2022: Energy limits are likely to push the world economy into recession

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In my view, there are three ways a growing economy can be sustained:

  1. With a growing supply of cheap-to-produce energy products, matched to the economy’s energy needs.
  2. With growing debt and other indirect promises of future goods and services, such as rising asset prices.
  3. With growing complexity, such as greater mechanization of processes and supply lines that extend around the world.

All three of these approaches are reaching limits. The empty shelves some of us have been seeing recently are testimony to the fact that complexity is reaching a limit. And the growth in debt looks increasingly like a bubble that can easily be popped, perhaps by rising interest rates.

In my view, the first item listed is critical at this time: Is the supply of cheap-to-produce energy products growing fast enough to keep the world economy operating and the debt bubble inflated? My analysis suggests that it is not. There are two parts to this problem:

[a] The cost of producing fossil fuels and delivering them to where they are needed is rising rapidly because of the effects of depletion. This higher cost cannot be passed on to customers, without causing recession. Politicians will act to keep prices low for the benefit of consumers. Ultimately, these low prices will lead to falling production because of inadequate reinvestment to offset depletion.

[b] Non-fossil fuel energy products are not living up to the expectations of their developers. They are not available when they are needed, where they are needed, at a low enough cost for customers. Electricity prices don’t rise high enough to cover their true cost of production. Subsidies for wind and solar tend to drive nuclear electricity out of business, leaving an electricity situation that is worse, rather than better. Rolling blackouts can be expected to become an increasing problem.

In this post, I will explore the energy-related issues that are contributing to the recessionary trends that the world economy is facing, starting later in 2022.

[1] World oil supplies are unlikely to rise very rapidly in 2022 because of depletion and inadequate reinvestment. Even if oil prices rise higher in the first part of 2022, this action cannot offset years of underinvestment.

Figure 1. Crude oil and liquids production quantities through 2020 based on EIA data. “IEA Estimate” adds IEA indicated increases in 2021 and 2022 to historical EIA liquids estimates. Tverberg Estimate relates to crude oil production.

The IEA, in its Oil Market Report, December 2021, forecasts a 6.4-million-barrel increase in world oil production in 2022 over 2021. Indications through September of 2021 strongly suggest that there was only a small rebound (about 1 million bpd) in the world’s oil production in 2021 compared to 2020. In my view, the IEA’s view that liquids production will increase by a huge 6.4 million barrels a day between 2021 and 2022 defies common sense.

The basic reason why oil production is low is because oil prices have been too low for producers since about 2012. Companies have had to cut back on developing new fields in higher cost areas because oil prices have not been high enough to justify such investments. For example, producers from shale formations could add new wells outside the rapidly depleting “core” regions if the oil price were much higher, perhaps $120 to $150 per barrel. But US WTI oil prices averaged only $57 per barrel in 2019, $39 per barrel in 2020, and $68 per barrel in 2021, so this new investment has not been started.

Recently, oil prices have been over $80 per barrel, but even this is considered too high by politicians. For example, countries are releasing oil from their strategic oil reserves to try to force oil prices down. The reason why politicians are interested in low oil prices is because if the price of oil rises, both the price of food and the cost of commuting are likely to rise, since oil is used in farming and in commuting. Inflation is likely to become a problem, making citizens unhappy. Wages will go less far, and politicians who allow high oil prices will be voted out of office.

[2] Natural gas production can be expected to rise by 1.6% in 2022, but this small increase will not be enough to meet the needs of the world economy.

Figure 2. Natural gas production though 2020 based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy. For 2020 and 2021, Tverberg estimates reflect increases similar to IEA indications, so only one indication is shown.

With natural gas production growing at a little less than 2% per year, a major issue is that there is not enough natural gas to “go around.” Natural gas is the smallest of the fossil fuels in quantity. We are depending on its growth to solve many problems, simultaneously:

  • To increase natural gas imports for countries whose own production is declining
  • To provide quick relief from inadequate production by wind turbines and solar panels, whenever such relief is needed
  • To offset declining coal consumption related to a combination of issues (depletion, high pollution, climate change concerns)
  • To help increase world electricity supply, as transportation and other processes are gradually electrified

Furthermore, the rate at which natural gas supply increases cannot easily be speeded up because (a) the development of new fields, (b) the development of transportation structures (pipeline or Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) ships), and (c) the development of storage facilities all require major upfront expenditures. All of these must be planned years in advance. They require huge amounts of resources of many kinds. The selling price of natural gas must be high enough to cover all of the resource and labor costs. For those familiar with the concept of Energy Returned on Energy Invested (EROEI), the basic problem is that the delivered EROEI falls too low when all of the many parts of the system are considered.

Storage is extremely important for natural gas because fluctuations tend to occur in the quantity of natural gas the overall system requires. For example, if stored natural gas is available, it can be used when wind turbines are not producing enough electricity. Also, a huge amount of energy is needed in winter to keep homes warm and to keep the lights on. If sufficient natural gas can be stored for months at a time, it can help provide this additional energy.

As a gas, natural gas is difficult to store. In practice, underground caverns are used for storage, assuming caverns of the right type are available. Trying to build storage, if such caverns are not available, is almost certainly an expensive undertaking. In theory, importing natural gas by pipeline or LNG can transfer the storage problem to LNG producers. This is not a satisfactory solution, however. Without adequate storage available to sellers, this means that natural gas can be extracted for only part of the year and LNG ships can only be used for part of the year. As a result, return on investment is likely to be poor.

Now, in 2022, we are hitting the issue of very slowly rising natural gas production head-on in many parts of the world. Countries that import natural gas without long-term contracts are facing spiking prices. Countries in Europe and Asia are especially affected. The United States has mostly been isolated from the spiking prices thanks to producing its own natural gas. Also, only a small portion of the natural gas produced by the US is exported (9% in 2020).

The reason for the small export percentage is because shipping natural gas as LNG tends to be very expensive. Long-distance LNG shipping only makes economic sense if there is a several dollar (or more) price differential between the buyer’s price and the seller’s costs that can be used to cover the high transport costs.

We now seem to be reaching a period of spiking natural gas prices, especially for countries importing natural gas without long-term contracts. If natural gas prices rise, this will tend to make electricity prices rise because natural gas is often burned to produce electricity. Products made with high-priced electricity will be less competitive in a world market. Individual citizens will become unhappy with their high cost of heat and light.

High natural gas prices can have very adverse consequences. In areas with high prices, products made using natural gas as a raw material will tend to be squeezed out. One such product is urea, used as a nitrogen fertilizer. With less nitrogen fertilizer available, food production is likely to fall. If food prices rise in response to short supply, consumers will tend to reduce discretionary spending to ensure that there are sufficient funds for food. A reduction in discretionary spending is one way recession starts.

Inadequate growth in world natural gas production can be expected to hit poor countries especially hard. For example, a recent article mentions LNG suppliers backing out of planned deliveries of LNG to Pakistan, given the high prices available elsewhere. Another article indicates that Kosovo, a poor country in Europe, is experiencing rolling blackouts. Eventually, if natural gas available for export remains limited in supply, electricity blackouts can be expected to spread more widely, to less poor parts of Europe and around the world.

[3] World coal production can be expected to decline, further pushing the world economy toward recession.

Figure 3 shows my estimate for world coal production, next to a recent IEA forecast.

Figure 3. Coal production through 2020 based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy. “IEA Estimate” adds IEA indicated increases to historical BP coal quantities. Tverberg Estimate provides lower estimates for 2021 and 2022, considering depletion issues.

Figure 3 shows that world coal consumption has not been rising for about a decade.

Coal seems to be having the same problem with rising costs as oil. The cost of producing the coal is rising because of depletion, but citizens cannot afford to pay more for end products made with coal, such as electricity, steel and solar panels. Coal producers need higher prices to cover their higher costs, but it becomes increasingly difficult to pass these higher costs on to consumers. This is because politicians want to keep electricity prices low to keep their citizens and businesses happy.

If the cost of electricity rises, the cost of goods made with high-priced electricity will tend to rise. Businesses will find their sales falling in response to higher prices. In turn, they will tend to lay off workers. This is a recipe for recession, but a slightly different one than the ones mentioned earlier. It also is a good way for politicians not to get re-elected. As a result, politicians will try to hide rising coal costs from customers. For example, laws may be enacted capping electricity prices that can be charged to customers. Because of this, some electricity companies may be forced out of business.

The decrease in coal production I am showing for 2022 is only 1%, but when this small reduction is combined with the growth problems shown for coal and oil and the rising world population, it means that world coal supplies will be stretched.

China is the world’s largest coal producer and consumer. A major concern is that the country has serious coal depletion problems. It has experienced rolling blackouts since the fall of 2020. It has tried to encourage its own production by limiting coal imports, thus keeping wholesale coal prices high for local producers. It also limits the extent to which high coal costs can be passed on to electricity customers. As a result, the 2021 profits of electricity companies are expected to be reduced.

