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For many years, there has been a theory that imports of oil would become a problem before there was an overall shortage of fossil fuels. In fact, when I look at the data, it seems to be clear that oil imports are already constrained.
As I look at the data, it appears to me that coal and natural gas imports are becoming constrained, as well. There was evidence of this constrained supply in the spiking prices for these fuels in Europe in late 2021 and early 2022, starting well before the Ukraine conflict began.
Oil, coal, and natural gas are different enough from each other that we should expect somewhat different patterns. Oil is inexpensive to transport. It is especially important for the production of food and for transportation. Prices tend to be worldwide prices.
Coal and natural gas are both more expensive to transport than oil. They tend to be used in industry, in the heating and cooling of buildings, and in electricity production. Their prices tend to be local prices, rather than the worldwide price we expect for oil. Prices for importers of these fuels can jump very high if there are shortages.
In this post, I first look at the trends in the overall supply of these fuels, since a big part of the import problem is fossil fuel supply not growing quickly enough to keep pace with world population growth. I also give more background how the three fossil fuels differ.
After this introductory material, I provide charts and some analysis of fossil fuel imports and exports by region, based on data from the 2023 Statistical Review of World Energy. Theoretically, the total of regional imports should be very close to the total of regional exports. This analysis gives a little more insight into what is going wrong and where.
[1] On a worldwide basis, total supplies of both oil and coal seem to be constrained.
Figure 2 shows that world supplies of all three fossil fuels follow the same general pattern: They tend to rise in close to parallel lines, with oil supply on top, coal next, and natural gas providing the least supply.
The total supply of fossil fuels needs to be shared by the world’s population. It therefore makes sense to look at supply on a per capita basis.
On Figure 3, the top line, oil supply per capita, is almost perfectly level, suggesting that having a greater supply of oil enables having a larger world population. This relationship makes sense because oil is used to a significant extent in growing today’s food, and shipping it to market. Oil products also make herbicides, insecticides, and drugs for animals that enable the growing supply of food needed to feed today’s population. Oil products are also helpful in road making, and in providing lubrication for machinery of all kinds.
We might conclude that oil supply is essential to the growth of human population. It is only by way of a huge change in the economy, such as the one that took place in 2020, that there is a big dip in oil usage. Even now, some of the changes are “sticking.” Some people are continuing to work from home. Business travel is still low. People are still not buying fancy clothing as much as before 2020. All these things help reduce fossil fuel usage, particularly oil usage.
Figure 3 also shows that on a per capita basis, coal supply has fallen by 9% since its peak in 2011. This fact, plus the fact that coal prices have been spiking around the world in recent years, leads me to believe that coal supply is already constrained, even apart from the export issue.
[2] The share of oil traded interregionally is more than double the share of coal or natural gas traded interregionally.
The reason why oil is disproportionately high in Figure 1 compared to Figure 2 is because a little over 40% of oil is shipped between regions. In comparison, only about 18% of coal production is traded with other regions, and about 17% of natural gas production is shipped interregionally. Oil is much easier (and cheaper) to transport between regions than either coal or natural gas. Shipping costs tend to escalate rapidly, the farther either natural gas or coal is shipped.
Natural gas has a second problem over and above the high cost of shipping: It requires storage (which may be high cost) if it is not used immediately. Storage is needed for both natural gas and coal because both fuels are often used for heat in winter, either by direct burning or by creating electricity that can be used to heat buildings. Storage for coal is close to free because it can be stored in piles outside.
Besides heat in winter, coal is also used to provide electricity for air conditioning in summer, so its demand curve has peaks in both summer and winter. Natural gas is much more of a winter-heat fuel in the US, so it has a large peak corresponding to winter usage (Figure 4).
Storage for natural gas needs to be available in every area where users expect to use it for winter heat. The cost of this storage will be low if there are depleted natural gas caverns that can be used for storage. It is likely to be high if above ground storage is required. Natural gas importing areas often do not have suitable caverns for storage. The easy approach is to try to get by with a bare minimum of storage, and hope that imports can somehow make up the difference.
The big question for any fuel is, “Can consumers afford to pay a high enough price to cover all the costs involved in getting the fuel from endpoint to endpoint, at the time it is needed?“
Citizens become very unhappy if the cost of winter heat becomes extremely expensive. They demand subsidies and rebates from the government, in order to keep costs down. This is a sign that prices are too high for the consumer.
Both coal and natural gas are also heavily used in manufacturing. Their prices vary greatly from location to location and from time to time. If coal or natural gas prices rise in a particular location, the cost of manufactured goods from that location will also tend to rise. These higher prices will particularly hurt a manufacturing country, such as Germany, because its manufactured goods will become less competitive in the world marketplace. GDP growth will be reduced, and the profitably of manufacturers will tend to fall.
Because of these issues, long-distance trade in both coal and natural gas tend to hit barriers that may be difficult to see simply by looking at the trend in world production.
[3] Natural gas exports may already be becoming constrained, even though the total amount extracted still seems to be rising.
A huge amount of investment is needed to make long-distance sale of natural gas possible. Such investment includes:
- The cost of developing a natural gas field for export use, usually over many years.
- Pipelines covering every inch traveled by the natural gas, other than any portion of the trip for which transfer as liquefied natural gas (LNG) is planned.
- Special ships to transport the LNG.
- Facilities to chill natural gas, so it can be shipped overseas as LNG.
- Regasification plants, to make the natural gas ready to ship by pipeline after it has been transferred as LNG.
- Storage facilities, so that sufficient natural gas is available for winter.
Not all of these investments are made by the same organizations. They all need to provide an adequate return. Even if “only” very long-distance pipelines are used, the cost can be high.
Pipelines work best when there is no conflict among countries. They can be blown up by another country that seeks to raise natural gas prices, or that wants to retaliate for some perceived misdeed. For this reason, most growth in natural gas exports/imports in recent years has been as LNG.
Organizations investing in high-cost infrastructure for extracting and shipping natural gas would like long-term contracts at high prices in order to cover their costs. Without a stable long-term supply contract, natural gas purchase prices can be extremely variable. Japan has tended to buy LNG under such long-term contracts, but many other countries have taken a wait-and-see attitude toward prices, hoping that “spot” prices will be lower. They don’t want to lock themselves into a long-term high-priced contract.
There are two different things that tend to go wrong:
- Spot prices bounce up above even what the long-term contract price would have been, creating a huge high-price problem for consumers.
- Spot prices, on average, turn out to be too low for natural gas exporters. As a result, they cut back on investment, so that the amount of future exports can be expected to fall.
I believe that there is a significant chance that natural gas exports are now reaching a situation where prices cannot please all users simultaneously. Not all investors can get an adequate return on the huge investments that they have made in advance. Some investments that should have been made will be omitted. For example, there might be enough natural gas storage for a warm winter, but not for a very cold winter in Europe.
A prime characteristic of a fossil fuel (or any resource) that is not economic to extract is that the industry has difficulty paying its workers an adequate wage. Recently, there has been news about a union strike against Chevron at an Australian natural gas extraction site used to provide gas for liquefied natural gas (LNG) export. This suggests that natural gas may already be hitting long-distance export limits. Prices can’t stay high enough for producers to pay their workers an adequate wage.
[4] Oil imports by area suggest that the rapidly growing manufacturing parts of the world are squeezing out the imports desired by high-wage, service-oriented countries.
Because oil is so important in international trade, I looked at the amounts two ways. The first is based on trade flows, as reported by the Energy Institute:
The second is based upon a comparison of reported production and consumption for the same year, using the assumption that if consumption is higher than production, the difference must be attributable to imported oil. The problem with this later approach is that it can easily be distorted by changes in inventory levels. There may also be difficulties with my approach of netting out flows in two different directions, especially if the flows are partly of crude oil and partly of “oil products” of various types.
In both charts, imports for China, India, and Other Asia Pacific are clearly much higher in recent years, while imports for the US, Japan, and Europe are down. The peak year for imports (in total) was about 2016 or 2017. Imports were about 3.5 million barrels a day lower in 2022, compared to peak, with both approaches.
[5] Oil imports by area indicate that nearly all oil exporters around the globe are having difficulty maintaining export levels.
Here, again I show two indications, using the same methods as for oil imports. Since trade is two sided, I would expect total import indications to more or less equal the total of all amounts exported.
On Figure 7, peak oil exports (in total) occur in 2016, with the runner up year being 2017. US oil exports are shown to be nearly zero, even in recent years, because US imports and US oil exports more or less cancel out.
The indications of Figure 8 show that apart from Canada, the amount of oil exported for all the other export groupings shown is lower in recent years than it was a few years ago. This is also evident in Figure 7, but not as clearly.
To some extent, the lower production in recent years is related to the cutbacks announced by OPEC+ (including what I call Russia+). While these cutbacks are “voluntary,” they reflect the fact that based on current oil prices, and based on investments made in recent years, these countries have made the decision to cut back production. No oil exporter would dare mention that it is running short of oil that can be extracted without considerably more investment.
On Figures 7 and 8, “Mexico+South” refers to all the oil being produced from Mexico southward. Besides Mexico, this includes Brazil, Venezuela, Argentina, Columbia, Ecuador, and a number of other small producers. Most of them are experiencing falling production. Brazil is doing a bit better, but it does not seem to be experiencing much growth in exports.
Africa’s peak year for oil exports seems to have been in 2007 (both approaches), with recent exports at a much lower level.
With respect to Russia+, its exports seem to be down from their peak in 2017 or 2018, but not any more than for oil producers from the Middle East. The European Union oil embargo doesn’t seem to have had much of an impact.
The star performer seems to be Canada, with its rising production and exports from the Canadian Oil Sands.
In this analysis, I have “netted out” imports and exports. On this basis, the US hasn’t moved into significant oil exporter status yet. I am sure that there are some people hoping that the oil production of the US will continue to increase, but whether this will happen is unclear. The growth of US oil production in recent years has helped offset (and thus hide from view) the falling exports of many countries around the world.
[6] Coal exports appear to have peaked about 2016. Europe has reduced its imports of coal, leaving more for other importers.
The peak in coal imports seems to have occurred about 2016. In particular, Europe’s imports of coal have fallen significantly since 2006. At the same time, coal imports have risen for many Asian countries, including China, India, South Korea, and Other Asia Pacific. Even Japan seems to have been able to obtain a fairly consistent level of coal imports for the 22-year period shown on Figure 9.
One thing that is striking about coal exports is that they are disproportionately from countries in the Far East. Even the coal exports of the US and Canada are from North America’s West Coast, across the Pacific. Russia’s coal exports tend to be from Siberia.
The coal exports of South Africa have declined significantly since 2018, and other African countries are eager for their imports. Today’s largest source of coal exports is Indonesia. Coal exports from Russia+, at least until 2021, have been been a source of coal export growth.
A major share of the delivered price of coal is transportation cost, which tends to be fueled by oil, particularly diesel. Overland transit is particularly expensive. The real reason for Europe’s decline in coal imports since 2006 (shown in Figure 9) may be that there are practically no affordable coal exports available to it because it is too geographically remote from major exporters. Of course, this is not a story politicians care to tell voters. They prefer to spin the story as Europe’s choice, to prevent climate change.
[7] Natural gas imports and exports have only recently started to become constrained.
Figure 11 shows that natural gas exports from Russia+ (really Russia, with a little extra production from other countries in the Commonwealth of Independent States) have stayed fairly level, except for a big drop-off in 2009 (probably recession related) and in 2022.
