We can’t expect COVID-19 to go away; we should plan accordingly

Can the world achieve “herd immunity” with respect to COVID-19? Anthony Fauci has said that 80% of the population needs to be vaccinated in order to reach herd immunity. My view is that using vaccines is unlikely to achieve this result, something I discussed in my August 2020 post, We Need to Change Our COVID-19 Strategy. Now, the news arm of the prestigious journal Nature has published a similar view: Five reasons why COVID herd immunity is probably impossible.

In this post, I explain why, in my view, COVID-19 seems likely to become endemic, like the flu. The vaccines won’t be enough to make it go away completely. I will also look at the issue of how we should respond to the cases of COVID-19 that we will almost certainly experience in the future.

To a significant extent, what we can and should do in the future is an energy issue. If we plan to transition to a green energy future, or if we simply plan to reduce usage of fossil fuels in future years, we probably need to scale back our plans for vaccines. In fact, any treatment that would be given in today’s emergency rooms is likely to become less and less possible as energy supplies deplete.

We will need to focus more on what our bodies can do for us, and what we can do to assist them in this effort. We also need to think about what simple changes to our environment (such as windows that open) can do for the prevention of both COVID-19 and the many other communicable diseases that we can expect to encounter in the future. The big issue will be changing expectations.

[1] Why herd immunity is unlikely

[1.1] Viruses don’t pay any attention to the geography of humans. As long as there are active cases anywhere, they will tend to spread to other countries.

Over the past year, we have seen how ineffective cutting off travel between countries is in stopping the path of the virus. Even New Zealand, far out in the Pacific Ocean, has been battling this issue. The country has found that occasional cases slip through, even with a required two-week stay in managed isolation after arrival.

Furthermore, there are hidden costs with staying this removed from the rest of the world; New Zealand’s only oil refinery has been losing money, given its low use of oil. This refinery has laid off about a quarter of its staff and is considering the option of quitting refining in 2022. New Zealand would then need to import a full range of refined products if it wants to continue having industry. Perhaps being too cut off from the rest of the world is a problem, rather than a solution.

[1.2] The cost of vaccines is high, especially for poor countries.

We can get a rough idea of the cost involved by looking at a news article about Israel’s dispute with Pfizer regarding its vaccine purchases. We can also see what goes wrong politically.

Israel recently made news for failing to pay Pfizer for the last 2.5 million vaccine doses that it purchased from the company. Pfizer retaliated by cutting off future vaccine shipments to Israel. The article linked above doesn’t tell us exactly how much Israel paid for Pfizer’s vaccine, but a calculation based on information in the article seems to indicate that future doses from a mixture of vendors would cost about $35 per dose, on average. We also know that US Medicare is paying $40 per dose for administering each dose of the vaccine. Putting these two amounts together, we can estimate that the purchase and administration of a single dose of COVID-19 vaccine costs about $75. Thus, a two-dose series costs about $150, with the high-tech vaccines Israel is now using (Pfizer, Moderna, and AstraZeneca).

We also know that Israel was planning to administer two doses per person, every six months, based on an early review of how well immunity was holding up for the vaccines. If it is really necessary to repeat the two-dose regimen every six months, then the annual per-person cost of the vaccine would be approximately 2 times $150, or $300 per person. Benjamin Netanyahu favors buying all of these doses, quite possibly because it might make him popular with voters. Netanyahu’s opposition does not, which seems to be why payment has not been forthcoming.

A cost of $300 per person would amount to 0.7% of Israel’s 2019 GDP, which is theoretically feasible. But for poorer countries, the relative cost would be much higher. For South Africa, it would amount to 5% of 2019 GDP. For Yemen, it would come to 40% of 2019 GDP. (These are my calculations, using World Bank GDP in current US$.) For countries with severe financial problems, any payment for vaccines would almost certainly be a problem.

There are less expensive vaccines being made, but their percentages of efficacy in fighting the virus that causes COVID-19 seem to be lower. Thus, it would be even more difficult to greatly reduce the number of cases down to the point where the disease would simply disappear for lack of an adequate number of victims to infect, using these vaccines.

[1.3] The fact that the disease can infect animals further adds to the problem of getting rid of the disease completely.

The disease supposedly jumped from an animal to humans to begin with. We know that the virus that causes COVID-19 can infect animals of many types, including ferrets and cats. While the disease jumping from animals to humans is supposedly unusual, we know that the disease spreads easily among humans with inadequate immunity. Having a reservoir of disease among animals raises the likelihood of this happening again. Having a reservoir of vulnerable people (not immune and in poor health) also increases such a risk.

[1.4] Microbes of all types mutate frequently. We are fighting a losing battle to stay even with them. This is especially a problem for narrowly targeted vaccines.

We know that whenever we try to reduce the population of microbes, scientists can find solutions that work for a while, but eventually we start losing the battle. Scientists can develop antibiotics against bacteria, but eventually some bacteria will evolve in a way that allows them to resist the effects of the antibiotic. In fact, antibiotic resistance is becoming a greater and greater problem. Similarly, scientists can develop weed killers, but weeds soon develop resistance to whatever we develop. The situation seems to be similar with vaccines, unfortunately.

In this case, scientists have developed vaccines that target the RNA of the spike protein of the virus that causes COVID-19. In some sense, this approach is very precise, leading to a high proportion of COVID-19 cases being stopped. The drawback is that it is very easy for small mutations in the spike protein to make the vaccine not work well. We end up needing to obtain booster shots of slightly revised versions of the vaccine quite often, perhaps every six months. If booster shots are not given, the vaccine is likely to become less effective against the new mutations that arise.

One danger is that manufacturers cannot keep up with all of changes needed to match the new mutations. Another is that the cost of trying to keep up with this whole process will become prohibitive. The medical care system may be forced to give the vaccine process up, leaving citizens worse off than they might have been if we hadn’t “flattened the curve” and kept the virus around for an extended period of time, allowing all of these mutations.

[1.5] There are very real reasons for people’s reluctance to accept the vaccine, when it is offered to them. Because of this, it is difficult to get very close to 100% acceptance (or even 80% acceptance) of the vaccines.

There seem to be any number of reasons why people are reluctant to get the new vaccine. Some are afraid of the pain involved with the shot. Others are afraid that they will be somewhat ill afterward, causing them to miss work. If employees are paid on an hourly basis and they barely have enough income as it is, this, by itself, could be a reason for avoiding the shot. Financial incentives might help with these issues.

Others who are reluctant have followed the situation more closely. They realize that important steps in the normal vaccine approval process have been skipped, making it difficult to identify adverse effects that occur fairly infrequently. Even worse, it becomes impossible to discover problems that take many months or years to become evident. Over 100 doctors and scientists from 25 countries have signed a letter saying that offering vaccines that are as radically different from what has been used in the past, without more testing, is unethical.

One concern is the likelihood of blood clots in the immediate period after the vaccine is received. Blood clots have also been observed with the AstraZeneca and Johnson & Johnson vaccines, and may be a concern with other vaccines, as well. There seem to be several related conditions, including sudden blindness, heart attacks, and sudden deaths of elderly people in nursing homes. These issues seem to be fairly rare, but people worry about them without adequate data on their frequency. If the issue is blood clots, it would seem as if simple adjustments such as taking low-dose aspirin for the time period of risk might be a partial solution.

We know that in some cases, vaccines can inadvertently make later exposure to somewhat different versions of the virus worse, rather than stopping these infections. The virus that causes the illness SARS is very similar to the virus that causes COVID-19. When an attempt was made at a vaccine for SARS in 2012, a study on mice showed that exposure at a later date to a slightly different virus led to blood clots forming in the lungs. We already know that blood clots can be an issue for COVID-19 vaccines. Will COVID-19 vaccine recipients who are later exposed to mutations have an adverse reaction such as blood clots in the lungs? We don’t know. There have been no animal studies with respect to the vaccines for COVID-19.

Another risk of COVID-19 vaccinations would seem to be auto-immune problems, especially in people who are already predisposed to such issues. Not much research has been done yet to clarify this issue.

A related issue is allergic reactions to vaccines, including anaphylaxis. The possibility of allergic reactions is one reason vaccine recipients are asked to stay for 15 minutes after receiving their immunizations. Even with precautions, some deaths are occurring because severe allergic reactions can take up to 150 minutes to become apparent. It is impractical to keep vaccine recipients this long.

The very long-term effects of both the COVID-19 illness and vaccines to prevent the COVID-19 illness are unknown. The Alzheimer’s Association recommends studies to see whether people who contract COVID-19 have a long-term increase in dementia-type illnesses. In theory, the vaccines could also lead to similar issues because of prion-like structures that are formed, both with the vaccine and the disease. Without long-term studies, we don’t know whether either of these concerns is valid. If dementia is an issue, will repeated vaccinations raise the long-term risk of dementia? We don’t know. If the disease itself and vaccines can both lead to dementia, is there an optimal strategy?

Without a better understanding of what the risks are, it is hard to convince young people, especially, to take the vaccine. Their chances of a severe outcome from the disease are low to begin with. What is the point of taking a vaccine that may raise their risk of serious injury or death? The vaccine may be appropriate for people aged 80 and over, but is the risk really necessary for young people? Without better data, it is hard to know for certain.

[2] Why a change away from dependence on vaccines is needed

The Nature article referred to earlier says in its concluding paragraph, “It’s time for realistic expectations. . . we need to think of how we can live with the virus.”

Also, as I mentioned in the introduction, we are reaching energy limits. Even if in theory we could vaccinate everyone on the planet twice a year for COVID-19, we do not have the resources to do this. In some ways, the problem looks like a cost problem (poor countries especially cannot afford to buy high-priced vaccines), but it is just as much a resource problem. We cannot devote enough resources to this project without taking them away from other necessary projects. The vaccines are very much a product of today’s fossil fuel economy. We can’t expect to make vaccines with intermittent electricity.

Because of limited resources, we may encounter something similar to the “empty shelf” problem in the grocery stores. We may find that only limited doses of vaccine are available because too many doses were accidentally ruined in production. Or, not enough of the right reagents were available. Or, more doses are needed in the country where the vaccine is manufactured, leaving less for use elsewhere. Or, there is a war in a country integral to vaccine supply lines, interfering with production.

In fact, obtaining promised supplies of vaccines is already a problem. Trying to scale up production at the same time that resources in general are squeezed is likely to make this type of problem increase.

[3] Learning to live with COVID-19 and diminishing resources per capita

If we can’t really fix the COVID-19 problem with endless vaccines for everyone, we need to look at other options.

[3.1] Strengthening our own immune systems

Our bodies come with built-in immune systems. It is the action of the immune system that tends to lead to a low incidence of and low severity of COVID-19 in some people, compared to others. Some of the things that seem to be helpful include the following:

  • Being young
  • Getting plenty of sleep at night
  • Not being overweight. Proper exercise and diet are helpful in this regard.
  • Maintaining a healthy microbiome. Our bodies need good microbes to help fight the “bad” microbes. Antibiotics, excessive antibacterial cleaners and a lack of exposure to “good” bacteria could be problems. Staying away from everyone and wearing masks, indefinitely, is not necessarily helpful.
  • Getting adequate vitamin D through sun exposure, eating of foods that are high in vitamin D and/or supplementation. Dark skinned people living away from the equator are especially at risk for inadequate vitamin D.
  • Getting adequate vitamin C from fruits and vegetables and perhaps supplementation.

Researchers need to be actively looking into optimal strategies to advise citizens. Schools might start teaching about these issues in health classes.

[3.2] Changing our customs and infrastructure to try to reduce the problem of communicable diseases in general, not just for COVID-19.

Customs for greetings among people vary greatly around the world. Some people use hugs and handshakes, others greet with bows. We may need to adopt more distant physical greetings, simply to help reduce the transmission of disease. Of course, hugging at home is still fine.

In the last 100 years, the emphasis increasingly has been on building tighter, more energy-efficient buildings. This is good from a point of saving energy, but it doesn’t work in a world with many communicable diseases. We need to move toward much more ventilation, often based on open windows. Because of energy constraints, we likely cannot expect to keep heating and cooling our buildings as much in the future. We will need to dress more for outdoor temperatures, indoors.

Some leaders have suggested rapid electric rail is the way of the future, but rail transport also needs to be well ventilated. It is also likely that we will be dealing with more intermittency of electricity supply in the future. We need to plan as if we are dealing with an electricity constrained future, as much as an oil and vaccine constrained future.

[3.3] Finding low energy ways to deal with the likely COVID-19 cases that do occur.

The approach in the “rich world” to date in looking for ways to deal with COVID-19 has been to look for new, high technology drugs and vaccines that might have a two-fold benefit (a) help sick people and (b) help the pharmaceutical industry. What we really need are technologies that are low cost and can be used at home. Repurposed old drugs, such as steroids, are ideal, especially if they can be made locally without dependence on international supply lines.

If COVID-19 doesn’t really disappear, we can expect recurring instances of having inadequate medical facilities to treat all of the patients in a given area. Countries need to plan strategies for dealing with this likely long-term problem. Should there be an upper age limit on patients using these facilities, for example, especially when demand is high? Or can the richest citizens have the ability to buy services, when others cannot? Should there be a lottery for beds? Ordering everyone to remain at home is sort of a temporary solution, but it is very damaging to the economy as a whole.

[3.4] Finding leadership that can think in a direction other than “more technology will save us.” Unfortunately, this is pretty much impossible.

Back in 1979, Jimmy Carter tried to change the direction of the US economy when he gave his famous Sweater Speech. In this speech, he told people that they needed to adjust their thermostats and drive their vehicles less because there was an energy crisis. We all know that Jimmy Carter was not reelected after this speech. Instead, Ronald Reagan was elected. He cut taxes and raised debt levels, temporarily delaying our need to deal with our energy problem.

