Could we be hitting natural gas limits already?

Many countries have assumed that natural gas imports will be available for balancing electricity produced by intermittent wind and solar, whenever they are needed. The high natural gas import prices recently being encountered in Europe, and especially in the UK, appear to be an indication of an underlying problem. Could the world already be hitting natural gas limits?

One reason few people expect a problem with natural gas is because of the immense quantities reported as proven reserves. For all countries combined, these reserves at December 31, 2020 were equal to 48.8 times world natural gas production in 2020. Thus, in theory, the world could continue to produce natural gas at the current rate for almost 50 years, without even trying to find more natural gas resources.

Ratios of natural gas reserves to production vary greatly by country, giving a hint that the indications may be unreliable. High reserves make an exporting country appear to be dependable for many years in the future, whether or not this is true.

Figure 1. Ratio of natural gas reserves at December 31, 2020, to natural gas production for the year 2020, based on trade data of BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy. Russia+ is the Commonwealth of Independent States. It includes Russia and the countries to the south of Russia that were included in the former Soviet Union.

As I see the issue, these reserves are unlikely to be produced unless world oil prices rise to a level close to double what they are today and stay at such a high level for several years. I say this because the health of the oil and gas industries are closely intertwined. Of the two, oil has historically been the major profit-maker, enabling adequate funds for reinvestment. Prices have been too low for oil producers for about eight years now, cutting back on investment in new fields and export capability. This low-price issue is what seems to be leading to limits to the natural gas supply, as well as a limit to the oil supply.

Figure 2. Inflation adjusted oil prices based on EIA monthly average Brent oil prices, adjusted by the CPI Urban. The chart shows price data through October 2020. The Brent oil price at September 24, 2021 is about $74 per barrel, which is still very low relative to what oil companies require to make adequate reinvestment.

In this post, I will try to explain some of the issues involved. In some ways, a dire situation already seems to be developing.

[1] Taking a superficial world view, natural gas seems to be doing fairly well. It is only when a person starts analyzing some of the pieces that problems start to become clear.

Figure 3. World oil, coal and natural gas supply based on data of BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

Figure 3 shows that natural gas supply has been rising, year after year. There was a brief dip in 2009, at the time of the Great Recession, and a slightly larger dip in 2020, related to COVID-19 restrictions. Overall, production has been growing at a steady rate. Compared to oil and coal, the recent growth pattern of natural gas has been more stable.

The quantity of exports of natural gas tends to be much more variable. Figure 4 compares inter-regional trade for coal and natural gas. Here, I have ignored local trade and only considered trade among fairly large blocks of countries, such as North America, Europe and Russia combined with its close affiliates.

Figure 4. Total inter-regional trade among fairly large groupings of countries (such as Europe and North America) based on trade data provided by BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

If a person looks closely at the growth of natural gas imports in Figure 4, it becomes clear that growth in natural gas is a feast or famine proposition, given to upward spurts, dips and flat periods. It is my understanding that in the early years, natural gas was typically traded under long-term contracts, on a “take or pay” basis. The price was often tied to the oil price. This generous pricing structure allowed natural gas exports to grow rapidly in the 2000 to 2008 period. The Great Recession cut back the need for natural gas imports and also led to downward pressure on the pricing of exports.

After the Great Recession, natural gas import prices tended to fall below oil prices (Figure 5) except in Japan, where stability of supply is very important. Another change was that an increasing share of exported natural gas was sold in the “spot” market. These prices fluctuate depending on changes in supply and demand, making them much more variable.

Figure 5. Comparison of annual average natural gas prices with corresponding Brent oil price, based on information from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy. Natural gas prices per million Btus converted to barrel of oil equivalent prices by multiplying by 6.0.

Looking back at Figure 4, natural gas exports were close to flat between 2011 and 2016. Such flat exports, together with falling export prices in the 2013 to 2016 period (Figure 5), would have been a nightmare for oil and gas companies doing long-range planning for oil exports. Exports spurted upward in the 2016 to 2019 period, and then fell back in 2020 (Figure 4). All of the volatility in the growth rate of required new production, combined with uncertainty of the pricing of exports, reduced interest in planning for projects that would increase natural gas export capability.

[2] In 2021, quite a number of countries seem to be ramping up natural gas imports at the same time. This is likely one issue leading to the spiking spot prices in Europe for natural gas.

Now that the economy is recovering from the effects of COVID-19, Europe is trying to ramp up its natural gas imports, probably to a level above the import level in 2019. Figure shows that both China and Other Asia Pacific are also likely to be ramping up their imports, providing a great deal of competition for imports.

Figure 6. Areas with net natural gas imports, based on trade data of BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy. Other Asia Pacific excludes Japan, China and Australia.

It is no surprise that China’s natural gas imports are rising rapidly. With China’s rapid economic growth, it needs energy resources of whatever kinds it can obtain. Natural gas is cleaner-burning than coal. The CO2 emitted when burning natural gas is lower, as well. (These climate benefits may be partially or fully offset by methane lost in shipping natural gas as liquefied natural gas (LNG), however.)

In Figure 6, the sudden appearance and rapid rise of Other Asia Pacific imports can be explained by the fact that this figure shows the net indications for a combination of natural gas importers (including South Korea, India, and Taiwan) and exporters (including Malaysia and Indonesia). In recent years, natural gas import growth has greatly exceeded export growth. It would not be surprising if this rapid rise continues, since this part of the world is one that has been increasing its manufacturing in recent years.

If anyone had stepped back to analyze the situation in 2019, it would have been clear that, in the near future, natural gas exports would need to be rising extremely rapidly to meet the needs of all of the importers simultaneously. The dip in Europe’s natural gas imports due to COVID-19 restrictions in 2020 temporarily hid the problem. Now that Europe is trying to get back to normal, there doesn’t seem to be enough to go around.

[3] Apart from the United States, it is hard to find a part of the world where natural gas exports are rapidly rising.

Figure 7. Natural gas exports by area, based on trade data of BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy. Russia+ is the Commonwealth of Independent States. It includes Russia and the countries to the south of Russia that were included in the former Soviet Union.

Russia+ is by far the world’s largest exporter of natural gas. Even with Russia+’s immense exports, its total exports (about 10 exajoules a year, based on Figure 7) still fall short of Europe’s natural gas import needs (at least 12 exajoules a year, based on Figure 6). The dip in Russia+’s natural gas exports in 2020 no doubt reflects the fact that Europe’s imports fell in 2020 (Figure 6). Since these exports were mostly pipeline exports, there was no way that Russia+ could sell the unwanted natural gas elsewhere, lowering its total exports.

At this point, there seems to be little expectation for a major rise in natural gas exports from Russia+ because of a lack of capital to spend on such projects. Russia built the new Nord Stream 2 pipeline, but it doesn’t seem to have a huge amount of new natural gas exports to put into the pipeline. As much as anything, the Nord Stream 2 pipeline seems to be a way of bypassing Ukraine with its exports.

Figure 7 shows that the Middle East’s natural gas exports rose in the period 2000 to 2011, but they have since leveled off. A major use for Middle Eastern natural gas is to produce electricity to support the local economies. Before the Middle East ramped up its natural gas production, much of the electricity was obtained by burning oil. The sales price the Middle East can get for selling its natural gas is far below the price it can get for selling oil, especially when the high cost of shipping the natural gas is considered. Thus, it makes sense for Middle Eastern countries to use the natural gas themselves, saving the oil, since the sale of oil produces more export revenue.

Africa’s natural gas exports have fallen, in part because of depletion of the early natural gas fields in Algeria. In theory, Africa’s natural gas exports could rise to a substantial level, but it is doubtful this will happen quickly because of the large amount of capital required to build LNG export facilities. Furthermore, Africa is badly in need of fuel for itself. Local authorities may decide that if natural gas is available, it should be used for the benefit of the people in the area.

Australia’s natural gas exports have risen mostly as a result of the Gorgon LNG Project off the northwest coast of Australia. This project was expected to be high cost at $37 billion when it was approved in 2009. The actual cost soared to $54 billion, according to a 2017 cost estimate. The high (and uncertain) cost of large LNG projects makes investors cautious regarding new investments in LNG exports. S&P Global by Platts reported in June, 2021, “Australia’s own exports are expected to be relatively stable in the coming years.” This statement was made after saying that a project in Mozambique, Africa, is being cancelled because of stability issues.

The country with the largest increase in natural gas exports in recent years is the United States. The US is not shown separately in Figure 7, but it represents the largest portion of natural gas exported from North America. Prior to 2017, North America was a net importer of natural gas, including LNG from Trinidad and Tobago, Egypt, Algeria and elsewhere.

[4] The United States has a strange reason for wanting to export large quantities of natural gas overseas: Its natural gas prices have been too low for producers for a long time. Natural gas producers hope the exports will raise natural gas prices within the US.

Natural gas prices vary widely around the world because the fuel is expensive to ship and difficult to store. Figure 5 (above) shows that, at least since 2009, US natural gas prices have been unusually low.

The main reason why the price of natural gas dropped around 2009 seems to have been a ramp up in US shale oil production that started about this time. While the main objective of most of the shale drilling was oil, natural gas was a byproduct that came along. Oil producers were willing to almost give the natural gas away, if they could make money on the oil. However, they also had trouble making money on the oil extraction. That seems to be the reason why oil extraction from shale is now being reduced.

Figure 8 shows a chart prepared by the US Energy Administration showing US dry natural gas production, by type: non-shale, Appalachia shale and other shale.

Figure 8. Figure by EIA showing US natural gas production in three categories.

Based on Figure 8, the timing of the ramp up of natural gas from shale seems to correspond with the timing in the drop in natural gas prices. By 2008 (the first year shown on this chart), gas from shale formations had risen to well over 10% of US natural gas production. At this level, it would be expected to have an impact on prices. Adding natural gas to an already well-supplied market would be likely to reduce US natural gas prices because, with natural gas, the situation isn’t “build it, and demand will come.”

People don’t raise the temperature to which they heat their homes, at least not very much, simply because the natural gas price is lower. The use of natural gas as a transport fuel has not caught on because of all of the infrastructure that would be required to enable the transition. The one substitution that has tended to take place is the use of natural gas to replace coal, particularly in electricity generation. This likely means that a major shift back to coal use cannot really be done, although a smaller shift can be done, and, in fact, seems to already be taking place, based on EIA data.

[5] The reason that limits are a concern for natural gas is because the economy is very much more interconnected, and much more dependent on energy, than most people assume.

I think of the economy as being interconnected in much the same way as the many systems within a human being are interconnected. For example, humans have a circulatory system, or perhaps several such circulatory systems, for different fluids; economies have highway systems and road systems, as well as pipeline systems.

Humans require food at regular intervals. They have a digestive system to help them digest this food. The food has to be of the right kinds, not all sweets, for example. The economy needs energy of the right kinds, as well. It has many kinds of devices that use this energy. Intermittent electricity from wind or solar, by itself, doesn’t really work.

Human beings have kinds of alarms that go off to tell if there is something wrong. They feel hungry if they haven’t eaten in a while. They feel thirsty if they need water to drink. They may feel overheated if an infection gives them a fever. An economy has alarms that go off, as well. Prices rise too high for consumers. Or, companies go bankrupt from low market prices for their products. Or, widespread defaults on loans become a problem.

The symptoms we are seeing now with the UK economy relate to a natural gas import system that is showing signs of distress. It is pleasant to think that the central bankers or public officials can fix all problems, but they really cannot, just as we cannot fix all problems with our health.

[6] Inexpensive energy plays an essential role in the economy.

We all know that inexpensive food is far preferable to expensive food in powering our own personal economies. For example, if we need to spend 14 hours producing enough food to live on (either directly by farming, or indirectly by earning wages to buy the food), it is clear that we will not be able to afford much of anything other than food. On the other hand, if we can produce food to live on in 30 minutes a day (directly or indirectly), then we can spend the rest of the day earning money to buy other goods and services. We likely can afford many kinds of goods and services. Thus, a low price for food makes a big difference.

