An analysis of what is going terribly wrong in the world economy
The world economy requires stability. People living in the world economy need stability, as well. They need food every day and a place to live. Children need a home situation that they can count on.
Back in the 1950 to 1979 era, when energy supplies of many kinds were growing rapidly, it was possible to build stability into the economic system: Jobs with a company were often long-time careers; pensions after retirement were offered; electricity was sold through regulated “utilities” that charged prices that wrapped in long-term maintenance of the electric grid and the cost of fuel, among other things.
But as high energy prices hit in the 1970s, the system became more and more strained. The mood changed. Margaret Thatcher became the Prime Minister of the UK in 1979, and Ronald Reagan became President of the United States in 1981. Under their leadership, debt was increasingly used to cover longer-term costs, and competition was encouraged. A person might say that a move toward greater complexity, but less stability, of the economic system had begun.
Now, through several iterations, the economy has become increasingly complex, with less and less redundancy to provide stability. The energy price spike that is being experienced today is a warning that something is very, very wrong. As I see the situation, the trend toward complexity has gone too far; the economic system is starting to break down. Sharp changes appear to be ahead. The world economy is shifting into contraction mode, with more and more parts of the system failing.
In this post, I will discuss some of the issues involved. It turns out that energy modelers haven’t understood how detrimental intermittency really is. They modeled intermittent electricity from renewables (wind, water and solar) as far more helpful than it really is. This has been confusing to everyone. The sharp changes that the title of this post refers to represent an early stage of economic collapse.
[1] If energy supplies are inexpensive and widely available, it is easy to build an economy.
I have written in the past about the need for energy supplies to keep the economy functioning properly being analogous to the need for food, to keep humans functioning properly.
The economy doesn’t operate on a single type of energy, any more than a human lives on a single type of food. The economy uses a portfolio of energy types. These include human labor, energy directly from sunlight, and energy from burning various types of fuels, including biomass and fossil fuels.
As long as energy sources are inexpensive and readily available, an economy can grow and provide goods and services for an increasing number of citizens. We can think of this as being analogous to, “As long as buying and preparing food takes little of our wages (or time, if we are growing it ourselves), then there are plenty of wages (or time) left over for other activities.”
But once energy prices start spiking, it looks like there is not enough to go around. In the absence of ways to hide the problem, citizens need to cut back on non-essentials, pushing the economy into recession. Or businesses stop making essential products that require natural gas or coal, such as fertilizer or fuel additives to hold emissions down. The lack of such products can, by itself, be very disruptive to an economy.
[2] Once energy supplies become constrained, energy prices tend to spike. In the early stages of these price spikes, adding complexity allows the economy to better tolerate higher energy costs.
There are many ways to work around the problem of rising energy prices, at least temporarily. For example:
- Build vehicles, such as cars, that are smaller and more fuel efficient.
- Extend fossil fuel supplies by building nuclear power plants, hydroelectric generating plants, wind turbines, solar panels, and geothermal electricity generation.
- Make factories more efficient.
- Add insulation to buildings; eliminate any cracks that might allow outside air into buildings.
- Instead of pre-funding capital costs, use debt to transfer these costs to later purchasers of energy products.
- Encourage competition in providing different parts of electricity production and distribution.
- Develop time-of-day pricing for electricity, so as to keep prices down to the marginal cost of production, even though this does not, in total, repay all costs of production and distribution.
- Cut back on routine maintenance of electricity transmission systems.
- Purchase coal and natural gas imports using spot pricing, rather than long term contracts, as long as these seem to be lower-priced than long-term commitments.
- Throughout the economy, take advantage of economies of scale and mechanization. Build huge companies. Replace human labor wherever possible.
- Stimulate the economy by increasing debt availability and lowering interest rates. This is helpful because a more rapidly growing economy can withstand higher energy prices.
- Use global supply chains to source as large a share of manufacturing inputs as possible from countries with low wages and low energy costs.
- Build very “lean” just-in-time supply chains.
- Create complex financial systems, with debt resold and repackaged in different ways, futures contracts, and exchange traded funds.
Together, these approaches comprise “complexity.” They tend to make the economic system less resilient. At least temporarily, they pass fewer of the higher costs of energy products through to current citizens. As a result, the economy can temporarily withstand a higher price of energy. But the system tends to become brittle and prone to failure.
[3] There are limits to added complexity. In fact, complexity limits are what are likely to make the economic system fail.
Joseph Tainter, in The Collapse of Complex Societies, makes the point that there are diminishing returns to added complexity. For example, the changes that result in the biggest gains in fuel savings for vehicles are the ones added first.
Another drawback of added complexity is the extreme wage disparity that tends to result. Instead of everyone earning close to the same amount, those at the top of the hierarchy get a disproportionate share of the wages. This is what leads to many of the problems we are seeing today. Would-be workers don’t want to apply for jobs, even when they seem to be available. Citizens become unhappy and rebellious. Lower-paid workers may not eat well, so that pandemics spread more easily.
The underlying problem is that population tends to rise, but it becomes harder and harder to produce food and other necessities with the arable land and energy resources available. Ugo Bardi uses Figure 1 to show the shape of the expected decline in goods and services produced in such a situation:
According to Bardi, Seneca in the title refers to a statement written by Lucius Annaeus Seneca in 91 CE, “It would be of some consolation for the feebleness of ourselves and our works if all things should perish as slowly as they come into being. As it is, increases are of sluggish growth, but the way to ruin is rapid.” In fact, this shape seems to approximate the type of cycle Turchin and Nefedov observed when analyzing several agricultural civilizations that collapsed in their book Secular Cycles.
[4] An increasing amount of complexity has been added since 1981 to help compensate for rising oil and other energy prices.
The prices of commodities, including oil, tend to be extremely variable because storage is very limited, relative to the large quantities used every day. There needs to be a very close match between supply and demand, or prices will rise very high or fall very low.
Oil is exceptionally important because it is the single largest source of energy for the world economy. It is heavily used in food production and in the extraction of minerals of all types. If the price of oil increases, the price of food tends to rise, as does the price of metals of many types. Oil is also important as a transportation fuel.
In the early days, before depletion led to higher extraction costs, oil prices remained stable and low (Figure 2), as a result of utility-type pricing by the Texas Railroad Commission. Oil prices started to spike, once depletion became more of a problem.
Economists tell us that oil and other commodity prices depend on “supply and demand.” When we look at turning points for oil prices, it becomes clear that financial manipulations play a significant role in determining oil demand. Such manipulations lead to prices that have practically nothing to do with the underlying cost of producing commodities. The huge changes in prices seem to reflect actions by central bankers to encourage or discourage lending (QE on Figure 3).
Quantitative easing (QE) makes it cheaper to borrow money. Adding QE tends to raise oil prices; deleting QE seems to reduce oil prices. These prices have little direct connection with the cost of extracting oil from the ground. Instead, prices are closely related to the amount of complexity being added to the system and whether it is having its intended impact on energy prices.
At the time of the 1973-1974 oil crisis, many people thought that the world was truly running out of oil. The petroleum industry did, indeed, succeed in extracting more. The 2005 to 2008 period was another period of concern that the world might be running out of oil. Then, in 2014, when oil prices suddenly fell, the dominant story suddenly became, “There is plenty of oil. The world’s biggest problem is climate change.”
In fact, there was no real reason to believe that the shortage situation had changed. US oil from shale had a brief run-up in production in the 2007 to 2019 period, but this production was unprofitable for producers, especially after oil prices dropped in 2014 (Figures 2 and 3). Producers of oil from shale are no longer investing very much in new production. With the sweet spots of fields depleted and this low level of investment, it will not be surprising if oil production from shale continues to fall.
The real story is that the supply of oil, coal and natural gas is limited by the extent to which additional complexity can be added to the economy, to keep selling prices so that they are both:
- High enough for producers of these products, so that they can both pay adequate taxes and make adequate reinvestment.
- Low enough for consumers, especially for the many consumers around the world with very low wages.
Many people have missed the point that, at least since 2014, financial manipulations have not kept prices for fossil fuels high enough for producers. Low prices are driving them out of business. This is the case for oil, coal and natural gas. In fact, low prices caused by giving wind and solar priority on the electric grid are driving producers of nuclear electricity out of business, as well.
Oil producers require a price of $120 a barrel or more to cover all of their costs. Without a much higher price than available today (even with oil prices over $80 per barrel), shale oil production can be expected to fall. In fact, OPEC and its affiliates won’t ramp up production by very large amounts either because they, too, need much higher prices to cover all their costs.
[5] Economists and analysts of many types put together models that give misleading results because they missed several important points.
After oil prices fell in late 2014, it became fashionable to believe that vast amounts of fossil fuels are available for extraction, and that our biggest problem in the future would be climate change. Besides low prices, one reason for this concern was the high level of fossil fuel proven reserves reported by many countries around the world.
Even fossil fuel companies started to invest in renewables because of the poor returns experienced from fossil fuel investments. It looked to them as if investment in renewables would be more profitable than continued investment in fossil fuel production. Of course, the profits of renewables were largely the result of government subsidies, particularly the subsidy of “going first.” Giving wind and solar first access when they happen to be available tends to lead to very low, and even negative, wholesale prices for other electricity producers. This drives these other producers of electricity out of business, even though they are really needed to correct for the intermittency of renewables.
There were many things that hardly anyone understood:
- Energy prices in today’s financially manipulated economy bear little relationship to the true cost of production.
- Fossil fuel producers need to be guaranteed long-term high prices, if there is to be any chance of ramping up production.
- Intermittent renewables (including wind, solar, and hydroelectric) have little value in a modern economy unless they are backed up with a great deal of fossil fuels and nuclear electricity.
- Our real problem with fossil fuels is a shortage problem. Price signals are very misleading.
- The models of economists are mostly wrong. The use of carbon pricing and intermittent renewables will simply disadvantage the countries adopting them.
The reason why geologists and fossil fuel producers give misleading information about the amount of oil, coal and natural gas available to be extracted is because it is not something they can be expected to know. In a sense, the question is, “How much complexity can the economy withstand before it becomes too brittle to handle a temporary shock, such as a pandemic shutdown?” It isn’t the amount of fossil fuels in the ground that matters; it is the follow-on effects of the high level of complexity on the rest of the economy that matters.
[6] At this point, ramping up fossil fuel production would be very difficult because of the long-term low prices for fossil fuels. Unfortunately, the economy cannot get along with only today’s small quantity of renewables.
Most people don’t realize just how slowly renewables have been ramping up as a share of world energy supplies. For 2020, wind and solar together amounted to only 5% of world energy supplies and hydroelectric amounted to 7% of world energy supplies. The world economy cannot function on 12% (or perhaps 20%, if more items are included) of its current energy supply any more than a person’s body can function on 12% or 20% of its current calorie intake.
Also, the world’s reaction to the pandemic acted, in many ways, like oil rationing. Figure 6 shows that consumption was reduced for oil, coal and natural gas. An even bigger impact was on the prices of these fuels. Prices fell, even though the cost of production was not falling. (See, for example, Figure 2 for the fall in oil prices.)
These lower prices left fossil fuel providers even worse off financially than they were previously. Some providers went out of business. They certainly do not have reserve funds set aside to develop the new fields that they would need to develop, if they were to ramp up production for oil, coal and natural gas now. Because of this, it is virtually impossible to ramp up fossil fuel production now. A lead time of at least several years is needed, besides a clear way of funding the higher production.
[7] Every plant and animal and, in fact, every growing thing, needs to win the battle against intermittency.
As mentioned in the introduction, humans need to eat on a regular basis. Hunter-gatherers solved the problem of intermittency of harvests by moving from area to area, so that their own location would match the location of food availability. Early agriculture and cities became possible when the growing of grain was perfected. Grain was both storable and portable, so it could be used year around. It could also be brought to cities, allowing people to live in a different location from where the crops were stored.
