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It has recently become clear to me that heavy oil, which is needed to produce diesel and jet fuel, plays a far more significant role in the world economy than most people understand. We need heavy oil that can be extracted, processed, and transported inexpensively to be able to provide the category of fuels sometimes referred to as Middle Distillates if our modern economy is to continue. A transition to electricity doesn’t work for most heavy equipment that is powered by diesel or jet fuel.
A major concern is that the physics of our self-organizing economy plays an important role in determining what actually happens. Leaders may think that they are in charge, but their power to change the way the overall system works, in the chosen direction, is quite limited. The physics of the system tends to keep oil prices lower than heavy oil producers would prefer. It tends to cause debt bubbles to collapse. It tends to squeeze out “inefficient” uses of oil from the system in ways we wouldn’t expect. In the future, the physics of the system may keep parts of the world economy operating while other inefficient pieces get squeezed out.
In this post, I will try to explain some of the issues with oil limits as they seem to be playing out, particularly as they apply to diesel and jet fuel, the major components of Middle Distillates.
[1] The most serious issue with oil supply is that there seems to be plenty of oil in the ground, but the world economy cannot hold prices up sufficiently high, for long enough, to get this oil out.
As I frequently point out, the world economy is a physics-based system. World oil prices are set by supply and demand. Demand is quite closely tied to what people around the world can afford to pay for food and for transportation services because the use of oil is integral to today’s food production and transportation services.
Heavy oil is especially involved in this affordability issue. As oil becomes “heavier,” it becomes more viscous, and thus more difficult to ship by pipeline. If oil is very heavy, as is the oil from the Oil Sands of Canada, it needs to be mixed with an appropriate diluent to be shipped by pipeline.
Heavy oil often has sulfur and other pollutants mixed in, adding costs to the refining process. Furthermore, heavy oil, especially very heavy oil, often needs to be “cracked” in a refinery to provide a desirable mix of end products, including diesel, jet fuel, and gasoline. This, too, adds costs. Otherwise, there would be too much of the product mix that would be like asphalt. Also, as noted previously, even if the costs of production are high, the selling price of diesel cannot rise very high without raising food prices. This tends to keep the prices of heavy crude oils below those for lighter crude oils.
Many people believe that the high level of “Proved Oil Reserves” worldwide makes it certain that businesses can extract as much oil as they would like in the future. A major issue is whether these reserves mean as much as people assume they do. Oil reserves of OECD countries (an association of the US and other rich countries) are likely to be audited, but reserves of other countries may not be. Asking a relatively poor oil-exporting country the amount of its oil reserves is like asking the country how wealthy it is. We should not be surprised by fibbing on the high side. The problem is that the vast majority of reported oil reserves (85%) are held by non-OECD countries. These reserves may be significantly overstated.
Also, even if the reserves are fairly reported, will the country have the resources to extract these reserves? Venezuela reports the highest oil reserves in the world thanks to its heavy oil in the Orinoco Belt, but it extracts a relatively small amount per year. An October 2022 article says that the country is waiting for foreign investment to expand production.
Going forward, oil companies everywhere need to worry about broken supply lines for necessary items, such as steel drilling pipe. They need to worry about finding enough trained workers. They need to worry about the availability of debt and the interest rate that will be charged for this debt. If private oil companies look at the true prospects and find them too bleak, they will likely use their profits to buy back the shares of their own oil companies instead (as is happening now).
[2] While oil producers can crack heavy oil to make shorter hydrocarbons in a way that is not terribly expensive, trying to make near-gasses and light oils into diesel becomes impossibly expensive.
It is easy for people to assume that any part of the oil mix is substitutable for another part, but this is not true. Cracking long hydrocarbon chains works to make shorter chains, but the economics tend not to work in the other direction. Thus, it is not economically feasible to make gasoline into diesel (which is heavier), or natural gas liquids into diesel.
[3] If there is inadequate oil supply, the impacts on the economy are likely to include broken supply lines, empty shelves, and inflation in the price of goods that are available.
If there is not enough oil to go around, some users must be left out. The result is that some of the less profitable consumers of oil may file for bankruptcy. For example, the Wall Street Journal recently reported Trucking Giant Yellow Shuts Down Operations. This bankruptcy makes it impossible for some stores to get the merchandise that would normally be on their shelves. As a consequence, it makes it likely that some replacement parts for automobiles will not be available when needed. There is a workaround of renting another vehicle while a person’s car is waiting for repairs, but this adds to total costs.
This workaround illustrates how a lack of adequate oil can indirectly lead to higher overall costs, even if the oil itself is not higher-priced. The need to work around supply line problems tends to lead to inflation in the prices of goods that continue to be available.
[4] The fact that the quantity of oil that could be affordably extracted was likely to fall short about now has been known for a very long time, but this fact has been hidden from the public.
In 1957, Hyman Rickover of the US navy predicted that the amount of affordable fossil fuels would fall short between 2000 and 2050, with the amount of oil falling short earlier than coal and natural gas.
The book The Limits to Growth by Donella Meadows and others, published in 1972, discusses the result of early modeling efforts with respect to resource limits. These resource limits were very broadly defined, including minerals such as copper and lithium in addition to fossil fuels. A range of indications were produced, but the base model (based on business as usual) seemed to show limits hitting before 2030 (Figure 1).
Since the resource limits include minerals of all types, these limits would seem to preclude a transition to clean energy and electric cars.
Educators, advertisers, and political leaders could see that discussing the oil problem would cause economic suicide. What would be the point of buying a car, if a person couldn’t use it for very long? Educators felt that students needed to be guided in the direction of hoped-for solutions, no matter how remote they might be, if university programs were to remain open.
Politicians and government officials wanted to keep voters happy, so the self-organizing economy pushed them in the direction of keeping the story from the public. They tended to focus on climate issues instead. They added biofuels to stretch the supply of gasoline, and to a lesser extent, diesel. They also increased the share of natural gas liquids. The selling price of these liquids tends to be quite low, relative to the price of crude oil.
They started providing reports showing “all liquids” rather than “crude oil,” in the hope that people wouldn’t notice the change in mix.
[5] The world’s number one problem today seems to be an inadequate supply of Middle Distillates. These provide diesel and jet fuel.
Diesel and jet fuel provide the big bursts of power that commercial equipment requires. Many types of equipment are dependent on Middle Distillates, including semi-trucks, agricultural equipment, ocean-going ships, jet planes, road-making equipment, school buses, and trains operating in areas with steep inclines.
Because of its concentrated store of energy, diesel is also used to operate backup generators and to provide electricity in remote areas of the world where it would be impractical to have year-round electricity without an easily stored fuel.
In Figure 3:
- Light Distillates are primarily gasoline (78% in 2022).
- Middle Distillates are diesel (82%) and jet fuel/kerosene (18%).
- Fuel Oil is a cheap, polluting, unrefined product. If environmental laws permit, it can be burned as bunker fuel (used in ships), as boiler fuel, or to provide electricity.
- The Other category includes near-gasses such as ethane, propane, and butane (58%). It also includes some very heavy oil used as lubricants, asphalt, or feedstocks for petrochemicals.
Until recently, it has been possible to increase diesel production by refining an added share of Fuel Oil. Fuel oil is quite heavy (barely a liquid), so it is well-suited to be refined into a mix that includes a large share of Middle Distillates.
Now we are running short of Fuel Oil to refine for the purpose of producing more Middle Distillates. The Fuel Oil that is still consumed is used in what I think of as the poorer countries of the world: the non-OECD countries (Figure 4).
Poor countries tend to value “low price” over “prevents pollution.” It is likely to be difficult to get these countries to move away from the use of Fuel Oil.
[6] Countries around the world are now competing for Middle Distillates to maintain the food production, road building, commercial transportation, and construction portions of their economies.
Figure 5 shows that since about 1983, consumption per capita for both Light Distillates and Middle Distillates has been generally slightly growing. Growth in usage tends to be higher for Middle Distillates than Light Distillates. The total quantity consumed is also higher for Middle Distillates.
The dip in consumption per capita in 2020 is much more pronounced for Middle Distillates than Light Distillates. For Middle Distillates, the change from 2018 to 2020 is -16%; the change from 2018 to 2022 is -7%. The corresponding changes for Light Distillates are -11% and -4%.
The difference in patterns in Light Distillates and Middle Distillates is not surprising: Gasoline, the main product of Light Distillates, has been the focus of efficiency changes. It is also possible to dilute gasoline with ethanol, made from corn. Voters in the US are particularly aware of gasoline availability and price, so politicians tend to focus on it.
Diesel and jet fuel, made using Middle Distillates, are less on the minds of voters, but they are probably more important to the economy because people’s jobs depend upon the economy in its current form holding together. Inadequate Middle Distillates leaves empty shelves in stores because of broken supply lines. It also leads to inflation of the type we have recently been experiencing. Indirectly, lack of Middle Distillates can lead to debt bubbles collapsing, and to problems of a different type than inflation.
Up until 2007, Middle Distillate consumption was generally increasing for both OECD countries and non-OECD countries. The Great Recession of 2008-2009 particularly affected OECD countries. European countries found their economies doing less well. For example, less diesel was used to operate tour boats carrying tourists; a larger share of available jobs were low-paid service jobs.
The year 2013 was a turning point of a different type. The consumption of non-OECD countries caught up with that of OECD countries. While non-OECD countries might like to maintain their rapid upward trajectory in the consumption of Middle Distillates, this no longer seems to be possible.
[7] Under the Maximum Power Principle, the physics of the economy pushes the economy toward optimal low-cost solutions, especially as the quantity of Middle Distillates approaches limits.
The economy, like every other ecosystem, operates under the principle of “survival of the best adapted.” In terms of the sale of goods, this means that the lowest-priced goods will tend to win out in a competitive environment, provided that they are of adequate quality and that the makers can earn an adequate profit in making them.
Furthermore, the makers of the goods must earn a high enough profit both for reinvestment and to pay adequate taxes to their governments. Payments of taxes to governments are essential; otherwise governmental collapse would occur due to the growing debt that cannot be repaid.
