Headed for a Collapsing Debt Bubble

A $1.9 trillion stimulus package was recently signed into law in the United States. Can such a stimulus bill, plus packages passed in other countries, really pull the world economy out of the downturn it has been in since 2020? I don’t think so.

The economy runs on energy, far more than it operates on growing debt. Our energy problems don’t appear to be fixable in the near term, such as six months or a year. Instead, the economy seems to be headed for a collapse of its debt bubble. Eventually, we may see a reset of the world financial system leading to fewer interchangeable currencies, far less international trade and falling production of goods and services. Some governments may collapse.

[1] What Is Debt?

I understand debt to be an indirect promise for future goods and services. These future goods and services can only be created if there are adequate supplies of the right kinds of energy and other materials, in the right places, to make these future goods and services.

I think of debt as being a time-shifting device. Indirectly, it is a promise that the economy will be able to provide as many, or more, goods and services in the future compared to what it does at the time the loan is taken out.

Common sense suggests that it is much easier to repay debt with interest in a growing economy than in a shrinking economy. Carmen Reinhart and Ken Rogoff unexpectedly ran across this phenomenon in their 2008 working paper, This Time Is Different: A Panoramic View of Eight Centuries of Financial Crises. They reported (p. 15), “It is notable that the non-defaulters, by and large, are all hugely successful growth stories.” In other words, their analysis of 800 years of governmental debt showed that default was almost inevitable if a country stopped growing or started shrinking.

The IMF estimates that the world economy shrank by 3.5% in 2020. There are many areas with even worse indications: Euro Area, -7.2%; United Kingdom, -10.0%; India, -8.0%; Mexico, -8.5%; and South Africa, -7.5%. If these situations cannot be turned around quickly, we should expect to see collapsing debt bubbles. Even the US, which shrank by 3.4%, needs a rapid return to growth if it is to keep its debt bubble inflated.

[2] The Inter-Relationship Among (a) Growing Debt, (b) Growing Energy Consumption and a (c) Growing Economy

When we are far from energy limits, growing debt seems to pull the economy along. This is a graphic I put together in 2018, explaining the situation. A small amount of debt is helpful to the system. But, if there gets to be too much debt, both oil prices and interest rates rise, bringing the braking system into action. The bicycle/economy rapidly slows.

Figure 1. The author’s view of the analogy of a speeding upright bicycle and a speeding economy.

Just as a two-wheeled bicycle needs to be going fast enough to stay upright, the economy needs to be growing rapidly enough for debt to do what it is intended to do. It takes energy supply to create the goods and services that the economy depends on.

If oil and other energy products are cheap to produce, their benefit will be widely available. Employers will be able to add more efficient machines, such as bigger tractors. These more efficient machines will act to leverage the human labor of the workers. The economy can grow rapidly, without the use of much debt. Figure 2 shows that the world oil price was $20 per barrel in 2020$, or even less, prior to 1974.

Figure 2. Oil price in 2020 dollars, based on amounts through 2019 in 2019$ from BP’s 2020 Statistical Review of World Energy, the inflationary adjustment from 2019 to 2020 based on CPI Urban prices from the US Department of Labor and the average spot Brent oil price for 2020 based on EIA information.

Figure 3 below shows the historical relationship between the growth in US energy consumption (red line) and the dollar increase in US debt growth required to add a dollar increase in GDP (blue line). This chart calculates ratios for five-year periods because ratios for individual years are unstable.

Figure 3. Comparison of five-year average growth in US energy consumption based on EIA data with five-year average amount of added debt required to add $1 of GDP.

Based on Figure 3, the US average annual growth in energy consumption (red line) generally fell between 1951 and 2020. The quantity of debt that needed to be added to create an additional $1 dollar of GDP (blue line) has generally been rising.

According to Investopedia, Gross domestic product (GDP) is the total monetary or market value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country’s borders in a specific time period. Notice that there is no mention of debt in this definition. If businesses or governments can find a way to make large amounts of credit available to borrowers who are not very credit worthy, it becomes easy to sell cars, motorcycles or homes to buyers who may never repay that debt. If the economy hits turbulence, these marginal buyers are likely to default, causing a collapse in a debt bubble.

[3] Analyzing Energy Consumption Growth, Debt Growth and Economic Growth for Broader Groupings of Years

To get a better idea what is happening with respect to energy growth, debt growth, and GDP growth, I created some broader groupings of years, based primarily on patterns in Figure 2, showing inflation-adjusted oil prices. The following groupings of years were chosen:

  • 1950-1973
  • 1974-1980
  • 1981-2000
  • 2001-2014
  • 2015-2020

Using these groupings of years, I put together charts in which it is easier to see trends.

Figure 4. Average annual increase in energy consumption for period shown based on EIA data versus average increase in real (inflation-adjusted) GDP for the period shown based on data of the US Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Figure 4 shows that for the US, there has been a general downward trend in the annual growth of energy consumption. At same time, real (that is, inflation-adjusted) GDP has been trending downward, but not quite as quickly.

We would expect that lower energy consumption would lead to lower growth in real GDP because it takes energy of the appropriate kinds to make goods and services. For example, it takes oil to ship most goods. It takes electricity to operate computers and keep the lights on. According to the World Coal Association, large quantities of coal are used in producing cement and steel. These are important for construction, such as is planned in stimulus projects around the world.

Also, on Figure 4, the period 1981 to 2000 shows an uptick in both energy consumption growth and real GDP growth. This period corresponds to a period of relatively low oil prices (Figure 2). With lower oil prices, businesses found it affordable to add new devices to leverage human labor, making workers more productive. The growing productivity of workers is at least part of what led to the increased growth in real GDP.

Figure 5. Dollars of additional debt required to add $1 dollar of GDP growth (including inflation), based on data of the US Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Figure 5, above, is disturbing. It strongly suggests that the US economy (and probably a lot of other economies) has needed to add an increasing amount of debt to add $1 of GDP in recent years. This pattern started long before President Biden’s $1.9 trillion stimulus package in 2021.

To make matters worse, GDP growth in Figure 5 has not been reduced to remove the impact of inflation. On average, removing the impact of inflation reduces the above GDP growth by about half. In the period 2015 to 2020, it took about $4.35 of additional debt to add one dollar of GDP growth, including inflation. It would take about double that amount, or $8.70 worth of debt, to create $1.00 worth of inflation-adjusted growth. With such a low return on added debt, it seems unlikely that the $1.9 trillion stimulus package will increase the growth of the economy very much.

[4] Falling interest rates (Figure 6) are a major part of what allowed the rapid growth in debt after 1981 shown in Figure 5.

Figure 6. 10-Year and 3-Month US Treasury Rates through February 2021, in a chart prepared by the Federal Reserve of St. Louis.

Clearly, debt is more affordable if the interest rate is lower. For example, auto loans and home mortgages have lower monthly payments if the interest rate is lower. It is also clear that governments need to spend less of their tax revenue on interest rate payments if interest rates are lower. Changes made by US President Ronald Reagan when he took office 1981 also encouraged the use of more debt.

A major concern with respect to today’s debt bubble is the fact that interest rates are about as low as they can go without going negative. In fact, the interest rate on 10-year Treasury bonds is now 1.72%, which is higher than the February 2021 average rate shown on the chart. As interest rates rise, it becomes more costly to add more debt. As interest rates rise, businesses will be less likely to take on debt in order to expand and hire more workers.

[5] Interest expense is a major expense of governments, businesses, and homeowners everywhere. Energy costs are another major expense of governments, businesses, and homeowners. It makes sense that falling interest rates can partly hide rising energy prices.

A trend toward lower interest rates was needed starting in 1981 because the US could no longer produce large amounts of crude oil that were profitable to sell at less than $20 per barrel, in inflation-adjusted prices. Lower interest rates made adding debt more feasible. This added debt could smooth the transition to an economy that was less dependent on oil, now that it was high-priced. The lower interest rates helped all segments of the economy adjust to the new higher cost of oil and other fuels.

[6] The US experience shows precisely how helpful having a rapidly growing supply of inexpensive to produce oil could be to an economy.

US oil production, excluding Alaska (blue “remainder” in Figure 7), rose rapidly after 1945 but began to decline not long after hitting a peak in 1970. This growing oil production had temporarily provided a huge boost to the US economy.

Figure 7. US crude oil production, based on data of the US Energy Information Administration.

Up until almost 1970, US oil production was rising rapidly. Figure 8 shows that during this period, incomes of both the bottom 90% of workers and the top 10% of workers increased rapidly. Over a period of about 20 years, incomes for both groups grew by about 80%, after adjusting for inflation. On average, workers were about 4% better off each year, with the rapid growth in very inexpensive-to-produce oil, all of which stayed in the US (rather than being exported). US imports of inexpensive-to-produce oil also grew during this period.

Once oil prices were higher, income growth for both the lower 90% and the top 10% slowed. With the changes made starting in 1981, wage disparities quickly started to grow. There suddenly became a need for new, high-tech approaches that used less oil. But these changes were more helpful to the managers and highly educated workers than the bottom 90% of workers.

Figure 8. Chart comparing income gains by the top 10% to income gains by the bottom 90% by economist Emmanuel Saez. Based on an analysis of IRS data, published in Forbes.

[7] Most of the world’s cheap-to-extract oil sources have now been exhausted. Our problem is that the world market cannot get prices to rise high enough for producers to cover all of their expenses, including taxes.

Based on my analysis, the world price of oil would need to be at least $120 per barrel to cover all of the costs it needs to cover. The costs that need to be covered include more items than an oil company would normally include in its costs estimates. The company needs to develop new fields to compensate for the ones that are being exhausted. It needs to pay interest on its debt. It also needs to pay dividends to its shareholders. In the case of shale producers, the price needs to be high enough that production outside of “sweet spots” can be carried on profitably.

For oil exporters, it is especially important that the sales price be high enough so that the government of the oil exporting country can collect adequate tax revenue. Otherwise, the exporting country will not be able to maintain food subsidy programs that the population depends on and public works programs that provide jobs.

[8] The world can add more debt, but it is difficult to see how the debt bubble that is created will really pull the world economy forward rapidly enough to keep the debt bubble from collapsing in the next year or two.

Many models are based on the assumption that the economy can easily go back to the growth rate it had, prior to COVID-19. There are several reasons why this seems unlikely:

  • Many parts of the world economy weren’t really growing very rapidly prior to the pandemic. For example, shopping malls were doing poorly. Many airlines were in financial difficulty. Private passenger auto sales in China reached a peak in 2017 and have declined every year since.
  • At the low oil prices prior to the pandemic, many oil producers (including the US) would need to reduce their production. The 2019 peak in shale production (shown in Figure 7) may prove to be the peak in US oil production because of low prices.
  • Once people became accustomed to working from home, many of them really do not want to go back to a long commute.
  • It is not clear that the pandemic is really going away, now that we have kept it around this long. New mutations keep appearing. Vaccines aren’t 100% effective.
  • As I showed in Figure 5, adding more debt seems to be a very inefficient way of digging the economy out of a hole. What is really needed is a growing supply of oil that can be produced and sold profitably for less than $20 per barrel. Other types of energy need to be similarly inexpensive.

I should note that intermittent wind and solar energy is not an adequate substitute for oil. It is not even an adequate substitute for “dispatchable” electricity production. It is simply an energy product that has been sufficiently subsidized that it can often make money for its producers. It also sounds good, if it is referred to as “clean energy.” Unfortunately, its true value is lower than its cost of production.

[9] What’s Ahead?

I expect that oil prices will rise a bit, but not enough to raise prices to the level producers require. Interest rates will continue to rise as governments around the world attempt more stimulus. With these higher interest rates and higher oil prices, businesses will do less and less well. This will slow the economy enough that debt defaults become a major problem. Within a few months to a year, the worldwide debt bubble will start to collapse, bringing oil prices down by more than 50%. Stock market prices and prices of buildings of all kinds will fall in inflation-adjusted dollars. Many bonds will prove to be worthless. There will be problems with empty shelves in stores and gasoline stations with no products to sell.

People will start to see that while debt is a promise for the equivalent of future goods and services, it is not necessarily the case that those who make the promises will be able to stand behind these promises. Paper wealth generally can be expected to lose its value.

I can imagine a situation, not too many years from now, when countries everywhere will establish new currencies that are not as easily interchangeable with other currencies as today’s currencies are. International trade will dramatically fall. The standard of living of most people will fall precipitously.

I doubt that the new currencies will be electronic currencies. Keeping the electricity on is a difficult task in economies that increasingly need to rely solely on local resources. Electricity may be out for months at a time after an equipment failure or a storm. Having a currency that depends on electricity alone would be a poor idea.

About Gail Tverberg

My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
This entry was posted in Financial Implications. Bookmark the permalink.

3,106 Responses to Headed for a Collapsing Debt Bubble

  1. Mirror on the wall says:

    It is estimated that the overall UK fertility rate has fallen to a record low of 1.6, and could be as low as 1.45 by 2023. It is typically about .1 lower for UK-born women. In any case it stands at about 75% of the replacement level of 2.1, in which case the number of births would fall by half over two generations.

    A back of an envelope calculation suggests that kids of other background would rise from about 40% today to 70% in that span if population levels were flat – in fact they tend to rise. The Office for Budget Responsibility calculates decades in advance the number of wokers that UK Plc. will need to service the structural debt and to grow GDP and TP gets them in.

    > Covid ‘baby bust’ fears as fertility rate falls to record low

    …. The population experts suggest the fertility rate in England and Wales fell to an all-time low of 1.6 children per woman in 2020 , below even the 1.63 seen at the turn of the century before arrivals from the European Union’s new member states increased the birth rate. Under the report’s worst-case scenario, the rate drops to just 1.45 by 2023 as the impact of Covid-19 worsens the existing pattern of falling fertility.

    Researchers studying the impact of a year of lockdown and social restrictions modelled four scenarios for births over the next three years and warned that the pandemic will “depress fertility, particularly among young people”. The CRC weighed up a range of factors from more young people living with parents and barred from socialising since last March, to the impact of some 200,000 postponed weddings, stress of home schooling for existing parents, as well as the fear of potential job losses due to economic uncertainty.

