|
Getting your Trinity Audio player ready...
|
It is my view that when energy supply falls, it falls not because reserves “run out.” It falls because economies around the world cannot afford to purchase goods and services made with energy products and using energy products in their operation. It is really a price problem. Prices cannot be simultaneously high enough for oil producers (such as Russia and Saudi Arabia) to ramp up production and remain low enough for consumers around the world to buy the goods and services that they are accustomed to buying.
We are now in a period of price conflict. Oil and other energy prices have remained too low for producers since at least mid-2014. At the same time, depletion of fossil fuels has led to higher costs of extraction. Often, the tax needs of governments of oil exporting countries are higher as well, leading to even higher required prices for producers if they are to continue to produce oil and raise their production. Thus, producers truly require higher prices.
Governments of countries affected by this inflation in price are quite disturbed: Higher prices for energy products mean higher prices for all goods and services. This makes citizens very unhappy because wages do not rise to compensate for this inflation. Prices today are high enough to cause significant inflation (about $107 per barrel for Brent oil (Europe) and $97 for WTI (US)), but still not high enough to satisfy the high-price needs of energy producers.
It is my expectation that these and other issues will lead to a very strangely behaving world economy in the months and years ahead. The world economy we know today is, in fact, a self-organizing system operating under the laws of physics. With less energy, it will start “coming apart.” World trade will increasingly falter. Fossil fuel prices will be volatile, but not necessarily very high. In this post, I will try to explain some of the issues I see.
[1] The issue causing the price conflict can be described as reduced productivity of the economy. The ultimate outcome of reduced productivity of the economy is fewer total goods and services produced by the economy.
Figure 2 shows that, historically, there is an extremely high correlation between world energy consumption and the total quantity of goods and services produced by the world economy. In my analysis, I use Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) GDP because it is not distorted by the rise and fall of the US dollar relative to other currencies.
The reason such a high correlation exists is because it takes energy to perform each activity that contributes to GDP, such as lighting a room or transporting goods. Energy consumption which is cheap to produce and growing rapidly in quantity is ideal for increasing energy productivity, since it allows factories to be built cheaply and raw materials and finished goods to be transported at low cost.
Humans are part of the economy. Food is the energy product that humans require. Reducing food supply by 20% or 40% or 50% cannot be expected to work well. The economy suffers the same difficulty.
In recent years, depletion has been making the extraction of fossil fuel resources increasingly expensive. One issue is that the resources that were easiest to extract and closest to where they were needed were extracted first, leaving the highest cost resources for extraction later. Another issue is that with a growing population, the governments of oil exporting countries require higher tax revenue to support the overall needs of their countries.
Intermittent wind and solar are not substitutes for fossil fuels because they are not available when they are needed. If several months’ worth of storage could be added, the total cost would be so high that these energy sources would have no chance of being competitive. I recently wrote about some of the issues with renewables in Limits to Green Energy Are Becoming Much Clearer.
Rising population is a second problem leading to falling efficiency. In order to feed, clothe and house a rising population, a growing quantity of food must be produced from essentially the same amount of arable land. More water for the rising population is required for the rising population, often obtained by deeper wells or desalination. Clearly, the need to use increased materials and labor to work around problems caused by rising world population adds another layer of inefficiency.
If we also add the cost of attempting to work around pollution issues, this further adds another layer of inefficiency in the use of energy supplies.
More technology is not a solution, either, because adding any type of complexity requires energy to implement. For example, adding machines to replace current workers requires the use of energy products to make and operate the machines. Moving production to cheaper locations overseas (another form of complexity) requires energy for the transport of goods from where they are transported to where they are used.
Figure 2 shows that the world economy still requires more energy to produce increasing GDP, even with the gains achieved in technology and efficiency.
Because of energy limits, the world economy is trying to change from a “growth mode” to a “shrinkage mode.” This is something very much like the collapse of many ancient civilizations, including the fall of Rome in 165 to 197 CE. Historically, such collapses have unfolded over a period of years or decades.
[2] In the past, the growth rate of GDP has exceeded that of energy consumption. As the economy changes from growth to shrinkage, we should expect this situation to reverse: The rate of shrinkage of GDP will be greater than the rate of shrinkage of energy consumption.
Figure 3 shows that, historically, world economic growth has been slightly higher than the growth in energy consumption. This growth in energy consumption is based on total consumption of fossil fuels and renewables, as calculated by BP.
In fact, based on the discussion in Section [1], this is precisely the situation we should expect: GDP growth should exceed energy consumption growth when the economy is growing. Unfortunately, Section [1] also suggests that we can expect this favorable relationship to disappear as energy supply begins to shrink because of growing inefficiencies in the system. In such a case, GDP is likely to shrink even more quickly than energy supply shrinks. One reason this happens is because complexity of many types cannot be maintained as energy supply shrinks. For example, international supply lines are likely to break if energy supplies fall too low.
[3] Interest rates play an important role in encouraging the development of energy resources. Generally falling interest rates are very beneficial; rising interest rates are quite detrimental. As the economy shifts toward shrinkage, the pattern we can expect is higher interest rates, rather than lower. As the limits of energy extraction are hit, these higher rates will tend to make the economy shrink even faster than it would otherwise shrink.
Part of what has allowed growing energy consumption in the period shown in Figures 2 and 3 is rising debt levels at generally lower interest rates. Falling interest rates together with debt availability make investment in factories and mines more affordable. They also help citizens seeking to buy a new car or home because the lower monthly payments make these items more affordable. Demand for energy products tends to rise, allowing the prices of commodities to rise higher than they would otherwise rise, thus making their production more profitable. This encourages more fossil fuel extraction and more development of renewables.
Once the economy starts to shrink, debt levels seem likely to shrink because of defaults and because of reluctance of lenders to lend, for fear of defaults. Interest rates will tend to rise, partly because of the higher inflation rates and partly because of the higher level of expected defaults. This debt pattern in turn will reinforce the tendency toward lower GDP growth compared to energy consumption growth. This is a major reason that raising interest rates now is likely to push the economy downward.
[4] With fewer goods and services produced by the economy, the world economy must eventually shrink. We should not be surprised if this shrinkage in some ways echoes the shrinkage that took place in the 2008-2009 recession and the 2020 shutdowns.
The GDP of the world economy is the goods and services produced by the world economy. If the economy starts to shrink, total world GDP will necessarily fall.
What happens in the future may echo what has happened in the past.
Central bank officials felt it was important to stop inflation in oil prices (and indirectly in food prices) back in the 2004 to 2006 period. This indirectly led to the 2008-2009 recession as parts of the world debt bubble started to collapse and many jobs were lost. We should not be surprised if a much worse version of this happens in the future.
The 2020 shutdowns were characterized in most news media as a response to Covid-19. Viewed on an overall system basis, however, they really were a response to many simultaneous problems:
- Covid-19
- A hidden shortage of fossil fuels that was not reflected as high enough prices for producers to ramp up production
- Hidden financial problems that threatened a new version of the 2008 financial collapse
- Factories in many parts of the world that were operating at far less than capacity
- Workers demonstrating in the streets with respect to low wages and low pensions
- Airlines with financial problems
- Citizens frustrated by long commutes
- Very many old, sick people in care homes of various types, passing around illnesses
- An outsized medical system that still desired to increase profits
- Politicians who wanted a way to better control their populations–perhaps rationing of output would work around an inadequate total supply of goods and services
Shutting down non-essential activities for a while would temporarily reduce demand for oil and other energy products, making it easier for the rest of the system to appear profitable. It would give an excuse to increase borrowing (and money printing) to hide the financial problems for a while longer. It would keep people at home, reducing the need for oil and other energy products, hiding the fossil fuel shortage for a while longer. It would force the medical system to reorganize, offering more telephone visits and laying off non-essential workers. Many individual citizens could reduce time lost to commuting, thanks to new work-from-home rules and internet connections. The homebuilding and home remodeling industries were stimulated, offering work to those who had been laid off.
The impacts of the shutdowns were greatest on poor people in poor countries, such as those in Central and South America. For example, many people in the vacation and travel industries were laid off in poor countries. People making fancy clothing for people going to conferences and weddings were laid off, as were people raising flowers for fancy events. These people had trouble finding new employment. They are at increased risk of dying, either from Covid-19 or inadequate nutrition, making them susceptible to other illnesses.
We should not be surprised if some near-term problems echo what has happened in the past. Debt defaults and falling home prices are very real possibilities, for example. Also, making a new crisis a huge focal point and scaring the population into staying at home has proven to be a huge success in temporarily reducing energy consumption without actual rationing. Some people believe that monkeypox or a climate change crisis will be the next area of focus in an attempt to reduce energy consumption, and thus lower oil prices.
[5] There is likely to be more conflict in a world with not enough goods and services to go around.