If inflation becomes a problem, rising interest rates would tend to push governments with large amounts of debt toward collapse because they would become unable even to make interest payments from current income.
In this self-organizing economy, buyers of goods don’t know or care much about the lives of the workers in the system. Optimal low costs of manufacturing in a world market might mean:
- Manufacturers have access to very inexpensive energy sources and use them.
- Pollution control is ignored to the maximum extent possible, without serious harm to the workers.
- Governments provide very little in the way of benefits to citizens, such as health care or pensions, keeping the cost of government low.
- Workers can get along on relatively low salaries because little heating or cooling of homes is needed.
- Workers don’t expect private vehicles, recreational activities, or advanced medical care.
Because the economy favors the lowest cost of profitable production, a person would expect that warm countries that use oil sparingly in their energy mix (India, the Philippines, and Vietnam, for example) would have a competitive edge over other countries in manufacturing.
In general, a person would expect non-OECD countries to outcompete OECD countries, especially if cheap fuel for manufacturing is available. The lack of cheap fuel is increasingly becoming a problem in many parts of the world. Coal used to be cheap, but its price can now spike. Natural gas prices can also spike, especially if natural gas is purchased without a long-term contract. Electricity using wind and solar tends to be high-priced, too, when the cost of transmission is included.
[8] The Maximum Power Principle seems to be pushing the EU away from diesel.
The EU has a serious oil problem. It has essentially no crude oil production of its own. Furthermore, oil production in Europe outside of the EU (mainly the UK and Norway) has been falling since 1999, greatly reducing the possibility of imported oil from this area (Figure 7).
Under these circumstances, members of the EU found that they needed to import nearly all of their oil, and that most of this oil needed to come from outside Europe.
When I look at the data regarding the types of oil the EU has chosen to consume (nearly all imported), I find that it uses an oil mix that is unusually skewed toward Middle Distillates and away from Light Distillates. (Compare Figure 8 with Figure 3).
Part of the reason the EU uses this skewed oil mix is because it has encouraged the use of private passenger cars using diesel through its tax structure. Underlying this tax structure was most likely an understanding that Russia, through its exports of Urals Oil, which is heavy, could provide the EU with the mix of oil products it needed, including extra diesel.
The EU has recently cut off most oil imports from Russia as a way of punishing Russia. This cutoff is being phased in, with most of the impact in 2023 and later. Thus, Figure 8 (which is through 2022) shouldn’t be much affected.
China and India are now buying most of Russia’s exported oil. These countries tend to use the oil more “efficiently” than the EU. In particular, they do more manufacturing than the EU, and they have far fewer private passenger cars per capita than the EU. Furthermore, the EU powers quite a few of its private passenger cars with diesel. If diesel is in short supply, efficiency demands that it should be saved for uses that require it, such as powering heavy equipment.
Because of the efficiency issue, I doubt that the EU will be able to continue importing as high a diesel mix in the future as it has been importing up to now. We know that Saudi Arabia cut back its oil exports by 1 million barrels per day, as of July 1, and this cutback is continuing into August. Russia is also cutting its production by 500,000 barrels a day, effective August 1. If oil prices rise again, I wonder whether the EU will be forced to cut back on its oil imports, essentially because of the Maximum Power Principle.
[9] The substitution of electricity for oil so far has been mostly in the direction of replacing gasoline usage for private passenger automobiles. Substitution of electricity for Middle Distillates would be virtually impossible.
Middle Distillates are largely used for the tough jobs–jobs that require big bursts of power. Electricity and the battery storage required for electricity are not adapted to these tough jobs. The vehicles become too heavy, especially when the big battery packs that would be required are considered. The Wall Street Journal recently reported that battery-powered commercial trucks can cost more than three times the price of diesel-powered trucks, a hurdle much smaller private passenger automobiles don’t face. The wide diversity of types of heavy commercial vehicles would be another huge hurdle in trying to substitute electricity for diesel.
Oil is a mixture of different hydrocarbon lengths. Substitution of electricity for one part of the hydrocarbon mix, namely for the Light Distillates, is not very helpful. Oil companies need to be able to sell all parts of the mix in order to make their extraction efforts worthwhile. If oil companies find themselves without buyers for most Light Distillates, they would have difficulty recouping their overall costs. There would be a possibility of oil production stopping. Without oil, farming would mostly stop. Road repair would stop. Today’s economy would come to a halt.
Of course, as a practical matter, the vast majority of the world will pay no attention to mandates that all private passenger automobiles be EVs. Buyers in most parts of the world will make decisions based on which cars are least expensive to own and operate. As a result, there is little chance of private passenger cars being completely replaced by EVs. Instead, EV mandates in some countries may somewhat reduce the selling price of gasoline worldwide because these drivers are no longer using gasoline. With lower gasoline prices, non-EV’s are likely to become cheaper to operate in countries where they are permitted, boosting their sales. This is an effect similar to Jevons Paradox.
[10] There are many related topics that could be addressed, but they will need to wait until later posts.
A few of samples of other issues:
[a] The world economy is tightly networked together. Inadequate oil supplies per capita tend to push the economy toward forced reduced activity, as was the case in 2020. Oil prices likely won’t rise a whole lot higher, for very long, if the economy is forced to shrink.
[b] Inadequate oil supplies per capita also tend to cause fighting among countries. OECD countries seem to over consume, relative to the benefits they provide to the rest of the world. Perhaps some grouping of non-OECD countries (or parts of countries) will take over in leadership roles.
[c] The self-organizing economy has different priorities than human leaders. All ecosystems in a finite world go through cycles. As conditions change, different species are favored, and new species emerge. Humans have a strong preference for recent conditions that helped humans thrive. Humans need a religion to follow, so leaders have created environmental sin to replace original sin. The catch is that ecosystems are built for change. Pollution can be viewed as a type of fertilizer for different types of species or recent mutations to thrive. Higher temperatures will have a net favorable effect for some organisms.
[d] If a local economy chooses to increase energy costs by taking steps to reduce its carbon footprint, the main impact may be to disadvantage the local economy relative to the world economy. If total energy costs are higher, the cost of finished goods and services is likely to be higher, making the economy less competitive.
[e] I expect that the members of the EU and other rich nations will be the primary countries pursuing carbon reduction technologies. Poorer economies may pay lip service to carbon reduction, but they will tend to focus primarily on increasing the welfare of their own people, whether or not this requires more carbon.
For example, in 2022, China accounted for 66% of global EV sales (5.0 million out of 7.7 million), thanks to subsidies that China made available. China no doubt had many motives, but one of them would seem to be to stimulate the economy. Another motive would be to increase the total number of vehicles in operation. The majority (61%) of electricity generation in China in 2022 was provided by electricity coming from coal-fired power plants, based on information from the Energy Institute. I would expect that more Chinese vehicles manufactured and placed into operation plus more use of electricity from coal would lead to a greater quantity of carbon emissions, rather than a smaller quantity.
The link is becoming clearer and clearer every day
Mitochondrial dysfunction caused by spike protein is the problem
https://mistermedic.substack.com/p/the-link-is-becoming-clearer-and
More Boosters of spike — must surely be a good thing… if one was a MOREON
Nice find;
‘Because mitochondria exist in almost every cell, of every body tissue, of every organ system in the body.
And because they have complex functions in each cell which can change the way the cell behaves, makes new proteins, lives, dies and gets energy.
The implication of free roaming spike protein produced after vaccination is concerning, as we can now see spike protein has been shown to permanently damage these little organelles.’
Shotgun Injection.
‘…permanently damage’ doesn’t rhyme with safe and effective
hahaha – 2010… https://twitter.com/brockriddickifb/status/1689786722505097216
This is what kills me when it comes to A Vaxxers https://t.me/TheHealthForumNZch/3613
They think they are being rational but the PR Team is just running them down a thousand other rabbit holes…
If one reveals the truth – that we are being exterminated because we are deep into depletion on affordable energy — they get really angry.
If you inform them that the folks running the show are not evil — rather they are heroes — and doing a very grim job that is necessary to ensure the Gates of Hell remain mostly closed… they call you a psychopath …
The humans are actually dummmber than I thought.
What I am wondering – if this is a great evil – why are none of the A Vaxxers picking up weapons and doing something about it?
The link says:
/ra-tio-nal-the-or-ist/ noun
A person whose theories and opinions are logical, evidence-based and debatable. Relies heavily on common sense. Often misrepresented as a conspiracy theorist despite their reliance on rationality and critical thinking.
Why are you not doing anything?
Cuz I want UEP to succeed.
I have nothing against the kill off I just want my freedoms.
I have never been a queue jumper either. It just doesn’t feel right to push in when so many others are far more eager than I to get to the head of the line. But I won’t tolerate them dragging me along with them into front positions. The back of the queue is fine for me.
It is very unfortunate that the only side which can advance civilization to the next step is the Wokeish side.
The “Rebel” side lacks the ability to reach the next level of civilization.
Humankind is now given 2 options; To advance to the Next Level of Civilization and be Woke, or to be stuck in today’s level of civ, actually probably much worse, and not be woke.
I think the self-organizing system will figure out a way to dissipate all of the energy that can be dissipated. We don’t understand how this will be done. There may be a mutation of some form that allows people to figure out how to do things differently. Or maybe it will be some of today’s autistic people who can see things differently. We don’t know.
Or we go extinct like pretty much all life before us has.
NOt really wanting front row seats to the big reveal.
Nope, laughing quietly. We are not going extinct, if I am wrong there won’t be anyone around to collect on the bet; so it is a sure win as impossible to lose.
Dennis L.
why do you care as you will personally go extinct within 30 years or so? Or at least it will appear that way to those that know you.
I am re-reading “Thinking in Systems”. The author mostly does seem to use “self-organizing” in the sense of evolution. There is a “self-organizing ” used by chemists and physicists which may be different. The self-organizing in the book may be more like intelligent design. Or require a little faith. It would take a lot of time, a lot of failures, and a lot of energy.
