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Media outlets tend to make it sound as if all our economic problems are temporary problems, related to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. In fact, world crude oil production has been falling behind needed levels since 2019. This problem, by itself, encourages the world economy to contract in unexpected ways, including in the form of economic lockdowns and aggression between countries. This crude oil shortfall seems likely to become greater in the years ahead, pushing the world economy toward conflict and the elimination of inefficient players.
To me, crude oil production is of particular importance because this form of oil is especially useful. With refining, it can operate tractors used to cultivate crops, and it can operate trucks to bring food to stores to sell. With refining, it can be used to make jet fuel. It can also be refined to make fuel for earth moving equipment used in road building. In recent years, it has become common to publish “all liquids” amounts, which include liquid fuels such as ethanol and natural gas liquids. These fuels have uses when energy density is not important, but they do not operate the heavy machinery needed to maintain today’s economy.
In this post, I provide an overview of the crude oil situation as I see it. In my analysis, I utilize crude oil production data by the US Energy Information Agency (EIA) that has only recently become available for the full year of 2021. In some exhibits, I also make estimates for the first quarter of 2022 based on preliminary information for this period.
[1] World crude oil production grew marginally in 2021.
Crude oil production for the year 2021 was a disappointment for those hoping that production would rapidly bounce back to at least the 2019 level. World crude oil production increased by 1.4% in 2021, to 77.0 million barrels per day, after a decrease of -7.5% in 2020. If we look back, we can see that the highest year of crude oil production was in 2018, not 2019. Oil production in 2021 was still 5.9 million barrels per day below the 2018 level.
With respect to the overall increase in crude oil production of 1.4% in 2021, OPEC helped bring this average up with an increase of 3.0% in 2021. Russia also helped, with an increase of 2.5%. The United States helped pull the world crude increase down, with a decrease in production of -1.1% in 2021. In Section [5], more information will be provided with respect to crude production for these groupings.
[2] The growth in world crude oil production shows an amazingly steady relationship to the growth in world population since 1991. The major exception is the decrease in consumption that took place in 2020, with the lockdowns that changed consumption patterns.
Figure 2 indicates that, up through 2018, each person in the world consumed an average of around 4.0 barrels of crude oil. This equates to 168 US gallons or 636 liters of crude per year. Much of this crude is used by businesses and governments to produce the basic goods we expect from our economy, including food and roads.
A big downshift occurred in 2020 with the COVID lockdowns. Many people began working from home; international travel was scaled back. The reduction of these uses of oil helped bring down total world usage. Changes such as these explain the big dip in crude oil production (and consumption) in 2020, which continued into 2021.
Even in 2019, the world economy was starting to scale back. Beginning in early 2018, China banned the importation of many types of materials for recycling, and other countries soon followed suit. As a result, less oil was used for transporting materials across the ocean for recycling. (Subsidies for recycling were helping to pay for this oil.) Loss of recycling and other cutbacks (especially in China and India) led to fewer people in these countries being able to afford automobiles and smartphones. Lower production of these devices contributed to the lower use of crude oil.
On Figure 2, there is a slight year-to-year variation in crude oil per capita. The single highest year over the time period shown is 2005, with 2004 not far behind. This was about the time many people think that conventional oil production “peaked,” reducing the availability of inexpensive-to-produce oil.
[3] Crude oil prices dropped dramatically when economies were shut in, beginning in March 2020. Prices began spiking the summer and fall of 2021, as the world economy attempted to open up. This pattern suggests that the real problem is tight crude oil supply when the economy is not artificially constrained by COVID restrictions.
An analysis of price trends suggests that most of the recent spike in crude prices is due to the tightness of the crude oil supply, rather than the Ukraine conflict. The Brent oil price dropped to an average of $14.24 in the week ending April 24, 2020, not long after COVID restrictions were enacted. When the economy started to reopen, in the week ending July 2, 2021, the average price rose to $76.26. By the week ending January 28, 2022, the average price had risen to $90.22.
Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022. The Brent spot price on February 23, 2022, was $99.29. Brent prices briefly spiked higher, with weekly average prices rising as high as $123.60, for the week ending March 25, 2022. The current Brent oil price is about $107. If we compare the current price to the price the day before the invasion began, the price is only $8 higher. Even compared to the January 28 weekly average of $90.22, the current price is $17 higher.
Saying that the Ukraine invasion is causing the current high price is mostly a convenient excuse, suggesting that the high prices will suddenly disappear if this conflict disappears. The sad truth is that depletion is causing the cost of extraction to rise. Governments of oil exporting countries also need high prices to enable high taxes on exported oil. We are increasingly experiencing a conflict between the prices that the customers can afford and the prices that those doing the extraction require. In my view, most oil exporting countries need a price in excess of $120 per barrel to meet all of their needs, including reinvestment and taxes. Consumers would prefer oil prices under $50 per barrel to keep the price of food and transportation low.
[4] Food prices tend to rise when oil prices are high because products made from crude oil are used in the production and transport of food.
History shows that bad things tend to happen when food prices are very high, including riots by unhappy citizens. This is a major reason that high oil prices tend to lead to conflict.
[5] Quarterly crude oil data suggests that few opportunities exist to raise crude oil production to the level needed for the world economy to operate at the level it operated at in 2018 or 2019.
Figure 5 shows quarterly world crude oil production broken down into four groupings: OPEC, US, Russia, and “All Other.”
Figure 5 shows four very different patterns of past growth in crude oil supply. The All Other grouping is generally trending a bit downward in terms of quantity supplied. If world per capita crude oil production is to stay at least level, the total production of the other three groupings (OPEC, US, and Russia) needs to be rising to offset this decline. In fact, it needs to rise enough that overall crude production growth keeps up with population growth.