[4] The US may have some untapped coal resources that could be tapped, if there is a plan to ship more natural gas to Europe and other areas in need of the fuel.

The possibility of additional US coal production occurs because coal production in the US seems to have occurred because of competition from incredibly inexpensive natural gas (Figure 4). To some extent, this low natural gas price results from laws prohibiting oil and gas companies from “flaring” (burning off) natural gas that is too expensive to produce relative to the price it can be sold for. Prohibitions against flaring are a type of mandated subsidy of natural gas production by the oil-producing portion of “Oil & Gas” companies. This required subsidy leads to part of the need for high oil prices, especially for companies drilling in shale formations.

Figure 4. US coal production amounts through 2020 are from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy. Amounts for 2021 and 2022 are estimated based on forecasts from EIA’s Short Term Energy Outlook. Natural gas prices are average annual Henry Hub spot prices per million Btus, based on EIA data.

A major reason why US coal extraction started to decline about 2009 is because a very large amount of shale gas production started becoming available then as a byproduct of oil production from shale. Oil producers were primarily interested in extracting oil because it (hopefully) sold for a high price. Natural gas was a byproduct whose collection was barely economic, given its low selling price. Also, the economy didn’t have uses, such as trucks powered by natural gas, for all of this extra natural gas production. Figure 4 suggests that wholesale natural gas prices dropped by close to half, in response to this extra supply.

With these low natural gas prices, as well as coal pollution concerns, a significant amount of US electricity production was switched from coal to natural gas. It is my view that this change left coal in the ground, potentially for later use. Thus, if natural gas prices rise again, US coal production could perhaps rise again. The catch, of course, is that many coal-fired electricity-generating plants in the US have been taken out of service. In addition, coal mines have been closed. Any increase in future coal production would likely take place very slowly because of the need for many simultaneous changes.

[5] On a combined basis, using Tverberg Estimates for 2021 and 2022, fossil fuel production in total takes a step down in 2020 and doesn’t rise much in 2021 and 2022.

Figure 5. Sum of Tverberg Estimates related to oil, coal, and natural gas. Oil includes natural gas liquids but not biofuels. Historical amounts are from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

Figure 5 shows that on a combined basis, the overall energy being provided by fossil fuels is likely to remain lower in 2021 and 2022 than it was in 2018 and 2019. This is concerning, because the economy cannot go back to its 2019 level of “openness” and optional travel for sightseers, without a big step up in energy supply, especially for oil.

This same figure shows that the production of the three fossil fuels is somewhat similar in quantity: Oil is the highest, coal is second, and natural gas comes in third. However, oil shows a step down in 2020’s production from which it has not recovered. Coal shows a smoother pattern of rise and eventual fall. So far, natural gas has mostly been rising, but not very steeply in recent years.

[6] Alternatives to fossil fuels are not living up to early expectations. Electricity from wind turbines and solar panels is not available when it is needed, requiring a great deal of back-up electricity generated by fossil fuels or nuclear. The total quantity of non-fossil fuel electricity is far too low. A transition now will simply lead to electricity blackouts and recession.

Figure 6 shows a summary of non-fossil fuel energy production for the years 2000 through 2020, without a projection to 2022. For clarification, wind and solar are part of the electrical renewables category.

Figure 6. World energy production for various categories, based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

Figure 6 shows that nuclear electricity production has been declining at the same time that the production of electrical renewables has been increasing. In fact, a significant decrease in nuclear electricity is planned in Europe in 2022. This reduction in nuclear electricity is part of what is causing the concern about electricity supply for Europe for 2022.

The addition of wind and solar to an electrical grid seems to encourage the closure of nuclear electricity plants, even if they have many years of safe production still ahead of them. This happens because wind and solar are given the subsidy of “going first,” if they happen to have electricity available. Wind and solar may also be subsidized in other ways.

The net result of this arrangement is that wholesale electricity prices set through competitive markets quite frequently fall too low for other electricity producers (apart from wind and solar). For example, wind and solar electricity that is produced during weekends may be unneeded because many businesses are closed. Electricity produced by wind and solar in the spring and fall may be unneeded because heating and cooling needs tend to be low at these times of the year. Wind and solar electricity providers are not asked to cut back supply because their production is unneeded; instead, low (or negative) prices encourage other electricity producers to cut back supply.

Nuclear electricity producers are particularly adversely affected by this pricing arrangement because they cannot save money by cutting back their output when wind and solar are over-producing electricity, relative to demand. This strange pricing arrangement leads to unacceptably low profits for many nuclear electricity providers. They may voluntarily choose to be closed. Local governments find that if they want to keep their nuclear electricity producers, they need to subsidize them.

Wind and solar, with their subsidies, tend to look more profitable to investors, even though they cannot support the economy without a substantial amount of supplementary electricity production from other electricity providers, which, perversely, they are driving out of business through their subsidized pricing structure.

The fact that wind and solar cannot be depended upon has become increasingly obvious in recent months, as coal, natural gas and electricity prices have spiked in Europe because of low wind production. In theory, coal and natural gas imports should make up the shortfall, at a reasonable price. But total volumes available for import have not been increasing in the quantities that consumers need them to increase. And, as mentioned above, nuclear electricity production is increasingly unavailable as well.

[7] The total quantity of non-fossil fuel energy supplies is not very large, relative to the quantity of fossil fuel energy. Even if these non-fossil fuel energy supplies increase at a trend rate similar to that in the recent past, they do not make up for the projected fossil fuel production deficit.

Figure 7. Total energy production, based on the fossil fuel estimates in Figure 5 together with non-fossil fuels in Figure 6.

With respect to anticipated future non-fossil fuel electricity generation, one issue is how much nuclear is being shut off. I would imagine these current closure schedules could change, if countries become aware that they may be facing rolling blackouts without nuclear.

A second issue is the growing awareness that renewables don’t really work as intended. Why add more if they don’t really work?

A third issue is new studies suggesting that prices being paid for locally generated electricity may be too generous. Based on such an analysis, California is proposing a major reduction to its payments for renewable-generated electricity, starting July 1, 2022. This type of change could reduce new installations of solar panels on homes in California. Other locations may decide to make similar changes.

I have shown two estimates of future non-fossil fuel energy supply in Figure 7. The high estimate reflects a 4.5% annual increase in the total supply, in line with recent past increases for the group in total. The lower one assumes that 2021 production is similar to that in 2020 (because of more nuclear being closed, for example). Production for 2022 represents a 5% decrease from 2021’s production.

Regardless of which assumption is made, growth in non-fossil fuel electricity supply is not very important in the overall total. The world economy is still mostly powered by fossil fuels. The share of non-fossil fuels relative to total energy ranges from 16% to 18% in 2020, based on my low and high estimates.

[8] The energy narrative we are being told is mostly the narrative that politicians would like us to believe, rather than the narrative that historians and physicists would develop.

Politicians would like us to believe that we live in a world of everlasting economic growth and that the only thing we should fear is climate change. They base their analyses on models by economists who seem to think that an “invisible hand” will fix all problems. The economy can always grow; enough fossil fuels and other resources will always be available. Governments seem to be able to print money; somehow, this money will be transformed into physical goods and services. With these assumptions, the only problems are distant ones that central banks and carbon taxes can handle.

The realists are historians and physicists. They tell us that a huge number of past economies have collapsed when their populations attempted to grow at the same time that their resource bases were depleting. These realists tell us that there is a high probability that our current economy will eventually collapse, as well.

Figure 8. The Seneca Cliff by Ugo Bardi

The general shape that economic growth is likely to take is that of a “Seneca Curve” or “Seneca Cliff.” In the words of Lucius Annaeus Seneca in the first century CE, “Increases are of sluggish growth, but the way to ruin is rapid.” If we think of the amount graphed as the total quantity of goods and services received by citizens, the amount tends to rise slowly, gradually plateaus and then falls.

We now seem to be encountering lower energy supply while population continues to rise. It takes energy for any activity that we think of as contributing to GDP to occur. We should not be surprised if we are at the edge of a recession. If we cannot get our energy problems solved, the downturn could be very long-lasting.

About Gail Tverberg

My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
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4,903 Responses to 2022: Energy limits are likely to push the world economy into recession

  1. Sam says:

    We need to change the name of this site to Fat Eddie beating the dead horse of Covid in the ground!!! Yes we know already when you come up with something unique then start blabbering. It’s not our fault you live in a FU country! You chose to live there with your fellow trustfunder brothers!!!!! Ding dong do I hear a crazy obsessive person!!! Why yes it’s Fat Eddie! Can you please tell us I. 10,000 words what we already know!?

    • Hideaway says:

      It’s much easier to read the comments section for the occasional great point by skipping any post that has the words Covid, vaccine or FAST in the first 10 words. Not much point in commenting as any good conversation quickly get buried under a plethora of useless rants and 2 to 3 pages in. It’s why I just don’t bother.