“Self-organizing” in all of those contexts is the same thing. The best explanation for it that I’ve come across is Bejan’s Constructal Law.
Whether it’s purely physical or also involves a spiritual aspect is the real question. I subscribe to the panpsychic view that spirit and matter are two sides of the same coin.
The cream – always – rises… to the top
The woke do not believe in rationality. How can they build anything?
They have more money and most tech moguls are woke. Transhumanism means sexual organs are superfluous and there are quite a few who removed their genitals in order to be more adaptable to mechanical bodies
kul,
“there are quite a few who removed their genitals in order to be more adaptable to mechanical bodies”
can you reference that?
Dennis L.
i was wondering about that too
every time i see ”The Terminator” walk naked into that biker bar, thats the thought that always crosses my mind
don’t think ill bother going transhuman then
might be complaints from the management
That seems simplistic.
The power and growth of the collective west is precisely what allows for the replacement of the population that you put so much stock in. Simply put, GDP growth depends on labour expansion.
That is the real economic-ethnic dynamic in the current west. So, a military and geopolitical supremacy of the collective west suggests more power and growth and more replacement.
Military victory is no longer congruous with your ethnic goals. This is not the 1930s where war is fought for ‘living space’ and there was a simple equation between the two.
You are talking as if we are 100 years back in the past but geopolitics has moved on. There is no victory for you to be had in military victory, only defeat for you, which is liable to be the case either way anyway.
You no longer have the luxury of a naturally intuitive association of the two; and the ‘singularity’ is a basically imaginary device that allows you to hide from that stark reality.
Arguably humans are like plants that tell stories to themselves, but some of the stories are less coherent than others. And some of the stories that usually make sense do not make sense in changed circumstances.
Btw. I do not buy the narrative that only northern European stock can advance technology, it is obviously an interested claim. I do not buy the possibility of the ‘singularity’ either, which is also, for you, obviously an interested claim.
I do not take my view of the world from the stories that people like to tell themselves. Reality is something that you have to try to work out besides the stories that suit people.
Anyway, the idea that individuals can control the course of history through narrative construction now seems quaint. Did you get that approach from William Pierce?
“I do not buy the narrative that only northern European stock can advance technology,”
Anyone can advance technology. However, some groups were selected in ways that increased their ability in this direction. Google for Genetically capitalist. The author makes a case that from the mid 1200 to 1800 the ones with the genes for a bunch of traits had about twice as many surviving children as the ones to did not have these traits.
“I do not buy the possibility of the ‘singularity’ either,”
You are smack in the middle of it. Singularity is AI and nanotech. Progress in AI is just amazing. I happen to know people who are doing the best they can to bootstrap nanotech from AI.
Honking For Freedom, Hope For The Future
https://bjdichter.substack.com/p/honking-for-freedom-hope-for-the
Or maybe if we all just turn off the lights at the same time… they’d stop hahaha
Remember this norm https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/50490
You fed the grand kids to the beast
I wonder what is going through his mind as he flies through the air… https://t.me/leaklive/15542
Mish Shedlock writes:
China Abandons Clean Energy Goals Making U.S. Efforts Painful and Pointless
He also points out the Europe is increasingly moving away from clean energy goals.
To reiterate… yes on the surface it is nonsensical… but those directing this are not stooopid…
What does it matter if they allocated a 100 billion or whatever to some solar panels windmills and EV subsidies… it creates jobs – drives GDP … just like building Ferris Wheels… or roller coasters…
The purpose is … to produce hopium … and you don’t get hopium from Ferris Wheels and roller coasters…
You get it from ‘renewable’ energy.
Understanding this … can reduce blood pressure… relieve stress…
PV and wind will not provide much energy for 8 billion. It will provide a good reset for 200 million.
I reckon an OFW article explaining that renewable energy is all about hopium… that the PTB understand it is otherwise pointless… we are not transitioning… they know that…
That would ruffle a few feathers …
And it would be a welcome change from the ‘renewable energy and EVs are pointless because blah blah blah’…
I am convinced, basic statements regarding raw materials, pollution, and energy as expressed on this site are correct.
Starship is hopefully an economic way to boost manufacturing to space, nothing more. It is logically necessary and it is sufficient; without it, life most likely returns to basic biology.
Manufacturing in space is not constrained by energy, it is limitless there, it is not constrained by raw materials, they are limitless, and it is not constrained by pollution, Jupiter.
What is needed are mechanical ribosomes, we have AI, they will think of something, TINA. A bet on status quo is a sure loss, so any bet with a positive chance is a win and the expected value is greater than zero; it is a binary bet.
Mankind has gone through bottlenecks before and we are still here; it will be bumpy, humans are good at bumps.
Dennis L.
It must be really frustrating to think like mike https://t.me/DrMikeYeadon/1574
People cannot understand why the MORE-ONS are bombarded with this fake GW crap — and then told the solution is solar and wind power
It is glaringly obvious that both are BS – and that is what leads to frustration — the mob screeches — ‘Can’t the see that renewable energy won’t work – that there are not enough resources to build out infrastructure — that intermittency is a huge obstacle etc’
OF COURSE they can see… they are not stooopid.
Maybe look for another reason why this is being done … e.g. feeding hopium to convince the MORE-ONS that we don’t need oil… we are transitioning … cuz otherwise… despair…
One can even tell the MORE-ONS why they are being fed this transition rubbish ..
It’s like giving the answers to the exam the week before… but they refuse to accept them…
They do NOT want to know the Truth… they prefer to go on squealing that the authorities must come to their senses and stop.
Reminds me a bit of GVB… he can see what they are doing … yet he thinks it’s a mistake
Mike Yeadon says:
Dr Judith Curry is arguably my equivalent in climate science. A career researcher who has decades of experience.
I believe the University of East Anglia email leak, revealing highly questionable practices, alerted her to there being an agenda. Once she began a root & branch review of “facts” which in good faith she’d previously taken as read, she realised that “the claims for consensus about climate change are contrived and manufactured”.
If you don’t go along with it, you lose funding and then your position (no grant funding means you cannot do anything).
I’ve previously found her so balanced that I wasn’t quite sure what she really thought, which isn’t helpful. We need bona fide experts in their fields to say lying is going on if that’s the undiplomatic truth. The public cannot deduce this from more nuanced remarks.
Best wishes
Notice how Judith and the GW ‘deniers’ … never suggest that the entire GW charade… is about vilifying fossil fuels … and offering a solution that promises a prosperous clean future…. for the purpose of diverting the MORE-ONS from the fact that we are into deep depletion on fossil fuels…
Notice how depletion is ‘peak demand’ … i.e. we don’t need these filthy fuels cuz we are in transition …
Just as with the Rat Juice… the anti whatevers… get run round and round and round in circles… citing this and that study that shows neither make sense… assuming the authorities will at some point realize their folly…
Keeping both away from the actual Truth.
Funny that
FE,
Once you know the truth, what is an actionable course of action that can be politically achieved?
Dennis L.
“actionable course of action ”
Right now there isn’t an agreed course of action.
The worse part is that there isn’t enough study to find such a course.
there will be no ”course of action”
because we are all facing collapse of a surplus energy system.
no one has the means to replace that system with anything that will allow us to continue BAU—(dreams –yes, Actual means…no.)
Hence politicos offer a thousand answers.
None can be correct or useful in the long term.
“Hence politicos”
Wrong people. It is a technical problem, a very large technical problem and the only people who are qualified to have answers are engineers.
Oddly enough, there does seem to be a solution which we can observe.
Hence, politicos offer a thousand answers.
Thus, it’s impossible to get broad agreement on doing anything sensible.
Therefore, nothing sensible ever gets done.
Ergo, we are up the creek without a paddle.
But maybe this will all change when Trump returns like Odysseus and starts dictating, thereby fulfilling Norman’s prophecy and realizing Keith’s worst nightmare.
There’s still a bit more cliff space available on Mount Rushmore.
Just a thought.
Eddy you do not appreciate how dumb they are. They believe PV and wind will do it all.
There are two levels of being played:
1. One believes in a great transition off of fossil fuels
2. One believes that the Elders and Deep State actually believe that there will be a great transition off of fossil fuels
The Truth is that there is no GW and there will be no transition off fossil fuels.
But the MOREONS don’t want to be told that.
Anyone who does not understand that 1 and 2 are both nonsense and that GW and the solution – renewable energy — are just part of the package of bullsh-t would qualify as a MOREON.
Nobody wants to be a MOREON – accept the Truth
In case one might have thought that a spoof… hmmm … 6 days ago???? How is that possible????
GWers — discuss how you have been played… like fools.
https://www.amazon.com/Fire-Fury-Implications-Climate-Change-ebook/dp/B0CFCTLXJJ
6 days ago
Fire and Fury: The Story of the Maui Fire and its Implications for Climate Change is a gripping and eye-opening account of one of the most devastating wildfires in Hawaii’s history, and how it reveals the urgent need to address the global climate crisis.
Fire and Fury: The Story of the Maui Fire and its Implications for Climate Change is a gripping and eye-opening account of one of the most devastating wildfires in Hawaii’s history, and how it reveals the urgent need to address the global climate crisis. The book chronicles the events of August 8-11, 2023, when a massive fire swept across the island of Maui, fueled by drought, heat, and hurricane winds. The book describes the harrowing experiences of the people who lived through the fire, as well as the heroic efforts of the firefighters and rescuers who battled the flames. The book also examines the causes and consequences of the fire, both locally and globally, and how it exposes the vulnerability of our society and our planet to the impacts of climate change. The book draws on scientific research, eyewitness accounts, official reports, and media coverage to provide a comprehensive and compelling narrative of the Maui fire and its implications for climate change. The book also offers practical solutions and recommendations on how we can prevent and prepare for future wildfires, and how we can reduce our greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to a changing climate. Fire and Fury: The Story of the Maui Fire and its Implications for Climate Change is a must-read for anyone who cares about the environment, the future of humanity, and the fate of our beautiful planet.