Russian Crude Oil Production
The data underlying Figure 5 shows that up until the COVID restrictions, Russia’s crude oil production was increasing by 1.4% per year between early 2005 and early 2020. During the same period, world population was increasing by about 1.2%. Thus, Russia’s oil production has been part of what has helped keep world crude production about level, on a per capita basis. Also, Russia seems to have made up most of its temporary decrease in production related to COVID restrictions by the first quarter of 2022.
US Crude Oil Production
Growth in US crude oil production has been more of a “feast or famine” situation. This can be seen both in Figure 5 above and in Figure 6 below.
US crude oil production spurted up rapidly in the 2011 to 2014 period, when oil prices were high (Figure 3). When oil prices fell in late 2014, US crude production fell for about two years. US oil production began to rise again in late 2016, as oil prices rose again. By early 2019 (when oil prices were again lower), US crude oil growth began to slow down.
In early 2020, COVID lockdowns brought a 15% drop in crude oil production (considering quarterly production), most of which has not been made up. In fact, growth after the lockdowns has been slow, similar to the level of growth during the “growth slowdown” circled in Figure 6. We hear reports that the sweet spots in shale formations have largely been drilled. This leaves mostly high-cost areas left to drill. Also, investors would like better financial discipline. Ramping up greatly, and then cutting back, is no way to operate a successful company.
Thus, while growth in US crude oil production greatly supported world growth in crude oil production in the 2009 to 2018 period, it is impossible to see this pattern continuing. Getting crude oil production back up to the level of 12 million barrels a day where it was before the COVID restrictions would be extremely difficult. Further production growth, to support the growing needs of an expanding world population, is likely impossible.
OPEC Crude Oil Production
Figure 7 shows EIA crude oil production estimates for the total group of countries that are now members of OPEC. It also shows crude oil production excluding the two countries which have recently been subject to sanctions: Iran and Venezuela.
If Iran and Venezuela are removed, OPEC’s long-term production is surprisingly “flat.” The “peak” period of production is the fourth quarter of 2018. The fourth quarter of 2018 was the time when the OPEC countries were producing as much oil as they could, to get their production quotas as high as possible after the planned cutbacks that took effect at the beginning of 2019.
Strangely, EIA data indicates that production didn’t fall very much for this group of countries (OPEC excluding Iran and Venezuela), starting in early 2019. The 2019 cutback seems mostly to have affected the production of Iran and Venezuela. It was only later, in the first three quarters of 2020, when COVID restrictions were affecting worldwide production, that crude oil production for OPEC excluding Iran and Venezuela fell by 4 million barrels per day. Production for this group then began to rise, leaving a shortfall of about 900,000 barrels a day, relative to where it had been before the 2020 lockdowns.
It seems to me that, at most, production for the group of OPEC countries excluding Iran and Venezuela can be ramped up by 900,000 barrels a day, and even this is “iffy.” Iraq is reported to be having difficulty with its production; it needs more investment, or its production will fall. Nigeria is past peak, and it is also having difficulty with its production. The high reported crude oil reserves are meaningless; the question is, “How much can these countries produce when it is required?” It doesn’t look like production can be ramped up very much. Furthermore, we cannot count on continued long-term growth in production from these countries, such as would be needed to keep pace with rising world population.
Figure 8 suggests that, indeed, Iran might be able to raise its production by perhaps 1.0 million barrels a day when sanctions are lifted.
Venezuela looks like a country whose crude oil production was already declining before sanctions were imposed. The cost of production there was likely far higher than the world oil price. Also, Venezuela has oil debts to China that it needs to repay. At most, we might expect that Venezuela’s production could be raised by 300,000 barrels per day in the absence of sanctions.
Putting the three estimates of amounts that crude oil production can perhaps be raised together, we have:
- OPEC ex Iran and Venezuela: 900,000 bpd
- Iran: 1,000,000 bpd
- Venezuela: 300,000 bpd
- Total: 2.2 million bpd
The shortfall of crude oil production in 2021, relative to 2018 production, was 5.9 million bpd, as mentioned in Section [1]. The 2.2 million barrels per day possibly available from this analysis gets us nowhere near the 2018 level. Furthermore, we have nowhere to go to obtain the rising crude oil production required to support the rising population with enough crude oil to supply food and industrial goods at today’s consumption level.
[6] Eliminating, or even reducing, Russia’s crude oil production is certain to have an adverse impact on the world economy.
Figure 9 shows the step-down in crude oil production that occurred in early 2020 and indicates that the world’s oil supply is having difficulty getting back up to pre-COVID levels. If Russia’s crude oil production were to be eliminated, it would make for another step-down of comparable magnitude. Major segments of the economy would likely need to be eliminated.
[7] When there isn’t enough crude oil to go around, the naive belief is that oil prices will rise and either more oil will be found, or substitutes will take its place. In fact, the result may be conflict and elimination of segments of the economy.
Our self-organizing economy will tend to adapt in its own way to inadequate crude oil supplies. Eventually, the economy may collapse completely, but before that happens, changes are likely to happen to try to preserve the “better functioning” parts of the economy. In this way, perhaps parts of the world economy can continue to function for a while longer while getting rid of less productive parts of the economy.
The following is a partial list of ways the economy might adapt:
- Fighting may take place over the remaining crude oil supplies. This may be the underlying reason for the conflict between NATO and Russia, with respect to Ukraine.
- COVID lockdowns indirectly reduce demand for crude oil. A person might wonder whether the current COVID lockdowns in China are partly aimed at preventing oil and other commodity prices from rising to absurd levels.
- Some organizations may disappear from the world economy because of inadequate funding or lack of profitability.
- Additional supply lines are likely to break, allowing fewer types of goods and services to be made.
- The world economy may subdivide into multiple pieces, with each piece able to make a much more limited array of goods and services than is provided today. A shift toward the use of other currencies instead of the US dollar may be part of this shift.
- World population may shrink for multiple reasons, including poor nutrition and epidemics.