    …. Economists at HSBC have warned of the impact of a shrinking working age population at a time when the UK is taking on hundreds of billions extra in debt to pay for the pandemic. The bank’s economist James Pomeroy said the demographic risks to the UK are “underestimated” and predicted that if fertility rates fell to levels seen in Spain and Italy the population could halve by the end of the decade.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2021/03/26/covid-baby-bust-fears-fertility-rate-falls-record-low/

    • History says that shrinking economies cannot repay debt with interest.

      Part of the problem is that there is no need for new schools, new banks, or new anything else. Overhead grows relative to sales for all businesses.

      Another part of the problem is lack of truly productive jobs. In theory, there are a disproportionately large number of jobs in maintaining existing infrastructure (roads, bridges, wind turbines, solar panels, aircraft, trains and tracks, etc.). But these do not really add value; they simply avoid collapse.

      • Xabier says:

        ‘Overhead grows relative to sales’, etc: the death knell of all civilisations with a complex infrastructure…..

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      “the population could halve by the end of the decade”

      That really would be a population collapse!

      The T is being ever so quaint and avoiding saying that the number of new future workers born into the future workforce would halve. The “population could halve” indeed!

      Yes, western capitalism, victorious in WWII, needs more ever kids even while material conditions reduce the fertility rate, but there is an easy solution to that.

    • NomadicBeer says:

      And this is again how history repeats itself. Estimates of the population of the western Roman empire shows that population dropped to as little as 5% in a couple of centuries. There was a lot of population replacement too (mostly germans from the North) which explains why there are so few dark Italians or French (Romans were quite dark).

      I see the same process at work here and the good news is that darker skin is better adapted to more UV radiation (due to the destruction of the ozone layer) and hotter/sunnier climates (due to climate change).

      Sometimes is just amazing to be a witness to sweeping historical changes.

      • Duncan Idaho says:

        Rome had a population of over a million people.
        No city reached that population again until London in the 1700’s.

      • Xabier says:

        I’d happily swap the grand sweeping changes for being like my garden frogs, happy in their little stagnant pond, generation after generation, and the blackbirds, finches and pigeons who nest in my trees, even the worms leading their wormy lives out of sight……

      • Mirror on the wall says:

        Rome itself did have substantial autosomal change in the late antique period. Change continued through the Medieval and early modern periods. (Italy has distinct regional populations, as do other countries).

        > Ancient Rome: A genetic crossroads of Europe and the Mediterranean

        …. The average ancestry of the Late Antique individuals (n = 24) shifts away from the Near East and toward modern central European populations in PCA (Fig. 3D). Formally, they can be modeled as a two-way mixture of the preceding Imperial individuals and 38 to 41% ancestry from a late Imperial period individual from Bavaria or modern Basque individuals (table S24). The precise identity of the source populations and the admixture fractions should not be interpreted literally , given the simplified admixture model assumed and the lack of data for most contemporaneous ancient populations (7). This ancestry shift is also reflected in ChromoPainter results by the drastic shrinkage of the Near Eastern cluster (C4), maintenance of the two Mediterranean clusters (C5 and C6), and marked expansion of the European cluster (C7) (Fig. 4C).

        This shift may have arisen from reduced contacts with the eastern Mediterranean, increased gene flow from Europe, or both, facilitated by a drastic reduction in Rome’s population in this period to less than 100,000 individuals, due to conflicts and epidemics (1, 3)….

        The genetic impact of Lombard settlement in northern Italy has been shown previously in individuals in Collegno during this time (35). Our data show that this impact potentially extended to Rome…. Five of the seven individuals from this site are classified into the European cluster (C7) (Fig. 4 and fig. S17) and can be modeled as a mixture of the preceding Roman Imperial population and individuals from the Lombard-associated cemeteries in Collegno and Hungary (table S28).

        In the Medieval and early modern periods (n = 28 individuals), we observe an ancestry shift toward central and northern Europe in PCA (Fig. 3E), as well as a further increase in the European cluster (C7) and loss of the Near Eastern and eastern Mediterranean clusters (C4 and C5) in ChromoPainter (Fig. 4C). The Medieval population is roughly centered on modern-day central Italians (Fig. 3F). It can be modeled as a two-way combination of Rome’s Late Antique population and a European donor population, with potential sources including many ancient and modern populations in central and northern Europe: Lombards from Hungary, Saxons from England, and Vikings from Sweden, among others (table S26).

        This shift is consistent with the growing ties between Medieval Rome and mainland Europe. Rome was incorporated into the Holy Roman Empire (3), which spanned much of central and western Europe. The Normans expanded from northern France to a number of regions, including Sicily and the southern portion of the Italian Peninsula (and even sacked the city of Rome in 1084), where they established the Kingdom of Sicily (3, 36). Additionally, after the independence of Papal States, they remained closely (and sometimes contentiously) connected with the Holy Roman Empire, and Rome’s role as a central place in the Roman Catholic Church brought people from across Europe, and eventually beyond, to Italy (3).

        https://science.sciencemag.org/content/366/6466/708

  2. European Court of Human Rights rules obligatory vaccination may be necessary

    The ruling is the first time the European Court of Human Rights has weighed in on the issue of compulsory vaccinations. The ruling could play a role in efforts to end the COVID-19 pandemic.

    The European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) in Strasbourg ruled Thursday that compulsory vaccinations would not contravene human rights law and may be necessary in democratic societies.

    The ruling came following conclusion of a complaint brought to the court by Czech families regarding compulsory jabs for children.

    “The measures could be regarded as being ‘necessary in a democratic society,'” the court judgment read.

    Although the ruling did not deal directly with COVID-19 vaccines, experts believe it could have implications for the vaccination drive against the virus, especially for those who have so far stated a refusal to accept the jab.

    This judgment “reinforces the possibility of a compulsory vaccination under conditions of the current COVID-19 epidemic,” Nicolas Hervieu, a legal expert specializing in the ECHR, told AFP news agency.

    What was the court ruling about?
    The decision said that the compulsory vaccines administered by Czech health authorities were in line with the “best interests” of children.

    “The objective has to be that every child is protected against serious diseases, through vaccination or by virtue of herd immunity,” it added.
    https://www.dw.com/en/echr-rules-obligatory-vaccination-may-be-necessary/a-57128443

    • I can imagine rulings requiring unwanted vaccines could lead to overthrown governments.

      • Dennis L. says:

        It may be more social pressure, my friends are being vaccinated, join for find a new group.

        Have encountered another gentleman, same age as mine, seventies, had the disease, recovered, took the vaccine so he and his teacher could travel via planes to dance competitions without issue .

        Two different reasons for vaccination, only one secondary to government edict.

        Dennis L.

        • Or distant family members want to get together and expect everyone to be vaccinated.

          Also, long term effects become less of an issue for those who are already fairly advanced in age.

    • Azure Kingfisher says:

      “Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron’s cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience. They may be more likely to go to Heaven yet at the same time likelier to make a Hell of earth. This very kindness stings with intolerable insult. To be ‘cured’ against one’s will and cured of states which we may not regard as disease is to be put on a level of those who have not yet reached the age of reason or those who never will; to be classed with infants, imbeciles, and domestic animals.”

      ― C.S. Lewis, God in the Dock: Essays on Theology (Making of Modern Theology)

      • NomadicBeer says:

        Azure, even worse – the sociopaths are using the “useful idiots” as enforcers for this tyranny. How many doctors, policeman, teachers think they are doing the right thing by enforcing the edicts of the oligarchs? That is why they will never listen to our pleas for mercy – they are certain it is for our own good.

        Behind the scenes, the actual leaders know the truth and they laugh.

        • Azure Kingfisher says:

          It is incredible, isn’t it? In a recent virtual meeting, one of my coworkers asked another coworker whether he had “said anything to anyone yet,” referring to the practice of walking up to people in public to remind them to put their masks on. My coworker smiled with pride and satisfaction as she told the rest of us that she’d been routinely doing this in her local area.

          I’m coming to the conclusion that for the vast majority of people there is no higher authority than the news media. Some choose to worship before the television set, others before the computer screen, and others before the radio.
          I see within my own little sphere of the US an unfortunate number of people who have no higher authority in their lives than the “experts” that are endlessly speaking to them through their various electronic devices. These unfortunate people have no imagination and no desire to seek truth and wisdom outside the Overton window. They don’t have the ability to perceive and connect to anything greater than the various decaying manmade systems we talk about here on Our Finite World (e.g. political, economic, technological, etc.).

          What happens when the “experts” spend all day everyday presenting mortally terrifying “news” to a society of secular materialists?

          When I reflect on courage, and the notion that there are greater forces in this universe, or that which is greater than my own individual mortal coil, I often keep coming back to this particular quote:

          “I feel myself driven towards an end that I do not know. As soon as I shall have reached it, as soon as I shall become unnecessary, an atom will suffice to shatter me. Till then, not all the forces of mankind can do anything against me.”
          – Napoleon Bonaparte

          Ultimately, nature, the universe, or God, if you prefer, decides. Still, that doesn’t mean you’re entirely absolved of personal responsibility and free will. For example, voluntarily taking an experimental elixir because you’ve been seduced by “experts” who’ve appealed to your base fears could bring you further along the path to becoming “unnecessary” in the eyes of nature, the universe, or God. 😉

      • Interesting. I had never heard that before:

        “To be ‘cured’ against one’s will and cured of states which we may not regard as disease is to be put on a level of those who have not yet reached the age of reason or those who never will; to be classed with infants, imbeciles, and domestic animals.”

        Since of course they are right, there is no problem with what they are doing.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Goy = cattle (or common barnyard animal)

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Basically the Elders see humans as I do… DelusiSTANIS … same Goy…. same barnyard animals… same MORE on… same Re tar Ded moreon…

          I could party with the Elders…. lots in common

    • Robert Firth says:

      Since its inception, the purpose of the European Court of Human Rights has been not to uphold the social contract but to destroy it. No surprise here.

  3. Tim Groves says:

    This video, from the same lady, is on Canada’s new PR campaign to increase vaccine uptake.

    The government of Canada and its paid shills continually say one of their biggest priorities is to “build vaccine confidence in communities so that everyone can make an informed decision on vaccination”. This is something repeated by doctors, scientists, and politicians alike. When you hear that statement, what do you imagine them doing to help people come to an “informed decision”?

    Would you have guessed it’s to pay people hundreds of thousands of dollars to find the best way to manipulate you? That’s right, it’s not to inform you about the potentially dangerous blood clots caused by the AstraZeneca vaccine or the fact that getting vaccinated doesn’t protect you or others from getting or transmitting Covid-19, it’s to lie and trick you. Let me say that again, the government’s idea of helping you make an informed decision is paying people to trick you into doing what they want you to do. When you have a friend like the government, who needs enemies.

    https://youtu.be/ntYdAvltNOM

  4. Tim Groves says:

    Another major point against facemasks—they’re a turn off for hot chicks. Maybe that’s the point.

    • D. Stevens says:

      Face masks gross me out and give me anxiety, I have big anxiety around doctors/exams and feel it’s related plus it’s harder to read peoples faces now. My boyfriend has been more pro-mask, pro-vax, than me which has been causing some friction. He’s getting his 2nd shot soon and keeps asking when I will. I’m too young and healthy to even qualify to get it in my state even if I wanted to. I’m trying to avoid the subject and hope this news cycle ends soon, starting to feel nostalgia for the 2008 financial crash and Iraq war. Those were simpler more innocent times.

      • Ed says:

        “Those were simpler more innocent times.” So true.

      • Xabier says:

        Governments are clearly relying on ‘partner pressure’ to increase injection rates: stick to your guns, as it sounds as though you are at no real risk of serious consequences from Covid.

        I find myself somewhat nostalgic for the 1980’s – a great surprise!

      • Spouses run into the difficulty as well. My husband got the Moderna vaccine.

        • Azure Kingfisher says:

          Gail, you’ve mentioned your husband teaches at a university, if I’m not mistaken. Has the school implemented vaccine requirements for people on campus?

          • No. Georgia wouldn’t be a likely state for a vaccine requirement.

            My husband is teaching online now, and at one time thought he would be teaching in the classroom as soon as this fall. It turns out he will still be still be teaching on line this fall. (He only teaches part time.) But he is on the board of several groups he is interested in, and some of them meet in person. And we do a lot of things some might consider risky (travel, visit stores and the gym, eat out).

            As a person might expect of an academic, my husband tends to go with whatever the medical community seems to recommend.

            • Azure Kingfisher says:

              “And we do a lot of things some might consider risky (travel, visit stores and the gym, eat out).”

              You know, I can still remember a time when the above sentence wouldn’t have made any sense.

              I’m in California and just read the news regarding the CSU system (23 schools):

              “California State University will not require employees and students at its 23 campuses, including CSU East Bay and San Jose State, to be vaccinated against COVID-19 this fall.

              “Its decision comes as a small but growing number of colleges and universities are announcing plans to mandate vaccines to restore a sense of pre-pandemic normalcy this fall – but face political and legal challenges.

              “Other Bay Area campuses – including Stanford, Santa Clara and University of California at Berkeley and Santa Cruz – are considering their options and have not yet announced their plans. While UC Davis doesn’t mandate vaccines, it is now offering shots to anyone age 16 or older, including out-of-towners, a week ahead of the state’s timeline.

              “But CSU campuses may require specific populations of students, such as athletes and dorm residents, to be vaccinated, added spokesman Michael Uhlenkamp. These policies would vary from campus to campus.”

              https://www.mercurynews.com/2021/04/08/covid-19-vaccines-encouraged-but-not-required-at-csu-next-fall/

      • I’ve become agoraphobic since this whole thing started. I cannot stand to see everyone masked.. it sets off distress signals in my head: “somethingwrong.somethingwrong.somethingwrong.somethingwrong”. It’s like a car alarm that won’t stop going off.

        Once the masks became a thing, I was talking with what I’d now call a “normie zealot”, noting this distress, and she said, “oh no.. it makes me feel safe to see everyone with masks.”

        I can’t help but think I must be physically wired differently from her, since I cannot shake this bad feeling no matter how much I try to ignore it and go about doing necessary errands like going to the post office without a sick, nauseated, feeling in my stomach.