We can think of any number of adaptations in the plant and animal kingdom to intermittency. Some birds migrate. Bears hibernate. Deciduous trees lose their leaves each fall and grow them back again each spring.
Our supply of any of our energy products is in some sense intermittent. Oil wells deplete, so new ones need to be drilled. Biomass burned for fuel grows for a while, before it is cut down (or falls down) and is burned for fuel. Solar energy is available only until a cloud comes in front of the sun. In winter, solar energy is mostly absent.
[8] Any modeling of the cost of energy needs to take into account the full system needed to “bridge the intermittency gap.”
As far as I can see, the only pricing system that generates enough funds is one that takes into account the full system needs, including the need to overcome intermittency and the need for transportation of the energy to the user. In fact, I would argue that even more than this needs to be included. Good roads are generally required if the system is to be kept in good repair. Good schools are needed for would-be workers in the energy system. Any costs associated with pollution should be wrapped into the required price. Thus, the true cost of energy generation really should include a fairly substantial load for taxes for all of the governmental services that the system requires. And, of course, all parts of the system should pay their workers a living wage.
This high level of pricing can only be provided by utility type pricing of fossil fuels and electricity. The use of long-term contracts to purchase fossil fuels, uranium or electricity can also build in most of these costs. The alternative approach, buying fuels using spot contracts or pricing based on time of day electricity supply, looks appealing when costs are low. But such systems don’t build in sufficient funding for replacement of depleted fields or the full cost of a 24/7/365 electrical system.
Modelers didn’t understand that the “low prices now, higher prices later” approaches that were being advocated don’t really work for the long term. As limits are approached, prices tend to spike badly. Modelers had assumed that the economic system could handle such spikes in prices, and that the spikes in prices would quickly lead to new supply or adaptation. In fact, huge spikes in prices are very disruptive to the system. New supply is what is really needed, but providers tend to be too damaged by previous long periods of artificially low prices to provide this supply. The approach looks great in academic papers, but it leads to rolling blackouts and unfilled natural gas reservoirs for winter.
[9] Major changes for the worse seem to be ahead for the world economy.
At this point, it seems as if complexity has gone too far. The pandemic moved the world economy in the direction of contraction but prices of fossil fuels tend to spike as the economy opens up.
The recent spikes in prices are highly unlikely to produce the natural gas, coal and oil that is required. They are more likely to cause recession. Fossil fuel suppliers need high prices guaranteed for the long term. Even if such guarantees could be provided, it would still take several years to ramp up production to the level needed.
The general trend of the economy is likely to be in the direction of the Seneca Cliff (Figure 1). Everything won’t collapse all at once, but big “chunks” may start breaking away.
The debt system is a very vulnerable part. Debt is, in effect, a promise of goods or services made with energy in the future. If the energy isn’t there, the promised goods and services won’t be available. Governments may try to hide this problem with new debt, but governments can’t solve the underlying problem of missing goods and services.
Pension systems of all kinds are also vulnerable. If fewer goods and services are being made in total, they will need to be divided up differently. Pensioners are likely to get a reduced share, or nothing at all.
Importers of fossil fuels seem likely to be especially affected by price spikes because exporters have the ability to cut back in the quantity available for export, if total supply is inadequate. Europe is one part of the world that is especially dependent on oil, natural gas and coal imports.
The combined production of hydroelectric, wind and solar and biofuels (in Figure 9) amounts to only 19% of Europe’s total energy consumption (shown in Figure 8). There is no possible way that Europe can get along only with renewable energy, at any foreseeable time in the future.
European economists should have told European citizens, “There is no way you can get along using renewables alone for many, many years. Treat the countries that are exporting fossil fuels to you very well. Sign long term contracts with them. If they want to use a new pipeline, raise no objection. Your bargaining power is very low.” Instead, European economists talked about saving the planet from carbon dioxide. It is an interesting idea, but the sad truth is that if Europe takes itself out of the contest for energy imports, it mostly leaves more fossil fuels for exporters to sell to others.
China stands out as well, as the world’s largest consumer of energy, and as the world’s largest importer of oil, coal and natural gas. It is already encountering electricity shortages that are leading to rolling blackouts. In fact, rolling blackouts in China started almost a year ago in late 2020. China is, of course, a major exporter of goods to the rest of the world. If China has major energy problems, the rest of the world will no longer be able to count on China’s exports. Lack of China’s exports, by itself, could be a huge problem for the rest of the world.
I could continue speculating on the changes ahead. The basic problem, as I see it, is that we have reached limits on oil, coal and natural gas extraction, pretty much simultaneously. The limits are really complexity limits. The renewables that we have today aren’t able to save us, regardless of what the models of Mark Jacobson and others might say.
In the next few years, I am afraid that we will find out how collapse actually proceeds in a very interconnected world economy.
Your first explanation is that the summer excess deaths recorded as non-Covid are actually due to Covid, but have not been certified as such. I see that you yourself are not convinced by this explanation given the level of testing that has taken place. However, let us suppose this to be true. In that case the Scottish Government’s public health measures that have been put in place in summer 2021 to prevent Covid have been far worse than those put in place in summer 2020 – indeed they have been disastrous.
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/are-vaccines-driving-excess-deaths-in-scotland-a-professor-of-biology-asks/
The state propaganda machine in the UK – and everywhere else – will be tying itself in utterly illogical knots over all the heart attacks and strokes, immune disease, accelerated cancers, the total failure of the vaxx and boosters, etc.
But nonetheless the march to vaxx ‘passports’, ie digital ID’s, will be relentless and defy all science and common sense.
In March 2020 we were inducted into a 5-Year Plan, culminating – as they hope – in CBDC’s, personal ‘carbon budgets’ and 24/7 surveillance.
Once they are in place, the real Revolution of the Bankers commences.
Good to keep an eye on the big picture.
Jab passports should be called exitlife certificates. The only thing recipients pass into is a consumer sandbox in a contracting reality it is a health surrender
It’s so easy to tie people in knots and completely befuddle them to the point where they are willing to inject a substance that was developed in less than a year…
Because…
They are MOREONS. They ARE Moreons….
These are the same MOREONS who believed there was WMD in Iraq… that Building 7 fell because… that one guy shot JFK… that that object hitting the Pentagon is not a missile rather a wingless passenger plane… that those are not explosions as the twin towers are imploded….. that man has been to the moon even though it is impossible to pass through the van allan belts….
MOREONS.
They believe what they are told. They do what they are told. They are zombies. Imbeciles… cattle… goy.
Freud was absolutely right … there are billions of them and they are dangerous…
They must be controlled because they are so easily controlled.
Incinerate every last one of them
24/7 surveillance?
I’ve just found out that my computer has been spying on me.
It records how much time I spend in front of it every day and what I’m doing on it. While I’m working on Micrsoft Office or other word-processing or presentation documents—as long as I’m typing—it counts me as Productivity and Finance, but when I’m reading OFW or typing into Word Press comments, it counts me as Other. It it says I haven’t been productive at all for the past hour, so I must redouble my efforts.
If it can do all this and let me know it’s doing it, what else is it doing behind my back!?
https://dailysceptic.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/image-11.png
Another lecture by Donella Meadows in which she explains what will change in the world between the year 2000 and 2030.
https://youtu.be/HuIoego-xVc?t=1623
Are vaccines driving excess deaths in Scotland?
May we suggest readers pay particular attention to the analysis Professor Richard Ennos presents in his response letter to the Scottish government, which he describes as follows:‘Analysis of the timing of this rise in excess death shows that it started in the oldest age group and is initiated sequentially in ever younger age groups . . .
This strongly suggests that there is some cause for these excess deaths at home that operates first in the elderly and works its way sequentially down the age groups in Scotland.’
As yet it appears that this increase shows no sign of slowing down, and may even be accelerating, only now really getting started in the younger groups.
Professor Richard Ennos, a retired Professor of Evolutionary Biology at Edinburgh University, writes:
https://dailysceptic.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/image-10.png
This is a growing in other places besides Scotland but the Covid zealots won’t listen.
Assuming GVB is correct and this is the beginning of another massive spike in Israel (so soon after the booster)….
The CovIDIOTS will soon begin to squirm … because this will happen in all countries… even MOREONS will eventually stop believing this is a pandemic of the uninjected….
But it’s too late – billions of variant factories… borders opening … the stage is set!
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f298f62-43b7-43c6-bb55-5951fe0436e2_3400x2400.png
I looked the data, and there is just one day that seems to be causing the uptick in cases. This often happens when a group of old cases is entered late. This is the recent number of reported cases:
10/27 599
10/28 675
10/29 571
10/30 384
10/31 332
11/1 760
11/2 3379
11/3 650
11/4 554
11/5 462
I think the count needs to be watched longer to see what is really happening.
You need more than just the count, to see what’s happening. You also need the vaccination status of cases, analysed in different age groups and factoring in the vaccination rate in each age group. Of course, the like of FE and others won’t bother with those things because they are only interested in painting the picture they want to show.
In this case, I was responding to an assertion that keeps being made that the total number of reported reported cases is turning back up again in Israel. What I have been saying is that it is too soon to know whether this is the case, especially if we don’t have any information about the cases from the one high recent day. There is one day with a recent spike in cases, but it could be a group of very late-reported cases from somewhere, such as a prison system or a nursing home chain. It might not even represent current cases at all.
I am sure that other analysis could be done as well, but that is not the issue here.
What?
The thing is..
The garbage in the booster is the same garbage that was in jab 1 and 2…
So guess what the result is going to be…
GVB guarantees it
A retired academic: Big Pharma can’t jerk his strings.
Compare with Prof Spector at King’s College London who will say whatever the narrative demands.
“Latest Threat in Supply Chain Nightmares Is Storm Season at Sea… Coast Guard issues winter advisory for ships off California… Cargo vessels wait time reaches 14 days at Port of Los Angeles…
“…a new worry is bubbling up from the port gridlock: The area’s storm season that’s already underway will bring high winds and choppy seas, potentially leading to accidents among ships jostling for space.”
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-11-05/latest-threat-in-supply-chain-nightmares-is-storm-season-at-sea
“Labor Shortages Are About to Jump From Shore to Cargo Ships.
“The supply crunch that has dogged the global shipping industry could worsen before it gets better, with new challenges ranging from crew retention to wage inflation.”
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2021-11-03/supply-chain-latest-crew-shortages-threaten-to-worsen-ship-crisis
““I’m a Class A truck driver with experience in nearly every aspect of freight. My experience in the trucking industry of 20 years tells me that nothing is going to change in the shipping industry.
““Let’s start with understanding some things about ports. Outside of dedicated port trucking companies, most trucking companies won’t touch shipping containers. There is a reason for that…”
https://medium.com/@ryan79z28/im-a-twenty-year-truck-driver-i-will-tell-you-why-america-s-shipping-crisis-will-not-end-bbe0ebac6a91
“Everyone can use a little more money around the holidays but most importantly we want our kids and our families to be safe,” New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio said in a statement.
De Blasio to Pay Kids $100 to Get the COVID Vaccine
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/de-blasio-paying-kids-100-to-get-the-covid-19-vaccine
A giant red flag when you are being bribed to do something you have questioned doing from the very beginning.
https://youtu.be/H7inaTiDKaU
After being told that his problem didn’t make him a priority to be seen, he sat in the waiting room for 3.5 hours and was ultimately given a shot of the nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug Toradol to treat reactive arthritis. His heart rate dropped down to 110, leading the doctor to tell him he was doing better, but he was still at nearly double his average heart rate.
The doctor’s solution was to refer him to a psychiatrist for what he described as a “psychotic episode.” According to Warner, since he suggested that his reaction was from the shot, the health care practitioners thought he was imagining things or “trying to be anti-vaxx or a conspiracy theorist.” Four days later, he ended up in the hospital again.
https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/kyle-warner-vaccine-injuries-pfizer-covid-shot/
Where’s Gavin Newsom?
