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In my view, there are three ways a growing economy can be sustained:
- With a growing supply of cheap-to-produce energy products, matched to the economy’s energy needs.
- With growing debt and other indirect promises of future goods and services, such as rising asset prices.
- With growing complexity, such as greater mechanization of processes and supply lines that extend around the world.
All three of these approaches are reaching limits. The empty shelves some of us have been seeing recently are testimony to the fact that complexity is reaching a limit. And the growth in debt looks increasingly like a bubble that can easily be popped, perhaps by rising interest rates.
In my view, the first item listed is critical at this time: Is the supply of cheap-to-produce energy products growing fast enough to keep the world economy operating and the debt bubble inflated? My analysis suggests that it is not. There are two parts to this problem:
[a] The cost of producing fossil fuels and delivering them to where they are needed is rising rapidly because of the effects of depletion. This higher cost cannot be passed on to customers, without causing recession. Politicians will act to keep prices low for the benefit of consumers. Ultimately, these low prices will lead to falling production because of inadequate reinvestment to offset depletion.
[b] Non-fossil fuel energy products are not living up to the expectations of their developers. They are not available when they are needed, where they are needed, at a low enough cost for customers. Electricity prices don’t rise high enough to cover their true cost of production. Subsidies for wind and solar tend to drive nuclear electricity out of business, leaving an electricity situation that is worse, rather than better. Rolling blackouts can be expected to become an increasing problem.
In this post, I will explore the energy-related issues that are contributing to the recessionary trends that the world economy is facing, starting later in 2022.
[1] World oil supplies are unlikely to rise very rapidly in 2022 because of depletion and inadequate reinvestment. Even if oil prices rise higher in the first part of 2022, this action cannot offset years of underinvestment.
The IEA, in its Oil Market Report, December 2021, forecasts a 6.4-million-barrel increase in world oil production in 2022 over 2021. Indications through September of 2021 strongly suggest that there was only a small rebound (about 1 million bpd) in the world’s oil production in 2021 compared to 2020. In my view, the IEA’s view that liquids production will increase by a huge 6.4 million barrels a day between 2021 and 2022 defies common sense.
The basic reason why oil production is low is because oil prices have been too low for producers since about 2012. Companies have had to cut back on developing new fields in higher cost areas because oil prices have not been high enough to justify such investments. For example, producers from shale formations could add new wells outside the rapidly depleting “core” regions if the oil price were much higher, perhaps $120 to $150 per barrel. But US WTI oil prices averaged only $57 per barrel in 2019, $39 per barrel in 2020, and $68 per barrel in 2021, so this new investment has not been started.
Recently, oil prices have been over $80 per barrel, but even this is considered too high by politicians. For example, countries are releasing oil from their strategic oil reserves to try to force oil prices down. The reason why politicians are interested in low oil prices is because if the price of oil rises, both the price of food and the cost of commuting are likely to rise, since oil is used in farming and in commuting. Inflation is likely to become a problem, making citizens unhappy. Wages will go less far, and politicians who allow high oil prices will be voted out of office.
[2] Natural gas production can be expected to rise by 1.6% in 2022, but this small increase will not be enough to meet the needs of the world economy.
With natural gas production growing at a little less than 2% per year, a major issue is that there is not enough natural gas to “go around.” Natural gas is the smallest of the fossil fuels in quantity. We are depending on its growth to solve many problems, simultaneously:
- To increase natural gas imports for countries whose own production is declining
- To provide quick relief from inadequate production by wind turbines and solar panels, whenever such relief is needed
- To offset declining coal consumption related to a combination of issues (depletion, high pollution, climate change concerns)
- To help increase world electricity supply, as transportation and other processes are gradually electrified
Furthermore, the rate at which natural gas supply increases cannot easily be speeded up because (a) the development of new fields, (b) the development of transportation structures (pipeline or Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) ships), and (c) the development of storage facilities all require major upfront expenditures. All of these must be planned years in advance. They require huge amounts of resources of many kinds. The selling price of natural gas must be high enough to cover all of the resource and labor costs. For those familiar with the concept of Energy Returned on Energy Invested (EROEI), the basic problem is that the delivered EROEI falls too low when all of the many parts of the system are considered.
Storage is extremely important for natural gas because fluctuations tend to occur in the quantity of natural gas the overall system requires. For example, if stored natural gas is available, it can be used when wind turbines are not producing enough electricity. Also, a huge amount of energy is needed in winter to keep homes warm and to keep the lights on. If sufficient natural gas can be stored for months at a time, it can help provide this additional energy.
As a gas, natural gas is difficult to store. In practice, underground caverns are used for storage, assuming caverns of the right type are available. Trying to build storage, if such caverns are not available, is almost certainly an expensive undertaking. In theory, importing natural gas by pipeline or LNG can transfer the storage problem to LNG producers. This is not a satisfactory solution, however. Without adequate storage available to sellers, this means that natural gas can be extracted for only part of the year and LNG ships can only be used for part of the year. As a result, return on investment is likely to be poor.
Now, in 2022, we are hitting the issue of very slowly rising natural gas production head-on in many parts of the world. Countries that import natural gas without long-term contracts are facing spiking prices. Countries in Europe and Asia are especially affected. The United States has mostly been isolated from the spiking prices thanks to producing its own natural gas. Also, only a small portion of the natural gas produced by the US is exported (9% in 2020).
The reason for the small export percentage is because shipping natural gas as LNG tends to be very expensive. Long-distance LNG shipping only makes economic sense if there is a several dollar (or more) price differential between the buyer’s price and the seller’s costs that can be used to cover the high transport costs.
We now seem to be reaching a period of spiking natural gas prices, especially for countries importing natural gas without long-term contracts. If natural gas prices rise, this will tend to make electricity prices rise because natural gas is often burned to produce electricity. Products made with high-priced electricity will be less competitive in a world market. Individual citizens will become unhappy with their high cost of heat and light.
High natural gas prices can have very adverse consequences. In areas with high prices, products made using natural gas as a raw material will tend to be squeezed out. One such product is urea, used as a nitrogen fertilizer. With less nitrogen fertilizer available, food production is likely to fall. If food prices rise in response to short supply, consumers will tend to reduce discretionary spending to ensure that there are sufficient funds for food. A reduction in discretionary spending is one way recession starts.
Inadequate growth in world natural gas production can be expected to hit poor countries especially hard. For example, a recent article mentions LNG suppliers backing out of planned deliveries of LNG to Pakistan, given the high prices available elsewhere. Another article indicates that Kosovo, a poor country in Europe, is experiencing rolling blackouts. Eventually, if natural gas available for export remains limited in supply, electricity blackouts can be expected to spread more widely, to less poor parts of Europe and around the world.
[3] World coal production can be expected to decline, further pushing the world economy toward recession.
Figure 3 shows my estimate for world coal production, next to a recent IEA forecast.
Figure 3 shows that world coal consumption has not been rising for about a decade.
Coal seems to be having the same problem with rising costs as oil. The cost of producing the coal is rising because of depletion, but citizens cannot afford to pay more for end products made with coal, such as electricity, steel and solar panels. Coal producers need higher prices to cover their higher costs, but it becomes increasingly difficult to pass these higher costs on to consumers. This is because politicians want to keep electricity prices low to keep their citizens and businesses happy.
If the cost of electricity rises, the cost of goods made with high-priced electricity will tend to rise. Businesses will find their sales falling in response to higher prices. In turn, they will tend to lay off workers. This is a recipe for recession, but a slightly different one than the ones mentioned earlier. It also is a good way for politicians not to get re-elected. As a result, politicians will try to hide rising coal costs from customers. For example, laws may be enacted capping electricity prices that can be charged to customers. Because of this, some electricity companies may be forced out of business.
The decrease in coal production I am showing for 2022 is only 1%, but when this small reduction is combined with the growth problems shown for coal and oil and the rising world population, it means that world coal supplies will be stretched.
China is the world’s largest coal producer and consumer. A major concern is that the country has serious coal depletion problems. It has experienced rolling blackouts since the fall of 2020. It has tried to encourage its own production by limiting coal imports, thus keeping wholesale coal prices high for local producers. It also limits the extent to which high coal costs can be passed on to electricity customers. As a result, the 2021 profits of electricity companies are expected to be reduced.
[4] The US may have some untapped coal resources that could be tapped, if there is a plan to ship more natural gas to Europe and other areas in need of the fuel.
The possibility of additional US coal production occurs because coal production in the US seems to have occurred because of competition from incredibly inexpensive natural gas (Figure 4). To some extent, this low natural gas price results from laws prohibiting oil and gas companies from “flaring” (burning off) natural gas that is too expensive to produce relative to the price it can be sold for. Prohibitions against flaring are a type of mandated subsidy of natural gas production by the oil-producing portion of “Oil & Gas” companies. This required subsidy leads to part of the need for high oil prices, especially for companies drilling in shale formations.
A major reason why US coal extraction started to decline about 2009 is because a very large amount of shale gas production started becoming available then as a byproduct of oil production from shale. Oil producers were primarily interested in extracting oil because it (hopefully) sold for a high price. Natural gas was a byproduct whose collection was barely economic, given its low selling price. Also, the economy didn’t have uses, such as trucks powered by natural gas, for all of this extra natural gas production. Figure 4 suggests that wholesale natural gas prices dropped by close to half, in response to this extra supply.
With these low natural gas prices, as well as coal pollution concerns, a significant amount of US electricity production was switched from coal to natural gas. It is my view that this change left coal in the ground, potentially for later use. Thus, if natural gas prices rise again, US coal production could perhaps rise again. The catch, of course, is that many coal-fired electricity-generating plants in the US have been taken out of service. In addition, coal mines have been closed. Any increase in future coal production would likely take place very slowly because of the need for many simultaneous changes.
[5] On a combined basis, using Tverberg Estimates for 2021 and 2022, fossil fuel production in total takes a step down in 2020 and doesn’t rise much in 2021 and 2022.
Figure 5 shows that on a combined basis, the overall energy being provided by fossil fuels is likely to remain lower in 2021 and 2022 than it was in 2018 and 2019. This is concerning, because the economy cannot go back to its 2019 level of “openness” and optional travel for sightseers, without a big step up in energy supply, especially for oil.
This same figure shows that the production of the three fossil fuels is somewhat similar in quantity: Oil is the highest, coal is second, and natural gas comes in third. However, oil shows a step down in 2020’s production from which it has not recovered. Coal shows a smoother pattern of rise and eventual fall. So far, natural gas has mostly been rising, but not very steeply in recent years.
[6] Alternatives to fossil fuels are not living up to early expectations. Electricity from wind turbines and solar panels is not available when it is needed, requiring a great deal of back-up electricity generated by fossil fuels or nuclear. The total quantity of non-fossil fuel electricity is far too low. A transition now will simply lead to electricity blackouts and recession.
Figure 6 shows a summary of non-fossil fuel energy production for the years 2000 through 2020, without a projection to 2022. For clarification, wind and solar are part of the electrical renewables category.
Figure 6 shows that nuclear electricity production has been declining at the same time that the production of electrical renewables has been increasing. In fact, a significant decrease in nuclear electricity is planned in Europe in 2022. This reduction in nuclear electricity is part of what is causing the concern about electricity supply for Europe for 2022.
The addition of wind and solar to an electrical grid seems to encourage the closure of nuclear electricity plants, even if they have many years of safe production still ahead of them. This happens because wind and solar are given the subsidy of “going first,” if they happen to have electricity available. Wind and solar may also be subsidized in other ways.
The net result of this arrangement is that wholesale electricity prices set through competitive markets quite frequently fall too low for other electricity producers (apart from wind and solar). For example, wind and solar electricity that is produced during weekends may be unneeded because many businesses are closed. Electricity produced by wind and solar in the spring and fall may be unneeded because heating and cooling needs tend to be low at these times of the year. Wind and solar electricity providers are not asked to cut back supply because their production is unneeded; instead, low (or negative) prices encourage other electricity producers to cut back supply.