The overall level of natural gas exports has been rising because of contributions from several parts of the world. Africa was an early producer of natural gas exports, but its exports have been dropping off somewhat recently as local gas consumption rises.
More importantly, exports have increased in recent years from the Middle East, Australia, and North America. With this growing supply of exports, it has been possible for importers to increase their imports.
Europe was able to maintain a fairly stable level of natural gas imports between 1990 and 2018, and even to increase them by 2021. China was able to ramp up its natural gas imports. Even Japan was able to ramp up its natural gas imports until about 2014. It has tapered them back since then. India and Other Asia Pacific both have been able to add a small layer of imports, too.
[8] What lies ahead?
The countries that have the greatest advantage in using fossil fuel imports are the countries that don’t heat or cool their homes, and that don’t have large numbers of private citizens with private passenger automobiles. Because of their sparing use of fossil fuel imports, their economies can afford to pay higher prices to import these fossil fuel imports than other countries. Thus, they are likely to be winners in the competition for fossil fuel imports.
Europe stands out to be an early loser of imports. It is already losing oil and coal imports, and it also seems to be an early loser of natural gas imports. However, for all its talk about preventing climate change, the reduction in European imports of fossil fuels hasn’t made much of a dent in global carbon dioxide emissions (Figure 13).
I am afraid that no country will really come out ahead. In some sense, the United States is better off than many countries because it is producing slightly more fossil fuels than it consumes. But it still depends on China and other countries for many imported goods, including computers. Given this situation, the United States likely cannot continue business as usual for very long, either.
This is an excerpt from recent post from Lawrence Butts on Substack:
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We all know about the wave of vaccine injuries and deaths that is sweeping our world right now. No one really knows how many will be crippled or killed in the future. The current estimate is that over 20 million have already died. I believe the numbers will in the end up being “mass extinction-like”. As if this wasn’t bad enough, there is another Grim Reaper descending on our world that will decimate our populations before the vaccine injuries can.
This Grim Reaper will use the evolution of the COVID-19 virus to cut down humans like wheat at harvest time. The dying will be driven by what is called Immune Escape. I have followed Geert Vanden Bossche’s work for some time now. He talked about this a year ago and at the time predicted a time frame for it to begin. He believes that his theory is still correct (I do too) but an unforeseen factor has only delayed its emergence. If what he predicts happens, we will have chaos and accelerated mass death of the vaccinated in every highly vaccinated country on the planet. Yes, many of the vaccinated will not be killed by the vaccine’s adverse effects. They will be killed by a new variant which they will have no resistance to. They will die rapidly even with immediate antiviral interventions.
So to make this as painless as I can, I will systematically try to explain all of this, the best I can. For those who want to dive deeply into this, I will provide a 1 through 10 set of links that will bring you through everything I am summarizing here in greater detail.
======
He then goes on to make 5 explanatory points and provide 10 links for further info.
https://lawrencebutts.substack.com/p/the-coming-pandemic-of-the-vaccinated?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=356267&post_id=136385288&isFreemail=true&utm_medium=email
“Take your sickle and reap, because the time to reap has come, for the harvest of the earth is ripe.’
-Revelation 14:15
Lawrence gets it … UEP!!!
The number one reason given why vaccination does not work is
I don’t follow the logic that a Wuhan derived coronavirus is still circulating the globe. Why would it be when SARS-CoV-1 lasted a whole two years?
Are blogs populated by AI? Some being earlier versions and some more advanced versions?
I noticed this when searching for information about the subject:
https://www.elegantthemes.com/blog/wordpress/best-wordpress-ai-plugins
Some of the Artificial Intelligence plugins even have a free version:
https://www.elegantthemes.com/blog/wordpress/best-wordpress-ai-plugins#wordpress-ai-plugins-price-comparison
This is a similar list:
https://www.hostinger.com/tutorials/ai-plugins-for-wordpress
I mean commenters who seems to have very grasp of history and other “knowledge”, does not exhibit any personal experience (like my friends, co workers), always using perfect English with not typos, no emotions, etc.
Very AI like
*very good grasp of history or other “knowledge”. Missed out a word
You’ve outed yourself there as not a bot.
I don’t think any of our regulars here are bots.
We’re not that smart! D’oh!
unless da newer versions intentionally makes da grammatical errors, dontcha know?
no caPs” wronG punctuation< et al etc? @#$
and maybe even FAKE eMOtions!!!!!!!
wooooooo!
It is easier to program a perfect AI than an imperfect AI.
apa khabar
nah, the irony level here would soon blow the fuses on a bot.
Don’t you think you could soon outwit one? But if it bothers you, maybe you could suggest Gail requires a KAPTYA for members’ responses to appear on your version of OFW
How a global biometric ID check just to get online? /s
Interesting paper on hydraulic capsule pipelines that I have only skimmed through so far.
https://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2018/8317843/
The idea is to load freight into neutrally bouyant capsules or barges in a water filled pipe. Water is then pumped down the pipe, carrying the capsules along at 1-2x human walking speed. As the capsules are neutrally bouyant, they can be pumped uphill without the need for locks.
From initial calculations I carried out for the Mars Society about a year ago, I concluded that energy cost would be comparable to rail for a pipe 1-2m in diameter with flow speed 3m/s.
The disadvantage over rail is a generally slower speed and the need to ensure that capsules are water proof and don’t flood. The advantages over rail are that this can be done with generally much simpler technology. Instead of railway track, we have concrete pipes, brick or stone lined culverts or even ditches. Whereas railways need diesel engines, steam engine or electric power, we could pump the water through capsule pipelines using simple mechanical wind pumps, that are built from stone, wood, steel and even rammed earth. This is something that could be built with very little industrial capability or fossil fuel energy. These may be important considerations as supply chains break down in the future.
I suppose next day delivery is a problem?
Dennis L.
Short flat distances, perhaps. Trying to move things uphill will become a problem, I expect. The reverse direction is downhill, which has problems of it own (capsules collide?).
At one time, canals were used to extend the places that boats could go using naturally occurring rivers. The total quantity of goods that could be moved through the canal system in this way tended to be quite small. Also, when the water level changed, there still needed to be a series of locks, so that rafts or boats could be raised or lowered to the right level.
In terms of capacity, if we take the example of a 1m diameter pipe carrying capsules at 3m/s. Assume that 50% of water is displaced by capsules and these have the same density as water. The freight ‘flux’ would be:
M = pi.0.5^2 x 3 x 0.5 x 1000 = 1178kg/s, or 37 million tonnes per year.
The number of tonne-km, is equal to the flux multipled by the length of the pipe. For a 1000-km long pipe, we get 37 billion tonne-km per year.
Let’s say we want to transport something from London to Glasgow, which is 555km in a straight line. Assume 600km as the pipe diverts around certain infrastructure. At 3m/s, it would take 56 hours to get there.
Newyork to Chicago is 1156km in a straight line. Lets say 1300km long pipe. At 3m/s, freight would arrive in 120 hours.
The upcoming industrialisation needed a lot of wood, to contruct the fleets of UK and the Netherlands, the cities, and make glass, salt and metals. All that was rafted on large floating logs.
One of the milestones of an independent American literature is about a boy travelling on a raft to free his friend from slavery.
All of these waterways today are blocked by hydroelectric plants, so they can’t be used to deliver food into the cities nor to transport wood.
With the end of BAU, there will not be any larger city. There are enough works in history studies, that it is not possible to provide cities larger than, e.g 50.000 inhabitants, without fossile fuels. These studies do not follow any peakoil or crash approach.
People are not interested and they don’t wanna know. That’s fine! But when we are sharing creative ideas to keep large cities going after BAU, it should be mentioned, that there won’t be any, I am sorry!
‘There’s No Plan B’: Oil Chiefs Sound Alarm on Refining Woes
(Bloomberg) — An increasingly stretched global refining system means fuel-price volatility is set to become more common, according to top oil executives.
A lack of spare crude-processing capacity due to under-investment, and shutdowns happening more frequently with refiners ramping up on better margins and deferring planned work were common themes at the APPEC by S&P Global Insights conference in Singapore this week. That’s left fuels like diesel and gasoline vulnerable to sudden swings when there are unplanned outages
“The market is overly sensitive to any unexpected supply disruption anywhere,” Lasserre said. “Everyone knows there’s no plan B. We have no stocks, and we have no excess capacity anywhere.”
The recent spate of unplanned outages and tightness in refining capacity highlight the challenges as the world transitions from fossil fuels to cleaner energy. In the US, gasoline is at the highest seasonal level in more than a decade, with the rise partially due to extreme heat limiting refinery output.
“Refining capacity is very tight,” Vitol Group Chief Executive Officer Russell Hardy said. A lot of plants closed during Covid-19 and Western markets are lacking sufficient oil products, he said.
The price of diesel — the fuel that powers the global economy — has outpaced the rise in crude after a slew of refinery outages partly due to excessive heat.
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/there-s-no-plan-b-oil-chiefs-sound-alarm-on-refining-woes-1.1967688
It’s dead Jim…
Energy Institute has a sheet showing refinery capacity over time by country. It is summarized by continent and by some other characteristics (EU, OECD, Non-OECD, Total World.
There was a step down in refinery capacity in 2020, which sometimes extended to 2021 in the following areas:
United States
Canada
Central and South America
Europe
Africa
Australia
Japan
New Zealand
Singapore
Those adding capacity in recent years include:
Russia
Middle East (Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Iran)
Malaysia
China
India
In total, the refining capacity worldwide is shown as 101,971 thousand barrels daily at the end of 2019. At the end of 2022, refining capacity is actually down slightly from that level: 101,902 thousand barrels daily.
People may say that they don’t believe in the peak oil theory. But when it comes to making investments, they haven’t rushed out to invest in refineries. Where oil consumption stopped growing, or is actively shrinking, refinery capacity is shrinking. The shortfall is not being made up by the small increases in the countries listed.
Brief update from Russia. The price of diesel was 56.xx (I think 56.30) at the beginning of August. It ramped up to 59 and yesterday to 61.90. BUT. Instructions were given to stations that for purchases above 150 liters (I needed 800) the price was and is 65. For those keeping score, about 15% in a month.
The recent spate of unplanned outages and tightness in refining capacity highlight the challenges as the world transitions from fossil fuels to cleaner energy.
The recent spate of unplanned outages and tightness in refining capacity highlight the challenges as the world transitions from fossil fuels to total collapse.
Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has tested positive for COVID and will not go to the G20
https://twitter.com/BNOFeed/status/1699872581506023593
This guy from Canada (internet famous during covid)
Says sources claiming ‘lockdowns of service industry” coming couple weeks!
https://imgur.com/a/uJZn6SY
I reckon we get full lockdown mid-september. All measures mandatory and anyone that refuses will be handled appropriately by the authorities.
Unless… enough people in high places backed by sufficient citizen support put an end to the charade.
Container ships are the most energy efficient method of transporting bulk material produce over long distances. They dominate global trade in terms of tonne-km or ton-miles. But they are exclusively fuelled by diesel or heavy fuel oils, which will face supply constraints in the years ahead. Could we fuel container ships with biomass, that is burned in boilers? Biomass is available in most places, though not in infinite quantities. Biomass fuelled ships could sustain global trade if diesel supplies run short, assuming that aggregate use of biomass is not excessive.
Question 1: How practical is this?