When Anthony Fauci took on the COVID-19 issue, he led us in the direction of spending more money on vaccines and pharmaceuticals. His own financial interests and his work interests were in the direction of helping the vaccine and pharmaceutical interests. He certainly didn’t stop to think, “This is not a battle that we can win. There are too many instances of transmission of the virus by people who have no symptoms. Our track record at wiping out diseases with vaccines has been pretty dismal in the past. Stopping COVID-19 in one part of the world won’t stop the long-term problem.”

I expect that President Biden will continue on his current path until the economy “runs off the cliff.” I wrote in my recent post, Headed for a Collapsing Debt Bubble, that the economy was reaching a point where a major discontinuity would occur. Interest rates are about as low as they can go, and debt levels are reaching an upper bound.

Figure 1. Ten-year and three-month US Treasury interest rates as of March 1, 2021.

Ronald Reagan’s administration started to decrease interest rates shortly after he took office in 1981. This drop in interest rates has hidden rapidly rising debt and energy problems for many years. We are now running out of room on both energy and debt. When the world’s debt bubble collapses, our ability to fight COVID-19 with vaccines will likely go downhill quickly. We will then need to find new strategies. Unfortunately, considering new strategies in advance is almost impossible.

[4] Conclusion

While it is possible to see what change in direction seems to be needed with respect to COVID-19 and infectious diseases in general, it is not something that those in leadership positions will be able to implement. Instead, we will likely “go off the cliff” at full speed. Changing expectations in advance is almost impossible.

At most, a few interested people can try to explain to their fellow citizens what is happening. Perhaps, in our own little spheres of influence, we can make some small changes in the right direction, starting with strengthening our own immune systems.

About Gail Tverberg

My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
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3,514 Responses to We can’t expect COVID-19 to go away; we should plan accordingly

  1. This is one of Bossche’s predictions coming true.

    What’s happening here is that EUA injections have weakened the innate immune so much, the immune system no longer recognizes the chicken pox these ppl built up immunity to when they were kids, & it’s resurfacing as shingles.

    New vaccine side effect? In Israel, six people develop herpes zoster
    https://www.jpost.com/health-science/new-vaccine-side-effect-in-israel-six-people-develop-herpes-zoster-665632

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Wonder if anyone who experiences side-effects (or dies) or whose family member does… will take the shotgun down to the clinic?

      Wouldn’t it be COOL … if some of the vaxx protesters gathered in a public place … poured petrol on each other and struck a match? The Ultimate Form of Protest.

      That would amp things up!!!!

  2. China and Russia Turn Deeper Ties into a Military Challenge for Biden

    “You face a two-front war where we don’t have a two front military,” said one former Trump official.

    Deepening military and diplomatic cooperation between Russia and China is worrying U.S. defense planners, who fear the two frenemies that share military technology and many foreign-policy goals will complicate the Biden administration’s plan to reassert U.S. leadership.

    China is carefully monitoring Russia’s military buildup near the border with Ukraine, which the U.S. Defense Department said this week is larger than the 2014 deployment, with an eye to its own pressure campaign on Taiwan and the South China Sea. Last week, China dispatched a record number of bombers and fighters into Taiwan’s air defense zone in a display of dominance; top U.S. military officials warn Beijing could try to seize the island by force in the next six years.

    “Our sense is that [China] is paying very close attention to what’s going on as they did initially with things in the Ukraine,” the senior defense official said, speaking on condition of anonymity. “I think it’s fair to say that they are looking closely to determine how they might leverage lessons learned into their own national interests.”

    There’s no evidence so far to suggest Beijing and Moscow are actually coordinating their parallel pressure campaigns, according to 11 current and former officials and experts who spoke to Foreign Policy. But the buildups are stretching the U.S. President Joe Biden’s attention at a particularly bad time. As the Pentagon has broken with the 1990s-era concept of planning for two major wars at the same time, the split screen of Chinese fighter jets over Taiwan and Russian troops massing near Ukraine is giving the Pentagon’s strategic planners a particularly uncomfortable preview of what the future could hold.

    “You face a two-front war where we don’t have a two-front military,” said Elbridge Colby, a former deputy assistant secretary of defense during the Trump administration. “If NATO is expecting U.S. forces to bail it out simultaneously with a fight over Taiwan, we can’t do them both. We don’t have the assets. That can create huge problems for us.”

    The Biden administration is busy trying to make good on the long-delayed pivot to Asia by putting more military assets in the Western Pacific, but it is still trying to figure out how to manage Beijing’s growing axis with Moscow, which a 2019 U.S. intelligence assessment described as more aligned than at any point in the past 60 years. Chinese President Xi Jinping once described Russian President Vladimir Putin as his “best friend and colleague.”
    https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/04/20/china-russia-military-attention-us-policy-xi-putin-biden-taiwan-ukraine/

    • Robert Firth says:

      “You face a two-front war where we don’t have a two-front military,”

      Germany faced exactly that problem in the runup to 1914. We all know how she solved it.
      And NATOs puppet Secretary General just gave the Ukraine the same blank cheque Germany gave to Austria. So perhaps the warmongers have decided to take out the “easier” front first? If so, it will not go well.

      • jj says:

        What are the goals of war now?

        What were the goals of war in WWII?

        WWII the goals would seem to be bring the defeated into a the flock albeit with a smaller more controlled military.

        That model certainly does not apply to Iraq Libya and afganistan.

        The USA having lost the war in afganistan and withdrawing. Heroin production restored from the talibans devestating ban on opium production. They will not be joining the flock. They like their ways.

        Not a peep in the press about pakistans defacto participation in the war as a taliban ally.

        So what is “taking out” the “easier” target?

        Why is russia “easier”?

        Russia is esier becauseThe USA is totally dependent on china for all of its manufactured goods. industry machinery, and spare parts.

        War with china is not possible without inflicting grave damage on the USAs bizaare operating principle of some three decades now. Move all manufacturing and productivity to another nation state and bully for your standard of living.

        A war with russia over the 2014 cou assuming it would stay non nuclear goals would be to radically intensify the divide between EU and russia and to threaten china back into secondary status. China knows the long game.

        China can not be isolated so its USA lap dog status must be reinforced by a destruction of russian infrastructure.

        Its a tricky business. Destroy too much russian infrastructure and it goes nuclear.

        USA MIC desperately wants another isolated soviet union. Its essential to their protection racket.

        Dollar hegemony must be protected. It can only be sustained through intensifying the protection racket now. Some pain is called for but not too much. It also brings the USA under martial law to counter the partial failure of the citizen control by eugenics program. Whos the boss? Russia and china need to be taught. The citizens need to be taught,

        It is a desperate gamble indeed. What are the alternatives for the USA having outsourced all of its means of production? To hope dollar hegemony remains in place based on the generosity of russia and china in a world rapidly approaching resource depletion or to accept a standard of living far far far below current standard.

        This is the inevitable outcome of outsourcing all productivity and spending 14 times the rest of the world combined on “defense”. Did you really think they would order a cake, buy out the liquor store, and there wouldnt be a party?

        • Robert Firth says:

          Thank you, jj: a good analysis with which I can find no fault or even quibble.

          By the way,m y reference to the “easier” front was not serious, but in 1914 France was indeed the easier front, and if Helmuth von Moltke had had the sense to execute the Schlieffen Plan as its author intended, Germany might well have prevailed.

  3. Fast Eddy says:

    Kenyans caught up in curfew amid slow Africa vaccine drive

    Police blocked roads after the East African nation imposed a nighttime curfew to curb a third wave of coronavirus infection. Many were trapped for hours. Meanwhile, vaccination drives are slow to pick up over Africa.

    https://www.dw.com/en/covid-19-kenyans-caught-up-in-curfew-amid-slow-africa-vaccine-drive/a-57254645

  4. Are Russia and China Igniting a Third World War?

    On 16 October of last year, during a presentation at a forum in Shenzhen, Chinese sociologist Li Yi made the following statement: “It turns out that China is going to overtake the United States….” He explained that COVID-19 was “a test” that is “bad for Europe and America” but “beneficial for China and North Korea.” Then Li spoke of China being “ahead of schedule” in terms of overtaking the United States. “The U.S. will not survive,” he predicted. “We have gained absolute superiority over the U.S. military in the Bohai Sea, the Yellow Sea, and the Taiwan Strait, and we are expanding our military at a rate unprecedented in human history.” He added that, for several years running, China has launched a new fleet every year the size of the French Navy. This rate of naval production will continue for the next decade. Then he said, “As long as 1.4 billion Chinese people eat, sleep, defecate, and urinate every day … we will drive the U.S. to its death.”

    Chinese Defense Minister Chi Haotian delivered a secret speech before an elite group of Communist Party cadres nearly twenty years ago. The speech contains references to a future Chinese biological attack on America. “It is indeed brutal to kill one or two hundred million Americans,” said Chi. “But that is the only path that will secure a Chinese century in which the CCP [Chinese Communist Party] leads the world. We, as revolutionary humanitarians, do not want deaths. But if history confronts us with a choice between deaths of Chinese and those of Americans, we’d have to pick the latter….”

    General Chi’s speech outlined China’s overpopulation problem, China’s shortage of clean water, and China’s other environmental problems. China needs unpolluted land, noted General Chi. But where can this be found? All nearby lands are insufficient. Only America has the rich land that is needed. “We must prepare ourselves for two scenarios,” said Chi. “If our biological weapons succeed in a surprise attack, the Chinese people will be able to keep their losses to a minimum in the fight against the United States. If, however, the attack fails and triggers a nuclear retaliation from the United States, China would perhaps suffer a catastrophe in which more than half its population would perish. That is why we need to be ready with air defense systems for our big and medium-sized cities. Whatever the case may be, we can only move forward fearlessly….” [italics added]
    https://jrnyquist.blog/2021/04/15/are-russia-and-china-igniting-a-third-world-war/

    • China does indeed need to push the US out of the way. If there are not enough energy supplies to go around, getting rid of some of the competition would indeed be helpful.

      The U. S. military has grown in the direction of very complex, expensive individual military planes and other devices, but not very many of them. I expect it would have problems trying to fight on multiple fronts at one time.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        When the CEP was announced the PR Directory said, ‘It is imperative that you continue to dance while the music plays — proceed as if there is no CEP — because not dancing will bring the world crashing down around us prematurely (before we kill everyone) and defeat the purpose of the CEP’

  5. Fast Eddy says:

    Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Tuesday said Israel was readying for another coronavirus vaccination campaign in six months that will include children, after inking new deals with Pfizer and Moderna to buy millions more doses.

    “Prepare your shoulders… and kids,” he said during a press conference, predicting COVID-19 vaccines would be approved for use in children by then.

    He also warned of possible new coronavirus variants or even “a new virus,” saying there would be no further COVID-19 resurgence if there are no such “surprises.”

    https://www.timesofisrael.com/netanyahu-israel-readying-for-new-vaccination-drive-in-6-months-including-kids/

    He also warned of possible new coronavirus variants or even “a new virus”
    He also warned of possible new coronavirus variants or even “a new virus”
    He also warned of possible new coronavirus variants or even “a new virus”

    Shades of Bossche… and Bridle….

    And let’s not forget

    https://www.bitchute.com/video/uLStFKAw8Okm/

  6. hillcountry says:

    Melatonin, coronavirus, cardiovascular disease, and the geriatric emergency: let’s use everything we have!

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32593625/

    Real interesting

  7. GOING FOR THE GUIDESTONES

    The realization hit me like a bolt of mental lightning. The bastards are GOING FOR THE GUIDESTONES! They are betting that their long campaign to dumb down the global population combined with their evil-eye surveillance grid, will now allow them to stomp Humanity into total submission.

    These soulless predators, who I scornfully and gleefully, describe as our Malignant Overlords, are not particularly motivated by greed. They all have more than enough money. What they truly desire is POWER – the sickest variety – the type that allows them to utterly control the lives of ordinary people.

    Yet, even that is not enough to satisfy the desires of the most wicked of them. They find the common people so loathsome, that they would prefer to eliminate the vast majority of them. Their scheme is to transform the planet into a 21st century Techno-Feudalism – but with an enormously reduced population.

    A tiny core of self-proclaimed Elites would rule. Beneath them, the Technicians would run the computers, the robots and the Artificial Intelligence. The next level down would be the Enforcers. The Police and the Military who would provide security for The Despised at the top.

    At the very bottom would be the Neo-slaves of the global Cyber-plantation. They would struggle to exist at even a subsistence level. They would be forced to do the undesirable work that even the robots would refuse to perform. Their income would barely support them; and their pastimes and pleasures would be dictated by the World Government via their mandatory, personal screens.

    These devices would also monitor everything about them – their movements, bank accounts, vaccine compliance, health status, etc. These “miracle devices” could even discover any dangerous anti-government proclivities.

    With this control grid in place, the oppressors could convert the entire planet into one gigantic Club Med – or should that be Club Mad – for themselves. They would no longer have to share the ski slopes at Aspen with the little people. The French Riviera would be cleansed of the riff-raff. Only the powerful would travel by air or enjoy sea cruises. That is the true intention of the U.N.’s Agenda 21/2030. It would convert Earth into a resort for the rich – and a gulag for the rest.

    When that flash of recognition jolted me, I suddenly realized that after many decades of careful preparation, the Malignant Overlord’s had finished setting the trap. Now, they were about to spring it. Their Georgia Guidestones moment had arrived.
    http://theseagypsyphilosopher.blogspot.com/2021/04/going-for-guidestones.html

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Too complicated… no oil for this…

      The genius of the CEP is the simplicity.

