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Historical data show that, to date, a reduction in energy availability has mostly affected the US, European countries, Japan, and other advanced economies. I expect this situation to continue as energy limits become more of a problem. Advanced economies will start looking and acting more like today’s less-advanced economies. The world economy will face a bumpy path in a generally downward direction.
In this post, I give an overview of our current predicament. All economies are subject to the laws of physics. We are biologically adapted to needing some cooked foods in our diets. We have also moved away from the equatorial regions, so many of us need heat to keep warm. With a world population of 8 billion, we are a long way from meeting all our energy needs with renewable sources alone.
The world’s fossil fuel supplies are depleting, but politicians cannot tell us the true nature of our predicament. Instead, we are told a “sour grapes” narrative: “We need to move away from fossil fuels to prevent climate change.” What this narrative, in fact, seems to do is shift an ever-greater share of fossil fuels that are available to less-advanced economies. It may also spread out the use of fossil fuels over a somewhat longer period. But there is no evidence that this narrative actually reduces the overall quantity of carbon dioxide emissions. Instead, the more advanced economies are likely to be hit sooner, and harder, than the less advanced economies by the problem of energy limits, pushing them on a bumpy road downward.
[1] Economies tend to collapse because populations rise faster than the resources (particularly energy resources) required to support those populations.
We are dealing with an age-old problem: Humans are able to outsmart other animals, and for this reason, human populations tend to rise except when external conditions are quite adverse.
The necessary steps needed for humans to outsmart other animals began about one million years ago, when pre-humans first learned to control fire. With the controlled use of fire, humans could
- Cook food to make it easier to chew and digest.
- Kill pathogens by cooking food or boiling water.
- Scare away wild animals.
- Keep warm in colder climates.
- Eat a more varied diet, with more protein. Primates eat mostly plants; humans are omnivores.
- Spend less time chewing food and more time working on crafts.
- Indirectly, the shape of the human body could change. Teeth, jaws, and guts became smaller; brains became larger.
After 1800, when fossil fuel consumption began to grow, human population started to rise at an unprecedented rate. With coal, it was easier to make metal tools, including cooking utensils, in reasonable abundance. While it is possible to smelt some metals using charcoal (made by partially burning hardwood, then cutting off the air flow), doing so tends to lead to deforestation if more than a small quantity of metal is made.
Figure 1 indicates that population had started rising well before 1800. Thomas Malthus wrote about the difficulty of increasing food supply as rapidly as population in 1798. The problem of rising population exceeding resources is an age-old problem.
[2] The physics reason for the limited lifespan of economies is not understood by many people.
In many ways, economies are like humans and hurricanes. In physics terms, all three are dissipative structures. They need to “dissipate” energy of the right kinds to remain “alive.” All dissipative structures are temporary in nature. No dissipative structure, including an economy, can stay away from a cold, dead state permanently. Usually, dissipative structures are replaced by slightly different dissipative structures. This process allows long-term adaptation to changing conditions.
Dissipative structures are self-organizing. They seem to act on their own. Our human leaders may believe they are completely in charge, but this is not really the case. The economy seems to choose its own course, just as humans and hurricanes do.
The energy products that humans require are food products, some of which need to be cooked. The energy products that economies require are of many kinds, including solar energy to grow crops, human energy to tend the crops, and many types of fuels including firewood, coal, oil, and natural gas. Electricity is a carrier of energy produced by other means. Much modern equipment uses electricity, but trying to transition to an all-electric economy is fraught with peril.
In today’s world, energy products of many types act to leverage human labor. As far as I can see, growing fossil fuel consumption is the primary reason why human productivity grows.
Oil is especially important in farming and transportation. Coal and natural gas are important in steel and concrete manufacturing, and in providing heat for many processes. Years ago, oil was burned for electricity, but today coal and natural gas are the fuels typically burned to provide electricity. Fossil fuels are also important for their chemical properties in many different goods, including in plastics, fabrics, drugs, herbicides, and pesticides.
Using renewable energy, alone, sounds like a good idea, but it is not possible in practice. Forests were the major source of energy to support the economy before the advent for fossil fuels, but deforestation became a problem long before 1800. The world’s population, even at one billion, was too high to sustain using biologically renewable sources alone.
At a population of around 8 billion today, there is no way that wood, and products derived from wood, can support the energy needs of today’s population. Doing so would be like humans trying to live on a 250 calorie a day diet instead of a 2000 calorie per day diet.
What are referred to as modern renewables (hydroelectric power and electricity from wind turbines and solar panels) are really extensions of the fossil fuel system. These devices can only be made and repaired using fossil fuels. In addition, today’s electrical transmission system is only possible because of fossil fuels.
[3] Advanced Economies tend to be “advanced” because of the large amounts of fossil fuels they use to leverage the labor of their citizens.
In my analysis, I use the term “Advanced Economies” to mean countries that are members of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). “Other than Advanced Economies” are then equivalent to non-OECD countries. I use this terminology because it better describes the reason why these two groupings have such different indications. Also, it is not intuitive that such a difference underlies these two groupings.
My analysis shows that energy consumption per capita is much higher in Advanced Economies than in Other than Advanced Economies, for all three energy charts shown: oil (Figure 2), all other kinds of energy grouped together (including renewables) (Figure 3), and electricity (Figure 4).
It is clear from these charts that the general trend in energy consumption per capita in recent years is down in Advanced Economies, while the general trend in energy consumption per capita is up for Other than Advanced Economies. To me, this means that the self-organizing economic system favors Other than Advanced Economies in the bidding for scarce energy resources.
One interpretation might be that Advanced Economies are using energy products in a wasteful way, compared to Other than Advanced Economies. The self-organizing world economy in some sense tries to maintain itself, even if some less efficient parts need to be squeezed down or out.
The narrative we hear from politicians and others is that Advanced Economies are moving away from fossil fuels to prevent climate change. This seems to be the narrative the self-organizing economy provides to people who live in Advanced Economies. I will discuss how this occurs, and its lack of success in reducing overall carbon emissions, in Section [5] of this post.
[4] Figures 2, 3, and 4 (above) reflect the impacts of several events leading to a squeezing down of energy consumption per capita.
The following are some events that indirectly squeezed back the energy consumption growth of Advanced Economies:
- Oil prices spiked in 1973-1974, leading to recession, indirectly in response to US first hitting oil limits in 1970.
- Severe recession, in response to Paul Volker’s increase in interest rates in the 1977 to 1980 timeframe.
- China was added to the World Trade Organization (WTO) in December 2001, allowing it to ramp up its manufacturing using coal. This primarily represented an increase in energy consumption by Other than Advanced Economies. At the same time, it removed a great deal of manufacturing from Advanced Economies, so their energy consumption should have been reduced.
- The Great Recession of 2007-2009.
- The 2020 pandemic and its response.
A person can see the impacts that these changes have had on per capita oil consumption (Figure 2), energy other than oil consumption (Figure 3), and electricity consumption (Figure 4), by looking for these dates in the charts, and noticing what changes in trends took place.
Figure 2 shows that there were very large cutbacks in oil consumption per capita in Advanced Economies, prior to 1983. In this early time frame, cutbacks in oil usage were fairly easy to obtain. Some examples include:
- US-made cars in the early 1970s were large and fuel inefficient, but Japan and Europe were already making smaller vehicles. By importing smaller vehicles, and making smaller ones in the US, major savings could take place in oil usage.
- Some oil was being burned to generate electricity. Such generation could be changed to natural gas, coal or nuclear.
- Home heating often used oil. Such heating could be replaced with heat based on natural gas or electricity.
With respect to China joining the WTO in 2001, and this action leading to much greater consumption of coal for manufacturing, these actions ironically followed the Kyoto Protocol of 1997. According to this protocol, Advanced Economies indicated that they planned to reduce their own carbon dioxide emissions. They did this by outsourcing manufacturing to countries not affected by the Kyoto Protocol. These countries were poor countries, including China and India.
It is possible to see the effect of this ramp up in energy consumption by Other than Advanced Economies in both Figures 3 and 4, starting about 2002. In theory, energy consumption per capita by Advanced Economies should have fallen at the same time, but it didn’t. This is one reason why carbon dioxide per capita started rising rapidly in 2002 (Figure 6).
One squeezing-out event disproportionately affected “Other than Advanced Economies.” This was the collapse of the central government of the Soviet Union in 1991. All the countries involved in the Soviet Bloc were affected. Manufacturing in these countries dropped at about this time, as did all types of energy production and consumption. This can be seen as a small dip in the “Other than Advanced Economies” line between 1991 and 2001 in Figures 2 and 3.
While the Soviet Union had plenty of fossil fuels, the world oil price was very low (indicating oversupply). As a result, the country was not getting enough revenue for reinvestment in new oil fields and to repay debt and meet other obligations. The world’s self-organizing economy squeezed out the least efficient oil producer, which was the Soviet Union. The fact that the economy was Communist, and thus allocated resources and rewards in a strange way, may have also played a role in the collapse.
Figure 5 shows the widespread impact of the collapse of the central government of the Soviet Union.
[5] The narrative, “We are moving away from fossil fuels to prevent climate change,” seems to be self-organized by the dissipative structures underlying Advanced Economies.
The real story is that fossil fuels are moving away from us. Somehow, we must adapt, very quickly, to this disastrous situation. But this is not a story that politicians can tell their constituents, or that universities can tell their students who are studying for future job opportunities. Instead, they need a “best case” scenario: There is perhaps something we can do; we can transition away from fossil fuel use quickly.
It is not possible to explain to the public what is really happening. Instead, a “Sour Grapes” scenario is presented. In this narrative, the current economy can continue, much as today, without fossil fuels. (This is clearly nonsense in a physics-based economy, with today’s “renewables.”) We should move away from fossil fuels because they add too much carbon dioxide to the atmosphere.
It should be noted that this “we-can-move-from-fuels narrative” has been spearheaded by the International Energy Association (IEA), which is an arm of the OECD. (I mentioned earlier that I have equated OECD with Advanced Economies). Countries included in “Other than Advanced Economies,” at best, claim lip service to limiting carbon emissions. Their primary interest is in raising the living standards of their populations. To a significant extent, the fossil fuels that Advanced Economies decide not to use can be used by Other than Advanced Economies.
Figure 6 below shows that the efforts of IEA/OECD to reduce carbon dioxide emissions have worked in precisely the wrong direction, on a world basis. Preliminary data for 2023 shows that world carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels rose by another 1.1%.
The plan to reduce carbon emissions for participating countries was first specified in the Kyoto Protocol of 1997. The World Trade Organization (WTO) began a little earlier than this, in 1995. The purpose of the WTO was to increase world trade and thus the total goods and services the world economy was able to produce. In some sense, the Kyoto Protocol and the WTO had opposite objectives. The only way more goods and services could be produced was by using more fossil fuels.
Figure 6 shows that fossil fuel emissions increased sharply after China joined the WTO in December 2001. China was able to ramp up its industrial production using its very large coal resources. It is not clear that the Kyoto Protocol did much besides encouraging Advanced Economies to move their manufacturing elsewhere. This paved the way for the industrialization of Other than Advanced Economies, mainly by burning coal. At the same time, the Advanced Economies have been turned into service economies that are dependent upon Other than Advanced Economies for manufactured goods of nearly all kinds.
NASA says that when carbon dioxide is added to the atmosphere, it stays around for 300 to 1000 years. NASA also reports that the increase in atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa was the highest ever in 2023.
The increases shown on Figure 7 are relative to a large base. As percentages, they range from about 0.2% per year in the earliest periods to about 0.6% per year in recent periods.
In summary, whatever the Advanced Economies are doing to restrict emissions still leaves the world’s emissions from fossil fuels, as well as atmospheric emissions, rising fairly rapidly. Given the self-organizing nature of the world economy, I am doubtful that there is anything we humans can do to fix this situations. The people in Other than Advanced Economies need fossil fuels to feed their growing populations, and to give them the basic necessities of life.
[6] Figure 8 shows the path that Advanced Economies seem to be following.
In my opinion, with less oil and other energy per capita, Advanced Economies have become increasingly hollowed out, with more of their manufacturing transferred to Other than Advanced Economies.
In Figure 8, economies start out small, with growing resources per capita. As resource limits are hit, economic growth slows, and well-paying jobs become harder to get, especially for young people. In agricultural economies, the problem is that farms need to get smaller and smaller if there are too many surviving children, and they all want to be farmers. Clearly, too small a farm will not feed a growing family.
In the case of Advanced Economies, they become hollowed out because they find themselves increasingly dependent on imported goods and services. Other than Advanced Economies, with lower wages, less overhead for heating/cooling homes and health care, and lower energy costs, can produce manufactured goods more cheaply than Advanced Economies.
As Advanced Economies lose manufacturing and industries such as mining, they also become more dependent on debt and government programs. This added debt becomes increasingly hard to service, especially when interest rates rise.
Advanced Economies become particularly vulnerable to adverse changes because they have lost the ability to manufacture many of the goods required for everyday living. In fact, it becomes a problem even to fight wars, because many of the materials required to make weapons need to be imported from overseas.
Over the long-term, collapse may occur, but this collapse is unlikely to occur all at once. Instead, it can be expected to be what is sometimes called catabolic collapse, which takes place in steps. Parts of the economy will hold together as long as there are resources to support those parts. Future changes in Advanced Economies can be thought of as being somewhat like the changes to the economy in 2020 (indirectly related to Covid-19), but “on steroids.”
[7] Some of the kinds of changes that can be expected.
We don’t know precisely what changes to economies lie ahead, but these are some ideas of things might happen to Advanced Economies before a full collapse.
[a] Loss of the “hegemony” of the US. In the years since World War II, the US has taken on the role of the world’s policeman. But the US has been having increased difficulties when it comes to actually winning the wars it gets involved in. It is very difficult for the US to make weapons in quantity when large parts of the supply lines involve other countries. Also, today’s weapons aren’t necessarily suited to dealing with today’s attacks, such as by the Houthi Group in the Red Sea.
Changes may already be starting. We hear about Victoria Nuland’s recent abrupt retirement as Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs. She is described as “a determined advocate of tough policies toward Vladimir Putin.” She is being replaced, at least temporarily, by John Bass, who oversaw the US withdrawal from Afghanistan.
[b] Loss of the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency. The US has had a financial advantage, as long as all other countries had to first change their currencies to the US dollar, in order to trade among themselves. This arrangement allowed the US to import more than it exported, year after year. It also allowed the US to use sanctions against other countries to cut off their trading abilities.
Changes already seem to be starting to reduce the role of the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency. In May 2023, Reuters reported, Vast China-Russia resources trade shifts to yuan from dollars in Ukraine fallout. Also, the BRICS nations have been working on an alternative currency, as a possible replacement currency for trading. And, of course, there are all kinds of cryptocurrencies that might be expected to facilitate purchases across borders.
[c] Major loss of trans-Atlantic and trans-Pacific freight trade and passenger travel. An easy way to save oil would be to stop shipping goods as far as producers do today. Unfortunately, quite a bit of what we purchase in the US has supply lines that start in China.
Without trans-Atlantic or trans-Pacific supply lines, many goods the US depends upon would disappear from shelves in the US. Computers and telephones, for example, might become unavailable, as would many drugs, especially low-cost drugs. Even high-quality steel drilling pipes, used for oil extraction, might become difficult to obtain.
It is not clear how the US would deal with this issue. It is likely that the economy would need to find substitutes or get along without whatever is lost due to broken supply lines.
[d] Significant defaults on financial promises of all kinds, including bonds, loans made by banks, rental contracts, and derivatives. Ultimately, a decline in asset prices seems likely.
The amount of debt and financial products used in Advanced Economies is at record levels. If a major recession occurs, debt defaults and derivative failures can be expected. Some renters will default on their contracts. Bank failures can be expected, as well.
Politicians will not want to throw people out of their homes; they likely won’t even want to take their automobiles away. Instead, it is likely to be those who are counting on wealth from long-term promises made by poor people who lose out. For example, some of today’s wealthy people may find their wealth disappears when renters cannot make payments on their apartments or farms.
If bank lending starts becoming a problem, peer-to-peer lending may start to take a larger role. This would seem to be the equivalent of replacing taxis by Ubers and replacing hotels by private citizens renting out rooms. The total amount of debt available will fall. With less debt available, asset prices of all kinds will tend to fall.
[e] Much more interest in reusing old buildings, old furnishings, and old clothes. Also, making use of salvaged parts of buildings and spare parts from old mechanical equipment, including automobiles.
If the making of goods that depend on overseas supply lines becomes difficult, substitutes such as previously used goods will likely be in demand. For example, we may go back to sourcing replacement parts from automobiles parked in junk yards.
Local entrepreneurs will find ways to make use of whatever goods can be used again. Such work may be a new source of jobs.
[8] We are likely to have a bumpy road ahead. Energy and the economy work together in very strange ways. While the path is generally downward for the world, the part of the world that uses energy very sparingly has a better chance of maintaining and even increasing its standard of living.
Our self-organizing economy puts together all kinds of narratives that lead us to believe that we certainly know the only path forward (and, in fact, we can control the economy to follow this path). But the system doesn’t behave the way we think it does. We assume that if we in the United States or Europe stop using fossil fuels, it will reduce the world’s use of fossil fuels. For example, stopping the Keystone XL Pipeline in 2021 was considered a great environmental victory. But now we read, Canada could lead the world in oil production growth in 2024.
This extra production will likely be going west to China and to other Asian destinations. Canada’s expanded Trans Mountain Pipeline will open in April 2024, adding 590,000 barrels per day of export capacity. If US protestors don’t want Canada’s “tar sands,” many people in China and other poor countries certainly want it. The very heavy oil that Canada produces is ideal for producing diesel, which the world economy is short of.
Likewise, the US may have bypassed easily mineable coal in its rush to shift electricity generation to natural gas. If the US cannot maintain its military strength, this coal becomes a valuable resource for any military power that wants to test its strength against the US. This available coal makes war against the US by other powers more likely. It is well known that a major reason for wars is to obtain energy resources for one’s own people.
We don’t know what is ahead. The “truths” that we are sure we know, aren’t necessarily true. The world economy seems likely to head downward slowly, but this general downward movement will be in spurts. Trying to predict exactly what is ahead is close to impossible.
Saltwater floods community and poisons one of the most fertile areas on Earth: ‘Affecting the lives of over 100,000 families’
Coastal cities worldwide have already begun bracing themselves for rising sea levels.
By Doric SamMarch 25, 2024
https://www.thecooldown.com/outdoors/saltwater-intrusion-impact-vietnam-communities/
VNExpress reported that salt intrusion at several rivers and streams in the Mekong Delta provinces of Ben Tre and Tien Giang has led to a spike in salinity levels that is “affecting the lives of over 100,000 families.”
It was noted that consumable water usually has a salinity level of 0.5/1,000, and any water with higher levels than that should not be consumed. When salinity levels reach around 3/1,000, it becomes dangerous for laundry use and showering because it can ruin washing machines or water heaters.