Certainly is quick to be published.
Someone in the comments suggested AI was used to generate most of the text.
Published at “Warp Speed”.
They sent the children home from school. Many no parents at home. The kids had no idea there was a fire. The emergency sirens did not function. How many kids burned it not yet known.
MSM says there may be 500-1000 dead based on missing persons reports.
From The Good Citizen (who also has some excellent video demonstrating military DEW weapons in action):
https://thegoodcitizen.live/p/dum-dum-dum-dew-dum-dewby-dew
It’s been ten days since the Lahaina inferno.
1200 humans are still unaccounted for and that fact always goes missing from every “report,” even in the alternative press.
You don’t hear about the police roadblocks on Front Street that left a traffic jam of trapped and later toasted Americans.
One local legend “Fish” has a first hand account of the oddities. There was no electricity at the Safeway, before the fires reached that half of Lahaina, despite what Alex Jones and others are reporting, “They left the power on so the fire would spread!” Police were under orders not to let anyone leave. By the time he makes it half a mile down the highway to the next beach north, he hears “Boom boom boom!”
Cars going “boom” only happens in the movies.
How many police cruisers went “boom” at the road blocks? If there was even one we would have heard about it and they’d get the nonstop hero treatment.
Sorry, way off script, powerlines and hurricane winds.
Speed writer! https://t.me/downtherabbitholewegofolks/83376
Shoigu says that UKR is ‘nearly exhausted’ of military capacity despite NATO support. UKR is reduced to repair workshops for the POS that arrives from NATO.
Moreover Russia is now familiar with the vulnerabilities of western arms systems which are ‘nothing special’ and Russia now knows how to deal with them. ‘Whatever does not kill me….’
Ukraine “Military Resources almost Exhausted”, Russia Claims As Secret Workshop Fixes Western Armour
Russian Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu claims Ukraine’s military resources have “almost exhausted” despite “comprehensive assistance of the West”. Shoigu said there is “nothing unique” about Western weapons and they are vulnerable to Russian arms on the battlefield. On August 14, the Russian foreign minister took a dig at “over-hyped” Western military equipment, saying they are “far from perfect”. Meanwhile, Ukrainian mechanics at an undisclosed location in the Zaporizhzhia region are racing to repair damaged Western military equipment
Jeez… after all those billions you’d think there would be more carnage
More like money laundering than war.
Keep in mind they faked the Safe and Effective and convinced 6B to inject that Rat Juice…
Easy to fake a war…. you got stock photos and vid clips… you got loads of video games you can reuse… you got crisis actors… you got CGI… and you thrown in a bit of real blasting away at some buildings for photo opps… did I mention the budget for styrofoam?
But most importantly you got cnnbbc telling the mob that there is a war …. insisting… even the sceptics won’t question this one … they keep on telling us billions are being funnelled into the bottomless pit — why would they lie?
Meanwhile the EU continues to enjoy their Russian gas supply
Really strange war!
It’s almost too bad to believe…
This should have been a hint… early on
It is amazing the fit of Program of the National Socialist German Workers’ Party to today’s America.
https://archive.org/stream/25PointsOfTheNSDAP/25%20Points%20of%20the%20NSDAP_djvu.txt
This is from 1920. These are excerpts:
Program of the National Socialist German Workers’ Party
sounds like the Don’s election manifesto for 2024
Yes, that is my point.
Wow, we have a quorum of two nuts screaming Trump is a fascist. That must mean its true. sarc
Meanwhile we have real facism alive and well, blossoming all around leftwing America.
How stupid are you two…
every time we log on to OFW we have to pass through a stupid detector
can’t help but notice that most of the people ahead of me set off the alarms and get dragged off into a side room for a strip search
or or two even get internal searches—sometimes sniffer dogs are used—dogs can spot a idiot far better than any detector.
so far i’ve got through as just a normal idiot—nothing very extreme
Apparently, it’s not fascism when Norman’s lot does it.
Your papers, pleeze!
Millions of surveillance cameras and microphones and goodness knows what other monitoring devices set up in cities towns and villages throughout the land.
Thousands of old people snuffed out in hospitals and care homes. Healthcare denied to the bulk of the population for over a year.
Not to mention… communities locked down, small businesses destroyed, workers forced to submit to being injected with poisons on pain of losing their jobs, children forced to wear masks all day and sit in class individually boxed behind perspex screening.
While Julian sits like Buddha in a ten-foot cell, an innocent man in a living hell!
All in England’s green and pleasant land.
And not a word of protest from our Norman.
Because deep in his heart, Norman knows the Powers that Be are just doing their best to protect ordinary volk like you and me.
The year since passage of the big climate law has brought over $100 billion in U.S. solar and storage company investments.
The new climate law is upending the solar landscape
Ben Geman
, author of Axios Generate
Why it matters: New data from the Solar Energy Industries Association — a major industry trade group — on private investment suggests the law’s subsidies for manufacturing and generation are significantly boosting industry activity levels.
The chart above shows how SEIA and the consultancy Wood Mackenzie see the law boosting power projects.
The big picture: On the manufacturing side, the last year has seen billions worth of project announcements from companies like First Solar, Maxeon and Qcells.
Overall, in the year since passage, there have been 51 new or expanded manufacturing projects announced, SEIA said.
“By 2026, the U.S. will have over 17 times its current manufacturing capacity across modules, cells, wafers, ingots, and inverters when these announced factories are in operation.”
The bottom line: Counterfactuals are hard because the industry was growing already, but seems safe to say the new federal subsidies are accelerating activity — a lot.
I predict this will end well….for some pockets….
Whether it actually produces any results is questionable.
We know what happened when New York State tried to subsidized solar panel making for Tesla.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/elon-musk-tesla-buffalo-new-york-solar-plant-1b634b9e
New York State Built Elon Musk a $1 Billion Factory. ‘It Was a Bad Deal.’
New Tesla facility in Buffalo was supposed to house a huge solar-panel operation, but the project hasn’t turned out as planned.
How are the new subsidies going to work any better?
That will not move Dennis L, for whom Elon Musk is God and cannot do any wrong.
I’m still impressed by his blindness to how poorly the Starship test launch went!
If it doesn’t work there is no manufacturing in space most likely forever. If you have an alternative, please present.
kul, that is an assumption; please state some of your accomplishments, that is tough, but real.
halfvard,
Starship went up, it cleared out useless concrete on the pad, time will tell. If it does not work this year or twelve months from the first launch, things are going to be tough. Do you have plans to deal with that?
Dennis L.
Well, I was not born with an emerald mine, so I did not accomplish as much as your God , but I did my share.
True believers hold on to the bitter end, and I am not trying to win you over to anything. I am just saying that maybe your God is not as almighty as he claims himself to be.
If Musk is such a genius, why was the launch pad built with so much “useless concrete” in the first place? Also was 3 of the raptor engines not even firing part of the plan?
SpaceX is doing fine. Good test.
Looking forward to test three with a full set of version 3 raptor engines.
A good one
.US. Debt Is Enslaving The World – You Must Understand This!
17,273 views · 4 hours ago…more
Despite the weaponization of the dollar and the move towards other currencies, the US treasury market is still strong and growing. Investors and nations are still buying into treasury buys, but why? Don’t they know the risks? Here are the real and dark truths of why the world still invests in U.S. debt.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=arqbFs7OO90&t=686s
More Foo for you and you are gonna take it.
Watch the whole 12 minute video. It is good. The title of the video is “U. S. Debt is Enslaving the World.”
Other countries sell goods to the US. They get paid in dollars. With the high level of inflation, they need to earn interest. The interest rate paid on short term treasuries is now high. They end up buying them.
While other countries would like to move away from the dollar, this cannot be done quickly. So quick access to dollars is needed. Also, in the time since interest rates were raised, currencies of many other countries are falling relative to the dollar, making investments in them less attractive.
The huge amount of US debt leads to an amazingly big debt market, compared to other countries. There is no alternative!
https://ourfiniteworld.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Foo_-There-is-no-alternative-to-US-debt-1024×739.png
US dollars can be used to buy back a country’s own currency, in case of crisis. This is another reason for holding them. Also, holding US debt avoids investments in local currencies, if those currencies are doing badly in world markets.
Now the risk free rate of return on 3 month bonds is 5.38%, which is better than other places. If a company doesn’t see a high rate of return in its own company, owning US government bonds may appear to be a better investment. Apple owns $52.6 billion in US Treasuries-more than many major countries.
Economy seems to be headed for recession. Borrowing at 5.5% or more commits a company to repayment. But buying US debt gets a steady stream of income. The US is likely to print money, if it doesn’t have the tax revenue to repay the debt.
There have been $40 billion dollars of inflows to money market funds in 2023. Most of this is funded by US debt. This adds to demand for US Treasuries.
The way the Fed increases demand for Treasuries by raising interest rates. Higher interest rates tend to lead to recession. Gold isn’t a good alternative in recession–its price will tend to fall. But Treasuries guarantee interest, besides repayment of principle.
The system is structured to keep the rich, rich. The way the economy is structured now, it is not possible for most people/corporations to make an investment and hope for a very good return on it. We have insane boom and bust cycles of asset prices, if nothing else.
Because of these issues, there is an incentive to hold US debt all the way to the top. Everyone is playing a grand game of musical chairs. This debt market will eventually implode. In fact, 10-year Treasuries are already showing signs of weakness based on Bloomberg’s report of last week’s auction market.
The cream rises to the top … in a self organizing system.
The have-nots complain … as if complaining will change things
Gail,
I don’t like it, it is politics. There have been no wars in Europe for what 75 years – that is a long stretch for them. Japan has prospered, China has prospered, much/most of the world is better than it was fifty years ago. Perfection is the enemy of good enough. Please, Ukraine was not part of the Europe I am thinking about in the 1940’s.
