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Most people have a preconceived notion that there will be a clear winner and loser from any war. In their view, the world economy will go on, much as before, after the war is “won” by one side or the other. In my view, we are basically dealing with a no-win situation. No matter what the outcome, the world economy will be worse off after the fighting stops.
The problem the world economy is up against is the depletion of many kinds of resources simultaneously. This depletion is made worse by rising population, meaning that the resources available need to provide an adequate living for an increasing number of world inhabitants. Because of depletion, the world economy is reaching a point where it can no longer grow in the way it has in the past. Inflation, food shortages and rolling blackouts are likely to become increasing problems in many parts of the world. Eventually, the population is likely to fall.
We are living in a world that is beginning to behave like the players scrambling for seats in a game of musical chairs. In each round of a musical chairs game, one chair is removed from the circle. The players in the game must walk around the outside of the circle. When the music stops, all the players scramble for the remaining chairs. Someone gets left out.
In this post, I will try to explain some of the issues.
[1] In a world with inadequate resources relative to population, conflicts are likely to become increasingly common.
The Russia-Ukraine conflict is one example of a resource-associated conflict. The allies underlying the NATO organization have chosen to escalate the Russia-Ukraine conflict, in part, because the existence of the conflict helps to hide resource shortages and accompanying high prices that are already taking place. No matter how the war is stopped, the underlying resource shortage issue will continue to exist. Therefore, the conflict cannot end well.
If sanctions lead to less trade with Russia (or even worse, less trade with Russia and China), the world economy will have an even greater problem with inadequate resources after the war is over. In fact, many parts of the current economic system are in danger of failing, primarily because depletion is leading to too little energy and other resources per capita. For example, the US dollar may lose its reserve currency status, the world debt bubble may pop, and globalization may take a major step backward.
[2] There is a huge resource depletion issue that authorities in many countries have known about for a very long time. The issue is so frightening that authorities have chosen not to explain it to the general population.
Mainstream media (MSM) practically never mentions that there is a major issue with resource depletion. Instead, MSM tells a narrative about “transitioning to a lower carbon economy,” without mentioning that this transition is out of necessity: The world is up against extraction limits for many kinds of resources. Besides oil, coal and natural gas, resources with limits include many other minerals, such as copper, lithium, and nickel. Other resources, including fresh water and minerals used for fertilizer are also only available in limited supply. MSM fails to tell us that there is no evidence that a transition to a low carbon economy can actually be made.
[3] The big depletion issue is affordability of end products made with high priced resources. The cost of extraction rises, but the ability of the world’s citizens to pay for end products made using these high-cost resources doesn’t rise. Commodity prices do not rise enough to cover the rising cost of extraction. When this affordability limit is hit, it is the resource extracting countries, such as Russia, that find themselves in a terrible situation with respect to the financial well-being of their populations.
The big issue that hits because of depletion is a price conflict. Businesses extracting resources need high prices so that they can reinvest in new mines, in ever more costly locations, but consumers cannot afford these high prices.
In a sense, the higher cost is because of “inefficiency.” As a result of depletion, it takes more hours of labor, more machine time, and a greater use of energy products to extract the same quantity of a given resource that was previously extracted elsewhere. Growing efficiency tends to help wages, but growing inefficiency tends to work the opposite way: Wages don’t rise, certainly not as rapidly as prices of end products.
As a result, commodity exporters, such as Russia, are caught in a bind: They cannot raise prices enough to make new investments profitable. The problem is that the world’s consumers cannot afford the resulting high prices of essentials such as food, electricity and transportation. Russia reports very high reserve amounts, especially for natural gas and coal. It is doubtful, however, that these reserves can actually be extracted. Over the long term, selling prices cannot be maintained at a sufficiently high level to cover the huge cost of extracting, transporting and refining these resources.
The success of a country’s economy can, in some sense, be measured by the country’s per capita GDP. Russia’s GDP per capita has tended to lag far behind that of the US (Figure 2).
Russia’s inflation-adjusted GDP per capita fell after the collapse of the central government of the Soviet Union in 1991. It was able to grow again, once oil prices began to rise in the early 2000s. Since 2013, Russia’s GDP per capita growth has again fallen behind that of the US, as increases in oil and other commodity prices again lagged the rising cost of production. Given these difficulties with depletion, Russia is becoming increasingly unwilling to ignore poor treatment it receives from Ukraine.
There may be another factor, as well, leading especially to the escalation of the conflict. The US seems to covet Russia’s resources. Some powers behind the throne seem to believe that Western forces supporting Ukraine can quickly win in this conflict. If such an early win occurs, the aim is for Western forces to step in and inexpensively ramp up Russian resource extraction, allowing the world a new source of cheap-to-produce fossil fuels and other minerals.
In this context, Russia launched an attack on Ukraine on February 24, 2022. Ukraine has presented Russia with problems for many years. One issue has been transit fees for natural gas passing through the country; is Ukraine taking too much gas out? Another problem area has been the rise of the far-right Azov regiment. Russia has also expressed concern that NATO has been training soldiers within Ukraine, even though Ukraine is not a member of NATO. Russia doesn’t want military, trained by NATO, at its doorstep.
[4] World economic growth very much depends on growing energy consumption.
There are two ways of measuring world GDP. The standard one is with the production of each country measured in inflation-adjusted US$, with the changing relative value to the US$ considered. The other approach uses “Purchasing Power Parity” GDP. The latter is supposedly not affected by the changing level of the dollar, relative to other currencies. Inflation-Adjusted Purchasing Power Parity GDP is only available for 1990 and subsequent years. Figure 3 shows the high correlation between energy consumption and PPP GDP during the period from 1990 through 2020.
The reason for a strong association between GDP growth with energy consumption growth is a physics-based reason. Producing goods and providing services requires the “dissipation” of energy products because the laws of physics tell us that energy is required to move any object from one place to another, or to heat any object. In the latter case, it is the individual molecules within a substance that move faster and faster as they get hotter. The economy is a “dissipative structure” in physics terms because of the need for energy dissipation to provide the work needed to make the system operate.
Human beings are also dissipative structures. The energy that humans get comes from the dissipation of the energy found in foods of every kind. Food energy is commonly measured in Calories (technically, kilocalories).
[5] World economic growth also seems to depend on factors besides energy consumption.
The fitted equation on Figure 3 (the equation beginning with “y”) implies that GDP is rising much more rapidly than energy consumption, almost twice as rapidly. Over the entire 30-year period, the actual growth rate in energy consumption averages about 1.8% a year. If energy consumption growth had really been 1.8% per year, the fitted equation implies that growth in GDP would have greatly sped up over the period. (In fact, the growth rate in energy consumption was falling over the 30-year period, but GDP grew at closer to a constant rate. In terms of the fitted equation, these two conditions are equivalent.)
How can GDP rise so much more rapidly than energy dissipation? There seem to be several ways such a higher rate of increase can occur, on a temporary basis:
[a] A worldwide trend toward an economy using more services. The production of services tends to require less energy consumption than the production of essential goods, such as food, water, housing and local transportation. As the world economy gets wealthier, it can afford to add more services, such as education, healthcare, and childcare.
[b] A worldwide trend toward more wage and wealth disparity. Such a trend tends to happen with more specialization and more globalization. Strangely enough, a trend to more wage disparity allows the world economy to continue to grow without adding a proportionately greater amount of energy consumption use because of the different spending patterns between low-paid workers and high-paid workers.
Analyzing the situation, the world is filled mostly with low-paid workers. To the extent that the pay of these low-paid workers can be squeezed down, it can prevent these workers from buying goods that tend to use relatively high amounts of energy products, such as automobiles, motorcycles and modern homes. At the same time, growing wage disparity allows the higher-paid workers to be paid more. These higher-paid workers tend to spend a disproportionate share of their income on services, such as education and healthcare, which tend to consume less energy.
Thus, greater wage disparity tends to shift spending away from goods and toward services. The main beneficiaries are the top 1% of workers (who buy mostly services, requiring little energy consumption), rather than the remaining 99% (who would really like goods such as a car and their own home, which require much more energy consumption).
[c] Improvements in technology. Improvements in technology are helpful in raising GDP because technological improvements tend to make finished goods and services more affordable. With greater affordability, more people can afford goods and services. This effect is favorable for allowing the economy, as measured by GDP, to grow more quickly than energy consumption.
There is a catch associated with using improved technology to make goods and services more affordable. Improved technology tends to increase wage disparity because it nearly always leads to owners and a few highly educated workers being paid more, while workers doing the more routine parts of processes are paid less. Thus, it tends to lead to the problem discussed above: [b] A trend toward wage and wealth disparity.
Also, with improved technology, available resources tend to be depleted more quickly than without improved technology. This happens because finished goods are less expensive, so more people can afford them. Once resources start getting exhausted, improved technology can’t fix the situation because resource extraction costs are likely to rise more rapidly than can be offset with the impact of new technology.
[d] A worldwide trend toward more debt at ever-lower interest rates.
We all know that the monthly payment required to purchase a car or home is lower if the interest rate on the debt used to finance the purchase is lower. Thus, falling interest rates can make paychecks go further. Both businesses and citizens can afford to purchase more goods and services using credit, so the overall level of debt tends to rise with falling interest rates.
If we are only considering the period from 1990 to the present, the trend is clearly toward lower interest rates. These lower interest rates are part of what is making the GDP growth higher than what would be expected if interest rates and debt levels remained constant.
[6] The world economy now seems to be reaching limits with respect to many of the variables allowing world economic growth to continue as it has in the past, as discussed in Sections [4] and [5], above.
Figure 6 shows that there have been two major step-downs in world inflation-adjusted per capita PPP GDP. The first one occurred in the 2008-2009 period; the second one occurred in 2020. Figure 7 shows the sharp dips in energy consumption occurring in the same time periods.
In 2021, energy prices started to rise rapidly when the world economy tried to reopen. This rapid rise in prices strongly suggests that energy extraction limits are being reached.
Another clue that energy production limits are being reached comes from the fact that the group of oil exporters, OPEC+, found that they couldn’t actually ramp up their oil production as quickly as they promised. Once oil production is cut back because of inadequate prices, it is hard to get production to rise again, even if prices temporarily rise because the many pieces of the chain supporting this extraction are broken. For example, trained workers leave and find jobs elsewhere, and contractors go out of business because of inadequate profits.
If we think about it, Items [5a], [5b], [5c] and [5d] are all reaching limits as well. Item [5d] is probably clearest: Interest rates can no longer be lowered. In fact, nearly everyone says that interest rates should now be raised because of the high inflation rates. If interest rates are raised, commodity prices, including prices for fossil fuels, will fall.
With lower fossil fuel prices, there will be pressure for oil, gas and coal producers to reduce their production, even from today’s lower levels. Because of the tight connection between energy and GDP, lower energy production will tend to push economies further toward contraction. Of course, this will make resource exporters, such as Russia, worse off.
As the world economy enters recession, we can expect that Item [5a], the shift from goods toward services, to turn around. People with barely enough money for necessities will reduce their use of services such as haircuts and music lessons. Item [5b], globalization and related wage disparity, is already under pressure. Countries are finding that with broken supply chains, more local production is needed. In the US, recent wage gains have tended to go to the lowest-paid workers. Item [5c], technology growth, cannot ramp up as resources needed from around the world are increasingly unavailable, due to broken supply chains and depletion.
[7] We are likely facing a collapsing world economy because of the limits being reached. Adding sanctions against Russia will further push the world economy in the direction of collapse.
Many sources report that Russian exports of wheat, aluminum, nickel, and fertilizers will be “temporarily” disrupted. A few sources note that Russia plays an important role in the processing of uranium fuel used in nuclear power plants. According to the Conversation:
Most of the 32 countries that use nuclear power rely on Russia for some part of their nuclear fuel supply chain.
We have become used to efficient air travel, but sanctions against Russia make this less possible, especially for flights to Southeast Asia. A Bloomberg article called Siberian Detour Requires Airlines to Retrace Cold War Era Routes gives the example of direct flights from Finland to Southeast Asia being canceled because they have become too expensive and are too time-consuming with the required detours. It becomes necessary to fly indirect connecting routes if a person wants to travel. Many other routes have similar problems.