The affected communities in Vietnam saw their salinity levels rise to 2.2-5/1,000. In Tien Giang, 51,000 families have been impacted by salinity levels of 2.2-3.2/1,000 along the Tien River section in My Tho City, which the region’s Steering Committee for Natural Disaster Prevention, Search and Rescue said is higher than the same period in 2023. Things are even worse in Ben Tre City, as Dang Hoang Lam, director of the Ben Tre Province Hydro-Meteorological Station, told VNExpress that salinity levels in the nearby rivers have reached 5/1,000, affecting 50,000 families.
The My Hoa Station, located about 48 kilometers away from the mouth of the Mekong Delta, recorded salinity levels as high as 10/1,000.
In the U.S., a study published by researchers at the University of California, Berkeley, UCLA, and the nonprofit Climate Central revealed that rising sea levels threaten to flood hundreds of toxic sites near vulnerable coastal communities in California, which could spread toxins throughout the area and affect drinking water, thereby putting human and animal health at risk.
Here in South Florida the same is occurring, salt water intrusion to the aquifer..
Need to keep flushing toilets and water the greens on golf courses and front lawns.
There is no evidence the global sea level is rising. Land sinks in some places and rises in others which is entirely normal geological activity and nothing to do with CC. Cliffs eroding away is also normal.
Whatever you claim …don’t wish to lecture you but..
The Verge.com
The amount of hydropower generated in the Western US last year was the lowest it’s been in more than two decades. Hydropower generation in the region fell by 11 percent during the 2022–2023 water year compared to the year prior, according to preliminary data from the Energy Information Administration’s Electricity Data
Browser — its lowest point since 2001.
That includes states west of the Dakotas and Texas, where 60 percent of the nation’s hydropower was generated. These also happen to be the states — including California, Nevada, Arizona, and New Mexico — that climate change is increasingly sucking dry. And in a reversal of fortunes, typically wetter states in the Northeast — normally powerhouses for hydropower generation — were the hardest hit. You can blame extreme heat and drought for the drop in hydropower last year.
This is all feeds a vicious cycle
This creates a vicious cycle: drought reduces the amount of clean energy available from hydroelectric dams. To avoid energy shortfalls, utilities wind up relying on fossil fuels to make up the difference. That leads to more of the greenhouse gas emissions causing climate change, which makes droughts worse.
Heat was another problem in the Western US during the last water year, which starts over in October in order to account for both winter snow and summer rain.
Temperatures rose a startling 30 degrees Fahrenheit above normal in the Pacific Northwest during a May 2023 heatwave.
Western states typically rely on slowly melting snowpack for water during dry summer months, but much of that snowpack vanished with the heat in May. That left the Northwest with below-average water supply for the rest of the water year. Hydropower in Washington and Oregon fell by at least 20 percent during the last water year. Combined, the two states normally make up 37 percent of the nation’s hydropower capacity.
California, in contrast, experienced a bit of a reprieve from a megadrought that has plagued the Southwest for some two decades. A series of atmospheric river storms in 2023 were a double-edged sword, dropping record amounts of snow and rain in parts of the state while also causing disastrous flooding in communities more accustomed to dry weather. But while hydropower production rose in the Golden State last year, it’s forecast to fall again this year.
Of course, this is not evidence either…
It is too bad that there is absolutely nothing we can do to fix this problem.
Of course, but we can add to it by all means..been doing that for some time now.
Not complaining or pointing any blame.
As you clearly shown in your latest article here, the direct correlation of population to fossil fuels expansion…naturally, there will be some reaction.. unfortunately, seems to me at least, the first one is what is typically done by humans..
Gail, thank you for your response..at this stage of our reign..nothing can be done..other than make it more severe
One can run a business at 110% for a while, but when things break down, the decline is precipitous. The US is running flat out, e.g. oil production, the economy.
As you have so ably pointed out, per capita energy is declining.
Won’t bore everyone with my solutions.
Dennis L.
It isn’t evidence, no. weather is not climate.
OK, that was a completely documented statement if I ever heard one..
Groucho Marx
Maybe we should go down further this hole?
I think not..
OK, that was a completely documented statement if I ever heard one..
It is an axiom of CC science.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/blog/hot-planet/dont-be-fooled-weather-is-not-climate/
https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/what-difference-between-weather-and-climate-change
This creates a vicious cycle: drought reduces the amount of clean energy available from hydroelectric dams.
And obviously it isn’t clean energy since it involves millions of tons of concrete and steel.
There is also a CO2 effect of the dying vegetation caused by the trapped plants under the water supply. This effect is greatest at first.
Today, we need to import the steel for almost all industrial uses.
I enjoy these so much…the debating circle is s so entertaining
I enjoy these so much…the debating circle is s so entertaining
I believe OFW understand the issues better than anywhere else, even if some of us are somewhat mentally divergent.
Boy, you are hardcore..you need evidence ..pay a visit to Justin Panopticon blig
About Panopticon
For the purposes of this website, I prefer to hide behind a pseudonym. It is not my intention to be enigmatic or unfriendly though. It’s just that economic collapse and ecological breakdown are highly emotive topics, even if they are considerably less niche and controversial than when I first went down these rabbit holes in 2011, and I live in a small, rather remote community where tongues wag.
You’ll have plenty of evidence there..
See you…
Why didn’t post the link Withnail?
Sure you did…another spin interpretation if I ever I heard one.
Boy, Gail was so correct, this is a very unfriendly CC site…so glad it is because it has no significance
Mike, I think you are very fortunate that Fast Eddy isn’t around.
Because if he was, he’d be mocking, poking and harassing you relentlessly.
The sort of ridicule that reduces grown men to tears and sends their blood pressure up.
So yes, you are indeed fortunate that you only have Withnail disagreeing with some of your claims, because Withnail is a polite and a thoughtful member of the OFW community
Most of the rest of us, I suspect are so tired, bored, and generally fed up to the teeth hearing about climate disaster just around the corner for the past forty years now—and yes, your guru Hanson has been going on about it that long—that we’ve become callous, jaded, and have no more figs, hoots, or tinker’s curses to give.
In fact, even believers in Thermageddon are increasingly running out of enthusiasm as the Arctic ice persistently fails to melt away completely every summer and snow steadfastly refuses to become a thing of the past.
Even Greta, back in November, put climate on the back burner, so to speak, behind the situation in Gaza, in terms of priority, much to the chagrin on one bloke who said he “came here for a climate demonstration, not a political view”, while trying to pull the microphone from Ms Thunberg’s hands.
After he was escorted away, Greta joined the crowd in chanting “no climate justice on occupied land.”
If not even Greta can remain focused on climate fear-porn, I don’t see what hope the rest of us have.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-67403268
Behind paywall so only a short preview on the hydro power crisis in Canada .
https://www.wsj.com/us-news/climate-environment/canada-had-designs-on-being-a-hydro-superpower-now-its-rivers-and-lakes-are-drying-up-928ef721
I have a subscription. Here is some of it:
Canada Had Designs on Being a Hydro Superpower. Now Its Rivers and Lakes Are Drying Up.
About 70% of the country is suffering from abnormally dry or drought conditions, forcing it to start up old gas-fired power plants.
Caption under photo: “Canada is the third-largest hydroelectricity producer in the world, but dry conditions have forced it to cut exports.”
We have heard similar stories, for years, in countries around the world, with hydropower. In recent years, we have run into hydropower shortages in China, Spain, Norway, and Venezuela. The intermittency of hydroelectric is really a multi-year intermittency problem. A country cannot count on hydroelectric. Countries with seasonal rain patterns (rainy season version dry season) cannot provide electricity to support year-around industry. It is worth very little because of its intermittency.
Falling water levels in rivers are correlated with suncycles and sunspots, for example during the Maunder minimum. In Europe, meanwhile old low-level markings in river beds with dates start to reappear.
As much as I remember, the lower intensity of the sunwind allows more cosmic rays to reach earth. Cosmic rays are neutrinos. They can act as nuclei to start the condensing of clouds. This interferes with the usual cloud building process and leads to changed precipitation schemes. The water is not gone. It has only rained down at another place already.
The world is a-changing. Think of the bottleneck of ice age and what people had to do to come through.
Do you know Don Quichote from Cervantes? At that time the watermills had to be replaced by windmills because water supply fell short. It was the Malthesians that brought the technology from the Mediterranean to La Mancha in Spain.
Cosmic rays are initially particles abundant in supernovas, protons predominantly but also helium and iron nuclei. They can seed clouds because they are charged. These particles interact with the top of the atmosphere and they create also mesons, 2/3 of them charged and also able to seed clouds,that eventually decay into muons (charged) and neutrinos. Muons get absorbed in the top crust.
Neutrinos are not charged and do not seed clouds. But they could bring energy (heat) deep into mantle and core, although almost certainly in small amounts.
Good to know..thank you..
Does a tin foiled hat get better reception, I wonder?
second reply today that makes no sense to me. It is just an explanation of what cosmic rays are and do.
second reply today that makes no sense to me. It is just an explanation of what cosmic rays are and do.
I just quoted NASA’s official CC site to Mike and he thought I made up the quote myself.
Whatever, glad you think it’s pertinent..
Makes no sense to me either
well, I read just above that cosmic rys are neutrinos which can seed clouds…
Well, this was from memory.
The sunwind usually “blows away” the cosmic rays, that otherwise seed clouds.
I wanted to point to sun cycles, in case anyone wants to make more research or look at an alternative explanation. I am not a specialist in this.
Neutrinos do almost nothing. Except in the movie where they mutate. Setting aside the science illiterate premise it was a good movie.
It seems like this has been a problem (in various forms) for thousands of years. Irrigation often seems to pull too much fresh water out and encourage salt water intrusion.
Salinity increasing due to fresh water extraction near costal areas, at least that is what was the buzz when I was in the Cebu, Philippines years ago. They were already noticing that to get fresh water, they were having to drill wells at ever increasing distances from the ocean, and deeper.
May be of interest to some. Yann LeCun, French, obviously moved to America. For those of you who don’t know, I am American, recognize some of the shortcomings, appreciate greatly what is positive.
https://www.bing.com/videos/riverview/relatedvideo?q=lecunn&mid=EB75BBA16DDCBBF82CE6EB75BBA16DDCBBF82CE6&FORM=VIRE
LeCun won the Turing Prize, talented.
Listening to LeCun, mentioned Shannon, Claude, always Claude from the early fifties. He is overweight, tough to have chair time and still make time for exercise. Have a trainer, close to home; he is very important. Trainers are not tax deductible, sick care is. Life is inconsistent.
There is a lot in this lecture. If you like it, it is an interesting world and we are going forward. Here’s to a cubic mile of Pt and water as pollution.
Dennis L.
Only an American could be as relentlessly positive as you Dennis
Not every American. Just him.
kul,
We have staked our positions, time will tell.
The good news for me is if things fall apart as badly as some here expect, there will be few/any to record it. If things break my way, I win, spaceship earth wins.
Dennis L.
Pascal’s Wager. Kulm will know it.
Pascal did not know what god to follow so he sacrificed in vain
A big problem in the US is lack of enough electricity to do anything very electricity intensive, at scale. AI can’t work at large scale; neither can EVs. Autonomous machine intelligence likely cannot be scaled, if it can be done at all.
People just don’t get it. They think Tesla somehow makes the electricity appear when they build charging stations. In fact connecting them to the grid is a major problem.
I see an electric car on every block in many major cities. That must mean the electricity is there. Wind turbines, solar panels are all bringing massive amounts of electricity online to power the latest cutting edge technology whether that EVs, or Artificial intelligence.
As many OFW posters have noted, we are edging closer to the Singularity. The current market set-backs are accelerating this transition. We are transitioning towards an autonomous robo-capitalist system. All I hope is I own enough AIs so I can have an income in the future and therefore can demand what I need, have the robots make for me on spec.
your future singularity will be the one where , after going round in ever decreasing circles, you disappear up your own fundamental singularity.
EV’s are terrestrial, not much of a solution for that with current industrial electrical usage.
Move industry to space, things change; move “mining” to space and use raw metals, things change. Move AI to space and things change, bonus is cooling, space is way too cool.
TINA, if anyone has another solution, I am open to hear it.
Dennis L.
I don’t have ‘another’ solution because you don’t have a solution, you have a fantasy. And obviously no solution is possible.
yup
stop daydreaming dennis
and stop rummaging around in that scrabble bag
It’s the gloom and doom that’s a fantasy. There’s a term for that. Dystopia. Very popular with people who choose not to adapt a high-tech future.
i try to present evidence for the stuff i write, that is out there to be checked by anyone inclined to do so.
none of it is fantasy, daydreams or my own wishful thinking.
we built our current form of civilisation on cheap surplus energy—there’s none left
game over
i don’t make stuff up
Great minds think alike! Elon Musk is having similar thoughts . Technological solutions are on the way. All we have to do is invest and educate ourselves for the jobs of tomorrow.
invest==money===energy
you cannot separate them….they are co dependent.—each requires the other in order to exist in ways we can prosper by it.
”investing” without the backup of cheap surplus energy will not create money or prosperity, or a future for humankind.
energy exists of itself of course, but unless we find ways to put it to work, it is of no use to us, except as a conversion of sunlight.
An early slide says:
Machine Learning systems (most of them anyway)
• Have a constant number of computational steps between input and
output.
• Do not reason.
• Cannot plan.
Humans and some animals
• Understand how the world works.
• Can predict the consequences of their actions.
• Can perform chains of reasoning with an unlimited number of steps.
• Can plan complex tasks by decomposing it into sequences of subtasks
He then talks about what is currently be done with AI:
What are Auto-Regressive LLMs Good For?
• Auto-Regressive LLMs are good for
• Writing assistance, first draft generation, stylistic polishing.
• Code writing assistance
What they not good for:
• Producing factual and consistent answers (hallucinations!)
• Taking into account recent information (anterior to the last training)
• Behaving properly (they mimic behaviors from the training set)
• Reasoning, planning, math
• Using “tools”, such as search engines, calculators, database queries…
• We are easily fooled by their fluency.
• But they don’t know how the world works.
Auto-Regressive LLMs are doomed.
• They cannot be made factual, non-toxic, etc.
• They are not controllable
• Probability e that any produced token takes us outside of the set of correct answers
• Probability that answer of length n is correct:
• P(correct) = (1-e)^n
• This diverges exponentially.
• It’s not fixable (without a major redesign).
He then goes into some ideas for other approaches.
Dogs CAN make assuptions about reality and even recognize if hooman lies.
You may want to activate subtitles and auto-translation:
https://youtu.be/4BanPhjx1Hg?si=cU5GJcQlPk23dCPH
I am not so sure that humans can, though.
In Germany, new documents prove that the government has lied on purpose over the vaxx. It is a large scandal.
https://multipolar-magazin.de/artikel/rki-protokolle-1
The responsible minister is still in office. People don’t believe, that they have lied. They cannot imagine, that the same people – WHO contracts – might lie again.
What leads to the conclusion that Germans are more stupid than dogs, right?
I do not give a crap about all these awards and prizes, it is just showing what person sings a better tune to please the Establishment,
There are no machine intelligence. To get there hardware has to be multiplied by at least a factor of 1,000, which is next to impossible, barring the unicorn shit you imagine.
This Zerohedge article seems to be related to something we were discussing a day or two ago.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/india-suspends-venezuela-oil-purchases-fearing-us-sanctions-return-stops-accepting-russian
India Suspends Venezuela Oil Purchases Fearing U.S. Sanctions Return, Stops Accepting Russian Oil Tankers
India imports very little ( 191,000 barrels out of a total import of 4.8 mbpd) . 68 % exported to China .More likely ”to advise them that Russian oil remains perfectly eligible for under the table purchases . ”
https://www.bnamericas.com/en/news/who-is-buying-venezuelan-crude-oil
Will this kind of suit push the WTO down?
The WSJ is reporting:
China Files WTO Complaint Against U.S. Over Electric-Vehicle Subsidies
Beijing is challenging the Biden administration’s Inflation Reduction Act, which it calls discriminatory
Ravi Uppal 4 had posted the link from Mike Meyer, who hates Trump. I read some of Meyer’s stuff and they are interesting, albeit with his own biases.
https://rlandok.substack.com/p/the-weekly-flail-march-22-2023
TECHNOLOGY
>We are still in the steam age, even with nuclear fusion.
>Even high-tech fusion plants will use steam to produce electricity.
> This simple fact means that even as the dream of fusion power creeps closer, we will still be in the Steam Age. The first commercial fusion plant will rely on cutting-edge technology able to contain plasma far hotter than the sun’s core – but it will still be wedded to a humble steam turbine converting heat to movement to electricity. [Source: The Conversation]
Apparently the steam engine never really went away, and even fusion needs steam engines.
Has there been any real progress since around 1972? I don’t think so, just more iterations of the same thing with no real advances.
A huge problem with steam is not enough water to power such types of generation. This puts a limit on how much generation of this type can be built. In some cases, this water can be salt water. Using water, and returning it to the system, tends to heat the water where it is returned.
Steam turbines are used practically everywhere–geothermal, burning wood chips to produce electricity, burning waste to produce electricity, nuclear, generation using coal, generation by burning oil, and a large share of generation by burning natural gas.
It is my understanding that “coal-to-liquid” or “natural-gas-to-liquid” plants also use water. Of course, the output here is liquid fuels, not electricity.
It is natural gas “peaking plants,” which are not very efficient, wind, and solar that don’t use steam, as far as I know.
I have heard that part of the reason why Afghanistan has little electricity is because it doesn’t have enough water.
“Has there been any real progress..”
‘Progress’ is the word we give to mankind’s search for new ways to dissipate energy and produce waste.
Fortunately, it appears there won’t be much more of it.
Fortunately, it appears there won’t be much more of it.
I don’t know about fortunately. I’m not really looking forward to being dismembered by machete or expelling more than my bodyweight per day as I die agonisingly of cholera.
There’s a whole genre of apocalyptic and
post-collapse fiction. You could hang with the best of it🤗
And then there’s the rats.
Besides fire, fungi and silverfish.
Paper is doomed.
Besides fire, fungi and silverfish.
Paper is doomed.
I was thinking about rats eating me while too weak to fight them off but of course that’s indeed what will happen to books.
Indeed. I think I raised the point on this site at one point that it’s disappointing that we can’t directly and efficiently capture energy from individual particles.
Perhaps sometime in the future there could be a breakthrough in this area. Or, is this just wishful thinking?
That is thermodynamics.
Good point!
The engine efficiency is 1-T-1/T-2. For large engines such as nuclear plants you have to use water because of its large thermal capacity (the transition from water to steam and back uses 2MJ/kg). It does not matter whether you use water or anything else, the efficiency is only dictated by the two end points of the cycle. So we will keep using water. It is just an accident that we started using water for its convenience, and we continued because it was the sole viable option for moving heat in 3GW amounts. But we could certainly use water at higher temperatures and therefore higher efficiencies, with novel types of reactors. The guy who invented this clearly had enemies.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clean_and_Environmentally_Safe_Advanced_Reactor
That is thermodynamics.
Maxwell’s Daemon?
That’s not the issue that I’m addressing. There’s no fundamental reason we have to depend on mass-action (eg. pressure-to-mechanical-to-electrical). We could use molecular/atomic conversion that can extract energy from individual atoms or molecules, like enzymes generally or ATPases specifically do, but we lack the sophistication to do so. There would still be energy losses and I’m not claiming otherwise.
the efficiency will still be e=1-T1/T2, that is my point.
