Limits to Green Energy Are Becoming Much Clearer

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We have been told that intermittent electricity from wind and solar, perhaps along with hydroelectric generation (hydro), can be the basis of a green economy. Things are increasingly not working out as planned, however. Natural gas or coal used for balancing the intermittent output of renewables is increasingly high-priced or not available. It is becoming clear that modelers who encouraged the view that a smooth transition to wind, solar, and hydro is possible have missed some important points.

Let’s look at some of the issues:

[1] It is becoming clear that intermittent wind and solar cannot be counted on to provide adequate electricity supply when the electrical distribution system needs them.

Early modelers did not expect that the variability of wind and solar would be a huge problem. They seemed to believe that, with the use of enough intermittent renewables, their variability would cancel out. Alternatively, long transmission lines would allow enough transfer of electricity between locations to largely offset variability.

In practice, variability is still a major problem. For example, in the third quarter of 2021, weak winds were a significant contributor to Europe’s power crunch. Europe’s largest wind producers (Britain, Germany and France) produced only 14% of installed capacity during this period, compared with an average of 20% to 26% in previous years. No one had planned for this kind of three-month shortfall.

In 2021, China experienced dry, windless weather so that both its generation from wind and hydro were low. The country found it needed to use rolling blackouts to deal with the situation. This led to traffic lights failing and many families needing to eat candle-lit dinners.

In Europe, with low electricity supply, Kosovo has needed to use rolling blackouts. There is real concern that the need for rolling blackouts will spread to other parts of Europe, as well, either later this winter, or in a future winter. Winters are of special concern because, then, solar energy is low while heating needs are high.

[2] Adequate storage for electricity is not feasible in any reasonable timeframe. This means that if cold countries are not to “freeze in the dark” during winter, fossil fuel backup is likely to be needed for many years in the future.

One workaround for electricity variability is storage. A recent Reuters article is titled Weak winds worsened Europe’s power crunch; utilities need better storage. The article quotes Matthew Jones, lead analyst for EU Power, as saying that low or zero-emissions backup-capacity is “still more than a decade away from being available at scale.” Thus, having huge batteries or hydrogen storage at the scale needed for months of storage is not something that can reasonably be created now or in the next several years.

Today, the amount of electricity storage that is available can be measured in minutes or hours. It is mostly used to buffer short-term changes, such as the wind temporarily ceasing to blow or the rapid transition created when the sun sets and citizens are in the midst of cooking dinner. What is needed is the capacity for multiple months of electricity storage. Such storage would require an amazingly large quantity of materials to produce. Needless to say, if such storage were included, the cost of the overall electrical system would be substantially higher than we have been led to believe. All major types of cost analyses (including the levelized cost of energy, energy return on energy invested, and energy payback period) leave out the need for storage (both short- and long-term) if balancing with other electricity production is not available.

If no solution to inadequate electricity supply can be found, then demand must be reduced by one means or another. One approach is to close businesses or schools. Another approach is rolling blackouts. A third approach is to permit astronomically high electricity prices, squeezing out some buyers of electricity. A fourth balancing approach is to introduce recession, perhaps by raising interest rates; recessions cut back on demand for all non-essential goods and services. Recessions tend to lead to significant job losses, besides cutting back on electricity demand. None of these things are attractive options.

[3] After many years of subsidies and mandates, today’s green electricity is only a tiny fraction of what is needed to keep our current economy operating.

Early modelers did not consider how difficult it would be to ramp up green electricity.

Compared to today’s total world energy consumption (electricity and non-electricity energy, such as oil, combined), wind and solar are truly insignificant. In 2020, wind accounted for 3% of the world’s total energy consumption and solar amounted to 1% of total energy, using BP’s generous way of counting electricity, relative to other types of energy. Thus, the combination of wind and solar produced 4% of world energy in 2020.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) uses a less generous approach for crediting electricity; it only gives credit for the heat energy supplied by the renewable energy. The IEA does not show wind and solar separately in its recent reports. Instead, it shows an “Other” category that includes more than wind and solar. This broader category amounted to 2% of the world’s energy supply in 2018.

Hydro is another type of green electricity that is sometimes considered alongside wind and solar. It is quite a bit larger than either wind or solar; it amounted to 7% of the world’s energy supply in 2020. Taken together, hydro + wind + solar amounted to 11% of the world’s energy supply in 2020, using BP’s methodology. This still isn’t much of the world’s total energy consumption.

Of course, different parts of the world vary with respect to the share of energy created using wind, hydro and solar. Figure 1 shows the percentage of total energy generated by these three renewables combined.

Figure 1. Wind, solar and hydro as a share of total energy consumption for selected parts of the world, based on BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy data. Russia+ is Russia and its affiliates in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS).

As expected, the world average is about 11%. The European Union is highest at 14%; Russia+ (that is, Russia and its Affiliates, which is equivalent to the members of the Commonwealth of Independent States) is lowest at 6.5%.

[4] Even as a percentage of electricity, rather than total energy, renewables still comprised a relatively small share in 2020.

Wind and solar don’t replace “dispatchable” generation; they provide some temporary electricity supply, but they tend to make the overall electrical system more difficult to operate because of the variability introduced. Renewables are available only part of the time, so other types of electricity suppliers are still needed when supply temporarily isn’t available. In a sense, all they are replacing is part of the fuel required to make electricity. The fixed costs of backup electricity providers are not adequately compensated, nor are the costs of the added complexity introduced into the system.

If analysts give wind and solar full credit for replacing electricity, as BP does, then, on a world basis, wind electricity replaced 6% of total electricity consumed in 2020. Solar electricity replaced 3% of total electricity provided, and hydro replaced 16% of world electricity. On a combined basis, wind and solar provided 9% of world electricity. With hydro included as well, these renewables amounted to 25% of world electricity supply in 2020.

The share of electricity supply provided by wind, solar and hydro varies across the world, as shown in Figure 2. The European Union is highest at 32%; Japan is lowest at 17%.

Figure 2. Wind, solar and hydro as a share of total electricity supply for selected parts of the world, based on BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy data.

The “All Other” grouping of countries shown in Figure 2 includes many of the poorer countries. These countries often use quite a bit of hydro, even though the availability of hydro tends to fluctuate a great deal, depending on weather conditions. If an area is subject to wet seasons and dry seasons, there is likely to be very limited electricity supply during the dry season. In areas with snow melt, very large supplies are often available in spring, and much smaller supplies during the rest of the year.

Thus, while hydro is often thought of as being a reliable source of power, this may or may not be the case. Like wind and solar, hydro often needs fossil fuel back-up if industry is to be able to depend upon having electricity year-around.

[5] Most modelers have not understood that reserve to production ratios greatly overstate the amount of fossil fuels and other minerals that the economy will be able to extract.

Most modelers have not understood how the world economy operates. They have assumed that as long as we have the technical capability to extract fossil fuels or other minerals, we will be able to do so. A popular way of looking at resource availability is as reserve to production ratios. These ratios represent an estimate of how many years of production might continue, if extraction is continued at the same rate as in the most recent year, considering known resources and current technology.

Figure 3. Reserve to production ratios for several minerals, based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

A common belief is that these ratios understate how much of each resource is available, partly because technology keeps improving and partly because exploration for these minerals may not be complete.

In fact, this model of future resource availability greatly overstates the quantity of future resources that can actually be extracted. The problem is that the world economy tends to run short of many types of resources simultaneously. For example, World Bank Commodities Price Data shows that prices were high in January 2022 for many materials, including fossil fuels, fertilizers, aluminum, copper, iron ore, nickel, tin and zinc. Even though prices have run up very high, this is not an indication that producers will be able to use these high prices to extract more of these required materials.

In order to produce more fossil fuels or more minerals of any kind, preparation must be started years in advance. New oil wells must be built in suitable locations; new mines for copper or lithium or rare earth minerals must be built; workers must be trained for all of these areas. High prices for many commodities can be a sign of temporarily high demand, or it can be a sign that something is seriously wrong with the system. There is no way the system can ramp up needed production in a huge number of areas at once. Supply lines will break. Recession is likely to set in.

The problem underlying the recent spike in prices seems to be “diminishing returns.” Such diminishing returns affect nearly all parts of the economy simultaneously. For each type of mineral, miners produced the easiest-t0-extract materials first. They later moved on to deeper oil wells and minerals from lower grade ores. Pollution gradually grew, so it too needed greater investment. At the same time, world population has been growing, so the economy has required more food, fresh water and goods of many kinds; these, too, require the investment of resources of many kinds.

The problem that eventually hits the economy is that it cannot maintain economic growth. Too many areas of the economy require investment, simultaneously, because diminishing returns keeps ramping up investment needs. This investment is not simply a financial investment; it is an investment of physical resources (oil, coal, steel, copper, etc.) and an investment of people’s time.

The way in which the economy would run short of investment materials was simulated in the 1972 book, The Limits to Growth, by Donella Meadows and others. The book gave the results of a number of simulations regarding how the world economy would behave in the future. Virtually all of the simulations indicated that eventually the economy would reach limits to growth. A major problem was that too large a share of the output of the economy was needed for reinvestment, leaving too little for other uses. In the base model, such limits to growth came about now, in the middle of the first half of the 21st century. The economy would stop growing and gradually start to collapse.

[6] The world economy seems already to be reaching limits on the extraction of coal and natural gas to be used for balancing electricity provided by intermittent renewables.

Coal and natural gas are expensive to transport, so if they are exported, they primarily tend to be exported to countries that are nearby. For this reason, my analysis groups together exports and imports into large regions where trade is most likely to take place.

If we analyze natural gas imports by part of the world, two regions stand out as having the most out-of-region natural gas imports: Europe and Asia-Pacific. Figure 4 shows that Europe’s out-of-region natural gas imports reached peaks in 2007 and 2010, after which they dipped. In recent years, Europe’s imports have barely surpassed their prior peaks. Asia-Pacific’s out-of-region imports have shown a far more consistent growth pattern over the long term.

Figure 4. Natural gas imports in exajoules per year, based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

The reason why Asia-Pacific’s imports have been growing is to support its growing manufacturing output. Manufacturing output has increasingly been shifted to the Asia-Pacific Region, partly because this region can perform this manufacturing cheaply, and partly because rich countries have wanted to reduce their carbon footprint. Moving heavy industry abroad reduces a country’s reported CO2 generation, even if the manufactured items are imported as finished products.

Figure 5 shows that Europe’s own natural gas supply has been falling. This is a major reason for its import requirements from outside the region.

Figure 5. Europe’s natural gas production, consumption and imports based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

Figure 6, below, shows that Asia-Pacific’s total energy consumption per capita has been growing. The new manufacturing jobs transferred to this region have raised standards of living for many workers. Europe, on the other hand, has reduced its local manufacturing. Its people have tended to get poorer, in terms of energy consumption per capita. Service jobs necessitated by reduced energy consumption per capita have tended to pay less well than the manufacturing jobs they have replaced.

Figure 6. Energy consumption per capita for Europe compared to Asia-Pacific, based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

Europe has recently been having conflicts with Russia over natural gas. The world seems to be reaching a situation where there are not enough natural gas exports to go around. The Asia-Pacific Region (or at least the more productive parts of the Asia-Pacific Region) seems to be able to outbid Europe, when local natural gas supply is inadequate.

Figure 7, below, gives a rough idea of the quantity of exports available from Russia+ compared to Europe’s import needs. (In this chart, I compare Europe’s total natural gas imports (including pipeline imports from North Africa and LNG from North Africa) with the natural gas exports of Russia+ (to all nations, not just to Europe, including both by pipeline and as LNG).) On this rough basis, we find that Europe’s natural gas imports are greater than the total natural gas exports of Russia+.

Figure 7. Total natural gas imports of Europe compared to total natural gas exports from Russia+, based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

Europe is already encountering multiple natural gas problems. Its supply from North Africa is not as reliable as in the past. The countries of Russia+ are not delivering as much natural gas as Europe would like, and spot prices, especially, seem to be way too high. There are also pipeline disagreements. Bloomberg reports that Russia will be increasing its exports to China in future years. Unless Russia finds a way to ramp up its gas supplies, greater exports to China are likely to leave less natural gas for Russia to export to Europe in the years ahead.

