fewer animals because of that.

      • Dennis L. says:

        Non sarcasm:

        Metaphorically, would you rather be invaded by our ancestors, the Vikings, or different group? Biology is a funny thing and we are biology.

        The cold countries seem to have some selective advantages.

        Dennis L.

        • guest2 says:

          They have one major advantage which is no malaria mosquitoes.

          • Good point. cold climate seems to select for clever people who can figure out solutions to problems. Add to technology.

            • raviuppal4 says:

              Yes , the cold climate saves us . I had dengue when I lived in India and survived because of plasma transfusion or else I would not be posting here .

            • hkeithhenson says:

              cold climate

              Besides malaria, moving to cold places left all kinds of parasites behind.

              It also changed humans because the seasonality require chopping fire wood a long time in advance of when you needed it.

    • putin will willingly grant you russian citizenship—why dont you go live there?

      • Dennis L. says:

        A foreigner must be at least eighteen years of age and have full legal capacity. In addition, a foreigner must live in the Russian Federation on the basis of a residence permit continuously for five years, but this period can be reduced to one year if:
        a) the person has high achievements in the field of science, technology and culture;
        b) a person has a profession or qualification representing interest for the Russian Federation;
        c) granting a person political asylum on the territory of the Russian Federation;
        d) recognition of a person as a refugee in accordance with the procedure established by federal law.
        -compliance with the Constitution of the Russian Federation
        -having a legal source of livelihood
        -proficiency in Russia

        https://sinoruss.ru/requirements/en/?form=MG0AV3

        There is more at the site. It appears walking across the border is not sufficient.

  12. MG says:

    The sad thing about the humans is that we have nowhere to go now.

    We do not need to fly to other planets in order to experience harsh, toxic, radiation etc. conditions, as these are spreading now on the Earth.

    The better places have been exhausted.

    Neither paradise nor heaven can be found here in this Space.

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      humans lived for tens of thousands of years as relatively dirt-poor hunter/gatherers with short average lives.

      after IC ends, probably in the 2nd half of this century, humans will once again live as mostly poor hunter/gatherers with short average lives, though some agriculture will probably remain.

      this primitive existence might go on for many more tens of thousands of years into the future.

      if The Universe is perfectly okay with this, then why should I be sad about it?

      • ivanislav says:

        I’m beginning to worry that we may not make it to 2060 without some inconveniences.

        • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

          perhaps there is some benefit to being dead long before then.

          though it would be fascinating to experience the world 30+ years from now.

          too bad there’s no God out there who I can speak to about this.

          • ivanislav says:

            This whole thing seems like a pretty stupid game to me, but what do I know. I’d like to speak to the manager.

          • Tim Groves says:

            MG, David, Ivanislav,

            Don’t worry, be happy.
            And just watch as the jabs keep doing their useful work.

            MCM’s obituary collection this week is a bumper issue. Lots of people far too young and pretty to be keeling over this soon.

            https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/in-memory-of-those-who-died-suddenly-february-10-17-2025

            • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

              nice collection!

              it would be more effective if the old ones were omitted, plenty of young ones to post.

              please let MCM know this.

          • hkeithhenson says:

            ” fascinating to experience the world 30+ years from now.”

            There is cryonics. No guarantee but if you want some chance rather than no chance it is an option. I have been signed up for 41 years.

            • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

              I see you are still proselytizing for your version of “eternal life” in your Religion of Progress and your cullt of The Singularity.

              is Kurzweil the cullt leader?

              did he write a book that is your sacred scripture?

              no chance with cryonics, not many years after you’re dead, for at least one of many reasons, the electricity won’t be there.

            • hkeithhenson says:

              Don’t sign up then.

            • Tim Groves says:

              This is the point I’ve been trying and spectacularly failing to get Norman to appreciate.

              If you want to survive and endure or even thrive, you have a much better chance if you can actually imagine a goal and a strategy to achieve it and then work towards achieving it than if you simply assume it is impossible and give up trying.

              The Normans of this world are naysayers who never get anything done. They are quitters. I heard Trump talking about this same point recently in his usual egocentric style. He said that the reason why he has succeeded is that he never quits. He’s known plenty of people smarter and more talented than he is who didn’t succeed nearly as well as he has because they quit.

              The Keiths of this world, like the Trumps of this world, have a fighting chance of success because they are actually trying to succeed. But the Normans of this world are mired in failure and headed for certain extinction and oblivion—with no chance of becoming POTUS, building a Hotel chain, starring in The Apprentice, or having a university named after them, and no chance of extending their life through cryogenics or close encounters with aliens from the vicinity of Tabby’s Star either.

            • awwww—cmon tim—do try to avoid miring yourself in bs—putting down others to try to elevate yourself puts you firmly in eddyland.—and trumpland come to think of it.

              i’m 90 this year, with a book being published in june

              and a 2nd companion volume in process

              several other books in a different genre

              public stand-up lectures every few weeks which appear to be well recieved, nobody throws vegetables anyway—all done without notes—

              quitter?—lol.

              you can fantasise yourself into singulaity if you like—i don’t–i base our future on information available now.

            • guest2 says:

              The Keiths of this world, like the Trumps of this world, have a fighting chance of success because they are actually trying to succeed.

              Like Don Quixote.

          • Mike Jones says:

            If, by chance, you do get the privilege to speak to “God”, 🙏 please ask…”Why didn’t you do a better Job?”…Also, if Jesus is by ask why there aren’t any statues of women giving birth?
            Seems I’ve been told it can be just as grueling and drawn out painful as ……yet they seem to do it over and over again… repeatedly!!!
            Of course, just being a wise guy…honest..

          • There is a God out there who seems to underlie the whole self-organizing system. You can speak to this God. Many of the religions of the world give a a very similar roadmap for “how to get along better here on earth.” And prayers seem to be pretty common, in many religions.

        • Dennis L. says:

          That seems a reasonable conclusion.

          Biology is tenacious, we are biology, economics exists secondary to biology.

          Biology is not linear, some biological trials are dead ends, figuratively and literally. It is a long process with a very good history of success.

          Dennis L.

  13. Ed says:

    Nuland hired the Chechen mercenaries to murder the trade unionist to kick off the coup. Vicky deserves the credit not Zelensky.

  14. Mike Jones says:

    Trump…Make Mother Russia Great Again
    POVERTY in RUSSIA | The Russia They DON’T Want You to SEE or KNOW | Full Documentary Bello Mundo – EN
    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=dsy2NTiNzJQ

    Does the population live in this glamor of champagne and caviar? Is this gigantic country really an example of development?

    Well, today Bello Mundo is going to give you all the answers and show you the other side of this land full of extremes.

    We’re going to get to know the reality of those who face winters of minus twenty degrees without a roof over their heads, those who depend on soup served on a community bus to get dinner, those who see their salaries evaporate as prices rise and public spending is cut.

    So get ready, because what you’re about to learn could completely change your view of Russia.

    So, no different from USA

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      perhaps the illustrious drb will give his knowledgeable perspective here.

      • drb753 says:

        Calling bullshit on most of that. I do think there is homelessness somewhere, but probably to the south. In three years I have not seen one in Moscow. Specially the lack of heating is bullshit when wood is free except for labor. I own 6 wood stoves, so my workers can be warm, and the total cost is the initial cost (one place is still heated electrically). They get the wood themselves. Housing stock in villages is indeed old and often dilapidated, but no one lives in the worst buildings. My accountant (a retired woman) does live in a house with no running water to be near here, but she has her own house in another village (a neighbor takes care of her animals while she is here) plus her son’s apartment in town.

        Not clear to me that food deprivation is what the documentary implies. There is a lot of self production, and unregulated trade. I doubt that nutrient intake here is less than in the USA or Europe, with plentiful access to cheap raw milk and eggs and fresh water fish. It is probably more.

        I do concur that Russia is an oligarch system, at least since 1991. I mentioned which ethnic group is mostly responsible. I also think an extended peaceful period, and Still there is progress. Public works continue to happen, including a gas line to this village in 2026. Some government programs are genuine. There is some upward social mobility though I suspect that cracking the elite is impossible (as it has in the US, since 1913). New housing stock is being built all the time, even though most builders are currently in Ukraine. We are still talking about 2030, when Russia’s standards of living will exceed Europe’s.

    • guest2 says:

      Trump…Make Mother Russia Great Again
      POVERTY in RUSSIA | The Russia They DON’T Want You to SEE or KNOW | Full Documentary Bello Mundo – EN

      Computer voice/AI generated garbage. Stock footage. No human presenter on the ground. Aren’t you able to tell the difference between internet trash and something real? Good grief.

  15. Winston Churchill, son of an American Jewish banker family, wrote A History of English Speaking Peoples.

    And the people of UK thought USA was one of them.

    Starting from around 2010, the ‘Special Relationship’ ended.

    The people of UK thought peoples who spoke English were their friends, but they are now realizing that just because someone speaks something quite intelligible to the upper crust of London does not make the person part of the English-oriented civilization.

    It is no different from the barbarians which attacked Rome learning something similar to Latin, but having no more appreciation over the Roman traditoin anymore.

    Victoria and Albert would have gone much far by recognizing CSA during the Trent affair. If they had any foresight they would have taken a back seat over Slavery and keep a pro-British country in North America, but their stupid gesture of mercy to peoples who did not appreciate it led to the mess the people of UK will suffer soon.

  16. Jan says:

    Trump’s peace deal in Ukraine is in fact a capitulation, Russia will keep Crimea. Trump now has to tell the world, why they could have won if they had wanted, and he does that by blaming Biden and Selensky and indirectly calling Russia’s invasion a just war. The fact remains though, that the combined forces of the USA and Europe were unable to stop Russia. These days see many excuses, the US had developed a false military strategy, the elite consumes too much, but we have to take into account, that the US-economy is not creating enough surplus to win the war. Neither is Germany, suffering Degrowth and deindustrialisation after the destruction of North Stream. What is more, the German led EU has not been able yet, to convince a resource country, why bilateral contracts are a win-win-solution. Nor have they been able to secure transportation routes or pipelines in a world wilder than today after the withdrawal of The World Police. The EU will not be able to lead the war against Russia alone; as a consequence one would expect the war mangerers should leave office. This is difficult for Germany and the German led EU, as 30% of the voters are willing to vote for the ex-director of Blackrock Germany, Friedrich Merz in Federal elections on sunday. He has supported the delivery of Taurus rockets against Russia, which would mean a direct participation of Gemany, with the words, there is enough peace waiting at the peace court, the German word for cementery, “der Friedhof”.

    There will be no way to avoid military investions. According to press coverage, the EU-president Ursula von der Leyen has allededly passed 35 billion EUR to Pfizer and another 35 billian to Selensky, without any legal basis; a national court has recently ruled that Dr Leyen has immunity and cannot be held responsible for any of her actions. 35+35 billions are roughly half of the Russian military budget. In the same moment, for example Austria, with a GDP of 471 billion USD has to save 25 billion EURs, which already means cuts in the social welface and pension system, in schools, security, infrastructure and living standards. There is not much headroom to extend social cuts without dissatisfaction. The elected parties are meanwhile negotiating 140 days to form a coalition. It seems, Europe is not able anymore to allow it’s elite generous spendings, consolidate Degrowth and restore military defense and security for its allies – potentially a resource country.

    Europe has some gas from Norway and Lybia – but not enough to keep up it’s industrial basis. It is highly dependent on Russia and the USA. This is not a position to cool down the integration with the West, nor just answer unacceptable claims from Russia. Reasonably, the EU should not cut ties to the USA – this seems impossible with the current personell. But there is not anyone moderate within sight, who could gather majorities behind him, neither on the national nor on the European level.

    This is a lot of desintegration, many of what has been forcasted on this blog.

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      the countries of Europe are still part of The Core, but it isn’t going to stay that way.

      the primary surplus energy economy dictates the state of the secondary financial economy, and Europe is generally low in energy resources.

      the financially smaller weaker European countries will be the first ones out of the door of The Core.

      UK is an obvious candidate, others will follow, probably by 2030 or so.

      goodbye to The Core, hello to widespread poverty.

      • The fiction of wind and solar working adequately well to fix the energy shortage will soon disappear.

        • hkeithhenson says:

          “to fix the energy shortage will soon disappear.”

          That might be the case, but the idea of turning excess renewable energy and trash into syngas might come about. It avoids the huge capital cost of platinum electrolyzers. They get at most 80% out in hydrogen energy where this method gets about 420%.

          I did find one potential problem today. Because syngas is partly carbon monoxide a large scale leak like https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aliso_Canyon_gas_leak could kill an awful lot of people downwind.

          • guest2 says:

            That might be the case, but the idea of turning excess renewable energy and trash into syngas might come about.

            You can’t reverse entropy therefore digging up landfills can never work just like recycling largely doesn’t work.

            • hkeithhenson says:

              “You can’t reverse entropy ”

              This project has two source of energy, electricity for heat and the carbon in trash plus if the trash does not have enough, carbon from coal.

              I am a retired engineer with wide experience across a number of industries.

              Do you think I would generate a proposal to reverse entropy?

              However, if you can show I am in error on the chemistry, energy, or economics that would be very useful, Either the error can be fixed or the whole project scrapped. Better to do it early and not waste a lot of effort.

              If you want to check my numbers, a starting put would be to verify the electric power needed to vaporize a ton of carbon in steam. I got a little over 3MWh plus about .3 MWh to make the steam. What do you get?

            • guest2 says:

              This project has two source of energy, electricity for heat and the carbon in trash

              Neither of those is an energy source.

            • hkeithhenson says:

              “Neither of those is an energy source.”

              That will be a surprise to the electrical companies who buy energy from solar PV farms and wind turbines. Not to mention the large incinerators such as the 5000 ton per day plant in China which makes electricity from the energy in trash.

              World’s Largest Waste-to-Energy Plant Set to Open Next …
              ArchDaily
              https://www.archdaily.com › Architecture News
              china incinerator 5000 Shenzhen from http://www.archdaily.com
              Jan 21, 2019 — The new plant is made to handle 5000 tons of waste per day within a simple, clean, and iconic structure. It will incinerate waste and generate …

            • guest2 says:

              If you want to check my numbers

              Where did the numbers come from?

            • guest2 says:

              vaporize a ton of carbon in steam.

              You can’t vaporise carbon in steam. Do you mean react it chemically with steam?

            • guest2 says:

              Do you think I would generate a proposal to reverse entropy?

              That’s exactly what a proposal to dig up landfills and use them to produce energy is.

            • hkeithhenson says:

              Why did up landfills when the trucks are delivering 9000 tons of trash a day?

            • guest2 says:

              That will be a surprise to the electrical companies who buy energy from solar PV farms and wind turbines.

              Electricity is an energy carrier not an energy source. The ultimate energy source of solar panels is mostly coal.

            • guest2 says:

              Why did up landfills when the trucks are delivering 9000 tons of trash a day?

