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There is a reason for raising interest rates to try to fight inflation. This approach tends to squeeze out the most marginal players in the economy. Such businesses and governments tend to collapse, as interest rates rise, leaving less “demand” for oil and other energy products. The institutions that are squeezed out range from small businesses to financial institutions to governmental organizations. The lower demand tends to reduce inflationary pressure.
The amount of goods and services that the world’s economy can produce is largely determined by fossil fuel supplies, plus our ability to use “complexity” in many forms to produce the items that the world’s growing population requires. Adding debt helps add complexity of various types, such as more international trade, more advanced education, and more specialized tools. For a while, the combination of growing energy supplies and growing complexity have helped pull economies along.
Unfortunately, the world’s oil supply is no longer growing. Without an adequate oil supply, it becomes difficult to maintain complexity because complex solutions, such as international trade, require adequate oil supplies. Inasmuch as we seem to be reaching energy and complexity limits, nothing the regulators try to do to change the debt and money supplies–even reeling them back in–can fix the underlying oil (and total energy) problem.
I expect that the rich parts of the world, including the US, Europe, and Japan, are in line to be adversely affected by high interest rates this time. With their high levels of complexity, they are among the most vulnerable to disruption when there is not enough oil to go around.
The problem I see is that rich countries expect to maintain service economies that are fed by huge streams of manufactured goods and raw materials from poorer countries. This pattern appears unsustainable to me, in a world with falling exports because of energy problems.
I expect a significant change in the trading of goods and services, starting as soon as the next few months. Major financial changes may be ahead, fairly soon, as well. In this post, I will try to explain these and related ideas.
[1] Growing debt is a temporary substitute for growing energy supply of the right kinds.
Economists seem to believe that the economy grows because of an invisible hand. I believe that the economy grows because of a growing supply of energy products of the right kinds, together with a growing supply of other raw materials, and a growing supply of human labor. The economy grows in keeping with the laws of physics.
Debt does help provide an extra pull, however, because it enables growing “complexity.” Even in the days of hunters and gathers, it was helpful for people to work together and share the benefit of their labor. A type of short-term debt results from the delayed benefit of working together, even if the delay is only a few hours.
In modern times, debt can help build a factory. The factory can provide more/better output than individual people working by themselves using available resources. There needs to be a way of paying for the delayed benefit of the human labor involved in the whole chain of events that leads to the finished output. Growing debt can help pay workers, long before the benefit of the factory becomes available.
Debt can also make high-priced goods more affordable. A car, or a home, or a college education is more affordable if it can be paid for in installments, as income becomes available to pay for it.
[2] Diminishing returns on added complexity is one issue that puts an end to the ability to grow debt.
As an example, we are slowly discovering that it doesn’t make sense to provide everyone with a university education. Yes, advanced education is of benefit to a percentage of the population, but, in general, there are not enough jobs that pay sufficiently well for it to make economic sense to provide advanced education for everyone who would like to attend college. If debt is provided to finance everyone who applies for advanced education, there are likely to be many loans that can’t be repaid.
As another example, long supply lines can provide cost savings for a manufacturer, but if there is a disruption in any necessary raw material, the whole manufacturing operation may need to be temporarily suspended. The high cost of such a suspension may encourage shorter supply lines or the provision of more stored inventory.
[3] US total debt as a percentage of GDP already seems to be hitting a limit, quite possibly related to diminishing returns on added complexity.
Figure 2 shows that the US ratio of debt to GDP started increasing shortly after 1980. This was about the time that Ronald Reagan became President in the United States, and Margaret Thatcher became Prime Minister in the UK. There was a need to get energy costs down, and growing debt was one of the tools used to accomplish this. With added debt, new types of hopefully less expensive electricity generation could be added, using debt. Electricity producers were encouraged to compete with each other. The new approach led to less concern about providing adequate upkeep for transmission lines. California is one state where this approach is starting to catch up with the electricity system. Costs are rising, and reliability is falling.
Figure 2 shows that the ratio of US debt to GDP hit a maximum in 2008. An even loftier level was reached in 2020 because of the debt added at the time of Covid-related shutdowns. Now, however, the system doesn’t seem to be able to maintain the high debt level. The quarterly analysis used in Figure 2 highlights how quickly the added debt rolled off.
Analyzing US debt to GDP ratios by sector provides some insight regarding the reason for the fall in the ratio of debt to GDP since 2008 in Figure 2. (The amounts used in Figure 3 are on an annual basis, rather than a quarterly basis, so the shape of the graph is a little different from that in Figure 2.)
Figure 3 shows that the category I call Financial+ Debt has played an amazingly large role in the growth of total debt. One of the issues bringing about the 2008-2009 Great Recession was defaults related to Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) and Collateralized Debt Swaps (CDSs), involving debt that had been cut into layers and resold. Various tranches of this debt would then default, as the economy slowed. It became clear that this approach to adding debt is very risky. The elimination of some of this type of debt is likely one of the reasons for the drop-off in Financial+ debt after 2008.
It also becomes clear that there are interactions among the different types of debt. Back in 1947, Federal Debt related to World War II had begun dropping off. To provide civilian jobs for all the people who had served in the war effort, it was helpful to add other debt. More recently, the big run-up in debt of the Federal Government seems to have taken place partly to try to offset the huge loss of debt in the Financial+ category.
Figure 4 shows the gross debt of the Federal Government, relative to GDP, on an annual basis.
The gross debt of the Federal Government is now at a higher level than it was when the Federal Government borrowed money to fight World War II! Part of the rise may very well be the need to keep total indebtedness high, to prop up the economic system in general, and energy prices in particular.
[4] In previous posts, I have shown that oil prices seem to be very sensitive to manipulations of the Federal Reserve.
In Figure 5, below, I also make the point that the popping of a debt bubble can cause oil prices to fall precipitously. With the high level of debt that the world economy has today, major defaults are a worry. Because of this concern, central banks today seem willing to bend over backwards to prop up failing banks. If a substantial number of banks are propped up, this will add to inflationary pressure.
Another point that Figure 5 makes is the importance of high oil prices for producers, and the importance of low oil prices for customers. A big part of today’s conflict with respect to oil supply has to do with the affordability of the oil supply, and the fact that such affordable prices for consumers tend to be too low for producers. For example, the European union has attempted to pay Russia for oil at $60 per barrel, partly to hurt Russia, but also to try to bring costs down to a more affordable level. Oil producers tend to cut back supply, as OPEC has recently agreed to do, when prices fall too low.
[5] One thing that people forget in trying to find substitutes for oil is that any substitute must be inexpensive if it is to be affordable. They also forget that they need to consider the cost of required changes to the entire system in any cost estimate.
We often see cost estimates for wind energy and solar energy that consider only the cost of the generation of intermittent electricity. Unfortunately, an economy cannot operate on intermittent electricity. At this point, there isn’t even a single island that can operate its electricity system solely on renewables (including hydroelectric energy, in addition to wind and solar).
In theory, a very high-cost electricity system could be put together using some combination of long-distance transmission lines, batteries, and overbuilding, to try to have enough electricity available for periods of long periods of low electricity generation. But even this would not fix the problem that arises because the world’s agricultural system is mostly powered by oil, not electricity. We cannot get along without food.
If electricity were to be used for the agricultural system, at a minimum, we would need to figure out how to transition all the machines used in fields to use electricity, rather than oil. We would also need to figure out what to do about products that are manufactured using the chemical products that we get from oil, such as herbicides and pesticides. Natural gas or coal is often used to produce ammonia fertilizer. If all fossil fuels are eliminated, a new approach to ammonia production would be needed, as well.
[6] Natural gas cannot be counted on as an inexpensive fuel for a transition to renewables.
Some people hope that a ramp up in natural gas production can be used to help substitute for oil, and thus aid in any transition. A problem that many people are not aware of is the fact that shipping natural gas over long distances as liquified natural gas (LNG) is very expensive. A calculation I saw a few years ago indicated that when LNG was shipped from the US to Europe, adding shipping costs roughly tripled the cost of the natural gas.
Part of the high-cost problem is the need for a huge amount of infrastructure. Natural gas sold as LNG must be compressed, transported at very low temperatures in specially made ships, and then brought back to a gaseous state at the other end. Pipelines are needed at both ends. There is also a need for inter-seasonal natural gas storage because natural gas is often used for heating in winter.
With this huge amount of infrastructure, there is a need for debt to finance all the pieces. When interest rates increase, the result is particularly expensive for those planning to produce LNG for overseas shipment. Such high overhead costs are likely to discourage the building of new LNG export facilities unless long-term contracts at high prices can be obtained in advance.
[7] A huge amount of today’s debt relates to plans to transition to renewables. If these plans cannot work, many debt defaults are certain.
Almost certainly, massive amounts of debt obligations are destined for default if the transition to renewable energy is not successful. The very existence of such liabilities can be expected to lead to widespread problems. Some of this debt will be held by banks; other debt has been issued as bonds or by derivative financial instruments. Pension funds would be badly affected by bond defaults. Derivative financial instruments are likely of many types. Some seem to back exchange traded funds (ETFs).
Young people who have spent thousands of dollars to pursue specialized degrees in fields directly or indirectly related to renewable energy will find that their investment has mostly been wasted. They will not be able to repay their student loans, a large proportion of which is owed to the US Federal Government.
[8] In fact, student loans in general are likely to be a problem for repayment.
The problem with student debt extends beyond students who obtained their training planning to go into the field of renewable energy. In fact, many former students in fields other than renewable energy are already finding that they cannot repay their student loans because there are not enough jobs available that pay sufficiently high compensation. Also, some individuals who took out the loans were not able to finish their courses of study, so they did not gain the skills needed to secure higher-paying jobs. These individuals, in particular, have problems with repayment.
Figure 6 shows that, in total, the amount of student loans debts owed to the Federal Government is about equal to the debt outstanding on motor vehicle loans. Since Covid began, there has been forbearance in debt repayment, but this is likely to end later in 2023. There seems to be a significant chance of defaults starting when this forbearance ends.
It might be noted that there are more student loans outstanding than shown on Figure 6. Besides loans made by the Federal Government, there are also bank loans, amounting to a smaller total.
[9] Falling interest rates since 1980 seem to have played a major role in allowing the US economy to stay on the growth track it has been on.
Up until about 1979, the US economy grew about as quickly as oil consumption, and, in fact, as growth in total energy consumption. Since 1979, the US economy seems to have grown a little more quickly than consumption of oil or of energy of all types combined.
The strange thing that happened around 1979-1981 was a peaking of interest rates on US Treasuries. As I will explain, it was these falling interest rates that indirectly allowed inflation-adjusted GDP to grow faster than oil or total energy consumption.
Figure 7 shows that during the period 1952 to 1979, consumption of both oil and total energy were (with short interruptions) growing rapidly. The extra oil and other energy could be used to leverage human labor. Thus, productivity could be expected to grow. In fact, the Fed chose to raise interest rates to slow the economy during this period, based on Figure 8.
Higher interest rates on debt would be expected to make monthly payments for buying a home or car more expensive. They would also tend to hold down prices of assets, such as homes or shares of stock, discouraging speculators from trying to make money by investing in homes or shares of stock.
Most of the time since 1980, interest rates have tended to fall. Falling interest rates can be expected to have the opposite effect: They reduce monthly payments for items bought on credit. Because they make homes and factories more affordable, they tend to raise asset values. Also, the existence of more debt encourages more complexity, such as in cases where a large company purchases a smaller one, using debt. Also, as asset prices rise (for example, a rising home price), leaving more equity, there is the temptation to borrow against the newly available equity to buy something else (for example, home furnishings or a boat). Thus, falling interest rates tend to pull the economy forward.
I believe that the indirect impacts of falling interest rates are behind the huge growth in debt, especially in the Financial+ category, seen in Figure 3. This debt looks likely to hit even worse default problems than happened in the 2008 era, if interest rates remain high, or rise to even higher levels.
Furthermore, without the support of growing debt, GDP growth is likely to fall back to being equal to the growth in energy or oil supply. If a loss of complexity starts occurring, GDP growth could even start to be smaller than growth in energy or oil supply. Of course, if shrinkage of energy consumption occurs, economies can be expected to contract.
[10] Poorer nations will be able to consume much more oil for themselves if they can push down the consumption in areas that use oil heavily, such as the US, Europe, and Japan.
With their high per capita oil consumption, the combined oil consumption of Europe, Japan, and the United States amounted to almost 38% of total oil consumption in 2021. This can be seen on Figure 1. If this consumption could be brought to zero, the rest of the world could consume about 60% more than they would otherwise.
Of course, the US currently produces most of its own oil, so its oil cannot be obtained unless the US economy collapses to such an extent that it cannot access the oil that it now extracts and refines. As indicated in the introduction to this post, the US is very dependent upon imported goods. Even goods used in the extraction of oil, such as steel pipe used to drill wells, and computers, are imported. Furthermore, whether or not problems with imported goods occur, financial problems seem likely in the near future, either caused by collapsing debt, or by the issuance of excessive new governmental debt to try to offset the problem of collapsing debt. Such financial problems are likely to make imports of required foreign goods difficult. Problems such as these might be one way the US loses access to its own oil.
A loss in a “hot” war could also reduce the ability of the US to access its own oil. Poor countries most likely covet the US’s oil resources. In my opinion, the more oil the US leaves in the ground related to climate concerns, the more vulnerable the US becomes to other countries’ trying to access its resources. For most of the world, adequate food supply has priority over climate concerns.
If total world oil supply is shrinking, as seems likely with OPEC cutting its output, poorer countries around the world are now becoming concerned about finding workarounds for this expected oil supply shortfall. One workaround would be for oil exporting countries to reduce their exports to countries that are not their close allies. Another approach would be for the poorer nations of the world to reduce the quantity of oil now used for international transport by cutting back on exports of all types of goods to richer counties.
Changes to the international financial system may be very near. There are now stories about greater cooperation among countries of the Middle East and China. There are also stories about moving away from the US dollar for trade.