      What is happening with energy and supply constraints, supply line interruptions is so important, yet the big picture has been successfully hidden in the comments here. LIthium prices going up 10 fold over the last year, gas prices in Europe doing the same are just the tip of the iceberg. At some point oil is likely to do the same if depletion rates happen quicker than economies contract

      However let’s get back to the normal nonsense of covid, vaccine, covid, vaccine etc.

      • JonF says:

        I find it useful to view OFW comments section as many parallel streams…..the covid stream…the energy stream….the inflation stream….etc.

        It is what it is…..

        I would make an educated guess that, there is still a strong appetite here for high quality articles….offering in-depth energy/resource analysis… from around the globe…

        If you find them….please post them here….

        FWIW…..if the Russia/Ukraine fear subsides over the course of the next month….I expect a pull back in WTI…..if it consolidates in the $70-75 range….and the Fed walks the line in March….that would be extremely bullish for oil….resistance is around $110….if oil blasts through this level….next stop $150!!

        We shall see….

        • Fast Eddy says:

          We mostly like to discuss Covid and the Injections though…. extermination is the zeitgeist…

          • JonF says:

            I get it….I have no problem with it….watching tyranny play out in real time…..it’s unnerving….it’s riveting…..

            Thought and opinion diversity…rooted in reality….is a big part of my attraction to OFW…..I’m obsessed with oil and finance and the spiritual+psychological backdrop to all of this…as much as the scamdemic…

            I just think….okay…the scamdemic dominates….but this shouldn’t discourage folk from posting good stuff on all other matters as well…

    • Fast Eddy says:

      What I’d do is find some illiterate Somali street kids… and cut a deal with them … you get $50 if you take the shot? And because I am a kind helpful person – I’ve hired this bus to take all of you to the clinic! And as a bonus – a lolly for each of you.

      Then I’d start a refer a friend program — $10 for each referral.

  2. Fast Eddy says:

    https://youtu.be/Q3OJ1VTWceU

    Fight for Freedom!!! Touching … I’d go if I had a camper van… just to watch…

    But alas… soon we die… let them have their moment though.. they have no idea how close we are to zero energy.

  3. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    Inflation is driving every restaurant ‘absolutely crazy’ and is ‘insane,’ ex-McDonald’s CEO says
    Ex-McDonald’s CEO Ed Rensi said inflation was damaging small businesses “terribly.”

    He told Fox Business the impact of rising beef and chicken prices was “just insane.”

    Inflation was up by 7% year-over-year in December, the highest level since 1982.

    A former McDonald’s CEO has said that inflation is driving every restaurant in the US “absolutely crazy” and is effect has been “insane.”

    Ed Rensi, who was CEO of McDonald’s US until 1997 and serves as an executive consultant to the chain’s franchise system, told Fox Business Friday that prices of beef and chicken had risen “so substantially.”

    “Inflation is driving every restaurant in the United States absolutely crazy,” he said, adding that every small business in America was suffering “terribly from this federal inflation.”

    He added: “Portion sizes are shrinking. Prices are going up. It’s just insane what’s happening in the restaurant industry,”

    From Business Insider.com

    Fast food ain’t cheap anymore….might get abite if I’m hungry and see a special being served.
    Can’t remember last time I visited one…it is crazy and shocked at the prices they charge with regular priced items…
    Was at Publix supermarket here in South Florida and noticed empty shelves at the produced area and prices why up. Needed potatoes and their sale price for a 5 lb bag was their regular price a year ago! Grabbed zucchini and celery, both on sale along with raspberries for my 99 year old Mother…
    Package of Publix swiss cheese up over a dollar from ayear ago.
    Anyway, usually purchase the same grocery items and across the board these are way way up
    And seeing containers shrinking drastically in size on certain products..very very noticeable.
    The channel Surviving in Argentina noted this as a red flag for runaway inflation to look out for!

    http://ferfal.blogspot.com/search/label/inflation

    Really good posts their and sound advice…

  4. Fast Eddy says:

    Monkeys

    So, what now, can the boosted get an Omicron booster?

    Well, they tried it with monkeys and gave monkeys an “Omicron booster”.

    The result was, as far as their ability to neutralize the virus, actually WORSE than the result from a regular Wuhan virus based booster, EVEN AGAINST OMICRON.

    https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/uk-and-the-boosted-monkey-experiment

    https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.02.03.479037v1

    hahahahahahaha…. hahahahah… norm?

    https://i.makeagif.com/media/8-14-2015/idLYs5.gif

  5. Fast Eddy says:

    Although UKHSA no longer reports on the effectiveness of original series of shots, Scotland still does, and non-boosted people who had shots a while ago fare MUCH WORSE than the unvaccinated, when it comes to the Covid death rate.

    The double vaxxed deaths are up to twice higher than the unvaccinated. Why? Because their immune system was ruined and cannot respond to the virus, and the vaccine antibodies waned.

    https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/uk-and-the-boosted-monkey-experiment

    https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5de60156-a3f9-433e-b70f-4834386e5827_1143x815.jpeg

  6. Fast Eddy says:

    The case rate chart is also getting more and more ridiculous as boosted case rates are taking off like a rocket. This means that a science believing, boosted 40-49 year old Brit is 2.2 times MORE LIKELY to catch Covid than an ignorant, vaccine-free conspiracy theorist of the same age.

    https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F67ab5525-235b-4c8e-be0f-7ba3e59a04b9_773x484.jpeg

    https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/uk-and-the-boosted-monkey-experiment

  7. Sam says:

    Gail why do the huge spike in oil prices take so long to hit gas prices? With the oil now at 93 a barrel it seems like gas should be getting much higher. I don’t think any companies or countries are running at full capacity even though they tell us they are.

  8. Fast Eddy says:

    80% of Serious Covid Cases Are Fully Vaccinated – Israel Hospital Director

    Professor Yaakov Jerris, the Director of a coronavirus ward in an Israeli hospital, has said between 70% and 80% of the serious cases in his hospital are vaccinated and that the vaccine has “no significance regarding severe illness”. Israel National News has the story.

    Are Israeli hospitals really overloaded with unvaccinated Covid patients? According to Professor Yaakov Jerris, Director of Ichilov Hospital’s coronavirus ward, the situation is completely opposite.

    “Right now, most of our severe cases are vaccinated,” Jerris told Channel 13 News. “They had at least three injections. Between seventy and eighty percent of the serious cases are vaccinated. So, the vaccine has no significance regarding severe illness, which is why just 20% to 25% of our patients are unvaccinated.”

    https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/321674

    https://dailysceptic.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/coronavirus-data-explorer-2022-02-05T175316.159-1536×1084.png

    • Azure Kingfisher says:

      But… but… but what if they’re going to do really well after four injections? Don’t we owe it to science to keep injecting people? Let’s maintain our sense of adventure, our pioneering spirit. The COVID-19 injection program is the Space Race of our time. Instead of boosting ourselves to the moon, this time we’re boosting ourselves to better health. Perhaps we’ll even go further with mRNA biotechnology and achieve Transhumanism! We cannot stop now; the world’s billionaires and trillionaires are counting on us to sacrifice ourselves on the altar of science in their quest for immortality.

  9. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    Gene variant found in centenarians appears to slow the ageing process
    A rare variant of the SIRT6 gene increases DNA repair in human cells, and learning its effects could help to develop anti-ageing drugs

    HEALTH January 31, 2022 10:59
    By Michael Le Page

    A rare gene variant identified in people who have lived to 100 or more appears to slow down the fundamental processes that cause ageing. The team behind the research says the findings could boost efforts to develop anti-ageing drugs.

    Numerous animal studies have shown that the activity of a protein called SIRT6 is strongly linked with maximum lifespan. Vera Gorbunova at the University of Rochester in New York and her colleagues set out to find variants in the gene for SIRT6 that extend …

    Continue readingSubscribe for unlimited digital access

    Well, well, posted an article about the flithy rich weasles funding research to extend lifespans for themselves…
    And now this article appears….humm.. gene therapy to the rescue

    • Fast Eddy says:

      I’ve always wondered why anyone would aspire to live to 100.

      • Brian says:

        Hey SlowPoke Ed I bet this 110 yr old guy is in better shape than you
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fauja_Singh
        I totally aspire to be like him!!!

