|
Getting your Trinity Audio player ready...
|
For many years, there has been a theory that imports of oil would become a problem before there was an overall shortage of fossil fuels. In fact, when I look at the data, it seems to be clear that oil imports are already constrained.
As I look at the data, it appears to me that coal and natural gas imports are becoming constrained, as well. There was evidence of this constrained supply in the spiking prices for these fuels in Europe in late 2021 and early 2022, starting well before the Ukraine conflict began.
Oil, coal, and natural gas are different enough from each other that we should expect somewhat different patterns. Oil is inexpensive to transport. It is especially important for the production of food and for transportation. Prices tend to be worldwide prices.
Coal and natural gas are both more expensive to transport than oil. They tend to be used in industry, in the heating and cooling of buildings, and in electricity production. Their prices tend to be local prices, rather than the worldwide price we expect for oil. Prices for importers of these fuels can jump very high if there are shortages.
In this post, I first look at the trends in the overall supply of these fuels, since a big part of the import problem is fossil fuel supply not growing quickly enough to keep pace with world population growth. I also give more background how the three fossil fuels differ.
After this introductory material, I provide charts and some analysis of fossil fuel imports and exports by region, based on data from the 2023 Statistical Review of World Energy. Theoretically, the total of regional imports should be very close to the total of regional exports. This analysis gives a little more insight into what is going wrong and where.
[1] On a worldwide basis, total supplies of both oil and coal seem to be constrained.
Figure 2 shows that world supplies of all three fossil fuels follow the same general pattern: They tend to rise in close to parallel lines, with oil supply on top, coal next, and natural gas providing the least supply.
The total supply of fossil fuels needs to be shared by the world’s population. It therefore makes sense to look at supply on a per capita basis.
On Figure 3, the top line, oil supply per capita, is almost perfectly level, suggesting that having a greater supply of oil enables having a larger world population. This relationship makes sense because oil is used to a significant extent in growing today’s food, and shipping it to market. Oil products also make herbicides, insecticides, and drugs for animals that enable the growing supply of food needed to feed today’s population. Oil products are also helpful in road making, and in providing lubrication for machinery of all kinds.
We might conclude that oil supply is essential to the growth of human population. It is only by way of a huge change in the economy, such as the one that took place in 2020, that there is a big dip in oil usage. Even now, some of the changes are “sticking.” Some people are continuing to work from home. Business travel is still low. People are still not buying fancy clothing as much as before 2020. All these things help reduce fossil fuel usage, particularly oil usage.
Figure 3 also shows that on a per capita basis, coal supply has fallen by 9% since its peak in 2011. This fact, plus the fact that coal prices have been spiking around the world in recent years, leads me to believe that coal supply is already constrained, even apart from the export issue.
[2] The share of oil traded interregionally is more than double the share of coal or natural gas traded interregionally.
The reason why oil is disproportionately high in Figure 1 compared to Figure 2 is because a little over 40% of oil is shipped between regions. In comparison, only about 18% of coal production is traded with other regions, and about 17% of natural gas production is shipped interregionally. Oil is much easier (and cheaper) to transport between regions than either coal or natural gas. Shipping costs tend to escalate rapidly, the farther either natural gas or coal is shipped.
Natural gas has a second problem over and above the high cost of shipping: It requires storage (which may be high cost) if it is not used immediately. Storage is needed for both natural gas and coal because both fuels are often used for heat in winter, either by direct burning or by creating electricity that can be used to heat buildings. Storage for coal is close to free because it can be stored in piles outside.
Besides heat in winter, coal is also used to provide electricity for air conditioning in summer, so its demand curve has peaks in both summer and winter. Natural gas is much more of a winter-heat fuel in the US, so it has a large peak corresponding to winter usage (Figure 4).
Storage for natural gas needs to be available in every area where users expect to use it for winter heat. The cost of this storage will be low if there are depleted natural gas caverns that can be used for storage. It is likely to be high if above ground storage is required. Natural gas importing areas often do not have suitable caverns for storage. The easy approach is to try to get by with a bare minimum of storage, and hope that imports can somehow make up the difference.
The big question for any fuel is, “Can consumers afford to pay a high enough price to cover all the costs involved in getting the fuel from endpoint to endpoint, at the time it is needed?“
Citizens become very unhappy if the cost of winter heat becomes extremely expensive. They demand subsidies and rebates from the government, in order to keep costs down. This is a sign that prices are too high for the consumer.
Both coal and natural gas are also heavily used in manufacturing. Their prices vary greatly from location to location and from time to time. If coal or natural gas prices rise in a particular location, the cost of manufactured goods from that location will also tend to rise. These higher prices will particularly hurt a manufacturing country, such as Germany, because its manufactured goods will become less competitive in the world marketplace. GDP growth will be reduced, and the profitably of manufacturers will tend to fall.
Because of these issues, long-distance trade in both coal and natural gas tend to hit barriers that may be difficult to see simply by looking at the trend in world production.
[3] Natural gas exports may already be becoming constrained, even though the total amount extracted still seems to be rising.
A huge amount of investment is needed to make long-distance sale of natural gas possible. Such investment includes:
- The cost of developing a natural gas field for export use, usually over many years.
- Pipelines covering every inch traveled by the natural gas, other than any portion of the trip for which transfer as liquefied natural gas (LNG) is planned.
- Special ships to transport the LNG.
- Facilities to chill natural gas, so it can be shipped overseas as LNG.
- Regasification plants, to make the natural gas ready to ship by pipeline after it has been transferred as LNG.
- Storage facilities, so that sufficient natural gas is available for winter.
Not all of these investments are made by the same organizations. They all need to provide an adequate return. Even if “only” very long-distance pipelines are used, the cost can be high.
Pipelines work best when there is no conflict among countries. They can be blown up by another country that seeks to raise natural gas prices, or that wants to retaliate for some perceived misdeed. For this reason, most growth in natural gas exports/imports in recent years has been as LNG.
Organizations investing in high-cost infrastructure for extracting and shipping natural gas would like long-term contracts at high prices in order to cover their costs. Without a stable long-term supply contract, natural gas purchase prices can be extremely variable. Japan has tended to buy LNG under such long-term contracts, but many other countries have taken a wait-and-see attitude toward prices, hoping that “spot” prices will be lower. They don’t want to lock themselves into a long-term high-priced contract.
There are two different things that tend to go wrong:
- Spot prices bounce up above even what the long-term contract price would have been, creating a huge high-price problem for consumers.
- Spot prices, on average, turn out to be too low for natural gas exporters. As a result, they cut back on investment, so that the amount of future exports can be expected to fall.
I believe that there is a significant chance that natural gas exports are now reaching a situation where prices cannot please all users simultaneously. Not all investors can get an adequate return on the huge investments that they have made in advance. Some investments that should have been made will be omitted. For example, there might be enough natural gas storage for a warm winter, but not for a very cold winter in Europe.
A prime characteristic of a fossil fuel (or any resource) that is not economic to extract is that the industry has difficulty paying its workers an adequate wage. Recently, there has been news about a union strike against Chevron at an Australian natural gas extraction site used to provide gas for liquefied natural gas (LNG) export. This suggests that natural gas may already be hitting long-distance export limits. Prices can’t stay high enough for producers to pay their workers an adequate wage.
[4] Oil imports by area suggest that the rapidly growing manufacturing parts of the world are squeezing out the imports desired by high-wage, service-oriented countries.
Because oil is so important in international trade, I looked at the amounts two ways. The first is based on trade flows, as reported by the Energy Institute:
The second is based upon a comparison of reported production and consumption for the same year, using the assumption that if consumption is higher than production, the difference must be attributable to imported oil. The problem with this later approach is that it can easily be distorted by changes in inventory levels. There may also be difficulties with my approach of netting out flows in two different directions, especially if the flows are partly of crude oil and partly of “oil products” of various types.
In both charts, imports for China, India, and Other Asia Pacific are clearly much higher in recent years, while imports for the US, Japan, and Europe are down. The peak year for imports (in total) was about 2016 or 2017. Imports were about 3.5 million barrels a day lower in 2022, compared to peak, with both approaches.
[5] Oil imports by area indicate that nearly all oil exporters around the globe are having difficulty maintaining export levels.
Here, again I show two indications, using the same methods as for oil imports. Since trade is two sided, I would expect total import indications to more or less equal the total of all amounts exported.
On Figure 7, peak oil exports (in total) occur in 2016, with the runner up year being 2017. US oil exports are shown to be nearly zero, even in recent years, because US imports and US oil exports more or less cancel out.
The indications of Figure 8 show that apart from Canada, the amount of oil exported for all the other export groupings shown is lower in recent years than it was a few years ago. This is also evident in Figure 7, but not as clearly.
To some extent, the lower production in recent years is related to the cutbacks announced by OPEC+ (including what I call Russia+). While these cutbacks are “voluntary,” they reflect the fact that based on current oil prices, and based on investments made in recent years, these countries have made the decision to cut back production. No oil exporter would dare mention that it is running short of oil that can be extracted without considerably more investment.
On Figures 7 and 8, “Mexico+South” refers to all the oil being produced from Mexico southward. Besides Mexico, this includes Brazil, Venezuela, Argentina, Columbia, Ecuador, and a number of other small producers. Most of them are experiencing falling production. Brazil is doing a bit better, but it does not seem to be experiencing much growth in exports.
Africa’s peak year for oil exports seems to have been in 2007 (both approaches), with recent exports at a much lower level.
With respect to Russia+, its exports seem to be down from their peak in 2017 or 2018, but not any more than for oil producers from the Middle East. The European Union oil embargo doesn’t seem to have had much of an impact.
The star performer seems to be Canada, with its rising production and exports from the Canadian Oil Sands.
In this analysis, I have “netted out” imports and exports. On this basis, the US hasn’t moved into significant oil exporter status yet. I am sure that there are some people hoping that the oil production of the US will continue to increase, but whether this will happen is unclear. The growth of US oil production in recent years has helped offset (and thus hide from view) the falling exports of many countries around the world.
[6] Coal exports appear to have peaked about 2016. Europe has reduced its imports of coal, leaving more for other importers.
The peak in coal imports seems to have occurred about 2016. In particular, Europe’s imports of coal have fallen significantly since 2006. At the same time, coal imports have risen for many Asian countries, including China, India, South Korea, and Other Asia Pacific. Even Japan seems to have been able to obtain a fairly consistent level of coal imports for the 22-year period shown on Figure 9.
One thing that is striking about coal exports is that they are disproportionately from countries in the Far East. Even the coal exports of the US and Canada are from North America’s West Coast, across the Pacific. Russia’s coal exports tend to be from Siberia.
The coal exports of South Africa have declined significantly since 2018, and other African countries are eager for their imports. Today’s largest source of coal exports is Indonesia. Coal exports from Russia+, at least until 2021, have been been a source of coal export growth.
A major share of the delivered price of coal is transportation cost, which tends to be fueled by oil, particularly diesel. Overland transit is particularly expensive. The real reason for Europe’s decline in coal imports since 2006 (shown in Figure 9) may be that there are practically no affordable coal exports available to it because it is too geographically remote from major exporters. Of course, this is not a story politicians care to tell voters. They prefer to spin the story as Europe’s choice, to prevent climate change.
[7] Natural gas imports and exports have only recently started to become constrained.