No excuses, things could have been better, people are just not perfect and I claim the fabric of the universe itself is only 20 percent correct, but good enough.
there have been no wars in europe because everyone was reasonably prosperous
wars start when leaders rise up, point over the border and say—”look—they have what is rightfully yours”’
or
”they are a threat to your way of life”
that status quo is now changing
“There have been no wars in Europe for what 75 years”
Dennis, Norman, may I present 24th March – 10 June 1999.
2½ months of bombing, but peace in Europe?
The bombing of Serbia by the mostly peaceful and friendly NATO alliance, oh yes! It’s not terrorism when Norman’s lot does it.
It isn’t that he defends it. It’s that he doesn’t even recall it happened.
Like when a drunken man beats his wife, and then after he sobers up he doesn’t remember a thing.
Also, he seems to have forgotten the entire Yugoslavian civil war saga of the early and mid-1990s, and “The Troubles” in Northern Ireland from the 1960s to the 1990s in which over 3,500 people were killed, not to mention the Cod War in which Iceland beat the UK five-nil.
Trust Norman to regurgitate mass media talking points word for word!
I miss the IRA stuff… I was too young to fully appreciate the situation .. peace is overrated – and boring
In the area of what goes wrong with self-driving taxis, Zerohedge reports:
Ten Cruise Robotaxis Break Down On San Fran Streets Causing Massive Traffic Jam
So if internet connectivity is lost for any reason, these vehicles become like bricks.
How about a kid who was playing soccer has a heart attack (Rat Juice)… ambulance rushing them to the hospital – wham – a self driving cluster f789…
The kid dies.
Then what?
A bunch of youths won a climate change/fossil fuel lawsuit against the State of Montana. The irony of it all was one of those youths holding up her iPhone. How does she suppose that iPhone was made, hmm?
https://www.deseret.com/2023/8/15/23832691/montana-climate-trial-will-the-ruling-stand
that is always the conundrum of the ‘stop oilers’
they travel home, switch on lights. eat food and watch tv
without a thought about how it all gets there
But we are in a period of =transition= moving towards a sustainable society. It’s NOT their fault that the greedy fossil fuelers are undermining THEIR efforts for more perfect union of the natural green world and civilization…
It’s a dirty fight, but WE should prevail… eventually ..
We just need a few more lawsuits….😇
we all eagerly jumped on the cheap surplus energy joyride.
We deny it of course—but that doesn’t alter the reality of it.
The kids are going to pay the price. They have my sympathy.
The extinguishing human bioreactors testify: the growth is deadly.
Losses Multiply in Emerging Markets Craving Big Bang Stimulus
China’s rate cut, Russia’s rate hike fail to prop up assets
Argentina chaos gets worse as hyperinflation fears surface
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-08-15/losses-multiply-in-emerging-markets-craving-big-bang-stimulus?srnd=premium-asia
Hopefully we are close to the implosion … that would trigger the release of the binary poison …
I long for the EEE AWWWW EEEE AWWWW of the sirens as the Vaxxers drop dead by the billions
Intelligent Species… hahahahahahha Check out the best seller book list.. even the MOREONS who read read low end garbage… the rest of them can barely read… or write…
But they do love their democracy .. even though there is none … id iots. Kill them all
Russia continues demonstrating its third-world-currency management protocols with a 3.5% raise in one day. (Not that we don’t have monkeys running our system, too.)
This craziness should be enough to not just put the brakes on talk of a BRICS currency in the near term, but kill it for quite some time. No one is going to trust it.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/russia-hikes-rates-12-emergency-move-halt-roubles-collapse
You mean like we trust the dollar?
No. The US dollar is backed by the best military the world has ever seen, first-rate infrastructure, a world-beating industrial base, an incorruptible justice system, and a united, righteous and intelligent populace.
Including leaders that can turn towards the audience during speeches!
Unified rule by the Khazarians. A military that blindly obeys the ruling class. Ask Libya, Syria, Iraq. A ruling class willing to burn through the strategic oil reserve to deliver artillery shells to Ukraine by jet plane!
A large useless eaters class to confuse and block the worker bees.
It’s backed by the Elders – who have assembled the best and the brightest (Deep State) and a very powerful military machine.
The US military is hardly the best military the world has ever seen. From what we see on the TV, half of them can’t even march in step or salute properly. And going around massacring civilians with weapons of mass destruction does not make one good—just the opposite.
On the other hand, I can’t think of any military in history so good that it has never lost a war—apart perhaps from the Ukranian military, as it has never fought one before, the North Korean one, which in its only outing fought the South Korean one and its backers to a draw, or the South Sudanese military, which is only about a decade old and so hasn’t had a chance to lose yet.
I trust it from the viewpoint of looking down the barrel of a gun….
Confessions of an Economic Hit Man, 3rd Edition Paperback – February 28, 2023
by John Perkins (Author)
The riveting third edition of this New York Times bestselling title expands its focus to China, exposes corruption on an international scale, and offers much-needed solutions. Extensively updated, this edition features twelve new chapters, including a new introduction, preface, and study guide. The book brings the story of economic hit men (EHMs) up-to-date and focuses on China’s EHM strategy.
If Perkins had been so guilty about what he did he would have put a bullet to his own head.
I don’t really trust what he has to say since he is trying to hawk his own story.
I don’t know about that.. seems one can not seem that unless you are indeed in those shoes. Perhaps Mr. Perkins cleansed his actions by his confessions in the book and is doing his penance.
Devil you know vs the devil you don’t?
Dennis L.
All of China’s debt would seem to be a huge problem.
Also, energy resources are increasingly a problem for China. They have been by far the largest users of oil and coal. Their own oil supplies are very low. China’s coal has been up against limits for years; its production was reported to be higher in 2022, with very high prices. But this doesn’t work for the long run. It also has high transport costs, if it comes from distant parts of China.
They are really driving the MOREONS into a frenzy:
https://t.me/downtherabbitholewegofolks/83353
https://t.me/downtherabbitholewegofolks/83354
https://t.me/downtherabbitholewegofolks/83371
Mass D
Biden Regime to Spend $1.2 Billion to Vacuum Carbon Dioxide Out Of The Air
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2023/08/biden-regime-spend-1-2-billion-vacuum-carbon/ and still .. and still… the GWers are unwavering in their stoooopidity
An excerpt:
We will see if this actually gets done and works. Usually, to be economic, the CO2 needs to be put to some use.
lets face it
nobody knows what to do for the best
This initiative + the blocking of sun rays will solve the ‘problem’ !!!
Because …. there is no problem
If there was a problem – they’d immediately ban private jets and ski lifts
If they want to remove carbon … plant more trees?
It is not CO2 that is “Turning Our Planet into Hell on Earth”. It is the extreme stupidity of mindless woke mass hysteria and all these people who can’t spell, conjugate verbs, or use the correct tenses or conjunctions, but are obsessed with personal pronouns.
The more c02 the more plants thrive… I guess a riot of trees and plants is hell?
They really are dummmb. really really really f789ing dummmb.
You give them all the answers to the exam … and still they fail.
Oh no – we don’t want the answers — we want to remain ignorant donkeys… we like failing … we are happier if we fail
hahahahahaha
The Undesigned Universe – Peter Ward
“ . . . it is these ocean state changes that are
1:02:28 correlated with the great disasters of the past impact can cause extinction but
1:02:35 it did so in our past only wants[once] that we can tell whereas this has happened over
1:02:40 and over and over again we have fifteen evidences times of mass extinction in the past 500 million years
1:02:48 so the implications for the implications the implications of the carbon dioxide is really dangerous if you heat your
1:02:55 planet sufficiently to cause your Arctic to melt if you cause the temperature
1:03:01 gradient between your tropics and your Arctic to be reduced you risk going back
1:03:07 to a state that produces these hydrogen sulfide pulses . . . “
Hip-Hop Star and Timbaland’s Ex-Rap Partner Dead at 50
https://resistthemainstream.com/hip-hop-star-and-timbalands-ex-rap-partner-dead-at-50/
No cause of death was provided.
Any thoughts on what might have happened? Any theories?
Quite a few celebs dying these days … can anyone remember a time in your life that so many celebs — often relatively young … have died?
Now project this into the general population — and disregard the bullshit stats that the US govt is providing — those are lies… the govt is lying….
This is a bloodbath.
A lot of these stars take drugs. Drug overdoses are common.
Agreed.
I take dance lessons and over the years have watched the level of beginning dance, bronze, continue to advance. Watching pro dancers of the 1970’s shows a much lower level of proficiency compared to today, competition, the bar is incredibly high and a woman’s thighs must not touch, stress to the max.
A star such as Michael Jackosn had to expend incredible energy to connect with tens of thousands of fans at once. Every day is an audition and everyday the fans must come and pay. MJ was an incredible talent as well, some say his father gave him hormones to prevent his voice from changing, transgender anyone?
FE pointed out one star who had ribs removed to have a thinner waste.
But, as always there is a solution: robots or AI generated figures which are perfect in whatever is the genre of that day. Hollywood recognizes this, fears a loss of income and thus deflation, less money for drugs so the price will drop, couldn’t resist.
There is another solution which I see almost every day, Amish. Those I see have beautiful, white, homes with porches and children. They have very neatly tended land, something is working although recently I saw a buggy broken down by the side of the road, within two days AMISH AAA had towed it. They take great effort not to standout, they are a group and somehow they are purchasing land. Sundays are not a workday but one to gather at homes and have service and fellowship. It is a day of rest without booze, a drug is you will.
Dennis L.
interesting on the dance thing Dennis
may i ask how old you are?
I was pretty good when i was young—often wondered if i should take it up again.–while I still can (if I still can)
76
Of course you can!
You are never too old to start dancing, as long as you can walk. Dancing is basically a form of walking. Especially if you used to dance in the past. Just turn on the music you used to dance to, and it will all come back.
Denis didn’t say what kind of competition he is doing, but there is no need to compete.
The world needs more men who know how to dance. My 2 c/ worth.
my feet never seemed to touch the floor when i was 20
doubt if i can pull that off now
It’s only natural!
Sorry about that, “waist”, not “waste”, oops, or is it spell check? Old joke regarding Memorex, tape, cassette, 8 track, oh, forget it.