    • JMS says:

      I very doubt it could result (too many unknowns) but that is surely their plan and their dream. A world “depopulated” of useless eaters and politically reduced to two classes: the managerial top and the manual / intellectual workers needed to keep some sort of advanced economy functioning, with the workres properly controlled by the usual methods: violence, surveillance and bribery.
      I do really think they are stupid and arrogant enough to believe that this plan can guarantee the survival of their moneyed clan and their descendants.

  8. The death of the famous actor Vivek a day after he publicly took the vaccine has sparked outrage in India.

    Here another well known actor, Mansoor Ali Khan asks all the right questions
    https://twitter.com/SaiKate108/status/1384347640708485121

    • Fast Eddy says:

      If you watch to the end you can see people gathering stones in the background….

  9. hillcountry says:

    From a recent paper in March with 23 authors, led by Dr. Paul Marik

    PMID: 33721548

    The Time to Offer Treatments for Covid-19

    COVID-19 has several overlapping phases. Treatment has focused on the late stage of the disease in hospital. Yet, the continuation of the pandemic is by propagation of the disease in outpatients. The current public health strategy relies solely on vaccines to prevent disease.Areas Covered: We searched the major national registries, pubmed.org, and the preprint servers for all ongoing, completed and published trial results with subject numbers of 100 or more on, and used a targeted search to find announcements of unpublished trial results.

    As of 2/15/2021, we found 111 publications reporting findings in human studies on 14 classes of agents, and on 9 vaccines. There were 62 randomized controlled studies, the rest retrospective observational analyses.

    Only 21 publications dealt with outpatient care, the rest all in hospitalized patients.

    Remdesivir and convalescent plasma have emergency use authorization for hospitalized patients in the U.S.A. There is also support for glucocorticoid treatment of the COVID-19 respiratory distress syndrome. Monoclonal antibodies are authorized for outpatients, but the supply is inadequate to treat all at time of diagnosis.

    Favipiravir, ivermectin, and interferons are approved in certain countries.

    Expert Opinion: Worldwide vaccination is now underway. Vaccines and antibodies are highly antigen specific and new variants are appearing. There is a need for treatment of outpatients who contract the disease, in addition to mass immunization. We call on public health authorities to authorize treatments with known low risk and potential benefit for use in parallel with mass immunization.

  10. Fast Eddy says:

    For those who ask how Fast can despise humans… and trot out a Tolstoy or a Shakespeare… for every one of those — there are a million of these sorts of things:

    https://summit.news/2021/04/19/disgusting-video-shows-children-being-paraded-around-drag-queen-show-taking-cash-tips/

  11. Deeply Discounted Crude Becomes Headache For OPEC

    Reuters reported earlier this month that rising Iranian oil imports into China had forced other producers, including Russia, Angola, and Brazil, to cut the prices of their crude in order to keep it competitive.

    “These ‘sensitive’ barrels are hammering supplies from everywhere, as they are simply too cheap,” the report quoted a Chinese trader as saying, referring to Iranian oil.

    Saudi Arabia, meanwhile, did something that was motivated either by desperation or overconfidence. The Kingdom, which is OPEC’s biggest producer of oil and extremely vulnerable to price crashes, said it would raise oil prices for Asian buyers: the world’s biggest oil market and demand growth driver.

    Naturally, neither China nor India were happy about it, but unlike in the past, when there were no alternatives to OPEC oil, now there are alternatives. India, which has been a vocal opponent of OPEC+ efforts to boost prices since it imports more than 80 percent of the oil it consumes, immediately started diversifying.

    For starters, the country has sharply reduced its orders for Saudi crude: according to sources quoted by Reuters, the country’s top four refiners had cut their May orders for Saudi oil by 36 percent, after the Kingdom announced a $0.40 hike in official selling prices for Asian buyers.

    But India is also looking for non-OPEC suppliers, too. Indian media recently reported that Indian Oil Corporation will buy an oil cargo from Guyana—the newest member of the global oil producers’ club. According to government officials, the price of the Guyanese oil was competitive, and the purchase was in line with oil supply diversification plans.

    Big oil buyers have become used to cheap oil, and they are unlikely to give up that habit in a hurry. Fortunately for them, there is plenty of supply to go around, and the suppliers need to sell it more than the buyers need to buy it, at least until demand rebounds after the pandemic recedes. Things may change then, but for now, the outlook for demand remains uncertain.
    https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Deeply-Discounted-Crude-Becomes-Headache-For-OPEC.html

    • This is the key: “the suppliers need to sell it more than the buyers need to buy it.” It will tend to keep prices down, even if Saudi Arabia tries to raise prices to some buyers.

  12. Families frustrated by ‘wall of silence’ on N.B.’s mystery brain disease

    The March 5 memo noted that 43 cases of the disease had been identified so far, and that five people had died. The case count has since risen to 44 and the death toll to six.

    Tests done on the patients have so far ruled out Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease and other prion diseases, and scientists are looking into the possibility that this is an entirely new disease, possibly caused by an environmental toxin.

    To date, Public Health has not provided any public updates, has not held any information sessions in the affected communities or elsewhere, and has not issued any news releases regarding the mystery disease cases. It also has not said where, specifically, any of the cases were identified.

    Almost two weeks ago, on April 7, the department acknowledged residents’ “confusion and concern” and pledged to provide regular updates “in the coming weeks” via a website that was being developed.

    However, that website has yet to appear, and several CBC News requests for information regarding when it might go live, and what sort of information it will provide, were not responded to.

    On Tuesday afternoon, Public Health said the webpage is “days away” from going live but did not provide details about its content.

    “We are awaiting comments from the CJD Surveillance System,” spokesperson Bruce Macfarlane said in an email, referring to the federal Public Health Agency team that is providing support to New Brunswick’s own investigation of the cluster.

    “It’s been a month since the government has said anything new about this, and the wall of silence is unbearable,” said Steve Ellis, whose father is one of the 44 cases being investigated by the team leading New Brunswick’s research.
    https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/mystery-brain-disease-frustrated-families-1.5990738

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      “… scientists are looking into the possibility that this is an entirely new disease, possibly caused by an environmental toxin.”

      entirely new? What else is entirely new in 2021?

      aren’t we all thinking that the “environmental toxin” is spelled mRNA?

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      44 or 440 or 4,400 or 44,000 is acceptable to TPTB as long as economic growth is restored.

  13. Vaccine passports: Michael Gove visits Israel to study country’s ‘green pass’

    Michael Gove is visiting Israel to study a COVID “green pass” smartphone app that could soon be the model for vaccine passports in the UK.

    The Cabinet Office minister, in charge of a Whitehall study into how coronavirus certification might work in the UK, has been a big fan of the Israeli scheme for weeks.

    He is being accompanied on his visit by Jonathan Van-Tam, England’s deputy chief medical officer, who is hugely influential in the government’s COVID strategy.

    Their visit involves meetings with Israel’s health minister, Yuli Edelstein and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
    https://news.sky.com/story/covid-19-michael-gove-visits-israel-to-study-countrys-green-pass-as-he-mulls-vaccine-passport-options-12280673

    • I am somewhat confused. This chart has to do with “Global Equity Funds.” There are quite a few of these around. They have been around for quite a while, but perhaps they have only recently become popular, so the numbers make sense.

  14. About 5,000 children are participating in a Pfizer trial involving kids ages 2 to 5.

    Children in the U.S., some only months old, are participating in the COVID-19 vaccine trials currently underway.

    Eloise, a 3-year-old who is among 5,000 children participating in a Pfizer trial involving kids ages 2 to 5, just got her first dose of the vaccine.

    “It felt like we were in very good care,” her father said. “They walked us through everything.”

    Eloise’s parents, Angelica and Chris LaCour, said they have done their research and have no concerns about any potential side effects.

    Soren, who is 6 months old, is also participating in the study, but has not gotten the shot yet. Soren’s parents said they’ve been asked why they are doing this, as if they “are sacrificing our baby to the gods of science.”

    But Soren’s mother is a scientist and said she believes getting her child vaccinated is safe. Soren’s 3-year-old brother Ander has also been vaccinated.
    https://www.insideedition.com/children-participate-in-pfizer-covid-19-vaccine-trial-66366

    • Fast Eddy says:

      hahahaha… is she a scientist at the church of scientology?

      Surely she must know these vaccines have not been tested for long term side effects…

      I hope this child develops some sort of horrific disease… perhaps something messing up her innards… where she has to be hooked up to machines for the rest of her life…

      Don’t want her to die … better if she stays alive so that every single day the parents can suffer

      • Bobby says:

        She Loves her Kids FE, she’s just trying to be a good Mum.
        Doing what she think’s right.
        It’s truly sad if she hasn’t heard an alternate narrative. I’ve just refused Pfizer at MPOW so shit just got real in this neck of the woods.

        I understand the social engineering , stigma and isolation she might have faced if she’d resisted, and I see your efforts to just get folk to think independently.

        Maybe we shouldn’t judge her choices if we expect to be able to make our own choices. I don’t believe you would wish harm on any other Sentient Being FE

        Anyway, sorry for being the thought police, just don’t want you to detract from your good posts. Don’t believe that’s what your about at all.
        You make really good contributions to this site

        • Fast Eddy says:

          You’d be wrong…

          I am big fan of Shadenfroid. Love it. Big Big BIG Fan! Particularly when humans are involved.

          Hope every CovIDIOT who waltzes their child to the vaccine dance… suffers… punishment for stooopidity… ultimate punishment. Even better if the parents hang themselves… that’s even better!

          Nothing gives me more pleasure than consequences… big FAN of consequences… big problem with today’s society is lack of consequences… everyone wants to be Kim…

          BTW – how many industrially farmed animals would the kids who die of the vaxx be responsible for if they lived?

          • houtskool says:

            I thought i was the only one thinking like this.

          • Bobby says:

            Sympathetic Joy is much more rewarding

            https://www.goodtherapy.org/blog/psychpedia/schadenfreude

            • Fast Eddy says:

              WHAT IS SCHADENFREUDE?

              Schadenfreude is a German word with no precise English equivalent. Most people experience schadenfreude from time to time; the feeling tends to occur when someone a person dislikes is threatened or experiences a setback. For example, a student might secretly delight when his or her biggest classroom competitor fails a test, and a person might take pleasure in their ex-spouse’s relationship difficulties.

              Some slapstick comedies also utilize schadenfreude by encouraging an audience to laugh at others’ injuries or humiliations. In other cases, schadenfreude can serve as misplaced empathy. We all recognize the embarrassing nature of a public fall or saying something silly, and sometimes seeing that other people make the same mistakes we do can cause some joy.

              WHAT CAUSES SCHADENFREUDE?
              People are more likely to experience schadenfreude when they experience another person as a threat or when they dislike someone. However, people with low self-esteem sometimes experience schadenfreude even when they care about someone. A sibling who feels his/her parents don’t notice his/her talents, for example, might delight in his/her sibling’s failures, particularly if the other sibling is often praised by the parents.

              While some degree of schadenfreude is part of the normal continuum of human experience, frequent schadenfreude can indicate a mental health condition. People with personality diagnoses such as antisocial personality may delight in the pain of others and have little regard for others’ well-being. Chronic anxiety, depression, or low self-esteem might also cause someone to seek validation in others’ failures. Some mental health professionals differentiate between glee at minor misfortunes—such as slipping on a banana peel or making a stupid remark—and glee at more serious suffering such as terminal illness or the death of a child.

              Hmmmm… low self esteem?

              Can a God-like King of Logic have low self-esteem? Can one who has total disdain for the intellect of 99.999999999999999999999999999999999999% of all humans have low self esteem?

              I don’t think so.

              Let’s go Big Picture …. and make my position clear.

              It’s not specific humans (I do not give a shit about the kid with a higher mark or the guy who scores more goals) that Fast has an issue with…. it’s ALL HUMANS.

              We are all responsible for mass-atrocities against animals… the environment … and each other.. ALL… OF … US… are complicit. Our civilization is 100% based on committing unnatural acts… (let’s call this ‘evil’). We are a freak show… an abomination … a cancer… a virus…

              This position is logical. There is absolutely no way anyone can win an argument against these assertions.

              You could assemble the ‘smartest’ human tricksters alive today… the greatest philosophers and have them oppose Fast Eddy (I am sure almost all of them would…) and I would DESTROY THEM.

              I would beat them into bloody pulps exposing them as intellectual infants and send them home with their tails between their legs crying ‘mummy… mummy’….

              Is it Shadenfroid when is pleased when a shark attacks a human? Or is it just cheering for the oppressed underdog?

              Is it Shadenfroid to chuckle when a CovIDIOT enters it’s child in an experimental vaccine program as if it were a f&*ing Spelling Bee and the kid ends up in hospital – or a coffin??????

              Of course not. It’s misanthropy… on STEROIDS.

              Or maybe it’s Karma?

              All I know is when I read about this stuff…. I am not only amused… I am reminded of the 2 Wise Men:

              https://youtu.be/YRKjZ6dPGmg

              Death to Humans! Fast Eddy Akbar.

            • Bobby says:

              FE ( Fragile Ego?) we all have schadenfreude to some extent, that’s undeniable, however your exhibits not funny. It’s frankly scary

            • Fast Eddy says:

              Oh?

              More scary than this?

              https://youtu.be/o1nvruAroWY

              Or how about this?

              https://youtu.be/jkI1LgkhuiE

              The only good human. Is a DEAD human.

              Men, women, children — every single one … needs to be exterminated.

              The sooner. The better.

              Every death — should be celebrated.