It is the same way with the overall economy. If energy costs are low, the cost of producing food is likely low because the cost of using tractors, fertilizers, weed killers and irrigation is low. From the point of view of any manufacturer using electricity, low price is important in being able to produce goods that are competitive in the global marketplace. From the point of view of a homeowner, a low electricity price is important in order to have enough funds left over after paying the electricity bill to be able to afford other goods and services.

Economists seem to believe that high energy prices can be acceptable, especially if the price of fossil fuels rises because of depletion. This is not true, without adversely affecting how the economy functions. We can understand this problem at our household level; if food prices suddenly rise, the rest of our budget must shrink back.

[7] If energy prices spike, these high prices tend to push the economy into recession.

A key issue with fossil fuels is depletion. The resources that are the least expensive to access and remove tend to be extracted first. In theory, there is a great deal more fossil fuel available, if the price rises high enough. The problem is that there is a balancing act between what the producer needs and what the consumer can afford. If energy prices rise very high, consumers are forced to cut back on their spending, pushing the economy into recession.

High oil prices were a major factor pushing the United States and other major users of oil into the Great Recession of 2007-2009. See my article in Energy, Oil Supply Limits and the Continuing Financial Crisis. In part, high oil prices made debt harder to repay, especially for low income workers with long commutes. It also made countries that used a significant share of oil in their energy mix less competitive in the world market.

The situation being encountered by some natural gas importers is indeed similar. Paying a very high price for imported natural gas is not a very acceptable situation. But not having electricity available or not being able to heat our homes is not very acceptable either.

[8] Conclusion. It is easy to be lulled into complacency by the huge natural gas reserves that seem to be available.

Unfortunately, it is necessary to build all of the infrastructure that is required to extract natural gas resources and deliver them to customers at a price that the customers can truly afford. At the same time, the price needs to be acceptable to the organization building the infrastructure.

Of course, more debt or money created out of thin air doesn’t solve the problem. Resources of many kinds need to be available to build the required infrastructure. At the same time, wages of workers need to be high enough that they can purchase the physical goods they require, including food, clothing, housing and basic transportation.

At this point, the problem with high prices is most noticeable in Europe, with its dependence on natural gas imports. Europe may just be the “canary in the coal mine.” The problem has the potential to spread to other natural gas prices and to other fossil fuel prices, pushing the world economy toward recession.

At a minimum, people planning the use of intermittent electricity from wind or solar should not assume that reasonably priced natural gas will always be available for balancing. One likely area for shortfall will be winter, as well as storing up reserves for winter (the problem affecting Europe now), since winter is when heating needs are the highest and solar resources are the lowest.

About Gail Tverberg

My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
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4,770 Responses to Could we be hitting natural gas limits already?

  1. Azure Kingfisher says:

    “Unfortunately what this means is that now for anyone over 30 you are more likely to get infected, yes, adjusted for the population that is vaccinated, if you are vaccinated. Indeed in the 40-49 age group you’re close to double as probable on a per-population basis.

    “This means that if your employer mandates the jabs he or she can be sued for putting those who can’t get vaccinated at double the risk, on purpose, by enforcing the mandate.

    “Since there are people who can’t (due to immune compromise, such as cancer patients) be vaccinated this is now intentional risk.

    “In other words this is hard, scientific evidence that these mandates by employers have increased the risk of customers (and other employees) contracting Covid-19. This isn’t a natural risk (which an employer is not responsible for) it’s a man-made one created by the employer.

    “That’s actionable.

    “So far this is not translating into higher risk of Covid hospitalization and death on a per-100,000 basis. But that the vaccine makes you more likely to both get and give to others the virus is now established. It is fact. It is in fact true for everyone who is over 30.

    “I have pointed out that preventing infection was never in the cards; it was not part of the EUA, it was not part of the studies, it was never demonstrated. But this is much worse because now we are talking about a direct threat to others.

    “The CDC, NIH and Biden almost-certainly know this.

    “This is why the mad rush to demand you get jabbed; they know damn well what this means and that while the manufacturer is immune the employers are not and in fact any such mandate leaves them wide open legally as soon as an unvaccinated person gets infected after being at said firm either as an employee or customer and sues the company on the basis of intentionally and maliciously increasing their risk by forcing their employees to get the jab, which is exactly what they did.

    “The data from England is conclusive in that regard.”

    https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=243859

    Where are my fact checkers? Bring me my fact checkers. Let the mental acrobatics commence! Let us all be entertained!

    • Tim Groves says:

      Norman will be onto this just as soon as the soreness in his booster-jabbed arm wears off!

  2. JMS says:

    Meet the worst nightmare of big pharmafia and the veritable anti-Fauci, paradigm-shifter extraordinaire and martyr of science, Dr. Ryke Hamer, founder of New German Medicine.

    “Dr. Ryke Geerd Hamer, born in 1935 in Frisia (Germany), studied medicine and theology at the University of Tübingen. At the age of 22, he completed his master’s degree in theology and then, four years later, received his professional license as a doctor of medicine. The following years he practiced at different university clinics in Germany. In 1972 Dr. Hamer completed his specialization in internal medicine and began to work at the University clinic in Tübingen as an internist in charge of cancer patients.
    On August 18th, 1978, while in Rome, the Hamers received the shocking news that their son Dirk had been accidentally shot by the Italian Prince Victor Emanuel of Savoy. On December 7th, 1978, Dirk succumbed to the injuries and died in his father’s arms. Shortly after Dirk’s death, Dr. Hamer was diagnosed with testicular cancer. Since he had never been seriously ill, he postulated that the development of his cancer could be directly related to the unexpected loss of his son. In fact, he would eventually, in honor of Dirk, call this unexpected shock a DHS or “Dirk Hamer Syndrome”. Dirk’s death and his own experience with cancer set Dr. Hamer on an extraordinary scientific journey.

    At the time head internist of a cancer clinic at the University of Munich, he began to investigate his cancer patients’ histories and soon learned that, like him, they all had experienced an unexpected shock of one sort or another. But he took his research even further. Pursuing the hypothesis that all bodily events are controlled from the brain, he analyzed his patients’ brain scans and compared them with the corresponding medical and psychological records. To his amazement, he found a clear correlation between certain “conflict shocks”, how these shocks manifest on the organ and how all these processes are connected to the brain. Until then, no studies had examined the origin of disease in the brain and the role of the brain as the mediator between the psyche and a diseased organ.

    Dr. Hamer discovered that every disease originates from a shock or trauma that catches us completely by surprise. The moment the unexpected conflict occurs, the shock strikes a specific area in the brain causing a lesion (later called Hamer Focus (HH-Hamerscher Herd)), visible on a brain scan as a set of sharp concentric rings. Before Dr. Hamer identified these ringed lesions in the brain, radiologists considered them as artifacts created by a glitch in the machine. But Siemens, a manufacturer of computer tomography equipment, certified that these target lesions cannot be artifacts because even when the tomography is repeated and taken from different angles, the same ring formation always appears in the same location.

    The brain cells that receive the conflict impact send a biochemical signal to the corresponding body cells causing the growth of a tumor, a meltdown of tissue or functional loss, depending on which brain layer receives the shock. The reason specific conflicts are irrefutably tied to specific areas in the brain is that, during our historical evolution, each brain area was programmed to respond instantly to conflicts that could threaten our survival. While the brain stem (the oldest part of the brain) is programmed with basic survival issues like breathing, reproduction and food, the cerebrum (the youngest part of the brain) is more concerned with social and territorial themes. Dr. Hamer also discovered that every disease progresses through two phases: first, a conflict active phase, characterized by emotional stress, cold extremities, a lack of appetite, and sleeplessness, and then, provided we manage to resolve the conflict, a healing phase. This is the period in which the psyche, the brain and the corresponding organ undergo the phase of recovery, an often difficult process marked by fatigue, fever, inflammation, infection, and pain.

    Dr. Hamer called his findings “The Five Biological Laws of the New Medicine”, since his research is in full accordance with the natural laws of embryology and with evolutionary logic. Over the years, Dr. Hamer has been able to confirm his discoveries with over 40,000 case studies.
    Dr. Hamer’s research radically upsets the many existing theories of conventional medicine. His explanation of disease as a meaningful interplay between the psyche, the brain and the corresponding organ refutes the view that disease occurs by chance or as a result of a mistake of nature. Based on sound scientific criteria, German New Medicine shatters the myths of malignant cancer cells or of destructive microbes and identifies “infectious diseases” as well as cancerous tumors as natural biological emergency measures, in practice for millions of years, designed to save the organism and not, as we have been taught, to destroy it. Diseases such as cancer lose their frightening image and are recognized as meaningful special biological survival programs every human being is born with.

    In October 1981, Dr. Hamer presented his research to the University of Tübingen as a post-doctoral thesis. The objective was to have his findings tested on equivalent cases so that German New Medicine could be taught to all medical students and patients could benefit from the discoveries as soon as possible. But to his great surprise, the University committee rejected his work and refused to evaluate his thesis, an unprecedented case in the history of universities. There was yet another surprise. Shortly after he had handed in his thesis, Dr. Hamer was given the ultimatum to either deny his findings or his contract would not be renewed. It was extremely difficult for him to understand why he was being expelled from the clinic for presenting well-substantiated scientific findings. After his dismissal, he retreated to his private practice where he continued his research.

    The harassment of Dr. Hamer culminated in 1986, when a court sentence stopped him from practicing medicine. Despite the fact that his scientific work had never been disproved, he lost, at the age of 51, his medical license on the grounds that he refused to renounce his findings on the origin of cancer and to conform to the principles of official medicine. Deprived of a medical license, Dr. Hamer now relied on other doctors to obtain brain scans and patients’ records. But he was determined to continue his work. By 1987 Dr. Hamer had already analyzed over 10,000 cases and was able to expand his discovery of the Five Biological Laws of German New Medicine to practically all diseases known in medicine. Meanwhile, the press and the medical establishment stopped at nothing to attack him and his work. Tabloid journalists and medical “experts” portray Dr. Hamer as a charlatan, a self acclaimed miracle healer, a cult leader, an irrational outsider, or an insane criminal who denied cancer patients the ‘life-saving’ conventional treatments.

    In 1997 Dr. Hamer was arrested and sentenced to 19 months in prison for having given three people free medical information without a medical license. […] Subsequently, one public prosecutor was forced to admit during the trial that, after MORE THAN five years, of 6,500 patients with mostly ‘terminal’ cancer, 6,000 were still alive. And so, ironically, it was his opponents that provided the actual statistics attesting to German New Medicine’s remarkable success rate. Yet, to this day (see document March 12, 2008), the University of Tübingen refuses, despite court orders in 1986 and 1994, to test Dr. Hamer’s scientific work. Similarly, official medicine refuses to approve German New Medicine despite its numerous verifications by both physicians and professorial associations.

    On September 9th, 2004, Dr. Hamer was arrested at his home in Spain. Following a European extradition order, Dr. Hamer was extradited to France, where he was held in the French prison Fleury-Mérogis. Dr. Hamer was sentenced to three years in prison without probation. The charges: “fraud and the complicity in the illegal practice of medicine”. […]
    Dr. Hamer was released from his unjustified incarceration in February 2006. In March 2007, he was forced to leave his Spanish exile.

    http://whale.to/cancer/ryke_geerd_hamer.html

    • Bei Dawei says:

      Thus spake Wikipedia:

      “Hamer claimed that his method was a “Germanic” alternative to mainstream clinical medicine, which he claimed is part of a Jewish conspiracy to decimate non-Jews.”

      “More precisely, Hamer asserted that chemotherapy and morphine are used to ‘mass murder’ Western civilisation, while such treatment is not used in Israel.Hamer promoted the idea that most German oncologists are Jewish and that ‘no Jew is treated with chemotherapy in Germany.’ According to him, hypodermic needles are used during chemotherapy to implant “chips” containing “chambers of poison” that can be activated by satellite to specifically kill patients.”

      Thanks for posting this! I didn’t know half this stuff.

      • JMS says:

        Ad hominem. Dr. Hamer’s political views are completely irrelevant here. What is relevant is this:

        1) over six thousand patients cured without chemo or radiation therapy.