Dennis L.
Ya but can you ever remember this many celebrities dying?
Can you ever remember a presenter collapsing on live Tee Vee?
https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/50421
And literally hundreds perhaps thousands of athletes – fit healthy folks – have collapsed or died….. it’s off the charts
If it is happening in such noticeable numbers among these groups of people — surely it is happening in similar ratios across the general population
India’s retail inflation rose sharply to 7.44% in July due to surging food costs, according to data released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) on Monday.
https://www.disclose.tv/id/5gk2hd0qfi/
Wonder how those slum dwellers are dealing with this … will they — burn it down —
at some point?
Food makes up a high share of family incomes in India, especially for the poorer citizens.
China cuts key rates as weak batch of July data darken economic outlook
“All the main activity indicators undershot consensus expectations in July, with most either stagnant or barely expanding in month on month terms,” said Julian Evans-Pritchard, economist at Capital Economics.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/china-cuts-key-rates-as-weak-batch-of-july-data-darken-economic-outlook/ar-AA1fhpBv
https://www.carbonbrief.org/mission-2020-new-global-strategy-rapidly-reduce-carbon-emissions/ this timeline provided by the elders shows in their “doublespeak fashion ” the possibilities of how long we have left on our finite world according to some of the possibilities 2040 is a popular estimate favoured by the elders 17 more years to go before we are fully immersed in the ” fast Eddie challenge world “
In 2020 the elders plan began there were two years of a tourism freeze,unfortunately that plan failed now the next plan is continuous inflation which began with the onset of the rate rises remember the elders will probably follow in Paul Volckers’ footsteps a 20% interest rate or more i favour this plan over the failed “ultimate extinction plan” . Population is still increasing so our only hope is frugality for all 8billion and counting, minus the elders ofcourse that is why solar and batteries is a blessing during the coming tough times.
Also for anyone listening precious metals will track inflation and imagine paying your council rates or food bill with silver coins when a barell of oil is on 300 dollars
So how do individuals and small groups build resilience in the near term?
commit group suicide – take the boosters
>> 17 more years to go before […] fast Eddie challenge world
kulmthestatusquo says:
>> So much resources were wasted in Vietnam that USA lost the entire 1970s for nothing.
Offshoring and deindustrialization demolished our capacity for technical innovation, coupled with the unusually hedonistic impulses of the Boomer generation, veered us off course from a Jetson’s future towards the Flintstones. I also have a hunch that women entering the work force made men less effective in their own work for various reasons. Now it’s probably too late. Still, one has to try.
“… according to some of the possibilities 2040 is a popular estimate favoured by the elders 17 more years…”
nearly impossible to get the timeline correct but because of how slooooowly energy resources are declining, some point beyond 2030 is a reasonable guesstimate.
war will accelerate that process. it costs a lot of fuel always. I am sticking to 2030.
Agree dr b about war the bible calls it armageddon so think endgame population wiped out and the remaining survivors rebuild society that explains bill gates’s obsession with bunkers
2040 is enough. Assuming Starship works, access to space is then a reality – Starship serves no other purpose than to make space affordable in Gail’s language.
Mechanical ribosomes are next, man does not belong outside of spaceship earth; build stuff in space with solar(fusion) energy direct, someone here solved that with reflectors which collects fusion energy for free from fusion reactor at site of use. Waste as much as one wants, efficiency is not an issue. Need methane? Titan’s gravity is 1/7 give or take earth’s gravity, don’t use an elevator, use a straw; there is no shortage of raw materials in our solar system.
Increased wealth leads to decreased population pressure which means we don’t have mass mayhem, no one wants to live through or with that, it is an example of insanity AND, the fabric of the universe does not want that outcome, so there.
LTG has no predictions after peak, and the peak is on earth in resources, pollution, and population among other things. LTG is anthropomorphic, the universe is not anthropomorphic.
Dennis L. .
Just think how stooopid you would have to be to look at this https://www.belizehub.com/leonardo-dicaprios-eco-resort-in-belize/
And still believe the GW claptrap….
Just imagine the epic level of Dummmb … involved if you looked at this
https://www.reddit.com/media?url=https%3A%2F%2Fi.redd.it%2Fwxh0mt3gwg4z.jpg&rdt=33043
And believed that flew to the moon and back.
I could list a thousand other things.. the demonstrate that humans are basically mentally re tard ed id iots. One just has to browse comments on SS to see just how gullible the MOREONS are
Did I mention we poison our food so the ‘dummmb animals and insects’ don’t eat it… or that we grow the food for 8B using finite substances…
Intelligent! hahahahahahaahahaha anything but… anything BUT.
Staged? https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/50439
Funny https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/50445 norm do you unplug stuff to save energy and the world?
Hmmm https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/50462
https://vigilantnews.com/post/bombshell-98-of-adverse-events-are-not-being-reported-in-the-uk-according-to-top-professor-of-medicine
It’s scary how insightful a lot of TK’s insights in his manifesto are. I happen to agree with a lot of his observations. My friends even called my cabin in the hills of Vermont where I lived during my senior year in college my “Ted Kaczynski cabin.”
Now only if I had an IQ like his of 167. He had a screw loose no doubt, sending off those bombs in the mail….I wonder if his brother hadn’t alerted the authorities when he recognized TK’s unique writing style and substance how long TK could have evaded capture?
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2023-08-14/insights-unabomber
Ted Kaczynski has a lot of excellent insights. For example:
9.The technological society HAS TO weaken family ties and local communities if it is to function efficiently.
10/ A “democracy” with advanced tech is less free than a “dictatorship” with primitive technology.
Don’t forget that Chad Haag recently wrote a biography of Ted…!
Interesting https://www.history.com/news/what-happened-to-the-unabomber-at-harvard
The Unabomber was selected to be part of a terrible experiment. He was a very young student, as well, making this worse.
From the link:
Fast Eddy tries to break down the MOREONS on OFW and SS on a daily basis … destroying their false beliefs… showing them how they have been played…
To no effect… they do not have epiphanies that drive them into despair … in fact they grip their delusions even harder… when faced with Truths
2021 to 2024: From “Revenge” Splurging to Forced Frugality
After all, “they can always print more money.” That’s always the solution until it becomes the problem.
https://charleshughsmith.substack.com/p/2021-to-2024-from-revenge-splurging
I am afraid that Charles Hugh Smith is correct.
The US has certainly been doing this, and Japan has, as well. Europe has made a lot of promises it can’t keep, also, especially with its health care system and pensions. It can’t maintain the standard of living that people are used to.
Now that more debt is not producing much more in the way of more resources, the world has a major problem.
More good stuff from the doc https://www.midwesterndoctor.com/p/do-organs-have-a-mind-of-their-own
Pointing to a simulation …
I have never heard of this before. Transplant recipients, especially heart transplant recipients, fairly often have a change of personality. From the article:
It’s easy to explain really.
What all these transplant recipients have in common is that they all had a change of heart.
A good article. But how does it point to a simulation?
it doesn’t point to a simulation at all.
but there seem to be some people who cry “simulation” whenever confronted with a complexity which their minds can’t grasp.
once you accept it is a simulation then you must accept that it is a sim within a sim all the way down.
I don’t see how that is useful though.
I have a hard time imagining a simulation being an issue.
Egon von Greyerz, Founder of Matterhorn Asset , covers main OFW topics in this article: finance bubble, energy pickle, climate & Covid scam.
https://kingworldnews.com/buckle-up-greyerz-another-massive-inflation-wave-is-about-to-be-unleashed/
A further problem is that the world has reached peak energy by way of fossil fuels and there is no serious alternative in sight for decades.
In addition, the energy cost of producing energy is increasing fast. The consequence will be falling standards of living for a foreseeable future. (SEEDS – Surplus Energy Economics)
Egon von Greyerz concludes that a person should hold tangible assets. In particular, he favors precious metals and commodities (oil and uranium).
I don’t think very many people will come out well in the scenario that is ahead. I agree that governments will do something to make savings unavailable–substitute government debt that really can’t be spent, for example.
What little goods and services are available need to go to the workers, if goods and services are to continue to be produced. Retirees, and those who are simply asset-holders, cannot expect to come out very far ahead.
OK, sounds like I should start stacking uranium next to my jerry cans of diesel.
A stash of s/hand solar panels is handy too. Think of them like grown up lego and you can construct loads of useful stuff – chicken coops, woodsheds, yer basic stone age hovel even.
Remember folks, he/she/they who dies with the most sh-t in their shed wins!
I am not sure I want uranium in my hovel.
A bunker made of lead bricks would be handy
EvG: Hmmmm… Powell obviously doesn’t have a clue – “OBVIOUSLY NOT OBVIOUS!”
Stopped reading there. That statement is ridiculous
“In addition, the energy cost of producing energy is increasing fast.”
I haven’t seen such facts.
what I recall is that the “energy cost of producing energy” is increasing very slooooowly.
very slooooowly.
wow, this is very weird.
when I type “very” and then a space, it now gives me the autofill of “slooooowly”.
can someone else try it?
I’ve done it many times, so does it just “know” me?
I don’t think that anyone working in the field has actually said, “the energy cost of producing energy is increasing fast.”
What I think is important (and most working in the field would say is important) is the overall cost (energy and otherwise) of producing the energy and distributing it to consumers. I think this has been rising quickly, but we are not good at calculating it. LNG is a high-cost way of distributing natural gas; coal now has to be transported many miles by truck or other vehicles. Because of distribution costs, costs are certainly rising.
As I see it, we do not have a way of measuring the “energy cost of producing energy” when complex systems are involved. For example, intermittent electricity being added to the grid, or electricity being generated by space solar. There are multiple systems involved. The total energy cost is likely many times what a simple calculation would suggest.
German hard coal is officially too expensive to be produced after the mines had reached a certain depth. The deeper the mine, the longer workers travel to their workzone and the more efforts and complexity have to be invested.