- The poor, the elderly and the disabled may be increasingly cut off from government programs, as total goods and services (including total food supplies) fall too low.
- Europe could be cut off from Russian fossil fuel exports, leaving relatively more for the rest of the world.
[8] Countries that are major importers of crude oil and crude oil products would seem to be at significant risk of reduced supply if there is not enough crude oil to go around.
Figure 10 shows a rough estimate of the ratio of crude oil produced to crude oil products consumed in 2019, the last full year before the pandemic. On an “All Liquids” basis, the US ratio of crude oil production to consumption would appear higher than shown on Figure 10 because of its unusually high share of natural gas liquids, ethanol, and “refinery gain” in its liquids production. If these types of production are omitted, the US still seems to have a deficit in producing the crude oil it consumes.
Perhaps all that is needed is the general idea. If inadequate crude oil is available, all of the countries at the left of Figure 10 are quite vulnerable because they are very dependent on imports. Russia and the Middle East are prime targets for countries that are desperate for crude oil.
[9] Conclusion: We are likely entering a period of conflict and confusion because of the way the world’s self-organizing economy behaves when there is an inadequate supply of crude oil.
The issue of how important crude oil is to the world economy has been left out of most textbooks for years. Instead, we were taught creative myths covering several topics:
- Huge amounts of fossil fuels will be available in the future
- Climate change is our worst problem
- Wind and solar will save us
- A fast transition to an all-electric economy is possible
- Electric cars are the future
- The economy will grow forever
Now we are running into a serious shortfall of crude oil. We can expect a new set of problems, including far more conflict. Wars are likely. Debt defaults are likely. Political parties will take increasingly divergent positions on how to work around current problems. News media will increasingly tell the narrative that their owners and advertisers want told, with little regard for the real situation.
About all we can do is enjoy each day we have and try not to be disturbed by the increasing conflict around us. It becomes clear that many of us will not live as long or well as we previously expected, regardless of savings or supposed government programs. There is no real way to fix this issue, except perhaps to make religion and the possibility of life after death more of a focus.
The myth of “the untouched by the civilization”: The life of the Russian Nenets people will disappear within 10 years. Who loves that terrible cold and the lack of the civilization?
Google Translate: Slovak about the disappearing Russian “Eskimos”: He believes in himself, not in God. Their lives may disappear within ten years
https://brainee.hnonline.sk/cestovanie/rozhovory/26221778-soby
(machine translation)
> What happened in Ukraine on April 28: US intelligence officers in Lviv, the destruction of the Azov headquarters in Kharkov
Statements of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation
During the morning briefing, the representative of the Russian Ministry of Defense, Igor Konashenkov , said that the Aerospace Forces of the Russian Federation, using high-precision weapons, hit four military targets on the territory of Ukraine during the night, including two areas of concentration of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU), two artillery depots in Barvenkovo and Ivanovka.
At the same time, army aviation hit 67 targets, including six command posts, two company strongholds, two large depots of rocket and artillery weapons and fuel in the settlements of Preobrazhenka and Orekhov, as well as 55 places of concentration of enemy manpower and military equipment. As a result, more than 300 nationalists and up to 40 armored vehicles and vehicles were destroyed.
Rocket and artillery troops completed 408 fire missions, hitting 18 command posts and 383 areas where enemy troops were concentrated.
Russian air defense systems shot down a Ukrainian Su-24 over Nikolayevka, five drones over Veselohorovskaya, Zatishny, Novomikhailovka, Lyubimovka, Kharkov.
In the evening briefing, the Ministry of Defense reported that during the day, high-precision airborne missiles of the Russian Aerospace Forces hit 38 military facilities of Ukraine, including: 3 command posts, 22 strong points, 7 areas of concentration of manpower and military equipment, 6 warehouses of weapons, ammunition and fuel in the areas of Aleksandrovka, Gusarovka, Dolgenkoe and Barvenkovo.
The operational-tactical and army aviation of the Russian Aerospace Forces hit 76 military facilities of Ukraine. Among them: two warehouses of rocket and artillery weapons in the settlements of Pokrovskoye and Gorokhovskoye, a command post, as well as 73 areas of concentration of manpower and Ukrainian military equipment. As a result of the strikes, more than 320 personnel and 35 armored vehicles and vehicles were destroyed.
During the day, the missile forces destroyed the Ukrainian launcher of the Tochka-U tactical missile system, and defeated two areas where manpower and military equipment were concentrated.
Russian air defense systems destroyed seven Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles over the settlements of Bukino, Topolskoe, Russian Tishki in the Kharkiv region, Redkodub and Maryevka in the Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR), Naugolnoe in the Luhansk People’s Republic (LPR) and Chernobaevka in the Kherson region. Also during the day, three Ukrainian Tochka-U ballistic missiles were shot down in the areas of the settlements of Petropillia and Malaya Kamyshevakh.
What happened in Ukraine on April 28: US intelligence officers in Lviv, the destruction of the Azov headquarters in Kharkov
In total, since the start of the operation, 142 aircraft, 111 helicopters, 621 UAVs, 277 anti-aircraft missile systems, 2,629 tanks and other armored combat vehicles, 302 multiple rocket launchers, 1,154 field artillery guns and mortars, as well as 2,445 units of a special military vehicle have been destroyed. technology….
https://riafan.ru/23155734-chto_proizoshlo_na_ukraine_28_aprelya_razvedchiki_ssha_vo_l_vove_unichtozhenie_shtaba_azova_v_har_kove
Wow! At least from a Russian perspective, things are going very well.
Zelensky and his family and some associates have apparently been fast-tracked for UK citizenship. Good news from their perspective. . .
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/russian-fossil-fuel-revenues-double-despite-western-sanctions
Russian Fossil Fuel Revenues Double Despite Western Sanctions
Germany, Italy, China, and Netherlands are the top purchasers, according to a chart shown.