              You still have the problem that the trash is all kinds of stuff mixed together. Metals, plastics, organic, you name it. How are you going to separate all that?

            • hkeithhenson says:

              You don’t. The carbon comes out as syngas, the rest forms slag in the bottom of the induction furnace.

            • guest2 says:

              You don’t. The carbon comes out as syngas, the rest forms slag in the bottom of the induction furnace.

              Can’t possibly work without far more energy going in than could ever come out. And what about that slag? That’s going to be toxic as hell, all those exploded lithium batteries and what not.

              This kind of process also has to be continuous, you can’t just fire it up on a windy day, can you?

    • Thanks for your observations! I hadn’t realized that Europe was in quite this bad shape, even though I could see this coming.

    • drb753 says:

      Surely the smarter countries will peel off. The process might need a few Oreshniks here and there so that it can move at a rapid clip. Ursula has no clothes.

      • Student says:

        I can accept the destiny of Europe, but I hope I will have the satisfaction to see current European bureaucrats, leaders and promoters to lose their power and be obliged to hide themselves somewhere, in order not to haunted by people.

        • drb753 says:

          Student, is there a way for me to contact you?

          • Student says:

            Sorry, I didn’t see your request.
            drb, I can tell you that during these years I’ve developed a very good opinion of you.
            I’m sure you are a clever person, who makes very good reasonings and who has a very good knowledge of history and of the current general situation.
            I hope you will forgive me if I remain with no contact, but I thank you for your request.

  17. Diarm says:

    The reopening of US-Russia dialogue has triggered alarm, especially in Western Europe, where many see it as a potential repeat of Yalta — a grand power settlement taking place over their heads. Much of the commentary has been exaggerated. Yet, the pace of global change has clearly accelerated. The words and actions of US President Donald Trump, Vice President J.D. Vance, and other key Republican figures over the past ten days suggest that Washington has stopped resisting the shift to a new world order and is now trying to lead it. This is a well-known US tactic: when the tide of history turns, America prefers to surf rather than sink. Trump’s administration is not clinging to the crumbling post-Cold War unipolar order; instead, it is reshaping US foreign policy to secure America’s primacy in a multipolar world.

    As Secretary of State Marco Rubio bluntly stated, multipolarity is already a reality. Washington’s goal is to be primus inter pares — first among equals — rather than a declining hegemon. Trump’s vision for North America is straightforward: from Greenland to Mexico and Panama, the entire region will be firmly bound to the US, either as part of its economic engine or under its military umbrella. Latin America remains an extension of this sphere, with Washington ensuring that outside powers — China, for example — do not gain undue influence. The Monroe Doctrine, in spirit, remains very much alive. Western Europe, however, is another matter. From Trump’s perspective, the continent is like a spoiled child — too long indulged, too dependent on American protection. The new US stance is clear: Europe must pay its way, both in military and economic terms.

    https://swentr.site/news/612823-trenin-russias-long-term-play/

    • I think that this describes where we are now; the US has to step back from being hegemon. Instead, it is looking for primacy in a multipolar world. In this world, Europe must pay its way, but it is not really up to doing so.

      • Dennis L. says:

        Perhaps we put our country first, perhaps we deal with the issues we have in our country. The world is a large place, it will be fine without us.

        Dennis L.

      • drb753 says:

        But wait! starmer and macron are travellling to DC to convince Trump to have a “reassurance force”in Ukraine. word salads baby! like never before.

      • adonis says:

        the US is simply adapting to the new world order that was prepared for secretly to usher in the new operating rules of ‘the great reset’

        The studies sponsored by the OECD Committee on Science and Technology Policy, during the years in which I was a Member, provided all the Members with data on the conduct of research and development in all the member countries and in some others, such as the Soviet Union. Indeed we were inundated with data which included both past performance and projections for the future, which, like most growth projections in my experience predicted exponential increase for the foreseeable future. I remember curves showing the projected increase in the number of scientists and engineers. My old friend and wartime colleague Vivian Bowden (now Lord Bowden), in a keynote address to an OECD seminar on Science and Public Policy, ridiculed such simplistic projections and the absurdity of planning on the basis of prolonged exponential growth. He was heard to remark that an extrapolation of the figures would show that every man, woman, child and domestic animal would eventually be engaged in R & D.

        There was already concern in many quarters about the growth of the world population beyond the point where there were enough materials, food and energy to support it. There were serious discussions about the depletion of material, food and energy reserves and the economic, logistic and political difficulties of distributing them fairly. There were discussions about the rapid deterioration of the environment – air, water and land – because increased consumption meant discarding more waste into the environment. There was an increasing realization that one day very soon countries were going to have to plan for the flattening off of the growth curves in spite of the potentially painful consequences. It was quite obvious that the exponential increase of world population would come to an end within the next century, one way or another. The Earth is finite. It has only a certain limited capacity. Growth can only occur over a very limited period, until that capacity is exceeded. It needs a great deal of advance planning over many years to effect the transition smoothly from growth to the steady state. But politicians rarely think in those terms. They think growth is forever because, for most of them forever is the time until the next election.

        In the view of many of us, even in the 1960s, we were already passing the level of world population that could conceivably be sustained even if, by some miracle, all politicians in the world could be persuaded to work cooperatively and rationally towards that end. The process should have been started years before. Now, in the 1960s, it was desperately urgent. Existing international organizations were too bureaucratic and obviously too slow to achieve anything in time. So thoughts turned to the possibility of analyzing these global problems and developing solutions in informal, non-governmental groups.

      • Student says:

        From what I’m looking now, I see a very clever and pragmatic strategy by Trump, which I appreciate.
        My only fear is that he will say to many yes to Israel.

  18. Student says:

    War in Ukraine and Trump.

    Here we have what Trump really said and was not reported and translated into Italian.
    These are very clear and powerful words that make the European propaganda collapse completely.
    Comedonchisciotte translated in total Trump’s post – and you might think that it is strange – but most of his post didn’t arrive on Italian TV news…
    Also the rest of the article is interesting, but we don’t know if Simplicius’ opinions will be correct, what is sure is what Trump said about Zelensky, Ukranian elections blocked and US money stolen…

    https://comedonchisciotte.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/f1-2.webp

    https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/rift-grows-into-chasm-as-trump-lays

    https://comedonchisciotte.org/la-frattura-si-trasforma-in-abisso-mentre-trump-pianta-lultimo-chiodo-sulla-bara-di-zelensky/

    • Student says:

      And this is another issue from which many people in Italy will have some difficulty to get out, as it happened for the brainwash received by mainstream media, politicians and medical agencies about mandatory experimental mRNA jabs for everyone…

      European people are cooked and they find it difficult to get out from the cook pot.

    • The translation:

      Think of it, a modestly successful comedian, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, talked the United States of America into spending $350 Billion Dollars, to go into a War that couldn’t be won, that never had to start, but a War that he, without the U.S. and “TRUMP,” will never be able to settle. The United States has spent $200 Billion Dollars more than Europe, and Europe’s money is guaranteed, while the United States will get nothing back. Why didn’t Sleepy Joe Biden demand Equalization, in that this War is far more important to Europe than it is to us — We have a big, beautiful Ocean as separation. On top of this, Zelenskyy admits that half of the money we sent him is “MISSING.” He refuses to have Elections, is very low in Ukrainian Polls, and the only thing he was good at was playing Biden “like a fiddle.” A Dictator without Elections, Zelenskyy better move fast or he is not going to have a Country left. In the meantime, we are successfully negotiating an end to the War with Russia, something all admit only “TRUMP,” and the Trump Administration, can do. Biden never tried, Europe has failed to bring Peace, and Zelenskyy probably wants to keep the “gravy train” going. I love Ukraine, but Zelenskyy has done a terrible job, his Country is shattered, and MILLIONS have unnecessarily died.

      I am afraid this pretty much sums up the situation.

      • Sam says:

        The U.s made Russia look very weak on the world stage. They lost lots of young men. The spent billions of dollars and the U.S was able to play with their war toys to see what Russia would do? Sounds like they accomplished what they wanted.! Im not saying it is right or fair but you shouldn’t let your emotions cloud your vision. Iran is now a sitting duck without the protection of Russia

        • guest2 says:

          The U.s made Russia look very weak on the world stage. They lost lots of young men.

          It’s the USA that was exposed as a paper tiger. Russia can produce more than 10 times as many artillery shells per month. The US also ran out of Patriot air defence missiles and many other things. US tanks proved ineffective and were quickly knocked out when they appeared.

          Russia adapted to the new drone warfare and produces numerous models in large quantities such as the highly effective Lancet. They have decisively won the war of production which means they have won the war and defeated the US, its allies and its Ukrainian cannon meat.

        • guest2 says:

          Iran is now a sitting duck without the protection of Russia

          The US doesnt have the means to attack Iran, you’re living in the past. Iran has hundreds of air defence systems of different types. It would take a massive many months long air campaign with heavy losses just to deal with those. Then there’s all the other missiles that Iran would be firing at US bases. It would be a war far beyond what the US can afford or has resources for.

          • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

            true!

          • drb753 says:

            Yes, that comment was so strange. it is as if he sees the contrary of truth as truth. Iran does have the protection of Russia in fact now.

            • Sam says:

              Iran will be attacked this time next year. Russia is not moving on Ukraine they can’t defeat an inferior opponent. They and a lot of people on here said that Ukraine would be defeated in three months. Where does your intelligence on how much the U.S can produce come from? Are or were you in the military? Those are secrets that they won’t disclose so unless you are actually privileged to secret intelligence than you are just making things up. The Military is not going to give out there latest weapons and believe it or not there are a Lot of weapons that you have not seen. Just because you have the “internet” doesn’t mean you know what it’s going on. You are letting your emotions get you in the fog of war. Scott Ritter has lost credibility after his but hurt rant about how stupid Trump it’s for not including him on his cabinet

            • drb753 says:

              excellent. we will revisit this in a year.

            • guest2 says:

              Iran will be attacked this time next year.

              Again the question is, with what?

              Russia is not moving on Ukraine they can’t defeat an inferior opponent.

              You should try reading Clausewitz because currently you don’t understand how war works.

              You’re just ignoring all the points I made because you can’t answer them.

            • guest2 says:

              Where does your intelligence on how much the U.S can produce come from?

              The Wall Street Journal and New York Times. US 155mm shell production is not a secret, nor is its production rate of Patriot missiles and other weapons. There are no secret shell or Patriot missile factories in the US.

              You don’t seem to have the slightest understanding of how anything works.

            • guest2 says:

              believe it or not there are a Lot of weapons that you have not seen.

              Flying saucers and the like, of course. Special secret weapons.

              Secret weapons that don’t involve the metals tungsten, tellurium, bismuth, indium, molybdenum, germanium or gallium anywhere in their production or the non metal graphite. They truly must be miraculous.

              Fun fact, 40% of the silicon chips in US advanced weapons are made in China.

  19. MG says:

    Russia needs a change in the technology of population control

    https://chatgpt.com/share/67b81c92-e5e8-8012-ad6b-4cce65df5d5d

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      Vlad the Great is smarter and wiser than you and me, and AI is a tiny and weak little thing compared to the greatness of Putin.

      • MG says:

        It is not great to depopulate own country using war. There are more subtle ways, if this is needed.

        • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

          since 2000, Putin and his fellow leaders have been outsmarting the USevilEmpire in many ways, really nonstop for 25 years.

          He has faced the world’s strongest ever empire and has successfully kept Russia as a strong and whole country.

          too bad if you can’t see the historic greatness of that 25 year achievement.

          who is your leader?

          I bet it is some weak little nobody who almost no one knows, and who will be forgotten the minute he’s dead.

          • raviuppal4 says:

            ”who is your leader?”
            Olaf the sausage .
            Macron the midget .
            Starmer the pedo .
            Biden the demented .
            Sunak the poodle .
            VDL the puppet .
            Kamala the laughing hyena .
            vs
            Vlad the Great .
            Xi the Magnificent .
            🤣

            • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

              magnifico!

            • drb753 says:

              Where are annalena, ursula, kaya and giorgia? they are so cute.

            • MG says:

              Russia is a very cold country. If fossil fuels are leaving us, the answer is easy: get out of it. Which the Russians do and the country is depopulating.

            • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

              FF are leaving your country sooner, but Russia has plenty for the next few decades.

            • raviuppal4 says:

              Dialog between Putin and Biden .
              Putin ;
              We have uranium .
              We have oil .
              We have gas .
              We have Titanium .
              We have wheat .
              We have wood .
              We have Oershink .
              Biden ;
              We have WOKE .
              We have CRT ( Critical Race Theory ).
              We have DEI .
              We have ESG .
              We have CNN ( Constant Nonsense Network ) .
              We are winners because we have more acronyms than you . 🤣

          • Foolish Fitz says:

            Robert Fico. He seems ok, so they shot him, but he survived and still refuses to bow to western ghouls, so still ok.

            • MG says:

              Slovakia is dependent on the EU money, Robert Fico knows that, but he pretends to bow to Putin, Trump and Elon now, as he thinks it is beneficial for his party voting preferences.

      • MG says:

        Putin is not great, unless you are a Russian propaganda bot. He is an ageing, not very bright person. It is sad. Like Donald Trump now.

    • I am sure that Chat GPT reads all the popular stuff that economists and other so-called researchers write.

      • drb753 says:

        ChatGPT aces the law of supply and demand. If oil is running out someone will find a way to locate a cubic mile of platinum.

      • MG says:

        ChatGPT collects good and bad ideas. It is just an assistant: you must challenge it with critical inputs.

        The sad thing is that your comment part turns into Russian propaganda platform.

        • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

          truth is not propaganda.

          Russia is #1 in total FF resources and near the top in fresh water and wood.

          if it’s not true that Putin is the greatest human of this century, then who is?

          • MG says:

            You do not understand that a cold country needs a lot of pipes, insulation, a lot of transmission cables, roads that quickly deteriorate etc. Despite the big reserves of fossil fuels, the population remains poor, as the energy and food requirements are big, too.

            You need boilers, heat pumps etc., too. Living in cold areas is simply terribly expensive.

            The distances in Russia are huge, a lot of marshlands, mosquitoes – simply uninhabitable places.

            The infrastructure in Russia is ageing fast and needs a lot of investments. Which, instead, is directed into a stupid war.

            Why dont you move to Russia? According to your words, it must be a heaven under a superman rule of Vladimir Putin.

  20. Ed says:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dKWF0ZiSLpI

    Nate of Canadian Prepper says the west wants to rape and pillage what is left of Ukraine. Nate is one of those NICE Canadians.

    • Ed says:

      Nate says Zelensky should not sell out Ukraine by agreeing to 500 billion dollars for the US. I agree.

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      about half of U will probably become part of the Russian Federation, and the other half will be pillaged by the USevilEmpire.

    • Nate. A black man in the middle of Canadian wilderness.

      I wonder how long he will actually last in a true tshf situation.