Offshore oil drilling needs way more preparations than an oil pump in Texas. As the reserves concentrate on a specific area, transport and securing military becomes an issue.
I wonder if the subsidies for solar and wind in the end wont help the oil price? The large energy companies are involved in more kinds of energy production and I am sure the accounting masters make each branch look attractive. This might lead to a false impression.
Note that the prognosis of system theory is not a slow decline but downleading steps of minor crashes leading to less complexity.
The pandemic certainly was such a step, including the late bank rescues.
A reduction of complexity might be welcomed as creative destruction, though it is not.
https://www.hindustantimes.com/photos/world-news/photos-massive-jams-along-china-border-clog-mongolia-s-coal-lifeline/photo-tQetG0Px4KDnpu7RscvegL-1.html
https://images.hindustantimes.com/rf/image_size_960x540/HT/p2/2017/11/15/Pictures/under-wider-image-border-lifeline-threat-mongolia_d050e6a6-c9d0-11e7-8cd0-7e09bc26593d.jpg
Occasionally I wonder whether the jabs have caused widespread neurological damage, and articles like this one make me even more suspicious. San Fransisco Bay Area’s ABC 7 ran a story last week headlined, “PG&E CEO proposes using electric cars to send power back to grid to prevent blackouts.”
https://www.coffeeandcovid.com/p/indigenous-american-giving-monday
Insane laughter
This would appear to indicate… the hook is set:
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F08192103-dde6-4ffd-a47c-1899681e88fe_1198x1459.jpeg
https://jessicar.substack.com/p/igg4-cd4s-and-why-the-lnpmrna-platform
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F887eaa13-a0d7-482c-baa1-0b7ca53c6a09_2048x1151.png
The bottom line here, once again, is that there is mounting (in fact, a mountain of) evidence that the modified mRNA shots IN PARTICULAR, induce immune dysfunction (and tolerance) to the detriment of human physiology. This is NOT refutable, no matter how many individuals profiting from this dare to claim that these products are safe. They are not.
https://jessicar.substack.com/p/igg4-cd4s-and-why-the-lnpmrna-platform
It has been shown that the mRNA and the spike are persistent. Since these are foreign antigens, they will continually stimulate the immune system to respond in turn. A perpetual state of activation is bad. It leads to a hyper-inflamed state, senescence and exhaustion. I hinted about this before (and I will review the SARS-2/CD4 paper) and it is my opinion now that CD4+ T helper cells, including Tfh cells, are being perpetually activated by the LNP/spike system to express various surface receptors to aid in the generation of spike-specific IgG4 antibodies via the generation of IgG1 and IgG4 positive memory B cells via stimulation of intracellular TLR3, TLR7 and TLR9 in B cells.1 PEG causes increased immunogenicity on its own, and the modified mRNA products stimulate these TLRs (Toll-like receptors).
I am almost positive at this point that these modified mRNA injections are inducing senescence and exhaustion.
https://jessicar.substack.com/p/igg4-cd4s-and-why-the-lnpmrna-platform
There is a different argument I ran across in the Epoch Times (July 27) that may not be in sub stack.
https://www.theepochtimes.com/health/covid-19-vaccines-and-boosters-were-never-made-with-mrna-5416427
COVID-19 Vaccines and Boosters Were Never Made With mRNA
The truth behind RNA-based vaccine technology (Part 1)
by Klaus Steger, Ph.D.
If this is true, it seems like we would be seeing more articles about it. I haven’t searched for more articles on the subject.
I think what your article was referring to Gail is that the modRNA is modifed mRNA via the method of replacing uridine with pseudouridine which is an isomer of the nucleoside uridine in which the uracil is attached via a carbon-carbon instead of a nitrogen-carbon glycosidic bond. THe end result is that the metabolic system of the cell and immune system of the body don’t break the RNA message down rapidly. In fact it tends to persist for a very long time which is not what happens with normal mRNA.
If you want to insert deadly shit into a cell – enclose it in an LNP… works like a charm! The immune system welcomes it like Joe Biden welcomes a 14 yr old girl to his bed
Sort of a different way of describing a known process.
Anything that suggests the Rat Juice is even more toxic than we thought…
Makes me smile
Senile, moi?
No sirree, fit as a fiddle and ready for the zombie hordes.
Nb. the paralysis on the left side of my face and limp are purely temporary.
Thanks to the wealth of data provided by the Statistical Review of World Energy, this calculation can be done a whole lot easier than it might seem at first sight. Let’s start with solar panels. By comparing “Renewable energy — Generation by source” (page 47) and “Renewable energy Solar — Installed photovoltaic (PV) power” (page 48) we can gain a candid insight into the real life availability factor of photovoltaic panels. All we need to do is to divide the actual figures supplied by “renewables” with the total (purely theoretical) nameplate capacity of said technologies for a given year. After performing this calculation (1), the overall availability of solar on a global average turns out to be a mere 14.3%.
Let that sink in.
https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/renewables-plug-and-pray
hahahahahaaha
A Chinese Child Comatose to Death from Learning Exhaustion
March 31, 2023
Outstanding children are certainly very proud of their parents. Therefore, parents today include their children a lot of tutoring so as not to miss lessons. However, remember not to overdo it! A sad story happened in China, quoted from various sources, a boy named Tieu Tiem fell into a coma while doing his homework. Seeing his son helpless, his parents took him to the nearest emergency room. From the results of the examination, it is known that the test results show that the child has multiple organ failure. Unfortunately, the child’s life could not be saved because he died on the way to the hospital.
No cause of death reported.
https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/pickled-vegetables-may-well-be-causing
This is better than believing you killed your kid with the Rat Juice… ok let’s believe it!!!
Same as the Spartan method
They weeded out weaker children like that.
Unfortunately during the Peloponnese war they lost so many of their elites that they allowed their slaves to be citizens if the latter paid some money
As a result of that they were whipped by Epaminondas at Leuctra.
Czech Foreign Minister Jan Lipavský has sent a letter to foreign ministry staff asking them to find a better balance between professional and personal lives, after three Czech diplomats aged 46 to 55 died suddenly in the past five months. The deaths of the three diplomats, who died of natural causes, “show that the position of a diplomat involves working in extremely difficult conditions and often in isolation from family,” Lipavský said.
“Our colleagues carry out this service even in war zones under tight security measures with limited mobility in the country of posting. Diplomats are exposed not only to great pressure in their professional and personal lives, but also to often difficult climatic conditions.” Last month, the Czech Republic’s Deputy Ambassador to Israel Monika Studená died suddenly at the age of 50. In February, Jakub Dürr, the Czech ambassador to Poland died aged 46. And in November 2022, the Czech Ambassador to Switzerland and Liechtenstein Kateřina Fialková died suddenly at the age of 55.
No cause of death reported.
https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/pickled-vegetables-may-well-be-causing
NOT the jab
In 1908 , at the Marathon Finals an Italian chap named Pietri Dorando entered the main stadium in London, but he fell on the way.
Several notable people, including Arthur Conan Doyle, helped Dorando to finish the line. After that an American redneck named Jim Hayes entered the stadium.
Jim Hayes belonged to an athletic club named Irish American Athletic Club, something which was only revealed later.
Hayes protested so violently, like a drunken Irishman, and the gentlemen organizers were so pushed back that they took away the gold medal from Dorando and gave it to Hayes.
They would have learned that Americans are uncouth barbarians (except the few in the eastern seaboard) who cared nothing about human decency or morales, but since few of them dealt with Americans back then they didn’t know.
The Europeans did pay USA back by disqualifying Jim Thorpe, a’ Native American”, because Thorpe played in the football league for pay. The British organizers never forgot Hayes’ arrogance, which would later translate to the 1972 Munich Basketball Finals gaffe where the British chief official literally gave the Soviets the Gold Medal. 64 years and they didn’t forget.
USA did not give up and 110 years after Thorpe was disqualified, and 69 years after Thorpe died in poverty , forgotten by almost anyone, That was July 2022, when USA was trying to force everyone in Western Europe to help Ukraine. The IOC decided to listen to US demands since it is now run by US money.
USA forgot why Thorpe’s medals were forfeit, and forced its way.
A lot of people put a lot of hopes on USA reaching Singularity first, but it never gave up its barbarism and it also maintained a group of population incompatible for progress. I will talk more about that later.
Tens of thousands more Brits were dying than expected and experts aren’t quite sure why that is. From May to December last year, there were 32,441 excess deaths in England and Wales, excluding deaths from Covid. The spikes in excess deaths can be attributed to a number of causes, but it isn’t clear what’s driving these spikes or causing these drop-offs. Similarly, earlier in 2022, excess deaths dipped well below average levels, with one expert group speculating to the Mirror that a ‘mortality displacement’ effect might explain why so many deaths are bunched up in the space of several months, being passed on from the months prior.
https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/pickled-vegetables-may-well-be-causing
MEXICO
Note this headline’s suggestion that the nine fatal heart attacks on the streets of Tabasco were due to the “infernal heat.”
While that may well have been a factor, the rate of fatal heart attacks in Mexico (that is, those that had made headlines) had been unusually hight throughout the cooler month of March:
17 died of heart attacks the week of March 1;
11 died the week of March 8;
11 died the week of March 15;
13 died the week of March 22.
https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/pickled-vegetables-may-well-be-causing
A Salad Causes Mystery Heart Damage
Wife Saved Last Minute From Cardiac Arrest
YouTuber and physician Siobhan Deshauer, MD, solves a medical mystery case
August 10, 2023
[A couple fell gravely ill, the wife nearly going into cardiac arrest—because they accidentally ate some foxglove from their garden, putting it into their salad after thinking it was kale.]
https://www.medpagetoday.com/popmedicine/popmedicine/105839
Nah – long covid
Pickled vegetables may well be causing up to half of all that sudden gastric cancer out there now
“Science,” as reported by the press worldwide, offers many explanations for the rising global spike in sudden deaths—”explanations” fashioned to distract us from what’s really causing it
Why are more people under 50 getting colorectal cancer? Scientists have some clues
https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/pickled-vegetables-may-well-be-causing
I know… Long Covid
I never ate canned veggies in my entire life.