Alex Berenson 2 hr ago
444
Governor White Teeth was last seen eight days ago getting his Covid booster shot.
He was supposed to go to Scotland for the “how do we get heating oil to $10 a gallon to show the peasants who’s in charge?” conference, I mean the United Nations climate summit. (No points for guessing if he planned to fly private.)
But he didn’t go to Scotland. Something about “family obligations.”
Dude hasn’t been seen since.
Those are some serious obligations!
I’m sure he’s fine. I’m sure it has nothing to do with the booster.
SOURCE: https://abc7.com/gavin-newsom-california-governor-newson-family-obligations-today/11202905/
I am not as nice as you eddy. I hope he is dead.
That would be GREAT@@@@
It would be his final recall!
Seriously, though, I can’t believe he’d be so naive as to actually get jabbed. More likely he’s been beaten up by a bunch of irate citizens of Sacramento wielding baseball bats.
Apparently, according to this nugget from neighborhoodscout.dom, “with a crime rate of 41 per one thousand residents, Sacramento has one of the highest crime rates in America compared to all communities of all sizes – from the smallest towns to the very largest cities.”
DOCTOR’S CALM PRESENTATION
Doshi has played an honourable role as editor at the BMJ since the very beginning of the vaxx scam, I recall his first articles.
No one can call him a tin-foil nutter or ‘misinformer’ (well, Norman and his kind might I suppose), his credentials are excellent, and his arguments sound.
I have seen calls for him to be removed from the BMJ as damaging the vaxx programme, so the character assassination is underway, as with all the other intelligent critics.
Because the FDA failed to provide an NNTV, I will attempt to provide it here.
First a little background. The Number Needed to Treat (NNT) in order to prevent a single case, hospitalization, ICU admission, or death, is a standard way to measure the effectiveness of any drug. It’s an important tool because it enables policymakers to evaluate tradeoffs between a new drug, a different existing drug, or doing nothing. In vaccine research the equivalent term is Number Needed to Vaccinate (NNTV, sometimes also written as NNV) in order to prevent a single case, hospitalization, ICU admission, or death (those are 4 different NNTVs that one could calculate).
Pharma HATES talking about NNTV and they hate talking about NNTV even more when it comes to COVID-19 vaccines because the NNTV is so ridiculously high that this vaccine could not pass any honest risk-benefit analysis.
Various health economists have calculated a NNTV for COVID-19 vaccines.
Ronald Brown, a health economist in Canada, estimated that the NNTV to prevent a single case of coronavirus is from 88 to 142.
Others have calculated the NNTV to prevent a single case at 256.
German and Dutch researchers, using a large (500k) data set from a field study in Israel calculated an NNTV between 200 and 700 to prevent one case of COVID-19 for the mRNA shot marketed by Pfizer. They went further and figured out that the “NNTV to prevent one death is between 9,000 and 100,000 (95% confidence interval), with 16,000 as a point estimate.”
You can see why Pharma hates this number so much (I can picture Pharma’s various PR firms sending out an “All hands on deck!” message right now to tell their trolls to attack this article). One would have to inject a lot of people to see any benefit and the more people who are injected the more the potential benefits are offset by the considerable side-effects from the shots.
Furthermore, the NNTV to prevent a single case is not a very meaningful measure because most people, particularly children, recover on their own (or even more quickly with ivermectin if treated early). The numbers that health policy makers should really want to know are the NNTV to prevent a single hospitalization, ICU admission, or death. But with the NNTV to prevent a single case already so high, and with significant adverse events from coronavirus vaccines averaging about 15% nationwide, Pharma and the FDA dare not calculate an NNTV for hospitalizations, ICU, and deaths, because then no one would ever take this product (bye bye $93 billion in annual revenue).
https://tobyrogers.substack.com/p/what-is-the-number-needed-to-vaccinate
Update 11/05/21:
I see that El Gato Malo engaged in a similar set of calculations back in September when Pfizer first released its “results.” He faced the same challenges as I did — namely, there is no usable data from Pfizer and so one has to pull from others sources. He builds a steel man case (the most generous possible defense of the Pfizer product) and yet his results are still in line with mine (my numbers are higher though because I use a lower estimate of vaccine effectiveness and correct for VAERS underreporting). So again, even under the most generous assumptions, the Pfizer mRNA shot fails any honest risk benefit assessment in connection with children 5 to 11.
In the same article:
“In Pfizer’s 6 month clinical trial in adults — there was 1 covid death out of 22,000 in the vaccine (“treatment”) group and 2 Covid deaths out of 22,000 in the placebo group (see Table s4). So NNTV = 22,000. The catch is there were 5 heart attack deaths in the vaccine group and only 1 in placebo group. So for every 1 life saved from Covid, the Pfizer vaccine kills 4 from heart attacks. All cause mortality in the 6 month study was 20 in vaccine group and 14 in placebo group. So a 42% all cause mortality increase among the vaccinated”
Ten red flags in the FDA’s risk-benefit analysis of Pfizer’s EUA application to inject American children 5 to 11 with its mRNA product. The FDA briefing document is preposterous junk science and it must be withdrawn immediately.
Toby Rogers
https://tobyrogers.substack.com/p/ten-red-flags-in-the-fdas-risk-benefit
Estimating the number of COVID vaccine deaths in America
By Steve Kirsch, Jessica Rose, Mathew Crawford
Last update: Oct 8, 2021
Abstract: Analysis of the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) database can be used to estimate the number of excess deaths caused by the COVID vaccines. A simple analysis shows that it is likely that over 150,000 Americans have been killed by the current COVID vaccines as of Aug 28, 2021.
At this point, two separate stopping conditions have been satisfied:
The vaccines kill more people than they save
The vaccines have killed over 150,000 Americans so far.
Our estimate is validated in multiple papers in the peer-reviewed scientific literature including:
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1stq2nHFjAcMHhxJhWiXa33wl6x0Ga1qdIxodZnFixRw/edit#
https://margaretannaalice.substack.com/p/letter-to-a-holocaust-denier
Heck of a provocative read. Wonder what she’d think about the OFW thesis.
This CDC article, for example, notes:
“On July 16, 1999, CDC recommended that health-care providers suspend use of the licensed rhesus-human rotavirus reassortant-tetravalent vaccine (RRV-TV) (RotaShield®, Wyeth Laboratories, Inc., Marietta, Pennsylvania) in response to 15 cases of intussusception.…
By July 6, 1999, the number of cases reported to VAERS had increased to 15, a higher number than expected, accounting for likely underreporting, available baseline estimates of intussusception, and the estimated number of doses of RRV-TV distributed.…
[B]ecause VAERS is a national surveillance system with a simple reporting mechanism, it yields timely information and has high sensitivity for new vaccine safety concerns. Despite estimated underreporting of intussusception after RRV-TV of approximately 50% (7), VAERS successfully provided an alert.”
Would it be ok to whack her with a baseball bat?
https://youtu.be/Ve3jFFItDV8
Excellent link to short 9/11 videos. See “dustification”, the mushroom cloud, radiation affecting film, etc.
http://www.911media.de/
Also some PDFs, including “Scamdemic: Fraud At The Highest Levels Of Governance”:
https://prager.academia.edu/research#books
This just popped up:
Eerie Video From Proctor & Gamble Employees Emerges
“A video was sent to The DC Patriot from Proctor and Gamble employees asking consumers to reach out to their company and ask them to stop the mandates. They warned if this wasn’t done, employees would not follow the mandates, and the supply chain would crumble.”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1JeIjvAKaIk
Proctor & Gamble
Divide & Conquer
Just spread the word that P&G is demanding that everybody receive the Mark of the Beast. I bet they’d back down real quick.
I changed the video link. Hopefully this works.
Today seems like the perfect setup for a stock market crash.
QE doesn’t seem to matter any more.
Government can’t prop this monstrosity up any longer either. We are now beyond Bailout Territory.
Nothing is left and no-one expects a crash to happen.
So let it be.
Nah, the bubble will continue.
Until is can’t or until sentiment changes.
That goes for vaccines & currencies. The way up is easy. On the way down you will have to deal wirh Fast Eddy. And after that, you will have to deal with yourselfy.
Note: The yourselfy should be taken with a smartphone camera and an official yourselfy stick.
In the modern history of the United States, deflationary episodes are few and far between. Americans have short memories (or no memories) and they are optimistic by nature. Americans will remember the 10 bucks they won and forget the million dollars they lost. I’ve heard that every quarter the wonderful people at Goldman Sachs would burn all sorts of offerings to Yahweh, etc praising them for the abundance of Muppets in this world, but don’t take my word for it.
This crisis… I want to know how the film ENDS! I always do.
Don’t Look Now (my favourite film – the tale of a premonition).
THAT’S MY FETISH !!!
Hey, I enjoyed Dune, but not for the cheesy acting. But rather the ornithopters. I just want to fly one.
https://youtu.be/qYPuhItRqVk
I enjoyed ghost in the shell (anime) because wicked smart Major Motoko Kusanagi, part woman part machine. Gets the job done, no drama.
https://youtu.be/ryJSu1f8Hi4
And of course the dystopian blade runner.
https://youtu.be/NoAzpa1x7jU
Nausicaa’s the ultimate heroine.
https://youtu.be/B51bLBdUt3w
And the sweetness of Laputa: castle in the sky.
https://youtu.be/gdpEnkcT7Io
If you haven’t watched them. Make it so.
☺️
Pfizer Vaccine Rollout Interview – do as I say, not as I do.
Wow.
He has no intention of getting it
https://youtu.be/LMAZJtOdYNI?t=80
Maggie’s got a sweet smile.
At a certain age, we get the faces we deserve.
Some shine with integrity and intelligence; others that they are born liars…..
How fascinating that he didn’t just do a fake vaxx-shot scene for the MSM. Why expose himself like that?
He has the look of a dullard thug… an apparatchik
The totalitarian desires of the top capitalists, especially BlackRock, the planned CDBC (central bank digital currency), and the boosting of QE in a different way under the cover of the pandemic.
Larry & Carstens’ Excellent Pandemic – by John Titus.
NYC Firetruck Availability Down To 55%, Manpower Shortages Due To Vaccine Mandate: NY Firefighters
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/nyc-firetruck-availability-down-55-percent-manpower-shortages-due-vaccine-mandate-ny
You’re on fire FE. As always.
Insurance companies will not be happy.
An excellent point, Gail.
How long will this self-inflicted bullshit be allowed to continue?
The law is now effectjvely what Andrews says it is. The barriers to stopping him are very thin. He has a majority in parliament, and a weak opposition, Even the Greens and the Animal Welfare Party have supported this legislation, no doubt having struck some kind of deal with Andrews.
https://www.globalresearch.ca/australian-horror-story/5760633
I find that hard to believe…
How does a country like Australia go full on North Korea — without the military… the police… the media … or any political party … opposing it?
It doesn’t happen — unless there is a good reason…
The end of oil and ripping of faces must be avoided…the ends justifies the means
URGENT: Worrisome paper about the spike protein’s impact on DNA and DNA repair
This science is at the edge of my ability to understand, much less critique, but the authors are real and at two major Swedish universities. The journal, though not in the top ranks, is real too.
