How the World’s Energy Problem Has Been Hidden

We live in a world where words are very carefully chosen. Companies hire public relations firms to give just the right “spin” to what they are saying. Politicians make statements which suggest that everything is going well. Newspapers would like their advertisers to be happy; they certainly won’t suggest that the automobile you purchase today may be of no use to you in five years.

I believe that what has happened in recent years is that the “truth” has become very dark. We live in a finite world; we are rapidly approaching limits of many kinds. For example, there is not enough fresh water for everyone, including agriculture and businesses. This inadequate water supply is now tipping over into inadequate food supply in quite a few places because irrigation requires fresh water. This problem is, in a sense, an energy problem, because adding more irrigation requires more energy supplies used for digging deeper wells or making desalination plants. We are reaching energy scarcity issues not too different from those of World War I, World War II and the Depression Era between the wars.

We now live in a strange world filled with half-truths, not too different from the world of the 1930s. US newspapers leave out the many stories that could be written about rising food insecurity around the world, and even in the US. We see more reports of conflicts among countries and increasing gaps between the rich and the poor, but no one explains that such changes are to be expected when energy consumption per capita starts falling too low.

The majority of people seem to believe that all of these problems can be fixed simply by increasingly taxing the rich and using the proceeds to help the poor. They also believe that the biggest problem we are facing is climate change. Very few are even aware of the food scarcity problems occurring in many parts of the world already.

Our political leaders started down the wrong path long ago, when they chose to rely on economists rather than physicists. The economists created the fiction that the economy could expand endlessly, even with falling energy supplies. The physicists understood that the economy requires energy for growth, but didn’t really understand the financial system, so they weren’t in a position to explain which parts of economic theory were incorrect. Even as the true story becomes increasingly clear, politicians stick to their belief that our only energy problem is the possibility of using too much fossil fuel, with the result of rising world temperatures and disrupted weather patterns. This can be interpreted as a relatively distant problem that can be corrected over a fairly long future period.

In this post, I will explain why it appears to me that, right now, we are dealing with an energy problem as severe as that which seems to have led to World War I, World War II, and the Great Depression. We really need a solution to our energy problems right now, not in the year 2050 or 2100. Scientists modeled the wrong problem: a fairly distant energy problem which would be associated with high energy prices. The real issue is a very close-at-hand energy shortage problem, associated with relatively low energy prices. It should not be surprising that the solutions scientists have found are mostly absurd, given the true nature of the problem we are facing.

[1] There is a great deal of confusion with respect to which energy problem we are dealing with. Are we dealing with a near-at-hand problem featuring inadequate prices for producers or a more distant problem featuring high prices for consumers? It makes a huge difference in finding a solution, if any.

Business leaders would like us to believe that the problem to be concerned with is a fairly distant one: climate change. In fact, this is the problem most scientists are working on. There is a common misbelief that fossil fuel prices will jump to high levels if they are in short supply. These high prices will allow the extraction of a huge amount of coal, oil and natural gas from the ground. The rising prices will also allow high-priced alternatives to become competitive. Thus, it makes sense to start down the long road of trying to substitute “renewables” for fossil fuels.

If business leaders had stopped to look at the history of coal depletion, they would have discovered that expecting high prices when energy limits are encountered is incorrect. The issue that really happens is a wage problem: too many workers discover that their wages are too low. Indirectly, these low-wage workers need to cut back on purchases of goods of many types, including coal to heat workers’ homes. This loss of purchasing power tends to hold coal prices down to a level that is too low for producers. We can see this situation if we look at the historical problems with coal depletion in the UK and in Germany.

Coal played an outsized role in the time leading up to, and including, World War II.

Figure 1. Figure by author describing peak coal timing.

History shows that as early coal mines became depleted, the number of hours of labor required to extract a given amount of coal tended to rise significantly. This happened because deeper mines were needed, or mines were needed in areas where there were only thin coal seams. The problem owners of mines experienced was that coal prices did not rise enough to cover their higher labor costs, related to depletion. The issue was really that prices fell too low for coal producers.

Owners of mines found that they needed to cut the wages of miners. This led to strikes and lower coal production. Indirectly, other coal-using industries, such as iron production and bread baking, were adversely affected, leading these industries to cut jobs and wages, as well. In a sense, the big issue was growing wage disparity, because many higher-wage workers and property owners were not affected.

Today, the issue we see is very similar, especially when we look at wages worldwide, because markets are now worldwide. Many workers around the world have very low wages, or no wages at all. As a result, the number of workers worldwide who can afford to purchase goods that require large amounts of oil and coal products for their manufacture and operation, such as vehicles, tends to fall. For example, peak sales of private passenger automobile, worldwide, occurred in 2017. With fewer auto sales (as well as fewer sales of other high-priced goods), it is difficult to keep oil and coal prices high enough for producers. This is very similar to the problems of the 1914 to 1945 era.

Everything that I can see indicates that we are now reaching a time that is parallel to the period between 1914 and 1945. Conflict is one of the major things that a person would expect because each country wants to protect its jobs. Each country also wants to add new jobs that pay well.

In a period parallel to the 1914 to 1945 period, we can also expect pandemics. This happens because the many poor people often cannot afford adequate diets, making them more susceptible to diseases that are easily transmitted. In the Spanish Flu epidemic of 1918-1919, more than 50 million people worldwide died. The equivalent number with today’s world population would be about 260 million. This hugely dwarfs the 3.2 million COVID-19 deaths around the world that we have experienced to date.

[2] If we look at growth in energy supply, relative to the growth in population, precisely the same type of “squeeze” is occurring now as was occurring in the 1914 to 1945 period. This squeeze particularly affects coal and oil supplies.

Figure 2. The sum of red and blue areas on the chart represent average annual world energy consumption growth by 10-year periods. Blue areas represent average annual population growth percentages during these 10-year periods. The red area is determined by subtraction. It represents the amount of energy consumption growth that is “left over” for growth in people’s standards of living. Chart by Gail Tverberg using energy data from Vaclav Smil’s estimates shown in Energy Transitions: History, Requirements and Prospects, together with BP Statistical Data for 1965 and subsequent years.

The chart above is somewhat complex. It looks at how quickly energy consumption has been growing historically, over ten-year periods (sum of red and blue areas). This amount is divided into two parts. The blue area shows how much of this growth in energy consumption was required to provide food, housing and transportation to the growing world population, based on the standards at that time. The red area shows how much growth in energy consumption was “left over” for growth in the standard of living, such as better roads, more vehicles, and nicer homes. Note that GDP growth is not shown in the chart. It likely corresponds fairly closely to total energy consumption growth.

Figure 3, below, shows energy consumption by type of fuel between 1820 and 2010. From this, it is clear that the world’s energy consumption was tiny back in 1820, when most of the world’s energy came from burned biomass. Even at that time, there was a huge problem with deforestation.

Figure 3. World Energy Consumption by Source, based on Vaclav Smil estimates from Energy Transitions: History, Requirements and Prospects and together with BP’s Statistical Review of World Energy data for 1965 and subsequent years. (Wind and solar are included with biofuels.)

Clearly, the addition of coal, starting shortly after 1820, allowed huge changes in the world economy. But by 1910, this growth in coal consumption was flattening out, leading quite possibly to the problems of the 1914-1945 era. The growth in oil consumption after World War II allowed the world economy to recover. Natural gas, hydroelectric and nuclear have been added in recent years, as well, but the amounts have been less significant than those of coal and oil.

We can see how coal and oil have dominated growth in energy supplies in other ways, as well. This is a chart of energy supplies, with a projection of expected energy supplies through 2021 based on estimates of the IEA’s Global Energy Review 2021.

Figure 4. World energy consumption by fuel. Data through 2019 based on information from BP’s Statistical Review of World Energy 2020. Amounts for 2020 and 2021 based on percentage change estimates from IEA’s Global Energy Review 2021.

Oil supplies became a problem in the 1970s. There was briefly a dip in the demand for oil supplies as the world switched from burning oil to the use of other fuels in applications where this could easily be done, such as producing electricity and heating homes. Also, private passenger automobiles became smaller and more fuel efficient. There has been a continued push for fuel efficiency since then. In 2020, oil consumption was greatly affected by the reduction in personal travel associated with the COVID-19 epidemic.

Figure 4, above, shows that world coal consumption has been close to flat since about 2012. This is also evident in Figure 5, below.

Figure 5. World coal production by part of the world, based on data of BP’s Statistical Review of World Energy, 2020.

Figure 5 shows that coal production for the United States and Europe has been declining for a very long time, since about 1988. Before China joined the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001, its coal production grew at a moderate pace. After joining the WTO in 2001, China’s coal production grew very rapidly for about 10 years. In about 2011, China’s coal production leveled off, leading to the leveling of world coal production.

Figure 6 shows that recently, growth in the sum of oil and coal consumption has been lagging total energy consumption.

Figure 6. Three-year average annual increase in oil and coal consumption versus three-year average increase in total energy consumption, based on a combination of BP data through 2019 from BP’s Statistical Review of World Energy, 2010 and IEA’s 2020 and 2021 percentage change forecasts, from its Global Energy Review 2021.

We can see from Figure 6 that the only recent time when oil and coal supplies grew faster than energy consumption in total was during a brief period between 2002 and 2007. More recently, oil and coal consumption has been increasingly lagging total energy consumption. For both coal and oil, the problem has been that low prices for producers cause producers to voluntarily drop out of coal or oil production. The reason for this is two-fold: (1) With less oil (or coal) production, perhaps prices might rise, making production more profitable, and (2) Unprofitable oil (or coal) production isn’t really satisfactory for producers.

When determining the required level of profitability for these fuels, there is a need to include the tax revenue that governments require in order to maintain adequate services. This is especially the case with oil exporters, but it is also true in general. Energy products, to be useful, produce an energy surplus that can be used to benefit the rest of the economy. The way that this energy surplus can be transferred to the rest of the economy is by paying relatively high taxes. These taxes allow changes that aid economic growth, such as improvements in roads and schools.

If energy prices are chronically too low (so that an energy product requires a subsidy, rather than paying taxes), this is a sign that the energy product is most likely an energy “sink.” Such a product acts in the direction of pulling the economy down through ever-lower productivity.

[3] Governments have chosen to focus on preventing climate change because, in theory, the changes that are needed to prevent climate change seem to be the same ones needed to cover the contingency of “running out.” The catch is that the indicated changes don’t really work in the scarcity situation we are already facing.

It turns out that the very fuels that we seem to be running out of (coal and oil) are the very ones most associated with high carbon dioxide emissions. Thus, focusing on climate change seems to please everyone. Those who were concerned that we could keep extracting fossil fuels for hundreds of years and, because of this, completely ruin the climate, would be happy. Those who were concerned about running out of fossil fuels would be happy, as well. This is precisely the kind of solution that politicians prefer.

The catch is that we used coal and oil first because, in a very real sense, they are the “best” fuels for our needs. All of the other fuels, even natural gas, are in many senses inferior. Natural gas has the problem that it is very expensive to transport and store. Also, methane, which makes up the majority of natural gas, is itself a gas that contributes to global warming. It tends to leak from pipelines and from ships attempting to transport it. Thus, it is doubtful that it is much better from a global warming perspective than coal or oil.

So-called renewable fuels tend to be very damaging to the environment in ways other than CO2 emissions. This point is made very well in the new book Bright Green Lies by Derrick Jensen, Lierre Keith and Max Wilbert. It makes the point that renewable fuels are not an attempt to save the environment. Instead, they are trying to save our current industrial civilization using approaches that tend to destroy the environment. Cutting down forests, even if new trees are planted in their place, is especially detrimental. Alice Friedemann, in her new book, Life after Fossil Fuels: A Reality Check on Alternative Fuels, points out the high cost of these alternatives and their dependence on fossil fuel energy.

We are right now in a huge scarcity situation which is starting to cause conflicts of many kinds. Even if there were a way of producing these types of alternative energy cheaply enough, they are coming far too late and in far too small quantities to make a difference. They also don’t match up with our current coal and oil uses, adding a layer of time and expense for conversion that needs to be included in any model.