  15. ‘Get your children ready’: Netanyahu says Israel set for another COVID vaccination drive. The prime minister announces deals for 16 million more coronavirus vaccine doses, adding Israel ‘assesses that vaccines will be approved for children’ within six months
    https://twitter.com/conspiracyguy78/status/1384621866405478412

  16. Nicotine upregulates ACE2 expression and increases competence for SARS-CoV-2 in human pneumocytes

    The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has a variable degree of severity according to underlying comorbidities and life-style. Several research groups have reported an association between cigarette smoking and increased severity of COVID-19. The exact mechanism of action is largely unclear.

    We exposed low angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2)-expressing human pulmonary adenocarcinoma A549 epithelial cells to nicotine and assessed ACE2 expression at different times. We further used the nicotine-exposed cells in a virus neutralisation assay.

    Nicotine exposure induces rapid and long-lasting increases in gene and protein expression of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) receptor ACE2, which in turn translates into increased competence for SARS-CoV-2 replication and cytopathic effect.

    These findings show that nicotine worsens SARS-CoV-2 pulmonary infection and have implications for public health policies.
    https://openres.ersjournals.com/content/7/2/00713-2020?ctkey=shareline&utm_medium=shareline&utm_source=00713-2020&utm_campaign=shareline

    • I thought that smokers did better, not worse, with COVID-19. Maybe there are multiple partly offsetting effects.

      • Kowalainen says:

        Rapid onset and rapid response of the immune defense perhaps? I.e. slowly boiling a frog vs dropping it into already boiling water.

        If that would be so, then of course getting a large initial dose of the virus would be disastrous. A smaller dose might be beneficial combined with nicotine.

        I do wonder why it isn’t possible to jab people with a very low dose of active virus particles and then self quarantine for two weeks at home. The worst thing with this virus is to have it going wild in the lungs and upper respiratory tract spreading it and damaging the breathing apparatus. As for the blood stream, that would be living hell for the virus a veritable storm of white blood cells armed to the teeth with pathogen detectors.

        Combine that with an immune defense stimulant and you’d likely not feel anything of the virus.

        https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/science/high-level-of-white-blood-cells-saves-asymptomatic-covid-19-patients-from-complications-study/article32861669.ece
        “The study found that both the patients hosted the same amount of viral load. However, asymptomatic patients showed higher levels of lymphocytes (a type of white blood cell responsible for immune responses), cleared the viral particles faster, and had lower risks of long-term complications.”

  17. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    The world’s addiction to fossil fuels has gotten stronger despite all the clamor for more renewable sources of energy as yet another Earth Day approaches, says the head of real asset strategy at the Wells Fargo Investment Institute.

    For investors, playing the transition from fossil fuels to renewables could be slow-going, and nuanced, says John LaForge, of WFII.

    Fossil fuels are now a bigger portion of global energy use than decades ago, rising to 86% today from 81% in 1970, in large part because of oil CL00, -1.64%, gas NG00, -0.91% and co
    al’s falling costs historically and as an expanding global population consumes more.
    From MarketWatch.com
    What’s up with that Greta!?
    Uncle Joe President Santa Claus will set it all right, just like President Obama did in his 8 years at the helm PONTUS.
    Please, Air Conditioning here in South Florida is not an option for my 98 year old Mother!
    Personally, I don’t use it myself….but we are experiencing record temperatures here lately.
    Should be interesting as the contraction unfolds and the Baby Boomers that expect entitlements are told ..do sorry, no more for you…all gone

  18. Old lady brutally assaulted & arrested for sticking anti-covid stickers
    https://twitter.com/conspiracyguy78/status/1384575012858961920

  19. VAERS now up to 3,486 post-Covid vaccine deaths – almost as many as have been reported for every other vaccine combined in the database’s 30-year history.
    Lucky us, EVERY SINGLE ONE WAS A COINCIDENCE!
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EzcBLEfX0AI-IjB?format=jpg&name=large

  20. hillcountry says:

    Published in Microbiology & Infectious diseases on March 12, 2021 by the guy who wrote this one in 2002:

    Classen JB, Classen DC. Clustering of cases of insulin dependent diabetes (IDDM) occurring three years after Hemophilus influenza B (HiB) immunization support causal relationship between immunization and IDDM. Autoimmunity. 2002; 35: 247-253

    COVID-19 RNA Based Vaccines And The Risk Of Prion Disease

    https://www.medicdebate.org/node/1926

    “Autoimmunity and the opposing condition, metabolic syndrome, are well know adverse events caused by vaccines [14]. COVID-19 infections are associated with the induction of autoantibodies and autoimmune disease [15,16] making it more than plausible a vaccine could do the same.
    One author has found amino acid sequences coded by the spike protein to be identical to sequences in human proteins, including proteins found in the CNS [17]. Autoimmunity can also be induced by epitope spreading when a foreign antigen, like the spike protein, is presented by an antigen presenting cell that also has self molecules attached to its MHC molecules.”

    “Finally, others working in the field have published additional support that COVID-19 vaccines could potentially induce prion disease. Authors [18] found prion related sequences in the COVID-19 spike protein which were not found in related coronaviruses. Others [19] have reported a case of prion disease, Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease, initially occurring in a man with COVID-19.”

    • If the vaccine can cause prion disease, I would expect that the COVID-19 disease can also cause prion disease.

      Then the question becomes: Which is the greater risk, the vaccine or the disease? It would seem like getting the COVID-19 disease itself could provide a worse risk in this direction, since we know that the disease crosses the blood brain barrier. Or the risk may be equal. Perhaps we should simply be looking at getting enough antioxidants, and not worry about the issue. We will have energy problems to deal with as well.

  21. Gail,

    Doubts are good. In an effort to conform to your suggestion – “At most, a few interested people can try to explain to their fellow citizens what is happening.” Let me try to address some of your doubts:

    Though I’m a biologist and I spent almost a decade doing immunological product development research – I don’t consider my self and expert on immunology – just better informed than the avg. person – and many clik bait big media pandemic sources – and most importantly, I have no personal agenda to sell any thing or idea. Hopefully, my science background and above avg. knowledge on immunology (admittedly the avg. persons’ immunology knowledge – is a very low bench mark) allows me to at least ask and pursue more relevant technical and scientific questions regarding the epidemiology quirks, contradictions and gaps in what we think we know of the nCV-19 pandemic. Here are the reasonings and the references whereby I came to my opinions and hopefully might relieve some of your doubts – or not.

    First, let me preface and say I don’t disagree with your economic conclusions – at least most – regarding the pandemic debts/costs and economic impacts. I only think you confuse “immunity” – the ability of an organisms immune systems to effectively fight off a specific strain of pathogen – and “herd immunity” which is a measure of specific pathogen strain’s transmission efficiency when it is impactive enough to significantly reduce transmission within that defined population of individuals because of their relative increased immunity to that pathogen. Consequently, the arrival “Herd Immunity” doesn’t mean the pandemic is over, but rather it is a point wherein infection levels fall significantly in the majority of a specific population and don’t rise again above past peaks. “Herd immunity” is a process and not an absolute end point of 100% immunity.

    You seem to assume that because pandemic virus like the Spanish Flu and the Hong Kong Flu and common flu virus (all which can still be and are found in the human viral pathogen background) that we have not reached “herd immunity” to them and which is erroneous by definition. Your example of the highly mutable seasonal common flu strains are essentially and because of genetic roulette are “new virus pathogens” to the human immune pathogen recognition system – often changing each season. We actually have a limited level of “herd immunity” to the common flu virus types and strains. “Limited” meaning our immune systems only prevents wide spread mortality, not infection and or not flu symptoms – but still is a form of limited – “herd immunity.”

    “Herd immunity (also called herd effect, community immunity, or population immunity) is a form of indirect protection from infectious disease that can occur with some diseases when a sufficient percentage of a population has become immune to an infection, whether through vaccination or previous infections, thereby reducing the likelihood of infection for individuals who lack immunity.[1][2][3] Immune individuals are unlikely to contribute to disease transmission, disrupting chains of infection, which stops or slows the spread of disease.[4] The greater the proportion of immune individuals in a community, the smaller the probability that non-immune individuals will come into contact with an infectious individual.[1])
    (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herd_immunity)

    If you follow the pandemic research studies and the viral researchers reported information closely, you should have now learned:

    – Herd immunity for the Wuhan strain of the nCV-19 virus could happen with 60-80% population immunity. Mutated strains may or may not be covered by infection to the Wuhan strain, because of specific individual immune systems capability difference variables.

    – That 30% of the US population was naturally immuned to the nCV-19 virus from the beginning due to a combination of factors: Including antibodies they recvd. when infected by other corona cold virus prior to the pandemic and differences in specific immune difference from contributed by specific blood type factors.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/07/immunological-dark-matter-does-it-exist-coronavirus-population-immunity

    https://www.cell.com/cell/fulltext/S0092-8674(20)30610-3

    “Importantly, we detected SARS-CoV-2-reactive CD4+ T cells in ∼40%–60% of unexposed individuals, suggesting cross-reactive T cell recognition between circulating “common cold” coronaviruses and SARS-CoV-2.”

    https://www.bmj.com/content/370/bmj.m3563

    – That blood type also has a significant effect on natural (previously acquired) immunity, and also the severity levels of SARS type symptoms.

    (https://hms.harvard.edu/news/covid-19-blood-type)

    (https://www.nebraskamed.com/COVID/how-blood-type-affects-covid-19)

    And probably something most people never thought about – there is are remarkable differences in blood type ratio distributions by geographic regions and nations related to past immigrant gene pool distributions – and probably previous epidemic and pandemic exposures as well. Which may be effecting a number of things, including when specific areas received their first infections. Which in turn can help explain current levels of infection/immunity of differences by regions and even countries. While blood type does completely explain immunity differences in nCV-19 infections, note that neither Brazil nor India (current high daily infections) are not among those countries with the highest levels of O blood type in the blood type by country info below:

    (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blood_type_distribution_by_country)

    (https://www2.palomar.edu/anthro/vary/vary_3.htm)

    (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/blood-type-by-country)

    – Then there is the “herd immunity” math calculations and associated confusion: The estimates for asymptomatic and untested of the US population is based on how many have been tested positive for nCV-19 infection. Asymptomatic and untested being being an unknown “X” multiple of the positive tests. (BTW a side note here the majority of US survivors of nCV-19 are immuned – with under 3% being reinfected by new strains – but may be different regionally due to the above discussed genetic immune differences).

    The 10% tested positive in the US and recorded as infected in the current data represents a fraction of the asymptomatic and or untested – infected. Early on some experts have suggested the total infected could be 4 -10X the number of test confirmed infections and these infected that had little or no symptoms – but are still immune and have a significant lower probability of transmitting infection because of their respective lower viral particle counts. Other researchers – now after and based on a year of increasing nCV-19 testing data – think the multiple might be much lower, but there are still problems in their assumptions.

    Unfortunately, many of the recent data studies of asymptomatic infections do not break down asymptomatic populations into:
    – Those that have corona virus antibodies and very low viral particle counts (if they were determined) that will never produce symptoms, and
    – Those tested that are currently asymptomatic – but are tested too early and before symptoms are presented, but which would be coming in days or weeks.

    This lack of distinction could confuse asymptomatic test results interpretations and associated assumptions regarding asymptomatic infection risks. Meaning, there are significant differences in epidemiology implications between these two groups:

    – Those that will never show symptoms are naturally immuned, but while their CV antibodies detectable, they have very low nCV-19 virus particle counts. Meaning their risk of spreading the infection is compared to active infections – very low.

    – Where as, those in the early asymptomatic stages of nCV-19 infection will have increasing viral particle counts as they become symptomatic and start broadcasting infective viral particles in their coughs, wheezes and sneezes spittle micro dropletts – and become very infectious. The old saying that the “Devil is in the details” is very apropos in studying and interpreting asymptomatic infection transmission efficiency data – and its risks.

    – Basic math and examination of US and several other countries with earliest major infections should tell you – we (the US) are already entering wide spread “herd immunity” (by the above definitions) for nCV-19 Wuhan strain – even though we still have comparatively minor pockets increased infection. Given the overall decline of US daily infections since Jan. 8th (even with the Easter/Spring Break slight bump up increases – that now seems again to be declining.) it appears the variants are not increasing the overall nCV-19 transmission efficiency in any observable way as a function of daily infection increases or resulting mortality – both overall declining in the US. (https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/)

    – To assess the risks of new mutations/variants of nCV-19, we need to use what we know about typical viral pathogen’s evolution. New viral pathogens tend to start very “hot” (highly infectious with high mortality – because we simply have no immunity to them. However, natural selection pressures immediately start selecting for a variant that doesn’t kill off the viral host and therefore limit its transmission efficiency – and long term existence.

    Take a look at the five major variants of nCV-19 with significant infection potentials similar to or greater (some researchers state) than the original Wuhan strain of nCV-19:

    “There are currently five VOCs in the United States:
    B.1.1.7: This variant was first identified in the US in December 2020. It was initially detected in the UK.

    B.1.351: This variant was first identified in the US at the end of January 2021. It was initially detected in South Africa in December 2020.

    P.1: This variant was first detected in the US in January 2021. P.1 was initially identified in travelers from Brazil, who were tested during routine screening at an airport in Japan, in early January.

    B.1.427 and B.1.429: These two variants were first identified in California in February 2021 and were classified as VOCs in March 2021.

