|
Getting your Trinity Audio player ready...
|
It is my view that when energy supply falls, it falls not because reserves “run out.” It falls because economies around the world cannot afford to purchase goods and services made with energy products and using energy products in their operation. It is really a price problem. Prices cannot be simultaneously high enough for oil producers (such as Russia and Saudi Arabia) to ramp up production and remain low enough for consumers around the world to buy the goods and services that they are accustomed to buying.
We are now in a period of price conflict. Oil and other energy prices have remained too low for producers since at least mid-2014. At the same time, depletion of fossil fuels has led to higher costs of extraction. Often, the tax needs of governments of oil exporting countries are higher as well, leading to even higher required prices for producers if they are to continue to produce oil and raise their production. Thus, producers truly require higher prices.
Governments of countries affected by this inflation in price are quite disturbed: Higher prices for energy products mean higher prices for all goods and services. This makes citizens very unhappy because wages do not rise to compensate for this inflation. Prices today are high enough to cause significant inflation (about $107 per barrel for Brent oil (Europe) and $97 for WTI (US)), but still not high enough to satisfy the high-price needs of energy producers.
It is my expectation that these and other issues will lead to a very strangely behaving world economy in the months and years ahead. The world economy we know today is, in fact, a self-organizing system operating under the laws of physics. With less energy, it will start “coming apart.” World trade will increasingly falter. Fossil fuel prices will be volatile, but not necessarily very high. In this post, I will try to explain some of the issues I see.
[1] The issue causing the price conflict can be described as reduced productivity of the economy. The ultimate outcome of reduced productivity of the economy is fewer total goods and services produced by the economy.
Figure 2 shows that, historically, there is an extremely high correlation between world energy consumption and the total quantity of goods and services produced by the world economy. In my analysis, I use Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) GDP because it is not distorted by the rise and fall of the US dollar relative to other currencies.
The reason such a high correlation exists is because it takes energy to perform each activity that contributes to GDP, such as lighting a room or transporting goods. Energy consumption which is cheap to produce and growing rapidly in quantity is ideal for increasing energy productivity, since it allows factories to be built cheaply and raw materials and finished goods to be transported at low cost.
Humans are part of the economy. Food is the energy product that humans require. Reducing food supply by 20% or 40% or 50% cannot be expected to work well. The economy suffers the same difficulty.
In recent years, depletion has been making the extraction of fossil fuel resources increasingly expensive. One issue is that the resources that were easiest to extract and closest to where they were needed were extracted first, leaving the highest cost resources for extraction later. Another issue is that with a growing population, the governments of oil exporting countries require higher tax revenue to support the overall needs of their countries.
Intermittent wind and solar are not substitutes for fossil fuels because they are not available when they are needed. If several months’ worth of storage could be added, the total cost would be so high that these energy sources would have no chance of being competitive. I recently wrote about some of the issues with renewables in Limits to Green Energy Are Becoming Much Clearer.
Rising population is a second problem leading to falling efficiency. In order to feed, clothe and house a rising population, a growing quantity of food must be produced from essentially the same amount of arable land. More water for the rising population is required for the rising population, often obtained by deeper wells or desalination. Clearly, the need to use increased materials and labor to work around problems caused by rising world population adds another layer of inefficiency.
If we also add the cost of attempting to work around pollution issues, this further adds another layer of inefficiency in the use of energy supplies.
More technology is not a solution, either, because adding any type of complexity requires energy to implement. For example, adding machines to replace current workers requires the use of energy products to make and operate the machines. Moving production to cheaper locations overseas (another form of complexity) requires energy for the transport of goods from where they are transported to where they are used.
Figure 2 shows that the world economy still requires more energy to produce increasing GDP, even with the gains achieved in technology and efficiency.
Because of energy limits, the world economy is trying to change from a “growth mode” to a “shrinkage mode.” This is something very much like the collapse of many ancient civilizations, including the fall of Rome in 165 to 197 CE. Historically, such collapses have unfolded over a period of years or decades.
[2] In the past, the growth rate of GDP has exceeded that of energy consumption. As the economy changes from growth to shrinkage, we should expect this situation to reverse: The rate of shrinkage of GDP will be greater than the rate of shrinkage of energy consumption.
Figure 3 shows that, historically, world economic growth has been slightly higher than the growth in energy consumption. This growth in energy consumption is based on total consumption of fossil fuels and renewables, as calculated by BP.
In fact, based on the discussion in Section [1], this is precisely the situation we should expect: GDP growth should exceed energy consumption growth when the economy is growing. Unfortunately, Section [1] also suggests that we can expect this favorable relationship to disappear as energy supply begins to shrink because of growing inefficiencies in the system. In such a case, GDP is likely to shrink even more quickly than energy supply shrinks. One reason this happens is because complexity of many types cannot be maintained as energy supply shrinks. For example, international supply lines are likely to break if energy supplies fall too low.
[3] Interest rates play an important role in encouraging the development of energy resources. Generally falling interest rates are very beneficial; rising interest rates are quite detrimental. As the economy shifts toward shrinkage, the pattern we can expect is higher interest rates, rather than lower. As the limits of energy extraction are hit, these higher rates will tend to make the economy shrink even faster than it would otherwise shrink.
Part of what has allowed growing energy consumption in the period shown in Figures 2 and 3 is rising debt levels at generally lower interest rates. Falling interest rates together with debt availability make investment in factories and mines more affordable. They also help citizens seeking to buy a new car or home because the lower monthly payments make these items more affordable. Demand for energy products tends to rise, allowing the prices of commodities to rise higher than they would otherwise rise, thus making their production more profitable. This encourages more fossil fuel extraction and more development of renewables.
Once the economy starts to shrink, debt levels seem likely to shrink because of defaults and because of reluctance of lenders to lend, for fear of defaults. Interest rates will tend to rise, partly because of the higher inflation rates and partly because of the higher level of expected defaults. This debt pattern in turn will reinforce the tendency toward lower GDP growth compared to energy consumption growth. This is a major reason that raising interest rates now is likely to push the economy downward.
[4] With fewer goods and services produced by the economy, the world economy must eventually shrink. We should not be surprised if this shrinkage in some ways echoes the shrinkage that took place in the 2008-2009 recession and the 2020 shutdowns.
The GDP of the world economy is the goods and services produced by the world economy. If the economy starts to shrink, total world GDP will necessarily fall.
What happens in the future may echo what has happened in the past.
Central bank officials felt it was important to stop inflation in oil prices (and indirectly in food prices) back in the 2004 to 2006 period. This indirectly led to the 2008-2009 recession as parts of the world debt bubble started to collapse and many jobs were lost. We should not be surprised if a much worse version of this happens in the future.
The 2020 shutdowns were characterized in most news media as a response to Covid-19. Viewed on an overall system basis, however, they really were a response to many simultaneous problems:
- Covid-19
- A hidden shortage of fossil fuels that was not reflected as high enough prices for producers to ramp up production
- Hidden financial problems that threatened a new version of the 2008 financial collapse
- Factories in many parts of the world that were operating at far less than capacity
- Workers demonstrating in the streets with respect to low wages and low pensions
- Airlines with financial problems
- Citizens frustrated by long commutes
- Very many old, sick people in care homes of various types, passing around illnesses
- An outsized medical system that still desired to increase profits
- Politicians who wanted a way to better control their populations–perhaps rationing of output would work around an inadequate total supply of goods and services
Shutting down non-essential activities for a while would temporarily reduce demand for oil and other energy products, making it easier for the rest of the system to appear profitable. It would give an excuse to increase borrowing (and money printing) to hide the financial problems for a while longer. It would keep people at home, reducing the need for oil and other energy products, hiding the fossil fuel shortage for a while longer. It would force the medical system to reorganize, offering more telephone visits and laying off non-essential workers. Many individual citizens could reduce time lost to commuting, thanks to new work-from-home rules and internet connections. The homebuilding and home remodeling industries were stimulated, offering work to those who had been laid off.
The impacts of the shutdowns were greatest on poor people in poor countries, such as those in Central and South America. For example, many people in the vacation and travel industries were laid off in poor countries. People making fancy clothing for people going to conferences and weddings were laid off, as were people raising flowers for fancy events. These people had trouble finding new employment. They are at increased risk of dying, either from Covid-19 or inadequate nutrition, making them susceptible to other illnesses.
We should not be surprised if some near-term problems echo what has happened in the past. Debt defaults and falling home prices are very real possibilities, for example. Also, making a new crisis a huge focal point and scaring the population into staying at home has proven to be a huge success in temporarily reducing energy consumption without actual rationing. Some people believe that monkeypox or a climate change crisis will be the next area of focus in an attempt to reduce energy consumption, and thus lower oil prices.
[5] There is likely to be more conflict in a world with not enough goods and services to go around.
With a shrinking amount of finished goods and services, we should not be surprised if we see more conflict in the world. Many wars are resource wars. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine, with other countries indirectly involved, certainly could be considered a resource war. Russia wants higher prices for its exports of many kinds, including energy exports. I wrote about the conflict issue in a post I wrote in April 2022: The world has a major crude oil problem; expect conflict ahead.
