Where Energy Modeling Goes Wrong

There are a huge number of people doing energy modeling. In my opinion, nearly all of them are going astray in their modeling because they don’t understand how the economy really operates.

The modeling that comes closest to being correct is that which underlies the 1972 book, The Limits to Growth by Donella Meadows and others. This modeling was based on physical quantities of resources, with no financial system whatsoever. The base model, shown here, indicates that limits would be reached a few years later than we actually seem to be reaching them. The dotted black line in Figure 1 indicates where I saw the world economy to be in January 2019, based on the limits we already seemed to be reaching at that time.

Figure 1. Base scenario from 1972 Limits to Growth, printed using today’s graphics by Charles Hall and John Day in “Revisiting Limits to Growth After Peak Oil,” with dotted line added corresponding to where I saw the world economy to be in January 2019, based on how the economy was operating at that time.

The authors of The Limits to Growth have said that their model cannot be expected to be correct after limits hit (which is about now), so even this model is less than perfect. Thus, this model cannot be relied upon to show that population will continue to rise until after 2050.

Many readers are familiar with Energy Return on Energy Invested (EROEI) calculations. These are favorites of many people following the Peak Oil problem. A high ratio of Energy Returned to Energy Invested is considered favorable, while a low ratio is considered unfavorable. Energy sources with similar EROEIs are supposedly equivalent. Even these similarities can be misleading. They make intermittent wind and solar appear far more helpful than they really are.

Other modeling, such as that by oil companies, is equally wrong. Their modeling tends to make future fossil fuel supplies look far more available than they really are.

This is all related to a talk I plan to give to energy researchers later in February. So far, all that is pinned down is the Summary, which I reproduce here as Section [1], below.

[1] Summary: The economy is approaching near-term collapse, not peak oil. The result is quite different.

The way a person views the world economy makes a huge difference in how one models it. A big issue is how connected the various parts of the economy are. Early researchers assumed that oil was the key energy product; if it were possible to find suitable substitutes for oil, the danger of exhaustion of oil resources could be delayed almost indefinitely.

In fact, the operation of the world economy is controlled by the laws of physics. All parts are tightly linked. The problem of diminishing returns affects far more than oil supply; it affects coal, natural gas, mineral extraction in general, fresh water production and food production. Based on the work of Joseph Tainter, we also know that added complexity is also subject to diminishing returns.

When a person models how the system works, it becomes apparent that as increasing complexity is added to the system, the portion of the economic output that can be returned to non-elite workers as goods and services drops dramatically. This leads to rising wage disparity as increasing complexity is added to the economy. As the economy approaches limits, rising wage disparity indirectly leads to a tendency toward low prices for oil and other commodities because a growing number of non-elite workers are unable to afford homes, cars and even proper nutrition. 

A second effect of added complexity is growing use of long-lasting goods available through technology. Many of these long-lasting goods are only affordable with financial time-shifting devices such as loans or the sale of shares of stock. As non-elite workers become increasingly unable to afford the output of the economy, these time-shifting devices provide a way to raise demand (and thus prices) for commodities of all types, including oil. These time-shifting devices are subject to manipulation by central banks, within limits.

Standard calculations of Energy Returned on Energy Invested (EROEI) ignore the fact that added complexity tends to have a very detrimental impact on the economy because of the diminishing returns it produces. To correct for this, today’s EROEI calculations should only be used to compare energy systems with similar complexity. The least complex energy systems are based on burned biomass and power from animals. Fossil fuels represent a step upward in complexity, but they still can be stored until their use is required. Intermittent renewables are far ahead of fossil fuels in terms complexity: they require sophisticated systems of storage and distribution and therefore cannot be considered equivalent to oil or dispatchable electricity.

The lack of understanding of how the economy really works has led to the failure to understand several important points:

(i) Low oil prices rather than high are to be expected as the economy reaches limits,

(ii) Most fossil fuel reserves will be left in the ground because of low prices,

(iii) The economy is experiencing the historical phenomenon of collapse, rather than peak oil, and 

(iv) If the economy is not to collapse, we need energy sources providing a larger quantity of net energy per capita to offset diminishing returns.   

[2] The world’s energy problem, as commonly understood by researchers today

It is my observation that many researchers believe that we humans are in charge of what happens with future fossil fuel extraction, or with choosing to substitute intermittent renewables for fossil fuels. They generally do not see any problem with “running out” in the near future. If running out were imminent, the problem would likely be announced by spiking prices.

In the predominant view, the amount of future fossil fuels available depends upon the quantity of energy resources that can be extracted with available technology. Thus, a proper estimate of the resources that can be extracted is needed. Oil seems to be in shortest supply based on its reserve estimates and the vast benefits it provides to society. Thus, it is commonly believed that oil production will “peak” and begin to decline first, before coal and natural gas.

In this view, demand is something that we never need to worry about because energy, and especially oil, is a necessity. People will choose energy over other products because they will pay whatever is necessary to have adequate energy supplies. As a result, oil and other energy prices will rise almost endlessly, allowing much more to be extracted. These higher prices will also enable higher cost intermittent electricity to be substituted for today’s fossil fuels.

A huge amount of additional fossil fuels can be extracted, according to those who are primarily concerned about loss of biodiversity and climate change. Those who analyze EROEI tend to believe that falling EROEI will limit the quantity of future fossil fuels extracted to a smaller total extracted amount. Because of this, energy from additional sources, such as intermittent wind and solar, will be required to meet the total energy demand of society.

The focus of EROEI studies is on whether the EROEI of a given proposed substitution is, in some sense, high enough to add energy to the economy. The calculation of EROEI makes no distinction between energy available only through highly complex systems and energy available from less complex systems.

EROEI researchers, or perhaps those who rely on the indications of EROEI researchers, seem to believe that the energy needs of economies are flexible within a very wide range. Thus, an economy can shrink its energy consumption without a particularly dire impact.

[3] The real story seems to be that the adverse outcome we are reaching is collapse, not peak oil. The economy is a self-organizing system powered by energy. This makes it behave in very unexpected ways.

[3a] The economy is tightly connected by the laws of physics.

Energy consumption (dissipation) is necessary for every aspect of the economy. People often understand that making goods and services requires energy dissipation. What they don’t realize is that almost all of today’s jobs require energy dissipation, as well. Without supplemental energy, humans could only gather wild fruits and vegetables and hunt using the simplest of tools. Or, they could attempt simple horticulture by using a stick to dig a place in the ground to plant a seed.

In physics terms, the economy is a dissipative structure, which is a self-organizing structure that grows over time. Other examples of dissipative structures include hurricanes, plants and animals of all types, ecosystems, and star systems. Without a supply of energy to dissipate (that is, food to eat, in the case of humans), these dissipative structures would collapse.

We know that the human body has many different systems, such as a cardiovascular system, digestive system and nervous system. The economy has many different systems, too, and is just as tightly connected. For example, the economy cannot get along without a transportation system any more than a human can get along without a cardiovascular system.

This self-organizing system acts without our direction, just as our brain or circulatory system acts without our direction. In fact, we have very little control over these systems.

The self-organizing economy allows common belief systems to arise that seem to be right but are really based on models with many incorrect assumptions. People desperately need and want a “happily ever after” solution. The strong need for a desirable outcome favors the selection of models that lead to the conclusion that if there is a problem, it is many years away. Conflicting political views seem to be based on different, equally wrong, models of how world leaders can solve the energy predicament that the world is facing.

The real story is that the world’s self-organizing economy will determine for us what is ahead, and there is virtually nothing we can do to change the result. Strangely enough, if we look at the long term pattern, there almost seems to be a guiding hand behind the result. According to Peter Ward and Donald Brownlee in Rare Earth, there have been a huge number of seeming coincidences that have allowed life on Earth to take hold and flourish for four billion years. Perhaps this “luck” will continue.

[3b] As the economy reaches limits, commodities of many types reach diminishing returns simultaneously.

It is indeed true that the economy reaches diminishing returns in oil supply as it reaches limits. Oil is very valuable because it is energy dense and easily transported. The oil that can be extracted, refined, and delivered to needed markets using the least amount of resources (including human labor) tends to be extracted first. It is later that deeper wells are built that are farther from markets. Because of these issues, oil extraction does tend to reach diminishing returns, as more is extracted.

If this were the only aspect of the economy that was experiencing diminishing returns, then the models coming from a peak oil perspective would make sense. We could move away from oil, simply by transferring oil use to appropriately chosen substitutes.

It becomes clear when a person looks at the situation that commodities of all kinds reach diminishing returns. Fresh water reaches diminishing returns. We can add more by using desalination and pumping water to where it is required, but this approach is hugely expensive. As population and industrialization grows, the need for fresh water grows, making diminishing returns for fresh water a real issue.

Minerals of all kinds reach diminishing returns, including uranium, lithium, copper and phosphate rock (used for fertilizer). The reason this occurs is because we tend to extract these minerals faster than they are replaced by the weathering of rocks, including bedrock. In fact, useable topsoil tends to reach diminishing returns because of erosion. Also, with increasing population, the amount of food required keeps increasing, putting further pressure on farmland and making it harder to retain an acceptable level of topsoil.

[3c] Increased complexity leads to diminishing returns as well.

In his book, The Collapse of Complex Societies, Joseph Tainter points out that complexity reaches diminishing returns, just as commodities do.

As an example, it is easy to see that added spending on healthcare reaches diminishing returns. The discovery of antibiotics clearly had a huge impact on healthcare, at relatively little cost. Now, a recent article is entitled, The hunt for antibiotics grows harder as resistance builds. The dollar payback on other drugs tends to fall as well, as solutions to the most common diseases are found, and researchers must turn their attention to diseases affecting only, perhaps, 500 people globally.

Similarly, spending on advanced education reaches diminishing returns. Continuing the medical example above, educating an increasing number of researchers, all looking for new antibiotics, may eventually lead to success in discovering more antibiotics. But the payback with respect to the education of these researchers will not be nearly as great as the payback for educating the early researchers who found the first antibiotics.

[3d] Wages do not rise sufficiently so that all of the higher costs associated with the many types of diminishing returns can be recouped simultaneously.

The healthcare system (at least in the United States) tends to let its higher costs flow through to consumers. We can see this by looking at how much higher the Medical Care Consumer Price Index (CPI) rises compared to the All Items CPI in Figure 2.

Figure 2. Consumer price index for Medical Care versus for All Items, in chart made by the Federal Reserve of St. Louis.

The high (and rapidly rising) cost of advanced education is another cost that is being passed on to consumers–the students and their parents. In this case, loans are used to make the high cost look less problematic.

Of course, if consumers are burdened with higher medical and educational costs, it makes it difficult to afford the higher cost of energy products, as well. With these higher costs, young people tend to live with their parents longer, saving on the energy products needed to have their own homes and vehicles. Needless to say, the lower net income for many people, after healthcare costs and student loan repayments are deducted, acts to reduce the demand for oil and energy products, and thus contributes to the problem of continued low oil prices.

[3e] Added complexity tends to increase wage disparities. The reduced spending by lower income workers tends to hold down fossil fuel prices, similar to the impact identified in Section [3d].

As the economy becomes more complex, companies tend to become larger and more hierarchical. Elite workers (ones with more training or with more supervisory responsibility) earn more than non-elite workers. Globalization adds to this effect, as workers in high wage countries increasingly compete with workers in lower wage countries. Even computer programmers can encounter this difficulty, as programming is increasingly moved to China and India.

Figure 3. Figure by Pew Research Center in Trends in Income and Wealth Inequality, published January 9, 2020. https://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2020/01/09/trends-in-income-and-wealth-inequality/

Individuals with low incomes spend a disproportionately large share of their incomes on commodities because everyone needs to eat approximately 2,000 calories of food per day. In addition, everyone needs some kind of shelter, clothing and basic transportation. All of these types of consumption are commodity intensive. People with very high incomes tend to buy disproportionately more goods and services that are not very resource intensive, such as education for their children at elite universities. They may also use part of their income to buy shares of stock, hoping their value will rise.

With a shift in the distribution of incomes toward those with high earnings, the demand for commodities of all types tends to stagnate or even fall. Fewer people are able to buy new cars, and fewer people can afford vacations involving travel. Thus, as more complexity is added, there tends to be downward pressure on the price of oil and other energy products.

[4] Oil prices have been falling behind those needed by oil producers since 2012.

Figure 4. Figure created by Gail Tverberg using EIA average monthly Brent oil price data, adjusted for inflation using the CPI Index for All Items for Urban Consumers.

Back in February 2014, Steven Kopits gave a presentation at Columbia University explaining the state of the oil industry. I wrote a post describing this presentation called, Beginning of the End? Oil Companies Cut Back on Spending. Oil companies were reporting that prices had been too low for them to make an adequate profit for reinvestment, back as early as 2012. In inflation-adjusted terms, this was when oil prices were about $120 per barrel.

Even Middle Eastern oil exporting countries need surprisingly high oil prices because their economies depend on the profits of oil companies to provide the vast majority of their tax revenue. If oil prices are too low, adequate taxes cannot be collected. Without funds for jobs programs and food subsidies, there are likely to be uprisings by unhappy citizens who cannot maintain an adequate standard of living.

Looking at Figure 4, we see that there has been very little time that Brent oil prices have been above $120 per barrel. Even with all of the recent central bank stimulus and deficit spending by economies around the world, Brent oil prices remain below $60 per barrel.

[5] Interest rates and the amount of debt make a huge difference in oil prices, too.

Based on Figure 4, oil prices are highly irregular. Much of this irregularity seems to be associated with interest rate and debt level changes. In fact, in July 2008, what I would call the debt bubble associated with subprime housing and credit cards collapsed, bringing oil prices down from their peak abruptly. In late 2008, Quantitative Easing (QE) (aimed at bringing interest rates down) was added just prior to an upturn on prices in 2009 and 2010. Prices fell again, when the United States discontinued QE in late 2014.

If we think about it, increased debt makes purchases such as cars, homes and new factories more affordable. In fact, the lower the interest rate, the more affordable these items become. The number of purchases of any of these items can be expected to rise with more debt and lower interest rates. Thus, we would expect oil prices to rise as debt is added and fall as it is taken away. Now, there are many questions: Why haven’t oil prices risen more, with all of the stimulus that has been added? Are we reaching the limits of stimulus? Are interest rates as low as they can go, and the amount of debt outstanding as high as it can go?

[6] The growing complexity of the economy is contributing to the huge amount of debt outstanding.

In a very complex economy, a huge number of durable goods and services are produced. Examples of durable goods would include machines used in factories and pipelines of all kinds. Durable goods would also include vehicles of all types, including both vehicles used for businesses and vehicles used by consumers for their own benefit. As broadly defined here, durable goods would include buildings of all types, including factories, schools, offices and homes. It would also include wind turbines and solar panels.

There would also be durable services produced. For example, a college degree would have lasting benefit, it is hoped. A computer program would have value after it is completed. Thus, a consulting service is able to sell its programs to prospective buyers.

Somehow, there is a need to pay for all of these durable goods. We can see this most easily for the consumer. A loan that allows durable goods to be paid for over their expected life will make these goods more affordable.

Similarly, a manufacturer needs to pay the many workers making all of the durable goods. Their labor is adding value to the finished products, but this value will not be realized until the finished products are put into operation.

Other financing approaches can also be used, including the sale of bonds or shares of stock. The underlying intent is to provide financial time-shifting services. Interest rates associated with these financial time-shifting services are now being manipulated downward by central banks to make these services more affordable. This is part of what keeps stock prices high and commodity prices from falling lower than their current levels.

These loans, bonds and shares of stock are providing a promise of future value. This value will exist only if there are enough fossil fuels and other resources to create physical goods and services to fulfill these promises. Central banks can print money, but they cannot print actual goods and services. If I am right about collapse being ahead, the whole debt system seems certain to collapse. Shares of stock seem certain to lose their value. This is concerning. The end point of all of the added complexity seems to be financial collapse, unless the system can truly add the promised goods and services.

[7] Intermittent electricity fits very poorly into just-in-time supply lines.

A complex economy requires long supply lines. Usually, these supply lines are operated on a just-in-time basis. If one part of a supply line encounters problems, then manufacturing needs to stop. For example, automobile manufacturers in many parts of the world are finding that they need to suspend production because it is impossible to source the necessary semiconductor chips. If electricity is temporarily unavailable, this is another way of disrupting the supply chain.

The standard way to work around temporary breaks in supply chains is to build greater inventory, but this is expensive. Additional inventory needs to be stored and watched over. It likely needs financing, as well.

[8] The world economy today seems to be near collapse.