Figure 11 shows that natural gas exports from Russia+ (really Russia, with a little extra production from other countries in the Commonwealth of Independent States) have stayed fairly level, except for a big drop-off in 2009 (probably recession related) and in 2022.
The overall level of natural gas exports has been rising because of contributions from several parts of the world. Africa was an early producer of natural gas exports, but its exports have been dropping off somewhat recently as local gas consumption rises.
More importantly, exports have increased in recent years from the Middle East, Australia, and North America. With this growing supply of exports, it has been possible for importers to increase their imports.
Europe was able to maintain a fairly stable level of natural gas imports between 1990 and 2018, and even to increase them by 2021. China was able to ramp up its natural gas imports. Even Japan was able to ramp up its natural gas imports until about 2014. It has tapered them back since then. India and Other Asia Pacific both have been able to add a small layer of imports, too.
[8] What lies ahead?
The countries that have the greatest advantage in using fossil fuel imports are the countries that don’t heat or cool their homes, and that don’t have large numbers of private citizens with private passenger automobiles. Because of their sparing use of fossil fuel imports, their economies can afford to pay higher prices to import these fossil fuel imports than other countries. Thus, they are likely to be winners in the competition for fossil fuel imports.
Europe stands out to be an early loser of imports. It is already losing oil and coal imports, and it also seems to be an early loser of natural gas imports. However, for all its talk about preventing climate change, the reduction in European imports of fossil fuels hasn’t made much of a dent in global carbon dioxide emissions (Figure 13).
I am afraid that no country will really come out ahead. In some sense, the United States is better off than many countries because it is producing slightly more fossil fuels than it consumes. But it still depends on China and other countries for many imported goods, including computers. Given this situation, the United States likely cannot continue business as usual for very long, either.
Zerohedge reports:
Prolonged US manufacturing slowdown barely dents energy use
(La Verita’)
“Mystery in the UK. There are too many deaths among young people vaccinated with four doses of the covid-19 vaccine.
[…] between the ages of 18 and 39 there are more deaths than compared to unvaccinated people.”
https://www.laverita.info/mistero-in-gran-bretagna-troppe-morti-tra-i-giovani-vaccinati-con-quattro-dosi-2664946875.html
https://www.laverita.info/oggi-in-edicola-2664951964.html
The way that I read this chart, it is looking at non-Covid deaths, comparing the unvaccinated with those in the 18 to 39 age group who have had four vaccine doses. There are far more unvaccinated than with 4 or more doses. The number with 4 or more doses starts out very low, and then builds over time.
The one kind of distortion I can see that is possible in this kind of analysis is the fact that people in the 18 to 39 year age range don’t normally spend much time in doctors’ offices (with the possible exception of women having babies). The people spending a lot of time in a doctor’s office are the ones likely to be urged to get vaccinated, and more vaccinated. These people may have been the sickliest people in this age group to begin with.
I think there is a need to calculate ratios between the deaths in the bottom two lines and the corresponding number of days of people with this vaccine status in the top two lines. This would make the situation even more clear. Perhaps this is done later in the article; I didn’t register.
Yes, I see.
In case I will find the complete article I will share here.
It is anyway interesting to see that even if the number of vaccinated with 4 doses is smaller, the number of non-covid deaths in this group is higher, like if they suffered of something unclear impacting their health.
Anyway it is true that is missing
1) the number of violent deaths
2) the number of deaths for drugs
3) the number of covid deaths
of the two groups.
Because, we could have paradoxically and unexpectedly a higher number of covid deaths in unvaccinated, explaining that they all die for that reason (covid) and that is the reason why they don’t die for any non-covid death.
To explain better, they all die for covid so that the remaining small number die for other reasons, but – actually – in a small number.
That is probably an understood point, because of course it is not like that.
Maybe in the total article is written better.
But it is true that in order to have more power it should be clearer.
They put it too simply.
Or maybe it is right. I always have to look for possible hidden reasons for what is happening.
That’s why your analysis are always reliable 🙂
Update on the UK crumbling concrete (aka RAAC aka ‘aircrete’ ) in public buildings scandal. A structural engineer speaks:
RAAC was never properly assessed for load bearing.
The material never resembled ordinary concrete in the slightest;
RAAC was not designed by structural engineers but bought out of a manufacturers catalogue;
The ‘concrete’ wasn’t marketed as a short-life material, should never have been used for the purpose it ended up being used for and was inherently mis-sold.
The manufacturers have long since gone bust or disappeared and those responsible for signing off the projects seem to be missing.
There are no proper records of exactly which public (and private) buildings are involved and thus the true extent of the scandal.
(gCaptain – Bloomberg)
“Orsted Ready to Abandon U.S. Wind Projects Amid Challenges. […]
The Danish firm has had a turbulent few months, with supply-chain glitches and soaring interest rates weighing on US plans. It’s a tough time for offshore wind globally, with costs for steel and other materials spiraling higher just as countries around the world push to add more turbines. Large projects by the likes of Vattenfall AB and Iberdrola SA have already been scrapped this year.”
https://gcaptain.com/orsted-ready-to-abandon-u-s-wind-projects-amid-challenges/
Perhaps if enough companies quit, the point will be made that this technique really isn’t working. Offshore wind has been known for being high-cost for a very long time.
USA does not have the power in the world that it still fancies? That balloon has popped?
Biden has no power over what Russia and Saudi Arabia do. If they need higher oil prices, they will cut production.
The Biden camp is being called out daily in its own backyard now.
Ramaswamy sounds like he explains the situation as it really is. We also have RFK Jr. and Trump doing this to some extent.
News media likes to ignore all of these statements, to the extent possible.
EV! EV! EV!
Anne-Marie Angelo reserved an intermediate car from Budget Rent A Car for a one-way drive from Virginia Beach, Va., to Dulles International Airport with her 79-year-old mother in January. The rental agency didn’t have her car or much else, so it assigned her a “specialty” Kia.
The Kia Niro she got is an EV, which no one at the counter mentioned, the history professor says. Despite getting charged overnight, the battery drained quickly. With at least 70 miles to go on the drive, the range flashed 30 miles. She had to hunt for a charging station so it didn’t die on I-95 in cold weather.
The first location, a gas station listed in a crowdsourced app, didn’t have one. Budget roadside assistance said they couldn’t help because they don’t have mobile charging units, she says. By the time she found one at a car dealership, she had to move their late flight to London and pay for a hotel.
“Normally I can get from home to Dulles on one tank of gas,” she says. “I don’t plan for random stops in weird places.”
Budget refunded her rental and gave her two free rental days for future use, but didn’t reimburse for expenses. A Budget spokesperson says the agency “takes every customer experience seriously and has addressed the issue raised with our employees and the location involved.”
https://archive.ph/QMI0F
Id.iots, yeah EV’s will save the world. Looking forward to Cali’s electric grid failing. At least with the power off they won’t care about all the homeless people walking the streets in LA and San Francisco.
Somehow, EVs will flop. The subsidies that they require will just be too high for governments to handle; car manufacturers will fail.
Perhaps the world will live with close to its current supply of automobiles. As they age, more and more of them will fail and need to be taken off the road. The world supply of autos will be similar to those in Cuba. Ancient cars, kept alive with a supply of spare parts and paint meant for a different purpose.
How Cuba has dealt with their old automobiles appeals to many. I’m not sure about their being replaced with new ones. The old ones are stunningly well maintained.
That may have been possible with cars built in the 1968s, 70s or 80s….with basic design of high tech features of computers, multiple sensors, speciality unrepairable CVT transmissions
That needs variety of fluids, not to mention frequent battery tire replacement…
For those lucky enough to still own an old cluncker it will be a fun full time hobby to keep it on the roads.
I’m old enough to remember points and condenser distributor
Manual transmissions (not many if any still being built today)
Manual fuel pumps, not electric…ect
This times 10000000000000000000000000000000 if UEP fails https://t.me/leaklive/15802
The scene could replay elsewhere, I would agree.
Throw some hunger into the mix… extreme hunger….
Keeping the Vaxxer MOREONS in a state of fear https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12484965/Maryland-elementary-school-brings-MASKS-kids-forces-graders-don-N-95s-spate-pupils-testing-positive-COVID-19.html
Fear doesn’t prevent death. It prevents life.”
– Naguib Mahfouz
That is a good quote!
Agree,
Dennis L.
So the optimistic Egyptians are now building a new capital in the middle of desert, without any plans to support its infrastructure.
The Egyptians, including Mahfouz, were perhaps too fearless? Which might be why they are always whipped by Israel whenever they go to war?
Unvaccinated make up 18.5% of the population but they account for only 3.3% of all deaths.
What is the inference of this data?
That the unvaccinated are faring the best by a country mile, in terms of deaths from all causes.
That mortality rates INCREASE from all causes, as the number of doses of covid vaccine increase.
The world should be talking about this…
https://thenobodywhoknowseverybody.substack.com/p/proof-of-a-mrna-disaster-a-buried?r=ue3ge&utm_medium=ios&utm_campaign=post
It does look worrying. But an 18+ age group is a pretty wide grouping. There could be far more elderly in one group than the other.
Another question I have is with respect to the accuracy of input data. Are there certain deaths where the unvaccinated status is unknown, and these are being dumped in with the others? The fact that the results seem to get worse by vaccination status suggest that this is not an issue, however.
https://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2023/09/06/has-the-western-medical-system-turned-murderous/
Excerpt: “Yesterday morning I had an opportunity to question a virologist and a doctor involved in clinical research. I asked them if there is any discussion among scientists of why viruses are being created and released. They told me that some are aware that Covid-19 and Omicron are lab creations, and that Omicron was a disappointment to its creators because it turned out to be akin to a weaker vaccine strain.
One said that a minority of scientists understand that the release of man-made viruses indicates an agenda at work, but that the majority of scientists toe the line of the official narrative, fearful of being cut off from research grants or fired for “spreading misinformation.” Once facts were replaced by untrue official narratives, scientists were left without a leg to stand on. Evidence is ignored, because it is a threat to the narrative. Thus the medical establishment pretends that Covid “vaccine” injuries are rare and that the large number of unprecedented sudden deaths of athletes, physical trainers, entertainers, corporate doctors and nurses who were coerced into vaccination by appeals to celebrities to show the way or threats to be fired are merely “a coincidence.”
I would say that most of the damage that we have witnessed was due to the WHO protocols followed religiously by all hospitals in 2020 including the use of Remdesivir (causes respiratory distress) and Midazolam to induce assisted eternal sleep AKA death.
Beyond that the jabs appear to be causing havoc and the medical establishment looks the other way while Covid 2.0 is rolled out for another round of madness and mayhem.
The idea that bioweapons, man-made nanoparticles etc have been “released” and spread throughout the entire population after self-replicating is I believe an unproven theory with zero evidence to back it up (patents don’t count) and the entire controlled opposition alt-media network jumped on this bandwagon simultaneously and have been parroting it ever since.
And people are still testing for sars cov 2 which is mindblowing in itself.
“The idea that bioweapons, man-made nanoparticles etc have been “released” and spread throughout the entire population after self-replicating is I believe an unproven theory with zero evidence to back it up (patents don’t count)”
We have two of the best of the best in Dr. Pierre Kory and Dr. Peter McCullough who say this is quite possible. There’s also Karen Kingston who is a former Pfizer employee who says the data says it’s all true.
Now we can debate whether that theory is factual or false. The problem becomes that we cannot debate that theory. It is NOT allowed. If you try and address on a platform such as Youtube your channel gets removed. If you try and go public with that information as some doctors have tried they get threatened with their livelihood.