      • Herbie Ficklestein says:

        My Mother is going to be 100 year old this July and my co workers Mother has his reaching 100 this September!!
        Don’t think they aspired to it…just happened.
        BTW, she had the Pfizer jab along with the boosters!
        Back in June, had a small stroke that was attributed to old age.
        She has regained some that was lost, and still alert.
        Think her little lap dog, Cricket, keeps her alive and me taking her out twice a day to the parks along with her religious faith.
        Of course. Modern medicine had a hand in it.
        She has said that living this long was she couldn’t help!
        Had cataract laser surgery back in May and it was successful and remarkable improvement.
        The Church she has gone to for 50 years is losing many old time members and a few kind hearted souls cheer her up.
        Like the Actress Betty Davis once said in an interview on TV.
        “Growing Old ain’t for Sissies”

  10. Fast Eddy says:

    Police and Bylaw Services officers issued more than 450 tickets since Saturday morning, including for excessive noise and fireworks.

    https://ottawa.ctvnews.ca/police-warn-people-bringing-gas-to-protesters-in-downtown-ottawa-could-be-arrested-1.5769811

    Oh no – a ticket! Rip it up and chuck it at the cops hahaha

    On Saturday, an estimated 5,000 people and 1,000 tractor trailers and personal vehicles filled downtown Ottawa to join the protest. Hundreds of people attended a counter-protest at Ottawa City Hall, calling for an end to the demonstration.

    Let’s call it an even… 5000 trucks… and 40 counter protesters…

    “It’s not a demonstration, it’s not an occupation, it’s something and we don’t have a Police Act that can adequately or effectively address this circumstance.”

    Military coming?

    Re Diesel… how about this … create convoys of say 100 people … with the diesel carrier in the middle of them.. then dare the police to try to get at the guy carrying and arrest him…

    The Ottawa Police Services Board approved the deployment of 257 RCMP officers to further assist with the enforcement of the demonstration. Officers from the OPP and municipal police forces in London, Toronto, York, Cornwall and Sudbury have been deployed to Ottawa to assist with policing.

    Why not call the CCP – they have lots of gestapo in HK who have nothing to do….

  11. Fast Eddy says:

    Ottawa police are warning the supply of fuel and materials will be cut off to protesters downtown, saying, “Anyone attempting to bring material supports to the demonstrators could be subject to arrest.”

    Police announced new enforcement is underway just hours after Mayor Jim Watson said the downtown area is “out of control” on day 10 of the ‘Freedom Convoy” on Wellington Street and other roads around Parliament Hill.

    Watson is expected to announce Sunday afternoon that the city is declaring a local state of emergency, sources told CTV News.

    https://ottawa.ctvnews.ca/police-warn-people-bringing-gas-to-protesters-in-downtown-ottawa-could-be-arrested-1.5769811

    I suspect ‘could’ means ‘won’t’… legally it may not hold water… but also it could set off fireworks…

    We spoke with Steve Oliver yesterday. He told us there has been no further sign of WorkSafe or any more fines.

    Do not be afraid of them.

    They have been instructed that if they come across aggressive business owners, not to give their details. That in itself is illegal. By law they must identify themselves by showing you their personal photo ID and business card. If they don’t do this then ask them to leave. If they don’t – trespass them. These you can print out yourself and have ready.

    https://www.thedailyexaminer.co.nz/a-stepping-stone-from-lone-star/

  12. Just for fun (2 min.)…

    You gotta FIGHT
    for your RIGHT

    https://gab.com/gailauss/posts/107750274915487676

  13. Michael Le Merchant says:

    People don’t have the slightest clue as to what they have done to themselves:
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FK2FWZIUcAUlAGi?format=jpg&name=medium

    • Fast Eddy says:

      I sincerely hope that is true. Reverse AIDS would be a wonderful outcome for the CovDIOTS…

      A wonderful outcome.

      Why are they all so skinny and full of sores????

      https://youtu.be/R3W8-HLrhlc?t=157

      • If there is not enough fuels to go around, someone has to be cut off. The question is, “Which part of the population?” Will the old, sick group, who is more likely to be vaccinated, be the winners? Or will the young healthy group, who is less likely to be vaccinated?

        • Fast Eddy says:

          There are only a handful of people in the various hockey leagues in QT who are not vaxxed… out of around 200. Majority of players are 16-35.

          It’s the ‘in’ thing to do I guess. + they all thought they were going to have a Summer of Fun … but then all the concerts and events got cancelled hahahaha Suckers

    • Perhaps this is true. I presume the issue is with the mRNA vaccines, not with some of the other vaccines, such as the Russian and Chinese vaccines.

      There might suddenly be a demand for HIV tests, if true.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Imagine the shock on norm’s face when he tests positive — he’ll be asking for his money back on that blow up doll!!!

        hahahahahaahahaha…

        hahahahahaahahahahah…..

        brain’s not laughing… nor is mike ….

        Guys… norm got AIDS from the blow up doll… get it????

        huh???

        You can’t get AIDS from a blow up doll but norm did!!

        errgggg… did he???

        Ya of course he did!!!

        Cuz you can’t get it from the Pfizer right???

        No you can’t.

        And norm doesn’t shoot heroin … and he’s not been with 2M of a real women in over 50 years without getting slapped in the face… so it has to be Mary Jane his blow up doll.

        oh?

        Ya… has to be…

        norm… before you lash out at the Online Match Maker… have you considered that Mary Jane might be shooting drugs (to get over the pain of a bad relationship) and/or that she’s been messing around the back alley with those guys with all the tattoos? She may have picked up a Dose there.

        hahahaha… a dose…

  14. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Jacinda – “The side effects that people experience with vaccines, which we all have come to expect, a sign that the vaccine’s doing what it should”
    https://twitter.com/viewspotnz/status/1489424105950818304

    • holleyman says:

      She makes me ill just looking at her. Spews pure illogical drivel and lies.
      Less teeth on a bucketwheel

    • Fast Eddy says:

      I hope she gets the most vile and painful disease at some point .. and suffers.

      And I hope Clarke comes to his senses and ditches her for the Swedish nanny.

      What does the buck tooth monster have to offer that keeps him around?

      • Lastcall says:

        Clarke is merely on the payroll to try and give a human side to the witch. Similarly the invisible child; for public consumption that there is a ‘she’ and not a ‘what’ running country.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          His contract calls for a new nanny every 6 months … and he gets to approve of them before they are hired.

        • Wet My Beak says:

          jacinta is technically a succubus. A devil straight from the bowels of hell who creates havoc in a low IQ population. The male equivalent is called an incubus, for example Chris Hipkins.

      • Lastcall says:

        I think not; wedding was cancelled, not postponed.
        He in jail or on the run?

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Hahaha… Clarke is probly in Sweden … hahaha

          My whippet is starting to get a chubby … before we fix him … we’ll get Ardern over and try to breed them…. Donkey + Whippet = ____________ (who the f789 knows)….

          This assumes Hoolio is on for a buck tooth 40+ year old burned out DJ who surely must have HIV from all those after parties in the toilet.

    • Bobby says:

      Side effects are desirable? As what, sign the intend effects are working?

      Ahh, how do you measure that dr Jacinderella?
      The more side effects you have the better the jabs are working? Someone just committed political suicide.

    • “Overall our reports of adverse events following vaccination have declined after each additional vaccination”

      I doubt that this is true anywhere.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        My hockey mate was told by more than one person — oh that’s too bad… but the worst of it’s over … the second shot won’t be as bad.

        Hahahahahahaha…. I am not joking … a couple of people told him that!!!

  15. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Comoros Islands Enforcing Military Police Vax Checkpoints on The Public…
    https://twitter.com/Orwells_Ghost_/status/1490374953899810819

    • Fast Eddy says:

      I guess they don’t have hack saws… better to go down with a bang … that to waste away with Reverse AIDS…

  16. Dennis L. says:

    Fresh off the press, one Seal dead, another in hospital after Hell Week.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/navy-seal-candidate-dies-and-one-in-hospital-after-gruelling-hell-week-entry-test/ar-AATwS1P?ocid=msedgntp

    Was fortunate to spend summers in one of those tall buildings, on the ocean. Some mornings, when Seals were on their swims, dolphins would swim along side and in the group; imagined them saying to the guys, “Hey, this is great fun, want to race?” Seals may have been been thinking, “A dolphin burger would go good about now.”

    Seals were very good at security, bar on Orange, supposedly owned by a Seal, wife and wives of Seals waited tables; always felt very safe there.

    Dennis L.

  17. Niels Colding says:

    Hurra superimmunity in Denmark thanks to our beloved government and enlighted Queen

    • Denmark is now at the top, in terms of number of new cases reported relative to population. Its deaths are rising (relative to population), but not nearly as rapidly as those in Israel. It looks like Denmark may do relatively better than Israel in terms of deaths. Higher vitamin D level, through eating more fatty fish, perhaps?

      • Student says:

        Maybe also the point that they have only reached the third dose, but not the fourth.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        They need to get that 4th shot underway… that’s the ticket

      • Halfvard says:

        Fatty fish probably means a better Omega 6:3 ratio, which means a lower chance of clots and less inflammation and autoimmunity, so it’s only to be expected that the jabs would be less harmful in such a population.

        Denmark also has a lower level of obesity than Israel which surely contributes to this effect as well.