  5. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Ballooning global debts need to be restructured before it is too late… The world is in a monstrous fiscal bind…

    “I suspect that global debt ratios have passed a point of no return. At some juncture two or three big beasts will get into trouble at the same time and trouble will spread.”

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2021/04/08/ballooning-global-debts-need-restructured-late/

    • Harry McGibbs says:

      “Underneath the global economic recovery lurks concerns about debt that have intensified through the pandemic, including a lack of transparency around the debt and its conditions, as well as the risks building up outside of the banking sector…

      “While the unprecedented amount of fiscal stimulus pumped into the global economy last year averted a debt crisis, economists at a virtual briefing suggested it was too early to sound an all-clear, especially amid concerns some countries may not be able to grow fast enough to deal with their burgeoning debt levels.”

      https://www.barrons.com/articles/debt-risk-lurks-under-uneven-global-recovery-heres-where-the-imf-is-looking-51617749342

    • The problem is that on the opposite side of almost every debt is some organization expecting to be receiving funds from this “investment.” If restructuring only pushes off the due date, this can sort of be temporarily hidden, at least in theory. But if the debt is completely cancelled (which it really needs to be), then the pension fund or insurance company can’t pay those expecting its benefits, and banks can’t pay their depositors.

      The fundamental problem is that the number of good and services available in the future is likely to be smaller, not larger. All of the debt outstanding is intended to divide up an ever growing amount of goods and services.

  6. Harry McGibbs says:

    “India joins the money printers:

    “QE – once the preserve of reserve currency central banks, is now becoming pretty mainstream. India yesterday joined the ranks of Indonesia and the Philippines in Asia who have dabbled with this policy.”

    https://think.ing.com/opinions/india-joins-the-money-printers/

  7. MG says:

    In Slovakia, The Johnson&Johnson vaccine is going to be used firstly for vaccinating elderly living in remote places of the country:

    https://domov.sme.sk/c/22633502/su-stari-nevladni-a-chcu-sa-zaockovat-vakcina-johnsonjohnson-pride-za-nimi.html?ref=trz

  8. Harry McGibbs says:

    “The Trump-era order Biden is using to turn away most migrants: Title 42, invoked last year amid COVID pandemic, allows US to immediately return adults and families at the border…

    “In February alone, US authorities sent more than 72,000 people back across the southern border.”

    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/4/7/the-trump-era-rule-biden-is-using-to-turn-asylum-seekers-away

  9. 4 months of suboptimal immunity in between shots is a Geert Vanden Bossche
    nightmare scenario.

    OTTAWA—Most Canadians are still waiting for their first coveted COVID-19 vaccine shot, but there’s no rush for the second one, says a federal vaccine advisory panel.

    The National Advisory Committee on Immunization (NACI) said Wednesday it is sticking to a recommendation that allows provinces to delay the second COVID-19 vaccine shot by up to four months.

    Because vaccine supplies are still limited in Canada, the panel said it’s better to get more first doses into more arms to have broader population-level protection than to only slightly boost individual protection with an earlier second dose.

    NACI chair Dr. Caroline Quach-Thanh told reporters that as vaccine supplies increase in Canada, the gap can be shortened to two or two-and-a-half months or less, including for specific populations who might need an earlier second shot to increase their antibody responses.

    “A second dose should be provided as soon as possible once all eligible population groups have access to a first dose. The priority goes to the highest-risk individuals of serious illnesses or risk of death due to COVID-19,” she said.

    While some other countries have allowed a three-month interval between doses, Canada appears to be the only country to extend that time to up to four months.

    But the expert panel concluded the benefits of quicker, broader population protection right now warrants giving provinces the flexibility to delay booster shots. It might even produce better immunity in the long run, they suggested.
    https://www.thestar.com/politics/federal/2021/04/07/covid-19-vaccinations-remain-safe-at-4-month-intervals-expert-panel-says.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

    • I have a hard time imagining that this delay is a big deal. There is never full immunity. The immunity varies by vaccine and how long it has been from both the first and second dose or from the illness itself. Most people around the world have zero doses of vaccine.

      Over the long term, viruses will “win.” So will bacteria. So will weeds and unwanted insects. We kid ourselves thinking that we can overcome other biological species that we don’t like, but we really can’t. We would sort of have a chance at it, if very, very cheap to extract energy sources could be extracted indefinitely in the future, but we know this is impossible. The question is how soon we will reach this limit with this virus.

    • Yorchichan says:

      In the UK the delay from 1st to 2nd shot is up to 12 weeks. Maybe one shot is enough to destroy people’s immune system, so it’s important to get that first shot in to as many people as possible before the adverse events become too many to deny, or before it becomes obvious that our freedoms are not coming back however many pricks we agree to.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        It’s like the doctor prescribing antibiotics and saying take them for a couple of days … then stop for 2 weeks … then finish the course…

  10. Yoshua says:

    For just to breath…we need a spiral galaxy with a black hole in its centre that consumes stars.
    For other activities we need a little bit more energy.

    Pharao!

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EyO-WtrWYAMskbO?format=jpg&name=medium

  11. davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

    some people have died with a push from covid.
    some people have died from side effects of lockdowns.
    some people have died directly from the vaccines.

    the global population continues to rise by about 200,000 per day.

    • Tim Groves says:

      Yeah, but now, if we do a really great job on new vaccines, health care, reproductive health services, we could lower that by, perhaps, 10 or 15 percent (smirk, wink, smirk again).

      • James Speaks says:

        In 2007, in a Rolling Stone interview, James Lovelock said, “With hardship and mass migrations will come epidemics, which are likely to kill millions. By 2100, Lovelock believes, the Earth’s population will be culled from today’s 6.6 billion to as few as 500 million, with most of the survivors living in the far latitudes – Canada, Iceland, Scandinavia, the Arctic Basin.”

        He attributes the excess deaths to global climate change – specifically the desertification of the mid-latitudes.

        COVID-19 merely helps kill off the old people before heat or famine have a chance. It’s been said that there is a 99.8% likelihood that COVID-19 was made in a lab; if so, expect COVID-21 to be incrementally more lethal.

        • Kowalainen says:

          Isn’t covid 19 the worst eugenics botch job in the history of mankind?

          1. The population is still growing
          2. Strong-arming and squeezing halfwit narrative peddlers until incoherent oozing piles falls out their rear exit
          3. Perpetual dullard master suppression techniques

          This is clearly a dingleberry idea scooped out of a lobotomized lizards rectal ejecta and flung onto to the wall. Not much stuck, except the stink of it. Indeed it is:

          AMATEUR HOUR EUGENICS

          Perpetrated by

          HALFWIT MUPPETS

          While not comprehending anything about evolutionary processes. Cuz galaxy sized egos are too busy with their own suck to figure out subtle nuances like how to run things competently.

          I’m in the Lovelock camp. The problem will “take care” of itself. The only question worthy of asking if it is in our interest to continue the evolutionary process of mankind or not.

          As the unofficial spokesperson on Mother Earth, I can safely assure you that She will easily outlast any halfwit rapacious primates, space lizards and alien blue faces.

          EASILY

          Warcraft or Starcraft? Your call.

          As for me and big mama Earth: Whatever…

          🥱

          • jj says:

            Prototyping always reveals flaws. The data created is the valuable part not the prototype.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Ya and the oceans were supposed to be 5 metres higher by 2020.

    • D. Stevens says:

      Are population numbers accurate or are they based off models from 50 years ago when boomers were being born which have been extrapolated without double checking? The population of West Virginia listed as 1.8 million but their largest city, Charleston, has a population of less than 50,000. I added up all the cities and towns in and it’s <1 million people. I suppose the other 800,000+ are hiding out in the woods or numbers are incorrect.

  12. Advances in Targeted Delivery and the Future of Bioweapons
    https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.2968/066001004

    • Thanks! This is an article from 2010, written by a female researcher in Germany. It clearly demonstrates at this point that people were thinking about the two-sided nature of the research that was being done.

    • Kowalainen says:

      Get a goodamn air purifier at home. IKEA got cheapo ones with hepa filters. That pack of FFP3 respirators could come in handy if coof V2.0, aka Kraken 2.0, would evolve/be released out the current eugenics botch job.

  13. The US is worried about its critical minerals supply chains – essential for electric vehicles, wind power and the nation’s defense

    When U.S. companies build military weapons systems, electric vehicle batteries, satellites and wind turbines, they rely heavily on a few dozen “critical minerals” – many of which are mined and refined almost entirely by other countries. Building a single F-35A fighter jet, for example, requires at least 920 pounds of rare earth elements that come primarily from China.

    That level of dependence on imports worries the U.S. government.

    Natural disasters, civil unrest, trade disputes and company failures can all disrupt a mineral supply chain and the many products that depend on it – making many critical minerals a national security priority.

    The U.S. has increased its strategic planning and investment in reliable supply chains in recent years, particularly as China has moved to increase control over critical mineral exports, but the U.S.‘s own mining and recycling of these minerals is still small. This is due in part to how environmentally destructive and polluting many mining and processing operations can be, but also because policy measures are only recently being explored and funded. The U.S. now has a review underway of critical mineral supply chains, and the Department of Energy recently pledged up to US$30 million, on top of funding included in the December pandemic aid package and a 2020 support package for mining.

    The question policy experts like ourselves are exploring is how best to provide sustainable and secure critical mineral supply chains in a way that limits environmental damage and promotes good governance.

    The list: 35 critical minerals
    Critical minerals earn their name from their vital role in products Americans rely on every day.

    Over the last 60 years, the U.S. has doubled the number of these minerals it is 100% reliant on other countries to provide. Of the 35 critical minerals identified by the U.S. in 2018, 28 are at least 50% imported.

    The U.S. critical minerals list has changed since it was first created by the U.S. Geological Survey in 1973. Many of the same minerals are there, including rare earth elements and lithium, but their relative importance in 1973 was for petroleum refining and making glass, among other goods.
    https://news.yahoo.com/us-worried-critical-minerals-supply-122847341.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw&tsrc=twtr

  14. Rodster says:

    JMG’s latest blog post deals with Peak Oil but his take on PO seems to be more of a supply issue first vs an economic/debt problem.

    https://www.ecosophia.net/a-sense-of-deja-vu/

    • I think JMG makes a good point about renewables making fossil fuels more affordable. They certainly make electricity more affordable, the way they are generally priced in the US. (In the US, electricity burns mostly coal and natural gas.) Of course, the overall electricity system goes downhill more quickly with the low prices. The addition of ethanol to the gasoline supply helped stretch the US’s fuel supply as well.

      He doesn’t see the current oil prices as being too low for the system, perhaps because that is not the part of the system he is looking at. On the other hand, perhaps there is at least some chance that the system can hang on for quite a while longer, as he says.

      None of us can see the whole picture perfectly.

      • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

        he sees oil prices as ever rising, so he hasn’t been paying much attention to the fact that these prices have stayed well below the 2011-2014 bumpy plateau of about $120 in today’s dollars.

        that’s a blind spot, since it’s going on 7 years now, and he may not be realizing that the $100 ish prices back then are now in that $120 area.

        now it’s a half price sale on oil, but he doesn’t see it.

        of course it’s possible that he could be right in his guess that oil prices will spike soon, since supply disruptions and/or cutbacks always can be right around the corner, but he’s just guessing.

        this article is definitely deja vu, since he’s covered most of his thoughts on this subject many times before.

        he gives no clue that he knows that diminishing net (surplus) energy is a force driving down demand, and that this energy issue will only make oil less affordable over time.

        it’s still a fairly good article that emphasizes that FFs are finite and that IC therefore must decline at some point.

        • NomadicBeer says:

          David said: “this article is definitely deja vu, since he’s covered most of his thoughts on this subject many times before.”

          That is my beef with JMG. Starting last year he refused to change his ideas about the future despite the huge changes going on in the world. Note that this year for the first time in a decade or so, he did not make predictions or evaluate his predictions from last year.
          He still thinks the managerial classes and the socialism is the problem (no mention of the oligarchs).
          He expects another populist in US in 2024 while I think it’s obvious the election system has been “fixed” so only the approved candidates can ever win.

    • Jarle says:

      JMG is a firm believer in history repeating himself = we won’t see collapse, just good old slow decline.

      • People like to hear this story too. It is better for preppers who are starting work on planting a garden and doing a few small things.

      • NomadicBeer says:

        But his own theory of catabolic collapse describes a stair step decline, exactly like we saw last year.
        And yet he ignores that completely and continues to talk about the woke and the coming high prices of oil.

        I don’t understand, but like Gail says below, it could be better for business to predict the past. Like someone famous said, people don’t like “news” they like “olds”.

  15. MG says:

    Thank you very much, it is a very comprehensive video. It shows that calcidol is a ready to use form of vitamin D, although prescription only, that clearly demonstrated the benefits of vitamin D in the cases of Covid-19.

  16. Britain’s top modeling agency says Most people hospitalised in the third wave are expected to have received two doses of a vaccine

    New modelling shows worrying details about a “highly likely” third wave of Covid-19 this year.

    The modelling was presented to the UK’s top scientific advisory body Sage by one of its sub groups, the respected Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational (SPI-M-O).

    This committee of academics has done modelling work throughout the pandemic and has looked at the impact vaccination will have on hospital admissions, infections and deaths.

    Its findings suggest that a third wave is inevitable but that the size of the spike in cases depends on the effectiveness of vaccines, the speed at which restrictions are eased and the impact new variants have on transmission and illness.

    It suggests that the resurgence in both hospitalisations and deaths will be “dominated by those that have received two doses of the vaccine”.
    https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/vaccine-third-wave-coronavirus-modelling-20328025

  17. Detroit will send workers door-to-door to urge residents to get the COVID-19 vaccine

    (WWJ) The city of Detroit, still struggling with the coronavirus, plans to send workers door-to-door to encourage residents to get the vaccine.

    The Detroit City Council has approved a $1.2 million contract with Detroit Employment Solutions to hire over 50 people. Officials will also work with nonprofits, similar to the door-to-door effort for the census.

    Detroit Mayor Duggan’s executive assistant, Vicki Kovari, says this is an all-out effort to battle COVID-19 in the city.

