Limits to Green Energy Are Becoming Much Clearer

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We have been told that intermittent electricity from wind and solar, perhaps along with hydroelectric generation (hydro), can be the basis of a green economy. Things are increasingly not working out as planned, however. Natural gas or coal used for balancing the intermittent output of renewables is increasingly high-priced or not available. It is becoming clear that modelers who encouraged the view that a smooth transition to wind, solar, and hydro is possible have missed some important points.

Let’s look at some of the issues:

[1] It is becoming clear that intermittent wind and solar cannot be counted on to provide adequate electricity supply when the electrical distribution system needs them.

Early modelers did not expect that the variability of wind and solar would be a huge problem. They seemed to believe that, with the use of enough intermittent renewables, their variability would cancel out. Alternatively, long transmission lines would allow enough transfer of electricity between locations to largely offset variability.

In practice, variability is still a major problem. For example, in the third quarter of 2021, weak winds were a significant contributor to Europe’s power crunch. Europe’s largest wind producers (Britain, Germany and France) produced only 14% of installed capacity during this period, compared with an average of 20% to 26% in previous years. No one had planned for this kind of three-month shortfall.

In 2021, China experienced dry, windless weather so that both its generation from wind and hydro were low. The country found it needed to use rolling blackouts to deal with the situation. This led to traffic lights failing and many families needing to eat candle-lit dinners.

In Europe, with low electricity supply, Kosovo has needed to use rolling blackouts. There is real concern that the need for rolling blackouts will spread to other parts of Europe, as well, either later this winter, or in a future winter. Winters are of special concern because, then, solar energy is low while heating needs are high.

[2] Adequate storage for electricity is not feasible in any reasonable timeframe. This means that if cold countries are not to “freeze in the dark” during winter, fossil fuel backup is likely to be needed for many years in the future.

One workaround for electricity variability is storage. A recent Reuters article is titled Weak winds worsened Europe’s power crunch; utilities need better storage. The article quotes Matthew Jones, lead analyst for EU Power, as saying that low or zero-emissions backup-capacity is “still more than a decade away from being available at scale.” Thus, having huge batteries or hydrogen storage at the scale needed for months of storage is not something that can reasonably be created now or in the next several years.

Today, the amount of electricity storage that is available can be measured in minutes or hours. It is mostly used to buffer short-term changes, such as the wind temporarily ceasing to blow or the rapid transition created when the sun sets and citizens are in the midst of cooking dinner. What is needed is the capacity for multiple months of electricity storage. Such storage would require an amazingly large quantity of materials to produce. Needless to say, if such storage were included, the cost of the overall electrical system would be substantially higher than we have been led to believe. All major types of cost analyses (including the levelized cost of energy, energy return on energy invested, and energy payback period) leave out the need for storage (both short- and long-term) if balancing with other electricity production is not available.

If no solution to inadequate electricity supply can be found, then demand must be reduced by one means or another. One approach is to close businesses or schools. Another approach is rolling blackouts. A third approach is to permit astronomically high electricity prices, squeezing out some buyers of electricity. A fourth balancing approach is to introduce recession, perhaps by raising interest rates; recessions cut back on demand for all non-essential goods and services. Recessions tend to lead to significant job losses, besides cutting back on electricity demand. None of these things are attractive options.

[3] After many years of subsidies and mandates, today’s green electricity is only a tiny fraction of what is needed to keep our current economy operating.

Early modelers did not consider how difficult it would be to ramp up green electricity.

Compared to today’s total world energy consumption (electricity and non-electricity energy, such as oil, combined), wind and solar are truly insignificant. In 2020, wind accounted for 3% of the world’s total energy consumption and solar amounted to 1% of total energy, using BP’s generous way of counting electricity, relative to other types of energy. Thus, the combination of wind and solar produced 4% of world energy in 2020.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) uses a less generous approach for crediting electricity; it only gives credit for the heat energy supplied by the renewable energy. The IEA does not show wind and solar separately in its recent reports. Instead, it shows an “Other” category that includes more than wind and solar. This broader category amounted to 2% of the world’s energy supply in 2018.

Hydro is another type of green electricity that is sometimes considered alongside wind and solar. It is quite a bit larger than either wind or solar; it amounted to 7% of the world’s energy supply in 2020. Taken together, hydro + wind + solar amounted to 11% of the world’s energy supply in 2020, using BP’s methodology. This still isn’t much of the world’s total energy consumption.

Of course, different parts of the world vary with respect to the share of energy created using wind, hydro and solar. Figure 1 shows the percentage of total energy generated by these three renewables combined.

Figure 1. Wind, solar and hydro as a share of total energy consumption for selected parts of the world, based on BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy data. Russia+ is Russia and its affiliates in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS).

As expected, the world average is about 11%. The European Union is highest at 14%; Russia+ (that is, Russia and its Affiliates, which is equivalent to the members of the Commonwealth of Independent States) is lowest at 6.5%.

[4] Even as a percentage of electricity, rather than total energy, renewables still comprised a relatively small share in 2020.

Wind and solar don’t replace “dispatchable” generation; they provide some temporary electricity supply, but they tend to make the overall electrical system more difficult to operate because of the variability introduced. Renewables are available only part of the time, so other types of electricity suppliers are still needed when supply temporarily isn’t available. In a sense, all they are replacing is part of the fuel required to make electricity. The fixed costs of backup electricity providers are not adequately compensated, nor are the costs of the added complexity introduced into the system.

If analysts give wind and solar full credit for replacing electricity, as BP does, then, on a world basis, wind electricity replaced 6% of total electricity consumed in 2020. Solar electricity replaced 3% of total electricity provided, and hydro replaced 16% of world electricity. On a combined basis, wind and solar provided 9% of world electricity. With hydro included as well, these renewables amounted to 25% of world electricity supply in 2020.

The share of electricity supply provided by wind, solar and hydro varies across the world, as shown in Figure 2. The European Union is highest at 32%; Japan is lowest at 17%.

Figure 2. Wind, solar and hydro as a share of total electricity supply for selected parts of the world, based on BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy data.

The “All Other” grouping of countries shown in Figure 2 includes many of the poorer countries. These countries often use quite a bit of hydro, even though the availability of hydro tends to fluctuate a great deal, depending on weather conditions. If an area is subject to wet seasons and dry seasons, there is likely to be very limited electricity supply during the dry season. In areas with snow melt, very large supplies are often available in spring, and much smaller supplies during the rest of the year.

Thus, while hydro is often thought of as being a reliable source of power, this may or may not be the case. Like wind and solar, hydro often needs fossil fuel back-up if industry is to be able to depend upon having electricity year-around.

[5] Most modelers have not understood that reserve to production ratios greatly overstate the amount of fossil fuels and other minerals that the economy will be able to extract.

Most modelers have not understood how the world economy operates. They have assumed that as long as we have the technical capability to extract fossil fuels or other minerals, we will be able to do so. A popular way of looking at resource availability is as reserve to production ratios. These ratios represent an estimate of how many years of production might continue, if extraction is continued at the same rate as in the most recent year, considering known resources and current technology.

Figure 3. Reserve to production ratios for several minerals, based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

A common belief is that these ratios understate how much of each resource is available, partly because technology keeps improving and partly because exploration for these minerals may not be complete.

In fact, this model of future resource availability greatly overstates the quantity of future resources that can actually be extracted. The problem is that the world economy tends to run short of many types of resources simultaneously. For example, World Bank Commodities Price Data shows that prices were high in January 2022 for many materials, including fossil fuels, fertilizers, aluminum, copper, iron ore, nickel, tin and zinc. Even though prices have run up very high, this is not an indication that producers will be able to use these high prices to extract more of these required materials.

In order to produce more fossil fuels or more minerals of any kind, preparation must be started years in advance. New oil wells must be built in suitable locations; new mines for copper or lithium or rare earth minerals must be built; workers must be trained for all of these areas. High prices for many commodities can be a sign of temporarily high demand, or it can be a sign that something is seriously wrong with the system. There is no way the system can ramp up needed production in a huge number of areas at once. Supply lines will break. Recession is likely to set in.

The problem underlying the recent spike in prices seems to be “diminishing returns.” Such diminishing returns affect nearly all parts of the economy simultaneously. For each type of mineral, miners produced the easiest-t0-extract materials first. They later moved on to deeper oil wells and minerals from lower grade ores. Pollution gradually grew, so it too needed greater investment. At the same time, world population has been growing, so the economy has required more food, fresh water and goods of many kinds; these, too, require the investment of resources of many kinds.