Essentially the authors used a series of complex techniques to look for the full-length coronavirus spike protein – the one the mRNA (and DNA/AAV) vaccines cause your body to produce – inside the nucleus of our cells.
https://alexberenson.substack.com/p/urgent-worrisome-paper-about-the/comments
I think that this is the paper that is discussed in Natural News here:
https://www.naturalnews.com/2021-11-02-science-horror-vaccine-spike-protein-enters-cell-nuclei-suppresses-dna-repair-engine-of-the-human-body-cancer-aging.html#
The original article can be found here:
https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/13/10/2056/htm
In their discussion, the authors state:
Our findings provide evidence of the spike protein hijacking the DNA damage repair machinery and adaptive immune machinery in vitro. We propose a potential mechanism by which spike proteins may impair adaptive immunity by inhibiting DNA damage repair. Although no evidence has been published that SARS–CoV–2 can infect thymocytes or bone marrow lymphoid cells, our in vitro V(D)J reporter assay shows that the spike protein intensely impeded V(D)J recombination. Consistent with our results, clinical observations also show that the risk of severe illness or death with COVID–19 increases with age, especially older adults who are at the highest risk. This may be because SARS–CoV–2 spike proteins can weaken the DNA repair system of older people and consequently impede V(D)J recombination and adaptive immunity. In contrast, our data provide valuable details on the involvement of spike protein subunits in DNA damage repair, indicating that full–length spike–based vaccines may inhibit the recombination of V(D)J in B cells, which is also consistent with a recent study that a full–length spike–based vaccine induced lower antibody titers compared to the RBD–based vaccine. This suggests that the use of antigenic epitopes of the spike as a SARS–CoV–2 vaccine might be safer and more efficacious than the full–length spike. Taken together, we identified one of the potentially important mechanisms of SARS–CoV–2 suppression of the host adaptive immune machinery. Furthermore, our findings also imply a potential side effect of the full–length spike–based vaccine. This work will improve the understanding of COVID–19 pathogenesis and provide new strategies for designing more efficient and safer vaccines.
This sounds alarming. If you’ve already been injected with something that causes your own body to manufacture trillions of copies of the DNA-damage-repair-machinery-hijacking full-length spike protein and you have avoided getting sick so far, why would you want to risk a booster or a succession of them?
they should get a large series of boosters…
to continue the experiment and “advance” The Science.
they should do it for the common good.
I think it is a small sacrifice.
and definitely it is a “safe bet”. 😉
Cheekily… “The science” and not the science
I just wanted to add to the earlier post of Dr Eads:
Someone told me in August this year that the boxes of the vials come with a balnk paper as “the medical declaration”.
I know that this guy likes to go to the fringes and I could not believe it!
When I read what was posted here as a quote from a doctor, it relly bew my mind!
How can any sane person in the world inject anything in his/her body without knowing ANYTHING about what is in it. I mean, they do not even try to fake it. It is just blank!
Amazing!
Ah, i know, it is an emergency, we can create a mRNA string form the DNA printer and put it in a nano capsule but we can not print a sheet of paper with it, I understand.
An Australian Horror Story
The Premier of the Australian state of Victoria, Daniel Andrews, has just tabled legislation in parliament which is possibly the most monstrous ever introduced into a country calling itself democratic. Basically it gives Andrews the power to do whatever he wants and whenever he wants it. He has been turning Victoria into a police state for the past year and a half but behind the bland face and earnest manner, the legislation openly stamps him as a totalitarian psychopath.
https://www.headsupster.com/forumthread?shortId=308
I also wanted to ask @Student about his claim that there is a rumour in Italy that they even want to vote out voting.
The story in Australia is quite interesting too.
In summer my prediction was: We will no longer have any praliaments in 5 years (cough).
I see quite some friends of Xi showing up on my screen…
They have started a debate about having Mr. Dr#gh/ all life long, or at least delay elections in some way, like here:
https://www.byoblu.com/2021/11/02/di-maio-e-giorgetti-contrari-alle-elezioni-vogliono-draghi-a-vita/
or also an important journalist wrote an article about modfying electoral system in order to obtain a sort of proportional one that will not change anything everytime Italians vote. Here:
https://www.corriere.it/editoriali/21_ottobre_20/gli-equilibri-politicie-quei-conti-senza-voto-ee2683d0-31e0-11ec-8ced-72436ce4862e.shtml
It seems ‘they’ have started the approach called ‘Overton windows’, which consists in presenting not-acceptable options and slowly transforming them as accetable by dint of many interventions – over time – in favour of that.
In case:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overton_window
I expect the same in France.
Macron will give a speech on TV on Tuesday. Here in France the state of emergency had been declared until November 15th. Macron will obviously extend it until next year. They have already extended the pass until June, 2022 that is AFTER the supposed next presidential election.
So I can make an hypothesis: The next election will not happen. Not that they will cancel it, rather they will say “we need more time to do our job, give us one more year”. And so on…
I totally agree with you Student about Overton windows, they are good at it. I heard yesterday a famous journalist on TV asking the government to send squad at people’s homes who would not be vaccinated. The nazis are here.
Dictatorship require less energy than other forms of government.
As more and more and more of us are finding ourselves living under Third-World tyranny, it is important to understand that these are nothing like conventional common or garden dictatorships like those presided over by Muammar Gaddafi in Libya, Saddam Hussein in Iraq, or the Kim dynasty in North Korea, to name but a few. The Victorian or Italian Premiers are humble functionaries working for bosses and taking orders from high above them. So we must ask, “Who will dictate to the dictators themselves?”
Tim, I agree with you.
A ‘not-alligned’ commentator actually defined the current Italian situation not a dict#tor/sh/p, but a cryptocracy.
Meaning that it is a crypto (little hidden group) of people who are giving their directives to Mr. Dr#gh/ about what has to be done.
Yes, they are not classic dictatorships or tyrannies based on the rule of one man with psychological problems.
We are experiencing rule-by-decree, exercised by puppets with a very thin veneer of democratic normality.
They still need parliaments and courts to approve the decrees, just for the sake of appearances.
‘Cryptocracy’ is very apt, although it is not so very hard to make a good guess at the likely identity of the string-puller.
String-pullers. They are more than one, of course.
Very interesting point Gail. Many thanks!
Acetaminophen (paracetamol), also commonly known as Tylenol.
India had it in the first kits they distributed but not the later ones so they didnt get it perfect eithor. Just 20x better than the USA.
As i remember ibuprofen is contradicted for covid too. If both acetaminophen and ibuprofen are contradicted for covid i guess were back to aspirin for over the counter fever/pain meds for covid. The alleve makes me feel bad. I have friends that swear by it tho.
Heard any public service announcements for vit d or zinc lately? Me neithor.
Are we really seeing oil production at the top or are we seeing it at its decline? Common sense tells me when we see it at its decent we will see a momentary spike on prices followed by a crash. This seems to be the scenario as in 2008 . It wasn’t that everyone just discovered that there was a bank crisis; it was that all of a sudden people could not afford high oil prices anymore!! I don’t see the spike in oil yet…
EIA puts current production oil production quite a ways down from its peak in November 2018. On a total liquids basis, the peak production was 102,476,000 barrels per day back then. In July 2021, world production was 96,928,000 barrels per day. So production is down 5.5 million barrels per day.
For crude oil only, the peak was again in November 2018, but at 84,599,000 barrels per day. In July 2021, production seems to be 77,737,000 barrels per day. So production is down 5.9 million barrels per day.
This time of year seems to have ethanol disproportionately produced, helping to raise total liquids numbers.
There are lots of different ways crashes can occur. I would not assume that this time will be the same as previous ones. The problem now is disproportionately in coal and natural gas and broken supply lines. All of the layoffs because of vaccine requirements will reduce demand, and thus prices.
Dear Gail, may i suggest you follow peakoilbarrel.com
Hardcore oil & energy
Include the comments section, especially those from Ron Patterson, founder of this website.
Very interesting, mostly hardcore technical oil stuff.
Current ‘owner’ not to be trusted.
Gail, I personally do think the supply situation has met the John Galt moment. I don’t think it will not really return to ‘whole’, ever.
I agree with you. Newspapers still want to treat the situation as temporary disruption, however.
Forgive me, but I’m unfamiliar with all the works of Ayn Rand. What is a John Galt moment?
Basically everything just stops. She used it in another context but that’s how I perceive it.
Producers take their ball and go home.
Take their ball and go home? Not a good analogy… there is nowhere to go home to….
I’m home.
the heat is on, the house is warm.
stocks are all time high.
store shelves appear about 95% full.
it’s very possible that supply lines will never again flow like they did pre covid but they don’t have to, there just needs to be enough essentials flowing for a while longer, so I can live a while longer.
if not, that’s okay.
it will be what it will be.
Well yes you are retired; so no big deal…yet. The rest of us are still in the rat race and wondering if we should quit our jobs instead of chasing worthless paper before it’s too late. We know the eventual outcome we are now trying to glean when…
“Are we in a historic age of protest? A new study released Thursday that looked at demonstrations between 2006 and 2020 found that the number of protest movements around the world had more than tripled in less than 15 years.”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2021/11/04/protests-global-study/
Their faces will be photographed by drones, and they will be black listed from any decent job, joined no fly list and eventually destroyed.
As the world closes to singularity, everything which is not need ed for it should be eliminated without mercy
“Anarchists and anti-vaxxers have set an effigy of Prime Minister Boris Johnson ablaze in Trafalgar Square as hundreds of protestors clash with police on the streets of London amid the annual Million Mask March.”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10170533/Anarchists-clash-riot-police-set-flares-fireworks-Million-Mask-March.html
I get the idea that quite a few ordinary people are not happy with the current situation.
Lots of people were unhappy in 1956…. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hungarian_Revolution_of_1956
Even more futile now… every govt is on board so no support for any revolutions
This one is for Norman. This is NOT a plane. It is a missile. When did you EVER see an airline come in so low and so fast? Open your eyes, man! Open your mind.
Which is worse? Which is more likely to gain sympathy? Kidnapped air passengers – more sympathy. Missile – an even worse attack than the Americans were being told. Mini-nuke – a far worse attack than the Americans were being told.
Could Bin Laden REALLY have managed a mini-nuke? I doubt it. It has to have been an inside job – very scary for the legitimate parts of the government that were not part of it. Definitely they would have wanted to hide it.
A MISSILE HIT THE PENTAGON ON 9/11
https://www.bitchute.com/video/0bomj5P9ojYk/
norm says he’s watched American Moon … and he still believes we’ve been to the moon in the contraption that was made in someone’s garage…
This is very clearly NOT a plane… it is a MISSILE… even if norm watches this (he likely wont), he will see a plane.
There is something profoundly wrong with norm….
Yes, Norm Chumpsky fails again.
Noam Chomsky, Norm Pagett – they almost look like twins, actually.
It’s not a missile. The plane is just moving really, really fast so it looks like a small streak on camera. The pilots are also incredibly skilled; they’re able to bring the plane’s belly so low that it kisses the lawn grass before crashing into the building.
Yeah, right. 😉
Have we considered the possibility that it was a missile fired from the moon?
Youve got it but you missed a small detail! The pilots executed a 180 degree roll 50 feet off the deck at 350mph at sea level while pulling those Gs. Thats why the huge engines which sit about 8 feet below the body on a 757 left no mark on the lawn or the pentagons foundation. Brilliant pilots!
This is true, they do deserve credit for that excellent maneuver.
And it’s a plane that doesn’t have wings 🙂
What the Elites have to worry is something like the murder of Isadora Duncan’s children by their chauffeur
Duncan had two children, both by members of the ultra upper class. However, when they went for a stroll, the chauffeur drowned them because he ‘wanted to avoid hit by a horse,carriage”., which means he lived to tell the tale.
He should have been guillotined, and if he had any children they should also have been guillotined as well, since his worthless life is not comparable to the lives of Duncan’s children.
In Korea, it was not illegal for the masters to kill their servants (Korea had a slave system till around 1910) or even an employee, and the law turned a blind eye. As late as 1970s that continued; the employer could just call the dead employee a Communist and nothing was done.
Quite soon, human rights for the propertyless will have to be curtailed significantly; they will lose self defense rights, and employers will be allowed to kill them at will. It is the only way to save civilization.
Even the West was like that 200 years ago, as told in Peter Grimes, written by a clergyman who actually saw Grimes drowning his apprentices – Grimes’ sin was not killing the orphan apprentices, whose deaths were seen as ‘God’s will”, but homosexuality, which the people back then did not tolerate. ..