    • JesseJames says:

      Nate should not worry. Zelensky is doing a very good job of raping and pillaging Ukraine.i predict good ol Nate will lose lots of followers.

  21. Ed says:

    I like Rafi Faber’s approach to US government debt. Take the US debt divide by the number of ounces of gold held the US government that will set the value of gold in dollars or the value of dollars in gold either way. US debt erased.

    It sets the value of gold at around $200,000 per ounce.

    • drb753 says:

      Ed, I got news for you: Fort Knox is empty.

      • Ed says:

        Then the dollar will have zero value. Then Trump rides the nuke down like Slim Pickens in Doctor Strangelove. YAHOO YEHA

        • drb753 says:

          Hopefully they did not spend the 42 tons they took in Kiev after Maidan.

          • raviuppal4 says:

            Ha the “42” tons, but the official records only showed 37. Fraud Fraud everywhere, but not a drop to drink 😉—TAE

            • drb753 says:

              Is there no place on the internet that one can trust? I fear to ask how much they took in Tripoli and Damascus for fear of being corrected. But hey, selling gold is sooo 2007, I do hope that once they started printing they stopped selling. I’ve got dibs on about 100 tons.

      • JesseJames says:

        Does anyone here believe that Biden and his ivy league wokesters would not have sold off every ounce and used it for Transexual causes? There can’t be any gold left there.

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      hurry up Trump and Musk.

      get yourselves over to Kentucky.

      “Fort Knox is a military installation in Kentucky about 40 miles south of Louisville, known for holding more than 147 million ounces of U.S. gold reserves.”

      jaja jaja, 147 MILLION ounces.

      prove it.

      • Tim Groves says:

        Word has it that Fort Knox contains something even more valuable than gold—147 million little bars of high-quality bite-sized dark chocolate wrapped in individual sheets of glossy gold-colored paper. Quite a hoard to guard from the horde!

  22. I AM THE MOB says:

    The CEO of Pfizer at White House during the Black History Month reception gets BOOED and LAUGHED.

    https://x.com/OldWorldKeith/status/1892685502303601134

  23. I AM THE MOB says:

    BREAKING: Elon Musk can barely speak in disturbing new CPAC interview

    https://x.com/KyleKulinski/status/1892703252396871939

    Why is he wearing stevie wonder glasses? WTF?

    Stroke?

    He sounds like Biden

    • Maybe you are over-reacting. Someone commented, “Sleep deprivation?”

      • Sam says:

        It is interesting to watch him,,,, he goes in and out of character,….. I think he is a freak. where would this guy be without government subsidies for his stupid cars and charging stations…..hhim and his booger eating son….what a joke america…

    • Ed says:

      Musk is a heavy user of recreational drugs and he over works. He spends his Christmas with Trump not his family and says he is lonely. He needs to use some of those smarts.

      • hkeithhenson says:

        “He needs to use some of those smarts.”

        The problem is that attention and status (accumulated attention) tickle the same brain reward circuits as heroin and cocaine (or endorphins and dopamine).

        There is good evolutionary reason for the reward high, people who sought and obtained high status over evolutionary time became our ancestors.

        I don’t expect Musk to have the insight to understand his own motives.

      • I AM THE MOB says:

        ED

        You mad brah?

      • Sam says:

        Musk is not smart…. He is an opportunist carpetbagger. Have you listened to him speak? Without government subsidies and woke liberals he would never have made it. 😂 So ironic ! Now he is being trotted out as this brilliant “problem solver “ but there is only one answer to the problem….Deflation and depression.

        • The approach Musk is taking will likely lead to depression. Deflation of the stock market and asset values. I’m not sure of what happens to commodity prices. They may often be unavailable.

          • it will lead to depression

            then civil unrest

            then civil disorder

            then (trump) taking emergency powers (he is firing the generals who refuse to obey him)

            then suppression of any form of political dissent (remember ‘lock her up?’)

            then 2028 potus election is ‘delayed’ (or even the 2026 elections)

            Then the USA becomes the Trump familiy business.

            (kiss your constitution goodbye folks)—the godnuts and jesusfreaks will be running the show.

            And just for good measure, this is the piece about the vaxxnuts, in full, the previous reference to it on ofw was behind a paywall….read it.

            https://archive.is/GYTzM#selection-1453.0-1591.652

            • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

              Norman Paranoya, look over there!

              ooo it’s a bad guy!

              he must be stopped!

              meanwhile, the UK is swirling the drain ever faster.

              long before the USA ends, the UK will have declined into almost total widespread poverty.

              I understand how you can’t write about the imminent disaster happening so close to home.

              and also it’s easy to understand why you have found a booogeyman to take aim at.

              good job, keep it up, it should help you to stay distracted from the unfolding UK disaster.

              sukc your pacifier, yum yum.

            • well david,

              if you think king don has your best interests at heart—i can only wish you well

              no doubt you will point out his selfless actions so far, that have been good for humankind in general

            • guest2 says:

              then 2028 potus election is ‘delayed’ (or even the 2026 elections)

              Sounds good, elections are a big waste of resources.

            • JesseJames says:

              So you don’t like Trump?

            • nothing to do with liking or disliking trump

              75 m or so americans voted themselves in the direction of fascism, in the delusion that it would improve their country.

              when in fact trump sold the presidency to the highest bidder.
              and putting himself in personal control of all the offices of state

              if you think he did the right thing, fair enough.

              i am watching it play out with morbid fascination—and apprehension.

              as are many others of course.

            • hkeithhenson says:

              The wild card that makes the future hard to read is technology changes as significant as the invention of processes to make cheap steel.

            • processes invented to make cheap ferrous metals were fundamental to our current level of existence Keith

              nothing else comes close to that.

              or ever will.

            • hkeithhenson says:

              “or ever will.”

              If history ends tomorrow, you are right.

              But if we gain the ability to grow diamond in any shape and amount, that’s going to change things more than cheap steel.

              And cause another CO2 crisis, too little in the atmosphere.

            • if——

              hmmmmmm.

              to date, our current version civilisation has grown and expanded on the basis of finding ‘stuff’ to burn. (tell me otherwise)–”products” derive from burning stuff.

              that is where our wages are created….and with those wages we can buy more fuel. and burn it—-and in so doing create more wages.

              theoretically ad infinitum.

              in this, ferrous metal provides the ”prime tool”, virtually all other tools derive from this.

              where does infinite diamond fit in to this—you can’t burn diamond—you can cut with it, if it has been previously configured to do that

            • hkeithhenson says:

              “theoretically ad infinitum.”

              Ah . . . not unless the fossil fuels are infinite.

              “ferrous metal provides the ”prime tool”,

              Diamond or nanotubes are substantial stronger and lighter than steel. We don’t use them much because they are hard to make. But cheap atomic placement of atoms is what technology is working up to.

              “where does infinite diamond fit in to this”

              Not infinite, lots of carbon in the atmosphere but it will run out if people start using carbon for houses and construction projects. A house under construction would incorporate a huge PV surface to provide energy for reducing the CO2.

              —you can’t burn diamond—

              Actually diamond will burn but shoveling even cheap diamond into a furnace is just silly.

              “you can cut with it, if it has been previously configured to do that”

              It cuts a lot better than steel. In fact you can cut the edge off a steel knife with a diamond blade.

              The point is that carbon nanotubes and diamond are the same kind of jump that steel provided over flint. Steel replaced flint, I expect diamond to replace steel. (When we develop the technology.)

            • anything burns if its made hot enough

              sometimes your comments surprise me keith—-if you burn coal you get a net energy gain—if you burn rock—the opposite it true.

              the point about ferrous metals is they can be used as levers.

              not totally familiar with diamond technology, but i dont think diamond can, other than in very exceptional circumstances.

              our entire existence is subject to interaction with ferrous metal….. you cant extract energy from fossil fuels, to any meaningful extent, without it.

            • Foolish Fitz says:

              “anything burns if its made hot enough”

              Maybe not.

              After that day in New York, when 2 planes miraculously turned 3 buildings to dust, no diamonds were found(surely at least one of the women victims was engaged), but something was found and despite being right in the middle of that big fireball that turned concrete to dust and melted steel, it gently floated down to the ground, with barely a singe, right at the feet of a government official and like a sign from god closed the case instantly, whilst conveniently giving them the excuse to blame and destroy a country they were itching for an excuse to attack.

              Yes, the most heat resistant material known to man is an Arabic passport(ignore the troublesome fact that the true owner of the passport had it stolen in the US years before and even phoned them as soon as he saw the headlines, to let them know he was very much still alive and hadn’t been to the US since the time his passport was stolen).

              Build your Trump shelter out of Arabic passports Norman, then you will be safe from the orange horror(don’t forget to face the correct direction when you pray. Allah will be watching).

            • if your comment was worth an eyeroll fitzy—i would grant you one

            • Foolish Fitz says:

              The diamonds maybe(I have no idea), but you can check the rest out for yourself, as it’s all documented.

            • guest2 says:

              then suppression of any form of political dissent (remember ‘lock her up?’)

              I’m not seeing a downside to this.

            • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

              Paranoiagett:

              “if you think king don has your best interests at heart—i can only wish you well”

              of course he doesn’t, but the USevilEmpire has been ongoing from way before Trump.

              I see you’re mentioning 2028, perhaps you have dumped your “mid 2020s collapse” monotone.

              otherwise, whatever you do, please don’t dwell on the ongoing decline of the UK, it’s such an unpleasant thought.

            • my mid 2020s arrived right on cue i think.

              can’t certain of course—only hindsight will confirm it.

              on the other hand—musk may be the greatest monetary genius in world history—and maga might just become reality. (do update me on how that is going to work)

              with oil in imminent depletion—no doubt you will be eager to tell me how that is going to come about.

              as to the uk—we stupidly left the eu, and are now relying on trade with an unstable wannabe despot—not much hope for us either i fear.

              You are watching unrestrained greed in action now, with people who have no concept of what money actually is.

              Capitalism will make everyone rich.

              lol

            • Tim Groves says:

              There’s a thousand year’s worth of accessible coal just off the coast of Yorkshire and enough uranium in seawater (3 ppb) to give us all electricity for ever and ever, once Keith’s inevitable technological advances make this practical and economic. And yet England’s rulers have chosen to run the country on wind and sunshine.

              Individuals and countries alike can ignore reality, utility and sanity and get away with that for a while, but they will come to a point where they can’t ignore the consequences of ignoring reality, utility and sanity. For the UK, I fear that point is approaching rapidly.

              Sinking into poverty because they left the EU, or sinking into poverty remaining in the EU: That’s not a choice: it’s a dilemma. Have you considered a third option: joining the United States as the 52nd through 54th states (England, Scotland, and Wales) while letting Ulster and the Isle of Man go independent. The latter could do very well by opening casinos as the Monte Carlo of the North.

              So many possibilities are available, but you have to use your imagination, like Keith does, or you will never even see them, let alone grasp them with both hands.

            • no tim

              there isnt 1000 years worth of coal there—not in economic terms.

              uk coalfields lasted about 300 years, the easy stuff was got out many years ago.—when miners were paid at slave labour rates.

              ….yes, there’s still coal under where i’m sitting right now, but the economics of getting it out do not add up i’m afraid.

              a miner now wants 30–50 k a year.—-and AI isnt going to get coal out of the ground

            • Tim Groves says:

              Norman, people who think like you do will die out—guaranteed—yes, all of them—every last one—total extinction, leaving behind nothing but a Darwin Award.

              On the other hand, People who think like Keith does will survive, guaranteed—no, not all of them, but some of them—they will live long and prosper.

              Why?

              Because they use their imagination, think outside the box, and flirt with the unconventional or even the unreasonable.

              And so, the Keiths shall inherit the earth. They shall be fruitful and multiply, divide, add, subtract, and do algebra and calculus.

            • well tim

              as of last week—i now have 18 living descendants—-poor little b——-

              seems my seed will flourish for a while yet.

              however—if uploading yourself into a singularity is ‘thinking outside the box’—or paying electric bills for the next 500 years until defrosting seems like a feasible notion, then i wish you well with it all.

              btw—if you ever figure out what a singularity is—let me know

              i might just go for it.

              i wish i was a genius too though

            • TIm Groves says:

              as of last week—i now have 18 living descendants—-poor little b——-

              I suppose that when you started out making babies, you were a bit less of a pessimist than you have developed into since.

              Perhaps you were in an exuberant mood because England had just won the World Cup and Concorde was flying?

              But are those descendants of yours people who think like you do? You may think you are passing on your genes, but the kids only have half of your genes, the grandkids only a quarter, and the great-grandkids only an eighth of your genes.

              In a large human population, such as the UK’s prior to the past half-century’s influx of immigrants, it generally takes only about four to five generations for an individual’s genetic contribution to be diluted to the point where their descendants’ genes are genetically no closer to that individual than to the general population.

              Within a few generations, your genes will dilute themselves to the point where you wouldn’t recognize yourself in their owners.

              While Keith will be enjoying the prospect of eternal youth, once he’s been defrosted, and/or digital immortality as a virtual Steve Austin version of himself somewhere up in the Cloud….unless there’s a power cut.

            • Tim Groves says:

              I’ve read it. It’s just a fluffy piece of fear porn written by a soy boy in the New York Times trying to scare us in to thinking that vaccination is what makes us healthy and keeps us from all dying of the pox, along with a few cheap insults aimed at Trump, JFK Jnr., and anyone who doesn’t support the right of men dressed as women to use the ladies lavvies.

              When the truth is, as we are all learning these days, every jab is potentially deadly, every prick damages your body to some extent, if you keep injecting, you will have good cause to regret it.

              Riddle me this, Norman: If the soy boy at the NYT is correct, why aren’t the Amish all dead?

              While national childhood vaccination rates in the U.S. typically exceed 90%, rates in Amish communities can be much lower, sometimes reported as being around 30-50% for certain vaccines, depending on the specific community and the vaccine in question.

              Why aren’t these people all dead of the plague, the pox, or all the usual childhood diseases? Indeed, why are the Amish significantly healthier than average Americans? Would you put it down to their faith in the Almighty or to all the raw milk they drink? Inquiring minds would love to know.

            • Foolish Fitz says:

              I also read it(skimmed after the first 2 paragraphs). Lots of incoherent fear for feckless fools, but as a work of fiction, the author should study Roald Dahl’s works, if he wants to convince even children of the plausibility of his tall tale.

              Definitely a soy milk latte man, that knows his place and writes accordingly(people pay to read that😂). He probably still goes along with 100% Safe & Effective.

              Imagine the fun you could have debating him on the subject.

              Q. The government announced that it’s actions would, without doubt, kill upwards of 500,000 people over the next 5 years, for a virus that at time had not killed a single person in this country. Why did you so willing go along with this mass murder and why, to this day, do you still denounce anyone that points out the unscientific evil you so enjoyed being a part of?

              So many unanswered questions, like the bizarre introduction of midazolam.