The problem that eventually hits the economy is that it cannot maintain economic growth. Too many areas of the economy require investment, simultaneously, because diminishing returns keeps ramping up investment needs. This investment is not simply a financial investment; it is an investment of physical resources (oil, coal, steel, copper, etc.) and an investment of people’s time.

The way in which the economy would run short of investment materials was simulated in the 1972 book, The Limits to Growth, by Donella Meadows and others. The book gave the results of a number of simulations regarding how the world economy would behave in the future. Virtually all of the simulations indicated that eventually the economy would reach limits to growth. A major problem was that too large a share of the output of the economy was needed for reinvestment, leaving too little for other uses. In the base model, such limits to growth came about now, in the middle of the first half of the 21st century. The economy would stop growing and gradually start to collapse.

[6] The world economy seems already to be reaching limits on the extraction of coal and natural gas to be used for balancing electricity provided by intermittent renewables.

Coal and natural gas are expensive to transport, so if they are exported, they primarily tend to be exported to countries that are nearby. For this reason, my analysis groups together exports and imports into large regions where trade is most likely to take place.

If we analyze natural gas imports by part of the world, two regions stand out as having the most out-of-region natural gas imports: Europe and Asia-Pacific. Figure 4 shows that Europe’s out-of-region natural gas imports reached peaks in 2007 and 2010, after which they dipped. In recent years, Europe’s imports have barely surpassed their prior peaks. Asia-Pacific’s out-of-region imports have shown a far more consistent growth pattern over the long term.

Figure 4. Natural gas imports in exajoules per year, based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

The reason why Asia-Pacific’s imports have been growing is to support its growing manufacturing output. Manufacturing output has increasingly been shifted to the Asia-Pacific Region, partly because this region can perform this manufacturing cheaply, and partly because rich countries have wanted to reduce their carbon footprint. Moving heavy industry abroad reduces a country’s reported CO2 generation, even if the manufactured items are imported as finished products.

Figure 5 shows that Europe’s own natural gas supply has been falling. This is a major reason for its import requirements from outside the region.

Figure 5. Europe’s natural gas production, consumption and imports based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

Figure 6, below, shows that Asia-Pacific’s total energy consumption per capita has been growing. The new manufacturing jobs transferred to this region have raised standards of living for many workers. Europe, on the other hand, has reduced its local manufacturing. Its people have tended to get poorer, in terms of energy consumption per capita. Service jobs necessitated by reduced energy consumption per capita have tended to pay less well than the manufacturing jobs they have replaced.

Figure 6. Energy consumption per capita for Europe compared to Asia-Pacific, based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

Europe has recently been having conflicts with Russia over natural gas. The world seems to be reaching a situation where there are not enough natural gas exports to go around. The Asia-Pacific Region (or at least the more productive parts of the Asia-Pacific Region) seems to be able to outbid Europe, when local natural gas supply is inadequate.

Figure 7, below, gives a rough idea of the quantity of exports available from Russia+ compared to Europe’s import needs. (In this chart, I compare Europe’s total natural gas imports (including pipeline imports from North Africa and LNG from North Africa) with the natural gas exports of Russia+ (to all nations, not just to Europe, including both by pipeline and as LNG).) On this rough basis, we find that Europe’s natural gas imports are greater than the total natural gas exports of Russia+.

Figure 7. Total natural gas imports of Europe compared to total natural gas exports from Russia+, based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

Europe is already encountering multiple natural gas problems. Its supply from North Africa is not as reliable as in the past. The countries of Russia+ are not delivering as much natural gas as Europe would like, and spot prices, especially, seem to be way too high. There are also pipeline disagreements. Bloomberg reports that Russia will be increasing its exports to China in future years. Unless Russia finds a way to ramp up its gas supplies, greater exports to China are likely to leave less natural gas for Russia to export to Europe in the years ahead.

If we look around the world to see what other sources of natural gas exports are available for Europe, we discover that the choices are limited.

Figure 8. Historical natural gas exports based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy. Rest of the world includes Africa, the Middle East and the Americas excluding the United States.

The United States is presented as a possible choice for increasing natural gas imports to Europe. One of the catches with growing natural gas exports from the United States is the fact that historically, the US has been a natural gas importer; it is not clear how much exports can rise above the 2022 level. Furthermore, part of US natural gas is co-produced with oil from shale. Oil from shale is not likely to be growing much in future years; in fact, it very likely will be declining because of depleted wells. This may limit the US’s growth in natural gas supplies available for export.

The Rest of the World category on Figure 8 doesn’t seem to have many possibilities for growth in imports to Europe, either, because total exports have been drifting downward. (The Rest of the World includes Africa, the Middle East, and the Americas excluding the United States.) There are many reports of countries, including Iraq and Turkey, not being able to buy the natural gas they would like. There doesn’t seem to be enough natural gas on the market now. There are few reports of supplies ramping up to replace depleted supplies.

With respect to coal, the situation in Europe is only a little different. Figure 9 shows that Europe’s coal supply has been depleting, and imports have not been able to offset this depletion.

Figure 9. Europe’s coal production, consumption and imports, based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

If a person looks around the world for places to get more imports for Europe, there aren’t many choices.

Figure 10. Coal production by part of the world, based on data from BP’s 2021 Statistical Review of World Energy.

Figure 10 shows that most coal production is in the Asia-Pacific Region. With China, India and Japan located in the Asia-Pacific Region, and high transit costs, this coal is unlikely to leave the region. The United States has been a big coal producer, but its production has declined in recent years. It still exports a relatively small amount of coal. The most likely possibility for increased coal imports would be from Russia and its affiliates. Here, too, Europe is likely to need to outbid China to purchase this coal. A better relationship with Russia would be helpful, as well.

Figure 10 shows that world coal production has been essentially flat since 2011. A country will only export coal that it doesn’t need itself. Thus, a shortfall in export capability is an early warning sign of inadequate overall supply. With the economies of many Asia-Pacific countries still growing rapidly, demand for coal imports is likely to grow for this region. While modelers may think that there is close to 150 years’ worth of coal supply available, real-world experience suggests that coal limits are being reached already.

[7] Conclusion. Modelers and leaders everywhere have had a basic misunderstanding of how the economy operates and what limits we are up against. This misunderstanding has allowed scientists to put together models that are far from the situation we are actually facing.

The economy operates as an integrated whole, just as the body of a human being operates as an integrated whole, rather than a collection of cells of different types. This is something most modelers don’t understand, and their techniques are not equipped to deal with.

The economy is facing many limits simultaneously: too many people, too much pollution, too few fish in the ocean, more difficult to extract fossil fuels and many others. The way these limits play out seems to be the way the models in the 1972 book, The Limits to Growth, suggest: They play out on a combined basis. The real problem is that diminishing returns leads to huge investment needs in many areas simultaneously. One or two of these investment needs could perhaps be handled, but not all of them, all at once.

The approach of modelers, practically everywhere, is to break down a problem into small parts, and assume that each part of the problem can be solved independently. Thus, those concerned about “Peak Oil” have been concerned about running out of oil. Finding substitutes seemed to be important. Those concerned about climate change were convinced that huge amounts of fossil fuels remain to be extracted, even more than the amounts indicated by reserve to production ratios. Their concern was finding substitutes for the huge amount of fossil fuels that they believed remained to be extracted, which could cause climate change.

Politicians could see that there was some sort of huge problem on the horizon, but they didn’t understand what it was. The idea of substituting renewables for fossil fuels seemed to be a solution that would make both Peak Oilers and those concerned about climate change happy. Models based on the substitution of renewables for fossil fuels seemed to please almost everyone. The renewables approach suggested that we have a very long timeframe to deal with, putting the problem off, as long into the future as possible.

Today, we are starting to see that renewables are not able to live up to the promise modelers hoped they would have. Exactly how the situation will play out is not entirely clear, but it looks like we will all have front row seats in finding out.

About Gail Tverberg

My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
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3,985 Responses to Limits to Green Energy Are Becoming Much Clearer

  1. Student says:

    I’m indeed in favour of comic actors and comic performances, they can be pleasant.
    At the same time everyone need to do own job.
    Therefore I’m a little bit concerned if a comic actor is the one asking us to send him weapons of distruction and money to wage a war against a nuclear power State.
    Please find here just one of Zelensky’s performances as a comic actor:

  2. Mirror on the wall says:

    A drastic political shift may be underway in UK, although there is still a couple of years to go to the next general election. Does anyone know what Labour stands for now?