  18. jj says:

    When I get some free time I think I will start a “do not consent to medical treatment” organization. We will have some legal heavies paid for by the collective. A do not consent tattoo will be placed on the body to inform our gracious medical service providers that we do not consent whether conscious or not and violation of that will be met with punitive legal action.

    I sure the portion of the population that makes this informed decision will be small. Most people value medical services very much. I look forward to the ridicule that being a member will entail. It will provide the best of humor for me if I know I will not be dissected like a possum in a biology class. And why are people not in good humor if they are OK with their own personal health decisions? I dont care one bit what people and their doctor do in voluntary decisions. Its absolutely none of my business. Perhaps I should inquire what sort of birth control that hot checker at the supermarket is on? Ask for her passport to confirm?

    Of course the possibility exists that as one doctor I knew put it “everybody crawls in begging for me to save their life sooner or later”. Who knows? If so at least that will provide some laughter yes?

    • Lidia17 says:

      I’m pretty sure EMTs are told to disregard tattooed DNRs, on the possibility the person “might have changed their mind” in the meantime. What might work better is a signed testament, frequently updated, that one carries on one’s person and posts on their refrigerator at home (when caring for my mom who was in hospice at my home, that was the convention: to put the list of drugs and her living will posted on the refrigerator in case emergency services arrived for whatever reason).

      I remember seeing Ivan Illich at an anarchist-type event in Bologna. His face was quite swollen on one side. I didn’t know who he was at the time. He died not long thereafter, from that visible cancer. Years later, I came across his writings, which include “Medical Nemesis”, medicine being one of what he named “disempowering professions”. He refused conventional treatment for his own issue, and self-medicated with opium acquired clandestinely.

      I can’t find the article, but there was a NYT piece interviewing doctors about their personal choices for cancer and other threatening diseases. This survey says the vast majority would choose not to be resuscitated: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0098246

      “Our data show that doctors they have a striking personal preference to forego high-intensity care for themselves at the end-of-life and prefer to die gently and naturally. This study raises questions about why doctors provide care, to their patients, which is very different from what they choose for themselves and also what seriously ill patients want.”

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Money.

      • drb says:

        What were you doing in my hometown?

        • Taking Italian lessons and hanging out with communists. The event was the grand opening of a music school named after Illich.

          https://www.spmii.it/home/

          The music was a bit dreadful. Lots of wine, though, and a festive atmosphere.

          Such an odd city. “Red”, but at ATMs and on public buses there were stock ticker displays running all the time, and in every bar and resto you could hear “mumble mumble milioni, mumble mumble miliardi”.

          • drb says:

            Bologna has changed a lot. She kept her spirit for 3000 years, which originates from the fusion of celtic and etruscan cultures. But the changes of these days, are probably those that will make it unrecognizable. and that is because the Bolognese have left for the suburbs, where a great construction boom is close to 30 years old. In their place, migrants. My sister locks herself into the travel agency, and opens only when she sees a customer at the door. Quite a change from the zero criminality and total security of when I was a student.

        • Wow.. I see Illich died in 2002, so he lasted longer than I thought. He was a small figure in a chair, with a circle of acolytes at his feet. I didn’t hear him give a speech, but it may be that we missed it.

  19. Michael Le Merchant says:

    A trucker freedom convoy has started in New Zealand
    https://twitter.com/backtolife_2019/status/1490364780623847425

    • Rodster says:

      Haha, like I said many times. Eventually people get royally pissed when they lose confidence in their government and start the blowback. It’s always baby steps at first then typically all hell breaks loose. We are see the Truckers version of the Me Too Crowd at work. Expect more of these. There was supposed to be a Freedom Convoy in the US and Facebook shut it down.

    • Wet My Beak says:

      There are more cars than trucks. Sad new zealand finally showing a pulse. Only took two years!

      As an unvaccinated person I am not allowed to use the state lavatories or libraries. Similar to being black in the South in the sixties I guess. I can not rent an office, go to the cinema, eat with the chosen (vaccinated) people or do many other things. They do let you pick up food from the back entrance as long as you don’t show your face among the chosen. Don’t want to upset their appetites I guess.

      What the powers that be don’t seem to understand is they are fomenting a burning hatred of this backward country that decades will not remove.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Piss in the bush… if a cop says anything tell him you are banned from the toilet.

        BTW – in QT you cannot enter the courts without a vax pass – unless you are up on a criminal charge…

        I cannot wait for Reverse AIDS to strike… I will sit back … relax…. and enjoy the show…

        Die you F789ing MOREONS … Die… but not without at least a month of horrible suffering hahahahaahahahahahahaha

        Did you read about the Accelerated AIDS that has emerged in Holland… don’t want it to accelerate too much… quick death will be too kind for these f789tards

        Booster Shots .. get your booster shots!! baaaaaah baaaaaah…. Plough Hogs… get your booster shots

        • Michael Le Merchant says:

          Official Government of Canada data suggests the Fully Vaccinated are just weeks away from developing AIDS
          https://dailyexpose.uk/2022/02/06/canada-gov-data-suggests-fully-vaccinated-developing-ade/

          • Fast Eddy says:

            Does this mean Fast Eddy gets to be the next PM of Canada? And captain the Leafs?

            Wow – great! I’ll tell him to get ready

            How will they stop the dogs from eating the diseased bodies though … that will be a big challenge

          • Wet My Beak says:

            I recently watched the Canadian Royal Wedding on YouTube. They have unique traditions. Had never seen a royal lick pudding from the arms of another royal before. The Little Men from Nova Scotia were delightful but I believe they were crushed when the roof collapsed.

            But why do Canadians have detachable heads? Very odd.

      • Organize a Shit-In!

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Be sure to make Eye Contact with anyone who stares while you are squatting and unloading.

          Watch a dog to see good form.

        • Wet My Beak says:

          Onto a new zealand flag. Then wrap up and drop at police station entrance.

          • Fast Eddy says:

            I need to make toilet paper with Ardern’s face on it.

            Ya think if I hand that out at the supermarket for free I’d need an army to protect me? The MOREONS do love their J’ASSinda… (J’ASSinda paper!!!)

            MORENS are dangerous because there are so many of them…

  20. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Asia Pacific LNG supply and demand
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FK7Xlz3XsAM5gDI?format=png&name=small

    • This chart seems to be with respect to locally produced (“in basin”) LNG being available adequately for Asia-Pacific. The issue with LNG is that shipping is very expensive. If a country needs to buy LNG, it would like to buy from near neighbors, but this is becoming less and less possible.

      The chart shows that essentially no additional LNG export supply is expected in the near future. This is a major problem if this part of the world is growing rapidly.

  21. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Justin Trudeau Shows How Manipulative and Pathetic the Global Elites Are
    https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2022/02/justin_trudeau_shows_how_manipulative_and_pathetic_the_global_elites_are.html

    • Rodster says:

      The people are waking up to the Scam-demic

      • Lastcall says:

        ‘There’s going to be a veritable tsunami of desperate rationalizing, strenuous denying, shameless blame-shifting, and other forms of ass-covering, as suddenly former Covidian Cult members make a last-minute break for the jungle before the fully-vaxxed-and-boosted “Safe and Effective Kool-Aid” servers get to them.’

        ‘Faked statistics and propaganda will carry you for a while, but eventually people are going to need to experience something at least resembling an actual devastating worldwide plague, in reality, not just on their phones and TVs.’

        https://off-guardian.org/2022/01/18/the-last-days-of-the-covidian-cult/

        ‘But now that the whole story is unravelling, they are ever more determined to stick to the script. Covid-19 has been their security blanket for two years. As long as it was in the picture, raging and killing as an invisible demon, it could be the focus of all their free-floating terror.’

        https://kunstler.com/clusterfuck-nation/no-time-for-crybabies/#more-

        But what is the next security blanket for the coddled covidians is my question?

        • The unraveling doesn’t yet seem to be hitting the liberal news sites yet, it doesn’t seem like. Most people who are convinced that vaccinate-vaccinate-vaccinate is the right path are convinced that this is the right plan.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          The thing is…

          The people who are behind this … would not do this .. unless they had good reason.

          I don’t see a Nuremburg 2.0…. people will be far too busy with dying to even think of that.

          In fact they’ll be begging for more lockdowns (even the Truckers)… when the Devil comes out from behind the curtain …

          I can smell his stench… he’s warming up

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Waking up just in time to enjoy the nightmare of Reverse AIDS… hahahaha…

        The Horror… The Horror

        it’s all good — no?

        hahaha

    • “In the last couple of years, these establishment elitists have shown themselves to be ruthless liars who manipulate by false narratives whose aim is to enlarge their own power and wealth. The fact that their narratives keep falling apart does not deter them in the least.”