[11] I have written in the past about the world self-organizing economy being built up in layers and being hollow inside. We can imagine the loss of Europe, and perhaps the United States and Japan, as being rather like an avalanche, removing some unsustainable parts of the system.
Our economy is a physics-based self-organizing system that looks as if it could keep growing forever.
As the economy grows, new businesses are added. We can envision them as new layers, added on top of existing businesses. The growing consumer (and worker) base helps push this growth along. At the same time, unneeded products and businesses tend to fall away, making the center of the structure hollow. For example, the world economy no longer makes many buggy whips, since horses and buggies are no longer the primary means of transportation.
Built into this system are financial and regulatory structures, operated by banks and governments. When the rate of growth of the energy supply is constrained, the system starts encountering more debt defaults and banking crises. I think that this is where we are today.
In a way, the economy with all its debt is like a Ponzi Scheme. It depends on a growing supply of energy and other resources to continue to be able to pay back its debt with interest. The higher the interest rate, the more difficult it is to keep the whole arrangement operating.
Something will have to “give,” as the growth in oil supply turns to shrinkage. In theory, what is lost could be the operation of the whole world economy, but the system does seem to hold together, to the extent that it can, if adequate energy supply exists for even part of the global economy. That is why I think that the near-term result may be more of an avalanche than a complete collapse.
We don’t know exactly what lies ahead, but the situation does look worrying.
It makes sense to instruct him to do this … it adds to the Mass Demoralization ..
How about releasing the JFK files… and informing the mob that no we never went to the moon – it was a colossal joke that included the use of wires to make it appear that men in pillow suits were bounded across the lunar surface hahaha
The MOREONS would not know which was way up and which down if they dumped all this on them hahaha
Donald C. Canestraro is a former Special Agent for the Drug Enforcement Administration where he worked for 21 years. Since April 2016 he has worked as an investigator assigned to the Office of Military Commissions – Military Commissions Defense Organization. His recently released court filing contains some explosive revelations about the 9/11 attacks. The declaration was originally released in 2021 but was almost entirely redacted.
Mr Canestraro says that he began an investigation in 2016 into the possible involvement of the Saudi Arabian Government and the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) in the events leading up to the 9/11 attacks.
A suspected Saudi intelligence office, Omar Al-Bayoumi, had been in contact with two of the 9/11 hijackers, Nawaf Al-Hamzi and Khalid Al-Mihdhar. FBI agents conducted numerous interviews regarding Al-Bayoumi after the 9/11 attacks. These interviews show that he was seen with the two hijackers on numerous occasions and had organised social gatherings for them. He had also helped the pair find an apartment.
Released FBI information shows that FBI agents interviewed Al-Bayoumi in 2003 in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. He claimed that he had met the hijackers in a restaurant in Los Angeles after hearing them speak Arabic. However, witnesses say that he dropped a piece of paper near their table in order to instigate a conversation.
Al-Bayoumi was also in contact with a Saudi government official in Los Angeles and made numerous phone calls to him before the 9/11 attacks. According to a 9/11 Commission investigator, Al-Bayoumi was receiving substantial sums of money from the Saudi Embassy in Washington before the 9/11 attacks and that money was being funnelled through accounts belonging to the wife of the Saudi Ambassador.
https://nakedemperor.substack.com/p/court-filing-claims-cia-recruited
Yes
The GANGs run the Matrix, and the Dalai Lama is a prime example of such a Matrix operator.
Understand that the Dalai Lama is not high on the Totem Pole of Power. He is a tool—a construct co-engineered by the CIA and Mao Zedong, the former of whom employed the Dalai Lama’s brother, and the latter of whom called the young Dalai Lama his “son” and saw after his education. If that marriage of interests confuses you, remember that it was the U.S. State Department, via Patrick Hurley, who broke the symmetry between Mao and Chiang Kai-Shek by funding Mao).
I’ve written about various aspects of this story numerous times, including here at RTE. Every time that I write about it, I get a handful of communications that range from disbelief to lash-out level anger, but the reality is not particularly hard to research. And that’s the key to understanding how the gurus work in the Matrix. A large media circus airs a script, funded by the public, delivered deadpan as if it’s not even fiction.
https://roundingtheearth.substack.com/p/the-dalai-lama-glitch-in-the-matrix/
Mass D
UN-Tied Report Claims Pedophilia Can Be Consensual
https://catherinesalgado.substack.com/p/un-tied-report-claims-pedophilia
Better not tell your ex-con friend Robbo eddy
I’d guess that pedo ranting is his sole employment at the moment
You’re the only one on OFW with this pedo obsession eddy—is there something you need to confess?
How did you type while opening the Champagne?
While I have your attention – please discuss
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcad8206e-5d53-4a41-8ab8-b040ef7f09e7_1334x750.png
@Vern
> To do this, we will need mining, smelting and fabrication… all in space, and all operated robotically.
Or, more realistically, send some humans to these asteroids, one way trip, and make them mine these stuff until they drop dead.
The movie Ben Hur says Ben was in the galleys for five years, which, if true, would have been a world record. Few people lasted one year in the galley.
One way trip to mine things works wonders. One fatal flaw of modern spaceship tech is that the spaceship has to return. Without the necessity of having to return, the whole situation changes. Build the stuff at the asteroids, and the miners, who are not expected to return home, would work until they drop dead and a new batch of workers will arrive.
No different from the coolie system of late 19th century,l where impoverished chinese sold themselves into indentured labor, with the understanding that they would be put into the most inhospitable situations and had very little chance of returning home, for the equivalent of $50 or so.
Humans in … Sppppppaacce! Im all for it. It just seems like things that can work 24/7 fed with electricity, and don’t need cushy environments to exist in, might be the path of least resistance to get things started. If even air tight caverns can be created in or asteroids… that would be a great start towards having a human supported habitat. Molten aluminum / silica 3D printed to rings or spheres? It wouldn’t have to look pretty.
On another note, you and i have been bouncing around on the same websites for nearly 20 years now…. /r/collapse being the initial one (fghstphfddadsfsf etc – because I kept getting banned). Ive definitely noticed a leaning towards the notion of humans being “expendable” has crept into your master plan for human development.
A little give and take these perhaps, for the days we are living in. I could see people saying “Fudge it! Im leaving this planet”, and quite happily living off world.. away from the noise.
Humans are like tools to get to the next stage of civilization. All the thinkers prior to 1914 thought like that.
I have said that the entire population of Turkey who lived from 1915 to this day, including its sole Nobel Laureate Orhan Pamuk (literature), combined was less valuable than Henry Oswald Moseley. Civilization would have advanced more if all of the Turks, including Pamuk, perished and Moseley lived.
Truman didn’t destroy China because it would kill “American Lives”, as seen in here
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SrkoFQWvRuc
(Last Exit to Brookly by Hubert Selby Jr, featuring all these “American Lives” being sent to Korea)
off and we all know what has happened next.
Humans are just tools to get to the next stage of civ. That’s all
Interesting. Trying to find this film… rare by the looks of it.
This would be a fairly big change from what happens today , I am afraid. I have a hard time imagining we could do it. We are reaching energy limits already.
Let’s see what The Great Cornhoolio is up to this morning as he worships the Heater God:
https://i.postimg.cc/G25CGPqc/a-hoolio-2.jpg
https://i.postimg.cc/J4dk0Sbg/A-hoolio.jpg
I’ll prepare a dish of baby human flesh for him shortly… we want Hoolio to be nice and shiny! What a life!!!
norm… does this concern you? Probably not … you are already very old…
6B have been prepped… for extermination hahaha… the unvaxxed laugh last… but the unvaxxed starve to death … not very funny … I hope for Super Fent… we should not be punished for seeing through their diabolical plan
https://wmcresearch.substack.com/p/dual-function-research-the-spike
I like to poke fun on hare brained ideas.
Dennis L has some kind of obsession over sending waste to the space. Apparently he has never heard anything about something called gravity.
Given the proliferation of space waste which will cause the Kessler syndrome and close space from humanity for 60 years, Dennis’ strange idea, which wastes valuable fuel to send waste to the space to begin with, seems to have very little basis on reality.
If he thinks it can be done, post a video of him doing that. If he does that I would be the first supporter of this plan.
It seems like the space solar folks have thought about a similar idea. If it is possible to get solar panels up in geosynchronous orbit (a big if), there is some hope that they wouldn’t come back down to earth, or would burn up as they reentered, if they did. In this way, the pollution on Earth from used solar panels could be avoided.
Dual Function Research: The Spike Protein, Universal ACE2 Expression and the Quest to Create a Universal “Therapy” to Induce Cancer, Neurodegeneration and Fibrosis
ACE2 Gains a New Function when Interacting with the Spike Protein: It Becomes a LETHAL TRANSMITTER!
I nearly collapsed on my walk today when the implications of what you are about to read hit me. This is my most important work to date. I believe it is now possible to prove that the Spike Protein is a protein developed to have universal invasion and fatal pathological effects – ones that can easily be dismissed as “natural.” The only evidence we would see would be a dramatic rise in excess deaths due to cancer or fibrotic disease processes. And yes, we have that.
What needs to be understood is that ACE2 is NOT, I repeat is NOT a transmembrane protein that is meant to signal within the cell. ACE2 is meant to cleave ANG II (overexpression of this is dangerous in and of itself) into ANG (1-7). However, something very interesting happens when the Spike Protein interacts with ACE2. ACE2 becomes a transmitter of CELL SIGNALING. In other words, it GIVES INSTRUCTIONS TO THE CELL. And, these instructions are BAD. VERY BAD. They tell the cell to upregulate cancer causing genes, downregulate cancer prevention genes and induce neurodegeneration and fibrosis.
Now, this is horrific enough, indeed. But what turns it into a nightmare beyond comprehension is that ACE2 is EVERYWHERE! It is in EVERY MAJOR ORGAN and the REPRODUCTIVE SYSTEM!
So, if you were to create a protein that could cause cancer and fibrotic disease, you would want it to be able to attach to something that was everywhere to cause maximum damage. This is war. Plain and simple. You wouldn’t want a protein that would just attach to certain cells, like liver cells or kidney cells, or CD4 T-Cells (as in the case of HIV). No. This protein attaches to cells in EVERY MAJOR ORGAN and the REPRODUCTIVE SYSTEM. And then it signals death.
https://wmcresearch.substack.com/p/dual-function-research-the-spike
I nearly collapsed (with joy) as well when the implications of this hit me…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sodDYJRpQjY
Many people took the Rat Juice (perhaps I should change that to Devil Juice) because they wanted to travel… or attend a concert … or sporting event. Some no doubt took the shot because of the free donut offered.
The intelligent species hahaha….
Perhaps Beebsie and Celine and the other damaged musicians can go on tour – free tickets for those who have had their 6th booster hahaha
We are the World… We are the MOREONS….
This really does sound like a worrying outcome, if a person is interested in maintaining the world economy as it has been in the past.
If the virus and its “vaccine” are aimed at raising the world’s death rate, then what is happening sounds like a winning strategy.
The Vaxxed have poisoned themselves… but don’t worry – it’s not like swallowing a bottle of arsenic… it’s slow acting poison … it destroyed the immune system …
You are unlikely to get cancer immediately — it will be months down the road — so you won’t even realize it’s from the poison.
Or you might have a heart attack or stroke – 6 months after the booster… of course they are unrelated.
So don’t worry about poisoning yourself with the Rat Juice …
I almost forgot – when you die from Devil Covid or whatever they will call Phase two of the poison… that’s not related to the initial shots. You can just blame that on the unvaxxed
What I suspect is going on here is that Phase One was purposed to damage the immune system — to open the door for Phase Two … obviously damaging immunity is going to open the door to opportunistic diseases as well … hence the uptick in cancer etc…
But that is white noise… (it may not seem like that to someone with cancer … but who gives a sh it)…. the real deal comes when Phase Two is released… from those cannisters…
I wonder if they will use crop dusters?
eddy
if you broke up your spiel into 2 or 3 line bites—it would be more readable—and read as though you knew what you were talking about
rather than thoughtless frenzied kb bashing
How about an image?
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcad8206e-5d53-4a41-8ab8-b040ef7f09e7_1334x750.png
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe1704002-4cf2-4c0e-9b4d-a66bfd76d64a_1334x750.png
Walter is just pulling stuff out of his rear now.
Seems to be a lot of cancer going round…
I dare say there does.
Both Thucydides and his relevance to the present situation have been topical on here. I have taken some quick notes, listening once through and trying to keep up, on the lecture Why Nietzsche Loved Thucydides.
Thucydides looks to human nature for the explanation of human events, he discovers types, universalities – finds in all types their quantity of good sense.
He was the final, marvelous bloom of pre-Socratic thought, and sought scientific, disinterested knowledge.
Nietzsche was totally into T, a realist, there is only the world and human nature, no ‘forms’ or beyond ‘true’ worlds, only the here and now, and no morality rooted in a beyond. He compared his realism to Machiavelli, no ‘morality’ – reason in reality not in ‘morality’.
Socrates engaged not with reality but with ‘morality’, a ‘reason’ beyond the world, a made up ‘reason’ – real reason lies in reality. T, M, N deal with reality as it presents itself.
Nature is a cruel, amoral thing, T faces it, Plato cowardly runs away from it to the ideal. T is a cure to P.
T’s History of the Peloponnesian War
– Melian dialogue
Considers why countries go to war, realism, practicality, still studied as a political realist text.
Athenian diplomats at Melos were not interested in claiming the moral high ground, were there to subjugate, Melos would do well to be realistic and to recognise the superior power of Athens and surrender. Athenians not going to lie about any ‘right’ to empire or complain about any ‘wrong’ that Melos has done to A.
States often appeal to ‘rights’ or ‘morals’, to grievances. Athens is honest, in their best interests to subjugate, based entirely on power, that is how the world works. Athens will demonstrate its strength to all and let them know how they stand. M faces a matter of survival, A will end M, so self-preservation.
The gods favour power and made the world that way, everyone acts the same.
A took M, the gods did not help M and that was the end of M, they ignored reality, A focused on it, pragmatic, not morality that has no basis in material reality only in abstract notions of ‘good’, M actually thought they would win because ‘the good guys deserve to win’.
