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Recent Posts
- 2023: Expect a financial crash followed by major energy-related changes
- The economy is moving from a tailwind pushing it along to a headwind holding it back
- Today’s Energy Crisis Is Very Different from the Energy Crisis of 2005
- Why financial approaches won’t fix the world’s economic problems this time
- Ramping Up Renewables Can’t Provide Enough Heat Energy in Winter
- Why No Politician Is Willing to Tell Us the Real Energy Story
- The world’s self-organizing economy can be expected to act strangely, as energy supplies deplete
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Academic Articles
- An analysis of China's coal supply and its impact on China's future economic growth
- An Oil Production Forecast for China Considering Economic Limits
- Analysis of resource potential for China's unconventional gas and forecast for its long-term production growth
- China's unconventional oil: A review of its resources and outlook for long-term production
- Financial Issues Affecting Energy Security
- Oil Supply Limits and the Continuing Financial Crisis
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Tag Archives: economic forecast
2023: Expect a financial crash followed by major energy-related changes
If the world economy experiences major financial turbulence in 2023, we could be in for a rough ride. In my opinion, a major financial crash seems likely. This is could upset the economy far more seriously than the 2008 crash.
I am certain that some mitigation measures can be implemented. For example, there can be a major push toward trying to make everything that we have today last longer. Materials can be salvaged from structures that are no longer used. And some types of local production can be ramped up.
We can keep our fingers crossed that I am wrong but, with less oil and other energy resources available per person, moving goods shorter distances makes sense. Thus, the initial trends we are seeing toward regionalization are likely to continue. The move away from the US dollar as the reserve currency also looks likely to continue. Moreover, if the changes I am talking about don’t occur in 2023, they are likely to begin in 2024 or 2025. Continue reading
2021: More troubles likely
Most people expect that the economy of 2021 will be an improvement from 2020. I don’t think so. Perhaps COVID-19 will be somewhat better, but other aspects of the economy will likely be worse. Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged economic forecast, economic growth, fossil fuel supply, oil price
3,373 Comments