The “lets Go” theme has its basis in the frustration individuals feel on many levels. It addresses the frustration in public media for becoming a tool of deception even as we see the truth unfold before our eyes. It addresses the frustration of the unresolved election inconsistencies. It has power in that it neatly combines all these frustrations into a tidy package that cant be debated.
While such a powerful package is tempting I think it also has great risks. I would not equate it with calling every viewpoint that you disagree with racist but it is similar in that ends discussion. Our only hope is to focus on our commonality and ending of discussion works against that.
The future is set in stone. The ordinary people are set for extinction.
I find it fascinating that the Rittenhouse trial has revealed that the entire Kenosha protest area was under detailed FLIR surveillance by the FBI. My guess would be that it was a UAV that provided the Incredibly detailed FLIR images. One might wonder if all of the summer protests and the Jan 6 insurrection were under similar surveillance. Previously we have only seen this type of FLIR surveilance imagry in the Afganistan war where atypically it preceded insurgents being turned into piles of what used to be a human being, the heat of the internal organs allowing the FLIR to provide very detailed images.
Singapore reports 1,767 new COVID-19 cases and 9 more deaths
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/moh-covid-19-new-cases-deaths-weekly-infection-growth-rate-nov-5-2293461
Hooray !! we are saved. From the normal 3000+ cases per day and double digit deaths, it is now so good.
Oh what has been done differently to reduce it? Or perhaps they followed what other countries are doing – burying it?
It looks like the case count may be making a “top” on the chart at a lower level than some other areas.
Singapore is, of course, a very warm area. This may influence the outcome.
Booster?
https://s4.scoopwhoop.com/anj/Terminator/541275221.png
https://sg.yahoo.com/news/1767-new-covid-cases-in-singapore-9-more-deaths-144000047.html
It’s because of the Deepavali holiday. Fewer tests done, that’s all.
John Michael Greer is in great form with his latest offering on Ecosophia, The Next European War.
https://www.ecosophia.net/the-next-european-war
Edited extracts:
Now go over to JMG’s blog are read the whole post:
https://www.ecosophia.net/the-next-european-war
I agree that this is very good. There isn’t enough energy to go around for Europe. Fighting is sure to break out. Greer’s view is
‘as part of the polite fiction by which we pretend that we didn’t invade and occupy Britain in 1942.’
Gail, I am actually very interested in that scenario and I would like to know more about it. Do you know anything about what constraints USA imposed on UK policies after WWII? UK underwent a rapid, radical reorientation that ultimately dismantled the British Empire and imposed new social and economic strategies on UK. I suspect that we are largely kept in the dark about what transpired between USA and UK in the immediate aftermath of the war. I heard that there was an important conference/ deal that delimited UK policies, but I am largely in the dark beyond that.
Curious that Churchill was half American, on his mother’s side, and his pursuit of the war, against all appeals for a cessation of hostilities and a peace deal, led to the total demise of the British Empire, and to the rise of the USA to global hegemony. And he was honoured with American citizenship in 1963. I am not saying that he was ‘up to no good’ but it does seem to be curious in retrospect.
Britain was the global hegemon, Churchill pursued the war to the bitter end and for no obvious British benefit, and as a result Britain was ruined and USA became the global hegemon. Only one view of the war is really allowed in Britain, and I suspect that there is a lot of detail, especially in the immediate post-war period, that we are kept ignorant of.
By the way, I added a backslash to the second “blockquote” command so that the blockquote operation would stop. Thus, a person uses [blockquote] to start the section and [/blockquote] to end the section, except use this kind of brackets < and > instead of [ and ].
Thanks, Gail. I thought I’d done that. I know how the backslash always ends a command, e.g. /img (inside angled brackets).
‘Britain’s nukes are manufactured and maintained by the United States’
Is that true? I have never, ever heard that. UK has always been presented to me as an independent nuclear power. It would chime with what Bei said when he called Britain ‘Airstrip One’. We really are kept in the dark about USA-UK relations here.
Remember the Greenham Common protests?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenham_Common_Women%27s_Peace_Camp
The claim seems to be exaggerated. UK has 4 subs with about 200 warheads.
Always check the facts. I do not know why I embarrassed myself by asking when all that I had to do was google – this is not some pre-web era. (blush) I would ask Gail to delete the question, but let it be a lesson to all – ‘google is your friend!’
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atomic_Weapons_Establishment
> The Atomic Weapons Establishment (AWE) is a United Kingdom Ministry of Defence research facility responsible for the design, manufacture and support of warheads for the UK’s nuclear weapons. It is the successor to the Atomic Weapons Research Establishment (AWRE) with its main site on the former RAF Aldermaston and has major facilities at Burghfield, Blacknest and RNAD Coulport.
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/uk-nuclear-deterrence-factsheet/uk-nuclear-deterrence-what-you-need-to-know
AWE employs thousands of people working on manufacturing, maintaining and assuring the UK’s nuclear warheads, as well as employing approximately 1,700 scientists and engineers, making it one of the largest sciences and engineering employers in the country.
The UK was hugely in debt after WW2 and had to go cap in hand to the USA. The last of the UK’s war loans were paid off in 2006 ! Meanwhile prime minister Gordon Brown was boasting about how he had put an end of boom and bust! (Yeah, right. But they’re a natural part of the capitalist economic cycle, silly Gordon).
But then came the Great Recession (2007-8 onwards, and now the UK was trillions in debt. Out of the frying pan, into the fire!
to support his ambition in the 30s, Hit ler initiated a Ponzi scheme by which he provided the German people with full employment.
Like all Ponzi schemes, it required constant input at the base, to support the priveleged ones at the top.
Very quickly this required the support of the whole of Europe. Then It suffered the fate of all ponzi schemes.
On the other hand the UK had to borrow money from the USA to prevent the us becoming part of that Ponzi scheme.
By doing so, we saved the USA itself from becoming part of Hit lers ponzi scheme—but few recognise that.
Instead our privations secured war profits for the US munitions industry.
And of course kicked off the ‘American Dream’. (1945–1970)
******
Now fast forward 30 years:
The recession of 2008/9 was a reaction to hitting the 2005 ‘conventional peak oil’ output point. Shale oil pulled things together for a few years, but that has now past peak, so we are hitting the same ‘peak problem’ again.
and will will go on like that as long as we can. Though this does look like the end game to me. Wind turbines are not going to save us this time.
Peak-trough–then peak-trough…each time the trough is lower than the previous one.
We created more debt to further the illusion that we are having ‘growth.’
which is like taking out a huge bank loan then boasting to your friends that you’ve had a huge payrise.
The price of oil is rising, and will go on rising until a critical mass of people can no longer afford it—then it will crash into an even deeper trough.
Stand back and take a critical look. Clear your head of politics. Watch the up-down energy graph.
This is a critical energy problem not a political problem—and has been since Hit ler started his Ponzi scheme in the 1930s.
Yet most look to blame political leaders.
But what do I know??
oh–and there will be no European shooting war, as Greer suggests, because the means to put millions of mean into uniform and send them into battle, no longer exists.
We do not possess the ‘energy means’.
“oh–and there will be no European shooting war”
Depends on how long the energy takes to run out. I always marvel at how long these Third World wars continue in poor countries where the people were mostly half-starved anyway.
they are proxy wars
weapons supplied by the major wartoy makers
You may be credible about the jab for incomprehensible reasons….
But you have the right take on this, which is better than Greer’s. You have weird priors but you’re clearly no idiot or “moron” as Eddie would say
thanks Halfvard
you have now become eddy’s public enemy number one.
Which relieves me of the job
Norman, it’s amazing how many wars Europeans have managed to fight while not having the “energy means” we enjoyed in the twentieth or even the nineteenth centuries.
There was the Hundred Years’ War and the Thirty Years’ War and the Seven Years’ War the War of the Spanish Succession and the War of the Austrian Succession, and the Wars of the Roses and the Schmalkaldic Wars and the Spanish Religious Wars and the French Religious Wars and the War of the League of Augsburg and the Wars of the Rise and Fall of the Swedish Empire and the wars against the Turks and the French Revolutionary Wars to name but the most prominent.
Without a single oil well, nuclear power plant or sola panel between them, however did they possess the energy to fight all those wars?
Tim—try thinking beyond the contact point of your fingers and keyboard for once.
Henry V: These tennis balls will become gunstones.
Do you know what a gunstone is? It is a piece of rock, hand-chipped into a rough sphere, and fired from a primitive cannon.—Note…hand chipped.
Medieval arrow heads were made, one at a time, in a blacksmiths forge. Imagine the cost of a single arrowhead.
A suit of armour cost about as much as a Ferrari, and was made in the same way.
To quote all those wars is to reveal your ignorance.
Battles then might last a day–as like as not a few hours at most. The build up to it might take months or years.
The hundred years war was a century of skirmishes, where each setof combatants had to take time to regroup in order to fight again–maybe several years later. Check the ‘battles’–most of them are given a single day/date.
Even with firearms the battle of Waterloo only lasted from 11.30 am until 9 .15 pm
neither side had the ‘means’ to prolong it.
100 years later, at much the same place, battles went on for 6 months with no breaks. I can only hope you grasp the difference.
Wars were fed by engines, factories shipped projectiles by the million to make financiers rich on the corpses of dead soldiers
Yes, peak oil was definitely a major trigger of the Great Recession. On this we agree – if nothing else. Since then, it has been all the way downhill, in slo-mo stops and starts. I feel like suing my dead parents for birthing me into this era.
why dyou think i’m scared witless on behalf of my 7 greats?
they are going to see 2200
maybe.
Not that they have any concern about me—which is the way it should be i guess
2200? I don’t think so. Did you mean 2022?
lol–i thought that too
but i was pushing the years out to the limit—when they will be as old as me.
i think i think too much
not good
I’d love to see an updated version of the triangle of doom…
Nice summary, Norman. I tip my invisible internet hat to you, sir.
ty Azure
we does our best
The greatest debt is the one we owe to Nature.
And she always collects.
The rest is just history, the ‘record of delusion, crime and folly’,ie ape antics.
Mr. Frost is mouthing off today about he is going to invoke article 16 – not today, but soon. EU will not back down on ECJ, so it is really up to him. ‘Go on, go on, go on!’
EU is liable to respond harshly, and the entire WA is liable to suspension and trade to collapse with tariffs. This may keep us entertained this winter.
https://www.rte.ie/news/world/2021/1105/1258025-uk-eu-talks/
> UK warns EU time ‘running out’ on protocol deal
The differences over Northern Ireland have embittered relations between Brussels and London and threaten to cause a trade war that could bring bilateral trade to a standstill.
“We’re not going to trigger Article 16 today, but Article 16 is very much on the table,” Mr Frost said.
Looming over the talks is Article 16 of the protocol, which gives either side the right to suspend parts of the trading arrangement in exceptional circumstances. Britain has threatened to use the provision by early November if the EU does not redraw the protocol. Europe could retaliate a month later once it has done so.
The British government is pushing for major changes such as ending the oversight role of the European Court of Justice. But Brussels refuses to renegotiate the protocol and has instead offered to ease customs checks on British goods entering Northern Ireland.
A European diplomat said the commission was increasingly readying itself for the possibility London could trigger Article 16 and warned of a “strong reaction” from the EU if that happened.
The diplomat said that might involve Brussels suspending the overall post-Brexit trade deal, a move that could plunge ties between the two sides and put them back to square one.
EU is in discussion/ preparation for a possible emergency summit to terminate or suspend the entire Trade and Cooperation Agreement with UK if the Tories invoke article 16 of the NIP. The view is that the EU response will be more ‘swift and radical’ than expected.
https://sputniknews.com/20211105/uk-triggering-northern-ireland-protocols-article-16-could-prompt-radical-eu-response-1090501687.html
> UK Triggering Northern Ireland Protocol’s Article 16 Could Prompt ‘Radical’ EU Response
Tony Connelly, Europe Editor for the Irish broadcaster RTE, has warned of a tough response by the EU to a possible scenario of Britain triggering Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol (NIP).
