Category Archives: News Related Post

2026: Expect a very uneven world economic downturn

Posted on December 31, 2025 by Gail Tverberg

The Maximum Power Principle strongly suggests that even as limits are hit, the world economy cannot be expected to collapse all at once. Instead, the most efficient producers of goods and services will be able to succeed as long as resources are available, while less efficient producers will tend to fall by the wayside. Continue reading →

Posted in Financial Implications, News Related Post | Tagged , , | 63 Comments

What should individuals do in a world filled with conflict?

Posted on June 18, 2025 by Gail Tverberg

Regardless of how things play out, it is the physics of the self-organizing system that determines what happens next. No matter how offended we as individuals may feel regarding what some political party or politician has done or has not done, individuals are not able to fix the system, except to the extent that available inexpensive energy supply allows such a fix. Continue reading →

Posted in Financial Implications, News Related Post, Planning for the Future | Tagged , , | 1,547 Comments

Advanced Economies Are Being Pushed Toward Financial Collapse

Posted on March 31, 2025 by Gail Tverberg

The US and many other Advanced Economies are likely heading into a worse and longer lasting financial crisis than the 2008 crisis, starting as soon as this summer. The problem will likely not start out as a full financial collapse. Instead, various leveraged borrowers will encounter difficulties. Gradually, the finances and very structures of many government organizations are likely to be threatened. Continue reading →

Posted in Financial Implications, News Related Post, peak oil | Tagged , , , , | 1,987 Comments

Energy limits are forcing the economy to contract

Posted on March 4, 2025 by Gail Tverberg

My analysis indicates that our expectation of what goes wrong with inadequate energy supplies is wrong. Strangely enough, it is the finances of governments that start to fail, early on. They add too much debt to support investments that do not pay back well. They add too many programs that they cannot be supported for the long term. Continue reading →

Posted in Financial Implications, News Related Post | Tagged , , , | 1,771 Comments

The world economy needs to simplify

Posted on December 4, 2024 by Gail Tverberg

Economic growth and added complexity sound like they would be good, but at some point, the combination gets to be too much–simplification is needed.

Too much of the world’s income starts going to non-working individuals and to high-earning workers in privileged fields. Continue reading →

Posted in Financial Implications, Food issues, News Related Post | Tagged , , , | 1,651 Comments