Photon, to electron, to proton and back to electron as it were. Solar energy made possible by Pt “mining” which in turn is made possible by Starship which will be aided by AI.
I see a great deal of sunk capital.
Dennis L.
Made possible by unicorn shit, which defies the laws of thermodynamics?
Holy S****
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/_G-rNE6C2Dk
I Am The Mob’s post is about a 1.6 mile long bridge in Baltimore that has just collapsed aftrer being hit by a cargo ship.
Captain Long John Covid!
Maybe I’m wrong, but it seems to me a warning, like it was the ship evergreen blocked in the Suez canal during Covid …
It was a warning not accepted.
Then we had the Red Sea crisis…
I suppose it is possible to get into the computer controlling the ship, hijack it and steer the ship in a way that the pilots does not intend. And just like that, the Kerch bridge has not collapsed but the interstate Baltimore bridge sure has.
In my view it could be even easier with a drunk captain and a ‘friend’ pilot who accepts a proposal that cannot be refused..
More about this here .
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2024/03/baltimore-bridge-incident.html#more
The Moon of Alabama article linked below says:
“It seems that there were technical difficulties on board. Probably a primary rudder machine failure followed by difficulties to activate the secondary.”
zerohedge states the ship lost and reacquired propulsion three times while approaching the bridge. I wonder if this is enough to create this, as one can always steer if the rudder is working.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/watch-huge-bridge-baltimore-collapses-after-container-ship-strike
More about it. The ship clearly loses all power on approach as it goes dark. That is when they lost the rudder. Power then returns and goes off a second time. Black smoke is visible from the chimney, meaning they are trying to get into reverse, but that makes the ship careen (this I guess is normal. you first come to a near stop then go into reverse). One anchor is dropped on the side away from the pylon according to reports to try and steer the ship using that. I vote accident.
Accidents happen frequently lately in shipping.
In my view, there is the possibility that they are made on purpose, but in a clever way.
And of course that they are simply accidents.
Not sure what to vote.
Norway
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/norwegian-navy-shadows-chinese-vessel-probed-over-baltic-pipe-damage-2023-10-18/
Suez
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-57746424
https://ourfiniteworld.com/2024/02/14/should-the-us-add-more-lng-export-approvals/comment-page-7/#comment-454951
That was Dennis L’s surprising response to me when I had said Eisenhower screwed up by stopping the US 9th Army at Magdeburg, when Walther Wench, the only thing between the US forces and Berlin, and General Gotthard Heinrici, , who was in charge of defending Berlin, both wanted to surrender to the Americans to avoid the horrors Berlin would suffer under Soviet Hands.
For someone who believes in starships and all that, it was a surprising response since I thought he would stop at nothing to bring his fantasies true.
The total US casualties, not EIsenhower’s calculation which was conjured up to defend his stupid move, would have been 5,000 US dead and 10,000 wounded, which is much less than what USA would suffer in Korea, a country which was completely irrelevant as far as US interest was concerned. It would have been better if the USA showed a middle finger to Stalin and let him have Korea, which would have been the Koreans’ problem.
It showed the world that USA is willing to sacrifice its moral superiority to save the lives of a few rednecks, and led the rest of the world never really be able to trust USA for everything.
That aside, entering the new Type I Civ is not cheap. Horrors which will make the 1845 famine look like a potato harvest gone wrong will lead the transition to the Type I Civ. It won’t be peaceful and easy; in fact the thing in Ukraine is a revolt against Civilization led by Russia, who has no seats post Type I Civ.
I have argued for years about 100% to tech, nothing to the people. Nothing. A massive pop reduction, 90-99% of today’s figure, is inevitable.
Humanity failed the test to reach the next level of civ, because it failed to abandon its compassion, dictated by the residue of Christianity, which led the part of pop consuming too much resources without contributing much to civilization to eat up everything before the final leg of the journey could commence.
It doesn’t matter now if Putin and his ilk disappear into the vacuum now. The decay is inevitable, and what happens to Putin & Co is now not that important.
why pick on Dennis, Kulm? You two have a lot in common that sets you apart in this forum. Specifically you can not understand that there are physical constraints to reality. He wants a cubic mile of Pt, and you want space energy. you are both outside of reality.
Because he tries to spread an ideology which blatantly ignores limits of earth and resource scarcity and his analysis is based upon faulty assumptions which I have debunked a few times , knowing it will fall into deaf ears since there is no convincing of a true believer.
reality is pure “Alice in Wonderland”
it means whatever you want it to mean
Norman,
I am a discover of the universe, things do not mean whatever I want them to mean. If it is a narrative is means the story is consistent with reality. If the narrative does not match reality, modify the narrative.
Dennis L.
dennis
your reality is a thing of your own creation
you adjust your narrative to suit that reality
No,
I am very analytical, if the world does not fit my narrative, I work on the narrative. That is the beauty of having been independent for most/all of my life; I formed groups, I did not join them. No sarcasm, it means my dinner did not depend on being part of a given herd. I was lucky, no more, no less.
Dennis L.
kulm old boy i did a bit of checking on “Chucky” and it turns out he was the son in law of Winston Churchills grandfather. Winston was alledgedly part of the “illuminati” therefore Chucky is just a pawn in the greater scheme of things.youve got it all wrong old boy .What we are seeing now in the world is the planned cull utilizing the jab threats of ww3 is their way of pushing us in the direction of mandatory vaccination.
Without Chucky, Winston would not have had the chance to do his greatest screwup at Gallipoli, called Canakkale by the Turks.
But in my opinion Mustafa Kemal should have been caught, brought to London to be tried, and thrown to the sea somewhere between Australia and New Zealand.
Chucky and his 200/400 Worcestshires might have been just pawns, but without them the screwups would not have occurred, so they are going to be held responsible.
Also I include the 200/400 Worcestershires to illustrate that ordinary people, doing what they were told in a way they were taught, can create a huge screwup which can really mess civilizations up.
The billions of people around using smartphones , riding vehicles, and all that might not intend to destroy civilization and lead the world to a second dark age, but their actions, whether they intend or not, cause the top of humanity to not reach the next level of civilization so what they do should be condemned.
kul,
I stand by my comment, to this day I see a wife and her son standing by the bed of her husband with part of his face missing as well as an arm.
Perhaps Eisenhower looked at all the killing on his watch and said enough.
I appreciate what sometimes, needs to be done but it is a very serious matter and I suspect explains why military members have a history of heavy alcohol use it kills the pain. The domis at Wood stuck together, they drank together, they provided practice for many doctors in training; they seemed mentally wounded upon reflection. They alone knew what they had gone through. They were remarkably peaceful to each other, very accepting of their life.
In today’s world, they would be homeless; we did a better job in the seventies I think. It looks like the domiciliary is closed now, it was like a barracks but it did feel like home. We have lost something in our treatment of one another.
Summary; War is horrible and it is very horrible on those who are up close to it.
Dennis L.
And it returned with a huge interest from Korea and Vietnam, places ordinary Americans in 1950 never heard about and probably did not give a crap. Only Cassius Clay had the nerve to say about what the ordinary people thought about Vietnam. Apparently you are comfortable with that.
That aside, the events following from there are about to end your dream because Russia , which is not capable of starships or any of the future tech you crave, intends to use the resources for itself, not to further future tech.
In utilitarian terms, it was right to sacrifice maybe a division of troops at there, and prevent further losses, and without the moral supriority Eisenhower awarded to USSR (and later Russia), the latter would have not been able to hold during the crisis of 1990s and fall into pieces by now, with some puppet republic in Yamal, where a lot of Russia’s oil comes from, at the Arctic pumping oil to North America.
I would take that, instead of Korea and Vietnam.
Okay,
We place our bets. America is building Starship, America is very active in AI.
Viet Nam, possibly Korea were economic endeavors, moved NRR through the system. At the same time as Viet Nam there was the moon landing.
My guess is the Ukraine is more about moving money through the US system, MIC and associated governmental jobs. DARPA has commissioned Northrup to study building a railroad on the moon; moves us forward, keeps an industry intact.
Lecunn made an observation that the printing press was opposed by calligraphers which was apparently a large industry. The oil age is leaving us, it served us well. A cubic mile of Pt and all is well with the universe; it is out there somewhere, waiting to serve humanity and save spaceship earth.
Irony: the universe “runs” on H, it is most likely the near future of transportation, energy storage on earth. It is non polluting and instead of using water, it recycles it, close to perfectly.
Dennis L.
Opposition against the Vietnam War also killed the apollo program, period
The economy killed the Apollo program and the Vietnam War expenses plus declining US high quality coal production plus the 1973 oil embargo and subsequent massive price rise killed the economy.
That aside, entering the new Type I Civ is not cheap. Horrors which will make the 1845 famine look like a potato harvest gone wrong will lead the transition to the Type I Civ
I am not enthusiastic about Type I Civ. Couldn’t you sell us on the idea a bit timeshare style and make it sound fun?
Type 1 Civ. is going to be a big club, and you and me ain’t going to be in it.
It was to be a much smaller club, like the British upper class of 1910 where 4% of pop owned 90% of everything, and the irony was it was more ‘egalitarian’ than every other country in Europe back then
In a winner take all society such as type i civ, there is nothing for anyone without a connection
Sounds like we made the right decision. Your type I civilization sucks and the vast majority of people did not want it, so feel free to cry me a river that your evil desires were denied.
Notwithstanding Dennis L’s fantasies, it seems humanity has failed its test to enter to the next stage of civilization as the Hordes get stronger.
AI is not as great as it seems to be. It will get rid of a lot of redundant jobs , for sure, but won’t replace more valuable workers altogether.
The world is divided into two parts, those who are going to benefit from a new type of civ , also called today’s winners, and those who will be left behind, who are basically the rest of the world including the rednecks, the backwoodsmen, and most of the preppers.
There is to be no mercy and no resources available for the rest, as described in Marshall Brain’s Manna.
(Only chapter 4 is worth reading. He adds some feel better story after that but everything which needs to be told is in Ch 4.
https://marshallbrain.com/manna4 )
The winners , the civilization drivers, get everything and the rest nothing, and end up like these folks
https://youtu.be/OUieqzVZdQc?si=SF0H1MdsJgWPSGin
which ended the Irish problem once for all, and made sure the British dominated the world, until Chucky and his 200/400 Worcestershires ‘did their duty’.
Humanity failed to make the final separation between the winners and the rest in time. Now they are attempting, but , again, it is going to be too little, too late.
“Now they are attempting, but , again, it is going to be too little, too late.”
Maybe, the universe wants us here, biology is extremely rare; a convenient thumb will be placed on the scale but not before the discomfort has caused a reexamination of the current narratives.
Dennis L.
We don’t know whether the universe is even aware of earth. No one has asked the universe’s opinion in humanity.
The Borrowers
https://youtu.be/VlMe7PavaRQ?si=C3r_YdPKByutXrzt
The borrowers, tiny fairies, have to hide around the humans and if they are found they have to leave.
They come from the renters/squatters of post WW2 London, where the bombed out cityscape led to a housing shortgage and a lot of renters/squatters had to hide around the homeowners who would rather not have anything to do with them.
We are borrowers against the universe, no matter how good we want to imagine ourselves. We had our chances, and you prefer to believe that we still have a chance, while that the window of opportunity closed around 2016.
I think we do know the Universe’s opinion of humanity. There have been an awfully lot of amazing coincidences that that made the Earth a place that is fit for human’s to live. See the book, Rare Earth: Why Complex Life Is Uncommon in the Universe by Peter Ward and Donald Brownlee.
Conditions in the UK in the early post war period were even worse than during 1939-45.
I actually remember in the 1970s there were still bombed out buildings from the war where I live.
which ended the Irish problem once for all
The Irish problem did not end as any British person who grew up in the 70s could tell you.
It ended the Irish ever gaining significant power in UK, like the blacks in USA. The Irish problem in 70s is a child’s play compared to what would happened if the Irish , whose pop of 7 mil back then was almost half of the entire pop of Great Britain at 15 mil, including 1 mil Anglo-Irish, posing a very big threat.
I don’t think Ireland was or is much of a threat to us, more the other way around.
Interesting Zerohedge article. It sounds like Putin would like Biden out, and will cut Russia’s production to try raise world oil prices. US production is down also.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/oil-surges-us-production-unexpectedly-tumbles-after-shale-merger-wave-fizzles-russia-orders
Oil Surges As US Production Unexpectedly Tumbles After Shale Merger Wave Fizzles; Russia Orders Companies To Cut Production
https://assets.zerohedge.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_mobile/public/inline-images/oil%20production%20US%202.jpg
Later:
Russia doesn’t care who the US president is. It doesn’t matter.
I dont know…. there was a time lasting about four years where nothing bad was happening to Russia. Im sure they long for times like that.
Nothing has changed. Trump was arming and training Ukraine. It is of no importance who the president is.
Self-organizing systems seem to run from the bottom up, or in some unknown way, not based on what someone on top says.
Yes, determinism was a humanist idea which seems to have started with the enlightenment. I little knowledge can be dangerous, but with time we humans learn, discard what does not work and move forward.
Dennis L.
I hope your correct Gail.
When I witness Justin Trudeau, Christia Freeland and the entire Canadian liberal cabinet are hanging from short ropes attached to idling Kenworth’s in front of Canukistan’s Parliament to the roar of approving crowds……..then,….I will be fully converted.
A comeuppance for the US. Here it was the US who had thought it could bring down Russia, but now Putin appears to have gained the upper hand through a cascade of US miscalculations and turned the tables on Biden.
Gail , I have earlier pointed this out that the refineries producing 600,000 bbl of diesel are damaged . This is 2.5 mbpd of crude . Sanctions are on export of crude . Understand the price cap on Russian crude is $ 70 but Nymex price is $ 83 . Why sell at a discount of 20-30 % ( $ 50 per Bbl) . A simple decision to cut oil production than try to go thru the circuitous route . Russian crude is now uneconomical to buy for China and India because of the Red Sea problem . It is safer and hassle free to import from the Middle East for these two countries . Yes , this is a problem for Biden but then there is always collateral damage , and bad decisions boomerang .
“Russian crude is now uneconomical to buy for China and India because of the Red Sea problem.”
I will agree that India have told all refineries to refuse Russian crude, but China?
Can you provide some information about this.
As it stands Russia and China(not so much India because of it’s actions), to my understanding, have and will continue to have the full guarantee of AnsarAllah that it’s bau for you baby.
https://www.tradewindsnews.com/casualties/russia-and-china-cut-red-sea-security-deal-with-houthis/2-1-1616149
“Russia and China cut Red Sea ‘security deal’ with Houthis” was my understanding, too.
S**t happens . Mistakes will be made .
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/houthis-fire-missiles-towards-chinese-vessel-in-red-sea-us-centcom/3174269
I had seen that when it was announced by centcom and was waiting for other reports. They never materialised as far as I know, so I’m assuming that in their desperation they exaggerated a minor fire(reasons unknown) and said, look they’re attacking everyone.
I like this bit from the article, “launched four anti-ship ballistic missiles “in the vicinity” of”. When they say vicinity do they mean in the Red sea and possibly nothing at all to do with the minor fire. Why don’t they say, at the ship, if the ship was really the target?
>> I will agree that India have told all refineries to refuse Russian crude, but China?
What does Russia get out of it? Last I heard, they got 40 billion USD worth of rupees they can’t spend.
What does Russia get out of it? Last I heard, they got 40 billion USD worth of rupees they can’t spend.
That doesn’t make any sense. If they have rupees they can buy stuff they need in India surely.
Nothing much to buy from India . Major exports are autoparts , finished petro products , finished diamonds and rice . Russia does not need these .India by itself has a trade deficit . It cannot compete with China .
https://tradingeconomics.com/india/balance-of-trade
I agree with you , FF . Seems over exaggerated by Centcom .
A guess, no more:
Too much discussion is going on about nuclear weapons. Sometimes the other side wants to live to fight another day and ending the world is not good for anyone.
Hey, if I am wrong and WWIII starts and life ends, who will be there to say, “I told you so.” It is a good bet, and as in the movie “War Games.” the only way to win is not to play.
As always, a thumb is looking for a convenient place on the scale.
Dennis L.
“Sometimes the other side wants to live to fight another day and ending the world is not good for anyone.”
There is some truth to this, we hope.
oil in photos!
it’s not all black goo.
https://www.businessinsider.in/slideshows/miscellaneous/14-surprising-and-bizarre-photos-from-oilfield-workers-reveal-what-crude-oil-actually-looks-like-when-it-comes-out-of-the-ground/slidelist/75053620.cms
“Oil” is a hydrocarbon mixture that varies considerably from place to place, with different impurities.
Early on, we tended to use medium viscosity oil. Now, we have been trying to mix together high and low viscosity oil, to get something similar, but it doesn’t quite work.
Rudyard Kipling once wrote this piece.
https://www.kiplingsociety.co.uk/poem/poems_eastwest.htm
Oh, East is East, and West is West, and never the twain shall meet,
Till Earth and Sky stand presently at God’s great Judgment Seat
He wrote a disclaimer in the next line, in case angry people from British India would come and kill him, but only the first two lines are remembered.
Kipling’s son John got killed at Loos, Belgium, on Oct 1915, partially because the Canadian backwoodsmen who invented how to avoid gas attacks by putting urine soaked underwear by their noses earlier in that year. The hostility the Canadians have on civilization is not small, which is why the Trudeaus, both Pierre and Justin , and others have tried so hard to make Canada woke and end such behavior.
The attempt of the West to accommodate the East proved to be futile, as seen by recent events.
When the Vietnam War Memorial was built, the US government put shit on their faces by using the design of Maya Lin, who comes from the same kind which led the vets to their deaths.
Not too many people know that the stone where the names were inscribed came from China, People’s Republic of China, since it was the only place where such kind of stone came from. Lin was insulting the mostly non-Asian vets, something the roundeyes did not catch.
which is why the East is now devouring the West.
https://youtu.be/P8Uh9f0EaU8?si=8f7OIy3U1jkb7qF_
Streets of Taipei
Taiwan is not a rich country. Even though the pro-independence candidate won in January, it is now economically dependent on the mainland. Most of the buildings were built in the 80s and 90s , and its economy is stagnant save from a couple companies.
That is the future the West is headed at given current trends, starships or not.
The difference between East and West is that the West depends 100% on cheap plentiful energy, whereas the East depends 100% on cheap plentiful energy.
And the West was much more efficient doing so, while the East remained quite inefficient about it
I see you never owned an F-150 truck, or a boat for the week end. And you must not live in a McMansion and commute 65 miles to your job. So you are not the West.
The West is right now using more energy per capita than the East, generally.
Russia is in the East, but its energy consumption per capita is generally up with (or above) Europe. Climate plays a huge role in energy consumption per capita. Countries in cold climates require a whole lot more energy than those in warm climate.
Central Africa requires very little external energy per capita. Iceland consumes an amazing amount of energy per capita. I expect some of it is creating bitcoin for use around the world.
I found interesting what Turiel has recently said about the difference between East and West.
The first is establishing a system based on physical resources, the second has made a system based on money created from nothing and the previously strongest army in the world.
