No one will win in the Russia-Ukraine conflict

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Most people have a preconceived notion that there will be a clear winner and loser from any war. In their view, the world economy will go on, much as before, after the war is “won” by one side or the other. In my view, we are basically dealing with a no-win situation. No matter what the outcome, the world economy will be worse off after the fighting stops.

The problem the world economy is up against is the depletion of many kinds of resources simultaneously. This depletion is made worse by rising population, meaning that the resources available need to provide an adequate living for an increasing number of world inhabitants. Because of depletion, the world economy is reaching a point where it can no longer grow in the way it has in the past. Inflation, food shortages and rolling blackouts are likely to become increasing problems in many parts of the world. Eventually, the population is likely to fall.

We are living in a world that is beginning to behave like the players scrambling for seats in a game of musical chairs. In each round of a musical chairs game, one chair is removed from the circle. The players in the game must walk around the outside of the circle. When the music stops, all the players scramble for the remaining chairs. Someone gets left out.

Figure 1. Circle of chairs arranged for a game of musical chairs. Source

In this post, I will try to explain some of the issues.

[1] In a world with inadequate resources relative to population, conflicts are likely to become increasingly common.

The Russia-Ukraine conflict is one example of a resource-associated conflict. The allies underlying the NATO organization have chosen to escalate the Russia-Ukraine conflict, in part, because the existence of the conflict helps to hide resource shortages and accompanying high prices that are already taking place. No matter how the war is stopped, the underlying resource shortage issue will continue to exist. Therefore, the conflict cannot end well.

If sanctions lead to less trade with Russia (or even worse, less trade with Russia and China), the world economy will have an even greater problem with inadequate resources after the war is over. In fact, many parts of the current economic system are in danger of failing, primarily because depletion is leading to too little energy and other resources per capita. For example, the US dollar may lose its reserve currency status, the world debt bubble may pop, and globalization may take a major step backward.

[2] There is a huge resource depletion issue that authorities in many countries have known about for a very long time. The issue is so frightening that authorities have chosen not to explain it to the general population.

Mainstream media (MSM) practically never mentions that there is a major issue with resource depletion. Instead, MSM tells a narrative about “transitioning to a lower carbon economy,” without mentioning that this transition is out of necessity: The world is up against extraction limits for many kinds of resources. Besides oil, coal and natural gas, resources with limits include many other minerals, such as copper, lithium, and nickel. Other resources, including fresh water and minerals used for fertilizer are also only available in limited supply. MSM fails to tell us that there is no evidence that a transition to a low carbon economy can actually be made.

[3] The big depletion issue is affordability of end products made with high priced resources. The cost of extraction rises, but the ability of the world’s citizens to pay for end products made using these high-cost resources doesn’t rise. Commodity prices do not rise enough to cover the rising cost of extraction. When this affordability limit is hit, it is the resource extracting countries, such as Russia, that find themselves in a terrible situation with respect to the financial well-being of their populations.

The big issue that hits because of depletion is a price conflict. Businesses extracting resources need high prices so that they can reinvest in new mines, in ever more costly locations, but consumers cannot afford these high prices.

In a sense, the higher cost is because of “inefficiency.” As a result of depletion, it takes more hours of labor, more machine time, and a greater use of energy products to extract the same quantity of a given resource that was previously extracted elsewhere. Growing efficiency tends to help wages, but growing inefficiency tends to work the opposite way: Wages don’t rise, certainly not as rapidly as prices of end products.

As a result, commodity exporters, such as Russia, are caught in a bind: They cannot raise prices enough to make new investments profitable. The problem is that the world’s consumers cannot afford the resulting high prices of essentials such as food, electricity and transportation. Russia reports very high reserve amounts, especially for natural gas and coal. It is doubtful, however, that these reserves can actually be extracted. Over the long term, selling prices cannot be maintained at a sufficiently high level to cover the huge cost of extracting, transporting and refining these resources.

The success of a country’s economy can, in some sense, be measured by the country’s per capita GDP. Russia’s GDP per capita has tended to lag far behind that of the US (Figure 2).

Figure 2. Inflation-adjusted per capita GDP of the United States, Russia and Ukraine. Amounts are as provided by the World Bank, using Purchasing Power Parity GDP in 2017 International Dollars.

Russia’s inflation-adjusted GDP per capita fell after the collapse of the central government of the Soviet Union in 1991. It was able to grow again, once oil prices began to rise in the early 2000s. Since 2013, Russia’s GDP per capita growth has again fallen behind that of the US, as increases in oil and other commodity prices again lagged the rising cost of production. Given these difficulties with depletion, Russia is becoming increasingly unwilling to ignore poor treatment it receives from Ukraine.

There may be another factor, as well, leading especially to the escalation of the conflict. The US seems to covet Russia’s resources. Some powers behind the throne seem to believe that Western forces supporting Ukraine can quickly win in this conflict. If such an early win occurs, the aim is for Western forces to step in and inexpensively ramp up Russian resource extraction, allowing the world a new source of cheap-to-produce fossil fuels and other minerals.

In this context, Russia launched an attack on Ukraine on February 24, 2022. Ukraine has presented Russia with problems for many years. One issue has been transit fees for natural gas passing through the country; is Ukraine taking too much gas out? Another problem area has been the rise of the far-right Azov regiment. Russia has also expressed concern that NATO has been training soldiers within Ukraine, even though Ukraine is not a member of NATO. Russia doesn’t want military, trained by NATO, at its doorstep.

[4] World economic growth very much depends on growing energy consumption.

There are two ways of measuring world GDP. The standard one is with the production of each country measured in inflation-adjusted US$, with the changing relative value to the US$ considered. The other approach uses “Purchasing Power Parity” GDP. The latter is supposedly not affected by the changing level of the dollar, relative to other currencies. Inflation-Adjusted Purchasing Power Parity GDP is only available for 1990 and subsequent years. Figure 3 shows the high correlation between energy consumption and PPP GDP during the period from 1990 through 2020.

Figure 3. X,Y graph of world energy consumption for the period 1990 to 2020, based on energy data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy and world Purchasing Power Parity GDP in 2017 International Dollars, as published by the World Bank.

The reason for a strong association between GDP growth with energy consumption growth is a physics-based reason. Producing goods and providing services requires the “dissipation” of energy products because the laws of physics tell us that energy is required to move any object from one place to another, or to heat any object. In the latter case, it is the individual molecules within a substance that move faster and faster as they get hotter. The economy is a “dissipative structure” in physics terms because of the need for energy dissipation to provide the work needed to make the system operate.

Human beings are also dissipative structures. The energy that humans get comes from the dissipation of the energy found in foods of every kind. Food energy is commonly measured in Calories (technically, kilocalories).

[5] World economic growth also seems to depend on factors besides energy consumption.

The fitted equation on Figure 3 (the equation beginning with “y”) implies that GDP is rising much more rapidly than energy consumption, almost twice as rapidly. Over the entire 30-year period, the actual growth rate in energy consumption averages about 1.8% a year. If energy consumption growth had really been 1.8% per year, the fitted equation implies that growth in GDP would have greatly sped up over the period. (In fact, the growth rate in energy consumption was falling over the 30-year period, but GDP grew at closer to a constant rate. In terms of the fitted equation, these two conditions are equivalent.)

Figure 4. Calculated expected GDP growth rate if energy consumption grows at a constant 1.8% per year, based on the fitted equation shown in Figure 3.

How can GDP rise so much more rapidly than energy dissipation? There seem to be several ways such a higher rate of increase can occur, on a temporary basis:

[a] A worldwide trend toward an economy using more services. The production of services tends to require less energy consumption than the production of essential goods, such as food, water, housing and local transportation. As the world economy gets wealthier, it can afford to add more services, such as education, healthcare, and childcare.

[b] A worldwide trend toward more wage and wealth disparity. Such a trend tends to happen with more specialization and more globalization. Strangely enough, a trend to more wage disparity allows the world economy to continue to grow without adding a proportionately greater amount of energy consumption use because of the different spending patterns between low-paid workers and high-paid workers.

Analyzing the situation, the world is filled mostly with low-paid workers. To the extent that the pay of these low-paid workers can be squeezed down, it can prevent these workers from buying goods that tend to use relatively high amounts of energy products, such as automobiles, motorcycles and modern homes. At the same time, growing wage disparity allows the higher-paid workers to be paid more. These higher-paid workers tend to spend a disproportionate share of their income on services, such as education and healthcare, which tend to consume less energy.

Thus, greater wage disparity tends to shift spending away from goods and toward services. The main beneficiaries are the top 1% of workers (who buy mostly services, requiring little energy consumption), rather than the remaining 99% (who would really like goods such as a car and their own home, which require much more energy consumption).

[c] Improvements in technology. Improvements in technology are helpful in raising GDP because technological improvements tend to make finished goods and services more affordable. With greater affordability, more people can afford goods and services. This effect is favorable for allowing the economy, as measured by GDP, to grow more quickly than energy consumption.

There is a catch associated with using improved technology to make goods and services more affordable. Improved technology tends to increase wage disparity because it nearly always leads to owners and a few highly educated workers being paid more, while workers doing the more routine parts of processes are paid less. Thus, it tends to lead to the problem discussed above: [b] A trend toward wage and wealth disparity.

Also, with improved technology, available resources tend to be depleted more quickly than without improved technology. This happens because finished goods are less expensive, so more people can afford them. Once resources start getting exhausted, improved technology can’t fix the situation because resource extraction costs are likely to rise more rapidly than can be offset with the impact of new technology.

[d] A worldwide trend toward more debt at ever-lower interest rates.

We all know that the monthly payment required to purchase a car or home is lower if the interest rate on the debt used to finance the purchase is lower. Thus, falling interest rates can make paychecks go further. Both businesses and citizens can afford to purchase more goods and services using credit, so the overall level of debt tends to rise with falling interest rates.

If we are only considering the period from 1990 to the present, the trend is clearly toward lower interest rates. These lower interest rates are part of what is making the GDP growth higher than what would be expected if interest rates and debt levels remained constant.

Figure 5. 3-month and 10-year US Treasury interest rates through February 28, 2022. Chart by FRED of the St. Louis Federal Reserve.

[6] The world economy now seems to be reaching limits with respect to many of the variables allowing world economic growth to continue as it has in the past, as discussed in Sections [4] and [5], above.

Figure 6. World per capita GDP based on Purchasing Power Parity GDP in 2017 International Dollars calculated using World Bank data.

Figure 6 shows that there have been two major step-downs in world inflation-adjusted per capita PPP GDP. The first one occurred in the 2008-2009 period; the second one occurred in 2020. Figure 7 shows the sharp dips in energy consumption occurring in the same time periods.

Figure 7. World per capita energy based on data of BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

In 2021, energy prices started to rise rapidly when the world economy tried to reopen. This rapid rise in prices strongly suggests that energy extraction limits are being reached.

Another clue that energy production limits are being reached comes from the fact that the group of oil exporters, OPEC+, found that they couldn’t actually ramp up their oil production as quickly as they promised. Once oil production is cut back because of inadequate prices, it is hard to get production to rise again, even if prices temporarily rise because the many pieces of the chain supporting this extraction are broken. For example, trained workers leave and find jobs elsewhere, and contractors go out of business because of inadequate profits.

If we think about it, Items [5a], [5b], [5c] and [5d] are all reaching limits as well. Item [5d] is probably clearest: Interest rates can no longer be lowered. In fact, nearly everyone says that interest rates should now be raised because of the high inflation rates. If interest rates are raised, commodity prices, including prices for fossil fuels, will fall.

With lower fossil fuel prices, there will be pressure for oil, gas and coal producers to reduce their production, even from today’s lower levels. Because of the tight connection between energy and GDP, lower energy production will tend to push economies further toward contraction. Of course, this will make resource exporters, such as Russia, worse off.

As the world economy enters recession, we can expect that Item [5a], the shift from goods toward services, to turn around. People with barely enough money for necessities will reduce their use of services such as haircuts and music lessons. Item [5b], globalization and related wage disparity, is already under pressure. Countries are finding that with broken supply chains, more local production is needed. In the US, recent wage gains have tended to go to the lowest-paid workers. Item [5c], technology growth, cannot ramp up as resources needed from around the world are increasingly unavailable, due to broken supply chains and depletion.

[7] We are likely facing a collapsing world economy because of the limits being reached. Adding sanctions against Russia will further push the world economy in the direction of collapse.

Many sources report that Russian exports of wheat, aluminum, nickel, and fertilizers will be “temporarily” disrupted. A few sources note that Russia plays an important role in the processing of uranium fuel used in nuclear power plants. According to the Conversation:

Most of the 32 countries that use nuclear power rely on Russia for some part of their nuclear fuel supply chain.

We have become used to efficient air travel, but sanctions against Russia make this less possible, especially for flights to Southeast Asia. A Bloomberg article called Siberian Detour Requires Airlines to Retrace Cold War Era Routes gives the example of direct flights from Finland to Southeast Asia being canceled because they have become too expensive and are too time-consuming with the required detours. It becomes necessary to fly indirect connecting routes if a person wants to travel. Many other routes have similar problems.