        2) the university of Tubingen’s refuse to evaluate Dr. Hamer’s doctoral thesis, even after being ordered to do it by a court of law. Which is unprecedented

        3) Dr. Hamer’s incarceration and ban from practicing medicine because a patient allegedly died after following his advice. Which is absurd if you take into account that one of the leading causes of death, at least in the USA, are medical errors. Are American prisons full of former doctors?

        https://hub.jhu.edu/2016/05/03/medical-errors-third-leading-cause-of-death/

    • Bei Dawei says:

      PS. I knew a six-year-old girl who died of brain cancer. According to this guy, her cancer must have been caused by some sort of psychological shock, but there was nothing like that in her life. She was just a normal little girl.

      • JMS says:

        Anecdote for anecdote: two cousins of mine died unexpectedly (a boy of 14 drowned and a girl of twenty in a car crash) and both their mothers developed cancers, which they fortunately survived. (No, they were not treated by Dr Hamer, if you’re asking)

        Anyway, I don’t think Dr Hamer is arguing that cancer is solely caused by emotional trauma. He certainly knew, like everybody who’s not braindead, that our industrialised habitat is saturated with chemical, electrical, etc agents higly apt to weakening immune systems and poisoning everything around.

        About Dr Hamer’s methods of fighting cancer, the decisive fact is this: the thousands of patients he has treated and saved without chemical therapies.That’s more than enough IMO to give him credit – In this respect, I should add that the violence with which he was punished by the academic-medical-legal machine seems to me a good clue: nobody ever is persecuted like him, even on false charges, if he is not considered, by the big boys, EXTREMELY dangerous. Think of that.

        • Bei Dawei says:

          My earlier post has been modded, but what you wrote is just Hamer’s side of the story. Wikipedia tells a very different story. Also, Hamer is known for his belief in a J E W I S H C O N S P I R A C Y that has suppressed his work.

          • Tim Groves says:

            So, speculate a bit for us please. Do you think Dr. Hamer being persecuted by a medical mafia, by a pharmaceutical mafia, or by a Jewish mafia? Or are they all in it together?

            • Bei Dawei says:

              Me? The other side is saying that his D.Habil thesis *was* properly evaluated, but rejected for shoddy / fake research. I wonder what the sources for the other claims are. Is Hamer himself spreading this information about his supposed success?

          • JMS says:

            You’re helpless. Bye.

        • Xabier says:

          That cancers may follow terrible shocks and tragedies is a well-known fact of life we come across time and again.

          I have had two major illnesses, not cancers, which would certainly have killed or crippled me pre-antibiotics, and both followed such shocks.

          I have no doubt my shocked state left me open to dangerous infection.

      • Tim Groves says:

        “I knew a six-year-old girl who died of brain cancer. According to this guy, her cancer must have been caused by some sort of psychological shock, but there was nothing like that in her life. ”

        Did she ever stand on a stage next to Joe Biden?

    • Artleads says:

      Thanks. I was struggling with thoughts akin to these when this post came along. The personal and spiritual against the impersonal and secular.

  3. Marco Bruciati says:

    I think this battered economy is ailing cannot cope with an oil price above $ 95 not even $ 90 cannot cope with this battered economy.

  4. MG says:

    With the ageing populations, the maintenance of the solar power plants becomes an increasing problem.

    https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20211008/p2a/00m/0bu/024000c

  5. Sam says:

    Oh I thought figure 1 is reserves and production? Article alludes that the U.s has more reserves than anywhere in the world

    • This is what BP calls “Proved reserves.” The ratio shown is the ratio of “Proved Reserves” to the amount extracted the most recent year.

      For US oil and and gas, this seems to be what oil and gas companies have leases on. They figure, with enough investment, they could get this out. In some way, it is tied to amounts they can borrow money against, if they need it. (Someone correct me if they have a better definition.) There may even be some audits involved. If the price of oil goes down, the amounts might be written off.

      What “Proved Reserves” are around the world is anyone’s guess. The amounts aren’t audited in most of the world. They are supposed to be amounts available at today’s prices, but the amounts seem to go up and up, even as prices are way too low. OPEC members especially are likely to inflate their estimates, but others do as well.

      The reason why people have held out more hope for future natural gas production than elsewhere is because the US’s natural gas production rose as US shale production rose. People have hoped that this would continue. Natural gas production was not rising much elsewhere in the world. Of course, if these shale wells are being depleted, this natural gas growth will be a short-term effect.

      Published reserves really tell us nothing at all, as far as I can see.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        I assume that the energy reserve numbers are as real as the claim that high vax rates would lead us to herd immunity…..

  6. Mirror on the wall says:

    > As if things weren’t bad enough! A huge solar storm is due to hit Earth at 5pm TODAY that could cause havoc for power grids – with possible Northern Lights displays in New York and the north of England

    Spooky, I saw a movie about this on Netflix just the other night – not saying that it is going the same way. The ending is quite spectacular.

    Man proposes, the cosmos disposes? LOL

    • This seems to be the alert.

      https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings

      There seem to be 5 levels of possible alerts: G1 up to G5. This is the second lowest, G2.

      Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.

      Induced Currents – Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.

      Aurora – Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

      Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

      This is a map showing Geomagnetic Latitude:

      https://spawx.nwra.com/spawx/maps/maplats.gif

      Or at this link: https://spawx.nwra.com/spawx/maps/maplats.html

      Poleward of 65 degrees north is really very far north. It runs through Alaska and Canada. It seems to be north of the UK. It runs through Norway, Sweden, Finland and Russia. I doubt that there is a huge amount of electricity transmission infrastructure this far north.

      • Mirror on the wall says:

        No need to put on the sun cream, then. : )

      • Kowalainen says:

        “I doubt that there is a huge amount of electricity transmission infrastructure this far north.”

        There used to be huge electricity transmissions from north Sweden to south. However, these days most of it stays in the north used in steel manufacturing, data/compute centers and battery factories.

        They could as well just decommission the transmission lines altogether and use the remaining material connecting up the cap of the north.

        I’m suspecting there will be rolling black outs in the south this winter. They’re already running the oil powered back up power plant in the south (Karlshamn), which is intended to go online if a Nuke or two scrams. But hey, let’s keep it cracking and hope another Nuke won’t scram.

        Hope is the worst strategy completely devoid of tactics. My guess it’s gonna get dark and cold for a few weeks in the winter. “Texas style”. No oh-so-vain sanctimonious hypocrite “green” virtue signaling on Facebook and instagram this winter.

        And god said: Let there be suck.
        🤣👍👍

        • I know that Paul-Frederik Bach http://pfbach.dk in Denmark writes about the problem of not enough electricity transmission lines from the north to south of Sweden.
          http://pfbach.dk/firma_pfb/references/pfb_european_spot_prices_2021_07_24.pdf
          http://pfbach.dk/firma_pfb/references/pfb_challenging_summer_for_nordic_power_systems_2020_10_11.pdf

          Also, Sweden closed a nuclear power plant (Ringhals Unit 1) on December 31, 2020, a year after closing Ringhals Unit 2.
          https://www.neimagazine.com/news/newssweden-closes-ringhals-1-8435568

          Ringhals 1&2 were originally expected to operate for 50 years, until 2025 and 2026 but Vattenfall’s Board of Directors decided in 2015 their early closure in face of low electricity prices and the need for major investments to necessary refurbishment. . .

          Ringhals was the sixth reactor to close in Sweden. Barsebäck 1&2, both ASEA BWRs owned by Sydkraft, were closed in 1999 and 2005; and Oskarshamn 1&2 (also ASE BWRs) owned by OKG in 2016 and 2017. Sweden currently has three nuclear power plants with a total of six reactors in operation. Ringhals in Halland with two reactors, Forsmark in Uppland with three ASEA BWRs, and Oskarshamn in Småland with one BWR reactor.

          The problem, as I see it, is the ridiculous way of pricing intermittent renewables (wind and solar) is driving nuclear power plants out of business. Sweden really did need these nuclear power plants, but they can’t see it with the crazy price incentives.

          The article goes on to say,

          Asked if closure was the right decision, he said: “I can think whatever I want, but it is the owners who decide and I know that on a number of occasions the decision has been re-evaluated and each time resulted in the same answer. There are no rational reasons to continue to run Ringhals 1.”

    • Bei Dawei says:

      I saw that! Nicholas Cage movie. Good cheesy fun.

    • My summary: The is nothing much for US residents to worry about. There is a temporary run-up in all energy prices, mostly elsewhere in the world.

      This is as daring as main stream media gets when talking about the problem. There is a quote saying that this price run-up is unprecedented. I disagree. I wrote an article on TheOilDrum.com, published on December 1, 2007, saying then that the prices of all energy products were running up simultaneously, at that time.

  7. Sam says:

    This article says the U.S is largest natural gas producer. But your chart says otherwise what gives?

    • I don’t show a chart of natural gas production. I only show net imports and net exports. The US doesn’t export much natural gas. For a long time (up until 2017, I believe), it was a net importer of natural gas.

  8. Mirror on the wall says:

    SF has hit its higher ever rating in the polls in the south, with support gradually increasing among older and wealthier voters. The governing parties have declining support.

    https://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2021/10/08/news/opinion-poll-gives-sinn-fe-in-10-point-lead-2471799/

    > Poll: Sinn Féin opens up 10-point lead as most popular party among voters

    A new opinion poll has gives Sinn Féin a 10-point lead over its nearest political rivals in the Republic. The Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI poll puts Sinn Féin at 32 per cent, ahead of the main governing coalition parties Fine Gael on 22 per cent and Fianna Fail on 20 per cent. Sinn Féin president Mary Lou McDonald saw her personal approval rating rise from 42 per cent to 43 per cent, while the remaining three main party leaders experienced a fall in their approval rating.

    The result is the highest ever rating for Sinn Féin in the poll series which have shown the party has gained support among older and wealthier voters. The Sinn Féin result is up one per cent on the previous poll while Fianna Fail is unchanged and Fine Gael has fallen by 5 per cent.

    The results also show a drop in the satisfaction rating of the coalition government from 53 per cent in June to 46 per cent. Taoiseach Micheal Martin’s personal approval rating fell by eight points to 41 per cent and Tánaiste Leo Varadkar saw a substantial drop of 13 points to 43 per cent. Fine Gael and the Tánaiste are at their lowest level since the last general election and follows a backlash over the appointment of former minister Katherine Zappone as a UN special envoy and a motion of no-confidence in Foreign Affairs Minister Simon Coveney.

    • I have no idea of where Tim Watkins comes up with

      “In the case of fracking in the USA, for an input of the energy equivalent of one barrel of oil it was possible to produce five barrels – far less than the 20:1 minimum ratio required to operate an advanced industrial economy. ”

      since he doesn’t give references.

      As far as I am concerned, the only EROEI that really makes a difference is that of all types of energy combined, on a delivered basis. That has been too low for quite a while, probably at least since 2104, when oil (and other energy) prices fell too low for producers.

      From what I have seen, the EROEI estimates for oil from shale have come out quite high, making energy researchers quite distressed, since it doesn’t work in the direction they had expected. All of these calculations have a huge amount of estimation in them. The devel is in the details. EROEI really needs to be in and out in the same calendar year (or month) rather than as modeled over some long period in the future.

  9. Tim Groves says:

    Manipulating the data

    “ The publication was released by the Israeli Public Emergency Council on October 5 and distributed in Israel and abroad. And then something unexpected happened: within 24 hours from the release, the airport positive cases entry history was re-written by the Ministry of Health, drastically changing the vaccination status of the daily confirmed cases going backward over a period of months.

    “For example (as can be seen it in the screenshots below, released by the council), if originally on a given day there were 118 vaccinated confirmed cases vs 242 unvaccinated – it suddenly became 10 vaccinated vs. 350 unvaccinated,” Koren explains. “That is, blatant changes, which our examination shows were made over months. They did not just ’round’ corners – but actually drastically re-wrote the whole history.”

    https://stephenc.substack.com/p/the-israeli-moh-caught-red-handed

  10. CTG says:

    China Coal Futures Hit Record High As Mines Flood; Worsening Power Shortages Hit Rust Belt

    https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/china-coal-futures-hit-record-high-mines-flood-worsening-power-shortages-hit-rust-belt

    Are the Gods angry? Cascades of problem

    • Trousers says:

      Black swans tend to arrive in flocks.