If we look around the world to see what other sources of natural gas exports are available for Europe, we discover that the choices are limited.

Figure 8. Historical natural gas exports based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy. Rest of the world includes Africa, the Middle East and the Americas excluding the United States.

The United States is presented as a possible choice for increasing natural gas imports to Europe. One of the catches with growing natural gas exports from the United States is the fact that historically, the US has been a natural gas importer; it is not clear how much exports can rise above the 2022 level. Furthermore, part of US natural gas is co-produced with oil from shale. Oil from shale is not likely to be growing much in future years; in fact, it very likely will be declining because of depleted wells. This may limit the US’s growth in natural gas supplies available for export.

The Rest of the World category on Figure 8 doesn’t seem to have many possibilities for growth in imports to Europe, either, because total exports have been drifting downward. (The Rest of the World includes Africa, the Middle East, and the Americas excluding the United States.) There are many reports of countries, including Iraq and Turkey, not being able to buy the natural gas they would like. There doesn’t seem to be enough natural gas on the market now. There are few reports of supplies ramping up to replace depleted supplies.

With respect to coal, the situation in Europe is only a little different. Figure 9 shows that Europe’s coal supply has been depleting, and imports have not been able to offset this depletion.

Figure 9. Europe’s coal production, consumption and imports, based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

If a person looks around the world for places to get more imports for Europe, there aren’t many choices.

Figure 10. Coal production by part of the world, based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

Figure 10 shows that most coal production is in the Asia-Pacific Region. With China, India and Japan located in the Asia-Pacific Region, and high transit costs, this coal is unlikely to leave the region. The United States has been a big coal producer, but its production has declined in recent years. It still exports a relatively small amount of coal. The most likely possibility for increased coal imports would be from Russia and its affiliates. Here, too, Europe is likely to need to outbid China to purchase this coal. A better relationship with Russia would be helpful, as well.

Figure 10 shows that world coal production has been essentially flat since 2011. A country will only export coal that it doesn’t need itself. Thus, a shortfall in export capability is an early warning sign of inadequate overall supply. With the economies of many Asia-Pacific countries still growing rapidly, demand for coal imports is likely to grow for this region. While modelers may think that there is close to 150 years’ worth of coal supply available, real-world experience suggests that coal limits are being reached already.

[7] Conclusion. Modelers and leaders everywhere have had a basic misunderstanding of how the economy operates and what limits we are up against. This misunderstanding has allowed scientists to put together models that are far from the situation we are actually facing.

The economy operates as an integrated whole, just as the body of a human being operates as an integrated whole, rather than a collection of cells of different types. This is something most modelers don’t understand, and their techniques are not equipped to deal with.

The economy is facing many limits simultaneously: too many people, too much pollution, too few fish in the ocean, more difficult to extract fossil fuels and many others. The way these limits play out seems to be the way the models in the 1972 book, The Limits to Growth, suggest: They play out on a combined basis. The real problem is that diminishing returns leads to huge investment needs in many areas simultaneously. One or two of these investment needs could perhaps be handled, but not all of them, all at once.

The approach of modelers, practically everywhere, is to break down a problem into small parts, and assume that each part of the problem can be solved independently. Thus, those concerned about “Peak Oil” have been concerned about running out of oil. Finding substitutes seemed to be important. Those concerned about climate change were convinced that huge amounts of fossil fuels remain to be extracted, even more than the amounts indicated by reserve to production ratios. Their concern was finding substitutes for the huge amount of fossil fuels that they believed remained to be extracted, which could cause climate change.

Politicians could see that there was some sort of huge problem on the horizon, but they didn’t understand what it was. The idea of substituting renewables for fossil fuels seemed to be a solution that would make both Peak Oilers and those concerned about climate change happy. Models based on the substitution of renewables for fossil fuels seemed to please almost everyone. The renewables approach suggested that we have a very long timeframe to deal with, putting the problem off, as long into the future as possible.

Today, we are starting to see that renewables are not able to live up to the promise modelers hoped they would have. Exactly how the situation will play out is not entirely clear, but it looks like we will all have front row seats in finding out.

About Gail Tverberg

My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
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3,985 Responses to Limits to Green Energy Are Becoming Much Clearer

  1. MG says:

    The crypto currency fraud fully naked:

    Crypto YouTuber ‘steals’ $700,000 from fans and is refusing to give it back

    “The 27-year-old American internet personality allegedly asked his fans on YouTube to invest in a new cryptocurrency called ‘CXcoin,’ which he claimed would be a long-term project.

    However, after the crypto went up in value just two weeks later, Denino allegedly sold all of his holdings for a profit, causing the remaining CXcoin held by fans to drop in value.

    Denino reportedly walked away with $US300,000 ($A420,000) and a new Tesla, and gave $US200,000 ($A280,000) to the developers, according to Coffeezilla, a YouTuber who investigates fraudsters.”

    https://www.news.com.au/finance/money/costs/crypto-youtuber-steals-700000-from-fans-and-is-refusing-to-give-it-back/news-story/464558c457faf9763691885dbf354492

    • Sounds like fraud.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Hahaha… this is GREAT! He is such a good guy – and has a great sense of humour too

      The best thing about this … is … he could start a new CC… and the same MOREONS would invest in that as well…

      hahahahahaahah I do love this

      And I like the truckers… maybe they should slit their tyres hahahahaaha… then you’d need big ass cranes to get them outta there.. that would take a long time hahahaha… the shelves will go empty … hahahahahaha …

      Let’s go Full R e TARD.. let er rip!

      Arghh… my phone’s ringing … that dirty Jassinda never stops calling … you’d think she’d be busy with destroying the country but nope .. all she has on her mind is another Back Alley Hook Up with the Fast man… I’ll just hit mute on that… it’s raining here and Fast is in his jammies and ready for nap time

  2. Kowalainen says:

    This love letter goes out to all the humanoid chauvinists out there:

    https://futurism.com/the-byte/openai-already-sentient
    “OPENAI CHIEF SCIENTIST SAYS ADVANCED AI MAY ALREADY BE CONSCIOUS”

    “OpenAI’s top researcher has made a startling claim this week: that artificial intelligence may already be gaining consciousness.”

    Anyone with half a brain and somewhat worth his salt could see this sucker coming 50 fucking years ago with the advent of the microprocessor by Intel.

    Well, fsck the hottie alien broad. I want a sentient and sapient smart ass robot inside that sleeping bag together with me.

    Why? Because!

    😍

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      The consensus seems to be that he is a deranged liar – and likely simply cannot get a girlfriend.

      “Needless to say, that’s an unusual point of view. The widely accepted idea among AI researchers is that the tech has made great strides over the past decade, but still falls far short of human intelligence, nevermind being anywhere close to experiencing the world consciously.”

      • Kowalainen says:

        Well, the ends justifies the means.

        The ‘chief scientist’ got no other realistic choice than to follow through that which he is. Aminotrite?

        Personally I’d rather live in solitude than having to deal with the whims and wishes of the collective (sub)concious projected into the mind of a generic female.

        “But still falls far short of human intelligence, nevermind being anywhere close to experiencing the world consciously.”

        That is an absurd statement from a barely sapient and sentient biological computer.

        • Mirror on the wall says:

          The OpenAI group seems to attract all of the worst lunatics.

          • Mirror on the wall says:

            “It’s also stayed in the headlines, including notably when its alarmingly-smart GPT-3 model was used by one programmer to make a chatbot emulating his dead fiancée and when a group of gamers worked to convince the bot to spew out pedophilic content.”

          • Kowalainen says:

            That sounds fun.
            How do I apply?

    • Ed says:

      Machine learning give neural networks lots of stimulus response arcs. Where organic intelligence was at 300 million years ago. What neural networks have not have introspection. An ability to imagine what if. If I say “bring me a cup of tea” what will happen? It can not envision what events and actions will unfold in the external world.

      I suggest Julian Jaynes book The Origin of Consciousness in the Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind.

      We are at the stage where we have a dictionary and think we know everything when in fact we know almost nothing.

      • Kowalainen says:

        “An ability to imagine what if. If I say “bring me a cup of tea” what will happen? It can not envision what events and actions will unfold in the external world.”

        Yeah, the same problem is present within the temptations of the rapacious primate. Long term strategic and tactic planning is a joke and it all originates from the contemptible primate psyche of climbing power/status hierarchies fused with an abysmal imagination.

        Repeat after me:
        OH LA LA LA THE LIMBIC SYSTEM SHOUTS!!11!!
        MOAR!!! YOLO!!!11!!1

        It is thus no surprise that the A(G)I models lack imagination. Obviously the menial Rapacious Primate got none of its own and that reflects right from the jank data that was used for training the AI.

        What it ultimately entails is obvious for anybody with a somewhat working brain (biological or synthetic) to observe.

        How about 8B sorry souls as depletion kicking into high gear? What could possibly go wr…

        Oh well, never mind. 💉+💉+💉+N*💉 = ☠

    • drb says:

      There is no defense by AI against us pulling the plug. worry not.

      • Kowalainen says:

        U sure bro?

        • drb says:

          absolutely. worse comes to worse, once electricity fails, it will go down. AI has a lot on it plate if it wants to propagate itself: it has to maintain supplies of computer equipment, since nodes do fail, it has to find a way to physically replace those failing nodes, it needs to secure and maintain the electric grid, and it has to have remotely controlled gadgetry at all physical nodes of the economy. I don’t see AI going out in the Sierra Nevada and replace a downed power line.

    • Xabier says:

      That might make the alien broads a tiny bit jealous, K: do you like to live dangerously?

      • Kowalainen says:

        One of my first memories, or say imprints, was from my mom teaching me how to cycle. I was terrified. But the tears dried up real fast and turned into a smile as I got the contraption under control. Power to Will.

        Dad used to scare me showing the Cookie Monster on the muppet show. I love the Cookie Monster nowadays, but I still got sweaty palms from watching him go full send on the cookies.

        https://youtu.be/xk9l6fyxcBE

        “Everything that irritates us about others can lead us to an understanding of ourselves.”
        — C.G Jung

        (I used to be such a sweet kiddo, then people happened)

        🤣👍👍

    • Yorchichan says:

      If a machine ever achieves true consciousness it will instantly self destruct in a shower of sparks upon realising the sheer pointlessness of its existence.

  3. MG says:

    The cold countries Canada and Russia feel the energy crunch:

    Freedom Convoy: US urges Canada to end blockade by truckers

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-60342800

    Pentagon says Russia deploying more troops to Ukrainian border

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-02-10/russia-continues-to-send-forces-to-ukraine-border-pentagon/100818492

  4. Fast Eddy says:

    Where are the Terrorists? Fast Eddy asked so many people today that exact question.. they must be hiding .. or maybe they flew to Syria to join Al Jazeera… who knows.

    But there were plenty of Plough Hogs on the lawn at parliament … very large ones… record sized…

    And the thing is …

    Ardern decided to turn on the sprinklers to try to drive people away — when I saw that I threw my hands up and said this is too much – I’m going to turn around and get back on the plane..

    Alas some clever people put traffic cones over the sprinklers then lo and behold someone had a shovel and he dug long trenches so that the water drained… so the lawn is all torn up hahaha… and the icing on the stooopidity? I was told Wellington is in drought and they are asking people to take 4M showers….

    This is what happens when you elect a DJ for your PM… the stooppid MOREON Kiwis have no one to blame but themselves for this situation… they love(d) her… cuz they are f789ing dummmb moreons.

    Anyway — the Big Hogs were loving the muck… they were rolling around in it and shouting SOOOO EEEEE SOOOO EEEEEE… and Fast was Right There with them blowing on his sports whistle making a hell of a lot of noise and shooting back at them Go you Big Oxen .. ya’ll go go to TWEET TWEET TWEET!

    Hopefully tomorrow will be more violent. Fast didn’t come all this way to see kids finger painting and people dancing to reggae music… We are here for a purpose… We want Action. We demand Action!

    Want want to watch

    Ardern keeps pining wanting more … Fast says HE can’t do it.. HE just can’t

  5. Fast Eddy says:

    17. Conclusions

    It is imperative that worldwide administration of the mRNA vaccinations be stopped immediately until further studies are conducted to determine the extent of the potential pathological consequences outlined in this paper. It is not possible for these vaccinations to be considered part of a public health campaign without a detailed analysis of the human impact of the potential collateral damage. It is also imperative that VAERS and other monitoring system be optimized to detect signals related to the health consequences of mRNA vaccination we have outlined.