Figure 8. Source: Bloomberg, “Siberian detour requires airlines to retrace cold war era routes.”

US President Joseph Biden is warning that food shortages are likely in many parts of the world as a result of the sanctions placed against Russia.

According to a video shown on Zerohedge,

“It’s going to be real. The price of the sanctions is not just imposed upon Russia. It’s imposed upon an awful lot of countries as well, including European countries and our country as well.”

If the world economy were doing well, and if Russia were a tiny part of the world economy, perhaps the sanctions could be tolerated by the world economy. As it is, the Russia-Ukraine conflict acts to hide the underlying resource shortage problem. This is possible because, with the conflict, the resource shortages can be described as “temporary” and “necessary” in the context of the terrible things the Russians are doing. The way the West frames the problem provides a scapegoat to deflect anger toward, but it doesn’t fix the problem.

Russia started out being very disadvantaged because commodity prices, in recent years, have not been rising high enough to ensure an adequate living for Russian citizens and high enough tax revenue for the Russian government. Adding sanctions against Russia will simply make Russia’s problems worse.

[8] There is little reason to believe that Russia will “give up” in response to sanctions imposed by the United States and other countries.

The attacks by Russia of Ukrainian sites seems to be occurring for many related reasons. Russia can no longer tolerate being inadequately compensated for the resources it is extracting and selling to Ukraine and the rest of the world. It is tired of being “pushed around” by the rich economies, especially the United States, as NATO adds more countries. It is also tired of NATO training Ukrainian soldiers. Russia seems to have no plan to gain the entire territory of Ukraine; it is more of a temporary police action.

Russia’s underlying problem is that it can no longer produce commodities that the world wants as inexpensively as the world demands. Building all the infrastructure needed to extract and ship more fossil fuel resources would take more capital spending than Russia can afford. The selling price will never rise high enough to justify these investments, including the cost of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline. Russia has nothing to lose at this point. The current situation is not working; going back to it is no incentive for stopping the current conflict.

Russia is in some ways like a heavily armed, suicidal old man, who can no longer earn an adequate living. The economic system of Russia is no longer working as it should. Russia is incredibly well-armed. The situation reminds a person of the story of Samson, in his old age, taking down the temple of the Philistines and losing his own life at the same time. Russia has no reason to back down in response to sanctions.

Figure 9. Figure showing that Russia has a higher inventory nuclear warheads than the US. Figure by the Federation of American Scientists. Source

[9] Leaders of the world, including Joe Biden, appear to be oblivious to the situation we are facing.

Leaders of the world have created ridiculous narratives that overlook the critical role commodities play. They seem to believe that it is possible to cut off purchases from Russia with, at most, temporary harm to the rest of the world economy.

The history of the world shows that the populations of many civilizations have outgrown their resource bases and have collapsed. Physics points out that this outcome is almost inevitable because of the way the Universe is constructed. Everything is constantly evolving, even economies. The climate is constantly evolving, as are the species inhabiting the Earth.

Elected leaders need a story of everlasting growth that they can tell their citizens. They cannot even consider the physics-based way the world economy operates, and the resulting expected pattern of overshoot and collapse. Modelers of what are intended to be long-lasting structures cannot accept this outcome either.

Limits which are defined based on affordability of end products are incredibly difficult to model, so creative narratives have been developed suggesting that humans can move away from fossil fuels if they so desire. No one stops to think that economies cannot continue to exist using a much lower quantity of energy, any more than an adult human can get along on 500 calories a day. Both are dissipative structures; the ongoing energy requirement is built in. Factories close when electricity, diesel and other energy products are cut off.

[10] The sanctions and the Russia-Ukraine conflict cannot end well.

The world economy is already on the edge of collapse because of the resource limits it is hitting. Intentionally stopping Russia’s output of resources like fertilizer and processed uranium is certain to make the situation worse, not better. Once Russia’s output is stopped, it is likely to be impossible to restart Russia’s production at the same level. Trained workers who lose their jobs will likely find jobs elsewhere, for one thing. The shortfall in output will affect countries around the world.

The United States dollar is now the world’s reserve currency. The sanctions being applied indirectly encourage countries to use other currencies to work around the sanctions. There seems to be a substantial chance that the US economy will lose its role as the center of international trade. If such a change takes place, the US will no longer be able to import far more than it exports, year after year.

A major issue is the huge amount of debt most countries of the world have. With a rapidly slowing world economy, repaying debt with interest will become impossible. Debt defaults will further wreak havoc with the world economic system.

We don’t know the exact timing of how this will play out, but the situation does not look good.

About Gail Tverberg

My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
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4,785 Responses to No one will win in the Russia-Ukraine conflict

  1. This is a link to an article a reader sent me:
    https://www.newstatesman.com/world/europe/ukraine/2022/04/russia-cannot-afford-to-lose-so-we-need-a-kind-of-a-victory-sergey-karaganov-on-what-putin-wants

    “Russia cannot afford to lose, so we need a kind of a victory”: Sergey Karaganov on what Putin wants
    A former adviser to the Kremlin explains how Russia views the war in Ukraine, fears over Nato and China, and the fate of liberalism.

    The article says:

    This war is a kind of proxy war between the West and the rest – Russia being, as it has been in history, the pinnacle of “the rest” – for a future world order. The stakes of the Russian elite are very high – for them it is an existential war.

    BM You talked about demilitarisation of Ukraine, but it seems that such a goal would not be achieved if the West continues to provide Ukraine with weapons. Do you think Russia will be tempted to stop that flow of arms, and does this risk a direct clash between Nato and Russia?

    SK Absolutely! There is a growing probability of a direct clash. And we don’t know what the outcome of this would be. Maybe the Poles would fight; they are always willing. I know as a historian that Article 5 of the Nato treaty is worthless. Under Article 5 – which allows a state to call for support from other members of the alliance – nobody is obliged to actually fight on behalf of others, but nobody can be absolutely sure that there would be no such escalation. I also know from the history of American nuclear strategy that the US is unlikely to defend Europe with nuclear weapons. But there is still a chance of escalation here, so it is an abysmal scenario and I hope that some kind of a peace agreement between us and the US, and between us and Ukraine, can be reached before we go further into this unbelievably dangerous world.

    Later:

    BM Do you think this is a moment of supreme danger for Russia?

    SK I would say yes, this is an existential war. If we do not win, somehow, then I think we will have all kinds of unforeseen political repercussions which are much worse than at the beginning of the 1990s. But I believe that we will avoid that, first, because Russia will win, whatever that victory means, and second, because we have a strong and tough regime, so in any event, or if the worst happens, it will not be the dissolution of the country or collapse. I think it will be closer to a harsh authoritarian regime than to the dissolution of the country. But still, defeat is unthinkable.

    • Student says:

      Thank you. Very interesting.

    • Harry says:

      Indeed, a very interesting interview. Russian views are almost never really presented in the western media.
      For me, the last statements are very depressing, but I agree:

      “So the West will never recuperate, but it doesn’t matter if it dies: Western civilisation has brought all of us great benefits, but now people like myself and others are questioning the moral foundation of Western civilisation. I think geopolitically the West will experience ups and downs. Maybe the shocks we are experiencing could bring back the better qualities of Western civilisation, and we will again see people like Roosevelt, Churchill, Adenauer, de Gaulle and Brandt back in office. But continuous shocks will of course also mean that democracy in its present form in most European countries will not survive, because under circumstances of great tension, democracies always wither away or become autocratic. These changes are inevitable.”

      The battle for the new world order has clearly broken out.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Shale binge has spoiled US reserves, top investor warns Financial Times.

        Preface. Conventional crude oil production may have already peaked in 2008 at 69.5 million barrels per day (mb/d) according to Europe’s International Energy Agency (IEA 2018 p45). The U.S. Energy Information Agency shows global peak crude oil production at a later date in 2018 at 82.9 mb/d (EIA 2020) because they included tight oil, oil sands, and deep-sea oil. Though it will take several years of lower oil production to be sure the peak occurred. Regardless, world production has been on a plateau since 2005.

        What’s saved the world from oil decline was unconventional tight “fracked” oil, which accounted for 63% of total U.S. crude oil production in 2019 and 83% of global oil growth from 2009 to 2019. So it’s a big deal if we’ve reached the peak of fracked oil, because that is also the peak of both conventional and unconventional oil and the decline of all oil in the future.

        Some key points from this Financial Times article: https://energyskeptic.com/2021/the-end-of-fracked-shale-oil/

        Shale boss says US has passed peak oil | Financial Times https://www.ft.com/content/320d09cb-8f51-4103-87d7-0dd164e1fd25

        Knowing the above — I am not anticipating a new world order… powered by what?

  2. reante says:

    Looks like it took the western beareaucracies about, — what, 48 hrs? — to privately realize that on April Fools Day, the joke had been on them, and Lavrov had been running interference when he said gas contracts would be honored through April. Lol – good one!

    The first art of war is deception!

    So after the west figured it out a couple days later, they played the “you can’t fire me, I quit!” card, lol, with the whole Bucha business and subsequent elevated sanctions on energy, like Iago saying, “how then am I a villain?”

    The Elders sure can put on a good show.

    • Deception plays a bigger role than anyone would expect.

      With everything now being so complex, it is difficult for lay people to understand what is truly happening. They can easily be fooled by a paid expert giving an opinion that his employer wants expressed.

  3. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Energy Consumption as a Share of Total Consumption Has Trended Down in the US and Canada and Increased in the Euro Area
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FPmdhiNWUAAwmBA?format=png&name=900×900

    • There are few things to notice:

      1. The charts are for very different sets of years. Euro Area shows a very short series compared to US and Canada. It is much easier for a short series to be level than a long series.

      2. Presumably the amounts have taxes built in, as well. The total cost in Euro Area is a lot higher than in the US and Canada, with these taxes.

      3. Electricity and a category called “other” are getting to be more and more expensive for Euro Area. This probably has to do with the great renewable energy boondoggle in Europe.

      4. Auto fuels are not falling in Europe the way they are in the United States and Canada. I don’t know whether that reflects a trend toward higher taxes, or what. Presumably, this category includes vehicle fuels of all kinds, including trucks and trains.

    • Jef Jelten says:

      Thats because the US has offshored most of its industry and even its waste stream.

  4. Rodster says:

    “Watch: Biden Babbles And Lies About Being An 18-Wheeler Truck-Driver… Again”

    After his speech he asked his handlers, what do I do now? The US has become a laughing stock.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/political/watch-biden-babbles-and-lies-about-being-18-wheeler-truck-driver-again

  5. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Global oil stocks are getting critically low:
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FPl6_syXIAg-Dbf?format=png&name=small

    • MM says:

      So what do we see here ?
      A supply propblem ?
      A demand surge after c9/11 rebound ?
      Price spikes due to pressure on the supply and or demand side ?

      The signal still is unclear. I could make a guess but I would not want too lean too far out of the window…

      Mainly transitionary of course

    • It looks like this is an exhibit put together by Goldman Sachs. There are two lines: Total inventory changes since December 2019 based on the sum of the various pieces shown in the chart, and total inventory based on a Goldman Sachs supply-demand balance model. The two lines track very closely.

      When large parts of the economy shut down in March, 2020, the amount of inventory went way up, in response to low demand. But supply has not been able to ramp up as fast as demand since then.

      • CTG says:

        From the GS’s chart, can we conclude that that if we have no “pandemic”, we would have run out of oil 2 years ago? The “pandemic” has bought 2 extra years for home sapiens on earth?

        • Could be.

          The collapse of the central government of the Soviet Union in 1991 was another event that saved the world from collapse, probably by quite a few years.

          Adding China (with all of it coal) to the World Trade Organization in 2001 put off collapse by a long time–maybe a decade.

          The self-organizing economy acts strangely.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      We survived the Ides… I don’t mind if this hits at the end of April… May and June are dud months in QT… dull dreary rainy .. as we wait on the snow…. ya – end of April works for me…

      Let the Cull Begin!!!

  6. Genomir says:

    Have anyone seen Gen. Cloutier recently?

  7. Mirror on the wall says:

    Former CIA agent John Stockwell talks about how the CIA manipulates the MSM to pump out false war propaganda. It is very topical with what is going on in the Ukraine. USA and other states do it all the time.

    Outright lies are pumped out to a gullible public. You cannot believe a word that you read in the MSM about Ukraine. We have witnessed an absolute tsunami of ridiculous propaganda over the past month.

    • Rodster says:

      I’ve no doubt this has been happening for a long time. It makes matters even worse when Bill Clinton allowed the media to consolidate into 6 or so conglomerates. They get their marching orders top-down. Chris Martenson did an interview regarding how this all plays out with Ben Swann (if I remember his name correctly). He used to work for the media and was so disgusted on how narratives are made that he left and started his own media group.

