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Recent Posts
- 2023: Expect a financial crash followed by major energy-related changes
- The economy is moving from a tailwind pushing it along to a headwind holding it back
- Today’s Energy Crisis Is Very Different from the Energy Crisis of 2005
- Why financial approaches won’t fix the world’s economic problems this time
- Ramping Up Renewables Can’t Provide Enough Heat Energy in Winter
- Why No Politician Is Willing to Tell Us the Real Energy Story
- The world’s self-organizing economy can be expected to act strangely, as energy supplies deplete
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Academic Articles
- An analysis of China's coal supply and its impact on China's future economic growth
- An Oil Production Forecast for China Considering Economic Limits
- Analysis of resource potential for China's unconventional gas and forecast for its long-term production growth
- China's unconventional oil: A review of its resources and outlook for long-term production
- Financial Issues Affecting Energy Security
- Oil Supply Limits and the Continuing Financial Crisis
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Tag Archives: oil prices
The Afghanistan Fiasco (and Today’s High Level of Conflict) Reflect an Energy Problem
The way energy limits play out is not at all intuitive. Most people assume that we will run out of oil, leading to a spike in oil prices. We will then transition to renewables. As I see it, this understanding is completely wrong. Limited energy supply first leads to a need for simplification: Stepping back from Afghanistan would be one such type of simplification. It would save energy supplies and reduce the need for greater tax revenue or added debt. Continue reading
Don’t expect the world economy to resume its prior growth pattern after COVID-19
Most people seem to think that the world economy is going through a temporary disruption, caused by a novel coronavirus. As soon as COVID-19 goes away, they expect the economy will be back to normal. I think that this assessment is overly optimistic. The way I see the situation, the world economy was already having severe growth problems, caused indirectly by resource problems, even before COVID-19 hit. Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged China coal, economic growth, oil prices, resource shortages
3,576 Comments
COVID-19 and the economy: Where do we go from here?
The COVID-19 story keeps developing. At first, everyone listened to epidemiologists telling us that a great deal of social distancing, and even the closing down of economies, would be helpful. After trying these things, we ended up with a huge … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged collapse, low oil prices, oil prices, overshoot, peak oil, renewables
2,824 Comments
Our Energy and Debt Predicament in 2019
Many people are concerned that we have an oil problem. Or they are concerned about recession and the need to lower interest rates. As I see the situation, we have a problem of a networked economy that is not functioning … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged economic growth, interest rates, oil prices, OPEC oil, recession
1,325 Comments
Debunking ‘Lower Oil Supply Will Raise Prices’
We often hear the statement, “When oil supply is lower, oil prices will rise because of scarcity.” Now, we are getting to see firsthand whether oil prices really do rise, as oil supplies become more scarce. Figure 1 shows that … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged coal prices, energy demand, oil prices, OPEC oil, wage disparity
1,469 Comments
