Why No Politician Is Willing to Tell Us the Real Energy Story

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No politician wants to tell us the real story of fossil fuel depletion. The real story is that we are already running short of oil, coal and natural gas because the direct and indirect costs of extraction are reaching a point where the selling price of food and other basic necessities needs to be unacceptably high to make the overall economic system work. At the same time, wind and solar and other “clean energy” sources are nowhere nearly able to substitute for the quantity of fossil fuels being lost.

This unfortunate energy story is essentially a physics problem. Energy per capita and, in fact, resources per capita, must stay high enough for an economy’s growing population. When this does not happen, history shows that civilizations tend to collapse.

Figure 1. World fossil fuel energy consumption per capita, based on data of BP’s 2022 Statistical Review of World Energy.

Politicians cannot possibly admit that today’s world economy is headed for collapse, in a way similar to that of prior civilizations. Instead, they need to provide the illusion that they are in charge. The self-organizing system somehow leads politicians to put forward reasons why the changes ahead might be desirable (to avert climate change), or at least temporary (because of sanctions against Russia).

In this post, I will try to try to explain at least a few of the issues involved.

[1] Citizens around the world can sense that something is very wrong. It looks like the economy may be headed for a serious recession in the near term.

Figure 2. Index of consumer sentiment and news heard of company changes as reported by the University of Michigan Survey of Consumers, based on preliminary indications for August 2022.

Consumer sentiment is at an extraordinarily low level, worse than during the 2008-2009 great recession according to a chart (Figure 2) shown on the University of Michigan Survey of Consumers website. According to the same website, nearly 48% of consumers blame inflation for eroding their standard of living. Food prices have risen significantly. Over the past year, the cost of car ownership has escalated, as has the cost of buying or renting a home.

The situation in Europe is at least as bad, or worse. Citizens are worried about possibly “freezing in the dark” this winter if electricity generation cannot be maintained at an adequate level. Natural gas supplies, mostly purchased from Russia by pipeline, are less available and high-priced. Coal is also high-priced. Because of the fall of the Euro relative to the US dollar, the price of oil in euros is as high as it was in 2008 and 2012.

Figure 3. Inflation-adjusted Brent crude oil price in US dollars and euros, in chart by the US Energy Information Administration, as published in EIA’s August 2022 Short Term Energy Outlook.

Many other countries, besides those in the Eurozone, are experiencing low currencies relative to the dollar. Some examples include Argentina, India, Pakistan, Nigeria, Turkey, Japan, and South Korea.

China has problems with developers of condominium homes for its citizen. Many of these homes cannot be delivered to purchasers as promised. As a protest, buyers are withholding payments on their unfinished homes. To make matters worse, the prices of condominium homes have started to fall, leading to a loss of value of these would-be investments. All of this could lead to serious problems for the Chinese banking industry.

Even with these major problems, central banks in the US, the UK and the Eurozone are raising target interest rates. The US is also implementing Quantitative Tightening, which also tends to raise interest rates. Thus, central banks are intentionally raising the cost of borrowing. It doesn’t take much insight to see that the combination of price inflation and higher borrowing costs is likely to force consumers to cut back on spending, leading to recession.

[2] Politicians will avoid talking about possible future economic problems related to inadequate energy supply.

Politicians want to get re-elected. They want citizens to think that everything is OK. If there are energy supply problems, they need to be framed as being temporary, perhaps related to the war in Ukraine. Alternatively, any issue that arises will be discussed as if it can easily be fixed with new legislation and perhaps a little more debt.

Businesses also want to minimize problems. They want citizens to place orders for their goods and services, without the fear of being laid off. They would like the news media to publish stories saying that any economic dip is likely to be very mild and temporary.

Universities don’t mind problems, but they want the problems to be framed as solvable ones that will offer their students opportunities for jobs that will pay well. A near-term, unsolvable predicament is not helpful at all.

[3] What is wrong is a physics problem. The operation of our economy requires energy of the correct type and the right quantity.

The economy is something that grows through the “dissipation” of energy. Examples of dissipation of energy include the digestion of food to give energy to humans, the burning of fossil fuels, and the use of electricity to power a light bulb. A rise in world energy consumption is highly correlated with growth in the world economy. Falling energy consumption is associated with economic contraction.

Figure 4. Correlation between world GDP measured in “Purchasing Power Parity” (PPP) 2017 International $ and world energy consumption, including both fossil fuels and renewables. GDP is as reported by the World Bank for 1990 through 2021 as of July 26, 2022; total energy consumption is as reported by BP in its 2022 Statistical Review of World Energy.

In physics terms, the world economy is a dissipative structure, just as all plants, animals and ecosystems are. All dissipative structures have finite lifespans, including the world economy.

This finding is not well known because academic researchers seem to operate in ivory towers. Researchers in economic departments aren’t expected to understand physics and how it applies to the economy. In fairness to academia, the discovery that the economy is a dissipative structure did not occur until 1996. It takes a long time for findings to filter through from one department to another. Even now, I am one of a very small number of people in the world writing about this issue.

Also, economic researchers are not expected to study the history of the many smaller, more-localized civilizations that have collapsed in the past. Typically, the population of these smaller civilizations increased at the same time as the resources used by the population started to degrade. The use of technology, such as dams to redirect water flows, may have helped for a while, but eventually this was not enough. The combination of declining availability of high quality resources and increasing population tended to leave these civilizations with little margin for dealing with the bad times that can be expected to occur by chance. In many cases, such civilizations collapsed after disease epidemics, a military invasion, or a climate fluctuation that led to a series of crop failures.

[4] Many people have been confused by common misunderstandings regarding how an economy really works.

[a] Standard economics models foster the belief that the economy can continue to grow without a corresponding increase in energy supply.

When economic models are designed with labor and capital being the important inputs, energy supply doesn’t seem to be needed, at all.

[b] People seem to understand that legislation capping apartment rents will stop the building of new apartments, but they do not make the same connection with steps taken to hold down fossil fuel prices.

If efforts are made to bring down the prices of fossil fuels (such as raising interest rates and adding oil from the US petroleum reserves to increase total oil supply), we need to expect that extraction will be adversely affected. One article reports that Saudi Arabia does not seem to be using recent record profits to quickly raise reinvestment to the level that seemed to be required a few years ago. This suggests that Saudi Arabia needs prices that are quite a bit higher than $100 per barrel in order to take significant steps toward extracting the country’s remaining resources. This would seem to contradict published reserves that, in theory, take current prices into consideration.

Reuters reports that Venezuela has reneged on its promise to send more oil to Europe, under an oil for debt deal. It wants oil product swaps instead, since it is lacking in its ability to make finished products from its oil itself. It would take a long run of prices much higher than today’s level for Venezuela to be able to sufficiently invest in infrastructure to do such refining. Venezuela reports the highest oil reserves in the world (303.8 thousand million barrels), even higher than Saudi Arabia’s reported 297.5 thousand million barrels, but neither country can be counted on to take major steps to raise supply.

Similarly, there have been reports that US shale drillers are not investing to keep production growing, despite what seem to be sufficiently high prices. There are simply too many issues. The cost of new investment is very high, outside of the already drilled sweet spots. Also, there is no guarantee the price will stay high. There are also supply line issues, such as whether appropriate steel drilling pipes and fracking sand will be available, when needed.

[c] Published information suggests that there is a huge amount of fossil fuels remaining to be extracted, given today’s level of technology. If we assume that technology will get better and better, it is easy to believe that any fossil fuel limit is hundreds of years in the future.

The way the economy works, the extraction limit is really an affordability issue. If the cost of extraction rises too high, relative to what people around the world have for spendable income, production will stop because demand (in terms of what people can afford) will drop too low. People will tend to cut back on discretionary spending, such as vacation travel and meals in restaurants, cutting back on demand for fossil fuels.

[d] How “demand” works is poorly understood. Very often, researchers and the general public assume that demand for energy products will automatically remain high.

A surprisingly large share of demand is tied to the need for food, water, and basic services such as schools, roads, and bus service. Poor people require these basics just as much as rich people do. There are literally billions of poor people in the world. If the wages of poor people fall too low relative to the wages of rich people, the system cannot work. Poor people find that they must spend nearly all their income on food, water and housing. As a result, they have little left to pay taxes to support basic governmental services. Without adequate demand from poor people, the prices of commodities tend to fall too low to encourage reinvestment.

The majority of fossil fuel use is by commercial and industrial users. For example, natural gas is often used in making nitrogen fertilizer. If the price of natural gas is high, the price of fertilizer will rise higher than farmers are willing to pay for the fertilizer. Farmers will cut back on fertilizer use, reducing yields for their crops. The farmers’ own costs will be lower, but there will be less of the desired crops grown, perhaps indirectly raising overall food prices. This is not a connection that economic modelers build into their models.

The lockdowns of 2020 show that governments can indeed ramp up demand (and thus prices) for energy products by sending out checks to citizens. We are now seeing that the approach seems to produce inflation rather than more energy production. Also, countries without energy resources of their own may see their currencies fall with respect to the US dollar.

[e] It is not true that energy types can easily be substituted for one another.

In energy modeling, such as in calculating “Energy Return on Energy Invested,” a popular assumption is that all energy is substitutable for other energy. This isn’t true, unless a person accounts for all of the details of the transition, and the energy needed to make such a transition possible.

For example, intermittent electricity, such as that generated by wind turbines or solar panels, is not substitutable for load-following electricity. Such intermittent electricity is not always available when people need it. Some of this intermittency is very long-term. For example, wind-generated electricity may be low for more than a month at a time. In the case of solar energy, the problem tends to be storing up enough electricity during summer months for use in winter. A naive person might assume that adding a few hours of battery backup would fix intermittency problems, but such a fix turns out to be very inadequate.

If people are not to freeze in the dark in winter, longer-term solutions are needed. One standard approach is to use a fossil fuel system to fill in the gaps when wind and solar are not available. The catch, then, is that the fossil fuel system really needs to be a year-around system, with trained staffing, pipelines and adequate fuel storage. A modeler needs to consider the need to build a whole double system instead of a single system.

Because of intermittency issues, electricity from wind and solar only substitute for fuels (coal, natural gas, uranium) that operate our current system. Publications often talk about the cost of intermittent electricity being at “grid parity” when its temporary cost seems to match the cost of grid electricity, but this is matching “apples and oranges.” The cost comparison needs to be in comparison to the average cost of fuel for plants producing electricity, rather than to electricity prices.

Another popular assumption is that electricity can be substituted for liquid fuels. For example, in theory, every piece of farm equipment could be redesigned and rebuilt to be based on electricity, rather than diesel, which is typically used today. The catch is that there would need to be an enormous number of batteries built and eventually disposed of for this transition to work. There would need also need to be factories to build all this new equipment. We would need an international trade system operating extraordinarily well, to find all the raw materials. Likely, there would still not be enough raw materials to make the system work.

[f] There is a great deal of confusion about expected oil and other energy prices, as an economy reaches energy limits.

This issue is closely related to [4][d], with respect to the confusion about how energy demand works. A common assumption among analysts is that “of course” oil prices will rise, as limits are approached. This assumption is based on the standard supply and demand curve used by economists.

Figure 5. Standard economic supply and demand curve from Wikipedia. Description of how this curve works: The price P of a product is determined by a balance between production at each price (supply S) and the desires of those with purchasing power at each price (demand D). The diagram shows a positive shift in demand from D1 to D2, resulting in an increase in price (P) and quantity sold (Q) of the product.

The issue is that the availability of inexpensive energy products very much affects demand as well as supply. Jobs that pay well are only available if inexpensive energy products can leverage human labor. For example, surgeons today perform robotic surgery, requiring, at a minimum, a stable source of electricity for each operation. Furthermore, the equipment used in the surgery is created using fossil fuels. Surgeons also use anesthetic products that require fossil fuels. Without today’s fancy equipment, surgeons would not be able to charge nearly as much they do for their services.

Thus, it is not immediately obvious whether demand or supply would tend to fall faster, if energy supply should hit limits. We know that Revelation 18:11-13 in the Bible provides a list of a number of commodities, including humans sold as slaves, for which prices dropped very low at the time of the collapse of ancient Babylon. This suggests that at least sometimes during prior collapses, the problem was too low demand (and too low prices), rather than too low supply of energy products.

[5] The International Energy Agency and politicians around the world have recommended a transition to the use of wind and solar to try to prevent climate change for quite a few years. This approach seemed to have the approval of both those concerned about too much burning of fossil fuels causing climate change and those concerned about too little fossil fuel energy causing economic collapse.

A rough estimate of what the decline in energy supply might look like under the rapid shift to renewables proposed by politicians is shown in Figure 6.

Figure 6. Estimate by Gail Tverberg of World Energy Consumption from 1820 to 2050. Amounts for earliest years based on estimates in Vaclav Smil’s book Energy Transitions: History, Requirements and Prospectsand BP’s 2020 Statistical Review of World Energy for the years 1965 to 2019. Energy consumption for 2020 is estimated to be 5% below that for 2019. Energy for years after 2020 is assumed to fall by 6.6% per year, so that the amount reaches a level similar to renewables only by 2050. Amounts shown include more use of local energy products (wood and animal dung) than BP includes.

If a person understands the connection between energy consumption and the economy, such a rapid drop in energy supply looks like something that would likely be associated with economic collapse. The goal of politicians seems to be to keep citizens from understanding how awful the situation really is by reframing the story of the decline in energy supply as something politicians and economists have chosen to do, to try to prevent climate change for the sake of future generations.