Nuclear electricity producers are particularly adversely affected by this pricing arrangement because they cannot save money by cutting back their output when wind and solar are over-producing electricity, relative to demand. This strange pricing arrangement leads to unacceptably low profits for many nuclear electricity providers. They may voluntarily choose to be closed. Local governments find that if they want to keep their nuclear electricity producers, they need to subsidize them.
Wind and solar, with their subsidies, tend to look more profitable to investors, even though they cannot support the economy without a substantial amount of supplementary electricity production from other electricity providers, which, perversely, they are driving out of business through their subsidized pricing structure.
The fact that wind and solar cannot be depended upon has become increasingly obvious in recent months, as coal, natural gas and electricity prices have spiked in Europe because of low wind production. In theory, coal and natural gas imports should make up the shortfall, at a reasonable price. But total volumes available for import have not been increasing in the quantities that consumers need them to increase. And, as mentioned above, nuclear electricity production is increasingly unavailable as well.
[7] The total quantity of non-fossil fuel energy supplies is not very large, relative to the quantity of fossil fuel energy. Even if these non-fossil fuel energy supplies increase at a trend rate similar to that in the recent past, they do not make up for the projected fossil fuel production deficit.
With respect to anticipated future non-fossil fuel electricity generation, one issue is how much nuclear is being shut off. I would imagine these current closure schedules could change, if countries become aware that they may be facing rolling blackouts without nuclear.
A second issue is the growing awareness that renewables don’t really work as intended. Why add more if they don’t really work?
A third issue is new studies suggesting that prices being paid for locally generated electricity may be too generous. Based on such an analysis, California is proposing a major reduction to its payments for renewable-generated electricity, starting July 1, 2022. This type of change could reduce new installations of solar panels on homes in California. Other locations may decide to make similar changes.
I have shown two estimates of future non-fossil fuel energy supply in Figure 7. The high estimate reflects a 4.5% annual increase in the total supply, in line with recent past increases for the group in total. The lower one assumes that 2021 production is similar to that in 2020 (because of more nuclear being closed, for example). Production for 2022 represents a 5% decrease from 2021’s production.
Regardless of which assumption is made, growth in non-fossil fuel electricity supply is not very important in the overall total. The world economy is still mostly powered by fossil fuels. The share of non-fossil fuels relative to total energy ranges from 16% to 18% in 2020, based on my low and high estimates.
[8] The energy narrative we are being told is mostly the narrative that politicians would like us to believe, rather than the narrative that historians and physicists would develop.
Politicians would like us to believe that we live in a world of everlasting economic growth and that the only thing we should fear is climate change. They base their analyses on models by economists who seem to think that an “invisible hand” will fix all problems. The economy can always grow; enough fossil fuels and other resources will always be available. Governments seem to be able to print money; somehow, this money will be transformed into physical goods and services. With these assumptions, the only problems are distant ones that central banks and carbon taxes can handle.
The realists are historians and physicists. They tell us that a huge number of past economies have collapsed when their populations attempted to grow at the same time that their resource bases were depleting. These realists tell us that there is a high probability that our current economy will eventually collapse, as well.
The general shape that economic growth is likely to take is that of a “Seneca Curve” or “Seneca Cliff.” In the words of Lucius Annaeus Seneca in the first century CE, “Increases are of sluggish growth, but the way to ruin is rapid.” If we think of the amount graphed as the total quantity of goods and services received by citizens, the amount tends to rise slowly, gradually plateaus and then falls.
We now seem to be encountering lower energy supply while population continues to rise. It takes energy for any activity that we think of as contributing to GDP to occur. We should not be surprised if we are at the edge of a recession. If we cannot get our energy problems solved, the downturn could be very long-lasting.
And yet, it is fitting that it is here, in the shadow of the lake that produced hundreds of billions of dollars for government coffers and once made Venezuela one of the richest nations on Earth, that a picture of the country’s post-oil economy is beginning to take shape.
Shrimp farms, big and small, are popping up all over, turning the low-lying, flood-prone lands that make up the Maracaibo basin into a latticework of massive pools that grow the dark-orange shrimp preferred by diners in many parts of Europe and Asia. Flash frozen and packed onto cargo ships, the shrimp fetch as much as $3 per pound, enough to generate some $150 million last year. This may not yet put Venezuela anywhere near the ranks of top global shrimp producers — the biggest sells 20 times as much — but it’s a lot of money in an economy that has atrophied to just a quarter of its size a decade ago. And the industry is growing rapidly, at a clip of about 30% a year.
“We can produce non-stop,’’ said Jose Rincon, the commercial director of Venezuela’s largest producer, Grupo Lamar. Like just about everyone in the industry here, Lamar officials are quick to point out that their pools are far away from the oil contamination that has scarred huge swathes of the lake. What’s more, Rincon says, the region’s year-round balmy weather keeps the water at just the right temperature all the time. “The climatic conditions of the lake are possibly some of the best in the world.’’
None of this would be happening if oil were still the dominant force it used to be in Venezuela. Pumping more than 3 million barrels a day — an enormous amount in a country of fewer than 30 million people — the state-run energy industry was so lucrative and powerful that it crowded out all other exports. Who needed to bother with shrimp, or any other product for that matter, when you had oil? But then, after years of mismanagement by the ruling socialist party, output collapsed. Today, production is down to less than 1 million barrels a day, and the industry is in such disrepair that there is little chance, experts say, it will manage to return to its glory days before the world moves away from fossil fuels in coming decades.
New export industries represent a key piece of the post-oil landscape in Venezuela, one where incomes are now so depressed — blue-collar workers typically make just over $100 a month — that it gives the country a competitive advantage in international markets. In addition to shrimp, exports of rum and cocoa are also growing, and companies have started sending shipments abroad of tropical fruits and, most recently, cattle.
From Bloomberg
The world moves away from fossil fuels….in the coming decades.
Telling statement …yep but we can eat shrimp instead!
‘No plans’ to scrap Covid vaccine mandate for frontline medics in England, Downing Street says as it doubles down on plan despite warnings NHS could lose 80,000 workers overnight
There are ‘no plans’ to scrap or delay the NHS Covid vaccination mandate in England despite a huge outcry over the move, Downing Street said today.
The Government has been warned the April 1 deadline for frontline medics to get two jabs could leave 80,000 vacancies and ‘paralyse’ the health service.
But the Prime Minister’s official spokesman doubled down on the move today, claiming that it was still ‘the right approach’.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10435551/No-plans-scrap-Covid-jab-NHS-mandate-No10-doubles-move.html
The UK government will back down on this. Frontline healthcare workers simply need to stick to their guns, run out the clock, and force the government to make their choice regarding the mandate. Just watch as the cowardly politicians either extend the deadline or drop it altogether in the face of opposition.
Makes sense … assuming this is the Pulling of the Plug phase… empty shelves war starvation hospitals without staff… Covidiots dying like flies… etc…
Brace Brace Brace…. we are going down
Not yet.
“A Real American Hero” by JHK
https://kunstler.com/clusterfuck-nation/a-real-american-hero/
hahaha… it is all unravelling … at this time I like to think of an article I read… celebrating the person whose claim to fame was working at FB and coming up with the ‘Like’ function…
He’ll be dead soon too hahahahahahaha
JHK says:
“The message is getting through and the tyrants are running scared. They are perhaps having bad dreams involving torches and pitchforks.”
It seems like it has quite a ways to run, yet.
There is absolutely no reason for today’s winners to be nicer to the poor, the less able and the less intelligent sot they will become extremely hostile against them
As resources dwindle the most able will monopolize them
The movie Don’t Look Up shows that we don’t really need too many people to rebuild civilizatoin.
Other than the alien beast sequence, it is the beginning of a new thing.
====
The cold truth is the elites and today’s winners don’t really need most people.
Which most people do not realize
A massive reduction of pop to save Civilization is inevitable and that will be carried out.
Are you really saying “ The movie Don’t Look Up shows that we don’t really need too many people to rebuild civilizatoin.”
You get your Intelligence from a Hollywood movie 🙄…
Not to mention that the last scene was obviously satyrical, given that all throughout the movie human science and technology keeps failing spectacularly.
If we cannot even stop a small asteroid, what makes you think we can make it to another star system?
The timing of this movie… is interesting
Along with how so many of the stars got on board
Klum your real name wouldn’t be prince andrew would it???
kulm
dunno why i keep bothering to repeat this.
but today’s ‘winners’ are where they are precisely because of the input of the unwashed masses.
‘value’ of any service or object is specifically tied to the price other people will pay for it.
if you find yourself sitting in your vast mansion, in an otherwise ’empty’ country—in an empty bathtub—what is the value of hot water needed to fill it?
or your toilet remains blocked because the local sewage works isnt working.
such basic functions are performed by the ‘most people’ that the ‘elites’ don’t need.
without them, our modern world doesn’t work. (I could list 000s of others)
you can of course remain convinced that the elite want us all dead—ive repeated this so often that i’m sure you do.
but it doesn’t alter the nonsense of your (and others) reasoning.
If they are all automated the elites don’t have to bother with the servants
And if one’s estate is huge there is a lot of place to shit around
i formally give up
you are now officially promoted to eddy’s second in command
you don’t want to fall victim to sniper fire because you could not hold your dump either. Post-collapse life is full of problems.
China Lets In Most of the Australian Coal Stranded at Its Ports
(Bloomberg) — Most of the Australian coal used by steelmakers that was being held at Chinese ports in the wake of Beijing’s import ban has now been cleared, according to local research firm Fengkuang Coal Logistics, although there’s no sign that the halt on new shipments will be lifted.
Customs data for the final quarter of last year show 6.2 million tons of Australian coking coal were finally allowed in, along with another 5.5 million tons of thermal coal from China’s erstwhile trading partner that was destined for power plants.
https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/china-lets-in-most-of-the-australian-coal-stranded-at-its-ports
Coal supply is very tight!
I see US stock markets are way down, seeming to continue the sell off from last week. Dow is currently -1.63%, Nasdaq is -2.52%.
Also, we haven’t seen Harry McGibbs in a few days. I hope he is OK, but just taking a few days off from his reports of energy-related problems around the world.
Yes. I do enjoy the world wide breadth of his posts.
Gail, bless you for asking after me.
I have managed to induce a raging case of Sciatica by overdoing it in the gym and am trying to keep my desk-time to a bare minimum, as it gets most uncomfortable. I’ll be back when it settles down – hopefully soon!
Massive sympathies, get well soon.
too much caber tossing Harry
leave that to the natives
Too much tossing in the gym?
which is why i mainly swim now—gets rid of the gravity problem
Hope you are better soon! Glad you plan to be back when you are better.
The one time I had something that seemed a little like Sciatica (for one evening), I blamed it on eating to much pro-inflammatory food such as birthday cake and ice cream at a three day family gathering. It went away when I went back to my normal diet. It didn’t last long enough to see a doctor about it.
Recovery soon and keep moving, don’t stop. Pays dividends down the road.. you don’t have to be the fastest in the group when abear is chasing you..just faster then the slowest.
Thanks again for all your efforts and enjoy your website!
Thanks, all! I was a dummy and tried to push through the injury at first, not understanding what it was. I’ll hit the Naproxen and put some articles up soon. 😆
Get well soon Harry. I come here for Gail and for you.
Stock market made a miraculous recovery at the end of the day, after being down even more in the middle. The plunge protection team may be at work. Or maybe some people thought the market had fallen too far, too fast.
In Bavaria, Germany, it’s now mandatory to perform covid tests for children from one year of age three times a week.
https://twitter.com/TheJuggernaut88/status/1485132560552558593
Why? Knowing the child’s viral status does not make the world a better place.