    (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/transmission/variant.html)

    We read about the concern over these variants risks of increasing and prolonging the pandemic – especially in the popular “clik bait” sensationalized media. While there are significant genetic differences to enable scientific identity of dozens of different nCV-19 strains, there is a wide gap in the understanding (data for) of those variants’ relative pathogenicity/threat risk and or within their pathogenicity differences regarding the various individual susceptibilities of the US and other national populations. While some variants (UK most notably) may genetically out compete the original Wuhan strain for infection dominance – that doesn’t necessarily mean they pose a significantly greater risk to all human populations enough to stop the “herd immunity” process from proceeding – though they may indeed be slowing the maximum possible decline of the pandemic in the US:

    For example, look at the daily infection levels of the variants in their countries origin:

    UK – (https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/)

    South Africa – (https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/south-africa/)

    Brazil – (https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/brazil/)

    India – (https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/india/)

    And now look at the US that now has all five variants.- https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

    The UK and South African variants and what ever transmission efficiency they have – did not significantly increase daily infection rates in their host countries – nor have they in the US – at least above the daily infection trend decline since Jan. 8th.

    Meanwhile, the Brazil and Indian variants have run rampant in their respective countries of origin. Why? If the UK and S. Africa variants have not produced significant increases in the daily infection levels in their country of origin, or the US where all of the variants co-exist and considering the US has no effective lock downs in place – why are Brazil and India suffering such large daily infection increases. It appears that the differences are in combinations of variables – population density, the level of communication of personal pandemic protection info and the generally scarce and poor health service systems in Brazil and India. It’s interesting to note that early on that India was thought to have higher immunity levels than other countries.
    (https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-54730290)

    Though that thinking has been shown to be a misconception.
    (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7217265/)

    – By “herd immunity” definition and using daily infection level and death declines we can see that nCV-19 viral transmission in US is being effectively limited (with or without lock downs as in the UK) – otherwise there would be no decline without lock downs. This assumes that (viral evolution wise – higher pathogenic variants are improbable) that a much more virulent mutation will not present. Which is why I said in my first comment, that the US is following the same (if not slightly vaccine accelerated) “herd immunity” patterns of previous better recorded and studied pandemics – including the Spanish Flu and the Hong Kong Flu.

    Let’s look at the timing. The nCV-19 virus was first documented as present in Wuhan hospitals -demonstrated by a sudden increase in Wuhan hospital activity and traffic – in August of 2019 – with several later more specific scientific confirmations making the August date highly probable. The nCV-19 infections made entry into the US sometime prior to January 26th (first reported case), 2020 and probably in Dec. of 2019. Because the first few cases may not have been separated from flu and infection symptoms. Consequently, we are now almost a year and a half in to the (US) pandemic infection pattern.

    From the above refs. here is my take on US “herd immunity” composition:

    – Natural immunity from some or all of about 43% of the US population which have either or both previous corona virus antibodies and or coincidentally have type O+ (US – 37%) or O- (US – 6%) blood type with significant levels of increased immunity and or protection against to nCV-19 and or its most lethal SARS type symptoms.

    – 10+% of the US population has tested positive for nCV-19 (and variants) and are effectively immuned though infected immunity may not cover different variant infections. Over this 10% test positive there is some multiple factor of asymptomatic non-infectious immuned – though they may be already included in those above with natural immunity numbers. If you had to guess at the immunity factor from asymptomatic non-infectious and use selected/cherry picked studies as a basis – try a number try 5% of the population

    – 50+% of the adult US population have received some vaccination as of today and have significant levels of immunity (52% immunity from 1st Pfizer vaccination for example.) though they vary by brand type vaccine.
    (https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#datatracker-home)
    (https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/half-us-adults-have-received-least-one-covid-19-vaccine-n1264439)

    – By this math it suggests that as much as 90% of the US adult US population has some significant level of immunity to nCV-19 virus and probably most if not all of its current known variants. We can further confirm this effect – because and or unless until daily infection decline trends change from now we are in “herd immunity” and because infections and deaths have continued to decline since January 8th 2021 for US nation over all. It is not unexpected that pockets of high regional infection still exist (typical of the latter stages of “herd immunity”) as the virus finds the last of susceptible populations to infect and that initial infection waves missed and or did not provide any infective immunity. Consequently, it could and probably will take another year based on past pandemics “herd immunity” infection declines for nCV-19 to become and insignificant viral pathogen risk in the US. Globally, it might take another two years in less developed countries with continue pockets on un-vaccinated populations with low natural immunity.-

    – Basic logic and intellectual curiosity should make you ask why this isn’t being more widely investigated and reported?

    First – if the public thinks “herd immunity” means the pandemic is over and ignores pandemic safety precautions (which it has a demonstrated propensity to do so from the beginning of the pandemic) it will on slow down the arrival of durable and real “herd immunity.”

    Second – if a 50% anti-vaxxer public fails to provide the vaccine companies with their projected profits by not getting vaccinated – there is always the risk private vaccine development will be even slower or non-existent to respond to the next pandemic – and our government/elected politicians know they can not risk it.

    I know this is long, but there is so much more than can be discussed in the complicated subject of the nCV-19 pandemic. Hopefully, what I have offered (especially the refs.) will provide some insights and greater understanding – even if it means you now have even more questions. Stay well and be safe.

    • Thanks for taking the time to put together these extensive thoughts.

      I perhaps was somewhat confused with herd immunity. It is now defined by WHO as having something to do with the number vaccinated, which doesn’t make sense. Early articles I read were very interested in the R-naught of transmission. They were convinced that if they could somehow drop the number of average transmissions to less than 1.0, the disease would die out by itself. So I assumed that we would expect herd immunity to lead to that result, simply because there were not enough others to infect.

      Regarding the effect of blood type, I know that one study said it didn’t really have much effect, at least compared to other factors. I was a little relieved, because my blood type is AB+.

      We should be getting close to herd immunity, but there are quite a few people who have kept themselves away from others as much as possible over the past year. Some of these folks have a variety of other issues, such as overweight, lack of exercise, diabetes, autoimmune problems, or recently finishing cancer treatment. This group, if it starts going out, provides a store of people who could catch the illness and do fairly badly with it.

  22. Minority Of One says:

    Another interesting video from Dr. Sam Bailey, based in New Zealand.

    Secrets of Influenza
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wzGxKTzuDv0

    The gist of her talk is that there is no scientific evidence for person-to-person transmission of the flu virus, or rather none that Sam can find. In fact, she starts off with evidence that it is not transferred person-to-person. Towards the end she refers to a paper from 1992 written by one Dr. Robert Edgar Hope-Simpson who suggested that when a flu outbreak occurs, most people already have the virus within them and it is something else that triggers the illness. Apparently, no-one has ever followed up this line of enquiry.

    • DB says:

      I’ve worked as an infectious disease epidemiologist for 25 years. The evidence for how most pathogens are (apparently) transmitted tends to be weak. For almost any given pathogen, multiple alternate explanations have not been evaluated. There are many ways a transmissible pathogen could be transmitted (some not involving people, such as winds, waterways, and other processes in the environment). And, as you note, it gets complicated because an individual’s immune history is relevant. Furthermore, strong evidence of person-to-person transmission involves, in part, genetic sequencing of the pathogen in both infected individuals. Such sequencing allows assessing whether their variants are so closely related, in genetic terms, as to be consistent with one person transmitting to the other.

      The evidence for _asymptomatic_ transmission of respiratory viruses is far weaker than for person-to-person transmission generally.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        DB – did you see my PHD thesis picking up on the Bossche/Bridle theory that the leaky vaccine released during a pandemic will create a Devil Covid (actually many of them)… and like Marek’s kills unvaccinated chickens… the Devil Covid will kill unvaxxed humans…

        And because the vaccines are released into the maelstrom of a pandemic… the Devil Covid will mutate and kill even the vaccinated folks… because there will be no way (nor will) to keep rolling out tweaked vaccines to deal with each iteration of Devil Covid…

        And as mentioned… there will be many Devil Covids emerging in different parts of the world and they will circulate quickly … and the current vaccines will be impotent…

        Xabier has reminded us of the other take on how we all get to perish … namely that the vaccines will alter our cell structures and f789 up our immune systems … resulting in any run of the mill virus killing us.. (Trojan Horse Theory of Extinction)

        Appreciate your thoughts on this solemn occasion.

        All hail the CEP!

    • If researchers can make vaccines for various forms of the virus, I am willing to believe that that it is transmissible from person to person.

      • DB says:

        Although I think it is likely that SARS-CoV-2 is transmissible from person-to-person, there is as yet no good evidence that it is — in other words, no rigorous studies that eliminate alternate explanations. Whether a vaccine can be developed for a pathogen is unrelated to whether it is transmissible from person to person. They are entirely separate matters.

  23. Kowalainen says:

    Today I had an interesting conversation with an business acquaintance in India. The person asked me what I thought about the vax. I spilled the beans savagely. I don’t think that will make a difference; all they want to is for back to ‘normal’. And as you know, that implies:

    MOAR! YAY!

    Then the person asked me if I’d like go back to ‘normal’. Then I ripped out some more finite world beans of truth, which didn’t hit home either.

    Basically told **** “normal”. Living their shallow lives of waste, frippery, vanity, ‘competition’, sanctimony, delusions and hopium on a finite planet. FSCK that ******* **** **** **** **** ******** boring *** **** etc… No, I didn’t lay down those two final sentences.

    It won’t really matter. You could inject cyanide into their veins if first promised ‘normality’ along with the LI jab. Curiously death is part of ‘normal’ in a strict sense.

    Vax em up real good! Keep those jabs far away from me, I’m already on extinction track. As a matter of fact so is all rapacious primates. I’m just ahead of the curve (as usual)

    💉💉💉

    🤣👍👍

    • Azure Kingfisher says:

      It occurred to me today that it really doesn’t matter whether an individual chooses to get injected or not. If the scamdemic really is a cover for the end of cheap energy then there is no way out; no way back to “normal,” pre-scamdemic levels of energy consumption. One cannot “vaccinate” their way out of the situation.
      The COVID-19 narrative will be maintained, even in the face of a fully “vaccinated” population; even in the face of declining case numbers (which can be easily manipulated by adjusting PCR cycle thresholds); even in the face of common sense and basic logic.
      Every country is under varying levels of restrictions due to the scamdemic narrative.

      The way I see it, there are two choices:

      1. Endure the scamdemic restrictions while preserving your health and the health of your family with as little input from Big Pharma as possible. Claim personal responsibility for your health and focus on resiliency. If Gail’s right then Big Pharma will eventually be too big to sustain itself due to declining energy and you may happen to live to see that day.

      2. Endure the scamdemic restrictions while offering yourself up as an experimental test subject via COVID-19 “vaccination.” If you’re bored with lockdowns and are looking for something to do, go ahead and roll the dice with your health by agreeing to the injections. You’ll provide valuable data for the “vaccine” manufacturers and the medical industry, possibly end up as one of Big Pharma’s chronic customers for life, or leave this earthly plane a bit earlier than expected thereby leaving a bit more energy for the rest of us to consume.

      Either way, if we’re talking about the end of cheap energy and energy rationing from here on out, were going to be under various and varying restrictions indefinitely. An individual’s choice whether to “vaccinate” or remain “un-vaccinated” won’t make a difference in this respect. “Get yourself vaccinated so we can go back to normal” is absolutely false hope.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Did you mention the industrial scale torture of farm animals… mass murder wars…. ongoing extinction of 1000’s of species as we pave over the planet … etc… aka ‘Normal’

      • Azure Kingfisher says:

        The “morally inconvenient” foundations of what people today consider to be normal civilization. We wouldn’t be where we are today without them. Are we better off or worse?

        I once read that the title of “World’s Largest Slave Population” belongs to laboratory mice and rats. Yay, SCIENCE?

        • Fast Eddy says:

          We are about to go extinct….

          • Tim Groves says:

            Not if Mr DNA has any say in the matter. He is willing to go to Srangelovian lengths to ensure that some of us survive.

        • Kowalainen says:

          Perhaps the foundations is a bit, you know, crap. There is more than one trajectory towards civilizations, such as IC.

          It is so convenient to label it as necessary, when in reality the process is chaotic and nonlinear with several regions of relative stability.

      • D. Stevens says:

        It’s not that ‘normal’ is good but that ‘new normal’ is even worse. I still have to go to work but now I get to do it in a mask with no after hours social outlets to make all the drudgery worthwhile. I flaunt all the rules I can and plan to continue doing so. Want to enjoy these final days before the CEP.

  24. From Zerohedge: Why Record US Port Congestion May Lead To Historic Trade Deficit Blowout, Dollar Plunge

    While it should come as no surprise to those who have been following our reporting on the epic bottlenecks and congestion across West Coast ports, Standard Chartered’s chief G10 FX strategist Steven Englander makes a remarkable observation, showing that based on the very close correlation between seasonally adjusted inbound containers and the US goods trade balance, then US is about to see an unprecedented explosion in its trade deficit which would push it to a record high, well north of $100BN. This, in turn, could have a profoundly negative effect on the US dollar and as Englander concludes “if the deficit is as wide as containers indicate, the USD downside risk may become clearer, especially with Fed commentary weighing on yields.”

    As Englander summarizes the recent events, since the March spike in West Coast net inbound containers was exceeded only once in the past on reopening after a port strike, some “ugly trade deficit numbers are likely coming, with a March deterioration in the goods balance of USD10-20bn possible (a m/m deterioration of USD10bn happened only once in the past also in the aftermath of that port strike).” And while deficits can reflect good or bad economic developments, “when the central bank is openly advocating low real interest rates, exchange weakness is likely to result” according to the Std Chartered analyst.

  25. From Zerohedge: Goldman, BofA Warn Of Sharp Reversal To “Euphoric Sentiment” Amid Sudden Selling Frenzy

    According to the latest institutional and HNW client data published by Bank of America, the bank’s flow desk just saw the biggest outflows in five months as clients were net sellers of a whopping $5.2BN in US stocks last week – the biggest sales since mid-Nov. and fifth-largest on record – which paradoxically took place just as the S&P 500 reached new highs (“paradoxically” because most investors tend to stay with momentum and buy even more at record high levels).