    The Blair administration perhaps simply flourished through the ‘bright years’ of growth before the 2008 GFC. My guess is that Labour would simply adopt whatever happened to be the economic policies in the rest of the G7 at the time, which is what the Tories have been doing.

    Nevertheless, it has a 13 point lead in this major poll, and it must be seriously spooking the Tories. It would put them just outside of the scope of the fairly wide window in which they would need SNP support to form a government.

    > Tory support at same level seen in 2005, poll reveals

    Boris Johnson and half of his Cabinet could lose their seats if a general election were held now, a poll has revealed.

    The Conservatives are facing ‘electoral wipeout’ following the Partygate scandal, a pollster warned, as data shows they are on track to lose a staggering 164 MPs, leaving them with just 201 – only three more than when Tony Blair thumped Michael Howard in 2005.

    The JL Partners poll of 4,500 people says Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour would pick up 352 seats, an increase of 150, giving him an overall majority of 14, reports the Times.

    Meanwhile, the Tories would be wiped out of Scotland and Wales, losing all six and 14 seats they hold in each nation respectively.

    But the fatal blow would come from the 65 so-called ‘red wall’ consituencies in the north – who handed Boris a landslide in 2019, largely thanks to his promise to ‘get Brexit done’.

    According to the latest poll, all but 10 of these – 55 – would revert back to Labour if an election were held today – including Blyth Valley, Redcar, Sedgefield, North West Durham, Bassetlaw, Great Grimsby and Ashfield.

    London would also purge 12 Tory MPs, the poll forecasts – more than half of the 21 currently elected in the capital.

    Some 70 of the 107 Tory MPs who were elected for the first time in 2019 could also lose their seats.

    The survey, conducted by Theresa May’s former pollster James Johnson, puts Labour on 45 per cent of the vote, compared to the Conservatives’ 32 per cent.

    The survey used the MRP model projection, which maps polling results onto every seat in the country.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10556181/HALF-Boris-Johnsons-Cabinet-lose-seats-general-election-held-poll-reveals.htm

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      Support for SF is holding at historic highs in the 26 counties, which would be an historic and dramatic shift in the alignment of southern Irish politics, which FF and FG have dominated for the century of partial independence.

      > Sinn Fein remains most popular party in Ireland, according to new poll

      Sinn Fein remains the most popular political party in Ireland, according to a new poll. According to the poll, support for Sinn Fein is at 33%.

      Support for Fianna Fail, led by Taoiseach Micheal Martin, has risen by two points to 17%. However, the poll finds that support for Leo Varadkar’s Fine Gael has dropped by a point to 20%.

      https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/sinn-fein-fianna-fail-micheal-martin-ireland-support-b2024173.html

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      It is nice to calm things down a bit, with all the war hysteria going on around us. I insist on not getting dragged into hysterical episodes. I will simply look at the conclusions whenever they occur. I have no time for hysterical gossip in the meantime.

  3. Bill in Houston says:

    On the home front, the Texas power grid last week was on alert. We were experiencing cold weather during a time when the weather was cloudy and winds were calm. Our “renewable” resources were generating about 15% as much power as predicted, meaning we had to fall back to a more reliable source (mostly natural gas).

    • Let’s keep our fingers crossed that we continue to have enough US natural gas to do all natural gas generation we are planning on in the US. In Texas, you are close enough to the source that (if the lines aren’t frozen) you should have enough gas.

  4. MG says:

    For the first time in its history, the Slovak natural gas company SPP bought liquified natural gas. It is to be supplied via the new terminal in Croatia:

    https://www.spp.sk/sk/vsetky-segmenty/o-spp/media/614/

    Google Translate:

    “With the aim of diversifying sources, SPP concluded a contract for the first time for the purchase of liquefied natural gas – LNG in the amount of 80 million m3. The LNG tanker arrives at the LNG terminal on the Croatian island of Krk. The CAP will have LNG at its disposal as of 1 March 2022 due to trade measures. This supply is another measure taken by the CAP to strengthen security of gas supply. ”

    https://ec.europa.eu/inea/en/news-events/newsroom/first-croatian-lng-terminal-officially-inaugurated-krk-island

  5. Harry McGibbs says:

    Turkey crippled by worst strikes since 1970s as workers struggle to buy bread… amid soaring inflation…

    “Sevda, 27, stopped working at supermarket chain Migros this month in protest after management fired 257 of her colleagues for walking out to demand a pay rise of four liras (20 pence) an hour, the equivalent of a loaf of bread.”

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2022/02/26/turkey-crippled-worst-strikes-since-1970s-workers-struggle-buy/

  6. Harry McGibbs says:

    “US-China trade war: was the phase-one trade deal a ‘historic failure’, and what’s next? …according to a report, China bought only 57 per cent of the US exports it had committed to purchase over the two years of the deal…

    “The US Chamber of Commerce also said that the White House was considering a new tariff probe and other options, such as taking actions with its allies, if current talks failed to persuade Beijing to meet the terms of the deal…”

    https://www.scmp.com/economy/global-economy/article/3168399/us-china-trade-war-was-phase-one-trade-deal-historic-failure

    • Harry McGibbs says:

      “Russia is dry run for bigger China sanctions test…

      “If China did move on Taiwan, it would make the challenges of structuring Russia-Ukraine sanctions look like a cakewalk… Targeting China’s biggest banks could (also) harm the global economy. It’s home to four globally systemically important banks, according to the Financial Stability Board’s 2021 list.”

      https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/russia-is-dry-run-for-bigger-china-sanctions-test

      • The world economy needs both Russia and China. Sanctions against either become a problem. The system starts pulling apart. The US dollar becomes less and less used for international trade, I expect.

        • Artleads says:

          Reading the comments it seems too late to avoid such an outcome.

          • Artleads says:

            sOUNDS AS IF THINGS ARE GEARING UP FOR SOME KIND OF ELECTRIC MONEY. (Which Gail doesn’t think will really pan out.) At the same time, it’s hard to see cash carrying on as before. And a very large number of people could left out of the system. We don’t hear enough about how those people are faring, or might.

  7. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Ukrainian conflict will lead to more supply chain woes…

    “… companies have no choice but to consider the implications of international trade relationships. Companies have had to overorder due to concerns about tariffs or scarcity of product for the past three years. The pandemic ordering behavior has driven warehouse prices up as capacity has contracted nearly every month since March of 2020, according to the Logistics Managers’ Index.”

    https://www.freightwaves.com/news/ukrainian-conflict-will-lead-to-more-supply-chain-woes

  8. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is threatening shockwaves through two of the world’s staple grain markets…

    “In Tunisia, the agriculture ministry said it’s looking to Uruguay, Bulgaria and Romania for supplies of soft wheat to shield itself from possible supply disruptions, while Indonesian flour mills are also hunting for other origins due to the escalating crisis. A Moroccan millers group said it would turn to Argentina, France and Poland…”

    https://www.deccanherald.com/business/economy-business/war-in-world-s-breadbasket-leaves-big-buyers-hunting-for-grain-1085589.html

  9. Harry McGibbs says:

    “In the face of war, central bank hawks must retreat on inflation.

    “It will be difficult for the anti-inflation warriors inside Threadneedle Street to leave prices to rise and fall without taking action, but extra borrowing costs in the current environment, coupled with tumbling consumer spending, would make a recession next year almost certain.”

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/commentisfree/2022/feb/26/in-the-face-of-war-central-bank-hawks-must-retreat-on-inflation

  10. Kowalainen says:

    Irrelevant news from the mud trails of Scania.

    I decided to have a chat with two aspiring young kiddos that walked by where I was warming up a stone with my rear end after cranking out some vigorous eMTB oh noes.

    It was sort of obvious they were of the right sort of aptitude reciting technical detail about about my bicycle. So I thought; why the heck not?

    *Wanna let ‘er rip kiddo?*
    *I’ll kill your buddy here if you decide to steal it!* 😎

    And off he went soon joined by his buddy, returned with a big grin.
    I’m such a die-hard materialist.

    Te-hee, how cute isn’t that?

    🤭👍

  11. Harry McGibbs says:

    “On cusp of Biden speech, a state of disunity, funk and peril…

    “America’s strength is being sharply tested from within — and now from afar — as fate, overnight, made Biden a wartime president in someone else’s conflict, leading the West’s response to a Russian invasion of Ukraine that makes all the other problems worse.”