The self-organizing economy is now pushing the economy in many strange ways that indirectly lead to less energy consumption and eventually collapse. Even prior to COVID-19, the world economy appeared to be reaching growth limits, as indicated in Figure 1, which was published in January 2019. For example, recycling of many renewables was no longer profitable at lower oil prices after 2014. This led China to discontinue most of its recycling efforts, effective January 1, 2018, even though this change resulted in the loss of jobs. China’s car sales fell in 2018, 2019, and 2020, a strange pattern for a supposedly rapidly growing country.

The response of world leaders to COVID-19 has pushed the world economy further in the direction of contraction. Businesses that were already weak are the ones having the most difficulty in being able to operate profitably.

Furthermore, debt problems are growing around the world. For example, it is unclear whether the world will require as many shopping malls or office buildings in the future. A person would logically expect the value of the unneeded buildings to drop, reducing the value of many of these properties below their outstanding debt level.

When these issues are combined, it looks likely that the world economy may not be far from collapse, which is one of my contentions from Section [1]. It also looks like my other contentions from Section [1] are true:

(i) Low oil prices rather than high are to be expected as the economy reaches limits,

(ii) Most fossil fuel reserves will be left in the ground because of low prices, and

(iv) If the economy is not to collapse, we need energy sources providing a larger quantity of net energy per capita to offset diminishing returns. 

Regarding (iv), the available energy supply from wind and solar (net or otherwise) is tiny relative to the total energy required to operate the world economy. This issue, alone, would disqualify a Great Reset using wind and solar from truly being a solution for today’s problems. Instead, plans for a Great Reset tend to act as a temporary cover-up for collapse.

About Gail Tverberg

My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
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3,331 Responses to Where Energy Modeling Goes Wrong

  1. Fast Eddy says:

    Let’s have a look at two clips:

    https://rumble.com/vdwa0n-not-for-public-view-biden-interview.html

    https://youtu.be/4qUkdjFKrvY

    We’ve seen that footage Tim posted of what appears to be a Biden mask on a much younger man…

    It does make one wonder WTF is going on here… both of these characters look like they are not actually human… as if they are being controlled… Biden looks like some sort of half dead hunk of meat licking his lips like a lizard… and Clinton … what’s going on there???

    This is completely insane behaviour… even more so considering the individuals involved… yet does anyone question it? In the Clinton clip watch the reporters in front of her — they actually think it’s funny!!!

    Perhaps we are part of an elaborate video game after all… how else can one explain this?

    • Tsubion says:

      It’s well known that there is a fake oval office etc for broadcasts and so on for obvious reasons.

      Also, national guard in washington still operational I believe.

      If there was an attack on the capital, soldiers and police would be killed warranting a counterattack on a rogue nation of your choosing or an evil axis of sorts. Iran, venezuela etc.

  2. VFatalis says:

    Ever heard of antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE) ? If you’re still on the fence for getting your shot of freedom, listen to what the lady is saying. First 15-20 minutes will suffice.

    https://www.lewrockwell.com/political-theatre/dr-sherri-tenpenny-explains-how-the-depopulation-mrna-vaccines-will-start-working-in-3-6-months-video/

    • I would say, listen for about 15 minuted between minute 5 and 20 minutes. The first 5 minutes or so credentials of Dr. Sherri Tenpenny.

      The video is indeed very good. It explains well what goes wrong using the vaccine, but not until after the fact.

      One problem is the “FAC segment” can cause pus and bleeding in the lungs, after a time.

      Another problem is that the Spike Protein (which your body continues to produce long after vaccination, with a “trojan horse mechanism”) can attack macrophages. There are two kinds of macrophages:

      Type 1 macrophages – These are the proinflammatory macrophages. They appear first and kill off bacteria when they first try to attack the system. They cause inflammation (with cytokines) for this process.

      Type 2 macrophages – These are the anti-inflammatory macrophages. These appear second, when the Type 1 macrophages have done their work. They clean up the debris and get the system back to normal again.

      In animal experiments, animals given mRNA vaccines had their lungs fill up with pus sacs. Also, their Type 2 macrophages were completely gone. Control animals, that simply got the disease itself, did not have this problem.

      She says that there are four other potential problems as well, which I imagine she covers later in the video.

    • Minority Of One says:

      It will be ‘interesting’ to see how medical services, and other groups of people important to the running of society, cope when their staff members start suffering, or dying, in large numbers. At my university, it will get very tricky if the administration staff start falling like flies. Even just half a dozen or so folks (a cluster) from any core team would cause serious issues – finance, IT, admissions. I bet the university, no university, is planning for that. Institutions full of ‘professors’ and people with higher degrees.

  3. Fast Eddy says:

    I’m drawing from two papers that analyzed the 2020 mortality rates in the UK. The first one listed is quite short with the second article much longer. Both use data from the ONS and illustrate that however we might want to categorize “Covid” there simply was not a viral pandemic in 2020 and that the illusion conjured was a matter of fraud.

    The first reason I think this to be important is that the data is fairly clear (unlike the US CDC data) and is readily accessible to any reader.

    The second reason these pieces are important is that the results from these analyses can be extrapolated to virtually all other Western nations as similar/or the very same policies were put in place that resulted in the described distortions.

    This gives us an easy-to-understand template for how the “Covid” mortality figures here in the United States were conjured.

    The two articles are titled:

    UK Investigation: 100K Covid Deaths? We don’t think so

    Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics: Manufacturing the Crisis

    My Summary- Highlighting what I believe to be the most salient points from the first piece as we look towards a similar assessment for the United States:

    – Comparing the death rate of 2020 with previous 20 years. 2020 rate was 1,037/100,000 in the UK. Highest in 10 years but not the highest in the last 20 years. What happened?

    2008 had a death rate of 1,084/100,000. 2005 had 1,137/100,000. Every year prior to 2009 had a higher death rate that 2020;

    – UK Lockdown was towards end of March in 2020;

    – At home deaths began to escalate in April. 5 year avg. for deaths in April previous to 2020 was 9,384. In April 2020 there were 16,909 at home deaths;

    – 5 year average for deaths in care homes in April was 8,691. In April 2020 there were 26,541 deaths that occurred in care homes. Astronomical increase;

    – Hospital data for April 2017- 2020:

    April-June 2017- 91,724 beds occupied= 89% occupancy rate;

    April-June 2018- 91,056 beds occupied= 90% occupancy rate;

    April-June 2019- 91,730 beds occupied= 90% occupancy rate;

    April-June 2020 58,005 beds occupied= 62% occupancy rate.

    2018 – April – 1,984,369 attended A&E (Ambulance and Emergency)
    2019 – April – 2,112,165 attended A&E
    2020 – April – 916,581 attended A&E

    Important Notes:

    30% less hospital beds occupied in April – June 2020 compared with previous 3 years;

    A&E in April 2020 was 57% down from 2019.

    These numbers explain the high numbers of at home deaths.

    Increase in deaths occurring at home and in care homes in April 2020 due to not being treated for illnesses in hospital. No acute care in private homes or care homes.

    CAUSE OF DEATHS USING DECEMBER 2020 AS EXAMPLE:

    – Leading cause of death was stated as “Covid-19 deaths”= 10,973 deaths for December 2020;

    – 2nd leading cause of death in December 2020- Dementia and Alzheimer’s= 5281 deaths;

    Previous 5 year average for December= 28,198 deaths due to Dementia and Alzheimer’s;

    This is a 500%+ alteration from previous 5 years. A statistical impossibility.

    – Heart disease deaths in December 2020= 4,635

    December 5 year average, 21,997

    This represents a near 500% statistical deviation from previous 5 year average- also not possible.

    – Chronic lower respiratory disease deaths December 2020= 1,790

    December 5 year average, 13,384.

    This represents about a 700% detour from the 5 year average. Not possible.

    – Influenza and pneumonia deaths December 2020, 1,190

    December 5 year average= 11,295.

    This represents about a 1000% deviation from the 5 year average. What is left to say?

    And so on…. tables are included with the first article.

    It seems it would take quite a monumental argument to prove that these death certificates have not been manipulated. It would take an even grander argument to illustrate that the NHS was under pressure at any time as during the height of the “pandemic” at home deaths soared to record heights and hospital and emergency services sunk to all-time lows.

    https://drmalcolmkendrick.org/2021/02/17/how-deadly-is-covid19/#comments

    • Interesting!

    • Nehemiah says:

      Once again: 1. The higher the higher unemployment rate, the lower the death rate falls for most causes of death, and for the total death rate. AND

      2. Reduced exposure to the health care system, except in emergencies, also sharply reduces the total death rate. Doctors kill more people than they save.

      So the reduced death rate from all causes combined is no surprise at all.

    • Secretface2097 says:

      First time poster here. I am very interested in the topic since my perception of reality and the data does not match the propagated messages. I could not find the first article by searching for the title. Could you please provide the link?

      • Yorchichan says:

        https://truth11.com/2021/02/15/investigation-100k-covid-deaths-we-dont-think-so/

        Search for “100K Covid Deaths? We don’t think so”, with the double quotes”, and you can find it.

        • Secretface2097 says:

          Thank you for posting the link. I could not read the whole text, so I searched again for the article and found the following link:

          https://beforeitsnews.com/eu/2021/02/investigation-100k-covid-deaths-we-dont-think-so-2668179.html

          Since I already became sceptical of this whole pandemic before encountering OFW, I did a fast analysis of the death rates here in Germany for the last five years just a few days ago. It seemed like the death rate was increased in comparison to the average of 2016-2019 but only slightly. I did not check older data, but would not be surprised, if my findings would reflect, what these guys found out for UK.

          I also compared the current official death count with the wikipedia article about the Spanish Flu from 1918. If I remember correctly, even with the currently published death count for Covid19, it would be 100 times less harmful than the Spanish Flu, and even the Spanish Flu killed just between 1,5 and 3% of the world population. So with Covid19, we are not talking about the Black Plague, not about the Spanish Flu but…if you watch or listen to the media you would think that Covid19 is much more dangerous than both of these pandemics.

          I am currently living in a town in Germany with around 20000 residents. The last update from the local goverment showed, that we currently have 14 infected people, with around 250 infected people in total for the whole pandemic. If I look at the current ratio of world wide deaths to world wide cases, this would amount to 4 dead people for the whole pandemic. That sounds really awful…

          In general, this whole overblown issue does not surprise me that much, since I already had the feeling before, that at least the German government is not that interested in the wellbeeing of the German people, especially showing outright hatred to the remaining working class and the whole of Eastern Germany, calling them “Pack” or “Nazis”.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        I’d recommend reading the recent posts here – there are some outstanding comments https://drmalcolmkendrick.org/

        I’d subscribe to this and read some of the posts https://lockdownsceptics.org/

  4. Fast Eddy says:

    “The cabinet approved my green passport [framework],” he said. “In two stages… people with green passports will be able to go to the movies, to soccer and basketball matches – and later to restaurants and on foreign flights – and those who don’t vaccinate won’t be able to.”

    https://www.rt.com/news/515659-israel-lockdown-vaccine-passport/

    Of course if you don’t mind perpetual lockdown… you can refuse…

    Anyone still not think these vaccines have a sinister purpose?

    • Tsubion says:

      There are people that have travelled by air the past year and not worn a mask or submitted to testing once.

      How is this possible?

      Because they understand the law. In the real world, none of these check points, choke points etc can vulnerate your human rights and constitutional law.

      I imagine it’s a pain to have to go through that process every single time you go through an airport but it can be done.

      If only more people understood the law and their basic human rights. We would’ve nipped this whole situation in the bud on day one. I do not consent is the rule.

      Of course, in the real world we also suffer dictatorships but if you look carefully they are usually permitted by the population because of some trickery, a threat, a scapegoat, a necessity to establish order etc.

      The sheeple don’t understand the power they have and that’s a shame. Hence the humiliation masks.

      • Nehemiah says:

        Some of you are so clueless. Even in free societies, government has wide latitude to intervene in illiberal ways when public health is at risk. This is not new. Look at Typhoid Mary. We lived with so few serious disease outbreaks for so long that the people who remembered died off leaving only the few who were historically literate and the many who are not. Governments infringes on peoples liberties during major wars too, and in WW1 and WW2 it took over vast swathes of the economy in what was known as “war socialism”–even in America. You can’t fight major wars or epidemics with a “do your own thing” approach. I’m just fine with striking a blow against the tyranny, but the government’s role in fighting epidemics should not be the test case. Do something sensible like fight the Patriot Act.

        • The thing that people lose sight of is the fact that the years since 1900 have been a deviation from past history. It takes energy to fight viruses and bacteria. Using energy, we have developed drugs and vaccines to fight pathogens of all types.

          But now we are discovering a lot of problems. Antibiotics kill good bacteria as well as bad. Bacteria mutate to become drug (and even vaccine) resistant. Viruses are constantly mutating. The longer we keep viruses around through “flattening the curve,” the more that the mutations can recombine to form even more infectious and perhaps deadly viruses.

          As we lose fossil fuels, we have to start expecting to lose battles with communicable diseases to an increasing extent. Instead of talking about “Peak oil,” perhaps we should talk about “Peak Medical System.” Medicine loses quite a bit of its effectiveness through this mutation problem, and the difficulty of keeping communicable diseases out of doctor’s offices and hospitals. This happens about the same time the cost of the overly complex medical system becomes too expensive for poor people around the world to afford it.

  5. Minority Of One says:

    Almost 30% of sheople aged over 15 have had the vaccine in Scotland.

    Covid in Scotland: How many people have been vaccinated
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-55928563

    “… By then all people aged over 70, care home residents, front-line health and social care staff and the clinically extremely vulnerable should have been offered a first dose.”

    I have no idea what the proportion is for mRNA ‘vaccines’, but “The Pfizer-BioNTech and Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccines are being distributed.”

    • Tim Groves says:

      One of the side effects of these jabs is they program the victim to vote “Remain”.

      • Tsubion says:

        I thought the rest of the eu was falling apart anyway!

        Italexit, holexit, frexit and others along those lines.

        Aren’t we going to be eurasia soon under china’s guiding light?

        Can’t wait for the belt and road to link spain to beijing. It all makes perfect sense now. Globalisation was such an awesome idea and is obviously only the beginning. Elon is already plotting the conquista of the galaxy and beyond so it must be true. – sarc

  6. adonis says:

    the elders have a plan unfortunately they really are not sure if it will succeed but at least it gives us a few more good years

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      yes!

      and we know the Elders are literally just a bunch of old guys who don’t need the system to survive for decades more.

      a few more good years sounds about right to me.

  7. Fast Eddy says:

    This is so catchy that I have to post it again

    https://youtu.be/wB9RSffVys4

    You would have thought this would have made people suspicious as in ‘the lady doth protest too much’ kinda suspicious… but that would assume intelligence above the level of a yeast cell….

    Instead families will be humming this tune while they cower in lockdown… Stay Safe CovIDIOTS!!!

  8. Scott Angell says:

    I don’t normally comment and I know Gail has her own schedule but the events taking place in Texas seem to confirm her analysis. People can try and blame this or that technology or the difficult weather but something profound seems to have occurred. That more than 10 million people have been left to freeze in their homes with water now a scarce commodity ( unless it is pouring out of a burst pipe) suggest we will never get back to where we were.

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      yes true.

      it’s all downhill from here.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      I must admit to experiencing epic Shadenfroid over the situation in Texas…

    • I think that the problem is an electrical system based on keeping costs to a bare minimum. No one is looking at the question of whether the electricity will be around 24/7/365.

      Having the wind and solar on the grid tends to drive the wholesale prices that the others receive down, because of the strange pricing of the wind and solar. Other producers can’t afford to do any more than the bare minimum. They haven’t winterized their equipment, because doing so is expensive. So wind and solar would seem to be partly at fault, because the strange competitive pricing scheme scheme that allows them to exist makes the overall system much less resilient.

      Back in the 1970s and earlier, we had electric utilities. They were vertically integrated. They charged the customer what they thought was needed for the whole package of services needed to deliver electricity 24/7/ 365. But then when we hit the 1980s, the fashion became “leverage” and “competition” and “keeping costs to a minimum.” It took a while for poor practices to catch up to electrical systems with competitive pricing, but the same problem is hitting Texas as California, I am afraid. They really need to invest far more in their systems, if they are to have electricity when they are expecting it.

      • Minority Of One says:

        Regarding your last paragraph. The same could be said of the UK. Pre-Thatcher the UK had the CEGB (Central Electricity Generating Board) that catered for the whole of the UK. Thatcher et al scrapped the CEGB and replaced it with private connglomerates where … ‘the fashion became “leverage” and “competition” and “keeping costs to a minimum.’