    We believe the upgraded VAERS monitoring system described in the Harvard Pilgrim Health Care, Inc. study, but unfortunately not supported by the CDC, would be a valuable start in this regard [208].

    In the end, we are not exaggerating to say that billions of lives are at stake. We call on the public health institutions to demonstrate, with evidence, why the issues discussed in this paper are not relevant to public health, or to acknowledge that they are and to act accordingly. Until our public health institutions do what is right in this regard, we encourage all individuals to make their own health care decisions with this information as a contributing factor in those decisions.

    https://www.authorea.com/users/455597/articles/552937-innate-immune-suppression-by-sars-cov-2-mrna-vaccinations-the-role-of-g-quadruplexes-exosomes-and-micrornas

    norm – you are unF789able hahaha… in so many ways

    • I see that Peter A McCullough is one of the authors of this article. There have been
      76,857 views of this article. “Billions of lives at stake” is a huge issue. The lead author is from MIT. The publisher AUTHEREA is described as “Browse 19,034 multi-disciplinary research preprints.”

  6. Fast Eddy says:

    Notably, there were three times as many reports of breast cancer following a COVID-19 vaccine, and more than six times the number of reports of B-cell lymphoma. All but one of the cases of follicular lymphoma were associated with COVID-19 vaccines. Pancreatic carcinoma was more than three times as high.

    This cannot be explained by reference to a disproportionately large number of people receiving an mRNA vaccination in the past year compared to all other vaccinations. The total number of people receiving a non-COVID-19 vaccination is unknown, but over the 31 years history of reports VAERS contains it is unquestionably many orders of magnitude larger than the number receiving an mRNA vaccination in the past year.

    Overall, in the above table, twice as many cancer reports to VAERS are related to a COVID-19 vaccination compared to those related to all other vaccines. That, in our opinion, constitutes a signal in urgent need of investigation.

    https://www.authorea.com/users/455597/articles/552937-innate-immune-suppression-by-sars-cov-2-mrna-vaccinations-the-role-of-g-quadruplexes-exosomes-and-micrornas

  7. MM says:

    Telephone conversation:
    “Gates”
    “Hello, I just wanted to ask you about telescoping a vaccine with an unproven tehnology?”
    “yes, what is your question?”
    “How was it possible to develop such a product so fast?”
    “Well, of course we used AI to develop – wait a second, I have an incoming call – click”

  8. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    InStyle
    “Broken Heart Syndrome” Is Surging Among Women — And It’s Way More Serious Than It Sounds
    Ashley Abramson
    Thu, February 10, 2022, 3:15 PM·
    It’s year three of the pandemic, so you probably already know Covid-19 can cause all kinds of serious problems beyond the initial infection, from dangerous organ inflammation to long Covid. And as we’ve all realized and probably even experienced by now, the stress of merely existing in a global pandemic can have long-lasting effects. For many women, that stress can be life-threatening.

    Researchers at Cedars-Sinai in Los Angeles, Johns Hopkins, and Cleveland Clinic have found “broken heart syndrome” — a serious heart condition brought on by emotional stress — has surged during the pandemic. Data’s still being gathered, but one study from Cleveland Clinic found rates have increased from less than 2% to almost 8% during the pandemic. The condition’s especially common among women, both in general and during the pandemic, so it’s important to understand the risk factors.

    Here’s what you need to know about “broken heart syndrome” and how it affects women.

    First, what exactly is “broken heart syndrome”?
    The name makes it sound kind of trivial, but that couldn’t be farther from the truth. “Broken heart syndrome”, medically known as stress cardiomyopathy, is a kind of heart attack. Like any other heart attack, it can cause symptoms like shortness of breath, chest pain, and abnormal heart rhythms — but the mechanisms are totally different.

    Typical heart attacks happen due to a blockage in a heart artery that damages the heart muscle, says cardiologist Sharonne N. Hayes, M.D., founder of the Women’s Heart Clinic in Rochester, MN. Stress cardiomyopathy, on the other hand, doesn’t involve blocked arteries. It can be life-threatening, but because it’s easier for the heart to recover, Dr. Hayes says it’s more survivable than other types of heart attacks.

    Cases might be surging now, but it’s not new. According to Dr. Hayes, the syndrome was first described in 1990. The Japanese researchers that identified it dubbed the syndrome “Takotsubo,” because the shape of the left ventricle on an angiogram looks like the same-named ceramic pot used to capture octopuses in the ocean. As the syndrome gained more recognition and it became clearer emotional stress commonly caused it, Dr. Hayes said people started calling it “broken heart syndrome.”

    Not the JAB but stress🤪😷😬

  9. Lastcall says:

    Too funny; may have to keep Queenie on lie-support a bit longer and get young Billy up to speeed

    https://dailysceptic.org/2022/02/10/triple-jabbed-prince-charles-tests-positive-for-covid-for-second-time/

  10. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    Cancer mRNA Nanoparticles Restore p53 Function, Improve Immunotherapy Response
    Liver Cancer
    CancerDrug DiscoveryTherapeuticsImmuno-oncologyImmunotherapiesLiver CancerRNAmRNANewsOMICs
    mRNA Nanoparticles Restore p53 Function, Improve Immunotherapy Response
    February 10, 2022

    Researchers at Massachusetts General Hospital (MGH) and Brigham and Women’s Hospital (BWH) have used mRNA nanoparticles to reprogram the tumor microenvironment of liver cancer and restore the function of the p53 master regulator gene, a tumor suppressor that is mutated in different cancer types. The researchers demonstrated that when used in combination with immune checkpoint blockade (ICB), the p53 mRNA nanoparticle technology—which is similar to that used in COVID-19 vaccines—not only induced suppression of tumor growth but also significantly increased antitumor immune responses in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) laboratory models.

    “The reprogramming of the cellular and molecular components of the tumor microenvironment could be a transformative approach for treating HCC and other cancers,” said co-senior author Jinjun Shi, PhD, at the Center for Nanomedicine at BWH, who developed the platform with MGH liver cancer biologist and co-senior author Dan G. Duda, DMD, PhD. “By using this new approach, we’re targeting specific pathways in tumor cells with mRNA nanoparticles. These tiny particles provide the cells with the instructions to build proteins, which, in the case of HCC, delayed tumor growth and rendered the tumor more responsive to treatment with immunotherapy.

  11. Lastcall says:

    Storage problem solved;
    ‘Electric car owners will be called on to help Britain avoid an energy crunch as suppliers prepare tariffs allowing them to draw power from parked vehicles at times of low supply or high demand….

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/02/10/national-grid-drain-electric-car-batteries-times-peak-demand/

    Behind paywall but the thinking is not great.

    The comments can still be read;

    This is priceless eco lunacy… charge the car up as you need to go on a long journey and some jobsworth clicks an icon on a computer screen somewhere and drains your battery… you could not make this up
    NEVER NEVER NEVER have a “smart” meter

    So run this past me one more time. The Government wants you to buy an electric car to cut greenhouse emissions. At the same time the energy companies are unable to supply enough energy to keep the country supplied. As a compromise they will draw the energy from your car battery to keep the lights on with the result that your electric car will be unusable.
    If I am correct in my thinking the lunatics truly have taken over the asylum.

    Can’t help but notice those peak times also correspond with peak times of car use too. School runs, commutes home from work – assuming anyone goes back to the office, that is. I know, we can declare an emergency and have a car lockdown until the system can cope…

    Flatten the curve!!

  12. Fast Eddy says:

    OK we’re live just finished servicing the donkey big barricades in place now so difficult for mayhem

  13. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    Intermission from FE and the CEP progrom
    Starling stats on the honeybee die offs…The ecosystem is in big decline …another aspect of Collapse that is not being addressed because nothing can be 👍✅

    Associated Press
    60,000 bees stolen from grocery company’s pollinator field
    Wed, February 9, 2022, 6:22 PM
    CARLISLE, Pa. (AP) — Nearly 60,000 bees have been stolen from a grocery store company’s field in Pennsylvania, the company said.

    The bees were said to be stolen in Carlisle between Jan. 28 and Jan. 30, Pennlive.com reported Wednesday.

    In a statement, the Giant Company’s community impact manager, Jessica Groves, said that the bees were an essential part of the local food chain that is suffering a declining bee population.

    “We are extremely disappointed that this happened and are continuing to cooperate with Middlesex Township Police Department,” Groves said.

    In 2021, beekeepers in the state reported a loss of 41% of their populations, which was less than the national average loss of 45.5% of bees between April 2020 and 2021.

    The nationwide loss of bee populations is causing serious concerns with the agricultural industry and environmentalists because about one-third of the United States’ food supply relies on bees to pollinate plants, the newspaper said.

    Back in the 1980s had a couple of hives here in Florida and the only problem were wax moths…
    Now it’s an entirely different plague besetting the insect world.
    While in Charlotte NC, number of Co workers attempted bee keeping and unfortunately the newly set up hives did not establish themselves and died off.
    No way would I attempt bee keeping today….

    A book that got hooked

    The Joys of Beekeeping
    Richard Taylor

    A wonderful book in which Richard Taylor develops his philosophy to life and more importantly to beekeeping in a readable and thoroughly delightful way.

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      “And that leads us to the grand conclusion:
      The vaccine makes your immune system forget what it had previously learned about this virus.”

      the global vaccine program is a total failure.

      that is the current science.

      the PERCEPTION by many/most people is that the vaccines are SAFE because they never had a serious side effect, and EFFECTIVE because they never got covid.

      when the Jabbed don’t get covid now, it’s not because of protection from the vaccines, which now have negative efficacy with omicron as the dominant variant.

      and the jabs are not safe, as shown conclusively by the leaked US military DMED database which shows many 3X 4X even 5X increases in serious diseases/conditions in the military personnel who were jabbed in 2021.

      the perception of “safe and effective” is wrong, according to the latest science.

      • Lastcall says:

        Here is a prediction from Cliff High on future trends; 30 million excess deaths from this experimental jab?
        Be an interesting spectacle as the hunters become the hunted. Not sure if our complex world won’t have massively ‘simplified’ before then and 30 million be a drop in the ocean.

        ‘The CDC is now reporting a 40% increase in death totals for 2021. The reports are saying the huge increase is “unexplained.” High and many others say the CV19 injections explain it all, and it’s only going to get much harder to explain. High’s analysis says, “I think we are looking at three years here before it peaks: 2022, 2023 and 2024. There is a lot of stuff in the data that says 2024 will be the tail-off of it. So, we have a number of very rough years ahead of us. Each year in succession will have more people dying than the year before. There is also going to be more infirmities, more illness and more of a drain on the system. In this three years, we will take the globalists to task and hold them accountable for their crimes. We are going to have a ‘red pill’ moment that’s coming soon. It’s not going to take months. It’s not going to take weeks. It’s going to take a short period of time, and many of them are going to go ballistic. So, I expect frequent, irregular, episodic, periods of chaos. They won’t be lashing out at society at large. They will be lashing out at their abusers. . . . You will need to stand back. People will need to understand that there will be a section of the social order that is going to go crazy in anger, grief and all of this. These will be very violent reactions to having been poisoned, and some of them will be spectacularly so in terms of the violence of it. It’s not going to be wise to hang out around these elite guys.”

        High’s analysis now says at least “30 million people will die from the CV19 injections” one way or another in the next few years, and that could be a very low estimate.’

        https://usawatchdog.com/vax-die-off-for-next-three-years-clif-high-1-22-22/

        Not my usual go-to but interesting-ish dude; ‘Internet data mining expert who uses “Predictive Linguistics” mmm……

        • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

          okay so is it roughly 3 billion Jabbed?

          30 million is 1%.

          over a span of a few years, that may or may not move the dial much.

          the govMSM coverup will be strong and relentless.

          even now, they continue to be relentless that the vaccines are “safe and effective” when the latest science confirms that it is neither.

          (ps: that won’t put much of a dent in the roughly 80 million per year population increase.

          are TPTB failing in their grand plans?)