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/joe-biden-vladimir-putin-congress-barack-obama-washington-b2024371.html

    • Harry McGibbs says:

      “Will the permacrisis ever end? Brexit started it, the pandemic exacerbated it, war in Ukraine is adding to the sense of dread — and social media is amplifying it…

      “We are living, it seems, in an age of permanent crisis; stumbling blindly from one calamity to the next.”

      https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/permacrisis-ever-end-covid-pandemic-brexit-ukraine-crisis-latest-fpznr05qk

      • Hubbs says:

        What’s not to understand? Putin is an oligarch, strong man, dictator. He also realizes that the western banks, globalists, deep states are going to continue to pressure him until he has to fight by which time it will be too late if he delays.He realized he had to make his stand now as unfortunate as an invasion is. Biden is worse than a strongman, because he is a diaper crapping idiot who is easily controlled by the globalists. These globalists want this war between Ukraine and Russia.

        Now that Covid seems to be running its course and big Pharma has raped in billions, and some semblance of medical passports and complement to a future central bank digital currency have been achieved, the deep state is now turning to a conflict between Ukraine and Russia as the next distraction.Both perfect targets, Sharing a long border, both countries corrupt as hell, and now it is the MIC’s turn to start raking in the profits from the sale of weapons of war while that hapless Russian and Ukrainian civilians and families get their lives destroyed. Like Covid, this conflict will spill over into energy supply sourcing and distribution and secondarily affect agriculture, food, and commerce/distribution. The timing of this is almost to the day. The deep state has us exactly where they want us, confused, angry, pointing fingers at either Ukraine or Russia but quietly letting these Globalist jackals slip under the radar through the control of the media ,money,legal /political process and fraudulent elections. We are roosters being placed in a cock fighting arena.

        If the reports by Felix Rex are true and guns are being handed out to the Ukrainians by the corrupt Leader Zelensky who had his glorious stand his ground, and fight the Russian invaders highly publicized days before the actual attack and now has been discovered to have already left Kiev, Then you can see what a POS he really is. They’re all corrupt. And when you see civilians now carrying / being issued AK-47s, then you realize that this eventually will happen in the US. It’s only a matter of time. These citizens are being used as cannon fodder. Meanwhile,Young Russian soldiers who reportedly Had been reassured that they were only practicing in drills now discover that they have been sent into combat and upon capture by the Ukrainians are being tortured, while the Chechnya and strongman leader has been reportedly offering $5,000 bounties for every killed Ukrainian soldier. How much of this of course we will never really know if true or not.

      • The real crisis, which no one can talk about, is not enough resources per capita.

    • Jane says:

      ” as fate, overnight, made Biden a wartime president in someone else’s conflict, ”

      Uh, no.

      Unless by “someone else” you mean the puppeteers holding “Biden’s” strings.
      Biden and his team, whatever that means, brought on this confrontation. Whether by intention or incompetence remains to be proven.

      If it is not Biden’s war, whose is it? This is Biden’s war both because he is the president and because of his earlier dealings with Ukraine as vice president and as grifter and as father to Hunter Biden co-created the circumstances that are playing out now.

      So “Biden” owns this war and everytrhing that flows from it.
      Obviously one reason for the Giant Wurlitzer being in overdrive is to numb the brains of Americans via noise torture as we enter the runup period to the midterms.

      “Biden” broke Ukraine and “Biden” owns it.

  12. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Oil could jump back above $100 as traders assess Russia SWIFT ban, analysts say.

    “A decision by Western allies on Saturday to block certain Russian banks from the SWIFT payments system is likely to lift oil prices well above $100 a barrel as risks with trading Russian oil spike, analysts say.”

    https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/oil-could-jump-back-above-100-traders-assess-russia-swift-ban-analysts-say-2022-02-27/

  13. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Russia holds most of the cards when it comes to energy in Europe. But in a territory that it controls behind NATO lines, Moscow is taking extreme measures to shore up supplies as the war in Ukraine rages.

    “In recent weeks Russia has steamed in three massive sea vessels carrying natural gas close to Kaliningrad, its bolthold on the Baltic Sea wedged between North Atlantic Treaty Organization members Poland and Lithuania. It is an apparent move to maintain fuel supplies to the tiny militarized region in case conflict severs pipeline flows.”

    https://www.wsj.com/articles/russia-sends-natural-gas-tankers-to-kaliningrad-outpost-behind-nato-lines-11645928330

    • Harry McGibbs says:

      “Russia hits Ukrainian oil and gas facilities in wave of attacks.

      “Missiles hit an oil facility near Kyiv and a gas pipeline in Kharkiv as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine intensifies.”

      https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/2/27/russia-ukraine-oil-gas-fuel-airport-attacks

    • Harry McGibbs says:

      “Russians Rush For Dollars as Sanctions Threaten Ruble Collapse…

      “The shock came as Russians were still digesting news that Europe was closing its airspace to them and popular payment systems like ApplePay would stop working.”

      https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-27/russians-rush-for-dollars-as-sanctions-threaten-ruble-collapse

    • Jane says:

      “bolthold”?

      That is a funny one.

      Do WSF writers mean “bolt hole”?

      Two different concepts.

      In the first, “bolt” is an object/noun. Goes with nuts.

      In the second, the standard phrase, “bolt” is a verb.

      Hmmmm.

      Is the WSJ getting creative??

      • Mirror on the wall says:

        Poetic licence?

      • Tim Groves says:

        I think you are correct Jane. In the compound noun “bolt-hole”, meaning a hole (space) that one can bolt (dash, move or proceed rapidly) into. Here “bolt” is a verb that’s been conscripted into noun duty, surely?

        Bolt-hole: noun:
        a hole in the ground, protected opening in bushes, etc., into which an animal can flee when pursued or frightened.
        a place or avenue of escape or refuge:
        The remote mountain village was a safe bolt-hole for refugees during the war.

        Before the big war, Norman was the headmaster at an old grammar school. The pupils knew him as Whacko Paget. He’ll give us a definitive judgement. Norman?

        • to reply to your smart-asinine comment Tim

          bolt hole:

          a hole in any material into which some kind of bolt or other security device can be fixed.

          this has been compounded over time and usage into a different meaning, as being a ‘safe haven’ into which any ‘living organism’ might retreat to for personal safety.

          the ‘link’ is there, but vaguely.

          Bolt: To run–escape etc. Bolt: a fixture. Bolt: Measure of cloth. Bolt: Of lightning.

          Why/how a single word came to be used in the above I’ve no idea. Vagaries of the english language I guess. Possibly old German originally? Somebody will know.

          similarly ‘fox hole’ is more a military term, when used in the modern vernacular. One would no longer expect a fox to be in a fox hole, but a soldier in hiding or ambush etc. But the origin of the term is obvious. There are millions more examples.

          Language shifts like the tide, and denotes current times, while still reflecting past times. That’s what makes it a delight to use, a perfect medium for word-pictures if one has a decent palette to work with. I’m just a raw amateur at it. But I try to learn from the old masters.

          And no–I didn’t look up the above and copy/paste from somewhere else.

  14. Harry McGibbs says:

    “Analysis: ECB has to fight housing bubble with its hands tied… From Luxembourg to New Zealand, global house prices have been surging as pandemic stimulus and a shift to work from home added fuel to a multi-year boom driven by historically low interest rates.

    “But whereas authorities from Auckland to Stockholm have shown they can pull monetary and regulatory levers to tame property prices, the euro zone’s fragmentation into 19 national markets means the European Central Bank’s hands are tied read more.”

    https://www.reuters.com/business/ecb-has-fight-housing-bubble-with-its-hands-tied-2022-02-23/

  15. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    Metals Markets Brace For Chaos As Ukraine Crisis Worsens
    By Ag Metal Miner – Feb 26, 2022, 12:00 PM CST

    Prices of key metals have surged in recent weeks, turbocharged above previous gains earned on the back of power shortages, energy costs, and Chinese environmental restrictions. Aluminum and nickel prices, in particular, have reached multi-year highs on fears sanctions will result in a breakdown in supply from Russia. Although Russia maintains a critical role in the supply of those two metals, particularly to the European market, other metals could also fall in short supply.

    According to the US Geological Survey, (USGS) Russia’s Rusal produces about 6% of global primary aluminium, or 3.8m tons last year. Europe’s aluminum market remains tight. It has suffered a shortage of extrusion billets for much of the last year. Since late last year, the Rotterdam physical delivery premium (an expression of metal availability) has become significant proportion of the semi-finished price. For the first time in LME history, it has broken the premium out as a separate definable cost.