  22. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Canada’s Pandemic of the Fully Vaccinated | 7 in every 10 Covid-19 Deaths are among the Fully Vaccinated according to official data; & Trudeau’s Government are trying to cover it up
    https://dailyexpose.uk/2022/02/06/canadas-pandemic-of-the-fully-vaccinated/

    • Bobby says:

      Oh, I’m afraid the Medical System will be quite operational by the time your friends realise…. And then they will die of ‘Other,’ Pe-existing, Co- Morbidities’ Hhhha HaHaaahaaa

    • Fast Eddy says:

      flaxgarden
      @FlaxgardenNZ
      ·

      What a disgusting statement! If it’s safe and effective why are there so many accounts, officially reported or not, of side effects? Why are people dying from the vacc? Why are people still getting Covid despite (or because of) 2 or 3 shots?

      https://twitter.com/viewspotnz/status/1489424105950818304

      Lots of amusing comments… live by the twitter die by the twitter

  23. Yoshua says:

    The coal production in Ukraine peaked in 1976 at 210 million tonnes. The coal seams are thin and deep underground. The coal mines were unprofitable and relied on subsidized production before war broke out. IMF demanded that Ukraine ended the subsidized production and closed unprofitable mines.

    Donbas was once the heart of the Russian empire… providing coal to the empire…today Donbas is a depleted, impoverished, depopulated war zone.

    • Dennis L. says:

      Thank you.

      Dennis L.

    • If, somehow, coal prices can be kept up at a higher level, then there is, in theory, a possibility that they is quite a bit of deep, thin coal that can be mined.

      China has been doing its best to keep a high coal price in China, so that it can get more coal out.

      Coal and oil have pretty much the same problem. There is still a whole lot left when it becomes impossible to keep the price up high enough to extract the later portions of the oil or coal.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Oh… maybe they can transition it into a tourism hot spot?

  24. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Over the past eighteen months, there have been seven coups and coup attempts in African nations. In Burkina Faso, Chad, Guinea, Mali, and Sudan, military leaders succeeded in seizing power; in Niger and, most recently, in Guinea-Bissau, they failed.

    “…the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) convened to discuss the unrest, which ECOWAS chair Nana Akufo-Addo described as “contagious” and a threat to the entire region. That’s not wrong, according to Joseph Siegle, research director at the Africa Center for Strategic Studies.”

    https://www.vox.com/2022/2/5/22919160/coup-guinea-bissau-africa-burkina-faso-sudan-why

  25. Mirror on the wall says:

    The expectation seems to be that Russian forces will enter Ukraine in a couple of weeks, presumably after the Olympics in China. It would be most discourteous of Russia to start a war in the middle of the Olympics and to steal the limelight from a strategic partner.

    Well, NATO has pushed it to this, with its constant eastward expansion toward Russia’s borders, and its ‘colour’ revolutions.

    It will be interesting to see what the ‘fall out’ will be after: sanctions against Russia, less gas for Europe?

    It does not seem to be obvious what NATO has got out of this course of events? And it seems to be difficult to see how all this is good for Europe?

    ?

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10481291/Russia-able-overrun-Ukraine-two-days-warns-intelligence.html

    > Russia will be able to overrun Ukraine in two days and an invasion would kill 50,000 civilians, warns US intelligence – and Putin is planning a nuclear exercise to warn off the West

    Western intelligence assessments believe Kyiv’s government could fall within that timeframe, and lead to humanitarian crisis involving around 5m refugees

  26. Harry McGibbs says:

    “How war has devastated Ukraine’s coal industry… Ukraine was once Europe’s third-largest coal producer.

    “But production has dropped dramatically since 2014, when fighting broke out with pro-Russian separatists in the eastern Donbas region. In 2013, Ukraine produced 84 million metric tons of coal. Last year, it was down to 29 million.”

    https://edition.cnn.com/2022/02/05/europe/gallery/ukraine-coal-miners/index.html

  27. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Is a rift between Pakistan and the Afghan Taliban imminent?

    “…Tensions over border demarcation and TTP violence may damage relations between Islamabad and Kabul. If no resolution is reached on these issues, this could cause a rift in relations with significant consequences for both Pakistan’s national security and regional stability.”

    https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2022/2/6/a-rift-between-pakistan-and-the-afghan-taliban-may-be-imminent

    • Harry McGibbs says:

      “Firing from Afghanistan kills 5 Pakistan troops: Pakistan military…

      “”Pakistan strongly condemns the use of Afghan soil by terrorists,” the military’s public relations wing said of the attack in Kurram district of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province…”

      https://www.arabnews.com/node/2019301/world

  28. Student says:

    In Italy, in Friuli Venezia Giulia region, given the shortage of staff due to experimental jab mandate, they are available to recruite nurses coming from outside Europe and with unrecognized degrees by the Country.

    https://nursetimes.org/il-friuli-venezia-giulia-consente-lassunzione-di-infermieri-con-titoli-non-riconosciuti-per-colmare-le-carenze-di-personale/136403/amp

  29. luthrnpete says:

    what does the acronym CEP mean?

    • Compassionate extinction plan. If the world is facing a problem of too few resources per capita, there is a real near-term possibility of not enough food to go around, not enough fuel for everyone, and inadequate fresh water. There is a real possibility of mass violence against each other. Fast Eddy’s term for the self-organizing process (or perhaps, process somewhat planned by groups wanting to make money off the world’s final problems) of reducing population in a peaceful way, in anticipation of the resource problem that otherwise would lead to overwhelming problems and death is the “Compassionate Extinction Plan.”

      • holleymang says:

        Haha, not everyone wants to lay down peacefully and give up. I am far more partial to the Hot Barrel Shroud Plan.

        • Mirror on the wall says:

          And like we would rather give up millions of years of evolution to deprive moderns of a little suffering and an untimely death. LOL

          • Kowalainen says:

            Lots of karma baked into those hot coding sequences I suppose.

            The Rapacious Primate is surely an useful tool for whatever is in the scope of exploration.

            Still some fine tuning left to be explored? The primate ‘stench’ is still quite appalling I presume? No?

            Oh lord!

            🤣👍👍

    • Fast Eddy says:

      COMPASSIONATE EXTINCTION PLAN (CEP)

      1. Every country on the planet is on board with the Injections. Even Sweden. When have all countries aligned on any issue? Never.

      2. Not a single MSM outlet is interviewing any of the expert dissenters – Yeadon, Bridle, Montagnier, Bossche etc… and the mainstream social media platforms are blocking them.

      Why?

      Conventional Oil peaked in 2005 http://www.euanmearns.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/C-Cdec141.png

      Shale in 2018.

      According to Rystad, the current resource replacement ratio for conventional resources is only 16 percent. Only 1 barrel out of every 6 consumed is being replaced with new resources
      https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/The-Biggest-Oil-Gas-Discoveries-Of-2019.html

      Shale binge has spoiled US reserves, top investor warns Financial Times. https://energyskeptic.com/2021/the-end-of-fracked-shale-oil/

      Shale boss says US has passed peak oil | Financial Times https://www.ft.com/content/320d09cb-8f51-4103-87d7-0dd164e1fd25

      THE PERFECT STORM : The economy is a surplus energy equation, not a monetary one, and growth in output (and in the global population) since the Industrial Revolution has resulted from the harnessing of ever-greater quantities of energy. But the critical relationship between energy production and the energy cost of extraction is now deteriorating so rapidly that the economy as we have known it for more than two centuries is beginning to unravel https://ftalphaville-cdn.ft.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Perfect-Storm-LR.pdf

      Our fossil fuel energy predicament, including why the correct story is rarely told https://ourfiniteworld.com/2021/11/10/our-fossil-fuel-energy-predicament-including-why-the-correct-story-is-rarely-told/

      “The global economy was facing the worst collapse since the second world war as coronavirus began to strike in March, well before the height of the crisis, according to the latest Brookings-FT tracking index. “The index comes as the IMF prepares to hold virtual spring meetings this week, when it will release forecasts showing the deepest contraction for the global economy since the 1930s great depression. https://www.ft.com/content/9ac5eb8e-4167-4a54-9b39-dab48c29ac6c

      Collapse Imminent: https://thephilosophicalsalon.com/a-self-fulfilling-prophecy-systemic-collapse-and-pandemic-simulation/

      The Illusion of Stability, the Inevitability of Collapse http://charleshughsmith.blogspot.com/2021/09/the-illusion-of-stability-inevitability.html

      Fed is sharply increasing the amount of help it is providing to the financial system https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/23/fed-repo-overnight-operations-level-to-increase-to-120-billion.html Banks did not trust each other – similar situation when Lehman collapsed

      Oil Gluts – do NOT indicate we have found more oil. We just pumped what’s left too fast.