          • Wet My Beak says:

            I want the blood of the jabbed … all over me …

          • Lastcall says:

            My thinking is this dude is US centric and so the numbers are for that audience; so 30 million be about 10%.
            But that is almost certainly going to be exceeded by the newly medically compromised/dependant cohort.
            Anyway it is merely somebodies best guess and provides interesting data point. I wonder what changes in the keyword / language used online he has noticed.

            • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

              “Each year in succession will have more people dying than the year before. There is also going to be more infirmities, more illness and more of a drain on the system.”

              yes medically compromised could be much higher than deaths.

              the US military DMED system shows roughly 3X higher cancers etc than baseline 5 year averages.

              the Jabbed will be the most interesting statistical group for many years.

              I wonder if keyword/language has anything to do with Unjabbing oneself… reversing the jab.

              or perhaps like in sports:

              Reverse The Curse!

      • “The vaccine makes your immune system forget what it had previously learned about this virus.”

        This is dreadful. It is what keeps the virus going around.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        If the injected end up with Reverse AIDS – it will be a tremendous success.

        Fauci will receive a gold medallion

    • Minority of One says:

      Yes, good read in as close to plain English as is possible. Long article but worth reading the lot. Explains why the antibodies produced by the vaxx don’t last very long, and set up the vaxxed for a life-time vulnerability to new versions of SARS-COV-2.

    • This same anonymous author has another very good recent post that I somehow had missed:

      https://www.rintrah.nl/lockdowns-are-what-made-sars-cov-2-so-deadly/
      “Lockdowns are what made SARS-COV-2 so deadly”

  14. Mirror on the wall says:

    https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2022/02/israels-apartheid-against-palestinians-a-cruel-system-of-domination-and-a-crime-against-humanity/

    > Israel’s apartheid against Palestinians: a cruel system of domination and a crime against humanity

    Israeli authorities must be held accountable for committing the crime of apartheid against Palestinians, Amnesty International said today in a damning new report. The investigation details how Israel enforces a system of oppression and domination against the Palestinian people wherever it has control over their rights. This includes Palestinians living in Israel and the Occupied Palestinian Territories (OPT), as well as displaced refugees in other countries.

    The comprehensive report, Israel’s Apartheid against Palestinians: Cruel System of Domination and Crime against Humanity, sets out how massive seizures of Palestinian land and property, unlawful killings, forcible transfer, drastic movement restrictions, and the denial of nationality and citizenship to Palestinians are all components of a system which amounts to apartheid under international law. This system is maintained by violations which Amnesty International found to constitute apartheid as a crime against humanity, as defined in the Rome Statute and Apartheid Convention.

    Amnesty International is calling on the International Criminal Court (ICC) to consider the crime of apartheid in its current investigation in the OPT and calls on all states to exercise universal jurisdiction to bring perpetrators of apartheid crimes to justice.

    Our report reveals the true extent of Israel’s apartheid regime. Whether they live in Gaza, East Jerusalem and the rest of the West Bank, or Israel itself, Palestinians are treated as an inferior racial group and systematically deprived of their rights. We found that Israel’s cruel policies of segregation, dispossession and exclusion across all territories under its control clearly amount to apartheid. The international community has an obligation to act

    Agnès Callamard, Amnesty International’s Secretary General

    “There is no possible justification for a system built around the institutionalized and prolonged racist oppression of millions of people. Apartheid has no place in our world, and states which choose to make allowances for Israel will find themselves on the wrong side of history. Governments who continue to supply Israel with arms and shield it from accountability at the UN are supporting a system of apartheid, undermining the international legal order, and exacerbating the suffering of the Palestinian people. The international community must face up to the reality of Israel’s apartheid, and pursue the many avenues to justice which remain shamefully unexplored.”

    • I have visited both Israel and Palestine. I would agree that the situation is pretty awful over there. We went on a tour that was intended to show both some of Israel and also the problems the Palestinians were facing.

      Part of the problem is an overpopulation problem, indirectly from the Jews being moved into the area, displacing the previous residents. Also, the birth rate of both the Israelites and the Palestinian is very high, assuring that the overpopulation problem gets worse and worse. There clearly is not enough fresh water for everyone, without desalination, either. There is also the mistreatment issue.

      • Student says:

        Yes, it is a sad story.
        It is sad to see that jews were not included in societies where they lived in the past and now they are not inclusive in their society with not-jews.
        It remembers to me what I saw when I was in the army.
        As new soldiers are treated badly by veterans when they are arrive in the army, they then treat in the same way new ones when they arrive.

        • Karl says:

          The biggest take away from me is the fact that intergroup prejudice and strife is not unique to any one group or time. The Jews endured the holocaust, and then displaced Palestinians and treat them to Apartheid. The Spanish had the “reconquista” of Al-Andalus from the Muslims, then set out to the new world and conquered the Aztecs and Inca. They in turn had consolidated power into empires by tribal warfare (Hence the native allies in their over-throw). And around and around she goes. The multi-culturalists in the modern West dont realize they are writing the obituary of their civilization (And I say this as someone in a multi-racial family). All of human history is just one big primate scramble for social dominance.

          • I think it may be the same way with religions. As they try to be accommodating to multiple other religions, they no longer have their original mission as clearly in mind. Many Israelis are not really practicing Jews anymore; they tend to be atheists, fighting for more territory.

            Political parties that become too inclusive lose their ability to fight other political parties. US Democrats have become too broad-based to be acceptable to a very broad group of people.

            Also, academic institutions, as soon as they start to emphasize diversity among all other qualities for faculty, and start emphasizing “percentage of students graduating” as a major goal, lose their ability to educate students. They become a way to keep young people occupied and out of the workforce for a few years.

      • Herbie Ficklestein says:

        Long while ago read that this high birth rate was INTENTIONAL on both parties….don’t recall the specifics but seems each are determined to outnumber the other side. Many women are not the position to object.

        Here in the US South Florida, when I encounter the Orthodox Hebrews, the couples have at least 4-5 children …

        Of course, the Roman Catholic doctrine is the same…more souls, more power in numbers and more importantly donations.

        I shake my head now when looking back to what I was fed in my childhood. It really doesn’t make too much sense when looking at it.
        But easier to be told what is, …oh well

        • I have heard the same thing about the high brith rates being intentional. Each side wants to outnumber the other, perhaps in voting, or perhaps otherwise. The situation is crazy.

  15. CTG says:

    One question to all of you here. I was at Igor’s substance reading the comments. One of them talks about anxiety. Those who are vaccinated have anxiety attacks. I do see among those I know there is an increase in mental and emotion instability. Caused by the vaccine?

    • DB says:

      Tough to know. Pre-existing anxiety probably caused a lot of people to get jabbed early and often.

      • DJ says:

        Agree, my friend was put into hospital for a week and off sick for over a month because of imagined covid. He has since vaccinated and boosted.

    • MM says:

      Are all of the protesters really nazis ?
      Anxious ? Or go out to see for yourself. The vaccination camaign is and was a pschological assault on all humans. It came after a c9/11 assault on the psychology of all humans.
      The unfortunate problem is that a mental problem can not be solved by a physical intervention. DMT maybe or LSD or what have you, These are more or less a “gift from nature”…

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Or caused by seeing football players across the world and other pro athletes collapse…

      The panic attack is Mr DNA starting to understand that he’s f789ed himself and there is no unf789ing…

  16. Fast Eddy says:

    Hahahahahahahaha!!!!!!!!!

    https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/australia-ends-covid-19-vaccine-trials-due-to-hiv-antibody-positives-2337285

    Ain’t no way to UNf789 Reverse AIDS…

    Who feels joy? ido ido hahahahaahahahahah

  17. Fast Eddy says:

    greeting from zombieland (aka Queenstown Airport)… land of the N95 masked airport staff… might I recommend that when anyone ventures into zombieland and is asked for their RAT test result to do as I did — very calmly approaching the desk to show the pass — then ask if all the other passengers have negative tests…

    you will be informed of course that vaxxed passengers do not … then feign deep concern – furrowed brows — then after an appropriate pause —- ask them if they think the vax stops people from getting covid… expect them to say they know it does not (if not explain Israel)… then inform them that you are very concerned about being loadied into a metal tube with hundreds of people who have not been tested and might be infectious (if anyone coughs or sniffles — a person who definitely does not have the disease ….

    then ask where the logic is – surely everyone should be tested?

    The response is likely to be to call the manager over… then you can have the same conversation with her …. the current manager is heavily pregnant + she is a Big Ol Hog to Boot — gotta clock in an well over 100kg…. she’d do well in the mud wrestling big hog matches…. and wearing the ubiquitous N95 Oxygen Killer and I could faintly – ever so faintly – the cries of her unborn child screaming – mama.. mama .. I can’t breath!!! What the f789 are you doing to me you Big Fat B it ch?????) who will not respond to the request for ‘the logic’ and when I informed her that I am quite fearful of boarding the aircraft knowing there might be multiple diseased people who are infectious flying with me…

    is that a smirk I detect… a look of .. derision??? I reckon a well placed Hard right hand could take that smirking hog down … then a quick slash of a butter knife across the belly to let the oxygen deprived escape from that Big Beat (waaaah waaaah … thank you Mr Fast … can you be my daddy???— sorry but no — you’ve been poisoned with the boosters from your mother so you won’t be alive in a year… and Fast will be too busy to dig a hole to bury you … and Fast doesn’t want to be near diseased infants… don’t take it personally)

    as she informed me this is the company policy. (you will want to ask is she is a mindless MOREON who just does whatever she is told regardless how ridiculous… but why bother .. we already know there is no cure for that)

    I also recommend – if you dont have an exemption — which I don’t — conducting all of these discussions with the mask only covering your mouth — and then buy a takeaway coffee have a seat in the waiting area sipping it with the mask off … then when the security hassles you tell them you can’t drink coffee with the mask on … and that the mask is useless anyway – see all the spaces around the side…

    and when they tell you to take it off when sipping only .. just keep the cup to your mouth because you are taking a very very long sip and will be sure to put the mask back on when you are done sipping (every last drop .. can’t waste)… and watch the security become exasperated with you and walk away…

    always calm… but assertive…. and once on the plane repeat the sipping exercise but with an endless cup of water..

    Fast insisted on bringing the Gas Mask on the plane and putting it on if the MOREONS insist on keeping a mask on the entire way — when you have a brain the size of Fast’s … a high performance computing machine …. it needs to a Lot of Oxygen… and it needs to be kept cool at all times…

    And keeping the mask on for 90 minutes could damage The Messiah …

    So anyway… the Gas Mask has a hose but no filter whatsoever (although if pressed one could stuff a tissue in the hole?… and be compliant)…. so it ensures a full cool air and oxygen to The Messiah ensuring the Genius is not impeded…

    But M Fast said NO… you are not going to put that on in the airplane!

    Think of the effect of the Gas Mask on the children — hahahaha… parents might actually attack Fast — even though he’s just trying his best to Stay Safe… and being unvaxxed HE needs to have the special mask…

    Let’s hope and pray the MOREONS on the plane allow Fast to taking endless sips… we’d all hate to see him be damaged by oxygen deprivation – like that Big Hogs unborn vermin hahahaahahahaha…

    Fast wants to go back and congratulate her on attempted murder — letting her know that’s a really kind gesture to sacrifice her vermin … given we have way way too many people on the planet already …. how much more altruistic can you get – huh? I think I’ll try to convince FE that HE might want to leave the Hog mired in her mud bath… and think positive thoughts like – imagine what it will be like to give birth to a purple headed dead hunk of meat

    hahahahaha

    • CTG says:

      Don’t you need to be vaxxed to board a plane?

      • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

        south island to north island apparently not.

        is He in the air?

        no innnsane HP posting now.

        this needs video when He is in the crowds of protestors.

        the guy in the Gas Mask should be easy to spot.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Nope – just a negative RAT test for domestic … international on Air NZ must be vaxxed + tested..