Yesterday, I came across an interesting article in Slovak.
Google Translate of its title;
The rigidity of Russia’s oil infrastructure is the key to smart sanctions
https://www.trend.sk/spravy/strnulost-ruskej-ropnej-infrastruktury-je-klucom-inteligentnym-sankciam
It discusses the fact that Russia simply must deliver the oil to Europe, because there is almost no other infrastructure for its exports, while, at the same time, Russia can not simply stop pumping because of keeping the pressure in the fields etc.
I am sure some of the tribe here on OFW is expert on WWI history. How does Russia versus Ulraine and EU compare?
All I know about the Great War is Chucky Fitzclarence committed the greatest f****p of humankind which will probably cost humanity the chance for singularity.
”THE SHOCKING INTERVENTION OF A DOCTOR AT THE ASSEMBLY OF THE DOCTORS’ ASSOCIATION OF VENICE (Italy).
The intervention of a doctor (vaccinated with double doses and also treated for Covid-19 disease) at the assembly of the Doctors’ Associations of Venice has become viral on the web and we submit it to your attention.
Here are some of his statements made during the assembly:
I am not a no-vax doctor, yet I asked myself some questions”. “Why does the Ministry of Health continue to suggest tachipirin and just waiting? (without giving any other drug) I have treated myself for Covid-19 with (normal) drugs that are very effective when used at the beginning of the symptoms.”
“in my experience as doctor for workers, I have seen: thrombosis, facial paresis, sudden hearing loss, myocarditis, neuropathy, reappearance of tumors, kidney failure in workers who should be healthy.
Why is all this happening?
How much have you colleagues seen?
Are we doing something wrong?
These are some of the questions the doctor asked his colleagues.
https://www.byoblu.com/2022/04/28/lintervento-sconvolgente-di-un-medico-allassemblea-dellordine-di-venezia/
If our world is moving toward major conflict soon as Gail’s article highlights, I thought I would remind you all of the starfish prime experiments (part of operation fishbowl) that took place in the early 60’s.
The effects were unexpected and indicate how reckless our species is.
Wonder if any of you recall the afterglows or attended a rainbow-bomb rooftop party?
Please shear your experiences if so.
Following is an excerpt from the link below.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Starfish_Prime
While some of the energetic beta particles followed the Earth’s magnetic field and illuminated the sky, other high-energy electrons became trapped and formed radiation belts around the Earth. There was much uncertainty and debate [by whom?] about the composition, magnitude and potential adverse effects from the trapped radiation after the detonation. The weaponeers became quite worried when three satellites in low Earth orbit were disabled. These included TRAAC and Transit 4B.[12] The half-life of the energetic electrons was only a few days. At the time it was not known that solar and cosmic particle fluxes varied by a factor of 10, and energies could exceed 1 MeV (0.16 pJ). In the months that followed these man-made radiation belts eventually caused six or more satellites to fail,[13] as radiation damaged their solar arrays or electronics, including the first commercial relay communication satellite, Telstar, as well as the United Kingdom’s first satellite, Ariel 1.[14] Detectors on Telstar, TRAAC, Injun, and Ariel 1 were used to measure distribution of the radiation produced by the tests.[15]
In 1963, it was reported that Starfish Prime had created a belt of MeV electrons.[16] In 1968, it was reported that some Starfish electrons had remained in the atmosphere for 5 years.[17]
Wake up
Related footage
https://www.npr.org/sections/krulwich/2010/07/01/128170775/a-very-scary-light-show-exploding-h-bombs-in-space
iEarlGray on YT reports that Zelensky and much of his entourage are now allegedly citizens of the UK:
Zelensky & SBU [Ukrainian equivalent of the gestapo allegedly] given 🇬🇧 Passports & Russia blocks German Gas Payment🔥 – Inside Russia Report
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YzNBW-A11MU
Seems like they have no plans to stay in Ukraine. Destroy the country and its inhabitants and leave.
What have we become?
I sure hope I don’t meet any of these thugs in the street. Fortunately here is about as far away from London as you can get, as cities go.
We have heard earlier that many of the top people in Ukraine have dual citizenship.
Dual citizenship? Citizens of what other countries, I wonder?
Citizens of the world?
Perhaps they are cosmopolitans.
At least they are not dirty nationalists.
University of Manitoba Arctic researcher David Barber has died aged sixty-two, apparently from the complications of a heart attack.
David spent much of his career studying how clim-ate change was affecting the Arctic Ice, but of course, we won’t hold that against him.
Was he jabbed? Very probably he was, but of course, we won’t hold that against him either.
The University of Manitoba has been running a very coercive program to force their staff and students alike to get “fully vaccinated” and to upload their vaccination status to an online database — very Orwellian. That policy has undoubtedly injured many people and killed more than a few. And probably David was one of the victims.
But he was also probably a willing participant in the charade. He probably either believed in it or else he probably went along with it in order to avoid having to retire or get dismissed. He worked belly of the beast, he complied and consented and for all I know he perhaps even enthusiastically supported the nonsensus. And he has paid the price, as we all must pay if we comply and consent and enthusiastically support enough.
https://news.umanitoba.ca/upload-your-proof-of-vaccination-now/
Mourning the loss of visionary Arctic researcher, Dr. David Barber
APRIL 16, 2022 —
The University of Manitoba is sad to share news of the passing of Dr. David G. Barber [BPE/82, MNRM/88] on Friday, April 15, 2022, following complications from cardiac arrest.
Dr. Barber was one of Canada’s most influential and accomplished Arctic researchers. A Distinguished Professor at UM, Founding Director of the Centre for Earth Observation Science (CEOS), and Associate Dean Research of the Clayton H. Riddell Faculty of Environment, Earth, and Resources, he also held a Canada Research Chair in Arctic System Science and Climate Change.