There’s too much money to be made by Big Pharma. They dictate the official narrative. Case in point, I recently came down with a cold. I thought I had strep throat. I got tested for that and it was negative but I tested positive for CV19.
I was offered Pfizer’s Paxlovid which has some serious and potentially dangerous side effects. It was designed to be like Ivermectin.
I asked if I could get a prescription for Ivermectin, that was denied. Too much money at this point for all the pharmaceutical companies.
Why on Earth did you get tested for cold symptoms?
I have never taken any test of any kind for cold symptoms I had earlier in life. I haven’t had a cold for the past twenty years but even if I did it would never cross my mind to get tested for something that I know is completely bogus.
The sars genome is a computer generated construct. That’s all you need to know.
Everything else is people chasing their own tails.
Oh and the so-called docs you mentioned. They are horribly ignorant on this subject and making good money selling their “snake oil.” Just hucksters like the rest of em.
If it is about $$$ why would they design this to kill maim and destroy immune systems?
It has been designed to kill maim and destroy immune systems, and it’s about $$$ to the extent that $$$ motivates people at every level to get with the program and conduct the op.
$$$ and donuts—don’t forget the incentive potential of donuts.
Yes
It is a a very strange world. I am afraid it is related to, “Power tends to corrupt and absolute power corrupts absolutely.”
Or maybe the hand of God is behind this. Perhaps the whole scenario was needed to cut oil consumption, lower prices, and increase debt, so as to keep the world economy going. Perhaps the Maximum Power Principle is now centered on moving sustainability to be India-centered, instead of China-centered, for example.
Reading https://drmalcolmkendrick.org/books-by-dr-malcolm-kendrick/the-clot-thickens/
The same thing has been done with cholesterol… even though your body needs it to function … in fact higher cholesterol levels are associated with good vascular health hahaha… but those studies were silenced.
There is a discussion of auto immune diseases.. there are many … and nobody knows the causes.
And they seem to be a contemporary phenomenon.
I am beginning to wonder if if the machine has been purposely introducing diseases and/or treating diseases in a manner that ensures more deaths e.g. statins are a disaster yet they continue to be recommended.
Perhaps without these policies … the population would already be over 10 billion? Exponential increases are a bitch – the stadium would have filled years ago
OMG!!!! https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/50892
The city where explosions took place is very near Ukraine.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bryansk
It looks more like fireworks — no?
I know, we are going to suffer on earth and eat rocks.
Meanwhile:
https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/musk-crowned-space-king-spacex-launching-80-all-earth-payload-mass-orbit
His stuff works, if Starship works we are out of the gravity well. Why mine ores when the metals are in space? We are a gravity well, drop a rock from space and it heads toward the center of the earth. Fabricate the tractor to earth and parachute it to a farmer’s field, skip trucking, diesel shortage solved.
I don’t have an electric car, but he has mastered mass production of cars, only a few models and the frames are die cast aluminum with a battery in between. I know, they are impractical, but better than nothing.
TINA
Dennis L.
Perhaps there will be some miraculous solution, but I am afraid it won’t be within the lifetimes of most of us currently on earth.
Population seems to need to go through bottlenecks from time to time.
There are a lot of things none of use know, including how our current predicament will work out. The Maximum Power Principle suggests that this is not the end, certainly for life on earth. If there are in fact lots of fossil fuels available, some group somewhere will eventually figure out how to make use of them.
Surely Antarctica would be open season at some point.
https://www.iflscience.com/this-is-what-antarctica-looks-like-naked-beneath-all-the-ice-68321
According to the U.S. Geological Survey, potential resources in Antarctica include manganese nodules, water as ice, geothermal energy, coal, petroleum, and natural gas. The best discovery probability for a base-metal deposit in any part of Antarctica is estimated to be 0.075 in the Andean orogen. Although the existence of mineral deposits in Antarctica is highly probable, the chances of finding them are quite small. Minerals have been found there in great variety but only as occurrences.
https://www.usgs.gov/publications/mineral-resources-antarctica
Or maybe not.
Lots of wishful thinking in the USGS on other analyses. There needs to be a way of inexpensively getting these resources out and moving them to where people actually live.
Well… the first thing you would need is a big shipment of powerful hairdryers to melt the ice. Governments could run a “Save BAU” campaign and citizens everywhere would donate hairdryers, blowtorches, and radiators so we can get our hands on those pesky resources. Then all you need are the mining operations, the railways, the ports and the shipping, and the military escorts, and the penguin taxes, and Bob’s your uncle!
Count me an Eco freak on this one; we should leave well enough alone. Earth is biology, there are other solutions coming on line. Stop digging up our spaceship and stop cooking marshmallows over an open fire in the kitchen.
Dennis L.
Your God’s primary business is selling carbon rights to China. Your God is a necessary evil installed by the bankers to make some people who think they are smart to be reassured that everything is fine.
Of course my words will fall to deaf ears since what you believe is now a religion and there is no way to convince a true believer.
I don’t believe what you are saying, either.
Hope you put some good shielding on that tractor for its drop through the atmosphere Dennis.
This adds a whole new dimension to Amazon deliveries.
I can just see it now… like a neverending meteor storm day and night.
Tsu,
Yes, laughing quietly, it is a good story and adds a bit of levity. But, while it is how Apollo and others return to earth; it is not practical, I do not favor it, too much waste and earth does not need more junk. My story on junk is Jupiter is wonderful for that purpose especially if the junk is in space from manufacturing there.
What we have is starting to fail and will not work going forward.
From conception to landing Apollo was eight years. In between there was a cabin fire on earth and one battery failure in space. Tesla is not the only one with electrical issues. But six missions did land on the moon. The “Fourth Turning” thinks we have until about 2030 before a major change. It will be close, but winning by one point is sufficient.
Technology is vastly improved now. We can do it, we are doing it and it is happening before our eyes if we look. Driving a car in a rear view mirror going forward is a challenge.
Dennis L.
Unless one hydrogen bomb each falls in China’s each provincial capitals, two for Beijing, Hong Kong , Guangzhou and Shanghai, the 4th turning will be very horrible.
Monkey sounds
A high school football player in Pennsylvania needs “a miracle” after collapsing on the field in the middle of a game on Sept. 1, according to his family, who said in a health update on Sept. 3 that the 17-year-old has been in critical condition for more than 36 hours.
Brittany Thompson, a spectator who was there with her daughter, said the situation was reminiscent of Buffalo Bills safety Damar Hamlin’s collapse during the Jan. 2 game against the Cincinnati Bengals.
https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/pennsylvania-high-school-qb-needs-miracle-after-collapsing-mid-game-family-says
Lie: https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nba/bronny-james-diagnosed-with-congenital-heart-defect-family-says-he-will-play-again-in-the-very-near-future/ar-AA1fN0In
I strongly suspect Ed was placed on this Earth for the purpose of running us down a blind alley and away from UEP.
Notice how he NEVER provides any details of what this Great Reset involves… and the devil… is always in the detail
Magically they crash the system … then reset it… like turning on a light switch hahaha
And India is on the moon … along with Whitey
https://docmalik.substack.com/p/my-podcast-with-ed-dowd#media-c51ca939-46a1-47eb-9da4-819cb286e9ec
I have only listened to part of the Ed Dowd interview, so far.
About 5:00 or 6:00 minutes in, Ed says that when he was at Blackrock, decision-making was widely distributed. He was one of many portfolio managers who picked investments, and each had voting power.
Gradually, the style moved to one that did not use all of these managers. If I understood the video correctly, it focused more on ETFs and portfolios of ETFs. The power to make picks moved to a small number of people at the very top of the firm.
He then repeated the observation, “Power tends to corrupt and absolute power corrupts absolutely.” This observation was first made in 1887.
https://oll.libertyfund.org/quote/lord-acton-writes-to-bishop-creighton-that-the-same-moral-standards-should-be-applied-to-all-men-political-and-religious-leaders-included-especially-since-power-tends-to-corrupt-and-absolute-power-corrupts-absolutely-1887
I think this is a big problem today.
Hi Gail. I thought of you as I was reading this report. I know your focus in on energy not finance, but I thought you might find it interesting. https://actuaries.org.uk/media/qeydewmk/the-emperor-s-new-climate-scenarios_ifoa_23.pdf
cheers,
Jody
The mechanisms of two types of Antibody Dependent Enhancement from mRNA injections explained in simple terms
https://drkevinstillwagon.substack.com/p/the-mechanisms-of-two-types-of-antibody
Dennis L’s theory that space is limitless and we can throw everything to the space was debunked by Donald Kessler in 1979 or so.
https://youtu.be/LkeTk-Fi_c8?si=AQ8reTZml2UngVRV
There are space debris flying at 10 miles / SECOND, and it is all but impossible to collect them all. Dennis L’s philosophy of throwing space trash will just draw them closer to planets, and make them inaccessible.
Russia can throw the entire world back to 1960s by launching a S-500, to destroy its own satellites which would NOT be an act of war since it is destroying its own stuff, which will induce the Kessler syndrome and everyone is back to 1960s.
Dennis L’s theory resonates with those who thought the sea was infinite so it was OK to throw everything to there. Well, the sea is large, but the trash people threw away eventually comes around to the ground after a while.
And he has not been really cooperative about how to bring the trash away to places we do not see. The power needed to do so will outweigh any benefits it might yield
Who gives a darn? The idea that we’re going to do mining in space soon enough to make a difference is preposterous. Are there even any concrete near-term plans to put a smelter in space? Realistic methods to capture material and move it that smelter?
No? Then why are we discussing it?
Please suggest an alternative.
Dennis L.
(1) Civilization continues to fall apart and people one, two, or three generations from now tell one another stories about buildings where mounds of food was deposited and magic devices that allowed one to communicate across the world instantly.
(2) We cull the population, selecting for intellect and health, and simultaneously employ genetic engineering to upgrade the human race and overcome our present limitations. All of us fall by the wayside, but at least we gave rise to something greater.
Hoolio asked me to drop some poop on the parade:
There are 4000 Spent Fuel Ponds Around the Globe…
If you don’t cool the spent fuel, the temperature will rise and there may be a swift chain reaction that leads to spontaneous combustion–an explosion and fire of the spent fuel assemblies. Such a scenario would emit radioactive particles into the atmosphere. Pick your poison. Fresh fuel is hotter and more radioactive, but is only one fuel assembly. A pool of spent fuel will have dozens of assemblies.
One report from Sankei News said that there are over 700 fuel assemblies stored in one pool at Fukushima. If they all caught fire, radioactive particles—including those lasting for as long as a decade—would be released into the air and eventually contaminate the land or, worse, be inhaled by people. “To me, the spent fuel is scarier. All those spent fuel assemblies are still extremely radioactive,” Dalnoki-Veress says.