Thus N saw T as an antidote to P, the world is not set up to favour the ‘good’ conceived that way, the A were ‘beyond good and evil’.
– Funeral oration of Pericles
The Athenian plague trashed Athenian virtue, looting, crime, anarchy, break down in civilisation. Civ can be quickly overtaken by cold reality regardless of virtue; splendour, glory and pomp were gone, circumstances imposed themselves.
Realism again like the Melian dialogue, uncaring reality brought about cold, external circumstances and cruel nature imposed itself.
—
Plato was lost in a world away from the material world, and rooted his morality in a world beyond, which is decadence, cowardice, and his approach came to dominate western philosophy and religion.
Thucydides was an antidote, spent no time moralising, sought the motives and reasons of men in cold reality and the harsh material conditions of their time.
The ‘right’ of the strongest is the bottom line, and that is how A saw reality and the gods made it that way.
(In my opinion, USA and other states are entirely ‘realistic’, and they just weaponize ‘morality’ to ‘justify’ actions that are to their own advantage. Likely states have always been like that – b/c human nature and reality.)
Why Nietzsche Loved Thucydides
I expect growing population relative to energy supply was creating problems for the economy that had been in power. There may also be a problem with excessive complexity and debt. The number two economy could continue almost as in the past, because its population had not grown so rapidly, relative to resources. When the number 2 economy attempts to take over the number 1 economy, the result is almost always war.
I expect that the Thucydides narrative is basically an energy story, without mentioning the energy connection.
Ray Dalio’s analysis:
>> The idea is that, when you have an emerging country that’s a competitive country, competing with an existing power, there is a risk of conflict. In the last 500 years, 16 times that’s happened. And in 12 of those times, there’s war”.
So 75% likelihood of war. I don’t think we’ll fight, however, because we’re not in a position to.
USA is already fighting its competitors using proxies like UKR and Taiwan.
Whether it will ever arrive back on USA shores remains to be seen. Quite possible USA state would risk that in an attempt to maintain dominance.
USA elites do not seem to be risk-averse when it comes to its geopolitical machinations. It is willing to take losses like in Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan and now UKR – and to risk de-dollarisation and the loss of USA hegemony in MENA and globally.
Soon USA is dragging China into a war, and we will just have to wait and see what the outcome is and what happens after that. It may well not go the way that USA elites hope, and we will have to see what their next move is.
But the USA is already at war – it usually is – and it clearly intends to open up new fronts. The final outcome of USA militarism is not yet clear.
I think the limits of their power are apparent in what they do *not* do. They do not take the general population to war as that would put them out of power quickly.
Im not sure we can assign motives and actions are very hard based on no motives. Im not sure the motives matter. All we have is past behavior and thats actually a good indicator. Based on past behavior we can guess US decision making process will escalate at all costs EXCEPT nuclear.
Whatever anyone thinks of Biden the fact is his executives orders have moved away from nuclear weapon usage. Reckless escalation nordstream- weapon supply- willingness to destroy infrastructure- but no nuclear escalation. Thats soley based on past behavior.
This actually leads to a optimistic forcast for the world except for the USA. Conventional weapons decide it. The USA simply can not project the kind of force it would take to beat China or Russia in their lands. On the other hand TSMC will go bye based on past behavior. All infrastructure is on the table based on Nordstream.
One might conclude that the USA goverment will initiate nuclear weapon usage since there is no chance of winning with available conventional forces. Thats not what past behavior and Bidens policy about nuclear weapons reflects.
The unknown question is how will will China and Russia respond to non nuclear escalation. Based on THEIR past behavior they will not initiate first nuclear weapon use unless they lose
Past behavior indicates nuclear war will be avoided team Biden will escalate for a full conventional WW3. A lot of infrastructure will be destroyed. All militaries will take heavy losses but the heaviest will be with USA..
Biden has been shockingly honest in this one regard basically telling the world nordstream would go. He has stated that nuclear weapon use must be avoided at all cost.,
There are a lot of unknowns and rapid changes that make past behavior less reliable than usual but thats all we have.
Going the other way- discerning motives from past behavior and speculating on future behavior from the discerned motives is less reliable than past behavior alone.
That pretty much fits with what Thucydides is saying: circumstances coldly impose themselves, and states respond by asserting their power as the real basis of their ‘right’, as that is how the world works and how humans also act. The world is set up for flux and dynamism, competition and not for stable ‘claims’ or permanent success.
Energetic, resource and population issues are circumstances that cruel nature imposes coldly on states, and there is only one way that they will respond given that situation, war, competition for dominance and access to resources. Circumstances can lead even to a complete collapse of a dominant civilisation.
So, we currently have a classic Thucydidean Trap, a dominant power, USA, that is threatened with being overtaken by others with better circumstances and with the same basic drives to expand and to project power as itself. USA is trying to ‘contain’ its competitors through wars now.
The world is set up to favour the strong who act according to their interests, and that is the real basis of ‘virtue’. Neither USA nor China, nor Russia or anyone is to be ‘criticised’ for acting in their own interests. But USA may have already made too many mistakes over the decades, and it is now just hastening its decline.
States often pretend that they imagine that ‘virtue’ has some other basis, and that it will pay off to act as if it does – and they ‘justify’ their self-assertion, which is their real virtue, on that pretence. The public supposedly expects states to act with moralistic pretences, although polls do question that.
The world continues to function on a pre-Socratic basis, and states are forced to do so (supposedly) while pretending that they function on a Socratic basis of a ‘morality’ that is not grounded in how the world really works, like imaginary ‘rights’ and ‘claims’, ‘sovereignty’ (essentially self-assertion regardless of the strength to back it up).
Thucydides is an interesting prism for current events.
Gail,
Sometimes we focus too much on a given narrative. With energy all that is needed is enough for the next big thing: fusion. No, not fusion on earth, but the sun.
Starship went up, Space X does very well in space and I don’t think anyone else routinely lands launched rockets rather than discard. It was done today, if it has been done it can be done.
Earth is too precious to waste on mining, manufacturing and associate pollution.
China has a demographic problem, one child policy resulted in too many males; ah despite rhetoric otherwise, a child cannot navigate the penis to be born.
People apparently have a proclivity to want to be who they are not. Our leadership is corrupt financially and morally, Epstein was not an accident.
Morality still exists not because it is fun, but because it works. Without morality, hard work and inventiveness, all the resources in the universe let alone earth are worthless, there is no economics.
Dennis L.
The limits of reality, the normativity of the factual, is cruel enough. No need for any additional human cruelty.
The devil is characterized as: his method is to lie, his objective to kill: life, love, hope.
Such is the difference between the cruelty of reality – every life has an end – and the killer and rapist.
We know from psychology that the traumatised will develop from victim to offender. If we want to have only little social overhead, as it costs energy, to be able to deal better with reality, we should avoid to traumatize.
Plato had a different way of thinking. He did not seek for the common denominator of all variants but he saw the variants as imperfect realisations of the ideal. The consequence are sharp, precise descriptions and natural laws. Nietzsche was not able to do that. Provocatively seeking freedom from moral bounds, like a teenager. Where is the grown-up spirit?
Don’t laugh….
Plato (or Socrates) had a ridiculous conception of the world in which i) states would always have the resources that they needed, and ii) it is a desire for more than the basics, bare _necessities_, what he termed ‘luxuries’, that makes war _inevitable_ due to ‘interactive acquisitiveness’.
His ‘solution’ was for humans to love (seek to acquire) each other (as fellow Greeks without factions) rather than material resources.
No lie.
That is totally unrealistic for the reasons that Gail talks about.
We live in a finite world with finite resources.
Populations grow to the limits of their resources, and beyond given the chance.
Resources deplete and more are needed.
Life is not a bare minimum without expansion, it is essentially growth, acquisition, domination, exploitation, the assimilation of the other into the self. All life is will to power.
The cosmos tends toward complexity and the maximisation of energy dissipation, and humans and their societies embody those tendencies just as much as the rest of the cosmos.
Dissipative structures, both societies and persons, seek to maximise the energy that is converted to their own maintenance and expansion, and they compete to order the environment to themselves.
The point that people tend to miss is that reality is physics based.
That inevitably brings societies into conflict over resources. Because the real world, with its real tendencies, acts in that way.
Plato’s ‘morality’ was based on pretending that the world could be other than it is, that a ‘true’ world lies in the ‘beyond’, that this one is ‘false’, and that humans can stop acting like this world with its natural tendencies and approximate to the imaginary one.
It is an anti-natural, anti-realistic ‘dialectic’ of completely made up nonsense with a desire to slander the real world and to replace it with an imaginary one. Needless to say, it never worked, and here we are.
If we take Socrates at his word, he was essential a weakling who wanted to opt out of the real world, out of life, and to reduce his organism to a bare minimum of vitality because he was averse to the struggle that life entails. He may as well have just ended himself.
In fact, he continued to enjoy the fruits of his ‘luxurious city’ and many of his dialogues are set at plush dinner parties with buffets, booze, music and dancing provided by the slaves.
Hardly the ascetic type himself he would cavort with the young men that he drew to his dinner parties to listen him going on about ‘peace and love’, and then make comments about them to the entire party.
Quite the clown, he knew how to enjoy himself. Likely his ‘philosophy’ was intended as an ironic backdrop to his party life.
thx mirror. Thoughful read
USA and other states are entirely ‘surrealistic’
there, fixed it for you
This interview was uploaded a day ago from Planet Critical with Rachel Donald and Simon Michaux
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=pwmygkdoGgc&t=185s
You can’t go green without going small.
Our fossil-fuelled economy is destabilising the planet. But a renewable economy might not be much better. Simon Michaux and his team at the Geological Survey of Finland have been researching how much minerals and materials we have on earth to build our renewable energy. They’ve found that we simply do not have enough—and mining for those materials would bears a huge environmental cost.
On this episode, Simon walks us through the research, the possible outcomes from calculated energy contraction to collapse, what policymakers are doing with this information, and how the geopolitics of the US-China proxy war could make the green transition impossible for the West.
00:00 Intro
02:25 The Minerals Shortage
06:24 Ideology vs Reality
07:59 The Mining Problem
13:10 The Energy Problem
19:54 Are policy makers listening?
23:34 Renewables are Underperforming
32:40 The Energy Storage Problem
37:53 The Battery Problem
43:20 Engineering society to cope with variable power
48:08 Dangerous dependence on US and China
52:06 Who blew up the Nord Stream pipeline?
58:35 The Currency War
01:00:34 US vs EU
01:06:56 The Resource Balanced Economy
01:15:19 Shaping Reality With Stories
01:19:02 Four Paradigms of Future Society
01:24:39 Shrinking the Technosphere
01:29:32 Who would you like to platform
Should be good update
Ted,
Agree with the mining, energy, etc problems. All the “stuff” we need is in space, earth is a gravity well. Today, Starship made it up 37 miles, something went wrong; if past is any indication of SpaceX, they will fix it and thus “They will think of something.”
Dennis L.
prescient, Denis L.
hahahaha… that’s very funny… I assume it’s meant to be sarc
“They will think of something.”
Absolutely, we live in a great age of progress and tomorrow will be better than today!
Just think of the progress in the last 50 years. Back then, people could barely make it 250,000 miles to the Moon – but today, the rockets explode 37 miles up – progress!!!
JM Greer predicted that desert dwellers of a future impoverished America, huddling around their dung fires and eating roasted rat, will dream about going back to the Moon “sometimes soon”.
We are almost there, and Dennis is predictably just as incredibly self-unaware as expected.
Nom,
Nope, we are going forward and things on average are better today than yesterday; that is not true in the US. Too much money in useless air craft carriers, etc.
Nom, Space X is not only sending up rockets at an incredible rate, they land them for reuse.
Dennis L.
Dennis is the spokesman for DelusiSTAN
You can’t go green. Unless it’s a hunter gatherer existence
Unfortunately the tribes inherit the Earth + the spent fuel ponds
Mountains FTW right there. That’s a good look for you.
Do they stop the clouds?
There’s your answer
Only iodine 131 is in the clouds. Block it with Lugol’s.
Energy payback estimates for rooftop PV systems are 4, 3, 2, and 1 years: 4 years for systems using current multicrystal- line-silicon PV modules, 3 years for current thin-film mod- ules, 2 years for anticipated multicrystalline modules, and
1 year for anticipated thin-film modules (see Figure 1).
https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy04osti/35489.pdf
There may be problems but power companies don’t care.
Solar is constantly improving .
So it’s better to do nothing?
This is the result a person gets when he compares apples to oranges.
The comparison is between retail electricity prices and intermittent electricity, often generated when no one has need of it. It has to be transferred to the location where it is needed, and saved until the time when it is needed. There are huge costs associated with this process. At best, intermittent electricity is a replacement for coal or natural gas, or uranium used in generating nuclear electricity. In fact, it tends to drive coal, natural gas, and nuclear electricity out of business, because of the goofy pricing scheme needed to make intermittent electricity profitable.
Both California and Texas have had problems with keeping the electricity operating, with the use of renewables. The more that is added, the worse the problem becomes.
I concur with Gail of course. What she says, is that these energy payback calculations do not keep into account the energy cost of building and maintaining a parallel, fossil fuel based infrastructure. the methodology is completely wrong.
You’re correct Gail, it’s apples to oranges comparison. In these ‘energy calculations’ they only consider the energy that went into the glass, aluminium, silicon, silver and copper. They don’t consider the energy that went into building the mines, nor factories, nor engineers, nor builders etc.
The only way to include these costs is in the capital, operating and maintenance costs, using the ‘average’ wholesale cost of energy, for the world at the time.
It’s irrelevant nonsense every one of these reports on renewables, with nuclear being in a similar sorry state…
Nuclear at least does not distort the electricity marketplace with highly variable output. It tends to be quite constant. Because electricity demand is known to be low in the spring and fall, nuclear is taken off-line for maintenance at these times. Nuclear is not nearly as beneficial as claimed, but it is not as damaging to the overall electrical system as wind and solar.