World War I and World War II were almost certainly about energy resources. Peak coal in the UK seems to be closely related to World War I. Inadequate coal in Germany and lack of oil in Japan (and elsewhere) seem to be related to World War II.
[6] We seem to be facing a new set of problems in addition to the problems that gave rise to the Covid-19 shutdowns. These are likely to shape how any new crisis plays out.
Some recently added problems include the following:
- Debt has risen to a high level, relative to 2008. This debt will be harder to repay with higher interest rates.
- The US dollar is very high relative to other currencies. The high level of the US dollar causes problems for borrowers from outside the US in repaying their loans. It also makes energy prices very high outside the US.
- Oil, coal and natural gas are all in short supply world-wide, leading to falling productivity of the overall system Item 1. If extraction is to continue, prices need to be much higher.
- Difficulties with broken supply lines make it hard to ramp up production of manufactured goods of many kinds.
- Inadequate labor supply is an increasing problem. Baby boomers are now retiring; not enough young people are available to take their place. Increased illness, associated with Covid-19 and its vaccines, is also an issue.
These issues point to a situation where rising interest rates seem likely to send the world economy downward because of debt defaults and failing businesses of many kinds.
The high dollar relative to other currencies leads to the potential for the system to break apart under stress. Alternatively, the US dollar may play a smaller role in international trade than in the past.
[7] Many parts of the economy are likely to find that the promised payments to be made to them cannot really take place.
We have been taught that money is a store of value. We have also been taught that government promises, such as pensions, unemployment insurance and health insurance can be counted on. If there are fewer goods and services available in total, the whole system must change to reflect the fact that there are no longer enough goods and services to go around. There may not even be enough food to go around.
As the world economy hits limits, we cannot assume that the money we have in the bank will really be able to purchase the goods we want in the future. The goods may not be available to purchase, or the government may put a restriction (such as $200 per week) on how much we can withdraw from our account each week, or inflation may make goods we currently buy unaffordable.
If we think about the situation, the world will be producing fewer goods and services each year, regardless of what promises that have been made in the past might say. For example, the number of bushels of wheat available worldwide will start falling, as will the number of new cars and the number of computers. Somehow, the goods and services people expected to be available will start disappearing. If the problem is inflation, the affordable quantity will start to fall.
We don’t know precisely what will happen, but these are some ideas, especially as higher interest rates become a problem:
- Many businesses will fail. They will default on their debt; the value of their stock will go to zero. They will lay off their employees.
- Employees and governments will also default on debts. Banks will have difficulty remaining solvent.
- Pension plans will have nowhere nearly enough money to pay promised pensions. Either they will default or prices will rise so high that the pensions do not really purchase the goods that recipients hoped for.
- The international system of trade is likely to start withering away. Eventually, most goods will be locally produced with whatever resources are available.
- Many government agencies will become inadequately funded and fail. Intergovernmental agencies, such as the European Union and the United Nations, are especially vulnerable.
- Governments are likely to reduce services provided because tax revenues are too low. Even if more money is printed, it cannot buy goods that are not there.
- Citizens may become so unhappy with their governments that they overthrow them. Simpler, cheaper governmental systems, offering fewer services, may follow.
[8] It is likely that, in inflation-adjusted dollars, energy prices will not rise very high, for very long.
We are likely dealing with an economy that is basically falling apart. Factories will produce less because they cannot obtain financing. Purchasers of finished goods and services will have difficulty finding jobs that pay well and loans based on this employment. These effects will tend to keep commodity prices too low for producers. While there may be temporary spurts of higher prices, finished goods made with high-cost energy products will be too expensive for most citizens to afford. This will tend to push prices back down again.
[9] Conclusion.
We are dealing with a situation that economists, politicians and central banks are ill-equipped to handle. Raising interest rates may squeeze out a huge share of the economy. The economy was already “at the edge.” We can’t know for certain.
Virtually no one looks at the economy from a physics point of view. For one thing, the result is too distressing to explain to citizens. For another, it is fashionable for scientists of all types to produce papers and have them peer reviewed by others within their own ivory towers. Economists, politicians and central bankers don’t care about the physics of the situation. Even those basing their analysis on Energy Return on Energy Invested (EROEI) tend to focus on only a narrow portion of what I explained in Section [1]. Once researchers have invested a huge amount of time and effort in one direction, they cannot consider the possibility that their approach may be seriously incomplete.
Unfortunately, the physics-based approach I am using indicates that the world’s economy is likely to change dramatically for the worse in the months and years ahead. Economies, in general, cannot last forever. Populations outgrow their resource bases; resources become too depleted. In physics terms, economies are dissipative structures, not unlike ecosystems, plants and animals. They can only exist for a limited time before they die or end their operation. They tend to be replaced by new, similar dissipative structures.
While the current world economy cannot last indefinitely, humans have continued to exist through many bottlenecks in the past, including ice ages. It is likely that some humans, perhaps in mutated form, will make it through the current bottleneck. These humans will likely create a new economy that is better adapted to the Earth as it changes.
Yesterday Russia launched missiles against northern Ukraine from Belarus for the first time. More escalation and destruction of infrastructure. It will not now be possible to rebuild all that has been lost.
Let’s see how this person’s film stands up after 10 years. On certain issues since then, his analysis and judgment has not always been the best.
The Crisis of Civilization (2012)
Thanks. I remember this movie. I’ve always found it well done.
More fighting in Ukraine!
Thanks for this well needed analysis and report Gail, I’ll probably cite it in an article I’m working on. I find the the public has very little interest in the technical aspects of resource depletion and the concept of ‘peak-oil’ is rejected outright more often than not. I even see some relatively well informed analysts do that. The idea that if there’s enough demand the technology will simple be found or developed to extract more energy seems to be common. Well, a lot of people are now sitting up and noticing there’s an energy problem and a related food problem, but they ascribe it to recent geoplitical events only, which have just amplified a problem that was already building multiple times over.
I really like your last paragraph – I think it’s best to take a pragmatic view and accept that the reordering of civilizations are cyclic and it has a pattern – that pattern can be measured – and we are on schedule for 2032 according to a 256-year cycle that I have studied. Cicilizations that in the past have ‘collapsed’ or went through revolutions during the same time frame were Roman Empire, Easter Island, Aztec Empire, American Revolution and French revolution. ‘Collapse’ comes down to a reordering of society by forces larger than humanity (historical cycles governed by metaphysical energy cycles). I have attempted to put this into perspective with examples in my latst essay:
https://energyshifts.net/the-cyclic-reordering-of-civilizations/
Thanks for your thoughts! I was not aware of the 256-year cycle, or the year 2032 being the next cycle endpoint.
I keep getting notifications of citations of my work (academic articles and posts, combined). The last I saw was something like 410, and rising every week.
The cycle end-point is 2052. The last 19.7-year segment of the cycle starts in 2032 (there are 13 of these segments – ‘Katuns’ (double-decades) – that add up to the 256 years. Each segment has its own ‘story line’ (so to say) – events tend to happen in a similar way each time the Katun comes around. It being the final segment in the cycle means that that cycle winds down and there’s a great unravelling and instability (for example; Rome’s the Crisis of the Third Century).
I will have to take time to look at your link. Thanks for the additional information.
The ‘war’ in Ukraine is sure a convenient excuse for just about everything!
Gail, talking about climate change, here the Irish government is determined to reduce methane output by reducing the national cattle herd. As it is, Irish farmers are feeding 35 million people. No one seems to be asking what these people are supposed to eat when Irish food is less available, as well as an obvious recession in the Irish food industry.
Will food simply become dearer, or will Brazil take the opportunity to chop down more forest to produce beef and milk?
Either way, it’s not going to be a success.
Reducing methane output is simply a way of trying to bring the world economy to down to a smaller size, in line with falling resources. Population will necessarily have to shrink. Reducing methane output doesn’t make the problem sound like the real problem–overpopulation relative to resources.
Fine opportunity for Brazil – shipping food to Europe in polluting ships. What nonsense.
No one ever counts methane or carbon in exporting economies!
Global Air Travel Logjam Stumps Airlines, Disrupts Countless Summer Travel Plans
https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/global-air-travel-logjam-stumps-airlines-disrupts-countless-summer-travel-plans
I checked flightradar24 and found that international arrivals at large airports (Singapore, Thailand, Dubai, Jakarta, etc) are way below their highs of 2019. Arrivals were like 10-20 per hour for large airports in Asia and Dubai.Some of them are less than 10 per hour.
Airports in EU are not good indicators as many of the flights are inter-EU flights. The more critical ones are the inter-continental flights.
Either (1) people are broke (2)shortage of staff (3) shortage of fuel and excuses are being made to cover up.
(4) People don’t want to deal with covid restrictions and getting stuck places if/when a mandatory swab comes back positive. And there’s all the fun with TSA/DHS groping you and putting you through microwave scanners and now facial recognition etc. Oh brother, big brother.