With a shrinking amount of finished goods and services, we should not be surprised if we see more conflict in the world. Many wars are resource wars. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine, with other countries indirectly involved, certainly could be considered a resource war. Russia wants higher prices for its exports of many kinds, including energy exports. I wrote about the conflict issue in a post I wrote in April 2022: The world has a major crude oil problem; expect conflict ahead.
World War I and World War II were almost certainly about energy resources. Peak coal in the UK seems to be closely related to World War I. Inadequate coal in Germany and lack of oil in Japan (and elsewhere) seem to be related to World War II.
[6] We seem to be facing a new set of problems in addition to the problems that gave rise to the Covid-19 shutdowns. These are likely to shape how any new crisis plays out.
Some recently added problems include the following:
- Debt has risen to a high level, relative to 2008. This debt will be harder to repay with higher interest rates.
- The US dollar is very high relative to other currencies. The high level of the US dollar causes problems for borrowers from outside the US in repaying their loans. It also makes energy prices very high outside the US.
- Oil, coal and natural gas are all in short supply world-wide, leading to falling productivity of the overall system Item 1. If extraction is to continue, prices need to be much higher.
- Difficulties with broken supply lines make it hard to ramp up production of manufactured goods of many kinds.
- Inadequate labor supply is an increasing problem. Baby boomers are now retiring; not enough young people are available to take their place. Increased illness, associated with Covid-19 and its vaccines, is also an issue.
These issues point to a situation where rising interest rates seem likely to send the world economy downward because of debt defaults and failing businesses of many kinds.
The high dollar relative to other currencies leads to the potential for the system to break apart under stress. Alternatively, the US dollar may play a smaller role in international trade than in the past.
[7] Many parts of the economy are likely to find that the promised payments to be made to them cannot really take place.
We have been taught that money is a store of value. We have also been taught that government promises, such as pensions, unemployment insurance and health insurance can be counted on. If there are fewer goods and services available in total, the whole system must change to reflect the fact that there are no longer enough goods and services to go around. There may not even be enough food to go around.
As the world economy hits limits, we cannot assume that the money we have in the bank will really be able to purchase the goods we want in the future. The goods may not be available to purchase, or the government may put a restriction (such as $200 per week) on how much we can withdraw from our account each week, or inflation may make goods we currently buy unaffordable.
If we think about the situation, the world will be producing fewer goods and services each year, regardless of what promises that have been made in the past might say. For example, the number of bushels of wheat available worldwide will start falling, as will the number of new cars and the number of computers. Somehow, the goods and services people expected to be available will start disappearing. If the problem is inflation, the affordable quantity will start to fall.
We don’t know precisely what will happen, but these are some ideas, especially as higher interest rates become a problem:
- Many businesses will fail. They will default on their debt; the value of their stock will go to zero. They will lay off their employees.
- Employees and governments will also default on debts. Banks will have difficulty remaining solvent.
- Pension plans will have nowhere nearly enough money to pay promised pensions. Either they will default or prices will rise so high that the pensions do not really purchase the goods that recipients hoped for.
- The international system of trade is likely to start withering away. Eventually, most goods will be locally produced with whatever resources are available.
- Many government agencies will become inadequately funded and fail. Intergovernmental agencies, such as the European Union and the United Nations, are especially vulnerable.
- Governments are likely to reduce services provided because tax revenues are too low. Even if more money is printed, it cannot buy goods that are not there.
- Citizens may become so unhappy with their governments that they overthrow them. Simpler, cheaper governmental systems, offering fewer services, may follow.
[8] It is likely that, in inflation-adjusted dollars, energy prices will not rise very high, for very long.
We are likely dealing with an economy that is basically falling apart. Factories will produce less because they cannot obtain financing. Purchasers of finished goods and services will have difficulty finding jobs that pay well and loans based on this employment. These effects will tend to keep commodity prices too low for producers. While there may be temporary spurts of higher prices, finished goods made with high-cost energy products will be too expensive for most citizens to afford. This will tend to push prices back down again.
[9] Conclusion.
We are dealing with a situation that economists, politicians and central banks are ill-equipped to handle. Raising interest rates may squeeze out a huge share of the economy. The economy was already “at the edge.” We can’t know for certain.
Virtually no one looks at the economy from a physics point of view. For one thing, the result is too distressing to explain to citizens. For another, it is fashionable for scientists of all types to produce papers and have them peer reviewed by others within their own ivory towers. Economists, politicians and central bankers don’t care about the physics of the situation. Even those basing their analysis on Energy Return on Energy Invested (EROEI) tend to focus on only a narrow portion of what I explained in Section [1]. Once researchers have invested a huge amount of time and effort in one direction, they cannot consider the possibility that their approach may be seriously incomplete.
Unfortunately, the physics-based approach I am using indicates that the world’s economy is likely to change dramatically for the worse in the months and years ahead. Economies, in general, cannot last forever. Populations outgrow their resource bases; resources become too depleted. In physics terms, economies are dissipative structures, not unlike ecosystems, plants and animals. They can only exist for a limited time before they die or end their operation. They tend to be replaced by new, similar dissipative structures.
While the current world economy cannot last indefinitely, humans have continued to exist through many bottlenecks in the past, including ice ages. It is likely that some humans, perhaps in mutated form, will make it through the current bottleneck. These humans will likely create a new economy that is better adapted to the Earth as it changes.
This is good… really good… fresh hell for the vaccinated!!!
Let’s say you have been exposed to a virus naturally, and your immune system is dealing with it; then you get a shot containing the same virus. The additional viruses in the vaccine just may be enough to PROVOKE a frank case of the illness you are fighting off and the “vaccine” is supposed to prevent.
https://drkevinstillwagon.substack.com/p/the-silent-killers-357
For Australians that place a lot of importance to the hygiene of their home, the best steam cleaners are the new super-product when it comes to home cleaning. https://wisereview.com.au/best-steam-cleaners.html
Inflation Begins to Strain Finances of Young, Low-Income Americans
NEW YORK (Reuters) – As high inflation forces Americans to spend more on gas and bills, young and low-income consumers are starting to feel financial pressure.
Generation Z consumers and those with low credit scores are falling behind on credit card and auto loan bills and accumulating credit card debt at a pace not seen since before the pandemic.
For instance, credit card balances for people ages 25 and younger rose by 30% in the second quarter from a year earlier, compared with an increase of just 11% among the broader population, according to a random sampling of 12.5 million U.S. credit files compiled by credit score company VantageScore. Balances for non-prime borrowers, or people with credit scores below 660, rose by nearly 25% over the same period.
https://money.usnews.com/investing/news/articles/2022-08-01/inflation-begins-to-strain-finances-of-young-low-income-americans#:~:text=Aug.%201%2C%202022%2C%20at%201%3A06%20a.m.&text=NEW%20YORK%20(Reuters)%20%2D%20As,starting%20to%20feel%20financial%20pressure.
Social Darwinism will hit them with a vengeance
Only if the IVF costs start skyrocketing and subsidies disappear, daycare and other subsidies of this kind is also disappear.
Not really complete without dealing with those.
Crippling “vaccine” injuries strike pilots on the job (in the US and Spain), fell a British track star, paralyze a model in Brazil, cause widespread “breathing problems” at the Tour de France; & more
For all those who have “died suddenly” since January, 2021, many MORE have suffered grave and (it seems) lasting injuries, some arguably worse than death; and there’s no end in sight
https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/crippling-vaccine-injuries-strike
norm .. do you regret injecting .. or are you looking forward to the Autumn version of the injection – it will have more of the same + some magic juice for Omicron … which no longer exists either.. we’re on B4 or B5 or B something innit it.. and we’ve got a couple of months so no doubt we’ll be on C by then….
https://palexander.substack.com/p/nigeria-versus-japan-as-to-covid
Basically what is a sin depends upon who does define it.
However, for me, an activity which subtracts from civilization is a sin.
For example, if a hungry man kills a rare animal to feed his dying child, he has committed a sin since the animal is more valuable than him. Desperately poor man like him and his child are abundant but the rare animal is limited, and both the man and the child deserve less than the animal.
Arthur Harris learned his bizarre value system apparently from the Shona, the natives of what is now Zimbabwe, who never learned how to build anything more complicated from a heap of rocks, featured proudly in the infamous 100 trillion zim dollar bill. The castle of Dresden is not one of a kind; there are hundreds of other castles like that all around Europe. But it is probably worth than a fusilier, although Harris and the Shona would not share my opinion.
The Duke of Conde, after winning the battle of Rocroi or Dunes (one of these two – one of the many dynastic battles at that time) and hearing that 5,000 soldiers had died (which was quite huge back then) , said a night of passion at Paris would make it all up. Conde had a broad vision of Civilization than Harris and the Shona.
We are all now paying for Eisenhower’s decision to save the lives of a few thousand soldiers at Berlin back in 1945. The lives saved there were more than made up by the 40,000 lives lost at Korea, a place which was, is and will never be important, other than producing some kind of pop music.
it also gave USSR/Russia a moral superiority, real or imagined, which continues to this day.