    Russian produces aluminum billets, nickel, gold, palladium, cobalt and platinum

    At over 7% of global nickel production, Russia serves as a major producer with some 193k tons last year. Indonesia and the Philippines remain China’s primary suppliers but Russia provides key materials to Europe’s stainless industry. To make matters worse, European companies generally have longer-term contracts, not easily replaced at short notice.

    Russia’s largest producer, Norilsk Nickel, also serves as a major producer of palladium and cobalt. In fact, Russia remains the largest producer in the world of palladium at some 40% of global mine production. Furthermore, Russia serves as the 10% global producer of platinum. Although Russia’s cobalt production provides only 4% of global supply, it [has] served as a viable alternative to the DRC. Russia plays an equally key role in the gold market. The country controls about 10% of global mine production only behind Australia and China.

    Don’t forget about Russian steel

    Russia also produces nearly as much as the US per annum. But unlike the US, at least half of Russian production goes toward export markets, again mainly Europe. Steel supply does not face the same constraints as base metals. However, while European mills may welcome the reduction in competitive supply, consumers would find some grades or product areas have limited alternatives as Russia has built up outsized roles in some product areas like pipes.

    As previously mentioned, Russia of course has a dominant position in oil, natural gas and other commodities like diamonds and foodstuffs such as grains and agricultural products like fertilizers. For anyone interested in further data Statista.com/, OEC.com, and Trading Economics all provide good reference points.

    The takeaway

    Metal buying organizations should brace for considerable volatility.

    As the market saying goes “buy on bullets, sell on fear”.

    Oilprice.com

    Hmmm, this should gey very interesting…wonder what the end game is?
    Be the last one to scream ???

  16. MG says:

    Global Foliar Spray Market Report 2020-2027: Intensive Farming and Emergence of Mega Farms Raises Importance of Foliar Spraying to Promote Nutrient Uptake in Crops

    https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2020/12/30/2151563/28124/en/Global-Foliar-Spray-Market-Report-2020-2027-Intensive-Farming-and-Emergence-of-Mega-Farms-Raises-Importance-of-Foliar-Spraying-to-Promote-Nutrient-Uptake-in-Crops.html

    “Among the many forms of liquid fertilizer application, foliar application is witnessing strong growth since faster nutrient absorption takes place through leaves in comparison with the roots. The leaf represents the storehouse of energy and spraying fertilizers directly on the leaves aids in easy passage of nutrients through the vascular system (leaf & stem) of the plant. Foliar feeding is also well suited in dry drought prone areas where soil water is sub-optimal preventing absorption of dry fertilizer elements.

    Economic, social and environmental benefits offered by reduced fertilizer use are driving growth of foliar spraying practices. Small applications of foliar nutrition can result in large increases in crop productivity thus reducing the volume of fertilizers used. Foliar sprays help increase availability of plant sugars, by over 25% to 30%, which are vital for soil bacteria to survive and breakdown rock powders into nutrients needed by plants. They are therefore extremely beneficial for Rhizosphere microflora. They have trace minerals which help correct mineral deficiencies and positively impact crop physiology.

    Several foliar feeding agro programs on farms have revealed significant improvements in crop quality. Corns and strawberries which are foliar fed have darker colors, more stalks, stems, and leaves with little or no signs of drought stress. In comparison, farms with granular soil fertilizer applications have a higher risk of producing crops with faded colors, stunted and delayed growth. Foliar feeding is therefore increasingly becoming a key part of comprehensive programs aimed at holistically improving plant health. Rather than being a substitute for healthy soil, foliar feeding is an effective supplementary form of fertilization. When combined with basal fertilization, it also helps control pests such as spider mites, grasshoppers and other insects.”

    • drb says:

      good article, this one. Foliar sprays are one of the rare innovations in agriculture which are fairly sustainable and also effective.

    • Jef Jelten says:

      This is simply bad science. ALL of the nutrients that make edible plants nutritious and healthy for humans and animals comes from the soil. Foliar ferts make for a big good looking plant but with a fraction of the nutrition which is basically the story of industrial agriculture.

      It is like big fake boobs. they may look bigger but they are NOT better.

      • sciouscience says:

        All of the runoff from a foliar application goes into the soil beneath the plant. I top dress with some bokashi, malted barley, frass, vermicompost, kelp, neem and minerals but the foliars are essential for pesticide-free IPM. If you have yet to try JADAM or KNF and made your own IMO, FPJ and FFE, try it this year. My garden is tiny, not a farm.

        • Jef Jelten says:

          I do spray my own compost tea as it seams to treat a whole host of issues from fungicide to fert.

          My point was that foliar is not in place of building healthy soil. It makes a big plant but not healthy eats.

      • Jane says:

        I think any spraying of water results in the waste of a lot of water to evaporation (duh).

        Also, I expect, the waste of a lot of fertilizer.

        Foliar fertilizing might be OK for house plants and small gardens and ornamentals, but I doubt that it is an improvement over long-term building up the soil. I am not an agronomist nor any sort of scientist, but to me this sounds like an expensive quick fix.

        The only long-term way to create and build up soil is to add organic material and minerals. Fungi in the soil break down minerals and organic compounds into molecules that can be used by plants. Fungi and bacteria help to make nutrients available to for uptake by plants’ roots. This is my basic understanding. Correct me if I am wrong.

        • MG says:

          From the point of view of the agricultural production, the movement of the artifical fertilizer in the soil is slow, several cm per year, but spraying the leaves is a direct path.

  17. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    Yo, Spring breakers…look here….it can go very wrong….watch yourself

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=y_Qnk5lE2R0&t=463s

    Lots of examples of smart college kids not seeing the next semester because of being at the wrong place at the wrong time and doing the wrong thing or meeting the wrong people.

    Doom is just one day away

    • Xabier says:

      Indeed, Herbie.

      As used to be inscribed on sundials:

      Each hour wounds, the next may kill’

      Stay lucky!

      • Herbie Ficklestein says:

        Xabier, the local TV News station here in South Florida featured a story concerning unsolved cold cases that grow by the day and are only assigned to two middle aged veteran detectives. Claim they do the best they can but with the volume it’s impossible to keep up and most just get filed away unsolved. On a positive note the just solved a twenty year old case, the quilty died a number of years back but closure for relatives, and they are adding one more detective to help out.
        Yes, stay lucky

  18. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    Coach Red Pill 💊 makes some valid points concerning the Russian invasion … commentators lack imagination concerning Russia’s aim and claim it’s losing because it didn’t go in and destroy the country like the UD usually does in it’s invasions…

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=1vdiEABLFoo&t=52s

    By coincidence this fella found himself in a luxury hotel staying in the Ukraine!

  19. Fast Eddy says:

    Hahaha .. and humans claim to be clever hahahaahaha

    https://youtu.be/CcJ_xGvnBdU

    • Herbie Ficklestein says:

      Yep. We sure are clever!

      New York(CNN Business)Bitcoin is a pollution-creating mess. Despite efforts to make the energy-intensive mining process friendlier to the environment, it has grown significantly more reliant on fossil fuels over the past year.

      China’s cryptocurrency mining ban in the spring of 2021 significantly worsened Bitcoin’s environmental impact, according to a new research on mining published in Joule. It is because Bitcoin miners were tapping into a significant amount of Chinese hydropower which suddenly evaporated when China made mining illegal, said Alex de Vries, one of the study’s authors and a researcher at the School of Business and Economics at the Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam.

      So miners took their business elsewhere, including countries using significantly dirtier energy than China. Electricity sources powering the Bitcoin network were just 25.1% renewable in August 2021, nearly 17 percentage points lower than the 2020 average.

      Yep, Bitcoin will save us from financial Collapse!

  20. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    MIAMI — MIAMI — Federal officials have reversed a decision to allow a South Florida nuclear power plant to continue running for another 30 years by ordering a new review of potential environmental risks, including those posed by climate change.

    The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission issued an order Thursday to reverse a 2019 decision by a previous, Republican-led commission to extend Florida Power & Light’s operating license for two reactors at the Turkey Point nuclear power plant until 2052 and 2053, respectively. The reactors have been operating since 1972 and 1973, respectively

    U.S. agency reverses 30-year license extension for Miami’s Turkey Point nuclear power plant, orders environmental review
    ASSOCIATED PRESS |
    FEB 25, 2022

  21. Fast Eddy says:

    WSJ:

    ‘U.S. life insurers, as expected, made a large number of Covid-19 death-benefit payouts last year. More surprisingly, many saw a jump in other death claims, too.’

    https://palexander.substack.com/p/rise-in-non-covid-19-deaths-hits

  22. Fast Eddy says:

    Hey mike – you need to be a role model — tell these people to take the shot — so they can get around?

