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In my view, there are three ways a growing economy can be sustained:
- With a growing supply of cheap-to-produce energy products, matched to the economy’s energy needs.
- With growing debt and other indirect promises of future goods and services, such as rising asset prices.
- With growing complexity, such as greater mechanization of processes and supply lines that extend around the world.
All three of these approaches are reaching limits. The empty shelves some of us have been seeing recently are testimony to the fact that complexity is reaching a limit. And the growth in debt looks increasingly like a bubble that can easily be popped, perhaps by rising interest rates.
In my view, the first item listed is critical at this time: Is the supply of cheap-to-produce energy products growing fast enough to keep the world economy operating and the debt bubble inflated? My analysis suggests that it is not. There are two parts to this problem:
[a] The cost of producing fossil fuels and delivering them to where they are needed is rising rapidly because of the effects of depletion. This higher cost cannot be passed on to customers, without causing recession. Politicians will act to keep prices low for the benefit of consumers. Ultimately, these low prices will lead to falling production because of inadequate reinvestment to offset depletion.
[b] Non-fossil fuel energy products are not living up to the expectations of their developers. They are not available when they are needed, where they are needed, at a low enough cost for customers. Electricity prices don’t rise high enough to cover their true cost of production. Subsidies for wind and solar tend to drive nuclear electricity out of business, leaving an electricity situation that is worse, rather than better. Rolling blackouts can be expected to become an increasing problem.
In this post, I will explore the energy-related issues that are contributing to the recessionary trends that the world economy is facing, starting later in 2022.
[1] World oil supplies are unlikely to rise very rapidly in 2022 because of depletion and inadequate reinvestment. Even if oil prices rise higher in the first part of 2022, this action cannot offset years of underinvestment.
The IEA, in its Oil Market Report, December 2021, forecasts a 6.4-million-barrel increase in world oil production in 2022 over 2021. Indications through September of 2021 strongly suggest that there was only a small rebound (about 1 million bpd) in the world’s oil production in 2021 compared to 2020. In my view, the IEA’s view that liquids production will increase by a huge 6.4 million barrels a day between 2021 and 2022 defies common sense.
The basic reason why oil production is low is because oil prices have been too low for producers since about 2012. Companies have had to cut back on developing new fields in higher cost areas because oil prices have not been high enough to justify such investments. For example, producers from shale formations could add new wells outside the rapidly depleting “core” regions if the oil price were much higher, perhaps $120 to $150 per barrel. But US WTI oil prices averaged only $57 per barrel in 2019, $39 per barrel in 2020, and $68 per barrel in 2021, so this new investment has not been started.
Recently, oil prices have been over $80 per barrel, but even this is considered too high by politicians. For example, countries are releasing oil from their strategic oil reserves to try to force oil prices down. The reason why politicians are interested in low oil prices is because if the price of oil rises, both the price of food and the cost of commuting are likely to rise, since oil is used in farming and in commuting. Inflation is likely to become a problem, making citizens unhappy. Wages will go less far, and politicians who allow high oil prices will be voted out of office.
[2] Natural gas production can be expected to rise by 1.6% in 2022, but this small increase will not be enough to meet the needs of the world economy.
With natural gas production growing at a little less than 2% per year, a major issue is that there is not enough natural gas to “go around.” Natural gas is the smallest of the fossil fuels in quantity. We are depending on its growth to solve many problems, simultaneously:
- To increase natural gas imports for countries whose own production is declining
- To provide quick relief from inadequate production by wind turbines and solar panels, whenever such relief is needed
- To offset declining coal consumption related to a combination of issues (depletion, high pollution, climate change concerns)
- To help increase world electricity supply, as transportation and other processes are gradually electrified
Furthermore, the rate at which natural gas supply increases cannot easily be speeded up because (a) the development of new fields, (b) the development of transportation structures (pipeline or Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) ships), and (c) the development of storage facilities all require major upfront expenditures. All of these must be planned years in advance. They require huge amounts of resources of many kinds. The selling price of natural gas must be high enough to cover all of the resource and labor costs. For those familiar with the concept of Energy Returned on Energy Invested (EROEI), the basic problem is that the delivered EROEI falls too low when all of the many parts of the system are considered.
Storage is extremely important for natural gas because fluctuations tend to occur in the quantity of natural gas the overall system requires. For example, if stored natural gas is available, it can be used when wind turbines are not producing enough electricity. Also, a huge amount of energy is needed in winter to keep homes warm and to keep the lights on. If sufficient natural gas can be stored for months at a time, it can help provide this additional energy.
As a gas, natural gas is difficult to store. In practice, underground caverns are used for storage, assuming caverns of the right type are available. Trying to build storage, if such caverns are not available, is almost certainly an expensive undertaking. In theory, importing natural gas by pipeline or LNG can transfer the storage problem to LNG producers. This is not a satisfactory solution, however. Without adequate storage available to sellers, this means that natural gas can be extracted for only part of the year and LNG ships can only be used for part of the year. As a result, return on investment is likely to be poor.
Now, in 2022, we are hitting the issue of very slowly rising natural gas production head-on in many parts of the world. Countries that import natural gas without long-term contracts are facing spiking prices. Countries in Europe and Asia are especially affected. The United States has mostly been isolated from the spiking prices thanks to producing its own natural gas. Also, only a small portion of the natural gas produced by the US is exported (9% in 2020).
The reason for the small export percentage is because shipping natural gas as LNG tends to be very expensive. Long-distance LNG shipping only makes economic sense if there is a several dollar (or more) price differential between the buyer’s price and the seller’s costs that can be used to cover the high transport costs.
We now seem to be reaching a period of spiking natural gas prices, especially for countries importing natural gas without long-term contracts. If natural gas prices rise, this will tend to make electricity prices rise because natural gas is often burned to produce electricity. Products made with high-priced electricity will be less competitive in a world market. Individual citizens will become unhappy with their high cost of heat and light.
High natural gas prices can have very adverse consequences. In areas with high prices, products made using natural gas as a raw material will tend to be squeezed out. One such product is urea, used as a nitrogen fertilizer. With less nitrogen fertilizer available, food production is likely to fall. If food prices rise in response to short supply, consumers will tend to reduce discretionary spending to ensure that there are sufficient funds for food. A reduction in discretionary spending is one way recession starts.
Inadequate growth in world natural gas production can be expected to hit poor countries especially hard. For example, a recent article mentions LNG suppliers backing out of planned deliveries of LNG to Pakistan, given the high prices available elsewhere. Another article indicates that Kosovo, a poor country in Europe, is experiencing rolling blackouts. Eventually, if natural gas available for export remains limited in supply, electricity blackouts can be expected to spread more widely, to less poor parts of Europe and around the world.
[3] World coal production can be expected to decline, further pushing the world economy toward recession.
Figure 3 shows my estimate for world coal production, next to a recent IEA forecast.
Figure 3 shows that world coal consumption has not been rising for about a decade.
Coal seems to be having the same problem with rising costs as oil. The cost of producing the coal is rising because of depletion, but citizens cannot afford to pay more for end products made with coal, such as electricity, steel and solar panels. Coal producers need higher prices to cover their higher costs, but it becomes increasingly difficult to pass these higher costs on to consumers. This is because politicians want to keep electricity prices low to keep their citizens and businesses happy.
If the cost of electricity rises, the cost of goods made with high-priced electricity will tend to rise. Businesses will find their sales falling in response to higher prices. In turn, they will tend to lay off workers. This is a recipe for recession, but a slightly different one than the ones mentioned earlier. It also is a good way for politicians not to get re-elected. As a result, politicians will try to hide rising coal costs from customers. For example, laws may be enacted capping electricity prices that can be charged to customers. Because of this, some electricity companies may be forced out of business.
The decrease in coal production I am showing for 2022 is only 1%, but when this small reduction is combined with the growth problems shown for coal and oil and the rising world population, it means that world coal supplies will be stretched.
China is the world’s largest coal producer and consumer. A major concern is that the country has serious coal depletion problems. It has experienced rolling blackouts since the fall of 2020. It has tried to encourage its own production by limiting coal imports, thus keeping wholesale coal prices high for local producers. It also limits the extent to which high coal costs can be passed on to electricity customers. As a result, the 2021 profits of electricity companies are expected to be reduced.
[4] The US may have some untapped coal resources that could be tapped, if there is a plan to ship more natural gas to Europe and other areas in need of the fuel.
The possibility of additional US coal production occurs because coal production in the US seems to have occurred because of competition from incredibly inexpensive natural gas (Figure 4). To some extent, this low natural gas price results from laws prohibiting oil and gas companies from “flaring” (burning off) natural gas that is too expensive to produce relative to the price it can be sold for. Prohibitions against flaring are a type of mandated subsidy of natural gas production by the oil-producing portion of “Oil & Gas” companies. This required subsidy leads to part of the need for high oil prices, especially for companies drilling in shale formations.