If Ike didn’t think the lives of 5,000 future mechanics, hairdressers and factory workers were valuable this farce would never have taken place
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I1NLEOndBUs
We will have to choose between brutal social darwinism which will be needed to maintain civilization, gain 50 more years of BAU and keep hopes for a spacefaring humanity alive, or make a few more billion people live a bit more comfortably for a couple decades before it all comes down and we return to the era of medieval knights with any hope for the future eternally quashed.
Fear of the injections https://t.me/arkmedic/4503
Long-term disability claims are soaring among pilots
Alex Berenson
The pilots union at a major US airline internally reports a 300 percent rise in long-term disability claims this year among its members, who are nearly all vaccinated.
If you work at a big employer or union and have access to similar data, email me: alexberensonauthor at gmail. Would like to put together a full Stack on this.
https://alexberenson.substack.com/p/long-term-disability-claims-are-soaring
I’m thinking … there would be similar issues in the military … now why would you want to decimate your military – if you were an Elder? The military is rather important to your empire.
UEP.
Russia is not a perfect society. The alcoholism alone… A while ago back I knew a Russian gal who was trying to get me to import her younger sister. She couldnt find a sober Russian man. Well that was the story anyway… I didnt do it. Never was that smart.
Russia a Christian nation is a natural ally to Islam they both believe in god. Neoliberalism and the CCP are natural enemy’s. Neoliberalism and the CCP are natural allies. As such the Taiwan spat could be viewed like a infidel Sunni Shia spat. The same but slightly different spats tend to be the most vicious. Of course there are many flaws with this simplistic view. A healing revival in Louisiana is a tad different than a visit to the Russia orthodox church.
What’s her name? I think she lives with me now.
Every morning she wakes me up with some egg on a rope that smells nice. Last week i bought her some new socks.
Damn! Girls who dig socks as gifts rock. I forget her name. Ill say Svetlana. That gives me a 78% chance of being correct.
Nancy Pelosi to meet Taiwan’s president on Wednesday
Nancy Pelosi, Speaker of the US House of Representatives, plans to meet Taiwan’s president Tsai Ing-wen on Wednesday, in a controversial visit that has triggered concern about a possible military response from China.
Three people familiar with the situation said Pelosi would meet Tsai in Taipei as part of a wider visit to Asia that began in Singapore on Sunday.
https://www.ft.com/content/a2a69c08-b327-4a4d-99ff-20f92a4437f3
How come sustainability only pertains to fossil fuels and meat but not our consumption of water?
https://twitter.com/noalpha_allbeta/status/1554143360377659392
Here is the key takeaway from readers who are on the go: “Hoover Dam was built using a short period of data that assumed annual rainfall was much higher than reality.” (HedgedIn)
I think I have said something very similar to “Hoover Dam was built using a short period of data that assumed annual rainfall was much higher than reality,” in the comments to OFW, if not in a post.
Feed shortage leads to pig cannibalism, China’s economy deteriorates
A video showing pigs eating a deceased pig on a farm in China went viral recently. Some of the pig farmers, who work for a large Chinese financial group, said the cannibalism occurred due to feed shortages. One expert believes the feed shortage is a reflection of larger problems in China’s economy.
Since July 24, the video has been one of the most searched topics on Chinese social media, focusing on the listed company and a major pig breeding company, Jiangxi Zhengbang Tech (whose subsidiary is Jiangxi Zhengbang Breeding Co.), entering into contract farmers to raise the pigs. Posts about the company have been circulating online, such as “farmers’ pig feed supply was interrupted”, “the chairman of Zhengbang was restricted from buying advanced products”, “the company’s fundraising was delayed” and “the company’s court ordered the total compensation amount reached 100 million yuan ( approximately $14.8 million),” etc.
That sent shares of Zhengbang Tech down 6.66 percent to 5.89 yuan (about $0.87) per share on July 25. The company then issued several announcements in response to the issues.
On July 25, Zhengbang Tech admitted that there were interruptions in pig feed supply in July, citing the decline in pig prices in June, COVID-19, the company’s tight funds, logistics problems and problems in coordination with feed producers. There is no mention of compensation for pig farmers in the statement.
The company’s statements neither confirmed nor denied that pig cannibalism was taking place on the farms.
Major financial problems
In addition, a “necessary reminder” was included in the Zhengbang statement. It said: “The company’s net profit in the first half of 2022 is expected to lose 3.8 billion to 4.6 billion yuan (about $563 million to $682 million).” The statement has raised concerns from the outside world about the company’s “lack of funds.”
Independent current affairs commentator Tang Jingyuan told the Epoch Times on July 27 that there are two main reasons for Zhengbang Tech’s shortage of pig feed. “One is a lack of funds, and there may even be a break in the capital chain. The second is that the COVID-19 epidemic has caused the logistics system to be blocked, which is the problem of the coordination of logistics distribution and feed factories mentioned in the company’s official statement. Indeed, behind these two reasons, the main reason is that the economic environment in mainland China has worsened due to the regime’s zero-COVID policy and measures, resulting in a vicious circle of mutual causation between the above two reasons.”
“The deterioration of China’s economy is largely caused by policy mistakes rather than a natural disaster. Zhengbang Tech is just one of the countless companies paying for it,” he said.
https://aumag.net/feed-shortage-leads-to-pig-cannibalism-chinas-economy-deteriorates/
I would say that a big part of China’s problem is a lack of a growing supply of very-cheap-to -produce energy. This indirectly makes it harder to fix the many problems it encounters. For example, with cheap enough energy supplies, there likely would not have been nearly the problem that there has been in building homes promised by developers in China. China could afford to import more corn supplies, or they could use techniques to grow their own food for pigs.
TECHNOLGOICAL DETERMINISM
or the “if someone caries a hammer in his or her hand all the time, every thing starts to look like a nail”
This is from a person related to a U.S. intelligence employee (f bbbi) and allegedly experimented on or conditioned by the c iii a.
” The foregoing principles help to show how hopelessly difficult it would be to reform the industrial system in such a way as to prevent it from progressively narrowing our sphere of freedom. There has been a consistent tendency, going back at least to the Industrial Revolution for technology to strengthen the system at a high cost in individual freedom and local autonomy. Hence any change designed to protect freedom from technology would be contrary to a fundamental trend in the development of our society. Consequently, such a change either would be a transitory one—soon swamped by the tide of history—or, if large enough to be permanent would alter the nature of our whole society. This by the first and second principles. Moreover, since society would be altered in a way that could not be predicted in advance (third principle) there would be great risk. Changes large enough to make a lasting difference in favor of freedom would not be initiated because it would be realized that they would gravely disrupt the system. So any attempts at reform would be too timid to be effective. Even if changes large enough to make a lasting difference were initiated, they would be retracted when their disruptive effects became apparent. Thus, permanent changes in favor of freedom could be brought about only by persons prepared to accept radical, dangerous and unpredictable alteration of the entire system. In other words by revolutionaries, not reformers”***
I thought I was being delusional when I noted a tendency among internet ,moderators many yeas back to control speech on their platforms to the point that unpopular opinions were simply banned . We really shouldn’t be surprised by the political ideas that people who were internet mods back in the day have now, that they are entering politics.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/national/longterm/unabomber/manifesto.text.htm
Evolution is just a Borg whak-a-mole in the end.
The very one thing you do not want in evolution is one being non compliant.
White House: “The Speaker has the right to visit Taiwan.”
https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1554166398728937472
Definitely in the Magna Carta, Pelosi visiting Taiwan.
Stir things up a bit!
Taiwan cancels leave of some soldiers ‘to immediately prepare for war’
Taiwanese defense officials have canceled the leave of some soldiers and officers “to immediately prepare” for the chance of war in response to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Asia this week, according to local reports.
China warned early Monday that its military would not “sit idly by” if the House speaker visits Taiwan during her trip this week, echoing similar comments from Chinese President Xi Jinping last week that the United States should not “play with fire.” Pelosi is expected to stop in Taiwan during her visit this week, although the island is not listed on her itinerary.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/foreign/taiwan-cancels-leave-soldiers-immediately-prepare-war
This sounds increasingly specific.
Even if US bloodied the nose of China, it would still cost a lot of money and resources to implement this. What are you going to do, invade the mainland?
Ramping up the anxiety… I’ll get some tranny stuff to throw in the pot shortly
So, basically, instead of admitting the strategic error and cancel the sanctions, they create exceptions in them not to self-damage too much. Clowns.
How the EU Will Allow a Slight Increase in Russian Oil Exports
Here’s a look at what’s changed, what hasn’t, and what might.
What’s Changed
The European Union adopted a number of corrections to previous sanctions last month.
Among them, the EU introduced an exemption that allows transactions with some sanctioned entities, including banks and state-linked companies such as Rosneft PJSC, if they are deemed essential to shipments of food, agricultural goods and oil to third countries outside the EU.
Rosneft is Russia’s biggest oil producer and a huge exporter. The company also operates a number of terminals and from ports used by other firms.