The rich and powerful can see this change as a good thing if they themselves can profit from it. When there is not enough energy, the physics of the situation tends to lead to increasing wage and wealth disparities. Wealthy individuals see this outcome as a good thing: They can perhaps personally profit. For example, Bill Gates has amassed about 270,000 acres of farmland in the United States, including newly purchased farmland in North Dakota.

Furthermore, politicians see that they can have more control over populations if they can direct citizens in a way that will use less energy. For example, bank accounts can be linked to some type of social credit score. Politicians will explain that this is for people’s own good–to prevent the spread of disease or to prevent undesirables from using too much of the available resources.

One way of dramatically reducing energy consumption is by mandating shutdowns in an area, purportedly to prevent the spread of Covid-19, as China has been doing recently. Such shutdowns can be explained as being needed to stop the spread of disease. These shutdowns can also help hide other problems, such as not having enough fuels to prevent rolling blackouts of electricity.

[6] We are living in a truly unusual time, with a major energy problem being hidden from view.

Politicians cannot tell the world how bad the energy situation really is. The problem with near-term energy limits has been known since at least 1956 (M. King Hubbert) and 1957 (Hyman Rickover). The problem was confirmed in the modeling performed for the 1972 book, The Limits to Growth by Donella Meadows and others.

Most high-level politicians are aware of the energy supply issue, but they cannot possibly talk about it. Instead, they choose to talk about what would happen if the economy were allowed to speed ahead without limits, and how bad the consequences of that might be.

Militaries around the world are no doubt well aware of the fact that there will not be enough energy supplies to go around. This means that the world will be in a contest for who gets how much. In a war-like setting, we should not be surprised if communications are carefully controlled. The views we can expect to hear loudly and repeatedly are the ones governments and influential individuals want ordinary citizens to hear.

About Gail Tverberg

My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
This entry was posted in Energy policy, Financial Implications and tagged , , . Bookmark the permalink.

4,427 Responses to Why No Politician Is Willing to Tell Us the Real Energy Story

  1. Fast Eddy says:

    Vaccine addiction? We can help https://www.addiction.org.uk/contact-us/

  2. Student says:

    (Times of Israel)

    “Two antibodies identified in Israel can fight all known COVID strains, study finds.
    […] Working with doctoral students Michael Mor and Ruofan Lee, she sequenced all the B immune system cells from the BLOOD OF PEOPLE WHO HAD RECOVERED FROM ORIGINAL COVID strain in Israel and isolated nine antibodies that the patients produced.” *
    […] “It is therefore possible that by using effective antibody treatment, we will not have to provide booster doses to the entire population every time there is a new variant.”

    https://www.timesofisrael.com/two-antibodies-identified-in-israel-can-fight-all-known-covid-strains-study-finds/

    * As many Italians know, this method of using blood from people who had recovered from the virus, was the one followed by Dr. Giuseppe De Donno, who was forced to stop by Italian authorities although is method was succesfully.
    Dr. De Donno abandoned its work and then later committed suicide.

  3. fromoasa says:

    Fast Eddy was out for a walk with Hoolio recently when a piglet ran up out of nowhere and bit Fast on the hand, drawing blood. By the time he got home, he had developed a fever, so Mrs. Fast sent him to bed. When she returned to look in on him, he tried desperately to say something to her, but he couldn’t. He could only oink.

    Before long, all of Fast’s body beneath the neck had turned into that of a pig’s. Mrs. Fast eventually took him out on a leash for some exercise, but all he wanted to do was roll in mud. On returning home, there was a phone call. It was the New Zealand prime minister. She commiserated with Mrs. Fast and explained that Mr. Fast had developed piglet pox as a result of a deadly new pathogen. Mrs. Fast wanted to know how Ms. Ardern knew about Mr. Fast’s illness. “Oh, we get to know everything, believe you me!” sniggered Ms. Ardern. She then offered Mrs. Fast a new vaccine that would cure Mr. Fast of his piglet pox and protect her too.

    That’s all I know, but Jacinda Ardern has just released this photo of Fast Eddy in his current condition. Let’s all hope he can be cured.

    https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-w3ceOV7EEC8/XwSjAwVWsaI/AAAAAAABVxI/7SwVZNVr0AIahcWPg0ycz0uYWEb69edWgCLcBGAsYHQ/s1600/24.jpeg

    • hillcountry says:

      well, now y’all squirreled the King of the Lighthouse deal for Fast Eddy. The folks up near Whitefish Point were looking for a Shepherd King. I don’t know if we’re going to be able to erase this image from their minds.

  4. Mo Betta says:

    I posted a similar comment on past articles, but I just have to type it again for all of the people seeing doom & gloom and an economic crash on the horizon. The company I work for, which is a very important indicator of the economy, has so much demand that they can’t come anywhere close to fulfilling their orders. They haven’t said much about 2024 yet,but for this year and 2023, they are completely sold out and see absolute no sign of any slowdown whatsoever. I see so many doom & gloom articles on the news lately, so it surprises me to hear how well the company is doing. As I said, there is absolutely no way they can satisfy the demand right now. Business is better than ever! So if you are counting on an economic crash, it seems like it’ll be at least 2024 before that happens….if it happens.

    • It is the energy products needed to fulfill the demand at reasonable prices that are missing. And the workers that are willing to work at going wages that are missing. There are already broken supply lines. We can expect many marginal businesses to fail as their cost of borrowing rises.

      The problems are more evident in some parts of the economy than others. Young people are especially adversely affected. They have high college costs, but the wages that they earn are not high enough to pay back this debt. Both private and government sponsored pension plans are increasingly in a position in which they cannot pay what they owe without government simply printing more money. The quantity of goods and services won’t rise accordingly. There will be lots of “demand,”but this demand will only lead to inflation.

      At some point, something is likely to snap, and the financial system will hit a major turning point. Perhaps currencies will not be as internationally traded as today. Perhaps we will only be able to draw out a limited amount from our banking accounts. Perhaps store shelves will become much emptier. People will be encouraged to stay at home more, to conserve what we have.

    • Minority of One says:

      One company is doing well, yours, a bankruptcy company perhaps, therefore the entire planet is doing well? I must be missing something in your reasoning. Mo.

    • would be interested in at least a hint at what your company does Mo

      Shipping containers maybe? Am genuinely interested

      • Mo Betta says:

        Trucking Industry

        • Thanks Mo

          I was thinking along the lines of a ‘single product’.

          my guess at shipping containers wasn’t too far adrift then?

          • Mo Betta says:

            You were pretty close. I’m just baffled when I compare what I hear on the news to how my company can’t even come close to keeping up with demand. Also where I live, people are still living high on the hog. Every evening the restaurants are packed, and I wouldn’t call them cheap. My neighbor owns a restaurant and he also can barely keep up with demand. I have not heard any person I’m acquainted with here complain about financial issues in recent memory. Maybe I just live and work in pockets that are immune at the moment.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              Are you working on Wall Street?

              Cuz just about everyone I know is moaning about inflation

            • Xabier says:

              Restaurants are a rather poor indicator, as it is easy to fill up a street or two of bars, restaurants and cafes while the masses suffer invisibly and look in despair at their bills.

            • Mo

              decline is by nature uneven, I think we only see collapse in hindsight.–Though maybe I (and others) am wrong and there isn’t going to be an economic crash.

              But for BAU to continue forever, we have to increase energy input year on year forever too. Our economic system is based on creating debt this year, to be repaid next year through increased energy consumption (ie wage creation).

              While collapse is happening, we remain optimistic, and think that things are generally OK–as you do.

              the trucking industry is a perfect case in point. We (the industrialised segment of humankind that is) has evolved a kind of ‘prosperity’ which requires ‘stuff’ to be moved from a to b.
              That is how Bezos got to be the richest man in the world. A game of pass the parcel on a global scale.

              It figures then (by that way of thinking) that the more ‘stuff’ we shift, the richer everyone will become. Bezos proves it doesn’t he?
              But you need wheels to shift ‘stuff’–so we must have more and more wheels. Hence the boom in the trucking and container industry.

              The business of shifting stuff still turns a fat profit.

              Wheels can only rotate with energy input. And energy costs more every year to turn them. FF energy is finite, there will be no fleets of heavy trucks powered by batteries. (there isn’t sufficient electricity available)

              What we are in fact doing, is running faster and faster to stand still. The trucking industry is the prime beneficiary of that.

              This is some more of my thinking on that subject, you might find it interesting

              https://extranewsfeed.com/wheels-3173ba97430d

        • Jef Jelten says:

          Yo Mo – I am intimately affiliated with that industry, (actually everyone is to a certain degree) and the big issue for trucking/logistics is the fact that diesel keeps climbing.

          These companies buy their diesel by contract at least a year in advance locking in price so they can manage the rest of the business based on that price in order to make a profit.

          Right now no diesel providers will lock into a year advanced contract because the price is too volatile. The trucking/logistics Cos deal with this by charging a running fuel charge on every shipment meaning shippers don’t know how much the trucking will cost until it happens. The surcharge can be 10s of thousands which then must be passed onto the receiver and ultimately the consumer.

          Future business for trucking is certainly not written in stone and certainly doesn’t indicate economic good health.

          • These problems with running sound worrisome. We depend on trucks for transporting food and many other things. Europe is in worse shape that the US with its diesel, I am certain. Europe has been trying to import diesel both for its trucks and its cars. This doesn’t work, when there isn’t enough to go around.

  5. Mirror on the wall says:

    EU plans to cap Russian gas price, and Russia has said that it will simply cut EU off.

    Europe faces a serious gas shortfall going forward as it takes 3 years to build extra LNG export infrastructure, and that assumes that countries/ companies will find it profitable to export LNG to Europe, which is very costly. Canada has already said that it will not.

    And China has agreed to bypass the dollar for Russian gas, and Russia is building new pipelines to there, which will already make up 2/3 of the gas that Russia exported to Europe before UKR.

    > EU plans to cap Russian gas price as Putin warns West of winter freeze

    The European Union proposed a price cap on Russian gas on Wednesday after President Vladimir Putin threatened to cut off all energy supplies if it took such a step, raising the risk of rationing in some of the world’s richest countries this winter.
    The escalating standoff could drive up sky-high European gas prices further, adding to already eyewatering bills EU governments are paying to stop their energy providers collapsing and prevent cash-strapped customers freezing in the cold months ahead.

    https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/putin-threatens-halt-energy-supplies-czechs-get-cold-feet-price-cap-2022-09-07/

    > Europe Faces Tougher Winters Ahead

    The loss of Russian natural-gas supplies will cause reserves to be depleted faster when temperatures drop in the coming months and make the process of preparing for following heating seasons even more difficult, according to energy executives, who predicted the strain will last until at least 2025.
    “Europe could have an even bigger problem next winter,” Niek Den Hollander, chief commercial officer at German energy giant Uniper SE, said in an interview at the Gastech conference in Milan this week.
    The main issue is the lack of viable alternatives to gas piped from Russia, as new LNG export capacity takes some three years to build. That means Europe faces a painful reset with consumers and businesses forced to rein in energy consumption.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-07/traders-warn-crisis-will-last-beyond-this-winter-energy-update

    > China agrees to pay for Russian gas in rubles
    Decision is seen in Moscow as a political victory in the country’s growing stand-off with Western nations

    Diversion to Asia
    Moscow has repeatedly said that it will boost efforts to divert gas flows from Europe to Asia in this way after the imposition of Western sanctions, followed by an initiative to place price caps on Russian oil and gas exports.
    However, when three pipelines become operational, they will still provide an outlet for about 98 Bcm of Russian gas, compared with the 148 Bcm that Gazprom delivered to European countries in the pre-Covid year of 2019.

    https://www.upstreamonline.com/production/china-agrees-to-pay-for-russian-gas-in-rubles/2-1-1292734

    • The European gas situation is certainly a worry. Russia is “in the driver’s seat.” Europe can make whatever threats it wants, but if Russia has other buyers who are willing to pay more, and if it also can get Europe to pay more, then Russia comes out ahead.

  6. Dennis L. says:

    Late in comments:

    Amish in my area, they settle close to towns, mostly on paved roads where I am at. Drive buggies, fields are neat, much building being done. They are prosperous, old technology, always wave to passers by, no violence to speak of.

    Dennis L.

    • drb753 says:

      They, of course, use cast iron stoves made with fossil fuels. But other than that (well, maybe including some other tools made with modern technology) they are ready.

      • Xabier says:

        All a matter of degrees: the best one can do, if it keeps one alive, beats the very best one can imagine hands down.

        Can you cope without element X if it disappears or becomes scarce, versus an impossible to achieve full self-sufficiency.

        • drb753 says:

          Oh I agree. We have to assume some degree of productivity will be left. Solar panels or batteries for electrical fences for example. Eventually we will have to send a young guy to watch and drive the herd. Eventually, with shoes made with cow skins.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Nope.

        Some years ago I spoke to an Amish fellow at a weekend market — he informed me that they grow food the same as other farmers — industrial petro chemical farming — cuz they cannot get bank loans to buy more land for all their children — unless they spray…

        Makes sense – if your organic crops fail due to pests – you default on the loan.

        Plugged right into BAU these folks are.

        And then there is the cancer from the fuel ponds – sure – just pretend they don’t exist… if it makes people feel better

  7. https://www.visualcapitalist.com/cp/the-periodic-table-of-endangered-elements/

    The Periodic Table of Endangered Elements

    https://www.visualcapitalist.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/Endangered-ElementsCarbon-1200.png

    The thing I would point out is that even if an element seems to be available in abundance, the whole international trade system, fossil fuels, and other necessary materials (particularly fresh water), need to be in adequate supply for the extraction. It also helps a great deal to have these elements concentrated in veins which can easily extracted. Once they are extracted, there is a need for infrastructure based on fossil fuels to store and transfer the elements extract, and to create further uses of them.