A major reason why US coal extraction started to decline about 2009 is because a very large amount of shale gas production started becoming available then as a byproduct of oil production from shale. Oil producers were primarily interested in extracting oil because it (hopefully) sold for a high price. Natural gas was a byproduct whose collection was barely economic, given its low selling price. Also, the economy didn’t have uses, such as trucks powered by natural gas, for all of this extra natural gas production. Figure 4 suggests that wholesale natural gas prices dropped by close to half, in response to this extra supply.
With these low natural gas prices, as well as coal pollution concerns, a significant amount of US electricity production was switched from coal to natural gas. It is my view that this change left coal in the ground, potentially for later use. Thus, if natural gas prices rise again, US coal production could perhaps rise again. The catch, of course, is that many coal-fired electricity-generating plants in the US have been taken out of service. In addition, coal mines have been closed. Any increase in future coal production would likely take place very slowly because of the need for many simultaneous changes.
[5] On a combined basis, using Tverberg Estimates for 2021 and 2022, fossil fuel production in total takes a step down in 2020 and doesn’t rise much in 2021 and 2022.
Figure 5 shows that on a combined basis, the overall energy being provided by fossil fuels is likely to remain lower in 2021 and 2022 than it was in 2018 and 2019. This is concerning, because the economy cannot go back to its 2019 level of “openness” and optional travel for sightseers, without a big step up in energy supply, especially for oil.
This same figure shows that the production of the three fossil fuels is somewhat similar in quantity: Oil is the highest, coal is second, and natural gas comes in third. However, oil shows a step down in 2020’s production from which it has not recovered. Coal shows a smoother pattern of rise and eventual fall. So far, natural gas has mostly been rising, but not very steeply in recent years.
[6] Alternatives to fossil fuels are not living up to early expectations. Electricity from wind turbines and solar panels is not available when it is needed, requiring a great deal of back-up electricity generated by fossil fuels or nuclear. The total quantity of non-fossil fuel electricity is far too low. A transition now will simply lead to electricity blackouts and recession.
Figure 6 shows a summary of non-fossil fuel energy production for the years 2000 through 2020, without a projection to 2022. For clarification, wind and solar are part of the electrical renewables category.
Figure 6 shows that nuclear electricity production has been declining at the same time that the production of electrical renewables has been increasing. In fact, a significant decrease in nuclear electricity is planned in Europe in 2022. This reduction in nuclear electricity is part of what is causing the concern about electricity supply for Europe for 2022.
The addition of wind and solar to an electrical grid seems to encourage the closure of nuclear electricity plants, even if they have many years of safe production still ahead of them. This happens because wind and solar are given the subsidy of “going first,” if they happen to have electricity available. Wind and solar may also be subsidized in other ways.
The net result of this arrangement is that wholesale electricity prices set through competitive markets quite frequently fall too low for other electricity producers (apart from wind and solar). For example, wind and solar electricity that is produced during weekends may be unneeded because many businesses are closed. Electricity produced by wind and solar in the spring and fall may be unneeded because heating and cooling needs tend to be low at these times of the year. Wind and solar electricity providers are not asked to cut back supply because their production is unneeded; instead, low (or negative) prices encourage other electricity producers to cut back supply.
Nuclear electricity producers are particularly adversely affected by this pricing arrangement because they cannot save money by cutting back their output when wind and solar are over-producing electricity, relative to demand. This strange pricing arrangement leads to unacceptably low profits for many nuclear electricity providers. They may voluntarily choose to be closed. Local governments find that if they want to keep their nuclear electricity producers, they need to subsidize them.
Wind and solar, with their subsidies, tend to look more profitable to investors, even though they cannot support the economy without a substantial amount of supplementary electricity production from other electricity providers, which, perversely, they are driving out of business through their subsidized pricing structure.
The fact that wind and solar cannot be depended upon has become increasingly obvious in recent months, as coal, natural gas and electricity prices have spiked in Europe because of low wind production. In theory, coal and natural gas imports should make up the shortfall, at a reasonable price. But total volumes available for import have not been increasing in the quantities that consumers need them to increase. And, as mentioned above, nuclear electricity production is increasingly unavailable as well.
[7] The total quantity of non-fossil fuel energy supplies is not very large, relative to the quantity of fossil fuel energy. Even if these non-fossil fuel energy supplies increase at a trend rate similar to that in the recent past, they do not make up for the projected fossil fuel production deficit.
With respect to anticipated future non-fossil fuel electricity generation, one issue is how much nuclear is being shut off. I would imagine these current closure schedules could change, if countries become aware that they may be facing rolling blackouts without nuclear.
A second issue is the growing awareness that renewables don’t really work as intended. Why add more if they don’t really work?
A third issue is new studies suggesting that prices being paid for locally generated electricity may be too generous. Based on such an analysis, California is proposing a major reduction to its payments for renewable-generated electricity, starting July 1, 2022. This type of change could reduce new installations of solar panels on homes in California. Other locations may decide to make similar changes.
I have shown two estimates of future non-fossil fuel energy supply in Figure 7. The high estimate reflects a 4.5% annual increase in the total supply, in line with recent past increases for the group in total. The lower one assumes that 2021 production is similar to that in 2020 (because of more nuclear being closed, for example). Production for 2022 represents a 5% decrease from 2021’s production.
Regardless of which assumption is made, growth in non-fossil fuel electricity supply is not very important in the overall total. The world economy is still mostly powered by fossil fuels. The share of non-fossil fuels relative to total energy ranges from 16% to 18% in 2020, based on my low and high estimates.
[8] The energy narrative we are being told is mostly the narrative that politicians would like us to believe, rather than the narrative that historians and physicists would develop.
Politicians would like us to believe that we live in a world of everlasting economic growth and that the only thing we should fear is climate change. They base their analyses on models by economists who seem to think that an “invisible hand” will fix all problems. The economy can always grow; enough fossil fuels and other resources will always be available. Governments seem to be able to print money; somehow, this money will be transformed into physical goods and services. With these assumptions, the only problems are distant ones that central banks and carbon taxes can handle.
The realists are historians and physicists. They tell us that a huge number of past economies have collapsed when their populations attempted to grow at the same time that their resource bases were depleting. These realists tell us that there is a high probability that our current economy will eventually collapse, as well.
The general shape that economic growth is likely to take is that of a “Seneca Curve” or “Seneca Cliff.” In the words of Lucius Annaeus Seneca in the first century CE, “Increases are of sluggish growth, but the way to ruin is rapid.” If we think of the amount graphed as the total quantity of goods and services received by citizens, the amount tends to rise slowly, gradually plateaus and then falls.
We now seem to be encountering lower energy supply while population continues to rise. It takes energy for any activity that we think of as contributing to GDP to occur. We should not be surprised if we are at the edge of a recession. If we cannot get our energy problems solved, the downturn could be very long-lasting.
Over the last two years Cambridge University has been graced with a huge, beefy, transperson, no doubt yearning to be much slimmer – but they still gamely wore a pretty flower print summer dress in June, quite a sight!
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/03/oil-markets-opec-output-plans-us-payrolls-data-.html
Do they have the ability to just turn on the taps and easily increase oil production? Are they sitting on so much extra capacity that they are just waiting for the price to rise?
Boof!
Another energy price review is due before next winter, which is when the situation is likely to become very, very serious.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/03/uk-energy-bills-to-rise-by-over-50percent-in-april-as-ofgem-announces-hike.html
> UK energy bills to rise by over 50% in April as regulator announces hike
LONDON — Energy bills are set to rise drastically in the U.K. after the country’s energy regulator announced its cap on prices would rise by over 50% in April.
The U.K. has limits on how much suppliers are able to charge consumers for energy, with price caps reviewed by the government every six months.
Ofgem, Britain’s energy sector regulator, said on Thursday that its price cap — under which the average household’s annual energy bill is currently between £1,277 ($1,730) and £1,370 — would be raised by 54%, marking a record-breaking increase.
That means many households could see their energy bills rise by more than £700 a year. An estimated 22 million households will see their energy costs increase, Ofgem said.
“The energy market has faced a huge challenge due to the unprecedented increase in global gas prices, a once in a 30-year event, and Ofgem’s role as energy regulator is to ensure that, under the price cap, energy companies can only charge a fair price based on the true cost of supplying electricity and gas,” Jonathan Brearley, CEO of Ofgem, said in a statement on Thursday.
Wholesale natural gas prices reached record highs in Europe last year, caused by a number of issues including low inventories and Russia tightening its gas supply to the EU, creating an energy crisis across the region that many countries are still grappling with.
But the U.K. has been hit particularly hard due to its heavy reliance on gas as an energy source.
Samuel Tombs, chief U.K. economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said in a note following Ofgem’s announcement that Pantheon now expected Britain’s electricity and natural gas consumer price indexes to rise by 39% month-to-month in April.
“This would mean that their combined contribution to the headline rate of CPI inflation will rise to 1.6 percentage points in April — 0.1 pp below our previous expectation — from 0.7 pp in March,” he said. “We continue to expect CPI inflation to peak at about 6.5% in April.”
Almost 30 U.K. energy suppliers collapsed last year thanks to the soaring cost of wholesale gas, with those that have managed to survive the crisis urging the government to remove or raise the price cap.