FF will eventually be intermittent too. Places that have solar will welcome it but at that pt they’ll be happy they bot FEs fent.
Dual means more cost but keeping both Lessing the demand for FF. Unfortunately the people in charge take down nuclear etc..
Maybe dual is even worse?Unfortunately nobody can produce rigorous analysis because we are more ons.
In any case we’ll see how the massive solar increase will effect energy.
Even if it’s disastrous so what? It was tried.
It was a short while ago that evs were impossible pie in sky but somebody didn’t listen to the experts.
Tell me that item being poorly supported. It pivoted at a base that was firmly supported. Horizontal force other than gravity applied.
Notice the characteristic head turn.
What we are observing is outside of known understanding.
All bets off.
https://www.bitchute.com/video/bcckDisReJKH/
Yeah it was impossible for that boxed product to fall off that cliff without being pushed, especially so because at rest it was leaning back away.from the edge.
Real or not real? If the puppetmasters wanted to troll us they would release a cctv snuff film of a do-gooder getting painfully yanked about by invisible strings in the same spot that a box impossibly fell from a shelf. The Gods (Them) Must Be Crazy type theater.
Of course, people do suffer from convulsions, do get wracked by waves of agony. A teenager could have been pranking her from the other side of the aisle just before she happened upon her sudden death, assuming that she actually died.
Jeez… that’s terrible – I hope they called The Exorcist
https://youtu.be/Qzr3jx5Kjo0
Could be. Live or memorex? No one knows.
What we do know is humans have to fit things in boxes. They will fit a aardvark in a tiger box rather than not have it in a box.
The box behind the one that fell didnt move. But it could be fake. Wouldnt be hard
What would a guy from 1800 think if he saw a airplane? We can place everything outside our understanding into the fake box but it doesnt mean it belongs there.
So this vast conspiracy of injections just was placed with manipulation? Does that really make sense? Does the rat truly understand the rat poison? He thinks its a kind of peanut butter. Peanut butter gone bad.
Thats where most people place anti vax stuff. Into the fake box. They are unwilling to look at facts because it creates lots of things that cant be put in boxes.
The conspiracy theorists want everthing boxes too. Thermite i tell yo. NO! directed energy weapon.
No one is willing to say uh this is somthing new. Dont have a box for this. In facts humans when they have a experience like that will invariably forget it. Humans forget glitches in the matrix with great vigor.
It’s why people are unwilling to accept the moon landing is BS… it will unhinge them… to the core.
They like things to be nice and organized… they like being told what to think … by CNNBBC and the Idjit Box.
NICE jig! It WAS DEW dustificatiin that day. And GOOD eye regarding the box behind, which does complicate the prank possibility. To be clear I do figure it’s most likely a vax reaction, though i didn’t notice the classic vax sudden death head turn if that’s what you’re referring to.
I have a hard time thinking this is a small DEW attack though, if you’re getting at that, given it was just one box come undone, and that woman who wants to help gets pretty darn close to no effect.
I’m open to other ideas.
Whole shelf in a cabinet with doors off being painted suddenly up ended itself and threw contents on the kitchen floor at home of local couple who are members of a charismatic church.. just shy of snake-handling pentecostals.
Co-worker who I would describe as a possessed drunk had just entered the kitchen to stir up the crew and exited right before the shelf incident. I told the homeowners and they weren’t surprised.. took the opportunity to invite me to attend their church. I give it/them some credit for a nice conversion setup though.
Spirits moving, higher voices calling.
Credit where credit’s due lol. Stuff like that is beyond my animist box. Rules are rules. Highly sceptical. Prefer the mundane psychosis explanation. No offense! Call me square if you must but I’ll believe that kind of stuff when I see it. Please tell me it was when you were still using, or still vegan. 🙂 Or have Cro set me straight.
“Were you using at the time?” is a good conversation starter. The Vegan years were far behind me.. plenty of B12 stockpiled. The doors of perception were cleansed with the visual snow to prove it. Shelf flipped up and spilled several containers of health supplements specifically brain food despite the round pegs all being in place. Good rule of thumb I use.. learn to recognize the inconsequential and ignore it. Blessings to you and Brother Cro!
🙂
Psychosis gets stereotyped as a really big scary deal but it’s much more common than people generally realize, and most breaks with reality happen to people who wouldn’t be characterized as clinically ill. We have no problem talking about other malfunctioning systems in the body but when it comes to sensory perception and processing is when the fear sets in. We don’t like to think that we can see things and hear things and think things that aren’t true to reality. A simple leaky gut-brain can do it, from malnutrition. Drugs can further entrain the mind, and detoxifying from them provides the knockout punch. So can a disordered (from natural law)culture, with running powers of suggestion. Such dynamics can throw off the grounded, seamless, consistent relationship between cause and effect. Throwing off the timing of cause and effect — co-worker passes, shelf erupts — is a break lower on the hierarchy than hallucinating ‘ghosts,’ for example. At the bottom, least psychotic is thoughts that break with reality. Psychological fearfulness. Psychological problems in general come first, and such disorders are technical breaks with reality because they are not based in the accurate and consistent patterning of cause and effect in the local ecology which is the hallmark of robust health. And visual and aural breaks come subsequently. Whole philosophies, ontologies,and cosmologies are built out of them. What else is new? That’s the wasteland of civilization for you. The disembodied New Age culture, especially, preys on people who have had breaks. The breaks become defining moments in a person’s life. The elders always lurking in the shadows, encouraging it on. Or am I just being chronically psychotic about their existence lol. That’s what mythology is made of. But no – no I’m not being psychotic. Buses require drivers.
Rat Juice would be another cause… norm truly believes it is 3am here… hey norm – do you want me to take a photo of the sunny day we are experiencing at 3am?
wouldn’t matter any more than this does
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcad8206e-5d53-4a41-8ab8-b040ef7f09e7_1334x750.png
I think the reason the neocons want to attack Taiwan is to destroy the semiconductor factories. They want semiconductors to be done in Israel under Israeli control. Dropping two hundred bombs would destroy two hundred billion dollars worth of factory and tooling.
As to way kill the Christians of Ukraine well….
Surely China is acting behind the scenes to move crucial equipment to safer places. The ultra clean rooms are incredibly expensive but not irreplaceable, but some lithography equimpent might be.
My POV but posted earlier also . TSMC is interesting that it makes chips for real high tech applications like guided missile systems , GPS launch , self driving etc . The day to day applications like for the coffee machine , toys that clap , calculators , cars ( simple systems like controlling fuel flow for better efficiency) are already being made in China . The problem for the West is that if TSMC goes down so does ASML , NXP in Netherlands , Samsung in South Korea and NVIDIA etc in USA . China needs TSMC but it will survive . The end of TSMC would demolish the stock markets of Netherlands , South Korea and Nasdaq . Israel is not a good candidate for setting up a semiconductor plant because the process needs ultra high filtered water in high quantities . Water is not a problem in Taiwan . It gets rainfall and typhoon water from the sea .Israel is water starved . I am ready to bet that the move of TSMC to set up a plant in AZ will fail because of water issues . I had earlier posted a link regarding the collapse of the Colorado river basin system .
The water issue in AZ came to my mind, as well, when it was discussed for the subsidized semi-conductor plants. I remember when there was a drought in Taiwan, it became impossible to make as many chips. Why in the world would anyone set up a chip-making plant in Arizona? It is well-known for being hot and dry.
For smaller features plasma etching is used no water required.
Sensible analysis, thanks for posting.
This is surprising to me. How much water can you possibly need to produce a chip? It can not be comparable to the million acre feets of agriculture.
drb , it is not only the quantity , it is also the quality —it has to be ultra high filtered . Cleanliness is the first rule of chip manufacturing . That is why all workers wear special clothing , masks and special ” clean rooms ” where the equipment is installed plus temperature , humidity control etc to ensure that there is not even a speck of dust in the manufacturing process . Suggest you see some YT videos on this issue . Water required is huge as Gail has confirmed . Gotta hit the sleep button now .
millions of gallons says a google search. That is like two acre feet. so the water needed for 20 tons of corn is a big issue?
The pull of gravity is not the same at each location on the planet. The mirrors in the litho machine have to be design for the specific use location. As long as the new location has the same gravitational pull it can be moved. It will take six months to pack it up ship and unpack it.
I have never heard a more hare brained idea than this
A country with no viable source of water and full of enemies and centering the semiconductor industry there?
The question answers itself
Some perspective: BRICS economy is now bigger than G7, and it increasingly will be.
According to Bloomberg this week, BRICS in 2023 will contribute 32.1% to world growth, and G7 29% according to IMF data.
As Clayton says, Russia is the most heavily sanctioned country in history, and China is also heavily sanctioned, and yet that. No wonder power relations are shifting on the global stage.
“By 2028, the G7s contribution to the global economy is predicted to decrease to 27.8%, while the [present] BRICS will account for 35%.” (Bloomberg) Of course a lot can happen between now and then, and indeed is right now.
A dozen countries show interest in joining BRICS, including _Mexico_ (lol right in USA’s backyard), Argentina, Venezuela, Turkiye (lol a NATO member), _Saudi_ (lol a key USA energy ally), Pakistan, _Nigeria_ (UK fancied it an ally), _Indonesia_ (a massive economy), UAE, Syria, Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Bangladesh. Everyone is jumping on the BRICS bandwagon, because it is where the future lies.
An expanded BRICS could soon well take 50% of global GDP – and with its own trading currencies? Bye, bye dollar?
No wonder USA/ G7 is getting desperate and starting wars against Russia/ China to try to ‘contain’ its competitors. “All life is will to power.” It is Thucydides Trap playing out.
BRICS just did the UNTHINKABLE to the U.S. economy | Redacted with Clayton Morris
Besides talking about the growing role of BRICS (plus other countries that want to be added), this video also points out that the UK is talking about going increasingly cashless. Cash will become less usable in the UK.
Humanity has a chance, they have and will think of something.
Starship flew, one small problem in separation of the stages, but it got off, I think the largest, heaviest launch ever. The action begins at 31 minutes into the video, three raptor engines were out, separation failed.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wsKyM1Raeu4
This with AI should give all hope, perfection is the enemy of good enough.
It did end with a rapid disassembly, got to love that term.
Dennis L.
It is funny on one of Falcon1 first flight there was a stage separation issue.
Dennis , the Russkies are best at space tech . Musk is a rookie . He is South African by birth . Maybe he should ask Putin for a Russian nationality ala Steven Segal and get some tips . 🙂
I see a number of comments about the Starship test. One that struck me was
“For proposed human flight systems, this “munitions test and fix until we get it right” approach was long ago abandoned—except for NASA.”
It really is necessary to stop big blow-ups when humans are supposed to be riding in these systems.
Opinion: America’s big mistake in the war for high-tech talent
Opinion by Steve Case
Published 12:02 PM EDT, Wed April 19, 2023
https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/19/opinions/tech-talent-immigration-case/index.html
It’s a classic case of the left hand not knowing what the right is doing. After making a substantial investment in the industries of tomorrow — the recently passed CHIPS and Science Act provides $39 billion for companies establishing plants for semiconductors and other sophisticated products in the US — the government now is leaving many of the very workers required to staff those new facilities at risk of deportation. What we’re doing is counterproductive, yet here we are.
Even amid the fallout from Silicon Valley Bank’s recent failure and layoffs at some of the largest tech companies, America’s high-tech sector is still growing. In fact, the sector is poised now to create so many jobs over the next decade that the domestic supply of scientists and engineers won’t suffice.
Already, some 40% of software engineers working here are born outside the US, according to Bloomberg News, and many positions remain unfilled. Deloitte predicts that within seven years the United States will need upward of 1 million additional skilled workers in the semiconductor industry alone. Yes, some of the big-tech companies are cutting back, but startups in rapidly expanding sectors such as artificial intelligence, decarbonization, advanced manufacturing and health care are greatly in need of talent to expand.
But there’s a hang-up. The exact percentage is unknown, but according to the Society for Human Resource Management, experts estimate 10% to 30% of workers let go in recent rounds of cutbacks had come to the United States on the special H-1B visas reserved for highly skilled workers. Despite calls for a new extended grace period, federal rules require laid-off workers holding H-1B visas to find alternative employers within 60 days or else lose their status and be forced to leave the country. Most are eager to stay, but the government requires companies claiming H-1B talent to jump through hoops that are expensive, arduous and slow-moving.
Many of these workers have lived in the US for years and become pillars of their communities. They may eventually found companies of their own. But they are now at risk of having to leave the country
…..At a moment when nearly 70% of Americans support welcoming more skilled immigrants into the country, Washington should be making it easier, not harder, for scientists and engineers to put roots down in American soil. Other ideas include creating a startup visa for entrepreneurs and excluding advanced graduates in STEM fields from green card caps. Let’s not only invest in tomorrow’s innovation — let’s grow the roster of workers capable of fueling our entrepreneurs to their greatest success.
….Just as frustrating, H-1B visa holders who fail to qualify for a green card are required to leave after six years in the country. But the backlog of green card applications is long, with a record high of 1.2 million H1-B holders pending in 2020 and wait times that rose by 50% between fiscal 2017 and fiscal 2021. As a result, our leaders are sending an unfortunate message to the world’s entrepreneurs: Better to found your companies elsewhere.
The thing I would note is that quite a bit of the high tech talent is now working from home, or from offices in poor countries around the world. If these H1-B holders lose their residency, they don’t necessarily lose their ability to work on programming and other high tech projects. Instead, they do it in a lower overhead country, where they can get along perfectly well with a lower income.
Tech companies today seem to be formed where the subsidies for (ridiculous) projects is highest. They don’t have a long term future, except to the extent that the US government pretends it can continue to bail these firms out, through direct guarantees and through bailouts as was given to SVB. These tech companies do not have a long projected life, regardless of what kind of tech talent they use.
Tech is over rated . Most of it is just whistles . Yes , I can order a Pizza from the nearest restraunt at the best price and fastest delivery , but someone has to make it and deliver it . Can you download your Pizza ?