It has been known for more than two decades that, in case of a loss of water in the pool, convective air cooling would be relatively ineffective in such a “dense-packed” pool. Spent fuel recently discharged from a reactor could heat up relatively rapidly to temperatures at which the zircaloy fuel cladding could catch fire and the fuel’s volatile fission product, including 30-year half-life Cs, would be released. The fire could well spread to older spent fuel. The long-term land-contamination consequences of such an event could be significantly worse than those from Chernobyl.
http://science.time.com/2011/03/15/a-new-threat-in-japan-radioactive-spent-fuel/
Japan’s chief cabinet secretary called it “the devil’s scenario.” Two weeks after the 11 March 2011 earthquake and tsunami devastated the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant, causing three nuclear reactors to melt down and release radioactive plumes, officials were bracing for even worse. They feared that spent fuel stored in pools in the reactor halls would catch fire and send radioactive smoke across a much wider swath of eastern Japan, including Tokyo.
https://energyskeptic.com/2017/the-devils-scenario-near-miss-at-fukushima-is-a-warning-for-u-s/
The Chernobyl accident was relatively minor, involved no spent fuel ponds, and was controlled by pouring cement onto the reactor. This was breaking down so a few years back they re-entombed.
Estimates of the cancer burden in Europe from radioactive fallout from the Chernobyl accident
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/16628547/
However, many of the radioactive elements in spent fuel have long half-lives. For example, plutonium-239 has a half-life of 24,000 years, and plutonium-240 has a half-life of 6,800 years. Because it contains these long half-lived radioactive elements, spent fuel must be isolated and controlled for thousands of years.
“There are 4000 Spent Fuel Ponds Around the Globe…”
https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva/posts/pfbid02LHk7C55cbtZy5naDu4prn3TbBTzQbEQyacjYjSmGSawQaLUyBMDSDHr6NktCyZzQl
?
Thank you, Eddy! Well argued!
So manage the mess already present, stop piling it on, and deal with it. So far, mostly so good, but nuclear does have some spectacular hiccups.
Dennis L.
“We” who is the we?
Politically this is a nonstarter, “we” are going to have to have some hope, we are need something bigger than ourselves.
A generation is about 25 years depending on author. I can’t predict next week let alone fifty years. Ehrlich predicted mass starvation in the 1960’s occurring in the early seventies. It didn’t happen, he was wrong, he was a Stanford Professor, an expert, he was wrong.
We are somewhat unique in the universe, hubris is thinking we know where it is going. We deal with what we have and we use what knowledge we have to leverage our future. Some of it does not work, the word is next.
TINA
Dennis L.
The Hopium was all poured into renewables, EVs and nuclear fusion.
We’re all out of Hopium.
For the same reason there are endless discussions on other fakery – moon landings… GW… etc
I would expect the US/NATO to do something catastrophic or diabolical but not Russia, unless their very existence as a nation and unique culture is at stake.
The Socerer with another good post. As our Norm has stated, even if you have accessible and inexpensive energy ( and we don’t or won’t) if there are not enough raw materials, then there is no use for the energy. So stop calling it renewable already.
My analogy has been that we are buring the candle at both ends. One end is the energy. One is the debt. Once raw materials are depleted, we start burning the candle in the middle too. Just calling ’em as I see them.
https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/stop-using-the-word-sustainability?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
hubbs
agreeing with me will just make the world come to an end faster
“Renewable” devices that use scarce resources are not sustainable.
Also, we need energy to extract any of these resources.
Petrochemical agriculture reduces the need to work the land but does not necessarily increase the overall harvests. There are methods of stustainable ways of agriculture (be it traditional or not), but they require more manpower and labour is expensive. That’s why a shift to more sustainability is not done in agriculture Capitalism stops it. It must be financed in separate ways.
The old system (BAU) does not fit the new.
Jan,
Currently it appears to me we have huge machinery because we need to leverage scarce labor. Running a $.75m combine is not trivial and part of it is knowing when the crop has suitable moisture to harvest, say AM or PM on a given day.
My guess is machines are now too damn big to service among other things. The future may well be smaller machines with Tesla technology to steer, etc. While a robotic combine could run 24/7, at night some crops pick up moister, nature does not run 24/7, it rests at night.
We will solve our problems, the engineering is emerging. BAU is always changing, even in computers. In the late seventies I saw an IBM technician use a soldering iron for heat to dx ferrite memory core – as in real core in an IBM 360/30 at technical school. That is not an appropriate technique to day.
Dennis L.
Hope your hopium dream kicks the can until I’m pushing up daisies 🌼🌼🌼.
Dennis L, easier written than done, as they say on both sides…
Believe me, I’ve tried, like Fast Eddie, to grown my own food 🥑 and there is no way Ill be able to feed myself, never mind others!
I’ll slowly starve like most others on their Permaculture designed plots…
PS. I’ve visited several ecovillages, ect ect
Not one could feed themselves …but they do provide a good showcase photo backdrop
I tried visiting some eco villages, too, and I tried growing some of my own food. I came to the same conclusions as well.
The eco villages were set up to look good–use high tech, irreplaceable equipment. But they couldn’t produce much of their own food.
Just more delusion… guilty as charged… but I did a Mike on that… it’s as if I never partook in doomie prepperism… waste of time – waste of money.
Had a bumper crop this year. Never eaten so many potatoes, green beans, and melon. Ran out of space and people to donate to. (They all grow their own too).
I decided that I wouldn’t repeat the experience next year. Too much trouble for little reward knowing that it can’t feed me all year round and I still have to supplement with other produce anyway.
The land would need a complete overhaul just to get things back to where they were. Most of our land lies fallow, is pine and eucalyptus forest, with some parts inaccessible now due to lack of communal interest.
Land grouping (consolidation) plans failed because of lack of funds from the EU and local govt so many plots remain useless for other purposes.
Supermarkets continue to be fully stocked though with more products than are reasonably necessary.
Exactly, too much trouble and Gail pointed out expect to have a failed crop ever Three/.four years ..
Also, Tsubilon, you have access to BAU stores for items needed to garden/farm….also probably have irrigation depended on it too.
I remember having a garden in Massachusetts had good success with veggies..
Like yourself went to Haymarket in Boston on the last day open and vendors would unload boxes of peppers, cucumbers, cherries, ect for A FEW DOLLARS instead of hauling it back.
Oh, those were the days..
If the doomie preppers would take the FE Challenge for a week… they’d quickly discard this insanity. And head to the local Gents Club and redirect their cash to the VIP room
Russian Ruble continues to s*** the bed.
https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/USDRUB/
I still suspect the western psychowoketards are manipulating the Ruble downwards.
they probably are running out of sannity, so the world keeps seeing their innsane actions.
the Russians will raise their interest rates again, not ideal, but it will help the Ruble stay stronger.
Russia surely keeps needing less and less USD, though they don’t want the Ruble to weaken against other currencies more than directly against the USD.
Vlad the Great.
I won’t belabor the point as I’ve raised it before, but I still think there’s a good chance a counterfeiting attack is going on – that and/or large scale oligarch siphoning into foreign accounts.
oh that reminder is okay.
could be one or both.
the west counterfeiting Rubles would be quite the scam.
if you ever see evidence or even hints, speak up.
that story would be wild.
Well physical currency was faked in 2013 and distributed from bank ATMs (paywalled):
https://www.wsj.com/articles/BL-NEB-6318
I think digital exploits would be more likely, though.
Russia should just shift to using Monero (the most used privacy crypto on the Darkweb) and get their “friends” to follow suit.
https://cryptopotato.com/monero-xmr-becoming-the-most-popular-cryptocurrency-on-darkweb-europol/
People who insist on doing this to themselves or their children need a checkup from the neck up because they are not thinking clearly.
https://drkevinstillwagon.substack.com/p/its-easy-to-fall-for-the-vaccine
Such people are mentally ill/retarded. hahahaha … and they are f789ed
One little part of the post:
drb… I look forward to you trashing the doc in the comments – here is your opportunity to demonstrate your profound understanding of the immune system and immunology …
We await your first post!!!!
https://drkevinstillwagon.substack.com/p/its-easy-to-fall-for-the-vaccine
Why does that happen? Besides antibody dependent enhancement, anther reason is because of something called antibody class switching that occurs after booster shots. As I mentioned, antibodies can be a good thing, but if you get too many of them or the wrong type at the wrong time, they can hurt you. Simply put, there are 5 types of antibodies that can be remembered with the acronym GAMED. Further, there are several subclasses of the G antibodies. We now know that after repeated shots that try to boost up the numbers of antibodies floating around, there is a shift to an overabundance of G subclass 4.
When this happens, the antibodies no longer bind to the spike protein. The spike proteins that are created by subsequent shots just float around free without antibodies attached to them. So, what happens to these unbound spike proteins? They attach to receptors all along your vascular system. When this happens, the cells of your immune system, not antibodies, your immune CELLS, will vigorously attack the cells with the spike protein attached and destroy them and sometimes destroy normal healthy cells nearby.
When this happens in the heart specifically, you end up with myocarditis, and this is EXACTLY what we are seeing after booster shots. People who insist on doing this to themselves or their children need a checkup from the neck up because they are not thinking clearly.
Thanks for reading, and thanks for staying smart.
you can always reset it if you fast/ stop intaking whatever substance is damaging it long enough. it is still the week that are dying in all this.
Great – let the good doctor know … post that here
https://drkevinstillwagon.substack.com/p/its-easy-to-fall-for-the-vaccine
He’ll think you are mentally ill but anyway … give it a go
It does not matter to me if someone on a substack thinks I am mentally ill. I mean, you are in New Zealand. What does that make you? It seems that all he is showing is that there is a significant number of people out there who can not normalize their system after repeated shots. Can he exclude that there are other immune conditions for these people? because that is precisely what happens also with regular immune conditions, the system can not normalize. It attacks its own tissue. It happened already before this vaccine. How do you think some (not all) got out of this predicament?
Why not ask him? You can also ask Bossche https://voiceforscienceandsolidarity.substack.com/p/connecting-the-dots-between-vaccine
” I mean, you are in New Zealand. What does that make you?”
Duke of the doomie preppers?
Lord of the loonies?
Earl of the eejits?
Knight of the nincompoops?
Count of the cu…? No, too far😮
Still, he’s off to Australia next. We’re all about to die, but you know, got to worry about taxes, just as we’re about to go extinct. Anyone would think he doesn’t believe what he writes.
Keep on running Eddy.
https://youtu.be/H6LVI1gDswg?feature=shared
Shouldn’t joke I suppose, as it can’t be a nice way to live life. Full of fear and always on the run from the boogeyman.
Which reminds me … I have that call with Deloitte…
The move to Queenstown 7 years ago represented the complete abandonment of the doomie prep… one does not move from a relatively warm kllimate to a mountain klllimate if one wants to doomie prep – even the Maiori did not settle here.
A move to Australia would primarily be motivated by the Goat Ranch being too big now that the munchkins are gone + f789ing the tax man… the machine..
BTW – a tradie was here yesterday to install some double glazed windows… he said the government offers 50k interest free loans for home improvements that save energy … many clients ask for a quote for insulation or windows – present that to the bank – receive the loan – but never do the work — they use the loan to buy new cars etc… apparently the govt does not check …
This is the level of incompetence in govts … the waste… f789 them… starve them…
Hopefully UEP finishes before we leave… Hoolio won’t be keen on the flight
Why not sail Hoolio to the Land of Many Waters and watch the end game from there, with a glass of the best rum in the world, to toast it all.
Just incase we don’t all die, it is about to become the worlds 4th largest offshore oil producer and has a very large amount of gas.
https://oilnow.gy/featured/much-of-guyanas-17-trillion-cubic-feet-of-gas-at-southeastern-part-of-stabroek-block/
Not sold yet?
Guyana’s energy generation is almost completely based on fossil fuels, coming from electricity plants that use heavy fuel oil.
You were meant to be there Eddy.