Veggies are not designed to be canned. In many cultures they were dried to be used for winter, or pickled.
To keep something which should not have been kept beyond the shelf life a lot of shit was added and that is proving to be harmful.
Chicken coming home to roost. No more, no less.
>> Why are more people under 50 getting colorectal cancer? Scientists have some clues
Newly prevalent butt sex.
Primary students are encouraged to go Out Back the School Dumpster to practice what they are taught in the classroom
Pre 9/11 controversy
In The Lone Gunmen’s premiere episode, “Pilot”, which aired March 4, 2001, members of the U.S. government conspire to hijack an airliner, almost hitting the World Trade Center, and blame the act on terrorists to gain support for a new profit-making war. The episode aired six months prior to the September 11 attacks.
Pilot
The first episode aired on March 4, 2001. Its title was Pilot. In the show, a computer hacker takes control of a Boeing 727 passenger plane and flies it towards the World Trade Center, with the specific intention of crashing the plane into one of the Twin Towers. It’s only at the very last moment that the Lone Gunmen are able to hack the hacker and avert disaster and death for those aboard the plane and those inside the World Trade Center.
The plot is all the work of a powerful, rogue group buried deep within the world of officialdom. The secret plan, had it worked, was to put the blame for the World Trade Center attacks on one or more foreign dictators who are “begging to be smart-bombed.”
Response
The creators of The Lone Gunmen could not have had advance knowledge of 9/11. The Pilot episode had its premiere broadcast in Australia just thirteen days before the events of September 11 occurred.
https://sagehana.substack.com/p/trains-planes-and-lone-gunmen-911
The battle of Kupyansk, which will probably enter history as the Black Day of the Woke Army, is hardly known in the west but the Ukrainians are giving way.
It is comparable to the so called Black Day of the German Army.
I have always held the view that the Wrong Side won the Great War. All these Entente soldiers who fought did so against Civilization. For what? I don’t know. It was not for Civilization for sure.
The country which smiled most was Japan. It took Tsingtao (where the beer which bears that city’s name comes from, brewery originally built by the Germans) and a few German owned islands in the Pacific, and ran a lot of merchant marine to the Mediterrenean for a huge cost, and after the war was one of the 3 Great Powers in the Washington Naval Treaty.
The Entente fought to make Japan one of the Big Three and to lead the world to another war.
Now the Darkest Day of the Woke forces has come. The Force of Civilization and the Only Civ which has a shot of reaching the Space is now losing, and the Side which lacks the ability to advance to the next civ is winning.
I couldn’t compute what you meant with my available CPU cycles, but this bit made my day “Now the Darkest Day of the Woke forces has come”. Yaay!
The following bit about the next civ lost me though. Is that the civ with solar panels on Mars, or wind turbines on Jupiter?
Don’t worry, Ukraine says Russia is making no progress in Kupyansk!
https://liveuamap.com/
It was brought to my attention today from one of my readers that a rare blood cancer that affects B cells called Waldenström macroglobulinemia (lymphoma) is affecting people she knows who were injected with the COVID-19 products.
It is a rare type of non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma that leads to high levels of IgM to yield thick ‘jelly-like’ blood. Sound familiar?
It can manifest in blood vessel damage, bleeding, neuropathy, enlarged organs, anemia, retinal damage leading to blurred vision, fatigue, enlarged organs and swollen lymph nodes.
Here’s a good video synopsis.
https://jessicar.substack.com/p/waldenstroms-macroglobulinaemia
Isn’t it amusing how the Vaxxers will say ‘we are boosted – the kids are boosted – and we are fine’
Till one of them isn’t.
That’s when you want to say f789 you… suffer… I warned you
But fast eddie the vaxxers got the shots to keep bau going for them as in their jobs you almost sound like a Nazi wishing death upon those poor souls
NO Adonis, you sided with the elders and didn’t resist. If all of you had said no way to the jabs then the outcome would have been different. Like it or not you have to live or die with your decision. You sold your body autonomy just to keep a shitty job that you will be unable to do anyway if you get sick or die from the jabs. I hope you stand with the correct side when the next big test comes. And hopefully you got a placebo or an inactive batch this time around.
You got it Adonis.
FE is in fact a psychopathic, woke AI bot pretending to be an anti-vaxx zealot, but it/he really has an undercover mission to demoralise and depress all us freedom-loving, pure blooded doomers.
UEP? Schmooey EP.
I am really getting to like this guy. As straightforward, an easy to understand analysis out there. Explains the pitfalls of solar and wind with easy to understand calculations.
https://open.substack.com/pub/thehonestsorcerer/p/renewables-plug-and-pray?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
Thanks! I would tend to agree with this author, but I think he somewhat overstates his case.
I think that the renewable providers would like to claim that even if the natural gas and coal plants can operate 70% to 90% of the time, as a practical matter they do not. In today’s world, they have already been pushed into a situation where they often are backing up wind or solar. So they are not operating anywhere near full time.
Gas peaker plants, especially, do not operate full time. They are not very energy efficient either. But they can turn quickly on and off, since they do not heat water and run a steam turbine. They sometimes operate as few as 250 hours a year, according to the GE article below.
https://www.enelnorthamerica.com/insights/blogs/what-is-a-peaking-power-plant
https://www.ge.com/power/transform/article.transform.articles.2017.jun.load-following-power-plant
If mankind has just 50 more years, all these stuff Keith and Dennis L and Peter Cassidy are talking about might have a chance.
However we don’t have 50 years. In fact we might have less than 10 years, given how fast the devolution is happening.
If we take a consequentialist view and follow my advice of denying consumption to 90%+ of the world population, including virtually everyone in the ‘Brics” side, we might get 50 years.
But if my views are not adopted it will be all over by 2050.
“all over by 2050.”
You might be right.
On the other hand the AI revolution may speed up progress toward the singularity, Ray Kurzweil has shortened his estimate from the mid 2040s to 2030.
I simply don’t know.
“Such kind of paradigm change should have taken place at least 50 years ago ”
Won’t argue with that. All of us who were involved in the space colony/power satellite promotion failed. I am not sure what we could have done though. Some of the factors that make a big difference (such as staged combustion) just took a long time to catch on.
singularity —-hmmmmm
I copied ”singularity” and pasted it:
>>>>The first person to use the concept of a “singularity” in the technological context was the 20th-century Hungarian-American mathematician John von Neumann.[5] Stanislaw Ulam reports in 1958 an earlier discussion with von Neumann “centered on the accelerating progress of technology and changes in the mode of human life, which gives the appearance of approaching some essential singularity in the history of the race beyond which human affairs, as we know them, could not continue”.[6] Subsequent authors have echoed this viewpoint.[<<<<
But AI is entirely dependent on energy surpluses, because it cannot self-sustain itself. It cannot ‘be’ exclusively of itself without purpose.
Any inelligence must possess the means to reach out and carry out a physical act. That requires externally sourced physical energy. If there isn’t any–then intellegence will wither on the vine,
So as humankind declines in complexity, so will any concept of ”Artificial Intelligence.”
it can do no other.
So much resources were wasted in Vietnam that USA lost the entire 1970s for nothing.
Reagan’s greatest achievement was making UK on US side. Only then advancements could go on and the Challenger thing really hurt.
It reached the nadir during Obama’s time.
All of these could have been prevented if the OSS agents who were sent to treat malaria of a chap named Nguyen Sinh Cung pierced the wrong vein. At that time they just followed orders and revived Cung, not knowing what fuckup they caused; within a few years the name of Ho Chi Minh was everywhere.
I am afraid that Kulm is probably right. We don’t have another 50 years. And we don’t have the resources to make all kinds of fancy devices that might or might not work. I am doubtful that we even have the capability to upgrade our electric, as would need to be the case, if we greatly ramped up the use of electricity.
@Keith and Dennis L
To go to space in time, several changes in history should have taken place a long time ago.
I do not subscribe to the view that today is the best of all outcomes. Such view comes from the philosophy of justifying the decisions made in the past, and absolving those who made such decisions from blame.
Also, the view of Consequentialism should have been dominant. Every action which would bring humankind closer to Singularity, even if it seems morally despicable, is for the greater good.
Tu Youyou won a Nobel for finding a new cure for Malaria. Her cure added 1 billion Third Worlders, who are unlikely to add anything to Civilization, and helped the Viet Cong to defeat the Americans.
What she did might be morally commendable, but in terms of civilization she committed a huge evil by causing a huge reduction of world resources for little good.
Such kind of paradigm change should have taken place at least 50 years ago in order to accomplish all the space goals.
Someone here recommended the book “The Clapham Sect:” two years ago. I have merely skimmed it but when I found that a member/founder of the sect was related to John Venn, it took me awhile to discover the insideousness of Venn’s psuedo-science.
Venn built a companion view of probability/combinatorics based on diagrammatic conventions. Namely, if you can assert a diagram, there is no need to prove there are non-zero populations, no double-counting and no correlations. One can perform probability theory based on Venn’s work, but the issue is abstracted to honest diagrams and not chart-junk. I have to look elsewhere for the relevant quotes, like open a box in a garage, but Venn defended his approach regardless of the facts.
However, the amount of time wasted dismantling this fake abstraction, Venn’s program, underlays Kulm’s observation. That by picking a binary diagrammatic view of civilization: slave and free. That there were far, far more complicated features at work which needed addressing which leaves us in this pickle today.
The Singularity has been available to us for a long long time. That is harnessing nature to think faster than our institutions do.
There are plenty of work to support the theory of Civilization and non-Civilization. Peoples who have built a series of accomplishment could be called as people who are in Civilization. The Serbs produced only one person of note, Nikola Tesla, who left no descendants. He could be classed as an outlier and dismissed and we can safely call the Serbs to be not conducive for civilization, for example.
Serbs have a very small population, so … normalized for population, they have quite a few great scientists! Also, they have a culture that values engineering, which I appreciate.