Tag Archives: debt defaults

Advanced Economies Are Being Pushed Toward Financial Collapse

Posted on March 31, 2025 by Gail Tverberg

The US and many other Advanced Economies are likely heading into a worse and longer lasting financial crisis than the 2008 crisis, starting as soon as this summer. The problem will likely not start out as a full financial collapse. Instead, various leveraged borrowers will encounter difficulties. Gradually, the finances and very structures of many government organizations are likely to be threatened. Continue reading →

Posted in Financial Implications, News Related Post, peak oil | Tagged , , , , | 1,987 Comments

The Advanced Economies are headed for a downfall

Posted on June 22, 2024 by Gail Tverberg

Figure 1 shows that, for the Advanced Economies, GDP has been trending downward since the early 1960s; this is concerning. It makes it look as if within only a few years, the Advanced Economies might be in permanent shrinkage. In 2022, the expected annual GDP growth rate for the group of Advanced Economies seems to be only 1%. Continue reading →

Posted in Financial Implications | Tagged , , , | 1,532 Comments

No one will win in the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Posted on March 28, 2022 by Gail Tverberg

Russia is in some ways like a heavily armed, suicidal old man, who can no longer earn an adequate living. The economic system of Russia is no longer working as it should. Russia is incredibly well-armed. The situation reminds a person of the story of Samson, in his old age, taking down the temple of the Philistines and losing his own life at the same time. Russia has no reason to back down in response to sanctions. Continue reading →

Posted in Energy policy, Financial Implications, News Related Post | Tagged , , , , | 4,785 Comments

2016: Oil Limits and the End of the Debt Supercycle

Posted on January 7, 2016 by Gail Tverberg

What is ahead for 2016? Most people don’t realize how tightly the following are linked: Growth in debt Growth in the economy Growth in cheap-to-extract energy supplies Inflation in the cost of producing commodities Growth in asset prices, such as … Continue reading →

Posted in Financial Implications | Tagged , , , , , , | 1,449 Comments

Economic growth: How it works; how it fails; why wealth disparity occurs

Posted on December 8, 2015 by Gail Tverberg

Economists have put together models of how an economy works, but these models were developed years ago, when the world economy was far from limits. These models may have been reasonably adequate when they were developed, but there is increasing … Continue reading →

Posted in Financial Implications | Tagged , , , , | 1,034 Comments