    So with the selling having started in earnest, and now dragging the broader market for the 2nd day, BofA warns that “market weakness could continue near-term” and calculates that in the prior times weekly flows were this (or more) negative, the subsequent week’s returns were -1% on avg/median (chart below) with negative returns 75% of the time.

  26. Dennis L. says:

    Elon Musk, “What scares the hell out of him.”

    Version 1 of his self driving software reduced accidents 45% per Elon – impressive. Tesla is sometimes discussed here, I keep beating the drum, the value of Tesla is not the car, it is the software.

    His concern, general AI. Among some here, AI is dismissed.

    His reason for going to Mars is discussed – basically a fear of WWIII, we did have two or three of them in the twentieth century, I, II and the cold war. Mars/moon are two places to start over. Currently we are having word games over the Ukraine. We have some very intelligent people running the country who perhaps think they are smarter than they really are.

    He covers CO2, intelligently and in a non alarmist manner.

    This is a short video with captioned subtitles, it is thoughtful, a bit over ten minutes in length.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xJ9pq1xPqqU

    This guy certainly is a polymath.

    Dennis L.

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      He seems to be a very, very rich kid who is being ‘right on’ and who is virtue-signalling with unrealistic schemes. He may have an over-inflated ego that needs to have some personal ‘importance’ on a grand scale. Mars and the moon sound silly as places of future habitation. It may just be vanity, but he is free to spend his money how he likes, and to dream away.

    • Kowalainen says:

      I don’t think AI researchers view themselves necessarily as smart, perhaps smart enough to know theirs and others limitations (as does AGI). I would think of them as being as smart as their biology (and theory) allows them to be.

      Most AI researchers likely have a life-long perplexity of how the mind works. By being able to craft a theory and experiment they are inching forward towards an understanding of themselves.

      I’m in the camp of Jürgen Schmidhuber that quite bluntly state that he isn’t smart enough and look forward for smarter machines that can figuratively (literally?) blow his mind. However, he might not like the truth delivered.

      However, a ‘mind blowing’ smart AI might not share their perplexity about the mind. On a certain level of intelligence, I would think the mystery of the mind simply dissolves into deterministic processes. With other words, super intelligent AI will be as mechanistic as physics. Given a set of premises, the thought patterns arise without the mystery. Or that the logical sequence of actions arise out of the input data and selected theory, where the theory could be for example thermodynamics and human psychology and sociology.

      Humans simply aren’t equipped for ultimate truth. Our delusions and myopia of ordinary is our evolutionary shield against the horrors of evolution and inevitability.

      For example, why are we curious and fascinated by mystery and novelties? It is because of evolutionary advantage in carrying descriptions of the world that isn’t easily shared information advantage. The same of course holds true for AGI. I’m not so sure it would spill the beans of truth on humans, it might be a bit too much.

    • Jarle says:

      “Mars/moon are two places to start over.”

      no! they! are! not!

  27. el mar says:

    A BLIP for Fast Eddy

    Harsh yes, but real, and honest, and helpful for those still trying to make the future less bad, because his work shows that the best path is democratically supported rapid population reduction policies.

    https://un-denial.com/2021/04/20/overshoot-doubt-chris-clugston-kills-it/

    Saludos

    el mar

    • Kowalainen says:

      I can bet Chris owns and drives a car, has offspring and of course those stereotypical Living Large shenanigans. Of course he needs his doses of hopium because that offspring of his.

      “Harsh yes, but real, and honest, and helpful for those still trying to make the future less bad, because his work shows that the best path is democratically supported rapid population reduction policies.”

      Harsh? Not nearly enough. Good luck with that Chris.

      All hat and no cattle.

      A few jabs need to find Chris and his family. After all, what is needed is some ‘harsh’ measures. Why not putting Chris first in line to the cleaners?

      🤣👍👍

      • Is Chris going to hop on over to one of the nuke plants and get cracking on the dry-cask mitigation that might buy us another few irradiation-free decades?

        Who’s going to be doing that, exactly, in a rapidly-depopulated world?

        Or any world, actually…?

        • Kowalainen says:

          I don’t see the nuke problem. I’m scheduled for my own extermination from the gene pool by my own choice. Basically, my only worldly attachments are my two aging parents. As for Chris, it’s probably a bit more complicated…

          😉

          I’ll bet Chris is cracking furiously on another book and not the nuke problem. He probably ‘needs’ to renovate the kitchen and the missus probably covets a new car of “theirs”. A bit of doom and gloom is a hot seller these days. Gotta spin it while it lasts.

          MOAR:

          💰💸💵 💰💸💸💵💸💶💶💷💸💸

          YAY!

          🤣👍👍

          But don’t worry, after the jab everything will be going back to “normal” for Chris et. al. Chris just want to go back pretending to care with that large cowboy hat of his – while having zero cattle.

          MOAR! YAY!

          ☯️

          • I am very concerned about this. I think you need to find some other interests beside OurFiniteWorld.com. You need to find some positive things in life to look forward to. None of us knows exactly what is ahead.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              We may not be able to work out the details… but the End Game is clear… I don’t think these vaccines are purposed to fill in bald spots on men … or increase the bust size of women… there is something very big going down ….

              As the kitchen heats up … if anyone prefers to check out early … why not?

              But I highly recommend staying around for the Fire Works… enjoy the remaining time (take afternoon naps… drink some nice wine… play with the dog… etc)….

              The Elders will ensure suffering will be minimal… I remain hopeful of a non-descript package arriving … picking it out out of the post and asking M Fast — ‘don’t you have enough beauty powders and potions already!!!’…. opening the box and finding

              https://www.pharmacy.biz/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/2019-03-04T171555Z_903520184_RC1CD1D0E770_RTRMADP_3_PURDUEPHARMA-BANKRUPTCY.jpg

              I wonder what would happen if I were to order one of these online? Would the customs people have been instructed to let this sort of package through?

            • Kowalainen says:

              What makes you think I am not amused by the drama, tragedy, absurdities, inconsistencies and comedy of human affairs?

              If there is something to be gained of the tragedy of it all, it is to make pinpoint accurate surgical strikes of objective reality descriptions as experienced by a master of observation.

              As FE certainly have dug deep and found dirt, so have I. I describe the dirt. FE likes to fling it. We are all amused by the horrid truth and revolting cringes it induces.

              You know I am right.

              FE, am I right?

              🤣👍👍

            • Thierry says:

              Agreed Gail!
              I am much pessimistic about what is ahead and nonetheless I am gonna have a baby (a daughter!).
              You always need a ray of light even in the darkest situations.
              taijitu

            • el mar says:

              https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6wRYjtvIYK0
              There is a crack in everything.
              That´s how the light gets in!

              Saludos

              el mar

            • Sam says:

              😳 wow I am glad you finally said that to someone. Some of the things written on the last page were just plain wrong. Wanting a child to suffer; there is a mental problem

            • Minority Of One says:

              Stunning video el mar – Leonard Cohen – Anthem

            • Thierry says:

              Sam, a child born in the world after will probably suffer less than us. Less complexity and an easier life with less contradictions.
              We imagine a lot of pain coming which is probably true in the short term. Then, humans in the future will not even realize the abundance and excess of everything that we’ve had. This is the real source of pain. If we don’t go extinct those who will remain will have an opportunity to do better than us. Less bling and more inner life. Here is my hope and what we must prepare.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              I interrupt the Koombaya Program to bring you a Breaking News Flash … from RealitySTAN…

              Let’s go live to our correspondent in Bosnia :

              Our city was blockaded by the army; and for one year, life in the city turned into total crap. We had no army, no police. We only had armed groups; those armed protected their homes and families.

              When it all started, some of us were better prepared. But most of the neighbors’ families had enough food only for a few days. Some had pistols; a few had AK-47s or shotguns.

              After a month or two, gangs started operating, destroying everything. Hospitals, for example, turned into slaughterhouses. There was no more police. About 80 percent of the hospital staff were gone. I got lucky. My family at the time was fairly large (15 people in a large house, six pistols, three AKs), and we survived (most of us, at least).

              The Americans dropped MREs every 10 days to help blockaded cities. This was never enough. Some — very few — had gardens. It took three months for the first rumors to spread of men dying from hunger and cold. We removed all the doors, the window frames from abandoned houses, ripped up the floors and burned the furniture for heat. Many died from diseases, especially from the water (two from my own family). We drank mostly rainwater, ate pigeons and even rats.

              https://www.quora.com/What-would-the-world-be-like-if-society-collapsed

              Fast Eddy — can you analyse this for us?

              Yes Sure — this is actually a wonderful outcome … it could be worse… they could be permanently cut off from food, medicine, petrol and electricity. So if you think war is bad… try total permanent collapse. Permanent. Forever.

              Thanks for that Fast.

              Next week Fast Eddy will explain what happens when 4000 spent fuel ponds water boils off.

              This is a can’t miss episode.

              Now back to Koombaya… ‘hari hari krishna… bing bang bong go the tambourines… krishna krishan krisha… bang boom bing… let’s hold hands and think happy thoughts… happy happy happy bing bong bang… happy happy happy … Fast Eddy is a bad man … bing bong… Fast Eddy is so negative… bong bing… drown him out with happy happy thoughts… bing bing bong….

              Might I suggest the timing is a bit off for bringing a new person into the world? The ideal time would have been around 1950….

    • Fast Eddy says:

      He mostly has it correct… including a conclusion that we are likely to go extinct … (he calls that a worst case scenario … I call that the holy grail)

      https://youtu.be/cdXdaIsfio8

      A couple of issues:

      1. He fails to recognize that spent fuel ponds GUARANTEE our extinction.

      2. He fails to recognize that Covid is cover for a plan (CEP) to terminate our species to pre-empt epic suffering.

  28. Spain to trial mixing COVID-19 vaccines after restricting AstraZeneca shot

    Spain will study the effects of mixing different coronavirus vaccines, government researchers said on Monday, responding to shifting guidelines on the safety of the AstraZeneca’s (AZN.L) shot.

    Along with several other European countries, Spain has restricted vaccines produced by the Anglo-Swedish drug maker to people over 60 after regulators linked it to a rare form of brain blood clots, mostly in younger women.

    “After decisions by various European public health authorities to suspend use of the AstraZeneca vaccine in under 60-year-olds, we are setting out to urgently find scientific evidence to support decision-making around possible alternatives,” Raquel Yotti, director of the Carlos III Health Institute, told a news conference.

    The trial will draw on a sample of 600 people of all ages from across Spain, said Jesus Frias Iniesta, clinical research coordinator at Carlos III.

    “The study’s objective is…to determine within 28 days whether a second dose of the Pfizer vaccine can be given to patients who have received the AstraZeneca vaccine,” he said.
    https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/spain-trial-mixing-covid-vaccines-after-restricting-astrazeneca-shot-2021-04-19/?taid=607e24175a08ec0001320a0f&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=trueanthem&utm_source=twitter

    • Ed says:

      When you mix two technologies you might get the best of both. But just as likely you will get the worst of both.

  29. EXCLUSIVE: Qld AMA President suggests new laws to reveal employee vaccination status

    The Australian Medical Association’s Queensland President is calling for “more strength” from government and suggests new laws could give certain employers access to COVID-19 vaccination information.

    Dr Chris Perry explained that COVID-19 vaccination data is held in online systems through the Federal Government’s MyGov portal, and due to privacy, it cannot be accessed by employers, even in high-risk industries such as health and aged care.

    “There’s been suggestions that perhaps there should be legislation which could take precedence over privacy,” Dr Perry told Sky News.

    “We would all like to see a bit more strength from the government and some legislation around getting the figures, being an employer being able to look at their staff who aren’t vaccinated and work out what they can do about it.”

    Many public institutions, including hospitals, are not fully aware of how many of their staff have been vaccinated, given they rely on self-disclosure processes which occur on a needs basis and vary between organizations.

    Any legislation would likely be specific to employers in industries which have higher COVID-19 risks, such as those working in health, aviation, and aged care.

    “What do you do with someone in an aged care facility who refuses to get a vaccine for no other reason than they’re scared, or they’ve been reading strange science on the internet,” Dr Perry said.

    “They could bring a deadly disease into the community and kill some of the staff, and then the business is liable more than the individual staff member is.

    “It’s a real issue and the government has to look at what they’re going to do about people refusing to have a vaccination in certain industries in the future, including health, including airlines, meatworks, it’s an issue and something we’ve got to think through.”

    The proposed concept intersects on the difficult balance between individual rights and freedoms versus collective health outcomes.
    https://www.skynews.com.au/details/_6249330053001

    • If those who want to be vaccinated are already vaccinated, what is the point? Especially if there are good treatments for the unvaccinated (such as antidepressants and anti-fungals).

      • HerbHere says:

        Gail, this seems like a rhetorical question. May I suggest a topic for your next post? A summary of UN Agenda 2030 as a possible answer to “why?”

        • I am afraid that there is something that I am not understanding. This is a link to a PDF of the UN Agenda 2030.
          https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/content/documents/21252030%20Agenda%20for%20Sustainable%20Development%20web.pdf

          It has 17 main goals:

          Goal 1. End poverty in all its forms, everywhere
          Goal 2. End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition and promote sustainable agriculture
          Goal 3. Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being fro all at all ages
          Goal 4. Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all
          Goal 5. Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls

          I won’t copy the rest, but you get the idea. Very “woke” sort of goals. If we are running into energy problems, then these are precisely the kinds of things that we cannot do.

          It seems like some of the folks who don’t understand how the system works imagine that they can have the benefits of a huge amount of energy, while the promote “Green Energy,” which provides virtually no energy at all.

          What can I write about this, except that these goals are totally unfeasible? They don’t understand the problem.