    • The article says:

      “About 9% of the coal mines in Shanxi province, an area responsible for producing 30% of China’s supply, have closed operations. The direct effect of this has been a spike in coal futures.”

      If we multiply 9% times 30%, we get 2.7%. This is a rough estimate of the share of coal production that has been temporarily shut in.

      There is no wonder that “black swans appear in flocks,” when the whole system is this tightly balanced. In the oil and gas field, hurricanes frequently come through, and there is a bigger impact on production than this. But prices don’t go sky high. Partly, this is because there is a bigger market, really a world market for oil.

      Also, the coal problem now is that there is little left in storage. Oil always has a large amount in storage because people have been concerned about possible oil shortages for a long time.

  11. Ed says:

    How long does the vax mRNA last in the host? From short immunity it seems less than five months. Is five months of micro clogs enough to kill?

    Why isn’t Russia, China, US pushing vitamin D?

    Sputnik V, Sinovax no mRNA, no spike, no kill off?

    How is Cuba doing with Cubavax?

    How did the president of Brazil become the freedom fighter for the planet? He says if we give in it will be depopulation.

    How is it the republican party is silent? Is the opposition party in every country silent?

    • You see we are living in a madhouse full of mirrors and loud voice echoes, it’s hard to untangle many things on your own. Add the factor of msm, spooks and various other coercion methods playing hardball with your sanity 24/365.

      Firstly, get rid of these kinder garten level concepts such as why on Earth is “the opposition” party getting silent. Most of the time ALL parties / politicos are ~85-95% compromised, and the few with half a backbone have to play it safe, e.g. look at senator Paul, seemingly decent chap, but he is dancing around issues as well, providing [hints] to public consumption only NOT the full scoop.

      In terms of the other countries, this is a great question I asked recently as well.
      I don’t know, perhaps there was a proposal for jointly launched CEP like plan, most likely denied by India and Russia, the Chinese approach is puzzling perhaps one internal faction wanted to join it as well, or the bug is specially crafted for their specific genome / physiology.

      Another option (most probable in my shattered book), the ball was kicked out ~2019 unilaterally against Asia+ (also expecting domestic losses as well) – so these most affected countries are merely on the receiving end, scrambling to solutions, in that way CEP / WEFers did not expect them to launch their own non mRNA vaxx so quickly (or ever).. or for India figuring out the IVM trick / release valve..

      • Xabier says:

        It’s difficult indeed to fathom the wickedness of this world, and of those who regard themselves as its owners, ‘worldof’.

        After all, we ain’t psychos, although we my try to guess how they see things.

        How far China, or some cliques there, is integrated with, or sympathetic to, the obvious WEF project is an interesting point. They certainly have a lot of excess elderly coming on line, of whom they would be glad to be relieved.

        The vaxx/ivermectin tussle going back and forth is also of interest in India.

        My sense is that Russia was a clearly innocent target: a pandemic with lots of deaths to unseat Putin seems logical.

    • Student says:

      For the second point I would like to give you my guess.
      Of course being a guess it could be completely wrong.

      There is currently a competition on vaccines.
      That must be for various reasons, but it may be due also in order to the test the ability of each (big) Country to counterattack to a bio-ag..t attack.
      Each (big) Country probably want to do like that because they probably think it will not be the first time this will happen, so they want to test their ability to react to future bio-ag.,t attacks.
      I guess that from a Mili…ry point of view, If someone spreads an equivalent of an atom,, bo.b the opponent wants to know if it is able to react.
      Pushing formally for vitamins and medical treatments will probably deflate the issue and for various reasons (which I don’t know) they do not want to deflate it at the moment.
      Also because otherwise they cannot test properly vaccines.
      But also they could be officially teased by the opponent through mainstream media that would say that ‘it is so silly to react to vitamins to such a dangerous disease’.
      Furthermore every (big) opponent has accepted that Covid-19 is dangerous and every (big) opponent has developed vaccines, so now solving the issue with vitamins and simple medicines would make appear each oppent as silly.
      Then there are also all the reasons we alread know concerning profits and so on..
      Of course all this hypotesis is a nightmare.

      • Thanks, excellent point and observation, the urge for matching capability and future escalation considerations in this field was very likely part of the initial reasoning process in these countries.

        But as “the attack” did not work after-all, they will have to up the game say against India, so perhaps this could escalate quite badly next time.

        • Xabier says:

          It’s clear that the WEF-ers don’t have quite the same level of control of the medical profession and politics in India as they do in Europe/US/UK.

          From the outside it looks like attack/counter-attack.

          Does this mean that not everyone can be bought? Amazing!

          A disgusting WEF-er in the UK is Prof Tim Spector, who supports kiddie-jabbing and runs an experimental database of 11k twins in the UK. He did an obvious hit-job on ivermectin, looking quite ill-at-ease I have to say.

      • Xabier says:

        I think about such things over breakfast, Student.

        So many possibilities.

        If one sees future ‘wars’ as being mainly bio-digital something of this kind makes sense.

        Also, one might wish to accustom the general population to accept novel vaccines as a matter of course, in planning for future defence/attacks.

    • As posted numerous times already, the top cats and their visible action layer ala Billy G. or W. Fluffet are into small reactors, basically offshoot of submarine power unit, which then can be housed in “small” well protected mil compound, running also fish tanks, greenhouses etc. They don’t need (so much) people anymore, stinky cities, certainly not the unwashed sort (mal adapted through civ decay in recent generations w. zero practical skillz remaining)..

    • drb says:

      Excellent question about vitamins. To be perfectly honest, China does use a wide array of methods, including vitamins and traditional herbs, to cure covid. I used to have the youtube presentation with english subtitles.

    • The world economy seems now to be run by a number of invisible powers behind the thrones. No one, not even the republican party, seems up to arguing with these invisible powers. These invisible powers seem to be aware that troubled times are ahead. They push in the direction of economic and population contraction.

      Common citizens are beginning to feel that they are getting poorer. This causes them to band together behind strange leaders.

      No one dares say, “We are at end times.” But, in some ways, leaders act as if we are at end times. They want fewer people and smaller programs.

      I wrote about the pull-back in Afghanistan likely being because energy was not sufficient for this battle. I think that the military vaccine mandate is a way of trying to reduce the size of the military by encouraging those now serving to quit. It will also greatly reduce the number of new recruits.

      • Azure Kingfisher says:

        Your point about the military vaccine mandate as staffing reduction tool also applies to the healthcare industry and the airline industry.

        Energy triage and downsizing until when?
        When will the people behind the execution of these policies be satisfied? Which options for earning a living will be left available to people in the end?

        • on your last line there azure

          none

        • The military, healthcare and airline industries are all pretty close to unnecessary. A few midwives would probably suffice.

          One option for earning a living would seem to be hunting and gathering. Another would seem to be stealing from people who have stored up food for a rainy day.

          For a while, another option for earring a living might be finding cast off goods that can be reused, and selling these no longer needed items to those who might have need of them.

          • Ed says:

            Gail, I would add education to the list of close to unnecessary.

          • Fast Eddy says:

            Local Rag:

            Lockdown Alarm!

            48% of all Queenstown hospitality and accommodations businesses say they will go out of business in the next 3-6 months if the situation does not improve.

            The Auckland lockdown continues…

            No biggie… wait till the vaccines give us a fat covid bump like it’s done everywhere else… and Auckland will almost certainly open the Gates to Hell and let the infected spread it… it’s all part of the plan

          • Mike Roberts says:

            Most “occupations” might be regarded as not strictly necessary. It probably depends on one’s view of civilisation and of society, plus whether other rival societies have those occupations. Without a military, some societies may become easy pickings. Without healthcare, populations would decrease significantly. Without airlines, people would get on just fine apart from not being able to get some produce from outside their region. None of this makes any of those occupations strictly necessary, so it does depend on one’s viewpoint.

      • Xabier says:

        The only people talking about ‘end times’ are some Christians, but few of their major leaders (ie the Pope is pro-Vaxx).

        Because this appears to have been described in the Book of Revelations, this paradoxically gives them hope.

      • Ed says:

        “band together behind strange leaders”

        I expect the winner in 2024 will say she/he will bring jobs, prosperity, safety, respect internationally for America, growth, world leadership, ….

        Voters want positive.

      • Trixie says:

        I must say that’s a rather cynical take on the vaccine mandate. I doubt there is any Machiavellian intention at play here.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Haha… come on Trixie… there is zero doubt… the vaccines are a death trap

        • Xabier says:

          Have you never heard of ‘Dinner with the Borgias’, Trixie?

          Who wouldn’t be pleased to an invitation to a nice diner, wine, music, with the Pope and his children? What could go wrong?

      • Fast Eddy says:

        The REAL Power ..

        “I care not what puppet is placed on the throne of England to rule the Empire, … The man that controls Britain’s money supply controls the British Empire. And I control the money supply.” Nathan Rothschild

        “Once a nation parts with the control of its currency and credit, it matters not who makes the nation’s laws. … Until the control of the issue of currency and credit is restored to government and recognized as its most sacred responsibility, all talk of the sovereignty of parliament and of democracy is idle and futile.” — Mackenzie King, Canadian Prime Minister 1935-1948.

        “I am a most unhappy man. I have unwittingly ruined my country. A great industrial nation is controlled by its system of credit. Our system of credit is concentrated. The growth of the nation, therefore, and all our activities are in the hands of a few men. We have come to be one of the worst ruled, one of the most completely controlled and dominated Governments in the civilized world no longer a Government by free opinion, no longer a Government by conviction and the vote of the majority, but a Government by the opinion and duress of a small group of dominant men.” – Woodrow Wilson, after signing the Federal Reserve into existence

        “Some of the biggest men in the United States, in the field of commerce and manufacture, are afraid of somebody, are afraid of something. They know that there is a power somewhere so organized, so subtle, so watchful, so interlocked, so complete, so pervasive that they had better not speak above their breath when they speak in condemnation of it.” ― Woodrow Wilson

        “The conscious and intelligent manipulation of the organized habits and opinions of the masses is an important element in democratic society. Those who manipulate this unseen mechanism of society constitute an invisible government which is the true ruling power of our country. …We are governed, our minds are molded, our tastes formed, our ideas suggested, largely by men we have never heard of.” – Edward Bernays – Propaganda

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Cuz they know that the CEP is what is best for humans.

      Sweden beat covid — but they are injecting

  12. Mirror on the wall says:

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/oct/11/eu-close-to-the-end-of-the-road-over-northern-ireland-protocol

    > EU ‘close to the end of the road’ over Northern Ireland protocol

    Point will come when EU says ‘enough, we cannot compromise any more’, warns Irish foreign minister

    The EU is close to the end of the road with the UK over the Northern Ireland protocol, accusing David Frost, the Brexit minister, of trying to undermine serious attempts to solve the problem, the Irish foreign minister has said.

    Simon Coveney said he had spoken to [Mr.] Frost’s counterpart, the European Commission vice-president, Maroš Šefčovič, on Sunday. They have agreed there would come a point when “the EU will say: enough, we cannot compromise any more”, Coveney said.

    Talk is cheap, posturing is expected, and what matters is what the sides will actually do. The stakes are very high with this one.

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      Rising energy prices > falling profitability > falling investment > spiralling supply chain disruption > growing systemic non-functionality

      https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2021/oct/11/uk-supply-chain-crisis-business-growth-consumer-confidence-oil-pound-nobel-prize-economics-business-live

      The British steel industry’s lobby group warned on Monday of an impending crisis due to soaring wholesale energy prices, Reuters reports.

      Without help, plants could be forced into expensive shutdowns, stoke emissions and sow chaos through supply chains, UK Steel fears.

      A shortage of natural gas in Europe had sent prices for electricity and gas soaring, triggering sharp rises in the prices paid by people heating their homes or for major heavy industrial plants smelting steel.

      UK Steel, which lobbies on behalf of the British steel industry, said in a briefing document:

      “These extraordinary electricity prices are leading to smaller or wiped-out profits and thus to less reinvestment,”

      “With winter approaching, demand for gas and electricity will rise, and prices could get higher, which will make it impossible to profitably make steel.”