Bill Bullen, founder and CEO of British energy supplier Utilita, told CNBC in a phone call on Thursday that he had “huge concerns” about what might come with the next price cap review, which would impact prices next winter.
“That’s when these extra energy costs are really, really going to hit home,” he warned.
However, the prospect of rising energy bills have been concerning consumers and businesses in the U.K. for several months, with many small business owners worried that rising fuel costs could mean their companies can no longer afford to operate.
The U.K. is also facing a wider cost of living crisis, with inflation soaring to a 30-year high in January.
Nil desperandum, Mirror. A right royal knees-up is all we need to get us out of this slump! I just know you’ll be first to break out the bunting.
“Puddings, parties and pubs: Queen’s Jubilee to trigger wave of spending in boost to battered economy… the Jubilee could mark a double triumph and a genuine turning point for a country as Britain closes the door on Covid.”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/01/30/puddings-parties-pubs-queens-jubilee-trigger-wave-spending-boost/
They make the UK sound completely insane.
Sensible policies for a happier Britain:
“Boris Johnson has continued to double down on a scheduled National Insurance increase insisting that Margaret Thatcher would have supported the tax hike.”
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/thatcher-boris-johnson-national-insurance-tax-b2006627.html
Raising taxes when a country is already doing poorly is a recipe for problems.
Looks like a big problem ahead. The economy will have to close many businesses, if prices rise this much. There will be a big increase in unemployment. This will look like recession, unless the government can find a way around it.
Sen. Ben Ray Luján’s age 49 (Democrat) has had a clot shot stroke.
This imperils the Democrats in the senate ability to pass anything while he is out sick. The US Senate is now 50-49 (Rep-Democrat) until this vax injured Senator returns.
Just like a friend of mine who promptly had a minor stroke after his 2nd clot shot.
Oh, this IS SAD. For Ben and the Dems.
But fortunately, he was “fully vaxed” or things could have been far worse.
Incidentally, Ben’s been pushing the shot and the boosters as enthusiastically as if he was a Big Pharma sales rep.
Still, it IS VERY SAD. For Ben and the Dems.
I wonder if he’ll be up and about again before Celine Dion is?
https://thecovidworld.com/ben-ray-lujan-fully-vaccinated-democratic-senator-hospitalized-after-suffering-a-stroke-at-age-49/
The Senators stroke was worse than my friends….the Senator had to have his head drilled for brain swelling. I doubt he will be back in action back in Wash DC anytime soon. Perhaps if we are lucky he will be out all year.
Oh how sad!!! I was hoping they’d have an option to send flowers… but seems not.
Boo Hoo (hahahahahahahaahahaha)…
The depth and breadth of Fast Eddy’s knowledge is astounding.
Or sad 😢… it takes a lot of wasted hours on a computer to come up with all of that….
It takes about 30 seconds … I just dictate what Fast Eddy thinks…. it’s not as if HE has to consider these comments as a normal person might a PHD thesis… what we have is a constant stream of PHD quality thoughts kinda like a ticker tape… and my job is to curate them for OFW…. If I didn’t curate and transcribed everything … that would take up far too much of my valuable time
have fed that into google translate eddy
will get back to you
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?uniformYAxis=0&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=location&Metric=Cases+and+deaths&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=ISR~BDI~HTI~YEM
mike
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?uniformYAxis=0&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=location&Metric=Cases+and+deaths&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=ISR~BDI~HTI~YEM
What you are showing is easy comparisons, to countries that likely don’t report COVID deaths very well.
Israel’s deaths per 100,000 are high, in comparison to absolutely any other criterion now. They are high compared to Israel’s own historical deaths per 100,000. They are also high compared to the US death rate, the EU’s rate, and the European Union’s rate. It is hard to find countries doing worse than Israel right now!
Nah… they just don’t have any deaths. Cuz they don’t vaccinate much. And they probably use Ivermectin and Hydroxy….
Remember when Ethiopia was allowing flights from Wuhan? Addis the main hub where flights from China arrive… we were told Ethiopia was NUTS… that it would soon be overwhelmed with covid.
I was following that closely … and it never happened.
But then covid hit Wuhan right as Chinese New Year started and millions left the city … I thought China would be overwhelmed… it wasn’t…
Hydroxyclorquinine was used and continues widespread use in Africa as a anti malarial, The lancet article that spawned a tidal wave of MSM reporting that trump was advocating “a horribly dangerous drug” was a straight up hit piece with multiple deviations from science and has been withdrawn. Purpose achieved the clinical trials in regard to hydroxy as a covid treatment scrubbed. Im sure the MSM will offer a apology real soon. If its such a horribly dangerous drug why has it been used over the counter in Africa for decades and continue to be used? Granted its not as safe as Ivermectin one of the safest drugs ever.
Hydroxy accelerates zincs effect and supplemental zinc must be used with it when treating covid.
The hit piece/trump association sent a clear message about how repurposed covid drugs would be received. After all trumps telling people to shoot up bleach yup. Orange man very bad.
Which is safer drugs that passed safety trials and have been used for decades and continue to be used or experimental injections skipping trials with emergency authorization that use new DNA and RNA “technology” never used before on humans?
Oh they are so concerned for our safety when it comes to Ivermectin , Hydroxyclorquinine and gain of function research.
Humanitarians they are!
Yes most people on the African content routinely take two
drugs prophylactic. One for river blindness one for malaria. Neithor cause any problems.
By coincidence fate or divine intervention they are both very effective against covid 19.
Fentanyl at every street corner but no hydroxy or IVM.
PROGRESS!
The Israel Ethiopia comparison is quite valid.
https://www.wired.com/story/hydroxychloroquine-covid-19-strange-twisted-tale/
Greece and Bulgaria are worse though not many other relatively large countries are. Current vaccines don’t seem to have much efficacy against omicron though deaths in Israel are about 4 times their peak of the last wave, whilst the cases are about 8 times the last peak. So possibly current vaccines are some help in reducing deaths.
norm … feel free to play with the filters… https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer
You need Israel shown against the others.
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?uniformYAxis=0&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=location&Metric=Cases+and+deaths&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=ISR~BDI~HTI~YEM
Do you know how to do that norm? You select the countries from the list on the left .. then use the drawdown Fun huh?
Haiti and Burundi are two of the lowest vaxxed countries
WTF norm?
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?uniformYAxis=0&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=location&Metric=Cases+and+deaths&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=ISR~BDI~HTI
norm… lets compare
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?uniformYAxis=0&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=location&Metric=Cases+and+deaths&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=ISR~ZWE
The permutations are endless.. however they don’t have a search for % of MOREONS
Check this out norm
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?uniformYAxis=0&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=location&Metric=Cases+and+deaths&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=~ISR
Gosh norm … why
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?facet=none&uniformYAxis=0&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=location&Metric=ICU+admissions&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=~ISR
norm
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?facet=none&uniformYAxis=0&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=location&Metric=ICU+patients&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=~ISR
This question is again for norm – why?
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?uniformYAxis=0&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=location&Metric=Deaths+and+excess+mortality&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=~ISR
This site is a treasure trove of great info
norm how about this
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?uniformYAxis=0&Metric=Deaths+and+excess+mortality&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=~CAN
Two days ago, during the first night of an old style stupid music Italian show, called ‘Festival di Sanremo’, a comic made some jokes against so called ‘no vax’ people.
Today on an Italian website of news it has appeared the letter of a father whose son had a severe adverse event after the jab against Covid-19.
He said that in a meeting of an association which defend their rights, the most lucky fathers are the ones who lost their children, because many children live now in terrible conditions and it is better to be dead.
You can read the letter here:
https://www.byoblu.com/2022/02/03/fiorello-lei-ha-sbagliato-mestiere-la-lettera-del-padre-di-un-figlio-danneggiato-da-vaccino/
hahaha https://twitter.com/i/status/1488886838312022029
Yes Get Vaxxed!
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?facet=none&Metric=Hospital+patients&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=~CAN
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?facet=none&Metric=Confirmed+deaths&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=~CAN
Hey Beak – NZers have some competition for Stooopidest MOREONS in the world….
You know the difference between a Canadian Big Hog and a NZ Big Hog? Canada is really cold 10 months of the year so the Big Hogs in Canada are able to hide their Giant Cabooses with jumpers that hang down past their hog arses…
This gives you some idea of what the hogs do … usually they have normal upper bodies and all the heft is on the arse… like a hog… you know? This one carries heft throughout.. can’t find the right photo
https://64.media.tumblr.com/c2d414146f76e37d15cdcd20584e5e93/tumblr_piequqBuRS1vyvaix_640.jpg
On Wednesday, Ottawa’s police chief said all options are on the table, including calling in the military, to end the ongoing demonstration that was being called an “occupation” by some city councillors.
https://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/ottawa-mayor-calls-conservative-mps-support-of-protest-an-absolute-disgrace-1.5765922
The Truckers need to realise that democracy is about voting the correct and acceptable way in rigged elections….