    • Some notes:

      CIA gathers information, but that is only part of what it does. CIA distributes false stories, as well as true stories, as part of an ongoing propaganda campaign. For example, it plants stories of atrocities, in many places, for example in Viet Nam year ago.

      Tries to build confidence with the true stories.

      CIA needs to protect its sources.

      CIA supposedly operates only outside the United States. Thus, propaganda supposedly stays outside of US, but in fact, John Stockwell about planting stories in the Washington Post.

      CIA operating in a country are easily distinguished by their colorful vehicles, which differ from other vehicles operating in the same country. The CIA are not hidden; they are easily seen, high status individuals.

      John Stockwell has been sued by the CIA for what he is saying.

      • theblondbeast says:

        I recently completed the book “Legacy of Ashes” written by a well-respected journalist from a liberal background not expected to be conspiracy minded.

        It was eye opening to consider what is only the tip-of-the-iceburg (i.e. declassified official information, plus interviews from currently living figures).

        What’s objectively factual is that the CIA’s mission has crept from intelligence gathering to covert operations, including misinformation. The organization has had many crazy schemes, most of which have turned out to be ineffective, boondoggles, or both.

        Well known activities include running radio stations, newspapers, etc. The most striking feature I learned is that their primary activitiy has been giving people huge amounts of money – often paying for information that turns out to be false – or paying people who just say what they think you want to hear and go on with their ordinary lives.

        • Henry Kissinger is known for statements that make it sound like he does not believe everything that is told to the world.

          “It’s not a matter of what is true that counts, but a matter of what is perceived to be true.”

          “The illegal we do immediately; the unconstitutional takes a little longer.”

          Also, on the topic of immunizations, from Speech to the World Health Organization on Eugenics, Feb. 25, 2009:

          https://www.reddit.com/r/insanepeoplefacebook/comments/lkui6o/we_can_genetically_modify_children_and_sterilize/

          Once the herd accepts mandatory forcible vaccination, it’s game over! They will accept anything-forcible blood or organ donation–for the “greater good.” We can genetically modify children and sterilize them–for the “greater good.”

          Control sheep minds and you control the herd. Vaccine makers stand to make billions, and many of you in this room today are investors. It’s a big win-win! We thin out the herd and the herd pays us for providing extermination services.

          Now, what’s for lunch, huh?

          • Wet My Beak says:

            Obese jewish war criminal Henry Kissinger became unpopular with his rich friends when he persuaded more than a few of them to invest in Theranos, a silicon valley startup run by gentile con-woman Elizabeth Holmes.

            A two minute conversation with any chemist could have told him the company was a scam. But he plowed ahead and lost his buddies hundreds of millions of dollars.

            He also played a staring role in the execution of Salvador Allende, a democratically elected president of Chile.

            His various other crimes against humanity were extensive.

            Of course, being part of the West and a controller of the American narrative, he was immune from prosecution.

            He should have been executed like his victims.

  8. Herbie R Ficklestein says:

    MIAMI (WFOR) — Residents of a North Miami Beach apartment building have been told to pack up and leave after it was deemed unsafe.

    Fifty-five families live in the five story Bayview 60 Homes, at 3800 NE 168th Street, which will be condemned around 2 p.m. on Tuesday.

    The residents were informed Monday afternoon that they would have to leave.

    “I’ve had my whole livelihood in there and you have to take it out within an hour or two. So it’s kind of astonishing. This is where I grew up. You have to figure out what’s important to you, what’s not,” said Sebastian Rojas.

    The city has set up a hotline for those who have questions.

    The property owner had been repairing units since last July in preparation for the building’s upcoming 50 Year Recertification inspections. During this process, the property owner and the city received a letter from the structural engineers advising of critical structural issues and the need for an immediate evacuation because the “deflection in the (floor) slabs is exceeding the ACI (American Concrete Institute) guidelines for two-way slabs.”

    All residents of the building will receive a full refund for April rent and get their security deposits back.

    Since the collapse of a Condo building last year, there has been a Recertification of all high rise buildings and we are seeing that these beach area properties are a ticking time bomb. The fast and cheap construction with uncoated rebar and concrete materials degrade over time in the salt air moist environment, which penetrates through the cement. Lots of Condos being put up for sale now.
    Here in South Florida crazy hot real estate market, just got crazier.

    Collapse can come in many forms…Life strikes at any time!

  9. reante says:

    The non-public Degrowth Agenda political adaptation that CHS says is necessary is National Socialism. The medium term future is a multilateral order of national socialisms. NS being the populist economic ideology of nationalist public banking via a national treasury and socialist minimizing of wealth inequality via highly-regulated capital flows.

    I’ve previously listed some American figureheads of the coming national socialism. Two more are in the news today for laying the groundwork for the coming national socialism, in Elon Musk’s new spot on the Board at Twitter. Musk and Dorsey are two of the biggest national socialists out there.

    But they’re capitalist plutocrats!, you say. Yes, but they’re neither blue nor red, and national socialism is not opposed to corporatism, just inappropriate profiteering. I’m pretty sure Musk and Dorsey will be able to get by on previous profiteering. Twitter will become not for profit, ad-free platform, They will help oversee the break-up of Big Tech. Zuckerberg, on the other hand, is going down. The Zuck being thrown to the wolves will in no small measure help mollify joe6pack’s anger at his own drastically lowered standard of living.

    • Genomir says:

      I knew it. The teue colous of western elites is brown.

      • reante says:

        No, the elders are Old Testament Capitalists. National Socialism is just playing the foil, the antithesis in the play. In service of the false dialectic. Post limits to growth NS is just for survival purposes, and it will be forward-looking and without pogroms, for obvious reasons.

        • MM says:

          The true colour of the elite is Hegelian dialectics and Binary Simplification. As long as the people go to one of the proposed (!) sides, they will easily be ruled.

          The elite never looks in the mirror to claim any colour. They can make up s*t as they go along about ruling.

          They just need to have all the data of “emerging trends” to pick them up and coopt them.
          You can see “their” capabilities in the timespan it takes until online content disappears.
          At the moment different sources still have different speeds but that is being worked on, you can be sure.

          The most important advancement in modern life is game theory probably being overtaken by behavioural control and psychology what has the same root.

          Looks like the toolkit needs to somewhat be uncovered (Nobel prices) for more personel to come to the managerial class so that everything can handled until we have that all in the AI.

    • MM says:

      Let me open a bag here and dispute for Bolsheviks / Trotzkists instead of Nazis.
      Probably we should look at what socialism for both meant.
      Some quys in the network argue that they may collaborate on different fronts of perception?
      We could also aks for totalitarism vs. authoritanism.

      Difference is : What role does the state have.
      Klausi seems to have dyslexia and calls it “stake”
      Anyhow.

      Who can force me to take a medical product to pump up a new market that has until recently only had sunk costs for patent filings and research in obscure nanotech protecting us from the evil russians trying to attack us…

      So hopefully your government will look well after you in any case!

      It will provide food, heating, water, security, just whatever you dream of, even money!
      Just Honk and it will be delivered by a drone. You will love it, I saw it on youtube.

  10. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Covid in China: 23 cities in total, partial lockdown affecting 193mn people

    Shanghai’s two-phased lockdown, supposed to end on Tuesday, is set to continue following a record surge in Covid-19 cases.

    Some 23 Chinese cities are under total or partial Covid-19 lockdown, affecting an estimated 193 million people in areas accounting for 13.6% of its gross domestic product, the Nomura brokerage said in a note on Tuesday, quoted by Reuters.

    In Shanghai, tens of thousands of medics have been deployed, state media reports said.

    A Xinhua report said 50,000 workers had fanned out across the city to collect swab samples for nucleic acid testing, which was completed by early Tuesday.
    https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/covid-in-china-23-cities-in-total-partial-lockdown-affecting-193mn-people-101649159067834.html

    • At some point, China has to give up on this effort. It is past the point of absurdity already.

      • reante says:

        We all know China’s long history of mass male unrest. That country is a powderkeg. Zero-covid may be a literary device but that’s not its primary function.

        • Zero COVID is also a way to limit demand for fossil fuel and to quell unrest, at least temporarily.

          Zero COVID in China will also mess up world supply lines. Push other countries toward collapse.

          • Mirror on the wall says:

            Right, China does not need to impose retaliatory sanctions when it can just do a lockdown.

            ‘Feel free to sanction us, it is your supply lines, after all.’

          • Student says:

            In my view they are doing this because China has surely a problem of resources, but also, maybe, as it is the factory of the world (without internal demand for its products), considering the depression the world is going to enter, the Country needs to put the brakes to the economy.
            Anyway this charade is not good for us too, because it tentatively seemed we were going out of the pandemic, but China is scaring the world and as a consequence helping the forces wanting to stay in the pandemic forever.

            • MM says:

              If you check the graph of oil stock that Michael leMerchant provided, you may see that “depressing oil consumption” in a market that looks like overheating after c9/11 could be a good thing.

              Unfortunately stocking up late may become some sort of a problem.
              At the moment we can not say that deliveries will fail completely but One thing is sure:

              The most complex items are already quite far out of reach…

          • Harry says:

            “Push other countries toward collapse.”

            Maybe that’s the point.
            And the “gentlest” way to do this, without appearing aggressive in any way, is precisely this absurd Zero Covid strategy.

            The Chinese are otherwise so pragmatic. I can’t imagine with the best will in the world that they would still pursue such absurd strategies after more than 2 years of experience.
            At most, that’s what the West does.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Remember … we were told Omicron was like a common cold… locking down 200M people cuz?

      And keep in mind — being China everyone will be vaccinated — or in the gulag….

      And in any event the ‘vaccines’ prevent hospitalization … so why the lockdown?

  11. Rodster says:

    “The Global Order Has Cracked” by Charles Hugh Smith

    http://charleshughsmith.blogspot.com/2022/04/the-global-order-has-cracked.html

    • I would agree with, “government’s role will shift from boosting demand (the Keynesian Cargo Cult) to limiting demand in ways that maintain the social contract.”

      I suppose the COVID response is one way to limit the demand that maintains the social contract.

      Charles Hugh Smith also says, “Nations that fail to adapt to the end of financialization and globalization will unravel.”

      I would agree. But, unfortunately, it doesn’t really work that way. At best, only parts of nations will remain. Nations cannot really adapt.

      CHS links to this 37 minute video presentation with lots of slides, showing how the world economy economy can be saved.

      • Dennis L. says:

        If government reduces demand, the Overton Window fails, thus there is no government action. No government action implies the government is discretionary, policies begin to disappear which are not essentials. Life simplifies to what works, not what would be nice if it worked.

        Your notes are making me think Clugston’s timeline is optimistic, and I like optimism.

        Dennis L.

      • MM says:

        For an economist the process is a financial issue
        For a physicist it is a thermodynamic process
        For a medic it is a health process
        For It people it is a data process
        For a psychologist it is a psychosis
        For a teacher it is a parental care problem
        For a builder it is a supply problem
        For a politician it is a voter’s problem
        For an artist it is a creativity problem
        For a journalist it is a narrative problem
        For a environmentalist it is a climate problem
        For a vegetarian it is a dietary peoblem
        For a male it is a binary problem

        Do you not see what IT is, stupid?

    • The WSJ article linked in the Twitter feed says:

      The Czech Republic has been sending old Soviet-era tanks into Ukraine, providing badly needed heavy weapons to outgunned Ukrainian troops that are battling a much better-equipped Russian invasion force.

      The efforts, described by three Czech and Slovak officials, mark the first time a foreign country has provided tanks to Ukraine since Russia’s invasion began Feb. 24. In a potentially even more important development, both the Czech Republic and neighboring Slovakia, which shares a border with Ukraine, are considering opening their military industrial installations to repair and refit damaged Ukrainian military equipment.

      I would deduce that things other than tanks are coming into Ukraine. The article also says,

      Moscow has warned that it considers arms shipments legitimate targets. So far, however, it hasn’t been able to choke off the daily military shipments to Ukraine from Poland, Romania or Slovakia.

      • Student says:

        I think that instead of ‘Moscow hasn’t been able to choke off the daily military shipments’ it is likely like that: ‘Moscow didn’t want to escalate the conflict, but it will probably be obliged to do it’.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        It’s best to blow up outdated tanks when you are carrying on a fake war… why waste new ones when all you are looking for is the photo opp?

  12. Rodster says:

    You need to have options a) b) or c) 😉

  13. If necessary, the 1845 solution will be unleashed against the unnecessariats.

    It is inevitable.

    The authorities won’t allow a general collapse. A huge reduction of unnecessariats will instead be needed.

      • Quelled by an old guy named Radetsky. The Republic of Austria still commemorates him to this day

        • Mirror on the wall says:

          Ibid.

          > The revolutions were essentially democratic and liberal in nature, with the aim of removing the old monarchical structures and creating independent nation-states, as envisioned by romantic nationalism.