(TRT World)
”Israeli security forces attacked Orthodox Christians who wanted to attend the Holy Fire ceremony at the Church of Holy Sepulchre in occupied East Jerusalem.”
https://www.trtworld.com/video/social-videos/israeli-forces-attack-christians-ahead-of-holy-fire-ceremony/643af25c9d32a80017b09ed5
Necessary related news for background
(Reuters)
”Israeli curbs on Orthodox Church crowds in Jerusalem for Easter draw ire. Israeli police will curb the number of worshippers in the Church of the Holy Sepulchre in Jerusalem for safety reasons during Orthodox Easter ceremonies on Saturday, drawing anger from church leaders who said they would not cooperate. […] However, the decision to limit access on Saturday to the Holy Fire, the most important Easter celebration for the Eastern Orthodox Church, angered church leaders who saw it as part of what they consider long-standing efforts by Israel to restrict the rights and freedoms of the local Christian community.”
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-curbs-orthodox-church-crowds-jerusalem-easter-draw-ire-2023-04-12/
The fundamental problem:
I imagine that there are visitors in Israel for these festivals, in addition to the people who live in Israel and Palestine. Travel is “up” in many places this year. All of this leads to conflicts.
From what I can understand the problem is related to Jerusalem now considered as belonging fully to Israel State, while it is not like that according to International Law.
Going on leaving all the annexations slowly becoming as de facto part of Israel, will probably put Israel more at risk in the future, although they do it for the opposite.
It is really a pity.
https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2023-04-13/ty-article/.premium/jordan-warns-israel-against-limiting-number-of-worshipers-in/00000187-7a41-d484-adef-fac5fabe0000
Interesting articles considering the larger picture. Thanks Student.
Russia knows exactly what the cult non state are up to and they might just have had enough.
There a proposal to recognise and celebrate Al-Quds Day, otherwise know as, Jerusalem Day.
When they are finished with Ukraine, maybe Russia could denazify and dispand the illegal encampment in Palestine.
https://johnhelmer.net/vzglyad-its-time-for-russia-to-change-its-position-in-the-israeli-palestinian-conflict/
I imagine every country will need to take side in the emerging international conflict. It would be logical for Palestine to be in the China-Russia block.
“Jerusalem now considered as belonging fully to Israel State”
Thanks for pointing this out. Several religions consider Jerusalem holy and have buildings there. If Israel wants to put an end to visitors other than Jews, this becomes a problem.
(Haaretz)
”Israelis Are Fighting and Dying for Ukraine. In Israel, Their Deaths Go Unreported
Despite the conflict’s mounting deaths, the Israeli media has covered only three of its citizens who died while fighting in Ukraine. Many Israelis may be unaware that their compatriots are fighting there at all.”
https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2023-04-20/ty-article-magazine/.premium/israelis-are-fighting-and-dying-for-ukraine-in-israel-their-deaths-go-unreported/00000187-9dc2-d50b-a78f-fdd3350a0000
At the same time, there are people from the US who volunteer for the Israeli military. We discovered this, when we visited Israel in 2019.
It is strange phenomenon of youngish people wanting to go volunteer for someone else’s military. In the case of volunteers for the US army, I understand that potential for US citizenship can be a goal.
https://www.uscis.gov/military/naturalization-through-military-service
In this case it is just US passport holders with their allegiance for Israel. There are millions of people like that in the US today.
In my view they are two different reasons behind.
When youngish people want to go to the Israeli military service, they are young Jews (actually Israel doesn’t allow differently) who want to give their contribute to Israel.
It is a phenomenon explained by the famous French film ‘Les Patriots’ by Eric Rochant * which even go further explaining why a young French Jew want to work for the M.
https://www.filmtv.it/film/12466/storie-di-spie/
*(Erich Rochant was also Director of ‘Le Bureau’ which is a tv series that I suggest to watch in order to understand how things are going on now)
While in the second case they are probably soldiers sent on the battlefield under a ‘secret deal’ by the relative army, but without an official approval.
From what it is possible to read on the web it is full in Ukraine of soldiers coming from various Countries (from the so called ‘Allies’ side) fighting for Ukraine.
It is also full of British soldiers (labelled as ‘volunteers’) from what it is coming out from the news.
In my view in Ukraine there is now a sort of WWIII but fought trying not to make too much noise, like when one wants to play the trump with the mute.
Additionally, I imagine that for soldiers in general and for any army it is (unfortunately, but realistically) important to stay up-to-date with the ‘practice of war’.
So I would not be surprised that there are also some Chinese or even some Iran soldiers fighting on the Russian side, in order to stay up-to-date with the ‘practice of war’ and, as they are there, give an ‘help’ to the respective side.
Of course these are only my impressions and I’m trying to express them with maximum respect toward all.
Gail some American Jews feel their primary allegiance is to G_d. As part of that allegiance is a desire to fight for Israel.
The Binary Poison, mentioned by Fast Eddy earlier, is what Irish microbiologist Dolores Cahill had warned about at the very beginning – even before the vaxx was rolled out. There has been much truth rewritings since.
The original antigenic sin effect is devastating and not at all peaceful! The immune system starts to attack the body, described as a storm, which in severe cases leads to inner bleedings and death. Besides animal testing there have been cases after medicament testing on humans with horrendous outcomes. These were reported in the MSM, perhaps around 2009?, I cannot find them anymore.
The effect is survivable under ICU care. People scream over hours and believe their heads explode.
If that is going to come, the devil had made a good move.
For this imprinting of the immune system a vaccination is needed. An infection with a specific pathogen can then lead to above effect.
If this scenario is going to come, vaccinated people have to avoid infection. Remember that a mask does not protect properly against infection!
Assumed such a strain is deployed with an incubation time of 10 days any isolation period need not be too long, but we do not know, when and if that starts. It might also be that appartments and houses are not secure due to some surprise regulations. As BAU would be over, the spread of such a virus would end soon.
Global vaccination levels are high, except Africa, around 70%. As children mostly have not been jabbed, that might lead to a percentage of 20% regeferring to population being adult enough to take over responsibilities. Of these another fraction depend on upright medical care and might be lost. Under above assumptions that would lead to a survival rate of roughly 25%, quite close to what the ominous Deagel list had predicted.
Under such conditions, apart from hygenical problems with dead bodies, all supply chains, property rights and governmental authority would be non existend. On the other hand, the properties, storage, livestock of the 75% would be to some extend available for the 25%. If Kulm is right, the landowners are already prepared for such a scenario. Perfect times also for warlords!
As material objects last a few years before they rust away, there would be enough time it grow at least the next harvest – if people see this necessity and do not focus on becoming the next supermodel or driving a Tesla.
It would be a cataclismic event but nothing like extinction.
It would certainly result in the nuclear power industry chain reacting, which may well threaten extinction. I don’t know what the consequences would be for all the chemical plants.No grid power means 9 out of 10 adult survivors of the mythical strain will probably die, which means more than 9 out of ten of the children will die.
Excellent!!!!
Worry that a vaccine will be too dangerous is one reason development takes so long. No one wants to make healthy people sick by giving them shots intended to prevent illness. So typically vaccines are tested painstakingly on thousands of volunteers over many years to prove they do far more good than harm.
Even with this, dangers may come to light only when they get into routine use. Four years ago, the first rotavirus vaccine was pulled from the market after just one year. The shots prevent childhood diarrhea, but they also turned out to cause life-threatening bowel obstructions in one in 10,000 recipients.
Scientists are especially cautious because of their experience with vaccines aimed at animal relatives of the SARS virus. SARS is a coronavirus, the same virus family that causes serious diseases in pigs and other animals. While shots work well against some of these, they occasionally go disastrously bad. A vaccine for the feline coronavirus actually results in worse disease, not less, when cats catch the virus.
https://www.wired.com/2003/05/feds-race-to-make-sars-vaccine/
You left a key part of the puzzle out:
There are 4000 Spent Fuel Ponds Around the Globe…
If you don’t cool the spent fuel, the temperature will rise and there may be a swift chain reaction that leads to spontaneous combustion–an explosion and fire of the spent fuel assemblies. Such a scenario would emit radioactive particles into the atmosphere. Pick your poison. Fresh fuel is hotter and more radioactive, but is only one fuel assembly. A pool of spent fuel will have dozens of assemblies.
One report from Sankei News said that there are over 700 fuel assemblies stored in one pool at Fukushima. If they all caught fire, radioactive particles—including those lasting for as long as a decade—would be released into the air and eventually contaminate the land or, worse, be inhaled by people. “To me, the spent fuel is scarier. All those spent fuel assemblies are still extremely radioactive,” Dalnoki-Veress says.
It has been known for more than two decades that, in case of a loss of water in the pool, convective air cooling would be relatively ineffective in such a “dense-packed” pool. Spent fuel recently discharged from a reactor could heat up relatively rapidly to temperatures at which the zircaloy fuel cladding could catch fire and the fuel’s volatile fission product, including 30-year half-life Cs, would be released. The fire could well spread to older spent fuel. The long-term land-contamination consequences of such an event could be significantly worse than those from Chernobyl.
http://science.time.com/2011/03/15/a-new-threat-in-japan-radioactive-spent-fuel/
Japan’s chief cabinet secretary called it “the devil’s scenario.” Two weeks after the 11 March 2011 earthquake and tsunami devastated the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant, causing three nuclear reactors to melt down and release radioactive plumes, officials were bracing for even worse. They feared that spent fuel stored in pools in the reactor halls would catch fire and send radioactive smoke across a much wider swath of eastern Japan, including Tokyo.
https://energyskeptic.com/2017/the-devils-scenario-near-miss-at-fukushima-is-a-warning-for-u-s/
The Chernobyl accident was relatively minor, involved no spent fuel ponds, and was controlled by pouring cement onto the reactor. This was breaking down so a few years back they re-entombed.
Estimates of the cancer burden in Europe from radioactive fallout from the Chernobyl accident
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/16628547/
No conspiracy?
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dr-fleming-gain-of-function-should-be-our-focus/id1598602749?i=1000599012174conspiracy?
This link is not leading me to a place where I find the Dr. Fleming “gain of function” remarks. Instead, the most recent video seems to be this one:
https://www.podomatic.com/podcasts/info60570/episodes/2023-04-19T05_11_32-07_00
PCR Test Fraud: The Rushed Study that Prompted False Protocols | Dr. Simon Goddek, Ep 76
Thanks for this. Dr. Fleming is always worth listening to.
Here is the same thing on Rumble.
https://rumble.com/v28wwqy-dr.-fleming-gain-of-function-should-be-our-focus-cancer-and-other-treatment.html
Try: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dr-fleming-gain-of-function-should-be-our-focus/id1598602749?i=1000599012174
Recorded Feb 10 2023:
“We are ahead of schedule” {prion diseases etc}. 40 min. in.
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcad8206e-5d53-4a41-8ab8-b040ef7f09e7_1334x750.png
The hills grow higher.
I am truly curious about what goes on in the mind of a MOREON who has boosted multiple times when he looks at that….
How do they not accept that the Rat Juice is bad news?
How does one reconcile THAT image – with the claim that tens of millions of lives were saved?
What are the mental gymnastics involved to remain convinced that the Rat Juice is Safe and Effective?
For the life of me I am unable to come up with any explanation other than …. utter profound epic world-class unbeatable — STOOPIDITY.
Are there any Pro Vaxxers in the house who have a better explanation?
Not a pro-vaxxer but I have some inkling of an idea.
Most people never develop their free will because it’s not needed. Following instincts, their peers and their masters is good enough.
To put it bluntly, most people are slaves and happy that way.
We all make mistakes but being a slave actually minimizes the errors (most of the time).
ีืUnfortunately, we are now in a collapse event when following the herd leads to extinction.
I can understand the attraction of giving up my own reason and following the crowd – it definitely makes things easier!
The silver lining for those of us cursed with empathy is that we should not feel sorry for the dead – they are willing victim and they would take us with them if we let them.
Yes but do they realize when they look at this that they f789ed up? But dismiss it?
Or do they truly still believe the injections are Safe and Effective and saved 10s of millions of lives?
Do they truly believe 1+1 = 5
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcad8206e-5d53-4a41-8ab8-b040ef7f09e7_1334x750.png
Good find FE.
Based on the chart above and chart below. We can assume the USA will go sideways this winter. Since Spring 2021 was when we started.
And assuming how much healthier people of Japan are compared to America. I would expect the peak to be much higher.
#GeorgiaGailStones
I was hoping norm might join this discussion …
Hey norm … we already know it’s 3am here in NZ… let’s change the topic and discuss those exploding covid deaths in japan …
You know … the country with the massive booster uptake where the mob has a mask fetish…
What’s going on there?
This is for norm – for the discussion
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe1704002-4cf2-4c0e-9b4d-a66bfd76d64a_1334x750.png
So the experts think the 9th wave could be even bigger than the 8th wave, which had more deaths than all preceding waves. But why do they think the next wave may be bigger when Japan is the most boosted country on earth?
https://guygin.substack.com/p/japans-experts-get-excited-about
Hey norm … how did the 8th wave have the most covid deaths – when so many people are boosted?????
Discuss norm.
Discuss
https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/19/asia/south-korea-kpop-moonbin-astro-death-intl-hnk/index.html
He was only 25. I wonder what happened.
It was a suicide. It is not uncommon for people in the ultracompetitive KPop industry to kill themselves.
Ah yes, the safe and effective jab strikes again.
World population could fall to 6 billion by 2100: study denies UN estimates
it “could”.
by “2100”.
or in 2100 there “could” be 10 billion impoverished people on the brink of starvation.
or there “could” be far less than a billion, with Collapse in the rear-view mirror by many decades.
it’s a fun discussion to have while sitting around the fireside.
but 10 years out is mostly unpredictable, never mind 77 years ahead.
yet the Core is looking good into the 2030s.
of course, the parts of the Core that get booted from the Club won’t be looking so good.
doomish types keep foreseeing Collapse way too soon.
right Mr. 2017 Eddy?
10 days until the 2020s are one-third in the history books.
the Core is rocking and rolling tonight, baby!