Pithy saying Xabier – I’m stealing your quote.
Feel free! It seems to be where we are now.
We all need to realize democracy is long gone if it ever was.
We are back to which thug was power.
According to Marks and Levine’s 1928 classification of IQ levels,
Those in the 50-74 range were classified Morons
Those in the 25-49 range were classified Imbeciles
Those in the 0-24 range were classified Idiots
The current cadre of politicians could not be classified, as the framework does not allow for negative numbers.
The Fast Eddy IQ Scale goes into the negative numbers… there are varying degrees of Sub MOREONS… but they all get classified as Sub MOREONS… in the interest of keeping it simple.
Tip line to report illegal activities by the truckers – cops have not revealed how many calls they have received haha = zero
Watch for a violent false flag at some point … as one trucker said – he’s got no job and is going to lose his house cuz he can’t work — so he’s happy to stay there for the long haul … as are many others… no doubt there will be plenty of people who will work out how to support these guys if Go Fund Me doesnt disburse the 10M raised.
Let’s Go Brandon – tip over the CEP! Ripping Faces is a much better way to go extinct… more in keeping with who we are
Nice shot of the clogged streets … horns all night long hahaha
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau says the federal government is working with the Ottawa police to put an end to the ongoing trucker protest in the nation’s capital as officials brace for a resurgence in demonstrators in the downtown core this coming weekend.
“We will continue to work with law enforcement agencies to ensure that people are protected and to ensure that this protest, which is now becoming illegal, does come to an end,” Trudeau said in French in the House of Commons on Wednesday, when asked what the federal government is doing to remove truckers from downtown Ottawa as the demonstration stretches into its sixth day.
https://globalnews.ca/news/8589687/trucker-convoy-illegal-trudeau-police-response/
Why cant a trucker find out where HE is and set the horns-a-blaring there?
Accidentally roll over him … then back up… then go forward … then back up … then scrape him off the pavement … and stick him to a window and write MOREON above him
Trucker convoy GoFundMe suspended, ‘under review’ after raising over $10M
https://globalnews.ca/news/8590302/trucker-convoy-gofundme-stopped/
A work around would be for people to deliver suitcases of cash to the organizers.
“Egypt eyes bread subsidy overhaul as global inflation bites.
“Egypt is considering replacing a popular bread subsidy with cash payments for the poor to protect the budget from soaring global wheat prices, but domestic inflation and a history of protests could make the government opt for a less ambitious reform.”
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/egypt-eyes-bread-subsidy-overhaul-global-inflation-bites-2022-02-01/
“Tunisian president denies a coup but holds power tight…
“Tunisia is regarded as the only democratic success to emerge from the 2011 Arab Spring uprisings, but the country faces a looming public finances crisis…”
https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/tunisian-president-denies-coup-holds-power-tight-2022-02-02/
If Egypt cannot afford to keep subsidizing wheat for its population at the level of the past, it is likely to experience violence.
Egypt imports most of its wheat. Last year they imported 13 M tonnes.
https://www.indexmundi.com/agriculture/?country=eg&commodity=wheat&graph=imports
p6/7 of this report shows where the wheat comes from, mostly Russia and Ukraine:
https://apps.fas.usda.gov/newgainapi/api/Report/DownloadReportByFileName?fileName=Grain%20and%20Feed%20Annual_Cairo_Egypt_03-15-2020
This article forecasts production of 8.9 M tonnes themselves, last year.
https://www.world-grain.com/articles/13432-egypt-wheat-imports-hold-steady
So importing most of their wheat requirements.
Egypt’s population in 1947 was about 18,967,000.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Egypt
Today, 105 M +
https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/egypt-population/
Wheat shortages are coming, just a matter of when.
Saudi Arabia and other Middle Eastern countries are wheat importers as well. If there isn’t enough wheat to go around, I am sure that it will be the wheat importing countries that are left out. A long time ago I wrote an article about Egypt on The Oil Drum. Part of its problem is losing the silt from upstream that historically has provided fertility to its crops. Another part of its problem is losing its oil exports. http://theoildrum.com/node/7425
the other biggie for Egypt is population growth, set to double in about 40 years.
it can’t and won’t of course, but there’s going to be a very unpleasant interlude between now and then i think
A moment of your time?
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?uniformYAxis=0&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=location&Metric=Cases+and+deaths&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=ISR~BDI~HTI~YEM
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33f829a7-8d0e-48a5-af5c-88d04db496d4_860x448.png
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0db63f8f-84ba-4def-979e-8c6618a349b3_888x441.png
https://nakedemperor.substack.com/p/ade-showing-in-the-boosted-uk-omicron
As the Pfizer documents showed, ADE was a major concern for them and the vaccine rollout. As this article reported, it had been observed that “a syndrome of “disease enhancement” has been reported in the past for a few viral vaccines where those immunized suffered increased severity or death when they later encountered the virus or were found to have an increased frequency of infection”.
https://nakedemperor.substack.com/p/pfizers-documented-antibody-dependent
Remember this https://www.wired.com/2003/05/feds-race-to-make-sars-vaccine/ It’s happening…
hahahaha… You can’t unf789 yourself! (TM)
“Turkey’s annual inflation soared to a 20-year high of 48.69% in January, data showed on Thursday, fuelled by President Tayyip Erdogan’s push for unorthodox interest rate cuts and a resulting crash in the currency late last year.
“Consumer prices jumped11.1% from the previous month, the Turkish Statistical Institute said, eating deeply into Turks’ earnings.”
https://www.reuters.com/markets/currencies/turkeys-inflation-surges-two-decade-high-487-2022-02-03/
“Turkey going through partial famine, warns farmers’ confederation founder…
““Turkey is going through a partial famine just now because it’s not a self-sufficient country. If the farmers and production are not supported and a sufficient amount of fertiliser is not stockpiled, it will go through much more severe problems.””
https://medyanews.net/turkey-going-through-partial-famine-warns-farmers-confederation-founder/
High priced pesticide and fertilizer products is an excellent way to starve people.
We’ll see much much more of this as starvation is a key pillar of the CEP.
As we can see… the situation is getting more acute by the day.
And now that Let er Rip (TM) is official policy of most governments the other key pillar – Devil Covid – is approaching … possibly combined with ADE… soon billions will be hiding away fearful of infection and a horrible death on a ventilator…
Then the food supplies will stop abruptly … and the MOREONS will not rape murder or pillage nor eat children… for fear of going outside and being infected.
Ha. What a fantastic ending …. just like in Don’t Look Up — everyone dies. That never happens in movies… even The Road had a hopeful ending
Beware the Ides of March.
I predict starvation and famine will hit the world in the face with a sledgehammer by fall of 2023.
World fertilizer production is low. Poorer countries, like Turkey, will be priced out.
“Iran Gas Crunch Forces Mideast Buyers to Seek Alternative Supply.
“Iran’s tight gas market is reverberating across the Middle East, as a drop in its exports forces key customers Iraq and Turkey to seek alternative supplies and curb electricity output.”
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-02/iran-gas-crunch-forces-mideast-buyers-to-seek-alternative-supply
“An Iranian official says the Islamic Republic is losing the lucrative Iraqi energy market to Saudi Arabia.
“Hamid-Reza Salehi, a member of Iran’s Chamber of Commerce… added that the administration wants to keep the electricity exports to Iraq at a minimum level because it cannot get its money due to sanctions, noting that Saudi Arabia and Egypt are replacing Iran there.”
https://www.iranintl.com/en/202202027206
“‘End game’: Iran nuclear talks nearing resolution or nuclear crisis, US warns…
“Iran is now a matter of weeks away from having enough fissile material to build a nuclear bomb… That puts the pressure on this new round of talks to reach a conclusion before time runs out.”
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/end-game-iran-nuclear-talks-nearing-resolution-nuclear/story?id=82610029
wait, they were weeks away in 1991 already…
They’re social distancing….
Always stay two weeks away from developing something to give someone else the excuse to attack you … or maybe they are just nuclear hesitant.
Iran did make five home grown mRNA shots though.
The one place where things might have evolved differently and we still get a similar trajectory
Isn’t that interesting.
If Iran doesn’t have enough gas exports to go around, sanctions affecting payments would be a good reason to cut back supply to Iraq.
When I look at BP data, I see that Iran’s natural gas production has been rising rapidly through 2020. The catch is that nearly all of this natural gas is used internally. If more natural gas is needed internally, or if production stabilizes or falls, it makes problems for those countries importing natural gas.
The Bloomberg chart makes no sense. Supposedly, the “exports” and “domestic consumption” are both measured in bcm, but this is clearly not true.
Given the World is transitioning from growth mode to degrowth/collapse mode it seems to me that it would be in the long term best interest of energy rich countries such as Iran (or Russia) to trend toward minimizing exports and stabilize or reduce production such that that do not allow their economy to grow beyond its current configuration on an energy/capita basis. Focus on efficiency and conservation along with extension of resource extraction life while minimizing standard of living reduction within resouce limits. Jevon’s paradox says that they ought to ration, limit total production, or moderate demand via taxation during this transition else efficiency gains will be for naught. Better efficiency alone increases affordability and thus increases total consumption (undesirable if trying to degrow) without an imposed restraint. This is perhaps easier within more authoritarian or stong leader type political structures – so Iran and Russia may be in position to do such.