Answer:
I decided to run the numbers based upon the Triple E- Class container ship.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Triple_E-class_container_ship
This ship is equipped with 2x 30MW shaft power engines. Top speed is 23knots (43km/h). Specific fuel consumption of the engines is 0.168kg/kWh. This would make the diesel engines some 50% efficient, which is quite impressive. At full speed, the ship will burn some 10,080kg of fuel per hour. Which amounts to 234.42kg/km. Diesel fuel has density of about 850kg/m3 and an energy density of 45.6MJ/kg. Dry wood has an energy density of 18MJ/kg.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_density
If we burn wood in a boiler and raise steam which we then use to drive turbines, the efficiency of the propulsion system will depend upon the steam temperature, pressure and the degree of reheat that is achieved between the turbine stages. Efficiency can range from 30-48% for steam powerplants. I am going to assume that one third of the energy content of the wood is converted into mechanical energy. The amount of woody biomass that would need to be burned to travel 1km, would be:
M = 234.42 x (45.6/18) x (50/33.3) = 891kg/km. So the ship would need to burn 3.8kg of wood to get the same propulsive energy as 1kg of diesel.
How much fuel does a container ship carry? The Explorer Class Bejamin Franklin typically carries some 4.5 million gallons, or 17 million litres, or 14,450 tonnes of fuel.
https://www.freightwaves.com/news/how-many-gallons-of-fuel-does-a-container-ship-carry
The Franklin has a 18,000TEU capacity, which is very similar to the Triple E Class and its dimensions are very similar. However, its engine power is 80MW, rather than 60MW. But let’s see how far this takes us. At a fuel consumption of 234.42kg/km, this much fuel would give the ship a range of 61,640km. That is 1.5x the equatorial circumference of the Earth. So the ship could circumnavigate the Earth. How much wood would an equivelent biomass powered ship need to burn to get the same range?
M = 3.8 x 14,450 = 54,922 tonnes.
How much volume would the fuel take up? This will depend upon the specifics of the biomass. The density of wood varies greatly depending upon the species.
https://www.engineeringtoolbox.com/wood-density-d_40.html
This reference gives the density of wood chips as 380kg/m2.
https://www.aqua-calc.com/page/density-table/substance/wood-blank-chips-coma-and-blank-dry
Taking this value, we would need a storage volume of 144,533m3 for a range of 61,640km. My estimate of internal hull volume for the ship are about 300,000m3, based upon the ship dimensions. So the biomass would take up almost 50% of the internal volume of the hull. This compares to only 17,000m3 or 5.7% hull volume for diesel. In terms of fuel mass, we would need 14,450kg of diesel or 54,922kg of biomass. This compares to a DWT of 196,000 tonnes for E-class ships. So fuel only accounts for 7.4% of total dead weight of a diesel powered ship, but would account for some 28% of an equivelent biomass powered ship.
So on the face of it, it would be difficult for a biomass powered container ship to match a diesel fuelled ship in terms of range, speed and cargo volume. What are the options?
1. Travel as slower speeds. Reducing speed from 23 to 17.5 knots, would cut fuel consumption per km by half. Since the GFC, most ships do that anyway.
2. Accept a shorter range, with less distance between refuelling stops. That would be undesirable, but may be possible. If we were to reduce range from 61,000km to 40,000, we could reduce fuel mass accordingly.
3. Increase ship size to accomodate more fuel. This faces limitations, because berthing sizes are limited and ship capital cost is a function of size. So I am going to reject this one.
Combining options 1 and 2, would cut the amount of biomass fuel that the ship must carry by 2/3rds. Instead of 54,922kg, occupying 144,533m3, we would need some 18,307kg, occupying some 48,178m3. The biomass would still weigh 26% more than the diesel and would take up almost 3x as much volume, or roughly 16% of internal hull volume.
I conclude that biomass powered container ships could work as a post oil solution. However, compared to diesel, there are significant penalties in ship performance. To bring fuel mass and volume to manageable levels, the ship’s speed must be reduced by 25% and range by 33%, compared to a baseline diesel powered ship.
Question 2: Is there enough biomass in the world?
Answer:
Back in 2018, global sea freight was 62 trillion ton-miles or 90.5 trillion tonne-km.
https://www.epa.gov/international-cooperation/reducing-air-pollution-international-transportation
According to wiki, some ‘125 million TEU [is equivelent to] 1.19 billion tonnes worth of cargo.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Container_ship
So the average TEU carries 9.52 tonnes of freight. So our Triple E Class will carry 18,270TEU, or an average of 173,930 tonnes. We calculated fuel consumption of 891kg of biomass per km, or 5.123 grams per tonne-km. Assuming all seaborne freight has similar energy cost, we would need 464 million tonnes of biomass each year to fuel seaborne freight transport.
Could we grow that much? According to this reference: ‘we find that the annual global production of land-based biomass is 50 billion tons, of which roughly 8 billion tons of biomass can be sustainably harvested each year. This is determined by dividing biomass into four distinct groups suitable for energy production: wood, agriculture, food waste and manure.’
https://www.mr-sustainability.com/stories/2020/7/26/is-there-enough-biomass-to-fuel-the-world-1
So powering global freight transport would consume at least 5% of the land-based energy biomass that could be globally harvested each year. Biomass powered ships would seem to be achievable from a resource perspective.
Thanks for going through all of those calculations. So, it seems that it is possible to get past one hurdle.
Now, where are we going to get the resources (and capital) to build all of the new ships? Each ship will need to be equipped with a wood chip burning furnace and a way to move the wood chips into the furnace. There will no doubt be soot from this operation, as well as ash at the end of the operation. All of this needs to be thought through, and devices invented to make the process work smoothly. My guess is that the ship will need a larger staff to handle all of these wood chips and their disposal problems. This may also affect how the ships need to be built. Perhaps some metal can be obtained from melting down existing ships, but this will be a huge undertaking. The cost will be amazingly high.
While your analysis says that there might be enough wood available, the World Bank says that the world’s forested area has been falling, year after year. We are already harvesting too many trees. In general, the “rich” countries of the world are seeing their forested percentages grow, and the “poor” countries of the world are seeing their percentages fall. On balance, the forested area falls each year.
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/AG.LND.FRST.ZS
There is also the issue of making the wood pellets, and of shipping the wood pellets to where they are needed. The shipping is generally done using diesel right now (in the trucks transporting the trees and the ships transporting the pellets). There need to be more trucks for this purpose, as well as more manufacturing facilities.
Currently, it is the fashion for some European countries to encourage their citizens to burn wood pellets for heat. Every energy analysis I have seen with respect to making and transporting wood pellets says that doing this exercise uses more energy than it replaces. Furthermore, a lot of energy used is diesel fuel, which is in short supply. The only way this approach “works” is with government subsidies (or carbon taxes discouraging an alternate approach).
There would be a huge long timeline involved in the change over. First, all of the necessary devices need to be invented. Then they need to be tested on a small scale, and then tested at ever larger scale. Usually, four different scale tests are needed for big changeovers. Then, the self-organizing economy needs to find that the whole process is somehow profitable enough that this change makes sense.
I think for something like this to work, the fuel system needs to be flexible enough to burn whatever trash the local port happens to have available. It might be offcuts from a local logging operation. It could be corn stalks, or wheat straw, or husks or even processed waste like ground up cardboard or waste paper. It might be assorted weeds and bush from derelict land that the locals are trying to clear. It could be animal dung. It might even be coal or lignite. We need the equivalent of a mule that can feed on mountain scrub.
All of the material would be chopped into small pieces. The ship’s engineer would need to estimate volumetric energy density of whatever fuel is provided, adjust the airflow to the boiler and recommend to the captain that they plan their journey accordingly. This might mean running more slowly on poorer fuel, or adjusting the route to refuel at a closer port. Land based coal powerplants have been able to substitute biomass for coal. This has introduced some problems. But functionally, it has worked.
In terms of transition, I would expect it to be gradual. Diesel isn’t going to disappear overnight. Biomass ships could be trialed first in areas where diesel supply is especially difficult, but local biomass is plentiful.
Peter,
removing agricultural waste removes nutrients and also exposes soil to erosion.
Dennis L.
Back to using Wind and Rowmen. Sail ships here we come again.
Thousands of Starships hopping around the planet will solve this problem.
Dennis L.
(parody but probably not)
One of the greatest f’ups Canada committed to humankind is plotting to end the British-Japanese treaty
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arthur_Meighen
Few people now would know this piece of shit’s name. This PoS did this
>At the 1921 Imperial Conference, Meighen successfully campaigned against the renewal of the Anglo-Japanese Alliance by citing that the alliance would alienate the United States and negatively affect Canada’s relationship with the United States, which Canada depended upon for its security.[12][8]
He caused World War 2.
A successful British-Japanese alliance would have maintained British suzerainty in the Med and the Indian Ocean, and would have kept Asia divided.
I don’t know what this piece of shit was thinking at that time since I don’t think he left any memoirs. For the f’kup he caused to the world, he is virtually unknown to humankind.
A successful British – Japanese alliance would also have been a deterrent to the US superpowerhood, which has driven the world to where it is now.
Indeed, it was a huge geopolitical miscalculation that ultimately led to the Pearl Harbour attack. The US had few economic interests in East Asia. Trying to carry favour with them was ultimately pointless. They have never really had much economic interest in global trade outside of the North American continent. And after WW2, they insisted that Britain dissolve its empire.
There were many things that could have avoided WW2. Britain taking a permanently hostile attitude towards Germany and France invading the Rhineland sowed the seeds of bitterness that led to the rise of the Nazi party. Britain then signed an ill advised mutual protection pact with Poland. The northern half of which was part of Prussia and had been German territory until the armistice.
The big issue in NY is the major of NYC winning about immigrants (the new settlers) destroying NYC. I think NYC needs to remember its history.
Immigrants work in sweatshops and living in slums. It is what NYC is built on.
Send NYC your tired huddled masses yearning to breathe free and willing to fight in the Ukraine war or work cheap in the sweatshop.
I saw one of the early apartments on a tour one time.
There was not much space at all for a worker and family.
Indeed
I read Stephen Crane’s book “Maggie”, Not a very encouraging reading, I have to say, about the life of the poorer areas of New York back in 1890s. Maggie tries to get out of the tenements with her beauties but because she lacks the education and the class, she becomes the only job available in that neighborhood ; a prostitute. She is eventually raped and thrown to the river by a pervert.
When the report of her death arrives, her brother Jimmie, a gang member (again the only kind of option for males in that neighborhood where a bartender is ‘middle class’ for them), just laughs it off.
Such kind of attitude was what learned men like Stephen Crane, who was the son of a methodist clergyman, had on the lower classes.
A similar story is Child’s Play by Higuchi Ichiyo. The daughter of a whorehouse befriends the son of a Buddhist monk, the most learned person in the neighborhood. (In Japanese Buddhism monks can marry and reproduce, although some of them choose not to) The son of a yakuza , who likes the girl, sees them with envy. In the end, the monk’s son goes to a monk school to succeed his father’s rather profitable ministry, the whorehouse girl becomes a whore, and the yakuza’s son becomes a yakuza.
Both stories were written in 1890s. When things were more stable and social class was forever and yet civilization was expanding like supernova.
Good post Kulm. In real terms, energy is cheaper now than it was then. Most energy was coal, a large part of which was dug out by hand. So in labour terms, energy was expensive. But pay for miners was terrible. So in money terms, it was cheaper, but less affordable.
When energy is expensive, life becomes cheap. That is something that hair shirt, lefty green energy freaks should think about. The end result of their efforts is going to be a lot of unneccesary human misery. We are seeing the early results of their handywork in Germany.
It should be harder for poor men to even be with a woman. Only until he has achieved financial viability and of good character should he even have the opportunity.
