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Recent Posts
- Models Hide the Shortcomings of Wind and Solar
- The bumpy road ahead for the world economy
- The Fed Cannot Fix Today’s Energy Inflation Problem
- When the Economy Gets Squeezed by Too Little Energy
- Ramping up wind turbines, solar panels and electric vehicles can’t solve our energy problem
- 2023: Expect a financial crash followed by major energy-related changes
- The economy is moving from a tailwind pushing it along to a headwind holding it back
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Academic Articles
- An analysis of China's coal supply and its impact on China's future economic growth
- An Oil Production Forecast for China Considering Economic Limits
- Analysis of resource potential for China's unconventional gas and forecast for its long-term production growth
- China's unconventional oil: A review of its resources and outlook for long-term production
- Financial Issues Affecting Energy Security
- Oil Supply Limits and the Continuing Financial Crisis
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Tag Archives: LNG exports
2022: Energy limits are likely to push the world economy into recession
In my view, the first item listed is critical at this time: Is the supply of cheap-to-produce energy products growing fast enough to keep the world economy operating and the debt bubble inflated? My analysis suggests that it is not. There are two parts to this problem:
[a] The cost of producing fossil fuels and delivering them to where they are needed is rising rapidly because of the effects of depletion. This higher cost cannot be passed on to customers, without causing recession. Politicians will act to keep prices low for the benefit of consumers. Ultimately, these low prices will lead to falling production because of inadequate reinvestment to offset depletion.
[b] Non-fossil fuel energy products are not living up to the expectations of their developers. They are not available when they are needed, where they are needed, at a low enough cost for customers. Electricity prices don’t rise high enough to cover their true cost of production. Subsidies for wind and solar tend to drive nuclear electricity out of business, leaving an electricity situation that is worse, rather than better. Rolling blackouts can be expected to become an increasing problem. Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged LNG exports, low oil prices, nuclear energy, oil limits
4,903 Comments
Ten Reasons Why a Severe Drop in Oil Prices is a Problem
Not long ago, I wrote Ten Reasons Why High Oil Prices are a Problem. If high oil prices can be a problem, how can low oil prices also be a problem? In particular, how can the steep drop in oil … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged crude exports, debt default, employment, LNG exports, low oil price, oil exporters, shale oil
1,055 Comments