Sanctions on Russia and Iran, in this regard, may have done them a favor – it has required them to look inward and to maximize their independence, slowed growth within a limited resource base and narrower import supply chain availability. Reduced their ability to get fat & lazy and acclimated them to percieved sacrifice/contentment outside of a world focused on “keeping up with the jones.”
The slight chance of a controlled degrowth would, to me, seem facilitated by not climbing any higher on the ladder and attempting to timely reinvent missing rungs below in such a manner that a semi-stable descent path might be identified as feasible. Russia has some practice in this – having redeveloped some industial capacities & competencies that were lost or exported during the dark years of the ’90s pre-Putin.
In this light identification of “core countries” would be based upon potential for energy autonomy after projecting potential contraction of supply chains from global to then regional followed by further fracturing to allied countries and finally to a country or even sub-state basis using both total energy/capita and sufficient food energy/capita independence of the semi-autonomous and finally autonomous areas – If a country can draw back on its current exports with small degradation of its internal per capita standards then it may have an opportunity to degrow. For countries that living standards wrt energy/capita and food/capita already exceed their autonomous capability of providing such or will not be able to maintain with upcoming restrictions on extended supply chains the feasibility of degrowing seems unlikely without integration (probably by force) of additional resources from more endowed but lesser energy/capita economy countries (2nd or 3rd World.)
With Energy/capita and food/capita sufficiency as a guide the lesser much lower probability path toward being a “core country” is the option of population reduction. Ultimately this is the only feasible path for high energy & high population 1st World countries that have limited resource reserves to consumption ratios (excepting possiblity for conquest or subjugation of “resource rich” territories)
It if often seems that early adopters should have the advantage during a paradigm change, but in fact Goldilocks timing is critical – too early realitive weakness makes vulnerable to conquest or insufficient knowledge and too many early mistakes that disadvantage relative to later adopters who benefit from the mistakes of others – too late and resource reserves are depleted beyond requirements for stable degrowth or the ladder has been climbed too high and not possible to survive the decent.
Starting to look at Recoverable Resource Reserves, Production & Consumption for Oil, Coal & Gas – perhaps will have to add in major Hydro & Nuke to rank Countries or groups of countries with positive balance of Total Energy Reserves/Capita and by current Production life/Capita & Consumption life/capital. Database deficient here so dottering in my senility with manually compiled marginal freeware spreadsheet. So far identified the top 90% Oil Reserves, Consumption, Prodution & Top 90% Coal Reserve countries..will piddle on unless someone can direct me to a magical place where down to the 20 or so countries whose overlapping venn diagrams for each resource contain 90% of the World’s energy resources with totalized per capita consolidated into one summary table is already laid out?
I see that Dr Tim Morgan has new post out (havent read yet) – believe he is trending toward discussing degrowth feasibily and maintenance of economies using his SEEDS modeling of shifts in discretionary spending toward necessities and relative prosperity of countries.
https://surplusenergyeconomics.wordpress.com/
I think that this is an interesting point you make:
A country doesn’t want to be China, with the huge demands being placed on its resources.
I am not of the view that Resources/Consumption means anything at all. The price has to rise high enough to get resources out. The whole system has to work.
I am the view that simplification has to take place, something that Tim Morgan talks about in his post. We are seeing this in shorter menus at restaurants.
I am told that is happening in town as well… much shorter menus. Attributed to staff shortages.
DeGrowth… is not viable.
Hahaha… if they didn’t test positive then why isolate? Oh right…
However, health officials have said household members can go about their normal routine while a returnee is isolating at their house.
“While in isolation, the household members that the person has not travelled with can come and go as normal unless the traveller returns a positive test,” a Ministry of Health spokesperson said.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/covid-19-omicron-outbreak-expert-airs-fears-on-households-of-returnees-being-allowed-to-come-and-go-as-they-please-during-self-isolation/2OTDOCC6JBXGG2ETOAN4UH6DPM/
norm – why?
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?facet=none&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=~ISR&Metric=Confirmed+deaths
“USA swimming updates transgender policy after college athlete beats rivals by record-smashing 38 seconds” – Participants in women’s events will now have to have recorded low levels of testosterone for 36 months prior to competing
https://www.newstalkzb.co.nz/news/sport/usa-swimming-updates-transgender-policy-after-college-athlete-beats-rivals-by-record-smashing-38-seconds/
hahahaha…. it’s a man!!!
https://news-sports.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/Lia-Thomas.jpg
Hmmm… he/she/it may have some competition
https://arc-anglerfish-eu-central-1-prod-leparisien.s3.amazonaws.com/public/PKAFA6CYKQIT7CLBTZ6DQVSCFQ.jpg
Could the female swimmers find sharks that identify as women to take their places?
This is all a heap of rubbish … cuz we’re going Israel shortly…
However … notice there is not a single mention of ‘focused protection’…. the old diseased bags are not even being warned (as they are in flu season) to limit contacts…
Nope – they are all triple vaxxed so they are safe hahahaha .. just like they are safe in Australia, Israel and other highly vaxxed places with record deaths involving fully vaxxed MOREONS
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/covid-19-omicron-outbreak-nz-reopens-border-from-february-28-most-returnees-can-self-isolate-no-miq/CMUN2XHWHWMD4V5IRLCCWDWVVY/
This is gonna be priceless when these CovIDIOTS get hit — like a shovel to the back of the head
I Can’t Wait (ICW)
This shit is a clear sign of the sick state of the first world – god, if you’re there, help us!
The Elders are transforming the word into an even more twisted f789ed up dystopia filled with freaks and feeding the most vile hard core p o rn to 8 yr olds….and encouraging twerking and total imbeclity … along with K-Pop and Bieber rubbish … then addicting everyone to Android devices…
So that they lose all touch and wander aimlessly through life — in dead end jobs… so that they welcome the Pfizer poison .. they embrace it… they year for extinction.
“Neil Young, the Incidental(?) Prophet of Pfizer” – Half of his catalogue is owned by an investment fund with ties to BlackStone, suggesting a possible commercial motivation for calling for a ban on the questioning of vaccines
https://tessa.substack.com/p/neil-young-pfizer
Tori B. Powell CBS News
Wed, February 2, 2022, 5:01 PM
Residents in the area near a North Carolina fertilizer plant that caught fire Monday night are urged to stay away from their homes for an “undetermined” amount of time, as a massive amount of ammonium nitrate within the burning facility is at risk of an explosion, officials said Wednesday.
“At the beginning of this incident there was enough ammonium nitrate on hand for this to be one of the worst explosions in U.S. history,” Winston-Salem fire chief William “Trey” Mayo said at a press conference Wednesday.
The fire broke out at about 6:30 p.m. on Monday at the Winston Weaver Company Fertilizer plant in Winston-Salem, North Carolina. No injuries have been reported and all employees are accounted for, officials said.
According to Mayo, there were nearly 600 tons of ammonium nitrate and 5,000 tons of finished fertilizer at the facility.
At high temperatures, ammonium nitrate can create toxic nitrogen oxide and ammonia and can cause an explosion. It is the chemical compound behind the deadly 2020 Beirut port explosion and a 2013 blast at a fertilizer plant in Texas that killed 14 people and injured nearly 200 others.
This should help the supply situation for fertilizer
“Why Are Myocarditis Rates Surging in Europe?” – Rav Arora reviews some worrying data in the Epoch Times.
https://www.theepochtimes.com/why-are-myocarditis-rates-surging-in-europe_4250397.html
This is Katrina. A healthy 28 year old who now suffers from paralysis, chest pains, amnesia and more from the Pfizer Vaccine.
“I am being neglected by medical professionals scared to lose their jobs. I just want my life back or at least a little of it back.”
https://twitter.com/Storiesofinjury/status/1489110003264802819
https://www.covidvaccineinjuries.com/covid-vaccine-stories/katrina-hermez-28-year-old-suffers-extreme-adverse-reactions-from-pfizer-covid-vaccine/
She looks like the type.. who would post a vaxxie… she made the decision like BILLIONS of other MOREONS….
On June 27th 2021 I made the decision like millions of other people to have the Pfizer Vaccine because I believed, (as don’t forget…we were told) this would protect us and the people around us. Now a proven lie.
Emperor Fast Eddy … has decided:
https://i.pinimg.com/736x/6e/9d/bb/6e9dbbb0152429701e6dbb5ccd8a9cf9.jpg
https://www.covidvaccineinjuries.com/mt-content/uploads/2022/02/thumbnails/119885658_343442613469266_6194138940256735400_n_l_1200x1200.jpg
Yet my life has completely been turned upside down and now I cannot leave the house without someone’s help and my walking stick. I seem to be getting a multitude of new symptoms as the days go by. Blood in my ear, my ears aching everyday and the ringing and dizziness doesn’t go away. I struggle to write emails or read because most of the time I’m completely dissociated from life and I get frequent migraines after reading.
