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Recent Posts
- Can India come out ahead in an energy squeeze?
- Fossil Fuel Imports Are Already Constrained
- Our Oil Predicament Explained: Heavy Oil and the Diesel Fuel it Provides Are Key
- The World Economy Is Becoming Unglued; Models Miss Real-World Behavior
- Models Hide the Shortcomings of Wind and Solar
- The bumpy road ahead for the world economy
- The Fed Cannot Fix Today’s Energy Inflation Problem
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Academic Articles
- An analysis of China's coal supply and its impact on China's future economic growth
- An Oil Production Forecast for China Considering Economic Limits
- Analysis of resource potential for China's unconventional gas and forecast for its long-term production growth
- China's unconventional oil: A review of its resources and outlook for long-term production
- Financial Issues Affecting Energy Security
- Oil Supply Limits and the Continuing Financial Crisis
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Tag Archives: deflation
World GDP in current US dollars seems to have peaked; this is a problem
World GDP in current US dollars is in some sense the simplest world GDP calculation that a person might make. It is calculated by taking the GDP for each year for each country in the local currency (for example, yen) … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged deflation, economic growth, energy prices, inflation, interest rates, oil prices
2,988 Comments
Deflationary Collapse Ahead?
Both the stock market and oil prices have been plunging. Is this “just another cycle,” or is it something much worse? I think it is something much worse. Back in January, I wrote a post called Oil and the Economy: Where … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged China debt, collapse, deflation, financial collapse, low oil prices, recession
1,514 Comments
What’s Ahead? Lower Oil Prices, Despite Higher Extraction Costs
Nearly everyone believes that oil prices will trend higher and higher, allowing increasing amounts of oil to be extracted. This belief is based on the observation that the cost of extraction is trending higher and higher. If we are to … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged deflation, diminishing returns, inflation, oil company profit, oil price
429 Comments
Inflation, Deflation, or Discontinuity?
A question that seems to come up quite often is, “Are we going to have inflation or deflation?” People want to figure out how to invest. Because of this, they want to know whether to expect a rise in prices, … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged deflation, discontinuity, inflation, interest rates, quantitative easing, recession, unemployment
348 Comments