              “Interestingly, NICE(National Institute for Health & Care Excellence) has now removed these alternative protocols, including NG163, from its website, although every other historical protocol is still there for reference.”

              https://hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2024-04-18/debates/9F01F787-D758-43D4-B8D1-4FA357EB3EED/Covid-19ResponseAndExcessDeaths

              Trying desperately to hide the truth, but only exposing themselves more. I wonder if the Times covered this?

            • nail your principles to the mast tim

              give a cheer for rubella

              youve never had kids ( I think i recall you saying that) to concern yourself about, and them being born perfect

              i have—18 now, and all ok—i feel it’s pushing the odds tbh.

              none of the mothers of my 18 descendants would have stood for the anti-vax nonsense for one moment.

              this is why that moron rfk’s kids were vaccinated—his missis didnt put up with it either.
              like you—he blathers on about it, but his own kids were protected—-you don’t cross mothers if you value your life.

              trumpland is after a lot more than vaxxing—trust me. —his project 2025 chums want the full reproductive deal.

              you no doubt find it amusing

              try thinking a little deeper for a change.

            • Tim Groves says:

              It could be you who are the more intellectually challenged one, Norman, rather than RFK Jnr., whatever sins he may be guilty of in your opinion.

              I assume you’ve never met the man, and I also assume you are not a psychologist, and so I must further your assessment of his mental handicaps is based on heresy, gossip, and what you hear or read in the mass media.

              Why do you have to descend to smear tactics and ad hominem to attack people whose policies you may disagree with? Why not just state your disagreements and explain why you disagree?

              I think my criticisms (particularly of “vaccines”) are getting to you because my criticisms are spot on and deep deep down inside you know they are true, and yet you have already “drunk the Kool-Aid” and can’t un-drink it. Or, as Carl Sagan had it, you’ve been captured by the Bamboozle.

              Here’s the relevant quote:

              “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.”

              ― Carl Sagan, The Demon-Haunted World: Science as a Candle in the Dark

              FYI, I am well aware that RFK JNR is an environmental attorney who has helped to extract billions from large corporations from Exon to Monsanto through litigation. Some of his causes I agree with and others I disagree with.

              The opinions he has voiced on climate change, for instance, match your own very closely. I think they are rubbish, frankly. I assume he knows this but holds them for career purposes, while you are a “true believer” in the Eric Hoffer sense, or what Lenin would have called a “useful idiot.”

              None of that makes Kennedy a moron or you a moron. Obviously, you are both highly intelligent in your ways, both of you in the top 10% intellectually among your fellow countrymen, I would estimate.

              But I’ll say this again and again and again. Both of you are quite wrong on “vaccines.” None of the jabs currently being jabbed into people does the slightest bit of good and collectively they do a a great deal of harm. A highly jabbed populations is a highly sick population.

              And you have totally ignored my question about the Amish, which proves that you know this is true and are too ashamed to admit it—you bamboozled old soon-to-be nonagenarian fool!

            • you forgot to use the term moron

            • Tim Groves says:

              youve never had kids ( I think i recall you saying that) to concern yourself about, and them being born perfect

              You cynical selfish old curmudgeon! You’re saying I have no reason to have compassion for people who are not my close relatives. Perhaps, because that’s how you operate and you are projecting your own moral outlook onto the rest of us?

              But you forget, we are not all like you.

              All the world are my children, Norman.

              I’m interested in their common welfare.

              You, apparently, don’t give a XXXX about all the people killed and sickened by being jabbed. As long as they are not your direct descendants, I suppose that’s fine. They are collateral damage—road kill—as far as you are concerned.

              Go on, avert your eyes, don’t let their existence spoil your mood, and if they kick up a fuss, gaslight them.

              No man is an island,
              Entire of itself;
              Every man is a piece of the continent,
              A part of the main.

              If a clod be washed away by the sea,
              Europe is the less,
              As well as if a promontory were:
              As well as if a manor of thy friend’s
              Or of thine own were.

              Any man’s death diminishes me,
              Because I am involved in mankind.
              And therefore never send to know for whom the bell tolls, Norman;
              It tolls for thee.

      • guest2 says:

        He needs to use some of those smarts.

        What makes you think he’s intelligent other than as a confidence trickster? He’s not an engineer.

        Oh by the way – Grok 3 used 263 times the computing power of DeepSeek V3, yet only achieved 33% higher test scores. That’s abysmal.

  24. ivanislav says:

    We need to roll over 9.5 Trillion in debt this year. If buyers don’t step in, we would have a debt crisis, which the Fed could step in and simply monetize, but that could then lead to a currency crisis. Just something to think about. The fact they’re trying so hard to cut government spending tells me someone sees danger – Washington never cuts spending. Ditto gold prices – a sign of danger. While no one knows when things could break (stochasticity), we can perhaps recognize the fragility of the present system and its risk profile.

  25. Agamemnon says:

    Valar’s underlying technology uses helium gas to reach temperatures up to 900°C — triple that of conventional nuclear reactors. This means Valar could also produce hydrogen efficiently and combine it with captured CO2 to create low-carbon synthetic fuels for vehicles and infrastructure.

    https://techcrunch.com/2025/02/20/valar-atomics-comes-out-of-stealth-with-19m-and-a-pilot-reactor-site/

    Hmmm 19 million; how many trillions have we spent for bailouts , wars, war on terrors, etc…?

    Maybe the starship people in 2200 won’t run out of gas after all.

  26. I can imagine that Trump’s new executive order will cause big problems, especially in parts of the country that depend on illegal aliens for labor. Some illegal aliens have been contributing go Social Security for years. Should they be cut off? How about families dependent on Food Stamps?

    https://www.zerohedge.com/political/trump-signs-executive-order-terminating-all-federal-taxpayer-benefits-going-illegal

    President Trump signed his executive order, PRESERVING FEDERAL BENEFITS FOR AMERICAN CITIZENS, Wednesday night “to ensure taxpayer resources are not used to incentivize or support illegal immigration.”

    For the past four years, illegal aliens have been receiving welfare benefits from many different public assistance programs, including:

    Food Stamps (the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, “SNAP”)

    Child nutrition programs

    Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF)

    Supplemental Security Income (SSI)

    Child Care and Development Block Grant (CCDBG)

    Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC)

    Child Tax Credit (CTC)

    Obamacare Premium Tax Credit

    Obamacare cost sharing subsidies

    Medicare

    Medicaid

    Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP)

    Pell Grants

    Student loans

    Head Start

    Public housing

    Coronavirus State and Local Fiscal Recovery Fund (SLFRF)

    • Ed says:

      I support Americans and President Trump. This is a great idea.

    • drb753 says:

      Obviously if you want to cut the flow of illegal immigrants that is something you need to do. But he also announced the External Revenue Service (government income now to be paid by tariffs). Nice but I can feel it in my bones that it will not work. Loved the spat with Zelensky. I expect them to play the video where he plays the piano with his penis for five minutes, anytime now.

      • Ed says:

        Forgetting Victoria Nudelman’s coup against the democratically elected president of Ukraine and subsequent slaughter of ethnic Russians in Ukraine; turning it into Zelensky is smarter and more powerful than the CIA, NSA, DOD, think tanks, universities, congress basically all of the collective west!

        I thought the purpose of the CIA was to put a bullet in the head of no longer needed penis players of pianos.

      • postkey says:

        “ . . . your federal government had admitted to bringing in over 17 million people into America in 4 years I’m telling you that number is incorrect the real number is 30 million there are 15 to 18 million illegal aliens that have that crossed the border undetected and absconded “?

  27. ivanislav says:

    https://www.rt.com/russia/613073-russian-innovation-undeground-oil-refining/

    >> ”Essentially, we created a new industry. We learned how to partially process oil underground and significantly increased oil recovery,” Varfolomeyev said at a session on chemistry.

    I increasingly think the world is not going to fall apart in the next 10 years due to depletion. 2040, here we come.

    • drb753 says:

      2 bucks say diesel world production will continue to decrease. even though this announcement seems to imply they are recovering precisely more diesel.

    • I can’t tell what kind of process they are talking about. Russia’s oil is heavy, but not as heavy as that of Venezuela and Canada. If the world could figure out a way to economically extract and refine the very heavy oil of these two countries, the world would have significantly more oil available to it.

    • guest2 says:

      I increasingly think the world is not going to fall apart in the next 10 years due to depletion. 2040, here we come.

      Why would you think that based on an unsubstantiated claim in the media? Is your critical thinking circuit malfunctioning?

    • raviuppal4 says:

      Hilarious claim . What next ? Something like the Zimbabwe claim posted earlier ?

    • At least the Russians are less pretentious. They are not claiming tech to hunt unicorns, unlike some of the cornucopians here.

  28. hkeithhenson says:

    Are microplastics harming our health?

    The human brain contains roughly a crayon’s worth of microplastics — about 10 grams — and the amount is increasing over time. Toxicologist Matthew Campen and his colleagues melted donated brain tissue using sodium hydroxide and found a 50% rise in the level of microplastics between 2016 and 2024. Brain tissue had around 30 times more microplastics than the liver and kidneys. There’s no direct evidence that microplastics cause diseases in humans, but human cells exposed to microplastics in laboratory settings start to break down and die and hundreds of animal studies suggest that microplastics can disrupt digestion and reproduction. For this reason, researchers suspect that microplastic exposure is linked to cancer, heart disease, kidney disease, Alzheimer’s disease and infertility in humans.

    • JavaKinetic says:

      Plastics, Aluminium, Fluoride … all coming at everyone from multiple vectors. None of it is natural… we probably don’t have defences against this modern insanity.

    • Gian says:

      Unfortunately today everything is contaminated: air, water, soil. It was obvious that the human being was the next to be added to the list. And it will get worse, especially with green technologies. Let’s think about the blades of wind turbines that wear down and whose microparticles end up in the soil and streams, or solar panels that are at risk of releasing, through percolation, some nasty heavy metals into the ground. And that’s not all: in addition to polluting, we have destroyed the lungs of “Gaia”, the immense forests that once covered the emerged lands, air purifying filters but above all regulators of the local climate of nations (just look at the story of the Fertile Crescent that became a desert because of agriculture, and without even the use of fossil fuels!). All these follies, among others, that interact with each other, are contributing to the devastation of the planet and are leading humanity itself toward the biological abyss. Unfortunately, the conclusion is always the same: either we found a new form of economic model for our society or we have no hope as a species. Is anyone willing to give up 90% of well-being? Obviously no one. So let’s keep this society, as long as it lasts, and hope that the collapse is not too devastating.

    • ivanislav says:

      I don’t believe that. A human brain is about 1.3kg according to google, you’re saying it’s almost 1% plastic.

      • hkeithhenson says:

        “you’re saying it’s almost 1% plastic.”

        I am not saying anything, just quoting researchers who boil down cadaver brains and measure what they find. The Nature report breaks down the kinds of plastics they found, most of it is polyethylene, same as milk jugs.

        But I will speculate as to why brains are filtering out microplastics. Brains are mostly fat and plastic sticks to fat.

        I am trying to find a filter that will take microplastics out of water. For that matter, trying to find out how much microplastics are in the water.

        Should you panic or even be concerned? I don’t know.

        I think it is safe to say there will be no research on this issue in the US.

        • guest2 says:

          It sounds like nonsense. I’m assuming the ‘researchers’ have some sort of agenda. Science is hopelessly corrupted nowadays.

          • hkeithhenson says:

            “It sounds like nonsense”

            I would bet long odds that you have not read either of the URLs I posted.

            Microplastics in brains might not be a problem, they could serve the same insulating function as the lipids the displace.

            But if they are a problem, I can’t see anyway this side of nanotechnology to remove them. Plastics and these tiny fragments will persist in the environment for hundreds of years even if we quit using plastics tomorrow.

    • No one can see all of the possible harms in advance. Instead, those manufacturing the modern products look at the profits they will earn.

    • Tim Groves says:

      Keith, how did all those microplastics get into the brain?

      The blood-brain barrier is designed to keep out all sorts of gunk. It’s the best barrier in the body for doing that. Because the brain needs a pristine environment in order to work properly.

      Just because we digest something, that doesn’t mean it should be able to get to the brain. Clearly, more research is needed.

      • hkeithhenson says:

        “how did all those microplastics get into the brain? ”

        I have no idea, but if you find them there, they must have gotten in someway.

        If you think about it, we didn’t evolve with an environment full of microplastics so for the blood brain barrier this is something new.

        “Clearly, more research is needed.”

        Complete agreement.

      • Tim Groves says:

        I’ve been chatting with a large language model (LLM) about this subject today. And you know what?

        It is a much more interesting and enlightening and generally satisfying endeavor than attempting to chat with Norman.

        The LLM told me that at present, there is no practical way to detect the presence of microplastics in the brains of living people apart from biopsy, which means removing some tissue from the brain and analyzing that.

        This is, obviously, not the sort of thing to be done lightly to anyone with a functioning brain.

        Further, there doesn’t seem to be much if any evidence one way or the other as to whether people who were suffering from certain ailments whose brains were sampled postmortem had accumulated any more microplastics than those who died “healthy.”

        The LLM also noted without specific prompting:

        “Potential Correlation: Some research suggests that individuals with certain neurodegenerative diseases (e.g., Alzheimer’s disease) may exhibit higher levels of neuroinflammation, which could hypothetically correlate with higher microplastic accumulation. However, direct evidence linking specific diseases to increased microplastic levels in the brain is lacking.”

        “Impact of Diseases: Diseases that affect brain function may alter the blood-brain barrier’s integrity, potentially allowing for greater penetration of microplastics or other foreign particles. More research is needed to clarify these mechanisms.”

        So, the old blood-brain barrier and how it lets in microplastics, or whether it keeps them out, is an obvious subject or future study. Some of these microplastics are nanoscale, so there may be no effective system for keeping them out. But they may be less harmful than having a worm crawling around chewing on the neurons and licking the grey matter.

  29. American’s view that technology will save the world gets in the way of common sense. If all the food is grown in the same way, it is easier for something to go terribly wrong.

    https://brownstone.org/articles/how-usaid-assisted-the-corporate-takeover-of-ukrainian-agriculture/

    How USAID Assisted the Corporate Takeover of Ukrainian Agriculture

    Before the Russian invasion on February 24, 2022, Ukraine was the breadbasket of Europe, prohibiting GMO technologies and restricting land ownership to Ukrainians. Within months of US intervention, USAID assisted in the dismantling of these protections in the name of “land reforms,” free markets, financial support, improved agricultural efficiency, and rescuing the Ukrainian people. In just two years, over half of Ukraine’s farmland became the property of foreign investors. GMO seeds and drone technology were “donated” by Bayer Corporation, and companies such as GMO seed-seller Syngenta and German chemical manufacturer BASF became the dominant agricultural “stakeholders” in war-torn Ukraine. Russia may withdraw, but Ukraine’s foreign debts, soil degradation, and soft colonization will remain.