I’ve had four episodes of severe temporary full body paralysis and slurred speech that takes a while to recover from. I’ve also had four less severe episodes that involve having my friends find me on the floor or unable to move and respond normally and having to pick me up. That would be a total of eight episodes since November.
I went from being a really healthy 28 year old girl who didn’t get sick for three years (not even a cold) that runs nearly everyday to needing a walking stick/ sometimes a wheelchair and being assigned carers as well as not being able to work at all because of my illness.
She used to be pretty hot … till Pfizer
https://twitter.com/i/status/1489110003264802819
As many financial experts have warned, the debt is growing exponentially. The visualization is definitely eye catching
“America’s $30 Trillion Debt In One Stunning Visualization“
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/americas-30-trillion-debt-one-stunning-visualization
no big deal.
$50 T easily by later this decade.
at near zero interest rates, even $100 T might be no big deal.
it’s energy issues that will collapse IC sooner or later.
for now, no one in the Core will be joining the Collapse Club.
What cannot continue… will stop
BAU is … no longer viable BAUNLV
norm… israel? or are you still working on Australia?
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?facet=none&Metric=Confirmed+deaths&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=~ISR
The “change in debt to change in GDP” ratio must be going through the roof. It is really total debt that counts, but total debt has been going through the roof as well as governmental debt.
After the covid crisis, debt seems to be uncontrollable. What is the best way to take control of the current situation?
(Rhetorical question that Steve Keen asks himself June 2021)
He was on balance best understandting of 2007-8 crisis and at least uses dynamic systems analysis approach (MINSKI) to analyze his positions) One of few economists looking to integrate energy back into economic theory. Know you aware of but not always easy keep up with him.
https://braveneweurope.com/steve-keen-what-is-the-role-of-public-debt-and-private-debt-in-the-next-great-financial-crisis
For anyone with interest snippet of Steve Keen’s answer:
“The first thing to focus on is that it’s the private debt level that is the real problem. Secondly, it’s not the absolute level of debt that is the problem, but the ratio of debt to GDP. So we have to do something that reduces that ratio.”
I am not entirely in agreement with Steve Keen. I don’t think he understands the resource shortage issue and how it is likely to play out. Rising ratios of debt to GDP keep countries going, while there are plenty of fossil fuels to extract. But once regrowth starts, the debt bubbles will collapse pretty much everywhere, at whatever level, I expect.
10+ years ago I watched Steve Keen explain the energy issue using a balloon…inflate deflate over and over inside a box… then it exploded
“Why Canada’s truckers will lose” – They are driving into a merciless political establishment structured to resist revolt
https://unherd.com/2022/02/why-canadas-truckers-will-lose/
This article reads like it has been written by a friend of Trudeau. The first few comments do not support the writer’s opinions.
They’ve collected millions of dollars from supporters … and many are insisting they will remain in Ottawa till they get what they want… this has the potential to drag on for a long time… certainly longer than the coward Trudunce can pretend to have Covid
Maybe they will load him into the ICU and hook him up to a ventilator and claim he’s in critical condition hahahaha
There follows a letter from an NHS Clinical Scientist of some 25 years – currently employed at an NHS University Hospital Trust but who has just resigned – to Health Secretary Sajid Javid to tell him why she is quitting over the complicity of the health service in the national scandal that is the Covid vaccine rollout. The letter is presented here anonymously under the pseudonym LTB, but the Daily Sceptic has seen a copy of the original and confirmed LTB’s identity.
January 21st 2022
Dear Hon Sajid Javid, Secretary of State for Health and Social Care,
My name is LTB and I am an NHS Clinical Scientist with a quarter of a century of experience, currently employed at an NHS University Hospital Trust. Not for long: I have resigned.
The reasons are numerous and all connected to the COVID-19 mass vaccination campaign.
Like thousands of other healthcare workers, I have had misgivings about these vaccines from the outset, on both ethical and safety grounds.
Although the ethical issue has been sidelined by the current pressing concerns on the safety profile of these vaccines, nevertheless the use of cell-lines from aborted foetuses has been and remains at the forefront of my conscience. As a healthcare professional, I believe that the right to conscientious objection is also a duty of care towards society and, ultimately, protects the very essence of our humanity.
A core principle in healthcare is to ensure that patients are given free access to all information, to enable them to make a proper and informed choice about any treatment. As a scientist, I have been and still am gravely concerned about the Government and NHS misrepresentation of these vaccines as ‘safe and effective’ – a mantra still promoted by our Government and media, despite the overwhelming evidence demonstrating otherwise of the MHRA Yellow Card scheme and worldwide databases for reporting adverse effects.
Worryingly, the great majority of GPs have not being raising awareness of this scheme, leading to significant under-reporting and, consequently, under-estimation of the actual situation. I personally have spoken to people who, after experiencing bad reactions to the first dose, have been encouraged by doctors to continue regardless and take the second, with serious consequences for their health.
They had never heard of the MHRA Yellow Card scheme and wouldn’t know how to make a report. Misinformation starts from the seniors: I have been told (in writing) by Human Resources senior staff at my hospital that that vaccines have been “licensed”, genuinely oblivious to the fact that MHRA has granted only emergency approval.
https://dailysceptic.org/2022/02/02/read-the-letter-from-an-nhs-clinical-scientist-to-sajid-javid-on-why-she-is-quitting-over-the-covid-vaccines/
https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/stew-peters-episode-on-spontaneous
That’s a lot of wasted meat… how about a Fetus Fry Up … Feed it to the MOREONS?
US military data also shows a 3X increase in cancer in 2021 compared to the previous 5 year average.
2022 is only the second year of the long term study of the side effects of these toxic spike protein “vaccines”.
the unjabbed control group should continue to not comply.
for the billions of jabbed around the world:
tick tock, tick tock, tick tock…
will it go to 9X in 2022?
mike — check it out bud
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?facet=none&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=~ISR&Metric=Confirmed+deaths
Following his initial announcement, Rapaport hit back at criticism from anti-vaxxers who mocked him for getting COVID-19 despite being vaccinated against the virus.
“Nobody said if you get vaccinated you won’t catch corona you dumb f—-, you,” he said in the video.
https://people.com/tv/michael-rapaport-out-as-wendy-williams-show-guest-host-tests-positive-for-covid-19/
Oh? https://twitter.com/Lukewearechange/status/1463932846570192901
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Shell-Is-Betting-Big-On-Namibias-Oil-Boom.html
We are saved !!! Tons more oil!!
wooooooo!!!!!!!
bAU to 2040!
I was sure about 2030, but this is a “game changer”!
at least for The Core.
oil is infinite!
How about some figures?
tiny!
maybe 300 million barrels max, or about 3 days worth of average world usage.
even the net profit for Namibia would be tiny.
This is what passes for a huge discovery … when the tank is nearly empty
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/geology-insider-explains-why-global-energy-crisis-going-get-much-much-worse
What’s interesting about this article is the comment section they throw every argument to support we aren’t running into limits of oil production. I remember when they used to post Gails papers they would attack her if she was Greta 🙄. I still keep looking maybe there is some easily discoverable oil Still out there.
What if the Venezuela oil fields can be easily developed? What if technology will allow Saudi Arabia to pump more oil? I deal with these arguments a lot from people on the right there is so much oil out there they say 300 years worth. I’m not entirely convinced that they are not correct yet. I think it is still up for debate.
oil in the ground has a price
oil doesn’t have value until you extract and convert it into something else.
that is the critical oil factor that most choose to ignore—we have oil for 300 years—whoopee BAU forever!
unfortunately BAU needs all the other ‘stuff’ that makes the world work.
and that ‘stuff’ needs to increase in quantity year on year, or the world stops.
right now we are having to use more and more ‘stuff’ for the actual business of energy conversion.
Good points!
Venezuela doesn’t have much oil left, it has tarsands.
The huge deposits there are wrongly called oil.
As for Saudi Arabia, it’s the old diminishing returns problem. They could perhaps produce more, but at what cost? Already I understand nearly all of what comes out of Ghawar is water which has to be pumped back in to try and float up more oil. They could do with some nice new oil fields, but there are none.
I wouldn’t pay much attention to what Zero Hedge commenters think about anything, they tend to be very poorly informed.
The heavy oil of Venezuela is a significant part of Venezuela’s “proved reserves.” In fact, Venezuela is reported to have the highest oil reserves in the world, ahead of Saudi Arabia and Canada (with its “oil sands.”) These are the kinds of things that people are basing their belief on that we can continue pumping for 50 or more years.
the oil arithmetic is very simple
oil well used to deliver an EROEI around 100 : 1
now the best wells (in saudi) deliver about 20:1
which means we have to run 5x faster to stay where we are
This excess mortality analysis belongs somewhere in the comments if its not already. Quite damning. https://twitter.com/EthicalSkeptic/status/1488961428027592711?s=20&t=XFdJgilkO233s_OLVfWCJQ
That no longer matters because those who have been injected with the Vax and have had NO problems will tell you it’s safe and there’s no reason to fear the vaccine. Those who have done their research and have listened to the experts in the field say otherwise. It’s a personal decision.