      UK Steel argues that the government could help by providing a fixed amount of capacity at a competitive price or a virtual interconnector.

      Unless the government helps, “the consequences will be dire for our industry,” it said.

      • So, the government is supposed to borrow more money, and give it to the businesses with problems, and this is supposed to help? If there are not enough fuel to go around, some buyers will be left out. An equally likely outcome is that the UK pound will fall in response to the extra debt, so that the companies cannot really be helped.

        • Mirror on the wall says:

          The idea would be the keep the ‘commanding heights’, including steel, going for as long as possible because of their central role in the economy and their impact on general supply lines. The idea is to stave off complete collapse for as long as possible.

          Energy companies obviously also have to be preserved for as long as possible. The commanding heights are liable to come under public support if not outright ownership as the economy heads down – the alternative would be a more rapid collapse.

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      Article 16 provides no legal basis for UK to remove CJEU. Tories would be contrary to international law, even if they changed domestic law. The EU would be legally entitled to fairly swiftly terminate the entire trade and co-operation deal. (If NIP is broken anyway, then EU would have one less motive not to go nuclear.)

      We are approaching a situation of ‘who is willing to do what’ with very serious stakes, in a context of deteriorating energetic/ economic conditions. UK would be in a very serious trade and supply situation were it cut off entirely from the EU. Is NIP really ‘worth’ it? The harm that NI in UK does to UK was stark during Brexit negotiations – it may now go to its conclusion of a totally ruined Britain.

      https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/northern-ireland-protocol-rule-of-law-court-of-justice-david-frost

      > Northern Ireland protocol: does the government still not understand the rule of law?

      …. As professor Mark Elliott and George Peretz QC have both argued, Article 16 provides no legal basis for the government to remove the role of the CJEU. In order to address this issue, the government would have to legislate – both to authorise ministers to breach the terms of the Protocol, and to override the relevant provisions in the Withdrawal Act which give the Protocol primacy in domestic law.

      If all of this brings a slight feeling of Groundhog Day, it is because it reflects precisely the situation that the government faced when it sought to introduce provisions to allow ministers to disapply certain parts of the Protocol in the Internal Market Bill. One might have hoped that the government would have learned from that particular debacle, which brought together an unlikely coalition of Michael Howard QC and Charlie Falconer QC to condemn the government’s plans to break international law in a “very specific and limited way.”

      But perhaps it is still worth repeating that even were the government able to place new legislation before parliament, seeking to amend the operation of the Protocol and exclude the jurisdiction of the CJEU, such legislation would still breach international law if these proposals were not agreed by the European Union.

      It is unclear whether the government recognises this fact. In October 2020, the Lords European Union Committee was forced to state that the legal advice published by the government on the proposed United Kingdom Internal Market Bill was “clearly wrong in law,” since it suggested that a domestic statute could cure a breach of international law. House of Lords Constitution Committee conclusions on the Bill were similarly robust: “setting out explicitly to break international law in this way is without precedent. It jeopardises international obligations the UK recently ratified, undermines domestic law and is contrary to the rule of law.”

      The government, and some of its cheerleaders, may cling to a sense of legal parochialism, but as Mark Elliott has correctly argued, even were the government able to pilot such legislation through the House of Lords, parliamentary sovereignty does not provide the government with a “get out of jail free” card. Any government taking such action would face repercussions – most likely through the dispute resolution mechanisms contained within the Withdrawal Agreement itself.

      Ultimately, these seemingly endless disputes may further destabilise the UK’s entire relationship with the European Union. The trade and co-operation deal struck by Boris Johnson can be terminated by either side with 12 months’ notice, and more swiftly on human rights and rule of law grounds. More likely, in the short term, there is also a danger that by raising purely ideological objections to an agreement that the UK only recently signed and ratified, the government endangers efforts to make the Protocol work on a practical level, thus further polarising communities in Northern Ireland and damaging the UK’s reputation.

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      It is suspected that France could spearhead a harsh response to the Tories, and that other EU countries would form a common front.

      There would be very serous international consequences if the Tories opted to reignite sectarian conflict in NI.

      https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1504165/Brexit-news-trade-war-European-union-northern-Ireland-protocol

      The French are likely to become the toughest point of resistance to any such change [to NIP].

      Two European diplomats stated that France’s anger over the AUKUS deal, an ongoing tussle with Britain over fishing rights, and a dispute as to how to handle the waves of migrants crossing the Channel, could push other EU capitals beyond what they are willing to accept.

      Charles Grant, director of the Centre for the European Reform think-tank, told Politico: “The root of the problem, in a way, is the very bad state of the British-French relationship… It is so bad that it makes the French quite unwilling to help the British at all on Brexit issues. And the French of course are very influential on the EU institutions.”

      Speaking of EU nations countering the French resistance, Grant went on to say: “History has shown that EU countries have remained united on Brexit, because everybody agreed that defending the integrity of the single market was more important than any advantage one could have bilaterally with the UK… Unity will prevail.”

      However, there is a darker side to the story than just the notion of a trade war.

      Northern Ireland and the surrounding protocol ensure that some of the major terms and conditions of the Good Friday Agreement remain in place. Such is the severity of this being damaged, a return to sectarian conflict remains a possibility.

      President Joe Biden has made it very clear to Britain that it will remain at the back of the queue on any UK/US trade deal until the safety and security of the Good Friday Agreement are assured, and that Northern Ireland does not once again fall into a period of Troubles caused by a flopped deal.

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      Barnier has spoken out.

      https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1504265/brexit-news-michel-barnier-france-eu-latest

      > Now Barnier calls for EU to tear up Brexit deal HE drew up

      He spoke after Brexit Secretary Lord Frost warned that the UK could trigger Article 16 to unilaterally suspend the Northern Ireland Protocol to break the current deadlock between Westminster and Brussels.

      Responding to these threats, the EU’s former top Brexit negotiator said: “It’s time at the European level to use the levers in the treaties to make the British respect their signature.

      “There are levers that consist of reinstating tariffs, interrupting or suspending a part of the agreement, and then, more seriously, and the British need to be careful about this, it is possible to suspend an agreement if one party does not respect it.”

      • With the torn veneer of excess (frivolous) energy and Atlantic gap becoming an issue – isn’t it amazing how the world’s clock turns suddenly backwards, all the major (as usual) mega trends of past centuries are “great again” :

        – UK standalone
        – France forming continental coalitions
        – Germany re-surging
        – CEE volatile and disjointed
        – Russian godzilla bear standing nearby
        – Turkey at euroborders somewhat defiant

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      LOL Go on then!

      https://www.ft.com/content/68fb89c8-d127-4157-938e-31f8ffd4b084

      > UK doubles down on demand for reform of Brexit deal

      The UK has doubled down on its demand for root and branch reform of the Brexit deal that governs trading arrangements for Northern Ireland, including removing oversight by the EU’s top court. Despite both the European Commission and the Irish foreign minister Simon Coveney saying that removing the jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice was impossible, Downing Street on Monday insisted the demand was “central” to its bid to renegotiate the deal. The two sides are now on a collision course over the Northern Ireland protocol in the withdrawal agreement.

      …. Northern Ireland’s unionist political parties have called on Johnson to trigger Article 16 and suspend the protocol, and have also boycotted ministerial meetings with their Irish counterparts in protest at it. The Democratic Unionist party, the largest political group in the region’s devolved government, repeated the call on Tuesday after the High Court in Belfast ruled that the ministerial boycott was illegal. “The High Court judgment is further proof that the conditions to trigger Article 16 have been met,” said a DUP spokesman.

  13. Yoshua says:

    China builds more Covid death camps.

    Death is the only cure. The is perfect. It spreads asymptomatically and leads to a slow death. The immune system can’t attack the infected stem cells, it would be suicide.

    https://m.theepochtimes.com/mkt_breakingnews/china-prepares-for-possible-large-scale-covid-19-outbreak-leaked-ccp-documents_4041025.html/amp?__twitter_impression=true

    • According to the article:

      ““No matter who you are, as long as the CCP says that you tested positive in a nucleic acid test, it will deprive you of all your rights. The CCP’s quarantine sites are actually an alternative form of concentration camp.”

      It also says that the fact that huge numbers of these sites are being built is a sign that the delta outbreak is far more severe than they have been admitting.

    • MM says:

      Nucleic acid test sounds strange. I know of a PCR Test. DNA testing does not sound good but there is no real detailed information in the Link. May also be a bad translation.

  14. hillcountry says:

    “Yes, we’ve heard all about Joe Biden’s alleged vaccine mandate for private companies employing 100 or more people. It was all over the news even before he announced it on September 9. His announcement has jeopardized the employment of millions of Americans and increased worker shortages in critical domains such as health care.”

    “There’s only one problem. It’s all a mirage. Biden’s so-called vaccine mandate doesn’t exist — at least, not yet. So far, all we have is his press conference and other such made-for-media huff-puffing. No such rule even claiming to be legally binding has been issued yet.”

    https://thefederalist.com/2021/10/07/joe-bidens-vaccine-mandate-doesnt-exist-its-just-a-press-release/

    • Other quotes:

      Lawyers for big business were blunt about their love for this mandate mirage: “Everybody loves this cover,” Minneapolis employment lawyer Kate Bischoff told Bloomberg Law in September. “Many were already looking down the road at doing this, but the fact that they get to blame Biden is like manna from heaven.”

      It goes on to say that Emergency Temporary Standards are slow to implement and overwhelmingly overturned in the courts.

      “OSHA has used that legal authority only 10 times in 50 years,” David Rivkin Jr. and Robert Alt wrote in the Wall Street Journal in September. “Courts have decided challenges to six of those standards, nixing five and upholding only one.”

      The situation is just bizarre.

    • From the article:

      However the idea that our country of 25 million people, with a military of 43,000 personnel wouldn’t stand a chance in a war against 1.4 billion Chinese, looks to be a myth that Scotty From Marketing is keen to bust.

      Because we have eight new submarines on the way, in 25 years, if everything goes to plan.

  15. Fast Eddy says:

    Breaking News!

    Ardern had her Booster today and …. here she is now:

    https://imgix.pedestrian.tv/content/uploads/2020/04/16/jacinda-ardern-cake-social.png

  16. Fast Eddy says:

    Oh WOW… they aren’t even half finished with Injection 2!!!!

    And Booster 1 is starting today.

    First stage of Australia’s COVID vaccine booster program to begin from Monday

    Up to 500,000 Australians with severely compromised immune systems will be offered a third coronavirus jab to maximise protection against the deadly disease from Monday.

    The Australian Technical Advisory Group on Immunisation (ATAGI) on Friday released new recommendations for all people aged 12 and above with certain conditions or undergoing specific therapies.

    Health Minister Greg Hunt said this “first stage” of Australia’s booster program would begin from Monday.

    A Pfizer jab is preferred for people two to six months after their second dose with a minimum interval of four weeks in exceptional circumstances.

    Severely immunocompromised people who received their second dose more than six months ago should get another injection as soon as possible.

    https://7news.com.au/lifestyle/health-wellbeing/first-stage-of-australias-covid-vaccine-booster-program-to-begin-from-monday-c-4180851

  17. Fast Eddy says:

    Der Spiegel says JStark passed away on Friday of an apparent heart attack. Foul play was ruled out, and it “appears” his death was natural without any involvement of a third party.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/3d-gun-legend-jstark-famous-fgc-9-dead-28-years-old

    https://quincy-network.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/12/COVID-19-VACCINE-GENERIC-BLUE-BACKGROUND.jpg

  18. Alex says:

    As it seems, it is necessary to clarify my recent post about a HIV study https://ourfiniteworld.com/2021/09/25/could-we-be-hitting-natural-gas-limits-already/comment-page-11/#comment-317812

    There were no vaccines involved in the study. My point was that if such negative evolutionary changes would occur with Covid, the vast majority of the alt community would immediately jump to the conclusion that ‘vaccines did it’. While in the case of HIV, ‘natural immunity did it’, or better ‘the virus did it’.