[4] What we really have is a huge conflict problem due to inadequate energy supplies for today’s world population. The powers that be are trying to hide this problem by publishing only their preferred version of the truth.

The situation that we are really facing is one that often goes under the name of “collapse.” It is a problem that many civilizations have faced in the past when a given population has outgrown its resource base.

Needless to say, the issue of collapse is not a story any politician wants to tell its citizens. Instead, we are told over and over, “Everything is fine. Any energy problem will be handled by the solutions scientists are finding.” The catch is that scientists were not told the correct problem to solve. They were told about a distant problem. To make the problem easier to solve, high prices and subsidies seemed to be acceptable. The problem they were asked to solve is very different from our real energy problem today.

Many people think that taxing the rich and giving the proceeds to the poor can solve our problem, but this doesn’t really solve the problem for a couple of reasons. One of the issues is that our scarcity issue is really a worldwide problem. Higher taxation of the rich in a few rich countries does nothing for the many problems of poor people in countries such as Lebanon, Yemen, Venezuela and India. Furthermore, taking money from the rich doesn’t really fix scarcity problems. Rich people don’t really eat a vastly disproportionate amount of food or drink more water, for example.

A detail that most of us don’t think about is that the military of many different countries has been very much aware of the potential conflict situation that is now occurring. They are aware that a “hot war” would require huge use of fossil fuel energy, so they have been trying to find alternative approaches. One approach military groups have been working on is the use of bioweapons of various kinds. In fact, some groups might even contemplate starting a pandemic. Another approach that might be used is computer viruses to disrupt the systems of other countries.

Needless to say, the powers that be do not want the general population to hear about issues of these kinds. We find ourselves with narrower and narrower news reports that provide only the version of the truth that politicians and news media want us to read. Citizens who have developed the view, “All I need to do to find out the truth is read my home town newspaper,” are likely to encounter more and more surprises, as conflict situations escalate.

About Gail Tverberg

My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
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1,886 Responses to How the World’s Energy Problem Has Been Hidden

  1. Fast Eddy says:

    Let’s get this back up … for NormDunc(e) to comment on:

    • StarvingLion says:

      Thats nothing, watch this…

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      this is a quote from the video posted by Tin Foil Eddie. “The first step should be going back to the Moon for a number of technical reasons and exploration reasons. And then after that Mars…” so let’s thank Foil Eddie for acknowledging this man saying that we should be “going back to the moon”. Science!

      • StarvingLion says:

        • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

          hi Lion, your Mooondenier reeligion is phoooling lots of people lately. And it diminishes the value of this comment section.

          • NomadicBeer says:

            David, still talking past other people’s arguments?
            You said it’s not worth bothering to debate the moon landing “conspiracy” and yet you always do some drive by trolling.

            You could argument your position once – who knows, maybe you might convince someone like me.

            For example, the phibetaiota link above is filled with mistakes (like saying a car could not drive on the moon because there is no air). Another link goes to a youtube channel of a flat earther.

            On the other hand, I am still waiting for someone to tell me why NASA disagrees with all the debunkers and says that the Van Allen belts are dangerous to humans and we have not solved that problem yet. Doomphd ignored my question and jumped right to a canned response about the photos.

            • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

              radiation is dangerous to humans. Not solving that problem is no big deal, since many many persons were and are willing to risk some radiation exposure for the thrill of going to the moon. In a few years, the “next man” (non-white this time) and the first woman will go there. “The first step should be going back to the Moon for a number of technical reasons and exploration reasons. And then after that Mars…”

  2. Fast Eddy says:

    There does indeed seem to be a major problem in parts of the country. However, we need to differentiate between the effects of COVID-19 and the impacts of other factors. We must also be very wary of sensationalist media reporting which misrepresents the situation.

    For instance, in late April, the New York Post ran a story about the COVID ‘surge’ in India with the headline saying, “footage shows people dead in the streets”. Next to it was an image of a woman lying dead. But the image was actually of a woman lying on the floor from a May 2020 story about a gas leak in Andhra Pradesh.

  3. Canada’s troubled waters

    Not only is it a myth that Canada has an abundance of readily accessible water, say researchers, but we’re poorly managing what we do have.

    In 2018, Cape Town was steadily inching toward Day Zero. Three years of punishing drought had reduced the city’s rain-fed reservoirs to just 17 percent capacity. It seemed possible that the South African metropolis might become the first major city in the world to run out of water. Luckily, disaster was narrowly averted when rain arrived in the fall of 2018 and restored the water supply.

    But scientists warn that, as the planet continues to warm and extreme weather events become more common, scenarios similar to what transpired in Cape Town will surface in other parts of the world. Even Canada is not immune to this threat. In fact, some places in Canada have already had to cope with water shortages.

    In 2015, Regina and Moose Jaw, Saskatchewan, had to ration water supplies due to an inability to treat a toxic algae bloom in Buffalo Pound Lake, which supplies drinking water to both cities. In 2016, a summer drought led to water restrictions in southern Ontario and Nova Scotia, and in 2018 stringent water restrictions were imposed on many southern Alberta communities and farms due to reduced river flows. Even Vancouver, a city perched on the edge of a rainforest, has recently begun rationing summer water use due to a combination of rising consumer demand and a shrinking of the mountain snowpack that supplies the city’s reservoir.

    • Sunface says:

      Cape Towns water problem was a incompetence issue from the start.
      South Africa is a very dry country. We know that especially those that live here. The major dams or water storage are managed by the Government. They failed dismally to complete projects and increase storage capacity. Its exactly the same issue with Energy, when they should have started to increase capacity they didn’t. It’s a mentality issue that runs deep in their psyche.
      The ANC Government has not been able to manage anything except destroy the economy. The issue here is greed and power, not water.
      Cape Towns water shortage was exacerbated by massive population growth where the ruling party have flooded thousands into the area to obtain numbers with supporters in order to take over the area from the liberals.
      Even during the drought there was more wringing of hands instead of using the opportunity to remove silt. It has nothing to do with climate and everything to do with politics.

      • It also has to do with their lack of energy supplies. Their coal is becoming too expensive to extract to mine. The total amount mined has been flat since about 2010, even though population has been rising. The total amount used internally is actually down from a peak in 2009. If South Africa tries to extract more coal, the production cost makes electricity from such coal too expensive for the population to afford. Total per capita energy consumption has been falling since 2008. With such low per capita energy consumption, the country could not possibly “afford” to build the infrastructure that you say was needed.

        • says:

          Gail, I’m not sure I follow your cause and effect sequence. There has been growing demand since 2008, but lack of capacity to match demand due to lack of forward planning. The country has seen rolling blackouts since then – for more than a decade, with power cuts lasting 2 hours each for 3 to 5 business days for several months a year, year on year. Some days there have been 2 power cuts per day of 2 hours each = 4 hours with at least one during business hours. Energy consumption per capita has dropped, becuase people couldn’t consume energy even if they desperately wanted to.

          However, there have been in depth reports on the subject – this one from 2008:
          “Warnings Ignored:
          The government has known for 10 years that South Africa would run out of electricity around now. This information was even included in the government’s most formal policy statement on energy, the 1998
          White Paper on Energy Policy. The White Paper clearly stated that demand for electricity would very likely exceed supply in 2007 and it warned that the decision to build new power stations would need to be made by 1999 if a crisis was to be avoided. ‘The next decision on supply-side investments will probably have to be taken by the end of 1999 to ensure that the electricity needs of the next decade are met.
          Media reports suggest that over the following several years, NERSA, Eskom, and other industry players frequently warned government about the looming crisis, but that these warnings were also ignored.
          For instance, government officials were apparently told again that South Africa would run out of generation capacity at workshops in October 2000 and November 2001. In May 2001, Eskom reportedly
          tried to use the example of the California crisis to draw government’s attention to the problem, repeating its warnings in July 2002.6 It was only in 2004 that government permitted Eskom to start building new generation capacity, but by then it was too late to prevent the crisis. CDE 2008”

          [PDF download]

          • The government really doesn’t have the ability to do what the planning reports suggest. It doesn’t have enough resources of its own, and it doesn’t have the capacity to borrow the money to import all of the resources it needs. It needs energy supplies to build anything. It doesn’t have oil; its coal is becoming more and more expensive to extract, making any electricity from it too expensive for those who might want to buy it. The country makes some liquid fuel from coal, but this is decreasing in supply as well.

            If the country had a fairy godmother, it could do what is suggested. The US and several other countries are trying raising the amount of money supply. It is doubtful that this really works either. It may drop the relativity of the currency to the dollar.

            • says:

              Well, I guess we will have to (partially) agree to disagree on this. It’s not as if South Africa has been under sanctions AFTER 1994 in terms of oil imports.

              Our infratructre would not have been in such a dire crisis if sufficient forward planning and implementation had been done, as per the reports. However your points re dwindling quality of coal, cost of mining, exports prices, etc all valid of course.

        • says:

          PS: It’s true that lower quality coal has also played a role, but that’s not the whole story (as laid out in the report I quoted.)

          Since we are on the subject of resource management in the context of South Africa, to top it all, the food production in the country is in jeopardy. Balanced analysis in this documentary – see rolling credits at the end for land reform statistics:

      • says:

        Very good points and this report by on the failure to plan adequately for future water supplies puts things in perspective:

        Excerpt 1:
        “Projecting future water needs:
        After 1994 the new Government made a critical decision with far-reaching consequences. As earlier noted, the 1970 report of the Commission of Enquiry into Water Matters created a highly successful strategic framework for the management of South Africa’s limited water resources.
        This in turn paved the way for consistent economic growth, despite apartheid’s economic
        distortions and the financial sanctions implemented in the 1980s.
        However, the commission’s report also warned of ‘serious shortages…somewhere before the close of the century’ unless ‘essential steps were taken to plan the exploitation and augmentation of our water resources, to conserve and re-use our available supplies, and to manage and control our resources in the most efficient manner’.

        Instead of heeding this important message, the ruling African National Congress (ANC) seemed to regard the commission’s report – with all its hard-earned factual wisdom – as an apartheid instrument which should simply be jettisoned. The unintended consequence is that all the institutionalised knowledge and learning accumulated over three decades (from 1961 to 1994) have been lost. Worse still, the 1970 report has not been replaced by a viable alternative strategy – and this despite the requirement in the National Water Act for fresh strategic plans to be drawn up every five years.”

        Excerpt 2:
        “South Africa is a water-constrained country with a vital need to conserve, manage, and expand its limited water resources as efficiently as possible. Since 1994, however, strategic planning has deteriorated, along with operational efficiency. Under the supposed imperatives of ‘transformation’, skilled engineering and other professional staff have been driven out of water boards (responsible for bulk water supply) and municipalities (charged with local reticulation and often also with waste management).”–irr

    • Robert Firth says:

      “But scientists warn that, as the planet continues to warm and extreme weather events become more common, …” And as the number of people continues to increase well beyond what our finite world can support? Oh no: leave that elephant safely asleep.

    • says:

      Cape Town’s water crisis comes down to bad management and lack of forward planning – see for example this article:

      “Water specialists have been warning of a possible water crisis for some years, particularly the dangers of a failing water management system. This has been driven by the fact that the national department of water and sanitation has steadily lost technical skills. On top of this many engineering positions at national and municipal levels are vacant.”

      “It has met regularly since 2007, discussing the best way to reconcile water supply and demand requirement. But it failed to anticipate the water shortage or convince anyone that water supply needed to be augmented.”

      “This lack of preparedness raises questions about the adequacy of South Africa’s water planning systems under climate change conditions.”

      • How about, “With too much population” instead of “climate change conditions”?

        • Harry McGibbs says:

          Nelson Mandela Bay is now the drought hot-spot of South Africa:

          “The two major dams for the Eastern Cape’s biggest metro, Nelson Mandela Bay, are running dry and with no major rain forecast, the city is facing an unprecedented water crisis.”

          • Fast Eddy says:

            Humans are so stu pid.