        Then we had the ‘dash for gas’, whereby about 60% of electricity was generated from gas. I don’t know if it still is about 60%, I’d be surprised if it was not at least that now. In the meantime, UK gas production has fallen to precariously low levels without having robust gas supply contracts to make up the shortfalls. We have got away with it, so far, more or less.

        Plus here in the NE of Scotland (Aberdeenshire) – go to the top of any high hill and there are wind generators as far as the eye can see. I think I mentioned this before. All new wind generators (say for the last 10 years or so) have it in their supply contracts that when it gets too windy, their generators may get switched off. The windier it is, the more wind generators are switched off. And we are still building more, lots more.

      • MM says:

        A big block from this “market liberalisation” in Erupe is the separation of the grid from power producers. It simply makes no economic sense to upgrade the grid (or develop a sort of supergrid for regional balancing)

        • Nehemiah S says:

          @MM, Same problem in the US. Also, we have reduced costs further through computerization, making the grid operation dependent on the internet, which reduces the number of human employees, but increases the fragility or vulnerability of the system.

        • Too few people stop to figure out that intermittent wind and solar need a whole lot more transmission capacity than dispatch able sources, because they must be sized for maximum usage, not average usage.

          Besides not upgrading the grid, in the US there is a huge problem with even maintaining the grid. Parts aren’t regularly scheduled for replacement until they actually break. California in particular is having a huge problem with this. Parts that are nearly a century old are wearing out. Also, old aluminum transmission lines are “annealing” and sagging in the heat. If it is windy, they detach. Texas reports many fires from transmission line issues as well.

      • theblondbeast says:

        Part of the problem is also the fact that the older pumps in wastewater and gas distribution natural gas systems were actually powered by the natural gas in the pipe system. Most of these were replaced with electrical pumps as part of “Green” initiatives. Unfortunately they no longer work if external power is not available. The former system was self contained. A “smart grid” is another way to substitute complexity for less redundancy (which requires surplus energy).

        • Good point:

          “A “smart grid” is another way to substitute complexity for less redundancy (which requires surplus energy).”

          Also, thanks for pointing out the change that is being made, in the name of efficiency. (I knew about the gas powered natural gas distributions systems. They work well in the West, when there is little electricity close by.) The tightly connected economy badly needs redundancy.

      • Listen up folks. This is something Gail has been saying for years. Also our system is failing because efficiency and bottom line thinking is the business model rather than redundancy and resilience. This is the consequence. Get used to it. BTW we have an awful lot of spinning windmills in Wyoming when its 30 below. The tick is to use synthetic grease instead of Texas lard. Blades can ice up but deicing is hardly rocket science.

    • Xabier says:

      The test of how far along the road of collapse Texas is will be, surely, the length of time it takes to restore services, and if some ares are not repaired at all?

      Just as the Roman empire could only be said to have truly perished in a region once the maintenance and repair of building and bridges, etc, was no longer possible due to loss of resources and skills.

    • “The matter looks certain to be settled one way or another in 30 days’ time, while the digital asset market looks on nervously. Should Tether become unable to mint new USDT units in massive quantities in the future (which seems the most likely outcome), it could have a negative impact on the BTC price—and cause BTC investors to look again at what (if anything) the asset can actually be used for.”

      • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

        “Should Tether become unable to mint new USDT units in massive quantities in the future (which seems the most likely outcome) …”

        wow what a scam, this looks like one of the best.

        continuous creation of their own digital “units” and then spend those “units” on things that are worth real ($) money.

        only CBs/govs are allowed to do this. 😉

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      “NY Attorney General to decide on Tether in 3 days”

      about 30 days from January 20th, so about 3 days from now.

      BTC buyer beware.

  9. Fast Eddy says:

    How deadly is COVID19?

    17th February 2021

    I have spent large chunks of my life trying to untangle medial data and research. COVID19 has long since defeated me. I have been unable to make any sense of the information we are bombarded with daily. So, I decided to go back to basics.

    At the start of the COVID19 saga, I was interested to know what the infection fatality rate (IFR) was likely to be. I felt I could then have a go at comparing it to other diseases, primarily influenza.

    The infection fatality is the number of people infected with the virus who then die. This is very different to the case fatality rate (CFR), which is the number of people infected with the disease who become unwell enough (sometimes, but not always) to be admitted to hospital – the ‘cases’. Who then die.

    Before COVID19 appeared, there used to be a reasonably clear distinction between the infection fatality rate (IFR), and the case fatality fate (CFR) and it is important that they should not get mixed up. Because the case fatality rate is almost always far higher than the infection fatality rate – as you would expect. People who are ill enough to go into hospital are far more likely to die than people who do not suffer any symptoms. Bear this in mind.

    Another thing to bear in mind is that, at the start of any epidemic it is simpler to establish the case fatality rate, because most people who are seriously ill end up in hospital and/or will have tests to see if they have the disease in question. Those with no symptoms may never cross the path of a medical professional and are very unlikely to be tested.

    What is the ratio between the two? It depends on the virus. With Ebola the infection fatality rate and case fatality rate are closely matched – more than fifty per cent of people who are infected, die. With the common ‘coronavirus’ cold, the spread is far wider, maybe a hundred to one, or a thousand to one – perhaps more.

    The fact that most infections are never noted, is one of the reasons why the infection fatality rate for previous flu epidemics can vary so wildly from paper to paper. However, with influenza the CFR/IFR ratio has generally been estimated to be about ten to one. By which I mean that, for each ten infections, one will be severe, and it is amongst the severe infections that you get the deaths.

    Armed with such knowledge, and assuming COVID19 had a similar case: infection ratio to influenza you could have a go at working out the infection fatality rate. Always bearing in mind that people with no symptoms, who are not tested, are very unlikely to appear in any figures.

    You are always guessing – to some degree or another.

    However, you always know three things:

    1: The infection fatality rate must always be lower than the case fatality rate.

    2: The case fatality rate will appear to fall as less severely infected people are tested.

    3: The infection fatality rate will also appear to fall as more people with no symptoms are found to have had the infection.

    For example, in China, at the start of the COVID19 pandemic, the infection fatality rate was reported to be three to four per-cent. This rapidly fell. Then it went up a bit, then it fell, then it went up. Then, everyone started giving different figures. The highly influential Imperial College group, led by Professor Neil Ferguson, decided to use an infection fatality rate of 0.9% for their modelling.

    Somewhat later on, John Ioannidis, an influential figure in the world of medical research, estimated the infection fatality rate to be 0.27%. This was a couple of months after the Imperial College figure was published 1.

    Peter Gotzsche, who established the highly regarded Nordic Cochrane collaboration, put the figure even lower than this. He looked at a study in Denmark, where blood donors were tested for antibodies. Using these data, the researchers established an infection fatality rate of 0.16% 2. Other figures came in higher, some lower.

    The most tested population in the World – per head of population – is Iceland. Last time I looked, Iceland had 6,033 ‘cases,’ and twenty-nine deaths. This represents a case fatality rate of 0.5%, which suggests an infection fatality rate of 0.05%

    More https://drmalcolmkendrick.org/2021/02/17/how-deadly-is-covid19/

    • When told about the low infection mortality rate, people seem to respond with things like, “But there are all of these dreadful after effects I could get,” or, “But Anthony Fauci said . . .” After self-isolating forever, they can’t think about anything that might change their mind.

      • Nehemiah says:

        “low infection mortality rate:” 2 points are relevant. First, even a low imortality rate will kill a huge number of people if the virus eventually runs through the great majority of a virgin population.

        Second, why should we giver greater credence to the most low ball of a range of estimates rather than a more middle or the road calculation? Ioannidis made an error, which as been well documented, so I don’t know why people are still citing this discredited figure. I’m not familiar with Gotzsche, but I would say be skeptical of outliers. So what is the real infection mortality rate? I will quote again from:
        https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-03284-3
        Stefánsson was able to pin down the elusive statistic that first intrigued him — the infection fatality ratio (IFR), or the proportion of infected people who die from the disease. Since the beginning of the pandemic, IFR estimates have ranged from less than 0.1% to a whopping 25%, depending on the size of the study and the age of the population. A growing number of studies are converging at about 0.5 to 1%. In Iceland, where the median age is 37 — relatively young compared with other wealthy nations — and patients have access to good health care, Stefánsson’s team found it to be 0.3%.–End Quote

        So if we stipulate the 0.5% figure (the low end of the most commonly reported range) for countries with a less aggressive and thorough approach to the virus than Iceland has, that is one death in 200 infected persons. If 80% of the population eventually contract this novel contagion, that would be 1,280,000 deaths in the US alone. If the true IFR turns out to be at the high end of the most common range of study findings, then we are looking at about two and a half million deaths.

        To make matters worse, this virus is recombining in ways that may make it more deadly:
        https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/as-predicted,-first-sars-cov-2-reassortant-strain-emerges-involving-the-recombination-of-two-variants-resulting-in-a-heavily-mutated-coronavirus
        As Predicted, First SARS-CoV-2 Reassortant Strain Emerges Involving The Recombination of Two Variants Resulting In A Heavily Mutated Coronavirus

        Such a reassortant strain has finally emerged in Los Angeles…it involves the recombination of two unique SARS-CoV-2 variants ie the UK variant B.1.1.7 recombining with the Californian variant known as B.1.429 resulting in an extremely potent heavily mutated coronavirus.
        SNIP
        This new hybrid virus is the result of recombination of the highly transmissible B.1.1.7 variant discovered in the UK and the B.1.429 variant that originated in California and which may be responsible for a recent wave of cases in Los Angeles because it carries a mutation making it resistant to some antibodies.
        SNIP
        it isn’t clear whether the virus is being transmitted from person to person or is just a one-off. Investigations and studies are still underway.

        Such recombinations commonly occurs in coronaviruses….
        SNIP
        Dr Pond warned that…“coronaviruses all recombine, so it’s a question of when, not if”.
        SNIP
        Dr Korber warned at the New York meeting, “This kind of event could allow the SARS-CoV-2 virus to have coupled a more infectious virus with a more resistant virus. The emerging strains could be far more disastrous and difficult to manage”

    • Nehemiah says:

      There are widely varying death rates between countries, often based on public policy. For example, Japan has very low death rates, and east Asian countries in general, who all seem to be using HCQ, seem to have lower death rates. US and UK have some of the higher death rates. Iceland probably has low death rates because it has tackled the disease very aggressively.

      Here is a report on Iceland’s progress and some of their measures back in June:
      https://www.abc57.com/news/iceland-now-feels-like-the-coronavirus-never-happened
      Notice that Iceland has been far more rigorous and comprehensive than the US has in its approach to detecting the virus early and staunching the spread.

      And here is a story that appeared late last year in a peer reviewed science journal:
      https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-03284-3
      How Iceland hammered COVID with science
      The tiny island nation brought huge scientific heft to its attempts to contain and study the coronavirus. Here’s what it learnt.

      Please pay special attention to the small Italian town (3000+ people) that, after a careful test, discovered that “lockdown and isolation reduced transmission by 98%, and — in line with Iceland’s results — that 43% of the infections across the two tests were asymptomatic”
      AND
      In March, New Zealand’s government implemented a stringent countrywide lockdown aimed at eliminating the virus. “Essentially, the New Zealand population more or less stayed at home for 7 weeks. After that, we emerged into a virus-free country,” says Michael Baker, a public-health researcher at the University of Otago in Wellington.

      Unfortunately, NZ has a been too liberal in opening itself up to air travel, and three recent positive cases in one family near an airport were detected.

      Chris Martenson’s youtube channel has a lot of good information on covid, especially in its early stages, going back to January.

      For cutting edge news and recent developments regarding this virus, see:
      https://www.thailandmedical.news/

      • The first article you link says,
        “Iceland now hopes to be an example of how to recover from a pandemic as well as how to handle the virus itself.”

        In spite of all of these efforts, Iceland lost its tourist industry. I doubt it can get its tourist industry back without getting COVID-19 back. I am sure the economy is in pretty poor condition, despite all of these efforts.

        • Nehemiah S says:

          This outbreak has been tough for any economy that depends heavily on tourism. I’ll bet Las Vegas and Hawaii are suffering a lot too, economically. On the other hand, Iceland would be a great place to be a tourist now–in the summer! Iceland used extensive testing and contact tracing and strict quarantines of infected persons. Stuff we have been reluctant to use in the US. Even our so called lockdowns seem to be a bit of a joke. People still left home to buy groceries, run errands, etc. New Zealand was far stricter, but in less than two months, life could return to normal.

          • Kowalainen says:

            “Iceland used extensive testing and contact tracing and strict quarantines of infected persons.”

            Right. Taiwan springs to mind.

            Those who oppose this pandemic is real should simply be subject to the inverse of vaxxing, be injected with the virus itself. Herd immunity, right? 😏

            Obviously they are a-ok, with the virus and oppose vaxxing, so why not go ahead and be the tip of the spear by choosing to get infected and attaining herd immunity.

            Any volunteers?

            Crickets..

            Exactly what I thought.

            😂

          • VFatalis says:

            (Hard) lockdowns don’t work. You can’t prevent a virus from circulating.

            Instead of strict quarantines that only report the problem and make things worse in every possible aspect, let peope in good shape live their life normally, and protect the frail with prophylactic treatments

            Can be done at little cost with cheap drugs and vitamins.

    • theblondbeast says:

      A 1/2000 chance (.o5%) is very close to the lifetime odds of dying by choking on food. (1/2618).

      • Nehemiah says:

        Please don’t succumb to wishful thinking. It’s not .05%. Read the Nature article I cited: it is 0.3% in Iceland which has a good universal health care system, a cooperative Nordic population, extensive testing and contact tracing, and strict quarantines of infected individuals, and also tests new arrivals (who are required to wear masks on their incoming flights as well as in the airport) at the visitor’s expense ($114) and, if the visitor tests positive, he is involuntarily quarantined for the next 14 days regardless of his travel plans. So Iceland is probably not getting new mutant strains from outside the country. These are the reasons Iceland’s IFR is “only” 0.3%, NOT 0.05%.

        • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

          the miniscule 0.05% is a common approximate figure for influenza IFR.

        • theblondbeast says:

          You could be right, and I’m not optimistic. The fact remains we can’t curtail economic activity. I’m an engineer who has designed airborn infectious isolation rooms (AIIR’s). It will be years before we really know much of anything conclusive. Viral transmission is not a well settled area of science, even for well known pathogens. .3% is still less than the risk of death by falling (1/111) or vehicle accidents (1/106). Exposure to Covid is slightly more risky than drowning while swimming, riding a motorcycle, or the likelihood of dying in a fire.

    • I wonder how many electric car fans will think through the real-world problems electricity has.

      • Nehemiah says:

        Virtually none of them will think it through. Mostly they are not concerned with energy depletion, just that awful heathen devil gas CO2– and they haven’t thought that through either. Have you ever asked any of the climate cultists why they think the CO2 theory is more credible than or even equally credible to the galactic cosmic ray theory of Svensmark, Veizer, and Shaviv? None of them have a coherent answer, and the vast majority have no idea what you are even talking about, yet their bottomless ignorance does not prevent them from being absolutely, dogmatically certain that CO2 (which has a zero correlation with temperature changes over the last century in which we have relatively accurate data) is the dead certain and unquestionable driver of climate change.

        Most of them, I find, know very little even about the theory they profess to be so certain about, must less the leading alternative theory. I don’t criticize people for being ignorant, since we are all ignorant about certain things, but I do criticize them for being both ignorant AND cocksure of themselves.

        Ditto the slightly better informed people who can repeat with dead certainty all the climate cult talking points, but know nothing at all about the leading alternative, or do not even know there is an alternative theory, or think they know about the main alternative but what they really think they know is just a straw man put forth on one of their favorite True Believer websites. These are the people who are infatuated with electric cars, and who think solar, wind and batteries would solve all our energy problems if only those evil, obstructionist oil and coal companies were not obstructing progress. (Some of the thorium enthusiasts are like this too–“the evil fossil fuel companies are the only reason we haven’t implemented this world changing thorium technology!” Sometimes I feel like pulling my remaining hair out.)

    • Tim Groves says:

      I wonder how many Texans are going to want to risk driving a Tesla in this weather.