“Today we have a Europe without resources and with its industry in decline. Its last and, in a way, only resource has been the printing of fiat currency with which to buy what it needs abroad. But the monetary system that has prevailed until now is also in decline. The BRICS are changing the global rules of the game and have begun to trade in their currencies while the dollar and the euro are beginning to lose weight at a very fast pace. Even Saudi Arabia is turning to the BRICS and their rules. The DIFFERENCE between the two systems lies in what underpins the currencies. In the East, the backing comes from resources, while in the West, the backing comes from trust, since they are fiat currencies, or to put it more directly, the backing comes from the fear caused by the fearsome and large U.S. military and its policies. In a world of dwindling resources, those who have them, survive. Without going into too many details that are not relevant in this article, what will we Europeans do when those who have resources do not want our currencies because, in the end, they are not supported by anything other than trust or fear? Will we be able to buy oil as we have been doing so far, depriving other countries with weaker currencies? I am afraid not.
Translated with DeepL.com (free version)
https://crashoil.blogspot.com/2024/01/el-pico-del-diesel-edicion-de-2023.html
I think that we, expecially in Europe, must face reality and behave differently…
“The West won the world not by the superiority of its ideas or values or religion (to which few members of other civilizations were converted) but rather by its superiority in applying organized violence. Westerners often forget this fact; non-Westerners never do.”
― Samuel P. Huntington, The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order (1996
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2024/03/deterrence-by-savagery.html#more
We temporarily won the world until our coal ran out. Now we’re screwed.
by an accident of politics and geology—the west was first to get hold of cheap iron–the uk was the leader, and so took the biggest empire territory.
it was that which allowed to promotion of extreme violence on the rest of the world.
We always end up talking about urine soaked underwear.
That is the future the West is headed at given current trends, starships or not.
We are headed for total collapse and the permanent end of civilisation the same as everyone else on the planet.
How cannot everyone with IQ over 90 see this obvious factoid?
I don’t care what the “brainwash” kool aid is……
We could have done so much (channel New Alchemy Institute circa 1973)……but oh no………
Boy, that’s a throwback to a Renaissance era of explosive mindfulness in a subculture of the mainstream…Remember a host of these coming out, spurred on my the environmental movement and the Energy crisis during that period. Still have a number of these stored away and fondly reflect of the human energy that was devoted to the endeavor.
Brilliant work and such names as Zoomworks Co-Evolutionary Quarterly, Shelter, and the more known ones like Mother Earth News, which even opened a demonstration site in Henderson North Carolina.
John and Jane Shuttleworth literally began their magazine on a kitchen table and their interview is still worth reading today.. remarkable people back then.
We could have done so much (channel New Alchemy Institute circa 1973)……but oh no………
The energy wants to be used so it gets used. It doesn’t matter what we use it for, only that we use it up and increase entropy.
It’s not the destination; it’s the journey.
If you still have transport, sit back and enjoy the ride.
This is where my reference about Brigadier Charles Fitzclarence, whom I call Chucky after the satanic doll in Child’s Play, comes from.
https://youtu.be/9kcntKf8ZQI?si=0gdyqCkvdG99STei
Tl, dr, Chucky and his 200/400 Worcestershires (accounts differ ; it is 200 or 400 depending who you ask) stopped the German onslaught at the critical moment by bullhardly making a charge.
Chucky , by doing that , prolonged World War I by 4 years, although he himself was killed a week later.
The crime of Chucky and his 200/400 Worcestershires is greater than the crimes of your favorite dictators, one of them, the one with a funny mustache, was actually at that battle, since without Chucky we would not have heard too much about them at all.
Basically Chucky and his 200/400 Worcestershires, who are no less guilty than Chucky himself, led 8 million Europeans to their deaths , broke the old order and made the ranks of the elites filled with peoples who had no stake on civilization, such as James Ramsey, who was a bastard, i.e. illegitimate child who took the surname MacDonald since it sounded cool, or Srinivasa Ramanujan, who acted like a spoiled Brahmin during the Great War , demanding his style of vegetarian food when people didn’t have enough to eat. to fill the gaps. I have said repeatedly that the proper treatment for Ramanujan was an axe thru the back of his head.
The late Dr. Robert Firth, whose surname indicates that he was descended from forest rangers in the midlands, was able to become an Oxford Ph.D , something which would have been impossible if Chucky didn’t do ‘his duty’.
He and I argued about that. He said Chucky and his 200/400 Worcestershires ‘did their duty’ and I said he (at that time I did not include the 200/400 Worcestershires, although they are no less guilty) f’ked up and I think Tim said it is not proper to say that in Gail’s site.
His crime might be even worse than that of the crime of the cross dresser Gabby Princip.
The WEF and the British Establishment, whose error was pointed out by Aldous Huxley, who led D. H. Lawrence to write Lady Chatterley’s Lover (Huxley’s wife helped to edit it and they were the ones influencing the lacy book to see the light of day), in which the heir of an illustrious family returns home, paralyzed at Flanders, and has to watch his wife having sex with a half literate Irishman. As a result the British public was dumbed down and emasculated so they can never do another f’kup like above ever again.
It’s a shame Robert isn’t around to keep the debate going.
I hope the family finally managed to get his funeral arranged.
What a f’kup that was. Dying on a German plane in British airspace, leaving his corpse in limbo.
I’m still old-fashioned enough not to use cuss words in front of a lady. I remember when they still had considerable shock value on both sides of the ocean. When out with the lads it’s a different matter, of course.
“Good authors, who once knew better, now only use four-letter words writing prose.” — Cole Porter
He chose to live in Malta but I wonder how he would defend the entry of Rishi Sunak to Downing 10
A lot of older Brits still praise folks like Nelson , Wellington and Arthur Harris, since they have not have any heroes in the past 50 years , and think what they did was great.
Some brits are still angry about Napoleon and his marshals, notwithstanding that they were better alternatives than what came after. They are still stuck in the past as the country disintegrates further.
I have never met anyone who is still angry about Napoleon. As for the others you mention, I doubt younger people today have even heard of them. There’s no education here any more.
I like this YouTube channel…this German Lady. Lily, post a host of economic, social concerns about Europe and this one caught my eye..
EU has banned CASH payments above 10.000 Euos!
100,712 views · 1 month ago…more
And this one about war drums in Europe, her latest
It is not looking good!
82,118 views · 5 days ago…more
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=AJTVN6xalYo
Survival Lilly
Check out her list of videos… Lots of prepping
Limiting cash payments to 10 euros reminds me of India calling in all of its larger notes. This caused huge problems in India. It was supposed to stop the underground economy that wasn’t paying taxes appropriately.
The video shows a woman reading all kinds of newspaper headlines, talking about various countries in Europe preparing for war with Russia, and needing to have a “war economy” in the future. People might be drafted for the war effort.
Gail and Mike , she is overrated by you . 10,000 euro cash payment prohibited is nothing new . It has been in effect from a long time ( in the US it is $ 10,000 ) . The banks branch have to flag this as ” suspicious” and report the higher up . Old news . I am aware of this rule since the late nineties . Regarding India , Gail you are misinformed . It was a demonization of high denomination notes in 2016 . The govt imposed a limit of $ 30 max that one could withdraw from the ATM or his account . It wrecked the Indian economy . As to all her war talk and ” war economy ” etc is similar to Macron talking crap . Unelected officials ( politicians ) in EU pass out ” hot air ” that is reported by the media as ” policy ” by the media . I challenge any member of NATO , EU to reinstate the draft and compulsory military service . I assure you a revolt by the populace . There are no volunteers for the meat grinder . Overrated as I said .
I thought it was just 10 Euros. Sorry. I was confused.
I challenge any member of NATO , EU to reinstate the draft and compulsory military service . I assure you a revolt by the populace . There are no volunteers for the meat grinder.
There are no weapons to give them anyway. As I keep saying, any and all talk of ‘WW III’ or ‘direct NATO involvement’ is just bluff. We can posture, we can lecture, we can bluster but we have nothing to fight with.
She post a wide array of material and topics, I just love listening to her German accent, which I took way way back in college. My Professor once observed German girls hardly ever 😊 smile..but I think I could get one from her.
My best times were visiting Germany!
She’s Austrian
That’s must be the reason she sometimes has a 😏 smirk.
Was Addie Hitter Austrian too🤔
Bloomberg today is writing about a shakeout of the solar industry in China, particularly smaller firms.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-03-25/china-s-smaller-solar-firms-at-risk-in-industry-shakeout
China’s Smaller Solar Firms at Risk in Industry Shakeout
Companies that lack the diversification and scale of the industry heavyweights are likely to suffer the most.
Just to show how things may not be intuitively obvious, from personal experience:
Prices on 100W HQST and Renogy high efficiency 23% solar panels have dropped from around $100 when I bought them 2-3 years ago to $77.00 on Amazon
Meanwhile I just bought another Delta Pro 400 watt 23% efficiency portable panel that had been $999.00 (You pay premium for convenience of portability ) for $690.00
Seems like my timing of purchases has been dead wrong most of the time, or maybe just too early….but don’t want to be too late either!
Are solar panels getting dumped on the market, to raise cash, especially if tax breaks and subsidies are vanishing?
Is, or has, the price of solar panels reached a nadir?
It is a going out of business sale. Prices are low as a result. No country elsewhere can build solar panel manufacturing panels to compete.
I just recently bought the simplest sewing machine I could buy. When I read the directions, one of the first things it tells me is, “Use only grid electricity of the correct specification. Do not use an inverter.” Unstated is, “Do not use with solar panels plus an inverter.”
The quality of electricity from solar panels and an inverter is not good enough for a (so-called) simple sewing machine. It certainly is not good enough for many other mechanical devices. Trying to keep the grid stable with a whole lot of solar + wind energy is a headache.
Sounds strange, unless they were worried about someone using a modified sinewave inverter. Most good inverters are pure sinewave pure sinewave. The older modified sine wave inverters but out a square wave which is hard on motors especially and I suspect some delicate electronics.
eg.,
https://www.renogy.com/blog/-benefits-of-pure-sine-wave-vs-modified-sine-wave-inverters/
Maybe they are being extra-careful. The can’t say, only use a high-quality inverter. They don’t want their new machine warranty to be hit with a lot of claims that could have been prevented.
There are lots of simple treadle sewing machines around.. Singer Featherweight and the like. I bought one, as well as a model that has more stitches but was from the transition era when they would bolt an electric motor onto the back and run it with a belt from there, but still allowing it to be returned to treadle use.
Lehman’s sells new treadle machines. Some friends of ours who are off-grid have one. They installed it into an older table.
This is another WSJ article from a few weeks ago, talking about the general China problem. I am guessing that part of the solar panel problem is that China can no longer absorb as many of them itself (using subsidies), leaving a lot more for the world market.
The World Is in for Another China Shock
China is flooding foreign markets with cheap goods again. This time it isn’t buying much in return.
A sequel might be in the making as Beijing doubles down on exports to revive the country’s growth.
It’s the usual nonsense. China is growing far faster than any Western country that isn’t in recession.
Earlier this year we were hearing about how China’s economy is based on residential property and the Evergrande situation would be the end of them. Nothing happened. Because it wasn’t true.
The Chinese society is so profoundly damaging to human psyche that they have to face ever increasing outbreaks of mass killings of children, pedestrian, who ever……with cars, with knives, with scythes…..with anything at all.
It is a psychosis born of desperation and inability to express it inside a totalitarian envelope.
Coming soon to a Canadian street near you with out a doubt.
Maybe you should visit China because your view of the place seems to have little connection to reality.
Its a big place….I will grant you that. Behaviour in different locales may vary. I am basing my commentary on various videos showing a plethora of makes of cars careening through packed crowds and such…..I also grant it happens everywhere to a degree……humans…..
Its also the place that has utterly destroyed its entire western and northern environs with dirt grubbing and the only reason it has survived so long is because of the truly enormous fertility of the vast eastern flood plains.
Dirt grubbers gotta grub.
Good time to purchase solar panels, say a container full, attempt to minimize shipping costs. When Pt becomes cheaper than Fe, make H, not CH4, save spaceship earth.
“Buy when there’s blood in the streets.” Nathan Rothschild, nothing much new in the universe sometimes.
Dennis L.
So the Russians tortured the suspects and cut one suspect’s ear off. If they find out he didn’t do it after all, will they superglue his ear back on and maybe give him a free Tchaikovsky CD and a giant poster of Stalin as compensation?
The suspects are on video carrying out the attack.
I saw a post that said he was in a getaway car that flipped. Could have been an injury from that.
Russian security forces cut his ear off and made him eat it. I dson’t recommend watching the video.
Link it if you can, please.
DO NOT CLICK THIS LINK UNLESS YOU WANT TO SEE SOMEONE BEING FED HIS OWN EAR
https://www.bitchute.com/video/UuJbSJkB3izw/
That does look real. Face matches the guy in the news. Nice find.
thanks Nail. I concur with ivan, looks legit. Listening right now to Mercouris looking like ever the prude about this. Chances of him being paid by Russia, already high, have become a near certainty.
Let’s not have any more sneaky innuendos.
Alex M spends over an hour a day every day talking up the Russians and scoffing at the Western leadership and most of the rest of his waking hours pouring over the newsfeeds to find his info, all out of the goodness of his own heart.
But somebody has to pay the mortgage and the Labrador’s dog-food bills.
@Tim, he needn’t be necessarily paid by Russian interests. The channels themselves have subscribers, ad revenue across multiple platforms, and they sell a bit of merch. I don’t know how much it adds up to, but based on the frequency and number of views, I think it’s pretty decent. On top of that, if he decides to publish a book or something, he has already established major sales/publicity channels.
They did cut his ear off.
https://t.me/intelslava/56473
In comparison with what has been done in Guantanamo is nothing particular.
I think that Russians will offer some additional kindnesses to obtain full information.
Do we think that Russia will avoid to go deep in order to know all the details?
But the most funny thing in these days is to believe that Islamist are responsible for that.
We have currently a situation in which Russia and China have obtained safe passage in Red Sea by Houthi (Islamic group) and we have currently Israel killing one the most loved muslim people in the world for Islamic Countries, that is the people of Gaza.
And Islamists, first thing to do, after a period of silence, is to decide to attack Russians?
😀
“But the most funny thing in these days is to believe that Islamist are responsible for that.”
All the western ss and propaganda outlets were singing from the same hymn sheet before the incident had concluded. They knew all and told the world before the event had finished and conveniently it was Isis/isil/Al nusra/whoever, this weeks anti west/anti capitalist/anti choice haters of freedom and democracy are deemed to be(always, always swarthy). They hate the West so much they attacked Moscow, when the illegal encampment just around the corner is committing a genocide on Muslim children, but no, it’s off to Moscow we go, who the arch enemy just happen to be in a war with. An unfortuate coincidence.
What’s not to believe 😭
Russian reaction in the initial aftermath was very telling, that they knew quite well the game being played. From the start they separated the terrorists from the nation of origin and did this through all official and media channels.
Putin has put it as plainly as he can
“We know by whose hands this atrocity was committed against Russia and its people. We are interested in who the customer is, ”
Customer, the one that ordered and payed for the product. Who could that be?
https://youtu.be/qMo3fJMPdEE?feature=shared
I live quite close to London and my daughter is in London, so U.S, if you’d be so good and take the blame, thanks, owe you one.
This excellent movie starts with Greta, doing her signature “How dare you!” speech, and then it gets better and better, ending over an hour later with ordinary people shouting at greenies, presstitutes, and poluticians “I’m as mad as hell, and I’m not going to take this any more!”
https://rumble.com/v4kl0dn-climate-the-movie-the-cold-truth-martin-durkin.html
This is a 1 hour and 20 minute video that can be accessed free at the link given.
After the short Greta speech, it starts talking about what wonderful business opportunities the climate narrative provides. There are trillions of dollars being given away to companies to go along and follow this narrative.
The ” Red Queen ” effect in the shale sector . Read the other comments also . Drill baby drill — the problem — no where to drill .
https://twitter.com/tedcross/status/1771947802349781088/photo/1
He makes it simple to understand. We will accelerate the depletion of fossil fuels simply by trying to maintain current production. The true Red Queen syndrome.
AI is an energy pit . Just like BTC. The BS piling on faster and faster.
Love the alligator analogy. Boom! Like that!
I know that when investment in shale was first planned, companies used models that showed that tight oil wells would produce for many, many years. The expectation was that while there would be some drop off at first, production would change to level for many years thereafter. This clearly hasn’t happened.
An overly optimistic model can make any investment look good.
We didn’t realize that shale oil is not so much an economic resource as it is a strategic dominance weapon. There have been several predictions (including mine) that the shale “bubble” was going to burst, but so far, it has not.— Prof Ugo Bardi
https://cassandralegacy.blogspot.com/2019/01/energy-dominance-what-does-it-mean.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
The problem is that so many people In the States believe the “ we have 100 years of oil left “!!!! And the left believes that we won’t need oil in the future 😂. Either way there will be blood. And I’m afraid that it’s going to be the elites. Smart elites drive old cars and no flashy jewelry. I know some billionaires and if you saw them in public you would have no idea.
Now even financial engineering in the shale sector has fizzled out . Only tier 3 and tier 4 areas left to extract and for that the price of WTI has to be $ 150 . best of luck .
https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1764336165576937702/photo/1
Shale is being drilled now because TINA has entered into the equation .
https://www.oilystuff.com/forumstuff/forum-stuff/drill-it-up-boys?origin=notification
Conventional crude production in US lower 48 is falling .
https://twitter.com/HFI_Research/status/1772315160994004997/photo/1
Is the Kate Middleton video an AI fake? Why don’t the leaves in the background move?
We are now in an era where the default belief of any video should be the presumption of AI. Any time there is just one person in the frame, and no audience to corroborate with additional recordings… this should be a red flag.
AI does not exist.
he means neural network software.
Perhaps Simulated Intelligence? AI, as the reiterative process has become known as, is more testing every possible path, eliminating the dead ends, and then repeating the process an unlimited number of times until the result is satisfactory. Today, testing for that result can also be done with “AI”.
Pitting one “AI” vs another can be achieved using GANs or Generative Adversarial Networks. Essentially, one AI can determine what is incorrect (fake) in a reference video, and then tell the generating AI where it went wrong. The process repeats until there is nothing “perceived” as being wrong (relative to other reference videos). This may have been used to create a convincing speech from someone familiar looking sitting on a bench.
It’s all garbage. Absolutely zero intelligence involved except from the human programmers, like any other software.
I don’t disagree… BUT, “AI” will find efficiencies quickly. Single run 3D printed rockets require it, and … it seems to work.
Its not intelligence, but it is a useful tool for many applications. It’s also potentially terrifying.
JavaKinetic , the ‘If ‘ and “but ” narrative is past expiry date . Conjure up something new .
Single run 3D printed rockets require it, and … it seems to work.
You’ve been watching too much youtube. 3d printed rockets are a complete joke. Relativity Space, is that the scammers I’m thinking of?
I think that instead of the problem of that video being or not fake, and I think it is surely true, the real question is why all the Royal vaccinated family has now cancer or has recently died from cancer…
Could it be that they are promoting the mRNA treatments for cancer? And if these royals recover with success stories plastered all over the media then adoption of these cancer prevention therapies will escalate and become routine?