            They actually think building dams is smart hahaha… all it does is allow them to breed more hahaha…. imbeciles

        • says:

          Population in a water-scarce country has to be managed very strategically. This is what the previous government did and one of the mechanisms used during/under apartheid was to limit the movement of people and keep them within their regions – this was called influx control. The east coas of the country down to the Wild Coast area is the most fertile with the best rainfalls and that’s where the majority of rural people were restricted to.

          One of the reasons why Cape Town is experiencing water shortages is due to a large number of people migrating from those parts of the country to the Western Cape and in particluar Cape Town (many of them settle in squatter camps) in search of work. Everything has consequences and so does a change of governments from having a highly technical approach to resource management with regards to popuation density etc vs there not being virtually no planning at all.

          Of course nobody wanted to look at the deeper reasons for many of the apartheid laws at the time.

        • says:

          Very good point about population growth. This was perhaps the biggest challenge of all faced by the previous government – see this diagram for a context/perspective:

          Infrastructure development for the entire population had to come from a limited tax-base, yet the tax base had the lowest birth-rates.

  4. Argentina’s shale industry rattled by social unrest in Patagonia

    Roadblocks to Argentina’s vast shale fields in Patagonia are set to enter their fourth week, as health workers on the frontline of the coronavirus pandemic demand higher wages to keep pace with one of the highest inflation rates in the world.

    Local hospital workers are preventing oil crews and equipment from getting to drill sites in the Neuquén Basin, home to the vast Vaca Muerta shale patch, just as winter sets in and Argentina’s demand for natural gas surges, which will force the cash-strapped government to import more fuel. The blockades are also disrupting transportation routes with Chile.

    Argentina’s government will mix supplies by pipeline from neighbouring Bolivia with imports at its two floating facilities for liquefied natural gas and purchases of other liquid fuels for power generation to make up for the shortfall as cheaply as possible, Energy Secretary arío Martínez said in a statement.

    Currently, natural gas production in Neuquén has fallen about 10 percent from usual levels, but the real impact will be felt in the coming weeks as drilling stoppages cause steeper drops in the line. Seventy rigs operating drilling rigs and hydraulic fracturing fleets are unable to work. That’s nearly all the crews in Neuquén, according to the Instituto Argentino del Petróleo y del Gas (Argentine Oil & Gas Production Chamber).

    The blockades are reducing Argentina’s capacity to supply natural gas this winter by 25 million cubic metres a day, the group said. Production in June, the start of winter, has averaged 133 million cubic metres a day in the last three years.

  5. Wonderful work as always. Thank you so much for continuing to refine your perspective and share it with all of us.

    The WWI/WWII analogy to today also holds in the idea of the Belle Epoque in Europe giving people an out dated idea of what war was when WWI began. Pre-industrial wars had relatively low death rates (more from disease than combat) and during the long peace the tools of industrial warfare had been quietly incubating out of sight. When the horror of industrial war erupted in WWI people were shocked.

    I think the pax Americana of the last 80 years has provided similar cover for new forms of technology suitable for confrontation between states. I also agree that the immense resources needed for full scale industrial warfare are running short, and there are no great prizes worth gambling on winning as was the case in the early 20th century. So the winning strategy seems to be to hobble your competitors for the remaining fossil fuels while maintaining plausible deniability so as to avoid repercussions. Sponsoring terrorists, cyber warfare, psychological/cultural warfare and biowarfare seem perfect for the challenge. My personal prediction is that drone warfare will be melded with chemical and biological payloads since the drones have limited capacity to carry kinetic weaponry, and biochemical weapons have always been limited by lacking an effective delivery mechanism.

    • Robert Firth says:

      The people, politicians, and generals could have acquired a very clear knowledge of what “modern” warfare would look like; they could have seen it in action between 1860 and 1865. But, like the Bourbons, they learned nothing and forgot nothing. Except for Lord Kitchener, more than any other leader the architect of Britain’s “victory”. A victory we then allowed Woodrow Wilson to throw away.

    • Minority Of One says:

      >> Pre-industrial wars had relatively low death rates (more from disease than combat)

      I seem to remember reading a couple of years ago that the 30 years war killed off a huge amount of the population. From Wikipedia:

      “The 1618 to 1648 Thirty Years’ War was fought primarily in modern Germany and Central Europe. Considered one of the most destructive conflicts in European history, combined estimates of military and civilian deaths range from 4.5 to 8 million, while it has been suggested that up to 60% of the population died in some areas of Germany.”

      “The modern consensus is the population of the Holy Roman Empire declined from 18–20 million in 1600 to 11–13 million in 1650, and did not regain pre-war levels until 1750”

      “Based on local records, military action accounted for less than 3% of civilian deaths; the major causes were starvation (12%), bubonic plague (64%), typhus (4%), and dysentery (5%).[131] Although regular outbreaks of disease were common for decades prior to 1618, the conflict greatly accelerated their spread. This was due to the influx of soldiers from foreign countries, the shifting locations of battle fronts, as well as the displacement of rural populations into already crowded cities.[132] Poor harvests throughout the 1630s and repeated plundering of the same areas led to widespread famine; contemporaries record people eating grass, or too weak to accept alms, while instances of cannibalism were common[133]”'_War#Human_and_financial_cost_of_the_war

      • My point wasn’t that pre-industrial wars don’t cause death, just that most of the deaths were caused by malnutrition/disease and not that many by combat, both among soldiers and civilians. Killing a single person directly is hard work, but becomes a lot easier when warfare is mechanised as occurred in WWI and WWII. That trend has continued with the development of drone and biochemical weapons and a few other surprises like blinding laser weapons that are waiting to be unleashed in future conflicts.

  6. Inflation Risk Intensifies With Supply Shortages Multiplying

    (Bloomberg) — Signs of inflation are picking up, with a mounting number of consumer-facing companies warning in recent days that supply shortages and logistical logjams may force them to raise prices.

    Tight inventories of materials as varied as semiconductors, steel, lumber and cotton are showing up in survey data, with manufacturers in Europe and the U.S. this week flagging record backlogs and higher input prices as they scramble to replenish stockpiles and keep up with accelerating consumer demand.

    As commodities become increasingly expensive, whether faster inflation proves transitory — or not — is the biggest question for policy makers and markets. Rising prices and the potential for a response from central banks topped the list of concerns for money managers surveyed by Bank of America Corp.

    Many economists and central bankers, from the Federal Reserve on down, maintain that price gains are temporary and will be curbed by forces such as virus worries and unemployment. Investors remain skeptical, with businesses including Nestle SA and Colgate-Palmolive Co. already announcing they’ll need to raise prices.

    U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, a former Fed chair, entered the debate on Tuesday when she ruffled markets with the observation that rates will likely rise as government spending ramps up.

    The Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index, which tracks 23 raw materials, has risen to its highest level in almost a decade. That has pushed a gauge of global manufacturing output prices to its highest point since 2009, and U.S. producer prices to levels not seen since 2008, according to data from JPMorgan Chase & Co. and IHS Markit. JPMorgan analysts also estimate non-food and energy import prices in the biggest economies rose almost 4% in the first quarter, the most in three years.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Amazing how accurate that Leak is… how could they have know about this?

      Then there is:

      Universal basic income is here—it just looks different from what you expected
      How the pandemic took the concept of universal basic income out of Silicon Valley’s hands—and turned it into something far more radical.

      Then there’s that leaked video of the astronauts using a grade 3 trick to try to make it seem as if they were filming the earth from moon orbit hahahahhahahahahaha…..

  7. Azure Kingfisher says:

    I think it’s entirely possible that previous human civilizations approached energy generation and usage much differently than we do today. We appear to have painted ourselves into a corner with the current fossil fuel paradigm but it’s likely there have been other “energy paradigms” throughout human history. I’m unwilling to accept the conclusion that “there is no alternative” to our current paradigm for a few reasons:

    1. Existing evidence for alternative energy generation from previous human civilizations.

    2. I don’t flatter myself to the extent that I think I know all there is to know about energy generation based on information gleaned from mainstream sources – this includes university-level education courses, peer-reviewed journal articles, news and television programs, etc.
    – As a civilian how much do I really know about the current level of technology that’s being employed by various militaries and governments around the world? Not much, really.
    – Just how far ahead of civilian technology are the various militaries and governments of the world? 10 years? 50 years? 100 years?
    – Civilians are the LAST population to enjoy the latest technology. What’s new for us is old (just how old, exactly?) for military and government.

    Having said that, I would speculate that there are a few reasons why the people in charge wouldn’t share advanced technology with the civilian populations of the world. One, to share advanced technology and knowledge openly would serve as a great leveler; they’d no longer have a competitive edge over us and may lose their authority over us. Two, depending on the energy technology, there may not be a way to monetize it. Three, they may not deem civilian populations ready for safe, responsible use of certain energy technologies. Four, perhaps at our current world population levels certain energy technologies would not be enough to support us anyway (this would be the shittiest reason for non-disclosure).

    The following multi-part series is long but worth the effort if one is interested in alternative perspectives on ancient architecture and technology. An excerpt:

    The Lost Key: Part 2

    “Taking into account the above conclusions, I began to look for new clues related to the application of lingams in practice. And once again, Praveen Mohan’s YouTube channel helped me with this task. Namely the video titled: ‘Is Lingam A Tesla Coil? Ancient Energy Device found in Tiruvannamalai Temple.’

    “In this video, Praveen talks about the main relic of the Arunachalesvara temple located in the city of Tiruvannamalai, Tamil Nadu, India. This relic is a lingam, and it is interesting to us because it has one very remarkable property. For some unknown reason, this lingam is constantly radiating heat. According to Praveen, the locals and priests call this type of lingam ‘Agni lingam’ (Agni = fire).

    “It turned out that the physical effect that can give us some clues is called ‘pyroelectricity.’ It can be described as the ability of certain crystals to generate a temporary voltage when their temperature is changing (for example: under heat, radiation, or even primitive rubbing). This effect should not be confused with the better known ‘piezoelectricity,’ the essence of which is that electricity in a crystal is generated as a result of mechanical action. The most obvious example of the use of piezoelectricity is a microphone – sound waves of a certain vibration frequency affect a crystal, which in its turn converts them into electrical energy (thus transforming your voice into an electrical signal).

    “But how does this relate to our lingam, given that it generated heat, instead of receiving it? This is explained by the fact that pyroelectricity, like piezoelectricity, has the opposite effect.

    “If a pyroelectric crystal is placed in an electromagnetic field, its polarization changes, which is accompanied by heating or cooling of the crystal. The temperature change in this case is directly proportional to the strength of the electromagnetic field.

    “A similar pattern is observed in the so-called ‘Light-Emitting Diode’ (LED) lamps, which contain a crystalline semiconductor.”

    Fractal architecture

    Fractal antennas


    Platonic solids



    Graphene superconductors

  8. davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

    figure 4 shows World Energy dropping in 2020 and rebounding in 2021, though the disclaimer says that these years are estimates. This is reasonable and expected for the decline of civilization to not be smooth. The plunge over the cliff has been delayed.

  9. Fast Eddy says:

    Hey Dimitry… on second thought I won’t write the book… feel free to borrow the CEP and you write the book…. you’ve already touched on it where you riffed off of CEP and stated Covid is a head fake related to the imminent collapse… why not go all the way?

    All… The … Way.

  10. God help us if Geert Vanden Bossche is right!

    Read his reply to: How do you explain that mass vaccination combined with stringent public health measures will not be effective in mitigating the course of the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic?

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      “It’s just a matter of weeks for a surge in Israel to occur due to resistance of the virus to vaccinal antibodies in vaccinees. I expect this surge to occur before summer.” This is his answer to #9 and its validity will be tested within about 5 or so weeks. This will give a better idea of how correct he is in describing this highly complex situation.

  11. Flexport: Trans-Pacific deteriorating, brace for shipping ‘tsunami’

    US importers face even more extreme delays ahead as container capacity maxes out

    The number of container ships stuck at anchor off Los Angeles and Long Beach is down to around 20 per day, from 30 a few months ago. Does this mean the capacity crunch in the trans-Pacific market is finally easing? Absolutely not, warned Nerijus Poskus, vice president of global ocean at freight forwarder Flexport. “It’s not getting better. It’s getting worse,” he told American Shipper in an interview on Monday.