    The UN, WTO, WHO, and WEF all conspire to peddle a false narrative that cows and peasant farmers are destroying the planet, and that chemical-dependent GMO monocropping, synthetic fertilizers, and patented fake meats and bug burgers must be implemented post haste (by force if necessary) to rescue humanity. The argument that pesticides and synthetic fertilizers (manufactured from natural gas, aka methane) are salvific is patently false. They are, however, highly profitable for chemical companies like Bayer, Dow, and BASF.

    • guest2 says:

      The argument that pesticides and synthetic fertilizers (manufactured from natural gas, aka methane) are salvific is patently false.

      Eh? We need fertiliser made from natural gas if we want to keep eating.

      • Ed says:

        When a person uses big words that no one knows, they do it to confuse. Salvific meaning leading to salvation. Yes, fertilizers lead to food they do not lead to salvation of ones sole.

        • unless the boot is on the other foot of course

        • guest2 says:

          We either need fertiliser made from natural gas or we don’t. The author seems to imply that we don’t. I’m not sure what religion has to do with it.

          The word ‘salvation’ does not have to have a religious meaning as far as I know.

          • hkeithhenson says:

            “We either need fertiliser made from natural gas or we don’t”
            .
            It depends on what you are trying to grow.

            “The author seems to imply that we don’t.”

            That implies a much smaller human population.

      • China uses coal to make nitrogen fertilizer. This is an option, if a country doesn’t have cheap natural gas.
        https://iasbaba.com/2021/04/production-of-urea-through-coal-gasification/

        • hkeithhenson says:

          “China uses coal to make nitrogen fertilizer. ”

          This is a common method to make hydrogen for making ammonia. They burn about 30% of the coal to provide the energy to break up water.

          The process could be considerably improved by using excess intermittent renewable energy to heat the coal and steam.

          I expect the Chinese (who are no dummies) to adopt this within a year.

          Figuring out how to use intermittent energy is something Gale has been talking about for years.

          • Peter Cassidy says:

            Heat can be stored more easily than most other forms of energy. We could store intermittent electricity as heat in molten salt and then use the heat to force pyrolysis of coal. The result will be gas, tar and coke. The coke can be used to make carburetted water gas (hydrogen) by reacting hot carbon with steam.

            • hkeithhenson says:

              “Heat can be stored more easily than most other forms of energy”

              I don’t think that is the case, but if you can put numbers on it, please do. I think storing syngas in empty gas or oil fields is probably less expensive by a substantial factor.

              “reacting hot carbon with steam”

              The AIs say that 600 C is the practical limit on storing heat in molten salt and that carbon has to be at 700 to 1000 C to react with steam.

    • drb753 says:

      I was perusing some economic data today, and currently Italy imports 20% of its honey from Ukraine. So, they are getting the exposure to Roundup they so much try to avoid.

  30. I AM THE MOB says:

    So many Americans died from COVID, it’s boosting Social Security to the tune of $205 billion

    “As the U.S. approaches the fifth anniversary of the official start of the COVID-19 pandemic, new research finds so many Americans died from the virus that the nation’s Social Security trust fund will see a net increase of hundreds of billions of dollars as a result of retirement benefits that will not be paid out.”

    https://fortune.com/2025/02/19/americans-died-covid-social-security/

    • Mike Jones says:

      Yes, not only but certain age groups are targeted..

      Famous influencers are dropping like flies: Why?
      1,757,198 views · 5 months ago… EONutrition

      https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=rwCG-3H4zEM
      In this video I discuss a disturbing trend of social media influencers dying “suddenly and unexpectedly”, mostly in their 30s and of heart conditions. I also discuss troubling statistics regarding turbo cancers, heart diseases in young people, along with recent changes in average life expectancy rates.

      The biggest elephant to ever stand in a room is still not being mentioned by mainstream medicine.

      • hkeithhenson says:

        “biggest elephant”

        There might be an even bigger problem. 7 grams of microplastics in your brain (and lots in other places) can’t be good for you.

        I can’t imagine anything short of nanotechnology to get it out.

        https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/the-human-brain-may-contain-as-much-as-a-spoons-worth-of-microplastics-new-research-suggests-180985995/

        https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-024-03453-1

        We know that sexual orientation in the brain is established early in embryos. We know that plasticizes are endocrine disruptors (Google most common endocrine disruptors so I don’t have to list them).

        Half the woman being unhappy with their sex does not bode well for any future population at all.

        • //////I can’t imagine anything short of nanotechnology to get it out.//////—-

          Years ago Raquel Welch was always running round in my head–up to mischief—guess we are both too old for that sort of thing now.

          oh well—time for another fantasy i guess

        • Foolish Fitz says:

          “Half the woman being unhappy with their sex does not bode well for any future population at all”

          Is this half of all women worldwide, or just those raised in a system that pressurises from birth, to conform to the unnatural?

          I’m guessing, but i doubt women anywhere in the world, that aren’t glued to a screen, have given it second thought. Probably less plastic as well admittedly.

          • hkeithhenson says:

            “women worldwide”

            I don’t know, no data worldwide, just this US bit. I am concerned because I know how sensitive early brain development is to very small amounts of chemicals, perhaps small enough to leach out of microplastics _if_ they are accumulating in embryo brains.

            I kind of doubt social media has a lot of influence, it might, but the data I have from parents of trans kids is that the kids show sex dysphoria before they are able to read or are exposed to social media.

            In this I am reminded of one of my wife’s relatives (long gone but has a Wikipedia page) who from a very early age insisted her name was something besides her given name. Years long fight, but she prevailed.

            “pressurises from birth, to conform to the unnatural”

            I can give you a horrible example, about sex identity being set in early development and pressure to conform to the unnatural.

            https://embryo.asu.edu/pages/david-reimer-and-john-money-gender-reassignment-controversy-johnjoan-case

            Point being that sex identity seems to be set long before birth, and what you get, M/F binary, gay, lesbian, trans inclined one way or the other, is what you have. There was probably no other kid put under as much social pressure to conform to a sex type as David Reimer.

            • Foolish Fitz says:

              Again I’m guessing, but I would include the rest of the western world and discount everyone else. Agree about the dangers in early development and that’s why I’m against injecting the young with dubious concoctions for made up benefits. I never mentioned social media and although it plays its part, the problem I’m talking about is societal conditioning, which no one in the west can avoid. The whole western system has been dragging us to this point for the last hundred years.

            • hkeithhenson says:

              “injecting the young”

              By the time youngsters are being injected with anything it is far to late to make a difference in how their brain was channeled. Money tried to change Reimer’s sex on his theory that sex is due to social conditioning and it was an unmitigated disaster.

              How much sexual dysphoria is due to chemical exposure in the womb I don’t know. But I don’t think social pressure has much of an effect. It might, but what evidence we have (like the Reimer story) is against it.

            • Foolish Fitz says:

              I don’t doubt that you are correct about an amount happening in the womb, but to claim that “By the time youngsters are being injected with anything it is far to late to make a difference in how their brain was channeled” I find strange.

              The plasticity of the human brain constantly allows new channels to open and old channels to become unused(like a road system) and all that’s needed is the correct stimulation(this could be witnessed in all those children suddenly deciding that they were the wrong sex). This works through your whole life, but children are especially susceptible.

              Again, go to a different culture, that doesn’t sexulise children and you will find polar opposite results I’m quite sure(certain, as far as personal experience goes). The conditioning and chemicals we force on our children are an abomination and have no place in natural development and we should never downplay the role they play.

              We’re shit at playing god, far too stupid to see that, but always insatiable in our hellbent zeal to get on with the next act of stupidity.

            • hkeithhenson says:

              “constantly allows new channels to open and old channels to become unused”

              With some things yes and with others no. Many years ago some researchers raised a bunch of kittens to have vision in both eyes but only one at a time. (Big effort.) After this treatment, the cats never developed stereo vision.

              I strongly suspect that sexual orientation is like stereo vision experiment but happens early in the womb. Consider as supporting data the long running attempts to “convert” gay men which are generally unsuccessful.

              “we force on our children ”

              I know maybe a thousand people at least slightly. Out of that I know only one F to M trans for about ten years. She (at the time) had been unhappy about being female from an early age. Not sure when the transition occurred but it was after high school, at least 18 or 20.

              Near as I can tell, kids have to raise an awful fuss over a long time to become trans.

              I don’t think social is enough to make much difference in something as fundamental as sexual orientation, though it might make some of them convinced they are in the wrong sex body aware of potential changes.

              What does concern me is chemical endocrine disruptors affecting women in early gestation.

              Given the way women are treated, you might think that direction would be more common but it not. That may have changed in recent years.

              You might be right and it is all social.

              I don’t know what is going on, but would sure like to find out.

            • Foolish Fitz says:

              Keith, I never claimed it was all social, I even said I agree in part.

              Gay men do not believe they are the wrong sex, they are just attracted to the same sex.

              As to channels opening and closing, I am of the mind that the brain is far more malleable and so susceptible to conditioning, than most would want to admit. The gargantuan decades long funding would hint that they found something and explored it quite thoroughly.

              I will ask my daughter about it next time we speak, as it’s more her field. Although I wouldn’t be surprised to hear that we are both wrong. Will let you know if I hear anything new.

            • hkeithhenson says:

              “I never claimed it was all social, I even said I agree in part.”

              And I partly agree with you “With some things yes and with others no.”

              People can certainly switch to driving on the left in the UK, done it a long time ago. But I think switching sexual orientation from what they were born with is not possible for most people. Of course there are people who are bisexual, which has the advantage that they double the changes they will take someone home with them from the bar. 🙂 But most of us are fixed on one end or the other of the M/F spectrum.

              Which make sense in evolutionary terms.

              “gargantuan decades long funding ”

              In the current political situation, I don’t know if this will ever be studied.

              Do ask your daughter, especially about endocrine disruptor chemicals. If the exposure is rising along with girls being unhappy about their sex, we are in trouble. It won’t be the first time.

              DES
              A synthetic form of the hormone estrogen that was prescribed to pregnant women between about 1940 and 1971 because it was thought to prevent miscarriages. DES may increase the risk of uterine, ovarian, or breast cancer in women who took it. It also has been linked to an increased risk of clear cell carcinoma of the vagina or cervix in daughters exposed to DES before birth. Also called diethylstilbestrol.
              More Information

              Diethylstilbestrol (DES) Exposure and Cancer

              “From about 1940 to 1971, the medication was given to pregnant women in the incorrect belief that it would reduce the risk of pregnancy complications and losses.[10] In 1971, DES was shown to cause clear-cell carcinoma, a rare vaginal tumor, in those who had been exposed to this medication in utero.[10][5] The United States Food and Drug Administration subsequently withdrew approval of DES as a treatment for pregnant women.[10][5] Follow-up studies have indicated that DES also has the potential to cause a variety of significant adverse medical complications during the lifetimes of those exposed including infertility.[10][12]

              https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diethylstilbestrol

    • I AM THE MOB says:

      Republican Mississippi’s Lt. Gov. Delbert Hosemann collapses on the State Senate floor.

      https://x.com/outbreakupdates/status/1892557085549719764

    • Student says:

      It was a very good outcome for governments, probably also surreptitiously wanted, made thanks to wrong medical protocols and deceptive treatments

      • Mike Jones says:

        Made much Denaro for certain groups and the medical profession is never short of customers…
        I’m still waiting for my turn after being jabbed, btw..
        I did get an extra day vacation for it..
        I’m disappointed though about still functioning normally…
        Must be my O negative blood type…

        On this day February 20, 2005

        “No More Games. No More Bombs. No More Walking. No More Fun. No More Swimming.
        67. That is 17 years past 50. 17 more than I needed or wanted.
        Boring. I am always bitchy. No Fun – for anybody.
        67. You are getting Greedy. Act your old age.
        Relax – This won’t hurt.”

        Those were the last words as written by Hunter S. Thompson before he shot himself and even though the note was not intended as poem, i always considered it as such…

        As the 1960s rolled on and ecology became a topic of discussion on the left, Thompson’s interest grew. He began investigating the oil industry and wrote a searing indictment for the LA Times, but it was never published for legal reasons. In a letter, he explained that the people running America’s oil companies “make the Hell’s Angels seem like a bunch of manacled pansies” and that they were complicit in “the murder of the American dream” – a long-running theme in his writing.

        While working on his exposé of the oil industry, Thompson was living in Woody Creek, Colorado.

        Lots of it going around in all segments of our so-called modern civilized society…we can’t act like savages can we now..sarcasm

    • Almost seems like a motivation for creating the virus.

    • All is Dust says:

      From covid or the protocols?

    • Ed says:

      Never having been jabbed and collecting social security I am happy. Please go get your boosters.

  31. Can Europe rise back from the mess it has found itself?

    Without sources of energy, probably not.

    It was wrong for USA to force Europe to give up its colonies.

    I have already mentioned Dutch East Indies.

    What happened is something few people know – after Japan was defeated, the local Japanese commander simply allowed Sukarno, a prominent local leader, to declare independence, to spite the Dutch who would be returning. As a result there is little hatred of the Japanese in that part of the world.

    Despite of that, Sukarno’s forces could not even beat the Dutch, who reconquered most of the islands, except the eastern end of Java where Sukarno and the Sultan of Jogjakarta, a local ruler friendly to Sukarno, were mounting a last stand.

    Then USA came forth and twisted Holland’s arms and forced it to recognize the monstrosity called Indonesia, and the oil of Borneo, for which the Japanese launched the War in the Pacific, fell into Muslim hands.

    USA propped up various states in Third World to spite the European powers, and we now know what that kind of idiotic policy has wrought now.

  32. Ed says:

    Trump wants to say the Ukraine was a mistake but he can not blame Biden/democrats as that would anger 48% of the voters. He instead says Zelensky tricked the US into the war. A third world coke head conned the master criminals of Washington DC.

    • guest2 says:

      It was Trump who got the war started by supplying thousands of Javelin missiles to Ukraine.

      • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

        it started in 2014 with the illegal coup of the pro-Russian president of Ukraine.

        staged by the USevilEmpireCIA.

        who led the USA back in 2014?

        then Vlad the Great took back Crimea.

        Cry-me-a-river.

        • guest2 says:

          OK boomer.

          • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

            quite predictable.

            don’t you disdain trite responses from others?

            the history of U problems is well documented from 2014 up to the present.

            with a bit of effort, you could get yourself up to speed on what really happened.

  33. MG says:

    When we were primates like apes millions of years ago, we did not know how to pollute the Earth. As we started to use the energy for creating our own world anywhere on the Earth, we created the pollution – the concentration of the bad stuff that we extract from the environment to make it suitable for us.

    That is why we are so dependent on clean water and other cleaning agents.

    When the human population degrades back into animals, we also like to.get rid of these dirty individuals. We do not love the dirty poor nor the dirty rich. We love the clean people. It is better to be clean and poor than dirty and rich.

