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- Losing the Iran War May Be the Best Outcome for the World
- A New Explanation for Tariffs and Bombings
- Understanding Deglobalization: The Role of Diesel and Jet Fuel
- 2026: Expect a very uneven world economic downturn
- Too many promises; too few future physical goods
- A lack of very cheap oil is leading to debt problems
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- Why oil prices don’t rise to consistently high levels
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Monthly Archives: January 2013
Why is US Oil Consumption Lower? Better Gasoline Mileage?
United States oil consumption in 2012 will be about 4.7 million barrels a day, or 20%, lower than it would have been, if the pre-2005 trend in oil consumption growth of 1.5% per year had continued. This drop in consumption … Continue reading
How High Oil Prices Lead to Recession
There is ample evidence that spikes in oil prices leads to recession, at least in the US, which is an oil-importing nation. James Hamilton has shown that 10 out of the last 11 US recessions were associated with oil price … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged asphalt, diesel, gasoline, government deficits, high oil prices, hydrocracking, jet fuel, oil prices, recession
85 Comments
Ten Reasons Why High Oil Prices are a Problem
A person might think from looking at news reports that our oil problems are gone, but oil prices are still high. In fact, the new “tight oil” sources of oil which are supposed to grow in supply are still expensive … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged airlines, Food prices, oil prices, tight oil, unconventional oil
51 Comments
2013: Beginning of Long-Term Recession?
We have been hearing a lot about escaping the fiscal cliff, but our problem isn’t solved. The fixes to date have been partial and temporary. There are many painful decisions ahead. Based on what I can see, the most likely … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications, Food issues, Planning for the Future
Tagged debt default, economic growth, electricity demand, Food prices, forecast for 2013, government spending, high oil prices, oil exporter, oil importer, oil prices, oil shale, Peter Turchin, recession, renewable energy, Secular Cycles, Social Security, tight oil
158 Comments