    “What I’m seeing is unprecedented. We are seeing a tsunami of freight,” he reported.

    “For the month of May, everything on the trans-Pacific is basically sold out. We had one client who needed something loaded in May that was extremely urgent and who was ready to pay $15,000 per container. I couldn’t get it loaded — and we are a growing company that ships a lot of TEUs [twenty-foot equivalent units]. Price doesn’t always even matter anymore.”

    • A tsunami is probably a good analogy for the problems we are encountering with shipping. When one part of the system is distorted, for example by keeping people at home for several months, this leads to repercussions around the system. The people want to buy more later, but the system cannot accommodate the new requests.

    • Fast Eddy says:


      It’s all going to come crashing down.

      I wonder if the Elders and the CEP Team are getting worried… probably not yet… the Leak points to very bad things happening end of Q2 and into Q3…. they are just keeping busy making sure they jab as many CovIDIOTS as possible….

    • AshenLight says:

      FWIW, I currently work in this industry and it’s been busy for sure but I haven’t seen anything nearly so dramatic as I read about online. Our corporate overlords are making more money shipping empties than anyone has ever seen before and there’s a persistent imbalance [more than usual] between imports into and exports out of North America, but I would not take experiences like that forwarder’s as typical–price most assuredly still matters most of the time.

      • “…making more money shipping empties than anyone seen before…”
        I guess that’s why used ISO containers (USA near port) have increased price 2x in last 12 months.

  12. Drought is Leading to Instability and Water Weaponization in the Middle East and North Africa

    Water stress is a growing problem worldwide. Overuse, population growth, and climate change are contributing to desperate conditions and violent extremist organizations (VEOs) are turning scarce water into a weapon. Nowhere is this trend more visible than in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), a region of critical importance to U.S. national security interests. The MENA region has long been prone to both cyclical and discrete periods of droughts. There is mounting evidence suggesting that climate change, by driving significant winter precipitation decline, is increasing the frequency and severity of these events.

    Climate change impacts that affected Syria could be a harbinger for other countries in the region. The connection between climate change and Syrian instability was first raised by our colleagues Francesco Femia and Caitlin Werrell in 2012, and confirmed by climate scientist and Center for Climate and Security Senior Fellow, Colin P. Kelley, and his colleagues, who linked the consequential 2007-2010 drought to a long-term warming trend in the eastern Mediterranean (finding that the drought was made 2-3 times more likely due to climate change).. Drought conditions as well as poorly-designed and discriminatory water policies implemented by the Assad regime and the Alawite elite were also factors that contributed to societal instability at the onset of the Syrian civil war. The regional climate model ALADIN corroborates previous studies projecting that the MENA region will continue to be a global hotspot for drought into the late twenty-first century.

    Declining water security in MENA is expected to stem not only from climate change impacts but also from other factors such as pollution, population growth, government corruption, and unsustainable utilization of existing water sources. Over the next 20 to 30 years, threats to water security in the region will be further exacerbated by continuing transboundary disputes over access to water resources as described in a July 2020 memorandum by the U.S. National Intelligence Council on how water affects economic and political stability. Countries of particular concern include Iraq, Iran, Jordan, Libya, Syria, and Yemen.

    • The Israel-Palestine conflict is clearly related to lack of water as well.

      • James Speaks says:

        Israeli-Syrian conflict as well; Syria wanted to use the waters of the Jordan River upstream of the Sea of Galilee, Israel wanted it all and so they took the Golan Heights and labeled Syria a sponsor of terrorism.

        Israeli-Lebanese conflict as well; Israel wants the water of the Litani River and so Hez b’allah (literally Party off God) is labeled a terrorist organization – for defending their own country.

        Israel wants the ground water beneath the occupied west bank, and so Palestinians “are terrorists”? for trying to defend themselves.

        I think there is a recognizable pattern here.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Time for Tim to write Perfect Storm 2.0…. in this version oil and fresh water are insufficient to keep BAU on the track.

  13. Malcopian says:

    The things I had to do to keep myself amused while waiting for Gail’s new post.

    GELATO – Penguin’s Game.

  14. Pingback: How the World’s Energy Problem Has Been Hidden | Damn the Matrix

  15. Bei Dawei says:

    Article: about resource limits
    Comments: mostly about the vaccine

    As penance, I sentence you anti-vaxxers to listen to the following song (from one of your own):

    On the article itself, as usual, I broadly agree with it, but disagrree with a few minor points:

    Part 1: Pandemics happen “because the many poor people often cannot afford adequate diets, making them more susceptible to diseases that are easily transmitted.” The proximate cause of the Spanish Flu seems to have been the trenches of WW1. Modern diseases often have their origins in global population movements / globalization, and/or expansion of the human presence into formerly remote areas such as rainforest (where some diseases originate).

    Part 4: The issue is not simply that the global population is outstripping its resource base; the level of consumption makes a big difference. More people can live on the earth if we are all as poor as the average Egyptians, rather than as rich as the average American. Rich people may not eat much more than poor people, but they do consume more resources.

    Another “alternative approach” to war (i.e. that doesn’t require great expenditure of fossil fuels) is cyber-warfare, which has been growing in prominence lately.

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      It is really not my place to say, but I too would like to see more engagement with Gail’s themes rather than the endless c 19 stuff. There is about 30 posts on c 19 below. Is that really necessary? Michael? Others? Maybe give it rest for a bit?

      • There is a limit to how many posts we need to see about someone’s dreadful problems with a vaccine, for example.

        If there is something really new and useful, that is different.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          I think the energy story is pretty much nailed down tight with this post…. we have peaked…

          It is highly unlikely that any of the finance-related developments are going to be allowed to sink the ship … so reading about absurd debt levels in such and such a country … is dreary….

          All that remains to discuss is the response…. which is Covid + Vaccines >>>>> CEP.

          And extinction.

          Michael – please keep us updated regarding these developments.

          Fast Eddy will continue to beat it into people that the CEP is not only going down … but that it is a good thing.

          • Sam says:

            No you are incorrect. We don’t know if things are going to crash tomorrow or 10 or even 15 years from now. That is what most of us are coming here for… to see through the tea leaves of when it’s coming. I am tired of the Covid rants too!

            • Fast Eddy says:

              Tired? Great — more Covid rants it is!!!

              Michael… keep it coming. Anyone know what Bossche is up to? What about Yeadon?

          • Peak Oil Pete says:

            “Fast Eddy will continue to beat it into people that the CEP is not only going down … but that it is a good thing.”

            Then please go away and start your own BLOG

            • NomadicBeer says:

              Hear, hear!
              While I enjoy FE’s rants and he provides some good links, he is unable or unwilling to engage with anyone disagreeing with him.

              I would read his blog if he creates it but I wouldn’t comment.

              On the other hand, Gail is open to all questions so thank you Gail, and keep it up!

            • Fast Eddy says:

              Not so… I love a good debate… the problem is that generally nobody wants to do that… all they do is disagree without any basis for the disagreement.

              Or if they try to back up their position — I generally refute them with Logic and Facts… to which they have no response — so they end up getting angry and bitter and depressed… and they say I refuse to listen.

              I will change my mind — but only if the facts dictate that I change. Most people here … refuse to accept facts.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              Oh… isn’t this the Fast Eddy Show?

              Come on Pete… if you do a search of OFW when you wake up … and see 25 posts from FE… does that not get you a little… excited?

    • I suppose I could have talked about cyber-warfare as well. This would be a broader term than simply the problem of computer viruses.

    • Jason says:

      I think you ought to read her article a few more times to understand it better.

  16. Fast Eddy says:

    Conventional peaked in 2005…. and within 2 years we had $147 oil and the GFC….

    Shale hit the markets soon after — mitigating the peak on conventional….

    Since 2005 conventional reserves have continued to deplete with very minimal new plays coming online (estimate depletion by say 80M barrels per day?) …

    2018 = 2005…. conventional long past peak — shale hitting the wall… + stimulus roaring for 10 years… starting to push on a string…

    GFC 2.0 approaching… stimulus failing… no Black Knight riding to the rescue this time….

    What to do … what to do…..

    Fight scratch claw to keep BAU alive…. squeeze out another year or so…. hold… hold… hold…

    Late 2019…. whites of the beasts eyes now visible…. hold…. hold…. stimulus approaches full pushing on string … gun barrels melting down… Beast keeps coming…. relentless…

    F789!!!! He’s coming over the wall!!!!

    Pull the trigger on the CEP.

    Put the Machine into idle…. reduce Burn Rate…. Beast retreats from the wall…. he rests… and gathers strength… for the final assault….

    Meanwhile… inside the Castle…. preparations continue… to deny the Beast his feast…. when he goes over the wall… he’ll find nothing but diseased and starved carcasses…. dead and rotting….

    And he will rant and bellow and roar…. in anger… and profound disappointment.

  17. ABC shows full support of dictatorship!
    “We need to shun those that refuse to get vaccinated”

    • Fast Eddy says:

      In the replies hahaha

      You want everyone vaccinated?

      Don’t lecture them with science.
      Don’t tell them there’s “nothing to worry about”

      Offer every vaccinated household a FREE 55″ 4K TV.

      $500 per household.

      Get vax = get free TV.

      You’ll save lives & hundreds of billions of dollars in stimulus

      Great news on expanding the US vaccination front by



      Likely will add >5 million more young people to get vaccinated

      Face The Nation
      · May 3
      Former FDA commissioner Dr. Scott Gottlieb is “hopeful” that the FDA will approve a vaccine for children between the ages of 12-15 soon. He predicts that over 5 million children could receive the vaccine once it’s approved.

      Robby Soave
      My public awareness campaign to persuade the vaccine hesitant goes something like this: “Sicko globalists elites want to hoard all the vaccines for themselves, or give them to illegal foreigners. Send a message to the swamp. Get vaccinated.”

  18. Pfizer says it will seek clearance in September for its vaccine to be used in children aged 2 to 11.

    Pfizer expects to apply to the Food and Drug Administration in September for emergency authorization to administer its coronavirus vaccine to children between the ages of 2 and 11, the company told Wall Street analysts and reporters on Tuesday during its quarterly earnings call.

    The company said it also plans to apply this month for full approval of the vaccine for use in people from ages 16 to 85. And it said it expected to have clinical trial data on the safety of its vaccine in pregnant women by early August.

    By early next week, the F.D.A. is expected to issue an emergency use authorization allowing the vaccine to be used in children 12 to 15 years old, a major step ahead in the U.S. fight against Covid.

    The Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine is being given to adults under an emergency use authorization that the companies received in December. Obtaining full F.D.A. approval would, among other things, allow the companies to market the vaccine directly to consumers. The approval process is expected to take months.

    “Full approval is a welcome indicator of the continued safety and efficacy of the Pfizer vaccine,” Saskia Popescu, an infectious disease epidemiologist at George Mason University, said in an email.

    • jj says:

      So that means that children between 12 and 15 and all children in the fall will be required to be vaxed because the government decides what is in the childs best interest in regards to vaccination. Beyond the pale. This wont be the occasional parent apposing vaccination but a much larger proportion of parents. Home schooling will explode.

      • NomadicBeer says:

        jj, I wish you are right but I won’t hold my breath.

        Here is another possibility – everybody grumbles online but 99% of the parents will vaccinate their kids so they can get rid of them and return to work.
        It’s similar to people complaining about their parents dying alone in old folks homes. Traditionally, old folks live with their families, helping educate the grandchildren.

        What do you expect when you place your parents or children in the care of the state or a private company? The abuses in old folks homes and public schools have been long known (at least in US).

        Note: I am already planning to homeschool starting this fall. I didn’t do it last year because my kids really wanted to meet their friends (even online or a day a week). But this year I know they won’t let us back without the Mengele gene injection.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        I can’t wait to see what will happen when they introduce the no jab no school law.