This is Hilarious … and this is what the MORE-ONS believe:
I found this photo on her phone. She was apologising to her friends for leaving them, while they went out clubbing without her. (The same friends that three weeks later told me “Caitlin would be happy to have died for the Greater Good”, and haven’t spoken to me or her brother’s since).
https://metatron.substack.com/p/justice-for-caitlin
The rabbit meat grinder close up:
https://i.postimg.cc/c4Wvcnch/Hoolio-Teeth.png
Damn, not even Tom Cruise can sport such good teeth.
Your dog’s dentist must be a master of his craft, a real artist.
Low carb diet benefit
BRICS can hold its cards pretty close to its chest, as we saw with its recent expansion, and public talk had been of international trade in local currencies rather than a single BRICS currency but this ceremony seems to be an indication of intent. It was reported also yesterday in the South African media.
https://warnews247.gr/ektakto-pyriniko-pligma-sto-dolario-i-rosia-parousiase-to-nomisma-ton-brics-ston-presvi-ton-iae-tha-vasizetai-ston-kanona-tou-chrysou-kai-stous-fysikous-porous/
“Nuclear Strike” on Dollar and the West: Russia Introduces BRICS Currency – It Will Be Based on the Golden Rule and Natural Resources! – See images
UAE and Saudi Arabia celebrate – Blow to the global financial system
Russia has released the first images of the BRICS currency to be released, causing shock in the West and concern in the US.
This move is equivalent to a “nuclear blow” to the dollar and the global financial system. The world is again divided into West and East with two different systems of economic transactions.
The BRICS currency was unveiled at a ceremony to celebrate the UAE’s admission to the BRICS+ bloc in South Africa!
Information indicates that especially the UAE and Saudi Arabia are celebrating the development as the currency will be linked to oil (natural resources) and this means for these states a disconnection from the dollar and American hegemony.
The atmosphere is more than triumphant.
The move to a gold-backed trading currency will undermine the dollar’s purchasing power, leading to higher oil and gas prices, particularly as depleted Western reserves need to be replenished ahead of the northern hemisphere’s winter months.
We remind you that the BRICS group initially invited Saudi Arabia, Iran, Ethiopia, Egypt, Argentina and the United Arab Emirates to join the bloc.
New members will be officially accepted on January 1, 2024.
Russian Ambassador: This is the BRICS currency!
An important event took place during the meeting of the Russian diplomat with the UAE Ambassador Mahash Saeed Al Hameli.
The Russian ambassador to the Republic of South Africa, Ilya Rogachev, presented the 100 BRICS note for the first time.
The Russian ambassador handed over this banknote to his UAE ambassador on the occasion of the Middle Eastern state’s accession to BRICS.
It is emphasized that the 100 BRICS banknote was printed in Russia.
On one side of the banknote are the flags of the five BRICS countries, while on the reverse side are the symbols of the countries included in the bloc.
It is not yet known exactly when the BRICS single currency will be launched, but all reports indicate that this will happen very soon.
According to economists, the introduction of a single BRICS currency will significantly weaken the role of the dollar in world trade.
What the Iranians are reporting
The Russian Ambassador to South Africa presented the 100 BRICS banknote to the UAE Ambassador in Pretoria, Iran’s IRNA news agency reported.
The Iranian news agency notes that the note was displayed on Tuesday afternoon during a ceremony at the UAE embassy in South Africa.
The banknote also bears the inscription “BRICS New Development Bank” and lists both the members of the organization and all prospective members.
End of Dollar Hegemony – Currencies not pegged to gold are now ‘bubbles’
According to commodity market expert Alasdair Macleod, gold reserves need to cover the issuance of banknotes.
With gold bullion having migrated eastwards in huge quantities in recent decades, there is little scope for the western alliance and its sphere of influence to back their own currencies.
All the jitters coming from the emerging economic axis of Russia and China are leading to a new gold-linked trade settlement currency proposed at the BRICS summit in Johannesburg.
Until the details are revealed, all we can conclude is that Russia is leading this venture suggested by Sergei Glazyev.
Officially, Russia has monetary gold reserves of 2,302 tons. But in addition, there are unknown amounts of gold that are kept in the State Treasury of Russia and the State Fund for Precious Metals. These two funds are said to contain an additional 10,000 tonnes between them, bringing Russian state holdings to over 12,000 tonnes.
Whatever the actual number, it is likely that Russia has more gold to print money with than the US government’s 8,133 tons, which is unverified and rumored to be wildly overstated.
They definitely are looking at a gold (or other resource) based currency. A gold based currency doesn’t work well, when population and total goods and services are rising. It can’t handle the higher needs well. But it might work better on the way down.
Still there is the problem of who “should” be getting the limited goods and services. The people in charge would like to dictate this. Food is especially important.
Kitco
China buys 29 tonnes of gold in August, stretches buying spree to 10 months
Neils Christensen Thursday September 07, 2023
insatiable as the nation’s central bank added more of the precious metal to its foreign reserves for the tenth consecutive month.
According to updated foreign reserve data, the People’s Bank of China bought 29 tonnes of gold in August, lifting year-to-date purchases to 155 tonnes. Last month’s data was also the central bank’s biggest purchase since December.
The PBOC has been the leading central bank in the gold market. And its current buying spree has matched its previous 10-month run that ended in September 2019.
Looking ahead, many analysts said that they expect China to continue to buy gold as it strengthens the yuan’s international credibility to compete with the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency.
One sentence is enough to describe BRICS
They cannot bring humanity to Type I Civilization.
Period.
Correct. Thet have too low a percentage of autistic and idiot savants (aka genius specialists) for that.
OTOH genius specialists can simply be bought, and not even too dear – just remember how the US imported them from Europe at $1M dollars a dozen after the great depression. Who knows if the Bric Empire has plans to do the same after the next Eurocrash? So don’t despair.
Too soon to give up on the dream that one day our species will teach Chinese and capoeira in Andromeda.
Can you define your Type 1 civilisation?
Something a bit more definitive than, give everything to the inbred few, which would clearly lead to stagnation at best and more realistically complete collapse(even if you could refill all the wells and mineral seams). That feckless bunch running everything would be the only plausible scenario for the Unbelievable Extinction Plan to succeed.
Kardashev scale?
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kardashev_scale
Probably not, as he was russian. Then again, Russia is far far more advanced, in so much, it’s getting embarrassing for the exceptional lot.
Join Keith and go for type ll, or really push the sci-fi delusion and head straight for type lll🤯
What’s your view on Spengler’s The Decline of the West. He seems to have predicted Caesarism(Gramsci’s “Caesarism without Caesar”), but 200 years looks somewhat optimistic, no?
I know little of Spengler’s writing, is he worth my time reading?
The construction industry in Finland gives work to 20% of the workforce. The construction companies are now going bankrupt. Building permits are down 60% due to high inflation and high interest rates.
Things are much worse today than during the Global Financial Crisis.
Reminds me of the Beatles song….Ringo Starr once remarked to the lads;
It’s getting better all the time…it can’t get much worse….
Witty Ringo inspired other tunes and was a
Another for us here..
Ringo Starr – It Don’t Come Easy (Official Video) [HD]
Him and George Harrison ..one of the best ever..life lesson
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=bvEexTomE1I&pp=ygUfaXQgZG9uJ3QgY29tZSBlYXN5IHJpbmdvIHN0YXJyIA%3D%3D
Really, Mike! “It Don’t Come Easy” is a dire song. It’s little more than a chant. Better to remember Ringo for his stylish drumming on “A day in the life”. He was no great singer, but the arrangement of his cover of “You’re Sixteen” is gorgeous.
Thank you for the information.
Dennis L.
Excellent – thanks for this!!!
It seems like Finland was the place where there was some experimentation with giving a stipend to everyone (universal income). I don’t know how big an experiment it was.
Is it possible that a plan of that sort led to a building boom, and now that building bubble is going bust?
(Corriere della Sera)
In Italy, super mainstream media and propaganda newspaper ‘Corriere’ is trying to convince us that in USA your are almost in total emergency for Covid again.
And of course the newspaper is hoping so.
What is the real situation?
Thanks!
https://www.corriere.it/esteri/23_settembre_07/covid-usa-aumentano-casi-tornano-mascherine-alcune-scuole-aziende-che-cosa-succede-ora-6b6b6786-4d94-11ee-a884-00379f2db152.shtml
Around my area, a whole lot of people are testing positive for covid. Hardly any of them are very sick, however. It becomes difficult to stir up alarm. There are more people (maybe 5% or 10%) wearing masks.
The CDC Covid data tracker says the recently, 2% of US deaths were attributable to covid.
https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#datatracker-home
Had one coworker recently out with the COVID and doesn’t surprise me at all. One other block 😞 all juiced up with boosters stated he will refuse any more jabs since he has gotten the Kung flu repeatedly regardless of being vaccinated and had some ill side effects from it.
We are being encouraged to get protected with both the flu and booster.
This is where Remdesivir and Midazolam is helpful… that turns a basic flu-like disease into The Bataan Death March
https://youtu.be/VE03Lqm3nbI?t=3
Nothing visible here 100 miles north of NYC. Life is normal.
Tons of people at my work are now sick and/or complaining about feeling sick. A couple of my friends have kids who are sick.
One of my ex-girlfriends has to wear the mask again because she works in healthcare, and someone tested positive. (she is now dying her hair two abstract colors, so don’t think she is taking it well)
My local supermarket has signs up advertising for flu shots.
I’m in Michigan (between Detroit and Chicago in a very conservative area) Not some lib covidville. just sayin
The dems have put out their campaign signs. Rather than the standard red, white and blue The signs are orange, white, and blue. My guess they are implying a fight against the orange satan.
I would put out a Trump 2024 sign but my wife is frighten of the possible repercussions.
I sport a “Giant Meteor 2024” bumper sticker. Doesn’t trigger them in the same way. I’ve gotten a few positive reactions.
Looking forward to the drive through Rat Juice shots in the Walmart car parks!!!
And more free donuts. norm/keith LOVE free donuts – the hole in the donuts resembles the holes in their heads hahahaha
“she is now dying her hair two abstract colors”
Blue and yellow, perhaps? 😉
Many thanks !
I read on an Italian article something like that:
”the problem this time is that people are testing by themselves and so they are spinning out of control of general statistics, so it is not possible for health authorities have a clear idea of the impact on society of these new variants.
Additionally, it is not possible to clearly trace people…”
They are furious livid and angry that things are (I hope) probably not in control this time.
😀 😀 😀
USA is struggling to develop hypersonic (super fast) missiles. Another test was aborted this week. Russia and China already have multiple hypersonic systems and they are already a decade ahead, assuming that the USA can do it at all.
The Pentagon has wargamed a conflict with China in recent years and USA would lose under every considered scenario. USA simply lacks the military-industrial base to compete with China and Russia, which has the best in the world.
This failure comes a week after Russia brought its SARMAR inter-continental ballistic missile system online. USA needs to limit the extent that it overplays its hand or it could work out really badly for it.
First US Hypersonic Missile To Miss Operational Deadline? US Cancels Dark Eagle Test Again
The US Army has aborted a planned test to launch the Dark Eagle hypersonic missile from Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida. This follows the scrubbing of what was expected to be the first test launch of one of these weapons. The test comes amid the US Army’s long-standing goal to field the first operational Dark Eagles before the end of this year. The Office of the Secretary of Defence (OSD) confirmed to The War Zone that the test had been aborted. However, Washington hasn’t revealed the reason behind cancelling the test launch. The statement from OSD is identical to the one that it put out after the decision to scrub the first scheduled Dark Eagle test launch in March. Is the US military facing issues to clear its Dark Eagle Hypersonic missile? Watch this video to know more.
so which theatre best uses this competitive advantage? I am guessing Africa and Syria for starters, but there should be some of these in Venezuela and Bolivia. and now in Argentina too.