      • I think the point is “public endangerment” legal liability for those public service companies that negligently fail to monitor their employee infection status. Meaning it comes down to basic economics. It’s much cheaper to be vaccinated (especially with Uncle Sam paying for it) than to be constantly paying to be tested.

        We aren’t to a point where the nCV-19 negligent homicide law suits have begun to gen up in any serious way yet, but “soon come” when it safe to be in open court again.

        • I wonder if it depends on how long the vaccine is effective. If the vaccine is only effective for, say, six months, then it gets to be harder and harder to keep up with the necessary revaccinations, especially if the government is no longer paying for them.

  30. Greta reads from the script: health crisis, ecological crisis and climate crises are inseperable, and leads to the ultimate problem: vaccine inequity.
    https://twitter.com/Nominoone/status/1384468377209491457

    • I suppose the conclusion would be to spread the small supply of vaccines around evenly, perhaps to the elderly. That way at least some of the elderly, everywhere, could be spared from having COVID-19.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Sorry I break out in AIDS and Brain Cancer whenever I watch anything involving Greta… will have to skip

  31. Mirror on the wall says:

    The Taliban has declared victory as USA is to withdraw, bizarrely, ‘by Sept. 11.’

    Spiked has a piece today railing against the ‘war on terror’ that has caused jihadism to spread through the world from the Western wars in Iraq, Syria, Libya, Afghanistan, Egypt. BON traces it to a western ‘exhaustion’ of ‘purpose’ and a ‘moral infantilism’.

    > The violent virtue-signalling of Western intervention

    From Afghanistan to Libya, our puffed-up elites have caused chaos

    …. Afghanistan captures perfectly, and terribly, what all of the above ventures have really been about. It was about Western powers desperately seeking a sense of purpose, trying to discover in the mountains and deserts of Afghanistan – or the towns and cities of Iraq, Libya and Syria – what they glaringly lacked at home: moral clarity and mission. Consider the ever-changing justification for the Afghan War. It was about punishing al-Qaeda for 9/11, we were first told. No, it was actually the first theatre in a broader ‘war on terror’, they then said. Actually, it was about regime change – the Taliban had to go, too. No, it was about liberating women from Islamist repression. In fact, it was a war on drugs – who can forget the farce of Blair sending his development minister Clare Short to oversee the destruction of Afghanistan’s poppy fields?

    Afghanistan always lacked a clear casus belli. In fact, it was a new kind of war – a war in search of a casus belli, a war whose justification could be chopped and changed depending, not on the realities on the ground, but on the existential wants of the Western powers. It was a war driven less by the realpolitik of old than by the needs and neuroses of a Western political class bereft of purpose and still thrown by the strangeness and unpredictably of the post-Cold War world. The West was essentially at war with its own sense of moral and political exhaustion, and Afghanistan had the grave misfortune to be the theatre for it. America’s retreat from Afghanistan is an extraordinary humiliation for the neo-empire, but the truth is it should never have been there in the first place.

    One of the most startling things about the disastrous wars of the past 20 years has been the refusal of their authors and supporters to take stock of their calamities. There has been barely any self-reflection or reckoning or responsibility-taking. Indeed, the people who rallied behind these assaults on sovereign nations, and assured us they would deliver freedom and democracy, remain part of public life, and seemingly shame-free. If you make a mess of a local public service in the UK, you will be expected to answer for it; but bring about the ruination of entire countries and there will be next to no political blowback. Strikingly, David Cameron is getting far more stick over some text messages he sent on behalf of a rich bloke with a crazy idea for the NHS than he ever did over his role in bringing about the ‘chaos and depravity’ in Libya.

    This moral infantilism of the liberal warmonger, this refusal to take responsibility for what one unleashes overseas, itself speaks to how unanchored the new imperialism is. This is a system of war governed less by geopolitics or imperial design than by the narcissism of Western elites who crave a cause. It is violent virtue-signalling. This is why reckoning and responsibility – the normal stuff of political life – do not have to be countenanced. Because for all the grand talk of ‘nation-building’ and a ‘responsibility to protect’, in truth these ventures have the singular aim of providing disorientated elites with a temporary sense of moral drive. Once that has been achieved, the rest is just noise. Move on. It’s not our fault. We did our best.

    https://www.spiked-online.com/2021/04/20/the-violent-virtue-signalling-of-western-intervention/

    • Perhaps the West needed an excuse for hiring workers and building armaments.

    • hillcountry says:

      Mirror, thanks for the introduction to Brendan O’Neill. Can’t say as I’ve read a better forensic pathology report. He was reminding me of Albert Camus there for a minute. He’s really describing a ‘Cytokine Storm’ in the Global Body. From the looks of last summer’s anarchic-events, and those daily links Harry has been posting for us, this storm is rapidly going fractal. Before you know it, Matt Bracken will be stirring the pot some more.

      https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Matthew_Bracken

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Love this review!

        In short, Mr. Bracken can be called the lobotomized racist’s attempt to mimic Tom Clancy. He knows his audience and knows how to push all their patriotic, flag waving, paranoid, anti-Mexican, anti-Muslim, nationalist, violence-fetishist buttons. A key piece of evidence is in those dumb book titles. “Enemies”, “foreign” and “traitors” are spat out as epithets and the order simply rearranged for each new book.

        On the positive side, at least Bracken’s novels give these people something to read other than The Turner Diaries, and giving someone one less reason to read The Turner Diaries is probably doing society a favor, however small.

      • Mirror on the wall says:

        Matt Bracken does not worry me too much, it is not him that gets to start wars, it is the likes of Blair, Cameron, Boris, Bush, Obama, Biden. Ethno nationalists have zero power, it is state nationalists that have it – or simply the states. Many sign up to flag waving state nationalism without any attachment to ethno nationalism. It is the states that start wars, not extra-state individuals. Many on here are state nationalists, be it the British state or wherever, without any ethno nationalism.

        • Mirror on the wall says:

          Generally it is that which society approves of that you have to worry about, not which it does not.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      God bless the Taliban! Allah Akbar

  32. Mirror on the wall says:

    The president of Chad has just been killed. A ‘rebel force’ has invaded from Libya. His troops had been fighting against Islamists in the Sahel.

    Little factual is coming out, as the government is the only source and they reckon that he was personally ‘fighting against rebels on the frontline’, which seems extremely unlikely.

    Information is purely part of propaganda warfare for some African governments, more obviously so than for some other governments, and they feed any rubbish to the Western press – which everyone is aware of.

    ‘Claims cannot presently be verified.’

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      Posts on Twitter seem to indicate that Boko Haram/ ISIS has invaded from Libya and killed him.

      Another claim is that his own soldiers did it.

      The army has suspended the constitution and his son has been installed as ‘head’ of the army.

      Local discontent includes over his handling of oil in the country.

    • Chad is a large landlocked country in Northern Africa with a population of about 16 million. According to Wikipedia, “Chad has several regions: a desert zone in the north, an arid Sahelian belt in the centre and a more fertile Sudanian Savanna zone in the south. Lake Chad, after which the country is named, is the second-largest wetland in Africa. The capital N’Djamena is the largest city. Chad’s official languages are Arabic and French. It is home to over 200 different ethnic and linguistic groups. Islam (51.8%) and Christianity (44.1%) are the main religions practiced in Chad.”

      “About half of the nation’s population lives in the southern fifth of its territory, making this the most densely populated region.”

      “Polygamy is common, with 39% of women living in such unions.”

      “Chad’s constitution provides for a strong executive branch headed by a president who dominates the political system. The president has the power to appoint the prime minister and the cabinet, and exercises considerable influence over appointments of judges, generals, provincial officials and heads of Chad’s para-statal firms. In cases of grave and immediate threat, the president, in consultation with the National Assembly, may declare a state of emergency. The president is directly elected by popular vote for a five-year term; in 2005 constitutional term limits were removed, allowing a president to remain in power beyond the previous two-term limit. Most of Déby’s key advisers are members of the Zaghawa ethnic group, although southern and opposition personalities are represented in government.”

      President Déby was the one killed. He came into power in 1990 after successfully leading a coup against the former government.
      https://thehill.com/policy/international/africa/549141-president-of-chad-dies-in-clash-with-rebels

  33. Fast Eddy says:

    B.C. Premier John Horgan on Monday announced sweeping new travel restrictions that prohibit people from travelling outside their health authority to stop the spread of COVID-19.

    B.C. will bring in an order on Friday that means people could face a fine for non-essential travel outside their local health authority, with checkpoints across the province.

    https://vancouversun.com/news/local-news/covid-19-bc-announces-travel-restrictions-lowers-eligible-age-for-astrazeneca-vaccine-in-hot-spot-areas

    • William MF Sodomsky says:

      https://the-fifth-law.com/pages/the-peak-oil-musical-chairs%E2%84%A2-calculator

      It seems to me that the author/s of “The Fifth Law” had the future nailed when they designed or uncovered “The Peak Oil Musical Chairs Calculator” (POMC). The Leaked Document from a Canadian insider will seem like a love letter in comparison.

      To quote Sherlock Holmes: “The Game Is Afoot.”

    • Ed says:

      Seldom am I scared by a comment at OFW but this is one of those rare times, sh**

      • Fast Eddy says:

        On one hand I am horrified by the situation … some rumblings of fright…a tinge of despair (my Mr DNA is waking up…he is sensing Great Danger now…his primitive mind is trying to work out a response… fight?.. flight?…he is confused)

        But on the other hand I am euphoric… f789 you Mr DNA … your f789ing Rapacious Evil Borg Machine has passed the Rubicon… burn in hell you son of a bitch…

        The battle rages within every cell of my being. I am along for the ride. Soon I will not be. All will be darkness.

        And then they’ll reset the game and I’ll return as an eagle.. floating pleasantly on currents of air… laser beams searching for prey…

    • Xabier says:

      There can be no medical justification for any of this.

      Easier to inject everyone when their movements are severely restricted.

      • The only justification that makes sense is expected inadequate future total oil supply. Keeping people closer to home will reduce non-essential oil consumption.

        • gpdawson2016 says:

          “ Keeping people closer to home will reduce non-essential oil consumption”….this could be the title of a post! And I would like to think most would ‘get’ it but I’m not holding my breath. Don’t we here on this blog have a duty to define current events in terms of Energy? Matt Mushalik of CrudeOilPeak nailed it early in the game. And from what I see people like Nate Hagens, who could easily put the whole Covid thing in perspective is choosing to say nothing…I could be wrong on that, let me know if I missed something there.

          • You make a good point. “ Keeping people closer to home will reduce non-essential oil consumption”… is something that people should be able to understand. The energy issue is the important part.

            I think it easy to get too far off-track with COVID. I can’t solve the question of how to treat the disease. Even the vaccine issue varies from person to person.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Yes.. we are in the Goldilocks Phase… (it will be brief)…

          If we kept burning Like It Was 2019 … with shale peaked oil prices blast off … economy collapses.. and we get Global Bosnia on Steroids — with no food petrol electricity or medicine https://www.quora.com/What-would-the-world-be-like-if-society-collapsed

          If we run the porridge too cold… we get a Trade-Off scenario … and the piece of the machine fly off at high speed and we get Global Bosnia on Steroids https://www.quora.com/What-would-the-world-be-like-if-society-collapsed

          The Elders and Team CEP are playing a very high stakes game … there is global round the clock monitoring and much lever and button activity…

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Amazing how people cannot see what is happening …

          One person telling me that Americans will be back in France by summer … another selling assets in Canada because Canada is going communist (according the the Leak) but choosing to ignore the Big Picture and the fact that the leak says this is a global plan…

          Mass Delusion!

          I wonder what part of the Plan triggers loss of hope and utter despair? I suspect those that survive the vaccine cull… will be remain hopeful that the food delivery will arrive ‘any day now’ as they watch their families turn to skin and bone…

          https://allthatsinteresting.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/holodomor-starving-family.jpg

    • Robert Firth says:

      So much for the famous “Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms”.

      “Covenants, without the sword, are but words and of no strength to secure a man at all.”
      (Thomas Hobbes)

  34. hillcountry says:

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7961020/

    The serotonin reuptake inhibitor Fluoxetine inhibits SARS-CoV-2 in human lung tissue

    • Fluxetine is a popular antidepressant, sold under the brand names Prozac and Sarafem, among others.

      This is another article I found, dated April 7:

      https://www.news-medical.net/news/20210407/Antifungal-and-antidepressant-drugs-can-effectively-inhibit-COVID-19-virus.aspx

      Antifungal and antidepressant drugs can effectively inhibit COVID-19 virus

      New research published in the British Journal of Pharmacology indicates that two currently available medications–an antifungal drug and an antidepressant–can effectively inhibit the virus that causes COVID-19 in laboratory cells.

      Investigators found that the antifungal itraconazole and the antidepressant fluoxetine each blocked the production of infectious SARS-CoV-2 virus in cell culture lab tests. When either drug was used in combination with the antiviral drug remdesiver, the combination showed synergistic effects and inhibited the production of SARS-CoV-2 by more than 90%.

      This is in laboratory cells, not in people, but is definitely a step in the right direction.

      • hillcountry says:

        An ‘abductee’ in Texas was recently reportedly shown a Sumerian script during her experience. Translated, it points to the Ailanthus Tree as having the cure for Covid-19. There are 276 studies on “Ailanthus” at PubMed. Curiously, among the many other effects they’re researching, it is used against scabies, as is Ivermectin. Another similarity to Ivermectin is its inhibition of platelet aggregation. There’s quite a bit of anti-cancer work going on with it. One family of molecules found in the tree’s tissues is the Quassinoids. Here’s what Wiki has to say:

        Quassinoids are degraded triterpene lactones (similar to limonoids) of the Simaroubaceae plant family grouped into C-18, C-19, C-20, C-22 and C-25 types.[1] The prototypical member of the group, quassin, was first described in the 19th century from plants of the genus Quassia from which it gets its name.[2] It was isolated in 1937[3] and its structure elucidated in 1961.