        I wonder if we we will make it to September without D Covid emerging…. so this will all be moot… the PR Team is only reaching for the remaining low hanging Fruit — CovIDIOTS with young children who will eagerly have their Runts CovIDIOTS injected with the lethal jab.

        Plenty of room in the Death Boats… no need to hurry there are enough Death Preservers for everyone… pile in folks….

  19. ursel doran says:

    Have been following your SUPERB work for years, and MUCH THANKS!!
    Couple of issues that are worth mention.
    1. The bountiful years of shale production were primarily financed by expensive debt which has yet to be reconciled, and I do not know how much is or is not available, but at these low prices, would speculate not much or any at all. Wall street is very fickle, and ignored the killer decline curves for years with the high prices.
    2. How much of the Saudi production is now on water flood? Probably not possible to know.
    Also how about the shift of better gravity to lesser gravity product.
    What is their EROI on the massive water flood operations? Not very attractive I Imagine. Big CAPEX and OPEX for the large efforts is a given. More importantly the decline curve is flat, UNTIL the water hits the perforations and production ceases. I owned a water flood with the monster down hole pumps. Electricity bill decades ago was huge.

    Understand the Rio Grande river is dry, and the Colorado river is weak. Both are dependent on the snow fall in Colorado. Have a look at the Elephant Butte lake reservoir at T or C New Mexico to see how much water will get down the Rio Grande past El Paso Texas.

  20. Moderna Aims to Produce an Estimated 3 Billion COVID-19 Vaccine Doses Next Year

    Moderna said it plans to produce up to 3 billion doses of its messenger RNA-based COVID-19 vaccine globally in 2022, including booster shots against viral variants and pediatric vaccines.

    The company said it aims to double drug substance manufacturing at the Lonza facility in Visp, Switzerland, and more than double substance manufacturing, formulation and fill-and-finish activities at the Rovi facility in Madrid, Spain.

    It also plans to increase drug substance manufacturing across its U.S. facilities by 50 percent. The company previously announced manufacturing pacts with Catalent and Sanofi to bolster U.S. vaccine production.

  21. As virus rages globally, US to vaccinate low-risk teens

    President Joe Biden wants 70 percent of American adults to have received at least one shot of a Covid-19 vaccine by the July 4 holiday, and has made vaccinating adolescents a key part of the next phase of the country’s immunization campaign.

    But targeting US teens is a controversial move among many experts, who argue it is a serious mistake to use the world’s limited supply of doses on a low-risk population while the pandemic surges in countries like India and Brazil.

    Pfizer and its partner BioNTech said in March their two-dose regimen was shown to be safe and highly effective in a trial of 2,260 12-to-15-year-olds.

    An emergency use authorization is expected in the coming days, and Biden told White House reporters Tuesday that “if that announcement comes, we are ready to move immediately.”

    The president’s address comes as the nation’s immunization campaign is stalling after hitting a peak in early April.

    More than 56 percent of adults have received one or more shots, but as the rate of uptake falls, officials are devising new ways to reach vaccine hold-outs.

    These will include discounts to shoppers who get vaccinated at grocery stores, promotions for fans at sports stadiums, and more vaccines at rural health clinics, said Biden.

    The federal government is also working on a program with pharmacies and pediatricians nationwide to reach the country’s estimated 17 million 12-to-15-year-olds ahead of school reopening in fall.

    – ‘Terrible error’ –

    Many experts have, however, voiced concern whether now is the right moment to reach this group as the global situation deteriorates.

    The issue of vaccine disparity has been brought into sharp focus by India, which reported 350,000 new cases Tuesday and recorded nearly 3,500 deaths — more than anywhere in the world.

    “The overwhelming majority of 15-year-olds, we know are not at high risk of severe complications from COVID,” ER doctor Craig Spencer, director of Global Health in Emergency Medicine at Columbia University, told AFP.

    “It is absolutely raging around the world and we’re talking about how we’re going to vaccinate an incredibly low-risk population, when the overwhelming majority of health care workers around the world have zero protection,” he said.

  22. 35-Year-Old Woman Dies of Brain Hemorrhage 11 Days After Receiving J&J Vaccine

    The family of Anne VanGeest says the 35-year-old was healthy prior to being vaccinated, and that she died of complications from the Johnson & Johnson vaccine.

    The family of a Michigan woman says she died as the result of complications 11 days after receiving the Johnson & Johnson (J&J) COVID vaccine.

    Anne VanGeest, 35, died April 19 at Mercy Health Saint Mary’s hospital in Grand Rapids from an acute subarachnoid brain hemorrhage, FOX 17 reported.

    “It is with profound sadness that we share the news of Anne’s passing Anne (Annie), who was 35, was a loving mother, wife, sister and daughter,” the family said in a statement provided by Lambert, a Grand Rapids public relations firm that is providing its services to the family pro bono.

    VanGeest received the J&J shot on April 8, five days before the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) paused the vaccine to investigate reports of potentially dangerous blood clots in women who received the shot.

    VanGeest’s family said her headache started on April 16 — eight days after being vaccinated. She died three days later. Her death certificate notes a natural death, specifically from an acute subarachnoid hemorrhage, or bleeding between the brain and tissue around the brain.

  23. Fast Eddy says:

    ‘The catch is that scientists were not told the correct problem to solve’

    They’ve tried….. desperately — e.g. nuclear… solar… tidal… wind… etc…. but there simply is no viable alternative to fossil fuels.

    They’ve understood TINA for many decades… and they’ve been mulling over what to do when they run out of road….

    Another team of scientists was tasked with developing a solution that would reduce suffering as much as possible when oil peaked…

    We know it as the CEP…. I am not sure what the Elders call it.

    Is it not glaringly obvious what is happening right this very second?

    Children and pregnant women are being ‘vaccinated’ with a ‘experimental’ vaccine that will not stop them from contracting covid…. The vast majority of people who have been ‘vaccinated’ have ZERO use for a vaccine… there is ZERO upside … and massive downside (assuming this was actually a vaccine).

    There is no ‘Great Reset’ … there is no ‘Build Back Better’ …. there is no ‘Partial Cull’…. none of those theories are viable… there is no energy available to act on any of them… and a partial cull sets off a Korowicz Outcome.

    We are being put down.

    And that is a damn good thing …. and it’s why every leader on the planet has bought into the CEP.

    It makes no sense for them to do nothing — and let 8B people tear each other to pieces and roast each other over fires fuelled by plastic shopping bags and tyres.

    The logic here is irrefutable…

    Oh btw — speaking of Logic….

    Fast Eddy had a run in with a barrister who foisted a $6000 bill on him last week… Fast Eddy felt this was unjustified… and dismantled the barrister piece by piece by piece… beating him into submission with Logic …. Fast Eddy was only looking to meet half way but by the end of the Debate …. the barrister was grovelling and begging for mercy from the God of Logic … and he said he’d never encountered a situation like this in 30 years of practice…

    And he reduced the bill to ZERO.

    These circus animals think they are so clever…..

  24. New Zealand fires nine border workers who refused Covid vaccine

    PM Jacinda Ardern had previously said workers who declined to be vaccinated would be moved to other roles

    New Zealand’s customs agency has fired nine border workers who refused to get the Covid-19 vaccine. The country has required all frontline border workers to be vaccinated by the end of April.

    In February, the prime minister, Jacinda Ardern, said the government would not be making the vaccine compulsory for frontline staff, and that those who declined the vaccine would be moved into backroom roles.

    But no other work could be found to redeploy the nine workers who were in fixed term employment at the maritime border, Jacinda Funnell, Customs’ deputy chief executive for people and capability, said.

    “We regret that these individuals have had to leave employment, and understand what a difficult situation this is for them,” Funnell said in a statement.

    She said about 95% of Customs’ frontline staff who were required to be vaccinated had received their first dose, and 85% had received the second dose of the vaccine.

  25. Four reasons insects could be a staple in Aussie diets, from zesty tree ants to peanut-buttery bogong moths

    With the global population predicted to reach 9.7 billion by 2050, one of the biggest challenges in our lifetimes will be securing enough food for everyone.

    We have only finite land and water resources, and climate change, environmentally harmful practises and emerging diseases threaten supply chains.

    One way to deal with this is to turn to our insect friends. But don’t baulk — more than two billion people from 130 countries already eat insects. Many Australians already do, too, in the form of natural red food colouring made from the cochineal bug, or the 5% of peanut butter that’s legally allowed to contain insect fragments.

    • Hubbs says:

      Don’t look now, but even insect species and biomass are decreasing. I don’t even have to clean my windshield any more. I haven’t seen a honeybee in ages. Only bumble bees.

      And if a hot world war ever erupted, the civilian population would be quickly decimated by the disruption it would cause in our complex, JIT, vulnerable economies. Country by country would ignite into internal strife to due shortages. I suspect starvation, traditional water born diseases would rip through society more quickly than even nuclear fallout.

  26. Minority Of One says:

    Excellent speech from an American human rights attorney. She mentions Hitler, Josef Mengele and the Nazis several times. And makes the point at least twice, that damned few animals survived every previous mRNA trial. All to a huge audience. From mid-April.

    Leigh Dundas speech – (Health and Freedom 2021)

    • FoolishFitz says:

      She makes some good points, but the bit about Hitler and the starting points of how the German people were led to the levels of irrational fear(health), then hatred(the unclean/subhuman) that we now understand is quite impressive in its simplicity.
      An easy four points for anyone to repeat when pointing out where we are so obviously heading(from 11:40 if anyone is interested).

      • foamroller says:

        ok, but towards the end where she tries to make our actions in vietnam sound heroic took undermined her impact

        • Minority Of One says:

          Yes, that was odd, very odd. I did not notice that the first time I watched / listened.

  27. Yellen: Cryptocurrency regulation ‘well-worth addressing’

    United States Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen conceded on Tuesday that the US doesn’t have an “adequate” regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies and that this is a topic “well-worth” addressing.

    “We don’t really have an adequate framework to deal with the different issues that they pose from a regulatory perspective,” Yellen stated during an event organized by The Wall Street Journal.

    Last week, the CEO of Ripple Labs, the company behind the Ripple payment protocol and exchange network, Brad Garlinghouse said that the US has failed to provide regulatory clarity on cryptocurrencies found in some Asian countries.'well-worth-addressing'/55380436

    • I am sure that financial leaders are fearful that something dreadful will happen to the financial system, and the only alternative will be cryptocurrencies. Hence, the need for a framework.

  28. Risk of rapid evolutionary escape from biomedical interventions targeting SARS-CoV-2 spike protein

    The spike protein receptor-binding domain (RBD) of SARS-CoV-2 is the molecular target for many vaccines and antibody-based prophylactics aimed at bringing COVID-19 under control. Such a narrow molecular focus raises the specter of viral immune evasion as a potential failure mode for these biomedical interventions. With the emergence of new strains of SARS-CoV-2 with altered transmissibility and immune evasion potential, a critical question is this: how easily can the virus escape neutralizing antibodies (nAbs) targeting the spike RBD? To answer this question, we combined an analysis of the RBD structure-function with an evolutionary modeling framework. Our structure-function analysis revealed that epitopes for RBD-targeting nAbs overlap one another substantially and can be evaded by escape mutants with ACE2 affinities comparable to the wild type, that are observed in sequence surveillance data and infect cells in vitro. This suggests that the fitness cost of nAb-evading mutations is low. We then used evolutionary modeling to predict the frequency of immune escape before and after the widespread presence of nAbs due to vaccines, passive immunization or natural immunity. Our modeling suggests that SARS-CoV-2 mutants with one or two mildly deleterious mutations are expected to exist in high numbers due to neutral genetic variation, and consequently resistance to vaccines or other prophylactics that rely on one or two antibodies for protection can develop quickly -and repeatedly- under positive selection. Predicted resistance timelines are comparable to those of the decay kinetics of nAbs raised against vaccinal or natural antigens, raising a second potential mechanism for loss of immunity in the population. Strategies for viral elimination should therefore be diversified across molecular targets and therapeutic modalities.

    • ” Strategies for viral elimination should therefore be diversified across molecular targets and therapeutic modalities.”

