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Recent Posts
- Why raising interest rates to reduce inflation may work out very badly
- A Few Insights Based on CDC Data Regarding COVID and its Vaccines
- Is the debt bubble supporting the world economy in danger of collapsing?
- The world has a major crude oil problem; expect conflict ahead
- No one will win in the Russia-Ukraine conflict
- Russia’s attack on Ukraine represents a demand for a new world order
- Limits to Green Energy Are Becoming Much Clearer
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Academic Articles
- An analysis of China's coal supply and its impact on China's future economic growth
- An Oil Production Forecast for China Considering Economic Limits
- Analysis of resource potential for China's unconventional gas and forecast for its long-term production growth
- China's unconventional oil: A review of its resources and outlook for long-term production
- Financial Issues Affecting Energy Security
- Oil Supply Limits and the Continuing Financial Crisis
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Category Archives: Financial Implications
The Afghanistan Fiasco (and Today’s High Level of Conflict) Reflect an Energy Problem
The way energy limits play out is not at all intuitive. Most people assume that we will run out of oil, leading to a spike in oil prices. We will then transition to renewables. As I see it, this understanding is completely wrong. Limited energy supply first leads to a need for simplification: Stepping back from Afghanistan would be one such type of simplification. It would save energy supplies and reduce the need for greater tax revenue or added debt. Continue reading
To Be Sustainable, Green Energy Must Generate Adequate Taxable Revenue
What allows any type of energy to be sustainable? I would argue that one of the requirements for sustainability is adequate production of taxable revenue. Company managements depend upon taxable revenue for many purposes, including funding new investments and paying dividends to shareholders. Governments depend upon taxable income to collect enough taxes to provide infrastructure and programs for their growing populations.
It seems to me that Green Energy sources are held to far too low a standard. Their financial results are published after subsidies, making them look profitable when they really are not. This is one of the things that makes many people from the financial community believe that Green Energy is the solution for the future. Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged biophysical economics, energy profitability, EROEI, net energy
3,605 Comments
Don’t expect the world economy to resume its prior growth pattern after COVID-19
Most people seem to think that the world economy is going through a temporary disruption, caused by a novel coronavirus. As soon as COVID-19 goes away, they expect the economy will be back to normal. I think that this assessment is overly optimistic. The way I see the situation, the world economy was already having severe growth problems, caused indirectly by resource problems, even before COVID-19 hit. Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged China coal, economic growth, oil prices, resource shortages
3,576 Comments
How the World’s Energy Problem Has Been Hidden
We now live in a strange world filled with half-truths, not too different from the world of the 1930s. US newspapers leave out the many stories that could be written about rising food insecurity around the world, and even in the US. We see more reports of conflicts among countries and increasing gaps between the rich and the poor, but no one explains that such changes are to be expected when energy consumption per capita starts falling too low. Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged high oil prices, low oil prices, media reporting, water scarcity
3,735 Comments