Through his vision, leadership and endless efforts, Dr. Barber established UM as a global leader in Arctic research.
https://news.umanitoba.ca/mourning-the-loss-of-visionary-arctic-researcher-dr-david-barber/?fbclid=IwAR120rrccNbg3NGbA8GuZVPTWECtiFC9dpJOAA4Wq-0N7eVRJHfkyV56Tng
Possible expropriation of oil refinery belonging to Russia, in Germany….
What exactly Germans expect from Russians as reaction ?
Just disappointment?
https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/deutschland/versorgungssicherheit-umruestung-treuhand-enteignung-was-auf-die-raffinerie-in-schwedt-zukommen-koennte/28287254.html
one of Eddy’s conspiraholic buddies
(https://twitter.com/JimCarrey/status/1519366314153832448?t=UhekVQROOX10srgytQ2oTg&s=03)
Oh I go much further than that… Biden is actually dead… he’s just propped up… kinda like Weekend at Bernies
sorta ‘crisis actor’ POTUS?
i like that
I wonder if Jen Psaki would do a crisis act just for me
With Jen it is all an act, all the time.
well—if you consider Psaki an ‘act’, perhaps you would like to compare her ‘acting ability’ to her predecessors?
let’s see now—
Huckabee Sanders?
Sean Spicer?
are you SERIOUS?
you may notice one big difference between Psaki and those 2 clowns….. Nobody (as far as I know) lampoons Psaki.
why is that?
because there is nothing there to lampoon—she delivers information straight. Unlike those who used to do the job under Trump—there is no ‘act’—that’s the point. Watch her interaction with reporters–she treats them like the intellectual pygmies they are.
they ask stupid questions, she answers with knife-edge polite indulgence, a charming smile as Doocy feels the blade go in yet again. And still he comes back for more. Those around him know his own words deliver his own foolishness.
that defines a ‘class act’ in a real sense.
Spicer’s and Huckabee’s press conferences were media events, that’s true, but only because of their level of hilarious incompetence. I used to watch them in stunned disbelief, that this was the USA on show to the world.
I imagine her being rather … bitchy…. to the point of being irritating … she’s probably quite the wild thing in the sack though … you think the old heart can handle it norm — 3 Pfizers now… hmmmm
we agree yet again Eddy–this is getting tedious. But only about the wild in the sack part. You certainly got that part right.
bitchy she isn’t. it would show if she was. It always does. She has never once lost her cool no matter how stupid the question.
And that why i swim a mile 4 times a week, to make sure the old ticker keeps tocking under such circumstances. (just in case).
As gf keeps pointing out–”until Psaki comes banging on your door in desperation, you’ll have to make do with me”
Check if she’s on Tinder and ping her
like i said eddy–her trademark is never to lose her cool no matter how stupid the question
i always follow the same rule
you should try it sometime
instead of swearing by numbers
Certitudes:
“We would be better served by reducing our dependence on unsustainable systems such as hyper-globalization and hyper-financialization and invest in shortening long dependency chains, i.e. invest in self-reliance.”
CHS has some interesting ideas, but how has it worked for him? Does this idea really work?
A star has a long life, some simply burn out and are seen no more, some collapse and suck in everything near by and do something with it, we don’t know what, some blow up and make iron, very creative stars.
The universe is a strange and wonderful place; contemplation, enjoying what is for the moment has some positive aspects.
Dennis L.
A person who doesn’t really understand how dependent we are on the whole energy-based system that sustains us can write that. Our current complex system is fracturing. We don’t have the knowledge and tools that allowed people of 100 or 200 years ago to get along with much less energy. Self-reliance really isn’t very possible any more, for the vast majority of people.
we certainly have the knowledge and the tools—museums are full of them
what we lack is the inclination and the skills
Hyper globalization, hyper financiaization and hyper urbanization which denies the rights, opportunities or consumption for most of unnecessariats is the way to accelerate singularity.
Kulm the Merciless has spoken!
https://www.rt.com/sport/554673-football-mino-raiola-dies/
Famed sports agent dead at 54 after brief illness. Italian sport newspapers all out attacking those speculating…
In the world of freedom of speech (the western world) RT is closed in EU to its citizens…
We cannot see the news unless one has a VPN.
I’ve heard that he was also boosted, but I cannot find the news.
Closed on YouTube for me (USA). “This channel is not available in your country.” Gee, thanks.
The West is committed to ‘free speech’ like the Pope is committed to traditional Catholicism. The West is a total farce. They just pretend and expect everyone to swallow it. It is pathetic.
drb,
A liitle off topic but I was wondering…..would you be willing to share any of your tried and trusted recipes for sauerkraut? Or at least point me towards a good resource?
Thanks.
Mixed sauerkrauts are vegetables and salt. Initially (first batch) you need 30 g salt per kg vegetables, which is a lot. Later you can use the juice of a previous batch to inoculate the next, and I am able to make them even salt free (except for the salt leftover in the juice). Typically I use 10-15 g/kg. Sauerkraut needs to be submersed in liquid. The liquid is in part made by salting the shredded vegetables and waiting for an hour before pressing into a jar, and also by pressing the vegetable with force into said jar. You can use a glass weight to hold the veggies under water (link below, where you can also find the wooden handle for pounding krauts into releasing the juice).
Typical fermentation time is 5-10 days, as short as 3 if you shred them finely and the house is warm (25-27C), 10 if the house is 15C. If you use liquid producing veggies (tomatoes, daikon, some apples, cabbage) you don’t need to add water, but if you have some roots or squash they will absorb the juice and you need to add some water immediately or 2 or 4 days later. also some liquid can be pushed out by too vigorous a fermentation. either way, initially keep an eye and add water as needed. store in fridge when done.
vegetables with low carbs and some proteins are ideal for single vegetable ferment (daikon and cabbage), but mixed ferments are better most of the time. I generally put some greens, some cabbage or daikon or tomato, and some fruits or roots. fruits and roots have too many carbs for a proper ferment (although I really like apples fermented alone), and greens have proteins but not carbs, so the two balance out. that is it.