Nothing makes sense anymore… why make people get vaccinated? It does not stop the spread of Covid….will they ever give up on it?
That is the irritating part we do not know why. It is not about health or viruses.
My pick of the day is destroy immune systems with jab and then release a 90%+ killer for those with damaged immune systems. No idea what survival rate for the clean bloods. Let’s say 40%.
Just a simple depop.
That would be another acceptable outcome
Largest-Ever Power Cuts Hit Turkey’s Industrial Production
(Bloomberg) — Turkey slashed electricity supplies to industry after Iran announced a temporary halt in natural gas exports, forcing some car manufacturers to stop production and threatening to hit sales abroad, a key source of foreign currency.
The government has imposed three days of power outages a week in the country’s hundreds of organized industrial zones. The main electricity distribution company TEIAS verbally informed zone managers over the weekend and said written notices would follow.
More than half of the country’s electricity is produced in gas-powered plants, and the disruptions of flow come at a critical time, as Turkey struggles to cover the surging cost of gas imports with a badly weakened lira.
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/largest-ever-power-cuts-hit-turkey-s-industrial-production-1.1712169
Doesn’t sound good!
FUNERAL DIRECTOR JOHN O’LOONEY TELLS HIS HOSPITAL ADMISSION STORY
https://www.bitchute.com/video/PowwSruITt2i/
I like John O’Looney. I have watched many of his videos and he always seems like a caring, credible chap. As a Funeral Director, he has been alerting the public in what he has seen in the bodies of those who have died and have been vaccinated. He tried explaining it to the Nurse who berated him for not being vaccinated. Listening to his experience I wasn’t surprised that they offered him every experimental drug which could have made his problem much worse. Ivermectin wasn’t offered which is known to be effective against Covid. The medical establishment have become drug dealers for Big Pharma.
CaItlin Johnston raises some really thought provoking questions in her latest blog post.
https://caitlinjohnstone.com/2022/01/21/consider-the-possibility-that-this-is-already-the-dystopia-you-fear/
I agree with her the cage is already in place and has been for generations.
I disagree that the people can wake up and make a gold city upon a hill. Human life is limited by natural resources.
Every ‘golden city on a hill’ in history attracted rivals who did their best to destroy it and carry off all the treasures and slaves: mostly they succeeded.
A wretched village miles from where anyone sane would want to live might have a chance I suppose…… Oh yes, Scotland once the windmills break down!
Xabier, Scotland has sheep and fish. Just too many people.
1700 about one million
2000 about five million
Just have to make it through the transition. Join the Laird in his keep and become an archer/farmer/bookbinder.
Way too cold and damp here. Today’s citizens would not last a month. Where to go, and how to get there?
The most sane place I see is Japan. Of course you and I are not allowed to enter.
Executioner, Ed: I do love my axes……
Reminds me of the saying ‘A city is a prison built by its inmates’.
Canadian Emeritus Physics Professor Scientist Dr Denis Rancourt sees “C0VID19 as being war measures applied to completely control domestic populations in the shadow of the U.S.-China A totalitarian system is being put into place to get rid of democracy, and it has the potential to last a really long time. All countries must apply these measures in the context of this global war to ensure war readiness and stability against unrest among their own populations. He researches all-cause mortalities and the vaccine. This is one of my favourite because of his overall conclusion (seems to make more sense than Fast Eddie‘S Compassionate extinction program). https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=x_aDF5llAg0
what is his over all conclusion?
Denis sees the totalitarian measures as each nation of the world preparing for an all against all global war. He makes no mention of resource depletion.
He may have stumbled by dumb luck on to the all against all global war for resources.
This is ridiculous nonsense.
They already have total control — look at the vaccination rates. They can easily convince the majority of their populations to inject a dangerous experiment hahaha…
If they can do that they can do just about anything they want.
As has been pointed out in the other essay posted here — we are already in a cage and most people haven’t the slightest clue
hahahahahahahaha… and the MOREONS will believe this … like they believed two would … then 3… in Turkey the MOREONS are working on 5 and believing that will protect them…
Let’s just end this nonsense and kill everyone. Kill… everyone
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-24/fourth-shot-gives-protection-from-covid-infection-israel-says?srnd=premium-asia
It is actually the opposite of what they say in Israel itself:
“Israeli trial, world’s first, finds 4th dose ‘not good enough’ against Omicron” […]
“The bottom line is that the vaccine is excellent against the Alpha and Delta (variants), for Omicron it’s not good enough,” she said.”
https://www.timesofisrael.com/israeli-trial-worlds-first-finds-4th-dose-not-good-enough-against-omicron/
But if you add a 5th shot it will be quite effective… until it’s not … then you just throw in a couple of more shots + some of the Pfizer pills with a couple of cold beer… and definitely that will end this… and if it doesn’t just keep getting boosters once/month…
Everything is… under control.
It’s like the saying: “the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results”.
Of the moderately large countries, Israel is still tops in the world in newly reported COVID cases, per 100,000 people. Something is clearly wrong on the “prevention” end of things. New deaths are rising, from a very low base. The current rate is “the highest rate in 99 days” for Israel.
Nice move by the NZ Controllers;
“The affected person must be treated as a person who has received a booster dose (and may continue to carry out certain work) if they receive a booster dose before the close of the date that is 183 days after the date on which they were vaccinated.”
“This order, which comes into force at 11.59 pm on 23 January 2022, amends the COVID-19 Public Health Response (Vaccinations) Order 2021. The amendments require affected persons who are 18 years of age or older (and do not belong to a group specified in Part 10 of Schedule 2) to receive a booster dose of a specified COVID-19 vaccine.”
Who could have guessed?!!
Now when the vulnerable tip over (2 x Jacked), they will be counted as unJacked if they don’t get the booster within 183 days of 2nd Jab. Sooooo the statistics will be able to show Omoronic is a pandemic of the unJacked. They are brilliantly covering negative efficacy of the toxic jab.
Was it the Red Queen that mentioned running as fast as you can to stand still?
https://www.legislation.govt.nz/regulation/public/2022/0004/latest/LMS629661.html
Rwanda forcibly vaccinating people against COVID, victims say
Although Rwanda says it will not mandate people to take COVID-19 vaccines, some residents — especially in rural areas — say officials have been forcing Rwandans to take the jabs.
https://www.dw.com/en/rwanda-forcibly-vaccinating-people-against-covid-victims-say/a-60413978
I suppose it’s marginally better than being hacked by people with machetes, but Rwanda is still hardly a human rights utopia.
Now it’s; short sleeve, long sleeve or kill shot?
If BAU collapses before the extermination completes 100% certain the machetes will come out… but instead of just killing … they will be killing and eating
The end of cheap energy puts leaders of all countries in a very uncomfortable place — there is no way out – so do you kill everyone now in a manner involving minimal suffering — or let them kill each other later – and believe you me – this will be worse than the worst nightmare
It is interesting to analyze that people in Italy and Austria (both have mandatory vaccinations) are treated in the same way that in Rwanda.
With all the respect towards Rwanda of course.
“New Covid variant spreading like wildfire across UK and Scandinavia: BA.2 ‘stealth’ mutation now half of all new coronavirus cases in Denmark and rapidly pushing Omicron aside” – Various media across Scandinavia and the U.K. are reporting the emergence of a new, fast-spreading Covid variant, reports City AM – but look closely and it’s just a subvariant of Omicron.
hahahahaahaha GREAT!
Does prior infection with BA.1 protect against the BA.2 version of Omicron?
Sources???? I think this is b.s…
https://www.cityam.com/new-covid-variant-is-spreading-like-wildfire-in-scandinavia-ba-2-stealth-mutation-now-half-of-all-coronavirus-cases-in-denmark-and-rapidly-pushing-omicron-aside/
Hmmm… guess what effect this will have — people won’t get tested so they don’t have to quarantine which ensures the virus spreads more rapidly into the highly vaxxed MOREONS creating more variants hahahahaha GENIUS!!!
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10430013/Omicron-2022-Jacinda-Ardern-force-New-Zealand-household-Covid-contacts-isolate-24-DAYS.html
Hahahahahahahahaha… donkey has a new policy — how will businesses continue to operate when omi spreads?
New Zealand PM Jacinda Ardern will force household Covid contacts to isolate for 24 DAYS in new crackdown as NZ braces for Omicron outbreak
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10430013/Omicron-2022-Jacinda-Ardern-force-New-Zealand-household-Covid-contacts-isolate-24-DAYS.html
Hahahahaha!
Piers Morgan is criticising New Zealand’s move to the red traffic light setting, calling it “draconian” and suggesting the country is “trapped in a perpetual pandemic prison camp”, despite there being no lockdown.
https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2022/01/covid-19-piers-morgan-criticises-prime-minister-jacinda-ardern-over-move-to-red-traffic-light-setting.html
hahahaahahahaha
Two years into the pandemic, the Pacific island nation of Kiribati has gone into its first lockdown, after 36 of 54 passengers on the first international flight into the country in 10 months tested positive for Covid. All the passengers were vaccinated. Despite that, the office of President Taneti Maamau said on Facebook: “The only way that we can fight this virus is through complete vaccination. The public is urged to complete their vaccination doses in order to protect themselves and families.”
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-60092463
“All the passengers were vaccinated.”
2/3 get covid, and the science says this happens because the vaccines have negative efficacy.
it’s 2022 the Year of Negative Efficacy.
the narrative is broken.
trust the science.
It’s here. Welcome to 1984
Covid vaccine mandate for NHS staff could be ‘paused’ by Government over fears 70,000 workers would be sacked
https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/covid-vaccine-mandate-nhs-staff-paused-government-workers-sacked-1416578
This is why you NEVER give in … until you have no other options
Ontario never followed through with mandates either – the hospitals would have collapsed
Why EVER give in? What about hack saw?
I see Bunnings has the Craftright 300mm / 150mm 2-Piece Hacksaw Set.
What do you suppose this means for unvaccinated parents?
https://twitter.com/RNCResearch/status/1485293955621302273
More Vaccination — More Reinfection
Since most of the readers of my substack already had Covid, a burning question that all of us have is “Will I get Reinfected?” This long article attempts to answer that.
I am exploring this question because the answer seems to be: it depends on whether you were vaccinated. It turns out that the vaccinated seem to be at a much greater risk of reinfection, although the vaccine-free also get reinfected.
Here’s some some tweets to make this more personal:
https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/more-vaccination-more-reinfection
“… vaccinated people with ruined immune systems, are aggregated with vaccine-free people, for whom natural immunity works well. Averaged together, our reinfection rate would look lousy and the authorities will tell us “look, your natural immunity does not work — get the vax”.
The answer is “it does work in the vaccine-free”. And “No thanks”.”
should this be further dissected:
“… vaccinated people with ruined immune systems…”
no, it is quite clear.
More fuel on the Mutant Fire – haha…. hahahahaha…. haha
According to a report in WSJ, researchers and academics are already taking steps to keep an eye out for signs that COVID is evolving in response to exposure to pills like Paxlovid and Molnupiravir.
“As with any virus, SARS-CoV-2 being no exception, there is a potential for the emergence of resistance that can impact existing therapies,” the agency said. “As such, the FDA put mechanisms in place as part of the authorizations to help the agency understand the potential impact of variants on these products.”
https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/researchers-worry-covid-will-quickly-develop-resistance-new-pills-pfizer-and-merck
Why don’t they mention that this will be the case for vaccines, as well?
Vidjos of empty shelves https://www.zerohedge.com/political/bare-shelvesbiden-trends-alarming-number-people-report-empty-shelves
I have had a long term relationship with a grass fed farmer, and I still receive his newsletter. He is in Ohio. He used to do well but sometimes have problems about getting rid of all the meat and send messages about some beef being discounted because he could only sell half a steer to a customer. I was good to him, getting a lot of offal, tallow and bones, which are more difficult to sell, and also taking advantage of such sales. He sent an update last week, he is sold out until May-June 2023.