Not so Strange…
Bjorn Lomborg: The rich world’s message to the poor: Fossil fuels for me but not for thee
Special to Financial Post
Wed, July 27, 2022 at 6:00 AM
.”https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/bjorn-lomborg-rich-world-message-100056312.html
The rich world’s fossil fuel hypocrisy is on full display in its response to the global energy crisis triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. While the wealthy G7 countries admonish the world’s poor to use only renewables because of climate concerns, Europe and the United States are going begging to Arab nations to expand oil production, Germany is reopening coal power plants and Spain and Italy are ramping up African gas production. So many European countries have asked Botswana to mine more coal it will have to triple its exports.
A single person in the rich world uses more fossil fuel energy than all the energy available to 23 poor Africans. The rich world became wealthy by massively exploiting fossil fuels, which today provide more than three-quarters of its energy. Solar and wind deliver less than three per cent.
Yet the rich are choking off funding for any new fossil fuels in the developing world. Most of the world’s poorest four billion people have no meaningful energy access so the rich blithely tell them to “leapfrog” from no energy to a green nirvana of solar panels and wind turbines. This promised nirvana is a sham consisting of wishful thinking and green marketing. The world’s rich would never accept off-grid, renewable energy themselves — and neither should the world’s poor.
………
Solar and wind are incapable of delivering the power needed for industrialization, powering water pumps, tractors and machines — all the ingredients needed to lift people out of poverty. As rich countries are now also discovering, solar and wind energy remain fundamentally unreliable. No sun or wind means no power. Battery technology offers no answers: today there are only enough batteries to power global average electricity consumption for one minute and 15 seconds. Even by 2030, with a projected rapid battery scale-up, they would last less than 12 minutes. For context, every German winter, when solar is at its minimum, there is near-zero wind energy available for at least five days — more than 7,000 minutes.
This is why the rich world is on track to continue to rely mostly on fossil fuels for decades. The International Energy Agency estimates that in 2050, even if all current climate promises are delivered, fossil fuels will still provide two-thirds of the rich world’s energy. The developing world sees the hypocrisy. As Nigeria’s Vice-president Yemi Osinbajo has said: “No one in the world has been able to industrialize using renewable energy” and yet Africa has “been asked to industrialize using renewable energy when everybody else in the world knows that we need gas-powered industries for business.”
I agree with Edwin…Gail hit a home run with this writeup!⚾
I think a new term is apt: Climate Colonialism.
Recent press headlines:
19 June, 2022: “COP26 president to visit SA to accelerate $8.5bn Just Energy
Transition Partnership” – The Daily Maverick
(i.e. the project entails decomissioning the country’s coal power plants so that it can move to ‘net-zero’.)
June 22, 2022: ‘The EU Is Buying More South African Coal Than Ever’ – Oil Price Dot Com
Two plus two equals four?
Getting enough coal can be a huge problem. Decommissioning them because of climate change sounds a whole lot better than decommissioning them because the world is running short of easily extractable and shipped coal.
The actor Richard Burton came from a Welsh mining family and was interviewed by Dick Cavett about the skill and talent the miners acquired in their trade. Burton even said the miners looked down upon other trades and considered themselves the elite workers of their day.
Burton was unable to get both his Father or elder Brother out of the trade because of their vocation to it!
Both died from the black lung. His mother gave birth to 13 children and died when he was two after giving birth from the last because of the dust of the mines that caused infection.
Richard Burton is a stellar storyteller and here is the video clip if you like to hear
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=708q7LjMGso
He also commented that the mechanization of the mines caused the skill of the old times to be lost..
He had one story about his father examining one stream of coal, picking one spot and asking for one type of pick..hitting the spit, dislodging tons of coal … fascinating
PS. Burton was asked by his Father if it was true he got paid $50,000 for a part in a movie he read…he corrected him and said $150,000…he dad shrugged and “What on Earth For!”
The Burton story reminds me of this.
In his superb war memoir ‘Love And War in the Apennines’, Eric Newby tells how, when he was in hiding in the mountains, the peasants helping him needed to break up a boulder but got nowhere.
So they waited for an experienced old boy from the quarries to turn up.
He walked around the rock, then struck it – only once – with a pick so that it simply shattered apart.
Manual skill which is the fruit of experience is a beautiful thing.
Yes, the bodgers of preindustrial days are another example!
The Welsh Chair maker, John Brown, wrote a wonderful book regarding the skill and joy from it!
Brown, who died June 1, is in my estimation the most influential writer on handwork of this generation. His columns in Britain’s Good Woodworking magazine inspired thousands of woodworkers to attempt or even completely embrace handwork.
His columns were short epistles on topics philosophical, mundane or both. He might offer a recipe for bacon in one column, offer plans for a workbench in another and in a third comment on the sad state of woodworking where we have traded skill for speed.
Brown himself was a boatbuilder who was made obsolete by fiberglass watercraft. After spotting a primitive Welsh chair in a shop in Lampeter, as Brown put it: “It was like a vision. I had never seen anything that had made so instant an impression on me.”
And so he built a Welsh stick chair like the one from his vision. He began selling them. He began writing about them. “Welsh Stick Chairs” was published in 1990. It’s a short volume, but is one of my prize possessions. In it, Brown gives a concise history of the Celts and their furniture. Then a short history of his love for the craft. The remainder of the book is photos of Brown in action, building what he calls a “cardigan chair.”
I first encountered his column in Good Woodworking in the mid-1990s. .
“The John Brown Column” , sometimes titled “The Anarchist Woodworker” , was so inspiring to me, it’s difficult to quantify. I think it’s best said that if I had to have only one hero in woodworking, it would be Chairman Brown.
Not only did his writing encourage my hand-work skills, he also inspired me as a chairmaker to the point where I even ventured into the Canadian wilderness to take a class in Welsh chairmaking from David Fleming, a Cobden, Ontario, chairmaker who is Welsh.
All this detail above might make me sounds a bit like a stalker, but I never met John Brown. It was one of my primary goals for the coming years, which I can now bitterly cross off my to-do list. My plan was to ask if we could reprint his columns in book form so they could receive the wide audience they deserve. That project might be in limbo now, but perhaps his heirs will be willing.
If you can get a copy of “Welsh Stick Chairs,” you certainly will get the flavor of his writing and wit. And if I have any luck, perhaps you’ll also get to read his columns and then understand the loss the world of handwork has suffered this week.
– Christopher Schwarz
A reminder of why the eCONomy is behaving strangely; the puppet masters are pulling it in strange new directions; an ‘economic takedown’.
A small sampling from a buffet of C.Austin Fitt ideas…
‘As Fitts and Titus both emphasize, “What is happening is not an economic downturn, but an economic ‘takedown.’” As Titus reiterates, “The popular notion that a virus is the original force behind the current downturn doesn’t stand up to serious scrutiny,” not least because the Fed’s official monetary response to the pandemic—the “going direct” plan crafted months earlier by BlackRock—“went into effect before there even was a pandemic.”22 The declaration of a pandemic, says Titus, provided the “perfect cover” for the Fed to implement BlackRock’s plan: “In a nutshell, the arrival of the 2020 pandemic was about as accidental as an assassination. The pandemic narrative is nothing but a cover story to conceal from the public what in reality is the biggest asset transfer ever.”
‘In a speech in Milan, Italy, Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. warned that the CIA “does coups d’état,” not public health, with involvement in seventy-three coups d’état between 1947 and the year 2000, “most of them against democracies.”
‘Noting that Pfizer has a large research and development plant in Wuhan, the video also explained that one of the world’s leading brain-machine interface experts, American chemist Charles Lieber, was convicted in late 2021 of lying about his collaboration with the Wuhan Institute of Technology. Lieber holds patents for injectable nano-mesh lattices made up of nanoscale wires with “the potential to self-assemble into tiny computer systems. . . capable of controlling human neurology.’
‘That said, the push for a global control grid will not be defeated that easily, and we must remain vigilant as central bankers and their marketers move the next cover story—most likely climate change—into place. Already last May, the WEF was signaling that central bankers would be “leading the way” in “incorporating climate change into. . . investment decisions.”66 While the simulated “global health crisis” may seem to be over, Fitts cautions, “We are likely to witness a daily clashing of top-down power and bottom-up sensibilities for years to come.’
https://www.westonaprice.org/health-topics/covid-19-injections-global-control-grid/
Thanks! Very interesting. There seem to be more people understanding the scope of the problem.
The original report also says,
Gee, it seems like we need some “Hints for Managing Collapse.” Strangely enough, I wrote a book with that title on 2014 and it is available on Amazon worldwide. It is all about solutions for individuals and small groups. You don’t have to buy it or “buy” the concepts, but it is there for you. A smart person will take a quick look or download a Kindle sample (which you can read on your computer).
Good effort Walt but the only way to manage collapse is by being the ones doing the collapse.
Talk to someone at BlackRock.
Manage … the spent fuel ponds…… how?
In any event there won’t be a ‘collapse’ at least not the Mad Max type collapse…
We will all be locked down and starved to death
https://www.headsupster.com/forumthread?shortId=220
Leo will be pleased!!!