The purpose of the changes is to avoid any potential disruptions to food supplies and avoid situations where companies and traders might be overcompensating when applying the bloc’s sanctions.
Announcing the measures, the EU said they were introduced “with a view to avoid any potential negative consequences for food and energy security around the world, the EU decided to extend the exemption from the prohibition to engage in transactions with certain state-owned entities as regards transactions for agricultural products and the transport of oil to third countries.”
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/how-the-eu-will-allow-a-slight-increase-in-russian-oil-exports-1.1799858
Will the Russian Sanctions have teeth if no oil transits to China?
The strategy seems to be to keep making changes, so no one really understands what is happening. If things seem too dire, find some new “adjustment” to make.
You mean as in “shifting the goal posts” as we were trained in the last 2 years?
British MPs plan visit to Taiwan as tension with China simmers
Exclusive: Tom Tugendhat likely to lead trip later this year as London’s relationship with Beijing deteriorates
Britain’s House of Commons foreign affairs committee is planning a visit to Taiwan later this year – probably in November or early December – despite rising tensions in the region, the Guardian has learned.
Sources say the trip – which was originally scheduled for early this year but was postponed due to one member of the delegation testing positive for Covid – was intended to show Britain’s support for the democratically run island, which China considers its own.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/aug/01/british-mps-plan-visit-to-taiwan-as-tension-with-china-simmers?CMP=share_btn_tw
Poking a panda is a lot less exciting than poking a brown bear.
Dont try this at home.
https://www.facebook.com/BeautybyMetDaan/videos/158082272871731/
US SPR crude inventories fell by 4.6mb w/w to 469.9mb last week
Sour -4.6mb to 235.0mb
Sweet unchanged at 235mb
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FZFmfoOXkAoDoG_?format=jpg&name=900×900
We seem to be busy selling crude oil to China and elsewhere.
With TTF at these levels and gas in short supply, EU will continue to substitute and move to more coal and oil power generation. Munich is already burning more oil/coal to save gas:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FZF4b-LX0AEsU3a?format=jpg&name=large
US Coal Mining Production and Coal-fired Power Plants 2022
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FZF7wYMXEAM60O5?format=png&name=900×900
Number of retired plants is very high, however.
This is an EIA update. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=50658
It shows this chart of coal fired US power plants, by operating year.
TV tower in Moscow: “China, Russia is with you!”
https://twitter.com/AlexGabuev/status/1554143940953227266
Yah? Russian subs in the pacific will pitch in? Not. Their sending Beijing their next level hypersonics or even their first gen? Not. Atta boy! You go girl!
Theres a reason why formal defense agreements have not been signed.
Long term the biggest threat to Russia by far is a CCP ran China. Russia has huge amounts of top of the line ordnance in their eastern military district. Who is going that deep in Eurasia thats a threat? A sneaky attack by Poland across the arctic? The Taliban?
I doubt that any country has the resources to help other countries. Russia cannot fight a war on two fronts.
For the sake of inclusive capitalism! We are with you Bro!
German retail sales YoY
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FZF5EuPXoAAUxS0?format=jpg&name=small
Doesn’t look good!
Oh boy! This Pelosi thins is very exciting indeed. (Rubbing hands with glee)… is this the one? If Pelosi did not visit, them USA is all talk and no action. If China does not kill Pelosi in Taiwan, then China is all talk and no action… can someone pass some popcorn please? Who cares if it is low salt, low fat or low sugar.??
Salt? Did I hear salt?
https://img3.exportersindia.com/product_images/bc-small/2019/6/6046968/industrial-salt-1560324491-4947686.jpeg
I love the rapacious primates statuses and prestiges ending up with kinetic negotiations.
🤣👍👍
It will be a nothingburger. Have some nice Durian Whiskey and relax.
The WSJ has as its lead post Nancy Pelosi to Visit Taiwan Despite Warnings from China
U.S. House speaker plans meetings with Taipei officials, raising prospect of increased tensions with Beijing
This looks to play out just like Russia. The US will get provocative, the Chinese will draw a red line. Nothing will happen, the US will push things a little further, rinse and repeat. At some point China will invade Taiwan just like Russia did to Ukraine.
The US will impose severe economic sanctions on China and then the global economy goes down for the final count. Because pretty much everything comes out of China, supposedly even our pharmaceuticals.
China doesn’t really care because they see the United States as an Empire on the way out. The Chinese will further align themselves with nations from the East.
🥱 yawn this will be nothing two weeks from now; just another distraction.
Is it too much to ask, that China knocks down Pelosi’s airplane, and then Russia does the same with Nuland? I am not asking for much.
I hope they erase Serbia from the map , divided into neighboring nations who will be too happy to do that.
The people of Serbia were never held accountable for causing the Great War. King Milan was a wise King who maintained alliance with Austria, even though his personal life was quite bizarre. The Serbian gangsters killed him and installed the Karajorjevics, who were the chief gangster family of that land, and we know what happened next.
Serbia has to pay for its sin.
Eternal paying for eternal sins looks like a good strategy to live a happy life to me.
Somebody needs to put this in some sort of a book.
Well someone already put that idea into a black book which has been sold to a lot of people.
People who have nothing to do with Adam , genetically, were taught to have the original sin when we don’t even know whether Adam existed.
However, we do know the culprit who did commit the eternal sin in this instance and the beneficiaries have to pay.
Well of course! Undoubtedly those issuing the payback riding a white horse a halo over their head as the pavement turns red and wet. Yes the children of the children of the children must pay for the actions of one person who shared their ancestors population. Truly sick.
Is there one aspect of your life you dont blame someone or something for? You sound like a xxxx supremist. Fill in the blank with item of your choice. Its them. I would have been manager of the playboy mansion but for them. Every single post.
There is a lot of s*** that has got way out of hand. We agree on that but seriously get a clue. You are responsible for your actions. I am responsible for my actions. Not them.
Not one person, but the entire people of Serbia who think he is some kind of a hero. I heard his statue graces the central platform of Belgrade, which will have to be ground to dust.
Yes, if they felt any guilt, they would not have discussed honoring the person who lit the fuse to destroy 10 million European youths just because their crappy country could gain more respect. So all of them are guilty.
As far as my friend Klausi would say, we simply grind it all to dust. Suckers!
Finally a final solution!
Your one sick puppy
It is well known that WWI was created by the UK.
This video provides a very interesting and thorough overview of China’s geopolitical moves of the last 30 years in light of its dependency on foreign energy sources.
The Taiwan issue gets a good airing.
China’s Catastrophic Oil & Gas Problem
Pretty much every economy now on the planet has an oil and gas problem. It’s not just China.
Thanks! I agree that this is an interesting video. My notes skip the first part, because I accidentally lost my notes relating to that part.
The Straight of Malacca is very important to China because it imports the vast majority of its oil and natural gas, and 80% of these imports pass through the Straight of Malacca, which is 1.5 miles wide. A large share of China’s exports also go through the Straight of Malacca, making a blockade of the Straight of Malacca very likely, in the case of war.
If Taiwan were to ever declare its independence, it is likely that China would try to take the straight back. The US would likely retaliate by blockading the straight, making it impossible for many of China’s activities to continue. This is similar to the blockade of Japan’s oil supply that led to Japan’s role in World War II. In fact, China might try to strike first, to prevent the blockade.
There is the Quadrilateral Security Alliance, with the US, Australia, Japan and India, which is the Asian version of NATO. There is also the AUKUS, which is a trilateral security pact between the Australia, the UK, and the US, announced September 13, 2021. under it, the US and the UK will help Australia to acquire nuclear-powered sub-marines. The plan is that the combined navies could overwhelm China’s navy in the pacific.
Now China’s navy is being ramped up, to be able to compete with the allies. Also, trying to find alternative that is not easily blockaded.
Also, China is trying to ramp up the Belt and Road alternative route, giving an overland route for oil and other imports. [Overland means expensive, however, for rail and for road transport!] Also, adding oil and natural gas pipelines to get fossil fuels from Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan to China directly. Thus, Russia’s affiliates (Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan) are increasingly sending oil and gas to China, leaving less for Russia to export to Europe. Russia is also exporting natural gas directly to China.
Also, new LNG plants are being added on the north edge of Russia. With climate change, this route is expected to be increasing ice-free, year-around. Thus, not only LNG but other goods can be shipped by China and Russia to Europe and elsewhere through the northern sea route. Russia needs other customers than Europe. Thus, there is a growing friendship between Russia and China.
China has built a big port in Pakistan, as part of its Belt and Road Initiative. This could be another route for oil and gas. (China did something similar in Sri Lanka. When Sri Lanka defaulted on its debt relating to the new port, China took control of the port.) If Pakistan defaults, China could take over the new port in Pakistan, as well.
China’s oil and gas resources are nearly all in the northwest province of Xinjiang, which is where the is a big Muslim population. This is where a major genocide is taking place.
