Item of General Interest
July 11. I recently received word that an article that I am a co-author on was accepted by the academic journal "Energy." The name of the article is "An Oil Production Forecast for China Considering Economic Limits." The article talks about the possibility that oil prices may not rise endlessly, and evaluates three future price scenarios. Under the "low" scenario, which is the under $50 per barrel scenario, oil production in China has already peaked.
Monthly Archives: January 2013
United States oil consumption in 2012 will be about 4.7 million barrels a day, or 20%, lower than it would have been, if the pre-2005 trend in oil consumption growth of 1.5% per year had continued. This drop in consumption … Continue reading
There is ample evidence that spikes in oil prices leads to recession, at least in the US, which is an oil-importing nation. James Hamilton has shown that 10 out of the last 11 US recessions were associated with oil price … Continue reading