      This would suggest that the current narrow approach won’t work very well for long.

  29. Mirror on the wall says:

    Thank you for this article Gail.

    It gels with some of my other present study. I am reading through Nietzsche’s TWTP and he seems to suggest a ‘dissipative epiphenomenalism’, which I will go into later in the discussion.

    Briefly, if:

    i) societies are dissipative structures that increase in complexity in order to concentrate and increase the dissipation of energy

    ii) all dissipative structures eventually devolve or burn out

    iii) humans (themselves dissipative structures) are nestled as parts of wider dissipative structures (societies, economies)

    iv) humans are influenced by physical and energetic forces of which they are not generally aware, those that compel the formation and advance of dissipative structures, and

    v) human consciousness provides only a ‘reflection’ of that process of structural formation and function, such as ‘orientate’ humans to their unconsciously influenced performance within the dissipative structure

    : then the title of this article may be expected.

    Humans are generally aware only of what orientates them to the continuation of the dissipative structure as it advances, culminates and prepares to devolve and burn out. It is not useful to the dissipative system that humans should foresee the culmination too clearly, and the ‘human’ aspect of that, which is impending ruination and population collapse.

    In general the conscious narrative appears as one of ‘sustainability’ for the foreseeable, and as problems that have ‘solutions’. The ‘reality’ of the situation is hidden from consciousness, which rather proposes illusions that allow humans (and their governments) to continue to function within the dissipative system as it continues in its process.

    Human consciousness is not so much about ‘comprehension’ of a situation as ‘orienting narrative production’. All dissipative systems culminate and burn out, but that is not something that humans, as parts of a dissipative system, generally ‘need’ to see in order to be that system in the present stage of its process. ‘Comprehension’ can be ‘useful’ later, as humans orient to devolution.

    Curiously, some of that ‘epiphenomenal’ energetic interpretation seems to have occurred also to Nietzsche, as I will get into later (still reading).

    No doubt the same story of ‘hidden truth’ can be ‘explained’ in other ways, as driven by psychology, marketing, politics – but that leaves the question of the ‘explanation’ of ‘why’ those fields would all function in that way – the wider, deeper ‘explanation’ of ‘what is going on’ and its truly ‘general’ characteristics.

    Of course, it is only a theory – humans are energetics in action, they just do not realise it most of the time.

    • Interesting thoughts that you outline. I would agree with them. People seem to have a real need to overlook the existence of predicaments that they cannot solve. In a way, that is good. We cannot spend all our lives worrying about things that we cannot change. We all know that eventually we will die, but that is not a suitable subject to worry about our whole life. There is joy in many everyday aspects of life, no matter how short a time that future life may last.

    • Kowalainen says:

      “Humans are generally aware only of what orientates them to the continuation of the dissipative structure as it advances, culminates and prepares to devolve and burn out.”

      It certainly seems that way. However, not all is what it seems.

      It is not useful to the dissipative system that humans should foresee the culmination too clearly, and the ‘human’ aspect of that, which is impending ruination and population collapse.

      Well, that is correct. People that realize the predicament seem to feel nauseous about reproducing in the folly.

      Well, let them burn out. Let the myopia of the ordinary conclude for a stronger species to emerge. Mindless process, evolution, is what it is.

  30. SARS-CoV-2 spike protein induces brain pericyte immunoreactivity in absence of productive viral infection

    Brain pericytes were recently shown to express ACE2 at the neurovascular interface, outlining their possible implication in microvasculature injury in COVID-19. Yet, pericyte responses to SARS-CoV-2 is still to be fully elucidated. Using cell-based assays, we report that ACE2 expression in human brain vascular pericytes is highly dynamic and is increased upon S protein stimulation. Pericytes exposed to S protein underwent profound phenotypic changes translated by increased expression of contractile and myofibrogenic proteins, namely α-smooth muscle actin (α-SMA), fibronectin, collagen I, and neurogenic locus notch homolog protein-3 (NOTCH3). These changes were associated to an altered intracellular calcium (Ca2+) dynamic. Furthermore, S protein induced lipid peroxidation, oxidative and nitrosative stress in pericytes as well as triggered an immune reaction translated by activation of nuclear factor-kappa-B (NF-κB) signalling pathway, which was potentiated by hypoxia, a condition associated to vascular comorbidities, which exacerbate COVID-19 pathogenesis. S protein exposure combined to hypoxia enhanced the production of pro-inflammatory cytokines involved in immune cell activation and trafficking, namely interleukin-8 (IL-8), IL-18, macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF), and stromal cell-derived factor-1 (SDF-1). Finally, we found that S protein could reach the mouse brain via the intranasal route and that reactive ACE2-expressing pericytes are recruited to the damaged tissue undergoing fibrotic scarring in a mouse model of cerebral multifocal micro-occlusions, a main reported vascular-mediated neurological condition associated to COVID-19.

    • In lay terms, what does this say?

      • Tim Groves says:

        It seems that the presence of the spike protein alone, even if not attached to a viral particle, can cause serious injury to the the smallest blood vessels, such as the capillaries, arterioles, and venules.

        And what doe Pfizer’s and Moderna’s mRNA injectables do? They are designed to turn some of the recipient’s own cells into factories for producing this spike protein.

        This is a probable cause of the sudden and often serious bleeding reported in many subjects injected with mRNA.

    • Tim M. says:

      Might I ask, what has become of the annual flu virus since C-19 made it’s debut? Was it vanquished to hell?
      I don’t judge anyone for their stand on the C-19 vaccine, but something isn’t right with this picture.

      • NomadicBeer says:

        Tim M., good question!

        The answer is that our wonderful healthcare system vanquished the flu.
        It also magically reduced some cancers in half. I have read separate news story but there must be a site that aggregates all these miracles.

        If anyone have a list please share. It would brighten my day and I would share it widely!

        • thorne049 says:

          The reason isn’t that difficult to figure out. The R0 of influenza is about 1.3 without any mitigation measures. The R0 for the original Covid-19 strain was anywhere from 3.5-6.0 (Los Alamos Lab came out with a pretty high number. All the NPI measures society used to drive down the rate of infection for Covid-19 drove the Influenze R0 way below 1. An R0 below 1 means that every infected person passes the disease on to less than 1 person. . . . and spread doesn’t happen. As an aside, the strict measures in the U.K. drove the R0 of older strains of Covid-19 under 1, and cases dropped. Then last fall the UK Variant came on the scene, which was about 50% more transmissible. The same strict measures resulted in an R0 of about 1.3 for the variant, and cases rose.

          • NomadicBeer says:

            Thorne049, that’s a lot of numbers! Does that work? Do people just accept your argument if you throw some made up numbers around?

            Now can you tell us why did the breast cancer cases dropped in half last year?

            • Anthony says:

              It appears virology is not one of your strengths. The numbers are easily verified with a few minutes of research on your part. Whether you do the research or not is of no matter to me.

            • jj says:

              yup. another jive talking numbers dropper. By the way. I was top of my class in virology b4 i decided it was a religion not a science. People wrote down every word i uttered in my study group. Which just goes to show how education has become a process of identifying a knowledge base and parroting not a true exploration. I was possibly the only person who understood te material well enough to realize its vaporous paradigm. Ask a a question about the numbers and have your intelligence questioned… People on solid ground with their numbers dont mind a question. They love it. Only people promoting dogma insult those who question.

              It could be however that the lockdowns prevented flu transmission. It could be. Citing RO numbers like blackjack odds is a definite faith exercise. THe RO number was prime fear porn a year ago. your SO 2020.

              It also could be that a large number of flu cases morphed into bat flu when recorded.

      • Kowalainen says:

        I haven’t had a cold or flu since I had the covid, or at least the symptoms of it.

        It is good when people stay the FSCK at home when the feel a bit under the weather.

        • NomadicBeer says:

          Did you stay at home? Could it be that you are less stress out and better fed?

          I never had the flu but I did get colds almost every year – always in vacation. The doctor I told this says it’s common. Vacations are stressful on the body.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        One’s stance on the Covid ‘vaccine’ is the ultimate arbiter of true intelligence.

        Don’t give a shit if someone has an IQ of 150…. if they are relatively healthy — and they take the ‘vaccine’ — they are classified as a MOREON.

        Nothing wrong with that…. not their fault… no more than it’s a dog’s fault that it can’t drive a car.

        It just… is.

  31. Rusty says:

    Thanks again for another excellent post! Seems like things are really starting to get dicey.

    • I am afraid you are correct. There are so many funny financial things going on, this is by itself a worry. Also, the many potential debt defaults. And then there are all of the shipping problems. Not to mention the shutting off flights to India, and what this might do.

      • solarkauf says:

        very true here in austria it started with plywood now Aluminium for PV and all other construction material prices soar. most extreme is Shimano parts for bicycles: half a year delay!

        We see a peak all scenario even our sinks (CO2) peaked and are now emitting GHG. Crazy we knew it for soooo long see the film soylent green.

        But Society(or mothers/women?) tended to put or educate us to the most denial or sociopathic persons to be in charge so no Cassandra was heard? Maybe the status selection or education of young men of mothers and women was a fault? We will go with no answers but many questions and confusion.


    The novel coronavirus’ spike protein plays additional key role in illness
    Salk researchers and collaborators show how the protein damages cells, confirming COVID-19 as a primarily vascular disease

    LA JOLLA—Scientists have known for a while that SARS-CoV-2’s distinctive “spike” proteins help the virus infect its host by latching on to healthy cells. Now, a major new study shows that the virus spike proteins (which are very different than those safely encoded by vaccines) also play a key role in the disease itself.

    The paper, published on April 30, 2021, in Circulation Research, also shows conclusively that COVID-19 is a vascular disease, demonstrating exactly how the SARS-CoV-2 virus damages and attacks the vascular system on a cellular level. The findings help explain COVID-19’s wide variety of seemingly unconnected complications, and could open the door for new research into more effective therapies.

    “A lot of people think of it as a respiratory disease, but it’s really a vascular disease,” says Assistant Research Professor Uri Manor, who is co-senior author of the study. “That could explain why some people have strokes, and why some people have issues in other parts of the body. The commonality between them is that they all have vascular underpinnings.”

    Salk researchers collaborated with scientists at the University of California San Diego on the paper, including co-first author Jiao Zhang and co-senior author John Shyy, among others.

    While the findings themselves aren’t entirely a surprise, the paper provides clear confirmation and a detailed explanation of the mechanism through which the protein damages vascular cells for the first time. There’s been a growing consensus that SARS-CoV-2 affects the vascular system, but exactly how it did so was not understood. Similarly, scientists studying other coronaviruses have long suspected that the spike protein contributed to damaging vascular endothelial cells, but this is the first time the process has been documented.

    • This article is easier to understand than some of the academic articles.

    • Tim Groves says:

      Yes, this a very good and easy-to-grasp article on research demonstrating that the spike protein on its own is pathogenic. However, this sentence (particularly the bit in parentheses) needs clarification: “Now, a major new study shows that the virus spike proteins (which behave very differently than those safely encoded by vaccines) also play a key role in the disease itself.”

      What makes the vaccine-encoded spike protein “safe” when the naked spike protein examined in this research is far from safe? Did the writer neglect to mention why as a oversight, or did they insert that bit in the brackets in order to protect the “vaccination “program? After all, the “vaccine-encoded” spike protein also seems to be resulting in quite a lot of vascular disease.

      • Yorchichan says:

        Who says the vaccine manufactured spike protein is supposed to be safe? Isn’t the whole point of the “vaccine” that your body’s immune system recognises the spike protein as foreign and dangerous and therefore destroys it, in the process learning how to destroy sars-cov-2? The difference between the manufactured spike protein and the whole virus is that the spike protein alone is not able to hijack your body’s DNA and reproduce itself.

        I would like to know whether the manufactured spike proteins attach themselves to the surface of the cell in which they were manufactured, whether they attach themselves to the surface of other random cells or whether they float around freely in the body before being attacked and destroyed. Also, if they do attach themselves become attached to cells in the body, are those cells also destroyed by the immune system as collateral damage?

