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Recent Posts
- The world’s economic myths are hitting limits
- Advanced Economies Will Be Especially Hurt by Energy Limits
- Should the US add more LNG export approvals?
- 2024: Too Many Things Going Wrong
- Ten Things that Change without Fossil Fuels
- Running Short of Tailwinds for the Economy
- Today’s energy bottleneck may bring down major governments
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Academic Articles
- An analysis of China's coal supply and its impact on China's future economic growth
- An Oil Production Forecast for China Considering Economic Limits
- Analysis of resource potential for China's unconventional gas and forecast for its long-term production growth
- China's unconventional oil: A review of its resources and outlook for long-term production
- Financial Issues Affecting Energy Security
- Oil Supply Limits and the Continuing Financial Crisis
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Tag Archives: oil price
Should the US add more LNG export approvals?
The US already has a huge amount of LNG export capacity approved but not yet under construction. The likely roadblock is the need for debt financing. One obstacle is the need to find investors willing to make very long commitments–as long as 25 years, considering the time to build the LNG plants, plus the time that they are expected to be in operation. Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged energy policy, natural gas exports, oil price
2,426 Comments
Where Energy Modeling Goes Wrong
There are a huge number of people doing energy modeling. In my opinion, nearly all of them are going astray in their modeling because they don’t understand how the economy really operates. The modeling that comes closest to being correct … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged complexity, diminishing returns, EROEI, oil price, peak oil
3,331 Comments
2021: More troubles likely
Most people expect that the economy of 2021 will be an improvement from 2020. I don’t think so. Perhaps COVID-19 will be somewhat better, but other aspects of the economy will likely be worse. Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged economic forecast, economic growth, fossil fuel supply, oil price
3,373 Comments
Today’s Energy Predicament – A Look at Some Charts
Today’s energy predicament is a strange situation that most modelers have never really considered. Let me explain some of the issues I see, using some charts. [1] It is probably not possible to reduce current energy consumption by 80% or … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications, Introductory Post
Tagged energy demand, low oil price, oil price, peak oil
2,368 Comments