“Climatologists Embarrassed: Increase in Global CO2 Levels Accompanied by Arctic Sea Ice Growth!” – The latest data show Arctic sea ice is still very much present and is currently running above the average of the last decade, writes Pierre Gosselin on WUWT.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/07/28/climatologists-embarrassed-increase-in-global-co2-levels-accompanied-by-arctic-sea-ice-growth/
I’ll follow this
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F701d7c0c-10da-486f-87af-b42d31d5f53e_851x537.png
up with
https://youtu.be/loekadIJ68c
The lady doth protests too muchy….
Odd that they don’t say what did kill them …
https://www.insauga.com/covid-vaccine-didnt-kill-3-mississauga-doctors-despite-rampant-social-media-claims/
They look young and healthy
https://www.msn.com/en-ca/health/medical/warmington-hospitals-confirm-deaths-of-four-physicians-but-deny-vaccine-related/ar-AA102al3
over to our resident ____________ norm what says yee old boy?
Soooo EEEEEeeee!!!!
Australian Excess Deaths continue to mount up
Dr Ah Kahn Syed
Today’s provisional mortality statistics from the Australian Bureau of statistics make for more depressing reading. After 2 years of radical and experimental mandatory public health policy to strive for “zero covid at all costs (but we’re not paying, obv)”…. Australia is now running at 15,572 excess deaths for the year above baseline (9% higher) and 8,308 excess deaths above the 5 year range. Before you ask, the majority of those deaths are from cancer and dementia (aka neglect). As of today, Australia is over 96% vaccinated (adults, i.e. those at risk of dying), and there are over 100 people a week listed as dying of COVID – and rising – making a mockery of those false promises made in 2021.
Remember, many public health “experts” and decision makers have not treated a real patient in years. This democidal disaster is the result of giving them absolute power over individual rights “for your safety”. If this power is not removed from them and given back to the individual it is safe to assume that we can expect more of the same.
https://arkmedic.substack.com/p/australian-excess-deaths-continue
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F701d7c0c-10da-486f-87af-b42d31d5f53e_851x537.png
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cf8f44d-4878-4e05-aa96-ec11e7b3d06b_815x638.png
Thanks Gail for the article. My long comment which I wrote while you were preparing the article has some connection to your article. It is related to the observation of my stray cat colony. I will post the long comment in the evening my time or your morning because I know it will go into moderation.
Imagine we are now at a stage where we are some “offended” that software has to decide if that comment can be published. We are so coddled (part of my long comment will go a little deeper into coddling) that we become weak. Weak lifeforms do not last long.
The time between 2 articles, many events happen. NS1 is now flowing 20% only and at this rate, it is 100% certain that there will be not enough gas end of this year for the entire EU.
Interest rate has gone up and the economic system of developed nations are under extreme stress. It might have boiled over but it was not obvious yet. At the point of time when it becomes obvious, we probably might have only a couple of days before bank runs, bank holidays, very high inflation, etc collapses everything.
Q4 is looking dodgy as hell… if I was to lay down $$$ it would be on Q4
Things are not looking good at all. There is a limit to how much “scaring to death” I can do of readers.
Fast Eddy is good at painting bleak pictures.
The Biden administration is aiming for a mid-September rollout for reformulated Pfizer and Moderna COVID-19 booster shots, after both companies promised they would be able to deliver doses by then, according to the New York Times, citing people familiar with the deliberations.
https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/biden-admin-unveil-reformulated-booster-shots-september
Ya the other shots weren’t stopping the spread or the hospitalizations and deaths … times for new and improved death jabs.
norm – exciting?
5… and counting… https://torontosun.com/news/local-news/warmington-triathlete-27-becomes-5th-gta-doctor-to-die-in-july
More Boosters please!
A “trans-identified male” who raped two 9-year-old girls before torturing and murdering his developmentally disabled cellmate has been “offering” his “expertise” to policymakers on the issue of transgender inmate rights.
https://ground.news/article/violent-child-rapist-murderer-now-a-featured-feminist-lgbtq-advocate
Spoonfull of Pfizzer makes the medicals go down.
Its a clown-show out there.
looks like Hannibal Lecter is now Hanna Lector
100% rent a crowd https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/37875
Speaking of purposely messing with the MOREONS https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/37877 Check it out:
EAT CELEBRITY MEAT
BiteLabs grows meat from celebrity tissue samples
and uses it to make artisanal salami.
http://www.bitelabs.org/
My complaint with this is that you conflate artificial restriction of energy supplies using ESG, with constriction of energy supplies due to depletion. The fact that investment in energy is being restricted due to government regulations and the actions of banks and investors using ESG, is not the same as depletion.
For example, the US now mines about half the coal that it did 30 years ago. That is strictly due to government policy of closing coal plants and not permitting new ones. It has nothing to do with reserves in the ground or depletion. In has everything to do with US policy on regulating carbon emissions, for which there is no statutory authority.
I don’t agree with you on this.
ESG is basically a plan to move investment to the areas where government subsidies can most often be found. The reason why restrictions on coal mining earlier and ESG plans later become popular was because of diminishing returns in coal mines. The best quality coal, especially close to markets, was extracted first. Later coal was more expensive to extract, of lower quality, and often had to be shipped farther. Sometimes new railroad infrastructure would be needed. It really was not possible to make very good profits in coal mining, because of the diminishing returns problem.
We see the same pattern around the world. Coal supplies that can be extracted for a profit get depleted with extraction quite quickly. This issue seems to have led to both World War I (UK) and World War II (Germany). No one dares talk about the depletion issue. ESG is politically correct.
Funny – he says employers should not want their staff to take the vaccines… the thing is… I tried that … most forcefully with senior people … but they all wanted to take the shots… https://t.me/PeterMcCullough/1610
WOW – this is an incredible update from China… 41 cities in some form of lockdown https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/37867
Here we go again – except this time due to vax injuries and VAIDS…. this is real https://t.me/robinmg/21839
Lockdowns cannot be far off -extreme lockdowns… like Shanghai
More misdirection … eagerly lapped up by anti vax communities….
Plot to Create a Future Capitol of the World? Why Is the Dutch Government So Obsessed With the Farmers’ Land?
https://mordor.substack.com/p/opinion-what-plot-lurks-behind-the
Confusing… https://t.me/robinmg/21836 https://rumble.com/v1dwll3-ashley-bloomfield-one-last-time.html
Control
WARMINGTON: Hospitals confirm deaths of four physicians but deny vaccine-related
“Attempting to quash social media gossip and speculation, two GTA hospitals have confirmed the deaths of four staff doctors during one week in July but deny any connection to COVID-19 vaccinations.”
https://torontosun.com/news/local-news/warmington-hospitals-confirm-deaths-of-four-physicians-but-deny-vaccine-related
Wow.
Too bad.
How many did those four F’wits condemn to a future of abject misery due to theirso called positions of ‘Authority'”
Doctors have proven to be the most useful of all ‘Intellectual Yet Idiots’
When doctors are vax injured… or die… an angel sings.
I find myself wishing that Val — the doctor who booted me out for showing her this https://pdfhost.io/v/nvrgA~sEJ_VAERS_Heart_Damage_V8
Goes down hard after Booster 4.
I’ll start attending mass if that happens … I drive by this from time to time … looks kinda funky… might even have a VIP room … ya that’s be my choice… https://cityimpactchurch.com/location/queenstown/
But only if the Man in the Sky strikes down Val… Val … Val… who offered Fast Eddy the Poison…
You might think wishing ill upon Val is Over The Line… but Poison .. Fast Eddy…. that’s worse than Eve tempting Adam… the repercussions are too horrifying to consider…
Vax Death to Val the Impaler… Vax Death to Val the Impaler… Jihad Val … Fast Eddy Akbar.
Sounds completely plausible, that’s if you’re Norm, Dunce or Mike.
One aspect of the red clown vs blue clown divide and conquer is conspiracy theorist vs normal. As our reactive state is always manipulated it is understandable judging those that judge you but at some point one must move beyond that pain and evaluate ones actions based on what they represent. IMO strength is best represented by the courage to be judged and not have one actions work toward divisiveness. Look a Dunc. He could not acknowledge the facts because he couldnt cope with what that would do to his perception of his identity. A individual can be just like Dunc and have totally opposite views. We are all just people doing the best we can. Look its not easy. Extending your hand for the umpteenth time and having the recipient spit on the ground. Im not great at it. The alternative, becoming what you hate is more painful to me than the pain of rejection.
Dunc is welcome back… he’s served his time in the Box of Shame
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_6fSszLb2IKs/TQk-WuWxfoI/AAAAAAAAAAQ/3WmSXoJGmb4/s1600/_DSC0068.jpg
Colombia’s most beloved popular singer Darío Gomez has died suddenly and unexpectedly of cardiac arrest.
He told his brother that he had been very sick after the third covid vaccine shot as reported by Semana magazine.
Source (https://www.semana.com/nacion/articulo/dario-nos-salvo-de-mi-papa-hermano-del-rey-del-despecho-cuenta-los-detalles-de-la-tragedia-que-marco-la-vida-del-idolo/202225/) | Substack (https://revealedeye.substack.com/)
ole!
Died unexpectedly, died suddenly are the “new” catch phrases.
ya hoooo!!!! it’s the CovIDIOT song! https://t.me/goddek/1948
His timing might have been slightly off… and it’s not the unvaxxed…. it’s the VAIDsies?