Personally, I like tomatoes, peeled eggplants and okra a lot, apple, red cabbage and daikon. for greens I prefer komatsuna or other asian veggies (tatsoi, bok choy). all in all I have fermented over 25 different types. adding anti-bacterial veggies or fruits (lemons, onions, garlic, ginger, cranberry) can make the fermentation long, up to a month.
https://www.amazon.com/Year-Plenty-Fermenting-Fermentation-Traditional/dp/B09QRXJTNT/ref=sr_1_11?keywords=sauerkraut+kit&qid=1651164653&sr=8-11
Nice one drb……so do you make your own apple cider vinegar as well?
I used to. I have been living off two suitcases for 21 months. I have two glass weights with me.
Sports agent? He and Shane Warne will have a lot to talk about in the afterlife.
In fact, it looks like the afterlife is building up quite a few good sporting leagues.
The Kremlin declared that they would see it as a default and cancel the contracts for those who failed to pay for natural gas deliveries in roubles
Poland’s and Bulgaria’s contracts have now gone through the paper shredder? Imagine having a long term contract for affordable natural gas and now have nothing
“German power utility Uniper will pay for Russian gas via a transfer to a Russian bank and no longer to a Europe-based bank, according to a media report [accuracy unknown]…
“Even though Russia has demanded payments in roubles for its gas supply, the payments system it has proposed foresees the use of accounts at Gazprombank, which would convert payments made in euros or dollars into roubles.
“This offers some countries a loophole to keep buying Russian gas against Western currencies.”
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/4/28/germanys-uniper-to-pay-for-russian-gas-via-russia-bank-account
What goes around, comes around….I know my RIGHTS!…
Many times I’ve read the words spoken by world leaders… Treaties/Contracts are just words on pieces of paper for our benefit until they don’t and they aren’t.
Looks like Cold War 2.0 or whatever.
Betcha China is hoping for a drawn out bleeding of both sides to come later and pick the carcasses. Common knowledge East Russia/Siberia is eyed by China for lebensraum..with it’s excess hoards ready to pour in like the Oklahoma land rush.
Yes,watching the network ABC Broadcast news and the above was mentioned.
The main news story, though, was the release of the captive Marine by the Russians and how kind, caring and compassionate Joe Biden
“Ukraine: German lawmakers overwhelmingly approve heavy weapons deliveries.
“In a historic move, lawmakers in Germany have given the official green light to send “heavy weapons and complex systems” to Ukraine… In addition to heavy weapons, such as anti-aircraft systems and armored vehicles, the measure passed by German MPs included provisions for sending heavier equipment to eastern NATO allies as well.”
https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-german-lawmakers-overwhelmingly-approve-heavy-weapons-deliveries/a-61618357
“Finland and Sweden could join NATO swiftly and would be ‘welcomed with open arms’, its leader said today.
“Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg told journalists this morning he expects the two historically neutral countries’ entries will happen ‘quickly’.”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10762567/Finland-Sweden-welcomed-NATO-quickly-open-arms-chief-Jens-Stoltenberg-says.html
“Moldovan breakaway region says shots fired from Ukraine towards village.
“Moldova’s pro-Russian breakaway region of Transdniestria said on Wednesday that shots were fired from Ukraine towards a village that houses an ammunition depot, the latest report to raise concern that Russia’s war in Ukraine might expand.”
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/moldovan-breakaway-region-says-shots-fired-ukraine-towards-village-2022-04-27/
I live in Sweden and there is some kind of mass psychosis going on about joining NATO. It is terrible and disheartening. These people are like children. Most have not slept in a tent one single night or been without food for 24h, still they yell about war. They have NO idea what they are wishing for. The closest they ever got to war is movies and computer games.
Our society is COMPLETELY vulnerable and it only takes five guys with rifles, backpacks and bicycles to shut down our electric grid so it wont ever get back up again. Not to mention what five cruise missiles will do if directed to strategic targets in the electric grid.
Its like watching children cause a disaster developing in slow-motion. Terrible.
Most of us are trapped in countries displaying varying kinds and degrees of psychosis these days.
Neutral status is rather valuable to be thrown away so lightly, one would have thought.
I am trying to build a mass psychosis around the UEP… it takes a bit of time….
Western politicians are all complete morons. We all suspected that anyway, and it has just taken the situation for it to really count. They have all wiped out their own populations anyway, and they have less instincts than an earth worm. One cannot overstate just how foolish they all are now. They are completely on their way out now.
Your description gives the idea very well.
Like to see Vlad drop a nuke on Stockholm… just for fun (like how they blow up already smashed buildings with tanks in Uke)… see how they feel about that
“Vladimir Putin has threatened allies of Ukraine that if any country were to intervene in the war, it would be hit with “lightning-fast” retaliation.
“The Russian president’s remarks to lawmakers in St Petersburg came as the UK called for Moscow to be so weakened militarily that Putin could no longer threaten European security.”
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/apr/28/first-thing-putin-warns-ukraine-allies-against-intervention
Oh, dear!
talk is cheap
– ‘my dear German friend, don’t be surprise if a 8om8 will be dropped on your head sooner or later.
Yes, for sure the end will bad for everybody, but it is something that while driving your Mercedes, BMW, Audi or Volkswagen in the traffic and while your kids are at school, you are not thinking about…’
(the same thing regards us)
“Russian state TV has said the possibility of nuclear war is more likely than Vladimir Putin losing the conflict he started in Ukraine…
“Speaking with a panel of nervous looking experts on TV, Margarita Simonyan, Editor-in-Chief of broadcaster RT, said: ‘Either we lose in Ukraine, or the Third World War starts.