US President Joseph Biden is warning that food shortages are likely in many parts of the world as a result of the sanctions placed against Russia.
According to a video shown on Zerohedge,
“It’s going to be real. The price of the sanctions is not just imposed upon Russia. It’s imposed upon an awful lot of countries as well, including European countries and our country as well.”
If the world economy were doing well, and if Russia were a tiny part of the world economy, perhaps the sanctions could be tolerated by the world economy. As it is, the Russia-Ukraine conflict acts to hide the underlying resource shortage problem. This is possible because, with the conflict, the resource shortages can be described as “temporary” and “necessary” in the context of the terrible things the Russians are doing. The way the West frames the problem provides a scapegoat to deflect anger toward, but it doesn’t fix the problem.
Russia started out being very disadvantaged because commodity prices, in recent years, have not been rising high enough to ensure an adequate living for Russian citizens and high enough tax revenue for the Russian government. Adding sanctions against Russia will simply make Russia’s problems worse.
[8] There is little reason to believe that Russia will “give up” in response to sanctions imposed by the United States and other countries.
The attacks by Russia of Ukrainian sites seems to be occurring for many related reasons. Russia can no longer tolerate being inadequately compensated for the resources it is extracting and selling to Ukraine and the rest of the world. It is tired of being “pushed around” by the rich economies, especially the United States, as NATO adds more countries. It is also tired of NATO training Ukrainian soldiers. Russia seems to have no plan to gain the entire territory of Ukraine; it is more of a temporary police action.
Russia’s underlying problem is that it can no longer produce commodities that the world wants as inexpensively as the world demands. Building all the infrastructure needed to extract and ship more fossil fuel resources would take more capital spending than Russia can afford. The selling price will never rise high enough to justify these investments, including the cost of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline. Russia has nothing to lose at this point. The current situation is not working; going back to it is no incentive for stopping the current conflict.
Russia is in some ways like a heavily armed, suicidal old man, who can no longer earn an adequate living. The economic system of Russia is no longer working as it should. Russia is incredibly well-armed. The situation reminds a person of the story of Samson, in his old age, taking down the temple of the Philistines and losing his own life at the same time. Russia has no reason to back down in response to sanctions.
[9] Leaders of the world, including Joe Biden, appear to be oblivious to the situation we are facing.
Leaders of the world have created ridiculous narratives that overlook the critical role commodities play. They seem to believe that it is possible to cut off purchases from Russia with, at most, temporary harm to the rest of the world economy.
The history of the world shows that the populations of many civilizations have outgrown their resource bases and have collapsed. Physics points out that this outcome is almost inevitable because of the way the Universe is constructed. Everything is constantly evolving, even economies. The climate is constantly evolving, as are the species inhabiting the Earth.
Elected leaders need a story of everlasting growth that they can tell their citizens. They cannot even consider the physics-based way the world economy operates, and the resulting expected pattern of overshoot and collapse. Modelers of what are intended to be long-lasting structures cannot accept this outcome either.
Limits which are defined based on affordability of end products are incredibly difficult to model, so creative narratives have been developed suggesting that humans can move away from fossil fuels if they so desire. No one stops to think that economies cannot continue to exist using a much lower quantity of energy, any more than an adult human can get along on 500 calories a day. Both are dissipative structures; the ongoing energy requirement is built in. Factories close when electricity, diesel and other energy products are cut off.
[10] The sanctions and the Russia-Ukraine conflict cannot end well.
The world economy is already on the edge of collapse because of the resource limits it is hitting. Intentionally stopping Russia’s output of resources like fertilizer and processed uranium is certain to make the situation worse, not better. Once Russia’s output is stopped, it is likely to be impossible to restart Russia’s production at the same level. Trained workers who lose their jobs will likely find jobs elsewhere, for one thing. The shortfall in output will affect countries around the world.
The United States dollar is now the world’s reserve currency. The sanctions being applied indirectly encourage countries to use other currencies to work around the sanctions. There seems to be a substantial chance that the US economy will lose its role as the center of international trade. If such a change takes place, the US will no longer be able to import far more than it exports, year after year.
A major issue is the huge amount of debt most countries of the world have. With a rapidly slowing world economy, repaying debt with interest will become impossible. Debt defaults will further wreak havoc with the world economic system.
We don’t know the exact timing of how this will play out, but the situation does not look good.
woohoo https://twitter.com/i/status/1510477678536798210
Shanghai videos.
Cheena https://twitter.com/i/status/1509977263277813762
Oh my,,
https://youtu.be/kKN1x6RY67g
It’s just a ‘public health intervention’ – with extreme prejudice…..
See how the cops are treating people who test “positive” in Shanghai, under lockdown
If lockdown, and brute force, were indefensible in Australia, New Zealand and New York, they’re indefensible in China
https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/see-how-the-cops-are-treating-people
https://youtu.be/v8FVVpRvWi4
There’s no substitute for getting off to a fast start in life. I didn’t grow up til I was 35. One thing I really admire about the evangelicals around here is that they get off to a fast start in life.
More good stuff! Including a heart attack involving a 12 year old hahahahaha
https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/in-memory-of-those-who-died-suddenly-b9d
In memory of those who “died suddenly” in the United States, March 29-April 4
Four students, two soldiers, three educators and all too many more—including four killed in mysterious collisions
https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/in-memory-of-those-who-died-suddenly-fea
This is my favourite:
19 Year Old Senior With A Triple-Major At University of Wisconsin Madison, Dies Suddenly 2 Months Before Graduating
March 30, 2022
A 19 year old college student died suddenly on March 2nd, 2022.
Arden, was attending the University of Wisconsin-Madison, and was a senior triple majoring in data-science, economics and mathematics. Arden entered UW-Madison at the age of 16.
The University of Wisconsin-Madison has an entire page dedicated to COVID-19 Policies. The latest update is a reminder on Testing, Masks, and Booster Shots.
“Nearly 96 percent of students and employees are fully vaccinated. Every student and employee who can is encouraged to stay up to date with COVID-19 vaccination, including boosters, and to upload or share a record of vaccination with University Health Services.” For the remaining 4% that were not fully vaccinated, they’ve had to participate in mandatory weekly testing.
https://community.covidvaccineinjuries.com/arden-19-year-old-senior-with-a-triple-major-at-university-of-wisconsin-madison-dies-suddenly/
COVID-19 vaccine information [University of Wisconsin—Madison]
Booster doses available – get yours now
If you haven’t yet, make an appointment to get your booster shot at UHS. A booster shot makes sure you’re as protected as possible from infection and poor outcomes from COVID-19. The FDA also recently authorized second booster shots for some people. UHS is not yet scheduling these additional boosters, but stay tuned for updates.
Already boosted? Let UHS know about it to help keep your fellow Badgers safe. Learn more about sharing your records, booster eligibility, appointments and more.
https://covidresponse.wisc.edu/covid-19-vaccine-information/
Envision the slow mo collapse of BAU in this article: https://worldedge.substack.com/p/beyond-mathematical-odds-the-coming
A big producer in the semiconductor coolant business decided to shut down its factory in Belgium, effectively shutting down 80% of the global production in an instant. As if the semiconductor business has not been experiencing enough disruptions as it is. Now I leave the reader with a question, every disruption is faced with the same comment by fabs, and analysts in the field. “They have 2, 3-4 months of supplies”, these are often referred as buffers.
How many disruptions of 3-4 months the industry can withstand before things get terrible ? This is the second big one in one month, the first one being the gases from Ukraine and Russia.
Again, sometimes instinct/autism will tell you something, that data will show you later. I have said many times that the semiconductor business would face continuous, growing disruption for a myriad of reasons.
Reverse Marek’s: Spam the anti-vaccine links with CEP and more-on tirades to annoy the serious OFW commentators so that they never open the important “Things Hidden in Complexity” website by a gifted autistic fellow. Said normal folk temper wild predictions with politi-facts and reasonable estimates while attacking the weakest link when they could be preparing their families for the new Holodomor. Hit them with the ole spent fuel rods schtick when they show interest in discussing practical solutions. Expert misanthrope.
I subscribe to “Things Hidden in Complexity” and it is incredibly good reading. Anyone who enjoy’s Sir Harry’s contributions here should be reading John Paul.
However…
Everyone who is interested is going to read John Paul despite anything FE posts, and anyone who is uninterested is going to remain uninterested.
So…
What difference, at this point, does it make?
People can post whatever they want — I mass delete quite a bit of it or when I see a UN that I know posts dull crap … I delete without reading…
And then there are topics that do no interest me – brexit – ukraine (unless it’s fake war stuff) – Putin – ruble etc… in fact I just searched ruble and deleted every comment … I earlier searched Putin and did same …
How hard is it — not hard at all — I suspect there is some ‘Fast Eddy envy’ going on with some of the dullards of OFW… they want to be super stars but they don’t have the horse power — so they complain…
This is the sort of genius one pulls off of Telegram
https://t.me/DowdEdward/218
Ontario Bill 100 about to pass.
THEY CAN SEIZE YOUR HOME FOR PROTESTING no hearing, no trial, no due process.
And it expands on current emergency powers.
You will own nothing and be happy in CHINADA
https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/34371
It is impossible to win. Impossible.
I guess if people went piro-mania — there would be martial law… oh right — that’s lockdown … been there done that … so piro strategies would fail… that would be a real strict lockdown – anyone on the street who is not essential – gets their head busted open
Exterminating 8B is serious business.. it is effectively war against Ripping Faces… there is no way they will allow the CEP to fail… nor should they… they are killing children — just in case anyone had any doubts as to how serious this is
“Eco mob causes chaos at UK’s largest oil depot on sixth day of mayhem” – Some 25 protesters from the environmental group Just Stop Oil stormed the Navigator oil terminal in Thurrock, Essex, and locked themselves to pipework
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10691239/Eco-mob-causes-chaos-UKs-largest-oil-depot-25-protestors-climb-lorries-Thurrock-terminal.html
They must be under mind control from Putin or Greta or someone.
“Covid vaccine festival cost £535 per person jabbed” – A festival organised by Tower Hamlets Council in London at a cost of £237,000 to encourage vaccination saw just 435 people getting jabbed
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-london-61002566
hahahaha… lap dances included with the donut?
Or is it they get people as drunk as possible then jab them when they are passed out? And draw a moustache using permanent black marker hahahahaha
That Borough of London is almost exclusively poor Indian Asian these days (cue Kulm!) so….corruption, corruption!
I am quite sure friends and relations of the organisers thought it a very successful event.
Many will be muslims, so not even any booze to sweeten the jab, just fruit juice.
Are you mouthing off at the Hamlet with your potty mouth?
Do you have any statistical evidence of ‘corruption’?
At this point… they might as well just gas everybody and be done with it. What’s with all the pussyfooting around? Why go to all the trouble of the CEP? I would suggest that something else is afoot… new technology is being tested. The ones dropping are the rejects. The ones that survive will be studied in depth and monitored over the coming years. This is a long term project. Can you imagine the data that is being collected right now? Over the last two years? Especially data that tracks human behavior, crowd response, mind manipulation etc. At this rate… the jabs won’t be necessary… or any other tech. Just trigger the response you want with basic inputs – fear, needs, wants – you’ll have them eating out of your hand. They’ll walk off a cliff if you tell them to.
Exactly my words.
Slaves.
Government is slavery, make no mistake.
You are in chains even if you do not feel themon your body, you have them inside your head. A few thousands of dissidents across the planet won’t make any dent in that shiny death machine.
How do you gas everybody? You don’t think if they tried to do that the MOREONS would unhinge?
How do you technology your way out of this?
Shale binge has spoiled US reserves, top investor warns Financial Times.
Preface. Conventional crude oil production may have already peaked in 2008 at 69.5 million barrels per day (mb/d) according to Europe’s International Energy Agency (IEA 2018 p45). The U.S. Energy Information Agency shows global peak crude oil production at a later date in 2018 at 82.9 mb/d (EIA 2020) because they included tight oil, oil sands, and deep-sea oil. Though it will take several years of lower oil production to be sure the peak occurred. Regardless, world production has been on a plateau since 2005.
What’s saved the world from oil decline was unconventional tight “fracked” oil, which accounted for 63% of total U.S. crude oil production in 2019 and 83% of global oil growth from 2009 to 2019. So it’s a big deal if we’ve reached the peak of fracked oil, because that is also the peak of both conventional and unconventional oil and the decline of all oil in the future.