    This is a powerful and informative interview with Rachel Mortimer, a senior teacher and Head of Faculty, who is actively part of NZTSOS (New Zealand Teachers Speaking Out with Science).

    She wants you to know about an important case in the New Zealand high court starting next Thursday for the mandated teachers and doctors of NZ. This is hot on the heels of another High Court ruling on Thursday that the vaccine mandates for Police and Defence Force staff were unlawful.

    https://rumble.com/vvwtpm-kiwi-teachers-are-not-giving-up.html

  23. Fast Eddy says:

    IMO, this vaccine was a biological attack on populations, by our own governments and technocrats and medical establishment and big business/pharma, YES, fascism plain and simple
    The US and our nations are now living in fascist nations and we do not understand, my friend CB reminded me and I must here, this was a biological warfare attack on the human race by the human race

    https://palexander.substack.com/p/imo-this-vaccine-was-a-biological

    Check this out https://t.me/c/1588731774/8921

    • I think his problem is that he only recognizes one race.

    • drb says:

      Man, do we have to go through another several thousands not cross checked comments from you about covid? That is sooo last month. The “pandemic” is over, not enough people died to make a dent on the population. This is why we are having a war now. That will bring about mandatory QR codes, fully digital money, a financial crash, rationing and other things. try to update to FE2.0 please.

      • I would wait to see fertility and longer-term mortality data. It’s not like it has to be one thing or the other.

      • In my state, they keep wanting to give all the double-vacxed children boosters, and they will keep boostering. A significant part of the population wants to booster themselves until death, because that shows it’s working.

  24. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Javier Blas interview – The impact of Western sanctions, and how the oil and gas industries are handling the fallout:
    https://twitter.com/JavierBlas/status/1497234415826649088

  25. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Investors Brace for Volatility as West Moves to Cut Russia off From SWIFT

    “It means there is going to be a catastrophe on the Russian currency market on Monday,” said former Russian Central Bank deputy chairman Sergei Aleksashenko. “I think they will stop trading and then the exchange rate will be fixed at an artificial level just like in Soviet times.”
    https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2022-02-26/investors-brace-for-volatility-as-west-moves-to-cut-russia-off-from-swift

  26. Ed says:

    The big winner CHINA. EU hurt, Russia hurt, US hurt. Well played China.

    • michael99 says:

      On the contrary, the West is showing the chinese communist party the kind of economic damage China will sustain if it decides to invade another country

    • drb says:

      China is in trouble too, just not in a kinetic sense. Just check any coal price chart.

      • Christopher says:

        If Europes economy is turned into a rationing economy, this could leave more for the US as well as for China.

  27. MG says:

    From a memorable Czech comedy Cerni baroni:

    https://www.filmovyprehled.cz/en/film/397714/the-black-barons

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oS9XKhrWhhc

    Soldier Kefalin: “Because we did it mainly in the interest of the human, comrade.”

    Lieutenant: “Kefalin, you can let go of your head such worries. There are shtloads of people in the world.”

  28. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Western banks with the highest exposure to Russia
    Raiffeisen (35% exposure)
    OTP (7%)
    Unicredit (6%)
    SocGen (4%)
    Citibank (2%)

    • Minority of One says:

      Suicide, if true

    • Jason Carter says:

      They just bit down on the cyanide capsule.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        I’d eventually like to see Russia nuke its oil and mining infrastructure… drop nukes into the mine shafts… blow up the pipelines with nukes… be a spiteful prick … doesn’t matter since the world is soon going to end anyway

    • What does “selected Russian banks are removed from the SWIFT messaging system” mean?

      Which selected banks? So Russia will sell all of its exports to China, instead???

      • MG says:

        I read one good comment in Slovak like when Russia does not sell natural gas to Europe, China says: give me your natural gas for one of fourth of the price.

        The cold country can not exist on its own, it has to be tied to some energy richer country/region. When the cold country has got hard to get resources and ageing population like Russia, it can not exist on its own.

        Now, it is not the same Russia of decades ago, when it’s resources were cheap to extract and the population was young and growing.

        • Sam says:

          Nice ! Finally someone who is not a Russian pawn! So many people here bragging about Russia as if they were geniuses. Russia has a lot of problems too just like every other country

  29. MM says:

    UvdL just announced
    1. Some (!) Russian banks will be cut off from SWIFT
    2. The Russian Central Bank will no longer buy and sell to other central banks

    Macron says: This will be a long war.
    The Ukrainian people talking about resistance are very sad figures for whom absolutely nobody sending in arms has any compassion.

    All states in the world have aggreed upon that the citizens of their very states are their primary enemies.

    • michael99 says:

      In 1938, Hitler annexed Austria. The World did not intervene militarily
      because of the ‘appeasement strategy’ (there was no nukes at the time). Next half of Europe was occupied. History repeats. Putin is a crazy man. What is the World waiting
      to stop him?

    • Xabier says:

      ‘Free’ arms shipments are like toxic, untested, novel pharmaceuticals: if someone is offering them, it’s likely to be in their interest, not yours……

      • drb says:

        It is worse that that.
        1) The Ukies distributed AK-47 to anyone with a passport. They did not even write down names. You can find videos. And now Kiev is Mogadishu. No, the Russians are not inside it. though this might backfire, because there are lots of people with scores to settle with the nazis.
        2) as per standard operating procedures, civilians who are trying to flee, in Mariupol or Kiev, run the risk of getting shot or are getting shot. They are the designated human shields, effectively shielding artillery positions.

        and this is the standard operating procedure to maximize casualties. from the west point of view this is just another psyop.

  30. Ed says:

    The bio-weapons labs in Ukraine are a problem. Blowing them up can spread the bio-weapon. I guess the therobaric weapon would be a way to go but lots of collateral death.

  31. Ed says:

    Russia can drop bombs and missiles on big things like airports, navel bases, bio-weapons labs, weapons depots. It can not denazify as that would require a social credit score for each Ukrainian not going to be administrated by Russia.

    Russia needs to finish blowing up all the big military stuff, declare victory, and leave.

  32. Mirror on the wall says:

    Student, can you give us any more information about this story? (This Times article is hidden behind a paywall.) Everyone was shocked by the report that found that over 200,000 kids were abused by RCC priests in France in recent decades – but a million kids in Italy would be absolutely stunning.

    > A million children abused by Italian priests, and it barely makes the news

    We must now accept that such evil is not an aberration but part of a duality central to institutional religion

    The most dangerous moment in any scandal is when anger shades into indifference, when revelations that once had the power to shock become so normalised that they scarcely register. I wonder if we have reached such a tipping point in one of the most disturbing stories of our age: the sexual abuse of children by Roman Catholic priests.

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/a-million-children-abused-by-italian-priests-and-it-barely-makes-the-news-83gwjm6c9

    • machival66 says:

      what’s your point, really? It IS common knowledge and it has been for decades now, that catholic priests reap children. the orthodox branch visits prostitues. all priests of all religions are scum. and god does not exist. believers are scum, in general.

      • i am not a believer

        but people who do believe are not, in general, scum, though no doubt some are

        misguided maybe, but that’s about it, until they wander into the cult zone, which pays only lip service to religion anyway. they are not religious, they use religion as excuse for excesses.

        this is where it gets dangerous to all of us:

        https://www.rightwingwatch.org/post/religious-rights-billionaire-russian-ally-wants-to-make-putin-a-tsar-literally/

        • https://www.jpost.com/Jewish-World/Jewish-Features/At-Putins-side-an-army-of-Jewish-billionaires

          and they demand the right to suck little baby penises.. you really can’t win.

          Religions don’t seem to protect kids very well, and the secularists are siccing the pedo drag queens on them and persuading them to ask mommy and mommy for puberty blockers for Christmas. I think we grew up in what was probably a golden age for kids, all told… a kind of interregnum.

          • your link seems to relate to the god of mammon

            which is not a true religion–though i could be missing something subtle in your comment

          • Idk, Norm.. whenever I see some anti-right or anti-Christian message in the West I like to turn to the Israeli press where I get their take on the situation, which tends to be a reverse image of what they are projecting externally.

            For example., it’s illegal to say “Jews run Hollywood” in some jurisdictions. Hate speech! Cancel! But the Times of Israel bursts with pride about how “Jews run Hollywood”. I’m just an observer of this phenom.