Sounds good.
It is incredibly difficult to imagine how research on hypersonic missiles fits in with the view that the world can get along on renewables, and our major problem is climate change. It seems like a good ability to use fossil fuels is far more important.
Somehow, the battery didn’t perform as planned on a recent test. This seems like an inexcusable problem.
Distractions from the pandemic treaty being created which slated to be completed by May 2024 forced jabs coming soon there’ll be no escape for all of us once this treaty is law.
Thx Gail!
EU has set a 2030 target to cut primary energy consumption by 30 percent from its peak in 2006. They are of course selling it as a climate goal. Nothing to worry about.
https://images.app.goo.gl/RnhuarrsFi5RbQS3A
In other words, “Collapse is good; we have been planning for it; we can keep the world away from global warming.”
Or, we will let other parts of the world use the energy supply that is available; we are simply too inefficient in our usage. They make goods and services essential to life there. We mostly focus on creature comforts and more complexity.
We’ll do much better than that … well before 2030
New footage has emerged of the destruction of the UK tank in UKR. A single anti-tank missile hit it and it burst into flames. A second then finished it off.
UK had long boasted that its tanks are ‘invincible’ as they had never encountered serious opposition, which was daft.
A narrative has emerged that UK has ‘snubbed’ UKR by refusing to send more tanks, but people do not realise that UK has only 40 working tanks and no ability to make more.
The UK basically does not have a military and the island is completely undefended. Manpower would not fill a soccer stadium, it has no air defence, no adequate maritime or airforce defence and it would run out of bullets in a few days.
A UK Parliament report last month stated as much. UK is basically faking having a military, even though it is proactively engaged in conflict formation.
It ain’t no ‘snub’, UK simply does not have it and it cannot make it, just fake it. It cannot even defend itself let alone anyone else, which the USA recently bluntly pointed out.
NATO Nation ‘Snubs’ Ukraine; UK Won’t Replace Russia-destroyed Challenger 2 Tank | Watch
A new video of the UK-made Challenger 2 tank, which was destroyed by Russia last week, has now emerged. This video going viral on Russian Telegram channels shows the exact moment when Kornet anti-tank missile bombed the British tank. The UK has admitted to the loss of one among the 14 tanks sent to Ukraine and has indicated that London has no intention to replace the tank. Watch for more details.
The tanks being invincible reminds me of the nuclear electricity generating stations supposedly being invincible. They could survive all of the problems that engineers at that time could think of. But that list of problems was nowhere near long enough.
But they still have nukes, right?
JHK in full form today . Peak stupidity at the end of times .
https://kunstler.com/eyesore-of-the-month/september-2023/
Goodness gracious! Whoever heard of such a big ship? What a good way to spread the disease of the day around!
The company building this boat, and the group doing the financing of the boat must have taken leave of their senses!
All I see is the most garish prison imaginable. Suits the times i suppose 🤮
Maybe the ships could be used to house all of the folks suffering from the suffering from dread disease of the day, to keep them away from other folks.
That would require a huge fleet, but also create jobs for life(however short).
Just need all the raw materials.
Dennis, hurry up!
The very existence of this ship proves that disease is not so easy to spread as we’re told. Something in the narrative doesn’t add up.
If you look close you will see a Dumpster on the bottom level… Super Snatch has a gig working Out Back peddling her fester to the punters.
Cruise if the MOREONS
This was an outtake from the movie “Idiocracy” that did not make the final cut.
August 26. 2020 . FED says it will keep interest rates at zero for the next five years
.
https://twitter.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1699595903026217099/photo/1
Wishful thinking! Of course, with all of the debt being added in the 2020 timeframe (and now), the US government really needs very low interest rate.
(Splash – marittime news)
”Shipping could face carbon-neutral fuel shortage on decarbonisation path”
https://splash247.com/shipping-could-face-carbon-neutral-fuel-shortage-on-decarbonisation-path/
Any change will take a huge amount of fossil fuels, too. The idea of changing more than a few percentage of total shipping to ostensibly carbon neutral is likely to go nowhere.
Going back to only wind-powered boats would be as close to carbon neutral as possible. But there isn’t a big move in this direction.
Those tend to be not on schedule.
Agreed! Trips are often many days late.
I think at some point freight trains will become competitive with ships, since trains are electrified. Specially in Eurasia where there will be gas, coal and uranium.
I wouldn’t count on electrified trains becoming competitive with ships.
The big advantage of ships is that there is no need to build a track or a road. Planes have a similar advantage.
A huge amount of track, plus cars to fit on the track (which hopefully can be transported “the last mile” by truck) are needed. The “grade” of the track for an electric train cannot be very high; it works best on fairly level places.
The “gauge” of the tracks and cars must be uniform for the entire length of the tracks. If not, there is a situation in which all of the cargo needs to be removed from one set of train cars, and moved to another set of train cars. This is terribly inefficient. Europe has the “different guage” problem with its train cars; it uses trains only for passengers, since they can walk from one set of railroad cars to another, at changeover points.
Also, there need to be a continuous electricity supply to make the system work. The only way we can have a continuous electricity supply is if we have the whole system working. Adequate low-priced fossil fuels are needed. People using different parts of the track cannot be at war with each other.
The train track is an easy target, it a country gets into war with another country. This needs to be considered, too.
I think this is why the BRICS military strategy is to expel the US from the entire Eurasia. At least to the Danube. To me it is obvious that train transportation will increase in relative use. Ships sink and use diesel. it is possible that the Northern corridor will come into use in an hybrid fashion, such as a convoy towed by a nuclear ship.
How about ships driven by steam turbines powered by burning solid biomass? The idea here is that you take biomass (really, any dry biomass), chop it into fine pieces that can be stored in silos on a ship. The fine biomass is then blown into boilers along with the air feed. The boilers raise steam, which drives tubines power the ship.
Wood chips would be ideal. But I suspect that individual ports would stock whatever happens to be locally available. Pulverised straw or stems from agriculture. Maybe forestry residues. Dry animal dung. Maybe even dredged up, dried seaweed.
Dried biomass is not very energy dense. It would take an awfully lot of dried biomass to power a ship very far. There wouldn’t be much room left over for passengers or cargo.
You could probably tow a light vessel with some cargo and humans?
I don’t think that light vessels do well in the ocean, or in choppy smaller seas.
Long Covid!!!!
16 RISING STAR – DIES SUDDENLY – NO CAUSE OF DEATH GIVEN?!?
🤷🏻♂️🇦🇺😔
Rest in peace, young lady.
Condolences to her family 💐
“It is with great sadness and heartache,
we acknowledge the sudden passing of Samara Whitney,”
Wynyard FC said in a social media post, The Mercury (https://www.google.com/url?q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.themercury.com.au%2Fsport%2Ftasmanian-football-mourns-teenage-star-samara-whitney%2Fnews-story%2F7b708107a893cdcf4d028f0843d1b54f&sa=D&source=editors&ust=1693993864096465&usg=AOvVaw1RsjCjeNDSTAsu6rQpOkU4&int=appleNews) reported.
“Samara has been a part of the WFC family since juniors and played an integral role in our Senior Women’s Premiership side this year.
“A vibrant & loveable young lady who has made her mark at the WFC as a passionate and talented player, who had a big future ahead of her.
“Our young gun, our pocket rocket,
our number 2 … such a positive influence for all.
Someone who had a great connection with both our club and the wider community.
This will last forever.
“A true star who shone bright both inside and out.
(Edit; apparently not vax related)
https://www.news.com.au/sport/afl/afl-community-in-grief-after-death-of-rising-tasmanian-star-samara-whitney/news-story/bfe252556683c0989109dbde356a4b80?amp
I am not much interested in these “died suddenly” stories.
You are lacking enthusiasm for The Schad?
This serves another purpose – it reminds norm that he’s poisoned the grand kids… cuz he believed he was protecting himself from the Vid.
Fake – he was afraid in 2008 – but why not now?
Mass D
“I had given Barack $250 to pay for Coke,” Sinclair continued. “I start putting a line on a CD tray to snort and next thing I know he’s got a little pipe and he’s smoking.”
To which Carlson then asked: “Even though you had sex with him twice, you did cocaine with him, watched him smoke crack twice, you had no idea who he was?”
“I had no idea who he was,” Sinclair replied, adding “It definitely wasn’t Barack’s first time and I would almost be one to bet it wasn’t his last.”
Watch:
Ep. 22 Larry Sinclair says he had a night of crack cocaine-fueled sex with Barack Obama, and that Obama came back for more the next day. Assess for yourself. Here’s our interview. pic.twitter.com/R6CXwKv6gs
— Tucker Carlson (@TuckerCarlson) September 6, 2023
Last week Carlson foreshadowed the upcoming interview, telling the Adam Carolla show that the media was too afraid to report Sinclair’s claims in 2008.
According to Tucker, nobody dared repeat the accusation due to threats from the Obama campaign.
“‘Nobody reported it not because they were squeamish about sex or drugs but because the Obama campaign said anyone who reports on this gets no access to the Obama campaign,” he said. “So, they didn’t report on it.”
“It’s not going to change the world that Barack Obama likes dudes, I think this was well-known,” Carlson continued, adding that Obama himself acknowledged having gay impulses in a letter to a former girlfriend.
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/it-definitely-wasnt-baracks-first-time-obamas-crack-fueled-gay-tryst-accuser-speaks-out
Ah, l’ amour.
The Horror… The Horror!!!
She murdered her baby.
Mum seeks answers over 5-month-old’s sudden death
September 1, 2023
Timaru, Canterbury – A Canterbury mother is searching for answers after her 5-month-old died five days after she was found unresponsive after playing with a sibling. Taliah Keogh died at her Timaru home on August 12, after being admitted to hospital twice in the previous five days. Her mother, Rochelle Carey, spoke to the New Zealand Herald about her daughter’s tragic death and says she wants more answers. Carey said she called emergency services on the morning of August 7 because Taliah had a temperature and was “not her normal self”. An ambulance arrived and checked Taliah. She said they believed she was okay. About two hours later Carey found Taliah blue and unresponsive while playing with a sibling. Carey called emergency services again, and this time they took her to Timaru Hospital. “She was a bit lethargic, a bit confused,” Carey said.
The following day Carey called emergency services again because Taliah was pale and “floppy”. This was just after a full night’s sleep, without waking for her normal 2.30am feed. Taliah was taken to Timaru Hospital for a second time where she stayed overnight. She was discharged from the hospital on the evening of August 9.Carey’s last interaction with Taliah was about 2.30 am on August 12 when she woke her for a feed. “I was interacting with her fine and then she’d fallen asleep so I placed her into her bassinet. Unfortunately that day she slept and I kind of didn’t think anything of it.” Carey lay down again and fell asleep. When she woke up, shortly before 1 pm, she realised Taliah wasn’t breathing. “I rang the ambulance and I said to them, ‘I think my daughter has passed away in her sleep’. The call-taker said she needed to get Taliah out of the bassinet and try to perform CPR. I placed her on my floor, attempted to do CPR. It’s a bit hard to do on your own baby, so I was struggling.” Shortly afterward a paramedic arrived and took over, using a defibrillator on Taliah and continuing CPR. One of Carey’s friends arrived and comforted her while emergency services attended to Taliah. “We watched them try to revive her for 45 minutes. It’s the hardest thing I’ve ever had to see and watch and then when they called it, it broke me.”