Fitz, indeed. I’m picturing a “Mosquito Coast” vibe for Eddy right now.
That applies to a poison. In this case the spike protein seems to be produced even one and a half year post vaxx – it might jump intonthe DNA. Still a bit unclear because there seem to be active and inactive mRNA and noone knows exactly what the nano particles are doing. It has not been properly researched before approval.
The problem with injecting whole viruses is, you can’t reliably control the strengths of the batches that get distributed, so what happens is you risk putting something into people that is so potent that it overwhelms the immune system and ends up causing a severe case of the disease. This has happened in the past with “live” vaccines like oral polio and the yellow fever shot, and it will happen again.
So, they say, let’s weaken the virus and inject that, or just inject part of it, or even better, mRNA with the message to make just part of it so your experience with the infection will be less severe. It sounds good, right? Well, that’s not working out with mRNA shots and the covid mRNA shot taught us exactly that. The more shots you get, the more likely you are to develop more severe symptoms.
Why does that happen?
https://drkevinstillwagon.substack.com/p/its-easy-to-fall-for-the-vaccine
norm/keith – are you learning from this?
So, how do you treat a severe rabies infection? You take the antibodies that were produced from a natural infection and put them in the person that has the severe symptoms. The antibodies block the virus from infecting more cells and mark the virus for destruction by the cells of the immune system. And that is how the vaccine lie got started. If antibodies are that powerful, why don’t we just inject everyone with something to make their own antibodies? Because unless you inject the whole virus, the antibodies will be suboptimal and can make the symptoms of the disease worse. That’s called antibody dependent enhancement that I explained in depth here: https://drkevinstillwagon.substack.com/p/the-mechanisms-of-two-types-of-antibody
LOL, rabies that mythical disease. You and that substacker should really study how the fraudster Pasteur invented rabies.
25 historical books that demonstrate vaccines have caused serious harm for 200 years
https://expose-news.com/2023/09/04/vaccines-have-caused-serious-harm-for-200-years/
Do not fear natural infections. They are all treatable and manageable, even the really scary ones like Ebola or rabies. Incredible as it may seem, there are people walking around right now who have antibodies against rabies and had no idea they were even exposed to the rabies virus. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32053628/
Warning – Immune System F789ed
Attention All Vaxxers
The reason people who get the shot get what Fauci calls breakthrough infections is because the protection of infection is cellular and does not involve serum antibodies. This involves specialized immune cells that guard the epithelial barrier. They can detect viruses that get into the cells that make the epithelial barrier. When they see that happening, they destroy those cells before the viruses get copied and released inside of you. That is protection from infection.
Very simply put, we now know that getting the mRNA covid shot will reduce the numbers of those protective cells. This was very easy to prove just by counting them before and after the shot and this has been done many times. The less of those cells you have, the less protection you have against infection. We also know that those cells use receptors called toll-like receptors that help them determine when viral genetic material is inside of those cells. The shot also diminishes the functionality of those toll-like receptors, so some immune cells that do remain are not able to detect cells on that epithelial barrier that have viruses in them.
This is why people who keep insisting on getting these shots will continue to get infected. Worse, those immune cells and their toll-like receptors are also responsible for detecting and eliminating cancer cells. This explains why we are now seeing an escalation of what they call turbocancers, because they takeoff at turbo speeds.
https://drkevinstillwagon.substack.com/p/its-easy-to-fall-for-the-vaccine
Hey drb – why don’t you post your Clown World rebuttal to this on that SS?
Since you are a world renowned expert — it would be like a Cage Match — your expertise vs Stillwagon!
Come on man.
(Express.at)
“Lauterbach (Minister of Health, Germany – SPD) admits: Vaccinated people died as often as unvaccinated ones” […] “Vaccination with the BioNTech vaccine “Comirnaty” had no significant effect on the mortality rate. This is the result of a study of 43,448 people. The German Ministry of Health is now forced to admit this in a response to a question.”
https://exxpress.at/lauterbach-raeumt-ein-geimpfte-starben-genauso-oft-wie-ungeimpfte/
This is a very poor result!
If we add that the vaccine didn’t avoid transmission of the virus and created many adverse events…
…the circle is closed.
the real story is probably that the jabbed died at a higher rate.
thus we get this psyop saying that the death rates are equal.
Forensic Analysis of the 38
Subject Deaths in the 6-Month
Interim Report of the
Pfizer/BioNTech BNT162b2 mRNA
Vaccine Clinical Trial
pdf download of study
https://tinyurl.com/bp8fbuph
Yes they are useless however the Vaxxed get a bonus hole — damaged immune systems and susceptibility to diseases like cancer hahaha
Bravo Vaxxers!
3 cheers for norm/keith!
Here is the two part lie: Injecting something into your body creates antibodies that will first, protect you against infection and second, will protect you from spreading the infection to others.
Here is Dr. Deborah Birx who served as the White House Coronavirus Response Coordinator under President Trump from 2020 to 2021, admitting the first lie, that the shot prevents infections:
https://drkevinstillwagon.substack.com/p/its-easy-to-fall-for-the-vaccine
It also helps to be a MORE-ON who is unwilling to change one’s mind.
On the topic of hydraulic power networks.
Most of the early hydraulic networks used river or harbour water. The water was delivered at roughly 50 bar pressure. Presumably, they were open systems, with spent water draining back into the river or harbour. That would be OK if the water had a low salt content and was filtered of particulates prior to compression. But salt water isn’t something you want anywhere near steel.
https://www.lowtechmagazine.com/2016/03/hydraulic-accumulator-power-water-networks.html
Modern hydraulic systems use either mineral oil or water-glycol as hydraulic fluid. These are closed systems, with hydraulic fluid returning to the pump via a drain line. Mineral oil is better from a corrosion resistance viewpoint. Water-glycol is more environmentally freindly if leaks are a problem. Both systems have the advantage of keeping oxygen out of the hydraulic fluid.
Hydraulics are already widely used in industry. But most systems are smaller than the large area networks that were developed in the late victorian age. If we were to attempt this in a modern setting, we would need some way of recycling the hydraulic fluid. That implies both feeder and drain lines.
The whole plan needs to be very carefully thought through, it sounds like.
Very nice link, indeed! Never heard about these networks.
The problem is
a) that a system of tight tubes are needed, that can withstand the pressure, preferrably made from metals. Ancient water systems were made from hollowed logs or clay tunes.
b) the system does not multiply the energy. It works like a lever, the long arm does not need the same weight but has to go more distance. The water from thw cross-section of the smaller piston is disseminates under the wider piston and as the volume of the water stays the same the vertical lift is reduced.
c) a ressource of energy is needed to provide the pressure of the system.
Yes, we are talking energy distribution not generation. Hydraulic power distribution will be no more efficient than electricity for this purpose. It is just that the systems involved are technically easier to build and maintain and don’t need rare elements like copper or neodynium. Carbon steels, cast iron and some polymers, can pretty much do everything. But the power still needs to be generated. Instead of a wind turbine, water wheel or steam turbine turning a generator, it turns a hydraulic pump. But the energy source still needs to be there.
If an urban area is relatively close to high hills or mountains, a hydraulic power network can store energy in an elevated reservoir. In England, the Peak District is surrounded by urban areas. In Scotland, both Glasgow and Edinburgh have high hills that could serve as hydraulic reservoirs.
A potential weakness of hydraulic power distribution is that this probably isn’t suitable for transmitting power over hundreds of miles. I think the pipework would get too expensive. And there are frictional losses in pipework. So this isn’t a solution for everything.
Statistical Warning After Warning Ignored!! Now the Synthetic mRNA’d world faces Excess Deaths not seen since WW2 !!
https://thenobodywhoknowseverybody.substack.com/p/statistical-warning-after-warning
But not as many dead as in the UKEY war hahahahahahahahahaah
Clown World… Clowns everywhere… and MORE-ONS
but a big red nose is just so ”you” eddy
Fauci just admitted masks don’t work…but why?
Masks are on the rise again, but this time the establishment seem to be seeding controversy.
https://off-guardian.org/2023/09/05/fauci-just-admitted-masks-dont-work-but-why/
Theatre. It is all fake (except UEP)
As they failed on all fronts, they are probably deciding to sacrifice something of what they proposed, admitting some mistakes.
That is in order to keep alive at least one ingredient, that is the ‘so called’ vaccines (which are actually are mRNA therapy), making money with them and going on with experiments on us.
But it isn’t mRNA that has been injected; try some ‘modRNA’ with them fries!
‘Messenger RNA occurs naturally and lives in our cells, and it does not last long enough to initiate an immune response before being destroyed by the immune system—it is modRNA that is synthetically created, according to Klaus Steger, a molecular biologist who headed several gene technology laboratories, regularly applying RNA-based technologies’.
‘Injecting modRNA into the body may lead to adverse events like strokes, cardiovascular complications, pulmonary embolism, and the formation of blood clots—many of which were disclosed in Pfizer’s documents (pdf) but were not attributed to its product’
This just keeps on giving!
And the MOREONS just keeping on accepting this wonderful gift
Perfect ….
https://paulthepaperbear.files.wordpress.com/2023/08/40freerangescots-f4zs3fuxkaezclg.jpg
SoooooooooooooooEeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
monkey sounds
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/biggest-threat-global-liquidity-china
Zerohedge has an article talking about total world M1 money (narrowly defined money supply) being dominated by China. The fact that China raised its M1 money supply helped get the world out of the Great Recession of 2007-2009. Now, the concern is that China’s hesitancy to raise its M1 money supply since 2020 may adversely affect the worldwide economy. The author is Simon White, Bloomberg Macro Strategist, but I didn’t see a link to the original article.
According to the article:
Without China, global money supply is likely to remain depressed, especially as growth is unlikely to come from the US et al when they are in the midst of rate-hiking cycles and reducing the size of their central-banks’ balance sheets.
The pressure is mounting on China to stimulate broadly to resuscitate its property market and avert a debt-deflation. But that doesn’t mean it will definitely happen, and happen in time. If resistance to such measures turns into outright recalcitrance, then it’s not just China that will face the consequences.
In the old days, making a living often carried a risk. I explained that in Japan, if an indentured factory worker (usually a girl since they were cheaper) got sick (usually tuberculosis since people lived in close quarters and the diet was bad), the family was held responsible for the prepaid portion of her wages because she failed to perform her obligations by getting sick. There was no mercy or forgiveness; it hit the bottom line and the family, who probably spent the advances by indenturing their child to the factory, had to pay it back and if they tried to skip it the penalties were rather harsh.
In a recent Ken Loach movie, Sorry we missed you, the hard pressed head of a family is held responsible for a damaged equipment for 1,000 pounds, after he was robbed. He is an ‘independent contractor’ so the courier company is NOT responsible for his injuries (i.e. he has to pay for his medical cost) and is NOT responsible for the equipment damage which he has to pay with his own money, when he is hard pressed.
That will be the norm . The finances of poor families will be pressed to a degree that they will simply drop dead of exhaust or something, while those who matter won’t be affected all and won’t lift a finger about it.
.It will be a huge social darwinistic exercise, with only the 1% getting out of it alive.
I don’t think so, but don’t have time for all this. I have run modestly large groups, your ideas would not have worked for me. For reference, for a period of time I was the third largest customer for dental material from J&J. Enough said.
Try it see how it works; it is not coincident with my experience.
Dennis L.
That was the old days. You don’t run such business anymore. All you do is sing praises to your God.