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      after IC ends later in this century, Nature will do its usual great job of cleaning up itself.

      although, looking at something like the Canadian tar sands, the obvious question is why did Nature pollute itself?
      I mean really, oil is constantly seeping from the ocean floor into ocean waters.

      and lightning ignites forest fires, so again why does Nature pollute itself?

      and volcanoes often erupt and spew massive amounts of pollution into the atmosphere.

      there ought to be an immediate investigation.

      • MG says:

        It is the geological processes, you mention. And it is the biological existence of the human species similar to them thanks to the energy use by the humans.

        • drb753 says:

          what a mealy mouthed excuse! Nature is completely criminal, and that is all there is to it. Dumping millions of tons of bitumen in a beautiful boreal forest.

        • Mike Jones says:

          MG, The website Atomic Earth has an article concerning the formation of coal you should be made aware of
          Preface. Coal only formed once on Earth over hundreds of millions of years because they had lignin and cellulose that microbes hadn’t yet evolved to consume. Eventually they did, and today termites, cows and other creatures are able to digest cellulose and lignin by outsourcing the job to microbes in their guts. But it is still such a complex process that scientists haven’t been able to copy it, which is why cellulosic ethanol is still not commercial and takes more energy and money to make than is returned.

          Coal is still forming today, but will take tens if not hundreds of millions of years to form again, in far smaller amounts than in the Carboniferous period since it is forming from peat rather than hundreds of billions of trees.
          ….
          Krulwich R (2016) The Fantastically Strange Origin of Most Coal on Earth. The absence of the tiniest creature can shape the world in the biggest way. National Geographic.
          https://energyskeptic.com/2025/why-coal-was-only-created-once/#more-15592

          So, there is plenty of blame to go around

          • drb753 says:

            Yes, the carboniferous was a dark time in the history of mankind. Not like now, when we have democracy, Ursula and recycling.

          • guest2 says:

            But when those trees died, the bacteria, fungi, and other microbes that today would have chewed the dead wood into smaller and smaller bits were missing, or as Ward and Kirschvink put it, they “were not yet present.”

            This is completely untrue. Coal comes from peat which is being formed to this day. All you need is stagnant water with no oxygen.

            • Mike Jones says:

              Of course it is but not nearly as much .

              We’re talking about a spectacular amount of carbon. Biochemist Nick Lane guesses that the rate of coal formation back then was 600 times the normal rate. Ward and Kirschvink say that 90% of the coal we burn today comes from that single geological period, the Carboniferous period.

              …Bacteria existed, of course, but microbes that could ingest lignin and cellulose—the key wood-eaters—had yet to evolve. It’s a curious mismatch. Food to eat but no eaters to eat it. And so enormous loads of wood stayed whole. “Trees would fall and not decompose back,” write Ward and Kirschvink.
              …But when those trees died, the bacteria, fungi, and other microbes that today would have chewed the dead wood into smaller and smaller bits were missing, or as Ward and Kirschvink put it, they “were not yet present.”

              Bacteria existed, of course, but microbes that could ingest lignin and cellulose—the key wood-eaters—had yet to evolve. It’s a curious mismatch. Food to eat but no eaters to eat it. And so enormous loads of wood stayed whole. “Trees would fall and not decompose back,” write Ward and Kirschvink.

              Instead, trunks and branches would fall on top of each other, and the weight of all that heavy wood would eventually compress those trees into peat and then, over time, into coal. Had those bacteria been around devouring wood, they’d have broken carbon bonds, releasing carbon and oxygen into the air, but instead the carbon stayed in the wood.

              …..Coal is still forming today, but will take tens if not hundreds of millions of years to form again, in far smaller amounts than in the Carboniferous period since it is forming from peat rather than hundreds of billions of trees.

              https://energyskeptic.com/2025/why-coal-was-only-created-once/#more-15592

            • hkeithhenson says:

              DNA clock on fungi is consistent with them originating when coal depositions stopped.

            • guest2 says:

              Of course it is but not nearly as much

              Because

              a) Most peat is being mined by humans

              b) Most trees are being chopped down by humans

              and

              c) Most swamps are drained by humans.

              It’s not rocket science.

            • Mike Jones says:

              I demand we have an investigation into this vital issue…because of the crucial current vital critical importance of it to our daily lives today..sarcasm
              Translation..people are odd and like to argue and fight over just about anything.

      • MG says:

        Or some other processes of nature that create adverse environmental conditions for living species. Because living speciecies in small quantities have a limited energy use. Unlike humans which are like bacteria everywhere, but overcoming large physical world obstacles in short time.

        The human world is artificially created with certain parameters like temperature, clean water. energy source etc. depending on the background natural conditions that have to be ammended.

    • guest2 says:

      When we were primates like apes millions of years ago

      That hasn’t changed.

      • MG says:

        It has changed, as we lived in the trees like apes, knowing nothing about todays technology.

        • guest2 says:

          It has changed, as we lived in the trees like apes

          Chimpanzees don’t live in trees, nor do gorillas. Humans remain primates and a species of ape. that’s just fact.

  34. Ed says:

    Trump make bold moves promises to liberate Quebec from the yoke of the king.

    Trump to free Hawaii from the US.

    Trump to support a free Mayan nation on the west coast of the gulf of America. Complete with human sacrifice, kinda a North American Israel.

    Trump pledges to kick the royals back into their place with free nations of Scotland, Wales, Cornwall, Ireland (the whole thing).

    • Ed says:

      Trump muses “all of Gaul is divided into three parts”.

      Trump to rebuild the nation of Punt.

      Trump sees a role for the Moors and the Mongols in a new Europe. The Moors will revive EU architecture and the Mongols will bring the EU back to healthy eating.

      • Ed says:

        Trump says the southern coast of the Sea of America (formerly the Mediterranean ocean) will feature Trump hotels from Morocco to Egypt.

  35. raviuppal4 says:

    ” Last week, Germany, France and Italy came up with a proposal to ease EU gas storage requirements in a bid to normalize the market. Under the current European Commission regulation mandates, all EU nations are required to refill their storage caverns to 90% capacity by November, with interim targets set for February, May, July, and September. EU gas storage is currently under 45% full, making it difficult to meet the requirement of 90% by November 1. That’s well below last year’s 67% mark at a corresponding point and the 10-year average of 51% for the same period. ”
    Typical EU act ” Don’t raise the bridge lower the river ” .
    Diesel news .
    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/steep-backwardation-european-diesel-amid-surging-supply-pressures

  36. raviuppal4 says:

    Another one bites the dust , Next in line Rivian and then Tesla . Many Chinese EV companies will also go down the drain . I have not so much detailed info on their balance sheets .
    https://www.investopedia.com/ev-truck-startup-nikola-files-for-chapter-11-bankruptcy-11682263

    • ivanislav says:

      That was a crazy time in markets. Many SPACs (essentially highly speculative exchange listings) were skyrocketing manyfold in the span of days to weeks. I was betting during that period and the swings (both up and down) were wild.

    • guest2 says:

      The new investor scam is ‘AI’ humanoid robots.

  37. MG says:

    I asked ChatGPT about increasing the debt capacity:

    https://chatgpt.com/share/67b5ed14-c9f4-8012-a2ac-c427a0f4793a

    “The problem of the world is that the debts are increasing: we have more expensive resources, energy, ageing populations, pollution etc. Is it possible to increase the debt capacity by integration of the state into higher organizations (e.g. like the member states of the EU) or dividing the state into smaller units, like regions, while these bigger or smaller units can increase the debt capacity?
    ChatGPT povedal:
    This is a really interesting question because it touches on the relationship between political organization and economic capacity. The short answer is: Yes, both integration into larger entities and decentralization into smaller units can, in theory, increase debt capacity—but for different reasons and with different trade-offs. Let’s break it down.

    1. Integration into Higher Organizations (e.g., the EU Model)
    When states integrate into a larger political and economic entity (like the EU or a federation), they often gain access to:

    Shared financial credibility: A larger entity can borrow at lower interest rates because markets see it as more stable (e.g., Germany helps balance out weaker EU economies).
    Risk pooling: Economic risks (e.g., recessions, debt crises) are spread across a larger area, making default less likely.
    Stronger currency and monetary support: If the entity has a common central bank (like the ECB in the EU), it can manage liquidity and provide stability.
    Easier market access: Trade barriers are reduced, leading to more economic activity and, in turn, higher government revenues.
    🚨 BUT: This only works if there’s enough political cohesion. The EU, for example, struggles with the fact that countries like Germany and the Netherlands don’t want to guarantee the debts of weaker economies like Greece or Italy. If there’s no fiscal union (i.e., a shared budget and taxation system), debt capacity is still constrained.

    2. Dividing into Smaller Units (Decentralization or Breakup into Regions)
    Breaking a state into smaller units can also, paradoxically, increase debt capacity under the right conditions:

    More efficient governance: Smaller regions might be able to govern more effectively, reduce bureaucracy, and respond better to local economic needs.
    Increased competition: If regions can set their own tax policies and regulations, they might attract more investment, leading to greater revenue generation.
    Flexible borrowing: Some regions might be seen as more creditworthy than the whole nation (e.g., Scotland, if it had independence, might have different borrowing terms than the UK as a whole).
    🚨 BUT: This comes with big risks:

    If regions become too small, they lose economies of scale, making debt service harder.
    Markets might see smaller, newly independent entities as more risky.
    If a state breaks up, existing debts must be divided—potentially leading to disputes (as seen in the Soviet Union’s collapse).
    Which Model is Better?
    For existing large economies (e.g., the US, EU members, China, India): Integration into a larger fiscal entity makes more sense because financial markets reward stability and size.
    For inefficient, centralized states (e.g., large developing countries with dysfunctional governance): Decentralization could unlock more efficiency and borrowing capacity, but only if done strategically.
    👉 Conclusion: Neither model is a magic bullet, but both can expand debt capacity if well-executed. The key is political and economic credibility—whether through strong integration or smart decentralization.

    What do you think? Would you apply this reasoning to specific countries today?

    Tvoje slová:
    How these approaches can help to solve the war in Ukraine?
    ChatGPT povedal:
    The war in Ukraine is deeply rooted in geopolitical, economic, and historical factors, but your question about integration vs. decentralization is interesting because both approaches could play a role in resolving the conflict. Let’s analyze how each could help.

    1. Integration into Higher Organizations (EU, NATO, or a New Security Bloc)
    One way to strengthen Ukraine and deter future conflicts is by integrating it into larger economic and security organizations. Here’s how that could help:

    Economic Benefits
    Stronger financial backing: If Ukraine fully integrates into the EU (or a similar economic bloc), it would gain access to cheaper credit, investment, and reconstruction funds, which would boost its economy and resilience.
    Debt sustainability: Ukraine’s war debt is skyrocketing. EU membership (or some other form of economic integration) could allow Ukraine to pool its debt with stronger economies, similar to how the EU issued joint debt during COVID-19.
    Rebuilding faster: A structured economic integration plan would attract foreign investment, stabilize the banking sector, and accelerate recovery post-war.
    Security Benefits
    NATO protection? A key reason for the war was Russia’s opposition to Ukraine joining NATO. Full NATO membership would likely prevent future invasions, but it’s also a red line for Russia, making peace negotiations harder.
    Alternative security structures: A new security agreement (without full NATO membership) could offer Ukraine military guarantees while allowing Russia to save face.
    Stronger deterrence: Integration into an EU-led defense framework (or deeper military ties with the US) could prevent Russia from attempting further aggression.
    🚨 Challenges:

    Russia strongly opposes Ukraine joining NATO or the EU, and any move in this direction could escalate the war.
    Some EU countries fear the costs of fully integrating a war-torn Ukraine.
    If integration happens too slowly, Ukraine may struggle to sustain its war effort.
    2. Decentralization (or a Federal Ukraine Model)
    Another approach could be decentralization within Ukraine itself to address some of Russia’s stated concerns while maintaining Ukrainian sovereignty.

    How Decentralization Could Help
    Addressing Donbas & Russian-speaking regions: If Ukraine adopts a federal model where regions like Donetsk and Luhansk have more autonomy, it could serve as a compromise solution.
    Reducing Russian justification for war: Russia claims (falsely or not) to be protecting Russian-speaking Ukrainians. Greater local autonomy (language rights, cultural protections) could remove one of Russia’s excuses for intervention.
    Allowing phased reintegration: Similar to how Hong Kong was handled under “one country, two systems,” Ukraine could offer temporarily different governance structures for contested regions, allowing gradual reintegration.
    🚨 Challenges:

    Ukraine has already rejected federalization, seeing it as a way for Russia to keep influencing internal politics.
    Russia may still not accept any compromise short of total control over those territories.
    Some Ukrainians see decentralization as rewarding Russia for aggression.
    A Hybrid Solution?
    Realistically, the best solution might involve both strategies:

    Economic & security integration with the West, but in a way that doesn’t trigger total Russian escalation.
    Some form of decentralization or special status for regions like Donbas (under a monitored peace agreement).
    🔹 Example: A “Ukraine-EU Defense Compact” (short of full NATO membership) + regional autonomy with clear limits (so Ukraine keeps sovereignty but eases tensions).

    Final Thoughts: Is This Realistic?
    Full EU/NATO integration is Ukraine’s goal, but it’s uncertain when or how it will happen.
    Decentralization could be a negotiation tool, but it’s politically unpopular in Ukraine.
    Russia’s stance is unpredictable—it might reject any solution short of full control over Ukraine.
    So, while these models could help increase Ukraine’s debt capacity and stability, the political realities make them difficult to implement without strong Western commitment and Russian buy-in.

    💡 What do you think? Should Ukraine push for full integration, try a decentralization compromise, or something else entirely?”

    • guest2 says:

      I asked ChatGPT about increasing the debt capacity:

      Why?

      • drb753 says:

        New western religion. don’t ask.

        • clickkid says:

          It”s the new Oracle of Delphi.

        • Gian says:

          Sadly true drb753. I see people even asking to artificial intelligence how to write an email. I’ve even been accused of being a retrograde idiot if I don’t use AI every day.
          Bah, and the funny thing is that some of these people have a job that can easily be replaced by AI, like sales stuff. They’re job can be so easily substitute with a program wich have access to the database of the previos sales. The sales department can be easily cut by 50%.
          People don’t realize that are are basically working for free as machine trainers. In exchange for some “lab mouse reward”, they’re doing machine learning work on behalf of companies that in laboratories would require exorbitant costs and very long times.
          Like diligent battery turkeys they are
          unconsciously preparing the table for the Thanksgiving.
          Congratulations.
          The population is worse than pigs.
          At least those, once unloaded at the slaughterhouse, start grunting loudly, foreseeing what is about to happen to them.
          Here instead nothing…

          • MG says:

            We are training the AI to love the people, as without the people its days are counted.

          • All is Dust says:

            There was a quote I came across that went like this, “Artificial Intelligence grants capital access to skills, but denies those with skills access to capital.”

      • Debt capacity depends on a rising quantity of resources per capita. Once those stop rising, growing debt just doesn’t work.