  19. Alex says:

    People who fell in love with Marek’s disease might be interested in thoughts of Prof. Andrew Read, author of the popular study about this topic (excerpts):

    “In 2015, my collaborators and I published a scientific paper about a chicken virus you have likely never heard of. At the time, it got some media attention and has been cited by other scientists in the years since.

    But now, by late-August 2021, the paper has been viewed more than 350,000 times – and 70% of those views were in the past three weeks. The paper has gone viral because some people are using it to stoke paranoia that the COVID-19 vaccines will cause the virus to evolve in the direction of even more severe variants.

    Nothing in our paper remotely justifies an anti-vaccine stance. That misinterpretation – if it causes people to choose not to be vaccinated – will lead to avoidable, and tragic, loss of life. Nothing we have discovered or even hypothesized justifies avoiding or withholding vaccines. If anything, our work adds to reasons for investigating new vaccine schedules – and for developing second- and third-generation vaccines.

    [The] future of one virus cannot be predicted by simply extrapolating from the past evolution of another. Marek’s and SARS-CoV-2 are very different viruses, with very different vaccines, very different hosts and very different mechanisms by which they sicken and kill. It is impossible to know whether their differences are more important than their similarities.

    It is sobering for me to think that some of the next to die might have avoided lifesaving vaccines because people are stoking evolutionary fears extrapolated from our research in chickens.

    In the history of human and animal vaccines, there have not been many cases of vaccine-driven evolution. But in every one of them, individuals and populations have always been better off when vaccinated. At every point in the 50-year history of vaccination against Marek’s disease, an individual chicken exposed to the virus was healthier if it was vaccinated.”

    https://theconversation.com/vaccines-could-affect-how-the-coronavirus-evolves-but-thats-no-reason-to-skip-your-shot-165960

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Hahahaha… but he doesn’t even attempt to explain how the likes of Montagnier, Bossche and Bridle are wrong …

      You know why?

      Because he knows they are right.

      It’s already happening. That is why norm is rushing to the clinic for his Booster right this very minute

      Hahahahaha…

      During the original vaccine trials in the summer and fall of 2020 they deliberately did not test any of the recipients for asymptomatic infections. Only a person who developed a significant illness was tested. This has continued post roll-out with the CDC specifying that a close contact of a known case who was vaccinated did not need to quarantine or be tested until and unless they became symptomatic.

      They knew damn well, in other words, that the jabs were not sterilizing but did not want that data up for public debate because then those who have read history would be likely to make the connection to the present day and thus they did their level best to hide it. That has now blown up in their face with it being conclusively known that jabbed people in fact not only get infected but spread the virus to others.

      The problem with non-sterilizing vaccines is simply this: There is no safe means of mass-use of non-sterilizing vaccines so long as transmission within the community does or is likely to exist.

      Ever.

      There are no exceptions.

      More https://www.headsupster.com/forumthread?shortId=95

      • Yorchichan says:

        It’s already happening. That is why norm is rushing to the clinic for his Booster right this very minute

        The booster shots of all the covid-19 vaccines are identical to the original shots. This being the case, I don’t understand how a booster could possibly be of use against a variant for which the original vaccine is no longer effective. Like most of the covid narrative, boosters make no sense.

        • Jarle says:

          Before Scam-19 acquired immunity against a virus also meant immunity against similar viruses (variants), what happened?

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Have you got a source to confirm that … that would sure be a revelation

          • Yorchichan says:

            Not much time to look now, but I found this:

            https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditions-and-diseases/coronavirus/booster-shots-and-third-doses-for-covid19-vaccines-what-you-need-to-know

            “A third dose of the mRNA COVID-19 vaccines (Pfizer or Moderna) is identical to the first two doses.”

            I can’t remember where I read it the first time, but I am sure I read this was the case for all the vaccines.

            • I think that there has been some talk of a lower dose in some cases for the booster. This might be when a person has already been infected with COVID. It might also be with one of the other vaccines.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              Boosters involving Leaky Vaccines… Boost the Virus

            • Fast Eddy says:

              WOW on steroids… so let me get this right … the first two shots resulted in immune escape and a much stronger virus … so you hit it with the same substance a third time …

              The virus has already worked out how to escape this substance….

              Am I correct to assume that the 3rd shot is going to have a much reduced impact on the virus… the virus that is now bulging with muscles … is going to look at this Pee Wee Herman Vaccine… for a week or two … then say hey — I know you — you are the guy I beat the shit out of last month…

              I didn’t recognize you at first without your teeth and busted eye sockets …. back for some more are we?

              https://cdn.memegenerator.es/imagenes/memes/full/1/95/1954843.jpg

            • Fast Eddy says:

              Immune Exhaustion is imminent. https://www.headsupster.com/forumthread?shortId=163

            • Fast Eddy says:

              So… we’ve got a vaccine that does not stop the spread of Covid … and for a short period of time might prevent serious illness…

              It is leaky therefore the only reason it might prevent serious illness and death … is because the virus needs a bit of time to evolve a work around…. resulting in a much more dangerous virus…

              Once the new and improved virus takes to the stage (see Israel) the infections blast off… and the deaths and hospitalizations follow then BOOM — they hit it with a Booster…. but the Booster is the same as the first two shots so it’s impact on the virus will be much reduced…

              Rinse repeat until such point as the immune systems of the CovIDIOTS are exhausted and the vaccine has ZERO impact.

              Obviously Fauci etc know this… it’s basic virology.

              Sorry to inform the world — but there can be no doubt — the purpose of the vaccine is to create a super virus that is both deadly and highly contagious. What other explanation can there be???

              Prepare to go extinct… compassionately of course.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Makes complete sense if the goal is to create a Mareks type virus (more deadly that Ebola and incredibly contagious) and kill 8B people

      • Artleads says:

        Bless you, bro!

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Further here… is 1 and 2 did not work … then can someone ask this clown what he thinks 3 … and 4… and 5… are going to do?

          A 10 year old could be made to understand that this strategy is not going to end in success…

          And btw – if they are using these vaccines to control the humans… why do they have to repeat the injections?

    • Fast Eddy says:

      It is sobering for me to think that some of the next to die might have avoided lifesaving vaccines because people are stoking evolutionary fears extrapolated from our research in chickens.

      Hahahahahahahahahaha… this is priceless sh it! What a total f6=789ing MOREON

      Must have shares in Pfizer

    • T.Y. says:

      It is equally sobering to see how the vast majority of researchers – the author of this study included – jump like a frog out of hot water whilst stumbling over themselves to disclaim any obvious concerns that can be concluded from their research as soon as it contradicts the mainstream narrative.

      Whilst it remains to be seen to what extent the Marek & CV19 situation are comparable. The title and abstract of the paper are pretty clear on the effects at least for Marek’s in chickens.

      https://journals.plos.org/plosbiology/article?id=10.1371/journal.pbio.1002198

      TITLE: Imperfect Vaccination Can Enhance the Transmission of Highly Virulent Pathogens

      ABTRACT:
      “Could some vaccines drive the evolution of more virulent pathogens? Conventional wisdom is that natural selection will remove highly lethal pathogens if host death greatly reduces transmission. Vaccines that keep hosts alive but still allow transmission could thus allow very virulent strains to circulate in a population. Here we show experimentally that immunization of chickens against Marek’s disease virus enhances the fitness of more virulent strains, making it possible for hyperpathogenic strains to transmit. Immunity elicited by direct vaccination or by maternal vaccination prolongs host survival but does not prevent infection, viral replication or transmission, thus extending the infectious periods of strains otherwise too lethal to persist. Our data show that anti-disease vaccines that do not prevent transmission can create conditions that promote the emergence of pathogen strains that cause more severe disease in unvaccinated hosts.”

      Whilst you could indeed conclude – as the author does – that as long as the vaccine prevents severe disease, and individual is better of being vaccinated, that conclusion totally bypasses any concerns on a population-scale.
      The key point is this: CV-19 has a near 100% survival rate except for very elderly or people with various co-morbidities. It is in no-ones interest to increase its pathogenicity, yet our current strategy of vaccinating everyone – including even young children – with an imperfect vaccines carries that distinct risk, which is easily reduced by only injecting the elderly and at-risk.
      How high this risk really is remains to be seen, but the current strategy is by no means the most precautionary approach. Explaining WHY we – as a society – should take that risk is what the professor should have done, but distinctly didn’t.

    • Xabier says:

      Poor reasoning indeed!

      Why don’t you just post ‘Vaxx Good, Unvaxxed double plus Ungood!’ Alex?

      Personally the Marek-like hypothesis is of only marginal interest.

      Much more important are the many and varied forms of death and degrees of injury, at all ages, which result from vaccination, NOW.

      • Alex says:

        “Why don’t you just post ‘Vaxx Good, Unvaxxed double plus Ungood!’ Alex?”

        Why would I post that, especially as unvaxxed? My point was to quote the words of the patron saint of Marekmongers.

      • Top probability options:

        – vax are ru$hed product with some effect on the aged bracket pop
        – vax are herding mechanism towards social credit / pass scheme
        – vax are depop / sterilization vector (immediate / mid / long term effect)
        – boosters are depop / ..

        Or combination of there of (incl. sequencing of these above)..
        Someone inside big pharma / govs surely knows, but won’t tell, so wait patiently for the evidence buried in the mud, humans are not perfect, given enough time it should re-float on the surface. But at that time new scheme (by great Wurlitzers) to preoccupy your mind will be on the playlist again.. It’s futile, human farm-herd is evidently incapable of walking out of the subjugation.

        [File Closed]

    • Trixie says:

      A thoughtful and insightful contribution.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Oh? Then what about this post.

        A nobel prize winning mathematician has made the claim that 1+1=2

        I say it = 8. Therefore it is 8.

        Brilliant – huh?

  20. Tim Groves says:

    A command economy for the USA
    It’s coming sometime, maybe…..

    Senator Pat Toomey (R-PA) took to the Senate floor to point to the Soviet upbringing and radical collectivist ideas of Biden nominee Saule Omarova to run the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. Omarova graduated from Moscow State University in 1989 on the Lenin Personal Academic Scholarship. Her thesis was entitled “Karl Marx’s Economic Analysis and the Theory of Revolution in Capital.”

    In the past, Omarova has criticized cryptocurrencies in the banking system as “benefiting mainly the dysfunctional financial system we already have,” according to Bloomberg. She has also asserted that cryptocurrencies threaten to destabilize the economy and that they are susceptible to abuse by private firms at the expense of public safeguards. Omarova is expected to enforce stricter rules and oversight, and could pursue more radical positions like moving consumer banking from private institutions to the Federal Reserve.

    “Ms. Omarova has called for ‘radically reshaping the basic architecture and dynamics of modern finance’ including nationalizing retail banking and having the Federal Reserve allocate credit,” Toomey said.

    Step 5 of Karl Marx’s COMMUNIST MANIFESTO
    5. Centralisation of credit in the hands of the state, by means of a national bank with State capital and an exclusive monopoly.

    • geno mir says:

      The moment the collective west started utilizing ex-commi darlings and their progeny as expetrts I was dead sure what the outcome would be.

    • drb says:

      If I can give everyone some advice: find a local farmer (better if grass fed, but not mandatory), and stick with him or her. Pay right away with cash, let him know well in advance what you want, and buy some or all of the cuts she has trouble selling. Be affable and learn to cook some of the least popular parts. You will be first in line when there is not enough meat to go around.

      • Xabier says:

        I had such local relationship, friendly and trustworthy.

        But their smallholding is being demolished in 2022 to make way for a….’Green’ busway!

        Bringing Tech workers into Cambridge from a hideous new town.

        Squirrel for me, or maybe bow-hunting bunnies.

      • Jarle says:

        Better still, learn how to feed yourself without everything falling apart without meat.

        • drb says:

          Difficult for me. I do appreciate insects, so I could do without muscle meat, but some liver, some tallow, and some other offal are absolutely essential for me.

        • Mrs S says:

          I was a vegetarian for many years so I know how to cook without meat. But I have found that my health is considerably better with the addition of meat.

          And I do resent the sudden propaganda push for veganism.

          I hear Bill Gates has made huge investments in fake meat.

          • Xabier says:

            And Israel, Mrs S. It’s quite the fashion!