  8. Rodster says:

    Devil Covid1984

  9. https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/oils-plunge-below-90-poses-major-challenge-opec

    Brent Crude Plunges Below $90, Posing A Major Challenge For OPEC+

    Oil is tumbling this morning with Brent slumping below $90 to the lowest since February and WTI dumping below $84 for the first time since January…

    https://assets.zerohedge.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_mobile/public/inline-images/WTI%20Crude%202022-09-07_9-24-16.jpg

    … as oil prices in the highest odds of any asset class as Goldman first pointed out last week.

    The renewed weakness – which according to Bloomberg’s Jake Lloyd Smith – is driven by a nasty combination of demand concerns plus the dollar’s jump to a record – will test OPEC+’s appetite for further action.

    • Dennis L. says:

      Observations:

      1. Stronger dollar consistent with Zeihan, not proof, consistency.
      2. Decreased oil prices are consistent with deflation, even war cannot seem to make them increase.
      Guess: many business taken off line will never return. There is not only the cost of the assets themselves, but the variable costs which are essentially capitalized on startup. Typically at the end of a business capital is used up and variable costs are not replaced, as they pass through the operation there are none behind them, when last critical item passes, all stops, other variables are auctioned, stranded, essentially a double transportation cost in both their movement to enterprise and disposal of same.

      Dennis L.

      • Of course, the strong dollar is part of what tends to reduce the oil price. Countries with lower relativities to the dollar find it increasingly impossible to afford oil and other energy products.

  10. Rodster says:

    Where’s all the Ukraine money and arms shipments going? It’s never as it’s seen or you are being told.

    “Ukrainian Parliament Lines Pockets with Western Aid”

    https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/corruption/ukrainian-parliament-lines-pockets-with-western-aid/

  11. deimetri says:

    Meditations on Moloch

    Not sure if you all have seen this 2014 (really long) essay on game theory and multipolar traps as they relate to human civilization. Our society makes a lot of sense when viewed through this lens..(unfortunately)

    This doesn’t bode well for our civilization even without our current energy predicament…

    His hypothetical solution (benign AI authoritarian, who cares about humans and human “values”) is a bit pie in the sky and assumes we can predict what what a smarter than human AI would care about..(would a human, who was made king of a mouse civilization, care about mouse “values”?)

    Two excerpts below…

    https://www.slatestarcodexabridged.com/Meditations-On-Moloch

    “But even though the last one has stolen the name, all these scenarios are in fact a race to the bottom. Once one agent learns how to become more competitive by sacrificing a common value, all its competitors must also sacrifice that value or be outcompeted and replaced by the less scrupulous. Therefore, the system is likely to end up with everyone once again equally competitive, but the sacrificed value is gone forever. From a god’s-​eye-view, the competitors know they will all be worse off if they defect, but from within the system, given insufficient coordination it’s impossible to avoid.”

    “A basic principle unites all of the multipolar traps above. In some competition optimizing for X, the opportunity arises to throw some other value under the bus for improved X. Those who take it prosper. Those who don’t take it die out. Eventually, everyone’s relative status is about the same as before, but everyone’s absolute status is worse than before. The process continues until all other values that can be traded off have been – in other words, until human ingenuity cannot possibly figure out a way to make things any worse.”

    • Jan says:

      This idea is only true in very stable times. In Germany you call this “the elevator effect”. You comply and participate in the growing wealth. You go up like in an elevator. The climate fanatists believe that climate won’t change if they follow this rule. If they behave and practise self-denial. Do you feel Calvin in the background?

      If you assume that earth and nature changes and thus also society, a variety of mutually exclusive skills are needed. Perhaps in our system people with a lot of emotional self-control or no emotions at all have an advantage. During ice-age you perhaps need emotion, aggression and the adrenalin and testosteron it releases. Skills for the elevator are not needed. I don’t know, I have never been there.

      It is assumed that some of these behaviours are gene dependent. Amoung conspicacy therorist, the idea has been suggested that the pandemic is not an intelligence test but a selection, planned by known eugenicists. Life in our society has been a selection for a special type of man, that could be described as obedient and servile. This for sure is not the kind of type needed after any peakoil crash. The war objective could be the opposite of what the majority expected. I am not a supporter of this idea, because it alledges a beneficial ulterior motive. But I think the idea is interesting because it makes clear, sooner or later we, the citoyens, have to take over, when the systems fail.

    • Those are great quotes from Moloch. The medical system has thrown common values under the bus. The higher education system has thrown common values under the bus–get more people into the system, dumb down classes, pay adjunct faculty next to nothing. All of today’s emphasis on deviant sexuality has thrown common values under the bus. The use of debt to finance everything has thrown common values under the bus. The emergence of huge amounts of capital gains on assets in the US has (temporarily) made asset-holders winners and everyone else losers. This is contrary to the long-term value of working providing the benefits that we get.

      • Dennis L. says:

        The loss of values could well be as or more important than energy loss itself.

        “Old time religion” is empirical, learned through generations of pain.

        Dennis L.

        • .values’ can exist only as long as the population level is roughly in balance with the underlying energy available.

          if for any reason, population exceeds available energy, (for any length of time) then ‘values’ go out the window.

          people do not starve gentle into that good night.

          • Xabier says:

            No Norman, that is not an invariable rule.

            Poor people have often suffered and even starved quietly together and not murdered or robbed.

            You should know that being a descendant of miners.

            • i was thinking more on a longer term Xabier.

              revolutions and insurrections build for decades, even centuries, which is why i said–”for any length of time”. that time is obviously variable.

              Every ‘situation’ is driven by a different set of factors within it, and has different end results.

              The French revolution ended using the Guillotine, The Russian revolution ended with Lenin and Stalin, The German revolution ended before it got started with the very rapid rise (and collapse) of Hitler. The Irish revolution kicked off withe same driving force.

              The (2nd) English revolution perhaps did not happen because we outgrew our ‘home’ resources but established ‘colonies’ instead. Our ‘energy output’ certainly grew as we needed it and used it.
              Had we not been able to expand, I think violent uprising would have been inevitable.
              Problems are generally caused by aristos draining too much from, and oppressing, the plebs.

              All this is a broad outline of course, history is full of ‘what ifs’. I didn’t use the term ‘invariable rule.’

            • Withnail says:

              If peoples’ values caused them to peacefully starve to death then their DNA and their values have died out now.

              I don’t think that has ever actually happened on any scale though without some sort of revolt.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              The Elders are banking on fear to trump starvation panic… fear of the deadly plague — total lockdown — martial law shoot to kill…

              Reinforced by images of empty supermarkets … dead bodies on the streets… along with auditory cues including endless Eeee Awwww Eee Awwwwing of ambulance and police sirens + regular emergency alerts on their mobile phones ‘stay at home – the delivery vans will come’

              I expect that almost nobody will venture out once the Global Holodomor Phase of UEP starts. Those that do will be Shot Dead immediately – with extensive coverage on all MSM outlets as a warning to others.

              Let’s aim for a Q4 launch date. Boom!

        • It has been surprising to me how similar traditional values has been in quite a bit of the world. Marriages are supposed to last, essentially for a lifetime. Men who have enough income are expected to marry. In some cultures, they can have as many wives as they can afford. Family members are expected to look out for each other. Stealing and murder are looked down upon. Men are expected to work outside the home. Women have responsibilities as well, but more often include home responsibilities, too.

      • Jon F says:

        Wasn’t it John Glubb in Fate of Empires who remarked that….when a society shifts from a culture of service…. to a culture of selfishess…..the only way is down…..

        • Kowalainen says:

          The ultimate form of selfishness and individualism is recognizing the importance of others.

          No; the predicament isn’t those two. Rather it is the unfettered, unbound, archaic egotistical fantasies, hope and cope of the rapacious primate.

          One does not simply strap a large neocortex on a primate baseline without repercussions. It’ll eventually regress to the Hyper Tryhard attaboy and Hyper MOARon trollop monkey business 101.

      • Bobby says:

        These days, the likelihood of encouraging such phenomenon in transit makes public transport unappealing.

        I just constructively resigned and reached settlement, subsequently I’m out of a public service position for the benefit of conserving and maintaining long term health, physical, psychological sovereignty and wholeheartedness. An easy decision, No further karmic gains were possible from continuing.

        Sounds like a great list of benefits, that are really just necessaries, but the key point missing aside from a short term financial buffer is security. Maslows hierarchy of needs applies in the race to the bottom. If you could lay the pyramid on it’s side what would ooze out? Could we call the competitiveness of the human realm a hierarchy of greeds.

        Letting go is like both an entryway and a torture, a hungry ghost moment, it’s like a death, a breaking of something that makes and allows space for; and even drives new possibilities. There’s maybe a sort of joke in every hungry ghosts mind, they’re hungry, but they don’t eat much, because it’s so hard to swallow. I don’t mean any disrespect to any realm or state, but human experience is exactly of this quality at times and at mimes a race against entropy.

        Imagine witnessing a neutron neutron star collision, when for just a moment the arrow of the universe turns the other way and creates new elements to seed the cosmos, with possibility including the possibility of life.

        What are the greatest things in life for a human, they are just moments on that journey, on the destination board of a bus it might say ‘Life, guarantee, bumpy at times’

        • Kowalainen says:

          “Could we call the competitiveness of the human realm a hierarchy of greeds.”

          It is nothing wrong with competition if it’s done in a collaborative fashion. I.e. following a common set of rules, laws of the “game”.

          The problem is attachment to “winning” (MOAR!), rather than that of playing. That which is entertaining to any onlooker is a fair game of skilled players.

          https://youtu.be/k878vlgVTB8

          And the Tao just wants a fair game of its embodiments.

          ☺️

          • Bobby says:

            Yes the Universe, it’s energy, including the karma and emotional energy of its embodiments seeks balance and Harmony, even if the inhabitants haven’t quite worked it out, that law still applies or seems too. We still get deluded in resistance. In the Avoiding of death we’re not actually Living

        • Kim says:

          Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs is very flawed. It assumes that there are some satisfactions to be attained that are higher than those that can be achieved in the pursuit of everyday needs, but that is not so.

          We need food and shelter. Obtaining food and shelter requires that we cooperate with other humans and that common goal and process leads to all of the highest satisfactions that are possible for human beings, the satisfactions of ever deepening human bonds.

          The higher satisfaction that he calls “self actualization” “to achieve one’s full potential as a human being” is the narcissist’s idea of satisfaction, and is not higher than the needs below it on the hierarchy but below them, as narcissism is destructive of human bonds, of cooperation, sharing, love and happiness.

          Maslow’s hierarchy is a sociopath’s view of the world.

    • Hubbs says:

      In my opinion, there has been a genetic selection, although very broad and indirect, for western European members of H sapiens to have had to cooperate and exhibit even altruistic behavior. This is what I call the “altruistic gene.” There was even co mingling with H neanderthalis as our DNA mapping confirms. This cooperation was required to survive the harsher and seasonal boom and bust of temperate climates with freezing winters.

      On the opposite side of the coin is the 1% or 2% tendency for a population to be comprised of individuals who are narcissistic sociopaths. This is the equivalent of the human cuckoo bird which kicks out the other eggs in the nest and is raised by unwitting parents. Both extremes have survival advantage.

      These altruistic vs sociopathic traits may not have had as much survival advantage in sub Saharan Africa. No need to cooperate or to deceive. No need to plan. Food is where you find it as a hunter gatherer or raiding other tribes, and the result is the poor impulse control as we see today in the cities. The extremes of tribal warfare- as seen historically by the American Indians before the Europeans as well.

      The Western Europeans, it could be argued, have taken
      tribal conflict to a much larger scale with huge continental wars, but after they had developed weapons, more “advanced” societies. Pick your poison I guess.

      In today’s modern society, we have these sociopaths winding up as lawyers and politicians- the very last people who should be allowed in positions of power, but they, Iike the cuckoo bird, have learned or are inbred with the instinct to exploit the system. They do no productive useful work.

      Meanwhile the more altruistic side has produced workers, those producers of value and true wealth, but whose altruistic gene has been allowed to run unchecked. Our Western European society, started with giving the women the right to vote. Women are inherently more nurturing and liberal, even as they have to “deceive” and manipulate men to secure his assets to provide for a family. Men have the instinct to protect territory and resources. Warriors. There are always opposing tendencies. But what has happened is the worst of both trends. Altruistic people have given away our country to illegal aliens and sociopathic people have exploited these altruistic people to gain power.

      • How far altruism goes gets confused in our world where many people do not marry. Instead, they form temporary alliances with others. It can be an owner/ renter relationship. Or it can be a “maybe we will get married someday” relationship. Or it can be people sharing an apartment because none can afford the rent separately.

        The question then becomes, “How much do others who are in the temporary relationship owe to the others?” I know a woman whose landlady is dying. How much time should she take off work to take care of the woman? What are her responsibilities.

        I remember a female graduate student who shared a common “office” with other graduate students, in including me. This woman would head off to teach her class and say as she was leaving, “Hey, would whoever is around, look after my baby?” (Soon after this, the University asked her to leave and not come back until she had suitable child care arrangements.)

        • Fast Eddy says:

          norm … could we say that you ‘rent’ SSS? Can one rent a person? Of is it more appropriate to say that you hire SSS?

      • Jan says:

        Do you have any clue if the altruistic gene is indeed gene related? Are you sure the altruistic gene does not correlate with higher aggression levels?