Some key points from this Financial Times article: https://energyskeptic.com/2021/the-end-of-fracked-shale-oil/
Shale boss says US has passed peak oil | Financial Times https://www.ft.com/content/320d09cb-8f51-4103-87d7-0dd164e1fd25
You’re right. You don’t gas everybody. That was sarcasm by the way. You coerce 90% of the population to line up for detrimental to health gene therapy drugs and sit back and wait 3-4 years for long term effects to show up. Call me impatient… but there has to be a quicker way to get rid of the moreons.
The testing of biotech longevity solutions and nanotech tracking solutions carries on – as does every other type of large scale research – regardless of anything else that might be happening. Those supply chains are more intensely secured than all others. Even during WW2 tech research intensified and led to the world we live in today.
If we truly are in the last stretch, many of these activities will carry on until something breaks. The compartmentalised people involved might not be very aware of what’s going on right up to minute the power goes off.
And no… the moreons will not revolt. That scenario was thoroughly tested out during the last two years. The masses are hypnotised and domesticated. They’ll do whatever you tell them.
I don’t see that working …you need everyone to die at that same time… otherwise you end up with mass face ripping…. and how do you convince everyone to take those drugs? The MOREONS are stuuupid … but they do not want to die… you have to frighten them
A virus is ideal:
They are familiar with viruses – in fact they have been prepped for this by Tee Vee and movies – the virus is coming the virus is coming — and they have been warned by the authorities that a killer virus is inevitable
A virus like Marek’s is extremely deadly – all chickens exposed die within a week – every single one.
Deploying a leaky vaccine during a pandemic is an ideal bioweapon – once the deadly mutation emerges it spreads like wildfire causing mass death
Those who are able to avoid infection do so only by locking themselves down or escaping to where there are no other people – they do not rip faces because they are fearful of contact with potential victims.
And they starve to death/commit soosiside…
Those that have set up very remote doom preps or tribes who lives in remote regions linger for awhile longer — do not rip faces — and die when their food and water supplies are polluted by the spent fuel ponds (that will be roaring toxins into the atmosphere which will spread far and wide)
It is the perfect solution. Shanghai demonstrates how easy it is to convince/force people to do as they are told – the city is a ghost town. cuz?
“Covid rates in England are now the ‘highest we’ve ever seen’” – Professor Paul Elliott, an Imperial College London epidemiologist, said Imperial’s REACT study showed almost 5% of over-75s are infected, which is “a bit of a worry because that’s the most vulnerable group”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10691055/Covid-rates-England-highest-weve-seen-mass-testing-survey-reveals.html
More booster???… why not!!!
By the look of things… everyone over sixty needs to go. Chin up!
https://dailysceptic.org/2022/04/06/where-are-the-vaccine-death-signals-in-excess-mortality-data/
https://dailysceptic.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/comparison_United-Kingdom-1.png
mike will say there is no correlation hahahahhahahahahahahhaha
If mike disappeared from OFW nobody would care
I would; he is ground zero.
If some one comes up with a big enuf truth bomb to move the Mike from the darkness of compliance (to make it easier to be a clown)to the light of cognisance then that would be worth all his brain dead discussions in toto.
Probably not possible; 30 years away for fusion, light years away for Mike and his delusion.
Fusion is now forever five years away. Things are looking up!
Stay away from the yellow people!!!!
WHY ARE UK PARENTS ASKED TO BE VIGILANT FOR SIGNS OF JAUNDICE IN THEIR CHILDREN…for the first time ever?
What do we know?
UK children are being vaccinated with covid vaccines.
mRNA vaccines contain lipid nanoparticles which are known to be highly inflammatory.
Lipid nanoparticles are known to bioaccumulate preferentially in liver amongst other organs.
It could all be a great big coincidence….right?
https://twitter.com/UKHSA/status/1511787036289679365
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/increase-in-hepatitis-liver-inflammation-cases-in-children-under-investigation
It sounds in the same wave of the strange and sudden outbreak of polio cases in children in Israel:
https://www.timesofisrael.com/jerusalem-polio-cases-put-israel-back-on-who-outbreak-countries-list/
And we can add also this scientific work published on PubMed.gov – National Library of Medicine:
‘Auto-immune hepatitis following COVID vaccination’
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34225251/
Sri Lanka facing imminent threat of starvation, senior politician warns
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/apr/06/sri-lanka-facing-imminent-threat-of-starvation-senior-politician-warns
aren’t we all?
FE, did anyone forget about the 40,000 tons of diesel? Can people drink diesel instead of eating food? Fuel or food for thought?
My best friend (unvaxxed) is in a relationship with a man who had to get a vax to stay in the country. Now she is complaining of irregular, painful periods and last I talked to her a week ago she was on the third week of bleeding… …I don’t know how well it transfers from female to male, but it sure looks like having sex with a vaxxed male is like getting a spike injection every time you do it…
https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/pfizer-confidential-1-infant-death
I wonder what happens if two vaxxed MOREONS conceive… I suspect it would suck to be that kid.
This is an important question.
“what happens if two vaxxed MOREONS conceive”
Dennis L. says: April 4, 2022 at 9:43 pm
We need some sort of metric other than the dollar. Price in gold? Price ton coal/barrel of oil? Price ton coal/bushel of wheat?
Dennis L have you run across Keith Weiner? He made a bunch of money in tech then went and studied under Antal Fekete (in Hungary I think). He’s paying interest on leased-gold in gold and is going to be issuing some sort of gold-bond in Nevada, maybe it’s connected to gold-miners, not sure. Anyway, his latest rebuttal of what’s running around the internet as to the meaning of the Ruble-Gold-Oil thing is different than anything I’ve read. See what you think.
https://monetary-metals.com/oil-ruble-gold-walk-into-a-bar/
Russia makes ice cream sandwiches. It is the world’s only supplier of ice cream sandwiches.
I want Russia to mow my lawn. It demands payment in ice cream sandwiches. I cannot go to the local supermarket to buy ice cream sandwiches. I must ask Russia to produce and then sell me some ice cream sandwiches.
No USD involved at any point.
Is that the same as an Eskimo Pie?
Latest release from Pfizer. They vaxxed 270 pregnant women. There is no feedback on 238, but of the other 32 there was only one live birth. WTF??!!
Was this information not relevant enough to be given to pregnant women before they took the vaxx? No wonder they went to court to keep this information hidden.
https://t.me/c/1588731774/10732
https://t.me/PeterMcCullough/677 funny
https://t.me/PeterMcCullough/679 enjoyable
OVER 88% OF NZ COVID INFECTIONS AE NOW BA2…
Here is a new pre print paper examining the viral load levels in the nasopharynx with the new “stealth Omicron”.
Throughout the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, multiple waves of variants of concern have swept across populations, leading to a chain of new and yet more contagious lineages dominating COVID-19 cases. Here, we tracked the remarkably rapid shift from Omicron BA.1 to BA.2 sub-variant dominance in the Swedish population during January–March 2022. By analysis of 174,933 clinical nasopharyngeal swab samples using a custom variant-typing RT-PCR assay, we uncover nearly two-fold higher levels of viral RNA in cases with Omicron BA.2. Importantly, increased viral load in the upper pharynx upon BA.2 infection may provide part of the explanation why Omicron BA.2 is more transmissible and currently outcompetes the BA.1 variant across populations.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.03.26.22272984v1
WHERE AUSTRALIA GOES WE WILL FOLLOW
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10520621/Australians-need-five-doses-Covid-vaccine.html?
Mail Online (https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10520621/Australians-need-five-doses-Covid-vaccine.html)
Warning that Australians could need FIVE doses of a Covid-19 vaccine to be considered fully protected – and the people who should ALREADY be getting four jabs
Australia’s immunisation regulator cannot rule out four or even five doses of COVID-19 vaccine being required to be considered ‘up
WE WILL EMULATE THIS DATA HERE IN NZ…IT IS INEVITALBLE…
THE UK TRUTH… https://twitter.com/i/status/1511599894108200962
A BRILLIANT EXPLANATION OF THE INHERENT RISKS OF LIPID NANOPARTICLES FOUND IN THE PFIZER MRNA PRODUCT…
*They are synthetic
*They are highly inflammatory
*They are DESIGNED to be able to go everywhere…including crossing the blood/brain barrier.
*They bioaccumulate in multiple organs but preferentially the ovaries and bone marrow.
WE DO NOT KNOW THE LONG TERM RISKS…
https://rumble.com/vtihuc-covid-19-a-second-opinion-dr.-robert-malone-on-lipid-nanoparticles-in-vacci.html
(norm is not concerned about the long term… for obvious reasons)
ARE THE VACCINES CAUSING INJURY AND DEATH?
BRADFORD HILL CRITERIA SAY YES UNEQUIVOCALLY
https://twitter.com/i/status/1511703783767695362
THE SECOND PFIZER DATA DUMP HAPPENED ON APRIL 1ST…
(yes do you see the irony!!)
Key points from this video diving into the data within the newly released papers…
Two of the documents released are:
*Phase 1 Pfizer vaccine clinical trials (these occurred BEFORE the vax was rolled out to the world).
*A consent form for participants in a Pfizer vaccine clinical trial from December 2021 (only 15 weeks ago).
Key points from these documents…
*Phase I trials showed a SIGNIFICANT, CONSISTENT IMMUNE SUPPRESSION IN ALL RECIPIENTS OF THE VACCINE FOR APPROX ONE WEEK AFTER THE FIRST DOSE. White blood cell counts dropped. This equals immune suppression and likely explains the very high infection rates in single dosed vaccine recipients seen around the world (and NZ). Ironically, i posted about this very early on in the Health Forum, and i linked a clinical trial. I received a one week ban from Facebook for “misinformation”.
*Phase 1 trials: NATURAL IMMUNITY WORKS. No difference seen in reinfection rate in those who have had a previous covid infection and no vaccination; vs those who received a vaccination.
*From the Clinical Trial Consent Form issues only 15 weeks ago…
*10 in 100,000 recipients experience myocarditis (this statement is not stratified for age or sex, so is still misleading for high risk groups such as young males, where the incidence is up to 5 times greater than this).
*Long term follow up of vaccine induced myocarditis is limited and IT IS NOT KNOWN IF THERE IS A HIGHER RISK AFTER THE BOOSTER.
*Adverse events following vaccination are happening more in young people vs older people AND THE SEVERITY OF THE REACTIONS IS INCREASING WITH EACH SUBSEQUENT DOSE.
*The effects of the vaccine on sperm, pregnancy, developing foetus and breast feeding infants is UNKNOWN.
*ADE (Antibody Dependent Enhancement – vaccine induced worsening of covid disease in the vaccinated individual) the December consent form says “although not seen to date IT CANNOT BE RULED OUT THAT THE STUDY VACCINE CAN MAKE A LATER ILLNESS MORE SEVERE.
Thank you Pfizer for showing us the truth (even under legal duress). You have finally said all the things I have been writing about (and suffering the censorship consequences for) for over a year.
THE TRUTH WILL OUT….IT REALLY WILL
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5eJ5TIT6zvk
https://t.me/AmericasFrontlineDoctors/509
Thanks for the update.
One thing which the public certainly should have been warned about is on this list:
It’s that time …. what time is it Fast? It’s 2:15pm …. However instead of Running up the Count (which is artificial because they are not original genius thoughts … rather copy and pastes… so not deserving of individual posts like all other FE contributions)…. we are going to try to … aggregate them…
Hold tight … here we go (make sure to get that Telegram app!):
Col. Doug MacGregor is ‘Extremely Suspicious’ of the Media Narrative on Ukraine & Russia
https://rumble.com/vzxzyd-col.-doug-macgregor-is-extremely-suspicious-of-the-media-narrative-on-ukrai.html
This is the Pfizer document showing their need to hire 2,400 employees to process “the large numbers of spontaneous adverse event reports received for the product”
Through the end of Feb 2021, with <10% of the US population fully vaccinated, there were already 1,223 adverse event reports with a 'Fatal' outcome
https://phmpt.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/reissue_5.3.6-postmarketing-experience.pdf
White House COVID-19 Coordinator Jeff Zients at This Week's COVID-19 Briefing: "It's in Our National Interest to Vaccinate the World"
"Without additional funding for our global response, we won't have resources to help get more shots in arms in countries in need. And our global genomic sequencing capabilities will fall off and undermine our ability to detect any emerging variants around the world."
https://rumble.com/vzz6st-white-house-covid-19-czar-its-in-our-national-interest-to-vaccinate-the-wor.html
Biden's latest imbecility https://t.me/chiefnerd/3134
Doocy: "Was it common for President Biden to do favors for Hunter Biden's international business partners, like writing college recommendations for their kids?"