      Summary In 2019 a second Perfect Storm was approaching – the central banks had been doing ‘whatever it takes’ for over a decade…. Essentially nothing was off the table — throw the kitchen sink at pushing GFC2.0 into the future. In 2019 the guns were blazing but the beast was no longer held at bay…

      What do you do when you are burning far more oil than you discover — and your efforts to offset the impact of expensive to produce oil push you to the edge of the cliff? You can accept your fate and allow the beast to shove you into the abyss…. Or you can take the ‘nuclear option’ and shut down as much of the economy as possible, preserve remaining oil and pump in trillions of dollars of life support to keep the system feebly alive.

      Punchline: The problem global leaders face is that if you unleash the nuclear option without some sort of cover, the sheeple and the markets would be thrown into a panic and you risk blowing things up prematurely. So you need a reason for putting the global economy on ice — one that does not spook the masses – one that is big enough to justify such epic amounts of stimulus and extreme policies — and one that allows you to explain ‘this is just temporary – once this is gone — we will get back to normal’

      A pandemic is the perfect cover.

      End Game – Covid was foisted on us as cover for the response to peak oil (if we don’t slow the burn oil prices go through the roof and we collapse) but it is also being used to convince billions to be Injected. The Injection is meant to cause extremely deadly variants similar to Marek’s this .. only worse because we are deploying into a pandemic https://www.pbs.org/newshour/science/tthis-chicken-vaccine-makes-virus-dangerous.

      “Mass infection prevention and mass vaccination with leaky Covid-19 vaccines in the midst of the pandemic can only breed highly infectious variants.” https://www.geertvandenbossche.org/

      French virologist and Nobel Prize winner Luc Montagnier called mass vaccination against the coronavirus during the pandemic “unthinkable” and a historical blunder that is “creating the variants” and leading to deaths from the disease.

      The Vaccines and Boosters will Result in a Catastrophic Outcome – From a scientific viewpoint it is, therefore, difficult to understand how booster immunizations using vaccines which are not evolution-proof could prevent a highly mutable virus from escaping neutralizing anti-S Abs while driving the pandemic in a catastrophic direction, both in Israel and worldwide. How can the WHO stand by and watch as this additional experiment unfolds, soon to be followed by other countries? https://thehighwire.com/videos/vaccine-expert-warns-of-covid-vaccination-catastrophe/

      The reason for this is that 8B people need cheap oil to live. They would starve without it. And 8B people without food would result in epic starvation, violence, rape and cannibalism. Industrial civilization ends soon after peak oil. Unfortunately we also have 4000 spent fuel ponds that will boil off and release toxic substances for centuries. These facilities cannot be controlled with computers and energy. So even the few remaining hunters and gatherer tribes will die as they consume these toxins in the food, air and water.

      The PTB understand all of this and that is WHY every leader is on board with the Injections. There is NO way out of this — so they have decided to mitigate the suffering as much as possible by putting us down and here is the mechanism https://www.geertvandenbossche.org/post/why-the-ongoing-mass-vaccination-experiment-drives-a-rapid-evolutionary-response-of-sars-cov-2.

      Which reminds me .. Mike Yeadon refused to play ball…. no doubt this will cross his mind … when the mass die off is underway…. he can say he crossed paths with the Messiah

  30. machival66 says:

    Interesting article. However now that a month has passed out of 2022 we can see that as winter is ending, things are coming back to normal again. Most countries are cancelling restrictions, at the news the pandemic receives almost no attention, and the world continues BAU. There is talk of the war but I think that the conflict is unlikely to turn into something big. With the restrictions now over, the economies will recover nicely and surely by the end of the year there will be 60$ oil again. Doomsday denied once again. I wonder what excuses will peak oilers come up with by the end of this year. It’s starting to be quite laughable how bad the track record of predicting collapse is.

    • Of course, this is precisely the kind of remark we expect as the stock market keeps reaching new highs before it crashes, and as the economy holds on for a while longer. The huge spikes in energy prices aren’t hitting the US much, yet, so things seem pretty normal. Hiring numbers were reported to be high in January in the US, but apparently this effect was simply the result of a very strange seasonal adjustment. The actual numbers were down. The US isn’t really doing as well as reported.
      https://wolfstreet.com/2022/02/04/jobs-report-solves-some-headscratcher-mysteries/

      • MM says:

        Austrian travel agancies report jump from 0 to 100:.
        And:
        https://orf.at/stories/3246014/
        “oil business pleases investors because smaller production increased profits”.
        What’s not to like about it?

      • Dennis L. says:

        1. “The US isn’t really doing as well as reported.” No argument.

        2. Inflationary depression? A guess, most likely outcome.

        3. Government needs incredible funding, it will print, purchase essentials and drive others out of a diminishing pie of these goods.

        4. Stock market is paper, it is up, BRK is being purchased by BRK. Anyone here have more money than Warren?

        5. Housing is a mystery, but it is the only large purchase an individual can make funded at the same or close to interest rate a government can achieve(this has changed somewhat, mortgage rates are up significantly from a low of say 2.75% to 4% now, that is an increase of 58% wow.) Prices are now generally higher than the great housing crazy. Was that the crash of the Home Savngs banks or the crash of 2008? Key word is liquidity.

        6. Housing is the only place an individual can invest and get a positive return as well as have a useful item – a roof over one’s head.

        7. Wages are increasing, covid increased wages significantly, Menard’s pays a $4 differential for working during covid – they have people available to help the customer but prices are up significantly. Did I say, they have help? Did I mention they have most items in stock?

        So, did one make money shorting oil? Did one make money with gold under one’s bed? Did one make money staying out of the stock market? Did one make money by not purchasing a house?

        Your thoughts.

        Dennis L.

    • I1 says:

      Even though it wasn’t mentioned in Powell’s remarks, the fed is chasing $92 wti.

    • JesseJames says:

      machival…you are making yourself to be a fool.
      Try moving to Lebanon if you do not think the world is collapsing.

    • Genomir says:

      We are not peak oilers. We are proponents to the limits of growth axiom.

      • machival66 says:

        The limits to growth are nowhere near close to what scientists and authors such as mrs Tverberg posit. It would be insane to assume that there is no limit, of course. What I hold is that there is still room for massive population growth. Whether that population will be sustainable remains to be seen. In order to understand and accept this truth you must first understand that the world is seeing an incredibly wasteful lifestyle of the societies. Consider how much money a football player earns. Consider that water and petrol are still extremely cheap and their cost is way under their true value for human life. Also there are too many useless billionaires having enough money that if redistributed could support millions of people each. World is growing at 1 billion people each 12-13 years, that’s what the data shows. Peak oilers and doomers were saying world will crash after Peak Oil and what happened instead is technology found a solution. Technology and money can and will keep this insane world going like this longer than our lifetimes. We will never witness collapse, I worry. And it saddens me to no end, because at this point that’s what I desire the most. But wishful thinking gets us nowhere.

        • We will find out whether you are right or I am right.

          In a self-organizing system, the “wasteful” lifestyles are actually helpful. Whatever these people buy, whether it is box tickets for football games or tuition for expensive private schools for their children goes to help some other people afford to buy things. These “wasteful” people don’t really buy a hugely disproportional amount of commodities, however. They can only eat three meals a day. They may have multiple cars, but they can drive only one at a time. Indirectly, their lifestyle helps people in poor countries have jobs making the fancy clothing that these people wear.

          The system has been trying to crash for a long time. It came close to crashing in 2008. It was on the edge of crashing in late 2019. We don’t know if the pandemic was intentionally planned to help find a way for countries to issue more debt and the same time they used less fossil fuels, or if it just was an unusual coincidence. But having the shutdown allowed a great deal more debt to be pumped into the system, keeping it from crashing. Now, the “benefit” of the pandemic is starting to wear off. Something more is needed. This is why the situation looks so frightening. Now it looks like we are short of oil, coal and natural gas at the same time. Renewables aren’t going to bail us out. If some new approach will work, I would be more than happy to hear about it.

          • Mike Roberts says:

            In a self-organizing system, the “wasteful” lifestyles are actually helpful.

            Probably true but this is only from the point of view of “the system” it excludes almost everything else in nature. From the wider perspective, wasteful lifestyles are bad.

            machival66 is almost certainly wrong but it’s true that the collapse yearned for by what is probably a tiny proportion of the human population seems to always be decades away. A bit like fusion power.

            • Kowalainen says:

              It is as good as any excuse for blowing through finite resources with not much to show for in terms of innate adaptability and resilience to suck.

              Yeah; why not breed 50 billion poor MOARon schmucks and then watch a barren wasteland form surrounding a humongous economy and humanoid waste, trite drivel, sensory deprivation and ultimate boredom, assuming fusion power could be made tractable?

              Then what? The vile primates head out to the stars continuing the dullard and pointless frippery as the Jetsons?

              How about no?

              🌍💥☄️☄️☄️🛸

              (It’s the only way to be sure)

              🤣👍👍

          • Fast Eddy says:

            Oh come on … all we have to do is take the billionaire’s money and we can run the planet on that for the next 100 years at least!