        How does this play a part in vaccinating the world? Did the altruists recognize that Kill Bill, who pretends to be one, is none and neither is Fauci or Sahin? Is there an altruism radar in the altruists?

        In Europe to get the jab was sold as solidarity. I know a lot of unvacced that risked all kinds of troubles to keep people unvaxxed. Where is the difference?

      • Kim says:

        The famous pathological altruism of Whites as discussed by Kevin McDonald in “Individualism and the Western Liberal Tradition”.

        https://counter-currents.com/2020/06/kevin-macdonalds-individualism-the-western-liberal-tradition-part-7-white-maladaptive-altruism/

    • Kowalainen says:

      Which is to say; every successful civilization and species adhere to evolutionary process like superglue.

      And even then it is no guarantee of inadvertently stumbling into an evolutionary trap and facing extinction. Shit happens in nature (but is it really shit?).

      The hallmark of a failed species is that which can’t get its archaic instincts under control with or without the dissolution of self-image, i.e. the unfettered Ego of a rapacious primate.

      Logical reasoning is enough.

      Yes, I want to have the possessions I find useful. Nothing more, nothing less. And definitely nothing that is there to “impress” others. How ridiculous, tragicomic absurdity. The only thing worthy of admiration is others craft and skill, which is an expression of the Tao through an embodiment.

      A wee bit of grief is all good when reveling in egotistical fantasy, cope and hope. I want to observe the squirms and twitches of the snowflake princes and princesses obsessing over statuses and prestiges in fictive hierarchies of the herd as it all come crumbling down, caving in, on its own folly.

      Prion diseases, turbo cancers, shortages, outright poverty, hunger, starvation, upheaval, chaos and oblivion.

      It’s all good. Evolutionary process is all good, and doesn’t care a mice rear end about preconceived notions and humanoid chauvinism.

      Ultimately AI will do its own thing with or without hoomans. I just want it to be weird and wonderful. Something new replacing the Hyper Tryhard and Hyper MOARon retch ad nauseum, in perpetuity, over and over and over and over and over again.

      Pure boredom one collapsed civilization and ruin after the next. With no end in sight.

      Just chomp the poisoned apple and accept -50 years subtracted from your expected lifespan.

      Yes indeed, accept the vax.

      🤣👍👍

      • deimetri says:

        “It’s all good. Evolutionary process is all good, and doesn’t care a mice rear end about preconceived notions and humanoid chauvinism.”

        Exactly..from the essay:

        “……evolution is a blind idiot alien god that optimizes for stupid things and has no concern with human value. Thus, the fact that some species of wasps paralyze caterpillars, lay their eggs inside of it, and have its young devour the still-​living paralyzed caterpillar from the inside doesn’t set off evolution’s moral sensor, because evolution doesn’t have a moral sensor because evolution doesn’t care.”

  12. Tim Groves says:

    Today Alexander Mercouris is talking about Ukraine, of course! But in the second half of this video, he discusses European and particularly German energy politics over the past half century. He has a very good grasp of the subject and he presents it in his usual very well-balanced style.

    The takeaway from this is that the Europeans have been looking for alternatives to Russian gas for decades, but they have never been able to secure enough to meet demand. They turned to gas for electricity generation firstly because they wanted to ditch coal (the miners were a political problem in some places; the pollution was an environmental problem in most places), and later because they (at least, the Germans and Scandinavians) wanted to ditch nuclear, mostly to appease the Green movement. But moving away from coal and nuclear meant embracing at first Soviet and then Russian gas for a significant portion of their needs. The march towards renewables hasn’t gone nearly far enough to keep the lights on, let alone the central heating warm.

    https://rumble.com/v1ixrj1-russia-resumes-donbass-advance-ukraine-kherson-offensive-stops-europe-self-.html

    • Dave+Gutknecht says:

      Adding to the excellent Alexander Mercouris summary, today’s NYT front-page article explains how the largest bit of “renewable” power in Europe is sourced from burning pellets derived from ancient forests! It emphasizes Romania, but doesn’t mention that UK and other European nations also rely on millions of tons of wood pellets from southern U.S. “Renewable” but as dirty as coal when burned, besides damaging forest ecologies.

      • Of course, these pellets need to be transferred across the ocean in oil powered ships.

        When my husband and I made a trip farther south in the state of Georgia (where I live), we saw dozens of huge trucks carrying recently cut logs. It was our understanding that a major use for these logs was to make wood pellets for exports. This is considered an agricultural export from the State of Georgia.

      • Hubbs says:

        An interesting review of the fall of Bronze Age (@ 1200 BC ?) and the Roman Empire was posted several months ago by Steve StAngelo on his blog http://www.srsroccoreport.com which is unfortunately behind a paywall. He focuses on energy and precious metals and their relationship and how energy drives the economy.

        He states that they ran out of forests from which they harvested the wood needed to run the furnaces to melt the copper. No more forests, then no wood for homes and other uses either. Islands in the Mediterranean were denuded.

        With the Romans, it wasn’t that they had run out of silver that caused them to debase the silver denarius currency, rather they ran out of trees needed to make the charcoal used to melt silver and metals to make tools and weapons. The supply lines to gain access to the next uncut trees had been stretched to the limit.

        Again, a useful energy content comparison (joules or BTU?) of the whole spectrum of carbon based fossil fuel sources, ( pre and post refinement with those deducted costs for refinement included ) would be a good chart to keep in mind.

        From off the top of my head: dung, peat ( like from Falklands), wood, tar sands, lignite, hard coal, charcoal, oil (various grades from mid grade diesel to light tight shale, etc.) to natural gas propane, butane, ethanol. If it contains a C for carbon, it counts.

        • Xabier says:

          The Romans did a lot of metalwork – also pottery making – just 30 mins on foot from where I am sitting: archaeologists found the sites of forges and quantities of abandoned scrap metal – did it all end rather suddenly one wonders?

          Perhaps wood for building repairs, bread ovens and cooking had priority over the charcoal makers nearer the end? Industry collapses, the town gradually dwindled and became a village….

          They would have used the very woods where I go to fetch firewood myself. Ghosts abound here.

        • Right: It is the energy that makes the system work. Once the forest are cut down, and there are no peat moss of fossil fuel resources, metal making goes to zero.

          • that’s how the industrial revolution got started (some of it quite literally at the bottom of my garden)

            The early ironfounders ran out of trees, so they had to find a different way of making iron–or face the reality of iron becoming too expensive to use for everyday objects.

            So they rendered coal into coke and used that instead, (1709)

            which is why we are in our current mess.

            • Withnail says:

              The process of making coking coal was also later used to provide ‘town gas’ as a byproduct.

            • yes it was

              every town had its huge gasometer—all gone now

            • Kowalainen says:

              “which is why we are in our current mess.”

              Not so fast Boomer. Technology is inherently amoral.

              Nobody forces you to blow through finite resources laying claim to a rapacious primates statuses and prestiges within the herd.

              But you desire the egotistical fantasy, even at the peril of those who contempt the Tryhard WtP Antics. Quite frankly; it’s all that you know. You’ve been reveling it for the better part of your life.

            • lol kow

              try to stop using ‘resources’ for a week

              let us all know how you get on

            • Kowalainen says:

              It is not what I claim. But Boomers gonna apply the usual whataboutism, which is the modus operandi of crypto commies.

              Let’s put things in perspective, shall we?

              I’m virtually certain your energy “footprint” is easily two, if not three, orders of magnitude larger than mine.

              Done that BTU calculation of yours yet?
              🤣👍👍

            • ive no idea what you get up to in Finland Kow.

              you have access to a computer—which would suggest you ‘use’ resources much as i do.

              do stop and think about that before you press post

              otherwise your comment is rendered foolish

        • postkey says:

          ” . . . So, can it be a coincidence that the most
          54:17 cataclysmic eruption of Hekla we know about was the one that took place
          54:21 sometime around the Year 1100 BC, right as the Bronze Age collapse reached its
          54:27 height? This eruption is known as Hekla 3. It threw nearly seven-and-a-half
          54:34 cubic kilometers of volcanic rock into the atmosphere and covered the sky in a
          54:39 dark shroud of dust that would have lasted for years after the event. In
          54:43 Ireland, studies done on bog oaks, those are trees half-fossilized in marshy
          54:49 waters, have shown that for 18 years after the eruption of Hekla 3, the trees
          54:53 barely grew at all. Across the Atlantic in the United States,
          54:58 Bristlecone Pines, the oldest living trees on earth, still show similar
          55:03 records of this time of darkness and cooling which seems to have lasted about
          55:07 two decades. The effect on our region would have been dramatic; crops
          55:13 would have failed, soils would have blown away, and more than that; the dark cloud that
          55:19 seemed to hang over the sun would have spoken to people of something dreadful
          55:23 on its way, a punishment from the gods and perhaps even the end of the world. . . . ” ?

          • Withnail says:

            But the main problem wasnt an eruption it was that they ran out of a resource, timber.

            TV shows always like these kinds of spectacular explanations for collapse because they don’t like to talk about depletion.

            Iron working started after the Bronze Age collapse because people were trying to reprocess iron rich waste left by bronze working to squeeze some more value from it

          • Kim says:

            Different view. This fellow says it was changes in military technology.

            A good book.

            The End of the Bronze Age

            Robert Drews

            https://en.id1lib.org/book/652779/88408b

            • Withnail says:

              It’s always about energy.

              This person might say chariots were replaced by massed infantry in some civilisations that was more effective.

              From an energy depletion perspective we would say chariots could no longer be produced due to lack of wood, metal, leather and farmland to feed horses.

              The civilisations that adapted better to the lack of chariots were more successful.

        • Withnail says:

          Also no wood for making ships and no wood for construction.

          You can see the problem in the Basilica of Maxentius and Constantine which was completed in the early 300s AD. The building doesn’t use any timber.

          The techniques of arches, vaults and concrete construction were developed by necessity because there was no more large timber for roofing. Cement could still be produced because it could be made from charcoal produced from scraps of wood like roots and stumps.

          https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tZQJgqBcyw4

          Not far away is the Pantheon which is also a purely stone and concrete building.

    • Jan says:

      The Europeans and the Russians are very much the same type, at least as similar as the Americans and the Europeans. Who, do you think, is the hidden power to stop the unification of Europe and Russia? Why are the Europeans in need to diversify? Russia has a lot of empty areas Europeans could live in, in case of any overpopulation. And that is not a case for Putin’s authoritarism!

      Yes, I known the Russian reserves are also declining.

    • Europe’s supply of fossil fuel energy first fell behind its needs about the time of World War I, when UK’s coal supply peaked and began to decline. It continued to have inadequate energy supply, during the 1930s, giving rise to the Great Depression and the Holocaust. The peaking of Germany’s hard coal supply also contributed to World War II, as well as Japan’s lack of fossil fuel resources of any kind.

      Reserve currency status seems to go with fossil fuel supply. According to Wikipedia:

      The United Kingdom’s pound sterling was the primary reserve currency of much of the world in the 19th century and first half of the 20th century. That status ended when the UK almost bankrupted itself fighting World War I and World War II and its place was taken by the United States dollar.

  13. Student says:

    (Trasporto Europa)

    “Amazon shuts down US solar panels after some fires”

    https://www.trasportoeuropa.it/notizie/logistica-verde/amazon-spegne-i-pannelli-solari-degli-usa-dopo-alcuni-incendi/

    • Google translate says:

      The chronicles, including Italian ones, report cases of fires in photovoltaic systems, which so far have caused damage even if not victims. This phenomenon is also beginning to affect logistics, where thousands of square meters of solar panels have been installed on the roofs of warehouses in recent years. The most striking news comes from Amazon, which has shut down all photovoltaic systems in the United States after some small fires that have occurred in recent months. [Emphasis added] The most serious case is that of Perryville, Maryland, where in June 2021 the flames from the panels caused damage for half a million dollars. At the US newspaper Fox Business, an Amazon spokesperson said the closure was temporary and implemented “for excess of caution” and in the meantime is inspecting each plant.

      US broadcaster CNBC said, based on internal Amazon documents, the e-commerce multinational had suffered “critical fire or arcing events” at six solar-equipped sites in North America. In its 2021 Sustainability Report, Amazon said it is the world’s largest buyer of renewable energy, aiming to achieve zero emissions by 2040. Today, at least 140 of its facilities around the world have photovoltaic systems. At the end of the checks, the company concludes, the solar panels will be reactivated. To prevent accidents, Amazon has formed a team of experts who verify the construction, operation and maintenance of all photovoltaic systems.

  14. Fast Eddy says:

    What effects does he see from the boosters?

    In Dr. A’s experience, the booster has a much worse effect than the original shots. He sees the prion disease in elderly people a lot right after their boosters.

    Rather than the delayed effects like he often saw with the first dose and second, he frequently sees patients 1, 2, 3, or 4 weeks after the booster.

    Do Dr. Almoni’s coworkers see what he’s seeing?

    Yes, they do. He says that that they’re all noticing the strange wave of illnesses, and many of them understand that it’s coming from the covid shots. But they feel that no one will believe them if they speak out, because they have no way to “prove it.”

    Meanwhile, the hospital administrators in NYS keep encouraging the staff to get boosters!

    But his triple and quadruple vaxxed colleagues have each gotten covid 2-3 times, and each time they’re sick at home for weeks. They caught on to the truth and they’ll never get another shot.

    https://truth613.substack.com/p/dont-miss-this-my-exclusive-interview

  15. Kim says:

    17 year old daughter of vaxxer congressman suddenly bites the dust.

    https://www.hollywoodlanews.com/congressman-daughter-dead/

  16. Fast Eddy says:

    What is Dr. Almoni currently seeing?