          …. Many of the revolutions were quickly suppressed, as tens of thousands of people were killed, and many more were forced into exile. Significant lasting reforms included the abolition of serfdom in Austria and Hungary, the end of absolute monarchy in Denmark, and the introduction of representative democracy in the Netherlands. The revolutions were most important in France, the Netherlands, Italy, the Austrian Empire, and the states of the German Confederation that would make up the German Empire in the late 19th and early 20th centuries.

          …. Historian Priscilla Robertson posits that many goals were achieved by the 1870s, but the credit primarily goes to the enemies of the 1848 revolutionaries, commenting: “Most of what the men of 1848 fought for was brought about within a quarter of a century, and the men who accomplished it were most of them specific enemies of the 1848 movement. Thiers ushered in a third French Republic, Bismarck united Germany, and Cavour, Italy. Deák won autonomy for Hungary within a dual monarchy; a Russian czar freed the serfs; and the British manufacturing classes moved toward the freedoms of the People’s Charter.”[58]

          …. Liberal democrats looked to 1848 as a democratic revolution, which in the long run ensured liberty, equality, and fraternity. For nationalists, 1848 was the springtime of hope, when newly emerging nationalities rejected the old multinational empires.

        • Genomir says:

          They named a steamship after him and this ship played a role in the Bulgarian history
          https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radetzky_(steamship)

          • Mirror on the wall says:

            The march celebrates the Austrian victory in the First Italian War of Independence!

            It is a great march, and very popular in England, a staple of new year’s eve performances. The crowds all clap along in the performances.

            I have it on untold march cds and I have to take measures to avoid it lest I kill it off through repetition. There are very many great marches, particularly the Prussian ones.

            Eg.

            > “Preußens Gloria” (“The Glory of Prussia” or “Prussia’s Glory”) was written in 1871 after the Kingdom of Prussia’s victory in the Franco-Prussian War, which led to the unification of the German states into the new Prussian-led German Empire.

  14. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    Torey Van Oot
    Tue, April 5, 2022, 7:20 AM
    Federal legislation aimed at providing relief to Minnesota companies hamstrung by an international shipping bottleneck is nearing the finish line.

    Driving the news: A bill co-sponsored by U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar that seeks to curb the practice of cargo ships prioritizing empty containers over American-made goods at U.S. ports was approved with unanimous support last week.

    Get market news worthy of your time with Axios Markets. Subscribe for free.

    Klobuchar tells Axios she expects action soon to square her bill with a similar measure that cleared the House of Representatives last year.

    Why it matters: Supply chain woes are leading to long wait times and high costs for companies, including those based here in Minnesota
    can stress businesses and be passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices.

    The big picture: Increased demand for goods here in the U.S. has created a situation where shippers can make more by prioritizing imports, as Axios’ Hope King has reported, even if it means cargo carriers setting sail with empty containers that can be refilled overseas.

    As a result, ocean cargo carriers have been rejecting some U.S. exports since at least the fall of 2020, according to a CNBC investigation.

    Zoom in: Joe Smentek, executive director of the Minnesota Soybean Growers Association, tells Axios local producers of specialty soybeans are having “huge issues trying to get on the ships” to make it to food markets in Asian countries.

    One farmer is monitoring a shipment that has been sitting in a container in the Pacific Northwest for 90 days, according to Smentek.

    Details: The bill sets new limits around fees, directs the Federal Maritime Commission to draft rules prohibiting shippers from “unreasonably declining” U.S. exports and gives the commission more authority to regulate and investigate business practices.

    What they’re saying: Klobuchar says the bill will level the playing field by targeting international shipping conglomerates that are “exporting air” while there are “American products that are just left behind.”

    “They get delayed and that is really bad for jobs in our state,” she says.

    The other side: The World Shipping Council, which represents Maersk and other shipping giants, said in a statement that the bill “addresses none of the root causes of the U.S. landside congestion.”

    The group has called for port infrastructure investments and other “forward-looking” fixes instead.

    Hahaha, the blame game …none of the root causes….please ….Gail help them

    • The just in time international trade system isn’t working anymore. Financial incentives usually fix things quickly, when there are plenty of resources to go around. Amy Klobuchar has a legislative approach that she thinks will fix the problem. If it is really an inadequate resource problem, the problem cannot really go away.

      • Dennis L. says:

        Generally an optimist, this whole thing seems to be unraveling. TM speaks of discretionary items, it seems like Washington may well be one of those items given they now print half of their budget. What if Congress didn’t meet? Would anything happen? If there is no stuff, what difference do various policy measures make?

        For those with claims to future goods, this is a troubling time.

        Dennis L.

  15. CTG says:

    https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/european-commission-pushes-ban-russian-coal-imports

    Are we living in an alternate reality where there is no such thing as logic?

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      In the past, countries like Germany used to fight over energy resources, like those in Russia, and now they threaten to cut themselves off – whatever!

      • Europe can’t really afford the high priced coal, I suppose is part of the issue. I expect that declining the exports is also part of the attempt to hurt Russia, as part of the scapegoating of the country.

        Threatening to cut off Russian coal raises the price of US coal exports. For coal producers, this is a plus. I imagine it raises coal prices in the US, as well.

        If exports are actually cut off, It also makes the world coal supply worse. This tends to push the world economy down.

      • nikoB says:

        Double down on delusion, it is what we do best.

    • Xabier says:

      Your expectations of the human animal, falsely named ‘Sapens’, are simply too exalted, CTG……

  16. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Peru Deploys Army to Control Violent Protests Disrupting Exports

    (Bloomberg) — Peru deployed the armed forces to control violent protests against inflation that have intensified since last week, causing clashes with police, temporary food shortages in Lima, and disrupting agricultural exports. The government has dispatched 95 army patrols to different locations in the country, “especially the critical ones,” Defense Minister Jose Gavidia told reporters on Monday outside the presidential palace.
    https://www.bloombergquint.com/onweb/peru-deploys-army-to-control-violent-protests-disrupting-exports

    • Rising food costs are the big issue. I am afraid this problem will be getting worse.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Let’s look for some video

      https://youtu.be/hjKLTVKlXks

      https://youtu.be/l0CUBALCTpw

      I may go back to the supermarket and burn some tyres in the parking lot and throw stones at the cops when they come — how dare they raise fish prices 10%!!!!

      Let’s take a drone view of the situation in Peru — seems people don’t like having less… when they are forced to make do with less how do they react… do they sing Koombaya…. nope… they riot… they burn … then throw stuff….

      But they are not (yet) starving … so imagine how they would respond if there was no petrol – no food in the shops…. and those fellas with the shields and TG said f789 this – we have no food and petrol either …

      And the government officials and the ultra wealthy become the targets of those fellas with the shields and the hordes who were attacking the fellas with the shields…

      Who will protect the elites? If you were a body guard of the elites would you not quickly realized there is no reason to protect them … would you not turn and look at them and say — bro — take a hike … and leave that Champagne and Caviar behind… and put them out on the street…

      yes… Yes… of course… that is what you would do … the elites offer you nothing … brute violence is now what matters… and those elites who went to finishing school… who have soft hands… and good manners… and have always relied on you to enforce their laws….

      Well they are not suited to this Brave New World… the hordes will see them forced out of their mansions … in their Armani casual wear… and they will be torn to shreds….

      This is why you have always supported the CEP…. it’s not so much that you were concerned about the hordes Ripping Faces… it was always about making sure that you don’t get skinned alive and roasted over a fire…

      Nobody is gonna save George Soros or Bill Gates if the CEP fails.. he knows that… they all know that…

  17. Student says:

    (Byoblu – relative links inside the article)
    A study published by famous scientific magazine ‘Nature’ reveals substantial pathophysiological alterations after vaccination with COVID-19 vaccines.
    As other research has already shown, the mRNA vaccine seems to create extensive damage to the immune system.”

    https://www.byoblu.com/2022/04/05/studio-nature-vaccino-anti-covid-come-uninfezione/

    • As far as I can tell, this article ultimately comes back to this article from Nature (in English), published October 26, 2021 by a number of Chinese authors:

      https://www.nature.com/articles/s41421-021-00329-3

      Comprehensive investigations revealed consistent pathophysiological alterations after vaccination with COVID-19 vaccines

      Abstract
      Large-scale COVID-19 vaccinations are currently underway in many countries in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Here, we report, besides generation of neutralizing antibodies, consistent alterations in hemoglobin A1c, serum sodium and potassium levels, coagulation profiles, and renal functions in healthy volunteers after vaccination with an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. Similar changes had also been reported in COVID-19 patients, suggesting that vaccination mimicked an infection. Single-cell mRNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) of peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) before and 28 days after the first inoculation also revealed consistent alterations in gene expression of many different immune cell types. Reduction of CD8+ T cells and increase in classic monocyte contents were exemplary. Moreover, scRNA-seq revealed increased NF-κB signaling and reduced type I interferon responses, which were confirmed by biological assays and also had been reported to occur after SARS-CoV-2 infection with aggravating symptoms. Altogether, our study recommends additional caution when vaccinating people with pre-existing clinical conditions, including diabetes, electrolyte imbalances, renal dysfunction, and coagulation disorders.

    • Genomir says:

      This is fake news, Student. Mike and Norm say the vaccines are more safe than spring water /s

  18. hillcountry says:

    Another great Ivermectin review paper

    A Deadly Embrace: Hemagglutination Mediated by SARS-CoV-2 Spike Protein at Its 22 N-Glycosylation Sites, Red Blood Cell Surface Sialoglycoproteins, and Antibody

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8910562/

    One author; (David E. Scheim) no conflict of interest, no external funding. US Public Health Service, Commissioned Officer, Inactive Reserve with an email address @alumni.mit.edu

    This is really a bad-ass paper by a guy who has to be some kind of polymath.

    Even given the inevitability of the doom-to-come, most of us would prefer to stay alive and this is just further solid evidence that Ivermectin will help us do that. Maybe the Universe desires some intelligent people to witness this collapse on Earth?

    In answer to Dennis L’s recent question about “what would Warren do” I’d suggest Warren invest in the infrastructure of producing Ivermectin and set-up vending machines nation-wide; of course, after he grabs some elder by the ear and gets the US Congress off their fat and compromised asses. If not that then he might as well create a Zeppelin Escape Company like in some Richard Kieninger fantasy (The Ultimate Frontier) also (wiki Stelle, Illinois). Stelle’s sister-community in Texas was in the process of Zeppelin manufacture decades ago, in anticipation of some natural disaster or other. Lost track of their wackiness that manifested as actual viable communities of professionals who were exploring sustainability in the context of a leader-vision where Kieninger wrote about himself as the reincarnation of Akhenaten. The crazy it runs deep.

    • The way I read this paper (with my limited understanding of the many technical terms) is that David Sheim is looking at the way red blood cells clump together with the the virulent strains (the viruses that cause COVID, SARS and MERS) which is quite different from the clumping associated with the coronaviruses that cause the common cold.

      As I understand the paper, the common cold viruses have a built in mechanism for quickly dissolving these clumps. The virulent strains do not. Ivermectin seems to dissolve these clumps. This may be why Ivermectin seems to work so well.

      Wow!

      While this is written by a single retired author, I note that the “Acknowledgements Section” says:

      “The author is grateful to Allen Hirsh for biochemical insights that were instrumental in shaping this study; David Hankins for a grounding in hematology and scientific inspiration; Alessandro Santin, for important suggestions in refining this model; and Jerome Dancis for discussions and editing that further enhanced this manuscript.”

      It is not clear exactly who all of these people are. There seems to be a retired individual from Johns Hopkins University named W. David Hankins with a huge number of citations.
      https://www.researchgate.net/scientific-contributions/W-D-Hankins-39830822

      There is an Alessandro Santin at Yale School of Medicine. https://www.yalecancercenter.org/profile/alessandro_santin/?tab=location&locationId=4127

      I haven’t been able to figure out who Allen Hirsh might be. I notice someone with that name listed as a co-author on this paper, but he might only be a graduate student: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21312238/

      Thus, the author seems to have had help with this paper, even though the people mentioned don’t want to be listed as co-authors. There are an amazing list of citations given for nearly every point.

      • Xabier says:

        There had to be a very good reason for them to invent the mendacious and absurd ‘IVM is horse paste!’ propaganda line, and disseminate it with vigour.

        Prof Tim Spector here looked deeply embarrassed, but he still made the video and repeated his lines like a good boy.

      • hillcountry says:

        good spots and backgrounding there Gail. I’m in the middle of an Ivermectin paper that covers mechanism and toxicity.

        TITLE – Repurposing the drug, ivermectin, in COVID-19: toxicological points of view (Feb. 2022)

        https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8817475/

        Six authors from Iran, Texas and Arizona institutions. Looks like they should know about toxicity (there is some). In fact, curiously I’ve been wondering about a symptom that has come on over a couple of months. It’s mentioned in the toxicity section. Pick your poison as MIL says.