Psaki: The new MSNBC star refuses to answer. https://t.me/chiefnerd/3135
Hunter Biden = scum https://t.me/VigilantFox/3814
"You're Being Murdered!" – Pharma and Government Are Guilty Until Proven Innocent
Dr. Sucharit Bhakdi: "Every jab is attempted murder, and this has now been voiced openly by the German lawyers in Parliament. Continuation of this vaccination agenda is attempted murder or murder if the person dies, and there is no excuse for this, and there's also no pardon… We're looking at crimes against humanity, and there's nothing that will protect you. No politician is protected. No pharmaceutical industry [or] company is protected. They are personally liable."
https://t.me/VigilantFox/3819
Green Policies Combined With Russian Sanctions Are Leading Europe to "Economic Suicide"
German MEP Christine Anderson: "We are in a situation where we actually are committing economic suicide now. I just wonder what good is that going to do to the Ukrainian people if Western Europe or Germany is no longer capable of supporting anything?"
| Full Video (https://rumble.com/vzyux1-economic-suicide-mep-christine-anderson-on-europes-energy-crisis.html?mref=u0e78&mrefc=20)
PCR Pandemic: The Second, Third, and Fourth Waves Were FAKE – Dr. Sucharit Bhakdi
"The second wave was the laboratory wave, where all you [had] to do [was] to increase the number of tests because we all know that these tests were fraudulent. We know that. If there's no virus around, the number of false positives goes up to over 90%, meaning that over 90% of those so-called positive COVID-19 cases were FRAUDULENT!"
Full Video (https://www.redvoicemedia.com/2022/04/world-governments-are-mass-murdering-citizens-dr-bhakdi-delivers-an-emotional-address-with-maria-zeee/)
Thanks! I can definitely agree.
I think I would separate the vaccine links into a separate comment from the Ukraine and economy links.
Fast Eddy is not very interested in Ukraine… HE only enjoys real wars… Ukraine is only useful for the funny stuff — like videos of dead bodies coming back to life… Fast Eddy gets very excited when HE sees these things…
As he mentions and is pretty much commonsense, now is the time to stock up before it’s unavailable.
“Violent Inflation Riots Begin” by Chris Martenson
https://peakprosperity.com/violent-inflation-riots-begin/
As Alfred Henry Lewis said in 1906, “There are only nine meals between mankind and anarchy.”
Given the state of things in most countries — if the hogs skipped a single meal they’d unhinge within hours…
“By 2030, it is projected that phosphate will reach peak output and then begin its long slow decline. What’s the world plan for this? There isn’t one.”
sweet!!
excellent reference to that wonderful number 2030.
countries in the Periphery will continue their relentless declines, probably in an acceleration.
life is just not fair.
the Core will be next.
it is what it is.
We’ve just experienced the quickest yield inversion in 40 years. The rate of change going up indicates how quickly they will fall.
A falling 2 year yield means the recession has begun and panic will follow soon after.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FPsYa3hWYAAq8Fe?format=jpg&name=large
It looks like interest rates could be way down by the end of the year, based on the shape of the triangles in your charts.
This does look like a worry!
Interesting chart for sure. I’ve been reading Wolfstreet on this subject.
https://wolfstreet.com/2022/04/05/mortgage-rates-breach-5-two-year-10-year-treasury-yields-spike-after-fed-dove-brainard-explains-how-inflation-is-much-worse-for-lower-income-households-than-cpi-shows/
Very difficult to tell what is going on right now??? Higher interest rates? Quantitative tightening? I don’t see how this can happen with the u.s debt so high!
Without everything falling apart, I agree it is very difficult to tell what is going on right now.
Quantitative tightening and higher interest rates are a disaster waiting to happen. So is cutting off coal from Russia. High energy prices are by themselves a disaster waiting to happen. A lot of people can see “the handwriting on the wall.”
One for the grumpy old man, I have been on record interest rates would not be raised, feds simply can’t make the interest payments let alone principal.
Thought: it will not fall apart for everyone, life was good for my parents and myself in the fifties, three generation household, not much money, mom could cook.
These modern social customs don’t work, marriages are not all fun, children are a challenge, new rules are going to collapse, those who follow will have a miserable life.
Dennis L.
It’s not going to be like 1950🤨
Associated Press
Storms batter aging power grid as climate disasters spread
MATTHEW BROWN
Tue, April 5, 2022, 11:08 PM
Power outages from severe weather have doubled over the past two decades across the U.S., as a warming climate stirs more destructive storms that cripple broad segments of the nation’s aging electrical grid, according to an Associated Press analysis of government data.
Forty states are experiencing longer outages — and the problem is most acute in regions seeing more extreme weather, U.S. Department of Energy data shows. The blackouts can be harmful and even deadly for the elderly, disabled and other vulnerable communities.
Power grid maintenance expenses are skyrocketing as utilities upgrade decades-old transmission lines and equipment. And that means customers who are hit with more frequent and longer weather outages also are paying more for electricity.
“The electric grid is our early warning,” said University of California, Berkeley grid expert Alexandra von Meier. “Climate change is here and we’re feeling real effects.”
The AP analysis found:
—The number of outages tied to severe weather rose from about 50 annually nationwide in the early 2000s to more than 100 annually on average over the past five years.
—The frequency and length of power failures are at their highest levels since reliability tracking began in 2013 — with U.S. customers on average experiencing more than eight hours of outages in 2020.
Read Dr James Hansen s book Storms of My Grandchildren..published in 2009 …appearing now
I wonder how much of the increase in power outages was associated with the increased quantity of long distance transmission that is required to handle wind and solar. Also, the amount of transmission and new building along coastlines, which are subject to hurricanes.
I wonder if the massive die off of trees is causing problems? There are so many large trees dying the local towns can barely keep up with removal as they drop limbs or topple over in a 50mph gust. Local news will report the storm must have been strong for all these trees to have fallen… couldn’t possibly be the trees are rotting from the inside out and it was a mild storm. Trees help soak in all that pollution and clean the air but we expect the trees to stay healthy. Don’t pay any attention to those necrotic lesions on the leaves.
Anyone else notice trees dying off around them in the last 30+ years? Don’t think I’m imaging it.
Look up Gail Zawacki’s “Wit’s End” blog.
This latest paper is saying the oceans are the Earth’s cooling system and are getting dangerously overheated. According to Dr. Hansen’s research, the Earth has an energy imbalance of approximately 0.75 ± 0.25 W/m2. He says that number, while small, is actually equivalent to the heat generated by 400,000 nuclear explosions like the one that leveled Hiroshima — every day! The oceans have absorbed more than 80% of that excess heat but the latest research from van Shuckmann and her colleagues shows they are getting close to their theoretical ability to absorb more heat. In fact, her data says the imbalance has risen to 0.87 ± 0.12 W/m2.
Remember from his book concerning the energy imbalance…
Also, one paragraph concerning human population…he pointed out if we don’t get those numbers in balance ..all our efforts are for nothing…
Suppose those numbers will fix themselves..
Just had another record heat day here in South Florida
According to University of Miami meteorologist Brian McNoldy, on Sunday the heat index in Miami reached 108 degrees — the highest it’s been since August 2015. (The heat index takes into account not only the actual temperature but also the level of humidity.)
“This is some SERIOUS and oppressive heat,” McNoldy tweeted. “The old record for today was 104° and the all-time highest heat index on record here is 110.4° to put it in perspective.”
Incredibly, that wasn’t the only record-setting weather pattern Sunday: McNoldy also pointed out that the dew point — a term used to describe the amount of humidity in the air and basically how comfortable it is to be outside — reached 80 degrees in Miami, breaking the previous record for June 20 by one degree.
Yesterday got so hot that the National Weather Service issued a hazardous weather outlook for South Florida, warning that the forecast called for a heat index between 105 and 107 degrees.
From Miami Times..
It is certainly too bad that the temperature of the atmosphere is outside our control. The best we can do is adapt to the changing temperatures. The changing temperatures are to be expected in a finite world. This is the way the system operates.
Applying the Stefan–Boltzmann law,
P net = A σ ε ( T^ 4 − T 0^ 4 )
We find a rise of 0.1 degrees will balance the energy flow.
It may take some time for all parts of the earth to rise 0.1K
hahahahahahahaha….
And the oceans will rise 10 metres hahahahaha…..
USA network NBC has published an article explaining that the CIA has been flooding the world MSM with fake news stories, over the past month, and with outright lies that are intended to deceive the public about what is going on in the Ukraine.
You cannot believe a word that comes out of the Western MSM about Ukraine, it is mainly a lot of propaganda nonsense that has been cooked up by the CIA, and then served up to us by a compliant MSM.
> US spies reveal leaking dodgy intelligence on Russia – media
US intelligence officials leaked information about the Ukraine conflict that wasn’t “rock solid” and outright made up some claims, all to win an “info war” against the Kremlin, according to an NBC News report on Wednesday. The officials admitted to, and boasted about, releasing this misinformation.
When the American media cited US “intelligence” to warn that Russia was preparing to use chemical weapons in Ukraine, and when President Joe Biden repeated these warnings, they were participating in a disinformation campaign, the NBC report reveals.
According to the intelligence officials who came up with the warning, the intention was to discourage Russia from actually using these weapons, even though they themselves rated the intelligence used “low confidence.”
NBC quotes the officials involved in releasing such “low confidence” intelligence, who described their mission to misinform as part of an effort to “undermine Moscow’s propaganda and prevent Russia from defining how the war is perceived in the world.”
Some releases were accurate. For instance, the Biden administration insisted for weeks that Russian President Vladimir Putin intended to launch an assault on Ukraine.
More were fabricated: A report that Putin was “being misled by his own advisers,” as NBC put it, was made up. So was an assertion by US officials that Putin had turned to China for military aid. Despite being fabricated, the latter was released to discourage China from actually doing what the officials said it was doing – sending arms to Russia, they said.
One European official cited by NBC said that the report was “a public game to prevent any military support from China.”
“There’s no way you can prove or disprove that stuff,” a retired intelligence operative told NBC regarding the claims that Putin was being misled by his own team.
Prior to the outbreak of war, US media warned for weeks that Russia was laying the groundwork to attack Russian-speakers in the Donbass region and blame the attack on Ukrainian nationalists, thus generating a pretext for war.
These reports cited Pentagon and State Department officials and unnamed “intelligence sources,” none of whom provided evidence to back up their claims. When pressed, State Department spokesman Ned Price said that those who doubted the claims were finding “solace in the information the Russians are putting out.” Now the NBC story reveals that the assertion was indeed cooked up by US spies.
“It doesn’t have to be solid intelligence,” one US official said. “It’s more important to get out ahead of [the Russians], Putin specifically, before they do something.”
While the officials cited in the report admitted to at the very least exaggerating their claims, another unnamed US official quickly responded to the network, insisting that the National Security Council and “intelligence community” made sure to “validate the quality” of everything they released to the public.
One of the authors of the NBC story is Ken Dilanian, a national security reporter shown in 2014 to have had a “collaborative” relationship with the CIA. He was disavowed by his then-employer, the Los Angeles Times, as the result.
https://www.rt.com/russia/553428-spies-fake-news-ukraine-nbc/
Thanks for finding this.
This is a link to the NBC report (or one of the NBC reports) showing this information.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/us-using-declassified-intel-fight-info-war-russia-even-intel-isnt-rock-rcna23014
This is a strange world we live in. Now even MSM is divided.
A really good piece by JMG “The End of the European Age”
https://www.ecosophia.net/the-end-of-the-european-age/
John Michael Greer is much more of a historian than I am. He gives some interesting history in his article.