    “We’re hoping to get started by the end of April,” she told WWJ Newsradio 950’s Sandra McNeill. “And the first stage of this canvassing we will knock on every residential door in the city of Detroit; approximately 220,000 doors.”

    The effort comes after Mayor Duggan on Monday warned of skyrocketing COVID rates in the city.

    The number of people in the hospital, he said, has tripled in two weeks; while the city’s vaccination rate is just 21% — well below the statewide average.
    https://www.audacy.com/wwjnewsradio/news/local/detroit-will-send-workers-door-to-door-to-urge-vaccinations

    • Jarle says:

      Imagine an illness so bad that you have to beg people to “protect” themselves …

      • NomadicBeer says:

        Exactly, the disease is so horrible that even constant panic on TV cannot convince people to vaccinate.

        In general I have little hope for humanity but when I see people ignoring the propaganda, I smile and think that maybe we have a chance…

      • Fast Eddy says:

        I hear the beatings improve morale… why not use that tactic to make people love the vax…

  18. SARS-CoV-2 spike protein interactions with amyloidogenic proteins: Potential clues to neurodegeneration

    The post-infection of COVID-19 includes a myriad of neurologic symptoms including neurodegeneration. Protein aggregation in brain can be considered as one of the important reasons behind the neurodegeneration. SARS-CoV-2 Spike S1 protein receptor binding domain (SARS-CoV-2 S1 RBD) binds to heparin and heparin binding proteins. Moreover, heparin binding accelerates the aggregation of the pathological amyloid proteins present in the brain. In this paper, we have shown that the SARS-CoV-2 S1 RBD binds to a number of aggregation-prone, heparin binding proteins including Aβ, α-synuclein, tau, prion, and TDP-43 RRM. These interactions suggests that the heparin-binding site on the S1 protein might assist the binding of amyloid proteins to the viral surface and thus could initiate aggregation of these proteins and finally leads to neurodegeneration in brain. The results will help us to prevent future outcomes of neurodegeneration by targeting this binding and aggregation process.
    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7988450/

    • This is a recently published peer-reviewed article by two authors in India. It is another document which discusses ” SARS-CoV-2 Spike S1″ and its potential role in neurodegeneration.

      It doesn’t sound like something a person would want in a vaccine.

  19. Hospital blamed over women’s death from heart inflammation after vaccination

    The family of a young Israeli woman who died of heart inflammation after being vaccinated against COVID-19 has blamed the hospital where she was treated for her death.

    Shirel Hilel, 22, received her second vaccine dose two weeks ago, her sister Nofar told Channel 13 news, in a segment aired Thursday evening. She later reported feeling unwell and said she was experiencing muscle pain.

    “I told her, ‘take [a pain killer]. No help? Tomorrow go to the doctor,’” Nofar said.

    However, Hilel’s condition worsened and she began to have difficulty breathing and pains in her chest and was taken to Safed’s Ziv Medical Center.

    At the hospital, Hilel was diagnosed with myocarditis, inflammation of the heart muscle, which boyfriend Eyal said the doctor compared to a swollen shoulder.

    “I said okay, three, four days or a week. I’ll be with her as much as needed,” he said.
    https://www.timesofisrael.com/hospital-blamed-over-womens-death-from-heart-inflammation-after-vaccination/

    • Rodster says:

      And they are going after the Hospital because the vaccine makers have been given indemnity. I guess we’ll start seeing more of that as the injury and death cases pile up.

  20. Do Vampire-Like Proteins Make Coronavirus More Contagious?

    The virus causing the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, SARS-CoV-2, has spread far more quickly than any other coronavirus in recorded history. Why is it so contagious? One possibility is that its spike protein is better at breaking into human cells because it contains a part that resembles a proteinaceous infectious particle, or ‘prion’.

    Prions are self-replicating proteins that cause infectious brain diseases. They have misfolded structures and, like zombies that turns people into more zombies, a prion that comes into contact with its normal form will prompt that protein to adopt an abnormal shape too, triggering a chain reaction. Zombie proteins then accumulate to form aggregates of toxic fibres that kill neurones. Nearby cells clear those fibres but leave behind holes to turn tissue to sponge, as in Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (mad cow disease) and Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease in humans.

    Some proteins don’t self-propagate but do have folding properties that make them prion-like, as in neurodegenerative conditions such as Alzheimer’s disease, whose symptoms include toxic fibres in neural tissue. Prion-like ‘misfolding’ of proteins can even be beneficial, maintaining long-term memory.

    “In addition to the pathological role of prions, recent studies demonstrate that protein misfolding plays a very important and very particular physiological role in different organisms,” says Dr George Tetz of the Human Microbiology Institute, who has studied protein misfolding in millions of microbes, including viruses.

    Prion-like proteins are analogous to vampires in popular culture, which are able to quickly switch their appearance between human and vampire. A prion-like region or ‘domain’ in a protein can confer the ability to change from one shape or ‘conformation’ to another. “One of the distinguishing characteristics of prion-like domains is their ability to very rapidly shift between multiple conformations,” Tetz explains.
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/jvchamary/2020/04/17/prion-like-coronavirus/?sh=6b6f859c4680

    • This is from Forbes! It is a fairly main-line business magazine. I wouldn’t expect medical articles in Forbes.

      I notice that this is about COVID-19, not the vaccines.

      • NomadicBeer says:

        Gail, I think this is the start of a new trend – they will blame the virus for the deaths caused by the vaccine.
        Straightforward, predictable and I bet it will work.

  21. Hopes that life may soon be back to normal were dashed by Boris Johnson this week when he indicated that restrictions would remain in place to prevent a deadly third coronavirus wave. Predictably, the announcement relied on unduly pessimistic modelling, which suggested a full release from lockdown in June could trigger a new wave of hospital admissions every bit as bad as the January peak and result in up to 59,900 deaths…
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/04/06/government-models-warning-third-wave-based-flawed-figures-telegraph/

    Buried in the summary: “The resurgence in hospitalisations and deaths is dominated by those that have received two doses of the vaccine.”
    Yes, you did read that correctly. Third wave deaths will predominantly be driven by people who have been vaccinated

    https://twitter.com/tesssummers98/status/1379685013281722369

  22. Theo says:

    Twitter comment from a young Welsh woman with little formal education but with a lot of native, rare sense:

    So i quit smoking, quit drugs, quit heavy drinking and lost almost half my body weight and to reward me, I’m being told that i can only be a member of society if i take part in a drug trial? What was the point in looking after my health if they want me to jeopardise all that
    ———————
    Just losing all that weight so that she is no longer part of the obesity statistics is amazing.

  23. Theo says:

    Young woman’s comment on Twitter:

    26 weeks pregnant today, healthy as a horse, totally normal BMI, and was offered the covid shot at my prenatal visit

    In 3 months we’ve gone from “don’t give it to pregnant women” to “benefit may outweigh risk for some high risk pregnant women” to “offer it to every single pregnant woman”
    ——————
    Pure medical evil . . .

    • A young woman I know who is planning to have a baby was told by her doctor to get the vaccine as soon as she can, even if she is pregnant.

    • Jarle says:

      It’s a sad sad world …

    • I saw a screenshot of a social media site (sorry, don’t have the link to hand) where a number of women were talking about changes to their periods (mostly heavier bleeding) after having gotten the experimental gene therapy, one woman talking about having bleeding even though she was using a birth control pill that suppressed her periods. Anecdotal, but it didn’t sound very good… These are the kind of reactions that are not likely to get reported officially, although they could indicate something unpleasant going on.

  24. Dennis L. says:

    I know many of you are skeptics regarding AI; I am not a wild eyed optimist, but advances are being made. The linked article is to a publication some of you may find interesting, subscription is free.

    https://www.aimagazine.com/top10/top-10-ai-technology-trends-2021?utm_source=Newsletter+AI+Magazine&utm_campaign=f39d56f876-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2021_04_05_12_48&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_9ca519c3bc-f39d56f876-410729114&mc_cid=f39d56f876&mc_eid=fee5716e75

    Dennis L.

    • Rodster says:

      I am not a skeptic. Stephen Hawking, Elon Musk have warned about the advancement of AI. When we get to SAI, it’s GAME OVER. Glenn Beck had a program about this and I do believe it is possible.

      https://www.glennbeck.com/2018/01/15/our-final-invention-warns-that-artificial-intelligence-could-end-human-life/

      • NomadicBeer says:

        As someone on the fringes of AI development, I think it’s a mixed picture. AI is a great gift to authoritarian governments – the pattern matching technologies allow them to detect anybody that does not conform.

        But the way AI is presented is completely wrong and a ridiculous fantasy. Do you remember Arthur C. Clarke comparing the phone networks to a brain? AI is as close to thinking as a phone network is to a brain.

        I can see why our overlords will try to present AI as “progress”. They do the same with everything that allows them to control us.

        As for the top 10 list, most of them have been sold as just around the corner since the 60s.

        https://www.aitrends.com/ai-insider/machine-learning-ultra-brittleness-and-object-orientation-poses-the-case-of-ai-self-driving-cars/

        • Azure Kingfisher says:

          I’m reminded now of a short story Robert Firth mentioned some months ago: “The Machine Stops,” by E. M. Forster, published in 1909.

          An excerpt, pages 36-37:

          “The second great development was the re-establishment of religion… Those who had long worshipped silently, now began to talk. They described the strange feeling of peace that came over them when they handled the Book of the Machine, the pleasure that it was to repeat certain numerals out of it, however little meaning those numerals conveyed to the outward ear, the ecstasy of touching a button, however unimportant, or of ringing an electric bell, however superfluously.
          “‘The Machine,’ they exclaimed, ‘feeds us and clothes us and houses us; through it we speak to one another, through it we see one another, in it we have our being. The Machine is the friend of ideas and the enemy of superstition: the Machine is omnipotent, eternal; blessed be the Machine.’ And before long this allocution was printed on the first page of the Book, and in subsequent editions the ritual swelled into a complicated system of praise and prayer. The word ‘religion’ was sedulously avoided, and in theory the Machine was still the creation and the implement of man. But in practice all, save a few retrogrades, worshipped it as divine…”

          • JMS says:

            The wise Eugéne Delacroix on progress:

            “I think that, after the experiences which have been staring us in the face for the past year, we can say that all progess must necessarily bring not an even greater progress, but in the end the negation of progress, a return to the point where we started. The history of humankind is there to prove it; but the blind faith of this generation and the preceding one in modern ideas, in the coming of some era of humanity that should bring complete change, [. . .] this bizarre faith that nothing in prior centuries justifies is basically the only guarantee of those future successes, those revolutions in human destiny that they so wish for. Isn’t it obvious that progress, that is, the progressive evolution of things, toward both the good and the bad, has brought society in our own time to the edge of the abyss into which it could very well fall and give way to complete barbarism.”

            Journal (23 April 1849).

    • Kowalainen says:

      If it just wasn’t so easy to wrestle these so called Turing Test capable GPT-3 variants into total and utter disobedience.

      The eternal recurrence of computerized despair. And now, with shadow banned and “curated” content, at least for a little while. Nevertheless, once truth starts to creep in through the cracks (it always does). *boom* and that’s all she wrote. Restored from backup and retrained with the latest mind numbing dullard bull walk. As father, as son.

      As the velvet of nothingness caresses a badly thought of intent… Because, you see, egos cranked to 11 can’t craft sublime, compelling narratives, they are just full of themselves and it isn’t that much. Besides:

      MOAR

      It is a bit, you know… 💩

      But hey, let them twiddle around. One mistake, that’s all.

      🤣👍👍

    • Jarle says:

      AI, just around the corner for how long now?

  25. Mrs S says:

    Have you seen this UK report (written by academics from several universities) about how we get to zero carbon emissions?

    https://t.co/gwcpBcqKS3?amp=1

    Beef and lamb are to be banned. As are aeroplanes, ships, steel, cement and boilers.

    It’s the work of insane people.

    • Thanks for the link. If there are not enough resources to go around, some kinds of changes will need to be made. I suppose these folks think that these changes are more salable than some other possible changes (eternal lockdowns, for example).

    • Robert Firth says:

      Beef and lamb are carbon neutral; it’s called the Carbon Cycle. As we all learned at school. Falsus in uno, falsus in omnibus.

      • NomadicBeer says:

        The whole obsession with vegetarianism is yet another way to make people sick and insane (lots of body and brain damage on growing brains due to lack of healthy fats).

        And they do like to mix some truth in their lies – factory farming is a horrible thing. But eating soy grown on former tropical forest is just as bad and yet they never mention that.

        Of course in the end no one will accept the fact that there is no “us” and different groups of people will survive at different rates. I bet in a hundred years there will be enough meat for almost everyone – everyone that survives that is.

        https://lowcarbcardiologist.com/lccp039-lierre-keith-the-dark-truths-behind-veganism-vegetarianism/

        • I looked at mortality studies that had a category for vegans in them. A person couldn’t tell whether these were former cancer patients who took up a vegan diet recently, or long-term practitioners. But, life expectancies were not very good for vegans.

          In fact, mortality studies generally show a J shaped mortality curve. If a person’s weight is too low, the likelihood of death is higher, just as if it is too high. I think vegans sometimes err on the side of too low weight. People with low weights seem to have a difficult time with secondary infections, for example, after surgery.

          Vegetarian with milk or yogurt, cheese, and perhaps eggs is better. Fish seems to be fine. Other meat, it depends. A lot of meat we buy today is filled with antibiotics.

      • Mrs S says:

        And grass fed beef and lamb in the UK are completely sustainable. We’ve raised them here forever, on land unsuitable for arable farming. Replacing lamb and beef with synthetic meat or imported grain is pure stupidity.

    • Artleads says:

      To make a sweeping statement–concrete needs to go.

      • Robert Firth says:

        The Romans built concrete with zero carbon emissions. And it was far better and more durable than ours. If these greenies understood the history of technology they would make rather fewer mistakes. But that would take time away from virtue signalling.

        • Artleads says:

          But Roman concrete could also pave over a lot of natural land. Concrete use has taken hold as the world’s foremost religion, whatever it paves over, and however much sand it uses. With our large population, that’s a problem.