        • I see the lead author of the paper is from “Arizona Poison & Drug Information Center, College of Pharmacy and University of Arizona College of Medicine, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ USA.” He would seem to be as well qualified as anyone to look into toxicity issues. The paper seems to find very few such issues.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          I just ordered another 80 tabs… I fibbed out the doctor and told her I used the first two allotments…

          The thing is…

          I ordered from here awhile back https://pharmacity.net/ and my bank cancelled the transaction …

          One needs to be ready for Devil Covid… hopefully Iver will protect against that FrankenMUTANT

    • reante says:

      Ivermectin is abroad spectrum antibiotic that is marketed as an antiparasitic. It’s mechanism of action is to chemically dissolve lipids (fats), and since microbes and helminths all have lipid membranes, ivermectin is deadly to them. Of course, humans evolved from microbes so our cells also have lipid membranes which is why if one takes too much ivermectin it is also deadly. We just a hell of a lot bigger than microbes so it takes more.

      As you can see, ivermectin is just a toxic chemical, derived from intensively farmed fungi. Personally I’m not into that.

      It’s ability to declump blood is by the same mechanism of action, which is its only mechanism. The intelligent body clumps blood by making lipids and mixing it in with the red blood cells. Just like the deer hunter, the intelligent body knows that in order to make a good patty you gotta mix in some tallow with the lean ground or it won’t clump.

      The foolish thing about using ivermectin as a declumping treatment is that the intelligent body is clumping the red blood cells together with lipids for a reason, so that they can be collected by transport proteins (‘antibidies’) and removed from the bloodstream, because they are dying or already dead.

      Why are the red blood cells dying? From hypoxia – from lack of oxygen. Red blood cells are the oxygen transporters, which is stored in the hemoglobin. That’s what ‘colds’ mostly are, the detoxing of built-up dead blood cells due to low blood oxygen levels. We are aerobic organisms that require a minimum amount of blood oxygen to be healthy. Colds are generally a wintertime disease because the plant kingdom generates our oxygen supply for us and the plant kingdom is largely dormant in winter so we naturally have less margin for error in the winter.

      And the ‘error’ is all the ways in which we can suffer oxidative stress other than from lower wintertime atmospheric oygen levels. 420ppm CO2 concentrations are an oxidative stressor, EMFs, toxic chemicals in the alveoli, toxins in the bloodstream, poor sleep, malnutrition, the list goes on.

      Ivermectin is nobody’s friend. It’s just another symptom suppressors in order to mask a problem and kick the can of disease down the road to more systemic effect.

      • JesseJames says:

        Ivermectin is one of the most prescribed medicines on the planet. Very effective and safe in the right dosage.
        My wife was coming down with Covid symptoms, took one Ivermectin pill and was good to go. Symptoms went away.

        • reante says:

          Yeah like I said, Jesse, it’s a toxic chemical that suppresses symptoms of hypoxia. Symptom suppression is the stopping of healing, because symptoms are what we get when our intelligent body is clearing disease. The unpleasantness of experience symptoms is our intelligent body telling us to knock it off, whatever trauma it is that we exposed ourself to. There are no free lunches. Loving the parlor tricks of the tyrannical medical system, out of fear and refusal to take personal responsibility, is one of the main ways the elders get us capture bonded to them. Whatever you choose to do is your business, I care only for the truth, and that it be known.

          • hillcountry says:

            reante, you’d probably enjoy reading Jim West.

            https://harvoa-med.blogspot.com/2020/04/COVID2020.html

            • reante says:

              hillcountry, thanks so much for that link to Jim West, which is new to me. What an awesome job he does detailing the cyanide link. I was aware of the two major changes in the terrain that were simultaneous to the plandemic; Zach Bush’s thesis rested on pm 2.5 from oil refineries and was shouting from the rooftops that cyanide kits were needed to treat patients, and Tom Cowan’s focus on the 5G rollout.

              Regarding the part about Sucharit Bakdhi’s kind of wanting to have his cake and eat it too regarding viruses – that has been a disappointment because he’s such a charismatic man, has such emotional gravity.

              Thanks again I look forward to reading more of Jim’s posts.

        • Wet My Beak says:

          Ivermectin is a clear and present danger … to pharmaceutical profits.

      • I have a hard time believing that colds come from low oxygen levels.

        • reante says:

          If you reread my comment you’ll see that that’s an inaccurate simplification. I did directly and absolutely link red blood cell clumping to hypoxia (or, more accurately, hypoxemia, though the two go hand in hand). Hypoxia is a relatively acute oxygen blood saturation problem. With ‘colds’ I made the true statement that they are generally (and universally acknowledged) seasonal illnesses because lower atmospheric oxygen levels lower the threshold for illnesses caused by other traumas, some of which I listed. There is another seasonal factor in play which is vitamin d levels, but part of the problem with that is political in that civilization has caused many people to have been uprooted from their indigenous climates, finding themselves in racially disadvantageous climates.

          If I was not talking in mixed company, meaning people who believe in germs, I would be talking in terms of respiratory detoxification and not ‘colds,’ because ‘colds’ from ‘viruses’ don’t actually exist. Respiratory diseases are symptomologies of the healing from respiratory traumas.

          We breathe for two reasons, to take in oxygen and to remove carbon dioxide. The term ‘winter body’s exists because we know from experience that we don’t have the same vigor in the winter, and a largely dormant or otherwise slowed down plant kingdom is the main reason. Everything is connected.

          Respiratory traumas are always going to involve or result in a degree of oxygen deprivation. When we have a runny nose and we’re coughing up phlegm it’s because our mucosal elevator is working in overdrive to expell dead respiratory cells/tissues along with the pollution that killed them (along with other contributing factors) and also the toxic metabolites from the anaerobes that, by eating the tissues, are breaking down and loosening them from the healthy layers underneath. The anaerobes we foolishly call pathogens.

          The’ rhinovirus’ and ‘coronavirus’ that get blamed for the cold in the first place are just classes of intercellular messengers/messages of respiratory health information. Our intelligent body is
          continually communicating to itself with billions of messages and updates. How else could we
          exist? When we have a mild upper respiratory symptomology there are going to be lots of these exosomes there because the body doesn’t decide it’s time to heal before it’s necessary because healing takes energy away from other functions, so the local tissues amplify, with more exosomes, the call to heal until it is acknowledged. And germ theory mistakes the exosome count for viral load.

        • Tim Groves says:

          It was December 2018, forty months ago. My wife and I attended a wedding party in a poorly ventilated cafe followed by an after-party in another cafe and a small third party in an izakaya (a Japanese style pub). For a total of six hours, we were in the company of a man from Tokyo who reported having a bad cold but who came all the way to Kyoto for his friend’s wedding anyway.

          This was back before Coronachan, so people didn’t worry very much about spreading “germs”.

          Following the party, my wife and I both came down with the worst cold ever, which after producing the usual fever and headache symptoms, settled in the throat and caused a painful burning sensation that felt as if the food or wind pipe were being rubbed with sandpaper, FOR THREE SODDING WEEKS!

          Neither of us had ever had a cold anything like that bad before. Fortunately, it didn’t go down to the chest or lungs or I might not be writing this now. Also, we seldom come down with the same bug at the same time. If she has it, I don’t, and vice versa. This December 2018 cold was an exception.

          The fact that we were in contact with somebody who had a bad cold for several hours and then we both came down with a bad cold is evidence that an infectious agent passed from the guy with the cold to us. There are doubtless other explanations, such as Putin hit us with a chemical weapon, a G5 test was being carried out at the time, the sashimi at the wedding was “off”, or the entire experience of having a raw sore throat for three solid weeks was psychosomatic.

          But “we picked up some germs” is an explanation that satisfactorily explains everything that happened within the germ theory paradigm. While as theories go, oxygen deprivation and exosomes, to the extent that I’ve heard about them up to now, lack the panache or the machismo to serve as convincing explanations for my sore throat.

  19. Fast Eddy says:

    The COVID “Sceptics” Who Spread Viral Dogma

    https://drsambailey.com/covid-19/the-covid-sceptics-who-spread-viral-dogma/

    • reante says:

      Fast Brother Eddy, great to see you posting up in opposition to Germ Theory! If you can’t beat the Terrain theorists you gotta join em. That’s what I did. They kicked my former germ theory ass so now im their bitch. And nature is a mother again.

      That’s Life! The school of hard knocks.

    • JMS says:

      On the trick of using the connstruct of Bioweapons (TM) to frighten the masses and thus better control them.

      “Bioweapons – the myth of man-made pathogens.”
      https://odysee.com/@Projekt-Immanuel:3/ORI_01_bioweapons:3

      • reante says:

        Yeah JMS, bioweapons don’t exist as such. ‘Biologically-derived organic chemical weapons derived from concentrates of toxins harvested from the intensive farming of organisms are the closest thing. Even the deployment if anthrax is real world situations is a bunch of horseshit.

        Bookmarked that link to watch another time, thanks.

  20. ivanislav says:

    Pretty big news, Germany just nationalized Gazprom’s German subsidiary. A quick google search seemed to indicate they have storage facilities that add up to around 5 billion cubic meters, maybe I missed something so let’s be generous and say 10. I’m not sure how full that storage is, but Russia supplies around 150 billion cubic meters to the EU annually, so this is only a very short-term fix.

    This goes beyond cutting off your nose to spite your face, this is swallowing a live grenade as you jump out of an airplane with no parachute.

    • ivanislav says:

      6 billion cubic meters it seems:

      reuters.com
      “Gazprom Germania’s intertwined network of units includes trader Wingas and storage firm Astora that operates 6 billion cubic metres of underground gas caverns in Germany and Austria.”

    • The article I saw claimed that the state control by Germany is “temporary, until September 30. During the takeover time, the company doing the takeover “will be entitled to remove executives, hire new staff and ask management how to proceed.”

      Good luck on that part of the arrangement!

      And how temporary it really is, is a question. It looks like the arrangement is designed to make Russia angry.

      https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/german-regulator-takes-over-gazprom-germania-ensure-energy-supply-2022-04-04/

      • Mirror on the wall says:

        “‘The order of the trust administration serves … to maintain the security of supply,’ Habeck said. ‘This step is mandatory.'”

        Hmmm, they likely need to flesh out that idea a bit. They cannot ensure the supply of anything, by setting up a committee, unless they have access to the resources in the first place. Unless this committee is going to become a war council, and good luck with that!

        It is like a self-parody.

        It is unbelievable the way that Europe has sacrificed its own interests, by pushing Russia into a war, and then sanctioning Russia, just so that the USA can offload some limited, pricier energy onto Europe and flog some military gear.

        There is no way that European leaders can spin that as anything but weakness and daft. Try with arrogance as they might.

        Hungary likely thinks that the rest of Europe is quite daft.

        Even Slovakia, for all of its provocations, has said that they simply cannot do without Russian gas. I do not fancy their chances in the long-run.

        I said months ago that the USA and the UK poodle are the enemies of Europe, but no one listened, and here we are.

        Thick?

        • JesseJames says:

          One does wonder how long it will take the brainwashed Europeans, who have been told they are wealthy and coddled for decades, to come to the realization that their governments are controlled destruction of their way of life.

  21. Student says:

    There is a strange outbreak of polio in Israel lately..

    https://www.jpost.com/health-and-wellness/article-703273

    • Fast Eddy says:

      I like it – hopefully this is VAIDS-related

      I’d like to be surrounded by crippled gimps hahahahahaha… hey norm – you might get your shot at that Geriatric Paralympic Volleyball Team after all…

      mike.. we’ll get you a spot too

      Here’s hoping!

    • I can’t imagine that anyone will suggest a possible connection with the COVID vaccines.

  22. Fast Eddy says:

    SARS-CoV-2 – Recombination, Omicron immunity, ADE ?

    https://worldedge.substack.com/p/sars-cov-2-recombination-omicron

  23. Student says:

    In UK the famuos Degas’ painting called ‘Russian dancers’ has changed name in ‘Ukranian dancers’.
    In order to explain what is happening in this case, it is like if we changed the title of the book written by Gaius Julius Caesar from ‘De bello gallico’ in ‘De bello in France’.
    I hope it is clear 🙂

    https://www.ansa.it/sito/notizie/mondo/2022/04/03/la-national-gallery-rinomina-il-quadro-degas-diventa-danzatrici-ucraine_e8b22b23-a81f-4875-b5ab-d32f11b97eb0.html

    • drb says:

      With all this “Ukrainians uber alles” media machine, the Ruthenians must be getting active right now. And of course they prefer the Russkies, and inhabit an interesting piece of land which would continuously connect future Novorussia (and therefore Russia) to Europe proper.

    • JMS says:

      And the famous game Russian roulette will be renamed Ukrainian roulette.
      But perhaps it would be more appropriate to call it German roulette.

      • Student says:

        😀

      • Xabier says:

        Every chamber loaded? Yes, ‘German Roulette’!

        Oh, but you know the Krauts, so efficient etc they will cover Germany in wind turbines in no time at all and say goodbye to that old addiction to Eastern gas….