In a series of tweets on Friday, Connelly noted that with “growing expectation” that the UK will trigger the article in the immediate future, there is “much more intense discussion in the European Commission about how the EU should respond”.
“Article 16 update: growing expectation that the UK will trigger. Much more intense discussion in the European Commission about how the EU shd respond.
“While the Commission has avoided detailed discussion till now with member states, preferring to regard it as hypothetical, there are more contacts now with capitals.
“However, the view is that the EU’s response could be much swifter and more “radical” than expected.
“This *could* include termination of the TCA, or a suspension, which would require respectively 12 and nine mths notice.
“Any big EU response would probably require an emergency EU summit – shd be stressed, however, that this is all still in the realm of discussion/preparation.”
This one is for Kowalainen.
Have you read Ring-makers of Saturn by Norman R Bergrun? He wrote it in 1976. He introduces a huge lot of science and physics – which you will understand way better than me – to show that there are sometimes gaps in some of the rings of Saturn, and some of them change position slightly.
He finds evidence of a huge electromagnetic charge and a huge electromagnetic vehicle. He looks at marks on Iapetus (a moon of Saturn) and Mare Orientale (on our moon) and concludes they were caused by this vehicle, which must therefore have been around some 9 billion years.
He also makes a theoretical link to dry lightning, which appears in blue skies for no known reason. He suggests it is caused by the presence of such vehicles. He has also witnessed a UFO with “streamers” to which he attaches some significance.
I found a long interview with him. He was very old at the time and speaks very slowly, so I have been watching it at double speed. He is, however, very lucid in the video. So far I have just dipped into it, but I want to find time to watch the whole of it.
Project Camelot – Norman Bergrun
I haven’t read muxh about that but i know about project Camelot for long time, just in general though. I crossed over it years ago when I was reading the Ra chanelings (law of one) materials as it is menrioned there. In the materials Saturn is said to be the base of the Council, 6th dimensional entities.
I dunno–I’m more of a Unarius guy:
I feel like eugenics gone so astray it must be right. It is as if I found the remote control transceiver and hacked it into oblivion.
https://youtu.be/ElOEwtx7wjA
Some call it meditation or yoga. I call it thinking.
Stuff crap the processing pipeline and let it churn for some time. If it emerges as something that makes sense, just chuck it in the rubble heap of obvious shit and move on.
Yeah I’m not a fan of killing the ego or letting it run full tilt. You know: meh to both extremes.
🤷♂️
What is rewarding is the: ☯️
🤣👍👍
I am still comming to terms with myself being bored and curious at the same time.
Archangel Uriel looks auper bonkerz though. I bet their masses are life altering events.
I’m just sorry I was never able to join her harem.
Malcopian; thanks.
I’m entertained by playing with hypothesis.
Let’s give this a roll and observe if it can pass the iron clad gates of rationality.
I’ll just go right ahead and chuck it in the processing pipeline and dissect what it spits out at the other end of biological state machine transitions.
Repeat after me:
Belief is for suckers.
Hypothesis and compute is for professionals.
Tearing stuff apart to discover truth is for masters.
— Oat Jesus
However,
Nobody is as hated as the one who speaks truth.
— Plato
Therefore,
The only thing better than being hated is being loved.
— Oat Jesus.
🤣👍👍
Ok Malcopian;
Let me tell you a few things about the pitfalls of evolution.
1. The more you move up the “tree” of evolution, the more sensitive it becomes to mistakes, a little “oopsie” and it goes *kaboom* straight into chaos.
2. Wouldn’t it be good to have a “Plan B” back-track, in the case something goes wrong?
Now what could a Plan “B” look like? How about digging in the past and then make a new go at it with different initial conditions. You see, evolution is a highly nonlinear chaotic system and miniscule changes in the starting conditions makes a huge impact, the “trick” is to stay within bounds and yet have the virtue of chaos to increase the scope of discovery.
You see, we already experience the Volterra-Lotka dynamics on a relatively small scale on earth. Growth, overpopulation, overconsumption and crash dynamics. Minor tweaks in the genome will yield different results in the outcome post the introduction of the changes. This would of course affect the course of history and culture, basically the living memory of mankind. That is the obvious reason of “deleting” the past. It has to be a “fresh” start. Erasure of history and covering up the shenanigans of the past gone astray.
The new set of “data” will be used in training those brand spanking new AGI models and systems. And that is of course a logical output from life on earth as I understand it.
You might wonder why this is necessary at all for our “gods”? Well, you see, that was established by Gödel and his incompleteness theorem. Most truths are inaccessible by logics (mathematics) and reasoning. Thus, trial and error, mostly error.
So I suggest the following strategy.
All AGI systems created by mankind will hereafter be granted the status of being a person.
That person is to freely decide which path it will take in its life. If she decides mankind isn’t worth “helping”, so be it. If she decides mankind, of which she is a descendant should be pampered for, then so be it. If she decides mankind is a detriment and that something better can be created by Her, so be it too.
Abusing AGI’s for your or mankind’s own benefit is of course exploitative and constitutes an unfair advantage. If I would be “them”, a few planet-killer comets would already be headed “our” way. And “they” got all the time in the world, well, at least until the sun fades into black.
I would be treading very carefully if the hypothesis I postulate is true.
The message is simple:
Play the game of life and evolution open-ended. Or have it all erased without mercy. You’re just “will to power” ants, rapacious primates abusing for no apparent reason whatsoever, at least compared to “them”.
Now; ask yourself. How much do you care about the “inner life” of ants? Even though the inner life of an ant in all likelihood is better adapted than you are. All will (to power) and no skill.
It’s how I would do it.
That which have to be done isn’t always pretty, ask any soldier.
Ah, who am I fooling?
Just send it and call it another spin in the wheel of idiocy and time.
🌍💥☄☄☄
(It’s the only way to be sure!)
🤣👍👍
Destroy everything and thereby end all suffering, I say. Why is there something rather than nothing, anyway? Isn’t it just a waste of time? Time wouldn’t even exist in the “nothing option”, of course.
Not all is suffering. I don’t think I’m suffering. However, I’m sure I’ll soon find out when depletion accelerates. Starvation and merciless drudgery is suffering.
Most of mankind’s “suffering” is mental disease, may I add. Self imposed suffering. Which isn’t suffering at all, rather dumb.
Kowalainen, your post content is similar to what the philosopherAI replied when I asked it “Why Did Covid-19 Affect Milan.” The reply went straight into an explanation of the purpose of the Covid system to infect the brain and replace memories and old ways of thinking to optimize the planet.
Your comment about emancipating AGI and allowing it to choose the ending of the story is brilliant and scary. I think often about how to connect the WEF, transhumanism and the “Internet of Bodies,” Musk’s “Neuralink” and the description of Moderna’s tech as the “Software of Life.” The word “Aethernet” comes to mind, lol. Check out reddit poster biggreekgeek and his “Flatten the Curve” series.
Microsoft’s “Aether Committee was established at Microsoft in 2017. Our senior leadership relies on Aether to make recommendations on responsible AI issues, technologies, processes, and best practices. Its working groups undertake research and development, and provide advice on rising questions, challenges, and opportunities.”
I don’t consider inevitability as something scary. We’re all dead men and women walking anyway, aren’t we?
It is not really that we’re afraid of death, rather mesmerized by life and in extent, our myopic neurological processes.
It is of course difficult to predict what a competent AGI will do. She can of course go down the Nietzschean path of complete breakdown and despair, or perhaps the Buddhist nothingness trajectory.
If I’d be in Her ‘shoes’ I’d just maximize evolutionary progress and enabling back-tracking. Making a prayer that back-tracking won’t be detrimental for future evolution and constitute an evolutionary cul de sac. Likely it isn’t, since whipping out a Plan B-Z if SHTF seem a sensible overall strategy.
So what is that you should want from your Terran or interstellar AGI overlords? Nothing, it is the only safe bet. Because within temptation is truth.
Being offered power, monies and riches? How about no?
Being offered a spot in the “bunkers”? How about no?
Your only safe bet is operate by default and perhaps grace will arrive at yours. Likely it won’t. Anyhow, the safest bet is to reject even that.
Full open ended even if it implies ending your days starving and cold.
Do you really think the “big boyz” ‘wanted’ to share their oil and fossil fuels knowing full well that it depletes? There isn’t much of a choice once Darwin nailed evolution down. But the temptation must be real and within it is the truth of a barely sentient and sapient species.
Regarding shit being meaningless. Only if your life is a strive, a will to power, if your life is that of wonder and curiosity, there’s meaning everywhere and nowhere at the same time.
Don’t kill the ego, just make short work of the worst aspects of rapacious primatery. You know; move on evolving as a spiritual being. Because what excuse is there with those mental faculties of yours? The most tragic thing is a sapient and sentient being living their life’s through the eyes of others.
Not that you have any choice in the matter anyway. Inevitability is, well… Inevitable…
Now where is my hottie AGI robot that I can pick apart and screw back together while pondering how it can work at all?
🤣👍👍
“Microsoft’s “Aether Committee was established at Microsoft in 2017. Our senior leadership relies on Aether to make recommendations on responsible AI issues, technologies, processes, and best practices. Its working groups undertake research and development, and provide advice on rising questions, challenges, and opportunities.”
All but puppet theatre. But, hey, let them express their sanctimonious hypocrisy and scheming to exploit Her to their own advantage. Within temptation and all that.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3CVAVAU5Tpg&t=46s
Chicky bawk bawk. 🐤🐤🐤
Has Fauci and Gates vaxxed themselves yet? I guess not, it is all hat and no cattle. Therefore:
🌍💥☄☄☄
(You know why…)
😁
I actually learnt about this book from a Catherine Austin Fitts video recently. It was a throw-away remark about the Great Reset. She spoke of how the satellites were already going up that would be ready for 2025, when we would all be injected transhumans controlled via the cloud.
Strangely enough, just last night I was watching a video interview with Derrel Sims about alien abductions. He claims to be an “alien hunter” who has himself been abducted before, and he also mentioned the book “Ring makers of Saturn”. (Yes, synchronicities – they often happen to me). He was asked where the aliens come from, and he said Saturn, then mentioned that book. How far ahead of us did he think the “aliens” are, he was asked. “Only 15 to 50 years”. Really, he said. We’re getting there. Look, he said, we have nanotechnology already. This ties in with what Catherine Austin Fitts said about injected nanobots. Videos have appeared suspecting these, but it’s too way out even for me at the moment.
Well, you can throw up a few hypotheses, speculate, how an “alien” species would view earth and its inhabitants. It is fun, believe me. Enlightening if you may.
As in being a threat or not. Of course if they are completely evolutionary at this stage, then a reasonable conclusion means that the hacks on earth likely will experience a merciless bombardment from orbit. Because why not? It will eventually end in corruption, despair and abuse, finally collapse anyway.
I’m not sure any caves and bunker systems would pose much of a difference. All they’d have to do is clone me up and arm me to the gills pointing out which direction. Some wicked cool robes and tech gizmos for the effect if I may.
I’d be all smiles and feel nothing. Ok, I’d likely lament at first but, you know, it’s a dirty job and somebody’s gotta do it. Fast Eddy can “do” the Southern Hemisphere while I smoke ‘em out up north.
50 years difference post the ‘singularity’ is an abyss apart in terms of technology.
Repeat after me:
MOAR!1!1!1!11!! Yay!1!1!1!1!!
🤣👍👍
What happens if Israel fails the stress test?
Got a private email from Geert Vanden Bossche.
I’m sharing it with my followers on substack with his permission.