—-
I would add that the fact that oil and gas prices have been low is no doubt related to Xinjiang’s problems. If prices were a lot higher, the quantity of oil and gas extracted could be higher, the tax revenue could be higher, and the living standards could be higher in the Xinjiang Province. I would guess that the birth rate in this province has been a higher than elsewhere (since the population includes many of the Moslem faith, and since the area is far from Beijing), leading to population pressures as well. The area seems to be mostly desert, meaning that it is hard to provide locally grown food and adequate fresh water.
I have read that the Malaysian airliner was shot down specifically to send a message to Malaysia — which was apparently wavering in it’s commitment to the US…. the Malacca Straits are obviously in Malaysian waters…
Thanks Kim, great link. Insights into geo political stuff i didn’t know. Really great link.
Self organizing economy will kill the weak first.
I predict a massive cleansing of the haves, those who have a stake in the world, to mercilessly clean out the undesirables.
It is inevitable. As a descendant of a landowner who treated his tenants very, very harshly (and somehow escaped their wrath after the Russians took over his land, because he had the foresight to send his children to US affiliated schools), I would say that the reprisal would be rather harsh.
The BAU will continue. It is inevitable. Although probably not for those who don’t have a stake, who will simply be abandoned.
Walled cities will be norm. Again, 1920s Berlin had a stop and frisk policy long before 2010s New York, as documented in the books of Hans Fallada. We are going back to there, kicking out any undesirbles with force
The countdown has begun
PELOSI TO LAND IN TAIWAN TUE NIGHT, MEET LAWMAKERS WED: LIB. TIMES
We will see. Tuesday night in Taiwan is Tuesday morning in the US, due to time difference.
I would not like to meet lawmakers the next day, after a roughly 12-hour time change.
“I would not like to meet lawmakers the next day, after a roughly 12-hour time change.”
lol, practical as ever, Gail.
Pelosi. Hero of the empire! The empire needs Taiwan as a base. A noble sacrifice! China is breaking their deal with the NWO taking the manufacturing assets and running. China dont need no stinking NWO to have a slave state! Pelosi is setting them straight. I wonder what percentage of that aircraft’s weight is vodka?
It will be a nothingberger
Taiwan is already economically dependent to the mainland.
Half of the Taiwanese earn income from companies who lean towards the mainland.
If China goes war against Taiwan, they will just gain more Chinese . What is the purpose?
I don’t think that she will go to Taiwan.
“US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is expected to visit Taiwan as part of her tour of Asia, according to a senior Taiwanese government official and a US official, despite warnings from Biden administration officials, who are worried about China’s response to such a high-profile visit”
Biden has the power to demand that she doesn’t and can legally deny her a passport, so why are his people only warning that it’s a bad idea?
You also have to consider his call to Xi.
“President Biden said that the world is at a critical moment. US-China cooperation benefits not only the two peoples but also people of all countries. The US hopes to keep an open line of communication with China to enhance mutual understanding and avoid misperception and miscalculation, and will work with China where the interests of the two countries align and, at the same time, properly manage differences. He reiterated that the one-China policy of the US has not changed and will not change, and that the US does not support Taiwan independence.”
https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/zxxx_662805/202207/t20220729_10729593.html
haha, you mean cancel the journey as in quit from Afghanistan?
I am pretty sure the USA will do exactly that now.
On the other hand the US$ will not bother with any outcome of this joke because it has already morphed into a black hole for the world economy beyond event horizon. So why bother anyhow.
The best solution would be to write:
“Mrs Pelosi has been there but details can not be disclosed”
China’s People’s Liberation Army just posted a new video on WeChat ahead of Pelosi’s potential visit to Taiwan.
https://twitter.com/Byron_Wan/status/1554078624130535424
Lots of military exercises and attack shots.
How could Pelosi dare land in Taiwan?
Entire Fleet Of F-35 Stealth Fighters Grounded; Follows Eurofighters, Super Hornets Over Ejection Seat Issues
https://eurasiantimes.com/entire-fleet-of-f-35-stealth-grounded-eurofighters-super-hornets/
Shooting down a government representative as a demonstration would just open the screen for a lot more funny things in Dolby Stereo and Technicolor. Go Brandon, go!
C’mon guys, where have you lost your brains ?
BODY COUNT : THE TRUE NUMBER OF VACCINE DEATHS
https://www.bitchute.com/video/2TsOdbUCNdJc/
It would seem like the increase in mortality would include quite a few things, including the poor treatment of Covid-19 illnesses and increases in suicides, not just vaccine deaths. But a person could argue that the particular approach to handling the pandemic was at fault.
My message to Russian President Vladimir Putin
This is a talk by a female investigative reported. She talks about many things that have been going wrong. One of these is that Serbia has been supplying weapons to Ukraine, while denying the fact. Another is that the US bioweapons labs in Ukraine started as early as 2014. Other things, too.
I just wonder why nobody never ever listens to me talking.
She said something? Just kidding. That is a very brave and talented young woman. She probably has more courage in her big toe than I have in my entire body. Probably her big toe is more attractive than my entire body too. Actually no probably there.
But everyone knows USA bioweapon labs in eastern Europe are Russian propaganda even though that intrepid woman has been documenting otherwise for close to a decade. She is obviously KGB probably intimate with Vlad. I bet they have Slavic DNA profiled pretty good by now. See there IS strength in diversity.
If it is on the net, it is a lie. Simple as that.
If it is on youtube it is twice a lie.
Otherwise, I appreciate any distraction.
Pelosi expected to visit Taiwan, Taiwanese and US officials say
(CNN)US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is expected to visit Taiwan as part of her tour of Asia, according to a senior Taiwanese government official and a US official, despite warnings from Biden administration officials, who are worried about China’s response to such a high-profile visit.
The stop — the first for a US House speaker in 25 years — is not currently on Pelosi’s public itinerary and comes at a time when US-China relations are already at a low point.
The Taiwanese official added that she is expected to stay in Taiwan overnight. It is unclear when exactly Pelosi will land in Taipei.
The US official added that defense department officials are working around the clock on monitoring any Chinese movements in the region and securing a plan to keep her safe.
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/08/01/politics/nancy-pelosi-taiwan-visit/index.html
Spiez Lab in Switzerland works to curb new pandemics around the world
The interior of the Spiez Laboratory, which works in Switzerland to prevent the emergence of a new pandemic in the world, was viewed by the British news agency Reuters.
In the high-security laboratory at the foot of the Alps, research is carried out on the world’s most dangerous pathogens. The laboratory, which has been working to prevent chemical, biological and nuclear threats around the world since the Second World War, was tasked by the World Health Organization (WHO) last year to carry out studies on viruses that could lead to a new pandemic after Covid-19. WHO announced that this center is the first link of the global network of combating pandemics.
For this purpose, WHO had implemented the BioHub program to conduct studies on different variants of the corona virus and newly discovered viruses.
‘We saw that it was very difficult to stop the epidemic where it spread’
“The goal is to make sure the outbreak stays where it started,” Isabel Hunger-Glaser, leader of the BioHub Project at the Spiez Lab, told Reuters. Stating that they are researching by collecting virus samples from around the world for this purpose, the expert said, “We saw that it was much more difficult to achieve our goal than we thought.”
Noting that the approach to threats needs to change in the post-Covid-19 world, Hunger-Glaser said, “If it is possible to prevent the spread of the virus, everything should be done for this.”
https://247newsbulletin.com/health-fitness/351516.html
“The laboratory, which has been working to prevent chemical, biological and nuclear threats around the world since the Second World War”
You know that defense and prevention are the shabby cover stories for weapons labs these days, right? Why do you think they put so many bio-defense labs adjacent to Russia and studied bird migration patterns there?
Brush up on your newspeak, everybody.
Very true, I’m afraid. A bio-warfare arms race….
‘Why are you armed to the teeth?”
‘Just self-defence, don’t worry!’
‘And why are you pointing that sword right at me?’
‘Just exercising, stay calm!’
A story to counter the truth is always needed. This seems to be the way the system works.
Switzerland has a perfect record of extra-legal institutions and activities.
Go Brandon, go!
Anyone, who is interested to explore beyond energy and COVID can contact me at chngtg at gmail dot com.
When you are ready, you are ready. Not a second too early and not a second too late. It cannot be forced. That explains why people will just tell you “No I don’t understand you even entertain that idea, I will not not open that link on xxx”
where xxx can be COVID, vaccine, flat earth, moon landing, peak oil, etc.
I am sure you have encountered many times in your life when you start to talk to someone on something and only to be rebuked. It is common across the entire and more so from those who are educated or highly educated because they think they are highly educated. (that also explains why the highly educated are the ones that are pro vaccine)
I think, probably, on the basis of awareness level
1. The lowest being the blue/red, left/right thing. The blue will never believe a single thing the red say and will refuse to even acknowledge him/her as though that person is 100% wrong.