        • MM says:

          From the “german point of view” I would apply a technological solution to this problem that is not using a revolver but using an automatic pistol.
          You would only have to check the size of the magazine for the number of players on the table.

          That makes it a problem to be solved even by the dumbest nut.

  24. Student says:

    How spike protein is dangerous for the heart.
    The same spike protein injected in your body by the so called ‘vaccines’
    Interesting article.

    https://www.sabinopaciolla.com/come-la-proteina-spike-fa-male-al-cuore/

    • ivanislav says:

      I skimmed a medical journal article that (if I recall the figures correctly) said acute cases of covid have a median amounts of spike protein of 70ng/ml (nanograms/millileter) in the blood stream and that the vaccine yields 47ng/ml, i.e. on the order of an acute case of covid.

      • Student says:

        Thank you for this add. You are right I read also a similar article.
        Same amount of an acute case

  25. Fast Eddy says:

    FOR ALL YOUR NEW ZEALAND FRIENDS AND FAMILY WHO STILL BELIEVE THAT THE VACCINES PREVENT COVID OR TRANSMISSION OR SERIOUS ILLNESS OR DEATH…

    Here are the latest statistics in the Radio NZ Covid data portal

    If we eliminate all the children under the age of 12 (because the data does not split out the unvaxed from the single or double vaxed)…

    Looking at New Zealanders over the age of 12…

    77% of New Zealanders are either double vaccinated or boosted.

    76% of all cases (as of yesterday) were in the double vaccinated or boosted.

    80% of new hospitalisations are in the boosted.

    Please someone explain to me how double vaxed or boosted are being protected from cases, hospitalisations or deaths based on this data?

    https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/in-depth/450874/covid-19-data-visualisations-nz-in-numbers

    • CTG says:

      Please someone explain to me how double vaxed or boosted are being protected from cases, hospitalisations or deaths based on this data?

      Because the unvaccinated are strong?
      Because the unvaccinated do not want to be tested?

      I am pretty much the above.

  26. Fast Eddy says:

    Smil’s new book – towards end of Ch 1 – oil will last 50 years… coal 100…

    Returned it.

    • D.Stevens says:

      50 years is a very long time and the flow rate will be adequate during that entire 50 year span so I’m completely confident new technology will be found to replace oil.

      Ok… seriously… is a forecast of 50 years more oil suppose to be comforting? That’s sending me into a panic and I think there is no long term future which looks promising? The situation is probably worse than generally known.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        He is wrong – we do not have 50 years of extractable oil in the ground… most of what is left – will stay in the ground.

        Shale binge has spoiled US reserves, top investor warns Financial Times.

        Preface. Conventional crude oil production may have already peaked in 2008 at 69.5 million barrels per day (mb/d) according to Europe’s International Energy Agency (IEA 2018 p45). The U.S. Energy Information Agency shows global peak crude oil production at a later date in 2018 at 82.9 mb/d (EIA 2020) because they included tight oil, oil sands, and deep-sea oil. Though it will take several years of lower oil production to be sure the peak occurred. Regardless, world production has been on a plateau since 2005.

        What’s saved the world from oil decline was unconventional tight “fracked” oil, which accounted for 63% of total U.S. crude oil production in 2019 and 83% of global oil growth from 2009 to 2019. So it’s a big deal if we’ve reached the peak of fracked oil, because that is also the peak of both conventional and unconventional oil and the decline of all oil in the future.

        Some key points from this Financial Times article: https://energyskeptic.com/2021/the-end-of-fracked-shale-oil/

        Shale boss says US has passed peak oil | Financial Times https://www.ft.com/content/320d09cb-8f51-4103-87d7-0dd164e1fd25

      • Xabier says:

        ‘For we ought to be today’s men, not tomorrow’s men, considering our time here is so short’.

        Lord Bacon

        Shorter than we thought, it seems…

        Is Smil talking about mere notional reserves, in terms of volume, or economically viable ones, which is the crux of the matter?

        Gates says that he follows Smil eagerly: such estimates would explain the emergency measures now being taken.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          I probably should have given it a few more minutes but the context was that we have 50 years of oil left but the push is on to abandon the reserves in a misguided push into renewable energy…

          • Xabier says:

            Renewable energy transition: just a way to kill people while making them feel virtuous – saving the planet and mankind!

            This is like ‘sacrifice now for the Bright Soviet Future’…..

        • Smil has no concept of economically viable reserves, I am fairly certain. He follows the very traditional, “If we can see it, and we have the technology, we can get it out,” line of thought.

          • Xabier says:

            The thinking may be now:

            ‘If we divert resources from mass consumption to targetted research, we can come up with even better extractive technologies to exploit remaining reserves ‘.

            • the ”masses” demand to be fed clothed housed and waged.

              there is no way of doing that other than by the use of (finite) resources.

              ‘research’ is the icing on that particular cake. Abundant resources allows research to take place.

              improved ‘extractive technology’ may ‘extract’ more quickly

              what it won’t do is make more ‘resource’ available for extraction.

              if on the other hand you reduce the population, (CEP?) then resources will not be available to employ the ‘extractive technology’ you seem to be relying on.

              go figure.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              The thing is — shale was supposed to be that — but it lost 300B — he would be aware of that

              He must know we are doomed — but going down that road too far limits book sales.

            • Tim Groves says:

              improved ‘extractive technology’ may ‘extract’ more quickly. what it won’t do is make more ‘resource’ available for extraction.

              In some cases, it will do that. As an example, take deep sea drilling. If current technology limits the depth at which holes can be reliably drilled in the seabed, improving the technology to the point where deeper drilling is practical would effectively increase the size of the available resource.

          • Fast Eddy says:

            That explains everything – semi-MOREON

  27. Student says:

    Famous war reporter Toni Capuozzo explains the many things that do not fit about the massacre of Bucha.

    Among them, the fact that in the small town of Bucha the Mayor made a tv an interview after the Russians’ departure saying that the town was free and everyting was ok, but the day after the bodies on the street appeared.
    It is a very small town how could he not know anything about that massacre ?
    Another thing is that there is not a single drop of blood in the street which means that the body where probably transportated there.
    If you understand Italian, please listen to Toni intervention.

    https://voxnews.info/2022/04/04/bucha-capuozzo-i-morti-sono-apparsi-dopo-ritiro-russo-video/

  28. CTG says:

    Eerie Drone Footage Shows Deserted Shanghai Downtown As Lockdown Extended

    It looks like in 2020-2022, it is pretty easy to shoot a movie on deserted cities.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/eerie-drone-footage-shows-deserted-shanghai-downtown-lockdowns-extended#comment-stream

    • CTG says:

      Something is terribly wrong here in China….

    • The article ends, “The interconnectedness of Shanghai and the global economy is a deep one that may suggest more supply chain turmoil is ahead and could exacerbate the risk of stagflation for Western economies. ”

      No kidding!

  29. Fast Eddy says:

    The Jesus will not be f789ed with … the CEP cannot be opposed

    https://t.me/robinmg/18213

  30. CTG says:

    I would to add a few thoughts. Feel free to comment :

    1. Humans always think in a linear fashion. We extrapolate linearly. Bartlett said so correctly.
    2. Humans rarely take into account cascading failure or black swans.

    Therefore, I can say that it will be “always good until the very last day”.

    Let us take Sri Lanka.

    1. The 40,000 tons of diesel. Is it real? Sri Lanka has the money to pay India or it is just a story that government tell to calm the people? If you have watched movies, you will know what I am trying to say.

    2. Even if the 40,000 tons arrive, how soon as time is critical? Whether it is a 9 meals or 9 days to anarchy (my bad, it is 9 meals), every second counts. There is a tipping point, like the event horizon of a black hole, once it passes through the event horizon, there is no “undo”

    ** No one knows if we have passed the actual tipping point until is past the tipping point

    3. When it arrives at the port, is it easy to distribute it to the power plants or petrol stations nationwide? How many tankers (fuel carriers) are available? Perhaps some are stranded due to breakdown or simply out of diesel? Is it logistically possible for hundreds of tankers lining up at the port and unloading and shipping the diesel to all parts of the country?

    4. Will there be violence toward the tankers and the drivers?

    If we are past the tipping point, the roads will be blocked (wreckage, dead bodies?) and Mad Max scenario?

    If one were to think deeply into this, it is not an easy task. Not as easy as what people may think.

    • Leaders will always provide a narrative that the local people will like. It will sound as if any problems are temporary and part of a greater plan that will ultimately bring about a desired endpoint. Scapegoats will be found to blame for any issue.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      It’s like waking up in a hotel room … in the dark… and feeling around for the light switch to work out where the bathroom is… it’s actually even more difficult that that … eventually you do find that bathroom and you don’t piss in the closet…

      If there is no video ideally from non MSM sources — odds are it’s fake… notice those bodies coming back to life in Ukraine the other day – that was not shot by the MSM…. otherwise that would have been edited out

      Therefore, I can say that it will be “always good until the very last day”. said the Turkey on Christmas eve 🙂

    • According to the article:

      In New Zealand the current number of COVID-19 vaccine adverse reactions recorded on the official MedSafe database is more than 58,000. Recording a vaccine adverse reaction on the MedSafe database is not a quick and easy exercise that can be done in two minutes if you have a sore arm from the shot. It takes a lot of time and detail. You need to be committed to the cause to go into the system and input the required information. So it’s a fair bet that the majority of those 58,000+ Kiwis, or their doctors, who have taken the time and effort to do that would have had a significant reason to do it.

      New Zealand is not a big country (5 million population). It is smaller than Norway. It is smaller than Israel. It is smaller than the Atlanta metropolitan area.

      If there are ten times as many bad reactions as are reported in the database, this would mean that 580,000 bad reactions happened in a population of 5,000,000. This would be about 12% of the population. Most estimates are the database report underestimate the number of bad reaction by far more than a factor of 10.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        I have nothing to report haha.. I feel GREAT! I feel fit and healthy… no cancer… no VAIDS… no blood clots… not heart issues…

        But then … I have not been injected with any garbage hahahahahahahaha…. So why wouldn’t I feel GREAT?????

        Fast Eddy feels Great too… cuz

  31. Fast Eddy says:

    “Australia Planning to Vaccinate Children Newborn to Age Four While Heavily Vaxxed Population Faces Largest COVID-19 Case, Death and Hospitalisation Surges” – Australia’s vaccine injury compensation claims scheme expanded recently to children under four years of age, as health agencies Down Under prepare for COVID-19 mass vaccination of babies

    https://trialsitenews.com/australia-planning-to-vaccinate-children-newborn-to-age-4-while-heavily-vaxxed-population-faces-largest-covid-19-case-death-hospitalization-surges/

    https://trialsitenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Imagem2-1536×922.png.webp

    hahahahahahaha

    • Xabier says:

      Once sufficiently mal-nourished, over a prolonged period, people just go out like a light, even when eating something – see the Siege of Stalingrad.

  32. Rodster says:

    “The “Doomsday Preppers” Were Right“

    http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/the-doomsday-preppers-were-right/

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      I doubt that there are many preppers in the countries of the Periphery.

      perhaps the preppers in the Core will be proven right by 2030 or so.

      no big deal.

      I don’t see any value in prepping for the total collapse of IC.

      all my chips are bet on the continuation of bAU.

      right or wrong, I’m out of here within a decade or two anyway.

      I hear that eternity is a very long time.

      • Had a recent meeting among like minds. Some fessed up to prepping to the level of (example) storing 400# of wheat for their family. And I felt a little bit behind the curve but then.. ok.. what happens when you’ve eaten that year’s-worth of wheat? Can you grow 400# of wheat in the intervening year to replace that? Therein lies the rub.

        • drb says:

          you have to have land, and tools.

          • Lidia17 says:

            That’s not enough.

            • drb says:

              and water and seeds and guns and a community. and wood. and acorns. a strong fence. and some time to sort out efficient food producing technologies.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              And no spent fuel ponds… cuz they release toxic shit for centuries that will end up in the water and food supply…

            • Fast Eddy says:

              guns … ammo … but even then — how do you defend a farm … the hordes can just come in at night and raid it…. and during the day when one is weeding the garden … a round from a sniper puts and end to all that…

            • rufustiresias999 says:

              Today here in France, where we have quasi BAU, slight poverty, no one starving, we have crops that are stolen at night in the fields or orchards. Imagine after collapse what means would be necessary.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              You’d need to be able to stop this …

              https://youtu.be/gEsPzSn0fdo

            • Ed says:

              A group needs farm with livestock. Guns and bullets not going to stop all but will stop some. Manual farm tools. Preferably away from large cities/towns. This is no guarantee but it will increase your odds. Good the have a team big enough that you can send out patrols to keep track of persons coming into your area and discourage them.

              Make friends with adjacent groups so they see their external border as the place to defend and raid not the internal border with you and yours. You help defend their external border.