No cause of death reported.
This is what has to be expected after all Suharit Bhakdi had explained 2020 – probably the most important critic of the German speaking area. What surprises me most is that relatively little people seem to be affected. Either the ingredients have a range of effects or they have not. To me all speculations about placebos, destruction by storage and genetic variability seems insatisfactory. All is very sad.
yes but it cures stooopidity
NY couple both die within 2 years. Their children are now orphans
August 30, 2023
Aug. 4, 2023 – Albertson, NY – Jill Silverstein “suffered a medical event” and died unexpectedly on Aug. 4, 2023. Her 45-year-old husband, Craig Silverstein, had died suddenly on April 29, 2021 from a cardiac arrest. Their kids are now orphans.
Well Done! What are the odds….
Loads of teen SADS here – great! https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/in-memory-of-those-who-died-suddenly-b34
Grim (if you are vaxxed — but if you are vaxxed and extra stooopid … this will be of no concern)
https://t.me/EdwardDowdReal/340
You gotta like this!
Incidence of Cancer in Mortality for those Age 0 – 54 at 18.8% excess. Up from 17.8% excess just 5 weeks ago.
Notice that, after the Dry Tinder jump in 2020, this trend was in decline (as DT naturally does).
Then something intercepted that trend and reversed it.
https://t.me/EdwardDowdReal/339
Target in Seattle
EVERYTHING IS LOCKED!
https://www.reddit.com/gallery/16c0eme
When I visited Seattle this past summer, the (expensive) hotel I was staying in was not far from a homeless encampment. In fact, when a few of us walked from our hotel to a restaurant nearby, we ended up walking past the homeless encampment.
This was in an area not far from where my sister lives in Seattle. Home prices there are very high. It used to be a nice area. Seattle is another place on the West Coast that has a lot of problems.
Good to know – these are great places to score Fent — when Global Holodomor begins
NZ PM on people harmed by the jabs: “They ultimately made their own choices”
https://rumble.com/v3ffruc-nz-pm-on-people-harmed-by-the-jabs-they-ultimately-made-their-own-choices.html
Politicians have no shame.
And he is correct.
The vast majority of them wanted the Rat Juice… and the ones who were mandated could have opted out….
They were coerced… which is criminal. But I think we all know by now how these things go. Has anyone anywhere seen any kind of authentic legal response to what went down in 2020 and 2021?
I haven’t. What I have seen is total compliance. And then a few people in the neighborhood dropped dead including my local bank manager. The bank has been closed ever since. Older folk complain. Workarounds are set up.
By the way, the ones that dropped dead suddenly were not very old, but they were long term heavy smokers as were the ones that suddenly developed leg clots that required multiple surgeries and ongoing “treatment.”
And then there’s the increase in sudden heart ops in otherwise healthy individuals. They’re still waddling about, but it looks like their days are numbered. Constant hospital admissions for pneumonias and such.
I can’t be 100% sure (it’s early days) but I suspect that the NPCs know what happened deep down, they’re just in denial. They may submit to masking again if ordered to do so but most will reject any further jabbing.
>> most will reject any further jabbing.
We’ll see if they really learned anything or developed any courage when the next media-scare is rolled out.
Some were coerced with the threat of being left without a job, but the vast majority simply followed their stupid herd animal instinct, which is to trust the shepherd.
The folks organizing UEP — are above the law… they make and enforce the laws…
Is it any wonder court challenges fail
Megyn Kelly, Who Previously Attacked JKF JNR Quite Rudely for his Stance on the Jabs, Now Publicly Says She REGRETS Taking the COVID Vaccine, Suspects It Caused New Medical Issue.
Now, finally, perhaps Norman and Keith will snap out of their consensus trance, extricate themselves from the cult, and save themselves from the next round of Russian Roulette?
Meghan:
“I regret getting the vaccine even though I’m a 52-year-old woman because I don’t think I needed it. I think I would have been fine. I had got COVID many times, and it was well past when the vaccine was doing what it was supposed to be doing.
And then, for the first time, I tested positive for an autoimmune issue at my annual physical. And I went to the best rheumatologist in New York, and I asked her, do you think this could have to do with the fact that I got the damn booster and then got COVID within three weeks? And she said yes. Yes. I wasn’t the only one she’d seen that with.”
https://vigilantnews.com/post/megyn-kelly-publicly-says-she-regrets-taking-the-covid-vaccine-suspects-it-caused-new-medical-issue?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
I was referring to Megyn’s 4-hour 2022 interview with RFK Jnr, in which she tended to take the official line, which led to a bit of friction between the interviewer and the subject, although overall their conversation was amiable.
Wait, she got the injection, and then had “covid” MANY TIMES!!? What is wrong with these people? (Yes, I know she is paid to toe the party line, but this is still ridiculous.)
What about this?
Megyn Kelly mocks COVID-stricken Savannah Guthrie: ‘She’s had all the vaccines’
“This is reportedly Savannah’s third bout of COVID and I guarantee you she’s had all the vaccines and the boosters because you won’t be able to go into 30 Rock without them,” Kelly, who hosted her own hourlong morning show, “Megyn Kelly Today,” on NBC from 2017 until 2018, said on her SiriusXM podcast Tuesday.
“There’s zero chance NBC is not requiring all boosters,” Kelly added. “And this is [Guthrie’s] third bout of COVID.”
https://nypost.com/2023/03/01/megyn-kelly-mocks-covid-stricken-savannah-guthrie/
I too get influenced by Megan. And Van Den Bossche. And that cute girl with a million followers who spends her life vacationing in exotic locales.
Silly woman – it’s long covid — if not for the Rat Juice she would have died!
More Boosters
test
I agree with the Russian general who says nuclear war is inevitable.
That’s what the US wants. The US has been talking up tactical nukes. The US is losing the war, badly in Ukraine. The US is on a mission to subjugate the world with an iron fist. The neocons have already begun to move towards China.
moi, je pense que la guerre nucléaire est innutile !
les injection COVID19 feront le travail !
I think nuclear war is useless!
COVID19 injections will do the job !
Perhaps both! Get the job done more quickly.
Alzheimer’s Disease caused by Jab Endotoxin
Endotoxin is present in all brands of Covid19 jabs and is known to upregulate microRNA miR-155-5p that enhances extracellular Aβ Aggregation
https://geoffpain.substack.com/p/alzheimers-disease-caused-by-jab
The fact that the endotoxin is present in all brands of the so-called vaccine is important. There is no way around the problem, if you must be vaccinated, other than bribing the person giving the vaccine.
US Open struck down with mystery illness ripping through tournament with one star revealing they ‘feel like a zombie’
https://www.the-sun.com/sport/9014129/us-open-mystery-illness-ons-jabeur-zombie/
Another round of covid is coming.
A “Live” round.
I have bad news for them … they have VAIDS… their immune systems are f789ed…
And no – there is no way to unf789 them hahaha
Megyn Kelly: I Regret Getting The COVID Vaccine, I Have Tested Positive For An Autoimmune Issue
“For the first time, I tested positive for an autoimmune issue at my annual physical,” Kelly revealed. “And I went to the best Rheumatologist in New York, and I asked her, do you think this could have to do with the fact that got the damn booster and then got COVID within three weeks? And she said yes. Yes. I wasn’t the only one she’d seen that with.”
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2023/09/06/megyn_kelly_i_regret_getting_covid_vaccine_i_have_tested_positive_for_an_autoimmune_issue.html
I have been painting the Goat Ranch which is a great opportunity to listen to books… I’m almost finished The Clot Thickens … and I am amazed at the range of illnesses, drugs, and mental states that can cause cardio vascular disease
And it occurred to me that neither Hoolio nor Padooch has ever been sick. Padooch is 12 years old… never had a visit to a vet.
I am thinking …
1. Perhaps humans have allowed the misfits and feeble minded to remain alive … thereby never cleansing the gene pool of their rubbish genes… combined with farma wanting to make $$$ + feeding the MORE-ONS KFC and gallon bottles of cola… and we now have a general population that is f789ed.
We are now here: Most Americans Struggle to Do Just 5 Pushups, According to a New Survey https://www.menshealth.com/fitness/a37474114/pushups-average-american-survey/
2. Medicine is poison. Every attempt to prolong life generally makes things worse…(those damn side effects!)… and offering up a pill or a surgery to cure every ill – ensures that the MORE-ONS never choose to live a healthier lifestyle. They start destroying their health at a very early age.
We are here https://www.msn.com/en-gb/health/fitness/the-pros-and-cons-of-weight-loss-drugs/ar-AA1b0IJ5
3. This reinforces my belief that one needs to emulate Hoolio’s lifestyle. Eat high quality food — do not drink or smoke — eliminate stress… and exercise… and there will be no need to visit a doctor.
4. In fact I would support the elimination of all medical treatments and drugs — the only thing doctors should do is fix you if you have injured yourself. The only drugs you should get would be pain killers after an injury. Immediately stop prescribing drugs — if the MORE-ONS can’t heal themselves by stopping the KFC and cranking the peddles… too f789ing bad.
Let them die.
Obviously I agree with your general list with one caveat…
If you suffer an injury and time passes allowing for more or less natural healing to take care of things do not then submit to reconstructive surgery as I did for an already “healed” knee ligament.
The operation, while successful, left my entire leg weaker than before due to the slightly larger than required reconstructed ligament taken from my calf.
The “poor fit” (which means that it wasn’t really successful) prevent full knee lock and weight bearing which shifted balance to my right hip causing issues there.
When I asked the surgeon pro-op if the surgery was really necessary she sat back, folded her arms and said “The decision was entirely up to me.”
After four months of reabilitation and watching other suckers come in complaining about the same issues I now know that if a surgeon says “it’s up to you” you should run a mile! Chances are that you’re better off leaving things well alone.
My knee had completely healed all by itself over many years even without a ligament and rarely popped out of place unless I forced it somehow which was easily and painlessly resolved by the use of a knee strap of some kind. I still played basketball with a patela strap for some years after injury no problem. After the op… it’s like having a wooden leg.
Just thought I’d share the experience in case others are tempted to put their faith in the hands of these butchers for profit.
30 years ago a MORE-ON attacked me and I beat him — was tossed out of he bar with my two mates — my right little finger tendon at the top joint was broken – the finger could not straighten… we examined it – no pain – so we decided to carry on with a Big Night … rather than visit a doctor… to this day it remains permanently bent…
That said … for severe injuries one should consider medical treatment
Russia has a shortage of fuel for the winter planting!
https://www.rt.com/russia/582491-harvest-fuel-oil-embargo/
I doubt it. I think they are just trying to highlight the energy threat to Europe et al.
I get the impression that with the high oil prices, there is a problem with too many traders wanting to export oil products. The proposal is that only the refineries could export the oil products. Otherwise, too much of the products get exported. (Possibly crude oil, too.)
The article says, “Moscow has continued to export oil at a brisk pace, regardless of the attempted G7 “price cap” at $60 a barrel.”
To let export only refineries or mainly refineries would be – unfortunately for us – a very clever decision.
This is one of the most terrifying things I’ve ever seen. This guy really knows his stuff:
https://youtu.be/Bs3o3z0G8tw?si=HA0FX0noHLtvkpax
This a link from inside FE’s post about materials which did not burn.
The fencepost @ 35:00 needs no other introduction to make the hairs on the neck rise, the rest of the video might as well be commentary.