  10. Bill Gates: Third Shot May Be Needed to Combat Coronavirus Variants

    Gates told CBS News we might need a third shot of a currently available vaccine, or a “modified” vaccine as the virus mutates, but CHD’s RFK, Jr. asks why we haven’t focused instead on non-vaccine strategies, including therapeutic drugs.
    https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/gates-third-shot-coronavirus-variants/?utm_source=salsa&eType=EmailBlastContent&eId=8b68b72b-7b47-4eb9-ac13-0013b74030b4

    • Azure Kingfisher says:

      Seriously? That’s another fabulous plot twist! What will they come up with next? When do we get to read about an mRNA vaccine rollout for infants?

      “The discussion now is do we just need to get a super high coverage of the current vaccine, or do we need a third dose that’s just the same, or do we need a modified vaccine?” – Bill Gates

      U.S. vaccine companies are looking at making modifications, which Gates refers to as “tuning.”

      “People who have had two shots may need to get a third shot and people who have not yet been vaccinated would need the modified vaccine, explained Gates. When asked whether the coronavirus vaccine would be similar to the flu vaccine, which requires yearly boosters, Gates couldn’t rule that out. Until the virus is eradicated from all humans, Gates said, additional shots may be needed in the future.”

      I might have to get a sarcastic t-shirt made that reads, “COVID-19 for Life.” I suppose it could also read, “mRNA Booster Shots for Life.” Point being, this narrative isn’t going anywhere. We’re in it for the long haul; this is the new “War on Terror.” Will they give us a decade of this bull$#!t? Two decades? More?

  11. Malcopian says:

    Mining boom could herald commodity ‘supercycle’

    Analysis: soaring price of copper and nickel raises hopes for investments in clean energy

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/feb/17/mining-boom-commodity-supercycle-copper-nickel-price-investments-clean-energy

    REALLY?

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      soaring prices of commodities means products have entered an endgame where they will only be getting less affordable, which includes “clean energy” products.

      it means little for producers to have a high market price for their commodities, if there are less and less buyers for those higher priced commodities.

      then the prices will drop, as we have seen with oil over the past decade.

      it’s the Endgame caused by diminishing returns.

  12. Fast Eddy says:

    After two decades the world’s best scientists were unable to produce a safe and effective SARS Coronavirus vaccine…

    But in well under a year … even Cuba looks to have joined the ranks of countries that has a Covid Coronavirus vaccine… using old gear inside their ‘state of the art’ labs!

    Optimism as Cuba set to test its own Covid vaccine – Some of the equipment at the Finlay Institute of Vaccines in Havana might be considered outdated elsewhere in the world but the science taking place behind its white-washed walls is cutting edge.

    As it is now so simple to make great vaccines… we can expect vaccines for cancer, the common cold, TB, AIDS, Dengue, Malaria etc… by the end of 2021!!!!

  13. Whistleblower: 8 of 31 Residents Dead in German Nursing Home After They Were Forcibly Injected with Pfizer Experimental mRNA COVID Shots Against Their Will
    https://healthimpactnews.com/2021/whistleblower-8-of-31-residents-dead-in-german-nursing-home-after-they-were-forcibly-injected-with-pfizer-experimental-mrna-covid-shots-against-their-will/

    • Ano737 says:

      Someone posted here recently that Israel has vaccinated over 1 million people, most of them elderly, with two doses of the Pfizer mRNA vaccine. I think if a few hundred thousand people had quickly died as a result, it would have made the news. Has anyone seen reports of how many died from the vaccine there?

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Picking up where Hitler left off?

        • Ano737 says:

          Sounds like you have the data. Do tell, please.

            • Tim Groves says:

              Good info!

              On February 11 2021 Ynet (the most known Israeli News website) published a confused and confusing article entitled “Vaccination efficiency data in Israel, and its rapid effects on the young”.

              Our reanalyses of these data explain why during the massive vaccination project initiated mid-December 2020 during a confinement, daily new confirmed COVID-19 cases failed to decrease as they do during confinements, and, more importantly, why numbers of serious, critical and death cases increased during that period that covered at least one month.

              ….

              During the vaccination action from mid-December until mid-February, 2337 among all 5351 COVID-19 deaths reported for Israel occurred, 43.7%. Among these, since January 19, 1271 COVID-19 deaths were reported for Israel.The table provided by the Ministry of Health on February 10 states 660 COVID-19 deaths among the vaccinated, 51.9% of the deaths for that period. Only 1.3 million Israeli, among 8 million (about 1 in 8, 12.5%), were vaccinated during that period. Accordingly, vaccination promotes deaths because 51.9% of deaths during that period are for the 12.5% vaccinated in that period. In addition the serious and critical cases during that period is more than the reported serious cases, the adverse effect of the vaccination process is most likely worse than what appears from the data at hand.

              The horror continues. The deaths among those vaccinated should be added to the numerous AVC and cardiac events reported just after vaccination that are not included among COVID-19 deaths which about double the deaths among those vaccinated, whose numbers remain unknown and which we will try to find in the coming days.

              At this point we state that vaccinations caused more deaths than the coronavirus would have during the same period.

              Among those vaccinated and above 65, 0.2% of those vaccinated died during the 3-week period between doses, hence about 200 among 100000 vaccinated. This is to be compared to the 4.91 dead among 100000 dying from COVID-19 without vaccination, see below. This should not be confused with the COVID-19 0.279 deaths among 100000 reported for those who completed the vaccination process, meaning 2 weeks after the second dose

              …..

              We conclude that the Pfizer vaccines, for the elderly, killed during the 5-week vaccination period about 40 times more people than the disease itself would have killed, and about 260 times more people than the disease among the younger age class. We stress that this is in order to produce a green passport valid at most 6 months, and promote Pfizer sales.
              These estimated numbers of deaths from the vaccine are probably much lower than actual numbers as it accounts only for those defined as COVID-19 deaths for that short time period and does not include AVC and cardiac (and other) events resulting from the inflammatory reactions in tens of reports documented on the NAKIM site, which themselves are only the iceberg’s tip, see here.

              This does not account for long-term complications described in a criminal complaint filed in December 2020 in France and which was translated to english, see here.
              Looking back, this explains why the serious COVID-19 cases increased as vaccination started, and why cases started to decline when vaccination was opened to the young and continue to decline as the vaccination national campaign is losing its momentum.

            • So it is primarily the elderly that die from the vaccine (just as from COVID-19 itself)?

            • Looks like many died after the vaccine, especially in the older age groups.

      • Tsubion says:

        Never heard of a media blackout?

        Especially to protect big pharma fraud.

        The problem with vaccinated elderly succumbing to side effects and possible death is that it can be attributed to natural coincidence or co-morbidities.

        With younger folk that are in good health they try to blame damage on a rare condition etc.

        It’s early days. Immediate reactions – days or weeks – is not the whole story. Damage should be measured over the coming months and years. But of course, as more time goes by, it becomes easier to disasociate damage from cause. It becomes easier to blame damage on something else. Autoimmune disease, cancer, etc.

        It’s not as easy to cover up if the vaccination rate/frequency increases to yearly or less with multiple booster shots because then cause and effect are more easily seen.

        The logical response would be to cease all vaccination programs immediately and only treat the very small number of people with severe symptoms such as pneumonia etc.

  14. GP prepared to fight HSE in event of removal over vaccine views

    A Co Limerick doctor, who has declined to administer Covid-19 vaccines to his patients, says he is prepared to go to court to fight any potential moves by the Health Service Executive to remove him as a general practitioner.

    Dr Pat Morrissey, Adare Medical Centre, says he does not support the Government’s lockdown measures, nor the national vaccination programme against Covid-19, because, he argues, the vaccines that are currently available are “untested, unlicensed, experimental”.

    Dr Morrissey says he is “not against vaccines” but he has decided not to receive the vaccine nor will he personally administer it to patients, until there is strong evidence that it poses no risks to health in the long term.

    He prescribes hydroxychloroquine with zinc, other vitamins, and has recently begun offering another drug, ivermectin – approved in the US to treat parasitic worms – after he connected with a New York-based doctor, who has championed its use against Covid, despite health experts warning there is no clear evidence it is a proven or safe treatment against the virus.

    “I strongly believe that the therapeutics that I am currently using are a much better alternative than the vaccines,” Dr Morrissey said.

    Over 300 Covid patients have attended his clinic and he has “successfully treated a number of them” without vaccines, he added.
    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/health/gp-prepared-to-fight-hse-in-event-of-removal-over-vaccine-views-1.4486934

  15. Welcome to hotel of last resort, the government-run quarantine you really want to leave

    Since the pandemic started, more than 5,000 people have been whisked off to secret facilities for those who lacked COVID tests or a safe place to isolate for 14 days

    https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/welcome-to-the-hotel-of-last-resort-a-government-run-quarantine-facility-where-you-really-dont-want-to-be?utm_term=Autofeed&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook&fbclid=IwAR1iH_uyz2523j0PHNJQ2RWB_mp_RWTMY5u_Fas0765YxII0F0ZbIIi5ZIs#Echobox=1613474242

  16. Indonesia ramps up pressure on vaccine-dodgers by allowing FINES & SANCTIONS ahead of phase II of immunization campaign

    As Indonesia begins the second phase of vaccination against Covid-19, the government made the shot semi-compulsory, authorizing regional authorities to impose various sanctions against eligible people who reject the vaccine.

    Indonesia stepped up its immunization campaign on Wednesday, adding the elderly and front-line public workers to the list of those who can be vaccinated. By May, the country hopes to inoculate 38 million people, the government said. Wiku Adisasmito, a spokesman for the Covid-19 taskforce, used the occasion to remind the public that they have an “obligation to participate in the program” as “laid out in the presidential regulation.”

    President Joko Widodo last weekend changed the health regulations, allowing government agencies or provincial and municipal authorities to impose their own penalties on those who refuse to be vaccinated despite being eligible. Vaccine-dodgers face fines and may be excluded from some public services. Critics say it victimizes poor citizens who are the primary recipients of social program benefits.
    https://www.rt.com/news/515800-indonesia-sanctions-vaccine-dodgers/

    • We will see what really happens. The article says:

      Of the 34 provinces, only one – the capital, Jakarta – has issued regulations under which refusal to be vaccinated is punished by a fine of around $360.

  17. Covid: Seven symptoms should trigger virus test, study says

    Researchers want the government to add fatigue, headache, sore throat and diarrhoea to the existing three symptoms which trigger a Covid test.

    Currently, anyone with a cough, fever or loss of smell or taste qualifies.
    https://www.bbc.com/news/help-56096264

    • This is a UK story. The big problem there, as practically everywhere else, is a limitation on testing ability. They cannot just test anyone who is concerned that they might have COVID. A person has to have a symptom from the list to trigger the ability to get tested.

      The number of cases of COVID are way down in the UK. I presume those changing the standard believe that even with the wider standard, they won’t have to test too many more.

  18. Brave kids as young as 6 start Covid vaccine trials to ‘get rid of the virus quicker’

    Researchers will use 300 volunteers to test whether the coronavirus jab produces a strong immune response in children aged between six and 17, potentially paving the way for an extended rollout

    Meara, 16, said she saw the opportunity to volunteer on social media, and said she is taking part in an effort to “make a difference.”

    The schoolgirl said: “It is quite strange but I’m feeling really lucky to have been given the opportunity to have the vaccine.”

    Her mum Sarah, said: “She was looking for something throughout the whole of the pandemic to play a part in improving the future for everybody.

    “I’m really proud that she’s wanted to take part.”

    Another volunteer was Sylvia, 12, who got involved after her dad took part in the trial for adults.

    She said that she “just wants to do something” and added she wanted to “just try and help get rid of this virus quicker and just get things back to normal quicker.”
    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/brave-kids-young-6-start-23514175

    • This clip is just one of many illustrating the rushed so called Phase III trials which tested volunteers between 18 and 55 ignoring the young and old. So finally they are expanding the trials to include one more age cohort but still to my knowledge not testing pregnant women among other groups.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      I’d substitute stupid or brain dead for brave

  19. Mirror on the wall says:

    The feeling seems to be that the EU is now stripping the City of London of everything that it wants and that the UK can do nothing about it.

    Boris’ ‘trade deal’ is just unbelievable: 80% of the UK economy (services) is shut out of the EU market; EU can export freely to UK while UK goods exports to EU are subject to charges, administration and rules of origin; UK goods exports to EU are now down 68%; a trade border has been created between Britain and NI; EU is stripping the City of London and financial services are flooding out of UK to EU and USA – and there is nothing that the UK can do about any of it now; Brexit has placed likely fatal stresses on the coherence of UK. TP handled the Brexit negotiations ‘like infants’.

    > The equivalence tussle is giving UK a lesson in Brexit power politics

    Brussels is fighting to make the EU more competitive in financial services

    …. Nowhere is this now more apparent than in the EU’s refusal to grant regulatory equivalence to the UK’s financial services industry. In recent days, British ministers have seen Brussels is serious about chipping away at London’s status as the region’s financial centre. Amsterdam’s largely symbolic ascent to top spot in European share dealing and the City’s loss of swaps business, albeit mainly to New York, has persuaded the EU of the merits of delaying any stabilising arrangement while other business can be captured. 

    Suddenly, ministers are downbeat. The prospects for equivalence “look bad”, says one. A memorandum of understanding on future collaboration looks set to be “very modest”. One Conservative describes a conversation with a very senior banker: “He says European Central Bank supervisors are going desk to desk looking for areas which could be within the EU’s orbit.”

    “The EU is on a land-grab,” says Sam Lowe, of the Centre for European Reform. “It is pursuing a strategy designed to try to lever over as much economic activity as possible and being quite blatant about it.” Some equivalence may still come “but it is now down to what is in the EU’s interests”.

    The bottom line, though, is that on a vital economic interest, the UK can only wait for the EU to rule. It has lost, not taken back control. With a trade deal complete, it is low on leverage. One senior Tory rues “the infantile prioritisation of fish” over a sector that contributes 10 per cent of UK tax receipts.

    https://www.ft.com/content/3a7bc26f-80e8-474a-a374-52882d0930fe

    • Maybe the UK’s new product can be vaccines.

      • Mirror on the wall says:

        Wills and Kate could get a Netflix show and a Spotify podcast too.

        ‘Right-on Posturing with Wills and Kate’.

        … give Harry and Megs a run for their money.

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      Opinion seems to be adding up that the flood of financial services out of London to EU is permanent and that UK will receive no ‘equivalence’ or access to EU markets.

      > London exodus may strengthen EU’s hand in Brexit financial services deal

      …. “The shift in share trading in EU-listed names from the U.K. to the Netherlands was certainly unprecedented in its size, and the fact that it all happened overnight on the fourth of January . But it wasn’t unpredicted,” David Howson, president of the pan-European equities exchange CBOE Europe, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Wednesday.

      The EU and the U.K. agreed to work on their financial services relationship in the early part of 2021. However, there’s widespread opinion that Europe will not recognize the U.K. rules as equivalent to their own, which would constrain the ability of U.K.-based firms to trade more freely in the bloc.

      “I see no likelihood of an equivalence deal,” Howson said.

      “There is certainly no incentive for the European Commission and ESMA (European Securities and Markets Authority) to look towards providing equivalence given the share of trading that has now moved, as we said, pretty much permanently to Europe,” he added.

      https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/17/cboe-post-brexit-financial-services-deal-unlikely-to-bring-equivalence.html

  20. Mirror on the wall says:

    You are so funny. There is the field of geopolitics – perhaps there ought to be the study of egopolitics too.

    ‘The obvious solution would be for the world to vote to revert to Pax Britannica and the Balance of Power!’

  21. The implications of vitamin D deficiency on COVID-19 for at-risk populations
    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7543577/

    • This study from September 2020 does indeed look at the implications. But it comes to the standard nonsense about what should be done now. More studies, in every direction.

      From Conclusion:

      From a research perspective, interventional trials are needed to investigate the impact of vitamin D supplementation or adequate sunlight exposure, as well as of other antioxidant micronutrients such as vitamin C, iron, and zinc, on COVID-19 risk and disease-related outcomes in healthy individuals as well as in those subgroups identified to be at a greater risk for COVID-19.1,2 Furthermore, consideration of a more homogenous spread of study designs and of dosing regimens is imperative to be able to fully elucidate the effects of nonpharmacological vitamins and minerals against respiratory viral infections, as well as the ability to improve outcomes of these diseases while research is ongoing to develop a vaccine or other drug agent to reduce COVID-19 incidence and disease-related mortality.

      No one is willing to say, have dark skinned people especially take vitamin D supplements. Aim for a level of at least 30 ng/ml for everyone until we learn more.

      • 30 Ng/ml will just prevent rickets. Our orthopedic group has for many years recommended a minimum blood level of 50 ng/ml just for BONE HEALTH. A level of 50-90 blood level is needed for some increase in covid protection. That means 50-60 K units per day for adults.