New Zealand Dictatorship to begin in April
COVID-19 Public Health Response (Vaccinations) Amendment Order 2022
https://www.legislation.govt.nz/regulation/public/2022/0004/latest/LMS629661.html
This is what they are planning for Europe:
Corporate Distress Due to Impact of Covid-19: The G30 Urges Swift, Measured Policies Aimed at Restoring Corporate Health
Reviving and Restructuring the Corporate Sector Post-Covid
“Government intervention is best focused on addressing market failures, and to managing
the pace of the needed creative destruction.”
“This report led by Mario Draghi and Raghuram Rajan aims to inform such choices, so that we come out of Covid-19 fitter and stronger.”
http://www.prweb.com/releases/corporate_distress_due_to_impact_of_covid_19_the_g30_urges_swift_measured_policies_aimed_at_restoring_corporate_health/prweb17608599.htm
Big players behind this:
https://group30.org/members
Are any of those persons’ associated countries/entities actually solvent, other than perhaps Blackrock?
‘I cried all day’: the anguish of people locked out of Japan by Covid
Travel restrictions have stranded almost 150,000 students, workers and others hoping to join relatives
Late last year, Pablo Ortez quit his job, sold his belongings and prepared to join his wife in Japan, where she is studying for a doctorate.
But 72 hours before he was due to leave Argentina, he checked the Japanese foreign ministry website to find that the government had imposed a near-blanket travel ban to prevent the spread of the Omicron variant of coronavirus.
“I called the Japanese embassy and they said I couldn’t fly,” said Ortez, who has moved in with his mother and does not know when he will be able to join his wife, whom he has not seen since she visited Argentina last April.
The 33-year-old is one of tens of thousands of people with plans to study, work or join relatives in Japan who now find themselves “locked out” of a country that has maintained some of the world’s strictest travel restrictions throughout the pandemic.
The latest measures, imposed at the end of November, apply to all arrivals except Japanese citizens and returning foreign residents – new students, guest workers, technical interns and, in some cases, the foreign spouses and children of Japanese nationals.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/22/i-cried-all-day-the-anguish-of-people-locked-out-of-japan-by-covid
Hurts the world economy. China is cutting flights way back, as well.
Pfizer CEO paints ‘ideal’ future of Covid vaccination
Albert Bourla hopes the idea of annual vaccinations will be far easier to sell to the public
The CEO of Pfizer has tried to appease vaccine skeptics with an idea of Covid-19 booster shots only once a year – instead of every few months – all while attacking the most vocal anti-vaxxers as “criminals” who “profit from circulating misinformation.”
In a series of interviews with Israeli TV channels, Albert Bourla said it would “not be a good scenario” if people were to get boosters every four to five months. “What I’m hoping [is] that we will have a vaccine that you will have to do once a year,” he told Channel 12 news on Saturday.
Bourla argued that it is both easier to sell the idea and “easier for people to remember” if a vaccine is required only once per year, calling it “an ideal situation” from “a public health perspective.”
https://www.rt.com/news/546859-pfizer-ceo-future-vaccines/
once a year?
for now, they are getting ready to roll out an omicron based vaccine in March.
JUST IN TIME for the next dominant variant to circle the globe, and soon to leave this newer vaccine with NEGATIVE efficacy, just as the current vaccines have negative efficacy against omicron.
Ba.2 is already ramping up, and though it might become a dud, the end of variants is nowhere in sight.
by creating a yearly new booster, Pfraudzer will likely be guaranteeing that they will perpetually be at least one variant behind, and will perpetually be producing yearly boosters with negative efficacy.
the science says that the global vaccine program is a total failure.
trust the science.
What every freshman in medical school knows is that RNA viruses (especially from the coronaviridae family, including lab made strains, too) mutate all the time. The mutation proclivity is based on their RNA structure and it is the basis of their ‘existence’. Even if we do not interact with the virus with pharmaceuticals and vaccines the virus will evolve with a steady pace based solely on the interaction between host and virus. And there is nothing scary in that, it is what it is, biological reality 101. I believe that people who frequent this blog are besides all realists, I don’t understand the ‘panic’ of reality which lately has ensued here regarding virus serovars (variants) and the related digging of papers which research the virus ability to mutate. It is like looking for expertise on the matter of the daily sunrise.
Bossche – Montagnier – Bridle – Alexander – Malone >>> warning of a Marek’s type outcome but worse
Ok, i got that. I more or less share their
Ok, i got that. More or less i share the same opinion (informed knowledge based opinion). Point is that the virus gona virusing no matter what. It is what the virus does. Whether we vaccinate or treat the populations is pointless in terms of mutations given that mutations occur even without the vaccines. We can get marek outcome even if we make nothing in terms of vaccinations and treatments, the heterogenecity of peoples’ imunne responses could be sufficient trigger for marek outcome. So just relax and observe, whatever comes will be fun and thrilling.
Marek outcome is an interesting argument, but actually – in case it would apply to humans – we have to consider that humans don’t live in closed chicken coops.
In fact Marek happens in closed industrial chicken coops, but it doesn’t happen to chickens who live in nature or in familiar chicken coops.
Therefore I imagine that something different could happen in real human world, maybe with special advantage to those who are particularly far from similar-closed-chicken-coops contexts (see Europe) like for those who live in Africa or South America.
That’s why I think ‘they’ want to vaccinate Africa now, becuase ‘they’ want to put them in a negative situation and leave them in a condition to be dependent of continuous boosters.
Maybe practical limits to go on vaccinating Africa or South America will create a pain in the neck to this evil plan.
I am of the opinion that a lot of human coops have sprawled across the globe. They are abundant in old Europe too. One of my last 1st hand experience is from early 2020 in Naples, the old centre. I believe you have seen it too, right. Hordes of people (mostly migrants) living in chiken sized rooms om street level, and the street littered with trash and food scrapes, laundry drying directly on the street, people brushing others people shoulders when walking because there isn’t just enough space. And this can be seen in every EU country. Paris is fucking festering blister outside central part with their bienleuneus.
However nothing of the above is relevant regarding marek outcome (or any other ‘hoped’ genetic outcome). Genetic outcomes are the results of intricate game between the genetics (genes, genotypes) and the epigenetics (environment, stressors, triggers) and trying to forecast a future result based only on one of those two is just an exercise in futility. We can speculate and point to research and field knowledge but all we do is just that – speculations.
Why do you have to live in a chicken coop to end up with a Marek’s type disease? Any reference that states that was how Marek’s was created
a wise post
I am actually praying (well not really) for a Marek’s type outcome some time in March… that would be perfect… just as summer is ending…
Saves me flying all the way to Mexico via Dubai and Spain
Another impossible coincidence (which points to Fast Eddy being the Messiah / Saviour — of the non-CovIDIOTS … f789 everyone else – they don’t deserve salvation)
So Fast is on a fishing boat on Saturday and asks what the name of the islands are south of Stewart… they are called the Auckland Islands… yes right I’ve heard there are expedition ships going there… yes there are but not out of Stewart – they leave from Bluff says the captain…
Moments ago Fast is turning off the lawn sprinklers at the rental cottage and a guest pulls in .. Fast normally has zero interaction with guests yet HE had no choice but to welcome them … the husband tells Fast he’s just come off a boat from — Auckland Islands… he is a doctor and has a side gig of ship’s doc on the expedition boats…
Fast is interested in a bucket list journey however they will not doubt require injections so that’s not going to happen.
What are the odds… Either Fast is God — or this is all a simulation
Walmart
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FJ0hWHYXoAQM5Za?format=jpg&name=large
That has got to be a photoshop or a gag because the US Supreme Court overturned Joe Biden’s vaccine mandates.
In Quebec
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FJ0uKooX0AAUzgT?format=jpg&name=large
Quebec government has invited media tomorrow for the “Unveiling of the 1st dose vaccination strategy for the non-vaccinated”.
This comes after the government polled on whether they should make vaccination mandatory for all.
https://www.quebec.ca/nouvelles/actualites/details/avis-aux-medias-devoilement-de-la-strategie-de-vaccination-1ere-dose-pour-les-non-vaccines-37486
What’s an unvaxxed bogan to do if Walmart is off limits
Quebec retailers worry new vaccine passport rule will cause tension
As of Monday, customers will need a vaccine passport to enter large-surface stores. Retailers are concerned about backlash and staffing shortages.
As of Monday, people will need to present a vaccine passport showing they have had at least two doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in order to enter stores that are bigger than 1,500 square metres or 16,000 square feet, including popular big-box stores like Costco, Walmart and Canadian Tire.
Jean-Guy Côté, general manager of the Quebec Retail Council, which represents 5,000 stores, said the province’s retail sector is currently short 28,000 employees, which will make it harder to dedicate staff to checking vaccine passports.
“We don’t have the staff to do it,” Côté said. “And there were some technological issues. We had 10 days to find some phones for the staff because the app only works on a phone.
“Right now, the main concern is we’re going to have to take someone from the store floor and put them in the front to check everyone coming in to make sure they have the passport. Ninety per cent of the people coming in the store will have their passport because only 10 per cent of people are not vaccinated,” he said. “But we will also have to have security measures. We’re very concerned … (about) what the reaction will be from the unvaccinated when they try to enter our stores. So we hope Monday we won’t be thrown into some difficult situations.”
https://montrealgazette.com/news/local-news/quebec-retailers-worry-new-vaccine-passport-rule-will-cause-tension
In other news … FIRE is ravaging California … apparently some folks were banned from Walmart there so they tried to burn the state to the ground … crazy huh?
Coming to New Zealand April 1st:
The Covid 19 Public Health Response (Vaccinations)
This legislation will allow for:
1. The lockdown of unvaccinated or insufficiently vaccinated individuals.
2. The ability to restrict travel within the country to unvaccinated or insufficiently vaccinated (e.g. a person who does not want to get a booster shot).
3. Withhold certification from those who do not get required boosters or subsequent combinations of vaccines as may be ordered at any time.
4. The ability to dictate the type and form of certification required for proof of vaccination status — digital or otherwise.
5. The ability to dictate what other information may be required for the renewal of vaccine certificates, and which information may be contained on such a certificate.
6. The period for which a vaccine certificate is valid can be changed at any time, and who it is that may be entitled or eligible to have these certificates.
7. The specification of mandates for entire job sectors.
8. The ordering of certain jobs to require regular mandatory testing and medical examination.
9. Enforcement officers to be able to demand certification, pretty much at any time.
10. The appointment of enforcement officers that can be anybody they wish to appoint, and not necessarily police.
11. Enforcement officers to inspect and take copies of certification to be verified at a later date, before immediately returning such documentation.
12. The provision of an assessment tool for employers to use to determine who should be vaccine mandated, however employers can totally disregard the assessment tool and mandate at whim.
13. Legal or other representatives of employees may be refused entry to workplaces.
14. Contact tracing information may be used against a person in order to enforce the Act.
15. Employees who have been dismissed for non-compliance of testing or vaccination, but comply at the last minute, may still be dismissed if the employer deems revoking the dismissal to be disruptive of their business.
https://www.legislation.govt.nz/regulation/public/2022/0004/latest/LMS629661.html
New Zealand as Ground Zero: who would have suspected two years ago?
Will thigh slapping and hooting like monkeys get them out of their fix?
That’s all for show … they’ll not even whimper…
Someone posted that govt edict on a Telegraph group — the response — ‘can anyone confirm it’s true’…. um… the link was to the facking NZ.gov site…. duh… I guess we could call Ardern and ask her … but it’s a bit early for April Fools tricks
Mexico beckons… we were considering getting out of here for winter anyway…
Pay a jabbed friend to go in and get the shopping? Or shop online or at a smaller store?