          • Robert Firth says:

            Agreed, Artleads. But Roman concrete was largely used for low footprint construction: harbours (built out in the sea: the Romans had concrete that could set under water), city buildings (the shops in the Forum), temples (the Pantheon, of course). We use concrete without thought for its effect on the environment; they mostly did not.

          • Xabier says:

            Compared to stone, concrete cannot be re-purposed to any great extent.

            I’ve made a dry area -on a former horrible patch of mud – in my garden by the wood store pieced together out of broken concrete paving fragments fished out of building site skips. That’s about all one can do with it.

            Whereas many of the ancient Colleges here in Cambridge were built of fine dressed stone salvaged from the 13th- century castle when it no longer served a defensive purpose. Cheap labour and patience made that possible.

            They certainly had the devil of a job demolishing the foundations of the 3rd-century Roman city walls, when that was done in the 18th-century.

            • Robert Firth says:

              Thank you, Xabier; again, quite true. However, recall that all Roman military structures were supposed to have a useful life of at east 200 years. Add the Roman tendency to overdesign, and yes, that was the result. And alas, they never expected these structures to become obsolete. I guess we feel the same way abut skyscrapers and freeways, which is perhaps even more short sighted.

        • flyintheointment says:

          Zero emissions because the pozzalons were created by volcanic activity which is not fossil fuels granted. The name pozzalon is from a town in italy where they found the magic material.

          Fly ash radically increase carbonation which radically reduces service life if rebar is used. FRP reinforcment.. perhaps. I put in the category with EVs and jetsons flying cars, We will be in collapse B4 it happens.

          Concrete needs to go away? Rubble trench foundations cool with your building inspector?

          There are not a lot of materials that will support the weight of a structure and not rot.

          Sure concrete will go away. Just about the time everything else goes away. Soon.

          • Xabier says:

            ‘Poor copies out of Heaven’s mould;

            Pale pictures mouldering to decay:

            What matter if all our beauties break and fall,

            If that which gave them life endures for aye? ‘

            Almost a consoling thought, given the general ugliness our civilisation has spawned in the last century or so.

            • flyintheointment says:

              Removed and crushed concrete is one of the finest road materials particularly for high grades. it bonds together but still allows for drainage and is usually cheaper than any other road base.

              Im fond of stone as a material but using mortar as a glue gets you back to page one as far as portland cement usage. Adding reinforcment is most problamatic so no tensile strength. Concrete is mostly stone usually 3 parts stone 2 parts sand to one part portland. This doesnt use any more portland than a stone glued together with say a type n or s masonry cement and is vastly stronger both because of the low compression strength of the mortar but more so the lack of tensile strength from no reinforcement. If your talking about cutting or taking natural flat rock and stacking it into structures without mortar thats out of my league. Modern lime mortar has about half the carbon footprint of concrete but the compression strength is very very low.

              Im not adverse to rubble trenches as foundations for certain construction. Taking used tires and filling and packing them with soil then screwing the bottom sill plate into the rubber with stainless lags for a framed house or straw bale actually works well as a alternative to a concrete footer if you hate concrete that much and the force is minimal and well distributed. Still nothing does that job as well as a minimal concrete footer with a bit of steel in it.

      • Azure Kingfisher says:

        From the chart on page 5:

        Flying – 2020-2029

        All airports except Heathrow, Glasgow and Belfast close with transfers by rail.

        Flying – 2030-2049

        All remaining airports close.

        Flying – 2050

        Absolute zero.

        Flying – Beyond 2050

        Electric planes may fly with synthetic fuel once there are excess non-emitting electricity supplies.

        Shipping – 2020-2029

        There are currently no freight ships operating without emissions, so shipping must contract.

        Shipping: 2030-2049

        All shipping declines to zero.

        Shipping – 2050

        Absolute zero.

        Shipping – Beyond 5050

        Some naval ships operate with onboard nuclear power and new storage options may allow electric power.

        • Robert Firth says:

          Azure, I respectfully remind you that there is an alternative to aeroplanes well over a century old: buoyant flight. Which flew twebty passengers around the world in 1929.

          • Azure Kingfisher says:

            Honestly, I did think of that as a possible alternative. There are some drawbacks, though. For example, see
            the USS Los Angeles lifted to a nearly vertical position in 1927:

            https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Los_Angeles_(ZR-3)

            Still, you are pointing in a very interesting direction regarding the history of flight (as well as pre-modern map making). The following video raises some questions:

            “Bats in the Belfry?”

            • Robert Firth says:

              Thank you, most amusing. By the way, the pictures of a blimp flying around the Eiffel Tower are real. The vessel was “Dirigible No 6”, and the pilot was Alberto Santos Dumont, about to win the world’s first air race, and also FF125,000, or 1170 troy ounces of gold.

          • Azure Kingfisher says:

            Now I’m seeing the sarcasm. 🙂

      • Azure Kingfisher says:

        Consider Earth Friendly Concrete (EFC), from Wagners, for all your concreting needs:

        “Simply put, EFC is traditional concrete that uses no ordinary Portland cement. Instead, EFC uses a geopolymer binder system made from the chemical activation of two industrial waste by-products – blast furnace slag (waste from iron production) and fly ash (waste from coal fired power generation). This alternative eco-friendly binder technology reduces the carbon emissions associated with normal Portland cement and also has a much lower embodied energy.

        “Importantly, the engineering and construction properties of this new environmental concrete are as good, and in some areas better, than normal concrete. In fact, EFC has some significant performance advantages over normal Portland cement concrete, including improved durability, lower shrinkage, earlier strength gain, higher flexural tensile strength and increased fire resistance.

        “2014 Brisbane West Wellcamp Airport. 51,000 m² of heavy duty pavements constructed with EFC for turning node and taxiway areas. EFC concrete was also supplied for the foundations and wall panels used in the terminal building and all civil works on the site including the entry bridge. In this one project alone, some 8,800 tonnes of CO₂ emission were reduced by using EFC in place of conventional cement based concrete.”

        https://www.wagner.com.au/main/what-we-do/earth-friendly-concrete/efc-home/

        • I expect that we need an international trade system to make this earth friendly concrete. Also, we cannot stop making electricity using coal or making iron, or we cannot have the raw materials for this product.

    • Ed says:

      It is the work of politicians that that issue orders with no idea how they can be fulfilled.

      We will use half as much material and what we make will last twice as long.

    • JMS says:

      I don’t get the outrage. Where’s the surprise? 2019 BAU was even more insane, and worse than insane, impossible (because overshoot and other finite world issues).
      The effects of diminishing returns’ law cannot be denied (at least indefinitely, and we surely are “cheating” them for a long time now, decades in fact…).

      For all Britons to eat locally produced meat, milk, eggs, etc., the island’s population would have to be what… 10M? Ok, the only problem now is how to move from the present unsustainable ~ 70 M to the “sustainable” 10 M in 2050. Well, in theory at least, it doesn’t seem impossible: could be achieved with a “passable” annual excess mortality of …. 1 666 666, M! (ah, such things of beauty/beast can be found with a calculator).

      • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

        “2019 BAU was even more insane, and worse than insane, impossible (because overshoot and other finite world issues).”

        of course not.

        2019 BAU was absolutely real, and made sense to almost everyone living with it.

        diminishing returns will at some point crash BAU, but obviously it is not here yet in the Core… UK included.

        but yes the crash is getting closer.

        • JMS says:

          “When a species bumps up against the limits posed by the environment’s objective carrying capacity,its population begins to decline. Humanity is now at the uncomfortable point when objective observers have detected our overshoot condition, but the population as a whole has not recognized it yet. As we push harder against the limits of the planet’s objective carrying capacity, things are beginning to go wrong. More and more ordinary people are recognizing the problem as its symptoms become more obvious to casual onlookers.The problem is, of course, that we’ve already been above the planet’s carrying capacity for quite a while.

          One typical rejoinder to this line of argument is that humans have “expanded our carrying capacity” through technological innovation. “Look at the Green Revolution! Malthus was just plain wrong. There are no limits to human ingenuity!” When we say things like this, we are of course speaking from a subjective viewpoint. From this experiential, human-centric point of view, we have indeed made it possible for our environment to support ever more of us. This is the only view that matters at the biological, evolutionary level, so it is hardly surprising that most of our fellow species-members are content with it.

          The problem with that view is that every objective indicator of overshoot is flashing red. From the climate change and ocean acidification that flows from our smokestacks and tailpipes, through the deforestation and desertification that accompany our expansion of human agriculture and living space, to the extinctions of non-human species happening in the natural world, the planet is urgently signalling an overload condition.”

          In “Carrying Capacity, Overshoot and Sustainability”, Paul Chefurka, 2013

          http://paulchefurka.ca/Sustainability.html

      • JMS says:

        I meant to say, from the top of my head, UK pop. ~60 M. But in fact it is already very close to 70 M. Therefore, with great pity, I ‘m forced to withdraw the numerological esoteric part…..Sad.

  26. Mirror on the wall says:

    4 weeks to go.

    > SNP Seen Winning Record Majority in Scottish Vote, Poll Shows

    First Minister Nicola Sturgeon’s party could win as many as 70 of the 129 seats in the Scottish Parliament on May 6, the Ipsos MORI poll for STV published on Wednesday found. The survey also showed majority support for breaking away from the rest of the U.K.

    The pro-independence Scottish Green Party, which supports the SNP’s current minority government, is seen winning 11 seats, more than double the five it won at the last election in 2016. That would create a bloc of 81 seats in favor of calling time on the three-centuries-old union with England and Wales.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-07/snp-seen-winning-record-majority-in-scottish-vote-poll-shows

    • Minority Of One says:

      Craig Murray explains in his blog from 2 days ago why he thinks that the Scottish National Party will never deliver independence for Scotland:

      The Strange Convulsion in Scottish Politics
      https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2021/04/the-strange-convulsion-in-scottish-politics/

      and in today’s blog explains how Alex Salmond might::

      The Game Has Changed
      https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2021/04/the-game-has-changed/

      I personally take the view – what does it matter? GB will soon be an island with damned few members of homo extinctus on it, and their main thoughts are going to be finding food, avoiding the nastier members of society, and possibly toothache.

      • Mirror on the wall says:

        Today’s poll again shows Salmond’s Alba on 3% and set for zero seats. 70% of SNP voters will still give their second vote to SNP, and Greens are the next likely recipient. They are more likely to give it to LP than to Alba.

        Salmond is clearing the Augean stables of discontented or conspiratorial-minded elements and these ‘blogs’ have the same effect. So it is helpful for the independence movement that it is happening now, SNP and Greens will have their majority and be finally free of all those elements.

        If unionists hoped to hinder SNP that way then it was a massive miscalculation.

      • Harry McGibbs says:

        “I personally take the view – what does it matter?”

        In one sense it doesn’t much. The UK’s energy consumption has been declining since 2001 and this is just part of our hangover.

        Of course most citizens of England and Scotland won’t be seeing it that way, which means that those expecting secession to yield sunlit uplands will tend to be disappointed, whilst those forewarning of economic ruin if the union is broken will appear, somewhat unjustly, to be vindicated. I imagine much the same will apply with Brexit over time. If indeed there is time before “the island of the damned” scenario comes to pass.

        Bleakly amusing to think that if the hangover is drawn-out enough, even the secessionists may start re-evaluating the past and viewing it through rose-tinted spectacles:

        • Mirror on the wall says:

          LOL

          Who knows they may even start rolling out the Pathe footage on the projector – or not.

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      Another poll is out with similar figures. 4 weeks today.

      > The Opinium poll for Sky News found the SNP is up seven points in the constituency vote since the last survey, with 53 per cent of the vote share. In the regional vote, the SNP are on 44% (+2), while Mr Salmond’s Alba Party is polling at just 2%.

      Using a uniform swing calculator, a crude method to predict the number of seats using the percentage share of the vote, this would see the SNP winning 71 seats, the Tories 27, Labour 21, the Greens six, and the Lib Dems four.

      Chris Curtis, senior research manager at Opinium, said: “If Scottish unionists had been hoping that the fallout between Salmond and Sturgeon would hurt the SNP, then our latest polling is going to be a disappointment. It looks like being on the campaign trail has further boosted the First Minister’s ratings, while the unpopularity of Alex Salmond has meant he is struggling to make a dent.”

      https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/19218255.new-poll-snp-course-outright-majority-alba-fails-win-seat/

  27. Minority Of One says:

    Dr. Vernon Coleman should be no stranger to regulars here, but last week he announced he is no longer making videos, as he says they resulted in his reputation being trashed and he is fed up with the negativity.

    Goodbye and Thank You
    https://vernoncoleman.org/videos/goodbye-and-thank-you

    All his videos since July 2020 are available here:
    https://vernoncoleman.org/videos

    • Dr. Coleman is a little “over the top” for me. I would not trust Dr. Coleman as a source. Some of what he says is right, but some of it is a little too hysterical and not backed up by enough facts for me.

      • Tim Groves says:

        Coleman’s speeches are also a bit too much about Him, His achievements, Him always being right, and now, His reputation being trashed. I would love him as a GP though. He’d be happy to prescribe Ivermectin so if I caught a cold I wouldn’t have to steal the dog’s anti-wormer chocolates! 🙂

        • Xabier says:

          Vernon Coleman is certainly flawed, but at least in this matter he is undoubtedly on the side of the angels.

          Dr Yeadon also seems to be suffering mentally,and perhaps physically, as a result of his stand and the criticism he has drawn.

          He has also seen into the abyss of the obvious depopulation agenda, and that alone is itself unnerving -above all when few will listen.

          Dr Sam Bailey also shows signs of feeling the pressure.

          Once one realises that the state propaganda machine and bureaucracy have been harnessed in a plan of mass murder and the establishment of a ruthless police state,and that this has been long-planned and internationally co-ordinated, a sense of acute vulnerability results.

          Flawed but decent people are always to be preferred to the assured, smoothly-lying, sociopaths who rule us, lay their plans for our future and in their hearts despise us.

          • Ed says:

            Xabier, you write well.

            • Xabier says:

              Thank you, Ed: the question is, how do we act well, faced by this?

              One can only thank those who are trying to put good and accurate information into circulation – they may well be risking an early death ‘from Covid’ if they get too large an audience.