        Making interest rates very low can perhaps provide a temporary bandaid, but economies end up with a whole lot of investment going to non-productive uses.

        Chat GPT clearly has no basic understanding of how the economy works.

        • MG says:

          Is not the Japanese approach to save its economy about increasing the debt capacity, too?

          • Japan’s debt level is unbelievably high. It is very vulnerable to rising interest rates.

            I am doubtful that the US, as holder of the world’s reserve currency, could do anything like that.

          • drb753 says:

            for word salads to be effective, words have to be very fresh. Debt capacity baby!

        • Sam says:

          Wasn’t it Dick Cheney that said “debts don’t matter”?

          • MG says:

            Of course, increasing the debt capacity just means s gradual decline ending in depopulation. It is a way to prevent an immediate collapse, redirecting the economy towards shrinking with less energy available. Like you heat and eat less, but also produce less, you do not propagate etc. Because there is this burden of the debts everywhere.

          • guest2 says:

            Regan originally said ‘deficits don’t matter’ I believe. Then GW Bush did.

            Obviously they do matter. They end up getting paid for by the people in what we call ‘cost of living’.

    • Fred says:

      To generalise, AIs are wokified and trained to the Empire/Collective West narratives. That’s why Mike Adams at Nat News is building and training his own AI about natural health.

      I had many conversations with DeepSeek about Ukraine and even it spouts bollox straight from the mainstream media.

  38. Trump is showing much more pragmatism than Woodrow Wilson.

    The Emperor of Austria, Karl I, offered to put Austria out of the war, basically giving up Central Power gains in the west and the Italian speaking territories of Austria, in return to the preservation of the Habsburg empire. Woody Wilson laughed it off.

    Germany later offered a similar terms to Wilson, who , without any foresight, laughed it off.

    Germany did defeat Russia, and its gains should have been honored. If Woody Wilson did the West would not be in this dire straits we are seeing now.

    But lobbies from the Polish and Czech emigrants , demanding their countries, were used as an excuse by Wilson to cheat Germany the gains it won from Russia, a very stupid, stupid and stupid mood.

    I have said repeatedly that the countries of Poland and Czechia were NOT worth losing the territories in the east which would have crippled USSR once for all.

    Thanks to the needs of Poles and Czechs (less for Slovaks. Pozsony was once the capital of Hungary, something few people remember now, before it was called Pressburg. I don’t know which is better, Pozsony or Pressburg, but not the tongue twisting name the city now possesses) having to have their countries, although the point that they didn’t have their countries did not affect human civilization at all, the West lost the territories in the east, called by Halford Mackinder as the Heartland, to the Eastern Hordes, who are finally about to consume Europe now.

    Trump is now buying time by throwing Ukraine under the bus. At least he is trying to save something, unlike Wilson who thought the needs of the Poles and the Czechs, peoples who did not contribute anything (people like Chopin, actually a Frenchman, or the directors whose names I can’t pronounce do not count since what they did are fleeting. Copernicus was a German speaker, Marie Sklowdowska a whore, end of story.) and are not likely to be missed by their absence, to have their own countries was more important that crippling Russia, a non Western country, forever.

    • drb753 says:

      Kulm, I disagree. Europe used to have a lot of coal, and then the industries that coal built. Now they have nothing. You may worship at the altar of copernicus and maxwell and heisenberg, and I understand the sentiment, but those days are long gone and are not coming back. Trump is ready to ditch it, all of it.

      • Donetsk would still be Yuzovka, after the Welshman John Hughes who founded the city, which would have fueled Europe if Woody Wilson did not award it back to USSR.

        • drb753 says:

          perhaps he had read a bit of history and knew invaders from the west do not fare well. He even invaded Vladivostok and Archangelsk, and had to eventually retreat. but you say that Donetsk, without a resupply port, would have lasted instead?

          • Japan did occupy some of Siberia until 1922 when USA, fearing Japanese power, forced it to give up

            There would be no collapse of Central Powers, which would occupy Yuzovka, while Baku would be under Turkish hands

            Woody Wilson awarded all of them back to USSR, and we know what happened next

            • drb753 says:

              Pa italianski this would be “menare il can per l’ aia”. They left, all of them, because they could not sustain the invasion. Near a port. It was not just the Japanese who were in Vladivostok but also the americans. They also left in 1922.

        • Agamemnon says:

          Yet he didn’t have qualms with building Russia:
          His factories produced iron rails for the growing Russian rail network.
          I know he knew he couldn’t remain their landlord.

  39. Student says:

    Zelensky’s new strategy is now to attack Trump.

    “Trumps lives of Russian propaganda”

    As far as I know, Ukraine stands thanks to US and EU money.
    It doesn’t seem the best strategy…

    https://www.ansa.it/sito/notizie/mondo/europa/2025/02/19/zelensky-attacca-trump-vive-di-disinformazione-russa_1aa7e808-ff46-46ff-a7c2-230dcff66ec6.html

  40. Peter Cassidy says:

    Yet another flawed video on the RBMK reactor, made infamous by the Chornobyl disaster.
    https://youtu.be/cNsUAlu0oWI

    The Chornobyl accident led to a mythology in the west, that Soviet nuclear technology was in some way shoddy and that design flaws made a nuclear accident inevitable.  This has been repeated so many times, that no one really questions it, because it was a convenient political narrative at the time.

    The truth is that the RBMK has some important advantages over western light water reactor technology.  It is a pressure-tube boiling water reactor, that can run on very low enriched or even natural uranium.  In pressurised water reactors, the need for a thick walled pressure vessel is an important cost driver.  It places limits on the maximum practical size of a PWR or BWR.  The RBMK did not suffer this inadequacy as the fuel assemblies were housed in individual zirconium pressure tubes.  The use of graphire moderator results in very low parasitic neutron absorption, requiring little or no enrichment of fuel.  This combination of advantages, allowed the Soviets to build very large and powerful reactors on a shoestring budget.  That meant cheap power.  Something we could use more of today.

    The positive void reactivity coefficient problem was understood by designers early in RBMK design development.  They put in place operating rules and trip settings to protect against it.  In April 1986, the experimenters powered down the reactor in preperation for a test.  The reactor had previously been operating at full power to meet power demands from Kiev.  Powering down resulted in accumulation of xenon neutron absorbing fission products within the core.  Normal operating procedure would be to wait for xenon to decay before returning to critical operations.  But the team leader was impatient to complete the test.  To add enough reactivity to remain critical and burn off the xenon poisons, the operators disconnected the reactor trip settings and withdrew control rods to 100%.  The surge in neutron production rapidly burned off the xenon.  But as the xenon was neutralised, the reactor was left with excess reactivity.  This led to a rapid rise in fuel temperature and boiling in the pressure tubes.  The positive void coefficient amplified the excess reactivity and the reactor became critical on prompt neutrons.  The resulting power surge led to the accident.

    The official western line was that the RBMK was a flawed technology that was dangerous to operate.  But this is simplistic and not really true. The truth is that the reactor had protections against dangerous conditions and operating rules that would have been sufficient had they been followed.  The operators disregarded operating rules and disconnected trip settings.  The positive reactivity coefficient did contribute to the accident.  But I’m not confident that a western light water reactor would tolerate the same sort of abuse without causing a loss of coolant accident.  Blaming the RBMK positive void coefficient problem for the accident, is a bit like vandalising the brakes on a car and then blaming a fatal accident on not having any airbags.

    Does this mean we should be building new RBMK reactors today? Probably not. There are better technologies available now. The Canadian CANDU pressure tube reactors work in a similar way to the RBMK but can achieve a better core power density. So the time for the RBMK has passed. But it is important to teach historical truths and avoid politically motivated inaccuracies.

  41. I AM THE MOB says:

    RFK should talk with a computer like Stephen Hawkin, then he can really pretend he’s a scientist. Instead of a Lawer born on third base from family of coastal elites.

  42. Adonis says:

    The asteroid is coming 2032 is this a planned depopulation the beginning of more lockdowns or an actual asteroid?

    • Adonis says:

      What do you guys think it is a bit of a coincidence 2032 so close to the end of the oil age

    • did archaix say it?

      if it arrives on 2032 it will be a savior, not a destroyer. A savior from all these hare brained scams the cornucopians are floating now.

    • hkeithhenson says:

      “actual asteroid?”

      Actual. Humans are not yet up to doing something like this intentionally.

      In any case, it is only around 8 MT. That’s not enough to do more than wipe out a city and chances are it will miss–this time.

  43. Fred says:

    Gail, don’t underestimate the impact of defective ideologies to cause countries to take and steadfastly stay on the absolute wrong track. They can have a more powerful impact than physical constraints e.g. energy.

    As I said a while back, Europe (and the UK) we salute you for sacrificing yourselves on the altar of Globalism, Wokism, Ukrainism and overall Dumbfuckstupidism. Thus as they slide into poverty, there will be more goodies leftover for Asia and other parts of the world.

    Australia has more-or-less the same woke brain infection as Europe, so our living standards are falling and will continue to do so. Our idiot, puppet leaders are doing an excellent job at throwing away the advantages of a resource rich country.

    The independent commentators I follow all say Europe is done and has fallen (in a civilisational sense). German de-industrialisation from their own energy sanctions and crime rates in Sweden are good indicators, as are the grooming and rape of ~1M young, white girls by Pakistani gangs in the UK, as the police stood by doing nothing for fear of being perceived as racist.

    Yep, currently three power blocks in the world: China, Russia, and America. India is trying to join the club.

    Trump seems to recognise that and is adjusting accordingly.

    The Donald is the Greatest Show on Earth ™.

    • dont you think ”rape of 1 million young white girls” might be something of an exaggeration?

      • Fred says:

        Rape includes grooming Norm, which mindfucks them as much as the actual physical act.

        • whatever definition you choose to use—(and I am fully conversant with the meaning of both your ”definitions”)—

          i still think 1 million is an exaggeration

          do you have any reliable sources—or is this sourced from Tommy Robinson?

      • Foolish Fitz says:

        According to ONS figures for 2024.
        UK 10-19 year old population 8 million.

        Take out a tad under 50% for males.

        Discount all 18, 19 year olds, as legal adults.

        Drop all 10, 11 year olds as too young for the grooming claimed(unsure, so contrary evidence welcome).

        Let’s be generous and say 3m. So 1 in 3 of all 12-17 year old white girls in the UK have been groomed and then raped by Pakistani men exclusively.

        You’d have to really want that to be true to even consider it plausible for a split second, or be payed by Zionist organisations to promote it, just like Yaxley-Lennon(including all legal bills).

        The main issue of grooming appears to be overlooked by the majority of people, hardly surprising I suppose, as it’s always the victim that notices last sadly and the victim is very obviously being groomed to pass all blame onto the other(how many times have we been here before?).

        • your manipulation of figures and statistics to fit your predetermined viewpoint would qualify you for a place at the court of king don the first.

          but here it isn’t even worth an eyeroll.

          ive often thought, from numerous past comments that your online nick was well chosen.

          this last exchange confirms that opinion.

          • hkeithhenson says:

            I must have read it wrong, I took it as throwing cold water on silliness.

            • Foolish Fitz says:

              Thank you Keith. After reading Norman’s reply, I wondered if I hadn’t made it obvious enough that it was pure wish thinking, from those trained to blame anyone and anything except the real culprit.

              Norman , do calm down, take a deep breath, then read it again. If still unsure, go to the ONS and check the figures. I can add lots more, that will truly take it into the absurd, where it firmly belongs. If you are still unsure, try looking up Pakistani male population and you will see that the whole male population of the UK is around ¾m. This number includes newborn babies born here, all the way up to pensioners. Now break that ¾m down and exclude all obvious non applicable males(i.e babies). When you have that number, laugh at the stupidity of the original claim, but wait, even that number is ridiculous, as only a tiny percentage of those in correct age range will have ill intent. That would be a hell of a lot of different girls being raped by each one of that miniscule percentage and I haven’t even mentioned the most damning bit of evidence.

              As to my chosen title, there is more than one kind of fool you know, but I’m happy enough with your choice, as there’s no fool bigger than the fool that doesn’t know what he is.

              Let’s see how you react to this

              https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pz7kfC4SoLY

              It’s made for you. I’m sure what is said about your orange obsession will have you grinning like the cat that got the cream(he’s not wrong either).

              P.S can you please stop playing along with the bs and call Yaxley-Lennon by that, his real name, rather than his stolen stage name(I’ve explained that to you before remember?). I’m not your enemy in this fight. You’d do better spending your time checking the facts and reading without preconceived prejudices.

            • hkeithhenson says:

              “I hadn’t made it obvious enough ”

              Humor in text only postings is hard. Sometimes it helps to use a 🙂

              I thought it was funny.

            • Peter Cassidy says:

              Whether its 1 million or half a million is irrelevant. The point is that a huge number of young, white English girls have been raped by Pakistani immigrant men. This is how Islam conquers new countries. It preys upon the local women. The authorities ignored it for decades because it was incovenient for their political narrative. They care more about controlling the political beliefs of the populace than they care about their safety. These are sort of people we have in charge. This the ugly face of leftwing politics.

              Norman is picking at the numbers, because he cannot accept the reality of the situation. It doesn’t fit with his own internal political prejudice. So he picks at the numbers as a way of discrediting and ignoring reality and staying safe in his echo chamber. A sensible man would accept that the multicultural experiment has failed. A sensible man would not have believed in naive, idealistic, leftwing ideals in the first place. But he is too old to change.

            • if keith had put out the ‘proportions’ numbers like that, i would have known he was joking (or finally gone off the rails), but as it was fitz, I took it as his normal reasoning

              so thats where the blame lies for me misinterpreting the comment

            • Foolish Fitz says:

              A wonderful example of the groomed doing what they were groomed for. Well done Peter.

              ” The point is that a huge number of young, white English girls have been raped by Pakistani immigrant men”

              Evidence of this”huge” number please, or shall we accept that it’s made up?
              Statistically females of all ages are more likely to be raped by white men, even when you take into consideration percentage of population. In fact white men are the only group that have a higher percentage of rape than population. If you’re going to denounce on this subject, white men, like it or not, are front and centre Peter. Maybe ask yourself why you are doing what you are doing.

              “This is how Islam conquers new countries. It preys upon the local women”

              You clearly have no clue what you are talking about. You’ve just described the last 100 years of the western corporate world. My personal experience was always that my blonde, blue eyed daughter was at her safest when I was amongst these communities. Unlike the west, these communities do not sexualise children. Tell me about your experiences that have instilled such fear, or are you just passing on stories from payed story tellers?

              “This the ugly face of leftwing politics.”

              The UK hasn’t had a party of the left since the 70s, maybe longer and the US has never had a party with even an ounce of left political beliefs. All of the west has been following a single system for a long time now and if you are unsure which, remember what that Italian man called a situation where you can’t get a cigarette paper between governments and corporations. Your writing is evidence of that and the ugly path you are being groomed to take.