        • I would be worried about ramping up intake that high, without watching what else is happening.

          Of course, my biggest issue is osteoporosis. So maybe I do need more.

        • Tim Groves says:

          Are you sure? Doubtless authorities differ, but I think this may be off by a factor of ten. I’ve read that 5 to 6,000 international units per day should be enough for most people. On the farm you should get a lot more than that just from working in the summer sunshine. If I’m wrong I apologize. I know that 50,000 IU vitamin D tablets are available, but they are typically taken once a week, or daily for a short period in cases of extreme deficiency.

    • People in Texas (and elsewhere in the South) cut corners when doing installations, assuming that there wouldn’t be very much cold weather for very long. Water pipelines, without insulation, were left out in the cold.

      Also, natural gas pipelines were not sized at a large enough diameter that they could provide both natural gas for heating and natural gas for electricity. When there is a conflict, the natural gas for heating always wins out, because of the problem of need to relight pilot lights in homes with natural gas. This leads to electricity outages, whenever the temperature stays low for very long. I have run into this issue before.

      The article lists other issues as well, in including bad roads.

      The big issue is not planning for very cold spells, even though we should know that they appear from time to time. Also, too much complexity. Everything depends on everything else.

    • The pattern follow the pattern I am familiar with. Prices (and demand) were low in 2015 and early 2016. They rose, up until the early part of 2018. They started to slide in 2018. Remember, China closed most of its recycling, effective January 2018. China’s top year for private passenger automobile sales was 2017. They have been sliding since.

      The battle to keep prices from energy prices from falling too low has been going on for a long time.

    • In my neighborhood, there are no homes for sale. I think that speculators have snapped them up, if real occupants have not purchased them.

      • Dennis L. says:

        Could it be that people in their gut know inflation is coming, they need a home, mortgages are generally not assumable? I was told by a banker that the only group that could do 30 year, non callable mortgages at low fixed rates was the US government.

      • Denial says:

        big pension funds can buy lots of property and borrow money at 2% and make 10% no brainer…

    • Herbie Ficklestein says:

      Waiting for the right moment to buy…after the SHTF plan to move in an exclusive gated community that has an occupancy rate of 10%…there should be plenty to choose from!🤗
      Here in South Florida real estate is HOT from New Yorkers and California folks fleeing their States. Don’t know what they are thinking!!🤔
      If a recession hits, South Florida is one of the hardest hit places economically…very over congested, grid locked overbuilt regions with tipping point environmental problems.
      Not really cheaper to live here at all….home/car insurance is crazy expensive with hurricane flood coverage and the constant TV ads of Lawyers for injury due to car accidents. Try living here without electricity and air conditioning.
      For me,cruise is GROUND ZERO for the End of the World Party Fast Eddy liked to advertise in the early days posting here some YEARS ago.
      Right now it is surreal…a fake calm because of all the stimulus free money holding everything together. See more pan handlers begging about town. I can’t see them ending rental forbearance, many in apartments and society can’t handle that many displaced homeless ….My sister was a Social Worker for the County that helped people in financial crisis. She retired a few years ago before the so called pandemic. While there saw many borderline functional adults and families try to hold it together. Much worse now.
      There is a storm brewing and when it hits…God help us all…Stay safe as they say…what a joke…

  22. TIm Groves says:

    I’ve listened to, watched and learned a lot from Dr. Carrie Majed over the past few months. She’s warning about the transhumanist agenda and how the Covid-19 “vaccination” policy plays into this. But there’s more!! Including how they are going to get your smartphone to spy on you in 101 ways, thanks to embedded biosensors that can be injected surreptitiously—developed by DARPA and using hyrdogel. Carrie suspects that the “Covid-19 vaccine” MAY COULD WELL MIGHT serve as a vehicle for delivering this payload. In this video, she talks from Georgia to Allison Teague in Vermont. This is very entertaining as well as enlightening, and if it was a book it would be unputdownable.

    https://www.bitchute.com/video/lRiB8A5Z21cW/

    • Xabier says:

      There is certainly, now, no plausible medical justification for the mRNA vaccination drive: so, apart form profiteering by Big Pharma, we must look for other aspects.

      And if anyone fears that Dr Majed is just another loopy conspiracy theorist, they could go direct to the official DARPA video on Youtube from a few years ago, which describes some aspects of this ingenious tracking/medication technology.

      If we only just smashed all the i-phones, we could stop them dead in their tracks.

      This was their great stroke of genius: to disguise our chains as something cool, innocent and desirable, and habituate the rising generations to their use.

      In another video, I was saddened to see another young doc hold up his i-phone and say ‘Why are you worrying about vaccine tracking, what do you think this thing does anyway?!’

      Totally conditioned and happy with slavery, just as Aldous Huxley expected….

      • Tim Groves says:

        Xabier, now I come to think about it, the naming of the Android operating system is a dead giveaway about how the controllers view the people who are using these mobile devices. An operating system for androids, no? And as for i-phone, I always thought the I stood for something that rhymes with didiot.

    • I only listened to part of this. I am not really convinced. She starts talking about tetanus vaccine being used to reduce fertility. I am sure that I had tetanus shots, and it did nothing to reduce my fertility. Tetanus vaccine in its current form was developed in 1924.
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tetanus_vaccine

      She gets into Transhumanism, and people who believe memory bank can be uploaded and put into a body of a younger person. She doesn’t really agree. I think this is off in the land of science fiction, for me.

      • Tim Groves says:

        Gail, I’m not an expert, but there is surely more than one formulation for tetanus vaccines. They don’t all come out of the same batch. As outsiders, we have no way to confirm what is or isn’t inside any specific batch of vaccines, do we? Also, your fertile period was quite a while ago. She’s talking about what’s been happening probably over the past 30 or 40 years.

        Dr. Madej talks about when she was studying medicine in college and asking her professor about tetanus and discovering that the classic case of somebody curling up into a ball and dying due to muscle spasms that is used to scare everybody into taking the vaccine is hardly ever seen, and that the effects of getting tetanus are almost always a lot milder than that. Then, when she was in her twenties working as an intern in Detroit, she claims that the protocol for treating patients depended on their health plan. For instance, they never gave the tetanus shot to people on public assistance but they always gave it to private patients—and she noticed that the former were very fertile but the latter had problems with fertility. She says she did research and claims to have discovered that the NIH has admitted that they have been working on the abortion vaccine with tetanus since 1972. The Vatican found this out about a decade ago that this abortion vaccine was being given to women of childbearing age in Latin American countries. They analyzed and found the pregnancy hormone inside this vaccine, which means if a woman got pregnant, her body would attack itself, causing the pregnancy to abort.

        Listen to this. Just 3 minutes. Is she a fantasist? An inveterate liar? Or delusional? Or working for the Deep State to backwash the anti-vaccine movement? Or is she telling a truth that is so unpalatable that most of us would prefer not to know about it?

        https://soundcloud.com/robin-westenra/app-recording-20201122-1908

        You know Americans much better than I do? Perhaps you can intuit whether she’s on the level or not. I find her to be honest and I haven’t caught her out on any small details that BS artists tend to make so I am inclined to believe her. She is a bit “new age”-y is as far as my criticism goes.

        • Tsubion says:

          Hi Tim, yes I’ve noticed the new agey bias in most of these doctors and scientists but I don’t see it as a problem. In fact, in general, it’s a very positive sign that more of these professionals are turning away from the rockefeller industry dogma of the past 100 years.

          Evidence based medicine is on the rise out of germany and is spreading around the world like wildfire because of these professionals and the stance they are taking. Their information has been heavily censored but that only makes it more intriguing to people that are paying attention.

          I like Dr Andrew Kaufman too. He has been a voice of reason from the beginning and yes he also leans towards natural medicine approach now that he’s been through the mill.

          I see this happening more and more as we move through this disaster of misinformation. Most doctors reject vaccines for themselves so when they are coerced or forced to take more of these products they will be the first to kick up a fuss. More and more nurses and soldiers reject these products already.

          I know that you know about the global theatre production and it’s hollywood script writers furiously trying to twist the plot this way and that as it unfolds. The only hope that I hold onto is that there will be a big reveal at some point with mass arrests and the roll out of human friendly evidence based reality.

          I’m still waiting.

        • Xabier says:

          Worth noting, in this connection, that that Dolores Cahill has argued for sample vials to be reserved from each vaccine batch so that the true contents can be assessed, and related to any possible negative effects on those injected.

          Like the god of the Hebrews, Big Pharma likes to move in an obscuring cloud…..

  23. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Total chief warns of renewable energy bubble:

    “…“there is a bubble” in the renewables sector, Pouyanné cautioned. Valuations that are often up to 25 times earnings are “just crazy today”, the Total chief added, putting that down to the short supply of assets of a significant scale. They are “too scarce”.”

    https://www.ft.com/content/0d3c0ea1-2643-4ceb-90ed-961d51f8123d

    • Harry McGibbs says:

      “Goldman Sachs has stated that it sees a $16 trillion dollar investment opportunity in green/renewable energy between 2020 and 2030.

      “Traditional banks, while obviously profit-motivated, are already making sizable investments in green projects and initiatives and the scale and number will only increase as the 2020s roll on.”

      https://techbullion.com/how-financial-institutions-are-investing-in-green-energy/

      • Robert Firth says:

        Harry, I doubt they are investing in green energy. They are investing in government subsudues for green energy, and frankly, who can blame them?

        • Harry McGibbs says:

          Robert, I agree. They are just opportunists hitching themselves to the latest gravy train.

          It is fascinating to me how the “green” narrative is the means by which the global economy is attempting to facilitate one final splurge of credit expansion, energy consumption and economic activity. None of which, when you scratch the surface, has anything to do with reducing our collective impact on the biosphere.

          It is very clever at self-reconfiguring.

          • There was also a lot of that (~cloaked) policy component we have to turn to domestic sources or nurture it as in last desperate measure.

            With the advances in batt storage we are ~half way there, it’s very tempting (for some) to really believe this could be scaled up further by several factors for BAU needs. There are new approaches to mass manuf of that stuff about to churn out soon, discussed numerous times, no need to repeat now.

            There is a lot of ongoing for the ~2025-30 threshold, e.g. the first plasma and positive energy generation at the ITER conceptual demo fusion plant. The ERoEI return there is very small like sub ~1:10 due to the sheer complexity of the tokamak approach (there are other at play for fusion in general) but it keeps world sciency people sipping hopium in the meantime..

    • If intermittent renewables didn’t receive all of their subsidies (including the subsidy of going first), their earnings would be zero.

  24. Minority Of One says:

    Good short summary of Chinese grain imports for last year. Article about a month old. Contains interesting graph of corn imports and summary table of grain imports in general. Excludes soybean imports.

    China imports of corn, wheat hit record high amid soaring food prices
    https://noqreport.com/2021/01/19/china-imports-of-corn-wheat-hit-record-high-amid-soaring-food-prices/

    “China, the world’s top agricultural market, bought a record 11.3 million tonnes of imported corn last year, according to General Administration of Customs data, exceeding the annual quota – which was set at 7.2 million tonnes – for the first time.

    China also imported a record 8.38 million tonnes of wheat, just shy of the max quota of 9.64 million tonnes….”

  25. Gerard d'Olivat says:

    The (oil) crisis in Algeria The fourth largest economy in Africa.

    1. Hydrocarbon exports have fallen sharply in 2020, both in value and volume, worsening the fragile economic situation of the country, which depends on oil revenues. “The total volume of hydrocarbon exports reached 82.2 million tons of oil equivalent (TOE) in 2020 for a value of $20 billion (‘16.54 billion), down 11% and 40% respectively from 2019,” states the Ministry of Energy “Average oil prices fell to $42 per barrel in 2020 compared to $64 in the previous year, a loss of nearly $23 per barrel (-35%),” .

    2. Oil tax revenues paid to the Treasury in 2020 are 31% lower than in 2019. On the other hand, imports of petroleum products have fallen, saving Algeria more than $700 million (‘579 million). The consequences are job losses, business closures, decrease in household income. The Minister of Finance Aymen Benabderrhamane gives an that he sees no perspective to get out of the crisis. The only panacea is budget cuts, import restrictions and freezing major projects,” he says. These measures can at best only delay the eruption of the crisis. will have no effect without a structural overhaul of the economy. Algeria has now exhausted all options to finance the deficit, including the banknote printing press. According to analysts, recourse to external financing will be required “within 18 months”.

    3.According to International Monetary Fund (IMF) projections, Africa’s fourth largest economy will experience a 5.2 percent recession in 2020 and have one of the highest budget deficits in the region. The recently ratified 2021 budget law provides for a decrease in foreign exchange reserves to less than $47 billion. Between 2014 and 2019, these reserves fell by nearly 65%, according to the Central Bank. The figure is expected to reach nearly 75% by 2021.

    4. President Tebboune-just back after medical treatment in Germany-categorically ruled out recourse to the IMF or the World Bank. There are bad experiences recalled the country’s bad experience with debt to the Fund in 1994. “I would rather borrow from the Algerians than go to the IMF or other foreign banks.” An IMF delegation conducted a “virtual” mission in November to “discuss the macroeconomic for Algeria,” the Algerian Finance Ministry srtles.

    5.In the meantime, austerity is keeping us afloat. In order to reduce government spending, the oil giant Sonatrach “has had to reduce its operating and capital expenditures from $14 billion to $7 billion to maintain its foreign exchange reserves.” As a result, many projects have been postponed and drilling activity has been affected, which could force Sonatrach to take on debt to close out the year and reduce the deficit. The freezing of projects, the reduction of plant operation and maintenance costs, and the reduction of staff due to the pandemic are having a negative impact on production, states a source at the Ministry of Energy. All operations in the oil sector are “in a state of decline.” The current administration is counting on the increase in oil prices to finance the budget. The problem, however, is that this is narrowly off-set because the production level of hydrocarbons has fallen.

    • Harry McGibbs says:

      “Over 5,000 people gathered in the northern Algerian town of Kherrata on Tuesday to mark the two year anniversary of the Hirak protest movement that ousted the country’s long term president from power in 2019.

      “Protesters gathered in the town where the movement originally began — 200 kilometers (125 miles) east of the capital Algiers — hoping to kick it off again a year after the coronavirus pandemic forced it off the streets.”

      https://www.dw.com/en/algeria-thousands-take-to-the-streets-to-relaunch-protest-movement/a-56593206

      • Gerard d'Olivat says:

        Algeria: The Hirak protest movement

        1. The demonstrations, which began in February 2019 have been interrupted by the health crisis.
        The government continues to suppress the activists and court cases follow each other in rapid succession.Early last year, Algerian President Abdelmadjid Tebboune released 76 Hirak activists. A symbolic gesture to appease the protest and turn the page on the Bouteflika years.
        But in the meantime, the “outstretched hand” has turned into an iron fist: activists, political opponents, journalists and Internet users are being targeted by the authorities, who are increasing the number of arrests, prosecutions and convictions to prevent a resumption of Hirak. The trials have been going on for weeks. Two years after the first Hirak marches, a growing number of civil rights organizations are warning of a slide into abuses in the country.

        2. The Hirak, an unprecedented major uprising, peaceful and with no real leadership, begins in February 2019, in the wake of former President Abdelaziz Bouteflika’s rejection of his candidacy for a fifth term. On February 16, 2019, it began with a series of small demonstrations. Eight days later, larger rallies were held in key cities, including the capital Algiers. Since then, millions of people have marched every Friday to demand sweeping changes to the “system” that has been in place since 1962. On April 2, President Bouteflika stepped down from power after 20 years at the head of the country under pressure from the Hirak. Abdelmadjid Tebboune who is now president – after an election boycotted by mass demonstrations – did not represent the desired break. Tebboune has close ties to the “ancien regime” of Abdelaziz Bouteflika, from whom he was a short-lived prime minister in 2017.

        3. The Covid-19 epidemic that ended the movement. The Hirak protesters concluded a “ceasefire” after a final Friday of action, February 28, 2020.
        This suspension of the weekly marches does not prompt the authorities to de-escalate the situation, nor to show clemency to the imprisoned activists. On the contrary, repression is increasing, with independent and government-critical media especially targeted.
        Online media are still off the air.