Given that I just learned about pollarding a few days ago, I look around Canuckistan and marvel that no traditional work has been done to put lands into a footing to survive for hundreds of years. All this infrastructure is no different from a wet wipe. Use one and throwaway. The pervasiveness of what will be used once takes ones breath away.
The dry wood and the plastic don’t burn. Yet windshields are all melted (2500 degrees) and aluminum is melted in puddles on the asphalt. The nails in the fencepost seem to have burned, but not the wood around them.
Simulation?
The fire in Maui, as well as quite a few other recent fires, seem to be microwave based, rather than being forest fires. The forests didn’t burn, or even the trees fairly nearby the homes. The fires seem to be very hot, so that aluminum parts of cars turn to puddles.
I didn’t get all of the way through the video. The arborist may have more insights later.
I suppose I could ask why way back at 9/11 why there was not a “world trade center sized ” pile of debris at the base of those former edifices????
It was not aircraft or thermite that “dustified” those buildings…..
The world is really really not what almost everyone thinks it is….
dude, skyscrapers are mostly hollow.
you haven’t been in one in a while?
anyway, a big THANK YOU for adding ANOTHER type of CT to how the towers fell.
1. airplanes directed by US gov
2. missiles disguised with holograms
3. thermite/explosives which workers pre-loaded
4. energy beam from space
5. whatever your theeory is
GOOD JOB, folks!
it’s been 22 YEARS and still the CTers haven’t come up with a comprehensive story for what REALLY happened.
BRAVO!!!!!!!
Of course only you know what REALLY happened. Please enlighten us, just for the fun of it.
no, I don’t think I have enough information to do that.
but why don’t you tell us what the real story is?
you know, it’s been 22 years, so it’s kinda funny that the real CT story hasn’t been settled yet.
do you have a #6 to add to my list?
did I miss one or even more than one?
In these types of incidents, the How matters much less than the Who.
But if what really bothers you is the How, rejoice because you’re one second away from knowing the truth: the towers collapsed because their steel columns were cut with a box cutter, which was found among the rubble.
As for the Who, I can guarantee you that the box cutter had engraved the name of its owner: Bin Laden.
To #3 is would add nukes in the basements.
Ah yes! Dmitry Khalezov’s pet theory.
https://911review.com/errors/wtc/nukes.html
“GOOD JOB, folks!
it’s been 22 YEARS and still the CTers haven’t come up with a comprehensive story for what REALLY happened.
Neither have those that have fallen for the official government explanation. Gotta love controlled demolition. It’s a beautiful thing. It must really be nice to be as gullible as you appear to be. Are you by chance related to norm?
You do realize that False Flags have been used in the past, right?
https://www.globalresearch.ca/53-admitted-false-flag-attacks/5432931
Here’s one David: “U.S. Military Wanted to Provoke War With Cuba”
https://abcnews.go.com/US/story?id=92662&page=1
Here’s an excerpt: “In the early 1960s, America’s top military leaders reportedly drafted plans to kill innocent people and commit acts of terrorism in U.S. cities to create public support for a war against Cuba. Code named Operation Northwoods”
I was about to say the same thing. The towers are made up mostly of empty space. Columns and flimsy floors don’t add up to much in the end and the debris was removed from site pretty quickly. A lot of asbestos in the mix. No radiation. No explosives used. Just excess heat from the materials and forces involved.
This is what passes for a discussion on Conspiracy Theories…? Once again everyone refuses to come down, out of their silos to shakes hands and talk in a frank and open way.
Kinda cozy up their in the silo, isn’t it?
Rubble pile from a small building after a controlled demolition – skip to the end to see
https://youtu.be/jjl1kGfOEeg
“the debris was removed from site pretty quickly.”
Yes, they destroyed the evidence from a crime scene extremely fast. It was very fortuitous that the man in charge of the port authority had all those barges lined up ready to shift hundreds of thousands of tons of steel before anyone could investigate. Can he see into the future?
Sure was a strange day. One plane hit a field and completely evaporated. One plane supposedly hit the Pentagon at a faster speed than it could fligh at its maximum altitude, but miracle of miracles meant that the wings didn’t get ripped off in the thick ground level air. That plane seems to have evaporated as well.
Then there was the building that no plane hit, but still fell into its own footprint in 7 seconds, including 2.2 seconds of free fall, which NIST denied, denied and denied again, then admitted, but also claimed that free fall was possible when there is resistance.A truly unique event. Laws of physics be damned.
Guess who had offices in WTC 7.
CIA
NSA
IRS
U.S (not so)Secret Service
Department of Defense
U.S Security & Exchange Commission
NYC Office of Emergency Management
It was basically a federal building(even had a gold vault) and for two months before that day, lots of areas were closed off to strengthen the building from attack, as it was apparently going to be the base of coordination for the NYC OEM.
There are two floors that they won’t tell us who was there and I’ve always wondered if NIST had offices there, which would be hilarious as they completely missed WTC 7 in their initial report. The gold vault was emptied, the day before it fell for no reason.
Here’s the tenants of the floors that supposedly had office fires that could melt steel instantly.
13 Salomon Smith Barney, Provident Bank, American Express, Securities & Exchange Commission, Standard Chartered Bank
11 U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
9 United States Secret Service
8 American Express
7 American Express, Provident Bank, United States Secret Service
Hulsey and his team did a 4 year study on it and I agree with their conclusion.
“The principal conclusion of our study is that fire did not cause the collapse of WTC 7 on 9/11, contrary to the conclusions of NIST and private engineering firms that studied the collapse. The secondary conclusion of our study is that the collapse of WTC 7 was a global failure involving the near-simultaneous failure of every column in the building.’
https://ine.uaf.edu/wtc7
It was also fortuitous that the man in charge of the port authority was the same man later in charge of transport for London in 2005 when all those bombs went off. He can definitely see the future, as the the temporary morgue was set up on the 6th July and the bombs went off on the 7th.
My brother worked for https://www.som.com/ He designed skyscrapers.
He begs to differ with you… there is no way you can melt down a building and collapse it…
Those buildings were not dropped by fire – they were dropped with explosives
As with the fake moon landings… we have evidence
https://t.me/downtherabbitholewegofolks/79526 https://t.me/downtherabbitholewegofolks/80118 https://www.bitchute.com/video/H2RcrIF7onQP/
Honestly, I could not give two sh…s what anyone thinks anymore. Perhaps you should review the results of documented professional demolitions of high rise structures and the resultant debris piles.
Those “mostly hollow structures” leave piles that are literally many stories tall. Such was not the case at the world trade centers. Debris was at level of the one story visitor center which remarkably remained standing lol.
Wake up, remain asleep…..I don’t care any longer.
Good points Cro. Building 7 had around 60,000 tons of steel in it alone, but that all disappeared.
Read the below yesterday and you came to mind(someone needs to tell the author that the London Olympics were in the summer).
https://annavonreitz.com/deadbabyscam3.pdf
The steel melted… top to bottom… incinerated it… hahaha…. in spite of the sprinkler systems… in spite of the fact that the jet fuel (which I doubt could melt steel) burned off fairly quickly and at the top of the building…
What a f789ing joke…but like the UKE war… it is accepted as dead serious
The steel was immediately sent to China.
The absurdity of the buildings’ collapse is only one of the questionable aspects.
9/11 Conspiracy Theory Explained in 5 Minutes!!
“The fire in Maui, as well as quite a few other recent fires, seem to be microwave based, rather than being forest fires.”
I’m not sure what that means. Does it imply other than natural causes, or some lack of apppreciation of how fires burn and affect different materials? Proposals from an arborist? Isn’t that a plant biologist specializing in trees? What does he know about the physics of fires?
Try taking off your PHD glasses and just using your eyes. Often it is the only way to see clearly.
Thanks! I still haven’t seen more than the first few minutes, but the photo at min 4 undoubtedly proves a crime. There are identical ones relating to Hawaii. So we just need to connect the dots.
It is obvious that the weaponization of fire has made great progress since Vietnam. And that this weapon, among others, is at the service of the climahysterical agenda only the most hardened denialists can fail to see.
The burned cars in Maui look just like the burned cars around the World Trade Center.
Yes, the Maui fire is in service of the global warming totalitarian state. One does not use one’s super weapon just to steal a few acres of land.
There was some research on cypress trees a few years back. https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-34116491
Prominent Scientist Admits To Pushing “Preapproved” Climate Change Narrative To Get Papers Published
Patrick T. Brown – “I knew not to try to quantify key aspects other than climate change in my research because it would dilute the story that prestigious journals like Nature and its rival, Science, want to tell.”
He continued, “editors of these journals have made it abundantly clear, both by what they publish and what they reject, that they want climate papers that support certain preapproved narratives—even when those narratives come at the expense of broader knowledge for society.”
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/prominent-scientist-admits-pushing-preapproved-climate-change-narrative-get-papers
I have run into something very similar. If a person wants to get an academic paper through peer review, they will tend to slant the paper in such a way as to make it go with the standard narrative. They won’t emphasize any point that will go counter to the current “group think.”
And THAT is a HUGE problem wouldn’t you say!
How much of what we accept as peer reviewed “science” and numerical data is skewed in this way?
The answer is: Anything that has great economical or political value.
IOW the academy is corrupt to the core. In fact, iIn many fields there’s no real difference between so-called science and PR/propaganda.
The Undesigned Universe – Peter Ward
“ . . . it is these ocean state changes that are
1:02:28 correlated with the great disasters of the past impact can cause extinction but
1:02:35 it did so in our past only wants[once] that we can tell whereas this has happened over
1:02:40 and over and over again we have fifteen evidences times of mass extinction in the past 500 million years
1:02:48 so the implications for the implications the implications of the carbon dioxide is really dangerous if you heat your
1:02:55 planet sufficiently to cause your Arctic to melt if you cause the temperature
1:03:01 gradient between your tropics and your Arctic to be reduced you risk going back
1:03:07 to a state that produces these hydrogen sulfide pulses . . . “
Ward understands deep time…..and does not understand human civilizational cataclysms of shallow time…..
We are full dark age within 20 years now…..virtually all fossil fuel derived CO2 emissions will cease.
Civilized humanity will cease.
In the previous Dark Age Monasteries stored and maintained values that were deeply civilized. Something like that could happen again.
“A rise of more than 5°C could happen within a decade, possibly by 2026. Humans will likely go extinct with a 3°C rise and most life on Earth will disappear with a 5°C rise. In the light of this, we should act with integrity. “?
https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2019/06/when-will-we-die.html
This article is from 2019. It quotes a 2018 study by Stone and Bradshaw. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-018-35068-1
Co-extinctions annihilate planetary life during extreme environmental change
The abstract says:
Presumably, some model using their assumptions suggested that somehow, all life could disappear by 2026. I wouldn’t hold my breath.
I blew all my savings when Greta the Troll said it was game over within 5 years in 2018… and it’s now 5 years…
This does get tiring
‘It’s’ a ‘race’?
Between an increase in CO2 leading to a ‘mass extinction’
and a collapse in ‘civilisation’ brought about by the lack of fossil fuels which will lead to the collapse of CO2 production?
No ‘BAU’?
‘Most’ ‘economic thinking’ is ‘short run’ and ‘redundant’? ‘It’ ignores the ‘supply side’? ‘Growth’ {and ‘civilisation’} depends upon ‘cheap’ F.F. – those so called ‘halcyon days’ are ‘over’. ?