  33. Shocking rise in expectant mothers who’ve lost their baby after having the Covid Vaccine

    A tragic milestone has been surpassed as the effects of the mass roll-out of an experimental vaccine continue to devastate the lives of those who “get the jab, when they get the call”. It is with sadness that we have to report that over 100 women have now lost their unborn or newborn baby after having one of the Covid vaccines.

    Health authorities in the UK advise women to avoid things like smoked fish, soft cheese, wet paint, coffee, herbal tea, vitamin supplements, and processed junk foods when pregnant. But for some strange and sinister reason they are now adamant the Covid vaccines are 100% safe for use in pregnant women despite the fact there have not been any trials conducted to prove this.

    The Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI) released a statement just a few short weeks ago saying “it’s preferable for pregnant women in the UK to be offered the Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna vaccines where available. There is no evidence to suggest that other vaccines are unsafe for pregnant women, but more research is needed.”

    This led to the Health Secretary, Matt Hancock to announce on Twitter – “I encourage all pregnant women when they are called to get the jab”.

    The fact the JCVI could say “it is preferable for pregnant women” to have the jab, and “more research is needed” in the same sentence would be laughable if it didn’t have such dire consequences. And the fact Hancock actively encouraged pregnant women to get the jab despite the existing evidence it was not safe is criminal.

    Unfortunately but not surprisingly the JCVI and Hancock now have blood on their hands since these statements were made.

  34. ID Bracelet that lets you access your vaccination information digitaly

  35. 8,430 dead, 354,177 injuries following COVID-19 experimental ‘vaccines’ reported in Europe

    EudraVigilance, a European database of suspicious drug reaction cases, has reported 8,430 deaths and 354,177 injuries following injections of four experimental Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Virus (COVID-19) shots.

    In a statement about their database, EudraVigilance said that their report covers data collected through April 24, 2021, for four experimental vaccines currently in use in Europe from Pfizer, AstraZeneca, Moderna, and Johnson & Johnson:

    4,524 of the 8,430 deaths were reported following Pfizer vaccine injections, and 184,833 of the 354,177 injuries following AstraZeneca vaccine injections, according to EudraVigilance, which monitors reports of accidents and deaths related to the experimental CCP Virus vaccines.

    The following is a rundown of the data through April 24:

  36. Israeli People Committee’s Report Find Catastrophic Side Effects Of Pfizer Vaccine To Every System In Human Body

    The Israeli People Committee (IPC), a civilian body made of leading Israeli health experts, has published its April report into the Pfizer vaccine’s side effects indicating damage to almost every system in the human body. If the findings by IPC are genuine, then Pfizer vaccine is linked to more deaths in Israel than AstraZeneca’s in the whole of Europe. The findings are catastrophic on every possible level. This is a detailed report that highlights the most devastating findings.

    Their verdict is that “there has never been a vaccine that has harmed as many people.” The report is long and detailed (read full report below).

    “We received 288 death reports in proximity to vaccination (90% up to 10 days after the vaccination), 64% of those were men.”

    Yet the report states, “according to data provided by the Ministry of Health, only 45 deaths in Israel were vaccine related.”

    If these are the genuine numbers, then Israel has failed to report on its experimental results genuinely.

  37. We are all Pavlov’s dogs now

    It is now well known that induced stress, fear and anxiety are linked to a myriad of physical and psychological disorders; that is irrefutable. Public health initiatives often implore us to lead healthy and stress-free lives for the good of our physical and psychological health.

    It might come as a surprise then, that the UK Government and devolved administrations, on the advice of psychologists from SPI-B of SAGE and the Behavioural Insights Team (Cabinet Office) are using methods derived from Pavlov in the response to COVID19 which are making us all psychologically and physically unwell: deliberately so.

    As mentioned in my previous articles on UK Column, “Psychological attack on the UK” and “Ethical psychotherapy versus the unethical applied psychology of SPI-B and the UK government”, their motivation and tactics are explicit; to deliberately to make us more fearful and to shame us (and get people to shame each other) through propaganda and societal/interpersonal pressure or demands to get us to submit/conform to the COVID19 regulations and dictates.

    These tactics do not come out of nowhere. SPI-B and the UK government have not just invented them for the purposes of COVID-19. The links to Pavlovian theory are clear.

    When one looks at the use of psychology as used in totalitarian regimes, especially totalitarian communist regimes of the old Eastern bloc communist countries and the Soviet Union (the formative political landscape that shaped Pavlov’s ideas), we see clearly that the tactics of SPI-B and the UK government are no coincidence.

    Lavrentiy Beria was a Georgian Bolshevik and Soviet politician, Marshal of the Soviet Union and state security administrator, chief of the Soviet security, and chief of the People’s Commissariat for Internal Affairs (NKVD) under Joseph Stalin during World War II, and promoted to deputy premier under Stalin from 1941. He later officially joined the Politburo in 1946.

  38. Minority Of One says:

    >>In a period parallel to the 1914 to 1945 period, we can also expect pandemics

    Not least because these days, they are easy enough to arrange to order.

  39. Self-Spreading Vaccines Are No Myth…It’s Hard Science

    Johns Hopkins Confirmed Them

  40. Halt Covid Vaccine, Prominent Scientist Tells CDC

    In a public comment to the CDC, molecular biologist and toxicologist Dr. Janci Chunn Lindsay, Ph.D., called to immediately halt Covid vaccine production and distribution. Citing fertility, blood-clotting concerns (coagulopathy), and immune escape, Dr. Lindsay explained to the committee the scientific evidence showing that the coronavirus vaccines are not safe.

    On April 23, 2021, the CDC’s Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices held a meeting in Atlanta, Georgia. The focus of this ACIP meeting was blood clotting disorders following Covid vaccines. Dr. Janci Chunn Lindsay spoke to the CDC during the time set aside for public comment.

    The censorship on social media in particular and the internet in general is relentless. Here is a slightly edited, annotated censorship-proof transcript of Dr. Janci Chunn Lindsay’s 3-minute comment.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      “Father Forgive Them, They Know Not What They Do.”

      Opposition to the ‘vaccines’ is only an invitation to the worst case scenario…

      But then almost nobody will accept that the CEP is The Plan…. it’s just too much for their feeble minds to deal with…

      Extinction…. Woooooahhhhh!!!!

      Fortunately their words will fall on Deaf Ears… Jacinda and Trudeau block their ears and cry on a daily basis… partaking in the CEP is painful for them… but they what peak oil unleashes on 8B people … if there is no CEP.

  41. More than 500 people admitted to hospital with coronavirus after getting vaccinated

    More than 500 people who received their coronavirus jabs have been admitted to hospital with Covid-19, a UK study has found.

    Researchers at Liverpool University said the patients had all received one dose of the vaccine at least three weeks before they were admitted.

    They said the patients were largely frail and elderly, while the number of people who were hospitalised represented only around 1 per cent of the 52,000 people involved in the research.

    The report warns: “Elderly and vulnerable people who had been shielding, may have inadvertently been exposed and infected either through the end-to-end process of vaccination, or shortly after vaccination through behavioural changes where they wrongly assume they are immune.”

    The study found a total of 526 people were admitted to hospital and 113 people died in what the research team called “vaccine failures”.

  42. There Are THREE Studies; All Showing Serious Harms

    As it turns out there is not just one study, or even two documenting that the “S” (spike) protein from Covid causes damage.

    There are now at least three with one dating back in preprint to the first week of December 2020.

  43. 19,916 ‘eye disorders’ including blindness following COVID vaccine reported in Europe

    May 1, 2021 (LifeSiteNews) – Hundreds of cases of blindness are among the 19,916 reports of “eye disorders” to the World Health Organization’s European drug monitoring agency following injection of experimental COVID-19 vaccines

    The nearly 20,000 eye disorders reported to VigiBase, a database for the WHO maintained by the Uppsala Monitoring Centre(UMC) in Uppsalla, Sweden, include:

    Eye pain (4616)
    Blurred vision (3839)
    Photophobia or light intolerance (1808)
    Visual impairment (1625)
    Eye swelling (1162)
    Ocular hyperaemia or red eyes (788)
    Eye irritation (768)
    Itchy eyes or eye pruritus (731)
    Watery eyes or increased lacrimation (653)
    Double vision or diplopia (559)
    Eye strain or asthenopia (459)
    Dry eye (400)
    Swelling around the eye or periorbital swelling (366)
    Swelling of eyelid (360)
    Flashes of light in the field of vision or photopsia (358)
    Blindness (303)
    Eyelid oedema (298)
    Eye or ocular discomfort (273)
    Conjunctival haemorrhage or breakage of a small eye vessel (236)
    Blepharospasm or abnormal contraction of an eye muscle(223)
    Vitreous floaters (192)
    Periorbital oedema (171)
    Eye haemorrhage (169)
    More than half of the eye disorders (10, 667) were also reported to the U.K.’s Yellow Card adverse event reporting system. These would have followed injection primarily of AstraZeneca’s and Pfizer’s COVID-19 vaccines but included eight reports of eye disorders among the 228 reports concerning Moderna’s vaccine, of which only 100,000 first doses had been administered by April 21.

    Eye disorders were not reported in the clinical trials for vaccines which have been granted Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) only. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration’s fact sheet for those administering Pfizer’s experimental vaccine does not mention eye side effects. It does state, however, that “Additional adverse reactions, some of which may be serious, may become apparent with more widespread use of the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine.”

  44. COVID-19 Attributed Cases and Deaths are Statistically Higher in States and Counties with 5th Generation Millimeter Wave Wireless Telecommunications in the United States.

    • shastatodd says:

      so it looks like you came here to spam gail’s comments section rather then adding any meaningful dialogue to her article? sigh.

      • There are two different views on the importance of the COVID-19/vaccine posts. In a way, they have nothing to do with energy. In fact, the illness and vaccines are still very high on some people’s list of concerns.

        We also know that there were some folks talking about population reduction programs (to balance out population with resources) using either bioweapons or vaccines against the illnesses created by these bioweapons. COVID-19 seems to be an illness caused by an bioweapon (cross between something like a common cold and aids). We know that vaccines against a closely related illness (SARS) did not work; they tended to kill the lab animals.

        I have decided to leave these posts in. While they are not directly related to energy, they are related to the overshoot problem and the hidden solutions that are being imposed upon us, by the powers that be. Unfortunately, Tony Fauci and Bill Gates seem to be part of the problem, rather than being part of the solution.

        • Ed says:

          It is not clear what is going on wrt cv19 and vaccines. I am thankful there is one open discussion available.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Tony Fauci and Bill Gates seem to be part of the problem, rather than being part of the solution.

          Solution? What solution?

    • Tim Groves says:

      Michael, I for one, greatly appreciate your contribution in bringing these COVID-19 articles to our attention. I think there is a place for this information just as there is for Harry’s economic news and Mirror’s coverage of how wonderful Nicola Sturgeon is.

      Shastatodd, on the right side of your browser window, you should see a scroll bar. Using your mouse, you should be able to scroll past any comments you aren’t interested in.

      If that doesn’t do the trick and you still can’t find relief, another option is for you to install a Commenter Ignore button (CIB), which would allow you to make commenters who annoy you disappear without trace.

      There are a number of free plug-ins that claim to do this, although I’ve never tried one out as I believe comments should be free unless the blog owner says otherwise.

  45. Minority Of One says:

    “The majority of people seem to believe that all of these problems can be fixed simply by increasingly taxing the rich and using the proceeds to help the poor. They also believe that the biggest problem we are facing is climate change. Very few are even aware of the food scarcity problems occurring in many parts of the world already.”

    I first came across “There is enough food for everyone’s need but not for everyone’s greed” way back in 1982 when I started university and got involved in environmental groups. I knew nothing about peak oil at that time, but nonetheless this quote was clearly nonsense even then. But almost everyone believed it back then and still do. People just don’t want to face up to reality. Kicking the can down the road is no longer an option. Seems to me that Gates, Fauci et all have decided on our behalf to give die-off a head start. Exciting times ahead from here on in.