I’m assuming it is still going to be legal for the unvaxed to buy things in Quebec—just not legal for them to physically enter the shopping space. They are not going to be treated like minors buying tobacco or alcohol?
I must say this is exactly what the authorities would do if they were working toward a CEP, such as a Canadian Extinction Plan. And like Mike Yeadon, I can’t see any benign explanation for this level of bullying.
But on the other hand, preventing people from shopping at Walmart and Costco—that’s gotta be good for their health, surely?
Are you not entertained?
I am entertained.
Plus I would imagine Walmart delivers.
Can you imagine holding out for this long then Walmart bans you and say to the wife… darn … I can’t live without going to Walmart … I’ll get my jab now
I am contemplating a Stewart Island solo trip – me – my high powered rifle — and the shark.
Stores operate under license to serve all residents of the municipality or county where they are located. They will be sued if they deny service to any sector of the population. I will be the first to sue them.
That being said, we have to develop our parallel economy, growing and bartering quality food. It is long overdue with the vertically integrated food sourcing these tyrants are planning.
What government has this mandate?
Some encouraging news but not enough:
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2022/01/moderna-stock-crashes-losses-top-130-billion-stock-67-highs-last-year-following-lackluster-covid-vaccine-results/
It is a start but MRNA still up ~700% from beginning of Feb 2020 (peak was a 2000% rise) versus Pfizer peak rise from 2/2020 of ~55% down to ~37% increase
Pfizer is off its peak by about 30% from peak in Dec 2021 while MRNA is off ~67% from recent peak Sept 2021
https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/pfe/charts?mod=mw_quote_advanced
I certainly don’t feel bad about the Moderna and Pfizer stock sell offs.
Moderna is a small company, with 1,300 employees, according to one report. Its recent price is $160.07, compared to a price of $18.98 on January 3, 2020. Thus, the recent price is 8.4 times the January 3, 2020 price. I would think its price has a ways to go.
Pfizer is a much bigger company, with 78,800 employees, according to a similar report. Its recent price is $52.79, compared to a price of $36.88 on January 3, 2020. Its price isn’t up nearly as much on a percentage basis (43%) because it sells a lot of other products. It still could have a ways to drop, too.
My fingers are crossed that the current downtrend continues at higher rate than general market get them back to net zero or below – dreaming “first it was slow then it was fast” lol.
Couldn’t happen to nicer folks! /Sud.
For all the attention to Pfizer’s clinical trials reports and the shadiness therein haven’t seen much regarding rigorous reviews Moderna trial results as relates to adverse events and any trial irregularities – guess better to just focus on Pfizer given their history of transgressions and fra
Pfizer is so called full circle pharma company – both pharmeceutical and CRO company at the same time. Such companies are not looked well in the regulatory world and are heavily scrutinized and regulated with one exception. I guess everyone knows what the exception is.
Pharma companies loosing steam from their ATHs but on the pther hand the CRO companies are going stratospheric.
hahahahahahaha!!! https://nakedemperor.substack.com/p/just-when-the-narrative-is-collapsing
There’s a new variant in town and it’s doubling every 4 days in the UK.
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e350009-3966-4ae6-9e89-e4f025bab4d8_1122x697.jpeg
With respect to Omicron, Ba.2 looks fairly different from the original Ba.1 variant. This chart has a note about the huge change in 60 days. (Same one you link to, Fast Eddy.)
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c876f39-89a2-45bf-8b37-1c4abd14b0d4_1280x720.jpeg
“The Emergency Must Be Ended, Now”: we asked Jay Bhattacharya to join in and we have published at EPOCH and Brownstone; no journal would take it; the medical journals are now corrupted! please share
https://palexander.substack.com/p/i-and-we-geert-vanden-bossche-yeadon
From the article:
“Key is we have underestimated the evolutionary capacity of the virus to evolve and adapt to the immune pressure we are placing on it using sub-optimal non-sterilizing vaccines, and all restrictive actions we take societally. We have people making decisions with no idea or consideration for the resulting dynamics of the virus as we impact it. As if the virus will simply stand still.
The thing is that vaccines that allows the hosts to stay alive yet still allow transmission of pathogen to susceptibles could permit very virulent strains (infectious and even lethal) to circulate within a population. These COVID vaccines I argue presented the same situation and this is catastrophic and will get worse if the vaccine is not stopped.”
Dr Mike YeadonJan 16
I disagree that the future predictions are so solid that mass murder is by far the preferred way forward.
You’re entitled to your view & me to mine.
As a specific, your assumption is that there’s no way we could adopt a less carbon intensive lifestyle in exchange for bridging the next few decades.
Closing civilian nuclear power tells me that those who’ve decided will brook no debate about changing the mix of power generation.
I’m not at all of the view that the old normal was good. I do dispute that the only way forward is mass murder.
Reply
Fast Eddy2 min ago
Fair enough… can you explain to me what a lower carbon civilization looks like.
Devil is as always… in the detail
https://palexander.substack.com/p/devastating-2nd-week-report-of-negative/comments#comment-4518029
Gail – feel free to step in at any time to explain why a low carbon world is not possible – perhaps you have an article in the archives that addresses this
When two great hyper-intelligent geniuses meet, this is how it should be—a free, fair and respectful exchange of opinions, albeit with some polite disagreement.
Bravo! I think you’ve given Mike Yeadon something to think about that he hasn’t encountered before. It would be incredible if he were to shout “Eureka! The knowledge you’ve shared has clear away all contradictions and precipitated satori. I feel like Saul on the road to Damascus!” That sort of thing doesn’t happen much in real life. but he will, I’m sure, be mulling over what you’ve said. The seed’s been planted. It may have fallen on fertile ground.
And did you notice Mike Roberts also commented on the same thread pointing out how two doses were better at keeping people out of hospital or the morgue than relying on the immune system God gave us? It’s a small finite world in the blogosphere. I’m half expecting Godfree to turn up and explain to us how COVID-19 is nothing to do with China.
Explaining why fossil fuels can’t save us is unfortunately not very easy because no one has explained to people how our economy operates.
Every economy uses energy at every step of its operation. We need the right quantity of fuels for the rising population as well as the right types of fuels. If a transition is to be made to something else, any model must consider the energy needs to make the transition. Unfortunately, the renewables we have are both very small in quantity (relative to fossil fuels) and not of the type the economy requires. If cars could run using a solar panel on the roof, this would have been done long ago.
One article that explains our predicament very well is a speech from 1957 by Admiral Hyman Rickover. https://ourfiniteworld.com/2007/07/02/speech-from-1957-predicting-peak-oil/
You could use this link to try to explain the problem.
Well, even if cars could be run from a solar panel on the roof, they would only be able to be driven during the day, if it isn’t too cloudy, but lots of energy would be needed to extract and refine the materials needed to build the car, to manufacture the car, to service it and to recycle or dispose of it. There is no escape from the need for energy and materials.
I read this not noticing mike posted it …
And thought we had a 12 year old child joining us on OFW
Advanced age is very similar to child age 😉
What I have found….unless an individual’s mind is ready to receive this information….it’s almost impossible to impossible to make them understand….people seem to believe human ingenuity will figure something out….
There will be no Fast Eddy vs Mike Yeadon Cage Match. Mike understands that Fast Eddy is like nothing he has ever encountered… and he’ll step away…. in awe.
If the people will not understand how energy is necessary to make our economy work, at least I hope that these energy limits will practically reach pharmaceutical companies in their goal to produce vaccines for all the humanity forever, because they should face soon raw materials limits of all kind.
The students here are organising a protest against the presence of ff-related companies, like Schlumberger, in the University.
They want to purify Cambridge morally, in other words.
Clearly, no one has ever explained to them where their laptops, phones,clothes, heating, even their very existence as part of the pullulating global billions come from.
I’d love a census showing how many are arts students, and how many scientists, engineers……
I think it is more than just dealing with a low carbon world. We now have profound societal changes and fragmentation. When I heard rap music with bass sonic booms emanating from a car in traffic, I would assume it was another black guy trying to announce his pheromones to the world. Now half the time, it is white kids playing that crap.
When I was young, we could be revolutionaries : “dangerous, dirty, violent and young” in the words of Jefferson Airplane “We Can Be together.”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RN1yqwU5lvc&list=RDRN1yqwU5lvc&start_radio=1
Now, contrast with:
https://dailystormer.su/ebonics-translations-nle-choppas-too-hot/
With apologies to the OFW readers.
Sorry, Hubbs, but this sounds like: “I am old and incapable now so I hate the youngs and capable”. It is always good to get your generational anxiety checked through retrospection and introspection, cursing the younglings will only add up to this anxiety.
By the way, why so many OFW-ers are stealth/hidden racists? What’s the matter with this white skin color and constant pointing to the supposed (God like) IQ levels of said skin color owners? And in the same time when I made a comment about white-ness and entitlment of some whites compared to other whites I got comentor response asking Gail to ban me for racism (and said comentor have made some not very egalitarian comments for range of ethnicities and geographies).
Good point. If you were raised in a predominantly white or intercity black community you will have plenty of bias and privilege with your in-group. Not being served at all or in a timely manner at black owned businesses is actually a thing and vice versa.. this is real world awareness that will keep a white guy from walking off Bourbon Street expecting to party with the locals or a black fellow from hitchhiking in parts of the South or the remote desert southwest. I grew up with black people and I trust those friends with my life. However, after being violently mugged several times by poor black people in the city, I learned to perceive danger in certain parts of town. I don’t hate black people but I don’t have any issue pointing out the contradictions and hypocrisy of the CRT agenda and extremist black-centric movements. Filming the mayor of my City, I observed alot of suspect affiliations leading me to believe that this is a deliberate system promoting a culture of dependency.. drugs, crime, gun violence, race baiting and popular media are all in play.
I see your logic and agree with it. My comment is more like why certain groups of people/demographics/ethnicity are labeled as lets say ‘unreliable and underdeveloped’ given that all fucking people can be added to ‘unreliable and underdeveloped’, most of them all the time and the rest of us occasionally. I don’t discriminate people, i dislike all of them equally 🙂
As you should given almost all of them are MOREONS
I am afraid Dr. Bosche’s knowledge does not spill much out of medicine. Reading his comment I have the feeling that his ability to ‘think in systems’ just dissapears when faced with the real s*it. He simply shuts down his thinking circuits and strarts to regurgitate mass media talking points. He also seems to exibit unhappiness about BAU and would be glad to see a change but doesn’t want broken eggs. And without broken eggs there is no omlette …
I have made a typo, Dr Bosche should be Dr. Yeadon
That’s understandable. It’s so easy to get those two dudes mixed up.
Notice how Mike has not met Fast Eddy’s challenge to duel…
Maybe if I tell him it’s banjos instead of guns?
I suspect Mike is on the verge of a catastrophic nervous breakdown.. he seems a reasonable and pleasant chap…
He does not belong in the Logic Pit with hardened geniuses like Fast Eddy… as we know .. Fast Eddy when in the pit has no compassion … if compassion is what Mike wants then he knows the only option is to stay out of the Pit.
That does diminish him in the eyes of OFW — but alas .. we know .. he is nothing more than a circus animal (as opposed to a barn yard animal)… at least he knows his place
A cruise ship with hundreds of passengers and crew diverted its destination path from Miami to the Bahamas to reportedly evade a U.S. warrant over $1.2 million in unpaid fuel bills.
“The U.S. marshal will be there with the arrest warrant if the ship shows up in Miami,” J. Stephen Simms, the lead attorney representing Peninsula Petroleum Far East Pte. Ltd, told Bloomberg. “My good money is that it’s not landing in Miami, from what we’ve been told. Our client is determined to r
The luxury cruise ship, Crystal Symphony, was scheduled to port in Miami on Saturday after a two-week sojourn in the Caribbean, but diverted to the Bahamas with about 300 passengers and 400 crew members after a U.S. court issued an arrest warrant.