He starts by comparing the current situation to 1913, when World War I started and the international connections of that time began to dissolve. JMG doesn’t seem to be aware that the UK reached peak coal at that time. Now the world is reaching peak fossil fuels, which is a whole lot worse. Inadequate energy resources for a growing population was a huge problem back then, just as it is now.
Comparing the size of our worldwide energy problem now, to the localized nature of the coal problem, our current problem is much worse, as I see it. But JMG doesn’t seem to understand.
Near the end, JMG says:
At the very end, JMG says:
So, JMG does see the period ahead as one of convulsive change, and I would agree with that. I have a hard time seeing America come out far ahead, the way JMG seems to expect things to change. America does have a lower population relative to resources, and that is likely to be helpful. Perhaps some new economic arrangement can be developed that will work out, starting with a much smaller population, and America will be part of it. It is hard to know how things will turn out.
He’s also a practising wizard (or is that a KKK get up)…
https://owltail-django-files.s3.amazonaws.com/people_images/TZDtA-8d504844-45ba-4922-82e0-4a601d3a2a6f.jpg
“Occultist” puts it better than wizard – yes Eddy some years ago you posted me a pic of him in ritual attire as an argument that his views aren’t “reasonable”, or to be taken seriously – maybe you should not discount on things easily that you don’t understand and haven’t looked into.
As well as, just because somebody says strange things on one end to you, it doesn’t mean the person hasn’t valid point on the other.
A time of dire downturn certainly is pain for spiritual people too, but it is all the worse for materialist atheists of the modern Western variety.
I dunno much about his views.. but I dig that outfit
Careful, or he’ll cast a “Spell of Gullibility” on you, after which you’ll believe everything you hear in the MSM.
Norman, don’t I recall you once wrote something derogatory about Greer?
i wrote that i mistrust anyone calling himself an archdruid
i have said nothing other than that, that i recall
Well, that joke went down like a lead balloon. I was expecting a witty riposte, something like “No I praised Greer and he cast “Spell of True Seeing” on me.
Clearly you weren’t such a geeky teenager as me, Norman. Too busy chasing the girls.
one of life’s early lessons:
don’t chase girls. Girls detest chasers. It’s girls who do the choosing.
Once a guy knows that, life gets a lot easier in that department.
as to ‘seeing”—- don’t knock it. I used to until a real seer pointed out the error of my ways by giving me a real time demonstration.
There was no wearing of robes or posturing.
No need to chase blow ups — you just order them off the internet
you and blow up dolls have one thing in common eddy
puncture with a pin, and they go zzzzzzzrrrrrrrriiiiippppppttttt around the room in an uncontrollable frenzy
and how is it that you know this?
The threads one picks up here: “JMG doesn’t seem to be aware that the UK reached peak coal at that time.”
If I get time, need to look at some of the protagonists cited in “Hidden History.” This book as far as I have read is all about WWI. It would be interesting to know how many of the inner elite were in the coal industry or industries directly dependent on coal.
Simple common thread, makes sense out of all the posturing.
Dennis L.
Peak coal looks different from what people expect. It is marked by prices that do not rise high enough to cover rising costs. As a result, workers tended to get more and more poorly paid. They would go on strike for higher wages, without success. They would work in increasingly dangerous conditions. Volunteering to take part in the war effort seemed like a better choice, since they pay would be at least as good, or perhaps better, and no more dangerous.
I am sure that no one then talked about “peak coal.” They talked about unprofitable coal companies, for example, and the need to invest in other areas instead. But these companies were often unprofitable as well. Mechanization of agriculture was possible with more coal, because the coal could be used to make steel. But with less coal, mechanization of agriculture had to wait. The few farmers who already had better tools were at a great advantage to those who did not. Wage/wealth disparity was a problem.
The British miners’ strike in 1912 was a big shock to the governing elite.
The private secretary to the PM wrote that the effect of the strike – 1 million other workers in other industries were made unemployed as a consequence, due to lack of coal – made them wake up to the extreme vulnerability of having one main energy source:
‘It suddenly threw out our whole machinery of production’.
Winston Churchill was the Royal Navy boss, and he also realised they needed to move to oil asap in order to match the Germany navy , as it was easier and quicker to refuel warships that way – no doubt it became plain that wold power would in future hinge on command of oil production, ie the Middle Eastern oil fields.
Another look at the Ukraine war and Putin’s strategy. While the Ukranians may have been putting up a stubborn defense, IMHO Russia is winning this phase of the war tactically, but obviously not politically. Having captured Mariupol, Russia will be pulling troops strategically back east from Kiev to secure eastern Ukraine. Economic ramifications, ie., Ruble gold peg, petro-ruble oil, natural gas, coal and minerals food supplies/storage still ongoing.
Is Ukranian army running low on fuel and food? Ukranian troops can’t do much with all the weapons the western countries are trying to sneak in if they have no fuel. No mobility. Anyway, an interesting side development: “Is Ukraine war a heist? ”
Anyone know why those bodies in that video came back to life?
High prices are here to stay if a person doesn’t understand that high prices quickly lead to serious recessions and falling prices. Also, lots of debt defaults. Adam Taggart and Art Berman, I see.
Humankind basically has two futures
http://web.archive.org/web/20200118224023/www.xenosystems.net/modernity-in-a-nutshell/
>Two revolutions:
(1) Techno-economic self-propelling change obsolesces ever wider swathes of humanity on a steepening curve. Capital (i.e. techno-commercial synthesis) tendentially autonomizes. For humans, there are ever more intriguing opportunities for synergistic attachment, on new terms, but the trend is — to put it very mildly — ‘challenging’.
(2) Jacobin political violence, modeled on the French Revolution, provides the basis for demands aimed at a redistribution of the (capitalist) productive spoils through explicit extortion. All socio-political history in the modern epoch falls into compliance with this pattern. It coincides quite exactly with ‘democracy’ in its modernist usage. Universal Basic Income is its natural telos.
To the extent that there has been an equilibrium between these twin processes, it is coming apart. All the pol-economic innovations of recent years, on the Left and Right, are indicators of this accelerating disintegration.
So the options are these:
Both (1) and (2) is the Status Quo (delusion).
Neither (1) or (2) is Reaction (also delusion).
(1) against (2) is the Neo-Modern Right.
(2) against (1) is the Neo-Modern Left.
Those are the only slots available.
Fernandez concludes:
The technological revolution is going to pose increasingly serious challenges to nearly every Western social democratic society. People are either going to be really angry when they discover there’s no patronage or angrier still when they discover they have to provide the “basic income” for everybody else. Only one thing is relatively certain: the solution to these problems won’t be found in the ideologies of the early 20th century.
====
The reason I continue to speak badly about UK’s foreign policies since the so-called Glorious Revolution (i.e. the Dutch conquest of England) is it continued to kill off Europeans , who had a stake in Western Civilization.
The final stake was in 1918, 3 years after Henry Moseley had been killed in a place called Gelibolu by the Turks, when Ramanujan had been admitted to the Royal Society.
Ramanujan, and India, had NO stake in the Western World, and he, as a devout Hindu, would probably not have given a rat’s ass about this honor, the greatest f you to the gentlemen scientists of all time.
They go to the battlefield to die, and this Hindu who sits idle at Cambridge gets into the Royal Society. Who would do science and tech after that?
I think that is the moment when the chance for SIngularity ended.
I’m not sure I understood a single word?
Whether you understand it or not, that is the reality.
This seems to be a copy over of a 2016 post by some unidentified individual.
When I first glanced at it, I thought that the revolution labeled (1) was the growth part of the cycle that economies go through, and that the revolution labeled (2) Jacobian violence was what happened on the way down, as an economy collapsed, after peak was reached.
I suppose there are some elements of these at all times, but the post basically doesn’t make sense to me.
And people thought alternative energy was the answer? How were those turbine blades made?
“Wind Turbine Blades Can’t Be Recycled, So They’re Piling Up in Landfills”
https://getpocket.com/explore/item/wind-turbine-blades-can-t-be-recycled-so-they-re-piling-up-in-landfills?utm_source=pocket-newtab
I know a guy with a Prius – he’s gone through 3 batteries — I mentioned that there must be a battery graveyard somewhere with hundreds of thousands of these batteries…
Ya he says but soon we’ll be able to recycle them…
The thing is … every time we recycle plastic … it’s a step down in quality – for instance you cannot take clear plastic bottles and recycle into more clear plastic bottles … and at a certain point you cannot recycle the plastic at all — that’s when you send it to the third world to be burned in someone’s back yard.
But we’ll be recycling EV batteries soon hahahahaa….
“every time we recycle plastic … it’s a step down in quality – for instance you cannot take clear plastic bottles and recycle into more clear plastic bottles”
Yup people think renewable energy just appears out of thin air and is infinite.
EV batteries can’t really be recycled, at this time.
We should dump them in the ocean
Oh hang on … let’s not waste them…. apparently when they catch fire they burn for a very long time…
I’ve got a big empty paddock out the back there…. maybe I should use it to Stockpile EV Batteries… then when the SHTF… and the power is off … and I’ve run out of coal….
I can take a Big Ol Axe… and hack chunks off these batteries and — throw them into the Rayburn…
https://www.voltairenet.org/article216358.html
If the Russian army has won the war against the Banderites in Ukraine, Nato has won the cognitive war against its own citizens in the West. The Atlantic Alliance has developed a new form of propaganda based on what it denounced a short time ago: Fake News – Thierry Meyssan
This article is called, “The war propaganda changes its shape.”
To illustrate this, the article starts with the assertion that Ukraine really was the one who started the war with Russia, based on assurances by some combination of powers that they would back up Ukraine with nuclear weapons that they would provide.
I am afraid we are dealing with a lot of propaganda in this conflict.
I think that the more important point from this article is that the collective west has crossed yet another rubicon in terms of zombifying its populations.
We are surrounded by Hyper Zombies
Guys… can I say something? I am tired of the stupidity. Seriously tired.
What stupidity?
stupidity = when sense is not common anymore
stooopidity = injecting an experiment into your body in exchange for a free donut (multiple times) and getting very angry if anyone suggests it’s a bad idea to do such things.
Stupidity is the engine of life, CTG! And to paraphrase Dr Johnson, those who are tired of stupidity are tired of life.
(I confess I’m not at that point yet, only on my way there.)
A general exhaustion is setting in for many intelligent observers: as in an extended war in which no victories have come, the pressure is rising, and madness grows with no hint of an end.
Which brings to my mind:
“I am tired, that is clear,
Because, at certain stage, people have to be tired.
Of what I am tired, I don’t know:
It would not serve me at all to know
Since the tiredness stays just the same.
The wound hurts as it hurts
And not in function of the cause that produced it.
Yes, I am tired,
And ever so slightly smiling
At the tiredness being only this –
In the body a wish for sleep,
In the soul a desire for not thinking
And, to crown all, a luminous transparency
Of the retrospective understanding…
And the one luxury of not now having hopes?
I am intelligent: that’s all.
I have seen much and understood much of what I have seen.
And there is a certain pleasure even in tiredness this brings us,
That in the end the head does still serve for something.”
Fernando Pessoa (1935)
“Those whom wealth touches – their skin
Itches with the gold rash.
Those whom fame breathes upon –
Their life tarnishes.
To those for whom happiness is
Their sun, night comes round.
But to one who hopes for nothing
All that comes is grateful.”
from “I Want” by Fernando Pessoa
“I salute all those who may read me,
Doffing my broad-brimmed hat to them”
from “The Keeper of Sheep” by Fernando Pessoa
Splendid lines of Pessoa: thank you, JMS.
The best therapy for the angst you are feeling CTG is to monitor The Covid Blog and other sources that are documenting the vax injuries involving Stooopid MOREONs.
If that’s not helping I recommend you volunteer to work Saturdays at an Injection Pop Up Centre… this will bring you face to face with the MOREONS …. and allow you to legally maim and kill them…
Yes, I can fully empathise.