2. The second lowest level are the COVIDIOTS who are not item #1 but could not go beyond COVID and how the vaccines would harm them.They would not entertain anything else other than the vaccine is working. No matter how much data you show them that it is dangerous, you cannot change their mind at all.
3. One level higher will be those who knows that the vaccine is bad but you will have a hard time telling that it is related to energy.
3.5 – special level for Norm where he knows energy is a problem but not the vaccines.
4. Those who know the plandemic and understand the energy issue (most of us in OFW)
5. There is something beyond energy (some in OFW)
Realize that a lot of work needs to be done to go from one level to another. The person must take the initiative and move out of the comfort zone. A large majority of those who are not moving up are those who are lazy (especially level 1-3). If there is no breakthrough, you will be stuck at that level. No amount of convincing will help you as you have to help yourself to move out and ask tough questions and not giving excuses. I know that most people just give excuses when one is presented with facts/information that requires “research, understanding and critical thinking”.
Case of point – “Oh the slaves will move the thousands of blocks of granite, sandstone, etc to build the Pyramid”. A person who is progressing up the level of awareness will ask “how is it possible” and that person must do some research and critical thinking to find out more about it. Leaving this question unanswered will get you nowhere and be at the same level.
This answers the question of
1. Probably 99.99% of COVIDIOTS will not change because they are just to lazy to think
2. Those who see the plandemic will not see the energy side (see FE’s discussion with Yeadon, etc)
3. Norm cannot see the plandemic/conspiracy theories
4. FE’s question on “why people still pay to Alex Berenson, etc” when they already know most of the facts on the virus.
5. Why there are people who will flatly look into “conspiracy theories” and give excuses that it is totally unreal.
Two decades ago, I was introduced to Peak oil. I subscribed to many magazines like Economist, Scientific American, NG, etc. I have extremely large appetite for knowledge and I read a large number of magazines, books, etc. That is why internet is so good for me. Peak Oil perked my interest. As time passes, I have read through probably every single conspiracy theories, conspiracy facts, flat earth, moon landing, chemtrails, simulation theory, etc. Everything that I can have my hands on.
I come to realize that those who said “I will never even think of opening that link or entertain the thought of xxx” are the ones who swallowed the plandemic completely.
I cannot understand what is so wrong in just reading it and putting on your thinking cap and see for yourself how real it is or how fake it is? What makes one “tick” that if one were to tell a physicists on “flat earth”, that person goes into rage? Why not have a look and laugh at their thoughts? No. Not a all. They flatly refuse to look into it. Is this the same as COVIDIOTS who refused to acknowledge otherwise? No difference at all.
Some highly educated people say that reading all these nonsense is a waste of time lost a few hours of their life on this. However, they have no problem spending hours looking at nonsensical YouTube or Tiktok.
Yes some links are crazy and some information and ideas are preposterous. However, there are always interested stuff inside which prompted me to think hard and critical and did more research. Only to realize that the amount of knowledge that I know is so little that each peek into the unknown opens up new stuff that needs to be investigated.
I don’t 100% agree with anything I read especially those from “experts” or from “scientific papers” or “peer reviewed papers”. Those who are on OFW for a long time know that I have bad experienced on “peer reviewed papers”. I would rather think about it, put it as “Perhaps it is right”.
You will see only those at level 1 and 2 who are so sure that they are right and I am wrong. It only brings back my childhood days where the teacher said “Those who are not knowledgeable are those who are the loudest”. I just sit there, nod my head and agree to what he/she is saying that everyone should take 4 jabs and it is all safe and effective.
Oh yeah, I know probably every single conspiracy stuff that you can find on the internet an yeah there are many interesting thing that is explainable. Mandela effect is perhaps incorrect memory implant? Why are those who are at level 5 who rejected them outright and seems to emotional that it cannot be discussed (those who are at level 1-4, it is likely they don’t even know what is Mandela effect). Why no discussion? Why get angry when I say “memory implant” Is this the same as people get angry when you show them the data that the vaccine is not working?
Perhaps that is the limit of the simulation and you cannot get past that point because there is no “that point”.
In my area, we have Buddhism. It is not a religion but a philosophy of life. The main objective for a man to seek the TRUTH, the 4 noble truth.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Four_Noble_Truths
I was thinking.. what the heck? Seeking truth? It is said that once you have found the truth, you will achieve nirvana and not to be reborn again. Category 5 people will reject flatly on discussing this. I have seen many cases.
Seeking truth? What truth? Huh? then I dig and think
Everything is an illusion? Huh?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reality_in_Buddhism
Perhaps Siddhartha Gautama has visited a server farm but he could not explain to the simpletons eons ago that life is just a simulation.
It simply does not matter if you format a hard drive or you just fill it with garbage.
US Navy aircraft carrier USS Ronald Reagan (CVN-76) is approaching the waters east of Taiwan.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FZEADIdakAAaAkH?format=jpg&name=medium
China will have to sink the Taiwan navy before amphibious landings. I wonder if Taiwan is modifying harpoons for land base deployment like Ukraine Notice acceleration of acquiring anti ship missiles in 2023. If Taiwan gets set up nice with land based anti ship China will have to paste Taiwan good with air before any amphibious landings and there are still no guarantees. What happens to those nice semiconductor fab assets then? Taiwan will make a very nice base to keep China in check indeed if they can pull it off. Very hard to roll tanks over a hundred miles of water. Of course China has a lot of troops. They could probably get Taiwans anti ship capacity expended on their amphibious troop carriers and then just keep rolling. Taiwan is going to be expending anti ship on other than amphibious Chinese naval vessals also. My guess is there are a few subs in the area just now. Those with the capability to launch anti ship from underwater will wreak havoc. AUKUS is not solely nuclear weapon deployment it can make Taiwan very very very painful to acquire via anti ship assets. Taiwan will cost China if they can pull it off. Its only going to get harder for China going forward as Taiwan accelerates its anti ship missile acquisition and deployment and AUKUS comes on line. In five years Taiwan may be impossible to “reunify”. Islands have advantages. In five years China will have air launched hypersonics and any hostile carrier is toast in the area but Taiwan will have anti ship like no ones business. Technology cuts two ways. Taiwan is very technological. That hundred miles of water is a problem for China. Taiwan is not Ukraine. Solar powered motorized surf boards for a million troops?
https://www.thedefensepost.com/2022/04/22/taiwan-anti-ship-missile-deployment-plan/
As far as Zeihan goes Chinas does not have the capacity to project power against an US aircratft carrier group.
The pudding is in the eating…..
I disagree but I know nothing. Undoubtedly there are people who understand this ballet. The current Chinese hypersonics have more range than the aircraft on the carrier group with a round trip. Once they get aircraft deployment added to their range… That fact is like me telling a mathematician there is a number one. Like you said we may be tasting the pudding soon whether is boom boom boom, China doing nothing or Pelosi cancelling. Me those carrier groups seem like a big ass target for modern ubiquitous relatively inexpensive fast moving ordnance. Drones wont get anywhere near a carrier group air defense will paste them.
Russia would be way stupid to trust China with their next level hypersonics. China would be knocking them off forthwith. Russia however is not real happy with the west at this point. The noises they are making about mutual defense… How do you think a carrier group would fare against Russian hypersonics?
All this ignores what the USA will do without Chinese imports. You cant just fix a modern tractor with baling wire nowadays.
The USA does not have any business with China as in
N M Rothschild China Holding AG (Shanghai)
Address: Suite 3207, Tower Two Plaza 66, No.1366 Nanjing XiLu, Shanghai 200040, China
Finally the DOOM we’ve been waiting for!
“Pelosi is in Singapore and will fly to South Korea, en route Taiwan, after visiting Malaysia. The PLA has clearly been well prepared. If she dares to stop in Taiwan, it will be the moment to ignite the powder keg of the situation in the Taiwan Straits.”
https://twitter.com/HuXijin_GT/status/1553987223846289408
“Pelosi will arrive in Taipei, Taiwan, tomorrow night, the Taiwanese broadcaster TVBS reports citing sources.”
It would have been a serious anticlimax if the rest of the usual suspect sanctimony weren’t rounded up before the PLA.
What a ghastly bunch of disgraceful rapacious primates.
Yuck.
🤢🤮
Good riddance!
It would be so cool if they shot her plane down.
Finally a point of agreement with the Chinese 🙂
The thing though is if the Chinese don’t do anything but complain, Washington will just view it as a sign of weakness. They will just keep doing more until someone starts a war. I hope China invades Taiwan and the US along with NATO sanctions the hell out of China so we can get this collapse going full speed with pissed off Plebs overthrowing their governments.