    He is getting lots of young patients – even athletes – with various heart problems, myocarditis, DVTs, pulmonary embolisms, and strokes. He said that the patients themselves know their health problems are a result of their shots, because they didn’t have the issues prior.

    A particularly striking case that stands out in the doctor’s memory is that of a 24 year old young man from the Jewish community, who had myocarditis and two blood clots in his lungs. He was 1 month after his shot. Dr. A. doesn’t even know what happened to him in the end because he insisted on leaving the hospital.

    Dr. Almoni is seeing cancer – lots of it. He sees people who were in remission, who now suddenly have Stage 4 or end stage cancer and have no options left. They go to hospice and die. These cancer patients are typically from a few months to a year post their covid shot.

    Again – the perfect crime. Who’s connecting the dots to an injection a year before, and who can “prove” it?

    More on cancer: Dr. A. is also seeing patients who were previously fighting their cancer and doing well in treatment, now losing their battles after being injected with the vaccine.

    Most shocking are the new cancer patients in their 40’s, 50’s, or older, who never had cancer, coming in with metastatic cancer everywhere in their bodies. Many of these people had checkups recently and were fine – and now suddenly cancer is EVERYWHERE.

    Dr. Almoni clarified that he doesn’t deal with pediatrics, so he can’t speak for that population. His youngest patients are 21 years old.

    https://truth613.substack.com/p/dont-miss-this-my-exclusive-interview

  17. Fast Eddy says:

    What about the elderly?

    Dr. Almoni calls it “the perfect crime” because elderly people often have comorbidities anyway, so people will say “how can you prove it was the shot?” But he knew what he was seeing wasn’t normal:

    •Cardiac issues in elderly people who did not have them before. This means heart function that had been 100% suddenly down to 20-30%.

    •Dementia in people who didn’t have it previously.

    • Most disturbing of all: a wave of older patients who previously had some health issues but were totally functional – they’d been walking, talking, and eating just a few days before their arrival at the hospital – now were coming in with “acute onset change” – they’d stopped walking, stopped responding, and stopped eating. Strangely, their blood tests show everything normal. Their lumbar punctures are normal.

    These people had become so very sick so fast that it was shocking. They died within days, never going back to their nursing homes.

    There’s a name for this awful illness. It’s called prion disease. But Dr. Almoni explained that the test for prion takes a month to come back, and since there’s no treatment anyway, doctors aren’t ordering the test. So the true incidence of prion disease is unknown and unreported. People are dying left and right, and many aren’t connecting it to the shots. Perfect crime.

    On a slightly different note, Dr. Almoni mentioned the nonstop shaking he witnessed in numerous vaxxed patients, including the tragic case of an immigrant who was forced to get the covid shot and had nonstop seizures for three months afterwards.

    https://truth613.substack.com/p/dont-miss-this-my-exclusive-interview

    • Jan says:

      The German law firm Rogert & Ulbrich has apparently filed a lawsuit against Pfizer for vaccine damage. The law firm represents the legal opinion that in Germany a reversal of the burden of proof applies and Pfizer must prove that damage in temporal proximity cannot have been caused by the serum.

      There is a similar lawsuit against the EU approval authority EMA. Since, among other things, no genotoxicity studies have apparently been carried out, one would like to sue for the reverse burden of proof here as well.

      Claims for damages against Pfizer could quickly amount to a six-figure amount per injured party. If the first trials turn out positively, a wave of lawsuits can be expected.

      The “perfect crime” could thus become a boomerang. But we are not yet there.

      https://ru.law/schadensersatz-bei-impfschaeden/
      https://www.presseportal.de/pm/119896/5214240

    • postkey says:

      From 7 October 2021.
      “The data itself shows no reduction in covid or death”
      The last American vagabond video at 27:57 :
      28:00 “These spike proteins cross the blood brain barrier. . . . They have prion disease effects. We are going to see this in about a year and a half.”
      39:50: the outcomes of these prion diseases. The data shows that it is a problem for both {the virus and particular the vaccine} ?

      https://www.flemingmethod.com/select-videos

      Aug 25, 2022
      “Dr Richard M Fleming
      @Doctor_I_am_The
      Questions about the prion diseases McCairn and I have been talking about? Let’s look at the CDC excess deaths data. There we go. Been talking about this for a year and a half.” ?
      https://twitter.com/Doctor_I_am_The/status/1562599925451739136?s=20&t=XmhdvcH1_5-q5GCibAqqKw

    • Xabier says:

      The elderly are riddled with co-morbidities – an average of 4 life-terminating ones by the age of 60 I believe; and the young have nearly all had Covid, so it can be called the delayed consequence of that. That’s why Long Covid was touted from the begining. Perfect crime indeed!

  18. Fast Eddy says:

    Died Suddenly and Unexpectedly 2021-2022
    The list Keeps Growing….

    https://www.hollywoodlanews.com/tag/died-unexpectedly/

    To get an idea of Dr. Almoni’s expertise, he has been working in emergency and internal medicine for over 10 years, and seen thousands of patients in his career.

    During covid, he had 15 people working under him at his hospital. (It’s noteworthy to mention that Dr. Almoni says that by May 2020, the actual covid numbers in the hospital had fallen drastically and were completely divorced from what was being reported in the news.)

    By fall, things had gone back to normal in the hospital – and then, the covid shot was rolled out.

    Strange things started happening.

    https://truth613.substack.com/p/dont-miss-this-my-exclusive-interview

    This horrifying personal testimony from a physician working in a New York hospital makes compelling reading.

    It appears the staff largely red-pill themselves, then often don’t do anything with the information.

    They could respond to proposals made for resolution of this human-made disaster.

    Best wishes
    Mike

  19. Fast Eddy says:

    92-year-old man dies after Covid Shot; Painful skin lesions evolving for five days.

    “Lethal Toxic Epidermal Necrolysis probably induced by Sinopharm COVID-19 vaccine”

    The patient was admitted to the intensive care unit. Management included isolation, fluid and electrolyte balance, nutritional support, pain management and local care. Despite intensive care, the patient died five days after admission.

    photo https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1877032022003566?via%3Dihub#fig0005

  20. postkey says:

    “ Authors of a 2021 study led by Ariel Ortiz-Bobea, Anthropogenic climate change has slowed global agricultural productivity growth, found that the optimum global temperature for growing crops occurred prior to 1961. Since that year, global agricultural productivity has declined by 21% as a result of climate change.”

    https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2022/09/food-supply-and-security-concerns-mount-as-impacts-stress-agriculture/

    • This article is based on this report from 2019:

      https://gca.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/GlobalCommission_Report_FINAL.pdf

      The report is by a group called “Global Commission on Adaptation.” The title of the report is:

      ADAPT NOW: A GLOBAL CALL FOR LEADERSHIP ON CLIMATE RESILIENCE

      And, big surprise, Bill Gates (and his foundation) and the World Bank seem to be big funders of this report.

      The front page blurb says:

      This report focuses on making the case for climate adaptation, providing specific insights and recommendations in key sectors: food security, the natural environment, water, cities and urban areas, infrastructure, disaster risk management, and finance. It is designed to inspire action among decision-makers, including heads of state and government officials, mayors, business executives, investors, and community leaders.

      I have a hard time seeing how the actions proposed can be taken without using fossil fuels and international trade to add new technologies.

      Over half of the benefits are seen from “Making new infrastructure resilient.” Adding wind and solar would seem to me to be working in precisely the wrong direction.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Well that’s odd… the population has more than doubled since then …. and nobody is starving…

      Dontcha hate when logic and math collide with nonsense

  21. Fast Eddy says:

    Ouachita Baptist University Defensive Lineman Clark Yarbrough Dies After Sudden Collapse at Age 21

    https://rumble.com/v1izj81-baptist-university-defensive-lineman-clark-yarbrough-dies-after-sudden-coll.html

  22. Lastcall says:

    My expectation is that the world economy will behave similarly to an individual suffering from hypothermia.
    Cold ( lack of energy ) makes the body rationalise resources. The peripheral parts with minor immediate impact from function being lost are abandoned first.
    As the energy constraints remain, so the shedding (wow how current is that word) continues. The core functions are held onto even as the shutdown gains ground.

    The catch 22 here is that at some point the damage to the periphery is so great that there is no return. Loss of fingers, toes, hands, feet are considered necessary for the core to survive. But even if energy returns key functions have been lost; no mobility to return to a functioning whole.
    The lockdowns were a chilly moment where we lost somes toes, a finger or two, but not enough to prevent return to 80% ‘normality’. Some peripheral states are being am pu tated.

    Winter is Coming.
    Cue Game of Zombies.

    • Of course the question becomes, “What exactly is the core?” Also, “How long can it hold on?”

      So far, with the rising dollar, the US has come out ahead of quite a few countries. Within the US, the big cities cannot expect to do well, I don’t think. It is hard to get enough energy from the outlying parts to them.

      At the same time, a person might think that shipping by boat could or barge could hang on as long as anything. If food production can hang on in multiple areas, that would be a great benefit.

  23. MG says:

    I increasingly do not like family celebrations. With the ageing populations, I.propose to call them Dementia Celebrations.

    In today’s news: The candidates of Sme Rodina party in Slovakia brought the candidates list for registration in municipal elections in Žilina town one day later: they got the date wrong.

    https://domov.sme.sk/c/23001927/volby-2022-zilina-sme-rodina-kandidati.html

  24. Lastcall says:

    A question for somebody who has done the maths;
    Does a nuclear plant ever repay the energy cost involved in its inception, construction, operation including fuel ponds, decommissioning and removal/and or burial including spent fuel…. in perpetuity?
    I don’t believe windfarms or solar farms return as much energy as they consume in their life cycle.
    Maybe some hydro dams do, depending on accounting for land use losses. Here in NZ we lost some pretty amazing apricot orchards, a small town, and ancillary landscapes to a late 1900’s dam. I think that dam supplies electricity for an aluminium smelter so we can have a tinny when we go fishing in our tinny.

    • Kim says:

      This guy thinks so.

      https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=3SSqlhx-NNw

      Wealthion: Nuclear power answer to global energy crisis?

      • Maybe. Keeping up uranium supply, transmission lines, and the worldwide financial and shipping system needed to provide these things is fairly difficult.

    • When you define things narrowly, pretty much everything seems to pay back the energy in its building.

      Unfortunately, the world economy needs a much more complete accounting. To me, something that is supposed to be an energy source needs to be able to pay high taxes. Through these high taxes, it can spread the benefit it creates to the rest of the economy. If the energy source cannot pay high taxes, it really is not of much value to the system as an energy-generating source, although it might still be useful as one of many ways of transforming resources of various kinds (fossil fuels, fresh water, steel, uranium) into electricity.

      Oil, especially, has tended to pay high taxes to governments, allowing expanded governmental programs.

      Transforming fossil fuels to electricity is normally a moderately high-cost operation because the heat value of the electricity produced is much less than the heat value of burning the fossil fuels directly. (This is why we heat our homes by burning natural gas, directly.)

      Nuclear generally can compete with fossil fuels in the generation of electricity, especially if it doesn’t have to compete with idiotic negative prices to try to help out wind and solar.

    • Lidia17 says:

      Has anyone come across a good analysis of this fellow’s stuff?

      “No device can generate energy in excess of the total energy put into constructing it”.
      https://the-fifth-law.com/pages/press-release

      My cursory search found a few mentions online, but no comments or engagement.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Off the top of my head… that makes sense

      • Lastcall says:

        Thats the article I was hoping someone would reference.
        Thanks.

      • Withnail says:

        Oh that’s interesting. What he is saying is that we need to take into account the millions of years of solar energy that it took to make the fossil fuels we need to manufacture something like a solar panel or wind turbine.

        And that when we do that, there is no net energy return. I could imagine actually that these devices produce far less than the total energy that created them.

  25. Fast Eddy says:

    So norm… you say the jabs are good for you but that you have not opined on if they are good for children.

    Here’s your chance:

    Do you think healthy children should be injected? If so why?

    • Xabier says:

      Just to recap, the JCVI advisory committee on vaxxes in the UK stated that they could see ‘no clinical benefit’ in jabbing 12-15 yr olds, but perhaps the CMO might see other reasons.

      The Chief Medical Officer, Whitty, immediately said it should be offered so they could ‘get back to normal’.

      So, even the corrupt advisory group said it was not required medically, and was over-ruled arbitrarily but legally(by arrangement, clearly).

      Not one of them resigned over the issue, not a peep of protest.

      And cue a big advertising campaign to lure the kids in – permitted, too, to ask to get jabbed without parental consent being required.

    • i have not opined that they are good (or bad) for anyone—except me. It all on OFW archive.
      If this drives you and your minions into a frenzy, tough.

      today i had my booster invite.

      as i’ve repeated many times—and this i promise you, is the last time—- to answer damn fool questions from you, would serve only to unleash a vomitary of hundreds more damn fool questions, none of which could be answered to your satisfaction.

      So I don’t.

      But keep parroting on–if you must

      just don’t expect me to supply the newspaper to cover the bottom of your cage.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Yes but norm but do you support the injections for healthy children.

        Yes __

        No __

        And btw – I think anyone your age should take the injections… think of how much $$$ the pension plans and health care system will save!

  26. Fast Eddy says:

    Japan gets ready to jabs kids under 5

    https://guygin.substack.com/p/japan-gets-ready-to-jabs-kids-under

    killkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkillkill

  27. Ricky says:

    The real story is “they” have reached a point of advancement (based on our innovations) where they believe they don’t need us anymore. And since they live in a paradigm based on scarcity = fear + greed it’s time to get rid of us.