        4. On November 1, 2020, the government attempted a political response to popular anger by holding a referendum on a constitutional revision. It limits the number of presidential mandates to two and proposes to broaden the scope of public freedoms by facilitating the creation of associations and the exercise of the right to assemble and demonstrate. The official media reiterate that this reform responded to the demands of the “original People’s Rirak” and would allow the creation of a “new Algeria.” But the referendum on this was ignored by the voters. Only 23.7% went to the polls, a historically low turnout for the country. The project is seen as a “facade renovation”,

        5. Since the beginning of 2021, trials against activists with ties to Hirak have been following each other at a furious pace across the country. On January 13, the Timimoun (south) court sentenced three of them, Yasser Kadiri, Khelil Kheyi and Said Zegar, to six months in prison.
        On January 18, on a day marked by numerous appearances by hirakists, Dalila Touat, known as a spokeswoman for the unemployed in Mostaganem (northwest), was sentenced to 18 months in prison, etc. etc. Whether this new “revival” of the Hirak will have a sequel in the coming months remains to be seen. In Tunisia there have been similar popular uprisings in the past year.

    • Algeria is basically suffering from the same low oil price problem that other oil exporters are suffering from:

      ” The freezing of projects, the reduction of plant operation and maintenance costs, and the reduction of staff due to the pandemic are having a negative impact on production, states a source at the Ministry of Energy. All operations in the oil sector are “in a state of decline.””

      • Gerard d'Olivat says:

        Something about rising food prices and declining oil revenues in Algeria.
        For the North African countries, they are being bitten by both the dog and the cat.

        Last spring (April) Algeria cancelled a tender to purchase 50,000 tons of wheat, prompted by rising prices. The AOIC had set a maximum price at $215 per ton. They couldn’t get it for that. They were probably hoping for “better” times and perhaps a more competitive supply from Russia. Algeria buys mainly European/French grain.

        But things turned out differently and late last year Algeria finalized a purchase of more than 700,000 tons of wheat, much more than was planned in the last tender, again opting for European origin, probably French and German, and coming from the Baltic countries, according to analysts who base that on the high cost of import shipments. The purchase cost for those 720,000 tons is estimated at $275 to $276 per ton. Do the math 30% higher than the country actually thought it could afford.

  26. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Waning business confidence raises red flags over global economic recovery: Imagine the challenge facing policymakers trying to salvage global reflation in the midst of a pandemic. Too much stimulus might spark higher inflation, while doing too little could jeopardise sustainable recovery.

    “It’s a worry now because the latest batch of world business confidence indicators seems to be showing signs of global economic activity starting to flag. Maybe it is a feature of the latest wave of lockdowns, or it could be symptomatic of the world’s economic supply chains being overstretched.”

    https://www.scmp.com/business/article/3121752/why-waning-business-confidence-raises-red-flags-over-global-economic

  27. Harry McGibbs says:

    “People living in poverty around the world are in danger of food shortages as the coronavirus crisis continues, the UN’s food envoy has warned, with the risk worse this year than in the period shortly after the pandemic began.”

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/feb/15/risk-of-global-food-shortages-covid-increased-un-envoy-agnes-kalibata

  28. Harry McGibbs says:

    “There are signs that the food inflation that’s gripped the world over the past year, raising prices of everything from shredded cheese to peanut butter, is about to get worse.

    “The Covid-19 pandemic upended food supply chains, paralyzing shipping, sickening workers that keep the world fed and ultimately raising consumer grocery costs around the globe last year. Now farmers — especially ones raising cattle, hogs and poultry — are getting squeezed by the highest corn and soybean prices in seven years.”

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-02-16/the-world-will-pay-more-for-meat-as-food-inflation-deepens

  29. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Indian banks will see a spike in bad debt later this year as a key coronavirus relief measure expires, the central bank says, flagging a source of potential financial instability that could hamper lending to businesses and individuals.

    “Nonperforming loans are projected at 13.5%, with auto and steel industries hit hard.”

    https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Finance/India-central-bank-warns-of-bad-debt-surge-as-pandemic-relief-ends

  30. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Europe’s economy has relied on government relief programs to provide a third of all lending to businesses during the Covid-19 crisis, revealing the scale of the challenge ahead as the region opens up and support measures are withdrawn.

    “Borrowers in 31 countries across Europe have received €1.5 trillion, equivalent to $1.8 trillion, in relief from governments and banks during the pandemic, the European Systemic Risk Board, a top European financial regulator, said Tuesday.”

    https://www.wsj.com/articles/europe-faces-tough-task-in-weaning-economy-off-1-8-trillion-in-covid-19-relief-11613490272

    • Harry McGibbs says:

      “Germans’ nominal earnings fell for the first time in over a decade, the statistics office said on Wednesday, releasing data that showed the coronavirus pandemic having a more severe impact on earnings than the 2007/08 financial crisis.”

      https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/pandemic-hitting-german-wages-harder-080203644.html

      • However:
        “The numbers do not reflect the impact of the government’s job-perserving short-time work scheme, under which the state partially makes up the lost earnings of workers placed on reduced hours by their employers.”

        So, Germans didn’t really lose earnings. But Germany will likely need to keep this problem operating in future years as well, or wages will shrink.

        • Harry says:

          That is true.
          Short-time work is a very good instrument for controlling working hours in response to the highly fluctuating order situation. We can adjust that from week to week, which offers a high degree of flexibility and keeps the workforce together.
          60% of the lost net pay is received as short-time work allowance. Employees with at least one child receive 67 percent of the lost net wage.
          But – of course – that can’t go on forever either.

  31. Harry McGibbs says:

    “China is exploring limiting the export of rare earth minerals that are crucial for the manufacture of American F-35 fighter jets and other sophisticated weaponry, according to people involved in a government consultation.

    “The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology last month proposed draft controls on the production and export of 17 rare earth minerals in China, which controls about 80 per cent of global supply.”

    https://www.ft.com/content/d3ed83f4-19bc-4d16-b510-415749c032c1

    • Harry McGibbs says:

      “A Chinese government vessel armed with a cannon-like weapon entered Japanese territorial waters near the China-claimed Senkaku Islands on Tuesday for the first time since Beijing passed a new law that allows its coast guard to fire on foreign ships in waters it claims.

      “Two China Coast Guard vessels entered the waters near the uninhabited islands at around 4:15 a.m., the Japan Coast Guard said, joining two others that had been there since Monday.”

      https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2021/02/16/national/china-senkakus-armed-ship/

    • Rare earth minerals are used in making a whole lot of other things, including semiconductor chips. Without them, the rest of the world has a lot of trouble.

  32. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Two variants of the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus that causes covid-19 have combined their genomes to form a heavily mutated hybrid version of the virus. The “recombination” event was discovered in a virus sample in California, provoking warnings that we may be poised to enter a new phase of the pandemic.

    “If confirmed, the recombinant would be the first to be detected in this pandemic…

    “Unlike regular mutation, where changes accumulate one at a time, which is how variants such as B.1.1.7 arose, recombination can bring together multiple mutations in one go. Most of the time, these don’t confer any advantage to the virus, but occasionally they do…

    “Recombination could lead to the emergence of new and even more dangerous variants, although it isn’t yet clear how much of a threat this first recombination event might pose.”

    https://www.newscientist.com/article/2268014-exclusive-two-variants-have-merged-into-heavily-mutated-coronavirus/

    • Harry McGibbs says:

      “The World Health Organization has alerted six countries to watch out for potential Ebola cases after fresh outbreaks in Guinea and Democratic Republic of Congo, a spokeswoman said on Tuesday.

      “Guinea declared a new Ebola outbreak on Sunday in the first resurgence of the disease there since the 2013-2016 outbreak, while the Democratic Republic of Congo reported a resurgence of the virus on Feb. 7.”

      https://www.arabnews.com/node/1810346/world

    • VFatalis says:

      Wondering if this could be the famous covid-21 hinted in the roadmap agenda from the canadian PMO source.

      Thank you Harry

    • Azure Kingfisher says:

      Wow, just when I think the scamdemic has jumped the shark the scriptwriters take their narrative to the next level with a sensational plot twist. I’m a California resident. It will be interesting to see how long it takes before Governor Gavin Nuisance cites this new “heavily mutated hybrid” as cause for more severe and extended lockdowns.

      • Tsubion says:

        It must really hurt the scriptwriters fingers when they type in the changes to the virus genome sitting on their lab computers.

        In silico means exactly what it says.

        A synthetic mock up of a computer generated virus genome sloshing about in a petri dish with other ingredients is exactly what it says.

        A test rigged to identify background material and then cycled to infinty and beyond will produce all the positives you could possibly want to run your scam.

        Why can’t seemingly intelligent people understand these basic concepts? Maybe it’s not in their interest to do so?

        And now they will unleash all the other computer generated scary objects that don’t actually exist in the real world – ebola on steroids, swine flu, bird flu, and all the other nasties.

        There’s a lot of vaccine money to be made. No time to waste. Keep the peasants in a perpetual state of fear and lockdown. Next step – no outdoor fun unless full hazmat is worn. In fact, no life at all unless multiple vaccine shots every month. There’s always a new terrible threat that must be prevented at all cost.

        • Ed says:

          In the US it is not thought it is emotion. The TV casts it as
          Orange Hitler on the one hand and deadly CV19/destroy the hospitals/kill grandma/the end of world on the other hand. No thought required surely you love grandma!

    • We have invited COVID-19 to stick around using “curve flattening” techniques. If the disease had come and gone, we likely wouldn’t be encountering these issues.

      • Harry McGibbs says:

        “Beware the law of unintended consequences,” may be our species’ epitaph.

      • MM says:

        I really had a hard time last year because I tended to go for the natural variant of burn trough. But I could not get over the fact that a lot of people could die from it and of course I encountered severe shit storms when I mentioned it
        I could not get my head/heart clear with it!…

        Now we know, that although we had very severe lockdowns and (did we?) flattened the curve, a lot of people died a miserable death in the homes for the elderly.
        I do not understand though why nobody picked up their grandparents for their “last christmas with the loved ones” (doesnt have to be so!)

  33. Fast Eddy says:

    Joke of the Day:

    Heating Arctic may be to blame for snowstorms in Texas, scientists argue

    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2021/feb/17/arctic-heating-winter-storms-climate-change

    • Perhaps, or perhaps not.

    • Robert Firth says:

      Yes, four months without sunshine should certainly cause the Arctic to heat up!

      • Jonzo says:

        The Science is not that hard to understand. The less the temperature difference between the Artic and temperate zones, the weaker the Jet Stream becomes and the more likely and intense a Polar Vortex becomes. Please people, ditch your religion and think about science.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Hahahahahahahaha… hahahahahahahahahahaha…. are you for real?

          • Herbie Ficklestein says:

            I agree with you Fast Eddy…at this point of the end of the 🌎….why pay any attention and just enjoy it all unfolding for whatever reasons experts pan out to the public.
            That’s what keeps me going every day… fascinating how those that think they are in charge manage to keep BAU Show going for the next Act in the play!
            It’s really a miracle we are still able to communicate worldwide on this technology! I believe Gail may have something when she writes a “greater power” holds the cards. We don’t know, but I hope at least after going to the other side this power does reveal it all ….
            Nah, ….that probably just a egotistical desire

            • Fast Eddy says:

              Can’t wait. The virus is on the precipice of being wiped out… using a virus as cover… I am amused… I get a little giddy just contemplating it!

            • Ed says:

              Fast you are so happy these days “a little giddy”.

          • Thierry says:

            I think Jonzo is right!

            • Fast Eddy says:

              hahahahahahaha… x 1,000,000….

              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s
              I must not argue with I_ _ _ _s

            • NomadicBeer says:

              @Fast Eddy and everyone else that dismisses climate change – where is your skepticism?

              I appreciate you questioning the Covid narrative, the growth for the sake of growth, progress and all the other shibboleths of the modern civilization.

              But remember that the secret of propaganda is to mix half-truths in everything.

              I have direct experience from two countries in opposite sides of the world and I can see the changes over my life.

              I think CC is real, I also agree that CC is a scam in the way that is presented and used by the oligarchs to impose taxes on the poor and promote the same agenda as with Covid.

              In fact if you read Davos/WEF or the CC activists in US – only after the hammer of CC threats failed, they panicked and switched to Covid.

              I think most people have been affected by the CC propaganda and they feel guilty about it (as was the propaganda’s intent). So to quote “Good Will Hunting”:

              “It’s not your fault”

              Just accept that we are no better than the oxygenating bacteria or a large asteroid. We did what life does and we managed to (almost) destroy most ecosystems on Earth.

              BTW, what do you think about pollution, soil erosion, ecosystem destruction etc?
              I think that we can safely ignore CC since there is a long list of things that we should start fixing first and we can do that at a local level without any financial scheme to transfer more money to the rich.

              Thanks

            • Fast Eddy says:

              I 100% believe in CC. I really do.

              Take Greenland for instance:

              In 1981 researchers removed a long tube of ice from the center of a glacier in southern Greenland at a site known as Dye 3. … But DNA extracted from the previously ignored dirty bottom has revealed that Greenland was not only green, it boasted boreal forests like those found in Canada and Scandinavia today.

              And Saudi Arabia:

              Arabia was once a lush paradise of grass and woodlands. When most of us think of Arabia, we think of rolling sand dunes, scorching sun, and precious little water. But in the quite recent past it was a place of rolling grasslands and shady woods, watered by torrential monsoon rains.

              I have listened to multiple Great Courses (full semester lectures) involving early civilizations in the region we refer to as the middle east…. as well as Central and South America….

              Time and time again I read about how over relatively short time frames (literally decades) CC devastated civilizations or caused them to retreat because the C changed making it impossible to grow food in areas that were previously fertile. In some instances the ‘tells’ … indicated that the C changed for the better and the people returned to some areas to begin farming….

              I don’t recall reading about any of these people burning coal in power plants… driving cars… or flying in airplanes… yet they experienced DRAMATIC CC….

              So ya .. CC… most definitely real….

              As for pollution and all that guff… of course I do not like the fact that we have ruined much of the environment… but that’s the trade off we made millennia ago when we harnessed fire…. not that we can .. but if you asked 8B people if they would be happy to ‘go truly green’ and eschew all their modern stuff…. and return to scratching in the dirt for bugs to eat… and hunting and gathering… we all know what the answer would be …

              Sorry but there is no possible way to maintain anything but a very primitive civilization if one wants to be sustainable. EVs… solar panels…. recycled straws… are bullshit. Total utter bullshit. They are NOT green at all. Meanwhile we pump out millions of cars, mobile phones and endless oceans of other ‘stuff’…

              How in the F$%# people are able to convince themselves that there is a green option when we are clearly pillaging and raping exponentially year after year after year amazes me….

              We ban straws and force people to bring their own factory made bag to the grocery store and they actually believe this is progress towards a green utopia.

              The concept of going green is just so totally absurd… totally ridiculous… I demean myself to even bother to try to explain it.

              https://images.fineartamerica.com/images-medium-large-5/shay-4-5-11-and-6-bellowing-black-coal-smoke-mark-serfass.jpg

            • Thierry says:

              NomadicBeer, I wouldn’t say better, thank you!

        • Tim Groves says:

          The Arctic is at its normal temperature for the time of year, around 20 to 25ºC below zero, just like last year and the year before that.

          The Danish Meteorological Center has more Arctic temperature data than you’ve had hot dinners.

          http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php

          If any budding meteorologists would care to explain how the temperature difference between the Arctic and the temperate zones has gotten smaller when the instrumental measurement record says it hasn’t, and why the Arctic hasn’t heated up as the intense “Polar Vortex” came south, I’m all ears.

          Then they might also have a go at explaining how the intense “Polar Vortex” has reached Texas, Europe and Japan simultaneously making all those places colder than they were last February while the Arctic has remained just as cold as it was last February. That really would be the icing on the glacier.

          • Thierry says:

            Tim here is a summary that might answer your first question
            https://www.vox.com/22287295/texas-uri-climate-change-cold-polar-vortex-arctic
            a good french engineer, Jean-Marc Jancovici explains with his words:
            “Warming due to a surplus greenhouse effect is faster at the poles than at mid-latitudes, and particularly rapid at the North Pole. As a result, the temperature difference (we speak of gradient) between the tropics and the poles tends to decrease.

            However, this difference helped to mark the separation between the climate of the middle latitudes, with its general westerly circulation and its system of depressions and anticyclones, and the polar climate, comprising a vortex generally centered on the pole.

            A weaker gradient weakens this dividing limit, with two consequences: the “hot” air from mid-latitudes more often invades the North Pole (where it is sometimes above 0 ° C in the middle of winter, now), and, symmetrically , the polar air is invited more often in the middle latitudes, from where these sometimes very intense cold waves that we have in Europe and North America.

            Global warming makes Texans shiver: back to sender :)?”
            I think We are here to try to understand the situation, aren’t we?