The ship is operated by Genting Hong Kong Ltd., which has been financially struggling since the pandemic affected travel. Peninsula Petroleum Far East filed suit in the U.S. to recover $4.6 million in unpaid fees for bunker fuel for three different ships owned by Genting, including $1.2 million from the Crystal Symphony, the Daily Mail reported
Lots of failing businesses. Here the boat likely doesn’t have enough passengers at the same time that fuel prices are higher. The owner wants to keep going as long as possible. Something has to bring the business to a halt. The result is “less demand for oil.”
The good think about the Red traffic light here in NZ is that this is not a lockdown so it is unlikely businesses will get subsidies… they are on their own…
And when we get a deluge of covid many people will self lock cuz they are scared of this flu …
Maybe we can be the next Lebanon
The Lebanese are free. Sad new zealanders are just slaves. Will new zealanders return to their old habits if there are food shortages? Cannibalism is an integral part of new zealand culture. And now there are so many seasonings to brighten up your leg of man or woman (or child).
Tasty gourmet treats await as new zealand’s citizens live out their sad slave lives. At least Kunta Kinte tried to run. kiwis lie down like dogs for their commie masters. Pathetic.
Exactly! Run or hack saw, but do not submit.
I think Crystal is a high end cruise line, few passengers, many staff, very high rates.
Dennis L.
But the very wealthy have been doing well financially, so if any buyers of cruise line tickets are traveling, they should be.
I imagine the ships require COVID vaccinations. This may deter some potential passengers. Other potential passengers may have heard stories of cruise ships having COVID cases leading to isolation of a significant share of passengers. They don’t want their trip wrecked.
Just off the phone with a ship that goes to the Antarctic with stops in the Aucklands along the way… 30 day trip — was checking to see if they had internet on board… promises promises.. so I wanted absolute certainty (what would OFW do with out FE — as well as staff in HK)….
They ‘had to check how many days connection was certain’ which was a bad sign… then The Question: what is your vax policy?
All passengers and crew must be vaxxed + take a PCR before board then take a rapid test … and there will likely be more testing protocols once Omni floods NZ….. she was reading this off as if it was something that would please Fast Eddy… because I am sure all the other passengers would insist on this so they can ‘Stay Safe’
She was droning on about safety and Fast said – hold up — even if my life depends on it (which it does actually … given the number of Vaxdeaths) I won’t be taking a vaccine.
You could sense the disappointment and shock in her voice.. the ship sails in two weeks and there are lots of spots open (go figure)…. so she thought she had a live one on the hook… but then it occurred to her that she has a real live anti-vaxxer on the line…
Oh ok she said — and we parted ways…
Strange isn’t it — all the people on the boat will be boosted and jabbed and sterilized up and down before they board… BUT they still need those tests …
I guess they are not aware of how countries with high vax rates have record covid rates…
I hope they get wasted with infections just as they reach the ice… and half of them end up drowning in infected snot… probly lots of quite old weaklings on that trip… and no ivermectin I bet!
hahahahaha…
Crystal Symphony is a 6 star ship apparently.
https://youtu.be/2tkFvLvzTic
300 passengers and 400 crew would seem to flash up the first warning signal
See note above, that would seem about right for this line.
Dennis L.
Some people are just not familiar with high end tourism.
Genting declared bankruptcy last week
In what court?
The fugitive cruise ship is connected to a massive corporate bankruptcy on the other side of the world. Crystal Cruises’ parent company Genting Hong Kong is preparing for liquidation, which would either lead to a debt restructuring to keep the cruise operator a going concern, or the sale of some—or all—of its assets to satisfy creditors.
Genting Hong Kong, like most cruise companies, has struggled since the COVID pandemic began. In August 2020, Genting Hong Kong said it would suspend all payments to creditors in an effort to shore up liquidity amid the COVID crisis.
Other major cruise operators have resumed sailings as pandemic restrictions ease (the U.S. CDC’s recommendations against cruise travel notwithstanding). But Hong Kong’s ultra-strict COVID-zero policies, which halted even limited “cruises to nowhere,” have hampered Genting Hong Kong’s recovery.
On Jan. 10, Genting Hong Kong’s Germany-based shipbuilding unit, MV Werften, announced it was insolvent after negotiations with the German government for a rescue package failed. The insolvency triggered a cross-default on $2.78 billion in debt.
Fortune.com
For those of you who haven’t read Chris Clugstons book Blip he does lay out what he sees as the likely trajectory of our societal collapse. Although the details of the collapse are impossible to predict he sees it going something like this (paraphrasing from pages 322-326 of the book):
Us Versus Them (2020s)
This is the age of the resource wars and the ever-tightening grip of resource scarcity envelopes human society. Specifically we will:
* Accelerate the deterioration of our global natural environment by subsidizing and incentivizing the continued overexploitation of already extensively depleted RNRs
* Accelerate the deterioration of our cultural environments through our increasingly violent responses to our devolving natural and cultural environments.
Cluston sees every increasing resource wars and major industrial powers try to secure increasingly scarce NNR (non-renewable natural resources) such as the one we see brewing now in Ukraine.
Although Blip was published in 2019 before the pandemic I am sure Clugston would see ever increasing efforts to mitigate the crisis such as the lockdowns, mask mandates, vaccines, etc.
Us or Them (2030s)
This is the point where people realize the system cannot be fixed and it is now every man for himself. This is when the great culling of the human heard will begin in earnest as everyone realizes its either kill or be killed. Its also the the age of the war lords as people take things into their own hands.
Mr or You (2040s)
“As societal institutions, governance, and real wealth creation cease to exist, it will become universally understood that the survival of each individual depends on the elimination of all competitors.”
Aftermath
“Our global societal collapse will culminate when small, isolated, non-competing groups of human beings find themselves in areas where sufficient RNRs exist to support them sustainably – or when humankind becomes extinct.
Does anyone know Clugston. It would be interesting to have him come on OFW and comment on current events in light of his work. I wonder how he thinks we will even make it to 2050.
Chris Clugston used to write posts on TheOilDrum.com.
His early posts were a little iffy. He would mix up “high cost of production” with “scarcity.” For example, aluminum production is very energy intensive. It is also extremely abundant. One article I saw said it was the third most abundant element in the earth’s crust.
When the price of energy goes up, the price of aluminum goes up. But it doesn’t go up because aluminum is scarce; it goes up because the fossil fuel energy (and other energy) is high-priced. The effect on the economy is the same.
It is the scarce fossil fuels that are the underlying problem, I expect. It is the overall system that needs to work, considering all of the materials required.
Gail you say that in 2022 we will be in a major recession but haven’t we been in one since 2008 its just been deficit spending; keeping this going.
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/338698253_GTK_Oil_from_a_Critical_Raw_Material_Perspective_FINAL_CC_signatures
Simon Michaux- Geological Survey of Finland- who had linked video earlier today – this was a report referenced in video
do word search on recession in this PDF – see figures on pgs 15 & 234 (shaded bar interval are recession periods) graphical illustration relationship recession to oil pricing.
Cant locate now but California professor I was reading many years ago had done extensive time-series analysis oil prices related to recession – if I remember correctly was a lag of x number of months between rate change increase of oil prices above trigger value resulted in a recession. Graph on 234 you can see price spikes at beginning/just preceding recessions with particularly steep increase slope.
Projections in figure pg 15 indicates good probability recession. Lots of info in text.
we have configure ourselves such that “All about oil baby”!
I agree that high oil prices tend to be very bad for the economy. Now, imported natural gas and coal prices are very high as well. All of this looks bad for the economy. Rising fossil fuel prices mean a rising cost of producing pretty much anything. People find that they much cut back on discretionary spending. This cutback in discretionary spending brings the economy down. Layoffs in discretionary sectors add to this effect.
At some point, things seem like they will have to start going physically wrong. The “empty shelf problem” becomes too great. There are too many debt defaults.
I hope I am wrong, and governments are able to keep printing money and keep the system going. The thing that seems to be going wrong now is a reduction in actual physical energy, so that the total amount of goods and services produced is decreasing. Governments print money so that people can attempt to buy this smaller quantity of goods and services. Instead of the extra money leading to more goods, instead it simply leads to inflation.
My big concern now is that interest rates will rise in response to inflation. The higher interest rates will collapse the debt bubble holding up the world economy. It seems like that could result in a huge reduction in world trade. Hopefully, I am wrong, and something (for example, more money printing) keeps the economy going a while longer.
An electrician was telling me that with hard to get components… what is happening is that as soon as a supplier receives stock … the tradies are buying more than they need… and hoarding…
Most of the trades are hoarding materials. Paint has been scarce for the better part of 2 years so One has to travel to multiple stores several weeks or months ahead of time to buy the right “base color” and “finish” of the paint you plan to use. My paint store rep says that the 2 main issues are that the Texas freeze affected paint raw materials and the Chinese cut the supply of titanium dioxide, a major additive for paint. When I meet a fellow painter who is talking about high energy prices, the economy, virus restrictions and political solutions, I share about the limits to growth and throw in “I’ll keep working as long as they let me and then I’m heading for the hills.” One fellow said, “that might be sooner than you think,” lol.
The freeze in Texas shutting down oil refinerys caused shortages of the plastic insulation on electrical wiring, resulting in wiring costs going up and shortages.
Imperfect Vaccination risks
https://scholar.google.co.nz/scholar?q=Imperfect+Vaccination+risks&hl=en&as_sdt=0&as_vis=1&oi=scholart
FE it is a probability thing not a guarantee. So far a dud.
Not really … the variants continue to emerge … and they are now far more contagious … which is perfect because we are just now peaking in vaccine deployment — and into the booster phase…
As we know when the Injected CovIDIOTS get infected that is when we get mutations… the more infected CovIDIOTS the more mutations we get.
It’s coming… hold tight.. be patient.
Imperfect vaccination: some epidemiological and evolutionary consequences
S. Gandon, M. Mackinnon, S. Nee and A. Read
Published:07 June 2003 https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2003.2370
Abstract
An aim of some vaccination programmes is to reduce the prevalence of an infectious disease and ultimately to eradicate it. We show that eradication success depends on the type of vaccine as well as on the vaccination coverage. Vaccines that reduce the parasite within–host growth rate select for higher parasite virulence and this evolution may both increase the prevalence of the disease and prevent disease eradication.
By contrast, vaccines that reduce the probability of infection select against virulence and may lead more easily to eradication.
In some cases, epidemiological feedback on parasite evolution yields an evolutionary bistable situation where, for intermediate vaccination coverage, parasites can evolve towards either high or low virulence, depending on the initial conditions.
These results have practical implications for the design and use of imperfect vaccines in public– and animal–health programmes.
https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/abs/10.1098/rspb.2003.2370
This appears to be a theoretical parameterized modeling formulation without any parameter estimates or empirical fitting to real life events designed to produce effect posed as conclusion – wouldnt be suprised if basis for fergusons models in UK.
I notice that one of the authors on this papers is A. Read. This is likely the lead author of the 2015 article that we are discussing recently:
https://journals.plos.org/plosbiology/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pbio.1002198
Imperfect Vaccination Can Enhance the Transmission of Highly Virulent Pathogens
The 2015 article lists his name as Andrew F. Read. He has two affiliations listed:
[1]Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Departments of Biology and Entomology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, USA
[2] Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, USA
He is probably a person to watch for articles.
Looking at the abstract you quote, perhaps “reducing the parasite within host growth rate” is what the mRNA vaccines do, if they keep the vaccinated person from becoming as sick. According to the abstract, such vaccines “select for higher parasite virulence and this evolution may both increase the prevalence of the disease and prevent disease eradication.” This is not the outcome a person would normally want.