Dietrich Bonhoeffer: ‘Stupidity is a more dangerous enemy of the good than malice. One may protest against evil; it can be exposed and, if need be, prevented by use of force. Evil always carries within itself the germ of its own subversion in that it leaves behind in human beings at least a sense of unease. Against stupidity we are defenceless. Neither protests nor the use of force accomplish anything here; reasons fall on deaf ears; facts that contradict one’s pre-judgment simply need not be believed – in such moments the stupid person even becomes critical – and when facts are irrefutable they are just pushed aside as inconsequential, as incidental. In all this the stupid person, in contrast to the malicious one, is utterly self-satisfied and, being easily irritated, becomes dangerous by going on the attack. For that reason, greater caution is called for than with a malicious one. Never again will we try to persuade the stupid person with reasons, for it is senseless and dangerous’.
‘If we want to know how to get the better of stupidity, we must seek to understand its nature. This much is certain, that it is in essence not an intellectual defect but a human one. There are human beings who are of remarkably agile intellect yet stupid, and others who are intellectually quite dull yet anything but stupid. We discover this to our surprise in particular situations. The impression one gains is not so much that stupidity is a congenital defect, but that, under certain circumstances, people are made stupid or that they allow this to happen to them. We note further that people who have isolated themselves from others or who live in solitude manifest this defect less frequently than individuals or groups of people inclined or condemned to sociability. And so it would seem that stupidity is perhaps less a psychological than a sociological problem’.
https://www.platoscave.org/2021/10/bonhoeffer-on-stupidity-entire-quote.html
Well said.For me it has always been obvious that stupidity derives more from lack of curiosity and courage than lack of intelligence.
“Global trade falls 2.8% as Russia’s war in Ukraine hits container traffic… Fall reflects sharp drop in port activity in both countries, with EU affected more than China or US…
“Shipping container traffic halved in the past month at St Petersburg, Vladivostok and Novorossiysk, Russia’s three busiest container ports.”
https://www.ft.com/content/ae48f5b4-4928-4582-803c-6c2e02615154
“Floating mines in Black Sea endangering grain, oil trade…
“Ukraine and Russia have accused each other of laying mines in the Black Sea, and in recent days, Turkish and Romanian military diving teams have defused stray mines around their waters.”
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/floating-mines-black-sea-endangering-grain-oil-trade-officials-2022-04-05/
The world doesn’t need floating mines if it wants reasonable rates on insurance for ships.
It would seem like anyone placing mines in the Black Sea must be trying to damage Russia.
The war in the Ukraine was perhaps needed to cover up the need for global trade to continue shrinking by a very significant amount.
Seems that way, doesn’t it?
Dennis L.
Cuba struggles to buy fuel as imports from Venezuela dwindle -data
Marianna Parraga
Tue, April 5, 2022, 3:24 PM·4 min read
Reuters) – Cuba is struggling to cover a fuel deficit as imports from Venezuela and other countries remain below historical levels and global prices boosted by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine make purchases almost unaffordable, according to analysts and data.
The Caribbean country, which is dependent on fuel imports mostly from political ally Venezuela to cover more than half of its demand, is since last month dealing with diesel and gasoline shortages leading to long lines in front of stations.
Insufficient fuel imports are another major hurdle for Cuba’s economy, struggling to recover following the coronavirus pandemic and harsher U.S. sanctions imposed by the administration of former President Donald Trump.
Looks like most of the world now is facing shortages…
Time for a booster…right Mister Ed!
Not to be outdone by California, Washington state lawmakers passed a bill (HB 1287) on April 15 which aims to stop the sale of new internal combustion-engine vehicles starting in 2030. That’s a full 5 years before the California ban takes effect. The Washington ban is a little more complicated, but that doesn’t mean anyone living in Washington should breathe a sigh of relief since the bill includes a frustrating, controversial twist.
Learn about the new plan the EPA is using to go after gas-powered cars here.
First off, that ban of new internal combustion-engine cars being sold in Washington is contingent on the Pacific Northwest state adopting a tax on miles traveled in private vehicles. This would be similar to the much-panned proposal Pete Buttigieg, US Secretary of Transportation, recently threw out in an MSNBC interview, then walked back not too long after. In Washington, that tax would be applied to creating new transportation infrastructure.
Motorious
Washington State Wants To Kill Gas Cars
Steven Symes
doubt there will sufficient supplies of gasoline to fuel cars then anyway…never mind making the replacement parts needed to keep them on the road
EU develops strategic reserves for chemical, biological and radio-nuclear emergencies
To improve the EUs preparedness and response to public health risks such as chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear (CBRN) threats, the Commission is building up strategic reserves of response capacities through the EU Civil Protection Mechanism. This includes a €540.5 million rescEU strategic stockpile, established in close collaboration with the Health emergency Preparedness and Response Authority (HERA). This stockpile will consist of equipment and medicines, vaccines and other therapeutics to treat patients exposed to CBRN emergencies agents, as well as of rescEU decontamination reserve to provide decontamination equipment and expert response teams.
As an immediate first step, the EU has mobilised its rescEU medical reserve to procure potassium iodide tablets which can be used to protect people from the harmful effects of radiation. Already almost 3 million iodide tablets have been delivered to Ukraine via the EU Civil Protection Mechanism, with the help of France and Spain.
https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_22_2218
Groan, politicians finding something with which to excite the populace to justify to existence of said politicians.
Dennis L.
Dennis there’s a nuclear scare of some sort coming. It’s the climax of this second Act of the Degrowth production. Then comes the denouement.
Epic dream I shared previously from the 2009-10 timeframe showed 3 succesive burning oil barrels (world war?) and a Tiger riding on the back of Bear stampeding with palehorse (Russia-China-Energy Conflict). The other notable dream sequence showed the collapse of an empire with a major city on fire, migration from Africa to Europe with the words “a Senate City.” Turkey is hosting Ukraine-Russia ceasfire, maybe scare is in Ankara or Istanbul if something goes south? Food shortage causing mass migration?
Awesome. Thanks for sharing that again. Looks like you’ve been given a gift there.
I have this thing called the Horsetrading Theory of Everything lol, the HTOE, that I tinker with. It’s a geopolitical framework for the globalist elites’ supranational redistribution of oil, mainly, that’s already underway, but also natural gas. One of the horsetrade that’s been evident for some time is that Turkey has inexplicably been consuming about twenty percent more natural gas than normal over the last few years (H/T to Dork of Cork on Twitter) during a time of currency collapse; things that make you go hmmmmm. The HTOE has concluded that revanchist Turkey has been paid up front (or partly at least) in gas, for agreeing to being the bulwark against mass migration from the ME to Europe during collapse. Therefore the HTOE has preconceived notions about Turkey that cast doubt over Ankara or Istanbul being ‘the senate city.’
Fast Eddy would point out that a Google search for ‘senate etymology’ yields the result that a translation of the original latin is “council of elders.” Now what does that mean? If we think that the world is run by bureaucrats that suggestsThe Knesset in Jerusalem, and that definitely strikes the HTOE as a very viable scenario because the HTOE already has international Zionism, and Israeli nationalism as we know it, effectively disappearing off the face of the planet. And part of that includes the US removing its nukes from Israeli territory. Might sound crazy but the HTOE revolves around the central thesis that the Elders are doing a political disappearing act during collapse just as is the Old Testament Capitalism – in a puff of smoke.
If Israel as we know it goes away then the Killuminati must have just been a bad dream after all, right?
Now obviously we don’t think that the world is run by bureaucrats but since that’s the official version then it stands to reason that the Knesset/Jerusalem would be the target. A plausible scenario leading to such an incident has yet to be pondered.
I’ll mention that the House of Saud is slated to fall according to the HTOE, so Riyadh could be a candidate.
Any more details you can dig deep for from that old dream? Any other dreams or visions?
I have a recurring dream where I have to play hockey and I can’t find my hockey sticks… or that I forget them at home….
Too much obsessing about the exponential function. Eat a big salad a few hours before bed. 🙂
Nuclear scare, biological scare, terror scare, pandemic scare, war scare, cyber scare… Who cares? Anything goes, when fifty years of psyops have proven to the owners that fear is a winning strategy, it works 100% on gullible sheep.
Sounds like a good excuse for more debt.
If I was a doomie prepper I’d buy 5 tonnes of that iodine stuff… and sprinkle it on my veggie garden when the fuel ponds start to spew… mix it in my water… you need enough to last for 10,000 years apparently
Ones thyroid takes in iodine from food. If one takes a pill with lots of clean iodine in it then little radioactive iodine is absorbed.
Uh, ‘dark forest’ anyone? Why does nasa get to decide whether the earth gets destroyed?
A baby crying in the dark does nothing other than alert the wolves..we are truly babies if they do this..
https://sputniknews.com/20220406/nasa-to-lead-effort-on-contacting-aliens-in-defiance-of-hawkings-warnings-1094523080.html
If they are able to make it through the Fermi paradox than they are better than us
There is no hiding anyway, presumably we are not sending out faster than light communications. If we were perceived as a threat, we would be easily vapourized by any star-faring civilization.
An excellent series on the Fermi Paradox is provided on YouTube by Isaac Arthur. Well worth listening to over a glass of scotch and a bag of chips.
deunetri,
If they are in space, they have access to NNR from the original source, super nova’s and the like, no real need for earth. All will be well.
Dennis L.
They are not in space. All is well, in the land of Elon Musk’s mythical round table, I presume.
relax, it is just a pork program like many many other pork programs. They should also make nuclear fusion machines, since they are only 30 years away.
Maybe in Russia 30 years in US we always use 50 years. 🙂
or two weeks…
Mr Pool
The Pool team is in contact with the Chinese government, the The Russian government and the German government. The team is behind the Z invasion of Ukraine.
Germany is no longer a loyal NATO ally.
???
Was Mr Pool a character in Utopia?
So, you are claiming that the Russian invasion is sponsored by Russia + China + Germany?
This is the group that feels “strong enough” to continue, and will push the rest of Europe out of the nest?
It is perfectly clear for every sane observer that Germany is the pivoting force here.
I would not go back to the bad period of IG Farben but the German industry is not as stupid as the German political class.
NS2 is a visible sign of that…
You could say that Russia has entities that want to drag it into the western sphere and Germany has some entities that want to drag it into the eastern sphere.
For me I would just ask for a general application of the rule
“Let a country select with whom it wants to engage by itself”
At least I read that statement in the newspaper recently.
Can you elaborate a bit more?
Good luck!
EU countries hunt for global coal stocks as Russian ban looms
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/eu-countries-hunt-global-coal-stocks-russian-ban-looms-2022-04-06/
Good luck! We seem to be past peak coal.
Before:
Russia exports to Europe
Australia exports to China
After:
Russia exports to China
Australia exports to Europe
And India, Pakistan et al will be looking for all the coal they can afford.
I’m hunting for coal … my shipping company said they had two pallets of Ohai left over… two days now and they are not getting me a price…
Bunnings has Solid Energy but it’s 3 weeks to get a pallet – they have around 20 sacks in store so I will go get that.
I prefer that the CEP concludes by end of May – I have enough coal on hand + wood to make it through at least till then
Ukrainian forces are shifting into PSYOPS mode, with the support of NATO governments and MSM, like with atrocity propaganda, because they are losing so badly on the battlefield, and they are desperate to deprive Russian forces of their current momentum.
Phase 1 of the special operation has been successful, with key cities taken in the east and south, and major Ukrainian forces eliminated in Mariopul, and Phase 2 will soon commence, as Russia reorientates its forces into new positions.
> Sitrep: Operation Z
We must evaluate the timing of the Bucha false-flag, which is of great importance and will give us major clues as to the real unfolding of events behind the curtain. It is no coincidence that the single largest mass surrender of the conflict so far occurred literally in the latter part of the same day as the false-flag. There is a clear connection.
Here’s the surrender video for those who haven’t seen it: https://www.bitchute.com/video/aEanhNSwYPoR/
In short, Ukrainian command and the western Intel services that control it, are getting desperate. The fall of Mariupol would mean the beginning of a long chain of events that will start a domino effect of collapse for the AFU (Armed Forces of Ukraine). The Ukrainian elite obviously knew that one of the last remaining contingents holding Mariupol together at the seams was ready to fall and they needed an event that would somehow disrupt the momentum Russia was soon to have from the upcoming fall of Mariupol. Because it is now clear the battle for Mariupol is nearing its end – the fall of the 501st special marine battalion today was like a giant edifice crumbling from the face of a barely standing building.