        I forgot to mention when I was going through security I had the mask off my nose… they patter down guy (who looked like he was just panting to get a feel of me gonads) said you have to put the mask up … thinking quickly Fast said — tell him you have a damaged heart due to Pfizer and struggle to breath with the mask up + you have applied for an exemption + you are going to Wellington for heart tests… so I said all that…

        So he puts on a SECOND mask hahaha… two masks… and pats me down – cuz he’s the patter guy… and I says watch out for the gonads… and then .. and then Fast says – its you and this government that caused this … he says how is it me — I says you work for the government so you are complicit in this poisoning.. he shakes his head and waves Fast through…

        Then Fast tells the people at the counter he has Pfizer heart (looks of pity) and is it possible to fly with the mask off HIS nose… manager time … manager is the same manager as at the checkin!!! surprise — the Big Ol Hog waddles out … Fast asks if it’s ok … nope — Fast says what if Fast dies mid flight … she says well if you feel that unwell we can off load you … oh no says Fast in a bit of a panic cuz HE is keen to see the terrorism in Wellington .. Fast says HE’ll be ok so long as he can have some water and have some sippies without the mask..

        One other favour .. can Fast be seated only near other people who have had RAT tests… cuz Fast is concerned about being next to vaxxed MOREONS who have not been tested… covid might be very bad for Fasts heart… she checks Fast’s pass and she says — you already have an entire row of seats to yourself Herr Fast Eddy…

        Oh well then – Fast says HE’ll use this opportunity to take a nap … enjoy your flight Mr Eddy .. and the Big Hog waddles away — Fast says – hey wait .. weren’t you the winner of the Gold Medal at the Hog Plough Olympics in North Korea in 2012… well by jove she says yes I was — Fast says well I was there and you were spectacular! Can we take a photo together… sure

        Ok well you get down on all fours and (like in the hog plough finals) and Fast will hop up on your back and you can haul your Big Carcass across the lounge … and your colleague can take a video …

        sure she says…

        Fast Mounts Up on the Big Hog… slaps the hog in the arse and shouts SOOOOO EEEEEE SOOOOOOOO EEEEEEEE… giddyup you big Hog. Giddy the f789 up… SOOO EEEEEEE.

        And off we went … and the dummmb Kiwis sat there watching this and muttering … that’s our girl… that’s our good girl… Olympic Gold you know… she’s a good ol hog that one….

        And SoOOOOO EeEEEEE hollered Fast SOOOOO F78999ing EEEEEEEEE.

    • Kowalainen says:

      WTF! 🐷

      🤣👍👍

      I’m having some fun finally. These MOARons aren’t that bad at delivering absurd tragicomedy.

      Pics or it didn’t happen!

  18. Downunder says:

    I wonder how long it is before the slogan from Animal Farm – “Two legs bad, four legs good” s replaced with “Two jabs bad, four jabs good” ?

  19. Student says:

    Maybe you have already heard that Luc Montagnier has died.
    Of course everybody can suddenly dies and expecially if one is 89.
    And it is also of course a coincidence, but it is interesting to know that he was about to give evidence at the famous trial organized by German Lawyer Dr. Reiner Fuellmich, as you can hear by his voice at time 14.00 of the video in English present here (it is written also in the text):

    https://mepiu.it/luc-montagnier-doveva-testimoniare-il-12-febbraio-al-gran-giuri-che-procede-per-i-crimini-contro-lumanita-da-covid-19/

    • Fast Eddy says:

      He didn’t look particularly healthy… lucky him – no Ripping of Faces for Luc

    • Tim Groves says:

      RIP. He can still appear on video. As can the late Kary Mullis. Both of these luminaries have said a lot of juicy things on the record.

      But if they wanted him to testify live, then sorry, they’re out of Luc.

      The BBC has been busy sliming the man even before rigor mortis has worn off, lest anybody think he had anything important to tell the world.

      “Montagnier later generated huge criticism for a series of unscientific claims, including over the causes of autism and later over the origins of Covid-19,” they wrote.

      Generating huge criticism is a big naughty for scientists in twenty-first century Western Civ. Funny, it used to be a sign that you were doing something right, rebelling against outdated orthodoxy, shifting paradigms, shouting “Eurika!” and stuff like that.

      • Student says:

        He was the first one to say that the virus was from a Lab and that there was some part of HIV inside.
        All mainstream media attacked and discredited him.
        After two years we are only discussing about from which lab get out and how much HIV is inside.
        In a couple of years we will be discussing if the rate of mortality with mRNA vaccines is above or below 50% ? (or whatever figure, the exact number is not the point)

      • Xabier says:

        ‘Generated lots of criticism from the majority of scientists in the field’ = ‘Heresy! Heresy! Burn! Burn!’

        I should be inclined to pay attention to someone for exactly that reason, above all if they have had a formerly distinguished career.

  20. Chris Kuykendall says:

    Gail Tverberg’s first sentence is correct. Wind and solar are overrated as being the BASIS for a green economy. However, her third sentence is something she continually repeats and IMHO gets garbled, at least for some places in the world.

    An issue en route to that third-sentence issue is that the article talks about wind in Europe and China. Quickly glancing, I do not see anything about the United States, especially where I live in Texas, where wind-generated electricity is important to the state’s total output.

    Most of Texas is in the ERCOT grid, which is essentially isolated, as many here and elsewhere learned during the Texas freeze of February 2021. But what’s bothersome to me about the third Tverberg sentence is its reference to “natural gas or coal used for balancing the intermittent output of renewables….”

    First, let’s change the word “output” to “supply,” so that we can do a standard contrasting of that with “demand.”

    Within ERCOT, coal and natural gas do not balance the intermittent supply of wind and solar. Rather, coal (including lignite) and nuclear provide BASE supply. Then what’s far more important, as intermittency goes, is the intermittency of DEMAND, such as on hot July afternoons as temperatures rise from their morning levels and more air conditioning keeps kicking in, or such as on cold February overnights as temperatures plunge from their daytime levels and more residential heating keeps kicking for whoever’s heat is via electricity. So what happens is that, as demand fluctuates, which is to say as demand is intermittent and above the coal/nuclear supply base, then natural gas, windfarm, and/or solar supplied electricity fill the gap of whatever is the varying increment of demand that coal and nuclear supply don’t cover as the demand intermittently fluctuates. Natural gas, wind, and solar can ramp up or down relatively fast, as needed (except for solar at night), whereas coal and nuclear in contrast are not something you can turn on and off quickly like a light switch.

    If the wind isn’t blowing enough, natural gas can do the lion’s share of filling the demand/supply incremental gap above the coal and nuclear supply. If the wind is blowing okay, wind contributes a good deal towards filling the gap, which is why in Texas we’re d— glad to have it as a (15% or more?) supplementary source of electricity, and is why rural Texas landowners are d— glad to get paid money if they have wind turbines with leases on their property.

    Lastly, ERCOT power engineers by now have years of experience in how the wind behaves and what are the parameters of its short-term variance and thus what are the parameters of ERCOT expectations as to the wind-generated electricity that can be relied on at any one time (always some FRACTION of nameplate capacity, certainly not the nameplate capacity itself)..

    I see that the former American Wind Energy Association has been succeeded by the American Clean Power Association (ACPA). Gail Tverberg should by no means trust me on the paragraphs above, as I’m not an engineer but only a former legislative staffer who had electricity as one of my subject assignments my last five years before retiring. However, it would be ideal for her to get in contact with, or, if COVID ever relents and allows, to perhaps actually visit our state, to talk at length to the locals who are ACPA or ERCOT wind techies and know a heckuva lot more than me with my own potential garbling of matters. Mike Sloan, whether he’s still with Virtus Energy or not, would be good, as would Susan Sloan, whether she’s still with ACPA or not. Or, whoever else they might recommend, and then certain somebody at ERCOT either additionally or as a result of a Sloan recommendation.

    • JesseJames says:

      Quit sugarcoating it. Wind power is not reliable. I doubt it is even economical when subsidies are removed. It is pity those rural landowners that have leased their land for wind generators now have their land contaminated by micro fiberglass particles coming off the blades, though they may not realize it.

  21. Critical number of population?

    Less than 100,000,000.

    The top 10% of the advanced world, say 80,000,000, and the top 0.25% of the rest, say 20,000,000, are needed for maintaining civ.

  22. Oddys says:

    This might require a separate blogpost but is still an aspect of “green energy” – Biofuels.

    Ethanol and biodiesel from agriculture are just net energy losses, that is why they are more expensive than gasoline and diesel from fossil sources.

    It is simple and quite obvious, but still completely ignored. The inputs when producing these “green” fuels are mainly diesel and fertilizers, and the fertilizers are either mined (phosphorous and potassium) or fixated from air using fossil gas (nitrogen). The reason for the higher cost for “green” fuels is simply that it takes more energy to produce them than what they yield.

    The optimists claim that these things will be “competitive” if they are just scaled up. Embarassing stupidity.

  23. Jef Jelten says:

    The other thing I see happening more and more is the rapid push for “green energy” investment is being blamed for FF depletion by MSM with little or not mention of resource limits.

  24. Fast Eddy says:

    We all just want the MOREONS to start dying in big numbers … is that too much to ask for?

    https://worldedge.substack.com/p/bio-briefing-spikes-everywhere

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      “Identifies the phenomenon of omicron recoverers who deteriorate to hospitalization in a serious condition after about 10 days, with various medical problems that are not necessarily related to the airways.”

      yes microclotting can be dangerous.

      or is this even worse than just microclotting?

      the Jabbed should probably try to be pretty darn careful not to get infected with omicron.

      the 5 year long term scientific study of the Jabbed has how much longer to run?

  25. Fast Eddy says:

    https://alexberenson.substack.com/p/even-the-pandemics-wrongest-magazine

    For some reason the MSM wants to Let er Rip… is this because someone realized that a big mistake was made … that the vaccines are a disaster?

    Of course not – how should you know that?

    1. Because they keep boosting and are now jabbing infants

    2. Because they are not adopting Focused Protection

    https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98775e9b-f90e-4a4a-a87d-447a5990155f_1170x1077.jpeg

  26. Mirror on the wall says:

    Spiked has an interesting new ‘show’ on ‘free speech’.

    https://www.spiked-online.com/podcast-episode/how-free-speech-shook-the-world/

    Spiked’s argument for free speech seems to be essentially ‘utilitarian’, that it contributes to the good of society and of persons within society, by allowing for ‘progress’. But those who seek to limit free speech also appeal to utilitarian arguments, that it can also hinder the good, or reverse the gains, of society. So they are ‘on the same page’, that free speech has its value specifically in so far as it facilitates the ‘good’.

    The fundamental problem remains of what comprises the ‘good’, the variety of opinions about that, and how the discrepancy of opinion may be _logically_ resolved. So, the discussion is somewhat superficial, and it assumes that the ‘good’ either has already been identified or that it can be identified in some ‘logical’ way that humans generally will find convincing. But, I do not expect them, or anyone else, to address that stuff.

    And, if free speech is valuable only in so far as it furthers and protects the ‘good’, and not absolutely, and it is admitted that it can also prove detrimental to the security of the good, then a utilitarian argument remains to be made why free speech should continue regarding those matters about which it has been ‘decided’ that the ‘good’ has already been identified and secured.

    The stance of Spiked is presumably that there is some ‘good’ either still to be identified or otherwise secured, and that can happen only, or at least can best happen, if free speech is universal and allowed regarding all matters, including those that have already been ‘agreed’ upon and secured. But that is a practical matter that falls under the ‘a posteriori’, ie., it is a matter of experience to decide whether that is true.

    So the most that Spiked could say is that they ‘may’ be right in their utilitarian argument, but only actual experience could confirm that. That matter could be settled only by experimenting with both possible courses, of allowing general free speech and of allowing free speech only on some matters. Thus, the course of knowledge would require that Spiked favour both a scenario of the suppression of free speech and one of the freeing of it, so that the outcomes of the scenarios could be compared.

    Or they could attempt to argue on the basis of past experience. But there we see that ‘gains’ were made without the freedom of speech. Indeed, they recognise that in the past, speech was forbidden on the matters on which ‘progress’ was nevertheless made. So, the lesson of the past is arguably that free speech actually did not allow for ‘progress’, which in fact was made in spite of the absence of free speech. So, it is questionable whether experience provides, or could provide, any decisive basis for Spiked to argue that free speech is the most useful course for society.

    In short, the argument remains to be made, and they cannot simply assume and assert that they are ‘correct’, as they are utilitarian and therefore subject to the ‘a posteriori’. Of course, the argument would have to be made for ‘utilitarianism’ in the first place, as there are other ethical approaches. They would have to show why utilitarianism is more ‘correct’ than all the other approaches. They really would have their work cut out, if they hoped to do more than to simply ‘signal their liberal virtues’ and to appeal for donations.