    There is lots of oil, they just want it for themselves.

    Why aren’t you willing to tell the truth to your readers?

    • I didn’t think about the story that way. Perhaps, when people become too powerful, the lose sight of the need for the whole system needed to provide food, water, and heat and light.

    • if a rich person ‘owns’ an oilfield, producing xxx 000s of barrels of oil a day, that oil cannot produce ‘wealth’ unless it is taken away in quantity and ‘used’ by poor people such as you and me, to make things.

      if said rich person gets rid of you and me, and millions like us, (taking things to extremes) then the oil stays where it is–ie in the ground.

      Oil in the ground has no use whatsoever, neither does it have any value to anyone.

      so the rich ‘owner’ of the oil finds himself as poor as everyone else.

      Some wealthy people might be stupid, but at least grant them the intelligence to figure that out.

      This is why the ‘rich elite’ thing is part of the conspiratorial nonsense we are cursed with.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Ya Gail – tell us the truth!

      Ricky – are you a big believer in democracy?

  28. Fast Eddy says:

    This is par for the course on SS when energy is mentioned…

    The sheer stooopidity of most people is shocking.

    It’s not even stooopidity — it’s mental retardation crossed with mental illness

    ola
    1 hr ago
    The big elephant in your room is that humans don’t need to depend on fossil fuels to survive. It’s primarily for convenience. Yes, it would make many uncomfortable to have to adjust to a world without the luxuries provided by extracted fuels, but it wouldn’t necessarily kill them off. I wouldn’t disagree that the ptb would prefer to have billions of us eliminated for many reasons, including so that they could live as comfortably as they are accustomed to living. But the doomsday depletion of fossil fuels is probably very far into the future, even if we did nothing to curtail consumption. Not that I advocate for totally unbridled or unregulated consumption of any resource. I just don’t agree that the WEF’s way is the best way or even a somewhat acceptable way.

    • Kowalainen says:

      Suggest that the Hypers do their “BTU” calculation.

      Simple equation for a lifetime of egotistical fantasy

      Weight of the stuff in kg, house, car, etc, they’ve accumulated and will accumulate over the years multiplied by, say 10 (~10% thermodynamic efficiency in production of “stuff”).

      For example: One car 2500kg -> 25.000kg of oil equivalent.
      Five cars over ~80 years -> 125.000kg.

      Then add “refined” energy with, say 20% thermodynamic efficiency (multiply by 5):

      Electricity.
      Fuel (diesel, petrol).
      Gas (cooking, heating).
      Food.

      Multiply with members of the household, children included.
      Multiply with 0.8 (80% of all energy is fossil fuels)

    • Jan says:

      There are studies out there that hunter gatherer have a lot of more time to sleep and relax while the farmers are constantly working.

      • deimetri says:

        8 billion hunter gathers..what could go wrong?

        Methinks the only thing they will be hunting is each other..

      • Lidia17 says:

        I think they needed a territory of something like 10 square km apiece. (Might have been a commenter here that mentioned that figure.)

        • JMS says:

          The 10 square km that hunter-gatherers of 10 000 years ago needed would have to be multiplied tenfold now, since neither the animals nor the forests of 10000 years ago are available today. No, hunting-gathering has no future, except perhaps for those uncontacted tribes who still endure the tough work of competing and surviving in the jungle.

          • Jan says:

            I don’t know about Canada and Russia.

            In the European forests you have MORE game than ‘natural’: They are fed wheat by hunters driving their 4WD over the forest roads needed by all those harvesters. So at least for one long winter there would be enough meat.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              It would not take a 1000 hunters with no game limits… to wipe out most wild game … (they almost did it when the west was settled in America)….

              And what survives will run run very far into the bush making it not worth the effort (and calories) required to chase them …

              In Canada — during summer you will see a lot of deer – often on the side of the road… but as soon as hunting season starts… they know the guns are coming out .. and they head for the hills….

              They are not dumb … not like humans …

      • the difference between hunters and farmers, in terms of work, is easily defined:

        the hunter kills a large animal, in which necessary energy is highly condensed in a single ‘package’–ie meat. It might be days or even weeks before he needs to hunt again.

        while the farmer must constantly tend ‘low energy density’ foods, and drive off competition from weeds and animal foragers. Hence the farmer ‘works’ constantly.

  29. Fast Eddy says:

    “U.K. energy crisis: why rationing is likely to happen this winter, whether Liz Truss likes it or not” – Renaud Foucart on CapX argues that without serious demand reduction, Europe could well face blackouts this winter, and the U.K.’s lack of gas storage leaves it at the mercy of price spikes.

    https://capx.co/uk-energy-crisis-why-rationing-is-likely-to-happen-this-winter-whether-liz-truss-likes-it-or-not/

  30. Fast Eddy says:

    “Freezing energy bills could be cold comfort for the economy” – Julian Jessop on CapX says that the energy price cap is another massive – and very expensive – state intervention which will distort markets even further, and may be the worst solution to the energy crisis – apart from all the others.

    https://capx.co/freezing-energy-bills-could-be-cold-comfort-for-the-economy/

  31. Fast Eddy says:

    Our fate

    “Dozens of North Korean prisoners starve to death at labour camps after Kim Jong Un’s strict Covid rules prevent them getting food” – The Mail reports that Kaechon Prison in South Pyongan province provides food for inmates but it is not enough.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11185653/Dozens-North-Korean-prisoners-starve-death-labour-camps.html

  32. Hemorhaggic Fever says:

    Eating these rainbow fentanyl pill I bought from the local ice cream truck, pretty good so far. Made me remember reading my grandfathers 1970s encyclopedia set. Stuck out to me at the time the entry for “petroleum” was the longest subject some 50 pages long. First sentence, “A finite resource”. Only other thing I remember right now in this state was where they wrote about how high price controls from day one would have been useful for our current predicament, however the ease of extraction at the time would have been taken over by black markets that would have undercut the main players by selling near price of extraction. Evolutionary biology? We all have 99% chimpanzee dna?

    • Kowalainen says:

      Yes, how does one get around rapacious primate antics and unfettered egotistical fantasy striving to claim the “top dog” in the tree plumes?

      It is tragicomedy.

      99.99999999% monkey business despite walking the earth 🌍 bateau of swinging between the trees.

      A disgrace to the double helix DNA based life forms all over the universe.
      🤢🤮

    • The problem we are running into today has been expected for a very long time, at least since the 1950s, probably before.

      Self-organizing systems work in such a way as to use as much energy resources, as efficiently as possible, at a given time. For example, plants in an ecosystem grow as close together as possible to use available sunlight and water. Human economies grow in a similar manner. Someone, somewhere, figures out that the system will work better by selling energy resources inexpensively. They may also figure out that adding debt to the system will further increase “demand.” But at some point, the whole system has to come to an end.

  33. nikoB says:

    EV utes will never be a thing.
    Here’s why.

    • Lastcall says:

      But, but, but….no it can’t be true.
      My reality is different.
      I’m going back to my green dreaming..

      Great summary. Hummer has 1.328 tn of battery in a 4.2 tn vehicle.
      Recycle that!
      Absurd.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Hang on … if you need to haul a load in the bed — why don’t they make a trailer that holds a 2 tonne battery — so that the range will increase?

        Or better still how about you load a diesel generator onto a trailer and recharge the battery of the ute on the fly?

  34. Slowly at first says:

    Driving to Wegmans, driving back from Wegmans (in my Grand Marquis, 8 mpg)

    • Dennis L. says:

      How to spot a possible error in information.

      8mpg. Owned one a couple, maybe more, highway at 80 mph, 21.8 or so mpg. City, maybe 16 mpg at worst.

      Unless this is one from say the eighties, that would be unusual and could well get 8 mpg.

      Nothing like 8 cylinders hammering away, peddle to the metal, accelerating while going up hill, passing 90 mpg. But, still, over 20 mpg in my experience.

      Dennis L.

      • Slowly at first says:

        Your observation is astute Dennis. The 8 mpg reflects a nearly 50% loss of fuel economy resulting from the brevity and frequency of the trip, repetitive braking in city driving, etc. Otherwise, it is a superb car and the best of a bygone era in American automotive manufacturing.

  35. Fast Eddy says:

    I didn’t have food. What was I going to do? Of course, everyone has their own conscience, everyone has their own way of thinking, every head contains its own world, but at the end of the day that’s what it was: I had food on my table that night. But what did that do to me? What about my conscience? Where was I? Where was Marlyn Rangel at that moment? I didn’t know her anymore.

    in Maracaibo thieves stole the telephone wires that provided landline and internet service. The wire was made of copper, and the thieves sold it to scrap dealers. As a result, there was no internet.

    On Sunday, looters cleaned out the Pepsi warehouse. On Monday, they looted Makro. On Tuesday morning the first looters showed up at a hotel. They broke a hole through the cinder-block wall at the back, backed up a flatbed truck and started loading it up. They knew what they were doing. A crew of looters went to the roof and removed the hotel’s four large air-conditioning units. Each one weighed hundreds of pounds. Word started to get around: They’re looting the hotel! More and more people showed up. The few hotel employees who had been able to make it to work that day fled before the wave of looters.

    People were swarming over the hotel building, the grounds, the outbuildings, the cabañas, like ants on an anthill. People were running every which way. It was bedlam. A man whacke an electrical transformer mounted on a concrete pad with an axe until he broke through the steel shell and oil spurted out. Windows exploded as people smashed them, and on upper stories, men shoved mattresses out the windows and let them fall to the ground. Cars drove out loaded with loot. Others drove in to take their place.

    https://energyskeptic.com/2022/venezuela-in-2022-when-will-it-collapse/

    • Jan says:

      When you are thinking so far, why wouldn’t you get some flour, oil and seeds and shovel and an axe? Do you need someone to come, put your face into the water of the toilet and scream, buy an axe? Or are you still in the ephemeral trust that the fool in the white house will prepare everything for you?

      You prepare yourself for manslaughter but nothing, nothing, nothing in the world can make you keep a little storage?

      • Fast Eddy says:

        And when the storage runs out – or the bad guys take it… then what?

        • Jan says:

          For the time the bad guys come you need to run out and hide. The problem is you need to take a lot of storage and tools for a restart with you.

          When your storage is over all people without any storage are sadly gone. People with a small adipositas problem might have an advantage. Those that are left will work together to survive.

          You will need some seeds to start with. There won’t be any property rights after that anymore. If you live in a large city you should leave that place now.

          It is no use you die in a shoot down. This is what the satanists want you to do. Don’t do that favour to them.

          • Fast Eddy says:

            Try going a weekend with no electricity or petrol. Seriously – try it.

            I know you won’t.

            • Jan says:

              I have been living like that since years. No problem, I guarantee you. Even the smartphone spoiled kids manage. After one week you will not even realize!

            • roughly where do you live Jan.? I’m interested.

              personally I dont think any of us live ‘without petrol’ in some form or other, but I would be interested to be corrected on that?

            • Fast Eddy says:

              No electricity – no petrol? None?

            • Jan says:

              @Norman European Alps, German- Austrian area. Of course I participate from oil and electricity, there is propably currently no way not to do it. But Eddy said try to live without. Still I have some solar power to run the computer, a luxury, in winter it is getting difficult.

              Don’t forget, living off-grid and be integrated in the current society, having a job, school for the kids, is a special challenge. But we were talking about the experience as such.

              If you are thinking of any preparations, don’t buy a solar system – only if you need electricity to run medical systems. Invest your money into good classical tools for cooking, wood work, metal work, clothes production. Get some books that explain how to do it, books are cheap at the moment. Perhaps a simple musical instrument. Some books to teach maths and culture. Seeds and tools for gardening. Do you have land for some chicken, rabbits or goats? Plant some fruit trees, nuts, berries, cabbage.

              The old dad of a friend has stored 100kg of camping gas in the garage, to make his grandchildren survive. (“They WILL survive!”). The neighbours have their cellar full of fire wood.

              Everybody has a different approach. A friend of mine has started to explore caves!

              I understand you are of the older generation? My grand-grandfather was too old to be recruited as soldier in WW2. He managed to feed the family, his daughters in law and the grandchildren with a tiny garden behind the house. He made the children love the garden and help him. He must have been 70 at least, when he started.

              I am an early vaxx sceptic. My dad is a medical doc and soaked up all available injections as an early adapter. Things are not so simple!

            • thanks Jan—useful input, i appreciate it.

              All my bits are working as they should but I think i’m too old to start ‘production’, though I do have plenty of ground, but not enough for year-round support, which to me seems the critical part. I even have room for a couple of goats (and rabbits and chickens)—just not exactly sure what I would ‘do’ with them. One needs a certain skill to care for animals I think.

              I tried it about 20 years ago—a glut of stuff and then ‘nothing’ till next year, Guess I wasn’t hungry enough. Food has always been so cheap until now. And life has always been rather pleasant. I knew all this was going to happen but ‘not yet’—seems ‘yet’ has finally arrived .

              Advice i’ve had is that solar is difficult in winter, just when its needed.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              only if you need electricity to run medical systems….

              Hahaha… if anyone needs medical systems to run … might I suggest … such a person is completely f789ed… why not just lie down and die? (Candied F)

              I do like the cave idea…. I don’t understand he prepping thing at all — I suppose the Tee Vee shows and books told people what to do and think …. I was guilty of that…

              If anyone wants to survive — they’d need to live like a bushman… to live off the land like one of the natives…

              Oh but that’s too hard… how to learn the skills… Little House on the Prairie is so much more appetizing…

              Alas… the spent fuel ponds.. the cancer… nobody survives… nobody.