The powers that be know that once Mariupol falls, the Russian, Chechen, and DPR forces therein will be freed to immediately begin Phase 2 of the operation. And all indications from my analysis points to the fact that Phase 2 will be much more brutal and swift than what we’ve seen so far, for the following reasons:
Particularly after the pullbacks from Kiev, Sumy, Chirnihiv regions, and the injection of freed Mariupol forces, Russia will have more forces than ever concentrated on a much smaller area of operations. This will have a big compounding effect.
Freed from the constraints of large urban warfare, where the Russian forces are at a disadvantage, they will instead be facing the open plains of the western Donbass and Dnieper regions which favor the Russian force disposition in every way imaginable. Not only are civilians much easier to evacuate from the small villages and settlements but Russia can much more freely use its ‘big guns’ like the Msta 2S19 self propelled 152mm artillery, the various MLRS including Tos-1 thermobarics, and its fleet of attack choppers – all of which have been completely locked out of the urban battles in Mariupol and Kiev for the reasons of preventing mass civilian death and civil infrastructure destruction. We’ve had a taste already of how a more unrestricted Russian attack can look in the battle of Volnovakha and it was not pretty. I won’t needlessly post the photos/videos but Ukrop forces were brutally gored there.
The Ukr command are desperately trying to forestall these events. They know they stand no chance without some major escalation from NATO and unwilling European friends have been dragging their feet and noncommital about providing the types of arms that would allow Ukraine to stand a chance in Phase 2, in short – things like actual good light armor / tanks. Germany has supposedly agreed to give ancient 1960 BMP-1’s from the GDR era, but even if it manages to effect this the delivery to the frontlines would take time and this is exactly why they need to forestall as much as possible with these ‘false flags’.
Also there’s now reports Czech Republic has sent many T-72s and BMP-1 equivalent (the Czech copies/versions).
And on the topic of urban vs. open warfare. One thing that’s important to mention is, a lot of people claim Russia’s initial strategy of seizing cities was a ‘failure’ of intel because Russia hoped these cities would lay down their arms and embrace Russia and that didn’t happen. But if you really examine the opening more closely, it’s clear that Russia’s plan DID work to a large part – they seized several of their most important key cities in the exact way they wanted, without firing a shot nor destroying the cities in urban warfare. These are: Kherson, Melitopol, Energodar, Berdiansk. The ones they hoped would give up but failed were Kharkov, Kiev, and arguably Nikolayev. It’s obviously a partial success, and more so for the fact that the ones that fell were in the important region that Russia is likely to incorporate in one way or another into its sphere of control anyway. So how can one claim the strategy was a “failure” when Russia now controls this belt of important cities and life there has returned to normal, and the cities are being fully integrated into the Russian economy. New reports show how Kherson and Energodar have created economic commissions which are now coordinating trade economies with Crimea, and fiber internet from Crimea has also now been established linking Kherson directly to the RF and cutting it from the Ukraine.
But back to the first point: we still don’t know the exact objectives of Phase 2, and most of us just assume by far the main thrust will be to close the ‘Great Cauldron’ in Donbass. But there are some indications that Phase 2 will in fact either include or even favor an initial focus on Nikolayev and Kharkov. These are only rumors, but simply something to keep in mind. Western/Ukrainian intel ‘sources’ and chirps from their upper command claim that Russia is set to attack Kharkov, and there is an obvious RF force accumulation towards the Nikolayev axis.
One possibility is that Russia continues to play maneuver warfare and keep Kiev guessing to throw them off and strike them where they’re weak. Everyone fully expected the cauldron to be next and Kiev announced the sending of large reinforcements there, but Russia may instead choose to focus a powerful thrust onto a lesser defended Nikolayev instead, as an example.
Anyway, though there is mostly an operational pause on the ground, at least for the RF side while they regroup, reposition and wait for Mariupol to fall so that they can begin Phase 2, there are still some gains and frontline changes we can speak of.
…. One thing that must be noted and expounded upon. What we’re seeing is a shift in Ukrainian tactics from actual, ostensible warfare to psychological warfare almost exclusively. What this means is, Ukraine has ceased even trying to win in the sense of operable offensives / counter-offensives and real strategic battlefield victories. Rather they have now devolved into a strategy where only psyops, intimidation, and propaganda aimed at reducing morale is their chief and primary ‘weapon’ against RF forces.
There hasn’t been a single recorded ‘victory’ of any sort from the Ukrainian side in a long time against actual Russian troops. They are retreating and losing manpower virtually everywhere apart from the places Russia willfully pulled back. But this is a huge difference between being forced to retreat due to suffering losses, and a reorientation in strategy.
…. So the point is, Ukraine has shifted to conducting only a psychological war as its last resort. From Bucha, to the POW tortures/killings, to the pointless but ‘showy’ strike on Belgorod, which did nothing more than attempt to deal a psychological strike to the Russian morale. Remember, Russia is drowning in oil/fuel, that is the least of their problems. An attack targeting a minor, insignificant oil depot in a small backwater town is strategically irrelevant. The fact that Ukraine risked such a daring operation shows the shift into psychological war rather than actual strategically effective war against real targets. It is a sign of an enemy who is losing and desperate.
The Ukraine is now fighting a war primarily in the electronic/cyber/abstract sphere of influence, rather than the real objective sphere of physical battle and direct warfare. In short, they are doing anything possible to take the attention away from their own massive strategic losses on the real, physical battlefield. This is effectively a shift to a psychological operation rather than physical operation on their behalf. The types of attacks and “victories” we are likely to see from them from this point on will be things of this nature – small strategically insignificant but ‘showy’ and designed for psychological effect – and of course a likely initiative switch to increasing the scale and frequency of false flags of all types we will see from this point onward….
https://thesaker.is/sitrep-operation-z-5/
I am wondering if whether the real issue is that Europe needs an excuse to cut back its energy consumption, even further, because it cannot afford all of the high priced imported fossil fuels. Framing Russia gives an excuse for the need for more sanctions. The UN is pretty political. Europe can get the UN to go along with whatever it comes up with.
The self-organising economy acts in strange ways. And if people have not carefully honed their self-awareness and critical skills over many years of self-discipline then they are easy fodder for subtle impulses from the energetic base. We can see how ‘nationalism’ and its ‘ego’, and the ideological superstructure (eg. ‘sovereignty’, sanctions) can facilitate both the expansion and the contraction of the energetic base. We tend to assume that the socialized psyche is aimed at the expansion and functionality of the base, but it is clearly operative in its contraction too.
Humans have evolved entirely as components of dissipative structures, and there are likely implications for psychology, politics and geopolitics that we are not fully aware of. There is a lot of behaviour that we might think of as ‘irrational’ but it can facilitate the base in either its expansion or contraction. We tend to ‘fit’ human behaviour into socially functional categories like the ‘moral’, the ‘loyal’, the ‘rational’ or the ‘normal’, but we may be missing important parts of the picture of what is fundamentally going on and how it affects human behaviour.
Our understanding tends to give primacy to the human and to the conscious (the ‘rational’) as the ‘horizon’ within which the wider world, and human behaviour, are understood and to which they are supposedly ‘ordered’. We even develop a grand metaphysics of the ‘eternal, individual soul’ and its ‘infinite importance’ as the center of interpretation. It may be that humans are just biological machines that have evolved as components of larger dissipative structures, and that their behaviour is more fundamentally interpreted in those physical and energetic terms. (None of which precludes an afterlife.)
Perhaps humans are not the ‘purpose’ of human behaviour at all. Perhaps it is rather ordered to the dynamics of the wider dissipative structure. Perhaps our organic drives, and our psychological, social, and even political and geopolitical tendencies, have evolved dependent on the functionality of the wider dissipative structure and therefore ordered to its functionality. In a similar way that the organs of the body are not an ‘end’ in themselves but they have their broader ‘meaning’ and functionality within the context of the wider organic body within which they have evolved.
If so, then the self-organising economy may act in a ‘strange’ way mainly because we have not developed an analytical, categorical framework in which we can interpret, and anticipate, what is going on, how humans are motivated on a dissipative structural basis, and what acts we can expect. The human psyche has evolved to facilitate that functionality, not really to interpret it except in so far as that too facilitates it. And I am guessing that functionality implies psychological habits and categorical frameworks that habitually exclude the development of a more fundamental interpretation.
Humans are, at base, pushy biological machines who make up any nonsense to get what they want, and that implies that they are on the whole pretty ‘stupid’. Society constantly reinforces that ‘stupidity’ in order to function. That entire strategy largely precludes any objective analysis. We can observe it in action in the ‘discourse’ around the Ukraine; an objective analysis is the last thing that any actors are interested in, they are all interested in pushing their own largely subjective narratives, and even lying when it suits them. It is just what humans do. Objectivity is entirely off the table, and it always is, so that society can ‘function’.
A physical, dissipative perspective would likely be a massive shock, a trauma, to the human ego, as it simply has not evolved in that way, with that perspective. It has found its own way to ‘function’, and any other perspective would, likely, completely undermine that functionality; it would be ‘disorientating’, a ‘collapse of meaning’. We are, as a species, somewhat ‘locked into’, a certain set of psychological habits, of categories and interpretations. That is fine, as it does allow us to ‘function’, which is the entire point of it.
It is remarkable that we have progressed to ‘science’, but, looking at society and the world, I do not foresee the extension of that objectivity to the human ‘identity’ and social affairs any time soon. But who knows? We may be incubating a new ‘ascent’ of consciousness that will come to fruition after the collapse. The end of industrialism may ‘clear the ground’ for an evolutionary leap. We have seen how ‘catastrophes’, like climate change, overshoot and mass extinctions all play ‘positive roles’ in pushing evolution forward, and the collapse of industrial civilisation may be analogous to that.
> “Man is a rope stretched between the animal and the overman — a rope over an abyss. A dangerous crossing, a dangerous wayfaring, a dangerous looking-back, a dangerous trembling and halting. What is great in man is that he is a bridge and not a goal: what is lovable in man is that he is an over-going and a down-going.” (Zarathustra)
I think that you are right about this:
We have told ourselves that science, with all of its models, is “objective,” but this is not really the case. There may be some pieces that are objective. But the question of “what gets studied” is determined by the powers that be. Research is funded by various organization, mostly the government and organizations that would benefit from outcomes of the desired type. Models necessarily leave a lot out; people looking at the output of models assume that they are likely right, but this is not necessarily correct.
You know what? People claiming that humans are machines unable to do something should qualify these peole for the dump yard for these macines.
If you are that kinda machine, you say, you spotted a problem? have you used your mind and hands to change that?
You claim humans are just too stupid to find theses higher ordering principles. Have you once picked up a pen and a sheet of paper and investigated them as Newton did?
No, so you sit in your armcheir farting intellectual nonsense as an excuse for no action.
I can understand that. I am an old guy too. I could also have done many things better. But I would never generalise my incapabilities with a general theory of men being machnes.
In case, I missed the point, send a link to your papers.
You told me not to engage with you, so, yah, I am a weak person.
whatever.
What on earth are you on about?
To be precise I am on about tryng to make people aware that the death machine wants the people think they are just natural parts of the death machine.
Uhm, what death machine ? Exactly.
As somebody else stated to mirror: Do your own research.
The events the past few years don’t prove this, but they are very consistent. More than one coincidence and one needs a bit of skepticism.
Dennis L.
Coincidences are common for sure.
I saw a report last week of an interview with a gentleman in Ukraine that claimed to have been a classmate of Putin in prep school. He said that Putin called himself “Fast Vlady”.
Has anyone ever laid eyes on Fast Eddy?
Could we have Russian Hackers on OFW?
……..Just asking for a friend……….
You got it backwards lol. It’s fast Eddy that moonlights as vlady. Eddy be singing “la dee da dee, me likes to vlady.” He’s a busy man. A little too busy. Sorry about the cancer Eddy. It’s just mitochondrial dysfunction. You can heal from it naturally. Get your pal orban to nationalize this place give him a gold bar for a lifetime pass at this joint. And enjoy!
http://www.orek.hu/en/gaps-residential-centre
If the techno-feudalists lose this struggle, then the world falls back to the 18th century.
Or further yet back. We don’t have the skills or tools of the 18th century.