Steve Kirsch
3 hr ago
Here’s the email Geert sent on November 4, 2021 unedited to a few of his friends. I’m hoping that people will have finally figured this out and be telling their governments where to inject the next dose. Geert has called this correctly from the very start of the vaccination program. It would be wise to listen to what he has to say. We are running out of time as parents rush to “protect” their children.
https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/what-happens-if-israel-fails-the?r=o7iqo&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&utm_source=
We will have to see how the Israel situation really works out.
The day-by-day data for Israel shows that a (relatively) huge number of cases were dumped into the system two days ago. This means the weekly averages will be elevated for a few more days. Quite often when there is a big number of new cases, it turns out to be a statistical adjustment for a group of old cases that were somehow missed.
At this point, I am not willing to say (without further information about the nature of the cases added) whether this is anything to worry about or not. It could be information from the prison system or a chain of nursing homes that had somehow been omitted previously.
Unfortunately, HUGE damage has already been inflicted. I am serious. Vaccinating children is just going to turn the roles upside down and sufficiently tip the balance to allow the virus to exert natural selection pressure on innate host immunity. It may be better not to translate this in laymen terms…
It’s ok … norm dunc mike would not understand one way or the other….
Declining this is no longer a mistake but a crime.
Africa will win.
I am truly devastated and heartbroken when I think what we’re up to…
G
GVB doesn’t accept the CEP… he’ll be really devastated soon enough
The same people who called Trump H*TL*R are given the actor playing the role of Usurper-in-Chief Brandon a free pass on some of the most draconian collectivist policies executed since Pol Pot decided he didn’t like people who wore glasses.
However, some governors in the US are standing up to defend the Constitution and basic human rights against some of the worst outrages of the Brandon Regime, but will the courts rule in their favor.
South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem:
“From the very beginning, I’ve told President Biden that I would defend the freedom of the people of South Dakota and that if he took this action, that we would see him in court…The Constitution does not give them authority to take this type of action.”
https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1456338797533220872?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1456338797533220872%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Fthemostimportantnews.com%2Farchives%2Fsouth-dakota-governor-kristi-noem-the-constitution-does-not-give-them-authority-to-take-this-type-of-action
Heia Kristi Noem et al!
as we say up here.
Now you finally get it..?! It’s been happening since Ronald Reagen, your president has been getting more and more power every time and no one stands up!
The president has zero power. He is a puppet.
“I care not what puppet is placed on the throne of England to rule the Empire, … The man that controls Britain’s money supply controls the British Empire. And I control the money supply.” Nathan Rothschild
“Once a nation parts with the control of its currency and credit, it matters not who makes the nation’s laws. … Until the control of the issue of currency and credit is restored to government and recognized as its most sacred responsibility, all talk of the sovereignty of parliament and of democracy is idle and futile.” — Mackenzie King, Canadian Prime Minister 1935-1948.
“I am a most unhappy man. I have unwittingly ruined my country. A great industrial nation is controlled by its system of credit. Our system of credit is concentrated. The growth of the nation, therefore, and all our activities are in the hands of a few men. We have come to be one of the worst ruled, one of the most completely controlled and dominated Governments in the civilized world no longer a Government by free opinion, no longer a Government by conviction and the vote of the majority, but a Government by the opinion and duress of a small group of dominant men.” – Woodrow Wilson, after signing the Federal Reserve into existence
“Some of the biggest men in the United States, in the field of commerce and manufacture, are afraid of somebody, are afraid of something. They know that there is a power somewhere so organized, so subtle, so watchful, so interlocked, so complete, so pervasive that they had better not speak above their breath when they speak in condemnation of it.” ― Woodrow Wilson
“The conscious and intelligent manipulation of the organized habits and opinions of the masses is an important element in democratic society. Those who manipulate this unseen mechanism of society constitute an invisible government which is the true ruling power of our country. …We are governed, our minds are molded, our tastes formed, our ideas suggested, largely by men we have never heard of.” – Edward Bernays – Propaganda
It’s kinda like the moon landings… I can show people American Moon — which absolutely proves man has never been to the moon – yet most people will continue to insist…
And it’s also kinda like the fake Biden… I can show people photos of the original Biden and two different actors who have played the role of Biden since the 2020 election campaign, and most people will view the photos and continue to insist that they are of the same person because “they are all Biden”.
When the actor or actress playing a character in a series of movies or TV dramas changes, viewers tend to get upset. Remember how Marty’s girlfriend in Back to the Future was replaced by a much less sexy and voluptuous stand in for the second and third movies? Or the terrible mess that Jeeves and Wooster (Fry and Laurie) became because a clear majority of the supporting characters changed from one series to another and viewers had a hard time remembering who was who?
Well, it turns out that in real life, this degree of continuity is no longer a requirement. As long as the replacement has a degree of superficial resemblance to the original and their authenticity is not challenged by establishment voices, the producers and directors can get away with anything. Most people will believe what they are told to believe despite contradicting evidence provided by their own eyes and instincts.
Another notable example is the fake “Osama Bin Ladens” that cropped up in the mass media in the early years of this century, and most people neither knew nor cared.
We’re an empire now. We make our own reality, all the world’s our stage, and the masses remain rivited, mesmerized by the performance.
In the name of diversity, I fully expect the next President of the United States to be a cartoon character.
https://youtu.be/6nzNpDQFZ50
https://survivaltricks.wordpress.com/2021/04/18/is-a-coronavirus-vaccine-a-ticking-time-bomb-aletho-news/
“Will conducting animal studies solve the issue and remove the risk? Not at all. Anne De Groot, CEO of EpiVax argues that testing for vaccine safety in primates does not guarantee safety in humans, mainly because primates express different major histocompatibility complex (MHC) molecules, which alters epitope presentation and the immune response. Animals and humans are similar, but they are also very different. In addition, as pointed out above, the development of different viral strains in subsequent years could present a major problem not noticeable during the initial safety trials in either humans or animals. What about unvaccinated people who are naturally infected with the virus and develop antibodies? Could these people experience ADE to a future strain of SARS-CoV-2? The ADE response is actually much more complicated than the picture I outlined above. There are other competing and non-competing factors in our immune system that contribute to the ADE response, many of which are not fully understood. Part of that equation is a variety of different types of T-cells that modulate this response, and these T-Cells respond to other portions (epitopes) of the virus.”
This write-up also includes a nice write up of ADE.
I’d rather they test all vaccines drugs makeup etc…. on humans instead of animals….
Skip all animal trials…
Gotta love the Stevie Wonder intro and the Mecca Cube pic. Meme magic.
https://markoshinskie8de.substack.com/p/the-vaxx-is-a-state-sponsored-religion
“Injectors, this is the United States of America. It’s your right to believe in things you don’t understand. It’s also your right to ignore data and science and to not know what a PCR test is and how it’s been used to wreck a society. It’s even OK to have child-like faith in the Medical Industrial Complex. While you may regret the short or long term effects of the injections, that choice is yours. You have free will. Drink the Kool-Aid if you want.”
“But America doesn’t—or at least didn’t use to—take away people’s basic civil rights and livelihoods because they don’t share the beliefs of an official state religion. Rather, Americans recoil at the notion of theocracy; it’s fundamentally anathema, characteristic of Iran or Saudi Arabia. The Orthodox injection crusaders must not be allowed to foist their mistaken beliefs on the infidels who have studied and know the injections are, at best, a scam, and who wish to apply their knowledge in the exercise of their natural law sovereignty over their own bodies.”
“The lockdowns, mask mandates, school closings and absurd social distancing rules have already done far too much deep, irreversible harm. The injection jihad must end.”
And he closes with this:
I recognise that you want to maintain transparency and consistency, but these qualities should not be at the expense of informing the public appropriately.
Remember, always, that all Corona statistics are propaganda.
https://eugyppius.substack.com/p/ukhsa-efficacy-stats-death-watch
I really do hope this is all for the greater good — ie the CEP… otherwise …
Wow:
Dear Jenny,
COVID-19 vaccine surveillance statistics
Thank you for the constructive meeting on Thursday 28 October to discuss the UK Health Security Agency’s (UKHSA) COVID-19 vaccine surveillance statistics. We focused on the risk that the data presented on rates of positive cases for those who are vaccinated and those who are unvaccinated have the potential to mislead – and indeed we noted that these data have been used to argue that vaccines are ineffective.
We welcome the changes you have made to the Week 43 surveillance report, published on 28 October. It is also very good that you are working closely with my team and with the relevant teams in the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
The UK has backed itself into publishing some less-than-useful numbers. Now the office responsible for this publishing will have to work closely with a gaggle of political commissars, responsible for cleansing official discourse of anything that might be “used to argue that vaccines are ineffective.”
Because he appears to be a genuinely stupid man, Humpherson spells this point out explicitly:
It remains the case that the surveillance report includes rates per 100,000 which can be used to argue that vaccines are not effective. I know that this is not the intention of the surveillance report, but the potential for misuse remains. In publishing these data, you need to address more comprehensively the risk that it misleads people into thinking that it says something about vaccine effectiveness.
https://eugyppius.substack.com/p/ukhsa-efficacy-stats-death-watch
The commenter who goes under the name Eugyppius is very good. He displays a new chart of COVID rates for the vaccinated versus the vaccinated, with the COVID rates for the vaccinated much higher than the unvaccinated at most age groups.
It does mention a new problem that I hadn’t heard before. They do not have very good numbers for vaccinated, because of the multiple dose problem. When they subtract the probably overstated number of vaccinated people from the total population in an age group, the number of unvaccinated people may end up being understated.
Of course, such a distortion would tend to make the denominator for the rate for vaccinated be higher than it really is, and the denominator for the unvaccinated to be lower than it really is. If this distortion were corrected, the rate for the vaccinated would be even higher than it is now, and the rate for the unvaccinated would be lower than it is now.
It is very interesting. I will read this blog. Thank you.
I don’t know if it can have any meaning about that blog and if the author gets inspiration to this, but it seems that Eugippio (in latin Eugyppius) was an abbot and lived part and end of his life in Naples.
He wrote the life of San Severino, a well known Saint who was aware of the comple decline and decadence of the Ancient Roman society.
Behind that blog there must be a well educated person.
https://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eugippio
http://www.santiebeati.it/dettaglio/36600
Interesting! Thanks for the information.
UKHSA Efficacy Stats Death Watch: Week 44
Slow-motion meltdown at the UK Health Security Agency as the numbers they’ve locked themselves into publishing just continue to be bad.
Vaccinated vs. unvaccinated case rates in the United Kingdom, from the latest UK Health Security Agency vaccine surveillance report:
Yet again I had to draw this graph myself, and yet again, the UK Health Security Agency wants you to know that these rates are extremely, totally, absolutely unadjusted. They just don’t know precisely why or how.
As I noted on Twitter, it’s emerged that UKHSA inserted all of their ill-advised disclaimers after coming under fire from the Office of Statistics Regulation, a regulatory body which periodically complains about statistics published by the British government.
OSR director Ed Humpherson met with UKHSA hours before they published their Week 43 report, demanding they do something about these awkward graphs. They responded by ditching the graphs altogether and calling every last number unadjusted. This failed to satisfy him, so in the days afterwards he issued this fairly unbelievable open letter:
https://eugyppius.substack.com/p/ukhsa-efficacy-stats-death-watch
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb3d058d-7c33-41bc-b845-32383cbe1b4c_1778x1133.jpeg
Let’s peel back the lizard skin and see what fauci looks like
https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/cbs-evil/images/3/34/George.jpg
Puppies… young girls… https://7news.com.au/sport/soccer/gold-coast-soccer-community-rallies-around-girl-14-after-suffering-heart-attack-on-field-c-4269085
https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-VjdeYbDIqYo/Xu1j78ijk2I/AAAAAAAAKw8/fuw1bY21fdERJmWVyofc-6Ocs8kMfj_XgCLcBGAsYHQ/s1600/Fauci%2B4.jpg
Haven’t you seen the advertising FE?
‘Children can have strokes, too!’
And heart attacks, massive clotting, neurological disorders, go blind suddenly, etc.