            • Fast Eddy says:

              I was at a gathering earlier this evening … and was chatting with a guy and he must have sensed that I had a 700 IQ after I mentioned that I was in the Jordan Peterson Fan Club … he was also intrigued that I do not have a Tee Vee and that I think Tee Vee pollutes my thought process…

              Do he asked me if I knew who Patrick Moore was… and of course I know him well …

              He is the Greenpeace honcho who had an epiphany and did what most people will never do – he changed his mind on the GW bs…

              We high fived and congratulated each other on our massive IQ’s… while a Green Groupie looked at us with tremendous disdain…. then soon after my new best mate finished his beer and he announced to the table ‘The Klimate Denier is going home’….

              I suspect he also thinks ‘the vaccine’ is a heap of shit as well… but that’s a topic that one has to repress because if you do not side with the CovIDIOTS you are actually a mass murderer and a threat to their children…..

        • Robert Firth says:

          Except the “polar vortex” is an area of cold, not heat, and it is also an area of low pressure, meaning it cannot overflow out of the arctic.

          • Thierry says:

            take a look at this:

            “In late winter and early spring, the vortex is at its weakest and large fragments of the cold dome below the vortex can be diverted to lower latitudes by stronger weather systems that creep in from of these latitudes” (from wikipedia).
            If you look at windy.com right now you will see the low temperatures in the US beacause of warm air above the atlantic Ocean going to the North and chasing the cold air. Europe too is now warmer than usual. Is that so hard to understand?

            • Fast Eddy says:

              Man has minimal effect on the klimate. Period.

              Read your history — entire civilizations were destroyed — because the klimate changed… often over a very short time frame — decades. There is extensive archaeological evidence of this.

              The i _ _ _ _s seem to believe Earth is wrapped in plastic film… and that nothing escape through this film into space — because that is what Al Gore and the MSM told them… because they are unthinking MORE- ONS.

              We’ve been burning fossil fuels for 150 years … surely by now… if the planet was cloaked in plastic film… we’d have boiled it alive by now based on the cumulative effect of Burning so much Coal…

              Well there is no plastic film.. or blanket… the excess heat simply dissipates into outer space…

              Duh….

            • Robert Firth says:

              So Jonzo says the reason is that the Polar Vortex is strengthening, and you say the reason is because it is weakening. Time for me to get out of the ring.

            • Thierry says:

              Robert, I think this is just a problem with the word “vortex” that was used
              inappropriately. The Vortex is located in high atmosphere and of course is not responsible for the low temperatures in the US, but the phenomenon Jonzo described was closed to reality. But some persons here are so obsessed they can’t even see the simplest things, too bad…
              FE: I will not argue with I…. either. Your contributions have a very low level of interest.

            • Tim Groves says:

              Take a look at this:

              “In 1669, the German physician and alchemist Johann Becher published Physica Subterranea, describing the nature of minerals and other substances.

              Becher reasoned that materials that burn must contain a combustible component, a ‘fire-element’, updating the alchemical principle that materials are composed of different proportions of four components, or elements: earth, air, fire and water. He dismissed fire and air, and instead proposed three forms of earth element: terra lapidea (stony / rocky earth), terra fluida (liquid earth) and terra pinguis (oily / fatty earth).

              In Becher’s theory, terra pinguis is the supposed ‘fire-element’, the component that makes a material combustible. During combustion, this component is released into the air, with flames being the visible sign of its escape. The residue, eg wood ash, is ‘lighter’ (meaning less dense) than the original material – evidence that something has been lost, explained by the escape of terra pinguis. Similarly, heating a metal in air produces a calx, which is ‘lighter’ than the metal for the same reason.

              In 1703, Georg Stahl, a German professor of medicine and chemistry, published an extended version of Becher’s theory, renaming ‘terra pinguis’ as ‘phlogiston’, from the Greek φλογισ (inflame). Stahl’s theory included the following ideas:

              All combustible substances contain phlogiston.
              The more phlogiston a substance contains, the better and more completely it burns.
              Combustion releases the phlogiston from the substance into the air. The flame indicates the rapid escape of phlogiston.

              Air is necessary for combustion because it absorbs the escaping phlogiston. Combustion in a closed container soon stops, because the air inside becomes saturated with phlogiston – it becomes phlogisticated air.

              Similarly, air is necessary for breathing. A creature placed in a closed container dies because the air cannot absorb any more phlogiston, so can no longer support life.
              The residue or ash left after combustion is called a calx.

              Calcining (strongly heating) a metal in air also releases phlogiston, leaving the metal’s calx.
              This process is the same as combustion, but takes longer. The absence of a flame indicates that the phlogiston is escaping more slowly and gradually. The calx or ash is ‘lighter’ (less dense) than the metal because it has lost phlogiston.

              Is this so hard to understand?

            • Fast Eddy says:

              Here’s the total IDI—OCY of this…

              Let’s say we were to agree that burning coal and oil was destroying the planet.

              What would the Re tards have us do? Check out Texas right now the multiply that by big numbers and run that over the entire world.

              GW would be stopped — but Pyrrhus of Epirus would have something to say about the victory.

              Id IOTS… all I D IOTS.

              Meanwhile hundreds of private jets arrive at the klimate CONference year in and year out

              Humans truly are dummm beasts.

    • Tsubion says:

      It’s either…

      1. weather modification pushing polar weather south

      2. solar minimum kicking in and messing with climate

      3. earth flipping magnetic field and other such gymnastics

      4. aliens

      5. we’re in a simulation so it’s only happening “in silico”

      6. the guardian and greta have always been right about globally wobbly

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Or maybe Al Gore has installed massive nuclear fans at the North Pole and he is pushing all the cold air south creating a vacuum that sucks hot air into the region in an effort to melt the ice so one of his companies can drill for oil up there….

        If the MSM were to run that story — the fools would believe it

  34. Tim Groves says:

    For the many Finite Worlders who miss Norman’s presence and worry if he’s OK, I can reassure you that he is still tweeting away as usual, saying much the same sort of thing on his own account as he does here. And if you’re wondering how he can keep speaking with such a narrow focus so forcefully and with a straight face and a deadpan delivery, the secret is daily practice,. That’s what makes perfect.

    https://twitter.com/End_of_More?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor

    • VFatalis says:

      Ah, yes. Resting comfortably in his own echo chamber and inflating the bubble of denial to another level. Glad to know our beloved Norman is still alive and well.
      Thanks Tim

    • Very Far Frank says:

      Variety is the spice of life- good to hear Norman’s well..

      OFWorlders, one and all!

    • JMS says:

      I fear we have shoo him out with our disturbing deranged theories, typical of lunatics who don’t have a television set at home. It would be a shame, since I have always appreciated his kind of good-natured wit (and wisdom, when the topic is not politics).
      I have already created a petition to try to bring him back.

      http://www.petitiontobringnormanbacktoofwfold.com

      • I have the same fear. We really do need a range of perspectives. Too much transhumanism and conspiracy theories can be a problem.

        At the same time, there are always commenters that come and go. When one leaves, others are added.

        • Malcopian says:

          Gail wrote: ‘I have the same fear. We really do need a range of perspectives. Too much transhumanism and kon- ‘spir ‘acy theories can be a problem.’

          Norman has always struck me as somebody who is secure in his own certainties and doesn’t really give a monkey’s what anybody else thinks about him or his views. I therefore suggest that there is no point in feeling sorry for him or getting a guilt complex about his absence, because he will undoubtedly turn up again on OFW in his own good time.

          I notice that Tim Morgan’s blog gets relatively few comments compared to OFW. I think this is precisely because Gail is more lenient in what she allows into the comments: we get variety, light relief, jokes, a YouTube video or song or two. I do also appreciate some of the transhumanist comments and links and have had my mind widened on occasion or picked up news I didn’t know of – for instance the US military confirming the existence of UFOs.

          If we don’t like certain comments, we can always skip over them. Gail’s blog posts still get regularly quoted and linked to, however weird some of the comments are. She is not responsible for them and also clearly not held responsible for them, so I would plead with Gail to continue her lenient attitude towards the wonderful variety of comments here.

          As for the K-SPiRa CY theories, that is a loaded propaganda term. Just look at the controversy still raging over 9-11. Sometimes it is not clear where truth resides, and we can debate it.

          Anyway, if commenters harp on too long over a subject, Gail rightly closes them down. I think Gail has the balance right.

          • DB says:

            Well said. I’d also add that many in the mainstream regard the overall OFW perspective (shared by all regular commenters) as a conspiracy theory. Those who call something a conspiracy theory reveal their fears that their beliefs cannot stand scrutiny or comparison with other beliefs.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        But did we conspire to shoo him out?????

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Norm ‘Tweets’ Really?

      Does he do Facebook and Instagram too?

      • Tim Groves says:

        I ferreted around on Google and I couldn’t see any other accounts of Norm’s. But he has an “End of More” blog, has published some doom-laden articles on Medium, and is featured in a Doomstead Diner Collapse Cafe discussion from five years ago with Ugo Bardi, Steve Ludlum & Reverse Engineer.

        http://www.doomsteaddiner.net/blog/2016/02/14/collapse-cafe-2142016/

        The thing about Norman is that he is not by any means a normie. He’s actually a fully paid up card-carrying doomer of the first water. And yet he does have some distinctly normie tendencies, such as his penchant for labored repetition without syncopation and his apparent obsession with the Germans and Japanese being the bad guys in WW2 to the exclusion of all the other belligerents, DJ Trump being the bad guy in the contemporary US, his loathing of any alternative views that contradict official mainstream narratives (despite the fact that he promotes one of his own in The End of More). So I would classify him as that rarest of creatures—a rare the manticore, the centaur and the gryphon—a conventional doomer.

        Norman has never taken all the facts he’s absorbed over the course of a long lifetime and subjected them to the third degree under a bright spotlight. He accepts them as valid without question. While it gives him the illusion of a solid bedrock of reality to erect his worldview on, and allows him to write with absolute confidence in the certainty of his views, this failure to question authority is, IMHO, a major weakness in his intellectual armory that works to undermine his ability to say anything really inspiring and stunningly relevant.

        Your statement, Eddy, of a couple of years back, that anyone who wanted to get their bucket list done had better do it sharpish, outweighs Norman’s entire published output. True genius resides not only in the ability to think outside the box, but also to express such thoughts with brevity.

        On the other hand, in Victorian times Norman would have made a first-rate headmaster.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Does this count as speaking about someone behind their back….. I think not since Norm has the option to listen… so let’s continue…

          I am fascinated that Norm’s infatuated with Winston Churchill… yet he despises Trump…. Churchill was Trump on steroids… he was a blowhard and he craved the limelight… from what I have read about him being famous was a key motivator in getting into politics…

          He was a throwback on Paris, Justin, Kim, and various other influences and fame-seeking clowns with some Trump thrown and a touch of Pol Pot, Hitler and Stalin (tee hee… Norm will be blowing a gasket as he reads that last part!)

          As for bucket listing… a very good and highly intelligent mate of mine (he’s not top drawer OFW intelligent … but smart enough to get a scholarship to an Ivy League Uni and honcho position at a big US bank.. ) speak regularly …

          Since Covid he has expressed envy at my decision to basically kick off the mother of all bucket lists soon after GFC (and reading The Perfect Storm)… he tells me that he is not going to make that same mistake again and live for the pursuit of money that he’ll never spend because he’s busy working… oh no… he’s going to follow my lead and Do Stuff once Covid blows over….

          The thing is … I was never secretive with respect to the reason I was on a worldwide tear…. I expressed my belief that we were on borrowed time…. wasn’t it obvious????… I guess not…. we got just over a decade of rock and roll…. far more than I expected… but I was dismissed as losing focus… or out of my mind?

          But now I have redemption … not that I care but I am certainly justified in saying (as I have said half jokingly) ‘I told you so – we’ve arrived at the end of the world – just as promised’

          But … but … not quite redemption … my mate says ‘when we get over this I am going to Do Stuff… he believes this is not the End of More….. and I tell him but… but… so very sorry … you needed to Get on that Horse some years ago … that ship has Left Port … we are all now stranded permanently … this is As Good as It GETS….

          Covid is not the issue … oil is the issue… and we are burnin 6 for every 1…. we’re shutting the machine down… you ain’t getting off the island ever again … there ain’t no more Stuff to Do cuz the Amusement Park is offline… it is not coming back.

          He rules out oil being the fundamental problem (everyone does) because to acknowledge that … is to realize that there will be no Second Chance at Doing Stuff…. there is no getting off the island…

          And that would …. mentally … devastating….

          I’ve spend nearly 12 years Riding the Horse…. and mentally the realization that the final chapter is being read… is not so much devastating as it is suffocating … claustrophobia- inducing …

          I cannot imagine what it would be like to not have done Stuff… and realize that the time for doing Stuff has passed…. GAWD that would be horrible…

          I was disappointed when Trump lost … because he was very entertaining… and that’s the most one can expect from Potus when one knows the world is run by the Elders and their Deep State minions…

          I thought … even though Joe is a corrupt jack ass… there is no way he would be able to provide the entertainment value of a seasoned Tee Vee veteran like Trump…

          But alas… Joe is off to a truly magnificent start!!!

          It’s like he’s a combination of stupid, moronic, and retarded… coupled with 30 years of Hard Drinking…. with a dollop of Tourettes…

          Trump was a lightweight compared to this … I find myself feeling pleased that the Dems cheated their way to victory…. it would be a shame to leave this bumbling fool (and great comedic talent) to fade into oblivion….

          Joe Biden Live!

          https://www.zerohedge.com/political/where-hell-are-we-bidens-cnn-townhall-disaster-ignored-mainstream-media

          • Ed says:

            The Biden fiasco has stripped away all pretense in America.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              Interesting that many insist the election was stolen at the polling booths… that is correct (see the video of the boxes coming out from under the tables and the observers swearing under penalty of perjury that they were told to go home)….

              But the election was actually stolen long before that:

              Despite report findings, almost half of Americans think Trump colluded with Russia: Reuters/Ipsos poll

              https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-russia-poll-idUSKCN1R72S0

              How many of the MORE ONS who continue to belief this lie … voted for Biden because of it…. Easily enough to swing an election …. but then that could be offset with a few more boxes under the tables….

        • I appreciate Norman’s comments. He has done historical research regarding the UK and its iron production, for example. Each person brings his or her own set of knowledge and perspectives. We can’t expect to all agree on everything.

          • Tim Groves says:

            We all appreciate his comments and respect his research efforts. I can only speculate why he has taken a break. I think he may not be happy with the level of disagreement some his remarks have encountered. The intensity of the discussion at this cutting edge site may have tired him out.

            On the other hand, he may be busy doing his tax return. We’re approaching the end of the fiscal year and the clock is ticking.

        • Tsubion says:

          I had to laugh at that last observation! If you grew up in jolly england of yesteryear this could not more true!

          Very well said Tim. Norm is simply a frustrating waste of time. Some people are simply blockheaded.

          • Fast Eddy says:

            I have the attention of a mate whose business has been on ice for over a year now (it was bad during the HK protests — it is not existent due to Covid….) We trade stuff on whatsapp on a daily basis.

            I find it is much easier to present arguments on a digital platform vs verbally — because you can provide references to data and other evidence to support a position.

            Try as I might to sway him on various topics (he outright refuses to read Moondoggie)…. I have had no success…

            He opposes lockdowns — only because he needs them to stop to save his business… but no matter what I put in front of him he refuses to believe this is not a fairly horrific virus…. and not just a bad flu…

            I can show him what happens when a country refuses to lockdown — Sweden. 10,000 deaths? Out of 10M… not even in the top 20 in deaths per capita…

            I can show him video of CBS faking queues to get a Covid story in the US — now why do you have to fake the queue? I can show him a stadium set up for the mass covid hospitalizations that is completely empty (Javits Centre – google it)… I can show him empty tents in a park in NYC with not a single patient (along with a quote from a medic stating ‘it’s like being back in Iraq’)…

            He says ‘how can you fake this – how can you get so many meds to play ball?’ —- I can show him tens of thousands of top experts who have signed Great Barrington… I can show him YT videos involving experts like Mike Yeadon former Pfizer — removed by YT…. because????

            He refuses to change is mind… he refuses to even consider I might be correct….

            Do not expect Norm to come around on Covid or much of anything else…. he is a normie… and there is no way you can turn on the lights for him… he and all normies live in a world of darkness…

            And we can see from his monotonous posts… which demonstrate a nearly complete lack of curiousity … it amazes me that he is able to understand the energy issue… one would think that if a person is able to grasp that rather complicated story…. one surely must be capable — and willing — to challenge other narratives…

            Norm has been irrelevant for a very long time…. and he is borderline crazy guy in the attic who is almost tolerated because he has been around for so long….

