Item of General Interest
July 25. I received notice today that an article I helped write is available for free download for the next fifty days. The corrected free link for the article is "An Oil Production Forecast for China Considering Economic Limits." The article discusses the possibility that oil prices may not rise endlessly, and evaluates three future price scenarios. Under the "low" scenario (prices remain under $50 per barrel), oil production in China has already peaked.
Category Archives: Financial Implications
China: Is peak coal part of its problem?
The world’s coal resources are clearly huge. How could China, or the world in total, reach peak coal in a timeframe that makes a difference? If we look at China’s coal production and consumption in BP’s 2016 Statistical Review of World … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged China coal, China GDP, economic growth, peak coal
1,385 Comments
$50 Oil Doesn’t Work
$50 per barrel oil is clearly less impossible to live with than $30 per barrel oil, because most businesses cannot make a profit with $30 per barrel oil. But is $50 per barrel oil helpful? I would argue that it … Continue reading
The real oil limits story; what other researchers missed
For a long time, a common assumption has been that the world will eventually “run out” of oil and other non-renewable resources. Instead, we seem to be running into surpluses and low prices. What is going on that was missed … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged EROEI, Harold Hotelling, M. King Hubbert, oil demand, oil limits, oil price, peak oil
1,243 Comments
Debt: The Key Factor Connecting Energy and the Economy
There are many who believe that the use of energy is critical to the growth of the economy. In fact, I am among these people. The thing that is not as apparent is that growth in energy consumption is dependent … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged Debt, economic growth, EROEI, interest rates, negative interest rates, oil price
695 Comments
US 2015 Oil Production and Future Oil Prices
Oil production can be confusing because there are various “pieces” that may or may not be included. In this analysis, I look at oil production of the United States broadly (including crude oil, natural gas plant liquids, and biofuels), because this … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged low wages, oil price, oil production, tight oil, wage inequality, world debt
1,015 Comments