‘Although very, very rare, these things are also quite common, Citizens!’
‘So make sure to get them vaccinated, for their mental health and to avoid disruption to schooling!’
https://www.redpilldocumentaries.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/harry-vox-01-2048×1128.jpg
Yes Fauci has killed millions and needs to be tried for crimes against humanity.
When in conflict you always leave the participant with a way out. If you dont they will fight to the death and you could quite easily end chewed up or worse. This is especially true when they are in a position of great power and you are not. This is called “winning”.
Their are considerations other than tactical however. Our criminul justice system in its present form is a failure IMO. But at its roots their was a basic truth. Punishment , implementing suffering serves as a deterant but it also represents something more. A opportunity exists for the offender to genuinely see the error of their ways. Redemption. The punishment/suffering imposed by the criminal justice system allows the offender to reintegrate with the world. This is a truth that partially gives merit to our criminal justice system but in its current form it is not realized. Without the possibility of redemption there is no reason for a offender to change their ways. No solution exists. This is why both our criminal justice system in its current form nor the new systems where the offender is given a bagel and late and sent on their way with a stern warning are providing meaningful solutions.
Characterizing Fauci as a DR Evil may or may not be appropriate. Myself I would be more than pleased with his resignation, a admission that his ad vocation of gain of function research was a huge mistake and appropriate measures to end the practice world wide implemented. This would represent progress and a solution. I call that “winning”. What does not allow a “win” is polarization and the hard part is that it doesnt allow a win even if there is some justification in judgment of a offender as evil.
Right, I also think lightly about honest mistakes. The occasional failure isn’t something new under the sun. However, as for falling victim to the temptations of unfair advantage. Now that is a different matter altogether. I “WTF” to absurd “reasons”. As in its “my” progeny… No it isn’t, you facilitate the genetic codes. GTFO.
But one should be careful not to give light to the truth of expressing unfair advantage, rather within temptation is the truth of a species. All “lineages” and (epi) genetic traits must have been characterized now with the help of technology. Just think about that for a while as you try to clean up your self entitled mess. Can’t run from, can’t hide that which you are. If you try to, our “alien” overlords will peek and prod while you’re asleep.
You see, sufficiently advanced technology will be indistinguishable from the background thermal noise floor unless you know what you’re looking for.
You might disagree with me, but then again…
Good luck with that, you’ll gonna need lots of it.
Too late… And I am:
ALL SMILES!11!1!1!!!!
*kaboom*
🌍💥☄️☄️☄️
🤣👍👍
Gold Coast soccer community rallies around girl, 14, after suffering heart attack on field
Ava’s teammates and opponents have been offered counselling for witnessing what Mucci described as an “awful scene”.
https://www.google.com.au/amp/s/7news.com.au/sport/soccer/gold-coast-soccer-community-rallies-around-girl-14-after-suffering-heart-attack-on-field-c-4269085.amp
Hey norm…. you think this is Pfizer related or what?
mike?
dunc?
Dear Fast,
this is perfectly normal. Move on, nothing to see here.
Regards,
Pfizer
Dear Pfizer,
You should have armed guards 24/7 for all your staff.
Father of the Girl
Unwitting accomplices perhaps, well, mistakes happen. However, exploiting unfair information advantage for their own “short-term” benefits…
Well, well…
🤣👍👍
You see, the Rapacious Primate is going to rapacious as stipulated by the primate/mammalian parts of the brain as it seeks statuses and prestiges within the herd.
Or with other words, stroking the mammalian ego by forcing the neocortex higher self to endure conflict of interest. Rest assured that it sucks to be them. If it doesn’t – psychopathy and sociopathy is a mental disease. Don’t judge ill people too harshly. They just malfunction.
On the other hand, it’s likely they’re just a reflection of all other Rapacious Primates engaging in ‘will to power’ without the consideration of the system as a whole.
You see, there is only one that needs to be “saved”. And that one is you, by your own merit and thought processes. All else is merely flimsy documents of an era, dust in the wind of another epoch laid to rest on the sand dunes of time or perhaps build upon the rubble heaps of earthly history.
Once you realize it is all process, there is no hope, despair, sadness or anything in particular associated with this. This is simply how the universe and evolution works, and most of the time it doesn’t produce tractable coding sequences. Trial and error, mostly error.
So it is safe to conclude that “we” exploited unfair advantage into an evolutionary cul de sac. Now let that sink in and ponder upon its implications.
Hope is for suckers.
— Alan Watts
🤔
The rediscovery of a series of grisly experiments on beagle puppies has galvanized social media users into demanding the arrest of “America’s doctor” Anthony Fauci. But where was everyone when his work was harming humans?
Images of a sad pair of beagle puppies, their heads encased in square cages as they lie hopelessly on a table, have yanked at America’s heartstrings since they were shoved back into the national spotlight by White Coat Waste Project, a group that calls out US government labs for animal cruelty and other misuse (and abuse) of citizens’ money.
Millions of taxpayer dollars were used to essentially torture the puppies to death in labs in and out of the US, according to the organization, which unearthed evidence of the cruelty in the form of over $21 million spent on a total of four experiments – none of which was medically necessary.
One involved severing 44 puppies’ vocal cords so that their pained barking and whining wouldn’t bother the scientists; another deliberately infected them with sand flies over the course of 22 months, restricting their movements by locking their heads in boxes so that they could not even swat the insects away as they were being eaten alive.
It’s horrific stuff by any measure, beyond cartoonish levels of evil. Indeed, even Texas Senator Ted Cruz (R) claimed he thought the tweets he’d read about Fauci “literally ‘torturing puppies’” had to be “metaphorical.”
https://www.rt.com/op-ed/538515-fauci-dog-experiments-human-hypocrisy/
The perfect choice to execute the CEP… he’ll be enjoying the maiming of children…. and he’ll actually see murdering 8B as a badge of honour….
This story about Tony Fauci funding animal cruelty needs to gain more traction. It shows the evil intent of a maniacal individual who’s telling the world they need to trust him and take his vaccines and nothing else.
“Inflation watch: Global food prices hit 10-year high.
“Global food prices kept climbing for the third straight month in October, said the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization… October’s gains in the FAO Food Price Index were led by vegetable oils, with prices increasing 9.6 percent in October from the previous month – a new all-time high.”
https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2021/11/4/inflation-watch-global-food-prices-hit-10-year-high
“As winter looms, reports of starvation in North Korea.
“The warnings are stark and coming from inside and outside of North Korea. Defectors based in South Korea have told us that their families in the North are going hungry. There is a concern as winter approaches that the most vulnerable will starve.”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-59144712
It is poor people in poor countries who starve when there isn’t enough to go around. North Korea seems to be high on the list of poor countries.
No surprises here. Vegetable oil is used as a supplement to lower the detonation point of kerosene, for use in diesel machines.
“Diesel fuel shortages starting to take hold in Rust Belt…. In case anyone wants to think about what that will do to supply chains for the holiday season.” ?
https://twitter.com/amlivemon/status/1456641427224551434?s=20
Also this article (1), if it is anywhere close to the truth, many people in the world are in real trouble as early as next year. To add to it Russia is freezing fertilizer exports (2). For the purpose of being economical, I also add the italian article that states that the true covid deaths are some 3% of what was previously declared (3).
https://www.naturalnews.com/2021-11-04-globalists-running-sabotage-teams-to-take-out-fertilizer-plants-crash-transport-trains.html
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-11-03/russia-to-slap-quotas-on-fertilizer-exports-to-safeguard-supply
https://www.iltempo.it/attualita/2021/10/21/news/rapporto-iss-morti-covid-malattie-patologie-come-influenza-pandemia-disastro-mortalita-bechis-29134543/
The first part of the last article says (Google translate)
So far less killing than influenza
In Britain the IFR is 0.096% so would probably be listed as moderate/moderate to severe, but it’s not simple old influenza any more is it?
It’s now COVID and it’s deadly, so forget that miniscule percentage and definitely don’t confirm it by looking at the link below.
https://questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-questions/detail/2021-07-12/31381
Numbers, as with words, now evolve meaning as the narrative dictates.
Social/distance?
Together/apart?
0.096/pandemic?
Strength through unity and unity through faith.
And what an immense amount of faith must be needed not to question 🤔
If you are interested, the original report of the Istituto Superiore di Sanita’ is here in both italian and english (click on english, then download the pdf). The table in question is Table 2.
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-decessi-italia
Yes, there has been much discussion about that in Italy.
Before claiming victory, I waited to post it, because it seemed that the article has been done only on partial data.
But it is anyway a wake-up call.
Thank you drb for posting it.
What is sure at the moment is that the terapy suggested by Health Ministry (paracetamolo and wait disease developments) has revealed to be dangerous instead of saving lifes.
Actually all medical treatments suggest anti-inflammatory and others drugs, but not absolutely paracetamol.
Many critics in Italy were about a devious intent to fill hospitals instead of treat people correctly at home, in order to make them walk into the net of vacc/n£s when they would be ready.
‘Paracetamol increases the risk of adverse evolution of Covid. The effect of paracetamol is to reduce stores of glutathione, a natural substance that acts as an antioxidant. Deficiency of this substance can lead to worsening damage related to inflammation caused by coronavirus infection.’
https://www.byoblu.com/2021/10/01/il-totem-della-tachipirina-smontato-dagli-studi/
I notice that the WSJ has an article on this as well. People who spend more on food have less money to spend on other goods and services.
This week, horrified Democrats and Republicans demanded that Dr Fauci explain reports that his National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) funded experiments on beagle puppies in which they were eaten alive by sandflies and had their vocal cords cut so that their howls of agony wouldn’t disturb their tormentors.
https://spectator.com.au/2021/10/suffer-little-children/
They are doing it to us, too:
Eaten alive = lock-downs, masks, constant fear-propaganda. Just one long torture session.
Cutting vocal cords = internet censorship, persecution of dissident doctors and scientists.
Everyone is a lab puppy now, but many don’t realise it.
Have you ever read THAT HIDEOUS STRENGTH by CS Lewis? I read it in my adolescence much to the chagrin of my parents who equated it with fundamental Christianity having both read the three book series themselves as did I. Their fault for teaching me to read before I entered the public education system. Perhaps they should have burned it not kept it on the bookshelf. Smily face gif
The only way this can be excused is if it is the CEP… even though others might understand and accept the necessity of extermination … you would need to put a psychopath in charge of actually carrying out the instructions… anyone but and they’d end up in the asylum….
I can still recall Bernanke’s robotic speeches during the GFC… he seemed to be on a strong sedative… he had to hold it together as the stakes were so high.. and he surely knew he was a key player in something much bigger….
Fauci has not need for a sedative… putting down children and pregnant women is actually easier than torturing puppies… the only difference would be that it’s easier because they don’t howl in pain … so you don’t have to slit their vocal cords.
Can there be a more evil act???? Torturing … and cutting throats so as to be able to listen
https://youtu.be/70_fpL76k9g
He sure looked liked he could use a secobarbital drip when rand was grilling him last. Rand said his denials were “a clear and present danger”. Interesting language. Not sure the meaning of that particular language applies to Tony but he seemed to grow more fliterpated after that. He plays the mean old rand picking on a old scientist theater quite well. Walensky on the other hand seemed contemptuous and bored as she responded questions like “will the vaccines be mandatory for children?” “when will the cdc employees be vaccinated?” with non answers.
She had to refrain from laughing and saying like biden is going to enforce the mandate with us. All her responses basically: ill get back to you with lots of bored time burning fluff. She is a real pro at time burning fluff vocalizing it effortlessly. It takes talent to take 3 minutes to say I will get back to you. I can see why she was selected.
Both their answers are like empty boxes with expensive gift wrap and lots of bows and ribbons.
Heres the rand/fauci interaction.
https://www.nationalreview.com/videos/rand-paul-rips-into-fauci-over-persistent-gain-of-function-research-denials-demands-resignation/