Item of General Interest
July 25. I received notice today that an article I helped write is available for free download for the next fifty days. The corrected free link for the article is "An Oil Production Forecast for China Considering Economic Limits." The article discusses the possibility that oil prices may not rise endlessly, and evaluates three future price scenarios. Under the "low" scenario (prices remain under $50 per barrel), oil production in China has already peaked.
Tag Archives: high oil prices
Our Oil Problems are Not Over!
If a person reads US newspapers, it is easy to get the impression that all of the world’s oil problems are over. But this is not really the case. An Overlooked Part of the Problem: High Oil Prices A major … Continue reading
Posted in Book draft, Financial Implications
Tagged energy return on energy invested, EROI, high oil prices, peak oil, recession, tight oil
247 Comments
High Oil Prices are Starting to Affect China and India
Update: Not long after I wrote this post, the EIA revised the oil consumption amounts by country that they had published a few days earlier. The numbers changed substantially for quite a few of the countries outside the US and Europe. … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged China oil consumption, high oil prices, India oil consumption, recession
259 Comments
How Resource Limits Lead to Financial Collapse
Resource limits are invisible, so most people don’t realize that we could possibility be approaching them. In fact, my analysis indicates resource limits are really financial limits, and in fact, we seem to be approaching those limits right now. Many analysts … Continue reading
The Connection of Depressed Wages to High Oil Prices and Limits to Growth
In my view, wages are the backbone an economy. If workers have difficulty finding a job, or have difficulty earning sufficient wages, the lack of wages will be a problem, not just for the workers, but for governments and businesses. … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged employment, high oil prices, limits to growth, per capita wages, wages
138 Comments
How High Oil Prices Lead to Recession
There is ample evidence that spikes in oil prices leads to recession, at least in the US, which is an oil-importing nation. James Hamilton has shown that 10 out of the last 11 US recessions were associated with oil price … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged asphalt, diesel, gasoline, government deficits, high oil prices, hydrocracking, jet fuel, oil prices, recession
85 Comments