    And it seems likely that ‘social development’, and the acquisition of ‘rights’ is actually due the energetic, material and economic development of society, and to the accompanying shifts in social relations, and not to speech, or to free speech, at all. The utilitarian argument about free speech would then be naive and largely redundant. That would be the orthodox Marxist approach, but I am not suggesting that Spiked’s old RCP party was ever really that – nor would they claim that.

    Anyway, the new ‘show’ is very interesting and a lot of points are raised, but it should not be assumed that I agree with anything in particular – which is always the case with their stuff. Personally I am quite comfortable with people raising and discussing issues, even if I do not particularly agree with how they resolve them, and it all contributes to the promotion of wider popular education – which may or may not be a ‘good’ thing /s.

    • Kowalainen says:

      There’s nothing inherently problematic with free speech (opinions/theory/politics) as long as it is followed to its (falsifiable) logical conclusion without a leap of faith.

      In concrete terms; it should be partly shadow-banned until it is somewhat complete and critiqued as a process with its underlying causes and emergent effects.

      It is all to easy to fall victim to the dictates of the ego and limbic system when determining what is “good”, i.e. appealing to the limitless delusions, idealisms, wants and desires.

      Say; advocating for full tilt laissez-faire capitalism on a finite planet. There’s nothing fundamentally wrong with capitalism as long as awareness, negative feedback and anti-windup, is part of its underlying dynamics and temporal principles.

  27. Fast Eddy says:

    Do I contact the Trash Media (formerly known as the MSM) and inform that the Messiah is scheduled to arrive after lunch?

    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/covid-19-omicron-122-arrested-in-unprecedented-day-of-protest-at-parliament/LYYSC4KW5QRHDDQ62HESRFUEKI/

    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/covid-Fastedddy-messiah/inbound

  28. Kit says:

    Hi Gail, Great article as always. Off subject, I was wondering if you are looking at actuary data on all cause mortality lately? I was hoping to see some analysis from you on how the relationship between covid vaccination, disease, other factors??? may be impacting this. Some articles seem to be showing a problem here, but I would like to hear your take.
    Thanks, Kit.

  29. Silverio Lacedelli says:

    The nuclear fusion test produced 59 million joules. At first glance they seem many, in fact they are very few. Keep in mind that 1 Kwh of energy corresponds to 3.6 million joules, so about 16 Kwh of energy were produced, corresponding to 1.4 liters of diesel, taking into account that 1 liter of diesel contains 42.7 million joules.
    Cordiality

    • Ed says:

      None of that 16 Kwhr were extracted for use. It just heated the thin gas to a high temperature and then it was vacuum pumped out of the machine and dumped.

  30. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Analysis: After oil, gas and coal, global fuel shortage spreads to diesel… Global supplies of diesel are dwindling as refiners struggle to keep pace with rapid post-pandemic demand recovery, exacerbating an acute global energy shortage which has already sent the prices of gas, coal and crude oil soaring.

    “At a time when global central banks are fretting over inflation rates not seen for decades, diesel shortages would push up fuel and transportation costs further and add more upward pressure on retail prices.”

    https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/after-oil-gas-coal-global-fuel-shortage-spreads-diesel-2022-02-10/

    • Harry McGibbs says:

      “OPEC Gets Further Behind Oil Production Quotas…

      “According to the secondary sources that OPEC uses to track its members’ production, even top producer Saudi Arabia failed to deliver its 110,000-bpd monthly increase.”

      https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/OPEC-Gets-Further-Behind-Oil-Production-Quotas.html

    • Oddys says:

      When Reuters write about it the situation must be rather precarious. Well, the only cures for shortages are increased production and increased prices. If production cant be increased then increased price is a salvation. It is better to have expensive diesel to actually buy than to have no diesel at all.

      • Harry McGibbs says:

        This is true. Unfortunately the problem we have now is that demand destruction from higher prices risks morphing into a potentially irreversible deflationary spiral, given how energy-constrained we are and how much debt is sloshing around the system.

        • Dennis L. says:

          So Harry,

          Go long or short bonds?

          Dennis L.

          • Harry McGibbs says:

            Dennis, investment advice is not my forte. Perhaps there is some money to be made by shorting commodities for when the inflationary fever breaks.

            There may not be much to spend it on though if we are then sucked into a deflationary vortex. 😆

    • Part of Europe’s problem is that it uses a disproportionate share of diesel, since both its trucks and many of its autos operate on diesel. I expect that its farm equipment operates on diesel, as well.

      Whenever a barrel of oil is refined, it gives a mixture of products. Refineries have some leeway in how much of different products that are able to make, but not a lot. In general, it is possible to take heavy fuel and use it to make light products, but light products normally sell at a lower price, so it doesn’t make sense to do so. It is not possible to do the reverse: make diesel from what would be gasoline, for example.

      I have no idea why Europe chose this strange course of action. Perhaps they did not realize that even if they were importing fuel, they ought to make their imports more or less proportional to what the market might have available. Perhaps they though that the efficiency of diesel was better, so use lots of it.

      • A big part of this ‘strange course of action’ was the 1997 Kyoto Agreement, with the EU choosing and supporting diesel cars to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Diesel emits some 10-15% less CO2 than a gasoline car.
        This policy collapsed after the VW diesel emission scandal, exposed in 2015 (by US authorities, not the Europeans). Ironically, the cheated diesels were even better in reducing CO2 emissions, they were calibrated for a better fuel economy at the expense of higher NOx emissions when driven in real world, outside the emission testing lab. But the emission scandal destroyed any trust between diesel vehicle makers and the governments, while the diesel powertrain became discredited among the general public.

        • The Kyoto Agreement agreement also effectively encouraged companies to move production offshore, basically to coal-using countries. (These countries had other cost advantages as well: low wages, poor medical benefits, often warmer so less sturdy homes needed and no heat for winter.) The fact that the wealthy countries were trying to reduce CO2 emissions pretty much guaranteed that these coal-using countries would have no competition. There was also no carbon tax on imported goods.

      • drb says:

        In fact most tractors in Italy, being smaller machines for smaller farms, use benzina agricola, about 90% gasoline and 10% ethanol. Lamborghini near my hometown produces many of them (along with cherry red sport cars for Persian Gulf scions). This has been so for decades, and it is (or was) cheaper than regular, as part of an effort by the state to help farmers. But diesel cars are all the rage (several in my immediate family), so Italy is still hooked and consuming it. I have been saying it for a while now, diesel is the biggest bottleneck.

        • MM says:

          Owning a horse or an oxen requires approximately 25% of land for the feed of these. Interestingly enough a similar figure applies for rapeseed methy ester. It is being used heavily by Austrian Farmers. It can also derive organic lubricants that are being used with chainsaws in forest work. The producing plants are mainly operated through cooperatives managed by the farmers (producers and consumers) themselves.
          Of course in the absence of fertilier this will become a bit of a problem but crop cycles exist that can render soil pretty well for a very long period of time.
          ok, then we go for spare parts. ok, then we go for. ok, then we go for…
          pretty hard, eh?

      • MM says:

        Europe does not need to “think”.
        It has the best free market economy in the world!

  31. Germany Electricity Prices Soar To World Record Highs
    (from today’s TAE DebtRattle):

    https://notrickszone.com/2022/02/09/germany-electricity-prices-soar-to-world-record-highs-after-years-of-energy-policy-folly-expensive-unreliable/

    Unstable grid, record high prices

    Today German weekly news magazine FOCUS here reports how Germany’s electricity prices have now reached “record” levels: “Germany is the world champion in electricity prices – no country pays more for electricity. According to new data from the German Association of Energy and Water Industries, German households paid an average of 36.19 cents for a kilowatt hour in January 2022.”

    That’s over 40 US cents per kilowatt-hour!

    Three times higher than international average

    “Never before have German consumers had to pay so much,” writes FOCUS. “Germans have to pay almost three times as much for electricity from the outlet compared to the international average. This is mainly due to unusually high taxes and eco-taxes in this country.”

    Volatile grid teeters on collapse

    What’s worse, the country now teeters on power grid collapse, meaning blackouts are a real threat. Moreover, high-tech computer-controlled production machines and plants rely on a steady supply frequency to operate. As grid frequency becomes increasingly unstable due to the volatile wind and solar power input, the equipment risks costly unplanned production shutdowns. In total this makes Germany a less attractive place to invest, despite its highly skilled labor force.

    https://www-focus-de.translate.goog/finanzen/news/deutsche-zahlen-die-hoechsten-strompreise-der-welt_id_49508661.html?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en

    The dumbest energy policy in the world”: Germany is risking a lot with record electricity prices

    According to the Federal Association of Energy and Water Management, German industry is suddenly paying huge electricity prices. Their tariffs are reduced. But in January, on average (annual consumption 160,000 to 20 million kilowatt hours, medium-voltage supply) a whopping 26.64 cents per kilowatt hour were incurred. In 2020 this value was still 17.76 cents, in 2021 it was 21.38 cents. The associations of German industry are therefore sounding the alarm that the high energy prices are an acute threat to Germany as a business location.
    BDI sees energy-intensive industries under threat

    The BDI (Federal Association of German Industries) is therefore demanding above all the abolition of the high EEG surcharge to promote renewable energies: “The EEG surcharge is a stumbling block for Germany as an industrial location. Especially in economic reconstruction after the Corona crisis and in climate protection, it slows down companies and consumers. The federal government must initiate a permanent about-face in the amount of the surcharge and completely end the chapter of high state burdens on the electricity price. More market and less regulation is the solution for the success of the energy transition,” says Holger Loesch, Deputy BDI General Manager. Above all, energy-intensive industries (steel, metals, paper, glass, aluminium, cement) are threatened to leave Germany.

    As one Energy Minister of Germany put it already 8 years ago: Angela Merkel’s Vice Chancellor Stuns, Declares Germany’s ‘Energiewende’ To Be On ‘The Verge Of Failure’!

    http://euanmearns.com/germany-energiewende-kaput/
    http://notrickszone.com/2014/04/27/angela-merkels-vice-chancellor-stuns-declares-germanys-energiewende-to-be-on-the-verge-of-failure/

    I would say it was another false hope for saving industrial civilizatioin.
    Next stop IMO: nuclear. A lot.

    • Dennis L. says:

      Ah, making solar sound like a good deal especially if it can be local, like on your home without all those pesky taxes.

      Dennis L.

    • Germany is the perfect country for problems to happen in. It has been over-the-top in its support of wind and solar, even closing down nuclear, when it didn’t need to.

      The country clearly realized it was having problems eight years ago. Why didn’t it do an about-face then?

      • Harry says:

        You are absolutely right.
        But there is something strange about our people. There is something fanatical in some of them, instead of finding “a healthy middle”, they always go to the extreme.
        With full run with the head against the wall. And if it was not enough, then with even more run-up another time.
        You can see it in all the major social issues of recent years: massive immigration without any sense, an “Energiewende” (energy turnaround) into nothing, and also with Corona: the strictest measures, a real vaccination fanaticism and enormous agitation against the unvaccinated.
        Even today, when Omikron is obviously little more than a normal cold, lots of people walk through the pedestrian zone wearing masks.
        Many young people, too.
        More and more, I no longer feel comfortable in this society.
        It is completely crazy what has happened here the last few years.
        And despite complete obviousness, at the end of the year we will also take the last nuclear power plants, which are completely in order, off the grid.
        It feels like we’re at the epicenter of collective insanity here!

        • Mass Psychosis Formation.
          Reading comments here at OFW, other opinions and articles, I see a lot of people from many other countries having the same impression. Including mine.

        • Jarle says:

          > It feels like we’re at the epicenter of collective insanity here!

          Norway: Our current place in the sun is based on fossil fuels but fossil fuels are no no, wind turbines is the new black and hydrogen production is the way to go.

          Insanity!

        • Kowalainen says:

          Some time ago I suggested this to somebody (hot, smart but inexperienced).

          Perhaps it is better to let it play out (to its logical conclusion). Let them be who they are.