“We must be prepared for a killer variant.”
The German Minister of Health Alcohol, Karl Lauterbach, claimed that I and everybody else who is unvaccinated and not recovered would be dead by March 2022.
Today, Lauterbach said we should prepare for a killer variant this fall (https://www.bild.de/politik/2022/politik/lauterbach-ueber-corona-muessen-auf-eine-killer-variante-vorbereitet-sein-80841736.bild.html). 🤡
When being criticised for using such dystopian words, he justified his choice of words: “I use few apocalyptic words. But sometimes you have to call a spade a spade.”
I claim that Lauterbach is a dangerous lunatic who is the actual killer variant. His fearporn caused millions of people to live in fear. And it is known that perpetual worry and being constantly anxious affects health and longevity.
Calling him a killer would get me into serious legal hassles. But if there were real freedom of speech, I would call him what he truly is: a murderous clown.
https://t.me/goddek/1949
Dr. Poornima Wagh: They found the same things we did. They didn’t find SARS Cov 2, they didn’t find the genome, they didn’t find anything. Nothing was found.
We called Robert Redfield, Director of the CDC to tell him the findings. He said ‘I don’t care what you found, just call it SARS-Cov-2’
We asked the CDC to send us a sample of the isolated virus. They said they didn’t have any, stopped answering our calls and then our lab was raided by the FBI
https://www.bitchute.com/video/XJT0Ap6oVMNH/
End of the day this started out as just another version of a coronavirus… no more lethal than the flu…
So doesn’t much matter what they called it — they’ve convinced the MOREONS that it’s the Plague … and they’ve shot up with the Death Juice…. and f789ed their immune systems
Now the dance begins. Q4?
i.e. norm you are Perma-F789ed…. hahahaa
The Problem With Gene Therapy: Once You’ve Done It, You Can’t Go Backwards
Dr. Robert Malone: (https://rwmalonemd.substack.com/) “There’s no way the surgeon can go in and cut out those specific cells that got your gene and got modified. So if a patient is having toxicity, a problem, there’s no way to fix it.”
Full Video: tinyurl.com/Malone-CHD
Follow @VigilantFox 🦊
Rumble (https://rumble.com/v1dzqhn-the-problem-with-gene-therapy-once-youve-done-it-you-cant-go-backward.html) | Substack (https://thevigilantfox.substack.com/)
Good to see that Malone is broadening his horizons, but has yet to touch the oil-gas-coal is running out yet.
In one of his posts he posted a visual of various tactics that have been used to falsely frighten the hordes… one of the memes was ‘Oil will run out in ten years’…
I doubt he’ll come around on that issue.. that’s the mother of all mass psychoses … the mind must be well insulated from the truth about energy… to acknowledge that we are at the end of the line = insanity for most.
Check out the tourism situation in Japan … you need a minder hahahaha
https://guygin.substack.com/p/tourism-reopening-japan-fails-to
Japan is not a good place for tourists now.
BAU today babeee…as some here are wont to say.
Smokin Eddie is back with a vengence!!
Data data everywhere, and not a lot to argue against.
Data to die for, just like the injection.
yes the data looks bad!
I love bAU mixed with portents of Doom!
The concept I keep having trouble conveying is that for a long time now, perhaps 100 years or more the “West” has actively suppressed and even destroyed growth and the potential for growth all around the developing world.
Any growth in the Western world that has occurred recently was only possible because of the demand destruction that the US has perpetrated on developing countries, most particularly those with abundant natural resources. They have done this through financial means, sanctions and tariffs, and out right “bombing back to the stone age”.
Back in The Oil Drum days there was this concept called “Export Land Model” where resource rich countries use more and more of their own resources leaving less for the West, why is our oil under their sand? This concept is true of every natural resource as a resource rich country prospers off of exporting their resources they begin to demand more resources of every kind putting pressure on the global supply and price. WE CAN NOT HAVE THAT! BOOM!
Keep in mind that 80% of the population of the planet lives on $10 a day or less, 3.5 billion live on $2.5 a day or less and 1.5 and growing rapidly are starving to death.
Oxfam study shows that over the last 2.5 years of the pandemic a new billionaire was created every 30 hours and in that same 30 hour period 1 million people were pushed into extreme poverty.
Point being 80% of the population are not consuming anything other than what is needed to not die. 20% are consuming more than the 80% and 10%, or what some have called the “Golden Billion”, are consuming the effing planet.
It has now become a lot more difficult if not impossible for the West to succeed in doing this as more and more of the planet successfully resists. I would not get to optimistic though as we have already raped and pillaged the planet for all the economically viable resources so all the wild growth that people like Pepe Escobar forecast for the global south and Eurasia simply can not happen.
Cheers! Jef
Ya isn’t it awesome!
We pillaged them leaving them enough so they didn’t starve…
And we lived kick ass large!
Oxfam study – over the pandemic period one billionaire was created every 30 hours and during that same 30 hour period one million people were pushed into extreme poverty and starvation.
Thats all you need to know about how the world operates. Got to love it eh FE?
+++++++++
Spot-on comment. The advantage of being a citizen of empire is that you can live it large on others’ resources and still claim the moral high-ground. (Did anyone actually think the anti-apartheid movement was about segregation?) “MUHAHAHHAHAHA!!” – as Fast Eddy would say.
South Africa not such an interesting topic anymore ‘for some reason’ – mostly off the news. Well the parliament in Cape Town burned down in January and the University of Cape Town burned down just a couple of months before that. And then there’s this, haven’t seen it reported anywhere (except in India), guess it’s not really important:
The problem with the Export Land Model is that it doesn’t take into account the fact that the price for fossil fuels has dropped below the full cost of producing and extracting them. As a result, export countries don’t do well financially exporting them. They would rather keep the fossil fuels in the ground. Russia is willing to go to war over the issue. Saudi Arabia and other countries have cut back on production. (Saudi Arabia’s production is now back up, but there are reports that Saudi Arabia is importing some oil from Russia, to make this possible.)
These countries aren’t really using more for themselves. They are finding themselves very poor because the fossil fuels haven’t been selling for enough. They have had to cut back on internal projects that use fossil fuels because they cannot afford to pay for all the costs that go with the fuels, including wages and imported materials from elsewhere.
This is a chart of some countries in the Middle East’s energy consumption per capita, according to BP.
https://ourfiniteworld.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/Energy-Consumption-Per-Capita-Saudi-Arabia-and-others-1024×616.png
Somehow, Iran is keeping more for itself than the other countries. Perhaps, the sanctions on exports is helping it use more itself. Saudi Arabia has cut way back. Iraq was a terribly poor country to begin with. All of the oil exports seem to have done pretty much nothing to help the country.
Here We Go Again: Wuhan Locks Down 1 Million People After Detecting Four COVID Cases
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/here-we-go-again-wuhan-locks-down-1-million-people-after-detecting-four-covid-cases
Are we going for round 2 or 3 or 4?
ps. perhaps we are really out of FF
50,000 delivery vans are speeding across from Shanghai to feed all these people!
This zero covid policy is an odd bird…. obviously it will never work.. we did it in NZ for awhile .. ran up massive debts to stay afloat… but it’s not possible to remain shut forever … so when we opened even a crack … the virus came roaring in …
The Chicoms are obviously aware of this yet they continue with this policy…
Hong Kong is quickly destroying its status as a key finance hub… loads of people have left.. it’s almost impossible to bring in new talent because of the week quarantine masks and vax passports…
There is something we are definitely not being told about … why is China locking so hard yet others are relatively open.
Oh btw – my vax damaged mate was recently in Athens — he tested + for The Vid (took Hydroxy + Iver and came good in two days)…. and he reported that when he walked the streets he was seeing epic drug use… loads of people shooting up right in front of him … and many more clearly completely wrecked on the gear in zombie like states on the streets…
I imagine this is what one does when all hope in the future is gone .. this and commit soosiside…
It’s actually not a very good idea to convince people that we are running out of affordable energy… there is nothing they can do to mitigate the situation … so all it will end up doing is driving them into despair.
FE – ever think maybe there’s another infectious agent afoot? One more dangerous than a coronavirus? One whose effects Venn-diagram very closely with Covid-symptoms? One that historically kills more people every year than anything else on the planet? One that has filterable pleomorphic forms that are called Cell-Wall Deficient, aka L-form (see Lida Mattman’s textbook – Stealth Pathogens). One that fooled virologists so long ago that hardly anyone remembers the details?
ran across a little ‘clue’ from 2013 the other day
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3553693/
Anthelmintic Avermectins Kill Mycobacterium tuberculosis, Including Multidrug-Resistant Clinical Strains
See Lawrence Broxmeyer’s papers to ponder if Tuberculosis and its Multi-Drug Resistant variants are being ‘umbrella’d’ so to speak, these last many months. What if those are not simply ‘co-morbid’ as most papers assert, but actually causative (or both)? That’s above my pay-grade but the speculation leads to logical questions, especially per your hypothetical UEP-narrative.