Trying to figure Brians question:
we have to refine 18.5 mbpd just to produce the gas we consume.
NEW YORK Aug 31 (Reuters) – U.S. field production of crude oil rose 1.6% in June to 12.844 million barrels per day.
From EIA:
https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/oil-and-petroleum-products/imports-and-exports.php
Maybe the 6-8mbd of imports covers the gas shortfall and a lot of the diesel is re-exported which I’m guessing would fall in this category:
https://www.statista.com/statistics/191320/total-us-petroleum-exports/
This also shows roughly 8mbd recently which by itself doesn’t make sense since it’s close to the USA production.
In any case the exports started rising after the imports slowed.
It sure doesn’t look like the imports will stabilize.
if you choose, you could go back two days to Sunday comments and see all of my many points about these concerns of our new friend Brian and others.
a few main points:
US production 12.8 mbpd
US refinery inputs 17 mbpd
US refinery capacity 18.2 mbpd
% of utilization 93%
total US imports= 8.7 mbpd
total US exports 10.4 mbpd
net exports about 1.7
CRUDE imports 6.5 mbpd
CRUDE exports 4.5 mbpd
2/3rds imports are from Canada 4.0 mbpd of HEAVY oil.
the US CRUDE exports are mostly fracked LTO light tight oil.
overall US IMports a net 2 mbpd of CRUDE to get the refinery blend to produce what the US needs.
US net EXports of PRODUCTS 3.7 mbpd, and that includes about 1.3 mbpd of diesel, US produces about 5 mbpd of diesel and doesn’t need all of it.
US “uses” this much “oil”:
gasoline 9.0 mbpd
diesel== 3.7 mbpd
jet fuel= 1.8 mbpd
total of 14.5 mbpd
good times!
I saw it, just reorganized to focus in on the “missing “ 6mbd.
I copied your notes ,Thanks
I expect many rabbit tricks by the oil industry, the apocalypse is after we’re long dead
The lack of any sympathy or outrage on the Maui fire shows that Americans have finally evolved out of the ‘sympathy’ phase.
https://www.wikiart.org/en/otto-dix/match-seller-1920
Otto Dix, who actually fought in the Great War, had this painting done 2 years after he returned home. A blind quadruple amputee from the war sells matches on the street.
The people have no time for him since they are too busy conducting their daily lives. A stray dog , probably in no better circumstance than the ex-soldier, urinates on him. he is considered to be little better than trash.
At least the Germans at that time had the class to just ignore him. Nowdays such kind of people will simply be kicked around by other homeless as toys.
The lack of concern over Maui and its ‘American Lives’ shows that USA has evolved and finally realized some ‘American Lives’ are not that important.
Eisenhower used “American lives’ as an excuse to award Central Europe to USSR< for which we are paying it today. He also made Hawaii a state, probably not a good idea. IT seems Americans finally grew up from his days and realized some American lives are much less equal than other 'American lives".
I am concerned about the Maui residents and also about the strange events that seem to be taking place there to suppress discussion and evidence as to what actually occurred. Residents are being arrested for trying to get to their homes or the onetime homes. Large black fences are being erected around the whole area.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2023/09/royally-screwed-government-hawaii-victims-getting-desperate/
Federal deficit unexpectedly set to double this year
Neil Irwin author of Axios Macro
The federal deficit is expected to nearly double this year, from about $1 trillion last year to $2 trillion for the fiscal year ending Sept. 30
Why it matters: There’s no precedent for deficits this large, as a share of the economy — outside war, deep recession or pandemic.
The WashPost’s Jeff Stein reported Sunday on the stunning projected figure from the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.
Between the lines: Such huge spending imbalances contribute to high interest rates for consumers — including mortgages — in the short run.
In the long run, it means interest costs will likely squeeze all other federal priorities.
What’s happening: Bigger interest payments + lower tax receipts, despite strong economic growth.
“A strong economy usually reduces the deficit. Not this time,” Stein writes.
Reality check: The annual deficit was even higher — $2.8 trillion — in 2021, amid record COVID spending, according to the Congressional Budget Office.
To the 🌙 MOON…let me see..why would anyone wish to hold toilet 🪠 paper?
Because in the end it will be more valuable than US Script
as i keep banging on
its all due to a deficit of cheap surplus energy
we got used to a life with that, now there isn’t any.
and technology isn’t going to fix the problem
Keep banging Norm…
‘Biggest fraud in a generation’: The looting of the Covid relief plan known as PPP
NBC News
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/justice-department/biggest-fraud-generation-looting-covid-relief-program-known-ppp-n1279664
CORONAVIRUS
‘Biggest fraud in a generation’: The looting of the Covid relief plan known as PPP
The official in charge of Covid relief tells NBC News’ Lester Holt that programs like PPP were structured in ways that were “an invitation” to fraudsters.
00:27 /02:58
Billions in pandemic relief funds lost to fraud
March 28, 2022, 3:59 PM EDT
By Ken Dilanian and Laura Strickler
They bought Lamborghinis, Ferraris and Bentleys.
And Teslas, of course. Lots of Teslas.
Many who participated in what prosecutors are calling the largest fraud in U.S. history — the theft of hundreds of billions of dollars in taxpayer money intended to help those harmed by the coronavirus pandemic — couldn’t resist purchasing luxury automobiles. Also mansions, private jet flights and swanky vacations.
They came into their riches by participating in what experts say is the theft of as much as $80 billion — or about 10 percent — of the $800 billion handed out in a Covid relief plan known as the Paycheck Protection Program, or PPP. That’s on top of the $90 billion to $400 billion believed to have been stolen from the $900 billion Covid unemployment relief program — at least half taken by international fraudsters — as NBC News reported last year. And another $80 billion potentially pilfered from a separate Covid disaster relief program.
The prevalence of Covid relief fraud has been known for some time, but the enormous scope and its disturbing implications are only now becoming clear.
Update…After hundreds of billions of dollars were stolen from Covid relief programs, the Department of Justice is working to identify and arrest those responsible. NBC News’ Ken Dilanian has the details as lawmakers ask Attorney General Merrick Garland for more data on the funds stolen by foreign criminals.
Sept. 3, 2023
This was on the Nightly News Broadcast last night…admitted few will be brought to justice.
Too bad not enough to energy…😂😇🤑😳
i agree totally on the ppp fraud
but that wasn’t the point i was making
Norm,
Serious question, where does one place one’s bets?
Dennis L.
Find a nugget of NI, nudge to the correct position, drop it down the gravity well, minimal energy, save earth in the bargain.
This site has proven everything which does not work, it has eliminated all the failures, time to look for what can work and is an engineering problem.
If Starship works, we are on our way; winning by one point is sufficient.
Dennis L.
Big If.
And what if all else fails?
I think it was Ravi Uppal who came up with this calculation recently:
U.S. Debt at $33 Trillion rising to $36 Trillion in 2 years.
Employment/Unemployment numbers just admitted to being faked by 50%.
Interest on debt already at 28% of Federal taxes collected.
So here’s the Math.
$36 Trillion at 5% will consume 50% of U.S. Federal taxes.
The “Potemkin economy ” .
That’s why they’ll lower rates, eventually. The point of increasing rates is not – as everyone says – to “lower inflation”. The point is always to prevent a run on the dollar following a devaluation (the recent massive printing and increase in price of goods).
No one is teaching the cold truth that the current world is winner take all, with nothing, nada, for the rest of the people.
Employers will be very harsh against their employees. I doubt workers comp will continue for too long ; all employees will be independent contractors, Tso if they get injured they would be on their own, with not a penny paid by their ’employers’ who will assume no responsibility. If they drop, they drop. Families in Philippines usually split because the children go to work in other countries when they get older, and when they stop sending money back home, the family knows the child died and moves on. There is no caring for the chronically ill ; if the family is merciful they will inject a huge shot of narcotics to shorten the process.
When the 1.58 billion mega millions winning ticket was hit, the winner received about half of it let’s say $800 million. (Most people elect to take a lump sum payment which is half of what is advertised , if it is to be paid over 30 years.)
A couple people had the 5 winning numbers but not the mega number to win the jackpot. They each received $2 million.
So the consolation prizes of the 2nd best, assuming a $4m total, was 1/200 of the winning prize. The winners will take everything, and nothing for the rest.
Kul,
Have you actually employed people? It is not easy and without people capital is useless. Owners of capital are hostage to it, not masters of it.
Dennis L.
One person business is done by many people. It is possible to run it without any employees. At most people assemble, not necessarily offline, and do one project and split.
I thought you would know more about that than me, since your God would rather follow such business models?
So you haven’t employed people then.
“They got our tank!”
That is what happens when they send kit to UKR, it ends up on YT as a burning POS.
It looked much better in the promo video and they should have kept it for that.
No joke though, UK has just forty (40) tanks in total (39 now).
Russia has over 12,000 and it is able to make untold more because it has the best military industrial base in the world according to a UK Parliament report last month.
What on earth UK thought that it was doing sending 12 tanks to UKR?
Just so that this video could go viral or what exactly?
Completely daft.
Viral: First British Challenger 2 Tank Burns In Zaporizhzhia After Russian Strike | Watch
The Ukrainian forces have lost first UK-made Challenger 2 tank amid their counteroffensive in Zaporizhzhia. A video has now gone viral showing the British tank in flames on the roadside in Robotnye area of Zaporizhzhia. This is the first of the 14 Challenger 2’s that the UK sent to Ukraine, which has now been destroyed by Russia. Watch this video for more details.
“A video has now gone viral”. Why does the OP post this simplistic Krap? Because he’s the Beavis and Butthead of OFW, that’s why. Viral ? So viral that hardly anybody has heard of it. Pah. The truth is that people are fed of up of this subject. It reminds me of the Vietnam war – on the news, right through the 1960s and into the 1970s. On and on it went. It bored the pants off me.
Then in the early 1970s came Watergate. On and on it went. It bored the pants off me. Then in the 1990s it was Yugoslavia. On and on it went. Et cetera, et cetera, et cetera.
But still our resident shill posts the simplistic one-sided Russian propaganda. Just what do they pay him, I wonder? Probably nothing. He just likes to post his inane Beavis and Butthead sniggers and to revel in senseless violence at the safest possible distance.
What’s going on with Saudi Arabia? Are they really serious about building their city? Their oil production is down they say it’s on purpose. I wonder? Maybe their leaders are that naive. Could it be that they are having a hard time keeping up with production?
I’m reading about this currently in a book.
Basically, MBS is trying to turn KSA into another Dubai. They started to diversify away from oil around 10-15 years ago. (in a nutshell)
They need a higher price to run their economy. Production is hard to maintain also. They are making a choice based on what they have available based on investments in the past.
Any enterprise makes decisions based on whether it can be self-funding or not. Saudi oil is no different.
(Arab News)
“How Saudi Arabia is boosting food security by pursuing agricultural self-sufficiency”
https://www.arabnews.com/node/2367371/saudi-arabia
that was tried years ago
and failed
This sounds like a highly complex way of making food. Lots of things could go wrong. Using desalinated water for irrigation is a problem if it doesn’t have the proper minerals in it, I would expect. (Israel was having a problem in this regard, IIRC.) It will work until it doesn’t work.
I don’t know much about farming, but I would not try farming in the desert.
Dennis L.
My personal guess,
One needs to increase one’s personal capital, ie. skill set. Get along with a group, understand the dynamics and be able to add value, or be seen by others as being valuable.