This is much better than Kumbaya!
See what happens if the cops lose control https://t.me/leaklive/13672
Fake – if it was real people in the store would have taken video (same applies to UKEY war)
https://t.me/leaklive/13671
Chinese cant shoot worth a darn, their military technology is like new guineas, their three nuclear weapons probably wont go off unless they dont want them to, and they have no martial arts skills.
https://www.bitchute.com/video/MEMKJ3BBcBez/
Jigs , they poked the bear and they got mauled . Now they want to poke the dragon ? Best of luck to the eagle .
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/the-big-inflation-number-have-price-hikes-peaked/IONZRQFMQRGYLGL3S7PVXJCZ2Y/
It’s only 6.7% — so at least double that to get the real number (remember my scoop of gravel is increasing 9% every 6 months…)
Nothing to worry about right? Although 4-5% is a concern – at least in the US
https://wolfstreet.com/2023/04/16/what-would-happen-if-the-fed-caves-to-4-5-core-pce-inflation-and-gives-up-on-2-as-some-folks-are-clamoring-for/
What we have here is a calming of the herd as they are prepped for extermination.
If they were told The Truth – they’d lose their minds… even though there is clear evidence (when they buy stuff) that inflation is out of control .. CNNBBC tell them ‘it’s not so bad’…
Easily controlled. MOREONS.
They will only riot when it is so bad they can barely buy enough to eat – and even then they won’t blame that on inflation … it’s cuz they ain’t gettin paid enough.
MOREONS.
Staged https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/47044
Staged https://slovenia.postsen.com/world/99218/In-France-attacks-on-Christianity-are-not-abating-after-the-Christmas-desecrations-another-church-was-demolished-photo-video.html
Real https://t.me/leaklive/13666
Friends dont let friends become goldbugs.
I havnt listened to this guy for a long long time. His name is Jim Willy. He is known as the “golden jackass”. Seeing his demeanor here Im wondering if it should be the “cocaine bear jackass”. Nevertheless an epic rant. For entertainment purposes only. Living in a doomsters paradise.
https://www.bitchute.com/video/4ZOBZOCW7Nml/
It is hard to see what a person might be able to buy with gold.
As long as you can get some whatever-local-currency with gold, it won’t be worthless.
I mean, you might as well say “it’s hard to see what a person might be able to buy with USD” (and that is increasingly the case).
I haven’t favored it because of the increasingly crazy buy/sell premiums. I’m glad I do have a few coins, but it’s true that it’s not a last-ditch savior.. more like next-to-last-ditch.
I would have agreed until I realized they are using a Binary Poison to exterminate us.
They will release Phase Two before we have a situation where gold would come into play i.e. currency collapse… financial implosion…
When the Binary Poison cannisters are released billions will fall sick within days — and die. Martial law will be rolled out once the infection has spread far and wide… locking down anyone who survives…
Nobody will leave their homes — they’ll fear the plague — anyone who does will be shot.
Sad to say there will be no opportunity to make use of gold.
On the bright side… nobody will linger for very long – it will be a fast death — hopefully we get the Fentanyl Option. Mixed into cherry flavoured juice cartons…
Maybe they could brand it CALMING JUICE. You take a little and you mellow out… so you take more… and you end it
Oh no, I only just ordered my Bosche Mutation Survival Kit, and now it turns out I needed the Binary Poison Survival Kit instead! Just my luck!
How long until the Binary Poison goes in to effect? I need to know whether to order expedited shipping.
The jokes on you — there ain’t no surviving either one … so you been suckered.
Lidia17,
Yes, it gives comfort, the problem may be after the first coin is spent, someone comes looking for the others.
Transaction costs as you noted are not trivial.
Dennis L.
We will have to wait until after we have come out on the other side.
I’m agnostic on this front. I remember typing into a “Financially-Independent-Retired-Early” forum back in.. 2004? I want to say.. before the GFC, anyway.. that “yeah, $300/oz. was probably a ridiculously low price for gold”
So I knew this, but did I load up on it? Hell, no! Because I’m brainy like that! Nobody gonna fooooo me ’bout some dumb lump o’ metal.
I remember when me and a neighbor discussed bitcoin falling to 800 some time ago. Probably time to buy we chuckled, Neither of us did.
Now I get to see these stupid kids drive lexuses live in mansions that they didnt have to bust ass for and talk about free energy. Considering large L tattoo on forehead.
My sparky was telling me about a job they have on a ‘house’ (17,000 square feet…) that will take 3 years… apparently they are adding more buildings.
They also have underground bunkers full of food.
Early and big into Bitcoin.
https://youtu.be/JcqhvPNiJzo
NEW DELHI: India is on track to become the world’s most populous nation as its young population soars, and will surpass China by mid-2023, according to data released on Wednesday by the United Nations.
… The U.N. report said India will have about 2.9 million people more than China sometime in the middle of this year. India will have an estimated 1.4286 billion people versus mainland China’s 1.4257 billion at that time, according to U.N. projections. Demographers say the limits of population data make it impossible to calculate an exact date; India has not done a census since 2011.
thepeninsulaqatar.com/article/19/04/2023/india-will-be-worlds-most-populous-nation-by-midyear-un
Periodically one reads financial analysts who imagine that one day India, along the industrial development path will become the next huge global factory
Have they never been there? Even the photographs attached to news stories show it’s a complete chaotic mess with non-existent infrastructure
dream on
With lots of beggars. Lane markers on highways are “lane suggestions.” Stop lights are “stop suggestions.” There are signs on multilane highways saying, “No oxcarts.” This is a photo I took of highway repairs being done (sort of). Photo taken in 2012.
https://ourfiniteworld.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/men-repairing-road.jpg
Some data on India .
1. Total population 1.3 billion
2. Last census held in 2011 . 2021 delayed due to Covid . Now scheduled for 2024 after the elections .
3 .800 million ( 70% of the population ) surviving on 5Kg of FREE wheat/ rice PER PERSON/ PER MONTH . Works to about 1300 calories per day .
4. Youth unemployment 55% .
5. Malnourishment in children 70 %
6 . Malnourishment in pregnant women 70%
Hell .
The cure for this is at hand! Rat Juice
Good news everyone, only 30% of the global population is expected to die in the next war! No need to worry about ROF as a majority will make it! Keep calm and carrion.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/dollar-really-trouble-charles-nenner-warns-30-global-population-will-die-next-war-cycle
Wars don’t usually kill off a very high percentage of a country’s population. Even nuclear wars might not kill off a huge share of the population.
Trying to get along without imports after a war would be what would kill people. We couldn’t grow much food, and we would soon run into bottlenecks of many kinds, with things like transporting and processing food.
To start USA pharmacies go empty. First wave.
https://www.cfr.org/blog/us-dependence-pharmaceutical-products-china
Food of course is basically a direct energy conversion from petroleum products. Tractors-grid for water- fertilizer-transport of foods products. I find it hard to see how oil would continue to transit given the current dollar repudiation. The strategic reserves would most certainly be used for military. Whats left of them. You are where you are. You gots whats you gots.
China hoards food. Those darn hoarders!
https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Datawatch/China-hoards-over-half-the-world-s-grain-pushing-up-global-prices
China hoards oil. Those darn hoarders!
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Chinas-Oil-Hoarding-Is-Raising-Prices.html
A new energy pipeline coming in away from the sea.
https://www.pipeline-journal.net/news/landmark-china-russia-natural-gas-pipeline-completed
Probably to make sure Mongolia stays warm. Those Chinese sure do some funny things. Thank goodness our intelligence agencys are keeping a eye on them when they are not keeping us safe with vaccines!
Food second wave.
Civil unrest Third wave.
Strategic nuclear exchange fourth wave.
After a while the new admin shows up. Not too soon however. Why when the USA is “pulling a Bakhmut”?
Wile E Coyote. Just didnt notice all that air beneath. Silly air. Only conspiracy theorists talk about air.
Its north Korea we need to worry about. That completely sanctioned China suburb largly agrarian society where everyones starving that has displayed some substantial military technology. China the unsanctioned home of the worlds manufacturing technology knee deep in cash doesnt have any of that stuff. Nope. They PROMISED they wouldnt. Sort of.
“We estimate that China has produced a stockpile of approximately 410 nuclear warheads for delivery by land-based ballistic missiles, sea-based ballistic missiles, and bombers. Additional warheads are thought to be in production”:
EStimated you say? Why estimated? Well there are no treaties. No agreements. No inspections, A gentlemans agreement, Well actually not. but im sure those independant anylysts who estimate it at 1600 nuclear weapons are wrong. You see those 3000 miles of tunnels created for nuclear weapons are for the possibility of future nuclear weapons creation. Were pretty sure of that based on the fact that they are busy making lots of nice things for us, In fact this intricate network of connected tunnels is probably to make I-phones.
https://www.georgetown.edu/news/gu-students-help-discover-chinas-hidden-nuclear-tunnels/
Set up. A very nice one I must say. Integrated.
Maybe a new vaccine is needed to protect us?
Some believe the Rat Juice is a ploy to destroy America… as you point out they’d just have to shut down the pharma deliveries and it would be game over
When we have been had, bumboozled & hoodwinked.
CO2 makes up 0.04% of our atmosphere… if the percentage of CO2 drops below 0.02% plant life will cease to exist.
https://t.me/downtherabbitholewegofolks/74437
The atmosphere is approximately 0.04% carbon dioxide, which may not seem like much, yet it is the difference between the world we know and one covered in ice.
https://www.worldatlas.com/environment/how-much-carbon-dioxide-is-in-the-atmosphere.html
Composition of the atmosphere
https://www.bbc.co.uk/bitesize/topics/z3fv4wx/articles/zkbbbqt
Hahhahahahahahahahahahahaha…. ya’ll mutherf789ers been played!
Suuuuuuuu EEEEEeeeee…. ya’ll been suckered…
Ya’ll been hoodwinked…
Now you know why Leo built a concrete eco resort a few inches above sea level! Cuz it’s all fake BS this GW
And still… and still … ya’ll will continue to believe in dat Gooobiee Wooobiee bullll shieeet!
Or you can recalibrate your pea brains and admit – ya’ll was wrong.
I used to believe in GW too — once upon a time… it’s good to be wrong … if you are wrong enough and you change course… eventually you get mostly smooth sailing
Me too, I used to half believe that rot. In the early 1990s, I thought “That nice well-spoken young Al Gore wouldn’t lie about something like this. NASA, which sent men to the moon, wouldn’t lie about something like this.”
But now we know the Truth. And the Truth has set us free.
Take it away, Van!
Just waiting for the moon lunatics and GW clowns to …
Discuss.
It’s ok to change your minds fellas — the truth can set you free as well!
Back in 1981-82, We planted bit over an acre of blueberry plants.
All through the 1990s they got ripe in late July.
In the early 2000s they started ripening earlier.
Now they ripen in early June.
It looks like this year may set a new record for early ripen as many berries are now up to picking size.
I asked the plants what is going on and they just smiled and shrugged.
They been fooled too…sarcasm
That could be because blueberry plants flourish better in a high CO2 atmosphere. 😉
In any case, according to info online, blueberries can live upwards of 50 years. So yours must be getting past their prime now. It will be fun to see how long you can keep them producing.
Our blueberries include several varieties and the early ripeners are now just coming into flower. We had frost until the middle of March this year, but summer-like weather already now.
Tim, write a paper on it ..sounds like its got a future in a peer reviewed journal…place Eddie as the co-author.
What’s your point?
Are you trying to say that the kkklimate is static… it’s been the same forever?
I read a fair bit of ancient history … many of the inhabited areas in Mesopotamia were abandoned due to kkkklimate change… they were unable to grow food due to changes that occurred over a few decades… in some instances the kkklllimate change again and they were reoccupied…
If that’s the point you are trying to make then you are making a fool of yourself
Let’s check Telegram:
Peter Sweden interviews UK politician Andrew Bridgen who tells him about 2200 excess deaths in UK in just 1 week:
“The figures for the UK…the last week of March, 21% above the five year average…the excess deaths aren’t stopping…they don’t want to talk about it”
Full interview:
https://rumble.com/v2iz1d0-politician-censored-for-speaking-the-truth-about-mrna-shots-interview-with-.html
Thanks. And if there are this many excess deaths, imagine how many people are too sick to work. No wonder so many a literally “dropping” out of the workforce.
Symbolic of the destruction that high interest rates causes:
https://wolfstreet.com/2023/04/18/second-pe-firm-owned-subprime-auto-dealer-lender-suddenly-shuts-down-after-its-subprime-auto-loan-bonds-make-huge-mess/
Fast is on his game … he’s been able to avoid all Vaxxers for 2+ weeks now so there is no shedding impacted his output.
The poor buyers have been saddled with huge payments. The loans are for far more than the value of the vehicles. According to the article:
I imagine that the subprime borrowers traded in vehicles that were worth less the outstanding amount of prior loans. The 18% interest rate would seem to include a fairly high margin for defaults.
Gail,
To me this is attempting to purchase a persona which the purchaser is not. An expensive leased vehicle seems to say one had arrived; however, the next lease payment is already in the mail box.
Developing self is hard work, a machine cannot do that.
Dennis L.
You may be right about “this is attempting to purchase a persona which the purchaser is not.” Young people have a very difficult time finding jobs that pay well. They can’t afford much of a place to live. A nice car is a way to impress others, especially those of the opposite sex.
Another issue I have heard on is that the old car develops expensive-to-fix repairs. Trading it in on a new one, using a dealer that will offer credit to anyone is an option. A person cannot easily find a loan for repairs needed on an old vehicle.
Surging UK Prices Defy Efforts by Sunak, BOE to Tame Inflation
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-04-19/surging-uk-prices-defy-efforts-by-sunak-boe-to-tame-inflation?srnd=premium-uk
Key word >>> DEFY.
Oddly the article suggests this is not a problem in Europe – only the UK…
Yet it is a problem in the US https://wolfstreet.com/2023/04/16/what-would-happen-if-the-fed-caves-to-4-5-core-pce-inflation-and-gives-up-on-2-as-some-folks-are-clamoring-for/
The math doesn’t apply to Europe?