“‘I think World War Three is more realistic, knowing us, knowing our leader. The most incredible outcome, that all this will end with a nuclear strike, seems more probable to me than the other course of events…
“‘This is to my horror on one hand. But on the other hand, it is what it is. We will go to heaven, while they will simply croak. We’re all going to die someday.’”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10762143/Ukraine-war-Russian-state-TV-says-nuclear-strike-probable-losing.html
I would say that the entire planet at this moment is flying on sight.
Nobody knows exactly what will happen. NATO knows perfectly well that a nucler exchange must not be waged. Also Russia is a bit on the brakes about escalating. But they are ready to face it.
Rand Corporation allegedly planned some sort of a low burning war below this threshold. The quality of this plan is to be questioned when people in the UK constantly “dismiss any Russian nuclear strike”.
Well, dismissing reality is actually the wisest strategy of all.
The reality is the UK and many others would most definitively be a target for their agitation, as would any other small island state that is conceited enough to believe they are somehow removed or remote enough from the scene of this potential calamity geographically
Brits are rather complacent: probably comes of no war having been waged on British soil since 1745, and even that was a minor conflict, a mere insurrection, soon finished.
There is also an absurd sense that Britain is in some sense still a world power, and well-protected – quite laughable.
Very likely Russia is going to deal with Britain at some point. The British do not seem to be able to get their heads around that one.
> Russian journalist and editor-in-chief of Russian state-controlled RT Margarita Simonyan said that British support of Ukrainian strikes on Russian soil is leaving Moscow short of options besides the “complete destruction” of Ukraine and “a nuclear strike.”
Writing on her Telegram channel, Simonyan talked about the explosions in the border region of Belgorod on Wednesday, when a fire reportedly broke out at an ammunition depot in the village of Staraya Nelidovka.
“Explosions and aerial defense sirens in Belgorod,” she said.
“The Anglo-Saxons are publicly calling on Ukraine to take the combat activity into Russian territory. And giving them the ammo to carry out that plan,” she said.
https://www.newsweek.com/russian-tv-chief-margarita-simonyan-nuclear-strike-ukraine-1701690
time for Russia to take the war to the suppliers of weapons.
I am hopeful that Putin’s advisors are aware that even a limited nuclear exchange means global famine and works to no one’s advantage.
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/03/200316152211.htm
I think that if Russians – at a certain point – will consider that their existence will be threaten as an independent country and culture, they may accept the idea of destroying everything including themselves.
I think it is high time for us (western world) to stop.
The doctrine of — We Burn You Burn
For some perspective on the efficacy of these new “heavy weapons” and the likely background financial shenanigans (hint: MIC), go to The Saker blog and read the latest Ukraine Sitrep.
How to make the problem worse!
https://mobile.twitter.com/philoinvestor/status/1519636084648558592
The euro is finally breaking down… something has snapped
The Euro vs Brent
I noticed that the US GDP report is now out, showing -1.4% change for the first quarter. I imagine that the Eurozone will be showing a lot worse results than this, both in the first quarter and the second quarter. This is what is leading to the breakdown. (Not enough cheap energy)
They are saying the numbers will be higher next quarter. I’m surprised they even admit it. All the quarters in the future will be negative there is nothing to buy… and high energy prices all over. Maybe the next story will be that high energy is bringing in higher tax revenue….. I have seen that story play out.
Hopefully this discourages the Fed from aggressively tightening.
NZ mortgage rates up from 2.3 to nearly 4.5%…
Was speaking to my bank guy today and asked him if people are f789ed by this – not really he said — they base their loans on 7% rates… if they feel you can’t pay back at that rate you don’t get the loan amount.
Right… so they won’t default – but the money will come out of discretionary spending….
haha https://t.me/DowdEdward/318
Oh wow… norm hope you don’t get too turned on by the undulations… a bit se xy huh?
https://twitter.com/TexasLindsay/status/1518633728792317954
This is one of those times.. it sucks to be stooopid
‘What I’ve Seen in the Last Two Years Is Unprecedented’: Physician on COVID Vaccine Side Effects on Pregnant Women
“Dr. James Thorp is an extensively published 68-year-old physician MD board-certified in obstetrics and gynecology, as well as maternal-fetal medicine, who has practiced obstetrics for over 42 years.
Thorp told The Epoch Times that he sees 6,000–7,000 high-risk pregnant patients a year and has seen many complications among them due to the COVID vaccines.
“I’ve seen many, many, many complications in pregnant women, in moms and in fetuses, in children, offspring,” Thorp said, “fetal death, miscarriage, death of the fetus inside the mom.
“What I’ve seen in the last two years is unprecedented,” Thorp asserted.
Thorp explained that although he has seen an increase in fetal death and adverse pregnancy outcomes associated with the COVID-19 vaccination, attempts to quantify this effect are hampered by the imposition of gag orders on physicians and nurses that were imposed in September 2021, as reviewed in the publication entitled “Patient Betrayal: The Corruption of Healthcare, Informed Consent and the Physician-Patient Relationship.”
https://www.theepochtimes.com/what-ive-seen-in-the-last-two-years-is-unprecedented-physician-on-covid-vaccine-side-effects-on-pregnant-women_4428291.html
hahahaha norm – why vax the kids?
Children’s risk of Death increases by 5100% following Covid-19 Vaccination compared to Unvaccinated Children according to official ONS data
https://dailyexpose.uk/2022/04/27/kids-death-risk-increases-5100percent-covid-vaccination/
“IMF Urges Latin America to Address Inflation to Curb Unrest Risk.
“Governments in Latin America should provide targeted and temporary fiscal support to help poor families cope with higher food and energy prices and reduce the risk of social unrest from soaring inflation, according to the International Monetary Fund.”