        They are a biologically potent class of natural products, possessing antimalarial,[4] antifeedant,[5] insecticidal,[6] anti-inflammatory,[7] and anticancer[8] properties. The quassinoid bruceantin reached two separate phase II clinical trials in 1982[9] and 1983.[10]

  35. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Monday Monetary Meltdown – Velocity of Money Crosses a Dangerous Threshold.

    “Money is simply not being spent in our economy and that’s not the sign of a healthy economy. Of course, we’ve been heading this way for two decades now back from the 90s, where $1 earned would circulate through the economy and average of 2.2 times, generating 3.2 GDP Dollars. Now the velocity of money is getting close to 1…”

    https://www.thestreet.com/phildavis/stocks-options/monday-monetary-meltdown-velocity-of-money-crosses-a-dangerous-threshold

    • In theory, the well-off could spend more. They could travel more, and they could buy more fancy clothes. They could undergo more face lifts and tummy tucks. They could entertain more.

      But most of these doors have been largely shut off to them by COVID-19. The big one that is left is “improving a person’s own home” or “buying a new home.” This area has shown a big spurt in spending. This is part of the reason lumber prices are so high.

      Some of the others may partly come back with enough vaccinations. We will see.

  36. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Images showing desperate Turkish citizens scrambling to grab free handouts of potatoes have stoked an ongoing debate over chronic poverty in the country…

    “…members of Turkey’s main opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP) claim the situation has only served to further highlight growing concerns over mass poverty, social injustice, and soaring food prices.”

    https://www.arabnews.com/node/1845426/middle-east

  37. Erdles says:

    Those in the UK may have noticed a lack of wind over the last seven days. What you may not have noticed is that the UK windfarms have been producing little electricity, less than 0.75GW on average from 20GW installed capacity.

    The green lobby would have you believe that the shortfall (when the wind does not blow) could be made up by storage. So actually how much is this?

    Well the last seven day shortfall is 5000GWh, and would require the equivalent of 5Billion car batteries at a cost of $1Trillion (assuming you could find the lead/lithium).

    Of course this is only the current electricity demand and once all fossil fuels are replaced by renewables the shortfall would be 5 times this level.

    • Good point!

    • D. Stevens says:

      I have a 200w ‘installed capacity’ off-grid solar system and on a bright day I get 180w(about 70ah a day) and maybe 30w when it’s really overcast according to the MPPT charge controller. It’s great when the power is out but most of the time it’s a solution looking for a problem because it’s so much easier to use the grid when it’s available. With delivery charge it’s about 30cents for 1kw of power off the grid while the solar system can’t even make 1/10th of this amount on a typical day and cost me $1,000 ~ mostly for the lithium battery. My math is likely wrong but solar is way expensive anytime you try to add battery storage.

      • I’m on the fence about bothering to install solar. I can certainly envision a situation in which the few watts needed to charge a walkie-talkie or a cell phone might be worth $1000. Even having a single light bulb for a couple of hours at night for reading…

        Candles used to cost the earth, hence the old phrase, “the game’s not worth the candle”.

        • Xabier says:

          In the 18th century, the candles for one well-lit evening in a middle class house equalled the wages of a labourer – for one week of work.

          Hence the use of tallow lights made with fat and rushes, or little olive oil lamps unless you were well-off.

      • And, without battery storage, the solar system is not worth much, either to you or to the electric company. In fact, if a homeowner adds solar, it tends to lead to more problems with proper balancing of the grid system. All it saves the electric company is the cost of fuel it purchases, which is not much.

  38. Harry McGibbs says:

    “In a new report, the International Energy Agency estimates that carbon emissions from energy use are on track to spike by 1.5 billion tonnes in 2021, as heavy coal consumption in Asia, and in China in particular, outweighs rapid growth in renewable sources.

    “That would be the second largest annual increase in energy-related emissions in history.”

    https://edition.cnn.com/2021/04/20/business/iea-carbon-emissions-report/index.html

    • Erdles says:

      Over the last 20 years the increase in renewables has not even kept pace with the increase in fossil fuel demand.

      • Harry McGibbs says:

        Yes. The MSM will tend to ignore the structural dependency of the former on the latter, too.

    • The title of this report is ‘Dire warning’ for the planet: Coal is powering the economic recovery

      Energy-related emissions are expected to end the year just below where they stood in 2019, reversing 80% of the decline seen in 2020.

      A resurgence in the use of coal is of particular concern, with demand expected to approach its 2014 peak this year.

      China is expected to account for 50% of global demand growth for coal. Use in the United States and Europe is also rising but is expected to stay “well below pre-crisis levels.”

    • This is an hour-long interview with Dr. Michael Yeadon on the topic, “Can lockdowns ever work?” At one time, Dr. Yeadon worked for Pfizer.

      • Xabier says:

        Very well worth the time to watch.

        An heroic man, with great integrity; unlike, it would appear, so many in the field….

  39. Fast Eddy says:

    Night after night a recurring media theme over the past year has been harrowing images of over-stretched staff in their PPE rushing from bed to bed in overflowing ICU wards.

    This unrelenting barrage of distress has underpinned the entire ‘protect the NHS’ messaging campaign but is what we’ve been seeing — and still see, even now — a complete picture of what’s actually been going on? More and more health staff are now speaking out, putting their livelihoods in peril and jeopardising professional and other relationships in the process.

    Among them is Kirsty Miller, an experienced nurse who worked for NHS Tayside and quit at the end of March after raising in vain a growing catalogue of concerns with her managers, her union, government health bodies, and the Nursing and Midwifery Council.

    The emotional video she made sitting in a hospital car park after working her last shift went viral, and now Kirsty wants as many people as possible to start questioning what’s happening in the NHS and care sector.

    Kirsty joins me at 17:00​ GMT today, 24th April, when she’ll be sharing her story, touching on empty wards, elderly patients being pushed to sign DNRs, and how her whistleblowing at a Dundee care home early last year also fell on deaf ears.

    https://youtu.be/G5TkkAijKq0

    • There are technical difficulties in hearing the nurse. There is no point in listening to the first 6 minutes of the video. Even after that, the sound quality is not very good.

      • Tim Groves says:

        This is true. But YouTube provides captions that can help viewers work out the gist what she’s saying.

  40. Tim Groves says:

    The tall Danish lady is back! But look how red her skin is.

    Tanja Lund Erichsen

    About 16 hours ago, after a five-day hiatus:
    “Thank you all so much for the care and greetings – it feels good. It was a hard blow my head had to take, but thankfully I am in good recovery now. It has meant a lot to me with the great support I have received both here on Twitter as well as on other platforms. A HUGE thank you!”

    Half an hur ago:
    (1/5) I am often asked how many notifications are needed before we, as the pharmacovigilance authority, can act. The answer is that it depends on the individual case, but one report can be enough!

    (2/5) This was precisely the case when the Danish Medicines Agency received the report of the death of the 60-year-old woman in early March – the first case of VITT* in Denmark.
    (*Vaccine-induced Immune Thrombotic Thrombocytopenia)

    (3/5) With patient safety at the centre, the Danish Medicines Agency immediately started processing the case in close cooperation with the doctor who had reported a really thorough adverse reaction report.

    (4/5) The Company may, by resolution of the Board of Directors, exempt Directors (including former Directors) and Auditors (including former Auditors) from liability for damages under Article 426, Paragraph 1 of the Companies Act. The Company may, by resolution of the Board of Directors, exempt Directors (including former Directors) and Auditors (including former Auditors) from liability for damages under Article 426, Paragraph 1 of the Companies Act up to the amount obtained by deducting the minimum liability amount stipulated by laws and regulations from the amount of liability, if the requirements stipulated by laws and regulations are met.

    (5/5) The Danish Medicines Agency notified the Danish Health Authority on the basis of one Danish case, which became known through the reporting work of a Danish doctor, and the rest of the story is known – the vaccine from AstraZeneca is no longer active in the Danish vaccination programme against COVID-19 disease.

    Still no explanation of why she fainted, though. Perhaps in Denmark it is very bad form to talk about your personal health status on an official Twitter account?

    https://twitter.com/LMSTErichsen

  41. Fast Eddy says:

    I was on the phone with Mike and it occurred to me while were discussing this latest development that it is likely that we are creating not ONE Devil Covid but many.

    As Geert says — the Golden Rule is never release a leaky vaccine during a pandemic.

    We are releasing leaky vaccines globally — we are urging everyone to get these jabs.

    Soooooooooooo…. given the little monsters are mutating (more than once/day)…. could the Elders hit the Jack Pot multiple times?

    Could a deadly variant emerge in the UK… another in Israel … one in the US… another in India… they all spread around the world and even if you are vaxxed you have little or no protection from these Devils…. as we know the vaxxes do not stop you from getting even Plain Jane Covid…

    Are the Vaccine Junkies acting as vessels to brew a wide range of Devil Covids?

    This is the sort of stuff that is produced by a 1000+ IQ …

    https://blogs-images.forbes.com/meghanbiro/files/2015/08/bigstock-Destructive-Powerful-Tornado-77919446.jpg

    • Xabier says:

      The question must be, how could they then protect themselves against such lethal wild mutations? Hiding in bunkers? Far too dangerous, too uncontrolllable, surely? And this is all about control.

      More convincing as a strategy is that vaccination, as Bhakdi thinks, primes people to keel over at contact with even a mild coronavirus – that way, the elite and their key workers could be quite safe, having not been jabbed, or given placebos.

      We can be sure that this has all been modelled, the clots, sterilisation and all.

      This is why they push for 100%: to cover their traces. The vaccine will be to blame, but variants will be fingered as the culprits. ‘Variants’ that will kill young and old in the next round, just to scare us some more – as Uncle Bill smilingly promised us. But not everyone, just enough to sow chaos and despair.

      Maybe a large % of vaccines are placebos, to further limit the death toll?

      We shall see the real test of the hypothesis this coming winter.

  42. Trudeau minister says internet censorship bill will make Canadians ‘safer’

    Heritage Minister Steven Guilbeault will introduce the first-ever internet control bill to be tabled in Parliament within the “next couple of weeks,” he revealed during a videoconference.

    “My job is to ensure the safety and security of the Canadian population,” said the minister.
    Guilbeault revealed that the legislation being tabled is the first step in creating a “safer environment for all people online and not just for a handful,” regulating hurtful content beyond what is already covered by the Criminal Code, according to Blacklock’s Reporter.
    “With the legislation we will be tabling, it won’t matter whether or not the company is Canadian,” said Guilbeault. “It won’t matter where the company is registered or where their servers are located.”

    “Once a publication is flagged it will have to be taken down within 24 hours of having it being flagged,” he said. “There are not a lot of countries that are doing that right now.”
    “I think it’s going to be a really good remedy to a number of problems but it won’t solve everything,” said Guilbeault. “One of the issues I’ve learned, looking at different models, is you shouldn’t try to tackle everything from the get-go.”
    Guilbeault said that hate speech will “definitely” be a part of the legislation being tabled, as well as other “online harms.”

    Guilbeault also said that the bill will aid in maintaining the “social fabric of our society.”
    https://thepostmillennial.com/trudeau-minister-says-coming-internet-control-bill-will-create-safer-environment-for-canadians

    • Censorship seems to be an increasing “fashion” around the world.

      I think that part of the problem is that when there is lots of energy, different views can be tolerated. Ingenuity is desired. This energy can be used to make new devices. If there is enough cheap-to-produce energy, it can be used to raise the standard of living. The US has been able to tolerate a high level of diversity.

      When there isn’t much energy around, the situation is harder to control. If thought processes can be controlled (similar to alignment of molecules in a magnet), then it is easier to control the people. Without as much energy to do things, “control of the population” becomes the big issue.

  43. Bethel Park woman paralyzed 12 hours after getting first dose of Pfizer vaccine, doctors searching for answers

    BETHEL PARK, Pa. — There have been some negative side effects reported worldwide from the Pfizer, Moderna and Johnson & Johnson COVID-19 vaccines, but a Bethel Park woman told Channel 11 she has been affected by something that hadn’t been seen at all yet: paralysis.

    The 33-year-old woman, who asked to remain anonymous, said she felt fine in the hours after getting the first dose of the Pfizer vaccine last week. However, she said 12 hours later, she woke up in the middle of the night with no feeling in her arms or legs.

    “It was the scariest thing in the world to go to sleep completely fine (and walking), to wake up 1:30 in the morning and not be able to move at all,” the woman said. “I’m literally counting on my daughter to hand me my phone to call to get help.”

    Paramedics came and rushed her to Jefferson Hospital. In the coming days, she was moved to Allegheny General Hospital in the Northside and then the Cleveland Clinic — as doctors ran a multitude of tests to figure out how and why this happened. An MRI and spinal tap were clear, and her blood work all came came back negative, ruling out any rare diseases or disorders.

    “There is just nothing they can find wrong with me. No underlying conditions, I have nothing in my history and they are basically telling me, ‘You’re healthy and we can’t figure out why this is going on,’” the woman told Channel 11.
    https://www.wpxi.com/news/top-stories/bethel-park-woman-paralyzed-12-hours-after-getting-first-dose-pfizer-vaccine-doctors-searching-answers/ZSYTEX4H4FHKDFVSPGS3ILJZUI/

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Another martyr… and she’d do it all over again!

      I wonder who the people are volunteering for the mix and match experiment in Spain?

      Better still … how about the parents who volunteer little Johnny!!!

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