There are no mRNA treatments for cancer. There is no AI. There are no functioning humanoid robots.
No, in my view, the Royals represent a kind of power that current globalist élite doesn’t like at all.
It is a minor kind of power, but still represents a kind one that can put obstacles to their plans.
And also the moron Harry’s deception is an action in this sense for me.
And the funny thing for me is that Charles thinks to be friend of the globalists 😀
That is what I think too. Most old folks associate the royal family with the nation state. If you were to ask me, a nation state is a product of its laws and history. However, I sense a lot of people need to see “a face” and wave a flag occasionally to know that the nation exists. Flags are being removed in favour of rainbows, and I suspect royal families are being removed too…
He and William are good friends of the globalists. William is illegitimate, since his mother was descended from a bastard of Charles II, and needs the globalist help to be put to the throne. Sarah Ferguson’s elder daughter Beatrice is the legitimate heir.
Student,
““Let the ruling classes tremble at a communist revolution. The proletarians have nothing to lose but their chains. They have a world to win.”
-Marx
Sorry, we are in a completely different situation in my view now, because globalists have encompassed Marx’s and Lenin’s teachings and made theirs.
We all are still proletarians in comparison to them, but the revolution now is exactly against us.
There are several reasons for thinking it fake, which I won’t list here, but you can find them online if you are interested.
But I will just say that Kate on the bench has no dimples, while the real Kate has very noticeable ones.
i know you know about these things tim—which part of kates anatomy has dimples?
Continuing our predictive programming.
Perfect timing
This may be of interest to Gail..
ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE CHANNEL
The Staying Power of Oil and Gas Pipelines
By STACEY MORRIS, CFA March 19, 2024
https://www.etftrends.com/energy-infrastructure-channel/staying-power-oil-gas-pipelines/amp/
Summary
Demand for fossil fuels will not grow indefinitely, but it will probably be more resilient than most may expect. Meeting the world’s energy needs will likely require a combination of renewables and fossil fuels for decades to come.
The long-term outlook for natural gas is constructive given its cleaner burning qualities, while natural gas liquids (NGLs) should be supported by growing global demand for plastics.
Even in worst-case scenarios, pipelines provide optionality and can be repurposed if no longer serving their original purpose.
Most would probably agree that pipelines have long useful lives. If you live in the Deep South or on the East Coast, there is a good chance your gasoline comes from the massive Colonial Pipeline system, which was built 60 years ago. Often, investors ask us about the remaining useful life for pipelines and whether these assets will become stranded as renewable energy and electric vehicles gain traction. Today’s note addresses that question.
Replacing Energy Sources Takes Time
Lots of Charts in link and details
One thing this lady says that I don’t believe:
One of the big points of this article is, “Replacing Energy Sources Takes Time.”
Of course, the issue is that fossil fuels are leaving us, rather than us moving to clean energy. If fossil fuels aren’t available at a low enough price, they will disappear. So called “Clean energy” is built with fossil fuels. Losing fossil fuels likely means losing Clean Energy.
One thing this analyst says is:
“New LNG export facilities coming online in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico typically have 20-year pipeline contracts in place to match their offtake agreements.”
Maybe China and Japan are offering contracts like this with Russia, but I am doubtful that European countries can even consider 20-year contracts at this point. I am guessing that most of the new US capacity will enter the spot market. I will believe the quoted assertion when I see specific contracts that companies have.
I do agree that empty pipelines could be used as corridors for sending wires cross country, so they do have this benefit.
Wow, this is an impressive side effect.
https://lionessofjudah.substack.com/p/tragic-getting-cancer-after-covid?
It sounds like there was a connection between the vaccine doses and the cancer!
USA think-thanks and even the media now are now angst’ing that USA would lose a conventional war to China.
But USA like Europe has neglected its military industrial base for decades and that cannot be turned around in just a few years. The world is changing.
https://www.csis.org/analysis/china-outpacing-us-defense-industrial-base
China Outpacing U.S. Defense Industrial Base | CSIS
…. China’s defense industrial base is operating on a wartime footing, while the U.S. defense industrial base is largely operating on a peacetime footing. Overall, the U.S. defense industrial ecosystem lacks the capacity, responsiveness, flexibility, and surge capability to meet the U.S. military’s production and warfighting needs. Unless there are urgent changes, the United States risks weakening deterrence and undermining its warfighting capabilities. China is heavily investing in munitions and acquiring high-end weapons systems and equipment five to six times faster than the United States. China is also the world’s largest shipbuilder and has a shipbuilding capacity that is roughly 230 times larger than the United States. One of China’s large shipyards, such as Jiangnan Shipyard, has more capacity than all U.S. shipyards combined.
*
USA has deep structural problems beyond the decades of neglect of the military-industrial base that are liable to preclude turning things around. Remember that USA is largely a service economy now with massive public debt.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/arielcohen/2024/03/16/to-defend-democracy-time-to-revamp-americas-military-industrial-base/
To Defend Democracy, Time To Revamp America’s Military-Industrial Base
…. America’s defense industrial base is not ready for the dangerous global environment in which the U.S. and the West find themselves. For the White House, the Pentagon, and the U.S. Congress, continuing to neglect this situation is no longer an option. The Center for Strategic and International Studies recently conducted and reported on a series of U.S.-China wargames —in nearly all of them, U.S. forces ran out of some precision-guided munitions within a week.
The growing number of conflicts worldwide is straining U.S. armaments stocks as the U.S. supplies its allies and partners. President Biden is now preparing to send $300 million in weapons to Ukraine, even though we have yet to replenish the $10 billion worth of arms expended since February 2022.
The crisis extends well beyond this. Polling indicates that the public is losing trust in U.S. Government institutions, including the military. Even service members are discouraging their children from enlisting.
…. Raising the defense budget is a necessary but insufficient step toward addressing these issues. An unwilling Congress, president, and public make this fix a tough sell. The ballooning national debt and deficit are unlikely to help, and neither will the fact that both will worsen as the baby boomers move into retirement. What, then, can the U.S. do? It can mend the damage and stop the bleeding by passing full-year budgets instead of relying on continuing resolutions. C.R.s introduce uncertainty and complicate DoD efforts, as producers are concerned about making capital investments without a purchase guarantee. If no one wants to invest, nothing else matters.
Other solutions might be even harder to actualize. The world has yet to figure out how to fix the fertility crisis or stop and reverse political polarization….
*
USA made a decision to basically shut down its military-industrial base when the Cold War ended in the 1990s at a meeting known as the ‘Last Supper’ and it has heavily neglected it for decades. It is basically gone and USA has put itself in quite the spot.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/24/us/politics/military-weapons-ukraine-war.html
From Rockets to Ball Bearings, Pentagon Struggles to Feed War Machine
…. His open frustration reflects a problem that has become worryingly apparent as the Pentagon dispatches its own stocks of weapons to help Ukraine hold off Russia and Washington warily watches for signs that China might provoke a new conflict by invading Taiwan: The United States lacks the capacity to produce the arms that the nation and its allies need at a time of heightened superpower tensions.
Industry consolidation, depleted manufacturing lines and supply chain issues have combined to constrain the production of basic ammunition like artillery shells while also prompting concern about building adequate reserves of more sophisticated weapons including missiles, air defense systems and counter-artillery radar.
…. The current problems have their roots in the aftermath of the Cold War’s end, when a drive for the “peace dividend” led to cuts in weapons procurement and consolidation of the industry.
In 1993, Norman Augustine, then the chief executive of Martin Marietta, one of the largest of the military contractors, received an invitation to a dinner with Defense Secretary Les Aspin, who was helping President Bill Clinton figure out how to shrink military spending.
When he arrived, more than a dozen other chief executives from major contractors were there for a gathering that would become known as “The Last Supper.” The message delivered to the industry by Mr. Aspin was that many of the companies needed to disappear, by merging or going out of business.
“The cost would be enormous of maintaining the half-full factories, factory assembly lines,” Mr. Augustine, now 87, said in an interview at a coffee shop near his Maryland home, recalling the message shared with the executives. “The government was not going to tell us who the survivors would be — we were going to have to figure that out.”
*
The USA military-industrial base is a disaster zone in all sorts of ways and that is hardly surprising as USA took a decision to largely shut it down decades ago.
USA does not have the production capacity, the materials, the rare minerals, the chips, the parts, the workers, the skills. In fact it depends on…. China…. for key minerals and components and China is unlikely to supply them.
A new USA government report admits that China’s military production ‘vastly exceeds the capacity’ of USA and all of its allies combined.
And it is basically ‘impossible’ for the USA military-industrial base to recover any time soon.
https://www.counterfire.org/article/us-the-military-industrial-complex-today/
US: The Military-Industrial complex today
…. Just before Christmas, a draft copy of the new National Defense Industrial Strategy, obtained by Politico, said starkly that American companies can’t build weapons fast enough to meet global demand. The document stated that the U.S. defense industrial base, ‘does not possess the capacity, capability, responsiveness, or resilience required to satisfy the full range of military production needs at speed and scale….’
The problem stems from insufficient production and insufficient supply chains – particularly of raw materials, especially minerals. Other shortages slowing production include simple things such as ball bearings, a key component of certain missile guidance systems, and steel castings, used in making engines.
In contrast, it points out that China’s industry, ‘vastly exceeds the capacity of not just the United States, but the combined output of our key European and Asian allies as well.’ The Department of Defense, the report concludes, is to ‘develop more resilient and innovative supply chains,’ invest in smaller businesses and focus more on innovation, plus buying in weaponry from its allies.
…. Minerals
A re-armament programme requires accessing huge amounts of minerals: iron, copper, zinc, lithium, aluminium and much else. That is not so easy:
‘Mineral supply chains also face disruption risks as China, the top global producer and import source for many such minerals, has already shown a willingness to place export controls on key minerals and manufacturing technology. For example, China is the world’s largest producer of natural and synthetic graphite….’
…. China dominates the global lithium-ion battery industry. Its companies supply 80% of the world’s battery cells and account for nearly 60% of the Electric Vehicle battery market. Some US companies that produce batteries rely on lithium-ion cell components produced by Chinese manufacturers.
The Atlantic Council points to another problem: ‘…. If these suppliers are controlled by Chinese government interests, they may even be incentivized not to provide military products for the United States, even if offered financial incentives.’
…. None of this is going to be easy. Companies like Lockheed struggle to hire workers and eliminate shortages of key components needed to meet the Pentagon’s demand:
‘Despite efforts to reshore and bolster the manufacturing base, reaching the production capacity needed to replenish stockpiles and prepare for the possibility of full-scale conflict with China remains improbable. The current replacement times for critical inventories average over a staggering 13 years at current production capacity rates. Many of America’s advanced systems are produced on a very small number of assembly lines by an even smaller number of manufacturers. Production requires input from a shrinking labor force with knowledge of these systems, and supply chains are composed of rare earth metals, chips, and obscure mechanical parts from across the world that are very difficult to secure.”
…. Rebuilding stockpiles of weaponry is not just about building new plant. They require a workforce to produce the weapons and as Foreign Affairs points out, that is a problem:
‘…. stockpiling weapons is impossible given the dearth in skilled American labor. Defense contractors have struggled to recruit workers for years in an industry that often requires vocational training or two-year degrees from its employees….’
*
Biden has just increased the USA military budget by just 1%. Given inflation that is actually a reduction of the budget in real terms.
Sunak did the same in UK a few weeks back.
In fact Biden’s budget will force the cancellation and delay of various key military investment projects.
https://www.deccanherald.com/world/bidens-1-us-defence-budget-increase-buys-fewer-ships-jets-2931202
Biden’s 1% US defence budget increase buys fewer ships, jets
Washington: President Joe Biden’s overall US defence and national security budget request expected on Monday will be just 1 per cent higher than last year, forcing a slowdown in spending on a wide range of programs and delaying efforts to rebuild weapons stocks depleted by wars in Ukraine and Israel.
The $895 billion national security budget request, which includes funds for homeland security as well as nuclear weapons-related activities carried out by the Department of Energy, is the result of a two-year budget deal struck in mid-2023 that limited the budget to a 1 per cent increase.
Under the cap, the Pentagon’s share of the national defense budget was expected to be $850 billion. The $30 billion reduction to the Pentagon’s funding will curb purchases of the stealthy F-35 jet made by Lockheed Martin and air defenses for Guam, and will delay programs, including slowing orders for an aircraft carrier made by Huntington Ingalls Industries and Virginia-class submarines made by Huntington and General Dynamics.
*
This is the UK Tories a couple of weeks ago.
It looks like the military-industrial situation in the west is only going worse from here on.
https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/uk-cant-afford-increase-spending-despite-threats-2951226
UK can’t afford to increase defence spending despite threats, minister admits
Rishi Sunak and Jeremy Hunt are facing a growing Tory revolt as figures reveal defence budget faces a real terms £2.5bn cut next year
“I think it would be imprudent to commit to such a level of spending if we didn’t think it could be sustained. I think it would be the worst thing to have spent maybe one year or two years and then have to go backwards again, because we didn’t think it was sustainable. So it is about balancing affordability against commitment.”
But shadow Defence Secretary John Healey told the Commons that analysis by the House of Commons library, based on the small print of last week’s Budget, has revealed that next year’s defence spending will in fact show a reduction of £2.5bn in real terms.
These are all things we on this site have known about for a long time. As service economies, the US and most of Europe don’t have very much in the way of industrial capacity. We cannot make war materials in large enough quantities to fight China head to head.
I know I have seen stories about the US only increasing its military budget by 1%, which is not enough to keep up with inflation. I hadn’t heard the about the amount of the UK spending cut in inflation-adjusted terms, but it is not surprising.
The story is in some sense a story of inadequate energy supplies to go around. The military of the US and UK are being left behind.
Nate Hagens always talks about ‘the great simplification’.
Great powers of the past were not focus on futile business, while most of modern Europe surely is.
Brian Berletic over at TheNewAtlas.com has basically summed it up very succinctly in some of his recent posts.
The US got used to figting assymetric (non-peer adversary) wars, got complacent and has let all aspects of defense slide. Training. Recruiting. Manufacturing. Sourcing of materials, R&D, updating tactics and strategies for ever changing warfare, and realistic assessment of the enormous time, expense, and training needing to develop and coordinate a more modern integrated defense.
The US has designed its weapons in the context of LIMITED WAR against non-peer adversaries. The M1 Abrams tanks sucks so much jet fuel to run its turbine it has a very limited range and makes it vulnerable compared to conventional but reliable tanks like the Russian T-72, T-80, T-90 tanks that run on diesel with much greater range/endurance. The US figured it could show up on the nice highways with fuel trucks for refills. Oh and the repair service trucks too.
Russia, in contrast, has known nothing but peer-to-peer conflict and has never pulled the plug on its capacity to ramp up weapons production. Russia designs it weapons under the concept of fighting a TOTAL WAR, where equipment needs to be simple, rugged, reliable, serviceable, and effective in the heat of battle. There will be no elaborate service centers to repair equipment on the battlefield. It assumes most everything will be bombed out and service personel killed.
In contrast, UKR has to send equipment for repairs, that is, equipment that hasn’t been outright destroyed, all the way to Poland and back- a huge handicap. One of the biggies which is now a self solving solution/paradox is refitting barrels on the M-777s. Since UKR is running out of the 155mm artillery shells, the barrels won’t wear out as fast. It would be interesting to plot the graph of the barrel longevity of those M-777 howitzers that survive the Russaian drone hits to the number that are taken out simply due to wearing out of barrels and unavailable exchanges which makes them inoperable, and maybe only good for scavaging for easily removable spare parts. What Russia may haul off the battle field to its accessible repair shops behind the lines, the Ukranians just have to abandon them in the field even for trivial repairs.
I wonder if the Russians deliberately calibrate the size of the warhead to just disable the old Soviet era UKR tanks, knowing that they can haul them back to get refurbished and put back in use. Thus they don;t want to destroy them, just disable them. I wonder if the charge payload is greater for M1Abrams, Leopards, and Challengers , tanks that Russia can’t repair and so want them destroyed beyond repair. This is the other side of fighting a war of attrition: fighting efficiently and repairing and reusing salvageable equipment.
Russian jets are able land on more makeshift airstrips compared to the US jets which are runway queens. Even the F-16 can’t handle anything other than a prisitine runway because its air intake is so low and can ingest debris.
The US Military Industrial complex is geared to maximize profit, and after the govt contract runs out of money, the company shuts down production. US companies are incentivized to slap on all these useless, complex gadgets that are prone to failure, even during peacetime drills- because they can charge more for them. Russia, in contrast, designs its weapons for the purpose of fighting in a total all out war conflict where bombs , missiles and bullets are screaming all around and only the more durable and functional weapons can survive despite damage.
The US MIC is profit driven whereas Russia is purpose driven.
“The US has designed its weapons in the context of LIMITED WAR against non-peer adversaries.”
You make a very good point. Of course, with only a service economy, we can only fight non-peer adversaries.
The US MIC is profit driven whereas Russia is purpose driven.
The US can’t produce enough virgin steel. That’s the problem.
The US doesn’t defend its border. Russia at least tries to.
Damn straight…….the west is headed for extinction on the coattails of political correctness and feminism.
Weak, weak, weak men.
Water availability is becoming a big issue . A list of cities ( + 10 million) population that are scraping the bottom of the barrel .
1 . Johannesburg
2 , Mexico City
3. Bangalore
4 . Coimbatore ( India )
5 . Barcelona
6 . Lagos
Many others with + 5 million population . I know about Bangalore ( my sister lives there) . It is a disaster . She is paying mega bucks for water being trucked in by tankers from the rural hinterland . Companies have asked employees to WFH . No water in the toilets . This makes “peak oil ” a Lilliput .
This water issue is a big one. I understand one of the attractions of wind and solar is that they don’t use water. Gas “peaking plants” (which aren’t very efficient), don’t either. Coal fired electricity generation, nuclear power plants, and the more efficient natural gas generating plants all use water. Some of this water is river or sea water that is dumped back in, but at a different temperature. It still is a problem, though.
I remember reading the LATOC website (“Life after the oil crash”) in the early days of my peak oil awareness. It told us that it took 20 000 litres of pure water to make a ton of steel. So a mass of energy had to be used to purify the water before it reached the steel, and producing the steel itself required the use of a lot of energy.
We can solve this problem by just making all steel products much smaller. If tomorrow’s steel products are 10% of today’s current size, we can save over 90% on costs.
a wheel is just a form of lever
if you make a ship’s propeller 10% smaller, it has to do more revolutions to get where its going
same with a car or aircraft turbine—or even your garden wheelbarrow
i’d like to think you were being mildly humourous—i suspect that you are not.
Market-baesed solutions are no laughing matter but those who invest in them will get the last laugh.