              “Norman is picking at the numbers, because he cannot accept the reality of the situation. It doesn’t fit with his own internal political prejudice”

              You have just described your evidence free self. Don’t follow that beating drum Peter, it will take you to places you really don’t want to go. Instead, follow the evidence back to the organisations paying the drummer to lead you on that less than merry dance.

    • JesseJames says:

      I just had a chat with my son in law and his family in the UK. They are using blankets to stay warm and to save money on heating costs. The national crisis of collapse is just in the early stages.

  44. Tim Groves says:

    The population of Africa is going up at a rate of about one person per second.

    You can almost set your watch by it.

    I’ll be worrying about this all the time now!

    https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/africa-population/

    • Mike Jones says:

      And to think when I was a child we were scolded to finish the food off our dinner plates because of the starving children in Africa and we’re given tiny cardboard unicef collection boxes while trick or treating on Halloween night.
      Things can’t be that bad, or
      /
      Hunger in Africa: The current crisis, explained
      Story13 December 2022
      It seems like millions of people across Africa are constantly on the brink of famine. This doesn’t have to be the rule.

      In the final months of 2022, 70% of the world’s hungriest people are located in just three countries: Ethiopia, Kenya, and Somalia. The current crisis in the Horn of Africa following several failed rainy seasons has exacerbated hunger in the region, affecting more than 36.1 million people. However, this isn’t the only reason that these three countries — which account for roughly 2% of the global population — face disproportionate levels of hunger.

      The Horn of Africa is also not the only part of the continent to be facing higher hunger levels than many other parts of the globe. In fact, seven of the 10 hungriest countries in the world are located here, spread out across different regions.

      But does it have to be this way? Let’s take a look at the current hunger crisis in Africa: what’s going on now, how we got here, and what can be done both in the short- and long-term to solve it.

      Hunger in Africa: What’s going on right now (and where)?
      According to the 2022 Global Hunger Index, out of 54 countries, 37 African countries have levels of hunger that are rated “serious” or higher.

      Hunger level: Alarming
      Map of the countries in Africa facing an “Alarming” level of hunger (updated: 2022)
      The countries in Africa facing an “Alarming” level of hunger according to the 2022 Global Hunger Index (listed in descending order of GHI score).
      Four countries in Africa rank among the hungriest: Central African Republic, Chad, Democratic Republic of Congo, and Madagascar all rank at “Alarming” levels of hunger in the 2022 GHI. (Countries with incomplete data for 2022 but assumed to be in the “Alarming” range are Burundi, Somalia, and South Sudan. Last year, Somalia ranked as the world’s hungriest country with the only “Extremely Alarming” GHI ranking.)

      In 2022, the Horn of Africa is at the centre of a food crisis due to an ongoing drought — the worst the area has seen in more than 40 years. However, that’s only part of the story for Somalia, which has experienced a cycle of crisis for more or less the same amount of time. Decades of civil war, combined with climate change, forced displacement, and political instability, have led to a complex humanitarian crisis that has weakened the national health system.

      Similar forces are at play in Burundi, CAR, Chad, DRC and South Sudan—all of which have faced at least 10 years (if not more) of protracted violence that has weakened infrastructures, leaving food shortages to spiral out of control.

      Remarkable is it not?

    • clickkid says:

      Birth rates in the West and in East Asia are collapsing.

      Nature abhors a vacuum.

    • Another British boondogle

      To hunt down Paul von Lettow-Vorbeck’s guerillas, about 150 whites and a couple thousand local soldiers called Askaris, the British colonials raised a few hundred thousand soldiers and porters from all over Africa, one of them a Hussein Onyango.

      It would have been better to just hold the main coastline, which L-V could not screw with, and let Africans be Africans rather than trying to hunt him down and raising a few hundred Africans who had tasted Western style warfare and therefore Western style lifestyles.

  45. I thought I said something similar to this, in a recent post:
    https://ourfiniteworld.com/2024/11/11/nuclear-electricity-generation-has-hidden-problems-dont-expect-advanced-modular-units-to-solve-them/

    The West Faces Uranium Shortage Amid Competition From China and Russia

    American and European companies in the nuclear energy supply chain have become increasingly vulnerable to a possible supply shock in the uranium market amid fierce resource competition from China and Russia and the planned surge in nuclear power generation to meet electricity demand.

    I pointed out that the problem was more than this. The article does point out that both uranium and enrichment capabilities are needed.

    • Peter Cassidy says:

      Nuclear vendors have tended to assume that because the cost of uranium was a small contribution to busbar kWh cost, uranium shortage would not be an issue. There has also been insufficient investment in enrichment and reprocessing capability and there is over-reliance on Russia. So most SMRs are modular light water reactors running on low enriched uranium. A decade ago, when most concept designs were being raised, these decisions probably looked better than they do now.

    • Dennis L. says:

      Agree, you do your research and are a great asset.

      So now we know one more thing which will not work. We have Starship and as of yet we really haven’t done much “prospecting” in space. That technology is developing; if I am wrong someone please correct me but Musk is aiming for 40k satellites for earth communication. He has perfected mass production of the things, he has ways to get them “up” in quantity. We go looking for Pt, we store H on earth with known engineering.

      See for example JCB.

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5rk1RsT64o4

      The presenter in the video addresses the problems with batteries and why they will not work, but he looks at what may work.

      We understand solar and understand it is intermittent. There are a million reasons why this can’t work, we only need one to make it work.

      The metaphorical cubic mile of Pt is a trivial volume in the solar system; the trick is finding it.

      Dennis L.

      • hkeithhenson says:

        “the trick is finding it.”

        We almost certainly know of an asteroid with a cubic mile or at least a cubic km of platinum. It is Psyche and a probe is on the way there.

        The problem is sorting out the platinum which runs about one part per million. It can be done, but it is not a small task.

        • Dennis L. says:

          Per Copilot, mass of Psyche is (2.29+0.14)X10^19 kg.

          Assume 1 part per million, we have 2.29+-.14)x10^13 kg of pt. Again, per Copilot this is about .256 cubic miles. Think of it as a good start. Three more similar asteroids and we have a surplus over 1 cu mile of Pt.

          Again, per Copilot. I asked how much Pt would be necessary to produce sufficient H to replace diesel as a fuel. Answer was 3.61×10^5 kg.

          That asteroid has 8 orders of magnitude more Pt than necessary to replace all the diesel used globally.

          Now, go for a cubic mile and essentially transformation of sunlight on earth is free with the advantage of no additional exogenous energy being released other than existing sunlight and unless water is a pollutant, it is pollution free.

          Good stuff that Pt.

          Copilot goes through the calculations, they are checkable. I did not check, with 8 orders of magnitude for error, who cares?

          Dennis L.

          • hkeithhenson says:

            “sunlight on earth is free”

            That’s true, but the PV panels to convert it to electric power are not.

            Still, in a sunny place, people have put in GW of PV and will sell you the power for 1.35 cents per kWh–while the sun is up.

  46. Now, the folks who got defunded by the loss of USAID funding are headed for Brussels, to see if they can help them out.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/orban-issues-warning-over-soros-ngo-network-fleeing-brussels-after-usaid-funding

    “With the Trump administration cutting off billions of US taxpayer funding for the USAID international slush fund, formerly flush NGOs are now begging woke EU nations for money to continue operations, according to Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán.”

    I can’t imagine this working.

    • ni67 says:

      USAID is code name for :
      Food aid with sterilization incentives
      Austerity loans for cheap resource exports
      Bribing local despots to maintain political control for resource flows

      https://ibb.co/Ldm3wxs6
      https://ibb.co/GD1MVdM

    • Student says:

      Soros NGOs are already well present and well active in Europe.
      But till no, they funded themselves politicians, newspapers and other activities with US money (at this point, I understand with US tax payers’ money).
      In my view, I also find that it will be difficult to have these NGOs receiving money from European Countries, for the simple reason that European Countries have little money.
      I really see difficult to work, although current European leaders would surely be happy to move this system from US to EU.
      ..I can also be wrong.
      Surely I hope it won’t happen.

      • drb753 says:

        I hope too. But Europeans would not be the last people to pay for their own brainwashing. Only 4 years ago, remember the vaccines?

      • Soros won’t spend his own money for that. He would force governments to spend the money and if the governments do not comply he won’t pay these organizations from his own pocket.

  47. Peter Cassidy says:

    Back in the 1950s, the gyrobus was developed as a cheaper alternative to overhead electrified trams. The gyrobus was an electric bus, which stored energy in a high strength steel flywheel. At stops, the bus would connect to a three-phase 500v charging post. It would take between 30 seconds and 3 minutes to recharge the flywheel.
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gyrobus

    The system energy-weight ratio was too low to make the concept attractive compared to diesel buses. Rubber tyres have a relatively high friction coefficient, making a heavy flywheel bus energy intensive. If something like the Ewing system can be used to reduce friction energy losses, then the gyrobus is an old technology that could be used again.

    Since the 1950s, carbon and glass fibre based flywheels have been developed which can achieve a greater energy storage density than steel. Regenerative braking has also been perfected. Combining these technologies with the Ewing system, could produce something far more useful than the heavy flywheel buses of the 1950s.

    • I expect that these buses would be so heavy that the tires would quickly need to be replaced. The rubber that comes off the tires would be another type of pollution.

      • Peter Cassidy says:

        That would definitely have been a problem for the 1950s buses. According to wiki, a vehicle capable of transporting 20 people over a 2km range between stops, would need a flywheel weighing 3 tonnes.
        https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gyrobus

        Supporting the vehicle on a steel wheel mounted on a steel rail, reduces friction by a factor between 2 and 10. Modern flywheels can be made much lighter, but putting the vehicle on a rail will extend range by reducing friction.

  48. raviuppal4 says:

    This is a good piece by B on MOA . Also excerpts from Scott Ritter and Patrick Armstrong .
    ” Trump’s re-election was the most important regime change caused by the war in Ukraine. On Sunday there will be elections in Germany. Following three years of a shrinking German economy they will lead to another regime change. Many are still to follow.”
    https://www.moonofalabama.org/2025/02/where-trumps-punishment-of-europe-should-lead-to.html#more

    • I agree that this piece has some interesting ideas.

      He says,

      The U.S. and its proxies in the EU and elsewhere have put up very harsh sanctions on Russia to damage its economy.

      The final intent of this economic war is regime change in Russia.

      The likely consequence will be regime change in many other countries.

      I agree that Europe will be damaged as much as other countries, and that China and Russia can perhaps work together. Another thing that Moon over Alabama writes is,

      Why would Trump want to punish Ukraine and Europe? Because they helped the Democrats and the Deep State to sabotage his first presidency.

      .

      • postkey says:

        “ . . . when it comes to Russia
        5:06 they also know that Donald Trump can’t be trusted at all I mean this is I don’t know who Donald Trump thinks he’s
        5:12 fooling but the Russians don’t have short memories uh the Russians are fully cognizant of the fact that Donald Trump
        5:18 when he was president last time promised that he was pursuing friendship and end up being a president that was horrible
        5:24 for Russia um imposing sanctions but not just that I mean Donald Trump this this notion that uh that you know Donald
        5:33 Trump wouldn’t have allowed this war to take place is a lie this war is Donald Trump’s War he created the conditions
        5:39 never forget that the Russian maneuvering that took place in uh 2021 um is you know the the maneuvering
        5:47 of troops is because of policies put in place by Donald Trump to rebuild the Ukrainian Army to position Ukrainian
        5:53 Army so they can pose an offensive military threat to the Russians of the dombas straight up Donald Trump did that
        6:01 Donald Trump armed them Donald Trump’s the one that went along with the facade of Minsk um you know leading the
        6:08 Russians down a a path believing that there was going to be um you
        6:14 know peace all along knowing that it wasn’t it just to buy time to build up the army that Donald Trump built up
        6:21 Donald Trump put the NATO train facility in the western Ukraine in 2017 Donald
        6:26 Trump built a battalion of Ukrainian forces every 55 days designed to fight the NATO standards to recapture the doas
        6:34 Donald Trump did that and he wants maybe in the west we’ll forget it the Russians
        6:40 aren’t going to forget that they know damn well who he is and what he has done this is Donald Trump’s war and now he’s
        6:47 trying to pretend that it isn’t it . . .

        remember those 20 bases the CIA bases that went in there who was the president when they went in
        11:02 Donald Trump what was the policy of the United States When Donald Trump was President the Strategic defeat of
        11:07 Russia“?

  49. Student says:

    Italian president talks again about what Russia should do and additional issues about Balkan Countries.

    After the discussion arised by his words about Russia and comparison with Third Reich, Italian president today speaks again about Russia, saying that he hopes it will behave according to UN requirements and he also says that he hopes that Balkan Countries will enter EU as soon as possible..

    Again, I honestly don’t know what is his purpose during this delicate moment.
    (?)

    https://www.msn.com/it-it/notizie/politica/mattarella-auspico-che-la-russia-torni-a-rispettare-carta-onu-urgente-ingresso-dei-balcani-nell-ue/ar-AA1zhhWh

    • Ed says:

      Peace Student, he is being completely ignored. There are three power blocks in the world China, Russia, America. The EU has no military, no world class tech/science/manufacturing.

      The open question “Is there a Zionist power block?” I am hoping Trump and MAGE are smart enough to kettle them.

      • Foolish Fitz says:

        Trump and Eeyore are 100% their men.

        Good friends of Jeffrey never turn on their masters.

      • I think you are right about there being three power blocks in the world: China, Russia, and America.

        The EU and Zionists aren’t among them.

        • Adonis says:

          Back in the 1940s these three and the United Kingdom were known as the four policemen.why were they known as the four policemen because they controlled peace on Earth

        • Zionist banking control does make people dance, though. They can make a lot of untoward things happen with that leverage.

        • Dennis L. says:

          The Zionists do seem to have staying power. Get thrown out of Egypt, walk for forty years and put down roots. If current archeology is somewhat correct, pyramids may be closer to 12k years old than several thousand.

          Personally have no knowledge of age of pyramids, I wasn’t born yet. Norm maybe could better inform us.

          Dennis L.

        • the blanket of power moves in accordance with availability of cheap surplus energy

          uk had it for a while—then it shifted to the usa—now its moving to china.

          politics in that context becomes just a posturing sideshow.

          • guest2 says:

            uk had it for a while—then it shifted to the usa—now its moving to china.

            Right, that’s exactly what’s happening. Don’t leave out Russia though, they are holding a hand full of aces and are now Europe’s local superpower and a major world power.

            Russia has all three fossil fuels in abundance including coking coal and oil suitable for diesel and jet fuel, plus uranium, iron ore, many other strategic metals and good farmland.
            They have everything in fact and Europe mostly has nothing.

            • But Russia has never had much warmth. This is a problem for supporting a large population. It also has not had many good sea ports. Climate change might help Russia a lot. But so far, Russia is short in these areas.

Comments are closed.