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Tag Archives: recession
Our Investment Sinkhole Problem
We are used to expecting that more investment will yield more output, but in the real world, things don’t always work out that way. In Figure 1, we see that for several groupings, the increase (or decrease) in oil consumption … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged debt defaults, GDP growth, investment, investments, limits to growth, oil price, recession, Saudi Arabia
67 Comments
How High Oil Prices Lead to Recession
There is ample evidence that spikes in oil prices leads to recession, at least in the US, which is an oil-importing nation. James Hamilton has shown that 10 out of the last 11 US recessions were associated with oil price … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications
Tagged asphalt, diesel, gasoline, government deficits, high oil prices, hydrocracking, jet fuel, oil prices, recession
85 Comments
2013: Beginning of Long-Term Recession?
We have been hearing a lot about escaping the fiscal cliff, but our problem isn’t solved. The fixes to date have been partial and temporary. There are many painful decisions ahead. Based on what I can see, the most likely … Continue reading
Posted in Financial Implications, Food issues, Planning for the Future
Tagged debt default, economic growth, electricity demand, Food prices, forecast for 2013, government spending, high oil prices, oil exporter, oil importer, oil prices, oil shale, Peter Turchin, recession, renewable energy, Secular Cycles, Social Security, tight oil
158 Comments
Why World Coal Consumption Keeps Rising; What Economists Missed
A primary reason why coal consumption is rising is because of increased international trade, starting when the World Trade Organization was formed in 1995, and greatly ramping up when China was added in December 2001. Figure 1 shows world fossil … Continue reading
Posted in Alternatives to Oil, Energy policy, Financial Implications
Tagged China, coal, economists, fossil fuel, India, international trade, Kyoto Protocol, oil leverage, recession
59 Comments
Energy Leveraging: An Explanation for China’s Success and the World’s Unemployment
If an employer wants to maximize profits, it will want to leverage its use of high-priced energy sources. From an employer’s point of view, there are basically three kinds of energy, from most to least expensive: Human energy Petroleum energy Everything … Continue reading
Posted in Energy policy, Financial Implications
Tagged China, employment, energy, fossil fuels, oil, oil prices, recession, unemployment
116 Comments