“The crisis now unfolding, however, is entirely different to the 1970s in one crucial respect… The 1970s crisis was largely artificial. When all is said and done, the oil shock was nothing more than the emerging OPEC cartel asserting its newfound leverage following the peak of continental US oil production. There was no shortage of oil any more than the three-day-week had been caused by coal shortages. What they did, perhaps, give us a glimpse of was what might happen in the event that our economies depleted our fossil fuel reserves before we had found a more versatile and energy-dense alternative. . . .
That system has been on the life-support of quantitative easing and near zero interest rates ever since. Indeed, so perilous a state has the system been in since 2008, it was essential that the people who claim to be our leaders avoid doing anything so foolish as to lockdown the economy or launch an undeclared economic war on one of the world’s biggest commodity exporters . . . And this is why the crisis we are beginning to experience will make the 1970s look like a golden age of peace and tranquility. . . .
The sad reality though, is that our leaders – at least within the western empire – have bought into a vision of the future which cannot work without some new and yet-to-be-discovered high-density energy source (which rules out all of the so-called green technologies whose main purpose is to concentrate relatively weak and diffuse energy sources). . . .
Even as we struggle to reimagine the 1970s in an attempt to understand the current situation, the only people on Earth today who can even begin to imagine the economic and social horrors that await western populations are the survivors of the 1980s famine in Ethiopia, the hyperinflation in 1990s Zimbabwe, or, ironically, the Russians who survived the collapse of the Soviet Union.” ?
https://consciousnessofsheep.co.uk/2022/07/01/bigger-than-you-can-imagine/
https://www.facebook.com/cosheep
If this was the case… then you’d think they’d immediately ban private jets.
After all – we are facing extinction … so surely they would start with that.
Nope.
And the ski lifts continue to operate… and the ice rinks… the the roller coasters.
Oh but they are pushing EVs… cuz like that is the magic bullet hahaha
It’s very simple. ‘They’ believe in B.A.U.!
drb…. I thought it would reset????
A recent study published in The Lancet looked at “Population immunity of natural infection, primary-series vaccination, and booster vaccination in Qatar during the COVID-19 pandemic”
The study was conducted on the population of Qatar between 1 July 2020 and 30 November 2022 and looked at national databases for testing, vaccination, hospitalisation and death. This included a total of 899,441 cases and 10,709,791 controls for previous infections, 796,255 cases and 9,126,914 controls for primary vaccination and 568,661 cases and 5,342,301 controls for boosters.
Both natural and vaccine immunity waned over time but waning was particularly rapid for vaccine population immunity.
What was most concerning was that booster vaccine effectiveness went into negative values, suggesting immune imprinting. This has been seen in different data sets over and over again with vaccinated individuals MORE likely to catch Covid due to their vaccines.
As you can see in the chart above, booster effectiveness was virtually non-existent by February 2022 and into negative territory by April 2022.
It has stayed negative ever since then.
https://nakedemperor.substack.com/p/lancet-study-shows-boosters-increase
And, as expected,
Doesn’t anyone think. We would be giving boosters to people every two months.
It’s a medical Ponzi. They need to keep giving boosters (new investors) to overcome any herd immuity (collapse of the Ponzi through redemptions), AND, the more boosters they give, the greater the damage to the natural immune system for which the only “remedy” is to keep giving more boosters (sucker in more injectees) and keep feeding the Ponzi.
At some point, every Ponzi fails. But perhaps the pharmaceutical company can make money off all of these vaccine sales.
In this clever video by PJW he points out that the vaccine stocks were way down from their all time highs and the new fear mongering was needed for Pfizer, Moderna et al to raise their stock prices. I’m amazed his YT channel has not been shutdown.
It’s a booster shot gang bang!!!
Featuring norm and keith
Hahaha… a MORE-ON / Vax Zombie does not think… it craves MORE… it does whatever cnnbbc tell it to do…
Recall keith said ‘I’ll take ever booster I am offered’
keith – have you changed your mind?
norm – what about the NOF?
Mike (Mike with M) changed his mind. Well done Mike.
That, indeed, was Rochelle’s prescription: six injections per year.
Accelerating Inflation without Economic Growth
The problem the BoC faces is re-accelerating inflation in a slowing economy, with GDP dipping 0.2% annualized rate in Q2, while CPI inflation accelerated from 2.8% in June to 3.3% in July. And the BoC expects CPI to further accelerate going forward.
https://wolfstreet.com/2023/09/06/amid-accelerating-inflation-in-a-slowing-economy-bank-of-canada-holds-rate-at-5-0-with-bias-to-tighten-further-qt-continues/
Despite the horrible results, the article says:
“BoC said today that this QT will continue.” That is even in the heading of the article.
Andy Xie, respected independent economist, consults from Shanghai and does a monthly opinion piece for the SCMP. He sees the interest rate policies as being futile to break inflation in a world awash with massive govt deficit spending and has a dig at lack of productivity gain among Anglo-Saxon societies where “Gen Z workers appear to have much higher expectations for work-life balance, while productivity is of secondary importance.”
Personally, I’d agree with the GenZeder on this one. Let’s face it, the neo-serf would have to be a moreon to find fulfillment through increasing productivity in this world if Xie is correct in his view that
“The inflationary world will reach a climax when the dollar collapses. It is the only logical end. Ironically, every war supports the dollar, prolonging MMT 2.0. When the transition from a unipolar to a multipolar world is complete, the risk premium in the dollar will vanish. That is likely to be the dollar’s day of reckoning.”
scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3233321/when-it-comes-prices-what-happens-china-stays-china
Hopefully that won’t happen … cuz we have already been exterminated
This https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/51075 could be fake … or if it isn’t.. it’s being done for a reason
She morphed into a man https://t.me/downtherabbitholewegofolks/85371
More rate hikes?
Prices paid by services organizations for materials and services increased in August for the 75th consecutive month. The Prices Index registered 58.9 percent, 2.1 percentage points higher than the 56.8 percent recorded in July, indicating a faster rate of increases and a movement from equilibrium. The August reading is the 14th in a row near or below 70 percent (with six straight months below 60 percent), following 10 straight months of readings near or above 80 percent.
https://mishtalk.com/economics/ism-services-expand-for-the-39th-month-prices-increase-75-straight-months/
The demand for services keeps rising (leading to rising prices), while the demand for manufacturing in this country seems to be falling. The increase in interest rates only makes sense for the services side of the economy.
Given that crisis acting is a thing … I’d like to have the firefighter’s name so I can look into if he is real. https://rokfin.com/post/146842
His role could be to fuel the fire of conspiracy
This firefighter thinks that a whole number of these wild fires were caused by some sort of attack. Some other country has weapons that can cause fires to burn very hot (2000 to 3000 degrees) and not burn down trees.
Thanks! Of course he’s legit, and a very brave man i would say.
If I were Hawaiian I would be shouting “Remember Cook, you motherf5678rs! Independence or death!”
“All the materials that didn’t burn should have, & all the materials that did burn shouldn’t have”: An arborist and firefighter(s) on what hit Maui: “That ain’t a wildfire”
These experts walk us through the evidence that what went down in Lahaina was unnatural—and so were the prior catastrophes in Malibu, Santa Rosa, Paradise, Boulder and Denver
https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/all-the-materials-that-didnt-burn
Perhaps they are burning to contribute to Mass D… notice how there are no longer any clips of mentally ill Tranny Freaks flashing their sacks in primary schools?
Has the PR Team moved on to new Mass D? It will be difficult to outdo that…
This is a sub stack entry, talking about this video https://rokfin.com/post/146842
linked in the post above (after) this one.
The Depletion of ACE2 and Sudden Cardiac Death: Lessons from SARS
We may need to radically rethink the Spike Protein: Cancer spreads taking over metabolism – the Spike spreads depleting ACE2.
SARS‐coronavirus modulation of myocardial ACE2 expression and inflammation in patients with SARS
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7163766/
What does this mean? It offers a solid and indisputable explanation for the plethora of sudden cardiac deaths we are now observing. Please bear in mind that we need to look at multiple mechanisms for sudden cardiac death. Clearly, the direct induction of myocarditis is a major factor as well as sudden death due to neurological issues. However, I believe the evidence shows that ACE2 depletion may be the eminence grise behind the vast majority of the observed sudden cardiac deaths.
https://wmcresearch.substack.com/p/the-depletion-of-ace2-and-sudden
Hmm, France’s electricity rates may be going up, up, up, you think?
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/france-negotiating-junta-withdrawal-its-troops-niger
Seems France was paying 80 cents/kilo when going price is 200 euros/kilo. Surely that must be a typo, n’est pas?
Kul’s ideas at work, things change and the oppressor gets the das boot(figure of speech, can’t help myself). It would appear that in Niger the new boss is not the same as the old boss and there will be more for the people.
As these deals unravel, one might wonder with what the West will purchase essentials. Anybody have cup of U-235?
Dennis L.
Thanks for pointing this out. I don’t think that there is enough uranium in the world now, either.
Doomberg is ‘optimistic’ re nuclear?
“ 51:13 certainly, with very reasonable amounts of money invested, in a very short period of time, with the right political support, abate far more than the sort of peak oil cliff that would be presented
51:29 using nuclear, . . .
It
53:11 takes a shockingly small amount of uranium to power these reactors, “?
Saudi and Russia are tight now on oil production cuts. They are hardly going to let USA dictate price caps. That is not how it works and producers have their own interests. The cap stunt has just tightened producers.
Meanwhile China is doing its own chips. The USA sanctions stunt has just accelerated the self-sufficiency of China, which just reduced USA influence even further. The USA is consistently overplaying its hand and weakening itself as a result?
It is the same story with the financial sanctions on Russia, it just means that countries will find alternatives and minimise their exposure to the dollar and its weaponisation. At some point, USA is going to have to take stock of reality.
The whole UKR stunt is just more of the same nonsense from the Biden camp? Everyone knows how that is going to work out and the Biden camp will not be able to lie its way out of what it has done. Reps are speaking out now.
Paul Joseph Watson at his most cynical best. 😂
Surely Not 😜
This video is good.
Also I don’t think he can dump the SPR anymore and fracking is not keeping up. High gas prices in the US. Will break the camels back. I don’t think Saudi Arabia knows what they are doing. World War seems inevitable
War has always been a good way of covering up problems at home.
If nothing else, the high prices can be covered up by the war. Or people can be kept home to help the war effort.
https://www.oftwominds.com/blogsept23/neofeudal-bubble9-23.html
We’re Living in a Neofeudal Bubble
Excerpt: “If you want to understand the neofeudal reality, study these charts.
If you listen to conventional economists, everything’s rosy: thanks to the expansion of alt-energy like wind and solar, energy is getting cheaper, batteries will power the new global economy, we’re getting smarter — just look at the rising number of advanced college degrees, wages are finally growing, inflation is trending down, household balance sheets and corporate profits are strong, debt loads are not an issue yet and GDP is rising.
All this happy news is backed by statistics, of course, but there’s one little problem: all the conventional cheerleaders are living in a bubble of like-minded elites who are insulated from the neofeudal realities of life in the real world.”
Mish has a good article up:
Biden’s Green Energy Inflation Reduction Act Needs a Big Bailout Already
Mish adds:
The result is inflation and problems with obtaining the imports we need.
The entire green economy needs massive government subsidies to exist. Elon Musk should know how that works.
Look on the bright side, decommissioned solar panels can be used to make a great dance floor.
Still BAU party time, yeah baby!
Where has “green energy” worked, anywhere? What power grid gets even nearly half its energy from such as wind/solar?
Powering the world without fossil fuels seems to violate the laws of physics — could even hydro or nuclear, or power grids themselves, exist from “green” power?