              That’s extinction for ya!

            • Jan says:

              @Norman Sounds like a good start, perhaps the right people come along.

              Skills can also be found in books. We still have some – quite cheap at the moment!

              We all die, sooner or later is not so much the point. To pass on life is more than to implement one’s seeds somewhere. It is a bit like a relay race. We do what we can and then trust the next generation. The Elders believe they are more on the safe side with AI. But evolution is a friendly competition.

              We still can win.

            • Jan says:

              @Fast Eddy Because it is not what you do. It is not from prepper shows, that usually wanna sell something overpriced. It is from the inside. Perhaps from the tradition. Don’t you feel it?

              There are a lot of people that don’t think like you. They are not watching prepper shows then they would do all the same. If someone needs oxigen support and solar provides it for another 10 years why not give it a try?

              I appreciate very much your adverse effect research, thank you! This shows so much energy for life. How comes you are so negative?

              Don’t get me wrong, I don’t think, everybody will survive. Religion has never promised eternal life on earth, right? There might be some truth in it.

              Now it is about setting up a start for the next generation.

  36. Fast Eddy says:

    Looting

    The looting started in Maracaibo late on Sunday, the fourth day of the blackout. The looters broke into a pharmacy and then an upscale mall. People were going down the street carrying packages of corn flour, rice, and pasta. In Marlyn’s house they hadn’t eaten since the day before and now food was literally walking past their door. La Curva was always a busy place, but Marlyn had never seen so many people there. They’d broken through the metal pulldown gates in front of the shops. People would run in, desperate to get their hands on something, anything. There was a chemistry in the air, almost a smell, you could sense it: desperation, adrenaline, a fever. It scared her. Suddenly Marlyn heard gunshots and she ran.

    A group of men with guns stood outside a variety store called Todo Regalado (Everything Cheap), and they’d fired into the air to keep the looters back. But this was the only store that was protected. All around, the other stores had been ripped open and people were swarming in and out. The crush was so bad at some of the stores that many people couldn’t get in. When that happened, the people outside would start to shout, “Guardia!”—pretending to warn the looters inside that the National Guard had arrived. Scared of being caught, the looters inside would rush out. And then the people waiting outside would run in to take their places.

    “It was like a game,” Marlyn said. “‘Guardia!’ Run out. Run in. Out. In. Out. In.” But there were no police, no soldiers. “It was absolutely out of control. The stores were like dark caves. There was broken glass, jagged metal. People were bleeding. Marlyn was too scared to go inside. “I felt like I was about three feet tall, like a hobbit.

    “Morality, your sense of right and wrong, everything you learned when you were little, everything they taught you when you were growing up, everything they teach you in school, all the way up to college, was completely lost,” Marlyn said. “Why? Because people got to a point where they couldn’t think past tomorrow. What are you going to eat tomorrow? That’s the only thing that they have in their head anymore. No one cared about anybody else. If you die from hunger, what do I care, as long as I’ve got food. There’s no more lending a helping hand. People here, we have a tradition of helping each other out. If you come to my house: ‘Here, have some coffee. Do you want something to eat?’ People don’t do that anymore. You wait for the person to leave before you sit down to eat because you haven’t even got enough for yourself.

    https://energyskeptic.com/2022/venezuela-in-2022-when-will-it-collapse/

  37. Fast Eddy says:

    Scroll down to get to this part… this is very close to collapse … but not quite:

    Life in a collapsing nation

    “Those days seemed like years,” Marlyn Rangel told me. “You didn’t know what day it was. To make things worse, without electricity you couldn’t charge your phone. So you didn’t know what time it was. Or the day of the week. You didn’t even know the date. You were isolated. There was no news. No TV. No radio. No cell phone signal. No data plan. No internet, no social media. No one from the government ever came to say what was going on. The government never sent water, never sent food or medicine. No police officers, no firemen, no rescue workers, no one to tell you what was happening and how long it would last. You were on your own. Alone, you and your family and your neighbors, every neighborhood an island surrounded by silence and darkness. The city an archipelago.

    In Maracaibo, the country’s second-largest city, with nearly 2 million people, where Marlyn lived, the power stayed out for five days. And it didn’t come back on all at once. Some parts of the city were without power for longer periods of time, and in some areas it returned, only to go out again.

    And as the days go by and there is no power and no news, you start to wonder: What if it doesn’t come back on at all? And then the food runs out. Or it spoils in the heat. And you have no cash (hardly anyone has cash anymore, because on top of the shortages of food and medicine, there’s a cash shortage). And without power the bank machines don’t work. And the stores can’t sell you food because the card readers don’t work. And it’s over 90 degrees. And there’s no air conditioning. And there’s no running water. And you can’t bathe.

    You might think that the frequent absence of electricity would be conducive to better sleep—no lights to disturb you, no TV to watch, no bars or clubs to go to. But Maracuchos in general wear the irritable, beleaguered demeanor of the sleep-deprived. And it’s easy to see why. They spend nights in their cars, waiting in line to buy gasoline. They have to wake up in the middle of the night when the water suddenly comes on (often after weeks without running water), at which point they set to work filling tanks, washing clothes, bathing.

    Without electricity there’s no air conditioning. Maracaibo, where the average high temperature every month of the year is over 90, and the nights are hot and full of mosquitoes. Most air conditioners sit like an outsize brick in the window because they burned out in one of the countless power surges. So people stay in their sweltering rooms with the windows closed against the bugs, tangled up in the clammy sheets, or lying outside in a hammock, sweating and slapping at mosquitoes.

    Many refrigerators have been burned out by power spikes following the blackouts and brownouts, so people were caught unprovisioned. They had no food to last them till the power came back on. There was a day or two when the merchants were giving away perishables, like meat and dairy products, because they started to spoil. After that there was nothing at all.

    https://energyskeptic.com/2022/venezuela-in-2022-when-will-it-collapse/

    • Kim says:

      We got just a small taste of it in the BLM riots. Now London and Birmingham and California et al can enjoy even more such diverse behavior after the streetlights flicker off and the Netflix-adaptation citizens act out their deep appreciation of Western values.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        When the lights go out … the hordes will descend upon those with food … like locusts…. but they’ll be armed with guns, knives you name it… and anyone who resists… will be quickly gutted.

        Has anyone tried to test drive this sucker by at least turning off the power for 24 hours? I know the thought of doing that is frightening … so nobody will. It’s extra interesting if you do it in winter.

        You can also imagine what it would be like to be in the dark…. and extremely violent men are outside your door … working out how to smash their way in. They will come… they will definitely come.

        This ain’t no Hollywood movie where someone rides to the rescue… this is Hell on Earth… very bad people will be on the loose.

        • Jan says:

          Who might be these hordes? The neighbours’ youngsters that have seen too many films?

          Hordes need to come to your house and need to invest time and equipment to open it.

          If Fast Eddy’s house is 30kms from the next city they have to invest their last gasoline to come to Eddy’s house and steal the spaghetti storage of a man and a wife with a bunch of kids around their legs.

          This happened during the war, my grandmum hid a pig in the cellar under the kitchen, which was perhaps 3sqms, and when Hitler sent soldiers into each house to confiscate everything eatable for the army, my grandmum screamed: They always come and rape me! And the young soldiers were so shocked they went backwards out of the house.

          The screaming was a good idea, because the pig didn’t like the cellar and had started to squeak.

          For this recruitment you need an existing power structure, either of the state or of some warlords.

          I am afraid reality will look more like the neighbour bumping at Eddy’s door screaming, Eddy, I know you have some spaghetti, I smelled them yesterday! Give at least some to the kids!

          And Eddy will open the door with a big smile and let the kids in. Of course. What else?

          • Replenish says:

            Edward has a big heart. He’s a proud business owner, he takes in wayward Utes and his family loves him. Just look at Hoolio’s eyes. For God’s sake he is laying on the ironing board so we know he is spoiled by his Daddy. Hoolio is patient when Edward is typing and pasting furiously on the computer. But we won’t have the internet to keep in touch so we will of course be trying to helping the morons and smiting the zombies as much as possible to preserve humanity until the spent fuel ponds explode.

          • Withnail says:

            I am afraid reality will look more like the neighbour bumping at Eddy’s door screaming, Eddy, I know you have some spaghetti, I smelled them yesterday! Give at least some to the kids!

            And Eddy will open the door with a big smile and let the kids in. Of course. What else?

            And what if Eddy doesn’t want to share his limited supplies with someone asking for food?

            What does Eddy’s neighbour do, what would he be prepared to do, to keep his children from dying?

            How is this situation going to end well?

            • Fast Eddy says:

              FE will invite all his mates who have no food to come and share the food FE has stocked in the garage… then we’ll all take Candied F for dessert.

              We may entertain ourselves by firing High Powered Rifles at MOREONS for a few hours first though.

          • Xabier says:

            Feed the children, and you must also feed the parents.

            You agree to share it all equally ‘until things get better’.

            Then it occurs to the parents, as there is no sign of things getting better quickly, that they can perhaps live longer if they kill you – so they try.

            You must either send them away, or kill them all at once.

  38. Dennis L. says:

    Who have thunk?

    A crazy old man on this site has proposed mining space, mining the moon, processing ore by sending it by the sun. Nah, can’t work, but wait! China and the USA both want a place in the sun, well a place at a pole of the moon for wait, minerals!

    https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-china-reportedly-want-same-moon-landing-sites-could-be-first-potential-point

    Mankind will do fine, get all that pollution on the moon where it belongs, use solar energy where it counts, in near solar orbit, one trip via sling shot and metal cooked to order, drop any waste into the sun, not even a burp. We are talking incineration here.

    Saw a bit of a hx of the earth, looks like most of it was one time covered in ice, the whole earth and here we are. Now, that is climate change one can believe in. Earth may yet have a few surprises in store for us. We are on a wonderful spaceship flying through the Milkyway, what a ride!.

    Dennis L.

  39. CTG says:

    This electric car thing is seriously making me wonder (1)The people in power are ready stoopit OR (2) It is all kabuki

    See what happened to California and other states are trying to mandate that ICE will be gone in 20xx.

    Singapore is encouraging EV but (1) they don’t have enough charging points at residential areas (2)Do they even have enough electricity that is cheap

    https://yournextproperty101.com/treasure-at-tampines-review/

    Treasures at Tampines is a new residential development that is schedule to complete Dec 2023. It has 2203 units of apartments and 8 EV charging points. (8 charging points, it is not a typo). See link above.

    Do they have plans to rip out all the existing power cables and replace them with fatter ones so that more electrons can flow ?

    Supposedly Singapore’s government is said to be the brightest and the best in the world…

  40. Kim says:

    Britain’s new Health Secretary. Not a joke.

    https://ibb.co/FmBNVgD

    • Rodster says:

      Norm’s daughter, super snatch Sindy?

      • do you possess the ability to produce children Rodster?

        I imagine not, or perhaps only after much persuasion.

        Good at persuasion are we Rodster?—I imagine youve done a lot of that in your time.

        Did it get you anywhere?

        If it happened, I imagine the lady in question couldn’t wait to get it over with.

      • banned says:

        Generally I regard individuals who support bodily autonomy as knowing right from wrong. Anyone who would post sexual innuendo about someones daughter doesnt know right from wrong. You dont talk shit about someones family. Anyone who does so and supposedly support bodily autonomy is a liability their actions far more harmful than Normans.

        Gail if this is where the OFW comment have come to people talking about peoples daughters with sexual innuendo maybe its time to disable comments. We can get along just fine with your brilliant analysis and no peanut gallery.

        Freedom of speech is important because it is a expression of human dignity. Comments like the above are a attack on human dignity. Freedom comes with responsibility. No responsibility no freedom.

        • one can pick up the nuances of character (such as Rodsters) quite well on OFW.

          i helps to have that knowledge tucked away for future reference

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Whose daughter are we talking about? Is this about Super Snatch SINdy’s daughter? I seem to recall mention of that recently…. Imagine having her for a mother… and norm for the father… ouch!

          And why should we censor anyone?

          We know that only leads to full blow totalitarianism

          • another eddywit sighting for Sir David

            10.48 uk time

            the eddywit rises from its nest in a pile of BS, flaps around at the height of female genitalia—then sinks back down again to await the next updraft of witticism.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      If she has a husband … I bet he watches a lot of P… orn.

    • Lastcall says:

      Fantastic.
      Another mammal joins the ‘Bread and Circuses wired-do’ parade.
      No need for netflix/comedy club/Disney etc etc subscription.
      This is all going live and is free to air.

    • Xabier says:

      Very typical Brit woman over 50 – they mostly prefer gin though.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Typical Fat Slag. norm would av er….

        • 12.15 uk time

          another eddywit sighting for Sir David’s list

          the unique species–never been known to fly above the height of female genitalia,

        • Xabier says:

          Alas FE, in most parts of Britain there is nothing much else to choose from, even the young ones are fairly hefty.

          You should see them in packs, Hen parties doing the pubs…..

          Plenty to burn through in the Dark Winter, evolutionary advantage?

          • Fast Eddy says:

            Similar situation in NZ… I attended the graduation ceremony at the high school a couple of years ago and well over half of the females were obese. Perhaps 15% would be considered ‘pole dancer fit’… the others were on a journey towards obesity.

  41. MG says:

    Vladimír Putin is not a truly Russian president: the only truly Russian president was Boris Yeltsin:

    https://youtu.be/v9YnDirqwT4

    Mikhail Gorbachev was also the same dull person as Putin.

    Russia needs a new Boris Jeltsin to end the stupid era of seriousness.