            The Talmud is not kind to children and sees them as sexual objects even as toddlers. Islam isn’t much better with the child-bride/boy-love thing.

            I don’t know what you mean by “the god of mammon”. I think all “gods” conceived by men are invented in their own reflection, rather than the other way around.

            • circumcision is child abuse, simple as that. Our anatomy has evolved to be what it is, we cannot decide what bits are surplus.
              that seems to be bit of religious nonsense we are stuck with at the moment i agree. But maiming in the name of god seems to pervade many societies, why I don’t really know, human nature is weird.

              Mammon is the wealth-god.

              The problem we have is ultimately that of greed—ie turning the planet into a cash asset.

              ”secularists are siccing the pedo drag queens on them”—makes no sense to me at all.

              dressing in clothes of the opposite sex may be odd, but I fail to see the automatic ‘pedo’ link in it. Explain please? Women in trousers??–surely not?
              I hope you’re not falling into the catch-all trap of defining anyone ‘different’ to yourself as a pedophile?

              That would encompass most of us i think. It is also very shallow thinking, or maybe you’ve been absorbing the wrong comment threads on OFW?

            • Fast Eddy says:

              let me tell you what is worse… Injecting children with an experiment for a disease that is no threat to their health (and for which the injection is useless anyway)… is a crime against humanity — and any parent signing off on injecting their child should be imprisoned.

              This is far worse than slicing off a bit of skin.

              What do you reckon… norm?

            • you now have an uncomfortable fixation on that eddy, with all thats going on around us, nothing seems to matter except that.

              have you given any thought as to what will happen to your mental state when covid finally dies away? What is the next fixation to be?
              maybe give it some thought.

              a couple of years ago, it was moonloonery with every comment, and nutty clickbaits—- with ‘insults’ aimed at everyone who disagreed with you—plus all the other stuff of course. i used to laugh. now i don’t.
              unlike yourself re the paralympics, i do not scorn or laugh at such things.

              foolishly, i’ve offered help. Which is what i would do with anyone in any similar situation . it’s no longer funny.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              When Covid dies away?

              hahahahahahahahahaahahahaha

              BTW – why are they continuing to boost and jab children – if Covid is nothing more than a sniffle?

            • eddy

              Ive tried to advise you about that nervous tic that makes your typing finger flick between h and a

              it is a well known symptom of vowelitis

              you obviously see it as normal, i see it as terminal

              please accept my sympathy

      • Genomir says:

        The orthodox priests can marry and have children btw. But it is alao true some visit prostitutes

    • houtskool says:

      This just makes ‘migration’ from muslim countries affordable. Because we are pedo’s too.

      Farce majeure

      Burn your culture
      Damage payments
      Etc etc etc

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Diddling children seems to be a Fringe Benefit … of joining the priesthood

  33. Fast Eddy says:

  34. JonF says:

    An interesting development would be for Russia to announce tomorrow that they will be accepting payment in gold….

    Market open on Monday would be eventful….

    If “the self organising system” really is trying to reset to a lower level of activity, then the destruction of fiat currencies has to be part of that….I think….

    The gold stock increases by 1-2% a year….and will tend towards zero without fossil fuels….

  35. Fast Eddy says:

    Yes, of course, some have worked extremely well. The polio vaccine, for example, although I have seen some valid criticisms. Smallpox… I am less certain about. Even though it is held up as the greatest vaccine success story of all. Maybe it was. Smallpox has certainly gone, for which we should be truly thankful. It was a truly terrible disease.

    My doubts about the unmatched efficacy of smallpox vaccine simply arise from the fact that diseases come, and diseases go. The plague, for example. This was the scourge of mankind at one time. It tore round and round the world and leaving millions of dead in its wake, over a period of hundreds of years.

    We do not vaccinate against the plague, yet it is virtually unknown today. Cholera killed millions and millions, thousands each year in the UK alone. Now … gone. In the UK at least. This had nothing to do with vaccination either. Measles. There seems little doubt that the measles vaccine is effective. But vaccination cannot explain the fact that measles deaths fell off a cliff and were bumping along the bottom for years and long before we started vaccination programmes.

    https://drmalcolmkendrick.org/2022/02/23/a-few-thoughts-on-covid19-vaccination/

    Perhaps the simulation makers decided to hard code no more plague… or small pox…

    Like they hard coded no more monster volcanoes.

    Like they hard coded the emergence of Fast Eddy just after the GFC….

    • houtskool says:

      Its about economic intrests, not about health. Like everything else within the ‘full faith & credit’ system. Look at what they do, not what they say. No jab for me. Period.

  36. Fast Eddy says:

    Even more infectious sub-variant of Omicron is now DOMINANT in England but health chiefs insist BA.2 strain is no more lethal – and they reveal they’ve now also spotted 32 case of ‘Deltacron’

    Writing in today’s report, the UKHSA also revealed 32 cases of ‘Deltacron’ had now been spotted in England.

    The hybrid of Omicron and Delta emerged January 7, in a person who had both variants at the same time.

    It has triggered just two infections in the past week.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10551843/Even-infectious-sub-variant-Omicron-DOMINANT-England.html

    The hits just keep coming … only a matter of time before ….. you know what 🙂

  37. Mirror on the wall says:

    > Day 3 of the Russian operation in the Ukraine – OPEN THREAD

    https://thesaker.is/day-3-of-the-russian-operation-in-the-ukraine-open-thread/

  38. Fast Eddy says:

    Why Are There So Many Heart Attacks?

    https://dailysceptic.org/2022/02/25/why-are-there-so-many-heart-attacks/

    I know! I know!

    Cuz millions of MOREONS gleefully injected themselves with an experiment hahaha

    • D. Stevens says:

      It has been a stressful 2 years and only getting worse as everyone is squeezed by declining net energy. Cheap food, high stress, drug use, an aging population, even without the safe and effective injection I’d expect an increase heart attacks.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        I wonder if there is a club for parents who injected their kids and the kids have heart attacks or myocarditis?

        I’d like to join that FB group just to taunt them. I’d offer them each a noose

    • Strenuous shaking out of the duvet.

  39. Mirror on the wall says:

    It is practically impossible to follow the course of the Ukraine conflict in the NATO state-controlled MSM. It is always said, that ‘the first casualty of war is the truth’, and it is fascinating (if very annoying) to see that play out.

    The Daily Mail told us, all of yesterday, that last night was the ‘big push’ of Russian forces on Kiev, and today they are saying that Russia failed, and that its battle plan is now in a shambles.

    But the Telegraph mentions, today, that hostilities were paused yesterday, for talks about the possibility of negotiations, that the Ukrainian government has refused, and that hostilities have recommenced today.

    It seems that the only purpose now of NATO MSM is to propagandise with a ‘gossip war’ against Russia. It is pretty obnoxious. They are saying that we have no ‘right’ to follow the news, and that our place is just to be propagandised with misleading gossip.

    > All Russian units in Ukraine have been given the order to resume their offensive from all directions after a pause on Friday, the country’s news agency RIA has quoted Russia’s defence ministry as saying.

    Echoing similar comments by the Kremlin, the ministry said Friday’s pause had been made in anticipation of talks between Moscow and Kyiv but the offensive resumed after Ukraine refused to negotiate.

    • Genomir says:

      Today (Saturday) is the first All Souls Day (Zadushnitsa) for the year for the Orthodox Christians. It is also the biggest and most important All Soul Day. Seems interesting detail to me so just adding. Btw the green light for operation 404 was basically given on 22.02.2022, russia’s symbol is the 2 head eagle.

      • Thierry says:

        the date 22.02.2022 can be read in both directions, it is a palindrome. It can be seen as a mirror. Since this date we have passed to the other side.

    • I’ve seen a couple of instances where images have been re-purposed from earlier conflicts.

    • postkey says:

      The stupidity of the europeans?