As in, what better agent for UEP than Tuberculosis? How could they pass that one up, in exchange for a corona-variant crap-shoot? Who knows, maybe the inoculations are actually an attempt to mitigate deaths from a new strain of TB, naturally occurring or otherwise. Do we really know what’s in those vials? Talk about panic in the 1st World, already absorbing as it is, millions of people from TB-endemic nations. To speculate that there’s a lab-created TB-variant would explain even more than what we’ve been seeing discussed in the alt-contrary-media. Wouldn’t a virus cover-story be the first thing you’d think of, if you had screwed-up somehow, but were still in control of the overall narrative?
Tuberculosis is a big problem around the world, already. It wouldn’t seem to be hard to make it worse.
When a large majority of the people have compromised immunity, anything can happen….
Well summarized Gail with rising interest rates we will be shrinking but a reversal is on the cards once the stock market tanks expect interest rates to go negative and our world can limp along for quite a bit longer.The raising of the interest rates appears to be the elders attempting “the great reset” or wiping out and taking over the distressed financial products at a bargain price .This will probably include the fossil fuels industry.
I wonder if there will be a rapid reversal on the interest rates at some point …
Hark….. sirens outside … vax injury nearby???
A possible motivation:
Raise interest rates, making it hard for existing international borrowers to roll debts, which causes defaults and economic disruption in those economies, allowing further cheap resource extraction due to 1) lower consumption in those foreign nations and 2) a strong dollar.
Valid points.
You might be right.
At some point, it seems like a lot of debt defaults will occur, and bring the oil price down further.
Let’s unhinge the monkeys a little more https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/san-francisco-new-york-state-declare-monkeypox-emergencies-as-outbreak-grows/ar-AA1056ru
New York, New Dork.
Getting it right where it deserves it!
This should keep the hordes entertained for awhile
https://t.me/VigilantFox/5403
Thank you Gail for another fine article! I am always happy to see them come. Zerohedge reports Wuhan is being closed down. Almost a million people and “4 cases.”
I wonder which problem the shutdown is supposed to solve. Inadequate electricity? Runs on banks? Covid-19? Energy prices too high for exporters?
The world is driven by energy, no two ways about it. All the energy comes from the sun either directly in the form of sunlight or indirectly in fossil fuels, except Nuclear energy. The fossil fuel energy is non-renewable whereas solar energy is renewable. The fossil fuel energy is like a savings account, we have been depleting it at a rapid enough rate since we found it. Although we become more efficient at using the energy, we also continue to consume it in ever growing quantities.
Money (wealth) is a proxy for all energy. While fossil fuels are plentiful, money supply grows to represent the energy available via fossil fuels. As fossil fuels deplete, the first notion is that the money supply no longer matches the available energy and this is termed as inflation. Fighting inflation by raising interest rates cannot produce more energy and usually is a futile exercise that hurts the economy and produces a temporary reduction in consumption and destruction of money supply. These cycles of interest rate increase are becoming smaller in their duration, because the system has become very sensitive. Politics also comes into play, the last 3 cycles of either interest rate increases or Quantitative Tightening or both, were given up very rapidly in face of decline in growth. Which means we are in a spiral of money printing that will go on. Wars result in such scenarios as you point out. Thanks for sharing the detailed analysis.
Nice summary of the situation
“The fossil fuel energy is non-renewable whereas solar energy is renewable. ”
Solar energy falling on our planet is “renewable”, but sadly, the means to harvest it and turn it into electricity is not.
correct, but solar energy does result in agricultural produce. Money is also a proxy for this agricultural produce.
Without the use of fossil fuels, agricultural production is very low. The irrigation and fancy sprays used on “organic” food are not available, either. Repairs on farm equipment quickly stop for lack of replacement parts. They also need fossil fuels to run.
Needless to say, wind turbines and solar panes require the use of fossil fuels.
You can put it as you wish but humans came down a veeery long way without fossil fuels.
It is a 200 year thing and that is it. the human strain is much much older than that and thus is pretty well equipped to live on earth for more than these pesky 200 years.
Nobody said that this will apply for all humans, but as you and I am here and that having been true at all times, it may apply for some obviously.
”we” are here because we have electricity, and maybe more importantly we can afford to make use of it.
I took a long day out swimming without any electricity. And the people catching the fish nearby also had no electricity.
It was a beautiful day, you know.
not sure where you live MM–if its 100+m from anywhere then my comment is misplaced
but if not—
you and those fishermen didn’t have ‘no electricity’–you just spent liesure time choosing not to use it for a while.
I have been surprised that most parties have wanted the higher interest rates and also QT to go on as long as they have. It is clear that the US economy is already in a recession.
California Child Suffers Breathing and Bleeding Issues After Allegedly Being Bribed into COVID Shot Without Mother’s Permission
“He’s not the same anymore. He’s lacking rest; he doesn’t sleep well. He doesn’t do exercises the way he did. He’s not normal to me. ”
Video via t.me/backtolife_2022
Follow @VigilantFox 🦊
Rumble (https://rumble.com/v1dx5ff-california-child-suffers-breathing-and-bleeding-issues-after-being-bribed-i.html) | Substack (https://thevigilantfox.substack.com/)
MANAGING POST VACCINE SYNDROME…
Yes, long Covid resulting from the injection…and other vaccine injuries
https://www.theepochtimes.com/managing-post-vaccine-syndrome-and-early-treatment-protocols-to-prevent-long-covid-symptoms-dr-keith-berkowitz_4608489.html
“This is an economy that’s weakening at a much faster rate than most people expected”
https://rumble.com/v1dx1bx-this-is-an-economy-thats-weakening-at-a-much-faster-rate-than-most-people-e.html
Excellent!!! ROF vs UEP. If the economy busts ROF wins
Professor Norman Fenton questions vaccine data analysis | UKColumn
https://www.ukcolumn.org/video/professor-norman-fenton-questions-vaccine-data-analysis
An interesting analysis of deaths temporally related to the vaccination rollout in Ireland https://twitter.com/JoeH78113424/status/1548009501055275008?t
Oh 5 docs dead in Toronto now … it was 4 the other day – 3 in ONE hospital hahahahaha
One day one family will be angry enough to ask for help from the small community of good doctors and scientists who can steer them in the right direction to make the criminal complaints necessary to get justice. It only needs one to open the floodgates. This should never have happened. https://twitter.com/MDinCanada/status/1552770434541752321
Very interesting. Prof Fenton (a mathematician specialising in risk) says that the Office of National Statistics states that about 8% of the UK adult population is not vaxxed, whereas the UK Health Security Agency with a database containing more reliable data estimates 20%. The recent BBC CV19 documentary on the unvaxxed in the UK stated 8%, of course they did. Prof Fenton thinks the true figure is over 20%.
I don’t who that 20+% not vaxxed is, that is about 10 M people. Would be interesting to have an idea, social / economic background, how many doctors etc. No adult I know is unvaxxed. Family, friends, colleagues, all vaxxed and proud of it.
Michael Rupperts Movie “Collapse” back in 2009 is so on target in 2022. Here’s the Movie Trailer.
This is outstanding https://t.me/arkmedic/4442 Airline pilots off sick double hahaha
A really good article by CHS “There Won’t Be Any Winners Because The Status Quo Is Corrupt Everywhere“
http://charleshughsmith.blogspot.com/2022/07/there-wont-be-any-winners-because.html
I am afraid that most people don’t recognize that corruption is an issue. There are so many other issues going on that corruption seems minor in comparison.
Leonard pre-dated Al with grim warnings – wow! https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/37765
“New Surface Stations Report Released – It’s ‘worse than we thought’” – Anthony Watts writes on WUWT about a new report on official North American temperature stations which found they produce corrupted data due to purposeful placement in man-made hot spots and that the heat-bias distortion problem is even worse now than in 2009. https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/07/27/new-surface-stations-report-released-its-worse-than-we-thought/
“Germany’s gas crisis goes from bad to worse” – Gazprom will cut volumes through Nord Stream 1 in half, from 40% capacity to 20% from tomorrow onwards, pushing Germany into further danger ahead of winter, and rationing could be on the horizon https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/germany-s-gas-crisis-has-gone-from-bad-to-worse
Britain was forced to get its electricity from Belgium for record-high prices to stop a blackout in London last week.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11047167/UK-forced-electricity-Belgium-heatwave-stop-blackout-paid-5-000-MORE.html
The madness continues https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/37777
Obviously this is not possible – it’s more head faking https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/37791
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F47638a94-f1a2-43bb-9acc-a611f923c8a9_1091x1080.jpeg
Removed https://menafn.com/1104590152/Riot-Police-Called-To-Pacora-Bridge-Confrontation I wonder if there is a news blackout for Panama?