We need 1846 Dublin to all of the Core
The UK seems to have a worker problem:
UK is really doing poorly in some respects. I am doubtful that the difference is vaccination rates because there European countries had high vaccination rates, as well. Is it higher rates of depression, or what?
How can “they” keep importing migrants under these conditions? It’s not rational. Unless “they” want explosive race wars, I guess…
5th gen warfare. Yes, race wars, violent crime including murder, etc.
demographics.
Modern women are too sophisticated to have children, they have meaningful careers. A job is not meaningful to me, always had and have my own businesses; different game. Or, meet the new boss, same as the old boss.
Dennis L.
For the past few years, I’ve only been in communication with three people in the UK. All are at least triple vaxxed (including my brother), and all have followed this up with heart surgery. I know this sample is statistically meaningless, but I find it anecdotally awesome.
Fizzer – 100% success rate.
Perhaps the UK still has poorer industrial relations than other European countries. In the 1960s, it was as if there was a strike a minute although governments took a conciliatory approach before Thatcher arrived. They often invited unions and management round to Downing St.
Thatcher made things worse overall by a scorched-earth approach. She removed employee legal rights and tried to destroy trade union power. She succeeded with the miners’ union and failed with the train drivers’ unions – their members still get extremely high pay.
A big problem … few workers have any legal say over the management of the company they work in. They do in Sweden or Germany. I expect this makes workplace stress and alienation worse, so people need to take more time off.
With the removal of most workplace job security, people probably now have zero long-term loyalty to their employer. Much less than from 1945-79, when ‘jobs for life’ were more normal.
A.k.a. how not to run a country …
Read the 1971 book ‘The Collapse of British Power’.
I’ve never worked for a large private company so I’m an outside observer of this. I spent my working life mostly self-employed, plus short spells in a university and in an environmental research organisation.
Back in 1990 William Rees-Mogg wrote “The Great Reckoning”. He listed a mogul, not named, who would seize power later – at that time Donald Trump was quite a big self promoter and Rees-Mogg probably meant him.
Rees-Mogg also wrote that eventually a single entrepreneur (probably meaning Bill Gates at that time) will grab every single resource on earth and become a God for all practical purposes.
The movie Don’t Look Up had too many people. Dmitry Orlov’s 150 people would have been sufficient for genetic diversity and all; 150 people owning all of the earth, developing the next level of civilization and reaching Singularity, leaving everyone else behind and conquering the space, should have been the goal.
Without taking these measures, we won’t reach Type I civilization and will perish on earth without leaving it
Nah, the fabric of the universe does not allow that.
Try the Amish, the communities are larger than the quoted number, the genetic problems are real; I read the health hx.
May I suggest, you do the things of which you speak. It can be done, but it is damn hard and forget the rest of life. Best drug is a really good mistress, you will need something. It is a thrill running at 110% power on the edge. Elon must go at 150%, ten children, three significant others/wives.
Dennis L.
What does it matter if we perish here on earth or out in space?
Vanity of vanities; all is vanity!
To reach Type I Civilization and all that, it was necessary to set up a world government, controlling all resources and denying them to peoples who are unlikely to bring any progress with them, killing all counterarguments and ending all social services, etc, and everyone complying to it.
There are only a window of a few months for those who have the chance to reach Type I Civ to turn this around. By late Oct, it is going to be too late.
It is necessary for today’s winners to make even more money, corner even more resources and develop more tech, even though it will probably make everyone else live poorer. Consequentialism is going to be the domineering ideology if we want to reach Type I Civilization and avoid a complete mess on earth – no turning back.
https://greyenlightenment.com/?s=elites
(There are more essays than I can remember)
If the Elites lose this time, Fast Eddy’s Face Eating Monsters will rule and everything we built all the way to now will be lost.
To do this, we will need mining, smelting and fabrication… all in space, and all operated robotically. All of this might as well happen on a given asteroid. If that is suddenly possible, then Type 1 will almost certainly happen organically.
Robots tech with AI processing I suspect is in the realm of currently possible. Getting them to the solar system appears to be reasonably doable. Separating and smelting materials is the real challenge here. I wonder if we can somehow break down simple materials to water, aluminum etc, and then build structures with 3D printing.
What would be needed to take those material and build an engine or system to create electricity? It would be really handy to have a direct heat to electricity system with storage, but the scale of things will quickly create barriers.
Presumably, all robotics could be hand made on the planet and then sent up to create structures which would one day support full manufacturing. If we can do it on earth entirely with robots, in theory it should be possible to do it in space… especially with zero G, with no need to contain molten materials.
It should be possible (as in physics allows it) to achieve… but, it would have to be done by people and not governments. I love the idea of a worldwide lottery where more than half of the proceeds go back into the space manufacturing industry. Winners would presumably reinvest most of their winnings and involve themselves in their own projects.
No government though. We need more people driven, non military, private industry. People would not be a part of the actual space installations for many decades. This is where the filter might kick in a little too quickly. Still, it seems like we have enough if we just really concentrate on the bots for a bit. Mirrors to direct heat, something to capture hot metals, and then something to shape them. How hard could that possibly be?
Pretty much impossible, I would guess.
Ask Dennis
I am gaining traction, way to go!
I blame the elites. They’ve botched it by lying to everyone about everything, gaslighting everyone, and losing everyone’s trust—apart from Norman’s, bless him.
Now, it will be much harder to get the 95% to lay down their lives for the progress of civilization, everything will fall apart chaotically, and nobody will get to go to the stars.
From the gates of hell, I spit at the elites!
I think there is much truth in what you say, in particular those who are policy wonks; not creative types in industry.
Dennis L.
Right on!
https://www.theguardian.com/money/2019/apr/17/who-owns-england-thousand-secret-landowners-author
Half of England is owned by less than 1% of the population
30% by nobles and gentry
18% by corporations (many of them owned , or at least with a sizable stake of, the above)
17% by oligarchs and city bankers (read: non-English financiers from all over the world)
17% unaccounted (read: natural progeny of nobles and gentry)
8.5% public land
The rest have to play with 9.5% of all land in England
Landed Gentry Uber Alles!
Kul,
Dirt stores value, but it costs money and the return isn’t there unless one mines the soil.
Land gives credence to the saying, “Dirt poor.”
Dennis L.
The landed gentry is helping to maintain what’s left of England’s green and pleasant land.
Give that land to the plebs, let them build on it, and there would soon be nothing but urban and suburban sprawl from Lands End to John o’ Groats.
We must always keep our motherland green!
@Mirror
The Saxon nobles still held their ground in Wales, Scotland and Ireland for a long time.
And the reset done by William the Conqueror on 1066 was the last reset of England, with virtually no changes for almost 1000 years, which is , in my books, close enough to be an eternity.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2479271/1-000-years-invaded-need-Norman-like-Darcy-Percy-ahead.html
https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/comment/why-the-darcys-and-percys-are-still-running-the-country-8918517.html
Same names attending oxbridge since Norman times
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/education/universityeducation/universities-and-colleges/10413798/Same-names-have-attended-Oxbridge-since-the-Norman-Conquest.html
I can go on and on if you want more examples.
“The Saxon nobles still held their ground in Wales, Scotland and Ireland for a long time.”
Sources please?
>China, India, Vietnam, Russia, Argentina and Kazakhstan were the top six countries introducing new restrictions between 2009 and 2020, according to the OECD. These countries hold some of the largest reserves of critical raw materials and account for a significant share of their global production. China isn’t only a dominant player in the production of magnesium, but also manganese, while Vietnam and Argentina are at the forefront in mining of rare earths and lithium, respectively.
If Chucky Fitzclarence didn’t do his ‘duty’, India and Vietnam would still be under European control, and all of China’s resources up for grabs by western powers at their whim.
Again I have no beef against the English in general, but if they just stayed in England and didn’t mess Europe expanding its reach and not prop up states like Poland and Czechia, which should never had existed to begin with, we would not have this chaos.
All the English literature in the 19th and 20th centuries vilified Napoleon, but in retrospect he was the better alternative than what followed after. I don’t buy the argument of “hindsight is 20/20”. Anyone with a clear historical eye can predict things far beyond what we see now. A French-ruled Russia would be no threat against Singularity; a , well, Russian-ruled Russia is a threat against Singularity. I regret Dr. Firth has passed away, since if he were alive I would fight him every turn and corner. At least the mess around his corpse showed his failure of defending an institution which should have gone down long ago. The Trafalgar Square, the Waterloo Bridge and all that have to go away.
The destruction of North Korea and the nuclear bombs in Manchuria in 1950 would have saved the World. Instead of paying China anything, it would still be divided into spheres of influence, and the Chinese would have gained very little benefit from it.
I have some axes to grind against John Hay, whose Open Door Policy against China was the greatest failure of American diplomacy of all, but that will wait for another day.
Worthless Degrees Are Creating an Unemployable Generation in India
Students around the globe are increasingly questioning the returns on education. Nowhere is the problem more complex than India.
The complexities of the country’s education boom are on show in cities like Bhopal.
Anindito Mukherjee/Bloomberg
ByBibhudatta Pradhan and Vrishti Beniwal
April 17, 2023 at 7:00 PM EDT
Business is booming in India’s $117 billion education industry and new colleges are popping up at breakneck speed. Yet thousands of young Indians are finding themselves graduating with limited or no skills, undercutting the economy at a pivotal moment of growth.
Desperate to get ahead, some of these young people are paying for two or three degrees in the hopes of finally landing a job. They are drawn to colleges popping up inside small apartment buildings or inside shops in marketplaces. Highways are lined with billboards for institutions promising job placements.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-04-17/india-s-worthless-college-degrees-undercut-world-s-fastest-growing-major-economy#xj4y7vzkg
The pattern seems to recur around the world. I know that at one time, China had a lot of young people with university degrees who could not find jobs that paid enough to justify their advanced training. This may still be the case.
The world needs only so many firms that will add fake friends to Facebook accounts
Hey norm … (aka The Pariah of OFW)… have you thought about creating some fake friends? https://viplikes.in/facebook/facebook-friends/
no friends of mine could come close to the convicted criminality of yours eddy
(aka Tommy)
stop monopolising aitches and a’s eddy
other people have as much right to them as you do
and in better sentences too
Not sure how one gets started other than a very good family and good genetics. Other than connections, I don’t think school/college is necessary. It can all be learned on line. Even the connections are worth less and less.
Dennis L .
The German government voted on a bill on Wednesday to ban most oil and gas heating boilers in new and oil buildings from 2024 as part of a plan to reduce emissions.
The ruling coalition in Germany has decided that nearly all new heating systems should run on 65% renewable energy, with exemptions for homeowners aged over 80 and for households with the lowest incomes.
Industry associations and the German public disagree with the planned ban. A Forsa survey commissioned by RTL and ntv showed this week that 78% of Germans do not approve of the bill, and only 18% think the decision to ban oil and gas heating systems is the right one.
Most of the opposition to electric heating running on renewable energy stems from concerns that heating prices would rise. A total of 62% of respondents in the survey expect prices to increase if heating comes from renewables, while only 12% expect their heating bills to decline.
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Germany-Moves-To-Ban-Most-Oil-And-Gas-Heating-Systems-From-2024.amp.html
Oil price com
This is on the bizarre side. I would expect that homes are going to have to mostly get along without winter heat, since renewables don’t provide a dependable source of electricity for winter.
The Germans want exactly that, they vote the responsible again and again! They clearly have suicidal intentions.
Out of Gas in South Florida…that’s too bad…
PALM BEACH COUNTY, Fla. —
The Florida Division of Emergency Management is deploying more than 500,000 gallons of fuel to stations in the southeastern portion of the state after historic flooding led to a gas shortage.
Gas stations across the area haven’t had gas after distribution issues because of flooding at various petroleum terminals at Port Everglades.
This should warm Nuttie Eddies chestnuts
I prefer more stories about raging inflation that was supposed to be brought under control by higher interest rates…
This article does point out that Florida depends on “petroleum terminals at Port Everglades” for its fuel for vehicles.
People are flocking to Florida because of its low taxes, but it is dependent on fuel for its vehicles from elsewhere.
Maybe, MN has had more snow than I recall; it is cold and if you know, then you know.
Dennis L.
USA is likely to shift its attention to the Pacific, where it is instigating another proxy war over Taiwan, once the forthcoming UKR offensive fails.
It is not immediately clear why USA thinks that war with China will work out for it any better than UKR has. Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan, UKR – one fiasco after another – and now the pacific.
UKR has been a disaster for USA with a global shift toward de-dollarisation and the collapse of USA hegemony, but USA just wants to keep warring. Likely the Pacific will just cement USA decline.
US Rushes to Provoke War w/Growing Chinese Army: Admits Taiwan will be Destroyed
That was always the plan with the Warhawks and Neocons in Washington, once they destroyed Russia.
I’d love another fake war! China could use this to develop it’s own CGI industry.
If I understand things right, the author of this video is Eric Cheung of CNN. He also recently wrote this article,
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/04/15/asia/taiwan-china-invasion-defense-us-weapons-intl-hnk-dst/index.html
A weapons stockpile and asymmetric warfare: how Taiwan could thwart an invasion by China – with America’s help
Not an expert:
1. Smart bombs are no longer working, jamming.
2. 155mm howitzers wear out after 300 or so rounds.
3. F35 has engine problems, interestingly US Air Force recently purchased more F-15s.
Ukraine received the best of everything, it is not working. Us has wonderful weapons, maybe, but no bullets.
Bummer.
Dennis L.
Doesn’t sound so good. I read Lockheed reports on the Atlanta Journal Constitution. They seem to have supply line problems in ramping up production of whatever munitions they are working on.
The UKR ambassador to the UK has given his assessment that Russia has achieved all of its war aims, and that the failure of the forthcoming UKR offensive will lead to negotiations in which Russia will get all that it claims in UKR.
Presumably Russia would have the Donbass, the south and Crimea, and UKR will be demilitarised and constitutionally neutral in the future. The ambassador does not like it, but it seems to be the case. Or maybe he just hopes so….