    • Brian says:

      Hey SlowPoke Ed your facts come out of a cracker jacks box. When your gibberish is on the same level as John Campbell I may listen and discuss with you. Until then you are just
      a loud mouth smuck. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=25-iJKPA1CA&t=1186s

      • Brian says:

        It is a Hebrew Word for the Foreskin that gets chopped off at birth. So when a person that is educated or a Jew calls you a Smuck. He or She is calling you a useless piece of dick.

        • Lidia17 says:

          “People who are educated” generally don’t go around calling people “schmucks”, and I’d argue that only those who’ve had no say in whether they get to keep their foreskins consider them “useless”.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Oh really … shall we collect them from the yiddish hospital and make sausages from them (adding a little dog food) and force feed them to you? Schmucks.. The Tastiest Sausages made with Real Foreskins!

          80% of Serious Covid Cases Are Fully Vaccinated – Israel Hospital Director

          Professor Yaakov Jerris, the Director of a coronavirus ward in an Israeli hospital, has said between 70% and 80% of the serious cases in his hospital are vaccinated and that the vaccine has “no significance regarding severe illness”. Israel National News has the story.

          Are Israeli hospitals really overloaded with unvaccinated Covid patients? According to Professor Yaakov Jerris, Director of Ichilov Hospital’s coronavirus ward, the situation is completely opposite.

          “Right now, most of our severe cases are vaccinated,” Jerris told Channel 13 News. “They had at least three injections. Between seventy and eighty percent of the serious cases are vaccinated. So, the vaccine has no significance regarding severe illness, which is why just 20% to 25% of our patients are unvaccinated.”

          https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/321674

          Booster Time … Booster Time… Come get your boosters!!!

          https://www.tiktok.com/@youvegot2bekidding/video/7052092917552516398

  31. Fast Eddy says:

    And to summarize… for those who don’t have time to read all those papers…

    The CovIDIOTS have damaged their immune systems… and will soon succumb to Reverse AIDS which will invite in all sorts of nasty diseases…

    Kinda like my whippet… he’s everybody’s friend.. he’d even push the button and open the Big Steel Doomsday Gate… and invite the bad guys in …

    Only time I’ve ever seen him get upset is when the neighbours big dog tried to hump him … seems he’s not into that sort of thing…

  32. Fast Eddy says:

    More bad news for the CovIDIOTS

    seudourylated mRNA ERASES immunity to the coded antigen.

    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41587-021-00880-0.pdf

  33. Fast Eddy says:

    Innate Immune Suppression by SARS-CoV-2 mRNA Vaccinations: The role of G-quadruplexes, exosomes and microRNAs

    https://www.researchgate.net/publication/357994624_Innate_Immune_Suppression_by_SARS-CoV-2_mRNA_Vaccinations_The_role_of_G-quadruplexes_exosomes_and_microRNAs

  34. Fast Eddy says:

    The BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 reprograms both adaptive and innate immune responses

    https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.05.03.21256520v1

    Suppression of the innate immune system: The main cause of the pandemic of the fully vaccinated

    https://www.rintrah.nl/suppression-of-the-innate-immune-system-the-main-cause-of-the-pandemic-of-the-fully-vaccinated/

    • MM says:

      A six year old child might ask the parents:
      “Why does everybody inject a substance into his body that makes the body attack itself even if it is healthy?”
      Parent:
      “You have seen it on tv that every good man and woman says it is a good thing to do”.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Because the side effects mean the vax is working.

        For the first time during the last 2 years Donkey Face Buck Tooth Pig tells the truth:

        https://twitter.com/viewspotnz/status/1489424105950818304

        • Student says:

          The way she replies to the question shows that she surely attended some courses to pretend to welcome while rejecting people’s requests.
          My impression is that, differently from other leaders, she is profoundly distressed by what she is doing.
          But unfrotunately, she is another example of leader who is making other people suffering a lot lately.

  35. Fast Eddy says:

    DR. AFZAL ( M.D/M.B.B.S (KING EDWARD MED)/FRCS

    WARNING TO ALL DOCTORS & DATA SCIENTISTS: I AM OBSERVING a massive spike in cancer. I am warning that there is now 20 times the normal average of certain types of cancers ever since the “Operation Warp Speed” Injections were first introduced.

    https://twitter.com/anmdusa/status/1488939467402526732?s=21

    • MM says:

      This data of course says nothing because we are only at month 14 of the regular 120 months clinical trial.

  36. Fast Eddy says:

    You’ll likely need to VPN into the US to watch… at least I did

  37. Fast Eddy says:

    PBS FRONTLINE: GHOSTS OF RWANDA 1 OF 8

    https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x1wj75

    Let’s take a look at what things look like if the CEP fails

  38. Fast Eddy says:

    Jab against one strain might worsen infection with others.

    A cautionary note has been sounded for those developing vaccines against severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). Some vaccines could prove useless against certain strains, or even worsen the infection, a preliminary study suggests.

    The team next tested whether the antibodies would attack spike proteins from two SARS strains isolated from civets, from which the virus is thought to have originally jumped into humans. In this case, they found hints that the antibodies actually boosted the ability of the virus to infect cells. The study is published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science1.

    https://www.nature.com/articles/news050110-3

    Yang, Z-Y. et al. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA published online doi:10.1073/pnas.0409065102 2005. http://www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.0409065102

  39. Fast Eddy says:

    Hey brain … maybe you can help me with this issue I have been struggling with …

    First time they tried to make a vaccine for SAR Coronavirus this happened and they never went past preliminary trials in animals:

    Conclusions

    These SARS-CoV vaccines all induced antibody and protection against infection with SARS-CoV. However, challenge of mice given any of the vaccines led to occurrence of Th2-type immunopathology suggesting hypersensitivity to SARS-CoV components was induced. Caution in proceeding to application of a SARS-CoV vaccine in humans is indicated.

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3335060/

    I’ve looked everywhere but I cannot find any info on how they overcame these problems … and they sure worked it out fast… within a year of covid hitting they solved all the problems — ‘thoroughly tested’ the covid vaccines…

    Given this would represent a MASSIVE scientific breakthrough … would the team or individual who had the Eureka moment … be acknowledged?

    I could see this being a blockbuster movie… who do we get to play the lead scientist… Clooney perhaps? Maybe Leo … Oh I know Russel Crowe would be perfect!

    And there would need to be at least one book… The Race to Make the SARS Covid Vaccine.

    That would definitely be a best seller challenging the bible for top spot.

    I can’t figure it out… there nothing .. zero zilch…

    What do you reckon brain?

  40. Michael Le Merchant says:
  41. Tim Groves says:

    We interrupt your regular programming to bring you a newsflash of Biblical proportions!!

    “We Are At End Days Here” Former Executive Of Blackrock Edward Dowd

    • Lastcall says:

      Link wouldn’t play for me but there is this…

      ‘Those who remember the 2008 situation may recall that third-party agencies were applying fraudulent ratings to financial instruments. It turns out that the same thing is happening again, except this time Big Pharma and the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) appear to be the culprits.

      “I also have a thesis as to what is going on at Pfizer and Moderna, and how those companies are probably fraudulent,” Dowd explained. “These vaccines were pushed through and I think the clinical trial data is fraud.”

      “I want to liken what’s gone on here to what happened during the great financial crisis. We had rating agencies, third-party verification sources that were able to perpetuate the fraud because the money got too big. Their institutions became corrupted with the institutional imperative and they got AAA ratings which we all know in hindsight those were not AAA ratings.”

      In this case, the FDA is the “trusted” third-party verification vehicle for pharmaceutical products. Roughly half of the FDA’s budget comes from the drug industry, and it would seem as though this corrupt agency allowed dangerous, ineffective and largely untested vaccine drugs to get released.

      “I believe that due to the institutional imperative that was in place at the time, and the speed with which they tried to approve these products with this unproven technology, fraud did occur,” Dowd said about the FDA. “And what’s my proof of that? The FDA together with Pfizer are trying to hide the clinical data.”

      The all-cause mortality endpoint for Pfizer’s injections failed, we now know. There were actually more deaths in the vaccine group than in the placebo group, which is why the drug giant has refused to release its clinical trial data’

      https://pharmaceuticalfraud.com/2022-02-02-edward-dowd-blackrock-global-debt-bubble-peak.html#

    • Kowalainen says:

      I was sort of wishing for AGI and smart ass aliens to emerge before this shit show goes belly up. You know, something new and exciting to stir in the can of boredom.

      But hey, shit happens.

      In the mean time: Remember to use condoms when busting your nuts in Reverse AIDS diseased MOAR(ons).

      This is why the vax ‘passport’ is essential.

    • COVID provided the excuse needed to cut back oil consumption as well as greatly add to government debt and printed money. It kept the world’s financial problems hidden a little longer.

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