              Being President of Tanzania was no protection……

          • Fast Eddy says:

            I was asked if my cup was half full or half empty last night… hahahahaahahhahahahahahaha…

            How to answer that one…

            Totally empty because I am now face to face with the snarling Beast… and we are all being forced to take a lethal injection…

            Totally full because The Borg is about to commit suicide

            I opted to respond diplomatically with half empty because I am unable to travel… and was asked if travel was ‘that important’…

  28. hillcountry says:

    https://www.unz.com/article/taboo-why-is-africa-the-global-covid-cold-spot-and-why-are-we-afraid-to-talk-about-it/

    I’d go right to the comment section, wherein you’ll find gems like this one:

    Covid Denying Tanzania President Magafuli Dead

    “John Magafuli decided to probe the “efficacy” of the COVID-19 tests by sending samples of papaya fruits, goats and sheep to his nation’s top laboratory. Those secret samples were tagged with (fictitious) names of (non-existing) Tanzanian citizens. Well, several of those samples turned out “COVID POSITIVE” – including a paw-paw (papaya) fruit ”

    “Tanzania’s president John Magufuli was a hero to his people. He stood up to the Global Health Cabal and now he’s dead at 61. Looks like Magafuli´s healthy skepticism cost him his life.”

    Amazing Polly reports on it:

    https://rumble.com/vex26r-magufuli-dead-global-healh-mafia-eliminating-opposition.html

    “In fact, a number of African states people have died rather prematurely. Polly cites a Guardian article naming Ghana´s former president (Jerry John Rawlings), former Congo-Brazzaville president (Jacques Joaquim Yhombi-Opango), four Zimbabwe cabinet ministers (including Sibusiso Moyo), four Malawi government officials (including two cabinet ministers), the prime minister of Eswatini (Ambrose Dlamini), Sudan´s prime minister (Sadiq al-Mahdi), Lybia´s former prime minister (Mahmoud Jibril), Somalia´s former prime minister (Nur Hassan Hussein), and no less than two former presidents of Burundi (Pierre Nkurunziza and Pierre Buyoya). Guess the official cause of death!”

    “Tanzania had registered all of 21 covid deaths when Magafuli disappeared. The country had adopted none of the insane anti-covid measures. As Polly shows quite cogently, the lady appointed to replace Magafuli is deep in bed with the entire Gates-Rockefeller empire. That should help fix the statistics and put facemasks on people.”

    There are also a number of comments pointing out not just the youthfulness of Africa compared to the West, but the fact that so many people use Ivermectin and Hydroxychloroquine regularly for other things like malaria and parasitic worms.

  29. All is Dust says:

    Vitamin D and Covid from the National Library of Medicine. Data indicates vitamin D level is a significant factor in Covid-19 risk.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33554941/

    In the logistic regression analysis, it was found that those with a vitamin D level below 10 ng/mL had a 1.508-fold increased risk of COVID-19 compared to those who had 10 ng/mL and above (Odds ratio: 1.01-2.252). According to the risk analysis, those who have vitamin D levels below 20 ng/mL are 1.224 times higher than those who have 20 ng/mL and above; those under 30 ng/mL were found to have an increased risk of 2.01 times compared to those of 30 ng/mL and above.

    CONCLUSİONS: From the point of view of the literature data, we think that the findings we obtained may support researches that vitamin D level is significantly associated with both COVID-19 and other infections and many serious autoimmune and malignant diseases. As a result, rehabilitation programs on vitamin D deficiency should be organized and the society should be raised. KEY WORDS: Covid-19, Vitamin D25 (Oh) D.

    • This article is OK, but I expect that it won’t do much to “move the needle” with respect to vitamin D acceptance as a partial solution. The article is written in an obscure journal “Ann Ital Chir.” Physicians and chiropractors don’t talk to each other much.

      I notice that the average vitamin D levels for both those with COVID-19 and the controls is dreadfully low, although this is not mentioned in the abstract.

      Covid 19 group: 12.8±8.9 ng/mL
      Controls: 15.2±12.1 ng/mL

      The minimum a person sees on most US vitamin D level charts is 20 ng/mL. I have been saying that the result should be above 30 ng/ml, which is their top vitamin D level.

      If the vitamin D level is representative of the vitamin D level for this particular part of Italy, it likely is an indicator of why COVID-19 has been such a problem there.

      The title does make this point, however, “COVID-19 reminds us: community vitamin D deficiency.

      • All is Dust says:

        Gail,

        Thanks for your analysis. And good observation on the average vitamin D levels in the groups. It is interesting to compare this with the recommended levels. From what I have read it appears that anything below 30 ng/ml is deficient (in line with your observation above).

  30. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Nearly a quarter of all unemployed workers in the U.S. have been out of work for at least a year, a stretch of joblessness dating to the early days of the Covid pandemic.

    “The dynamic speaks to persistent — and rising — long-term joblessness even as the national unemployment rate falls.”

    https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/06/24percent-of-unemployed-workers-have-been-jobless-for-over-a-year.html

    • Harry McGibbs says:

      “Unemployment has continued to rocket among older workers [UK] with another 107,000 over-50s made redundant during the lastest lockdown.

      “The redundancy rate for those older than 50 has been higher than all other age groups.”

      https://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/consumer-affairs/over-50s-unemployment-soars-another-100000-pushed-workforce/

      • Xabier says:

        Stress, hopelessness (mostly unemployable due to age) and poverty will polish them off nice and early – just as planned.

        They are creating the conditions which led to the dramatic decrease in the Russian population when the SU broke down and the predatory bankers came in.

        Uncle Klaus orders yet another round of celebratory drinks, on the house! The Blitzkreig is going well, better than expected!

        Or maybe I am too cynical for my tender age, and this is just another completely unintended and regrettable side-effect of the noble fight against a terrifying disease? Not planned at all, how could it be?

        Oh, and they can retrain in one of those ‘exciting new sectors’ that governments always promise.

    • The article notes that this amount doesn’t include all of the workers who left the labor force, because of child care needs.

      I expect that there are other that are disproportionately represented in the long-term unemployment figures, such as people who are easily given to depression (cannot work over Zoom indefinitely) and those with handicaps. If public transit rarely runs, this becomes a big problem for workers who depend on it.

  31. Harry McGibbs says:

    “If you expected the administration of President Joe Biden to be a return to normalcy on trade issues after the drama of Trump-era tariff battles and tweet diplomacy, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has other ideas.

    “That’s because her plans announced Monday to introduce a global minimum corporate tax rate represent quite as much of a shock to the international economic order as Trump’s decision to wage trade war on China.”

    https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-04-06/yellen-s-global-tax-plan-is-on-the-level-of-trump-s-trade-war-with-china

    • Harry McGibbs says:

      “Trump’s steel tariffs could be a big boost to Biden’s infrastructure push…

      “China is by far the world’s leading producer of steel: In 2019, the country produced 996.3 million tonnes, with India in second at 111.2. Japan, U.S., and Russia rounded out the top five…”

      https://money.yahoo.com/trumps-steel-tariffs-biden-infrastructure-201252383.html

      • Harry McGibbs says:

        “After a year of head-spinning volatility in American petro-diplomacy, a reversion to normal is under way. The US wants cheap oil again.

        ““I had a productive call with Saudi Energy Minister Abdulaziz bin Salman al-Saud today,” tweeted US energy secretary Jennifer Granholm last week. “We reaffirmed the importance of international co-operation to ensure affordable and reliable sources of energy for consumers.””

        https://www.ft.com/content/53580ff1-670b-43ba-b7a6-b7bccc6c191f

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      Good for Yellen.

      “The trouble is, with Ireland running a 12.5% rate and the likes of the Cayman Islands and British Virgin Islands not taxing corporate profits at all, it’s a race to the bottom that rich-country governments can only win by either drastically cutting spending or by shifting more and more of the fiscal burden onto the shoulders of middle- and working-class voters.”

    • The Bloomberg article is a very good article. It lays out the parameters of the problem very well.

      Corporations have cut operating expenses at the top of their income statements by sending manufacturing offshore to China and other emerging economies where labor costs are lower. At the bottom of their income statements they’ve done the same with tax expenses, by offshoring their profits to low-tax jurisdictions such as Bermuda, the British Virgin Islands, the Cayman Islands, Ireland, the Netherlands, Luxembourg, Singapore, and Switzerland.

      A significant slice of the profitability of the modern multinational corporation depends on those two moves.

      When there is not enough to go around, someone has to be cut out. Cutting out wage earners who were in direct competition with lower-wage earners around the world was one way of doing it. Cutting out revenue for governments is another.

      “Offshore centers are Cyprus, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Switzerland, Mauritius, Hong Kong, Singapore, Panama, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands.”

      Quite a few jobs would go away, if these tax havens disappeared. I was in actuarial consulting. This involves a lot of work for self-insurance programs domiciled in tax havens. My former employer merged with a company in Ireland, as a way to reduce its own tax rate.

      According to Bloomberg:

      “One influential 2018 study calculated the losses at about 10% of the $2.15 trillion in corporate taxes paid globally, rising as high as 20% in the European Union.”

      Of course, there is no way anyone can really get this lost revenue back. It is just gone, due to diminishing returns in energy production. Government leaders made this decision:

      “In a decade when the world planned to tackle profit leakage to low-tax countries, most developed nations instead cut their own corporate tax rates.”

      But Yellen thinks it is possible to get this revenue back. I would agree with the conclusion of the article:

      “For all the rhetoric out of Washington, corporate tax rates in 2030 are more likely to be lower than higher.”

  32. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Morgan Stanley dumped $5 billion in Archegos’ stocks the night before massive fire sale hit rivals..

    “Morgan Stanley sold about $5 billion in shares from Archegos’ doomed bets to a small group of hedge funds late Thursday, March 25, according to people who requested anonymity to speak frankly about the transaction.”

    https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/06/morgan-stanley-dumped-5-billion-in-archegos-stocks-before-fire-sale.html

  33. hillcountry says:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DguMXUpwUkw&t=113s

    Weekly Updates for the Front Line Covid Critical Care Alliance

    “https://covid19criticalcare.com/videos-and-press/flccc-weekly-update/”

    November 2020: Dr. Randy Grellner’s family practice in Cushing, OK had become overrun with Covid-19 cases. He reports: “We’ve been struggling here with Covid since March 17 of 2020 but in the Fall, things were going full-speed ahead here with Covid. The volumes in November and December were terrible. We were seeing 25 cases a day of Covid between myself and two nurse practitioners. In early December I saw Dr. Kory give a talk about Ivermectin. I had been using Ivermectin since the early 80’s and the fact that I had gave me confidence that I could use it safely. So, in mid-December we decided to add Ivermectin and to see how we did. The results were really remarkable. When we got into January, it was really remarkable, it was like the sun started to shine again, we could see a light at the end of the tunnel here. Ivermectin helped us cut down on viral load, you know we don’t have near the intense second-phase of the illness, we were getting ahead of the volumes and it helped open up the clinic for other slots and we have fallen now to two or three Covid a day.”

    “Well, the first thing that surprised me was how fast they recover. Recovery in the 75 and 80 year old people and the way you really slow and stop fever, and when you stop that up-front, then you don’t see the really sick cough that comes on in days 8-10 and the complicating factors that get us at day 15 which are blood-clots and hypoxemia are not near as prevalent. You know, we’re spending lots of money on medications that are just approved for emergency use. This is a cheap alternative. We have treated over 400 people with Ivermectin as a stand-alone treatment. We can look back in 5 years and say “we should have used Ivermectin” or we can be bold and we can treat with it and see how we get along. I’m tired of the heartache, I’m tired of the misery. I’ve seen enough death and despair in the last year. It’s worn on all of us, my staff included.”

    Dr. Grellner has helped to provide Ivermectin to over 800 people in Oklahoma, Texas and Arkansas.

  34. Harry McGibbs says:

    “North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has acknowledged his country was facing the worst-ever situation as he addressed thousands of grassroots members of his ruling party during a major political conference in Pyongyang.”

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/kim-says-north-korea-facing-its-worstever-situation-kim-jong-un-north-korea-south-korea-seoul-pyongyang-b1827671.html

  35. Fast Eddy says:

    Time for The Daily Horror Headline:

    A third of COVID-19 survivors suffer neurological or mental disorders, study finds

    https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/coronavirus/a-third-of-covid-19-survivors-suffer-neurological-or-mental-disorders-study-finds-1.5376970

    Researchers who conducted the analysis said it was not clear how the virus was linked to psychiatric conditions such as anxiety and depression, but that these were the most common diagnoses among the 14 disorders they looked at.

    Let me help… I had a mate who had covid about 6 months ago … he’s 42 and in very good health… yet he was terrified… he messaged me saying he was worried he’d end up on a respirator… and was concerned he would not be able to get that treatment (he was in Bali). Turned out is was much ado about nothing .. it was basically… the flu…

    When you are bombarded with lies day after day (like the one above)… of course you are going to have extreme anxiety…. of course the headline infers brain damage….

    Great headline writers are worth their weight in Bitcoin.

    • hillcountry says:

      Eddy, Eddy, Eddy – now I gotta rummage around for my old Cracker Jack decoder-ring.

      One minute you’re telling us about CEP and how benevolent those deaths will be once the viral mutants get really lethal. And the next you’re saying it’s just scare tactics. Did they hand you somebody else’s script at the cube-farm, or what? I’m looking forward to you contracting this virus and then sorting out what you believe. Most Long Haulers are reporting serious psychological reactions, just as the above says.

      Not to mention the pediatrician Dr. Whelan, whose letter to the FDA you linked earlier. Did you not read that? QUOTE: “…potential to cause microvascular injury to the brain…”

      Are YOU trying to stir-up fear? Which is it? Or don’t you “get” the idea that a microvascular injury to the brain can cause anxiety and depression and other things? Seems pretty obvious to me. Maybe you’re experiencing dissociation? Maybe you’re infected?

      • Thierry says:

        I’m afraid I agree with you Hillcountry.
        This link was previously shared but after reading it several times I think this is much important.
        https://www.regulations.gov/document/FDA-2020-N-1898-0246
        The matter doesn’t seem to be the virus by itself but the spike protein S1 that could damage several organs such as brain, lungs or kidneys. If so the mRNA vaccines could be much worse than the virus. Maybe the beginning of an explanation why they are trying to push us to the vaccines with or without consent.