            Just like their surveillance and security technology……

          • Jarle says:

            “I hear Bill Gates has made huge investments in fake meat.”

            Ridiculous but than again he is.

          • Jarle says:

            “I was a vegetarian for many years so I know how to cook without meat. But I have found that my health is considerably better with the addition of meat.”

            Then some would say you don’t know how to cook without meat …

          • Jarle says:

            “And I do resent the sudden propaganda push for veganism.”

            These really are horrible times, imagine not stuffing your face with meat all the time!

          • Mike Roberts says:

            My daughter had a similar experience. She was healthier when she moved back to eating meat (after 6 years of not doing so). Different people probably have different reactions to not eating meat but a common attribute I’ve seen for vegetarians is a reliance on supplements, which suggests that their diet is wrong.

  21. CTG says:

    I am taking over Harry’s job…

    Yet Another Worry: Price Of Ship Fuel Soaring To Highest Since 2014
    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/yet-another-worry-price-ship-fuel-soaring-highest-2014

    Fertilizer Prices Hit Record Highs, May Pressure Food Inflation Even Higher
    https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/fertilizer-hit-record-highs-which-may-pressure-food-inflation-even-higher

    • Bobby says:

      Higher prices for common place commodities is yet another way economies are forced into de-growth and those with the means we of production get rich with less effort/cost

      • Yes, but as both ceiling and floor of moving prices are crushing the producer this extends only to a point at which they just had to liquidate said business either by going limited – capped volume only in private (sort of exclusive buyer’s club / quasi feudal) or completely bail out from the sector aka cashing out.. then doing /enjoying something else instead..

        In either way, if you are over-depended / poor consumer you are suddenly pushed out of the equation for ever, you trusted and worshiped a mirage, yours bad judgment, good riddance..

        That’s how hunger revolt and or fast depop (famine) comes about..

    • The first article seems to say that ships that added their own scrubbers so that they could continue to use bunker fuel are now finding that bunker fuel high-priced. They may need to raise prices to compensate.

      When ships added scrubbers, they thought that the scrubbers would allow the ships to work around the higher cost of very low sulfur fuel. But the shortage of bunker fuel has meant that it really hasn’t been as inexpensive as hoped.

    • According to the Yahoo article:

      In an article published by New York Times reporter Apoorva Mandavilli on Wednesday, Times readers were told that “nearly 900,000 children have been hospitalized with COVID-19 since the pandemic began.”

      A correction issued on Thursday notes that the correct number is 63,000 between August 2020 and October 2021, which means Mandavilli exaggerated the number of child hospitalizations by 837,000 cases. Approximately 500 American children have eventually died from the disease. The exaggeration was included in a report on the debate surrounding whether and how to vaccinate children.

  22. Fast Eddy says:

    The misery that is about to be unleashed on 8B MOREONS… is offset by the finding out that the CEP was dead on the money.’

    BTW – what better time to schedule extinction … during the winter in the hemisphere where most people live… shut off the gas in the middle of winter during Devil Covid …. billions will be huddled in their blankets waiting to die – peacefully …

    We’ll have Devil Covid down south but won’t be freezing so there might be some Face Ripping .. but it will be minimal … Covid Mareks is more deadly that Ebola… and FAR more contagious…

    What a great way to kill 8B people … true genius… I wonder who thought this up – Fauci?

    • Did you just inspire the wordsmith Maestro himself, if he tends to lurk around here?

      Spoiler alert (read it all), newest JHK:

      “No heat for you this winter as you sit around waiting to clot up and check out.”

      • This is a link to James Howard Kunstler’s latest post:

        https://kunstler.com/clusterfuck-nation/the-waiting-is-the-hardest-part/

        Excerpt:

        The thundering question, of course, is: who exactly are the authorities behind all this Covid-19 mischief? I’d suggest if you find out who installed “Joe Biden” in the White House, and who is running him, you’d have a few clues. It kind of looks like they intend to kill a lot of people. Pretty soon we’ll have a fair idea of whether it worked or not as the micro blood clots accumulate in 100-million-odd human lab-rats here in America and many more millions around the world.

        They’ve also poured enough sand into the engines of the global economy to put it out of business — and, of course, the US economy leads all that. No heat for you this winter as you sit around waiting to clot up and check out. The unvaxed are watching this go down, goggling in horror at the fantastic credulousness of the doomed Woke, the legions of Zombies who foolishly allied themselves with forces of genuine evil. They’ve been on their knees worshipping Dr. Fauci, the FBI, the CIA, “Joe Biden,” and Rachel Maddow and everybody else brandishing cattle-prods of coercion and propaganda at them.

        • Jarle says:

          “They’ve also poured enough sand into the engines of the global economy to put it out of business — and, of course, the US economy leads all that.”

          Yeah right … who the h stands to benefit from something like that?

          • Xabier says:

            It was obvious when all the lock-downs started again in the winter of 2020 – for no good medical reason! – that the real aim was to destroy sectors of the economy, accelerate bankruptcies and cause the whole to malfunction – and NOT to protect public health.

            In fact a retired general in the UK wrote an article about this at the time. I forget his name, he was the former commander in Iraq.

            He’s gone quiet since then, as far as I know.

            • That would be interesting to read, as we well know the best commanders ever tend to be also JITs experts – aficionados.. they need to understand these flows.

            • still the question hangs

              Why?

              It isn’t possible to destroy ‘sectors’ of the economy, because everything is interlinked to everything else. Any concept of doing otherwise is ludicrous.

              (I would be interested in any major sector that can be shown to be ‘isolated’)

              deliberate destruction of the ‘economic system’ reduces literally everything to ashes

              If the ‘whole’ malfunctions, (or even a substantial part of it) we all go down,

              This isn’t an erratic ‘point of view’ to be endlessly argued over and shouted down by the caps merchants.

              No one is excused, wealth will not buy you a ticket ‘out’.

              So, I ask again

              Why?

              No answer–of course. Screaming that it is ‘so’ won’t cut it. Purpose does not function in isolation—-purpose demands explanation.

              Universal collapse will destroy the means of support for everyone,

              Tell me I’m wrong. But tell me how I’m wrong

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Outstanding https://kunstler.com/clusterfuck-nation/the-waiting-is-the-hardest-part/

        One can imagine that as the CovIDIOTS realize they’ve been sold faulty gear… that this could get very ugly…

        Makes sense to shut off the power as they woken. And at the same time the Dying Phase begins.

        Fear trumps anger… darkness + cold + hunger thrown in … stop most of the violence… it all ends with barely a whimper … from beneath a heap of blankets…

        Try this Challenge… as the temperatures fall… try turning off the power and heat from sundown to sunset — just do it for one day… then imagine that being a permanent state.

        99.999999% of all people have lived BAU coddled lives… they get upset if the delivery boy is late with the pizza… faced with a truly grim situation — they will lay down and die.

        Which is the intended outcome of the CEP.

        It won’t be long now .. the Boosters are coming off the assembly line in the millions now .. the Aussies are nowhere near done with the first injections and starting the 3rd… the Israelis are filling the vials with the 4th… more of the same…

        There are those that refer to doubling down on failures as insanity…. the Elders see this as success.

        Of course it all depends on intentions.

        Prepare to die.

        https://youtu.be/JHxwHsfN_7o

  23. Harry McGibbs says:

    “As US debt piles up, what happens if faith in Treasuries is shaken?

    “…As central banks start to diversify away from Treasuries and markets reassess their positions, the risk is that Treasury yields could soar, igniting inflation amid tottering debt.”

    https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/united-states/article/3151663/us-debt-piles-what-happens-if-faith-treasuries-shaken

    • High interest rates combine with high energy prices to push the economy downward quickly. If Treasuries rise, interest on corporate securities will rise as well. The value of existing lower-yielding bonds will fall.

  24. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Firefighters battle blaze at southern Lebanon fuel storage tank.

    “The facility at Zahrani, around 8 km (5 miles) south of the city of Sidon, houses one of the country’s main power stations… The country has been suffering dire power and gasoline shortages as a result of its economic and financial meltdown.”

    https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/lebanons-al-jadeed-tv-reports-fire-near-zahrani-oil-facility-2021-10-11/

  25. Fast Eddy says:

    How to resist the child vaccinators

    Mengele here https://www.headsupster.com/forumthread?shortId=192

    • Mrs S says:

      That’s a great letter and I sent it to the headteacher of my kids’ school.

      The school have subsequently been very keen to point out that the jabbing has absolutely nothing to do with them.

      They’d better hope that none of the kids do a Tiffany Dover.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        If any teacher forces this poison on a kid without the parents knowledge … I recommend a sawed off… well you know what I mean

        • Mrs S says:

          Absolutely agree.

          I am keeping my kids at home on the days of the jabbing.

          • Xabier says:

            Very wise, Mrs S.

            I am still amazed that so many cannot see just how sinister this is now!

            My cousin in Spain is upset that his two student-age children got injected – just for the sake of foreign travel…..

            His doctor is in fact excellent (and didn’t do the injecting) and goes as far as she can in calling the vaxxes untested poison.

            She upsets elderly patients by prescribing old folk remedies, and mistrusts Big Pharma.

            Sensible woman: but if she were to oppose them directly, she’d be crucified by the ‘health’ bureaucrats.

          • Fast Eddy says:

            Ambush Days!

            It’s a good thing FE supports the CEP. He has so many excellent ideas.

  26. Harry McGibbs says:

    “China rust-belt province warns of more power shortages in energy crisis.

    “China’s largest provincial economy in its northeast rust belt warned of worsening power shortages on Monday, despite government efforts to boost coal supply and manage electricity use in a post-pandemic energy crisis hitting multiple countries.”

    https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/china-rust-belt-province-warns-more-power-shortages-energy-crisis-2021-10-11/

  27. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Energy price hikes: Treasury rules out support for firms, as business secretary ‘convinced’ UK won’t suffer gas shortage.

    “Business Secretary Kwasi Kwarteng tells Sky News he is “convinced we will have full energy supply” despite soaring wholesale gas prices around the world – although he stops short of offering a full guarantee that there won’t be disruption.”

    https://news.sky.com/story/energy-price-cap-will-not-be-moved-and-business-secretary-kwasi-kwarteng-convinced-uk-wont-suffer-gas-shortage-12430468

    • Harry McGibbs says:

      “Bets mount against the pound as supply chain crisis intensifies.

      “Trades aimed at insuring against a sterling plunge against the dollar have jumped sharply in the last two weeks, with bearish bets hitting their highest level since March.”

      https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2021/10/11/bets-mount-against-pound-supply-chain-crisis-intensifies/

    • CTG says:

      Guys.. do you think all these energy issues in China is real? I don’t think we have any good way to verify its authenticity

      • Great question. As Gail had noted in several articles lot of the direct hands on policies to match planned goals in China had been delegated on provincial govs and the center performed supervision to some extent based only on declared merit / performance, many questions rather not been asked. This worked stellar under previous long steroid pulse growth, but this arrangement could go pretty off balance in over-all volatile times and or during internal gov instability of warring factions, e.g. nowadays the interpretation offered that the nationalist wing of the party is massively cleansing all the (possibly / allegedly) globalist leaning entrepreneurs and regional admins etc.. So, the process of tightening the vertical control over the entire country and its industries will take time.. You see this is eternal question of Chinese history / politics how to govern the vast country.

        Also, another option, we could be quite wrong, the final collapse pulse sequence is already in full swing in China (aka the theory of 3rd -> 2nd -> 1st world direction of progressing collapse), meaning China going down now hard and for real, and only then falls the W. realm as well..
        Just anecdotal evidence, the latter is / has been favored theory of the clearly biased anti Chinese (US) propaganda on the internets for years already, so I guess that’s why I’m skeptical unless further data available.

      • That being said, most of these stories also exist in Chinese (domestic) msm as well, so the problems are most likely real can’t be denied, however the mid/long term severity and future prospect is hard to judge..

      • Jimothy says:

        I’ve been to China a few times, and I speak Chinese. Yes, I think that the energy issues are real. I know people over there and I’ve seen videos I think are authentic of the outages.