With respect to the second statement, “vaccines that reduce the probability of infection select against virulence and may lead more easily to eradication.” Today’s mRNA vaccines don’t seem to reduce the probability of infection. If anything, they seem to increase the probability of infection, especially as the vaccine’s effect wears off. This would seem to be a way to keep the virus around.
Putting the two pieces of this together, today’s mRNA vaccines would seem to be counterproductive if the aim is to get rid of the virus. If the aim is to make them worse and worse, they may be well-designed.
COVID-19 is most infectious just before symptoms appear and are highly infectious from about two days before symptoms appear to a day after. There doesn’t seem to be a selection pressure for anything other than infectiousness. The next variant could be more or less virulent; that particular aspect doesn’t seem to have a selection pressure. Difficult to see how imperfect vaccines (as most vaccines are) can significantly increase the pressure to be more virulent.
woof woof
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10430013/Omicron-2022-Jacinda-Ardern-force-New-Zealand-household-Covid-contacts-isolate-24-DAYS.html
hahahahaha Let er Rip!!!
You are right random mutations have no direction. Some will be more virulent and some less and some the same.
The probability of survival and spread of the more virulent is less due to the death of the host. Likewise the survival and spread of the less virulent is more due to the continued life and spewing of the virus by the host.
Only in a closed environment like a chicken coop can you get 100% kill by the most deadly mutation. In spread out environments like a planet with eight billion humans the hot spots die and the rest live. Unless the dying are flown around the planet by a malevolent group.
I see Japan has closed its borders.
Why do people believe a war in Ukraine will stay conventional?
I believe it because i believe nation states are a facade.
Gain of function research has been going on for a long time. The soviet Union had multiple research facilities prior to their “collapse”. This stuff is not that hard. Once genome mapping was perfected then the results of different evolutionary pressures could be observed. With a virus such as a RNA virus that loves to mutate any way its not hard to create the characteristics you want.
And what characteristics are we discussing in gain of function? Pathogenic increase, infectivity increase, and transmissibility increase.
You cant just let the world know of your pathogenic increase capabilities by release. The worlds dead if you do that not much fun. So you inform the world of your capability of pathogenic increase by publishing in peer reviewed papers exactly what you did and how you did it so its credibly understood that you possess the capability.
Considering the clear power of this technology am i really to believe that release of peer reviewed research is a casual action? please. Its like putting a bill board up that says we can kill you.
The ability to add gain of function in transmissability and infectivity is a diferent matter. This can be demonstrated in the real world without killing everyone by increasing those functions without increasing pathogen function. This in itself is demonstrating mastery of gain of function. Thats what Omicron is. Now since clear mastery of adding characteristics are communicated its absolutely clear that omicron could have had 100% pathogenicity added. BYE.
Nuclear weapons were not ideal. they destroyed the environment and needed delivery systems that were problematic. Nor were they 100% effective except by destroying the same environment and resources that the deployers needed to live. Biological weapons a solution to nuclear weapons problems. They have 100% kill rate capability on humans. They self deploy with ZERO energy. This deployment can not be stopped although it appears China is giving it a shot at trying. The other way is through biological agents that block the pathogenic biological agents. Research is ongoing in this area.
So with the clear communication of power we see nation states scrambling to get control mechanisms in place for their citizens. The nation states that perform the best in this regard are the survivors. The ultimate power that drives their actions is elsewhere but the facade is necessary for control. China is clearly the leader in this regard.
In the meantime all these cool war toys become obsolete. The curious are wondering how good is the russian tech/vs the west. Might as well light off these old fireworks. Russia is feeling lean and mean. So a boxing match is called, discussed over “negotiations”. No rough stuff. Ukraine.
You provide interesting ideas. This technology has been around a long time. Countries around the world have clearly been looking into this technology for wars for a long time. There is also the theoretical idea that the same technology for vaccines could be used as medicine delivery systems. This is one way funding has been gained for the many studies.
Also, it almost looks like Omicron was also made in a lab, to counter the original virus. Could that be part of the plan, as well?
‘Leaky’ vaccines may strengthen viruses: study
Published Wednesday, July 29, 2015 7:16AM EDT
Defective or “leaky” vaccines may lead to even more powerful viruses, according to a study on poultry that raises concerns about vaccine development in humans.
When a vaccine works as intended — such as for smallpox, polio and measles — it protects those vaccinated and prevents the transmission of the virus.
But the study, published in PLOS Biology, reported that imperfect vaccines shielded poultry but also allowed the virus to survive in an even more pernicious form.
“Our research demonstrates that the use of leaky vaccines can promote the evolution of nastier ‘hot’ viral strains that put unvaccinated individuals at greater risk,” said co-author Venugopal Nair of the Pirbright Institute in the U.K.
“These vaccines … allow the virulent virus to continue evolving,” he said.
https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/leaky-vaccines-may-strengthen-viruses-study-1.2492523
This part of the decline is so boring. Nip here, tuck there. No ACTION. No riots, revolutions, regime change.
Boring is good for our own personal life expectancies.
Exciting = fun watching though… I choose Exciting! I will get … Exciting … soon
Yep Gail, death by boredom would suit me just fine…….
Well, the Belgians are getting testy, rightfully so:
https://citizenfreepress.com/breaking/brussels-looks-like-war-zone/
That’s some real good watching!
The full preprint of the latest archaeogenetics paper is available for download in pdf from here: https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.01.18.476710v1
They have developed a new ‘DATES’ program that dates admixture events more accurately than was previously possible. The focus of the paper is thus on dates, but it also gives a useful and quite detailed outline of what is known so far about the prehistoric peopling of Europe (it does not seem to touch on the Siberian component in Scandinavia and NE Europe), and the formation of the proximate source populations from earlier populations, and how the various groups mixed at various times and places to form (much of) the early European genetic landscape. I will not attempt to summarise or quote it all here, as it is far too detailed, bar what I have added in [] below.
> Reconstructing the spatiotemporal patterns of admixture during the European Holocene using a novel genomic dating method
Abstract
Recent studies have shown that gene flow or admixture has been pervasive throughout human history. While several methods exist for dating admixture in contemporary populations, they are not suitable for sparse, low coverage data available from ancient specimens. To overcome this limitation, we developed DATES that leverages ancestry covariance patterns across the genome of a single individual to infer the timing of admixture. By performing simulations, we show that DATES provides reliable results under a range of demographic scenarios and outperforms available methods for ancient DNA applications. We apply DATES to ~1,100 ancient genomes to reconstruct gene flow events during the European Holocene. [paragraph break added]
Present-day Europeans derive ancestry from three distinct groups, local Mesolithic hunter-gatherers, Anatolian farmers, and Yamnaya Steppe pastoralists. These ancestral groups were themselves admixed. By studying the formation of Anatolian farmers, we infer that the gene flow related to Iranian Neolithic farmers occurred no later than 9,600 BCE, predating agriculture in Anatolia [also earlier Levant and Western HG admixture]. We estimate the early Steppe pastoralist groups genetically formed [equally from the descendants of Eastern European HG-related groups and Caucaus HG-related groups associated with the first farmers from Iran] more than a millennium before the start of steppe pastoralism, providing new insights about the history of proto-Yamnaya cultures and the origin of Indo-European languages. Using ancient genomes across sixteen regions in Europe, we provide a detailed chronology of the Neolithization across Europe that occurred from ~6,400–4,300 BCE. This movement was followed by a rapid spread of steppe ancestry from ~3,200–2,500 BCE. Our analyses highlight the power of genomic dating methods to elucidate the legacy of human migrations, providing insights complementary to archaeological and linguistic evidence.
Significance
The European continent was subject to two major migrations during the Holocene: the movement of Near Eastern farmers during the Neolithic and the migration of Steppe pastoralists during the Bronze Age. To understand the timing and dynamics of these movements, we developed DATES that leverages ancestry covariance patterns across the genome of a single individual to infer the timing of admixture. Using ~1,100 ancient genomes spanning ~8,000–350 BCE, we reconstruct the chronology of the formation of the ancestral populations and the fine-scale details of the spread of Neolithic farming and Steppe pastoralist-related ancestry to Europe. Our analysis demonstrates the power of genomic dating methods to provide an independent and complementary timeline of population origins and movements using genetic data.
Preprint from Stephanie Seneff,Greg Nigh,Anthony M. Kyriakopoulos,Peter A McCullough
Seneff from MIT (deuterium depleted water lady) crazy wicked biochemistry explicator 1st author &
w/ our buddy Peter McCullough MD as editor – so I tend to trust
Title:
Innate Immune Suppression by SARS-CoV-2 mRNA Vaccinations: The role of G-quadruplexes, exosomes and microRNAs
https://www.authorea.com/users/455597/articles/552937-innate-immune-suppression-by-sars-cov-2-mrna-vaccinations-the-role-of-g-quadruplexes-exosomes-and-micrornas?commit=d033a57415da0ca976b27f11d81a4cd604f7fdc7
Lots of hard/semi-impossible biochemistry mechanistic explains but also some clear interpretations & summations
“In this paper we call attention to three very important aspects of the safety profile of these vaccinations. First is the extensively documented subversion of innate immunity, primarily via suppression of IFN-α (Interferon – very important in stopping infection by Covid) and its associated signaling cascade. This suppression will have a wide range of consequences, not the least of which include the reactivation of latent viral infections and the reduced ability to effectively combat future infections. Second is the dysregulation of the system for both preventing and detecting genetically driven malignant transformation within cells and the consequent potential for vaccination to promote those transformations. Third, mRNA vaccination potentially disrupts intracellular communication carried out by exosomes, and induces cells taking up spike mRNA to produce high levels of spike-carrying exosomes, with potentially serious inflammatory consequences. Should any of these potentials be fully realized, the impact on billions of people around the world could be enormous and could contribute to both the short-term and long-term disease burden our health care system faces.”
==> Immune suppress – easier to infect
==> Potential promotion of malignant tranformations (CANCER)
==> Mechanism for spread from targeted cell throught the body via artificial spike attachment to exosomes – multiorgan manifestation of inflammation responses (Myocarditis, thrombosis etc)
also recommend you read the abstract.
I came upon this because a Veterinarian I know/respect and is very critical thinker & pragmatist in terms of learning from mistakes – didnt see anything wrong with not calculating efficacy of vaccine until after 14 day allowance for anti-body production – was very skeptical when I said immune system was suppressed upon jab making vulnerable to either unrecognized asymptomatic infection existing at time of jab or post jab infection (by covid or other infection) – trusting MSM “if that was true it would be all over the News” – as with most busy professional people highly focused on day to day he not had time to stay up on Covid issues other than direct daily impact on his dairy and dairies he provides services to (at 65 he still works superhuman hour >70hrs week, 5 to 7 days, >40000mi/yr driving around). So asked me to provide proof – quick search led me to this preprint paper (duckduck search – dont know if google would have displayed)
Google will not display many/any reports contrary to the controlled narrative.
Follow the money when it comes to Lamestream Unmedia Narrative; ownership concentrated in too few hands, editors carefully selected ‘to go along to get along’.
Google something controversial then use DDGo!
Modern day equivalent of tyranny based book burning of days of yore!
also yandex.com Russia search engine
Nice find, great summary peice to have to benchmark with outcomes both near and far.
So lowered immunity, increased cancer burden, increased inflammatory disease/dementia
numbers occuring in much younger cohorts.
Thank you.
This is consistent with other explanations heard by Scientists in Italy about the role of interferon suppression made by mRNA vaccines.
The downgrade of the immune system by mRNA vaccines has been described also by Joseph Tritto in the interview I posted earlier.
Every Scientist talking about the downgrade of the immune system made by mRNA vaccines, in order to have spyke activated, say also that it is unknown when and if the immune system will come back at its normal condition.