Lots and lots and lots of vax injuries causing deaths! https://dailysceptic.org/2022/07/27/excess-non-covid-deaths-top-10000-in-last-12-weeks-but-government-refuses-to-investigate-why/
Maybe if they take more boosters though? https://dailysceptic.org/2022/07/27/covid-vaccines-give-zero-protection-against-death-ons-data-suggest/ https://dailysceptic.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/image-86.png
Tucker (Ministry of Truth is allowing this – why?) https://twitter.com/i/status/1550332030608482305 https://rumble.com/v1dnwe3-must-watch-tucker-carlson-25.07.22-alarming-information-about-the-vax.html
Bottom line is this: we are finding spike in the blood etc. 15 months post vaccine (publication to follow). The spike (synthetic) is from the COVID vaccine and we were lied to by the manufacturers and those involved who said it will not stay in the system and this would be one off etc. This study is indicating that those with long-COVID have persistent spike post-vaccination and show aberrant symptoms e.g. markers of platelet activation and pro-inflammatory cytokine production. In other words, the persistence of spike long-term and potential translation of spike from mRNA long-term in the vaccinated person, may account for the symptoms of long-COVID, at least in part. Further urgent study is needed to clarify these findings by Patterson et al.
https://palexander.substack.com/p/post-covid-vaccination-sars-cov-2
“A Pandemic of the Triple Vaccinated” – Public health officials can pretend to possess sophistication in understanding the current state of the disease, but they cannot spin their way out of the hard data https://brownstone.org/articles/a-pandemic-of-the-triple-vaccinated/
Dr Elizabeth Eads who is based in Florida has been seeing the same thing and her primary care now, is treating those who have been injured by the Vax.
Once again … I was speaking to a fit guy from hockey – he’d be around 40 … I was mentioning I had a bit of a sniffle so was not 100% … he told me that he was flattened for nearly 2 weeks by the flu…
He said for 3 of the days he was in his bed in a coma state and thought he was gonna die.. really I thought I was gonna die… he’d be triple jabbed.
So there you have the difference – it’s no doubt the same virus — I am unjabbed so it’s a minor illness… he’d have some degree of VAIDS… he gets sick as a dog.
I continue to hear of endless sickness – people are going down hard … not just a sniffle…
This will get worse
hahahahaha
Excellent – https://www.odt.co.nz/news/dunedin/health/hospital%E2%80%99s-move-call-students-criticised
Funny + True https://t.me/DowdEdward/817
McCullough – Covid was created in 2015 https://t.me/PeterMcCullough/1595
Aussie – 74% of vaxxed women are miscarrying hahahaha babies go direct to the crematorium https://twitter.com/SaiKate108/status/1551425520360759296?s=20&t
Aussie!! https://t.me/arkmedic/4438
Wow – Something is Wrong in Highly Vaxxed Australia https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-11045527/Covid-hospital-admissions-reach-record-high-Australia-country-battles-twindemic-flu.html Hint – it’s not the lockdowns .. it’s… V A I D S.
https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2022/07/25/10/60659061-11045527-image-a-2_1658740089616.jpg
Without a growing economy how do you have things like … pensions and such?
I can’t imagine you do have pensions in an economy that is not growing. People work until they die. If people can no longer work (even at child care and helping around the house), somehow their life expectancy has to become much shorter. The economy cannot afford to take care of a lot of elderly with high-cost medical bills. It is not clear that the economy can even provide food and shelter for the people.
Let’s cut to the chase… if the economy stops growing and that is a permanent state of affairs…
We will all starve. Or be eaten.
when pensions started in uk (1908) there were 28 workers per pensioner
now there’s 6
thats why pensions can never add up in the long run
Living in Rochester, MN, definitely a world leader in health care, I often wonder how long it can last. Mayo does wonderful things, but walking through the building one sees so many who are very obese, they are wearing the uniforms of healthcare workers. Strange.
Dennis L.
I’ve replaced my OFW article in the UEP with this one — it’s a nice summary of how f789ed we are…
Also dropped it on a few SSs… I doubt many will agree with this analysis … most believe peak oil is a conspiracy theory and/or that we are transitioning to EVs and solar
” It is likely that some humans, perhaps in mutated form, will make it through the current bottleneck.”
Great line.
In a bottleneck it is not that people mutate it is more the existing range of genes have strong selection for the helpful subset. If food is in short supply in the bottleneck and people exist in big medium and small more of the small people are likely to avoid starvation. The population after the bottleneck is likely to have more small people not a new mutation but a selection of an existing gene variation.
You have a good way of explaining the situation.
Ooooh a new article – thanks!
I will post le deluge shortly … but maybe someone can identify other species that were driven close to extinction at made it through the bottle neck… keep in mind none of them had to deal with spent fuel ponds so we’ll have to discount that.
I agree with your assessment, Human’s have survived much harsher conditions than this will bring on without any great evolutionary mutations. Conditions may favor a slightly lesser average in size but maybe we will gain our slightly higher IQ average back 🙂 It will of course mean the end to the pickiness most modern civilizations have created for themselves but it isn’t as hard to survive as some think when that is the only option available.
Perhaps those swinging a battle axe might be an exception.
Dennis L.
“5:19 we have not yet experienced the
5:20 uncontrolled meltdown of enough of the
5:23 world’s nuclear facilities to remove
5:25 habitat for human animals
5:27 such an event will lead to stripping
5:28 away of stratospheric ozone . . .
6:13 here’s what team leader howard dryden
6:15 said to the interviewer at the sunday
6:17 post quote based on our observations
6:19 plankton numbers have already crashed
6:21 and are now at the levels that i
6:23 predicted would not happen for another
6:24 quarter of a century end quote
6:27 this is the response i’ve come to expect
6:29 from virtually all humans
6:31 catastrophic events are occurring faster
6:33 than expected
6:34 dryden goes on quote given that plankton
6:37 is the life support system for the
6:38 planet and humanity cannot survive
6:40 without it the result is disturbing
6:43 our results confirmed a 90 reduction in
6:45 primary productivity in the atlantic
6:47 effectively the atlantic ocean is now
6:50 pretty much dead
6:52 we surveyed the caribbean from st lucia
6:54 to grenada now the only fish available
6:57 in restaurants there is imported farmed
7:00 atlantic salmon it had been reported
7:02 that fifty percent of the coral was gone
7:05 our observations were that the coral is
7:07 one hundred percent gone in many
7:09 locations and ninety percent gone in all
7:11 locations . . . “
“SciCheck Digest
Climate change has affected ocean ecosystems, scientists say. But an unfounded claim on social media that “plankton in the Atlantic Ocean is 90% gone” and the ocean is “now pretty much dead” is based on a faulty paper.”
https://www.factcheck.org/2022/07/faulty-research-paper-leads-to-unfounded-claims-about-health-of-atlantic-ocean/
So much happening; then ‘unhappening”. Bit like Shreik Lanka and the ESG article at WEF…..now its gone..
The article remained on the UN website for a day or so before being deleted after it went viral on social media, with people horrified at the truly unbelievable evil. It ain’t even started yet.
‘ Hunger has great positive value to many people. Indeed it is fundamental to the working of the worlds’ economy. Hungary people are the most productive people …’
‘Control oil and you control Nations. Control food and you control the people’ . Kissinger.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2022-07-28/hungry-benefits-famine-according-central-planners
Wow! It is hard to believe that people would write such things. The world is certainly changing!
Hungry people of course, although Hungarians may be the most productive….(my mis-type, not the Zerohedge article).
Actually, the early capitalists and ‘economists’ c1790’s to 1830’s were very open about this: pay workers only enough to barely survive, so they can’t save either money or food and thereby be free to withdraw their labour at any time. Hungry people make the best workers, in other words.
The artisan class who were bankrupted and forced into the factories in the transition to coal-powered industry had been fairly comfortably off, well-housed and fed, and semi-independent.
I have the following coming to me via a very good friend who’s uni school chum lives in SL… and would be considered ‘the elite’
Yes they are targeting the wealthy – the mob rolls through areas of Colombo where the affluent live… if your security people oppose them – they kill them then then kill you…. then they pillage
He has ordered his people to allow them in (he owns properties in the city and around the country… I don’t know specifics but I think some are hotels)…. do not oppose them
Apparently if they are permitted to pillage unopposed they generally do not kill anyone.
As far as I know he has no plans to leave and climb to a higher part of the Titanic… he is a finance guy and believes Covid is related to the collapsing markets… but he does not buy into the end of cheap oil thesis…
I suspect he thinks the ship can avoid the berg.. when in fact it’s already struck and is guaranteed about to head for the bottom
He’ll be skinned alive at some point … unless UEP completes.
quote from above>>>>humans have continued to exist through many bottlenecks in the past, including ice ages. It is likely that some humans, perhaps in mutated form, will make it through the current bottleneck.<<<<<
when humans, in whatever form, hit bottlenecks in the past, there was always surplus energy, in one form or another, to see them through. (tough–yes, but doable)
this time, there are no surplus forms of energy available. Unless we eat each other.
and on human timescales, selective mutations require thousands of generations to take effect, with infinite influences we cannot possibly anticipate.
(just like viruses in fact–but viruses do it 000s of times faster than we do.)
We cannot mutate in the slightest degree over 100 years or less.
I believe Gail is correct in allowing from some to survive. Genetic variation — mutations already present — allows selective advantage to some individuals when the environment changes. Even in humans, adaptations to specific pressures can evolve within a handful of generations. Add to this a big boost in mutations from something like spent fuel ponds spewing radiation globally, and there would be quite a bit of extra genetic variation for nature to work on. Of course, nearly all or maybe all might die in response to such radiation.