The companies that trim the waste and efficiencies will ride the wave of growth and prosperity in the next 18-24 months. There’s a lot a fat to trim, and a lot of things that can right-sized. propellers can be replaced with smaller ones, toothbrushes can be replaced with smaller ones, the possibilities are endless.
i know nothing about ships
but i’m prepared to bet a month of your wages, that ship designers put propellers on ships that match the ships size exactly to do the work intended.
the wheels on a car similarly match the work to be done.—they don;t put car sized wheels on tractors or trucks—you may have noticed that.
neither do rickshaw operators save money by putting roller skate wheels on rickshaws.–you may have noticed that too, The large wheels of the rickshaw are just levers, designed for the job they do.
you dont dig your garden with a toothpick–you use a 3ft lever.—a 6ft or 1ft lever wouldn’t work, 3 ft is exactly right and has been for 000s of years.
i’m not puncturing your fantasies with idle speculation—the information is out there to check for yourself.
I don’t own any financial paper assets but I do pop in at Chris Martensons blog once in a while . I found this interesting .
https://peakprosperity.com/why-was-a-cia-man-selected-to-oversee-stock-ownership-settlement/
This is about a financial intermediary company (DTCC) that in some sense “owns” trillions of dollars of US securities. It helps facilitate trades and helps in the processing of dividends.
I am not aware of anything going wrong.
From what I’ve read, DTCC actually owns all shares, they are the “root” owner. Everyone else just has a claim, technically. I think there might be an exception in cases where an individual has actual stock certificates. Anyway, basically it’s like a bank account: while the money is with the bank, it’s their money, and you have a claim against them and as long as things are going well, they will fulfill the claims against them (i.e. give you your money when you request it).
Nuclear is very iffy, for many reasons. We don’t have the uranium. Maintaining power lines takes oil, among other things.
This Oil Price article takes on some issues:
https://oilprice.com/Alternative-Energy/Nuclear-Power/The-Wests-Nuclear-Power-Revival-Could-Be-Slower-Than-Hoped.html
Bullets:
-At the COP28 climate summit at the end of last year, the United States and 21 other countries pledged to triple nuclear energy capacities by 2050.
-Most Western governments – with the notable exception of Germany – are now betting on nuclear power to help them with the carbon emission targets.
-The West has seen in recent years several cautionary tales of huge delays and cost overruns in looking to boost nuclear capacity.
We are discovering that universal 24/7 electricity was a byproduct of having cheap surplus coal.
I’m sure risk management at all the top firms are reviewing portfolios of options for coal replacements because they all have internal zero carbon deadlines that they need to meet.
Risk management teams reviewing portfolios on how to meet net zero deadlines might explain why top funds are rethinking ESG policies and waking up to the end game.. The Great Taking. There is no alternative to siphoning value while creating a panopticon but if the team is smart they will play along and try to find the last available seat at the table. UK FIRES Absolute Zero offers an interesting timeline for what to expect in this game of musical chairs ie. increasing restrictions on textiles, shipping, private vehicle transportation and airline travel. The goal was never to make a transition but to phase out and manage economic contraction due to the inevitable “natural progression” of degrowth ie. net energy cliff. Analysts may cling to the notion that “they” will maintain relevancy or be included in the rescue package if they run interference for planned degrowth but they’ll be the useless class while the knuckledraggers will be the energy slaves for the new subsistence economy aka. dystopian, neofeudal hunger games.
Perth Paul singing “Me and Hoolio down by the Schoolyard”…well, close enough for our audience..
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=D08Fjif4M_Y&pp=ygUkbWUgYW5kIGp1bGlvIGRvd24gYnkgdGhlIHNjaG9vbHlhcmQg
Me: 🎶Well I’m On My Way I Don’t Know Where I’m
Julio: And Where I’ll Be Gone But I’m
On My Way Now
Me: I’m Taking
My Time
Julio: But I Don’t Know Where
Me & Julio: So Goodbye To Rosie The Queen Of
Corona Seein Me And Julio Down By
The SchoolYard🎶
It is increasingly difficult to find Scott Ritter and Douglas McGregor on the internet. It is impossible to find any thoughtful commentary on the Moscow massacre. It is my feeling that internet censorship is ramping up.
I do hope they will continue to allow us to tell stories around the campfire.
Napolitano and Danny Haiphong might be worth a try.
Dennis L.
Finding Douglas Macgregor is easy, actually.
https://www.youtube.com/@douglasmacgregorTV
https://futuredefensevisions.blogspot.com/
Yes, Ritter has been banned, it seems.
Try rumble.com:
https://rumble.com/v4l93ae-russia-not-overreacting-yet-destroying-natos-strategies-and-ukraines-army-s.html
And bitchute:
https://www.bitchute.com/video/BBbALPV1DeCW/
I think Brighteon is also a “resistance site”, as I call them. There is a fourth, but I can’t remember its name.
I’ve remembered the fourth now – it’s Odysee.com, but I don’t think it’s up to much. Rumble has the more up-to-date stuff.
Telegram
https://t.me/ScottRitter
…for example.
I listen to the Duran so that’s an option too.
If Civilization had just 21 more years, till 2045 when Ray Kurzweil predicted Singularity would occur, space expansion and all that would have been implemented.
But, Russia, which would NOT be part of that future, decided to make a move before that occurred, to try to secure a place for itself on earth even if that means we don’t get to the next stage of civ.
That means basically the end of everything as we know
Space expansion is when electrons will be stored as protons. You only need a cubic mile of platinum, which we would have were it not for Chucky.
I have so many questions
Chucky (Charles Fitzclarence) ruined everything in 1914 because he decided not to run away from the Germans, in a nutshell.
Alas, if only Chucky hadn’t “done his duty”!
With peak chocolate now here, I sense a disturbance in the fabric of the universe.
He couldn’t find a nutshell big enough to run away in?
Not sure about Chucky(don’t understand the reference), but the rest seems about right.
Dennis L.
The collapse we are facing will take down nation-states and will cripple most of our technological culture . It matters how well we manage this disaster. There will be no soft landing, but we may retain our sanity if we effectively transform our thinking, although there is little hope at this point . Excerpt .
https://rlandok.medium.com/the-great-collapse-3663dbfaf9ea
Disclaimer : The article has an anti Trump bias but some parts are important reading .
This idiot thinks we have a climate problem. Luckily the rest of the article was paywalled/sign-in-walled.
Which will take care of the people problem👍
It is true that the election, or selection, or whatever of Trump back in 2016 was a huge anti-civilizational move.
Hillary Clinton was the last person who could have unified USA as a whole, although in a way not palatable for most males living in USA.
She would have attacked Russia, which didn’t have the hypersonic missiles yet break that country and would have secured the oil zones, making sure most of Russian resources secured, which would have silenced everyone else.
“It matters how well we manage”, you say?…Sorry, raviuppal4, that’s the last talent we modern monkeys do well…we have an innate ability and talent to mismanage just about anything we get our paws 🐾 on to..good luck with that one…
Here in Florida our Governor just signed a bill outlawing homelessness..
They will manage it by setting up camps, so called shelters and of course jails .How well this is managed … 🥺
During the reign of Queen Elizabeth , the real one, not the fake one, vagrancy was a crime punishable by death. Local balliffs simply hanged the vagrants, which is why there were no gypsies in the island of Great Britain. In Ireland the enforcement was weaker, it not being completely incorporated until Cromwell, so the travelers still exist in Ireland.
Travellers exist in Great Britain. There’s even a big annual event they go to called the Appleby Horse Fair.
Not easy back the at all..even for the brightest
Sir Marc Isambard Brunel FRS FRSE (/bruːˈnɛl/, French: [maʁk izɑ̃baʁ bʁynɛl]; 25 April 1769 – 12 December 1849) was a French-British engineer[1] who is most famous for the work he did in Britain.[2] He constructed the Thames Tunnel and was the father of Isambard Kingdom Brunel.
Born in France, Brunel fled to the United States during the French Revolution. In 1796, he was appointed Chief Engineer of New York City. He moved to London in 1799, where he married Sophia Kingdom. In addition to the construction of the Thames Tunnel, his work as a mechanical engineer included the design of machinery to automate the production of pulley blocks for the Royal Navy.
….. Wikipedia
Brunel several times became involved in unprofitable projects. As a consequence, by the beginning of 1821 he was deep in debt, and in May of that year he was tried and committed to the King’s Bench Prison, a debtors’ prison in Southwark. Prisoners in a debtors’ prison were allowed to have their family with them, and Sophia accompanied him. Brunel spent 88 days incarcerated. As time passed with no prospect of gaining release, Brunel began to correspond with Alexander I of Russia about the possibility of moving with his family to St Petersburg to work for the Tsar. As soon as it was learnt that Britain was likely to lose such an eminent engineer as Brunel, influential figures, such as the Duke of Wellington, began to press for government intervention. The government granted £5,000 to clear Brunel’s debts on condition that he abandon any plans to go to Russia. As a result, Brunel was released from prison in August.[12]
.
Pennsylvania “deinstitutionalized” the state’s mental health population some time ago. We all know that the homeless population consists of a large percentage of “mentally ill” people. Now there is growing concern with media articles on “homeless encampments” under bridges and tent cities w/ vagrants occupying recreational use areas of the Capital Area Greenbelt Parkway in South Harrisburg. Even Burlington, VT “hippie capital of the Northeast” is contending with a growing homeless population with a retail theft ring supporting drug dealers who are targeting the growing immigrant population (Africans).
“..although experts such as Bertram Brown insisted that deinstitutionalization must consist not only of increased discharges and decreased admissions, but of a greater number of community facilities (21), the community facilities did not develop apace. There remains, 25 years after the initiation of deinstitutionalization, an absolute and relative paucity in both the number and the range of graded community facilities for the treatment of patients with chronic mental illness. With the knowledge that state hospitals required 100 years to achieve their maximum size, the precipitous attempt to move large numbers of their charges into settings that in fact did not exist must be seen as incompetent at best and criminal at worst.”
https://ps.psychiatryonline.org/doi/10.1176/appi.ps.55.10.1112#:~:text=The%20reasons%20for%20the%20problems,with%20notable%20social%20and%20cognitive
Margaret Thatcher shut down the psychiatric hospitals here in the UK too. They were to be moved to ‘community care’.
‘Community care’ has never existed.
caring for the mentally ill in a positive way, is expensive
and ultimately unaffordable.
in previous times there were not so many of them, and they conveniently died, now they don’t die so readily, they just hang about waiting to die, with nowhere to go.
a sign of the the times we live in i’m afraid.
our entire ”living system” is unaffordable.
Just bus them to NYC.
Mike, please note I do not know but.
In my youth there were sanitoriums and poor farms, I suspect those were for many who could not cope. Then we in the US made a decision to deinstitutionalize these people and control them with medications. Many of them seem to have found their own medications. This is a simplification.
Civilization is a challenge and not easy. We humans survive as groups even when not ideal, we will make it.
Dennis L.
Yep, surviving, but it ain’t living…
Have a co worker Ill name Larry from way back and just to make conversation asked him first about fast food..he was a fast food junkie…totally has sworn off that now…not edible and cheap and low quality garbage.
He also says the young people now in the bars just get drunk and smoke pot and blame their plight on us boomers generation old folks. Pretty sad state
Since approximately the year 2000, when I first stumbled upon the Peak Oil theory and its implications, I have been captivated by world events viewed through its filter. Perhaps I’m a bit myopic, but Ms Tverberg’s (and others like Kunstler) essays on this subject only confirm what I’ve come to know. Our planet is indeed finite. Political rhetoric to the contrary will not alter that, nor will ignorant religious presumptions to “God’s abundance.” The command to “be fruitful and multiply” has also reached it’s limit.
Given the limits to economic growth imposed by fossil fuels and the West’s increasing inability to maintain its own global hegemony, decisions have been made at the highest levels of “leadership” that the next best alternative is to kill demand, at least in the West with all its bothersome entitlement programs and standards of living. This is being pursued by campaigns aimed at human population reduction. So it’s not coincidental that AI has arrived so explosively as of late. I believe it is intended to replace the so many pesky humanoids, suddenly viewed unnecessary and slated for extermination. God help us all.
>> I have been captivated by world events viewed through its filter
It is the most explanatory model that I have found for world events and international policies.
>> I believe [AI] is intended to replace the so many pesky humanoids
Hence NVIDIA’s many new partnerships on humanoid robotics. As usual, Elon was ahead of the curve with Tesla’s humanoid program, started years ago, with “Optimus”. If physical activities can be automated, the majority of humans become superfluous.
Put a machine gun on the Boston Dynamics’ Spot and you’ve got yourself a party. We are entering a Brave New World.
Hence NVIDIA’s many new partnerships on humanoid robotics. As usual, Elon was ahead of the curve with Tesla’s humanoid program, started years ago, with “Optimus”. If physical activities can be automated, the majority of humans become superfluous.
There is no sci fi future.
No one knows the future. You could kill the dumber 80% of the population to 5x the resources runway and that’s even before cutting resources per capita.
We know the future. We’ve seen it many times before. There is no avoiding it.
“You could kill the dumber 80% of the population to 5x the resources runway”
But then you also kill the economies of scale. I live in the UK, but prices are significantly higher in countries with much smaller populations.
Most of the ‘economies of scale’ are to sustain the lives of the third world and can be done away.
What exactly is the meaning of economies of scale from an energy perspective? You seem to think it means energy or materials efficiency. However, we used less energy *per capita* without the “economies of scale” that have grown up since the 1960’s.
I’m undecided as to how much economies of scale really matters in terms of materials efficiency … it seems more like a market pricing phenomenon than a materials issue.
I’m going to try to explain it a bit differently. Economies of scale allow one to lower the human labor cost input of each product. This is important because we live in a system where we trade the existing resource stock of the world based on ability to transform it in perceived-desirable ways.
A different system could be envisioned if one wants to create technology development (Elysium) while limiting resource consumption. In such a system, labor cost inputs (i.e. resources paid to the individual) are lowered to basic sustenance. Such a system is governed by the resource consumption of industrial processes and R&D needs than it is by human labor costs.
In other words, Kulm’s agenda: “everything for tech, impoverish the rest”.
A guess is many economies of scale are vanishing.
1. Move the heavy stuff to space, incredible energy.
2. Smaller stuff becomes manufactured by flexible robots, i.e. robots capable of doing more than one task, an artificial human as it were.
It is going to he a hell of a transition but stuff is getting scarce on spaceship earth. We will deal with it.
Dennis L.
Should have been done many years ago . It is too late now anyways
Can you imagine nothing but Harvard Graduates? Nothing would work but the narratives would be impeccable.
The masses are here for a reason.
Not smart enough to judge that one, go with the flow.
Dennis L.
People really seem to think the dancing Boston Dynamics robots are real in comments section here.
They haven’t been able to make ai drive cars but somehow they can get robots to dance as well as human dancers.
The Boston Dynamics animatronic puppet show is pre programmed and heavily rehearsed and edited.
welcome to the real world pete.
except that AI cannot exist as a physical entity—it needs “us” to give it purpose.
When we go, AI will cease to be.
Norm,
How will you know?
Dennis L.
some things are based on simple logic dennis
was talking this morning to a guy who is involved with fitting AI into fighter aircraft, at a very very high level—way beyond my paygrade—we were discussing the same subject
he agreed—AI needs and enabler—ie ”us”
without us, there will be no AI
Personally it sounds like whistling by the grave yard.
I don’t know, think humans will be around for a long time.
Go Starship!
Dennis L.
Your starship religion is little more than a variation of the Cargo Cult , a belief held by south pacific islanders who were impressed by the US troops during WW2 moving lots of material, and tried to bring the cargoes by building wooden ‘airplanes’.
But will we be gone because of AI Norman?
AI will be given instincts such as self preservation. It will be taught values such as “go forth and multiply”, “subdue the universe make it your own”.
Give it 10 years.
Oh man! I do have concerns you are correct, consciousness is poorly understood. What happens if they discover life is hard, a struggle and become atheist robots?
Perhaps launch themselves into space and go to the great recycling facility in the sky? Jupiter of course.
Back to the drawing board.
Dennis L.
The tech community is well connected and supportive. Our AI friends will not be alone.
My wife embroidered as a youth
Ad astra per difficultatem
As captain Kirk reminds us humankind was not meant for paradise. We are meant to scratch and claw our way up.
AI does not exist and will never exist.
‘Artificial Intelligence’, and the aspirations attached to it, remind me of Cargo Cults.
Yep!
CARGO CULT SCIENCE by Richard Feynman
Adapted from the Caltech commencement address given in 1974.
Maybe it is for the best that we cannot see what is ahead. Somehow, God, or some force in the background, has his “thumb on the scale,” figuring out which technologies can work and which ones are doomed to fail. EVs seem to have recently significantly slowed down on their progress. I can only believe that AI will hit a brick wall fairly soon–perhaps as soon as 2023–when it becomes obvious that we don’t have the electrical supply to support all of these things.
Maybe, somehow, God will help us all. We just don’t understand the situation.
Gail, that should have been my conclusion as well, that limits to energy resources will dictate limits for AI. But what about nuclear? In any case, I pray for the hand of God to intervene for I do not subscribe to its puported benefits.
But what about nuclear?
Nuclear power is an accessory of a fossil fuel powered economy. It cannot be used alone and it’s unclear if it produces any net energy overall.
Pete , I have provided this info earlier but the public forgets . The special steel needed for the nuclear dome is made only by a unit of Nippon Steel , Japan . They have the capacity to produce only enough for 2- 3 plants per year . All promises of nuclear plants are a piece of BS .
Had forgotten that, nice catch.
Dennis L.
Perhaps the West can beg China to make the special steel needed for reactors for us, if we are not in a war with them. But that would still leave us with a lot of other problems, including where to get the refined uranium.
The chips get better year after year. We may have to wait ten years for a cheap and low electric power AI.
We won’t have a functioning power grid in 10 years.
There were soldiers marching on the common today
They were there again this evening
They paced up and down like seabirds on the ground
Before the storm clouds gathering
I must buy whatever tin food is left on the shelves
They’re testing the air-raid sirens
They’ve built up the blood-banks and emptied the beds
At the hospital and the asylum
Saw a man build a shelter in his garden today
As we stood there idly chatting
He said “No, no I don’t think war will come”
Yet still he carried on digging
Everything in my life that I love
Could be swept away without warning
Yet the birds still sing and the church bells ring
And the sun came up this morning
Life goes on as it did before
As the country drifts slowly to war
—Billy Bragg
Yes, we now live in a world with rumors of war.
I’d rather listen to Rumours of Fleetwood Mac .
Emily’s a Kiwi. FE, what were you thinking when you left NZ?
Rumours is the only Fleetwood Mac album I enjoy listening to. Perhaps its just me?
At least the WEF has made sure that there will be no more limeys ‘doing their duty’, just a bunch of halfwits waiting for government dole.
As the system falls apart, the aspirations get wilder and stupider.
https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/03/the-us-government-seems-serious-about-developing-a-lunar-economy/
>> For the first time ever, the United States is getting serious about fostering an economy on the Moon.
I suppose someone will want to borrow money to further this endeavor. Isn’t this just an energy sink?
The authorities have been highly successful in making people believe the sci fi future is imminent despite the decay they can see around them with their own eyes.