Please don’t get my hopes up. The only thing better than that would be the entire plane filled with Washington politicians including Joe Bidet and his VP Camel Harris. 🙏
China is in terrible shape economically. Its cities and rural banks are in particularly bad shape because of property-investment related problems. It needs multiple distractions. One is Covid-19. Another is the Pelosi visit.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-economy-tested-by-strained-city-finances-11659261600
China’s Economy Tested by Strained City Finances
Government entities could face a nearly $900 billion funding shortfall in 2022, weighing on Beijing’s plans to revive growth
There have also been multiple reports that 10s of millions of folks in China have bought apartments that they don’t live in, on the assumption that the prices can only go up and they will all make a killing. Reminds me of what happened to share prices in the USA during the 1920s. Here we are exactly one century later, repeating the same type of insanity.
Sounds like they are ready for a reset and a digital currency as a solution.
Very bad https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/china-banks-may-face-us-350-billion-in-losses-from-property-crisis-044912837.html
VAIDS death https://t.me/arkmedic/4499
Norman Fenton interviewed by Maajid Nawaz on the BBC fakumentary “unvaxxed” https://odysee.com/@MaajidNawaz:d/RadicalEpisode15:b
A long video – all these ‘anti-vaxx’ videos are much too long to hold attention – but one important segment is with a woman who says that her well-documented citations of negative stats above the vaccines were entirely edited out by the BBC, even though they filmed them.
Propaganda, cynical and misleading, by the BBC masquerading as objective investigation. Dear old Norm would just love it…..
Yes, long video, 1 hr 26 min. But worth watching the whole lot.
What makes Prof Norman Fenton different from nearly all other folks is that he is easy to understand. He is not a medic so he tends to avoid medical terms, he just summarizes what the statistics tell us in laymen’s language.
Fully agree, and no one could call him an internet nut.
Skip to the last 1/3… she’s hot.
BOOM https://www.bitchute.com/video/LtwbxCD5P8Dy/?fs=e&s=cl
Or they could just end the mandates https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/health/129439230/health-minister-andrew-little-announces-plan-to-boost-health-worker-numbers-amid-crisis
Nope – piss away my tax $$$ on getting vaxxed nurses
Looking forward to the VAIDS deluge
Another child ruined by the vax
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/kids-called-her-pregnant-8yos-swollen-tummy-led-to-transplant/X7VQ5DKKOVRKNCO77OQSQ2OKI4/
The streets are dirty. Homeless encampments, trash, and excrement can be found all over. Car break-ins are so frequent that it has basically become a non-government-imposed tax for people who come here. Of course, some areas are much worse than others, but almost all areas of the city suffer from this decay, and it is appalling.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/top-real-estate-ceo-robbed-gunpoint-outside-mansion-san-francisco-neighborhood
San Fran-sicko has been a cesspool for many decades. I visited the city back in 2001 as I considered moving their for a job and turned it down. It was once a beautiful city but that’s no longer the case.
California was truly paradise back in the day.
You can check out.
But you can never leave.
And frankly bay area still aint that bad compared to something like Chicago. Seattle is much worse than bay area.
You mean, you can check in but never check out?
San Fran. Stuck in beggar manure without chance to leave.
And badly misinformed to boot. So many people vastly overstated Coronavirus peril. Forty-one percent of Democrats thought that over 50% of the infected ended up in the hospital, while another 28 percent of Democrats put that figure between 20% and 49%. The real number was between 1%-5%. Twenty-eight percent of Democrats polled believed that 10% of those infected, died; many thought 30% of the infected, died.
The real infection fatality rate was well under 1%. Another poll revealed that many Democrats—including some I knew—believed the virus had killed 10% of all Americans, i.e., 33 million people. Think briefly about what that would look like.
https://brownstone.org/articles/now-we-know-what-its-like-to-live-among-lunatics/
The effect of very crude, but lavishly-funded and insistent, propaganda on a fundamentally uneducated and uncultured, naive, population ( this applies to Euroland as much as the US, of course).
It was all based on lies just like Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction. The kill rate of CV19 a couple years later was really .03%. It was all about control just like the US Gov’t did with the TSA.
I meant to say the survival rate from CV19 based on CDC data is around 99.97%.
Anything but the vax!!!
“Lockdowns and social media blamed for shocking new illness in girls” – Young women across Australia are suffering from a mystery neurological illness that triggers Tourettes-like tics including violent physical and verbal outbursts
Why brutal Covid lockdowns and addictions to TikTok are driving mystery illnesses in teenage Aussie girls – as parents fear the worst over uncontrollable ‘tics’
Be sure to check out the video hahahahahaha
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11066299/Tourettes-illness-affecting-young-women-experts-blame-TikTok-Covid-lockdowns-60-Minutes.html
The vaxxed are easy to spot due to facial features from premature aging, I.e. drooping chin, cheek and jaw line.
The spike and stressed immune defense (high cortisol levels) melts away the “baby fat” from females especially due to their higher body fat percentage. The face responds to the gravitational field and pulls the slop toward the ground.
Imagine females a decade younger easily looking a decade older than a gnarly, lean and mean, crank turning and oat munching unvaxxed laplander.
The horrors.
🤢🤮
I am doubtful of this.
Cortisol caused by a stressed immune system (vax injured) surely cause premature aging.
https://www.vogue.co.uk/beauty/article/cortisol-stress-on-skin/amp
“The physical impact of stress on the skin is wide-ranging and includes redness, increased sensitivity, sagging, dryness and dullness”
Yup; the 30 something vaxxed ladies surely look aged.
The vaxxed have this hopeful but at the same time despairing look on their face … cuz they can’t figure out why they are always sick.
They are so brave! Doing their part to assure the UEP.
I know two injected hotties (ok my standards are low) that are looking TERRIBLE putting on weight and yes aging, no gaunt supermodel look that I can see. Brain is going too.
Maybe the heavy drinking of their 20’s – so common now – is catching up with them?
Women do naturally tend to thicken up somewhat at about that age, too.
The only real change I’ve noticed is more and younger people using sticks to walk and looking frail.
Well neither drink. The cannabis and the junk food could definitely be contributors to the factors I mention.
Me Ill take a chubby pot head over a thin drunk any day of the week.
Both do look terrible. Spirit is really what is attractive. There are limits. Spirit also manifests in care for ones body and mind. Assigning the injections as causal was certainly not scientific in its basis. Cmon dont i get to play once in a while?
First year uni… lived on campus … there was a meal plan – all you can eat every meal with huge tubs of ice cream etc…
It was mostly the females who put their entire heads inside the tubs and emerge with huge scoops…
You can imagine the before and after photos by the end of the year…
I’m not doubtful. I saw my old dentist’s assistant working at her new job as one of those “delivery” shoppers at the grocery store, putting together people’s covid-fear pick-up orders. What was a normal forty-something woman now looked like a haggard meth consumer of indeterminate age after a space of .. nine months? between sightings.
The fifty-ish dentist retired “suddenly” several months ago. I’m pretty sure the office had been jabbed up. I guess his assistant could have taken up meth in the interim, but it still seems like a pretty quick transformation.
Remember:
1.) Not everyone got the same thing in the jabs
2.) Even jabs of a certain notional strength may have varied (see “Broken Bioweapon Is Safer” video)
Yes, females prematurely aging and looking haggard from vax injury and egotistical fantasy “stressors” is unsettling. And I’m not counting some wrinkles, dings and dents from life.
Broads with their shit under control age like wine. Point of reference; Sigourney Weaver. 70 something and still looking sharp. Could be a genetic combo as well. Asian and Laplander broads seem somewhat immune in general.
https://i0-wp-com.cdn.ampproject.org/i/s/i0.wp.com/nixolympia.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Sigourney-Weaver-offers-heartfelt-tribute-to-her-late-Heartbreakers-colleague.jpg
The trollops just can’t help themselves despite being equipped with a neocortex to filter archaic crap floating up from the primate and reptilian circuitry. The antics of low IQ females is just pure cringe.
Yes, the vial contents is a bit random and perhaps even activated/deactivated depending on the person. Still a poison though. Yuck. 🤢🤮
The problem with Tesla batteries hahahahaha https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/38015
Let’s apply the same strategy as with the spent fuel assemblies. Ferry the ‘eco’ jank to the Mariana Trench using decommissioned oil tankers and open the bottom plug.
How about the new EV’s nobody can afford you might ponder? Yes?
Same procedure. To the trench and straight into the salty grave without rolling a single mile. Keeps people with jobs, purpose and all that pointless frippery – all retch and no vomit in primate perpetuity.
Wouldn’t it be absolute hilarious to have the useless jank shipped directly from the factories and straight into the salty grave?
Not even absurd in the technical sense.
Just pure comedy gold.
Yes; we can do this. The produce stored in the Mariana “warehouse” for book keeping “purposes”. And we want those numbers and inventories on point. How about a pyramid scheme to keep it ticking over?
Yes; I’m dead serious.
🤣👍👍
The problem is that removing the fuel from the ponds … would ignite them.
Maybe norm can volunteer for this job? Dunc?
“The problem is that removing the fuel from the ponds … would ignite them.”
Don’t worry, under-filled dry casks will take care of the heat during transport.
It’s about 100kW per ton of uranium “fresh” out of the core. The pools are mainly for radioactive shielding.