              Lidia you are far from the nuke plants just a tiny one in south east Vermont, which is long ago shutdown.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              What do you do about the spend fuel ponds?

              Ah right — pretend they don’t exist! Maybe they don’t?

            • Karl says:

              The only hope for prepping to work is if IC is triaged on the way down. I’m not sure if its possible, but people have survived wars and sieges. I think it still makes sense to have some preparations because no one knows precisely how this will shake out. If things turn south, a 9mm or Fast Eddys rock cut always offer an immediate way out.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              When the moment comes it will be difficult .. horrifyingly difficult actually…. but it will come… we know it’s approaching… and it will be necessary.

            • Ed says:

              Needless to say you need a wood lot and manual wood handling tools and horses. For the mid term store fuel for chainsaws and hydraulic splinter it will not last more then a year or two but it help during the worst year of transition.

            • Bruce Steele says:

              drb, Good simple list. Need a food drying room and ability to store dried goods. Need to understand what crops produce starch, acorns, cat tails , cannas and how to process and dry starches. Need to how what wild foods are available that other people will not consider food.

            • rufustiresias999 says:

              In the middle age, so after Roman empire collapse, the western society got organized in 3 categories of people : oratores, bellatores, laboratores : those who pray, tho who fight, those who work. The firsts controlled the mind and morale frame of all, the seconds were supposed to protect all, but were the war lords who became kings, earls,…. And the thirds fed all of them, peasants, serfs.

          • zeroscore8584 says:

            and courage and fortitude to continue living in a dying world

          • You have to have a way to fight off other people who would want the food. You have to have a way to cook the food as well as potable water.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              As you cut the nearest trees — you need to go further from your homestead to get more trees — eventually (and fairly soon) you collapse because the time and energy expended hauling wood is not worth the benefit….

              Of course the hordes will immediately kill and eat your barnyard animals … so forget about help hauling stuff…

            • Fast Eddy says:

              Until someone accepts the Fast Eddy Challenge then there is no point in discussing doomsday prepping:

              Let’s make it easy – just use no petrol or electricity for a full month and buy nothing.

              Oh and I also need an explanation of how you deal with the spent fuel ponds.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Just need enough to make it to the end of the CEP… at that point one needs to go to Plan B…

          Soo-A-side

          • Xabier says:

            I try to remain curious, even eager, to see just what happens next, what the next Great Lie will be.

            Reading ‘The Whisperers’, about life in Stalin’s Russia, it’s incredible what people can adapt to, psychologically and physically, and still somehow wish to live.

            Much of the propaganda today follows the USSR playbook – the think-tanks have done their research well.

      • nikoB says:

        Eternity is not really a long time as we were all not alive for eternity before being born and then you will do it again when you die.

        Perhaps there is only this moment,

        or this one

        nope ………….. it’s this one

        Best get busy living as you have the dying part sorted.

  33. Fast Eddy says:

    Hockey league bosses have announced that a player who fell ill on the bench during a game died on his way to hospital after suffering a cardiac arrest in the ambulance.

    Sarmations player Alexander Frolov was on the sidelines during a match in the Russian amateur Night Hockey League (NHL) when he suddenly fell ill and fainted, organizers announced.

    Doctors and medics attempted to resuscitate Frolov during his ordeal while the game against the Crimean Wolves was taking place.

    https://www.rt.com/sport/543250-hockey-player-death-russia-night-league/

    He scored a lot of points during his NHL career — this is the first I have head of his death
    https://www.eliteprospects.com/player/8591/alexander-frolov

  34. Fast Eddy says:

    Pierre noted that according to the CDC, since the COVID shot rollout, there have been 550,000,000 shots administered, and 3,725 fetal deaths. This means, he pointed out, that for every 147,651 shots, there has been one fetal death.

    He contrasted this with statistics from the period between 2006 and 2019. During this time, there were reportedly “4 billion shots administered,” and “1,369 fetal deaths, which equals to” one fetal death for about every 3 million shots.

    “So if you do the math, you realize that since the COVID shots have been available, there’s been a 1,925 percent increase in fetal deaths,” he continued.

    Pierre then urged expecting mothers to take heed of these numbers, for the sake of their children.

    “Now, expecting moms, it doesn’t matter what the FDA or the CDC says. It doesn’t even matter what your doctor says,” he went on. “Because in spite of this data, the recommendation to get [COVID] shots has not changed.”

    https://www.lifesitenews.com/news/frontline-doctor-says-fetal-deaths-up-nearly-2000-percent-since-covid-jab-rollout/

    Inject – Inject!!!

  35. Fast Eddy says:

    Frontline doctor says fetal deaths up nearly 2,000 percent since COVID jab rollout

    Dr. Peterson Pierre is warning expecting mothers to “look out” for their own kids, since the CDC is not changing their COVID shot recommendations, despite the spike in preborn deaths.

    https://www.lifesitenews.com/news/frontline-doctor-says-fetal-deaths-up-nearly-2000-percent-since-covid-jab-rollout/

    hahahahahaha… you gotta love a nice still birth … as a mother…. you push and grunt and moan in agony … and out plops this hunk of grey dead meat…. the nurse lets you cradle it for a few moments but the stench … EU… the stench … she then flings it out the window into the dumpster … and the rats have at it…

    Alternatively she has the option to allow it to be boiled down and added to the Covid vaccines… to support the community

  36. Fast Eddy says:

    https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/34305 TruDUNCE>.. Canadians actually voted for this toss pot

  37. Fast Eddy says:

    It’s been ages since I have been to the supermarket (I have my minion – M Fast – handle that sort of thing)…. and I was shocked at the price of fish since I was last there… most options were $30-50/kg!

    I mentioned to the fish lady that the prices seem to be way up … she said – oh ya – 10% in just the last month….

    So instead I bought 6kg of Russian caviar and some Beluga vodka — for the cause.

    • Herbie Ficklestein says:

      How much was the fillet of Rat?
      Remarkable how quickly the floor can move beneath our feet.
      This is going to get very ugly …..

      To protect their crops from these pests, Mekong farmers have been hunting rice-field rats for many years. In Vietnam, as in any great food culture, nothing goes to waste, so farmers – who were often poor – started to cook these rats to provide a much needed source of protein for their families.
      https://www.vietnamcoracle.com › r…
      Rat Meat – Vietnam Coracle – Independent Travel Guides to Vietnam

    • We buy fish from a salmon outfit that sells direct out of Alaska. They come down to the lower 48 with a freezer truck and do a round of distribution. Prices comparable to supermarket/farmed. They just offered a special on halibut for $30/lb. Three zero per POUND (.45 kilo) . I was shocked and checked the local supermarket price: identical.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Ouch… and what I was buying today came fresh off the boat this morning …

      • Xabier says:

        Generally I have good laugh at Americans complaining so bitterly about the cost of things, as the US has been historically so cheap compared to us over the Atlantic – but these price hikes are simply astounding!

        It’s still Phoney War time here, no major changes at all, just a few missing products now and then – I don’t expect it to last much longer….

  38. Fast Eddy says:

    As Many as 40% of Those Who Died of COVID Had Diabetes (aka Gluttony)

    and more good stuff here https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/covid-nw-died-covid-had-diabetes

    • Xabier says:

      Not all diabetics are gluttons: a friend of mine was diagnosed with D1 as a child, and is tall, slim and very beautiful. Doomed to a short life in any case, as she knows – and now they are pumping the vaxx into her as ‘vulnerable.’

      I’m concentrating now on making sure they don’t inject her little child on the excuse that her mother is at risk, but it’s hard to raise the issue of the vaxxes being dangerous.

      Certainly, though, they hid the fact well that most who died were the typical US-diet couch-potato type of diabetic, who really brought it all on themselves, as well as the very elderly.

      • Genomir says:

        Type 1 (you arw born with it) diabetics are very fit and athletic. On the other hand type 2 (acquired) diabetics are of the land whale variety phenotypes.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          It just hit me (like a bolt of lightening)….

          The reason the Elders are promoting unhealthy living … is because they are creating a large herd of Land Whales…

          So that when the power goes off… they can slice the blubber off these fat f789s… boil it down and make lamp oil.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        We exempt the non-gluttons. Like we exempt those who were forced to choose between the injected garbage and feeding their families….

        When the Cull completes we will honour those people posthumously — they were not MOREONS… so we will give them proper burials… all the rest… we bulldoze into very large trenches… and drop napalm on them.

  39. Fast Eddy says:

    COVID Vaccines Don’t Prevent Transmission, Severe Illness or Deaths, Data Show

    All we have to do is look at high-quality epidemiological data to get to the truth — COVID-19 vaccines aren’t preventing COVID or its transmission, and they aren’t preventing severe illness or death.

    https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/covid-vaccines-dont-prevent-transmission-severe-illness-deaths-data

    And still… and STILL… norm eagerly anticipated Injection Number Five

    hahahahahahahaha

    What is the meaning of Buffoon?

  40. Michael Le Merchant says:

    In the physical market, New York harbor jet fuel jumps to, well, a very, very, very crazy price of >$7.5 per gallon (that’s ~$320 a barrel). By far, a record high. The world is short of middle distillates, particularly of diesel, and now that’s spilling over into jet fuel
    https://twitter.com/JavierBlas/status/1511077527875379208

  41. Michael Le Merchant says:

    U.S. Coal Prices Top $100 a Ton for First Time Since 2008

    Prices for coal from Central Appalachia surged 9% to $106.15 a ton last week, the highest since late 2008, according to government data released Monday. Prices in the Illinois Basin rose to $109.55, topping $100 for the first time in records dating to 2005.
    https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/u-s-coal-prices-top-100-a-ton-for-first-time-since-2008

    • Dennis L. says:

      We need some sort of metric other than the dollar. Price in gold? Price ton coal/barrel of oil? Price ton coal/bushel of wheat?

      I am not sure prices are increasing as much as the dollar is falling in real terms, read stuff you actually purchase.

      Dennis L.

  42. voza0db says:

    “Putin’s War Is A Disaster For The Global Economy” this is the title for this article in many sites around the http://WWW...

    Clearly a good diversion is needed to keep fooling the herds of MMS/3i’s that the disaster is not caused by the sanctions the WEST put in place.

    Same old circus.

    • Actually, the war is a diversion from the fact that depletion is really the problem with energy prices. The cost of extraction is rising, but consumers cannot afford the high prices.

      Over the past ten years, we needed to be investing a lot more in new production if we wanted to have adequate supply now. We have a major problem now. The Ukraine war held hide this. The US sanctions don’t help either. They tend to make the problems worse.

  43. Fast Eddy says:

    A quick recap of what precipitated the launch of the CEP:

    Shale binge has spoiled US reserves, top investor warns Financial Times.

    Preface. Conventional crude oil production may have already peaked in 2008 at 69.5million barrels per day (mb/d) according to Europe’s International Energy Agency (IEA 2018 p45). The U.S. Energy Information Agency shows global peak crude oil production at a later date in 2018 at 82.9mb/d (EIA 2020) because they included tight oil, oil sands, and deep-sea oil. Though it will take several years of lower oil production to be sure the peak occurred. Regardless, world production has been on a plateau since 2005.

    What’s saved the world from oil decline was unconventional tight “fracked” oil, which accounted for 63% of total U.S. crude oil production in 2019 and 83% of global oil growth from 2009 to 2019. So it’s a big deal if we’ve reached the peak of fracked oil, because that is also the peak of both conventional and unconventional oil and the decline of all oil in the future.

    Some key points from this Financial Times article: https://energyskeptic.com/2021/the-end-of-fracked-shale-oil/

    Shale bosssays US has passed peak oil | Financial Times https://www.ft.com/content/320d09cb-8f51-4103-87d7-0dd164e1fd25

    • drb says:

      A useful post by Fast Eddy. Excellent!

    • reante says:

      Scapegoating the drillers lol.

    • Actually, CEP has been of interest since before oil production peaked. It was very clear that oil would peak. Other fossil fuels would peak as well. This problem certainly was known about since the time of M. King Hubbert (1956) and Hyman Rickover (1957). The publication of The Limits to Growth in 1972 made it even more clear that a problem lay not too far in the future.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        CEP has been in the works since perhaps the early 70’s… as the US peaked the realization that global energy would peak at some point — and best not to be caught without a plan…

        But the release of Covid was the trigger for the actual plan… which we are watching play out right now …

        They were never going to just allow us to crash into darkness and starvation — OMG no.

        • Xabier says:

          Of course they planned. Why would they not?

          As Hannah Rothschild wrote:

          ‘When it comes down to it, in a real crisis the only thing that matters is the survival of your lineage, your descendants, the protection an passing on of family wealth, without any regard for ethics – utter ruthlessness’. (Paraphrase from her semi-autobiographical novel ).

          The Rothschild family myth – watch their interviews – is one of survival, the rise from the ghetto in Germany to great power: they won’t be taken down by us, the teeming, consuming masses – we are to be jettisoned in so far as we might hinder that.