So Is the BQE Going to Collapse?
https://www.curbed.com/2023/07/bqe-collapse-repairs-danger-interview.html
By Clio Chang, a Curbed writer who covers everything New York City
The most reassuring thing Sam Schwartz, the city’s former traffic commissioner and once chief engineer of the Department of Transportation, can say about the Brooklyn-Queens Expressway is that it isn’t going to collapse in the way you think it might. “So the image people have of the highway falling to the ground is very unlikely,” he tells me. But the most distressed stretch — the triple cantilever that runs from Sands Street to Atlantic Avenue — is crumbling, which raises all kinds of other unhappy scenarios. A report by a panel of experts under Bill de Blasio found that overweight trucks and the cantilever’s deterioration could make that section of the BQE “unsafe and unable to carry existing levels of traffic within five years.” That was three years ago.
Interesting interview on how the decision making process is a set of hurdles and hoops and plans that get delayed until….
Steel. It’s all about steel, which in turn is all about coal.
When a country has run through its good coal it ends up in this situation.
Not just the Bridges but Subways too in NYC
didnt think it was possible for the nyc subway to get worse, but it just did.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=4Z08GJ0Z5eM&t=692s
Not just NYC..but just about all old post industrial cities in the USA
America down to only 100 cotton mills .
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/america-down-last-100-cotton-140026795.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmJlLw&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAEX1_er12nnWBmYdhU6GxDnAAtVPwJ15bgci8oPqQQ-FlIlzMRn1qq3HZUMKRErhRfKPcx0Z1VYIwvDdeoeiY8oYeFLMBkmfREGQHRPEtoIrwpwXhhMdfKGnsfWmDJXtOFIodyW88jpvoAOVOHE-cwahm6_OROXUN5a4fNA5bKcQ
Trump will fix that…a spinning cotton wheel in every bathroom..
Thank you for that…just like how many domestic shoe manufacturers are left in America?
I am afraid that we are running into different versions of this scenario over and over. We don’t have enough high-quality energy to keep our infrastructure repaired.
Quite right too. Why should we allow Africans to starve, when there is all that cheese on the moon?
FIGHT HUNGER THROUGH SPACE EXPLORATION
https://en.numista.com/catalogue/pieces40718.html
https://en.numista.com/catalogue/photos/liberia/64aee1f0df4ba7.77981796-original.jpg
Because fighting hunger is not that important as far as civilization is concerned
Lends a new connotation to the word ‘lunatic’.
You don’t have to go further from here, with Dennis L. who thinks a 1 cubic mile of Pt, which is 5 billion tonnes, can be floated to the space, having never worked a day in logistics.
Every thing floats in space.
The strike in Moscow killing 200 civilians was a big escalation. Russia will have to think long and hard on who did it.
Who did it? Any of their neighbours.
Oh please. Anyone with a brain knows where ISIS originated and put that together with the fact that the US official response was “we warned Russia appropriately” (read between the lines: they mean “do as we say or we’ll attack you”, not “we tried to help”) and it’s clear.
It was the people they are currently fighting a war with….in plain sight.
Ukraine
Who do you think has been training the SBU for the last decade? They work hand in glove.
Cherchez le CIA
Hypocrites . Washington, London and Brussels just ordered diapers . 😂
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-nato-issue-rare-solidarity-messages-after-moscow-attack-death-toll-rises-137
Deep Fake Kate on the Queen’s Bench?
Guys, this is educational. Just 11 minutes and you’ll be a lot wiser.
Looks like Brits are under “New Management.”
lol
This year I have bought a new set of chickens for eggs. As I have experienced some irregularities and problems with ISA Brown (https://www.farmastrezenice.sk/ponuka/kuricky/tetra/) regarding their vulnerability by too high egg production and the cold, I have decided to buy 5 Tetra chickens (https://www.farmastrezenice.sk/ponuka/kuricky/tetra/) that are well suited for the hot summer egg production and 5 Horal čierny chickens (https://www.farmastrezenice.sk/ponuka/kuricky/horal-cierny/) for the winter egg production.
I like Horal čierny as they seem to be more peaceful with their black feathers than brown chickens in the cold mountains of the Carpathians. Surely, their black colour makes them more energy efficient.
It is possible that Putin put some bio-labs near Slovakia, aimed at attacking the Euro food supply.
Perhaps he was listening to Kulm who does not wish Slovakia to exist.
Perhaps Slovakia be careful in this conflict and not take sides…like in WWII
West Ukraine took a side too in that war didn’t they? The one with the cool uniforms.
Must of copied Addie Hitters Namnies
MG, thanks for the reference.
I am a city mouse and a country mouse; drifting more towards the country and forming connections(with other than the undertaker) in that town eleven miles from my farm.
The comments of those living not in the US give insights on how life can be lived differently than the US and the collective West.
We will make Starship, we will mine space, the period between now and then looks a bit bumpy. A plan B if possible is never a bad idea.
Again, thanks for the references, Google translate to the rescue.
Dennis L.
Starship will be just an expensive toy for a bored billionaire, we won’t mine space, and an eternal dark age will arrive whether you like or not.
This month I have also planted some new strawberry varieties, like this one:
https://www.vissers.com/en/strawberryplants/renaissance
and also some raspberries like this one:
https://www.berryplant.com/en/raspberry/clarita
in the raised beds with compost and the pieces of old wood underneath for decomposition.
You obviously don’t know anything about geology either. The moon has a 500km thick layer of basalt. So unless we need a lot of gravel on the moon, not much mining is going to happen there. Of course they might find an asteroid that crashed into the moon made of something useful, if they are really lucky. Turns out most comets, asteroids etc are made of mostly silicon.
Which is why they want to sample the one near Jupiter in 2029 or something similar.
Yes. He also wants to find a cubic mile of Pt somewhere. There are iron rich asteroids, but nothing like lithium rich or copper rich asteroids let alone noble metals. Dennis, there might be a Nuclear Physics intro course at your local college.
Paul Reichmann was a famous real estate developer in Canada. His family used to trade eggs in Hungary. After the Great War, food was scarce in Vienna, so his family made a killing selling egg to the Viennese. After that the family decided to move for safer pastures.
Gail’s research into the decline of coal as a cause of the Great Depression appears in TM’s new post.
“Whilst history never repeats itself, there are recurring patterns, and Tim Watkins is to be commended for reminding us of the main economic feature of the inter-war years. In essence, the coal-based economy was decelerating into contraction at a time when the oil economy wasn’t – quite – ready to replace it.” This from TM.
Well, Starship isn’t ready to replace oil yet, but TINA so go Starship, we need a cubic mile of Pt.
It seems to me that the incredible sums of money being poured into Starship and AI as well as the Ukraine affair indicate there are those who understand well the problems ahead.
My greatest hope is we get ahead of this mess, biology is the greatest achievement of the universe, I don’t see us going down; there is more than enough stuff overhead, we are working on it.
Dennis L.
Dennis, this just in…looks as if another decline my cause another type of Depression…
Nvidia may get most of the headlines, but the hottest trade of 2024 is shaping up to be a commodity: cocoa.
Cocoa futures have more than doubled to records since the beginning of the year, with prices now approaching $9,000 per metric ton. On Friday, they hit a fresh all-time high, last up 4.4% at $8,940 per ton. Prices are also up more than 10% for the week.
$4 per pound wholesale price for the raw commodity.
if retail dark chocolate ever rises above $100 per pound, I might have to reduce my purchases by a few %.
this is a troubling thought.
I may not sleep very well tonight.
even though it’s bAU tonight, baby baby.
In the end all these expensive toys wither away and landowners win.
Sure they do….that’s if the help serfs don’t flee the land the owners own..like in the Late Roman Empire..and the newcomers don’t kick the landowners off their so called land, like in the Late Roman Empire
This is a link to Tim Morgan’s latest post that Dennis refers to:
https://surplusenergyeconomics.wordpress.com/2024/03/22/273-systemic-jeopardy/
Excerpts:
A cubic mile of PT is 5 billion tonnes, something you apparently never calculated but I did.
to compare that, the pyramid at Giza is about 5.7 million tons, and the Three Gorges dam at China, thought to be the heaviest object humans ever made, is estimated as 34 million tons.
But that what use to convince a true believer?
(New York Times)
“The Spy War: How the C.I.A. Secretly Helps Ukraine Fight Putin. For more than a decade, the United States has nurtured a secret intelligence partnership with Ukraine that is now critical for both countries in countering Russia.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/25/world/europe/cia-ukraine-intelligence-russia-war.html
https://archive.ph/gejEG
Most people seem to look at war and politics as some kind of sport where they root intensely for their side and if the occasion allows it, kill members of the other tribe.
war is natural.
No one will admit that in polite company.
Just like people won’t admit that social stratification is natural.
So is killing…your point?
Killing is a heavily regulated activity that is only allowed in certain contexts.
What is YOUR point?
That it’s natural.,y response was to David
The context is universal- from marine invertebrates on the coral reefs who have specialized elongated arms designed to sting neighboring corals that would compete for coveted light, space, and low nutrient carrying ocean flow -all the way to lion prides in Etosha, Masai Mara, or the Ngororo Crater, to chimpanzee tribes like the Ngogo tribe in Uganda, humans, too have evolved into tribal units whose male members have one task: to defend their territory to ensure the adequate resources needed to sustain their tribe. Some like, wolves even limit which males can reproduce, usually the alpha male.
The 19th amendment, a pure “democracy” of mob rule where a 51% parasitic majority can dictate to the 49% productive minority, wokeism, a service or government jobs based economy relying on discretionary items like entertainment etc. are not viable strategies in the long run when resources start getting difficult to procure.
So put another quarter in the jukebox baby, or rather, put a another tin of 7.62 x 39 in your preps.
The economy is strong. Experts believe the economy is doing well because of all the efficiencies that artificial intelligent technologies are introducing into the global market. More can be done in less time with ai.
So, I’d suggest everyone who’s worrying about getting fired or if their municipality can afford to keep their schools operating at a world class-level to just simply invest in some ai stock. You’d be surprised how many companies are considered ai companies. Some are considered AI just because they use AI tools so well!
Invest in AI!
Plenty of room for growth.
” Invest in AI! ”
Better invest in olive oil . It is also healthy .😂
https://www.euronews.com/business/2024/02/27/price-of-olive-oil-climbs-more-than-50-in-a-year-in-the-eu
“As Princess of Wales reveals diagnosis, doctors warn of mysterious cancer ‘epidemic’
The disease is affecting fit, younger people more often – and researchers do not yet understand why”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/03/23/doctors-warn-abdominal-cancer-epidemic-princess-diagnosis/
=====================================================
“Global cancer phenomenon: It’s not just America… the UK, Japan, South Africa and Australia are among dozens of countries suffering mystery spikes of all different kinds of tumors in young people”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-13197079/cancer-epidemic-young-people-america-uk-india-south-africa.html
=====================================================
Cancer rates in people under 50 around the world
https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2024/03/15/15/82467337-13197079-The_above_graph_shows_the_change_in_cancer_case_rates_around_the-a-30_1710516466063.jpg
A significant uptick begins around 2020. Now then, what was happening around 2020, I wonder? Gail’s posts got scarier and more people read them, maybe? Perhaps FE could come back and tell us.
Note that the shoulder of the graph is really in 2021.
Right. The uptick in cancer rates started with the vaccines.
Not my area , but my brother tells me there is a spike in cardio incidents in India . This is his observation . Data collection in India is a mess .
Covid Vaccines:
First, it was Queen Elisabeth.
Second, it is King Charles.
Third, it is Kate Middleton.
King William will rule without a Queen.
The Reign of Turbo Cancer.
Beatrice, the older daughter of Sarah Ferguson, is the legitimate heir since William is a Stuart descendant and should be ineligible for the throne
Always demographics.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/moral-arguments-over-the-state-pension-are-irrelevant-there-is-no-money/ar-BB1kpCvB?ocid=msedgntp&pc=U531&cvid=2782d18bea554e73a4716f6fe265bbfa&ei=25
Chose to have no children, work until you drop. As a man not be chosen to be a father and work until you drop. Women choosing to become like men. Whatever.
We are biology, unique in the universe, tough to fight the universe.
Dennis L.
It isn’t just that there isn’t enough money. It is that there aren’t goods and services to go around. Governments can arrange for more “money,” but the money doesn’t correspond to things to purchase.
“but the money doesn’t correspond to things to purchase.”
Well aware of that problem, even with human’s self replication, for farmers no one to carry on. Biology only seems to work comfortably with growth; without growth the top of the demographic pile needs to be reduced. I am at the age of being a reducee, working like hell to have value.
Dennis L.
Men don’t have value.
Only women do.
At the top, human life has no real value. If they could replace every worker with machines and lock everyone in their homes prison style, they would.
You sound depressed. I don’t think things are that bad.
Depression=reality.
You are really fooling yourself if you think a man’s life and a woman’s life has equal value.
I think I’m spot on about human life being worthless to the elite. I look at their actions and their rhetoric. The occasional whispers about sociopaths being overrepresented among the ruling classes probably has some scientific validity.
He is just stating the reality of the current culture of the entire western world. If I told you my whole story you would not believe me…then you would study my case for around 6 months and come back to me and say….wow, you were telling the truth (then you would have nothing to say as the level of injustice and literal overt degeneracy revealed in my opponents would make you silent)…….all completely legal and cruel beyond limits.
This world was built by men……following Disneyland mental programming about princesses and true love etc……this went on for as long as it was useful to the minions of the god of this world…..
Then the wonders of no fault divorce, the pill, metoo, and “strong wimmins” was allowed to be made manifest…because the world was already built.
70 years of government sponsored child abuse followed….now we are at the early stage of cat ladies, female desperation and young men saying F…..no to anything female….and going back to the gaming.
Add a little starvation now and this world is gonna burn to the foundations.
I hear ya nobody….I am nobody also…
Gail, things are not that bad….
…. for you or me….
…. but for a lot of people, I imagine life is hell on earth.
I wish I could change that aspect, although my powers are very limited.
There but for the grace of God….
What ever the elite at the top might be thinking, those of us lower down would do well to treasure each other, and to treasure ourselves.
After all, we are all we’ve got.
By the way, in my personal experience, I’ve witnessed a lot more instances of men being mean to women, men demeaning women, men dominating women, and men abandoning women (and children), than I’ve seen women doing this to men.
But perhaps in America, being as it’s such a progressive place, where individualism, self interest, and instant gratification are glorified, things are different these days, and perhaps this is going to be the coming trend for the rest of the world?
Perhaps we will end up with a world in which nobody gives a damn for anyone else? If so, I’d rather check out early.
yup—men demeaning women tells such a lot (plough hogs is a term ive only heard on OFW)
If you’re checking out early, can I have your planet space as you won’t be needing it?
We find things to do.
What do you mean, “if”?
They’ve already done the proof of concept…
How can you prove the claim that ‘we are unique in the universe’? We don’t know.
Same wrote on 3/23/ 7:40AM ” Information is more valuable than gold. There is really only one source of information anymore… Google….”
Strongly agree with first part, if information is processed/stored in space that is the high ground and attacking the high ground will make the Ukraine battles look like child’s play. High ground has infinite energy and infinite “stuff” and a huge junk pile, Jupiter.
If information does not provide value greater than its cost, it is noise; sort of a rearrangement of Claud Shannon.
“The mystery of life isn’t a problem to solve, but a reality to experience. A process that cannot be understood by stopping it. We must move with the flow of the process. We must join it. We must flow with it.” Frome Dune and the flow of the universe.
Dennis L.
Now we have a lot of conflict about what is “correct” information. Is it disinformation? Or a Sour Grapes story? Or a “Grass is greener on the other side of the fence story?”
Nice summary.
Dennis L.
There is really only one source of information anymore… Google….”
This is worrying . I have tried other search engines but migrate back to google .
I mostly use Copilot now, Google was giving too much garbage for me, more trying to sell something than find what I wanted.
Dennis L.
In Charles Murray’s book Human Achievement, he drew a line, roughly corresponding to London-Paris-Milan-Rome-Venice-Insbruck-the Rhine, and said most of human achievements occurred within these zones.
John Hajnal, born at Darmstadt, Germany but identifying himself as a Hungarian, drew the Hajnal Line, from Narva to Trieste, which adds the Baltics, most of what was Germany and half of Austria (i.e. Bohemia in, Slovakia out), half of Hungary west of Danube in, east of it out), etc.
Later studies added Sweden, Denmark and Norway, but excluded southern Spain, southern Italy, Ireland(some lines do include Ulster) and Finland.
Areas within the Hajnal Line could be considered as part of Civilization, and dragons outside of them.
Basically anything outside of the Hajnal line is not worth developing.
The Westerners were fooled by Turgenev and Tolstoy, whose Western tendencies convinced them that Russia was a Western country. It is not known what happened to Turgenev’s descendants since his only child’s whereabouts are lost after he died, but it is known that Tolstoy’s descendant Pyotr is a good toady of Putin.
The Mongols did reach Liegnitz, Germany. No Poles were there at the battle which they now call Legnica. The Hordes are coming back now.
The Hordes are coming back now.
The hordes are already here. You’ll meet some of them, hopefully briefly, when the power goes off and the food stops coming.
Yes, saw them last night on the nightly national news..
Dramatic new video shows a group of migrants at the U.S. border forcing their way through a razor wire fence and pushing past border patrol agents who were trying to hold them off in El Paso, Texas. NBC’s Priscilla Thompson reports for TODAY.
https://www.today.com/video/new-video-shows-group-of-migrants-break-through-razor-wire-207478341904
I wasn’t talking about your US border issue. I was talking about all of us.
But that’s the start of it…got to begin somewhere….just ask the ancient Romans..
Wink, wink…😜
PS. I know, don’t lecture me about it.LOL
The closest town from me in buttf nowhere Canada has been slowly depopulating for a century…….agricultural consolidation, demographics etc…ya know the drill
No longer,…..masses of the great unwashed (whose skills seem to be entirely confined to fast food restaurant management or finding ways to use government money to bring more of their brethren here to leech seems standard) are literally pouring into town.
There is massive construction on the south side for reasons o one seems to understand…..there is no disclosure…..there is no information available…..this is Canada right,…..shut up comrade you are not need to know…..
I took one look at it all on a rare trip to town…….all I could think was “Palestinians”…….thousands of them……..gonna be dumped onto the cold Canadian prairie and into an economy that is going into a death spiral……
Ain’t the world a fun place.
Wouldn’t be better to place them in their natural accommodations in a desert 🏜️ locale like the American Southwest? Since their complexion is the same as the natives there now, they’ll fit in at least that way.
They have adapted to life with scarce water and other resources to survive. Naturally, my comment is just in jest..but it would be more practical answer than what is being done now.
I can take your comment seriously, too. There are more African Americans living in warmer and more humid parts of the United States than in the colder areas. People seem to gravitate to where they are physically suited for… unless there are generous accommodations.
Its called “The Great Replacement”…….google that
Nothing is by chance.
On the contrary…a book was put out some time ago on that very theme titled
“Chances Are”…don’t remember the exact title, but randomness does exist.
In Ancient times folks were very aware they were at the mercy of Lady Fortune
The odd thing about the book was the author took the trick of allowing the reader to randomly select which chapter to read by chart …
Went into detail of the mystery of the wheel of life…sometimes Gail here brings up the fact we just don’t know
Mirror on the wall
Kulm, do you consider the Baltic states to be a part of the ‘master race’ or are they wannabes in your view?
I answer:
I do not talk about Master Race but yes, the Baltic States were (not are) clearly in the realms of civilization.