Not easy, stressful, it is the game right now.
Dennis L.
And be very, very LUCKY…
Henry Miller on doing what’s under your nose
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=PYL3mB3rAfU&pp=ygUWSGVucnkgbWlsbGVyIGludGVydmlldw%3D%3D
Part of an interview…randomness
My hunting buddy was telling me that his mate who has been working in the ME for some years … and was planning to retire… was hired for big $$$ as one of the key managers on this ‘city’… he is staying on for two years to get it underway.
Perhaps this is a replacement for the Chinese Ghost Cities? Cuz it makes no more sense than those
Sometimes tells me their Neom city project otherwise known as The Line will fail miserably. Talk about biting off more than you can chew. And even if you can get one end of it working progressively as you build out the rest for many years to come… what’s the point? A tourist attraction? Really? Looks like a fancy prison.
Something tells me…
(Bloomberg)
“Saudis, Russia Extend Their Oil-Supply Curbs to Year-End.
Kingdom prolongs 1 million b/d production cut to December.
Brent crude rises above $90 a barrel for first time since Nov.”
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-05/saudis-prolong-1-million-barrel-a-day-oil-supply-for-3-months?srnd=premium-europe
(Bloomberg)
”Dollar Climbs to Highest Since March;
Oil Rallies: Markets Wrap;
Fed’s Waller signals he supports skipping hike in September;
Goldman cuts US recession chances to 15% on improved inflation”
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-04/stock-market-today-dow-s-p-live-updates?srnd=premium-europe
Muh Free Market!
Controlled by FED and OPEC
I love FREEDUMB!
What are friends for…
Dumb And Dumber (1994)
0:13 Lloyd puts laxative in Harry’s tea
0:27 “To my friend, Harry… the matchmaker.”
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=BbKYm8o_ufc&pp=ygUaZHVtYiBhbmQgZHVtYmVyIHBvb3Agc2NlbmU%3D
Fast and Effective… 😮💨 Relief…
The system keeps going for a little while longer!
My guess: We are part of the fabric of the universe; there are literally billions and billions of years to make a spaceship where biology works, self replicates, and can explore technology.
We are someone’s, thing’s experiment, when it gets too far out of wack, coincidences occur and all is well with the universe.
Reading “The Fourth Turning.” Trying to get some ideas for good, positive guesses. We have been here in human time for a long time, we have gone through a bottleneck before. Prognosis: “Forty Miles of Bad Road,” Duane Eddy, 1959 when a Cadillac had a V-8 and fins that went forever and ended with points.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OE5PcKFHw-M
Dennis L.
Or… we are the product of evolutionary and adaptive processes that will peter out as soon as we’re out of juice.
So Pooty knows how to cut production …. he knows how to turn the valve
The demonisation of BlackRock’s Larry Fink
All he wanted to do was save the planet while making his firm a fortune.
https://www.economist.com/1843/2023/07/27/the-demonisation-of-blackrocks-larry-fink
Is this real life?
Poor boy, nobody understood his good intentions.
The world is too cruel.
“Capitalism is the extraordinary belief that the nastiest of men for the nastiest of motives will somehow work together for the benefit of all.”
― John Maynard Keynes
Larry Fink has been the leader of the ESG movement. From the article:
In other news from the UK, Birmingham city council have declared themselves bankrupt.
In June the Council announced that it had a potential liability relating to Equal Pay claims in the region of £650m to £760m, with an ongoing liability accruing at a rate of £5m to £14m per month.
The Council must fund the equal pay liability that has accrued to date (in the region of £650m to £760m), but it does not have the resources to do so.
The Council’s Director of Finance has confirmed that the Council has insufficient resources to meet the equal pay expenditure and currently does not have any other means of meeting this liability.
All new spending, with the exception of protecting vulnerable people and statutory services, will stop immediately.
A lot of cities are likely bankrupt. There were several of these a few years ago. All of the pension promises and debt cannot be sustained. Even maintaining roads becomes a huge cost.
towns are now required to fund retirement care, to a great extent, from the own revenues–as well as all the other stuff.
more and more people are living longer (sorry about that), with fewer and fewer young people contributing
wholesale bankruptcy is certain
So there is bankruptcy without growth. Economics is a biological science(that last word may be a stretch). Energy is exogenous and allows humans to increase their productivity; productivity depends on rate of energy used, horsepower.
All production to space, once capital costs are covered along with depreciation, free metals, free energy all from the fabric of the universe. Utopia, even humans cannot pollute space, too damn big.
TINA
Dennis L.
”’growth” has outgrown itself
if you want a simple answer
and no—-space mining isnt going to change that
Norman, not to be argumentative, but we don’t mine, we collect. E.g. iron does not rust in space that is where the iron core for earth originated, well a super nova. The core is not rust, rust does not magnetize well.
Space is frictionless, nuclear energy works, fire it up, skip the shielding and when she blows no problem, the particles, radiation join the rest of the universe. Pollution is my favorite, we already understand disposable, landfill appliances, kick the reactor towards Jupiter and build another. Lots of energy costs disappear once in space, and rate is not a problem, build a larger gold collector – from gold collected on a suitable asteroid.
We are not going to haul all this stuff to space, we will build capital equipment which builds capital equipment; think early America, limitless resources and pollution be damned.
Eventually, we will not machine, do subtractive metal work, we will do self replicating metal work, a modern ribosome if you will.
This is engineering, it requires no new science other than the self replication and that will come.
TINA
Dennis L.
Dennis
Youve been using Tim groves hairsplitting machine again
Here on planet earth–the first coal wasnt mined it was collected from outcrops
mining came after the easy stuff ran out
Dennis, I am a proponent of space manufacturing, though I think technical details are important.
But Jupiter isn’t a good place to dump trash. It is 5AU from the sun. Putting something on an elliptical orbit that intersects the orbit of Jupiter, will be expensive propellant-wise. That is a lot of delta-V. In any case, if you are in high Earth orbit, there is plenty of energy available from the sun. Why build nukes when you can harness industrial grade heat 24/7 with a tinfoil mirror?
I keep mentioning Amish as I see them regularly.
Neat homes, children, children in small carts driving a pony, three children generally, no seat belts. Women walking along a roadside, barefoot, they smile; no work on Sundays.
And, they are self replicating, no replication, work until you can’t produce more than you cost; replication, always replication.
Somehow they are purchasing land, it is better than mine, my guess theirs about $12K/acre and that is very conservative.
Musk has an idea that you shouldn’t be able to vote without having children. I leave that one there.
Dennis L.
they make money by selling tomatoes 9 dollars a pound in college town farmer markets. not sustainable.
drb753,
Maybe but I see folks shopping at Sam’s, they are grossly overweight; that is not sustainable health wise nor healthcare cost wise.
In the US, something is not working with the current diet. Nine dollar/pound tomatoes may be metaphorically economically efficient.
Dennis L.
as i’ve pointed out before, the Amish are essentially good people
but lets not lose sight of the fact that they exist within a largely benign society.
The amish society emigrated to the USA because of persecution, they could not exist in Iran, or Russia, o other similar places
Their lifestyle is protected by everybody else., as a tiny minority.
150 million of them wouldnt work
They do exist in Russia.
So by your yardstick, Russia must be a largely benign society.
https://time.com/4170465/inside-a-remote-russian-mennonite-village/
What is similar about Iran and Russia that makes them different to Pennsylvania? Name three attributes?
Ah, Norman,
The Pilgrims migrated to America because of religious persecution in England; and you know what Pilgrims bring, Mayflowers of course.
Also, the argument is somewhat simplistic. Imagine living in France, early 1940’s. Tough place to live as a Frenchman, Poland wasn’t much fun either, Holland, the list goes on. The life styles of the above were restored by US boots on the ground and a bit of diplomacy such as, “Hello Germany, I have a thousand B-17s loaded, where would like the contents delivered? ”
Life has never been easy, ask an American Indian who saw the neighborhood go to hell when the sailing ships arrived.
Dennis L.
i thought the discussion was about mennonites
the descendants of the pilgrims has largely dissipated—they dont live in a stockade at jamestown
Norman,
Pilgrims landed at Cape Cod, 1620, Jamestown was 1606 and the main export was, drum roll please!
Tobacco! Yes a high profit item, addictive, good follow on sales.
The Jamestown group was interesting, Captain John Smith was a former mercenary, ah, a precursor to “Have Gun Will Travel.” Can see him going to negotiate with Indians. Ah, Indians, leading a good life, maybe even Amish style and some guy comes with gunpower, ruined the neighborhood.
Dennis L.
Here, have a few billion … why, don’t mind if I do
Monday this week: Court drops corruption charges against Malaysia’s deputy PM
https://www.benarnews.org/english/news/malaysian/zahid-court-corruption-09042023125920.html
very same day
Former Malaysian PM Muhyiddin Yassin acquitted on abuse of power charges
https://www.benarnews.org/english/news/malaysian/malaysias-muhyiddin-yassin-acquitted-abuse-of-power-08152023035039.html
These are both quite major political events for Malaysia as they together signify the complete jumping of the shark, as it were, of the formerly smeared and now completely swimming naked Anwar PM.
Up to this point, the not too long ago elected Anwar had been cooly playing the multiracial inclusiveness card and boosting himself as a woke anti-corruption icon, mould of Clinton. Cripes, he’d even spent five or ten years in jail on politically motivated charges of adulterously bonking a young man, of which he may have been justly found guilty, or maybe it was the other way round. This was early in the series of political sodomy scandals and many years ago. Malaysia is a never ending entertainment of contemporary politics at the cutting edge of the absurd. For decades, it’s been better than Hollywood.
Bit by bit the old guard of patricians (UMNO and cronies) have been clawing back their losses incurred through regulatory enforcement over several years of a prior govt by opposition senile geriatric actually doing something morally right! You can’t beat ’em for plots. No good govt (even if by mistake) was to be allowed to fester unpunished, though in this case the denouement happened through hubris, on the sudden occasion of the senile PM resigning, since when it’s been “devil take ’em hindmost”, as the no longer sprightly Anwar may once have said. For example on 22nd Nov last year, after Anwar’s election, the High Court annulled forfeiture on some 12,000 pieces of jewellery (USD10m+) and some handbags alleged to belong to the wife of the former PM Najib. This followed the release of over USD25m in foreign cash from the same apartment seizure, despite prosecutor contentions that now jailed “Najib had allegedly received a total of US$971 million (RM2.973 billion), said to be 1MDB’s money, from 2011 to 2013, and that the money seized from the condo was part of the illicit funds.”
nst.com.my/news/crime-courts/2021/05/691583/govt-fails-bid-forfeit-rm114-million-seized-pavilion-residences
Hey, CTG, you’re over there somewhere, aren’t you? This is just my interpretation of the past couple of years from the press. What’s the take from your eerie?
No one there takes seriously the idea of there being the slightest degree of independence on the part of the judiciary, do they?
Ot sure how real are the news… anyway from what I believe, nothing is real.. same like what FE said about Ukie war. Too many things are just “beyond belief” and I am taking life as it is.
Example: someone posted that there could be just 2000 pairs of humans in the bottleneck many millenia ago. Anyone care to explain how 2000 pairs or make that 200,000 pairs spread across the whole whole can find food, mate and have offspring while battling cold in a volcanic winter. Maketh sense?
obviously they survived by living near the equator.
where else would humans be able to survive a “volcanic winter”?
well, obvious to me anyway.