      “when ronald reagan found out about abel archer 83 he went pale ronald reagan mr evil empire went pale”

      “29:22 it’s able archer 83 there’s a nato
      29:25 exercise
      29:26 it almost brought about the end of the
      29:28 world
      29:29 because nato was was testing their
      29:31 nuclear command and control
      29:34 and the russians looked at that and said
      29:36 we don’t think this is a test we think
      29:37 this is the real thing
      29:39 and so as the as nato started issuing
      29:42 launch codes
      29:43 for training purposes the russians went
      29:46 full alert
      29:47 and all it would have taken was a bird
      29:49 to hiccup
      29:51 and the missiles would have flown and
      29:52 the world would have ended and abel
      29:54 archer when ronald reagan found out
      29:55 about abel archer 83 he went pale
      29:59 ronald reagan mr evil empire
      30:01 went pale and that’s when he said we
      30:03 have to change this calculus
      30:06 so do we really want to recreate a
      30:08 situation so that an american president
      30:10 goes pale to before we disarm or should
      30:13 we have already invented that wheel
      30:16 and just say we don’t need these weapons
      30:19 well that’s the situation in the world
      30:20 today it’s a very dangerous situation”

      “54:39 if you take a look at what was going on
      54:40 in nato last year 20 000 nato troops
      54:44 were on ukrainian soil
      54:48 dozens of american fighter aircraft were
      54:50 rotating through hundreds of american
      54:53 military personnel had established a
      54:55 permanent mission
      54:57 we don’t want to call it a base because
      54:58 then we’d have to report to congress
      55:00 there was a mission
      55:01 which was a base where we trained the
      55:04 ukrainians on nato tactics using nato
      55:07 equipment
      55:08 uh the navy the ukrainian army dressed
      55:10 like a nato army
      55:12 they were starting to be organized like
      55:14 a nato army
      55:16 and what happens when you look like a
      55:17 duck just
      55:19 it’s quack like a duck walk like a duck
      55:21 you’re a duck
      55:22 so
      55:23 even though people say well ukraine
      55:24 wasn’t a nato member they were they were
      55:26 a de facto member of nato they had an
      55:28 army that was an extension of nato so
      55:30 much so that ukrainian troops were
      55:32 deploying overseas in support of nato
      55:35 missions
      55:37 um when when nato holds an exercise in
      55:39 europe
      55:40 ukrainian troops go and train with the
      55:43 nato forces so the the idea that
      55:46 you know russia had nothing to fear from
      55:48 uh from ukraine is absurd in the extreme
      55:51 uh nate you know ukraine was very much
      55:54 a um
      55:55 a a nato member . . . “

      • Thanks for your transcription. We hadn’t heard much about NATO forces in Ukraine. This explains the reason why Ukraine thinks it has a chance at fighting back.

        When I think about the Old Testament resource wars, what the nation who started the war wanted was the resources, particularly the land. The nation who started the war did not necessarily want the people (except as slaves). They didn’t want their herds, either. A high death toll, in today’s overpopulated world, would be a plus, not a minus.

        • looking at humankind through the broad sweep of history, we gradually expanded out of africa, no doubt in small nomadic groups, each spliitting off from another over thousands of years.

          there was always ’empty land’ in the next valley. All that was necessary was to fight off wild animals, which was relatively easy with the advantage of fire.

          no need to fight each other.

          fast forward half a million years, (to 10k years ago) and we start enclosing land and ‘owning’ it.

          when you own something, chances are you’ll want more of the same, also someone else will covet it.

          that’s how nations and empires grew, and why one king will always want another’s crown.

          that was ok untill we got to our current era, where the world is effectively ”full” ….someone owns it. We still behave as though the ‘next valley’ is empty and we can just move there. We can’t, so we go to war in contradiction of it.

          We need the resources of others to survive, and things are getting desperate now, and we are prepared to kill each other in millions to that end.

      • Xabier says:

        Ordinary Ukrainians are the victims of those who play these irresponsible geopolitical games, without the smallest chance of suffering even a pricked finger themselves.

  40. Kowalainen says:

    The Bundeskanzler is informed about the russkies adventures in the Ukraine and doesn’t seem too happy about the developments. Being compared with the Canadian Führer and now this.

    https://youtu.be/tRYlA5-ARTY

  41. Fast Eddy says:

    So how did he get into America without the jab?

    Search domain cdc.govhttps://www.cdc.gov › coronavirus › 2019-ncov › travelers › proof-of-vaccination.html

    The White House announced that vaccines will be required for international travelers coming into the United States, with an effective date of November 8, 2021. For purposes of entry into the United States, vaccines accepted will include FDA approved or authorized and WHO Emergency Use Listing vaccines. More information is available here.

  42. Fast Eddy says:

    Oh wow — check out this spin hahahahahahaha

    Much-loved former All Black Joeli Vidiri tragically died – in his new wife’s arms – after suffering a trio of cardiac arrests while battling Covid-19 in America.

    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/sport/joeli-vidiri-tragedy-all-black-dies-in-us-after-catching-covid-19-on-wedding-trip/WPEIZMWTGOGAU44KJUN4LPHHBY/

    • Bobby says:

      Sadly another All-black vet lost needlessly.
      Zinzan is one All-black vet trying to get the word out.

      This MSM story has a distinct narrative. Joe Had not received a C19 vaccine and allegedly had a weakened immune system.

      Viral load is thee critical factor with any virus , Jabbed or not.
      Vaccinated often behave like they’re suddenly eighteen and bulletproof.
      L naturals may assume exactly the same way, but for other valid reasons.
      Both groups can be complacent and pick up strains while socialising.
      Individuals needing to socialise bc of vocation/employment or bc they are extrovert are most at risk.

      Introverts not so much, but still a factor.

      In-training the natural immune system takes time.
      in-training leads to sterilising ability and beating the condition.
      In-training requires symptomatic exposure to activate the adaptive immune system.

      Taking prophylactics regularly, (Vitamin C D3, K2, Magnesium and Zinc).. Eating healthy foods. Intermittent fasting, regular sleep (melatonin). It’s not just one magic cure. It’s a combo. And certainly not just a series of continuous Jabs

      Exposure, Retreat, isolation, Warmth, Recovery
      Exposure, Retreat, isolation Warmth, Recovery
      Get the disease, Withdraw, Rest, Recover.

      Avoid the !#@

      Use hydroxychloroquine, or Quinine if you can’t access HCQ
      Always preload with zinc before you take hydroxychloroquine or Quinine.
      Only do this if /when you believe you’ve been exposed.

      Remember other people normally need this meditation for their conditions so don’t be human
      Obtain only what you need or make your own Quinine.

    • Tim Groves says:

      Much-loved former All Black Joeli Vidiri (aged 48) tragically died – in his new wife’s arms – after suffering a trio of cardiac arrests while battling Covid-19.

      Yeah, I can believe that. 😉

      Incidentally, how recently did he have this third jab?

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Apparently 80%+ of the MOREONS were due for the Booster by end Feb… I’ll betcha he got his just before he went to America…

        Did I mention it is not possible to enter America without being fully vaxxed?

        But his wife says he was not vaxxed… I remain confused

      • Xabier says:

        At least all those attacks in quick succession were transitory.

        We must keep the positive aspects in mind at all times., Comrade Lab Rats!

  43. MG says:

    War is the destruction of energy inefficient devices.

    • Kowalainen says:

      Hoomans? Tanks and aircraft can be melted, right?

      🤔

      • Genomir says:

        Humans make incredibly good and potent fertilizer. I repeat, incredibly good and potent fertilizer.

        • MG says:

          “For you are dust, and to dust you shall return.”

          The dead soil begs for some fertilizer.

          Some soils are so dead that only foliar fertilizers work efficiently.

        • Also, the well-known Hebrew name, Adam means “son of the red Earth.” Its meaning comes from the Hebrew word “adamah” meaning “earth,” from which Adam is said to be formed.

      • MG says:

        Yes, hoomans. If energy is on the decline, the humans are the devices that are no longer needed.

        There is nothing to fight about when the energy is on the decline. Only stupid idiots fight.

        • Kowalainen says:

          The fantasies inside the minds of most humans is MOAR enthralling than the dictates of objective reality.

          Electrical engineers worthy of some salt understands the necessity of proper grounding. Otherwise the signal will float from realities into the noises of imaginary conjecture, i.e. hopium and copium.

          “The object of war is not to die for your *country but to make the other bastard die for his.”
          — George S Patton

          *Replace ‘country’ with ‘fantasy’.

          Fight we will.

  44. Kowalainen says:

    This is better than “The Dictator” by Sasha Baron Cohen.

    https://youtu.be/WJEffc9DcOQ

    https://memegenerator.net/img/instances/64724661.jpg

    “Plz send us your arms, soldiers and monies, you’re in no position to wield that power.”

    https://c.tenor.com/PjbjHnhQ7HEAAAAC/vladimir-putin-laugh.gif

    DO IT!1!!1!!!1!!!!

    🤣👍👍

  45. Fast Eddy says:

    Yet he is still completely clueless hahahahaha

    https://rwmalonemd.substack.com/p/dont-be-brain-dead

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