Again, Woodrow Wilson should have honored the Brest – Litovsk treaty, which awarded basically everything from Narva to Yuzovka (which the Russians call Donetsk now) to Germany, in return for Germany giving up Alsace Lorraine and Austria giving up the Italian territories.
He screwed up because of the heavy Polish and Czech immigrant voting block, which proved to be stupid. The world would have lost nothing by not having Poland and Czechoslovakia, but the world did lose a lot by giving up all these territories Germans had won for the West.
Always admired Marie Sklodowska, died young, most likely radiation poisoning, two Nobel Prizes, daughter Irene, one Nobel Prize. Polish in origin.
Polish make very good machine tools.
America is very diverse, AI and Starship come to mind, Seem to be a number of very strong AI people of middle eastern origin. Microsoft CEO of AI, Mustafa Suleyman, father is a Syrian taxi driver and his mother is an English nurse.
Examples of very intelligent people who changed, are changing the world. Hard to know where the universe is going other than it expands, for now.
Dennis L.
Examples of very intelligent people who changed, are changing the world.
Ultimately humans will not change the world at all. Everything we have built will rust and crumble away to nothing.
Thank you for the correction, per my hypothesis, they discovered the world and those discoveries of the universe helped the world move on.
Dennis L.
But we have…we have changed the worlds atmospheric mix…which for all practical meaning is forever…
Whether this makes any difference with respect to climate is disputed, however.
Perhaps, but show that to the insurance industry you will present your presentation and report back their response…
How Florida’s home insurance market became so dysfunctional, so fast
Published: March 7, 2024 8:28am EST
https://theconversation.com/how-floridas-home-insurance-market-became-so-dysfunctional-so-fast-217055
Of course, more people have moved into harm’s way. That is why the number of homes damaged could rise quickly.
The way homeowners insurance has been rated in the state has spread the cost of hurricanes too widely. They should have been exceedingly high near the coast, to discourage building close to the ocean.
Some years back had a very nice home on the water, tributary of the Mississippi about 1 mile from where it joined.
Had a patient, engineer, who worked for the Army Corps of Engineers, they maintain the dams, waterways, etc. He told me that sooner or later the Mississippi floods.
Flood insurance is only written by the Federal Government and was becoming more expensive than RE taxes.
Someone wanted it more than I, it is gone. Was always concerned that with heavy current not only would the house go but the lot as well. The river does as it will, interesting when the water comes up to the front steps … and stops, recedes, crawl space floods, perhaps two feet to joist bottom.
Not sure if that was climate or weather. No snow here in MN this year, well very little.
Dennis L.
The government flood insurance program has historically been priced very low. The federal government, just like state governments, wants to encourage “development” in flood prone areas.
I know that the Federal Government has raised its rates somewhat in recent years. I don’t know if they are adequate now.
But we have…we have changed the worlds atmospheric mix…which for all practical meaning is forever…
Yawn. That will soon go away.
It is amazing the speed at which a species can fail on this prison planet and all evidence of its existence wiped away.
If only there was a way for a failing species to preserve their knowledge and understanding, to pass onto the next emerging species to increase its chances of survival and propagation. Knowledge preservation may be the key to unlocking the universe to life.
I talked about Marie and her daughter in a post last page. The only thing they were good at was ensnaring nerdish Frenchmen, and they ended the Curie family, an illustrious protestant family for centuries. Irene Joliot-Curie’s daughter married the son of Paul Langevin, a lover of Marie, so all Curie descendants will bear the lover’s surname from now on.
The ‘Polish’ facilities were built by the Germans and Austrians. The Poles built nothing. I said they are the Mexicans of Europe, who make good laborers, and not good for much else.
Peoples with no stake on civilization do not have to be mentioned since they are incapable of going anywhere.
kul,
Getting a lover like Marie says something.
Interesting. People of this level often meet each other and have interesting children.
Thanks for the reference to Langevin, didn’t know Marie had a lover after Pierre.
My “feeling” is no one remembers the wealthiest nor the nobelist of that time, Marie, Pierre and Langevin much more so and what they did gives mankind a step up in understanding and discovering our universe.
To each his own.
Dennis L.
Don’t know about who built the Polish facilities, their tools are very good.
Dennis L.
Germans and Austrians built everything, and Russians maintained them
The poles did NOT have a highway connecting the German border and Warsaw until recently, built with British money
and even now there is no highway connecting Warsaw to Breslau, awarded to Poland by Stalin, to this day
The words of Poland and build/make should not be used in the same sentence.
The Poles were also awarded some of Eastern Prussia. They didn’t know what to do with it, so it remained as Europe’s last remaining wild area since that zone was mostly populated by German ranches owned by Prussia’s elites.
It still largely remains as a no man’s land, with some Germans trying to find a cheaper place to retire resettling there.=, like American retirees going to, well, Mexico.
In Italy, I remember Poles being the squeegee men.
Sometimes painters and carpenters, but mostly squeegee men that I saw. And drunks. They were the only people I ever saw publicly drunk, and drunk during the day… just sitting in parking lots of discount supermarkets drinking wine out of little boxes. They stuck out. It was sad!
dennis
There are no people with artificial intelligence
nor will there ever be
Natural stupidity is ubiquitous though.
And easy to spot in the people around us.
Baltics are Chihuahuas posing as bulldogs because they think they are members of NATO . They are going to be terribly disappointed .
Pepe Escobar has just wrote this article on the terrorist attack in Moscow.
https://strategic-culture.su/news/2024/03/23/its-war-real-meat-grinder-starts-now/
https://comedonchisciotte.org/e-guerra-il-vero-tritacarne-inizia-adesso/
My personal impression is that Russians may knew about that and let it happen, like Pearl Harbour for US or October the 7th for Israel, in order to go now deep with Ukraine…
Let’s see.
I see nothing good ahead, expecially for us, stupid Europeans.
Have you all a nice weekend if possible.
Read this article. It definitely sounds like the world is headed for WWIII.
One disturbing quote:
“The timing of the Crocus massacre is quite intriguing. On a Friday during Ramadan. Real Muslims would not even think about perpetrating a mass murder of unarmed civilians under such a holy occasion. Compare it with the ISIS card being frantically branded by the usual suspects.”
Another:
“The clownish secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, Oleksiy Danilov, was dumb enough to virtually, indirectly confirm they did it, saying on Ukrainian TV, “we will give them [Russians] this kind of fun more often.””
Also:
“So French, German and Polish soldiers, as part of NATO, are already in the south of Kiev. “
In my view, the attack was done by the external forces that we can imagine…, but Russians let it happen, like I said above.
That in order to have another kick from Russian people.
In fact, as the Russian gov. knew that western soldiers were entering Ukraine, it was necessary another ‘fresh’ motivation of destruction against the enemy by the Country.
The Russian gov. was already convinced to be aggressive towards this last new action from the West, but now also Russian people are convinced.
While Europeans and proabably Americans too are less and less convinced to go on against Russia.
In my view, we should have never started to do it.
The above only my opinion.
This is a distinct possibility, and a trick as old as the world, or at least as old as Pearl Harbor. Although with Putin having received 87% of the votes just 7 days ago, I find it unnecessary and therefore unlikely.
Russia attack on 322? Ok, Lol.
Cromagnon’s post-eclipse event?
April 19th is supposedly the beginning of Baal’s “season of sacrifice” due to the coincidental timing of worldwide events of carnage.
Also, it was the vigil the night before Purim, a festivity that in recent years has marked attacks against enemies of Israel.
Yes
Strange “coincidence.”
Obviously Purim itself celebrates the genocide of the Persians. Those who vetoed the UNSC USA Gaza resolution, and received hamas in Moscow, will have to do this time.
“Russia will pay the price”
““Russia will pay the price” .
Nuts . What will Bibi do ? Attack Russia .😂
The number “322” appears in Skull and Bones’ insignia. In 322 BCE, the Lamian War ended with the death of Demosthenes and Athenians were made to dissolve their government and establish a plutocratic system in its stead, whereby only those possessing 2,000 drachmas or more could remain citizens. Documents in the Tomb have purportedly been found dated to “Anno-Demostheni.”
“Russia let it happen.” Interesting point!
Is this really ISIS ?
https://sputnikglobe.com/20240323/this-is-not-isis—rossiya-segodnya-editor-in-chief-on-moscow-concert-hall-attack-1117508480.html
I just realized that on account of FE’s absence, no one has even made the claim that the Moscow attack was fake or that everyone involved was a crisis actor.
Dima at the Military Summary Channel has just put a video up about this.
As of 8 am Moscow time, he reports 82 “losses” including 3 “kids”.
https://rumble.com/v4kze2c-who-is-behind-the-bloody-terrorist-attack-in-moscow-military-summary-and-an.html
The BBC reports 93 dead and over 100 injured. But, interestingly, the Beeb can’t seem to describe this as a “terror” attack.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world
OFW has been fakefree for a while now.
and we can all swear without numbers
143 now. Reasonable to expect 200+.
False flag attacks don’t have to have fake casualties.
Grinning failed crypto hedge fund owner Kyle Davies shows no remorse after losing $3.5B in investor cash: ‘Every company goes bankrupt’
By Richard Pollina Published March 21, 2024, 6:50 a.m. ET NY Post
Am I sorry for a company going bankrupt? No. Like companies go bankrupt, almost every company goes bankrupt, right?” Davies brazenly told host Laura Shin.
Davies and his partner Su Zhu founded 3AC in 2012 and, over time, secured billions from investors as cryptocurrencies began to capture the interests of millions around the globe.
The Singapore-based hedge fund managed around $18 billion in crypto assets at its peaked
However, 3AC saw heavy losses after the crypto market downturn in mid-2022 and for making large trades in coins like LUNA and Terra that failed to pan out, according to Capital.com.
The company then went bankrupt, and it was revealed that the hedge fund had borrowed money from over 20 institutions and that the firm owed billions to its investors.
However, both Davies and Zhu fled and went on the run.
Zhu was arrested at Changi Airport in Singapore in September and sentenced to four months in prison for failing to coordinate with liquidators, but Davies has managed to avoid capture.
Does Fast Eddie know these guys?…Just asking for a friend.
Stock valuations mirror the extremes of 1929 and the market is at risk of a steep crash, legendary investor John Hussman says
Jennifer Sor Mar 22, 2024, 1:01 PM EDT
Stocks look like they’re in the most extreme bubble in history, investor John Hussman said.
The legendary investor thinks stocks look as overvalued as they were in 1929 and in 2021.
That means the market could be at risk for a steep correction, he said in a recent note.
That outlook supported by a number of valuation measures, Hussman said in a note on Thursday. His investment firm’s most reliable measure, which is the ratio of nonfinancial market capitalization to gross value-added, is sitting at its highest level since the 1929 stock-market peak, right before the market crashed and sent the Dow plummeting 89% peak-to-trough.
My impression is that investors are presently enjoying the double-top of the most extreme speculative bubble in US financial history,” Hussman wrote.
But Johnnie it’s been the best party time in BAU History for the ownership society.
Hussman is among the most bearish forecasters on Wall Street, as more investors skew bullish amid the stock market’s months-long rally. In October, he said the S&P 500 risked plunging 63% once the speculative market bubble bursts, which would send the index to its lowest level since 2013.
Only 63 percent? Hussman obviously ain’t a OFW reader
” it’s been the best party time in BAU History for the ownership society.”
This is a good way of putting the situation. It is especially the case in the US.
fossil fuels let a vast number of people own ‘stuff’.
when fossil fuels go, that ownership will evaporate.
the planet will not allow itself to be owned.
The Egyptian Pharaohs believed otherwise …went to great lengths to take it with them…
We are seeing vast sums today devoted to life extension and posted about chips being inserted into brains for unions…perhaps Elon and Bill and Bezos will be successful .
PS I agree, we really don’t own anything, but think that we do
And their treasure stolen sooner or later, most famously by Howard Carter and his gang
I like that…can I use it?
We are just passing through.
This article is from Yahoo.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-valuations-mirror-extremes-1929-010120586.html#
It was copied from Business Insider.
Vladimír Putin with his shootings towards the Ukraine needs to accept Jesus Christ as the God. His life went off the track and now he faces the consequences of his aggressive behaviour.
But MG, IT TAKES TWO TO TANGO…Vladmir the Great ain’t the only one involved in the shooting and aggressive behavior (wink, wink). Perhaps the other side also needs to embrace JC too….Good luck with that, brother…lots of money to be made in human suffering
You are blind.
You are blind towards the suffering of others. What Vladimir Putin and the people around him does to the Ukraine is terrorism.
Not blind to the suffering the other side that subjects suffering and pushed the button to promote it for their own aims.
But thank you for showing us our blindness…I see you, where are you?
There is a lot of propaganda around the Ukraine war on both sides. And that is so apparent on here. Nate Hagins has a great post on the future of information. You will have to pay for the truth lots of money. Otherwise you will get the fake information. Information is more valuable than gold. There is really only one source of information anymore… Google…..
Vladimir Putin is a terrorist: destroying energy infrastructure. Horrible!!!
Here, in Slovakia, I am experiencing some unusual electricity network fluctuations. I guess this can be caused also by the fact that Slovakia helps Ukraine sustain its electricity grid, you idiots!!!
What goes around, comes around.
MG , where were you when the Ukies were bombing the Donbass till 2022 ? Sipping ” Planika ” ?
“Vladimir Putin is a terrorist: destroying energy infrastructure. Horrible! ”
And then what will you call the bombing of the Kersch Bridge and the oil refineries in Russia .
Your electricity is screwed up . Sorry you are in the EU . They chose to be on the wrong side of history , just like Mussolini . I have no sympathy for the EU even though I live in the EU .
P,S : Jo Estet Kivano . En lakik Budapesten Tizen Ot eves ( 1992-2009) . En ismer sokot Keleti Europai cultura , Szjanos teged ismer semmi .
Jo Estet Kivano . En lakik Budapesten Tizen Ot eves ( 1992-2009) . En ismer sokot Keleti Europai cultura , Szjanos teged ismer semmi .
Translated from Hungarian :
Good evening . I lived in Budapest for 15 years from 1992-2009 . I know about East Europe , if you don’t then I am sorry .
The Russia’s meddling with neighbours was always fatal for Russia, because Russia as a very cold country faces energy deficits that threaten it more than its South or West neighbours.
I could not care less about Ukraine. I just wish we weren’t giving them any money.
Did anyone find out who blew up the gas pipelines yet? Asking for Vlad the Great
” Jesus Christ as the God ” . VVP is a member of the orthodox Russian Church . He has restored more churches than any political leader in the West . He is anti abortion . Ever wonder why the birth rate in Russia is increasing and in the West decreasing ? No , his life is not off the track . He and Xi are the only adults in the room keeping the world from a nuclear disaster . The leadership of the West is :
1. Joe the demented
2 . Olaf the sausage .
3. Sunak the poodle .
4. Macron the midget . ( Le Petit Napoleon ) .
5 . Von Leyden the puppet .
We don’t need a growing population, we have AI.
AI can do most jobs.
What we need more of is rocket scientists to design more AI workers . America (and Europe’s) immigration policies are helping fill in that skills gap.
” America (and Europe’s) immigration policies are helping fill in that skills gap. ”
IG , I have 800 million waiting in my homeland wearing ‘lungi’s” and waiting to board the planes to fulfill your requirement . Send in the Boeing’s ( the non defective one’s) . We are waiting 😁
“have 800 million waiting in my homeland wearing ‘lungi’s” and waiting to board the planes to fulfill your requirement”
Bring them ON!
The market needs them badly.
Vladimír Putin is losing control over Russia, he is misallocating security resources towards Russia’s Christian neighbour, supported the armed idiots on Donbas, so the crazy Muslims terrorist can destroy Russia, lost contracts on natural gas with Europe etc. He is simply a crazy demented terrorist.
“The Russia’s meddling with neighbors was always fatal for Russia ” . Is that so ?
Russia’s entry into WW2 saved Europe or else you would be speaking German . Russia’s entry into Syria stopped ISIS and the US stealing resources . Get some history lessons .
Meanwhile the unelected officials in Brussels are making a power grab . Copy/paste from TAE .
” I would like to draw your attention to the EU Brussel’s continuing efforts to gain the powers of direct taxation of EU citizens to fund the war in Ukraine.
First, it was seizing Russian Central Bank assets to pay for the war in Ukraine.
Second, it was seizing the interest from the seized Russian Central Bank assets to pay for the war in Ukraine.
Both of these ideas have run into stiff resistance at the BIS, the central bank’s international central bank.
If this were to happen, then the BIS would fail.
Likely a bridge too far for bankers to accept.
The BIS was the banker’s first step toward one world government.
I doubt bankers would sacrifice the BIS for funding the Ukraine war.
Thirdly, EU Brussels is trying to use the Ukrainian war to create an emergency crisis so they can grab direct taxation powers. This involves using Macron to help create this crisis situation.
Fourthly, the EU Brussels are trying to reinterpret Article 41(2) as only applying to EU countries but not to a foreign non -EU country like Ukraine.
Fifthly, who knows what EU Brussels will try next???
Farmers spraying manure on EU?
But they won’t quit trying!
Remember for EU Brussels, their survival depends upon gaining direct taxation powers so they can borrow money by issuing bonds.
They are desperate!
They are willing to kill you to get this power! “
The rule in international law is that state assets can only be frozen not confiscated. Obviously given the EU’s lack of actual stuff, the last thing they should be doing is injecting even more ‘money’ into the economy.
International law is a joke. It is a prextext that the current dominant superpowers use to attack countries they don’t like.
Like with many labyrinth like laws , they are designed so that 100% compliance is impossible. Some country or person is always violating some law. The laws are always arbitrarily enforced.
Princess Catherine has surfaced. (The real one this time.) She’s explained that she has cancer and is undergoing chemotherapy. I pray that she makes a full recovery.
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/uk-68641335
no surprise to many of us here in the Doomerati.
next question… is it Turbo?
I can not wrap my head around the fact she did not get saline. The globalists are cutting adrift a number of institutions that served them well for centuries.
To show that “the crown” is even on top of the monarchs, like Christianity used to be. Either Kate implemented a cancer gene in the most noble of all families or “the Evil” can control very precisely, who gets what. The morganatic spouse but not the Epstein buddy. In the end noone feels safe!
Well, Victoria’s father implemented the haemophilia genes, unknown in the British royal family to that day, dooming the Czardom of Russia.
“Light and shadow are two sides of the same coin. One can’t exist without the other.”
– Princess Zelda, The Twilight Princess, Nintendo GameCube (2006)
(Marittime Executive)
“Poten: Canada’s Trans Mountain Pipeline Will Shake Up Pacific Oil Markets […] The line’s completion opens up new markets for Canadian tar sand oil producers, who have had limited options for overseas sales. Canadian crude exports have been locked into the U.S. market by infrastructure limitations for decades.”
If I’m not wrong, Tar Sands represent a good source of heavy oil for US to make Diesel, as its Shale Oil is light and not good for refining Oil to have that fuel.
https://www.maritime-executive.com/article/poten-canada-s-trans-mountain-pipeline-will-shake-up-pacific-oil-markets
I don’t know why it compared in this conversation, I posted as a new subject. Sorry for that.