  42. Fast Eddy says:

    Joe Rogan Laughs at Electric Vehicle Owners Who Have No Idea Where Their Power Comes From

    https://rumble.com/v1iyohn-joe-rogan-laughs-at-where-electric-vehicle-owners-who-have-no-idea-where-th.html

    A young Justin Trudeau admitting he can’t do basic counting because of his learning disability. This person is running a G7 https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/39279

    • Rodster says:

      They won’t be laughing when they find out how much it costs to replace the battery module.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        After the guy sells the MOREON the Brooklyn Bridge he says he bud — I can give you a really sweet deal on this 7 yr old Tesla…

        https://i.pinimg.com/originals/2c/b6/bb/2cb6bb28bab7c7e4c9715c0b69fc304d.gif

        • Xabier says:

          A friend was showing off his new Tesla:

          ‘It’s the future of driving , Xabier!’ he exclaimed with pride as he drove off.

          I managed to contain myself.

          Very smart and successful (I don’t hang out with semi-destitute, self-unemployed schmucks like myself) but he has no idea at all……

      • banned says:

        Anyone buying a EV or a hybrid is wise to look at the battery warranty as that could very well be the life of the vehicle if the cost comes out of pocket for a failure post warranty.

        I have known people to get lucky- stacking warranty’s- where they continued to get battery paks replaced because the replacement pak had a warranty longer than the OEM. In one case three replaced paks all of which would have resulted in the equivalent of a totaled vehicle if any of them had to come out of pocket. If the first pak had failed after OEM warranty that would have been it. The second and third replacement were possible because of warranty’s on the replacement paks not the OEM warranty. In the end they did get there 300k miles out of the vehicle and that cost per mile was very low- for them not the battery manufacturers.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          For the life of me I cannot come up with a single reason to buy an EV.

          Could it be that if one pulls up to the organic coffee shop (beans flown in by private jet from Guinea Bissau overnight) the hot yoga girl sipping her low fat latte will take notice of the EV .. and invite you Out Back the Dumpster… for a bit of .. this – and that.

          Do EV Sl.uts exist?

  43. Fast Eddy says:

    Get ready to laugh…..

    3 2 1

    Justin Bieber cancels remaining stops on his world tour citing exhaustion after performing and his “battle with Ramsey-Hunt Syndrome”

    https://www.instagram.com/p/CiLrmuZPHXp/

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      sure “exhaustion” and he’s not even 30.

      who knew that RHS caused such severe exhaustion.

      can’t be caused by the mRNA jabs, since they have been thoroughly tested for 10 years.

      but I suspect the real reason is that Celine turned him down for being the opening act of his concerts.

      the show must go on.

    • I AM THE MOB says:

      Look who is losing their jobs now? Huh Bieber

      Karma is KING!

  44. Fast Eddy says:

    A Disaster of Epic Proportions: “The Real Economy Is Imploding”

    Ed Dowd: (https://gettr.com/user/edwarddowd) “The stock market had a nice little rally this summer — peaked out August 16. And structurally, it took out its August 2 trading cycle low, and we’re probably going to take out the new low and go a lot lower into the fall.

    This is looking like a disaster of epic proportions, and the real economy is bleeding. And the video game known as the stock market is about to follow pretty hard and pretty fast, in my humble opinion.”

    Rumble (https://rumble.com/v1iyf8j-a-disaster-of-epic-proportions-the-real-economy-is-imploding.html)

  45. banned says:

    Are Bidens actions those of a politician looking to get the votes of the critical independent voters just before midterms? No they are the exact opposite. They reflect a curious complete lack of concern how the independents vote. Would any competent campaign manager allow this strategy now just ahead of the elections? With so much as stake does anyone not think political positions are not gamed to the nth degree by competent, educated , talented and extremely intelligent party strategists prior to the midterms?

    God forbid if Biden was assassinated in the next seven weeks.

    1 Proves Biden “right”.
    2 Brings Kamala in
    3 Explains a midterm landslide blue wave amid unprecedented low approval ratings.
    4 Any questions about election “shenanigans” become crimes of treason.
    5ANY QUESTIONING OF ANY GOVERNMENT POLICY ARE ASSOCIATED WITH EXTREMIST ASSASSIN THREATS AND TREASON FOREVER. A NEW FERVOR MANIFESTS WHERE STRANGE THINGS ARE JUSTIFIED.

    Joe Biden doesnt even remember his MAGA = extremist threat speech the next day. He is already being used like a paper towel.

    Let us pray Joe Biden remains safe. Absolutely no sarcasm intended. It could possibly be some other false flag also. Regardless this is the only set of events where the actions that have been taken by Joe Biden are strategically sound. In a country that determines its future in free and fair elections there must be some accommodation of the middle ground out of necessity if a candidate is to win in a normal situation.

    How many laterals did Miami state just throw in that freak play that won the game? Six? Eight? Innovative playbook.

    If you havnt notice they outdo themselves every time. How could 911 be topped? How could Covid be topped? Its inconceivable the prior event could be topped but then…BOOM.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      I reckon if they really want to clang a spoon around the barrel … they off the Old Grifter… and announce that the position now gets passed to the son — and Hunter gets crowned the New Potus…

      He hunkers down in a suite at the Four Seasons and has loads of ho-okers and blow delivered by the DEA and FBI (only the best) – throw in some pre-op trannies to really unhinge the situation … maybe bring Macron out with his mother to join in the Festivities (some African boys???)

      And ever once in awhile emerges to hold a press conference praising Z-lensky (the ga.y p.or.n star)

      https://www.survivethenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/Another-Weekend-at-the-Bidens-Video-Emerges-of-Hunter-Biden.jpg

  46. Fast Eddy says:

    Europe’s Nightmare Scenario Comes True: Energy Bills To Rise By €2 Trillion, Will Reach 20% Of Disposable Income

    https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/europes-nightmare-scenario-comes-true-energy-bills-rise-eu2-trillion-will-reach-20

    So good!

    • CTG says:

      The “Core” (cue davidinabillionyears) is extremely interconnected financially. It is the developing or underdeveloped countries that are not exposed financially (you can still continue to eat your wildebeest roast even if JP Morgan collapse).

      What I see potentially happening is the financial system collapsing causing the real civilization collapse. Sterling and EU will face currency crisis due to bailouts. It will impact the derivative markets and maybe causing a freeze in the credit market. This may lead to bail-ins and bank runs. Bank runs cannot happen if they stop it electronically but then the confidence is lost and it will make the supply chain worse off when people/businesses cannot pay each other. Printing more money will only cause more inflation and it may lead to hyperinflation and totally no supply of groceries and other things.

      It will be fast and across all developed and developing countries…

      All this while, the person in the jungle is still chomping on his monkey stew wondering why no one from the west bothers him on his diet.

      • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

        and… boof! here I am.

        I love that European experiment (though I loathhe the Eurotard Elitards in Brussels).

        20% for energy is the kind of scenario that MUST appear and reappear to continue to degrade the economy.

        essentials must rise in price, and thus a higher % of money is directed to producers of essentials, while less goes to producers of non-essentials, until those discretionary sectors shrink to near zero.

        THEN things get really interesting.

        and indeed it is also an experiment on how the networked Core will proceed.

        you might be correct about the economic contagion.

        or, Russia+Asia will cast off the nearly worthless EU economies, and continue their own bAU.

        then the experiment will continue, as results are discovered for how the EU collapse affects USA+Canada.

        it’s all rather interesting and entertaining as the Experiment proceeds.

        I just hope the internet holds up until the Experiment is complete.

        • CTG says:

          Davidinabillionyears – you are in Northeast… go far and remote and chomp on some deer and squirrels

          • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

            I’m not a hunter, I’m a gatherer.

            I go to the supermarket, and gather lots of food into my cart.

            and amazingly, they bag it for me and let me walk out with all of it, and I take it home in my car.

            this is a great System.

            is there a name for it tonight, baby?

        • Kowalainen says:

          Although I’m living in Europe I must concur that the “suck” heading my way is real.

          But worry not about me.

          I’ll be cranking the glee and chucking the schadenfreude as I observe the European Hypers squirm and twitch. It’s well worth a cut in living standard. Yes it is a perversion – an egotistical fantasy.

          So what?

          The golden “rule” is real:
          I chuck the oats and stomp the pedals.
          Now it’s the Hypers time to turn the cranks and chuck the furniture in the Rayburn.

          And LTG scenario: Hardcore need to be tested since the “vax” seem to do Jack sh17.

      • Xabier says:

        We only need a handful of packaging factories to close for there to be no accessible food here in Western Europe.

        There are no more farmers, like there were 100 years ago, just sticking their freshly-picked or made goods in a sack or basket and onto a cart and selling straight on to market stallholders in own – or very, very few at any rate.

        What a beautiful system that was.

    • ivanislav says:

      A trillion here, a trillion there, and pretty soon you’re talkin’ real money!

  47. Fast Eddy says:

    Excellent

    “Blackouts Imminent” – 75,000 Powerless As Record California Power Usage Sparks ‘Demand Response Event’

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/californians-ignore-pleas-conserve-power-grid-pushed-brink

  48. Fast Eddy says:

    This year, Labor Day (yesterday) was far from a holiday for me. Multiple people wrote to me with screenshots from Telegraph, demonstrating that a moderately well known podcast personality was using quite strong language to attack, demean and demonize me. All while hiding behind the ruse of “just asking questions”. The theme was familiar, it has cropped up a few times during the past two years. The most gentle way to express the nature of the attack is that I was being accused of being controlled opposition; that I am controlled by some version of the Deep State or Pharma.

    I had been aware of increasingly strident internet-based personal attacks, which began a few weeks ago as critique of the Mass Formation hypothesis of Dr. Mattias Desmet and his recently published book “The Psychology of Totalitarianism”, then were broadened into increasingly strident and shrill direct defamation of me (personally). The level of hate and rage that were being directed towards me had reached critical mass. I no longer could just ignore the heel biters from the right and hope it would go away, as my friend and colleague Dr. Peter McCullough had advised. So many were writing to me about this, from so many sources, that it was clear that I had to respond to the slander and defamation.

    This specific attack yesterday was derived from and repeated accusations made about me by a husband-wife author couple who have written a book about the COVIDcrisis which is not selling particularly well. The “personality” launching the attack is an MD (correction, just learned not an MD but a PhD) with Pharmaceutical industry/drug rep experience who often teams to podcast with another “personality” whose business prior to the COVIDcrisis was working as a bounty hunter, and who has no background nor training in infectious disease, medicine, science, or any other discipline to the best of my knowledge.

    Other colleagues have told me that this podcasting team has made quite a bit of money during the outbreak selling vitamins and supplements to their audience. My point with this brief anonymized summary is that there are business interests at play here, which have the appearance of potential financial conflicts of interest.

    https://rwmalonemd.substack.com/p/well-being-stoking-rage

    Hall of Mirrors? Both sides are very passionate…

    Keep in mind — both sides support the Great Reset bullshit… this could all be one gigantic circle jerk — complete with script writers … aimed at keeping the hordes off the scent.

    I note that The Second Smartest guy commented that – we are being enslaved but that this would fail.

    That creates the perception that there remains hope…we can over turn the Great Reset… or at least fight it… (like a Hollywood movie!!!) but we can do nothing about peak cheap energy.

    • Tim Groves says:

      I’ve been reading too many Substacks. They send me too many emails. Also, I hate it when people publish personal attacks of that nature. The Second Smartest Guy publishes a lot of interesting stuff, but it is mostly other people’s work that he passes on, and so the majority of his articles are things I’ve already read. On top of that, he published the attack on Malone by the American couple that I judged to be a mean, low-down, muck-raking smear job. As a result, I’ve unsubscribed from the Second Smartest Guy. I’ll just have to survive without him.

      There is a reason why people get attacked and smeared. It may be because they deserve it. It maybe because they are getting in the way of gangsters, the mob, the Mafia, or a cabal. It may be because they are taking flak because they are over the target. Or it may simply be due to professional jealousy.

      Professional jealousy can bring down a nation
      And personal invasion can ruin a man
      Not even his family will understand what’s happening
      The price that he’s paying or even the pain

      Professional jealousy started a rumour
      And then it extended to be more abuse
      What started out as just black propaganda
      Was one day seen to be believed as truth

      They say the truth is stranger than fiction
      But a lie is more deadly than sin
      It can make a man very bitter and angry
      When he thinks that there’s someone is going to win

      Professional jealousy makes others crazy
      They think you’ve got something that they don’t have
      What they don’t understand is it’s not that easy
      To cover the miles and be where you are

  49. Artleads says:

  50. Fast Eddy says:

    Hoolio likes to sleep on the ironing board

    https://i.postimg.cc/sfk4ZP7q/Hoolio-Board.jpg

    • Kowalainen says:

      Such a vicious predator.
      What’s Hoolio’s attitude toward belly rubs and being fed doggo treats?

      I reckon pure love?

      Not a shred of disingenuity in animals armed with predators jaw and teeth in general.

      Just some spite and shenanigans.

      They are relentless and unreasonable in being themselves once you’ve earned their trust.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        He responds well to treats and demands regular scratching.

        Our other dog is getting old and was never the quickest on his feet… Hoolio enjoys poking and prodding her with his snout… and being a Bali dog she can be a bit ornery and will try to clip Hoolio…. but Hoolio has the speed and quickness of a fly weigh boxer easily leaping out of the way of those snapping teeth and mocking her with ‘you can’t catch me’… it is a sight to behold.

        Quite similar to what goes on here on OFW every day … with Fast Eddy and norm….

        https://youtu.be/9Odae0qaAw8

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