Item of General Interest
July 25. I received notice today that an article I helped write is available for free download for the next fifty days. The corrected free link for the article is "An Oil Production Forecast for China Considering Economic Limits." The article discusses the possibility that oil prices may not rise endlessly, and evaluates three future price scenarios. Under the "low" scenario (prices remain under $50 per barrel), oil production in China has already peaked.
Tag Archives: oil price
Why we have a wage inequality problem
Wage inequality is a topic in elections around the world. What can be done to provide more income for those without jobs, and those with low wages? Wage inequality is really a sign of a deeper problem; basically it reflects … Continue reading
2016: Oil Limits and the End of the Debt Supercycle
What is ahead for 2016? Most people don’t realize how tightly the following are linked: Growth in debt Growth in the economy Growth in cheap-to-extract energy supplies Inflation in the cost of producing commodities Growth in asset prices, such as … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged debt defaults, debt growth, debt supercycle, financial collapse, low wages, oil price, oil storage
1,449 Comments
We are at Peak Oil now; we need very low-cost energy to fix it
This past week, I gave a presentation to a group interested in a particular type of renewable energy–solar energy that is deployed in space, so it would provide electricity 24 hours per day. Their question was: how low does the … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged electricity price, financial crash, oil price, peak oil, renewable energy, solar energy
1,585 Comments
What Greece, Cyprus, and Puerto Rico Have in Common
We all know one thing that Greece, Cyprus, and Puerto Rico have in common–severe financial problems. There is something else that they have in common–a high proportion of their energy use is from oil. Figure 1 shows the ratio of … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged Cyprus, Debt, energy supply, Greece, Greek debt, oil price, Puerto Rico
1,257 Comments
Why EIA, IEA, and BP Oil Forecasts are Too High
When forecasting how much oil will be available in future years, a standard approach seems to be the following: Figure out how much GDP growth the researcher hopes to have in the future. “Work backward” to see how much oil … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications, Oil and Its Future
Tagged debt defaults, low oil prices, low wages, oil forecasts, oil price, recession
904 Comments