I don’t think it’s right to say there is no surplus energy now. Of course there is, if the population is low enough. And it doesn’t have to be fossil fuel energy. Just the energy from food and biomass would be abundant for a small population.
Yes, it is per capita. It is not energy for eight billion it is energy for eight hundred thousand. One in ten thousand left standing.
Man, that is a tough game; if one is in the 99th percentile, you are 1 out of a 100, 1/10,000 is 99.99 percentile. Life is becoming a tough race.
Dennis L.
but the population isn’t low enough–thats the problem,
hence there is no surplus to current needs., and 95% of us wouldn’t know how or where to get hold of food without the help of fossil fuels.
I certainly wouldn’t
bear in mind it isn’t the first harvest you have to worry about so much as getting to the 2nd
And serious radiation (if you survive it) produces one certain ‘mutation’–sterilisation or serious abnormalities in the unborn
some will almost certainly survive–but they will not ‘mutate’ into some kind of alternative life form
but given enough die-off, the population will eventually get low enough, and unless Darwin was—Heaven forfend!—wrong, natural selection will go on reshaping the human genome just as it always has.
Your personal problems and mine are not the issue that is going to hold back the progress of the species. Nature doesn’t care if we live or die or how many bumps we endure on along the way. The double-decker bus of evolution doesn’t stop to let the slow and the handicapped lumber or crawl onto the platform at the back, but the more athletic and energetic will be able to leap or climb aboard and leave the rest of us in the dust.
double decker buses no longer have platforms at the back to leap on and off
evolution has progressed beyond that already
Stop, Tim, the nostalgia!
London double-decker buses you could jump on, ticket inspectors, their dirty hands, the whir of the ticket machine, the illegible ticket, the noise, the smell, the arrival in Trafalgar Square…..
Very, very, far from ‘bendy buses’ full of foreigners.
I didn’t say in the next 100 years, or in the next 1000 years. There is zero chance that any of us alive today will see the outcome of this situation.
We have all kinds of things to help the mutation along, including spent fuel pools and vaccines. A self-organizing system can make use of many kinds of inputs. It doesn’t even take a conspiracy. Perhaps there is a God behind the strange things that happen.
Cro magnon appeared out of nowhere 50,000 bp. Whether a strong selective pressure from the Neanderthal wars or the result of the simacrulum Introducing Annuna…. it happened fast.
I suspect our Avatars will die enmass and our essences will return to the briefing area.
Anyone ever consider this world could be a simulated training program for what energy source our base civilization should best utilize? We tried pressure induction on crystalline rock and sonic technology in an earlier sim.
That’s close to one of the ideas I’ve kicked around: that life is essentially a history lesson – an opportunity to live history and understand it first hand, rather than merely read about it. It might, for example, help convince the participants (post-simulation/death) of why their society strictly controls population, resource management, etc etc.
Another alternative is that it’s a test of the individual’s behavior and character that determines selection or elimination of that individual, a la God’s judgement.
Who knows?
If one reads copious old history one comes to the conclusion that “ all the worlds a stage” is probably true.
Pliny the elder talks about “ recurrent catastrophes” that level all cities and kill the entire civilized world but leaves the “ ignorant shepherds” up in the hills alone.
The story of Noah is probably true in its essence.
I was educated and trained in classic western scientific method and accepted for much of my adult life the standard narrative. But I noticed that Mandela effect seemed real, applied attention seemed to affect outcomes and that it is possible to affect matter at a distance via conscious focus. These things should not be possible in a Newtonian world. Many try to infer quantum entanglements and such as explanations.
However Occam’s razor may be relevant here.
Maybe we are being played?
I started with no god,…. became aware of old gods,….and now I try to unmask them to see if a human face is looking back at me winking……
James Webb telescope provides clues to the manipulation I think….
Self referential feedback systems.
All conscious entities manipulate the physical world, however small.
Karma I believe it is; it’s your intent reflecting back through the hall of mirrors at the speed of light.
Pliny was perfectly correct, in that the lower-complexity activities (shepherds, etc) could survive the cyclical and repeated collapse of cities.
My Basque mountaineer ancestors saw Rome rise, invade, build forts, towns and roads, and then implode, disturbing their pattern of life hardly at all. The forest grew over the milestones…..
I and my equally urbanised siblings, on the other hand, are so immersed in complexity that this collapse will not be survivable by any of us even though we are physically as strong.
Will the urbanised relatives come knocking on Uncle Xabier’s door asking for help when the SHTF?
I concur. Extermination awaits!!!
I’m getting out of my chair now to do a soft shoe shuffle… BRB
Perhaps there is a god. We will never know. We will literally never know.
The evidence all seems to point to a permanent source of power that causes continuous creation. The universe continues to expand, in fact at an increasing rate. Life on earth and its rapid evolution seems to have been greatly helped along by an amazing set of coincidences. We can call the growing power behind all that happens (including the laws of physics) a god-force or not.
Human leaders have to give the illusion that they are in charge when, in fact, the god-force is in charge. This is the underly reason for all religions. None of the religions exactly gets the story right. Religions help people adapt to the changing conditions on earth.
why are gods always shy about public appearances?
Because you would start believing in them. They’re probably a bit less clueless than hoomans.
Or the simplest explanation is that they’re just not that interested in the trials and tribulations of the rapacious primate blowing through finite resources all while worrying about the future prospects of the progeny. It’s rather dumb.
Don’t you reckon?
could be
Why, Norm… FE engages with you daily!
genuine gods know lottery winning numbers in advance
thats how we know eddy is a false god
Real gods have no need for money…. the church of FE does not pass around an alms hat… FE offers HIS substantial services to the community on a complimentary basis… Spotify has offered him 50M per year … HE said no thanks OFW is sufficient
well
supplicants should be wary of putting their foreheads on the ground
because of the dangers of raising the other end
The Divine manifests internally:
‘The Kingdom of God is within you’; ‘For I am nearer to you than the vein of your neck’ ,etc – various formulations in many cultures, all indicating the same transcendent truth.
‘He who tastes, knows…..’
This ‘tasting’ however, arises solely from Divine grace; and it cannot be demonstrated, conjured or proved in any way to a third party.
At the very least there will be major cultural and behavioral shifts.
hey norm… Try not blinking for 30 seconds – is Biden a robot? https://t.me/chiefnerd/4261 hahaha https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/37841
FE…it does not matter to Norm whether Biden blinks or is a robot…for according to Norm Biden is our precious savior from facism. In fact, he is a 40 yr professional political class liar, corrupt to the gills, in truth a hard neoliberal closet facist. He would put half of America in jail if he had the right emergency.
well
all leaders have faults
but if your preference is one who has to settle a $25m lawsuit for for fraud before taking office
who am i to dispute your judgement?
yes – bidet is the epitome of the perfect politician… he is EXACTLY what the Elders want in a minion … he is a lying pc of sh it … who would sell his mother into a hoarhouse if it was necessary to be re-elected…
he is the ultimate grifting piece of garbage – zero ethics — cares nothing for the law or for the fools who vote for him…. he inhabits the deepest corner of the septic tank that is DC…
The Elders could ask him to f789 a pig on Tee Vee and he’d do it… so long as he was promised more grift afterwards…
i see the lesser spotted eddywit is still hovering at genitalia height
nothing changes
Dont confuse FE with Super Snatch SINdy….
Stop comparing Biden with a robot. It’s rather impolite to our synthetic friends trying their best to be hooman.
More like a dead hunk of meat pumped with chems so as not to rot… with electric wires connected to shock him and make him convulse to appear alive… if you look closely you see the strings that make his mouth move… kinda like a zombie puppet state
Wonder if he has diapers? Maybe not as he no longer would need to eat
The Frankenstein of IC. A necro of spastic-redundant protoplasm slopping about in front of the cameras.
Imagine the amount of finite resources consumed just to keep the necromancer admins busy with their egotistical fantasies.
The mind boggles.
The near future of resource constraints? Gotta play the blame game!
‘Covid pandemania struck at a time of rising social tension and accelerating breakdown. It served as a proxy for the intractable problems of a society in distress…..’
‘The above-mentioned conjuring of an internal enemy exploits an ancient social pattern that the philosopner Rene Girard called sacrificial violence. At times of high tension and conflict, societies typically turn against a dehumanized subclass, forging a new unity through the victims’ murder.’
https://charleseisenstein.substack.com/p/pandemania-part-4
A little more by the author:
‘Simpler, cheaper governmental systems, offering fewer services, may follow…’
This is the silver lining; Govt over-reach has given too many jobs to too many IYI’s
We can’t really afford all of today’s government jobs, unfortunately.
And, fortunately, there are many of them we do not require. The devolution of centralised agency to local agency will sort the wheat from the chaff. Our education system has been at the forefront of ill-prep-paring our young and naieve for a future that no longer looks likely.
My dealings with school ‘boreds’ finds some of the most dysfunctional of all people are somehow attracted to such positions.
I’d estimate that well over half of all teachers are in it for the huge time off… and the majority are at best mediocre at their jobs
You have described my younger brother, who chose teaching solely for the long holidays and job security…..