That’s why vaxed need to be boosted constantly (in Israel they are at fourth dose).
The more they are vaxed the worst the immune system is left
To give you some more info, I found that also Dr. Loretta Bolgan (biologist, consultant) talks about the role of interferon suppression made by this new kind of vaccine in the following interview.
This leads to a reduction of the general functioning of our immune system which is not clear how long will last.
You can find a summary of the interview in the following article, where it is possible to have a short explanation about interferon role.
<>
https://comedonchisciotte.org/dott-ssa-bolgan-vaccini-quello-che-sappiamo/
Sorry about quotation marks. Here you can find the citing which is missing above “Immunodepression is in fact one of the mechanisms of these drugs: if the vaccine did not induce the blockade of the interferon response, it would be attacked and destroyed by the immune system even before the production of the Spike protein.”
Very old news for OFW, but i was glad to receive it from a Facebook acquaintance.
https://rairfoundation.com/exposed-klaus-schwabs-school-for-covid-dictators-plan-for-great-reset-videos/?fbclid=IwAR0NRUSaqaADFfElDSPUqytarNsr9o2ruQcmRG33ytQDO5j1qeWU29HtQ3k
Thanks! We live in a very strange world, indeed.
“Exposed: Klaus Schwab’s School For Covid Dictators, Plan for ‘Great Reset'”
This video is of a gent talking about deaths in the UK, specifically the age standardized mortality rate from 1990 to present. And current numbers are not elevated!
Definition–The age-standardized mortality rate is a weighted average of the age-specific mortality rates per 100 000 persons, where the weights are the proportions of persons in the corresponding age groups.
He gives a link to the data in the video details section under the video and one can click on it and still listen to him. Start at 2 min to skip intro
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jTXYLiAG8uI
The data he refers to:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/aboutus/transparencyandgovernance/freedomofinformationfoi/deathsintheukfrom1990to2020
To me, the data provided is a lot more interesting than the video, perhaps because of my prior knowledge.
With the linked table show is that while “crude” mortality rates (number dying divided by population) have been falling for along time, age-adjusted mortality rates have been falling a great deal more. This is the relationship a person would expect, if the population is gradually getting older and older: fewer children and more old people.
Using age adjusted death rates, the mortality rate in 2020 was between the mortality rates in 2008 and 2009. This is high by recent standards, but not based on the long-term trends.
MI-6 has uncovered a Russian coup de etat plan to install a puppet regime in Ukraine.
The puppet is a former member of the Ukrainian parliament…he’s under Russian sanctions…he’s father’s assets in Russia are frozen.
MI-6 is working overtime to try start a war in Ukraine. The quality of their disinformation is suffering. They should take a nap and give their heads a good shake…and then move on.
Moscow responded: We ask the UK to stop spreading nonsense.
How convenient for Mi-6 to discover this Russian backed coup plot at this point in time!
Wonder where they were when the last Maiden happened…
Laughable!
Gail,
Charles Hugh Smith and yourself have both mentioned Peter Turchin’s idea……that “elite” overproduction is one of the chief drivers of societal upheaval….
Do you have any sense of how much this elite overproduction has affected the events of the past 2 years?
According to Wikipedia,
“Elite overproduction is a concept developed by Peter Turchin, which describes the condition of a society which is producing too many potential elite-members relative to its ability to absorb them into the power structure.”
The way I see this playing out is in the educational system. We have developed a culture of everyone needing to go to college, and even to graduate beyond college. Of course, all of this education is very expensive, both in terms of debt needed for direct costs and in terms of years the young person is out of the job market.
Unfortunately, the system cannot really absorb very many highly paid individuals. Instead, what tends to happen is “inflation in degree expectations” for very ordinary jobs. Jobs that used to be done by high school grads now need college or graduate degrees. The pay doesn’t really go up by much. Young people are left with a whole lot of debt, and jobs that don’t pay nearly enough relative to what they paid for their education.
In my last company there was a young guy with a masters degree in marketing who was running a souped up excel spreadsheet for supply chain. A trained hish schooler could have performed his job.
Yes, and even having a PhD is no guarantee of a nice academic post anymore…..and amongst the wealthy kids…..too many fighting for the finite number plum jobs in media, entertainment, politics, academia and so on…..
It has been obvious for at least two decades that way too many kids are going to college for jobs that don’t exist. According to Bureau of Labor Statistics, employers require degrees twice as often as justified by the skills and knowledge actually needed. This includes STEM; don’t believe for a minute all the STEM shortage shouting that has been going on for years.
So a very good case could be made that colleges are graduating at least twice and perhaps three times the number of graduates needed for the real economy. The attempt to funnel all kids to college is absolutely bonkers.
Not coincidentally, this feeds into the bogus “skills gap” nonsense employers constantly bleat about. When the real problem is simply unrealistic expectations. coupled with an adamant refusal to train and develop employees. Insisting on more education for jobs that clearly don’t need it is just a ruse to avoid corporate workforce investment.
Now, this is a FE example of a MOReON
INSIDER
Meet a first-generation college grad with $250,000 in student debt: ‘It’s the price I had to pay to achieve the American Dream’
Ayelet Sheffey
Sun, January 23, 2022, 6:30 AM·6 min read
When Juan Antonio Sorto moved to America at age six, he began learning that education was the path to the American Dream.
To achieve that dream, he took on what is now a $250,000 student-debt load.
He wants an answer on Biden’s plan to address the crisis: “If you’re going to do something, then do it.”
Juan Antonio Sorto thought his education would end after high school.
His family moved to Houston from El Salvador when he was 6, and Sorto, now 36, faced the challenge of navigating a completely new culture while maintaining his Latino roots. He said part of that was viewing high school “as the end goal to your education.”
But Sorto ended up with a different plan. At a college fair his senior year of high school, he realized higher education could be a reality for him. He attended a local university, thanks in part to Pell grants, scholarships for low-income students. Then, to progress in his chosen career as a probation officer, he sought a Master’s degree, and later a Ph.D.
He now has $250,513 in student debt.
“I had to continue to provide for my mother and my grandmother, and so I had no choice but to start accumulating debt,” Sorto told Insider. “It’s the price I had to pay to achieve the American Dream.”
….
While Sorto knows he voluntarily took on debt, experts agree the student-loan system is confusing and bureaucratic. It can lead borrowers seeking financial assistance on their education down a road of compounding interest and a lifetime of debt….
Sorto ended up achieving his goal — he served as a probation officer for 12 years using his bachelor’s degree. However, he joined the Great Resignation last year because the “mental exhaustion and stress” became too much. He’s now pursuing a Ph.D. — a process he started while he was working as a probation officer — and a new job as a community developer in low-income neighborhoods. Even with his student debt load, he believes he accomplished his goals.
🤔…maybe he can be like Obammie and run for President!!!!
That will pay off his student debt …. 😆
What are people thinking????
BTW…a WSJ article a long long while back stated the smarter high graduates get a certified professional trade and start right away after getting their diploma without the burden of student debt and getting big paycheck. If they still want they can go to night school classes part time and get their college degree….like I did…no debt
Its really hard to say Herbie… I used to think that way as well, but the way the governments react it is hard to say….Stay out of debt used to be the way you got ahead but now I don’t know if that is the case. Borrow tons of money and wait for the government to write it off….
I have a friend who told me you want to pay off your house and not owe anything! I told him yes if it was 2010 but now how do you think that the banks and government are going to collect? They will write everything down and paying off your house will do nothing. Being free of debt is how most of us think things should be but there is no “fairness” that rules things
OK.but we are talking about something entirely different here, Sam
Look at his career path…does it make🤪any sense to get in that amount of debt?
We all know🤪this is a scam
Ok yes I agree… I just don’t know if staying out of debt is what it used to be .. I do still see massive deflation I’m in the Jeff Snider camp on that.
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/making-sense/id1506469669?i=1000548589568
There is no growth
Why is taking a loan immoral if the entire economy is debt not resource based? Does the bank care? Nope. Does the government care? Nope. Governments the biggest ponzi debt creator of all time. Who is the victim? If the economy has no other way than debt to create money isnt taking that loan what puts food in peoples mouths and shoes on their feet? If you have a business and the profit is money created from debt how is your dependency on debt created money different? How could your business make profit without the debt based moneys existence? You figured it out. You buy at 5 and sell at 10. What makes that moral? Isnt it even more moral to bring the money into existence via debt? If you “work” for money the money still comes into existence one way, debt. No debt no money no work.
Those that “earned” that enabled “own” during a time of a expanding energy source… Why is that resource based “earning” and “owning” legitimate now that energy is in decline and we have a debt not resource based economy? Now Im both a E and a O too. Like the dog bee ay n gee oh. Oh yes the money creation stings. Stings bad. Why? Having it created is a lot easier than the way I got it.The example is a MO RON no doubt. That doesnt change that our deal is not their deal. They cant all be plumbers and electricians. Are their trees for them to cut? Are their fish for them to catch? Is there oil for them to pump? Are their buffalo for them to eat?
What are appropriate actions for those that “own” from resource based times? Does the pain us earners and owners experience upon witnessing debt based money creation really rest with those taking loans or is it the pain of realization that our paradigm was not accurate?
Mexico’s Crown-Jewel Oil Refinery Is $3.6 Billion Over Budget
Dos Bocas refinery costs have risen by 40% in past 15 months
Project is now projected to cost about $12.5 billion
ByAmy Stillman, Lucia Kassai, and Max De Haldevang+Follow
January 21, 2022, 1:00 PM UTC
Mexico’s mega-refinery project Dos Bocas is expected to cost 40% more than previously estimated and is unlikely to be completed by the government’s 2022 deadline, casting serious doubts on whether the country can soon fulfill its goal to produce all of its own gasoline.
The facility, located in the southeastern state of Tabasco, is crucial to Pemex’s plans to halt crude oil exports in 2023 as part of President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador’s nationalist goal of self-sufficiency in fuel consumption. The speed bumps for the project come as critics were already questioning Petroleos Mexicanos’s ability to refine all of its own crude given declining production, its lack of maintenance of its refineries and its heavy debt burden, which is the highest of any oil company.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-21/mexico-s-crown-jewel-oil-refinery-is-3-6-billion-over-budget
Sounds more like a recipe for diaster!
Does this mean we are now in an era where new oil refineries can only be built at a loss / with govt subsidies? In Mexico, perhaps.
MOO, When T Boone Pickens was alive he started a blog about reaching peak oil and the transition path we needed to do. R.I.P T. Boone ..you need not worry about that now
Anyway, in one post he wrote in the USA all the refineries were old and no new ones were being built
Why build any here if the resource was tapped out!!! He stated that the😀 Continental U$ was like swiss cheese in drilling…suppose he didn’t anticipate the tight oil pee scam going on now
Whatever it takes Brother…and believe me they are doing just that!
one of Eddy’s ‘casualties’
https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/crime/pensioner-died-three-hours-before-body-was-carried-in-to-post-office-to-claim-pension-postmortem-indicates-41266950.html
and why I love Ireland so much
No word yet on whether he had the booster?
Those clowns are hilarious – practically a comic routine – but a lot of pension fraud for deceased relatives or friends does actually go on less overtly, which is perhaps also funny in its own way. It is not thought to be as high as it used to be but a lot of it still goes on.
http://globalag.igc.org/pension/world/pensionfraud.htm
> UK: £200m lost in pension fraud as families fail to report deaths
UK – More than 100,000 people are claiming pensions for relations who have died, an investigation into pension fraud shows.
The audit found that one in 100 spouses, close relations or friends regularly fail to tell pension schemes and continue to receive money.
The findings suggest that the scale of fraud far exceeds government estimates and could cost taxpayers more than £200 million a year in false claims.
The bloke had only been dead for three hours, and the government was going to stop him a whole month’s pension. Swindlers!