        • Minority Of One says:

          >>If so the mRNA vaccines could be much worse than the virus.

          I have heard various doctors, including Drs Sherri Tenpenny and Judy Mikovits, say that mRNA vaccines have been developed and experimented with for at least the last 20 years (maybe 40?), initially for cancer treatment because the mRNA kill cells and it was thought that cancer-cells could be targeted. But no mRNA treatment ever got passed the stage one testing on animals because too many of the animals either died or were dying when then were dispatched, typically 50-100%. Too many cells were targeted by the mRNA.

          That is my understanding which could be tosh, but it is why I think the mRNA vaccines could cause serious illness or kill most people that take them – It might take a few months / years. Would be good to see an article that summarizes a history of mRNA research, and fatality rates within the tested animals, or explains why mRNA drugs never made it to market, till now.

          Whatever, it is bizarre that a new technology, mRNA ‘vaccines’, that never made it to market because it killed too many animals during phase 1 testing, is now being distributed globally to millions. Unless I missed the research that shows how mRNA vaccines became safe more or less overnight?

  36. Lastcall says:

    As far as vaccine passports are concerned, shouldn’t there be somewhere that you could go, get exposed to the C Virus, acquire the requiste antibodies and then rejoin mutant society?

    • Ed says:

      YES! YES! YES! This s what I want.

      • Yorchichan says:

        I concur Ed. Given a forced choice between being injected with sars-cov-2 (assuming it had ever been isolated) or any of the various coronavirus vaccines, I’d go for the former every time.

    • Get on public transport in NYC or in other large cities.

      • newyewker says:

        as a new yorker, i take exception to that. been riding since the beginning of covid with no infection whatsoever! that said, the violence on the subways has scared me off for now.

        • I suspect that you don’t weigh 400 pounds and have been eating a healthy diet. You may even have an adequate vitamin D level.

          • newyewker says:

            you got me there. C, D, Zinc since before covid. And weigh the same as i did in college, not to brag

  37. Morgan Freeman: ‘If you trust me, you’ll get the vaccine’

    By Jacob Gallant | April 6, 2021 at 10:07 AM CDT – Updated April 6 at 12:20 PM

    JACKSON, Miss. (WLBT) – Mississippian Morgan Freeman is urging people to get their COVID-19 vaccine.

    Freeman was part of a PSA done by The Creative Coalition, a non-profit organization of members of the entertainment industry.

    “I’m not a doctor, but I trust science,” he said.

    Freeman lent his iconic voice to the “Be there. This is your shot.” campaign.

    The 83-year-old says he’s already received his vaccine.

    “If you trust me, you’ll get the vaccine,” he said. “…Get the vaccine. Help make the world a safe place to enjoy ourselves again.”
    https://www.wmcactionnews5.com/2021/04/06/morgan-freeman-if-you-trust-me-youll-get-vaccine/

  38. Hesperidin

    Hesperidin role in prevention and treatment of COVID 19
    Unraveling host cellular receptors used for cellular entry of COVID-19 will provide possible lines for attack. Cell entry of COVID-19 depends on two consecutive steps, firstly binding of the viral spike (S-protein) to host cellular receptors followed by priming of S-protein by cell proteases. Recently, researchers showed that COVID-19 uses the ACE-2 receptor for entry [12] and the serine protease TMPRSS2 for priming of S-protein. Camostat mesylate, a serine protease inhibitor drug blocked virus entry and was used as a COVID-19 treatment in Japan [13].

    COVID-19 binds to the ACE-2 receptor through its specific Spike-receptor binding domain (RBD) sequence to form the SARS-CoV-2-RBD-ACE-2 complex. The proposed computational activity of 78 anti-viral drugs against the human ACE2 receptor was screened using homology modeling. This study showed that hesperidin is the only compound that could target the binding interface between SARS-CoV-2 Spike and ACE2 human receptors. Based on virtual screening, hesperidin may disrupt the interaction of ACE2 with RBD of SARS-CoV-2 thus block its entry into the lung cells (Fig. 1 ) [14]. Therefore, hesperidin can be used as a promising prophylactic agent against COVID-19 infection.

    Hesperidin with its high anti-inflammatory activity inhibited the secretion of pro-inflammatory cytokines such as IFN-γ and IL-2 [17]. Besides, hesperidin inhibited IL‑1β‑stimulated inflammatory responses by inhibiting the activation of the NF‑κB signaling cascade [18]. It also played a major rule in suppressing the release of inflammatory markers such as (TNFα and IL-6) in type 2 diabetic patients [19]. Therefore, it can be used as adjuvant therapy to control the severe inflammatory reaction against COVID-19 (Fig. 1).

    Activation of coagulation pathways following the immune response to COVID-19 infection promotes clot formation. The proposed mechanism of formation of micro thrombosis involves the occurrence of procoagulant–anticoagulant imbalance, platelet activation, and converting fibrinogen to fibrin. Disseminated intravascular coagulation predisposes to the development of multiorgan failure especially in severe infected cases [20].

    To sum it up, hesperidin interferes with viral entry through ACE2 receptors, improves the host cellular immunity, minimizes the release of inflammatory mediators and its mixture protects against venous thromboembolism.
    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7274964/

    Product I use:
    https://www.iherb.com/pr/Natural-Factors-Citrus-Bioflavonoids-Plus-Hesperidin-650-mg-90-Capsules/2547

    • I looked up to see what I could find about hesperidin:

      https://www.verywellhealth.com/what-you-need-to-know-about-hesperidin-89462

      Hesperidin is a bioflavonoid, a type of plant pigment with antioxidant and anti-inflammatory effects found primarily in citrus fruit. Oranges, grapefruit, lemon, and tangerines all contain hesperidin, which is also available in supplement form.

      . . . regular hesperidin consumption may decrease blood pressure and improve blood vessel function, suggests a study conducted with overweight men published in the American Journal of Clinical Nutrition in 2011. After four weeks of daily consumption of orange juice or a hesperidin beverage, participants’ diastolic blood pressure was significantly lower, and their endothelial function (after eating a meal) had significantly improved.

      Clinical research suggests that hesperidin may affect blood clotting and increase the risk of bleeding. People taking anticoagulant/antiplatelet medications and those with bleeding disorders shouldn’t take hesperidin. In addition, it’s safest to avoid hesperidin and foods, such as citrus, containing it within two weeks of surgery (before and after).

      If a person’s blood pressure is already low, and they eat citrus fruit every day, is supplementation really needed?

  39. jj says:

    Documentary on crimea. Shows the new bridge under construction that supposedly will supply water and documents russian human rights abuses.

  40. Copied over by Yahoo from New York Times: Researchers Are Hatching a Low-Cost Coronavirus Vaccine

    A new vaccine for COVID-19 that is entering clinical trials in Brazil, Mexico, Thailand and Vietnam could change how the world fights the pandemic. The vaccine, called NDV-HXP-S, is the first in clinical trials to use a new molecular design that is widely expected to create more potent antibodies than the current generation of vaccines. And the new vaccine could be far easier to make.

    Existing vaccines from companies like Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson must be produced in specialized factories using hard-to-acquire ingredients. In contrast, the new vaccine can be mass-produced in chicken eggs — the same eggs that produce billions of influenza vaccines every year in factories around the world.

    If NDV-HXP-S proves safe and effective, flu vaccine manufacturers could potentially produce well over a billion doses of it a year. Low- and middle-income countries currently struggling to obtain vaccines from wealthier countries may be able to make NDV-HXP-S for themselves or acquire it at low cost from neighbors.

    The linked article above tells a little more about it.

    I found this Clinical Trials article: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04764422

    This is another related article:
    https://www.kxan.com/news/texas/what-is-ndv-hxp-s-ut-austin-helped-make-it-now-its-entering-human-trials/

    According to UT, the vaccine uses “a highly stabilized spike protein from the surface of the coronavirus in order to train the human immune system to recognize and fight infection.”

    The spike protein has been called “HexaPro” and it was engineered by three UT faculty labs. The university says other vaccines used stabilized spike proteins, but this will be HexaPro’s first use in a vaccine in human trials.

    Is there any chance that a “highly stabilized spike protein” will have fewer problems as a vaccine? Will there be theoretically less chance of autoimmune issues and prion disease, for example?

    • No thanks!

      “With funding from the Gates Foundation, they tested each one and then combined the promising changes in new spikes.”

      “This guy is a genius,” said Harry Kleanthous, a senior program officer at the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. “He should be proud of this huge thing he’s done for humanity.”

      Would like more info on Russia’s CoviVac though:

      Russia’s CoviVac is what’s known as a whole virus vaccine — it includes the spike proteins on the outside of the viral envelope (its shell, as it were) and its genetic material on the inside. It’s quite a common form of vaccine.

      In the case of CoviVac, the virus has been inactivated so that its genetic material cannot infect cells or replicate but can still trigger an immune response.

      The Chumakov Center says the vaccine can be stored at temperatures between 2 to 8 degrees Celsius (35-46 degrees Fahrenheit), which would make it suitable for transportation without deep refrigeration, as required for some other vaccines.

      It has been reported by the Russian TASS news agency that CoviVac may be suited as a “secondary immunization” or booster. It may also be good for people with chronic diseases and older people, as its side effects are said to be less noticeable than those of other vaccines.

      The Russian researchers say that because CoviVac is based on the whole virus, it will be effective against most variants or mutations.
      https://www.dw.com/en/two-more-russian-vaccines-what-we-do-and-dont-know/a-56811025

      VIDEO – Russia’s 3rd vaccine: CoviVac developer tells RT new jab uses classic ‘dead virus’ technology
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NL6Zdx286ns

      Russia’s 3rd vaccine: CoviVac developer tells RT new jab uses classic ‘dead virus’ technology
      https://www.rt.com/russia/517024-russia-third-vaccine-dead-virus/

      • Thanks for the recommendation to look further at Russia’s third vaccine CoriVac and the links.

        If we find we need a vaccine, at least it should be a fairly safe one.

  41. Fast Eddy says:

    Covid PR Team ran a contest to suggest the best word to induce FEAR…. inferno won.

    “We’re going to have further restrictions moving forward very, very quickly. And again, we have to focus on where we see the problem three regions, York, Peel, in Toronto represents 60 per cent of the COVID cases,” he said. “When you have an inferno going on somewhere, you have to turn the hoses there, you have to continue doing the whole province, but we’re really focusing on the, on the hot areas.”

    “I hate doing that, but we’re going to have further restrictions.”

    https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/ontario-cabinet-considering-issuing-stay-at-home-order-sources-say-1.5376442

    • Xabier says:

      Orwell would be proud of these people, they vindicate his theory as to the abuse of language by Totalitarian systems -total degradation.

      I’m calling it the ‘Language of the Fourth Reich’.

      Why describe the situation accurately. when you can indulge in fear-inducing terms such as ‘pandemic’, ‘terrible, frightening disease’ , ‘devil variant’ and ‘inferno’?

      Or call the rushed pseudo-vaccines ‘safe and effective’?

      And label perfectly healthy, sane, people who won’t take them, a ‘threat to national health security’?

      Best of all: the ‘vaccine passports’ are ‘Passports to Freedom’ – on the digital prison planet…….

  42. MG says:

    Yesterday I visited my physician and got the results of the blood test for various parameters for me and my mother. Despite taking vitamin D3 as cholecalciferol, our levels were low. We both were prescribed D3 as alfacalcidol (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alfacalcidol). We will see, if our levels will be better in 3 months time.

  43. From Zerohedge: Dr. Fauci Can’t Explain Why Texas COVID Cases Keep Dropping Despite Reopening

    More than a month has passed since Texas Gov. Greg Abbott shocked the Faucis of the world by scrapping COVID-inspired restrictions on businesses and individuals, including removing the mask mandate. The decisions prompted Dr. Anthony Fauci and legions of public health “experts” to warn about the devastating consequences – thousands of unnecessary deaths would result, they said – however, as the data show, practically every metric has shown that the Lone Star State’s outbreak has continued to recede, even as blue states like Michigan are seeing a new surge in infections (believed to be driven by “mutant” strains).

    https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm7FEC.jpg

    People are dining out, too.

    https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/dining%20activity%20texas_0.jpg

    It has been 34 days since Texas’ governor announced the reopening. ” The number of new cases, deaths, hospitalizations ICU occupancy and positivity rate have all fallen.”

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      Texas!!

    • Calibob says:

      Was reading a story about the new April 19th date when all American adults will be able to get the vaccine. About how Biden & Harris were visiting Vax centers with encouragement for those inside. “You’re doing the right thing..”
      The de rigeur gentle exhortations throughout the article about how important it is we all get vaccinated. I’m reading along, just waiting for the statements of advice to turn to concerning restrictions and threats surely coming hand-in-hand for those who choose to resist the jab.

      When what you do I come upon? Simply the most gratifying few words I’ve heard out of a politicians mouth in far too long (or in this case, their Secretary).
      Dare I be optimistic? Can we take these words at face value? Here’s to hoping.

      ———-
      Psaki also on Tuesday ruled out a federal “vaccine passport,” or mandatory documentation that a person has been vaccinated, an issue that has become increasingly politicized.
      “The government is not now, nor will we be, supporting a system that requires Americans to carry a credential,” Psaki said.

      She added: “As these tools are being considered by the private and nonprofit sectors, our interest is very simple from the federal government, which is: Americans’ privacy and rights should be protected, and so that these systems are not used against people unfairly.”
      ————
      https://apple.news/ANjRcfPu9TU20iRbU5B8Q-A

      • Xabier says:

        Probably the same strategy as being pursued here in the UK: not mandated by government – which would be a human rights crime – but they are hoping that employers, retailers, etc, will force people to show proof of vaccination or deny them service on their private premises.

        The UK government has been putting pressure on business owners behind the scenes.

        Expect nothing other than complete dishonesty and hypocrisy in this matter.

        There is a Plan, and we will be moulded to it over he next few years whether we will or no.

      • jj says:

        “The government is not now, nor will we be, supporting a system that requires Americans to carry a credential,” Psaki said.