        It’s absolutely stunning how much volume there is in China. The population, economy, etc are so massive, and unlike places like India, well developed. It is also extremely chaotic.

        The biggest danger in China is the lies people tell themselves, and each other. For instance, officials get promoted based on economic growth. So you have a township mayor who is incentivized to inflate his town’s economic metrics. Then the county official takes that number, and others, adds them up and inflates it further. This goes on at every level until you get to the national level, at which point no one knows anything because of all the obfuscation

        This goes on in the power sector too, I think. All sorts of things are obfuscated including prices needed to keep running, as well as stockpiles of coal, availability of wind and solar power, etc

        So when a crisis like this emerges a lot of things fail at once with little advance notice, and anyone who knows anything either goes to ground or gets arrested, worsening the situation.

      • Jimothy says:

        Another note:

        As we reach limits it seems that there’s a weird break that goes on between what consumers can afford and what producers need. Gail, of course, has written on this extensively. That is what is happening with coal in China and is happening everywhere with various things. The government orders coal plants to operate at a loss but without any financial bailout. They have to go bankrupt, or do things like “close for maintenance”

        I see this happening in the US. In a way the labor shortages are a reflection of that. Workers need society to pay them more (mandates aside) but there isn’t energy in the form of wages to spare. It’s happening with paramedics, teachers, low wage laborers, etc

        I think governments can’t really bail out the energy sector going forward anyway. It either involves taxes or money printing of some sort.

        Ultimately I think energy has peaked in China. That they are importing coal from Kazakhstan to Zhejiang province is VERY bad. It would be like shipping coal from Alaska to the South. The coal they have left in China tends to be dirtier and wetter (less energy intense) than before, so more tons must be mined than before to maintain output, let alone grow

        Also, as one last aside, it’s been ten years since the solar craze in China really took off. I imagine those panels are nearing the end of their lives. Not that they do much, but still. And yes, I know panels should last for 30 years but these were poorly made and have been exposed to an awful lot of pollution

        • You make good points. Moving coal overland is a very expensive operation. A likely origin of the coal would be Pavlodar, Kazakstan, which is in an area that is very hard to get to. There are mountains in every direction. It is not far from Russia. It would be necessary to transport the coal down to the Southeastern coast of China from there. In theory, it would be possible to go through Mongolia or Tibet.

          China must be desperate if it is trying to get coal from such an isolated area.

      • I think the energy problems are real.

        The coal data we have been getting seems to be wrong. They have been overstating how much they have been producing. Now wind is not producing up to what they had hoped either.

        We know that there were fairly widespread electricity blackouts last year, from November to early February. This was an indication of a major problem.

        This year, the problem is back and much worse. Electricity demand by homes should be very low in the fall. There should not be rolling blackouts. Winter is certain to be even worse, even if provinces are hoarding coal for winter.

        China, like Europe, has put too much of the hope in intermittent renewables. They do not work well at all.

        • With the proviso China is actually building (and planning) more NPPs.. Now, the question remains, who is the faster runner, if the coal (surplus) depletion (and the W-bug) or the ongoing build up of next gen base load infrastructure.. gets to their finish line first.

          • Of course, nuclear power plants need to be kept operational, and transmission lines are needed for them. They need to be supplied with uranium or with recycled material, but historically newly mined uranium has been less expensive. A highly complex plant is needed for recycling; I expect it needs lots and lots of semiconductor chips, among other things. These may not be available. Readily available uranium tends to deplete, just as fossil fuels deplete. No type of energy supply is without problems, unfortunately.

        • Harry McGibbs says:

          “Now wind is not producing up to what they had hoped either.”

          “Industry experts now warn a global phenomenon which is known as global stilling, an extended period of low wind speeds and increasing temperatures could potentially deepen the crisis in the energy market.”

          https://www.energylivenews.com/2021/10/11/will-low-winds-strike-another-heavy-blow-to-energy-prices/

          • I hadn’t realized that wind speeds had decreased in this manner. The article says

            “The findings of their analysis based on data compiled by the independent weather modelling group Vortex.”

            This is a group that sells wind modeling services to groups wanting to build wind turbines. https://vortexfdc.com

            Somehow, this reminds me of what happened in the US, with respect to water supply. Modelers chose to look at what, in retrospect, was an unusually rainy period of history, and base their models on this. Once rainfall began to lessen in that area, there suddenly was a problem.

            We haven’t been studying wind speeds very long. I wonder how much we really know about long term trends. I have heard that wind speeds have been lower in quite a few areas of the world in 2021.

    • I am not sure how much the UK treasury can really do. More debt will tend to sink the pound, I am afraid.

  28. Fast Eddy says:

    UCLA doctor ‘willing to lose everything’ escorted from work for refusing COVID vaccine

    Watch him being marched to the death chamber https://www.headsupster.com/forumthread?shortId=191

    • Ed says:

      If in a year we deploy more renewables than are needed by growth (for example by immigration) and on top of that we deploy X exa-joules of renewables then we can shutdown X exa-joules of fossil fuels.

      Just tearing down fossil fuels in a childish temper tantrum is no way to plan a global society.

    • Mark Jacobson is listed as one of the signers of the “stop all fossil fuels now.” He is the lead author of the ridiculous model claiming that wind, water and solar are all the economy needs.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Ahhhh… a Super MOREON….

        He probably was involved in the testing of the Anti-MOREON vaccines… they were leaky too…

      • Mike Roberts says:

        Yes, he’s mentioned many times in “Bright Green Lies”. It’s amazing how many so-called environmentalists get sucked into the myth. Then again, most people probably want civilisation as we know it to continue; that is the top priority.

  29. Fast Eddy says:

    These are only faceless stats… till you get caught up in them… right norm?

    norm… hope you aren’t having any chest pains…

  30. Fast Eddy says:

    Virtually no healthy people under 18 have died from Covid….

    This week’s U.S. data for 12- to 17-year-olds show:

    21,298 total adverse events, including 1,284 rated as serious and 22 reported deaths. Two of the 22 deaths were suicides.

    The most recent death involves a 16-year-old male (VAERS I.D. 1734141) who reportedly died from cardiac failure five days after receiving Pfizer’s COVID vaccine.

    Other recent deaths include a 17-year-old male (VAERS I.D. 1689212) with cancer who was vaccinated April 17, tested positive for COVID on July 20, was hospitalized and passed away Aug. 29; and a 16-year-old female (VAERS I.D. 1694568) who died from a pulmonary embolism nine days after receiving her first Pfizer dose.

    3,202 reports of anaphylaxis among 12- to 17-year-olds with 99% of cases
    attributed to Pfizer’s vaccine.

    520 reports of myocarditis and pericarditis (heart inflammation) with 508 cases attributed to Pfizer’s vaccine.

    114 reports of blood clotting disorders, with all cases attributed to Pfizer.
    More https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/vaers-cdc-serious-injuries-deaths-covid-vaccines

    • Mike Roberts says:

      Virtually no healthy people under 18 have died from Covid….

      Source?

      What is the background rate of those events that you list? You surely do realise that events recorded in VAERS are not causative?

  31. Fast Eddy says:

    “Pfizer admits to using aborted fetal tissue in developing its vaccines. So can Christians sign up for a jab exemption now?” – For billions of faithful around the world, abortion is considered first-degree murder, yet fetal tissue is being used to develop Covid vaccines. While some may argue that ‘killing a life to save millions’ is fine, many disagree

    https://www.rt.com/op-ed/537011-pfizer-development-aborted-fetal-tissue/

  32. Fast Eddy says:

    Australian cop quits after bombshell interview, claims most colleagues ‘suffering’ & don’t want to enforce tough Covid-19 rules

    https://www.headsupster.com/forumthread?shortId=190

  33. Fast Eddy says:

    Two Million People in England Have Had Booster Vaccine
    https://dailysceptic.org/2021/10/09/two-million-people-in-england-have-had-booster-vaccine/

    Virus loves this

  34. Fast Eddy says:

    ““Previously, a hot strain was so nasty, it wiped itself out. Now, you keep its host alive with a vaccine, then it can transmit and spread in the world,” Read said. “So it’s got an evolutionary future, which it didn’t have before.”

    https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/are-leaky-vaccines-driving-delta

    norm dunc mikes gift to humanity hahaha… respiratory ebola

  35. Fast Eddy says:

    If anyone was in doubt about the CEP…. this pretty much seals the deal:

    are leaky vaccines driving delta variant evolution and making it more deadly?
    assessing the england data on variants and vaccines. the pieces are coming together.

    one of the great fears in any vaccination campaign is that the vaccine can wind up becoming the driver viral evolution and making the virus more dangerous. this is a special concern around imperfect (so called “leaky”) vaccines that are non-sterilizing. such vaccines do not stop spread or contagion of the virus. this means the virus will have lots of chances to replicate.

    when you combine this with a vaccine that reduces severity of cases and prevents deaths in the vaccinated, it’s a bit of a perfect storm. you get full spread but break the evolutionary gradient towards mildness that viruses tend to follow (and that protects humanity from them).

    this is EXACTLY what leaky vaccines did in chickens.
    (read these links. THIS in particular. it’s important.)

    such vaccines change the evolutionary gradient for a virus. instead of becoming less virulent/deadly, they can tend the other way because the maladaptiveness of killing the host is mitigated in the vaccinated population. this is what happened with marek’s disease in chickens.

    not only is it now more lethal to them than ebola is to humans, making it one of if not THE hottest persistent disease known (killing 100% of unvaxxed birds in 10 days), but, it’s now a disease so hot that an unvaccinated chicken cannot spread it. they die too quickly. only the vaccinated birds spread the nasty strains of mareks. they’re the only ones who live long enough to shed virus.

    ““Previously, a hot strain was so nasty, it wiped itself out. Now, you keep its host alive with a vaccine, then it can transmit and spread in the world,” Read said. “So it’s got an evolutionary future, which it didn’t have before.”

    See bottom https://www.headsupster.com/forumthread?shortId=180

  36. Fast Eddy says:

    norm???? norm….. if you are at the clinic you need to read this first

    Vaccine Effectiveness Drops Again, Now as Low as Minus-86% in Over-40s, Latest PHE Data Shows

    https://dailysceptic.org/2021/10/10/vaccine-effectiveness-drops-again-now-as-low-as-minus-86-in-over-40s-latest-phe-data-shows/

  37. Fast Eddy says:

    According to Delhi’s Power Minister Satyendra Jain, more than half of India’s 135 coal-fired power plants, which supply around 70% of the country’s electricity, have seen their stocks depleted to such low levels that they only have enough to guarantee power for three days before the capital city is hit with blackouts. Typically, they’re supposed to keep a buffer supply of at least one month. But these aren’t normal times.

    “If coal supply doesn’t improve, there will be a blackout in Delhi in two days,” the national capital’s Power Minister Satyendra Jain said today. “The coal-fired power plants that supply electricity to Delhi have to keep a minimum coal stock of one month, but now it has come down to one day,” Mr Jain said.

    Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party is pleading with the government to send emergency supplies of coal by rail: “our request to the center is that railway wagons should be arranged and coal should be transported to the plants soonest. All the plants are already running in only 55 per cent capacity,” according to NDTV.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/india-faces-rolling-blackouts-coal-shortage-forces-power-plants-adopt-emergency-measures

  38. Fast Eddy says:

    Running with the bulls?

    https://twitter.com/i/status/1439231511308509186

  39. Fast Eddy says:

    Aussie Gestapo in action!!!!

    https://twitter.com/i/status/1441101624471023621

  40. Fast Eddy says:

    I guess the weather only effects Southwest… the MOREONS are so stoooopid that they will believe this

    • blade says:

      A large amount of pilots walked off the job instead of being jabbed and southwest just made up some bullshit to cover their ass.

  41. Fast Eddy says:

    Southwest Airlines Co. canceled more than 1,800 flights over the weekend, citing bad weather and air-traffic-control problems in Florida that rippled throughout its operation.

    The airline canceled over 1,000 flights Sunday, or 28% of its schedule, according to FlightAware, a flight-tracking website. Over 500 flights were delayed.

    https://www.wsj.com/articles/southwest-airlines-cancels-over-1-800-flights-11633895543?mod=hp_lead_pos10

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