            • NomadicBeer says:

              @Fast Eddy,
              I agree with everything you say and it’s a lot of fun to read your posts.

              But… How can I express this?

              I don’t feel superior because I don’t buy the propaganda. It’s not fun to always have doubts about everything.
              Until last year, even if people believed in infinite progress, they would accept that oil is not infinite (most of them at least).
              So we could disagree rationally about wind or solar power.

              Now, I feel exactly like Cassandra – and look what happened to her.

              My point is I can see how joining the mass delusion brings people mental peace.
              The line I am trying to walk is to stay informed but do not get sucked into the obsession of finding confirmation with other people..

              How do you do it?

            • Fast Eddy says:

              I feel (and am) superior…it is not necessary to feel a sense of guilt because of it…

              And although I sometimes feel irritated being surrounded by billions of more-ons I don’t feel anymore disappointed than I might because my dog is unable to speak or drive a car…

              I really shouldn’t be so hard on the humans… they are little different than my dog… it’s not their fault…

              Ignorance is bliss for most… but for the very few it is not an option.

            • Kowalainen says:

              Using Sweden as a wrought iron for your ideas is just plain…. 🤔

              As a person living in Sweden, what an utter shit show it has been. The relatively “few” deaths isn’t caused by the lack of policy, rather the total absence of it, with the population itself taking precautions with their parents/grandparents. It is clear that the Swedish institutional sociopathy is totally and utterly useless. Actually, not even wrong, absurd.

              Why not send your buddy the statistics on Taiwan instead?

              As far as I am aware, there has been no lockdowns there. The result: 8 deaths so far.

              Believe in nothing, hypothesis with assigned likelihood is the only sane way. The amount of BS oozing around is incredible.

              Now, before spouting more BS “praise” about the Swedish “success”, you might first want to check with a Swede or two. All right?

            • Fast Eddy says:

              I could send him the numbers for NZ where I live…. but then this is an island – like Taiwan… so it is possible to impede a virus… however without a real vaccine (and there has never been a safe and effective coronavirus vaccine…) … all lockdowns do is delay the inevitable… and while waiting on the inevitable… the economy is at risk fo collapse

              Here’s part of an email exchange I had with Johan Gieseke (WHO scientist)

              ‘Ah, NZ! They are fascinating. I am sure they will manage to stamp out the virus. And then they will have to have a 2-week quarantine for anyone who enters the country for the next 30 years or so. Will do wonders to tourism.’

              So nah… I prefer not to reference Taiwan or NZ…. neither is a good model….

              I really like comparing the UK with Sweden … because that demonstrates that lockdowns are pointless:

              https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/no-lockdown-sweden-sees-covid-deaths-plummet-quicker-fully-locked-down-uk

              https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Eudw0cPVkAA5UwG?format=jpg

              Along the same lines… this is excellent

              Watch: Biden Adviser Struggles To Explain Similar COVID Numbers In CA, FL Despite Opposite Approaches

              https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/watch-biden-adviser-struggles-explain-similar-covid-numbers-ca-fl-despite-opposite

              Now you Stay Safe and make sure you show up for your appointment for the ‘vaccine’ that you really do not need to take unless you are old and/or riddled with disease (and even then… you should keep in mind we are 20 years post SARS coronavirus and there is still no vaccine for that…)

              Make sure to sign up your children and grandkids for the experiment (Maybe you could drive them to the lab?) Even though only a handful of healthy people under 18 have died from Covid…. you just never know (just like you never know if you might have won the lottery if you had bought a ticket)….

              So you must Do as Your are TOLD… and inject that DNA altering sh it into their bodies.

              Who knows … the ‘vaccine’ might actually be a cure for stupidity.

            • naqisha says:

              As illustrated in this story, it is futile to try and convince the majority of their errors in thinking, but also hard to remain separate from the group – to the point where it becomes easier to join them even though you know they are wrong.
              https://parablesmythslegends.wordpress.com/2013/06/09/when-the-waters-were-changed-why-we-are-here-perception/

            • Fast Eddy says:

              It’s not much different than trying to explain something to a dog… my dog just looks at me with a blank stare hoping for a treat… it’s pretty much the same with a MORE_On….

              I once had a gig teaching profoundly f$%ed up children — some had very severe autism and would gnaw on their fingers till they were a mass of scars…

              I recall trying to communicate with them and just observing as they remained in their own world… and wondering what was going on inside their heads…

              I wonder if their world is similar to the dogs world… or maybe there is no other world… perhaps there are no thoughts beyond the basic needs…

              Perhaps the MORE_Ons are similarly in a slightly more sophisticated world than that of a dog or someone with severe mental disabilities…

              I might consider referring to the masses as Dog People…

        • JMS says:

          Sadly, Norman’s refuse to acknowledge the obvious orchestration of this covid crisis, among other political moves. has made him lose much of his contact with reality, and his comments have lost their relevance and interest. He’s in the strong grip of denial and no one can convince him that everything he has always believed in, politically, is just a construct fueled by propaganda.

  35. Bobby says:

    A significant squeeze on refining margins and reduced demand for fuel globally saw the owner of Northland’s Marsden Point refinery suffer a loss for the financial year.

    https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/business/436579/refining-new-zealand-reports-net-193m-loss

    • I see,

      “Refining New Zealand confirmed on Wednesday it had made progress in its plan to stop processing crude oil and transition to an import terminal for fuel.”

      It can’t continue to operate the refinery at a loss. If it imports fuel from elsewhere, it will be at the worldwide shipping industry being willing/able to bring refined products of various kinds to New Zealand. I am sure New Zealand needs lubricants and many other things. I can quite easily imagine a shortage of refined products of the right kind.

      I know prices in Hawaii for imported fuel are always very high. I expect this will be the case in New Zealand as well.

      • Robert Firth says:

        Gail, I wonder how New Zealand thinks they can stop the virus from coming back if they have to import all their liquid fuel. That’s a lot of ships, and a lot of rats.

    • Jarle says:

      Jacinda Ardern calls to nuke New Zealand after UK variant found – ‘It’s the only way’

      https://www.sott.net/article/448822-Jacinda-Ardern-calls-to-nuke-New-Zealand-after-UK-variant-found-Its-the-only-way

    • Artleads says:

      Biden lays out a timeline to vaccinate “every single American.”

      • TIm Groves says:

        What about the married ones?

      • Jean Wilson says:

        And Jo’s friend Bill, says ….. Bill wants us to have a third injection. Three times the profits, three times the deaths.

        “With more than 40 million Americans having received at least the first dose of the Pfizer or Moderna vaccine, a third dose may be needed to prevent the spread of new variants of the disease, Bill Gates told CBS News Tuesday.”

        Or – we could develop another super strong jab (to deal with the planned future mutations and variants). Bill calls this ‘tuning the vaccine’.

        Gates’ comments come amid growing concern that the current vaccines are not effective against the more contagious Brazilian and South African variants (scary ants).

        https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/gates-third-shot-coronavirus-variants/

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Cuba will launch a home made covid vaccine shortly … and I am told it is possible to mix and match vaccines…

          So I am waiting for Venezuela to launch theirs… and if a third jab is required then I will look to Zimbabwe to roll out their version of The Trojan Horse

        • Xabier says:

          Whatever is in those mRNA vaccines, they clearly want to get lots of it inside us, and all of us.

          That alone – quite apart from the lack of proper ,extended and extensive, trials – should lead to extreme caution in accepting them.If someone has a functioning brain, that is.

          Oh, but poor Uncle Bill, simple well-meaning friend of humanity, is so hurt by those all those groundless and paranoid theories…..

  36. Watch His Face And Eyes Closely…Last Stage Alzheimer’s?

    Astonishing outtake from a recent Joe Biden interview proves major problems he’s suffering that the media and establishment are trying to hide.
    https://rumble.com/vdwa0n-not-for-public-view-biden-interview.html

    • Slow Paul says:

      He might become the first(?) president to abdicate.

    • Ano737 says:

      It’s good that there was no editing or slow motion or zoom effects. Otherwise it might not be credible. Thank goodness the stable genius won the election by a landslide. /s

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Wow… that makes for incredible Tee Vee…. if anyone has more of this Stuff… please post it…

        Like I said… far more entertaining than Trump….

        Chauncey the Gardener would be competent when compared to this dying old man…. heck… Bernie from Weekend at Bernie’s is more alive than Joe!!!

        Let’s all say a collective prayer for Joe…. it would be a shame to see him kick the bucket when he has the potential to deliver so much more entertainment …

    • Tim Groves says:

      The real Joe Biden has blue eyes and dangling pendulous earlobes. The fake one, who we see on most public occasions these days, has brown eyes and only small earlobes that don’t dangle. There are other differences in such as in the width of the cranium and the smoothness of the chin. Also, more circumstantially, the real Joe Biden was a tough and aggressive character—alpha male material, while the fake is softer, gentler, meeker.

      The fake is good enough to fool most of the people most of the time, but if the real one was willing and able to function in the role of POTUS, they wouldn’t be using a fake. The man in the above video is the real Joe Biden.

  37. jj says:

    Seems to be a lot of media attention on “sequencing”. Its the new buzz word. With every new sequence requiring a new vaccine. IMO thats how this works. THe concept of sequencing being a bona fide identification method is inserted. Once that paradigm is propagated the next steps can not be refuted without back tracking to the original premise a premise that is written in stone because it was introduced without disclosing the next steps.

    • Xabier says:

      We see endless, repressive, measures being justified on the basis of the initial, entirely false, premise, that COVID is very dangerous and a mortal threat to the whole community.

      • Ed says:

        Now we have courts that refuse to address executive over reach. Legislatures that refuse to protect the peoples rights. A press that has no interest in the people nor their rights. A completely monetized society.

        • Xabier says:

          Whatever fundamental rights – human and civic – and protections we imagined that we had were destroyed in early 2020,with the first lock-downs – it’s as simple as that.

          Big Tech and the financiers have been very successful in the first stage of their coup d’etat.

          Public policy has, on the pretext of ‘fighting the virus’, departed completely from reason, logic, and even bare decency. Tens, even hundreds of millions thrown into depression, house-imprisonment, poverty and hunger without a qualm.

          In a way, we are now living in a kind of Jonestown being created by them, with false promises of a wonderful Green, Hi-tech, future, but in reality totally controlled, immersed in intense and mendacious brain-washing, and with guards on the walls, – ever more heavily armed.

          Next come the digital shackles to make our enslavement complete.

          • Fast Eddy says:

            Covid Vaccine >>> Purple KooL Aid?

          • Tim Groves says:

            On November 18, 1978, Jim Jones and more than 900 members of his People’s Temple committed mass suicide in the jungle of Guyana. Since that time, the event has occupied a grotesque but fringy place in American history. Jones’s followers are imagined as wide-eyed innocents, swallowing his outrageous teachings along with his cyanide-laced Kool-Aid. Teri Buford O’Shea remembers things quite differently.

            O’Shea was 19 years old when she joined the People’s Temple in Redwood Valley, California. It was 1971, and O’Shea was homeless when a man pulled up alongside her in a van. He told her about the community where he lived — a place, he said, where no one had to worry about food or housing. The leader was a visionary who was building a new future. O’Shea gladly took the ride. After all, she assumed, if she didn’t like the People’s Temple, she could always leave.

            Forty years later, O’Shea is just beginning to speak openly about her seven years with Jim Jones, first in California and then at his compound in Guyana. Her memories of Jonestown are complex. Its inhabitants, she says, were warm people who worked hard to build a utopian community. Jones himself was passionately committed to civil rights — during the 1960s, he helped integrate churches, hospitals, restaurants, and movie theaters, and he personally adopted several children of color. (His only biological child, Stephan, had the middle name Gandhi.) The majority of the followers who died with him were African-American, and one third were children.

            As O’Shea tells it, Jones’s idealism was a large part of what made him so lethal. He tapped into the zeitgeist of the late 1960s and 1970s, feeding on people’s fears and promising to create a “rainbow family” where everyone would truly be equal. He was charismatic enough to lure hundreds of people to a South American jungle, where he cut off all their ties with the outside world.

            https://www.theatlantic.com/national/archive/2011/11/drinking-the-kool-aid-a-survivor-remembers-jim-jones/248723/

  38. jj says:

    Once the vaccine mandates take place and those not getting the jab are banned from entering supermarkets I would imagine that the delivery services that pick up orders from online shopping and deliver them to the purchasers will get popular. I imagine some pretext will be found to deny those not partaking in the mrna experiment will also be quickly banned from using those too. At that point it will go to the black market. Jabbed johnie will get you food. For a fee.

  39. Tim Groves says:

    A “vaccine” administered at a nursing home in Spandau has achieved a kill rate of over 25%. Was this by accident or design?

    —–

    Whistleblower from Berlin nursing home: the terrible dying after vaccination

    For the first time, there is an eyewitness report from a Berlin nursing home on the situation after the vaccination. It comes from the AGAPLESION Bethanien Havelgarten retirement home in Berlin-Spandau. There, within four weeks after the first vaccination with the BioNTech/Pfizer vaccine Comirnaty, eight of 31 seniors, who suffered from dementia but were in good physical condition according to their age before the vaccination, died. The first death occurred after only six days, and five other seniors died approximately 14 days after vaccination. The first symptoms of the disease had already appeared shortly after the vaccination. From information available to 2020News the patients have not been duly informed about the risks of this vaccine. One reason being that no detailed information about the novelty of this mRNA vaccine which has only conditionally been certified in the European Union have been provided.

    Attorney at Law Viviane Fischer and Attorney at Law Dr. Reiner Füllmich of the Corona Committee spoke in a video interview with the whistleblower about the closer circumstances of the vaccination, the symptoms that occurred and the different nature of the deaths in temporal connection with the vaccination.

    On January 3, 2021, 31 female and male residents of the dementia ward “ground floor/protected area” had been vaccinated with Comirnaty. Relatives of another three seniors had objected to vaccination, and two residents were in terminal care, so no vaccination was given.

    The residents of this ward are very active, “self defending” dementia patients who are physically in good condition. They are allowed to move around the ward all day without restriction. The day before the vaccination, the 31 vaccinated persons were all in good health. A few days earlier, all had tested negative for Corona, according to the whistleblower report.

    https://2020news.de/en/whistleblower-from-berlin-nursing-home-the-terrible-dying-after-vaccination/

  40. Tim Groves says:

    What’s going on in the chicken coop?

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EuXECbaXEAAVQvM?format=jpg&name=small

  41. adonis says:

    the plan is to actually assist the poorer countries with immunization that is why the vaccine is being pushed https://sdgs.un.org/goals/goal3

    • Poorer countries can’t possibly do the high-tech mRNA vaccines, with or without financial assistance. There are too many things that can go wrong with cold storage and fussy mixing instructions.

      • Duncan Idaho says:

        Myths of Vaccine Manufacturing

        https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2021/02/02/myths-of-vaccine-manufacturing

        Hint:
        This is not easy

        • With most real world processes, businesses find that they need to scale them up in stops, not in a giant leap. You don’t go from test tube scale to millions of doses in one step. You set up a demonstration project, and then a small scale of the real project, and then the full sized project. Not everything scales up as planned. I think this is part of the problem, too.

          Also, distributing the vaccines requires the right freezers. It is also fairly tricky. Exact timing, so nothing gets left out too long. The vaccine provided needs to be mixed with something else, before it is injected, I believe, if I understood one article correctly. People need to be watched for an allergic reaction for a while after the injection. They also need to be spaced out enough so they don’t catch COVID-19 from each other. Thus, the problems don’t end with manufacturing.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          With respect to coronaviruses … it is impossible:

          https://www.wired.com/2003/05/feds-race-to-make-sars-vaccine/

  42. Biden extends foreclosure moratorium, mortgage forbearance through June

    WASHINGTON — President Joe Biden is extending the foreclosure moratorium and mortgage forbearance through the end of June as part of his efforts to address the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic, the White House announced Tuesday.

    The administration’s actions continue programs that former President Donald Trump started last year. This is the second time Biden has extended the programs after having signed an executive action on his first day in office that pushed the expiration date to the end of March.

    The White House also announced Tuesday that the administration is extending the enrollment window to request a mortgage payment forbearance and will grant six months of additional forbearance for those who enroll on or before June 30.

    The actions did not address the federal moratorium on evictions, which is set to expire on March 31.
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/biden-extends-foreclosure-moratorium-mortgage-forbearance-through-june-n1257983

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