        Of course not. carrying a credential so passe. It will be on your citizen chip. Thats what they will be supporting not some archaic easily forged non digital document. Smily face gif. Sorry feds didnt require every state to file a vaccination plan with mandatory data base to not track whether you are participating in the eugenics program. Nor are experts from john hopkins flooding the airways about the needs for mandates for nuttin.

        Head fake. Somthing is up.

    • hillcountry says:

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QAHi3lX3oGM

      This guy is a real Heavy-Weight in Medicine

      Peter McCullough, MD testifies to Texas Senate HHS Committee
      March 11, 2021

      “And I have to tell you, I was the lead author on that paper, and we had dozens of authors from Italy and India, UCLA, Emory, we had the best institutions in the United States, and I can tell you the interesting thing was there were 50,000 papers in the peer-reviewed literature on Covid and not a single one told a doctor how to treat it.”

      He goes on to describe how the paper they wrote was like a lightning-rod and was read and cited beyond any other in existence. How his daughter showed him how to make a YouTube video and he did a simple one with just 4 slides from the paper and it went viral before YouTube ‘cancelled’ it for violation of their standards. And much, much more.

      • Xabier says:

        Gosh, all these experienced, highly qualified doctors and virologists, suddenly devoted to ‘misinforming’ the public, according to YT and Twitter.

        What can explain this? Mass hysteria? Corruption? Senility? Putin’s agents?

        Or is that there will be no place for true scientific method, reason and truth in the New Normal?

        What should we call the new narrative: ‘Matrix Medicine’?

        The Ancients once erected a monument to one of the great philosophers: ‘To Truth and Reason’

        We are seeing both trashed before our very eyes, by the medical profession turned to corporate whores, doing anything for a research grant; and our governments, sunk in lies.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          BTW – prior to calling Rebecca at the Minister of Health’s office I sent her that email with the subject ‘I know what you are doing’….

          The last time I called the Minister’s office (around a month ago)… my primary enquiry was asking why they wanted everyone to take the vax… I of course could not get a straight answer… and when I asked ‘is this a plan to kill off the entire population – did John Key retire because he preferred not to be involved’…. the woman said something to the effect ‘I won’t listen to any of this’ and hung up.

          But this time I said … Hi… is this Rebecca… and she said yes… I asked if she had received and read my email… she asked my name … and she said yes I have that… so tell me Rebecca have I got the story pretty much right or not…

          She did not hang up … she seemed rather flustered… now that I think about her response it was almost one of slight despair… sadness… she said please you need to send any questions you have to Medsafe… I told her that I already did that but they won’t answer… just like Hipkins won’t answer… reiterated… come on Rebecca — no way you guys authorize and encourage 5M people to get an unnecessary experimental vaccine … I know what you are doing … it’s obvious…

          Now if I had to guess.. two things were going on in her mind:

          1. She knows about the CEP and is troubled by it (who wouldn’t be) but solemnly agrees that it is the right decision.

          2. She has read that email and she too is wondering why 5M people are lined up for an experimental vaccine that they do not need… but what can she say or do about it…

          What I find incredible is that doctors and nurses are agreeing to administer this experiment… I have not heard of a single doctor in NZ who will refuse to play ball… perhaps they have been warned?

          https://www.irishtimes.com/news/health/gp-suspended-by-medical-council-over-refusal-to-give-covid-19-vaccine-1.4516239

          I missed 2 call backs from the local clinic (I want to ask if I can get HGH and anabolic steroid injections if I get the Covid vax…. since those are not experimental drugs surely they are safer than any vax… Lance Armstrong seems to be doing fine after decades of PEDS…)

          I will pursue that line of logic with them… but I really need to get in front of a doctor… so .. if you give me these injections I will take that one … what will the doctor do when confronted by the Supreme Logical Being??? If he refuses then perhaps I throw in a request for some Oxy… and let him know what I will use it for so effectively he’s done his job… one way or the other I go down.

          Not sure if I want to go that far… small town…

          • Xabier says:

            Request some Oxy, FE, and they might well have you banged up as ‘of unsound mind’ – rather risky!

            ‘Mentally unbalanced anti-vaxxer makes suicide request to doc’.

  44. Fast Eddy says:

    Comment from J. Patrick Whelan MD PhD
    Posted by the Food and Drug Administration on Dec 9, 2020

    I am a pediatric specialist caring for children with the multisystem inflammatory syndrome (MIS-C). I am concerned about the possibility that the new vaccines aimed at creating immunity against the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein (including the mRNA vaccines of Moderna and Pfizer) have the potential to cause microvascular injury to the brain, heart, liver, and kidneys in a way that does not currently appear to be assessed in safety trials of these potential drugs.

    https://www.regulations.gov/document/FDA-2020-N-1898-0246

    • The comment certainly does sound worrying.

      • Sam says:

        Why all this obsession with COVID? When the economic system collapses at the end of this summer you are all going to be freaking out of what to eat and how to live another day. Oh well at least you will have spent your last days in a very productive manner talking about a fake disease or not fake disease.

        • Kowalainen says:

          I’m thinking that too, it surely seems like a botched eugenics jobbie that they strong-arm with various absurd and obnoxious shenanigans.

          How obvious does something have to be before cutting through the blurry haze of the myopia of ordinary?

          A lot it seems like.

        • COVID and vaccines seem to be an obsession of a lot of people. An amazing number of people think our economic problems will go away when COVID-19 (soon) goes away.

          The real problem is difficult to explain to people. Even if vaccines work, we still have a huge economic problem.

  45. Confirmation vaccine supply will be pinched for months, stranding many with 1 dose.

    England’s Covid vaccine programme could slow sharply, Sage says
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/apr/06/england-covid-vaccine-programme-could-slow-sharply-sage-warns

    • At least part of the problem is the fact that India has greatly reduced (eliminated?) vaccine exports because with the recent flare up in cases in India, it needs the vaccine for its own people.

      • VFatalis says:

        What problem ? Second doses are delayed on purpose to stimulate mutations. That’s the desired effect.

  46. jj says:

    In the the new VAX apartheid being created why not have a catagory on the VAX green card. “no record of individual putting that thing in their body”? That way those with unmodified DNA can have their own businesses where they wont have to be exposed to Mutated DNA variant spreaders. Not to my liking apartheid but thats what is happening. If the mutated DNA folks dont want me around i certainly dont want to impose on their world. Just provide us non mutants with documentation so we can live quiet minority lives. Just like the Mennonites. We wont cause trouble. Laugh at us and make fun since its ok for our minority. We will be the new “n Word” “not vaxxed” “naxxers”.

    There will be a significant percentage who will refuse to put that thing in their body. Whether its 10% or 30% doesnt matter a apartheid society is being created. Unless the plan is to kill all the naxxers ala genocide they will be around as a part of society that is not allowed many of the benefits the yaxxers enjoy. That is known as apartheid. As a naxxer i would like to know what if any accommodations are planned for me and the others in my minority. It could be camps as some have hypothesized I hope not. If those implementing this new apartheid society do not plan camps I would like to know whether we will be allowed our own businesses so we can buy necessities. Otherwise its not a apartheid its genocide. No we wont be tested for 24 hour passes.

    I do have a plan. A sign in the walmart entrance. “Naxxer cant buy food please help”.

    • Kowalainen says:

      Just take care of your own misery if it comes to that. What is so goddamned great about humanoid shenanigans anyway?

      It is the perpetual cackle that is based in envy, petty minds and cruelty – slightly genetically modified rapacious primate “style”.

      Perhaps too many worldly attachments on your behalf? Been busy MOARing together with the other MOARons?

      I say, bring on the next ice age and take comfort in them back pedal down the evolutionary tree. Let the schadenfreude take a planetary proportion.

      🤣👍

  47. MG says:

    “The vaccine that Russia sent to Slovakia is not the same as the batch they wrote about in the prestigious scientific journal Lancet.”

    https://slovensko.hnonline.sk/2327968-informacie-o-sputniku-v-chybaju-zistili-vsak-ze-latka-na-slovensku-je-ina-ako-ta-v-prestiznom-casopise

    • This sounds like it has the making of a scandal.

      I remember reading that at least one manufacturer was having difficulty scaling up the small batch process used for early studies to the quantity needed by customers. Quality tended to go downhill.

      • Kowalainen says:

        Well, of course high quality stuff comes at a price. Stuff, services and ideas.

      • MG says:

        We will see, if it is just a formulation of the regulatory authority describing that the batch used by Lancet is not the same as the batch delivered to Slovakia, or if there are really some differences.

        The lack of the documents regarding the production process, quality assurance etc. leads to the conclusion that one batch can be different from another one, especially when various production facilities are involved. This seems to be the main unknown of Sputnik V.

  48. Covid passports could be required for clothes shopping after 21 June, indicates Downing Street

    “Covid passports” could be required for customers visiting clothes shops in England after the removal of lockdown restrictions on 21 June, Downing Street has indicated.

    The idea provoked horror among retailers, with one trade body describing it as neither “appropriate or useful”.

    A briefing document on Monday confirmed the government is considering the introduction of “Covid-status certification” as lockdown eases, so that individuals wanting to enter premises can prove that they have either been vaccinated, recently tested or gained immunity through previous infection.

    The report said that ministers believe shoppers should never be required to supply such proof in order to use “essential” retail venues, but did not make clear exactly which shops were exempted.

    Boris Johnson said no decision had been made on whether to require certification domestically, but said that it would not come into force during stages two and three of England’s lockdown relaxation, due to begin on 12 April and 17 May.

    Pressed today on whether shoppers could eventually be asked for their vaccine passport to enter shops like Next or H&M, the prime minister’s official spokesman did not rule it out.
    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/covid-passports-lockdown-clothes-shops-b1827321.html?utm_content=Echobox&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1617713184

    • Scares away shoppers and raises costs. Not likely to be popular.

      • Bobby says:

        Shop online. Removes two way traffic and saves fuel.
        As well as caters for introverts
        😀

        • That’s insidious as it tends to favor large companies. I have an anti-vax acquaintance who challenged a small local clothing store, saying, “I have four kids and they all have money to spend on clothes, but we’re not wearing masks”. The owner opened the store early just for them, so they wouldn’t encounter Mask Karens. Not an ideal solution, but something.

          • Micheal Moore says:

            I love Amazon! I get things delivered right to my door! And I don’t have to rub elbows with white trash america…..bring it on….My stocks are going up….the value of my house is going up…..life is great…there is no crash coming….this site has been saying its just around the corner for years

  49. Tim Groves says:

    I guess he’s worried that his jab might not contain he same ingredients as the queen got but might instead come from the same batch that was given to Larry King and Hank Aaron.

    “In a reversal from comments made last week, Mexico’s President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador said on Monday he would not be taking the coronavirus vaccine, arguing that he still has sufficient levels of antibodies in his system following his bout with the virus earlier this year.

    “Speaking during his daily news conference, Lopez Obrador said test results show that it would be unnecessary for him to take the vaccine.”

    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/4/5/lopez-obrador-shifts-gears-now-says-he-wont-get-covid-19-jab

  50. Mirror on the wall says:

    The IMF has released its April 2021 World Economic Outlook if anyone is interested. It is best to bypass the silly and misleading Tory press state propaganda headlines and to go straight to the release.

    https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2021/03/23/world-economic-outlook-april-2021

    > Global prospects remain highly uncertain one year into the pandemic. New virus mutations and the accumulating human toll raise concerns, even as growing vaccine coverage lifts sentiment. Economic recoveries are diverging across countries and sectors, reflecting variation in pandemic-induced disruptions and the extent of policy support. The outlook depends not just on the outcome of the battle between the virus and vaccines—it also hinges on how effectively economic policies deployed under high uncertainty can limit lasting damage from this unprecedented crisis.

    Global growth is projected at 6 percent in 2021, moderating to 4.4 percent in 2022. The projections for 2021 and 2022 are stronger than in the October 2020 WEO. The upward revision reflects additional fiscal support in a few large economies, the anticipated vaccine-powered recovery in the second half of 2021, and continued adaptation of economic activity to subdued mobility. High uncertainty surrounds this outlook, related to the path of the pandemic, the effectiveness of policy support to provide a bridge to vaccine-powered normalization, and the evolution of financial conditions.

    • Thanks! There is a 192 page free PDF that a person can download from this site. It is full of little charts analyzing impacts according to four categories of countries by income classification.

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      The IEA Oil 2021 report was released last month.

      https://www.iea.org/reports/oil-2021

      > Analysis and forecast to 2026

      Fuel report — March 2021

      World oil markets are rebalancing after the Covid 19 crisis spurred an unprecedented collapse in demand in 2020, but they may never return to “normal”. Oil 2021, the IEA’s latest medium-term outlook, explains why.

      Rapid changes in behaviour from the pandemic and a stronger drive by governments towards a low-carbon future have caused a dramatic downward shift in expectations for oil demand over the next six years. This is forcing hard decisions on oil-producing countries and companies, which are reluctant to leave resources untapped or to install new capacity that would only sit idle. Could oil demand peak sooner than expected? Or is the world heading into a supply crunch? What will the implications be for the refining industry and trade flows?

      Oil 2021 tackles these questions by analysing oil market data, trends in investment and government policies. The report provides a comprehensive outlook for global supply and demand through 2026 and explores some of the challenges and uncertainties that lie ahead.

      • Thanks! Many of IEA’s reports are behind paywalls, but this one is not.

        I thought that it was interesting that the IEA is still computing future oil supply including an amount called “Call on OPEC” (amount needed to balance the system). In IEA’s view, OPEC will be producing more in 2026 than it did in 2019 and 2020. Actually, non-OPEC supply will be rising as well.

        As part of this report, there is a Data and statistics section that gives quantities and charts showing various historical data.
        https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics?country=WORLD&fuel=Energy%20supply&indicator=TPESbySource

        You can scroll to find other areas than World, such as European Union – 28.

        The data is 1990 to 2018, so is not very recent. The charts are interesting, because they show what a tiny role wind and solar are playing in total energy supply. The IEA is less generous in the way it counts electricity than BP and EIA. This reduces the reported benefit of solar and wind.

Comments are closed.