          Hannah Rothschild revealed in interviews that, contrary to custom, she has been taken fully into the core family business recently – women played no part in it before – and she is ‘care-taking for the coming generation’. Plans, plans…….

          ‘Inevitably obsolescent human capital’ (Rothschild bank video).

          What do you do to such capital? Write it off……

          • hillcountry says:

            Xabier, have you run across Gerry yet?

            http://ancient-spooks.de/meta-infos/introduction.html

            I find that taking links from one article to another is useful. He explains on his tech page how’s he’s got it ordered. I like his disagreements with Mathis, they make total sense.

          • Fast Eddy says:

            Hopefully the Elders have one last trick to play … they have worked out how to cull all of the MOREONS (many billions) and maintain some sort of civilization… and they are keeping the thoughtful ones around as minions…

            I don’t mind being a knight… or a duke … under the Great Reset

            Never count the Elders out — we’ve just lived through 14 years that should have never happened

            Wouldn’t it be pleasant if when the injected are slithering around on the floor like a Paralympics Volleyball team… waiting to die from their VAIDS… that the Elders announced — ok that’s it… mission accomplished… all you MOREONS get what you deserve… and ask – do you really think anyone who injects and experiment deserves to live hahaha…. don’t be silly… hahaha

            Everyone else… meet in the VIP room at 730… for the gala dinner… afterwards we have Bolivian Blow + Champagne + Caviar…. Fast Eddy (the anointed Messiah) will cut the ribbon to kick off the celebration of the End of the MOREONS.

            And going forward there will be no MSM or any of that .. because we’ve culled the bad genes… and anyone exhibiting MOREON tendencies… will be aborted…

      • Genomir says:

        Carl Djerassi, the inventor of the contraceptive pill is Austrian born Bulgarian. I met him several times, and some of his relatives have been my tutors in the Uni and during my residency (almost all members of this family are physicians). I have asked all why old Carl (himself included) worked so hard for this pill amd what was the motivation. They all said that the exponential nature of population increase is death sentence to civilization and that it was better to passively try reduce the increase instead of employing active measures. I guess you all get the idea of ‘active measures’.

  44. Fast Eddy says:

    Be patient.. Devil Covid will come… it’s guaranteed:

    The more Omicron expands in prevalence and the more frequently vaccinees get re-exposed and fall victim to breakthrough infections, the higher the prevalence of both elevated neutralizing and virulence-mitigating anti-S Abs will become. The higher this prevalence and the higher the anti-S Ab titers, the higher the site occupancy of the predicted O-glycosylation sites will need to be for Newco variants to resist the infection- and trans infection-inhibiting immune response of Omicron-infected vaccinees.

    This is because more densely O-glycosylated variants will more effectively counter virus-neutralization and attenuation of viral virulence. Given the population-level immune pressure caused by the exposure of highly vaccinated populations to the highly infectious Omicron, Newco variants will primarily rely on glycosite instead of amino acid mutations in their RBD to gain the required fitness advantage in a landscape of increasing population-level immune pressure on both the S-RBD and S-NTD.

    This already explains why the upcoming Newco variants are likely to evolve to a super variant that is not only more infectious than Omicron but also highly virulent and fully resistant to C-19 vaccines, including those that have been adapted to the spike protein of the circulating variant. This is why the authors of this paper are desperately wrong in thinking that tailoring the vaccines to the polypeptide sequence of S on the dominantly circulating variant would have a beneficial effect on the outcome of the mass vaccination program. On the contrary, usage of so-called ‘updated’ vaccines to continue this program will only aggravate the outcome due to further boosting of anti-RBD and anti-NTD Ab titers.

    Conclusion: In the absence of large scale antiviral prophylaxis, the vicious circle of steadily increasing immune pressure causing steadily rising infection rates will ultimately drive highly vaccinated populations to promote the expansion of a super variant that will likely be featured by full resistance to potentially neutralizing epitopes (due to lack of immunogenicity of these epitopes) combined with a high propensity to cause Ab-dependent enhancement of infection (ADEI; facilitated by the infection-enhancing Abs) and a high propensity for causing ADEI-mediated Ab-dependent enhancement of disease (ADED). This is how the evolutionary dynamics of the virus will unfold and how the end station of this misguided mass vaccination program will look.

    https://voiceforscienceandsolidarity.substack.com/p/omicron-is-not-what-was-initially

  45. Mirror on the wall says:

    We can see why the Tory Party is trying to block a UN meeting over the latest atrocity propaganda in the Ukraine. The UN has protocols to investigate such claims quickly on the ground and in a forensic manner, and that is the last thing that NATO wants for its major false flag.

    > The truth about Bucha is out there, but perhaps too inconvenient to be discovered

    It should be easy to find out what really happened to the massacred civilians in the Ukrainian town

    Scott Ritter is a former US Marine Corps intelligence officer

    “In war, truth is the first casualty.” This quote has been attributed to Aeschylus, a 6th BCE Greek tragedian noted for his “copious use of imagery, mythic allusion, grand language, wordplay and riddles.” It is only fitting, therefore, that the man who first gave word to the concept of modern-day war-time propaganda would see his quote come to life in the present-day Ukraine. The Kiev government and their Western information warfare advisers may have coopted all of Aeschylus’ playwright devices to craft a modern-day tragedy in the Ukrainian town of Bucha that exemplifies the notion of the lie as not just a byproduct, but also a weapon of war.

    The main source of the Bucha tragedy reports is a videotape, taken by the Ukrainian National Police, of one of their convoys driving through a street in the town. A dozen or so corpses litter the roadway, many of them appearing to have been bound. This video has gone viral, producing a pandemic of anguish and anger that has swept over much of the world, capturing the attention of heads of state and the head of the Catholic Church alike, resulting in a tidal wave of condemnation and outrage directed at Russia and its president, Vladimir Putin. The cause-and-effect relationship between the video and the global backlash is clear – the former could not exist without the latter.

    One of the first lessons of objectivity is to slow things down to make sure that fact is not obscured by emotion. The Bucha videotape is disturbing. The video has been released in its present form, it appears, with the express intent of producing a visceral “shock and awe” moment for the viewer. If this was indeed the case, then those who released it – the Ukrainian National Police – have succeeded beyond their wildest imagination. Or that of their advisors, as the case may be.

    The linkage between the dead and the Russian military was established immediately, without any fact-based data to back it up, and subsequently echoed in all forms of media – mainstream and social alike. Anyone who dared question the established “Russia did it” narrative was shouted down and belittled as a “Russian shill,” or worse.

    That these conclusions are the byproduct of mass hysteria is beside the point – why seek to be objective when the narrative fits every stereotype that had been carefully assembled beforehand by the same people parroting the Bucha story today. Social “preconditioning” of an audience unused to critical thinking is an essential step in getting this audience to accept at face value anything that is put before it, regardless of how egregiously the facts of the story strain credulity. And let’s be clear – the Ukrainian narrative of the events in Bucha seems to stretch credibility.

    The chronology of the narrative produces the first red flag that the story being peddled by Ukraine, and echoed in the West, is not what it seems. It is established fact that Russian troops evacuated Bucha on March 30. Ukrainian National Police began entering Bucha on March 31, and that same day the mayor of Bucha announced that the town was fully under the control of Ukrainian officials. At no time was there any suggestion by the mayor or any other Ukrainian official of mass killings undertaken by Russia. The videotape in question was released by Ukrainian authorities on April 2; it is not certain if the video had been taken earlier, or on that day. What is certain is that the images shown in the video differed sharply from the narrative initially portrayed by the mayor.

    For its part, Russia has vehemently denied the allegations, and has requested an emergency meeting of the UN Security Council to discuss what the Russian Foreign Ministry has called the “criminal provocations by Ukrainian soldiers and radicals” in Bucha. The presidency of the Security Council is held by Great Britain, and the British mission to the UN has denied the Russian request, stating that a discussion on Ukraine currently scheduled for Tuesday, April 4 would serve as a forum for any discussion about Bucha.

    One would think that the Security Council, which has shown a readiness in the past to meet on short notice to discuss the events coming out of Ukraine, would seek to accommodate Russia’s request on a matter of such importance. The goal of the British, however, does not appear to be the rapid search for truth and justice, but rather to buy time to allow the political fallout from the alleged massacre in Bucha to develop further.

    One example of this tactic manifesting itself is the reaction of US President Joe Biden. “You saw what happened in Bucha,” he explained in comments to reporters, adding that Russian President Vladimir Putin “is a war criminal.” Biden took advantage of the Bucha crisis to advocate for the delivery of more weaponry to Ukraine. “We have to continue to provide Ukraine with the weapons they need to continue the fight,” he said. “And we have to gather all the detail so this can be an actual – have a war crimes trial.”

    All this from the president of a country which has refused to recognise the International Criminal Court. For reasons which should be obvious to anyone willing to apply some critical thought.

    Fortunately for President Biden and the Ukrainian government, the British chief prosecutor of the court, Karim Khan, announced in early March 2022 that he had launched an investigation into alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity committed in Ukraine. Given the high profile of the Bucha allegations, one would imagine that Khan has dispatched a forensics team to take control of the crime scene and oversee autopsies on the victims to establish the time of death, mechanism of death, and whether the victims had died where they were allegedly found, or if their bodies had been moved there from another location.

    Khan would also be empowered to conduct interviews with the Ukrainian National Police, who have a history of close relations with members of the Ukrainian far right, including the infamous Azov Battalion. Of particular interest would be any investigation into orders given to the police regarding the treatment of those Ukrainian civilians deemed to have collaborated with the Russian military during its occupation of Bucha.

    The results of such an investigation would more than likely conflict with the narrative being pursued by the Ukrainian government and echoed in the West by compliant media outlets and politicians alike. This is the prime reason why Khan is not currently on the ground in Bucha. One can assume that if and when Khan is eventually given access to evidence about the Bucha killings, it will have been manipulated by the Ukrainian National Police to such an extent that disproving the allegations will be virtually impossible.

    The truth about what happened in Bucha is out there, waiting to be discovered. Unfortunately, that truth appears to be inconvenient for those in a position to pursue it aggressively through a forensics-based, on-site investigation. If it so happens that it eventually emerges that the Ukrainian National Police murdered Ukrainian civilians for the crime of allegedly collaborating with the Russians during their brief occupation of Bucha, and the forces of international law are brought to bear against the true perpetrators of that crime, any true pursuit of justice would have to include both the US and UK governments as witting co-conspirators in any crime charged.

    https://www.rt.com/russia/553293-bucha-war-crimes-truth/

    • I like the quote you give, “In war, truth is the first casualty.” It describes the current situation currently.

      • Student says:

        Yes it is a very interesting article and summary by Mirror, thanks.
        As it often happens, from ancient Greeks and Romans philosophers, historians or famous writers one can learn very wise general explanations about the life of the humans.
        I’m sure we could learn other interesting things from Nordic or Celtic people, unfortunately it is a little bit more difficult as there are few written traces about.
        As we could also learn from other ancient cultures.
        For instance I found very fascinating that there are some similarities with Northern mithology and Greek mithology.
        Also mithology is a very interesting way to learn general explanations about life of the humans.
        Because mithology is a mirror of life created by the humans to explain what happen to them.
        As of course one can learn reading the Bible.
        There are many things that happen again to us, just with some little modifications, having in mind these understandings from the past we could make better choices for us.

    • Xabier says:

      As a point of law, even if certain Russian troops had perpetrated a massacre, that would not make Putin, either personally or as head of state, a ‘war criminal’, unless he issued a direct order to particular units or the whole army, to murder people wholesale – which seems most improbable.

      What will probably be happening, taking everything into consideration, is that the Russians will execute any Azov people they find, in uniform or out, thereby disregarding the laws of war re prisoners.

      This would be rather similar to the summary killings of front-line surrendering Germans in 1944-45, when Allied troops had had enough and said ‘Too late chum, should’ve surrendered earlier’.

      • Mirror on the wall says:

        Anarchists killed priests and nuns in Spain on the same pretext that those with the wrong ideology deserve to die. International war crimes are intended to stop that sort of thing. In practice the system is a farce, and itself the expression of will to power. There is zero prospect of Bush or Blair being prosecuted for illegal war, because USA has the power. The laws are used selectively to weaken certain actors.

        The West is currently doing a false flag, the Russians are not killing civilians of any sort. That is why UK refused to allow UN inspectors onto the site.

        • Xabier says:

          One of the first interventions against war crimes was in the 1830’s in Spain: both sides were merrily shooting prisoners in the civil war, and the ferocity of this shocked people in France and Spain.

          The Spanish simply continued the old tradition of killing all prisoners and defeated soldiers as they ran away longer than other nations. Slavery was no longer an option by then.

          I’ve always been amused by the Spanish general who was asked – as the Catholic faith requires – on his deathbed if he forgave all his enemies in the name of Christ:

          ‘Enemies? I have none! I had them all shot!’

          Back to the present, while anything can happen in war, the whole Russian war crimes thing stinks of Western propaganda.

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