Category Archives: News Related Post

Understanding Deglobalization: The Role of Diesel and Jet Fuel

Posted on February 2, 2026 by Gail Tverberg

While international trade grew as a percentage of GDP between the 1960s and 2008, it has been basically flat since then. Now the shortages of diesel and jet fuel are forcing the international trade percentage to start falling to a lower level. Continue reading →

Posted in Financial Implications, News Related Post | Tagged , | 1,446 Comments

2026: Expect a very uneven world economic downturn

Posted on December 31, 2025 by Gail Tverberg

The Maximum Power Principle strongly suggests that even as limits are hit, the world economy cannot be expected to collapse all at once. Instead, the most efficient producers of goods and services will be able to succeed as long as resources are available, while less efficient producers will tend to fall by the wayside. Continue reading →

Posted in Financial Implications, News Related Post | Tagged , , | 1,895 Comments

What should individuals do in a world filled with conflict?

Posted on June 18, 2025 by Gail Tverberg

Regardless of how things play out, it is the physics of the self-organizing system that determines what happens next. No matter how offended we as individuals may feel regarding what some political party or politician has done or has not done, individuals are not able to fix the system, except to the extent that available inexpensive energy supply allows such a fix. Continue reading →

Posted in Financial Implications, News Related Post, Planning for the Future | Tagged , , | 1,547 Comments

Advanced Economies Are Being Pushed Toward Financial Collapse

Posted on March 31, 2025 by Gail Tverberg

The US and many other Advanced Economies are likely heading into a worse and longer lasting financial crisis than the 2008 crisis, starting as soon as this summer. The problem will likely not start out as a full financial collapse. Instead, various leveraged borrowers will encounter difficulties. Gradually, the finances and very structures of many government organizations are likely to be threatened. Continue reading →

Posted in Financial Implications, News Related Post, peak oil | Tagged , , , , | 1,987 Comments

Energy limits are forcing the economy to contract

Posted on March 4, 2025 by Gail Tverberg

My analysis indicates that our expectation of what goes wrong with inadequate energy supplies is wrong. Strangely enough, it is the finances of governments that start to fail, early on. They add too much debt to support investments that do not pay back well. They add too many programs that they cannot be supported for the long term. Continue reading →

Posted in Financial Implications, News Related Post | Tagged , , , | 1,771 Comments