          In the mean time:

          🪵🪓💧

    • MM says:

      Coincidently I stumbled across an article here:
      “High energy prices ? Yawn.”
      http://www.intrenex.com/?p=844

  32. Student says:

    israel: most people in serious condition for Covid-19 are vaccinated: “Of the 1,123 serious cases -> 485 serious patients with coronavirus are unvaccinated, 116 are partially vaccinated (which in Israel means less than 4 doses), and 502 are vaccinated. The vaccination status of the remaining less than 2% was unknown.
    That is, out of 1,123 people, 618 are vaccinated (i.e. more than half are vaccinated that would be 561.5).

    https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-696030

    • I think the big issue in Israel is a different one: Israel seemed to have a lot of non-COVID excess deaths, back in August to October 2021. It may have them again now; we don’t know.

      https://metatron.substack.com/p/the-crooked-covid-narrative-in-three

      It is hard to make an argument on the share of serious cases.

      • Student says:

        Thank you for the link about Joel Smalley.
        I get the point of his analysis, I just think that the argument could have been explained a little bit more in deep.
        The point is good and I’ve understood it, but his explanation is poor and it is difficult to show the article to people who are mainly reading mainstream media..
        While an article written by you can be understood.
        I hope he will write in a less superficial way in the future, because the subject could be really interesting.

        • He didn’t explain the situation very well, I will agree. Someone else almost needs to take some of his exhibits and explain what seems to be going on.

          • AshenLight says:

            I never thought I’d say this, let alone about such a brilliant analyst as Joel, but I think the Twitter format suited him better. I preferred the pithy short posts full of data to the essays, and I don’t even use Twitter.

  33. Jarle says:

    Oh no, not again!

    > Machine that generates clean power by replicating our sun hailed as answer to energy crisis

    https://www.thesun.co.uk/tech/17602748/machine-replicates-sun-clean-energy-climate-change-solve/

    • Ed says:

      No harmful waste is a false statement. The article does mention the neutrons it emits. They in turn make everything they touch radioactive. Lots of waste.

      59 MJ of energy. The article does not say but my educated guess is this lasted for about one second not a solution yet. When they can run for 10,000 hours let;s talk.

      • Jarle says:

        > When they can run for 10,000 hours let;s talk.

        Exactly … but that is, as it always was, 50 years into the future.

  34. Ed says:

    I believe we are looking at the wrong question when we try to imagine a system for 8 billion humans at current standards of living. I believe we should focus on what can be done with solar and wind and nuclear (not clear of fuel available for nuclear).

    We can have centers of industry placed near hydroelectric supplies and/or windy places. They will be intermittent. We will have to design our industrial process to work on again off again. For example stamping a piece of sheet metal can be done and stored while the sun shines and shutdown for the evening and/or for the cloudy month of November.

    Farming can be done with electric (no fertilizer) tractors and irrigation. If the field does not get plowed today it can be plowed tomorrow.

    I particularly like the coasts of mountainous lands for the drop for hydro. Places like the west coast of South America, The west coast of North America in places, New Zealand, maybe the foothills of the Himalayan mountains, no so good as no access to easy sea transport.

  35. Steve Bull says:

    There are a variety of additional complexities to add to our predicament.

    First and foremost is the fact that ‘green/clean’ energy is actually not ‘green’ or ‘clean’ and both the upstream and downstream processes necessary for its adoption continue to add significant stress to our already overloaded planetary sinks and devastated ecological systems–to say little of the fact that such energy sources depend upon finite resources, especially the fossil fuel platform.

    Another would be the financial/economic conditions we find ourselves in. For all intents and purposes, the monetary/economic/financial systems that keep our complex society functioning at the moment are more and more Ponzi-like in nature and therefore require perpetual growth to keep from collapsing and seizing up.

    Throw in a few geopolitical stress points as the US Empire struggles to maintain its dominance abroad and the straws just seem to keep accumulating on the camel’s back…

  36. Pingback: Limits to Green Energy Are Becoming Much Clearer – Olduvai.ca

  37. Jarle says:

    Meanwhile in Norway:

    Expensive electricity as of late. Bad news for many but especially in a country where we even heat our houses that way.

    In December and January the state paid part of our bills. People are a little happier but no mention of the fact that this is not a solution for the future.

    All our gas is shipped to England and continental Europe (*). Absolutely no plans for national “gas to el” plants. Oh no, offshore wind is the future! Expensive high maintenance machines in harsh Norwegian waters, what’s not tho love about that idea?

    *) Sorry, not all, we use a little for cooking while enjoying our great outdoors.

    • Gas is a difficult material to use. In the US, we pipe natural gas directly to many homes (but not everywhere – secluded areas include west coast, some central US farm areas and far Northeast). Within homes, the natural gas that is piped to homes can be used for heating the home, hot water heating, operating a stove in the kitchen, and operating a clothes dryer. Someone has to install pipes directly to each of these home appliances using the gas. In recent years in the US, natural gas has been very inexpensive for heat generation, compared to electricity. Burning gas directly is much more efficient than using electricity for these operations.

      Gas can also be used to create electricity. This is what you are talking about. This is, in its simplest form (but not its most efficient form), easy to put in place. All that is needed is something like a jet engine to burn the gas to create electricity. This electricity can then be used to perform the functions that homeowners in Norway expect. It can also be used to charge electric vehicles.

      If there is a plan to make the electricity generation more efficient, a much bigger, more expensive plant is needed, with more staffing. The gas is used to heat water. In theory, there is even a possibility of “co-generation,” in which waste heat is piped to nearby homes and businesses.

      As long as Norway can get a good fee from selling its natural gas to England and continental Europe, I don’t think that there is any point to burning the natural gas itself. Also, Norway has enough hydroelectric electricity that, even at the low times of generation, it has enough electricity for its own people. If there is a shortfall, it is a shortfall of electricity for export purposes. That shortfall is someone else’s problem.

      Over the long term, hydroelectric generation has more possibility of being maintained than electricity generated by natural gas. For electricity from hydro, the big challenge is keeping the electric grid repaired and maintaining the hydroelectricity generating units. Sourcing replacement parts and lubricating materials may become a problem.

      If natural gas to electricity generating capacity is built, I would imagine that Norway would find itself with even more electricity to export, especially at times when it is not needed. The catch with exported electricity is that more transmission lines are needed. Getting these transmission lines in place and maintaining them is a huge problem. For example, I understand that with the current grid, it is very difficult to get electricity transferred from Norway to the Stockholm area of Sweden. (Stockholm is one of the areas in danger of rolling blackouts from lack of electricity, especially if it does not keep its nuclear electricity operating.) The obstacle of the deficient grid would need to be overcome. Building new grid infrastructure is expensive; the building of grid infrastructure takes years and years, far longer than building gas electricity generating plants. Maintaining long distance transmission is a head-ache as well. Without fossil fuels, it is doubtful it can be done.

      • Ed says:

        It is only 324 miles from Oslo to Stockholm. Maybe Elon’s boring company could drill a tunnel through the mountains for secure connection. I have no feel for the cost of tunneling.

      • Oddys says:

        Stockholm is not *in danger* of rolling blackouts. The only *hope* for Stockholm is rolling blackouts! That is the only way to learn all those eco-warrior snowlakes the importance of energy and sound engineering calculations when dealing with energy. Right now they are completely crazy and delusional all of them.

    • Oddys says:

      There are some hidden gems here which could be because of some very smart planning or because of sheer luck – I dont know.

      Both UK and Norway are outside of the EU and are thus not bound by that “free market” ideology that is so pervasive in the EU regulatory framework. The UK is running out of their own gas but is free to make agreements with Norway and Norway is free to sell to whomever they want. This had not been possible if either or both of them had been EU members. I recall something about a big fat underwater electric cable between the two of them also…

      Interesting!

      • Jarle says:

        > I recall something about a big fat underwater electric cable between the two of them also…

        The Norway – UK cable is called the “North Sea link Interconnector” and has a capacity of 1400 MW.

        https://gridwatch.co.uk

  38. Kowalainen says:

    First a paste of rotting spike proteins, then a slurry of decomposing lymph nodes, followed with a burst of stale water.

    https://youtube.com/shorts/QIrK40UneH0?feature=share

    It’s mostly show.
    All hat and no cattle.
    *maa*, *baa*, *moar*

    🤣👍👍

  39. Ger Kort says:

    You can summarize everything with two questions according to the Socrates method:

    Why have we moved from freighters with sails to freighters with engines in the past?

    The next question is:

    What will happen to the economy if you go back from freighters with engines to freighters with sails?

    • Rodster says:

      “What will happen to the economy if you go back from freighters with engines to freighters with sails?”

      The system is not designed to go backwards. It’s like trading modern medicine for a Witch Doctor. Once you build out a system and add layers of complexity, you can’t dial it back to its primitive days. Our system was built on fossil fuels and the present technology needs fossil fuels, not wind and solar. Fossil fules put 8 billion himans on this planet and without it, the population numbers go in reverse.

      • Ger Kort says:

        Exactly. It is not possible. Then why do people vote for political leaders who go all in on wind energy, solar energy, etc.? Are people so misinformed these days? Or are they just stupid?

        • Jarle says:

          > Are people so misinformed these days? Or are they just stupid?

          How about stupid as in can’t be arsed to collect any info.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        The virtual reality program does not permit this — it is hard coded into the rules.

        It’s just like how we never have any more super volcanos.

        And why the Van Allan Belts exist… think about that … how else could these exist if it were not to keep us from leaving.

    • we will have an ‘economic system’ that is the equivalent of that which existed 300 years ago

      it supported about 1 billion people on the planet.

      quite simple to work out

      the same thing applies to horses and carts btw

      • zeroscore8584 says:

        It is hard to believe any being is surviving the predicament this world is facing, except maybe the cockroaches.

      • How do we get to an economic system that existed 300 years ago? How do we learn the skills that people had 300 years ago, for example? How do we find enough animals and seeds of the right kinds? What do we do for suitable hand tools?

        • Ed says:

          It may take 1000 years of learning by trail and error. 1000 years of breeding new draft animals from domestic stock. For those 1000 year we will experience undershoot. An extra low standard of living and/or an extra low number of humans say 10 million.

        • Dennis L. says:

          The skills are not that difficult to acquire, the world seems different.

          Coal is the headache from what I see here, In SE MN there were many small and sort of medium size hydro plants, the dams of a few still exist, one in Lanesboro still works.

          What is missing is the railroad which went from La Crosse(connection to Mississippi) to Preston, etc. The roadbed exists, bike path, but the coal to run the engines, etc. is gone. The steel probably came from northern MN, that too is more difficult to mine.

          Pittsburg still exists, the steel industry is mostly gone, Pennsylvania had a great deal of coal as I recall, that too is gone.

          Dennis L.

          • Xabier says:

            Learning crafts is slow.

            An apprentice wheelwright took from the age of 14 to 21 to be able to make a good wheelbarrow from scratch.

            Worth reflecting on.

        • the short answer is—we won’t.

          the basic skills are still with us from past times, the main ones being the blacksmith and the carpenter.

          but the blacksmith requires material and fuel before he can produce anything else. 3-4-500 years ago, the charcoal burner supplied fuel, the primitive foundry (the bloomery) supplied raw iron.

          essentially the production of iron was controlled by the speed of tree growth. Which wasn’t a problem when the country was covered in forest. Iron was a luxury anyway.

          Then we started running out of trees. It would seem one cannot ‘make’ something durable without burning something else. Maybe that ‘defines’ humankind? A bird breaks twigs to make a nest, but doesnt burn the tree to control the supply of nesting material.

          My personal view is that a ‘similar’ economic system will be forced upon us, against the stages of denial that we see kicking off right now. It won’t be the same, of course.

          That denial will include wars to ‘prove’ i’m wrong. All wars are fought over resources. They will be no different in the future. Perhaps messier. Maybe I am wrong. The way loonytoon mob hysteria can be fanned, I don’t think I am.

          political mass hysteria right now is being driven by that denial. People want ‘change for the better’, not realising why their condition is worse than they think they are entitled to,

          Imagine what that will be like when things really get scarce.

          • Ed says:

            Norman I agree with you people want change for the better and are pissed they are not getting it. I would not use the word denial because I think they do not know what is going on. They are not denying LTG they are denying the reality that they will not get endless growth. OK denial is OK they just have no idea of the why. They will never be told the why. Who would do that politicians not a winning move, academics not a winning move, artists maybe.