Uhm 120k deaths and counting….this will likely become apparent to the average citizen. I can’t fathom how the societal blowback will not be massive.
https://worldedge.substack.com/p/reverse-aids-part-ii-the-toll-of?r=1187hi&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
This looks like another interesting hypothesis with respect to what is going wrong. I am by no means an expert in biology. The human body is so complex that we need to guard against changes that could be extremely harmful.
You haven’t studied denial…
norm mike… what could it be… if you put your great minds to this I am sure you will work it out…
Then you can focus on Australia?
And what about IsraHELL WOW
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?facet=none&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=~ISR&Metric=Confirmed+deaths
It used to be Normie, mSpike, Dunc Idunno and Annie git ya gun; now we are down to Normie and mSpike. What happened? Get boosted off the planet or slunk away?
I miss the combination of the tone deaf four tremors. Now we merely have the two factor authentication boys. They are stayers and I will miss their missives when the needle punctures them for the final act.
norm and mike can’t be too long for this world given they’d destroyed their immune systems and Let er Rip is the new policy.
Hey guys.. can we get you to hook up Fit Big Monitors and broadcast your status to a feed on OFW… that way we can know when it all goes downhill.
The piper is here to collect his fees
One question in comments; how will actuaries deal with these numbers?
Non convid VJaxx deaths will increase premiums methinks.
In a sane world… the unvaxxed would realize lower premiums …. similar to non-smokers…
In a truly sane world… life insurance policies of vaxxed people would be cancelled – or denied.
These poisoned CovIDIOTS are a Pandora’s Box of deadly diseases waiting to happen
They should also be denied private health cover because the insurers will end up bankrupt.
Come to think of it — f789 em —- don’t allow them to clog up the hospitals… turn all vaxxed away from the Emergency Department … now THAT would be karma… in action (KIA)
Most US health insurance is through employers. It mostly covers hospitalization and physician costs, rather than wage loss. These policies are experience rated, so most of the costs go back to the employers, quite quickly. If employers cover wage loss, this also is a direct cost of employers.
So, what happens is that employers are the ones with the big push for vaccines because they are concerned that the unvaccinated are more likely to incur more hospital costs and physician costs. Furthermore, they are concerned that their employees will be out of work more. The military is one such group that is concerned about medical costs and people out of work, I would expect.
The real impact of COVID (and the response to COVID) has been different. A lot of people, especially non-working older people, postponed or omitted elective surgeries and regular physician visits. I am fairly sure that Medicare costs fell in 2020. Quite a few doctors received pay cuts, and nurses were laid off. I expect that people who were vaccinated represent the most frightened group. They were the ones most likely to postpone visits in 2020, and to get vaccinated in 2021. This year, there seems to be some of this same behavior.
The year 2021 led to more COVID cases than 2020, and different impacts than 2020. And 2022 is different yet. Employers and their insurers will be looking at amounts actually paid to hospitals and physicians, by the vaccinated and the unvaccinated, I expect. This new information will affect the extent to which employers are “pushing” for vaccination in years ahead.
It is the people who refuse to be vaccinated who are asking, “What does this vaccine do to my long-term health outlook? How does the vaccine (or repeated vaccination) change my life expectancy? How does this vaccine affect my chance of having a serious injury?” The ones who know about vitamin D and ivermectin and their benefit are especially hesitant to get vaccinated, because they know that the effect of the virus can be greatly reduced by their own personal actions; they don’t need the vaccine for a reduced chance of a bad outcome. They can handle this issue themselves, especially if they aren’t too elderly and don’t have a lot of co-morbidities.
It is the two different perspectives that leads to the wide disparity of responses to the vaccine.
I have not included in this discussion the growing knowledge of how the vaccine actually works, as the virus mutates and as more booster shots are given. What looked like a good idea before might not really be such a good idea at all, based on the problems that trying to vaccinate everyone create. We know about antibiotic resistance for bacteria. We seem to be encouraging something similar for the virus. There are also questions about damage to the immune systems of those repeatedly being injected with the vaccines. Furthermore, high vaccination rates seem to be associated with spikes in COVID cases. This, by itself, argues against widespread vaccination.
So, what happens is that employers are the ones with the big push for vaccines because they are concerned that the unvaccinated are more likely to incur more hospital costs and physician costs.
Hahaha… so they gonna get smashed with big bills… cuz they drank the kool aid…
Thanks! I hadn’t seen that before. The big increase in deaths in the younger ages at least somewhat coincides with the time Delta was going through, and the time insurance companies have been complaining about high death payments.
I believe that there are finer causes of death coded somewhere. It may be that someone can look at this a bit more. It certainly has been strange. Delayed reactions to vaccines?
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F662d9f97-2783-4b08-8758-016d34e8c674_2047x1738.jpeg
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb04402cd-cc1e-4866-a859-74088ae34af6_960x596.jpeg
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5d7a0984-a7db-471f-b78f-ece4eff3334c_900x644.png
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F28c1cd12-7756-4701-8f1f-5776c7235762_576x1024.jpeg
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F52eecd5a-e7c7-45f8-9524-ded1aef52a29_620x360.jpeg
If there was every any doubt that he is an actor … watch the video … he’s not even a decent actor
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/perspective-from-the-great-white
In that video he contradicts himself with what he says now, but – above all – he is ridiculous!
There is not a politician on the planet who is just like Trudunce… not a single one is a decent person whose primary goal is to do the right thing…
Nobody who fits that bill would ever get into politics… and if they did they’d quickly realize the game … and exit
I think I have mentioned that I used to play hockey with a guy who considered this — captain of an Ivy League hockey team… McGill law school … Wall Street law firm … Goldman Sachs MD.. Rhodes Scholar… who now has a hedge fund…squeaky clean (we were never that close … as we didn’t have much in common… as you can imagine)… he was recruited by one of the two big parties in Canada and offered a shot at the top job… he thought about and said f789 you… why would I who re myself out…
Good people … don’t stoop to this level… you get corrupt filth and ego maniacs applying … the worst scum of society end up as professional politicians…
Trudunce is nothing more than an opportunist feeding off his step father’s name (everyone knows Castro is his father … or maybe mick jagger… his mother was a full on skank … there is the chance he was conceived with a roadie in a toilet stall at a Dead concert… who knows)
As a hedgie, more money, and much more fun.
Why be a minor political puppet and have to talk nonsense all the time?
Sorry to start a new thread but- took a pledge not to directly reply to Mike’s comments on the off chance? he is getting paid by the # of replies.
Mike’s recent comment (CAPS emphasis mine):
“Some prominent substackers have become very wealthy from paid subscribers. They would lose their subscribers if they just towed the official line. My GUESS is that they will always argue against the official line because that’s what their subscribers lap up and, thus, what makes them rich”
Here is with another one of his “guess” comments which he started with a few days back.
He really thinks substackers are lying to make a buck and implicity calling them out on their “conflict of interest”….hhmmmm…like Steve Kirsch needs the money?
Of course mention Fauci (or any other “authority”) with any suggestion of conflict of interest or dishonesty..tada.. Mike and his ilk are right there defending and dismissing – demanding the proof or nitpicking the minor detail while ignoring the main thrust of the argument – or when given the proof ignore, never respond, and continue to make the same “there is no proof – that’s just an antecdote”
The hypocrazy (sic-lol) is just too much! I know – waste of time – I just spittin in the wind.
I will say – it does seem that Mike has gotten a bit erratic – perhaps the Jabs he has taken are messing with his brain? Nah dont get that checked Mike – Vax injuries those are all lies just to put money in bloggers pockets. /s
We do need people with differences of opinion, however.
Endlessly attacking them is not beneficial.
Okey dokey – didnt see it so much as an attack rather point out the hypocrisy of his replies – If you make a good faith reply to one of his absurdities with evidence countering his “facts” they are ignored and he continues on spouting the same trollish garbage. Not sayin he doesnt make the periodic attempt to support his assertions but that is the rarity.
Others have expressed opinion that he is a troll, not looking to add anything of value to the discussion
I dont have time to look for it but recently I know one of his replies to one of your comments dismissingly consisted of something like (not exact quote but)
Mike Roberts says:
“implies”? – “opinion”?
seemed condescending and in bad faith to me, but more than happy to disengage. Sayanara
No, it’s not rare. It’s the norm. What is rare is that when I point out potential or probable errors in some argument, I get a reasoned discussion about those points. That is rare to non-existent. You’re right though, my guess is just a “guess” because there is no way anyone can know the future. And no-one except those close to the person are likely to know for certain if that is the driver of past comments.
Why mike?
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?facet=none&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=~ISR&Metric=Confirmed+deaths
What’s mike’s claim to fame?