There is a reason why the naked fuel assemblies won’t flash boil the water when taken out of the reactor. Care to guess why that is so?
Doomie Preps – pay attention https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/37990
Remember. There’s a famine coming, but they will be orderly and wait in line for theirs.
https://michaelyon.com/dispatches/dont-become-canadian-bacon/
Apparently we are well on our way.
That’s a rapacious primates ‘Will to Power’ right there.
The mic goes to mirror for an expose in the übermensch.
🎤 🪞
😑👍👍
Aussie – all but 1 hospitalized covid were multi vaxxed hahahaahaha https://t.me/PeterMcCullough/1639
Serbian Interior Minister Aleksandar Vulin made a shocking admission this week, revealing that a major foreign agency has been pressing him to change his official stance on Russia and China.
A smear campaign in the media is expected to start against Vulin in the coming days.
Belgrade’s official position with regards to Russia is that it will not join any anti-Russian sanctions, arguing that Serbia will adhere to its own independent foreign policy (https://telegra.ph/Whos-Pushing-Serbia-to-Be-a-NATO-Foot-Soldier-Against-Russia-07-28) while maintaining strong bilateral relations with Moscow.
The dark underworld of global politics, however, hellbent as it is on controlling all positions with regards to Russia, is having none of it.
💬 Read more by Robert Bridge (https://www.strategic-culture.org/news/2022/07/28/who-pushing-serbia-to-be-nato-foot-soldier-against-russia/)
#Serbia #sanctions
🚨 Follow @strategic_culture 🚨
Telegraph (https://telegra.ph/Whos-Pushing-Serbia-to-Be-a-NATO-Foot-Soldier-Against-Russia-07-28)
Who’s Pushing Serbia to Be a ‘NATO Foot Soldier’ Against Russia?
Serbian Interior Minister reveals that a major foreign agency has been pressing him to change his official stance on Russia and China. Serbian Interior Minister Aleksandar Vulin made a shocking admission this week, revealing that a major foreign agency has been pressing him to change his official stance on Russia and China. A smear campaign in the media is expected to start against Vulin in the coming days. Belgrade’s official position with regards to Russia is that it will not join any anti-Russian sanctions…
So.. the booster is more of the same + a bump for the omicron hahaha … this should really spike the injuries!
https://t.me/DowdEdward/835
Deaths of Under 65s in the USA, 2020-21
Why is the “vaccine” year so much higher than the virus year and where is the declaration of a public health emergency?
https://metatron.substack.com/p/deaths-of-under-65s-in-the-usa-2020
Damn no Betty Liu with banjo but these guys are always worth a trillion Quadrillion!
More disappearing Covid vaccine data
Add British Columbia to the governments trying to hide the reality that the mRNA jabbed make up the vast majority of Covid hospitalizations and deaths.
https://alexberenson.substack.com/p/more-disappearing-covid-vaccine-data
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d4e5906-06f9-43d5-b911-1dbce5632221_1170x616.jpeg
Betty Liu Daddio!
They need a Banjo Bad.
If Zimbabwe can print a quadrillion to fight inflation why cant the USA?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fn76nlf92wo
If you knew Betty Liu
Then you’d know why I feel blue
Without Betty, my Betty Liu
Oh well I love you gal, yes, I love you Betty Liu
[Verse 2]
Betty Liu,Betty Liu
Oh how my heart yearns for you
Oh Betty, my Betty Liu
Oh well I love you gal, yes, I love you Betty Liu
[Verse 3]
Betty Liu,Betty Liu
Pretty, pretty, pretty, pretty Betty Liu
Oh Betty, my Betty Liu
Oh well I love you gal, and I need you Betty Liu
[Verse 4]
I love you, Betty Liu, with a love so rare and true
Oh Betty, my Betty Liu
Well I love you gal, I want you Betty Liu
[Instrumental Break]
[Verse 3]
Betty Liu,Betty Liu
Pretty, pretty, pretty, pretty Betty Liu
Oh Betty, my Betty Liu
Oh well I love you gal, yes, I need you Betty Liu
[Verse 4]
I love you, Betty Liu, with a love so rare and true
Oh Betty, my Betty Liu
Oh well I love you gal, and I want you Betty Liu
Oh well I love you gal, and I want you Betty Liu
Left in the dark: The families struggling to survive fuel poverty
In this south Wales community, parents skip meals, kids wear coats to bed, and pensioners shower at the local pool
“We used to put £20 a week in and now it’s more like 50,” says Steve, discussing his family’s pre-paid electric meter. “That’s how bad it’s got, so we just knocked everything off. There’s nights where we just sit there in the dark.”
Steve and I had a long conversation about fuel poverty, but it is this image of him, his partner, daughter and granddaughter – three generations of one family – sitting at home with all the lights off that sticks with me.
Gas usage is even more rationed in Steve’s home, in the forgotten outskirts of Cardiff. Last winter, there were only three weeks where the family put the radiators on.
“We all stay in one room… so we just stay warm that way,” he explains. “With all the prices going up, people can’t afford to heat their homes, can’t afford to cook.”
But if the previous winter was bad, Steve says the coming one will be far worse. “There’ll be a lot of people struggling, especially the old and people with very young kids.”
A week after we met, Steve’s worst fears appeared to be confirmed. Martin Lewis, the founder of the Money Saving Expert financial website, warned that household energy costs could increase by a further 64% in October, with the energy price cap having already risen by 54% in April.
The Joseph Rowntree Foundation has predicted that households on the lowest incomes will be forced to spend 26% of their budget after housing costs on gas and electricity in 2023/24, compared to just 12% two years previously.
Talking to Steve, it’s clear that the effects of these price hikes are already intolerable.
https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/cost-of-living-crisis-fuel-poverty-energy-bills-rise-south-wales-trowbridge-st-mellons/
It’s ok once the UKE war is over prices will fall dramatically.
I’m feeling pretty good about a Q4 prediction for Global Holodomor etc…. once the cold creeps in up north things should start to accelerate
it’s either your UTI or your CEP in Q4.
no more than 5 months to go.
The possible cold of the winter 2022 is not so much of a problem – and it might be a mild winter after all (still enough to kill the weak and elderly, of course) as whether basic infrastructure and manufacturing can still function.
People in Europe and the UK were very cold, and not very well fed, in the years following WW2, but survived well enough.
If people have sufficient food and can heat it, they will be OK.
All these people who went thru that phase are now mostly dead.
And at that time USA did provide basic necessities to some degree, just enough for most of the pop to get by.
It will be more like the 30 years war
Those post WW2 winters were quite severe, worse than anything we have seen since and the people that lived through them were the same people that fought the Nazis and won, grew their own food where possible, and survived Japanese POW camps. The couch potatoes of today are not made of the same mettle. Plus back than everyone had a coal fire, or two, that could burn all day every day. Nowadays it is mainly gas central heating, and that relies on electricity. I am not convinced that everyone will have enough food to eat. Shortages, although perhaps small-scale, already.
Terrible winters, post-war, and even the upper-classes in Britain shivered, coal was so short – diaries from that time are very instructive!
Gas central-heating has made everyone very soft indeed.
On the whole, unless ill, I don’t light a fire before sunset unless the cold is actually painful, and make breakfast in a kitchen as cold as a fridge, or even colder. Over several years I’ve tried to toughen up and habituate myself to icy temps.
But this year I think I’ll get some bags of anthracite and have a blaze every now and then a la FE: ‘Go with a Glow’!
Radioactive, too, if he is right in his prognostications……
“and make breakfast in a kitchen as cold as a fridge, or even colder. ”
It is an oddity of some of the Victorian flats and houses in Aberdeen that the kitchen was built as an extension out the back of the building, with no fireplace, and some of these flats / houses still have no heating in the kitchen. The last flat we rented (for three years) here had no heating in the kitchen, and neither does the house of one of my wife’s colleagues who has a pre-Xmas Xmas party every year. As you say, it is like stepping into a fridge in winter. Certainly makes you appreciate the warmth.
Wait till The Sickness arrives. People lying in the hospital parking lots dying …
No food. No petrol. No supply chains. Too much Sickness. and Death.
Nevermind – the delivery vans will initially come – then they won’t.
Nobody will go outside – why would they – only The Sickness and empty shelves + shoot to kill orders and troops who are also very frightened of any contact with another human not in hazmat… cuz The Plague. They’ll be shooting anything that moves.
See Shanghai for the dry run.
No need to sit in the dark, they could buy tea lights in bulk for a very low cost (still the very same price as in 2019) – quite cheerful actually.
Long-life candles (6 hours or so) are also very cheap, for the moment.
Yes, also true: just one candle and a few tea lights would be quite cheerful. And no staying up late!
Odd how the prices of candles haven’t moved at all, so far – they should snap them up. I must check up on butane to see if that is rising.
But with food increases – at least 15% – and energy on top things are going to get very uncomfortable, if not impossible, for many.