  46. Fast Eddy says:

    Thanks for the new post

    WATCH: Perspectives on the Pandemic

    Prof Sucharit Bhakdi warns of the possible complications and dangers of experimental gene-therapy injections.

    In February, 2021, Professor Sucharit Bhakdi MD and a number of his colleagues warned the European Medicines Agency about the potential danger of blood clots and cerebral vein thrombosis in millions of people receiving experimental gene-based injections.

    Since then, two of the four injections have been suspended or recalled in Europe and the United States for just that reason.

    In this episode of Perspectives, Professor Bhakdi explains the science behind the problem, why it is not just limited to the products already suspended, and why in the long term we may be creating dangerously overactive immune systems in billions of unwitting subjects.

    The Interviewee: Dr Sucharit Bhakdi is a specialist in microbiology. He was a professor at the Johannes Gutenberg University in Mainz and head of the Institute for Medical Microbiology and Hygiene and one of the most cited research scientists in German history.

  47. Ed says:

    Gail, the first six paragraphs are superb and the whole article is excellent. Thanks.

  48. Jan says:

    Unfortunately, I fully agree with this article. What a pity!

    We should quickly start to bury our nuclear waste.

    • Duncan Idaho says:

      And in 24,000 years we will reach the half life.
      How were things 24,000 years ago?

    • Ed says:

      Ambient pressure nuclear reactors are cheap and safe. China is installing them for district heating. I wonder when natural gas will run short in the US Northeast? in UK? in EU?

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Unfortunately …. that Rubicon has been crossed… Burying is not an option.

      My concern is that when we go… we take all other life with us as these monstrosities burn and spew for centuries…

      There is no ‘vaccine’ for all the innocent animals that will die horrible deaths as the radiation rains down on them.

      Quite the legacy …

      One has to wonder if humans are ‘the devil’….

      • FE, a wise woman (who has now herself passed) taught me that most deaths in nature are beyond horrible: insects being devoured from the inside out by parasites, being ripped to shreds while still alive by an avian or mammalian predator.

        This isn’t the extreme—it’s the norm. Suffering is not an aberration. Humans are not “the devil”.. “Nature” is.

        • Tim Groves says:

          Mr. DNA is a callous sorta guy. It doesn’t bother him at all how much pain is involved in shuffling the genes.

        • Kowalainen says:

          It is something like this: Pain is a necessary (good?) for animals to prevail. Most ‘life’ feels nothing at all since they lack a central nervous system. Life such as vegetation, bacteria, fungi, viruses. Fleeing from danger (and pain) is a sensible strategy.

          Parasites is indeed something horrible, however, not for the parasite. Taken to the extreme; one could argue that humans are parasites on planet earth. One could also argue that parasites eventually would evolve together with the host into a symbiotic relationship. It would not surprise me if parasitism is a rather transient phenomena toward symbiosis. The mitochondria is speculated having its origins in a bacterial infection which mutated the host and bacteria. Furthermore many species specialize at feeding on parasites.

          I could argue that parasitism assist in bonding among mammals. Who doesn’t like a good belly rub and back scratch? It feels good because someone is grooming away various parasites.

          Predation isn’t that horrible, at least the prey can put up a good fight in most cases. Usually predation occurs on old, weakened, and young animals thus keeping checks and balances of overgrazing and overpopulation. It is in nobody’s interest to damage the habitat by resource depletion and die off, neither for the predator, nor for the prey.

          However, suffering is pain that refuses to leave the mind. Sometimes shit that hurts isn’t bad at all, indeed it hurts real good.

          So perhaps it is neither good nor bad, or perhaps both. It depends on your perspective.


        • Fast Eddy says:

          We torture and kill… often for fun… and we made these extinction traps

        • Nate says:

          lidia, I hope it’s not Kathy C you’re referring to. She would not agree with your conclusion in the least. Let’s face it: Humans are yucky AND stupid, ha ha!

          Dan Piraro understands:

          • Yorchichan says:

            I remember Kathy C writing once on NBL: “It would have been better if creatures with a central nervous system had never evolved.”

            Doesn’t sound too dissimilar to what Lidia wrote.

            • Nate says:

              lidiaseventeen wrote: Humans are not “the devil”.. “Nature” is.

              Kathy C understood the “nature” part, of course, but she also was well aware that humans are “devils” in their own right and have their own part to play in the machinery of suffering simply because they excel at consciously creating misery, destruction, and torture for their own species and others.

              By the way, Kathy’s promotion of pre-apocalypse sterilization was always enjoyable, especially since one could just feel the arousing of utter indignation in all those “open-minded” readers.

            • Yorchichan says:

              Thanks for the clarification. What Kathy wrote always resonated with me.

              If the covid vaccines were about sterilization rather than extermination, and if they didn’t risk horrific side effects, I could agree with Fast Eddy calling them a “compassionate extinction plan”.

    • Sam says:

      Bury? Just shoot it too the sun it will incinerator it all!

  49. rufustiresias999 says:

    Thanks for this new article. Not telling the truth, which is indeed unspeakable, may alas bring many people to silly conspiracy theories. Or to extrem radical political systems.

    • Ed says:

      Telling the truth can lead to creation of a us versus them divide. With at the least a disenfranchisement of “them” and possibly far worse.

  50. Gray Mewburn says:

    Hello Gail. The discovery of oil peaked in 1964 according to Colin Campbell. Currently mankind is consuming 4 times more oil than is discovered. This is unsustainable. Ghawar’s oil production has declined from 5 million barrels a day to 3.8 according to the Saudis prospectus relating to selling shares in their oil company. The Saudis may not be able to return to their previous production levels. I believe we are approaching demand exceeding supply soon. Regarding water depletion. Rain comes from the air. Devices exist that produce water from air. It is doable. I wish you well. Best wishes for you and your loved ones Gray Mewburn

    • rufustiresias999 says:

      It also seems shale oil production might have peaked. Someone shared a link here and I saw this on this other excellent blog :

      Shale oil gave us a decade, if it peaked then we passed “all liquids” oil.

      • Mirror on the wall says:

        Shale oil = ‘snake oil’ – fake, certainly as anything but a very short term ‘solution’ to global energy problems.

        As Gail’s article implies, shale was always going to get presented as more than it really was.

        Make-belief has very important functions for humans and for societies – which does not make it a ‘bad’ thing, per se, just a common ‘go to’ strategy to which humans are predisposed – fundamental stuff that we can get into later in the discussion.

      • This is a chart I made of USA’s oil production:

        Oil production (including shale) seems to have fallen a little in 2020. Early data from 2021 seems to indicate that production has stayed down. February was especially low.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        To summarize…. conventional oil peaked in 2005…. shale peaked in 2018/19… and is in the process of imploding right before our very eyes….

        In early 2020…. the CEP was launched….lab-made and released Covid is being hyped to frighten 8B people into taking a ‘vaccine’… which will result in the extinction of the human species….

        The reason for this is to pre-empt a Bosnia-like situation …. but without any food, electricity, medicine, security, or petrol -i.e. Absolute Global Collapse of Civilization or ABCOC…. aka Ripping Off Faces Outcome ROFO….

        • Anthony Cook says:

          I’m pretty good, but what does the acronym CEP stand for?

          • I think it is “Compassionate Extinction Plan.”

            • Anthony Cook says:

              Thanks, I guess. I hadn’t come across an actual name for the process.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              I’ve got the TM on that phrase…. thinking about writing a best seller explaining it… if I find a couple of hours on the weekend I’ll Make It Happen

            • StarvingLion says:

              I thought it was “Compassionate Extermination Plan” which is an oxymoron I think.

            • Is it “compassionate” for the majority of people to die via heart attacks, strokes, or maybe pneumonia… as opposed to starvation over months, being hacked to death, Rwanda-style, or (eventually) radiation poisoning?

              Then there’s the potential sterilization “feature”.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              You need to break a few eggs to make an omelette…

              Some folks will die early because of the CEP … but they are acceptable collateral damage…

              The mission here is to ensure that 8B people are not put into a situation where the electricity goes off permanently … and they are left in the dark… with no petrol, food, medicine, or security….

              If the CEP fails… then every one of those 8B people will have wished they’d died of a heart attack in 2020…

              Think about what total collapse implies… history is replete with examples of extremely horrifying human behaviour… 8B people will be fighting to survive… and they will do anything… including eating each other….

              Nobody wants that outcome… I am fully on board with the extermination plan. Although a part of me hopes the CEP fails…. and BAU goes to pieces and 8B rip faces off… as penance for what we have done to animals over the years…

              An eye for an eye…. shall we say…

        • HerbHere says:

          Does anyone else wonder where/when Gretchen Whitmer (Gov of Michigan, the PM of New Zealand, PM of Ontario, CAN, and the other Elites met to take their bribes for signing on to the mass extermination event?under guise of a germ? Did they all get invited to the Bilderberg meetings, dinner with Claus Schwab, the Davis. confab? Where the hell did they get their marching orders? What was their payoff?

          Are they just trying to loot the sinking ship thinking they are gonna get off first? WTF??

          • Ed says:

            This is not a one off. They are constantly monitored and instructed. Their Swiss bank accounts are routinely credited with carrots. If need be their friends and family can be used to demonstrate the stick. If need be their jet falls from the sky.

          • Azure Kingfisher says:

            I assumed this organization played a sizable role as the US media placed an emphasis on state governor responses to the scamdemic:

            National Governors Association

            “The National Governors Association (NGA) is an American political organization founded in 1908. The association’s members are the governors of the 55 states, territories and Commonwealths. Members come to the association from across the political spectrum, and NGA itself is nonpartisan.

            “In 1907, the Inland Waterways Commission thought it necessary to ask the Conference of Governors to provide both state and national views relating to practical questions dealing with natural resources utilization and management in the Progressive Era. The NGA represents the governors of the fifty U.S. states and five U.S. territories (American Samoa, Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands). It is funded primarily by state dues, federal grants and contracts, and private contributions.

            “The NGA serves as a public policy liaison between the state governments and the federal government. NGA provides governors and their senior staff members with services that range from representing states on Capitol Hill and at the White House when discussing federal issues to developing policy reports on state programs and hosting networking seminars for state executive branch officials. The NGA Center for Best Practices focuses on state innovations and best practices on issues that range from education and health to technology, welfare reform, and the environment. NGA also provides management and technical assistance to both new and incumbent governors.” – Wikipedia

          • Fast Eddy says:

            If you apply logic then you’d realize that accepting bribes to kill billions…. is … illogical….

            • HerbHere says:

              Right but there had to be a carrot or stick to get Governor Gavin Newsom or Gov. Gretchen Whitmer to sign on to this diabolical plan, correct? Since when do psychopaths care about logic?

            • Fast Eddy says:

              There are two things that are at play with them:

              1. If you look at The Leak out of Canada — senior people were given a nice chunk of the CEP – but not the End Game… 30% of the people did not like what they heard — but only 1 leaked… and that leak had disappeared into outer space…. that person – and all the others — are likely all doing their jobs — and the job involved executing on the CEP — they all want to get paid and they know quitting will not change anything … so they Do What They Are Told.

              2. Alternatively Newsom has been informed about the CEP in its entirety and like everyone else on the Inside… he has accepted that killing everyone with these vaccines is better than the ONLY alternative – uncontrolled collapse and face ripping.

              I suspect 1. is more likely. It is very easy to get people to do things… by giving them money.

              Most people seem to underestimate this dynamic.

              I’ve told the tale of my dog before – she does not like to come inside on a sunny day — BUT if I so much as crinkle the plastic treat bag… she comes waltzing through the door without an invite….

    • People haven’t paid much attention to the world’s coal production problem (since it has been reframed as something we want to get rid of, using a “sour grapes” point of view). Do you have a fix for the world’s coal supply too? Having oil or coal in the ground doesn’t really mean we can extract it. The price needs to be high enough for producers.

    • Duncan Idaho says:

      Global Peak was in November of 2018.
      Will we ever pass that?
      Don’t hold your breath.

    • jj says:

      well golly gee all we need is a carton or two f those water from air gizmos and the worlds agriculture needs for water are solved!

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