“The bottleneck occurred between 813,000 years ago and 930,000 years ago, and reduced an ancestral human species to less than 1,300 breeding individuals. The issue persisted for 117,000 years…”
so pockets/villages survived near the equator and all other humans died off.
after the end of the volcanic winter/ice age, the population increased and spread worldwide over the next teeny tiny itty bitty 800,000 years.
making the past appear to be uneven and complicated, what an amazing simulation we live in!
Well, assuming that as true, we can stop worrying about cooling ponds of radioactive material drying up. We humans are just remarkable.
Dennis L.
CGT, twenty years ago I came across research by Professor Stephen Oppenheimer, who has studied human genetic markers who believes that approximating 80,000 years ago, when the sea levels were considerably lower than they now are, a tribe that he estimates to have been perhaps 250 individuals crossed the mouth of the Red Sea and settled the northern side. Oppenheimer considers that until relatively modern times, it was solely the descendants of this one tribe that populated the other five continents. Over the course of the four thousand successive generations, in the process of satisfying their desires to eat, procreate, dominate and otherwise amuse themselves, the number of this relatively small exodus had grown into billions of persons have scoured almost every square metre of the planet’s land surface outside Africa. Recent worldwide genetic testing is believed to reveal that the billions of modern people who now inhabit the other five continents all descend from this one tribe.
Dr Stephen Oppenheimer, Geographic Magazine July 2002 Volume 74 no. 7.
Around where I live there’s a highly endangered species of bird with less than an estimated 1000 breeding pairs left, slowly dwindling away. It happens …
more interesting to me however was your comment about the “reality” of the news. If it’s all fake, it becomes 100% reliably false
IIRC you recommended a movie The Truman Show which I had a look at. The film raises the possibility that Truman lived wholly within a manipulated set of scripted characters on a movie set, and the broader conceptual possibilities such a circumstance could present to the philosopher. Do deities do this to their every believer individually? Does each member of the tribe each have their own set of moral puzzles to solve to move on to the next level?
I tend towards the buddhist idea that it’s all maya – an illusion, for us to deal with over the course of our successive incarnations
but still, something irrepressible in me innately wants to see schad
“… fantasies of justice, vengeance and a purified world.”
“… approximating 80,000 years ago, when the sea levels were considerably lower than they now are, a tribe that he estimates to have been perhaps 250 individuals…”
low sea levels = ice age.
it seems reasonable that bottlenecks in human ancestry would arrive at those times when far less territory in the world would have been hospitable to them and their food sources.
“maya” similar to an idea the fabric of the universe is read as we progress. The conclusions seem remarkably similar across various religions.
Dennis L.
Surely we’d all resemble the members of the British family due to the inbreeding… re tarded… https://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2008/12/06/article-1092524-022D5D8800000578-460_468x364.jpg
Corruption seems to go with not having enough resources to go around. Public officials come to expect that much of their wealth we come through bribes. The better off financially will be able to get better services if they can bribe the public officials.
Wonder if corruption goes with humanism also known as hubris. Old church congregations were not corrupt, such people are now labeled deplorables by some of the elites.
We were poor, cops were poor in my childhood, but not corrupt. Some of the elites were, e.g. differences in how drunk drivers were treated, chief wanted to keep his job.
Dennis L.
Hydraulic power networks were built in several cities in the UK in the late 19th century. They allowed transmission of mechanical power before the development of AC electricity networks. By the late 1970s, all of them had been shut down. The development of a national electricity grid and the mass production and easy availability of electric power systems, made them obsolete.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hydraulic_power_network
I think these systems could stage a comeback. In a world in which supply chains for complex electrical systems is breaking down, the mechanical transmission of power is a less complex alternative. The hydraulic pumps, pipework and water motors, are all steel components that any nation can make inhouse.
Traditionally, before the mass production of electric motors, the line shaft allowed mechanical power from a centralised water wheel or steam engine to be distributed to individual machines within factories. But these were cumbersome, maintenance intensive and only suitable for short distance power transmission. Hydraulic power distribution wasn’t really practical before the end of the 19th century, as components lacked the tensile strength and dimensional tolerance to allow it. By the time hydraulics was perfected, electricity was already on the scene. But electrical components are inherently more complex and rely upon supply chains for exotic materials. For situations where mechanical power is needed, hydraulics could replace a lot of the functions that are currently met by electricity.
Thanks for the suggestion. I am working on a presentation to give via Zoom to an audience in India. This might be a good idea for them. I don’t know whether the idea would catch on in countries that are certain that wind and solar will save them.
One can see how these large mills operated in some industrial museums. A smaller outdoor museum in the Wallachia region of the Czech Republic is worth a look. I visited it in 1992; I recall that most of the interlocking gears etc. were made of wood. It was quite impressive, and the Czech name, which translates as Mill Valley, gave me some insight as to the actual source of that place name in California, which started as a series of mills:
https://www.nmvp.cz/en/roznov/information-for-visitors/museum-tour-opening-times-admission/water-mill-valley
This page doesn’t give enough information on the mills, but you can probably get more from the museum direction.
Interesting links Peter
but have you noticed that all those devices are adjacent to water, and linked to harbour works?
Sort of limited applicability. Salt water might lead to rust problems.
Brunel tried pneumatic power over distance
the rats ate it
Sounds like a problem.
I understand solar panel wiring can have a similar problem.
That would make a good epitaph for our civilisation: “the rats ate it”.
What a wonderful thought. All our great works become rat excrement at the end of the day.
“Moon base: Bangor scientists design fuel to live in space . . .
Scientists have developed an energy source which could allow astronauts to live on the Moon for long periods of time.
The Nasa-led Artemis Program hopes for an outpost on the Moon by around 2030.
Bangor University has designed nuclear fuel cells, the size of poppy seeds, to produce the energy needed to sustain life there.”?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-66687056
Let’s check in on the Indian moon shot hahaha…
This clown actually believes what he is saying … reminds me of the UKEY war… people babble on and on and on … about something that does not exist
You’d have to be mentally ill to believe any of this
https://youtu.be/Kgdl3XlNKqE
The thing is … India doesn’t even have budget for decent CGI… so this is what you get hahahahaha
https://youtu.be/dim8elzo5vE?t=9
Humans are so f789ing… stooopid.
The folks behind this clown show — must be laughing their asses off…
Hey norm????
someone has already commented on OFW loonery
I feel I can add nothing to that
Gotta admit the video looks like low budget CGI.
Then again if we’ve never had a real moon landing, how would we know what one should look like?
Problem with this type of stuff is pretty soon I end up in flat earth theory territory and then my head wants to explode.
The world-as-a-simulation theory crew say that it works on local rendering principles i.e. the simulation only renders the parts of reality your moment to moment experience needs. That gels pretty well with how video games are written.
Anyway, that leads us back to the theory that the pimply alien teenager who is running our game/simulation pushed the “pandemic and dodgy vax” option a while ago to see what would happen.
He also selected the FE vs Norm battle option in OFW comments.
Oh well, it’s still BAU party time until that option gets turned off.
Around 2030? That is seven years from now. People in the UK like to dream. Bangor University is in the UK.
Bangor University is small and Welsh. I doubt anyone chooses to study there willingly.
I visited the one in Bangor Maine and had the good fortune to see their Native American Museum there on the campus
https://umaine.edu/hudsonmuseum/
The University of Maine recognizes that it is located on Marsh Island in the homeland of the Penobscot Nation, and the University of Maine at Machias is situated in the homeland of the Passamaquoddy Tribe. Both of our universities recognize that in these homelands, issues of water and territorial rights, and encroachment upon sacred sites, are ongoing. Penobscot and Passamaquoddy homelands are connected to the other Wabanaki Tribal Nations — the Maliseet and Mi’kmaq — through kinship, alliances and diplomacy. UMaine and its regional campus also recognizes that the Wabanaki Tribal Nations are distinct, sovereign, legal and political entities with their own powers of self-governance and self-determination.
…The Hudson Museum celebrates cultural diversity and inclusion through our exhibitions, events and programs. We are all interconnected through our common humanity.
Asia is one of the regions that imports most of its oil and oil products. Since COVID, poverty levels have started rising again.
https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/poverty-indicators-worsen-across-post-pandemic-asia
Asia faces a perfect storm in all too many ways. Constraints on liquid fuels available for import. An ageing demographic and shrinking workforce. A retreat from globalisation, as North America focuses on reshoring most of its manufacturing. The Ukrainian conflict and isolation of Russia adds additional economic pressures. Food exports from Russia and Ukraine are being constrained. Supply of fertiliser is becoming a problem, as Russia is responsible for both a large amount of direct supply and the inputs needed to make it in Europe.
Meanwhile, in the western world, the rising interest rates and capital contraction resulting from boomer retirement, make capital availability for investment in alternatives increasingly difficult. The world seems to be heading towards a deep crisis. Shrinking populations, shrinking trade and declining capability for feeding the people remaining.
The poorest of the poor are always the first hit.
norm — long covid?
Children 1-14 in UK hits new high of 22% in annualized 2023 excess deaths from negative excess deaths of -7% in 2021.
https://t.me/EdwardDowdReal/333
thereya go eddy—home from home
https://hogeweyk.dementiavillage.com
I enjoyed this video with this very entertaining Australian mechanic abut how lethal electric vehicles are. Apparently the information is being deliberately suppressed:
Highly recommended. Watch from 9 minutes.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=H7l4wR1zhbc
A very good video by an Australian engineer, related particularly to the fire and explosion hazard of EV’s and the fact that information on the problem seems to be being suppressed. People are being led to believe that these vehicles are safe. Also, they really need a long list of safety requirements (don’t park in a garage, for example), but they don’t come with any safety information or standards.
Need a Gail on this one, anecdotal evidence is just that. Need to see accidents/drive mile, fires per 1000 vehicles compared to ICE with gasoline. Pinto had an interesting issue with this in the seventies I think.
Dennis L.
I don’t have the data to look at. The data collected tends to be proprietary. Tesla has its own insurance program, and I am sure it doesn’t share the data with anyone else. There is also a lag before data can be matched with experience.
https://www.tesla.com/support/insurance
If found this article:
https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/insurance/tesla-insurance
There is a list given, by state, of the companies with the lowest rates, averaged across electric models. My impression is that none of these insurers have any idea of the costs yet.
Obscene rates… I pay around NZD1000 for the insurance on the Bat Mobile
Paging Fast Eddie:
https://swinehoodsremedy.substack.com/p/unnatural-evolution-indisputable
This article is quite compelling:
In the conclusion section:
This is a link to the Japanese article preprint that this blog post relates to:
https://zenodo.org/record/8216373
Real estate industry in panic mode .
https://twitter.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1698794904338546711/photo/1
According to the link:
I have run into this problem among people in the real estate industry that I talk to. Most of these people do not show up in unemployment statistics because, in theory, they might make a little money if at least a few people would buy homes.
“A Buried England mRNA Data Avalanche has been Exposed”
I wouldn’t worry about it Eddy. According to yourself
“Cuz data and cnnbbc articles are not evidence”
Nothing to worry about, eh?
RE agents are self employed, independent contractors, no unemployment insurance no matter what. RE industry arranged that one. Only way out is to pass a broker’s license and skip the middle man, still independent contractor but with control of the purse strings.
Dennis L.
Pingback: Fossil Fuel Supply Declining – Manhattan Bridge