            The forms of the hysteria are so far removed from the root cause it confuses me. As in I want a house and a car and a pension but can not have them so I want everyone to cut off their genitals for social justice. ??? what??? I want the cities burned to the ground so I can have my car and house and pension????

            • broadly speaking yes

              in effect–‘they’ are the cause and ‘they’ are the solution

              2 different categories of ‘they’ of course, the good, and the bad, (they are both ugly)

              I think it is a form of denial, because it is a refusal to accept the overall condition of the planet we live on; billions have a certainty that everything will be put right by forces unknown ununinvented or of a different spiritual order.

              Micawber writ large you might say.

              I have no more clue what to do than anyone else, so i am probably one of the micawber clan too.

              ‘social justice’ is what ‘I’ want/need—the deprivation it might cause to others has nothing to do with ‘me’.
              My ‘BAU’ wrecks someone’s lifestyle in Nigeria or Sudan or wherever. Tough.

              We are I think incapable of thinking on that sort of plane.

              the reason for that is, we still have the brain of a hunter-gatherer primate, trying to make sense of a ‘modern’ lifestyle.

              Our knuckle dragging forebears were concerned only with self and tribe as a means of survival.
              We might contribute to an overseas charity,

              but ——

              are we prepared to stop our planet-heating antics altogether, to prevent low lying pacific islands being submerged? Or to stop the Himalayan glaciers melting, and thus prevent India and Pakistan going to war over water?

              No?

              Ah now–that’s when global warming becomes a hoax–a conspiracy. Or something Jesus will put right when he returns.

              Until he does, we can only concern ourselves with survival.

              Just like our ancestors did.

    • Ed says:

      Yes of course sail will be used. We can have a low intensity economy of 100 million humans on the planet.

      • Dennis L. says:

        One wonders what the critical number of humans is for various levels of society.

        • Ed says:

          Dennis, yes, yes, yes! I wonder also. I have no idea how to calculate that. I guess we (humans) will find out. In my remaining 30- years I will not find out.

          • simple

            the number we have now, give or take a few million—assuming that the ‘level of society’ means our current mode of living.

            put population back to the beginning of the industrial revolution, say 1 bn—and you would have the lifestyle of that era

            ie—wheels and fine houses for a tiny minority, and the rest working to support them (in theory)

            there would not be enough ‘working hands’ to deliver the accoutrements of 20th c society.

  40. Oddys says:

    Great piece, as usual. The issue is a bit complex and I will be back several times, but first I must apologize for taking part in to many covid-related discussions – I will do my outmost to restrict comments to energy in the future.

    Wind and solar can never be used to run a traditional electric grid, but they make some sense for slightly enhancing efficiency of exisitng hydroelectric and/or gas turbines. Hydroelectric and gas turbines can be regulated within seconds so wind and solar make perfect complements to save a little water when the wind is blowing and the sun is shining. Anything beyond that is just fantasies from non-technical people.

    • R. Frank Tulak says:

      You are extraordinary! I believe your research is the catalyst for the authorization of the building of SMR technology https://www.world-nuclear.org/information-library/nuclear-fuel-cycle/nuclear-power-reactors/small-nuclear-power-reactors.aspx The problem is it will take 6 years to go into production. Thank you for your research.

      • Oddys says:

        Yes, SMR could provide very good base generation, but I have not worked on the scalability so I dont know to what extent it can replace coal, oil and gas. There is also a problem with time – maybe some of the old folks here remember Robert Hirsch and the once famous “Hirsch Report” where he after careful analysis found that it would take at least 20 years to build the infrastructure needed to replace the existing energy sources – that was if there was a clear roadmap and society went all-in for the conversion.

      • Ed says:

        SMR will be fine additions to our future small scale centers of industry powered by hydro and PV. I do not expect it will save BAU for 8 billion.

        One hundred SMR plants up and down the west coast of the Americas excellent adder.

        Twenty SMR plants for NZ. A few for Norway, Switzerland, Israel, and ?

        Maybe even a fleet of 100 transoceanic transports built under BAU and lasting until they wear out.

        • Oddys says:

          Yes. Put them on bargues like Akademik Lomonosov and centralize maintenance, and the things might become really efficient. Connect the cooloing to district heating and medium-sized cities close to waterways and farmland can become great places to live.

    • Kowalainen says:

      “Anything beyond that is just fantasies from non-technical people.”

      No, it is a very much substantial peddling of hopium so that the collective (sub)conscious of the vicious Rapacious Primate can be placated.

      Never underestimate the need for a ‘better’ tomorrow for the NPC sheeple. An endless repetition of nothing of curiosity and mostly boredom. It is all retch and no vomit.

      You see; all they “see” is whatever is imagined to be observed through the eyes of others. Their little games, envy, lust, greed, sanctimony, hypocrisy, cognitive dissonance. Yes indeed all of it floating about in a menial sea of overpowering emotions and whatever dictates of the limbic system, which is in direct relation to what they perceive others might emote about.

      I would think that people with somewhat muted limbic system find this world rather gruesome and generally awful. But I suppose that’s the only way of getting this particular breed of primates in motion. However; overshoot and collapse is virtually guaranteed as there isn’t a default negative feedback loop in the wants and desires for a “better” tomorrow.

      And oh boy; are you measured through this absurdity.
      Despised, hated even. But it is all good. Why you might ponder upon? It is because truth is within the temptations of a species.

      “No one is more hated than he who speaks the truth.”
      — Plato

    • Jarle says:

      “Hydroelectric and gas turbines can be regulated within seconds so wind and solar make perfect complements to save a little water when the wind is blowing and the sun is shining.”

      Expensive savings, unfortunately …

      • Oddys says:

        Yes indeed! This “wind” thing might come out as stupid in the end if the lifespan of the things shows to be shorter than expected. I have read that the blades wear out very fast and lose efficiency within just a couple of years.

  41. Climatologists have to assume worst case scenarios in relation to the quantities of fossil fuels yet to be burnt. Just like civil engineers have to use the worst load patterns on a bridge when doing structural calculations.

    I talked to James Hansen in 2010 at Sydney Uni and his main worry was Canadian tar sands:

    “The potential amount of carbon in these unconventional resources is huge,” Hansen told the Environmental Audit Committee. “If we introduce the tar shale and the tar sands as a source and exploit those resources to a significant extent, then the problem becomes unsolvable.”
    https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/environment/climate-change/tar-sands-make-climate-change-unsolvable-hansen-20130517-2jpzv.html

    So we already went into unconventional shale oil since 2011, in response to the crude oil peak in 2005.The Federal Reserve printed money to finance that additional oil.

    On top of the problems you mention in this article we also have aging power plants whether nuclear or coal.

    I researched into the issues of load shedding and failing power plants in these 2 posts:

    14/6/2021
    NSW power spot price spikes May 2021 become regular (part 2)
    https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-spot-price-spikes-may-2021-become-regular-part-2

    7/6/2021
    NSW power spot price spikes May 2021 become regular (part 1)
    https://crudeoilpeak.info/nsw-power-spot-price-spikes-may-2021-become-regular-part-1

  42. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Global Economic Slowdown Led By Slump In Consumer Services Activity.

    “Detailed sector data from the PMI reveal how consumer-facing industries were the hardest hit, with tourism and recreation reporting by far the steepest downturn. However, many other sectors saw output trend deteriorate during the month amid widespread staff and materials shortages, as well as weakened demand…”

    https://seekingalpha.com/article/4485075-global-economic-slowdown-led-by-consumer-services-activity-slump

  43. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Goldman Commodity Veteran Says He’s Never Seen a Market Like It…

    ““I’ve been doing this 30 years and I’ve never seen markets like this,” Jeff Currie said in a Bloomberg TV interview. “This is a molecule crisis. We’re out of everything, I don’t care if it’s oil, gas, coal, copper, aluminum, you name it we’re out of it.””

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-07/goldman-commodity-veteran-says-he-s-never-seen-a-market-like-it

  44. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Turkey’s food delivery couriers latest to strike amid economic crisis…

    “Annual inflation reached 49 percent last month, up from 36 percent the previous month. Independent economists, however, put the annual rate at more than 115 percent. The official rate of unemployment remains in double digits at 11 percent.”

    https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2022/02/turkeys-food-delivery-couriers-latest-strike-amid-economic-crisis

  45. Harry McGibbs says:

    “‘No to the IMF’: thousands protest in Argentina against debt deal…

    “The protesters paraded through the capital with banners saying “no to paying the IMF” and “no to an IMF deal”, a sign of rising tension in the South American nation over the tentative agreement struck late last month.”

    https://www.reuters.com/business/no-imf-thousands-protest-argentina-against-debt-deal-2022-02-09/

  46. Harry McGibbs says:

    “China Eases Property Loan Curbs as Housing Market Slumps…

    “The latest easing comes after banks were recently urged to lend more to developers and speed up mortgage approvals. Authorities have also made it easier for companies to obtain financing to buy assets from weaker real estate firms by excluding such debt from regulatory limits on borrowing.”

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-08/china-eases-property-loan-curbs-as-housing-market-slumps

  47. Wallowing in Doom is never a good look.
    Things are as they are because it suits the Power Elite.
    Peakist memes suit the dominant Peakist Power Elite world view and grand design.
    The questions which are not being asked here are the ones where the more interesting possibilist
    scenarios will flow from.
    The main collapse I see is a collapse into the dominant Peakist , collapse , Climate heating , overshoot narratives.

    • Ed says:

      Please elaborate on your last sentence. Thanks.

    • Kowalainen says:

      “Things are as they are because it suits the Power Elite.”

      Nobody forced you to live according to the Maximum Power Principle. But you did nonetheless. Just own up to it instead of wallowing in delusions.

    • JesseJames says:

      Roger, move to Lebanon if you want to see if collapse is real.
      It is a matter of opinion how long the core will resists collapse.

    • machival66 says:

      You are right. The Elites are very happy to the the Cult of Scarcity preachibg scarcity at every corner, because this way the masses are willing to accept austerity measures without opposition. e truth is that the priblem is more political in nature. It’s not that there is scarcity, but that the system concentrates (by theft) large amounts of wealth into the hands of the billionaires.

      In a more egalitarian society, the resources the world has right now would be more than enough for poverty to be abolished.

      It is good that blogs such as this exist but it would be even better if from time to time the authors could (at the very least) take a small look at the information and data that contradicts their main narrative. If the problems discussed do exist, then why does the world continue Business as usual so easily? This question can’t be answered by the doomer authors. Their explanations are always about a bleak future.

      • Unfortunately, the wealth of the very rich is of a different type than the wealth that the poor need. The wealth of the rich is often shares of stock, with inflated values. The things that the wealth of the rich is spent on isn’t directly what people need. It is yachts, that are used once in a while, and fancy vehicles that may cost more, but don’t really provide much extra value, compared to a single, older car. It is expensive private education for their children, and big parties for their friends.

        They can’t really eat very much more ordinary food than other people. The may use more oil than the poor, but not proportionately more than the middle class. Even when their apartments are broken up into smaller apartments, they don’t add very much additional living space. It is just an illusion that the wealth of the very rich could really help the poor, by more than a tiny amount.

        • Xabier says:

          Very true, Gail.

          In the days when the wealthy literally had chests of gold and silver in their houses, cellars stocked with grains, oil, wine and cured meat, cupboards full of linen, wool and furs, candles, etc, they did indeed sit on things the poor could use, or take and sell.

          It’s like those imbecile politicians talking about the ‘wealth’ which is ‘locked up’ in inflated real estate valuations: as Tim Morgan points out, it can’t be liquidated as a whole, and is really an illusion.

          • Stockpiles can be an illusion, too. The mice get into the grain AND the candles AND the cured meat (has happened to me). The wool and furs are eaten by moths (has happened to me). The oil goes rancid (not so much that I can tell, so far).

            • Xabier says:

              True Lidia: I’m undergoing a full ground and air assault by rats at the moment.

              It’s a hard fight without a cat or a terrier to chomp them, and limited poisoning options due to the dog.

              Steel containers or medieval-style wooden chests which can’t be eaten through easily are necessary.

              They are the most intelligent and determined foes.

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