Maybe not,
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CnszXjbvadU
There are a bunch of videos on this sort of industry, machining hasn’t changed that much other than CNC, these guys melt engine blocks for cast iron. Look at their feet, no safety toes, no shoes, flowing steel and iron.
Who is more valuable, someone who can repair a garbage truck or a lawyer discussing some sort of sexual rights? Who is really working for the man, i.e. the bank and a huge student loan?
We humans are very inventive, get away from the nihilism of the academy and we are fine.
Dennis L.
How will these parts be transported? On the backs of mules?
The question answers itself.
We certainly don’t Gail.
We don’t even have those of the Middle Ages, which were in fact of no mean order in masonry, woodworking, clothmaking and metalwork.
Yes but we have eBikes!!!
BTW – the average weight of one of these beasts is 25kg… try peddling one of those when the power goes out hahahahaha.. Maybe get a Plough Hog to haul it around?
whereas if they win, it’s going back to full feudalism. In my neck of the woods, pre-1256.
With spaceships and AI.
Spacehips for what, if there will already be teleportation machines in every home?
https://img.picturequotes.com/1/188/the-best-is-yet-to-come-quote-2.jpg
“the world falls back to the 18th century”
If only. That is where I have always wanted to be.
Me too, provided I was born in the palace of the Eszterházys and not in the huts where their servants lived.
As Monsieur de Taleyrand used to say, “He who has not lived in the eighteenth century before the Revolution does not know the sweetness of life.” Oh yea.
A massive reduction of population and the concentration of the entire world’s resources to reach the next level of civilization are the only way to avoid doom.
Klaus and his friends were aware of that, so they wanted to break the power of the local lords . Hence ‘you will own nothing but you will be happy’.
Only 10% of population in the advanced countries have a stake (sizable shares in stocks, real estate, etc). The rest can go and eat cold feet
“the next level of civilization”
Maybe a previous ‘level’ was a better one? How do we evaluate that? By culture rather than technology? If so then Europe passed its pinnacle long ago. If not by the culture that is produced, then by what?
It is not a video game where we have to ‘reach the next level’ – or is it?
So you are hoping to be happy about owning nothing? Sounds like you are a fan.
BTW, do you still spend any time on r/collapse? I left that site years ago out of pure frustration…. this blog seems to have it nicely covered.
LOL!
Anti-vaccination beliefs linked to childhood trauma, researchers find
Researchers investigating the source of anti-vaccination beliefs have discovered that they may be linked to a particular childhood experience.
Anti-vaccination beliefs are more common among those who have experienced abuse and neglect during childhood, a new study has found.
The paper, published last month in the journal PNAS Nexus, sought to understand why some people “have been so passionately, often angrily” opposed to Covid-19 vaccines by tapping into a rare, five-decade cohort study spanning childhood to midlife.
Researchers led by Duke University Psychology Professor Terrie Moffitt turned to their database, the Dunedin Multidisciplinary Health and Development Study, which has been tracking all of the nearly 1000 people born in 1972 and 1973 in a single town in New Zealand, measuring multiple social, psychological and health factors in each of the participants’ lives.
https://www.news.com.au/technology/science/human-body/antivaccination-beliefs-linked-to-childhood-trauma-researchers-find/news-story/dcb938cfb6a8f819fba375d7941722ee
https://media.giphy.com/media/reJOGQ43nNeGk/giphy.gif
Sorry, no childhood trauma, they just have a brain….
This is the Soviet method: any dissent is a kind of mental illness, and cannot possibly be fact-based, reasonable and honest
Historically, poor people have been the target subjects of medical experiments that went badly. I don’t blame poor people, worldwide, for being suspicious of yet another medical experiment.
I created a subreddit at /r/our_finite_world in case anyone is interested. I obviously don’t know if it will grow, but just fyi it’s there. I don’t plan to moderate apart from permabanning anyone that spams links (you know who you are).
https://www.reddit.com/r/our_finite_world/
I will post this once per new article unless Gail asks me to shut it down.
Well done but I don’t use any form of socail media. The only exclusion is wordpress.
Oil and water
Fast Eddy is only into Substacks… and Telegram ….so he cannot help you there
Telegram is the best … it’s like plugging into everything … without censors… you can just browse through the content as it drops….
Some corners of social media are in an uproar over the U.S. Peace Corps guidance on handling racism in Ukraine.
Peace Corps positions in Ukraine are currently not open, but Black Peace Corps volunteers who applied were warned to be prepared to be called the N-word and face other racist behavior while in Ukraine, according guidance on the Peace Corps website that is currently being discussed on social media.
https://news.yahoo.com/does-not-justify-peace-corps-131100283.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall
Interesting!
I’m thinking that chartering a few planes and filling them with KKK warriors would be appropriate…
KKK + Nazis = Dream Team….
Some mental gymnastics needed here.
BLM supports Ukraine hahahahahahahahaha…
Just when we were thinking stooopidity might have limits hahahahaha
Ukeley’s are not racist – huh? https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/34342
“Fresh coal crisis looms as Coal India adds new curbs.
“A coal supply crisis is brewing in India for a second year. Coal India Ltd. is restricting deliveries to industrial consumers to prioritize power plants, with fuel stockpiles already below target levels and the country heading into a traditional summer demand peak.”
https://www.livemint.com/industry/energy/fresh-coal-crisis-looms-as-coal-india-adds-new-curbs-11649147584568.html
“Vietnam wants to import around five million tonnes of coal from Australia amid a domestic shortage that has forced power plants to cut production…
“The trade ministry is also looking for sources in South Africa… It also warned of the risk of power shortages from this month.”
https://www.retailnews.asia/vietnam-to-import-coal-from-australia-amid-power-shortage-fears/
My coal supplier has jacked up the price big time … I’ve got a line on 40kg sacks from Mitre 10 – they’ve jacked 20% as well but it’s still a better per kg deal….
The only problem with that is the Munchkins struggle with 40kg sacks… even if I beat them with a whip they just can’t lift it… which means I have to deal with it….
Maybe I can get one of them Plough Hogs to move into the spare bedroom – free rent — from what I understand they could take 2 40kg sacks one on each shoulder … and haul ass…
Soooo Eeeeee… if I get two of them I could have Coal Sack Hog Races… put that on PPV I tell ya the NZers would eat it up … I need to call the Cable Company to see if they’ll Buy the Rights…
India seems to be having a problem with peak coal.
Peak coal is a worldwide problem, but people don’t realize it. Russia is one of the few places with increasing supplies of coal, but these supplies are high-cost to transport to users around the world.
“Europe’s Russia coal ban foreshadows higher global energy prices.
“Europe is taking a big gamble as it moves to ban Russian coal, potentially leaving itself vulnerable to shortages and rolling blackouts while the rest of the world contends with surging prices.”
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2022/04/06/business/europe-russia-coal-energy/
It sounds like Europe wants to shoot itself in the foot.
They do not really seem to be thinking things through, Gail. 😆
Very good.
It is the only way to disgregate this terrible experiment called EU.
It is the first time in history that humans want to create an empire or a big nation that doesn’t have any of these elements:
(I quote them because historically they are present in an empire or a nation. Not necessary all, but at least some of them):
– a common language
– a common culture
– a common religion
– a common army
– a common history about which people recognize themselves
– direct elections of the president and the commission
– and/or hereditary king
– clear borders
– a bank related to an elected government and/or an hereditary king.
– a common currency used exclusively in all part of the empire/nations (some EU Countries still have their national bank and parallel currency)
– a common civil and penal code
It is an empire ruled by a self-determined bureaucracy who follow their own interests.
I hadn’t thought about it that way. You are right, certainly based on the way Europe is organized. I am less certain when it comes to the rest of the world.
There seem to be an awfully lot of countries that represent a collection of different peoples/tribes that were pushed together for one reason or another. They may have a common financial system, today, but how much more they have depends a lot of the circumstances. Think about Libya and Iraq, or Nigeria. Or even China and India.
“Iraqis welcome Ramadan in the dark with empty plates.
“Iraqis across the country are welcoming the holy Muslim month of Ramadan with mixed feelings, as prices of basic foodstuffs increase and fuel and electricity cuts intensify this year.”
https://english.alaraby.co.uk/news/iraqis-greet-ramadan-high-food-prices-long-power-cuts
“Sudanese suffer from power cuts, cooking gas shortage amid Ramadan.
“The repeated electricity outage amid a wave of heat, as well as the scarcity of cooking gas combined to aggravate the sufferings of the Sudanese people.”
http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/africa/20220405/3c88e22289424546992e13184bc37931/c.html
I was wondering how Ramadan would go. It seems like this will make Iraqis unhappy. It would seem to increase the chance for Middle East conflict.
“Sri Lanka’s currency plunges to world’s worst-performing in economic meltdown.
“Sri Lanka is facing a foreign exchange crisis as its government grapples with looming debt payments, widespread protests and an economic emergency.”
https://www.ft.com/content/b6c91edf-d8b3-42d6-8eef-c42f2f2544b3
“Lebanon goes bankrupt: Deputy Prime Minister.
“Lebanon as a State, and its Central Bank, has gone bankrupt, according to Deputy Prime Minister, Saadeh Al-Shami. “The State has gone bankrupt as did the Banque du Liban, and the loss has occurred, and we will seek to reduce losses for the people,” Al-Shami told the local Al-Jadeed channel.”
https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20220404-lebanon-goes-bankrupt-deputy-prime-minister/
Countries will somehow need to figure out a way to provide for themselves, with whatever resources are available. They likely won’t be able to support current population levels.
“Cuba struggles to buy fuel as imports from Venezuela dwindle…
“Cuba is struggling to cover a fuel deficit as imports from Venezuela and other countries remain below historical levels and global prices boosted by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine make purchases almost unaffordable.”
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/cuba-struggles-buy-fuel-imports-venezuela-dwindle-data-2022-04-05/
“North Korea cracks down on private fuel sales during shortage.
“Authorities in North Korea are cracking down on citizens who privately sell gasoline as fuel shortages spread across the country… Private ownership and sale of fuel reserves is technically illegal in North Korea but is tolerated under normal circumstances.”
https://www.rfa.org/english/news/korea/gas-04052022170522.html
“Global oil shock reaches Indonesia.
“The sharp rise in global oil prices has crept onto Indonesian shores, with diesel shortages and fuel price hikes unfolding in some parts of the archipelago in recent weeks as the government winds down price control policies for the sake of fiscal consolidation.”
https://www.thejakartapost.com/business/2022/04/05/global-oil-shock-reaches-indonesia.html
“[Pakistan’s] oil sector seen slipping into financial crisis.
“The country’s oil sector is hotfooting towards a serious financial crunch as the government seems dragging feet on the payment of price differential claims (PDCs) to refineries and oil marketing companies (OMCs) against keeping fuels prices stable, officials said on Monday.”
https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/947433-oil-sector-seen-slipping-into-financial-crisis
Not enough oil for all of the poor countries of the world. Prices are too high for countries to afford to import it.
Where does that put the US? Our debt/income ratio must be horrible. Our current educational system seems very weak.
Our current governments may well be engaged in discretionary spending which per TM will fall to essentials, e.g. locally, roads, sewer, water. That will make an interesting employment problem for equity as a certain group lacks upper body strength. Send HR into the sewers and request a proposal for solutions?
Disclaimer: I was on a sewer crew summers while in school. Guys working on sewers(some lrge enough to walk through, and well, they are sewers) have a different sense of humor and it is probably lacking in political correctness. Fire them, lay them off and certain things begin to backup into basements, S… happens I guess.
Dennis L.
“Brazil Gets Final Wave of Crucial Russian Fertilizer Shipments… before supplies plunge due to the Ukraine war, potentially hurting harvests in the biggest grower of crops from coffee to sugar to soybeans…
“A fertilizer shortage in Brazil could result in smaller harvests and higher food costs globally…”
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-05/brazil-gets-final-wave-of-crucial-russian-fertilizer-shipments
“Argentina’s grain transporters call for strike amid fuel shortage.
“Leaders from Argentina’s major transportation union said on Monday they will call for a national strike to demand an increase in grain freight rates, as higher fuel costs cause tensions throughout the industry.”
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/argentinas-grain-transporters-call-strike-amid-fuel-shortage-2022-04-05/
Food supplies are likely to be the big problem in the years ahead.