Only time will tell what Russia will now settle for, as it clearly has the upper hand and it may not desist as soon as UKR scrambles for negotiations. Quite possibly Russia will proceed to the Dneiper and then sit down and talk.
Ukraine concedes defeat? ‘Russia has achieved all key goals, achieved a lot’ | Kyiv’s big admission
This seems to be reporting by the Hindustan Times. Perhaps it is first to report on this situation.
(Alex Christoforou)
Luke Skywalker (actor Marc Hamill) supports Ukranian army in a video where a Nazi flag is on the background.
He is being criticized on twitter, but he says he doesn’t know the flag… 🙂 🙁
from timing 32.35
https://youtu.be/_UJbzRPMJYU?t=1955
(CNN)
”US warns Russia not to touch American nuclear technology at Ukrainian nuclear plant”
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/04/18/politics/us-warns-russia-zaporizhzhia-nuclear-plant/index.html
very strange
(Foreign Policy)
”Ukraine’s Longest Day.
The first 24 hours of the expected counteroffensive will likely be decisive.”
https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/04/18/ukraine-russia-war-counteroffensive-attack-bakhmut-himars/
My impression is that something unexpected will happen in the next days, weeks on months. Something big, maybe not what reported in the article, but I think that US and Allies are planning something.
Oh yeah it’s already a done deal. What’s done cannot be undone.
Good man! That might justify me signing up for telegram if necessary.
The US needs war and it is doing everything possible to provoke Russia into a direct confrontation with NATO.
You would think that there is some West Point graduate who actually read “The Peloponnesian Wars” who could explain to the political elites stateside what actually happened to Sparta when they walked into Thucydides trap
If you listen to Retired US Army Col. Douglas McGregor, he says today’s military, are there to tell its leaders what they want to hear. It’s all lockstep from top down in Washington.
Douglas McGregor is an outcast today because he is one of the few honest military experts who says, we have NO business being in Ukraine, provoking Russia as well as China. We have nothing to gain from that foolishness.
It’s the Neocons and Warhawks in Washington who can’t sleep knowing Russia still exists and once they are done with Russia, China is next on their hit list.
As you know, Thucydides trap is actually an expression which has been just recently coined and it is not something expressed by Thucydides himself as a general rule.
Thucydides only explained why according to him the war between Sparta and Atene started. But, above all, he described all the events well, at least we think so and it is probably like that.
My impression is that the expression of the trap was an attempt by current commentators (Graham Allison and them Massimo Donadi) to try to ‘normalize’ these kind of tensions (such as: it is normal that US may want to defeats China, also Thucydides said so…) and at the same time to try to ‘convince’ US politicians not to repeat the same mistake of the past (as Thucydides explains..).
https://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trappola_di_Tucidide
Having said that, I thank you, because that period is extremely interesting, I studied at school, but it is time to read it again, better.
That war saw the presences of allies for each side (like now), the Persians where already present in important phases of the history (like now) and also a plague (natural) made its presence in the events (like now).
When the war between Atene and Sparta ended (around 400 A.C), another regional power was starting his life: Rome.
https://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guerra_del_Peloponneso
This is an article from 2015 in “The Atlantic.”
This is a link to the study referred to in the above quote:
https://www.belfercenter.org/thucydides-trap/case-file
“thucydides did not express himself in those terms”. Correct. And Seneca never spoke of a cliff. but history rhymes and the first describer should get the credit.
Thanks Gail. The position of the HTOE has been that China receives Taiwan peacefully –or relatively so at least, nothing like Ukraine. So I expect the quoted stats to become 12 out 17. And 13 out of 18 if we include Ukraine.
“When the parties avoided war, it required huge, painful adjustments in attitudes and actions on the part of not just the challenger but also the challenged.”
That of course would be what the national socialisms are for. Xi has already announced their transition to it. As has America when we read between the lines.
A war will allow martial law and whatever draconian measures they want. It will end the USA remote resemblance to free market economy replaced with command and control. Adding a “game changer” technology is the only way it might be meaningful in the Ukraine.
China war means end of most manufactured goods. International trade stops. Most retail is resale of imported goods. This finishes off retail left from the lockdowns and brings in price controls for “war” not inflation. Pharmacutical drugs become non existent.
Command and control economy
Small business eradicated
Population lowered.
Less resource consumption.
Civil liberties ended under martial law
So initiating a war with China means all the things happening that are associated with losing a war. There is no logical goal IMO?
What would winning a war with China be? What would be the goal the desired outcome? There is none. The outcomes are clear from the very beginning. Winning or losing is exactly the same. THe outcome is the exact outcome associated with “losing” no matter what gets blown up. THe more things get blown up the less consumption.
While prior wars were part of the set up via debt this is the take down. “war” with China is the final step in implementing the exact same system of human control that exists in China. Im guessing somehow China doesnt get hurt very bad. That wont be hard to create in a “top gun” vs hypersonic OK corral.
Russia? Ultimately Russia has to be assimilated too and a escalation in the “war” yields many of the things that “war” will for the USA.
War as always represents a shaping of the world to someones liking and there liking is;
Command and control economy
Small business eradicated
Population lowered.
Less resource consumption.
resource rationing
Civil liberties ended under martial law
You are right about war with China:
I am afraid you may be right. If there are resources to be exploited in the US, China will find them. Pollution will be as bad a problem as in China. Lots of top-down control.
We are going to space for stuff, pollution left in space. , AI is a problem; it will be a PIA. They have thought of something, film at eleven.
Dennis L.
Why would the unavailability of pharmaceutical drugs have an impact on anything?
There are tens of millions of people hooked on pharmaceuticals that they need to take a regular dose of in order not to experience excruciating problems.
By some estimates, there are up to 40 million Americans alone who are dependent on taking SSRIs and other antidepressant drugs in order to function. If they can no longer get their prescriptions filled, these people will be literally “off their meds”.
Death. People who have had thyroid removed but live otherwise normal lives must have medical replacement (Synthroid, etc). Type 1 Diabetes (not the more common & diet-treatable Type 2). Antibiotics.
Big Pharma is mostly Big Bad but in some cases a lifeline.
If Pharma did not exist… we’d not have run into the limits of growth so quickly… and UEP would be nothing more than a plan at this point….
We can make an exception for pain killers… nothing should have been allowed that keeps a f789ed up person alive artificially. e.g. no blood pressure pills.
Discuss
I accept that once psycho drugs disappear there will be a temporary uptick in suicides and murders. I do not accept that the disappearance of allopathic drugs alone will permanently worsen the quality of life. For many quality of life will increase if they are forced to stop rely on symptom treating drugs that never remove the cause. One ought to still have plentiful choices re: diet though. For example diabetes 1. Just last month it was easy to see that many now manage their diabetes 1 without any drugs whatsoever.
drb753, I can see your point. There are bound to be pluses and minuses.
It may be that big pharma could disappear but little pharma could take over the necessary work of providing relatively easy-to-manufacture tried-and-true drugs and medicines that are essential for many people to maintain their quality of life.
Or perhaps the “cancerous” parts of big pharma could be cut out, leaving the useful bits to keep doing their essential and useful work?
We need to keep the Super Fent component …
Instead of keeping people alive on chemo, high blood pills insulin etc etc etc… instead we should transition to — sorry bro but you have made some very poor lifestyle choices / you were unlucky — and you are f789ed.
There are two options … you linger for ___ months/years suffering — then die…
Or you skip the lingering and the suffering and you get a handful of Super Fent.
No need to decide now — we’ll just give you the Super Fent and you can decide later.
Sounds brutal … but this is where the PR Team comes in … they just need to … normalize this… quite easily done — CNNBBC runs programming (programming .. you know .. programming) that shows people suffering horribly with cancer etc… total misery … diabetics with limbs hacked off… down and dirty … and the solution is Super Fent…
Repetitive messaging about rejecting suffering … why should you go through these horrible treatments that usually fail and only prolong your misery .. when there is Super Fent.
Super Fent sponsorships of a wide range of elite sporting events… before you know it — it becomes trendy .. the cool cats are all Super Fenting … it becomes so popular that people Super Fent to avoid root canals…
Feeling depressed — Super Fent…
It’s a nice way to … cull the herd… because they’ll believe it was their choice — the programming had nothing to do with it…
They already shot the Rat Juice… so we’ve already technically done it.
https://mypartyshirt.com/media/catalog/product/cache/1/thumbnail/1000×1231/9df78eab33525d08d6e5fb8d27136e95/r/u/ruckus_1.png
Many of our drugs are made in other countries. My sister’s & friend’s thyroid replacement comes from the Philippines. Drugs come from China. The sudden cutting off of millions of prescriptions would cause chaos. This is a different point from whether or not we should have/use pharmaceuticals. As for producing them here, it is like many things Gail speaks of where we no longer really have the infrastructure/resources to fix the issue.
Meanwhile in the Land of Idiocracy
BREAKING NEWS: Putin has Epiphany – And will Shut Off the UKEY Gas to End War.
https://s3.amazonaws.com/s3.timetoast.com/public/uploads/photos/2172579/world_war_1_ends.jpeg
In US news — Biden’s new advisor has advised that the Americans water the crops that are dying due to the drought… and is made King of America
I will believe it when I see it. Ukraine is not doing well in this war.
Translation: We can touch your stuff but don’t mess with our stuff. The sheer arrogance and it’s little wonder why the World is moving away from the Empire run by crazy people. As the world has decided to move away from the US Dollar and allow the Empire run by crazy people to implode like the old USSR.
I sense many are more or less cancelling the US, not returning phone calls so to speak.
Dennis L.
It does seem a little strange, I agree.
New report warns about human health risks from PVC pipes used in drinking water systems
Emily Le Coz
USA TODAY
News report warns about human health risks from PVC pipes used in drinking water systems
A report released Tuesday by a coalition of U.S. environmental advocacy groups warned of the health risks of PVC plastic and urged public officials against using the material in community drinking water pipes.
PVC is made with vinyl chloride, the same hazardous material released in the fiery train derailment that triggered a public health and environmental crisis in East Palestine, Ohio. It’s also a known carcinogen and endocrine disruptor.
Yet, because of its relatively low cost, PVC – polyvinyl chloride – has become a popular option for communities replacing old drinking water pipes and, in particular, the old lead pipes and service lines that carry their own public health risks. In 2021, the Biden Administration allocated $15 billion through the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s Drinking Water State Revolving Fund for communities coast to coast to replace lead service lines.
The report’s contributors criticized the EPA for issuing no guidance on which piping materials should be used for such projects.
“In the months and years ahead, this new federal money will be flowing to state and local governments, and it’s unfortunate the EPA is not providing any guidance on what is a safe substitute for lead service line pipes,” said Judith Enck, a former regional EPA administrator and the president of Beyond Plastics, a nonprofit environmental group based at Bennington College, Vermont.
Instead of PVC or CPVC – chlorinated polyvinyl chloride – Enck said communities should use safer alternatives like stainless steel or copper even if those materials cost more.
“When people say that plastics is cheap, they are dead wrong,” Enck said during a virtual press conference on Tuesday. “The price is paid widely and for decades through healthcare costs and tax dollars.”
I prefer felling a tree and boring a hole thru the center by several means ..connecting them via tongue and groove which runs to my cabin from the stream.
An old homestead built in the 1800s still has the original tree trunk pipes functioning..that’s where I got the idea from…
No need to mine metals or drill for oil or refine it into toxic plastic piping
Something new to worry about. We certainly don’t have enough copper or stainless steel to replace all of the pipes with.
If only the major cities of third world were not built and did not use all the copper and steel up.
Self-organizing economies build themselves when there is adequate energy available. The concentration of people with many different ideas and training in cities helps complexity grow. Together, they can think of new, more efficient ways of doing things.
Ted, I thought your cabin was in the Smithsonian.
Pretty close, next door to it actually, go South to BR 549,
I’ll be out back making up a batch of soap…yep, we do know how to use SOAP down here.
I’m all for the advancement of human civilization..sarcasm
What’s it like being traded around for cigarettes?
Eddy no cigarettes for two decades. Top ramen. No ramen in supermax. Not much “trading” in supermax. I think they get a half hour contact a day with another prisoner. Two cages next to each other outside for “exercise”. Everything is wired to the max for vid and sound. Teddy farts they know it.
https://www.biography.com/crime/unabomber-ted-kaczynski-today
The Foxfire volumes, from Appalachia, are the best reference collection I’m aware of for the building of wooden piping systems and the tackling of every other agrarian art under the sun.
We should all follow the Bedrock engineering protocols.
If it was good enough for the Flintstones and the Rubbles its good enough for the rest of us.
PS: Warner Bros was using prophetic engineering to show what the future held……..Flintstones and Jetsons were at same time
Disciples of the Demonic just have to show how they gonna screw you to escape karmic retribution……I heard that somewhere.
I came across a statement by a commenter or blogger somewhere, to the effect that Europeans are currently only being given the options of living in the past or living in the future. So maybe that was some predictive programming on the part of 1960s media.
I favor the past. Dennis and kulm and keith favor the future.Not that we will have a choice..
Wooden piping maybe perfect to transport water along a natural incline but they are for sure not pressure resistant as to press up water a 15-storey-building. We would need a completely different installation for that.
use rainwater from the roof the 5 th dimension (gravity) is your friend.
or don’t build 15 story buildings…………Diplodocus cranes cant raise loads that high obviously.
Gravity as 5th dimension – I appreciate that corroboration Cro! 🙂
Doesn’t matter – we’ll soon all be dead
Might as well start sprinkling arsenic on your food
“When people say that plastics is cheap, they are dead wrong,”
Hes got that straight. A piece of 4″ schedule 40 white sewer pipe is $40. It was tenish five years ago. Same for PVC electrical conduit. Take out a loan for schedule 80. 70% inflation. Hit bad in covid because of “supply chain” and prices have never gone down.
A trillion here a trillion there. It adds up after a while.
They cant bring enough in for prices to go down with shipping hitting lows? Manufacturers not so keen on accepting dollars?