Endless stooopidity is the problem.
no eddy
vowel dyslexia is the problem
I’m just saying that many of the people often quoted here have a vested interest in voicing the opinions they do. If they followed the main narrative, their subscribers would dry up. By all means consider their arguments and do due diligence but don’t just think that because they wrote it, it has some weight. It’s a nice earner for many of them.
How’d you like this all night long … https://youtu.be/d4vzuoCeKak?t=31370
City life – isn’t it grand – after 5 days of non-stop truck horns everyone living there is gonna have a permanent case of tinnutus?
Now actually have excuse for saying “Ehh”!
Extremists! https://counterspinmedia.com/live-stream/
Or Hosers?
Excess mortality: deaths from all causes compared to projections based on prior years; my view, it is due to the vaccine, and can I say 100%, well NO, but tell me what else can explain this?
https://palexander.substack.com/p/excess-mortality-deaths-from-all
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1f75ff8-264f-44d7-b877-15a45410e3f1_3400x2400.png
The post doesn’t say anything, beyond giving the chart. I would rather have had a post from Dr. Alexander that said more.
Poison https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/farmed-salmon-most-toxic-food
I don’t buy farmed salmon. It becomes frustrating because we have reached sufficient limits that there are few good solutions.
Wild fish (of almost any type) is available in insufficient quantity for everyone who wants to buy fish. It tends to be high-priced. As the article points out, it tends to be polluted, as well.
A person gets to the point that the only option is something close to a vegetarian diets, with plants. Eggs, milk, yogurt, and cheese get to be the only animal products, and even these need to be watched to keep down the amount of antibiotics and undesirable inputs.
Of course meat is chock full of hormones and other toxic garbage — particularly that raised in the US.
We are able to get organic eggs, chicken and non hormone grass beef in NZ at not ridiculous prices… we used to have an organic veg shop but that closed when Covid arrived as they relied heavily on tourists stocking up their caravans… I grow most of our veg for summer and maybe half of the winter veg (brassicas grow in winter as it doesn’t get very cold)
For most people even if they want to avoid the toxins it’s a struggle… but most don’t give a shit — they are happy to eat Happy Meals and Domino’s (cheese stuffed crust).
Soooo EEEEEEEEE…. we got us so many Big Ol Hogs cuz they don’t give a shit hahahahaahaha
And why not – it ain’t like we’ve got much longer to live … and nobody lives forever anyway
They are trying everything in the book imaginable. You cannot make this stuff up.
https://montrealgazette.com/news/local-news/diesel-fumes-bring-risk-of-serious-health-issues-for-centretown-residents-experts-say
That’s funny. The truckers could demand, “Trudeau! If you don’t want your precious citizens at increased risk of inflammation, asthma attacks, cardiovascular disease, and strokes then drop the f*$&ing vax mandates! Otherwise, we’re gonna keep burning diesel!”
Alberta, Canada data, # of days from 1st jab to infection & hospitalization; the graph is telling a damaging story, especially for the 1st jab, that you are at great risk of becoming case/hospitalized
Can you see how clear the peak is and it tapers off but it is clear that from day 0 to about day 5, one is at huge risk of being infected and even being hospitalized
https://palexander.substack.com/p/alberta-canada-data-of-days-from
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0069780b-b313-46eb-8053-282fb84d04b2_1920x1020.png
The first two weeks after the first shot look extremely risky. A person is likely to get sick and land in the hospital.
And, most importantly, be counted as one of the Unjacked for statistical purposes!
The data is spiked mSpike.
AND have a large portion of vax injuries, which mostly occur within the first 14 days, counted as unjacked covid cases.
this is intentional distortion.
1. there has never been a successful coronavirus vaccine.
2. there never ever will be.
the global vaccine program is a total failure.
++++++
And not be counted as Vaxxed
And that it is only for short period adverse effect.
There are then the medium and long term effects too.
After requests the pharmaceutical companies just said they don’t know because it is simply the first time we do.
And the first hour for those with an allergic reaction to the contents.
I suspect that sch people are not required in the vaxxed-up future planned for us: and this is also why the military are being doe.
Looking at the chart again, I wonder about the peak in cases for the double vaccinated at 180 days. Is that because the vaccine “wears off” then?
It would be interesting to see this data for a wider group than just Alberta. Alberta population is about 4.4 million.
haha https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/boy-meets-gel-neil-youngs-song-for-sanitised-sweethearts/
The date of the earliest fossils with indisputably modern human characteristics has been pushed back to 230,000 years ago.
They lived in a geologically active rift valley in East Africa that was very prone to natural disasters, which suggests that our species has been very resilient since its origins. Today, humans live all over the globe, in all sorts of conditions, from the jungles, to the mountains, to the deserts, to the artic and everywhere in between.
Humans can often be cast in some circles as almost a ‘suicidal’ species but the historical evidence may actually be quite contrary to that. Energetic, civilisational and population collapses do periodically happen, and that is not unusual for species generally, which tend to go through ‘boom and bust’ cycles along the way.
So, our very origins in the rift valley, and our extraordinary, perennial adaptability would tend to reinforce long-term resilience despite that pattern of periodical collapse that is common to species generally. As was mentioned recently, humans have been through very severe bottlenecks in our evolution before, and the collapse of industrial civilisation may well be another such ‘incident’.
It is likely that we would emerge all the stronger for it, as change implies fresh adaptation. Humans are constantly in flux, like everything else in the cosmos. None of that is to play down the ‘seriousness’ of the present predicament, but a wider perspective does tend to frame the long-term human situation in a positive light.
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2022/01/220112121507.htm
> Earliest human remains in eastern Africa dated to more than 230,000 years ago
The age of the oldest fossils in eastern Africa widely recognised as representing our species, Homo sapiens, has long been uncertain. Now, dating of a massive volcanic eruption in Ethiopia reveals they are much older than previously thought.
The remains — known as Omo I — were found in Ethiopia in the late 1960s, and scientists have been attempting to date them precisely ever since, by using the chemical fingerprints of volcanic ash layers found above and below the sediments in which the fossils were found.
An international team of scientists, led by the University of Cambridge, has reassessed the age of the Omo I remains — and Homo sapiens as a species. Earlier attempts to date the fossils suggested they were less than 200,000 years old, but the new research shows they must be older than a colossal volcanic eruption that took place 230,000 years ago. The results are reported in the journal Nature.
The Omo I remains were found in the Omo Kibish Formation in southwestern Ethiopia, within the East African Rift valley. The region is an area of high volcanic activity, and a rich source of early human remains and artefacts such as stone tools. By dating the layers of volcanic ash above and below where archaeological and fossil materials are found, scientists identified Omo I as the earliest evidence of our species, Homo sapiens.
…. “Unlike other Middle Pleistocene fossils which are thought to belong to the early stages of the Homo sapiens lineage, Omo I possesses unequivocal modern human characteristics, such as a tall and globular cranial vault and a chin,” said co-author Dr Aurélien Mounier from the Musée de l’Homme in Paris. “The new date estimate, de facto, makes it the oldest unchallenged Homo sapiens in Africa.”
The researchers say that while this study shows a new minimum age for Homo sapiens in eastern Africa, it’s possible that new finds and new studies may extend the age of our species even further back in time.
“We can only date humanity based on the fossils that we have, so it’s impossible to say that this is the definitive age of our species,” said Vidal. “The study of human evolution is always in motion: boundaries and timelines change as our understanding improves. But these fossils show just how resilient humans are: that we survived, thrived and migrated in an area that was so prone to natural disasters.”
“It’s probably no coincidence that our earliest ancestors lived in such a geologically active rift valley — it collected rainfall in lakes, providing fresh water and attracting animals, and served as a natural migration corridor stretching thousands of kilometres,” said Oppenheimer. “The volcanoes provided fantastic materials to make stone tools and from time to time we had to develop our cognitive skills when large eruptions transformed the landscape.”
“Our forensic approach provides a new minimum age for Homo sapiens in eastern Africa, but the challenge still remains to provide a cap, a maximum age, for their emergence, which is widely believed to have taken place in this region,” said co-author Professor Christine Lane, head of the Cambridge Tephra Laboratory where much of the work was carried out. “It’s possible that new finds and new studies may extend the age of our species even further back in time.”
Thanks! Pre-humans were already cooking using controlled fire, well before this time, I believe. At least one million years ago.
First civilisation
Alpha man ’Make Yum Yum when Great Light high in sky! ‘Put Yum Yum on flat black rock! Burn fast on rock, Alpha man like egg runny! Ahhh YUM YUM! Throw rock away after……… BONK!… Ohh rock find first Alpha women!
Like my great-uncle cooking eggs on the burning metal of his tank in the Libyan desert. Distinct absence of women there, though.
This period, if someone could tell about it, might be described in the future as ‘jab bottleneck’
Army to immediately start discharging vaccine refusers; my view is if any solider dies and they have already, all involved including Defense Secretary, must be tried and imprisoned; there is no basis
https://palexander.substack.com/p/army-to-immediately-start-discharging
Why inject your military with an experiment … unless you were planning an extinction?
And we know its the real deal – cuz the whistle blowers have told us of the epic increases in bad outcomes