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-26/imf-urges-latin-america-to-address-inflation-to-curb-unrest-risk
“Chilean truckers on strike over insecurity on roads…
“They blocked arterial routes early morning before dispersing with the promise of a larger blockade if the Chilean authorities do not offer better road safety, better working conditions, and a reduction in fuel and toll prices.”
https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2022/04/27/681063/Chilean-truckers-on-strike-over-insecurity-on-roads
“The Peruvian government on Wednesday declared a state of emergency near MMG Ltd’s Las Bambas copper mine, where production has been halted for a week due to indigenous communities camped inside.
“A state of emergency suspends civil liberties such as the right to assembly and protest.”
https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/peru-govt-declares-state-emergency-near-mmgs-las-bambas-mine-stand-off-continues-2022-04-27/
From what I read the farmers sold their land with promises for some community investments as schools and so on.
Actually the mine DID some social investments: They pay wages. Everything else is the problem of the government, no?
If there is not enough food to go around (worldwide), this is pretty much impossible to do.
Today there is probably enough to go around, but the situation is rapidly getting worse.
How does a country “address inflation”? It is basically a sign of not enough to go around.
Please give us the 4-year-old explanation.
“Russian Gas Cutoff [to Bulgaria and Poland] Symbolizes New Era of Supply Shocks and Inflation.
“Inflation is the result of demand growing faster than supply. Central banks can deal with the demand part. The problem is that the world they confront in coming years might be one of recurrent supply shocks.”
https://www.wsj.com/articles/new-age-of-scarce-supply-risks-inflationary-headwinds-challenging-central-banks-11651060801
“Ukraine war ‘will mean high food and energy prices for three years’.
“The war in Ukraine will result in expensive food and energy for the next three years, the World Bank has warned, intensifying fears that the global economy is heading for a rerun of the weak growth and high inflation of the 1970s.”
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/apr/26/ukraine-war-food-energy-prices-world-bank
WSJ is behind a pay wall.
Provide a few more of the trenchant grafs?
This is the WSJ chart from the article:
https://ourfiniteworld.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/WSJ-Change-in-selected-commodity-prices-1-1024×747.png
The energy spike looks like the 1970s oil embargo – and without an energy embargo imposed. Fertiliser and food are not up as much, but all of this is in Russia’s hands. The West is playing a very dangerous long-term game for itself, and it is liable to completely blow up in their faces given enough time. ‘Biting the hand that feeds’! ‘Chomp, chomp, chomp’!
F789 the WSJ https://archive.ph/GbdpG
https://archive.ph/
“Risk of recession in Europe, US and China is rising by the day.
“…the odds of recession in Europe, the US, and China are significant and increasing, and a collapse in one region will raise the odds of collapse in the others. Record-high inflation does not make things any easier. I am not sure politicians and policymakers are up to the task they may soon confront.”
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/apr/28/risk-of-recession-in-europe-us-and-china-is-rising-by-the-day
“Central banks risk crashing us into recession…
“The market has priced in rates of 2.80pc by the end of the year, almost a full percentage point higher than expected last month… This has an uncanny echo of early 2008 when the Fed was spooked by surging oil prices. It talked up the futures curve by, yes, a full percentage point, misjudging how fast the US economy was already slowing.”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/04/27/central-banks-risk-crashing-us-recession/
No kidding!
“Gas giant Algeria threatened Wednesday to break a contract to supply gas to Spain if Madrid transferred it onwards to “a third destination”, amid tensions with regional rival Morocco.
“Algeria’s state-owned energy giant Sonatrach supplied more than 40 percent of Madrid’s natural gas imports in 2021…”
https://www.expatica.com/es/uncategorized/algeria-threatens-to-cut-gas-contract-with-spain-184171/
“Berlin’s outdoor swimming pools will be two degrees chillier this summer than in previous years, in what the state operator says is its contribution towards reducing German reliance on Russian gas.
“Water at the German capital’s 16 gas-heated Sommerbäder, or lidos… will be kept below the weather-dependent standard temperature throughout the summer season.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/apr/27/berlin-cools-pools-in-political-statement-against-russian-gas
“European gas prices soar after Gazprom halts supplies to Poland and Bulgaria.
“In Russia’s biggest move to target the EU’s reliance on its fossil fuels since the invasion, the interruption rippled into markets, with the euro falling to a five-year low against the dollar… Prices are more than six times higher than a year ago.”
https://www.ft.com/content/a2eea1a1-f72a-43c4-aa93-4e5477b5ead4
Russia could pull the plug on Europe anytime it likes. There is no rush. In the meantime, Europe is picking up the bill for Russia’s operation in the Ukraine through its gas purchases. It is also funding Russia’s construction of pipelines to China to send the gas there instead. Afterwards, Russia can address the matter of Europe’s seizure of Russian funds in European banks and their general hostility. First things first. Classy.
“It is also funding Russia’s construction of pipelines to China to send the gas there instead.”
Not from the Western Siberian fields that supply Europe it is not. Russia exported 155 billion cm of gas to Europe in 2021 – it is its biggest customer by far, accounting for nearly three quarters of gas exports.
By comparison, Russia exported 16.5 billion cubic metres of gas to China in 2021. It hopes to increase that to 48 billion by 2026 but again that is from East Siberia and Sakhalin.
There is no better and more logical customer for Russian gas than the EU and no better vendor for the EU than Russia, which is what makes this whole situation so absurd and tragic.
The question to ask is ‘who benefits’
Most likely the ones walking us into this mess are insane. Nothing will be gained, the crazy part is they think they will
It’s not rocket science, but will end with applied applications in a sudden, short definitive exchange any moment. Welcome to the Razor edge.
When a strike comes, defence systems will not protect. It is known since the starfish prime experiments that detonation above atmosphere exchanges the entire energy payload onto the atmosphere itself, have no doubt this technique will be applied.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Starfish_Prime
Russia will soon be able to divert 50 bcm from Yamal to China through Power of Siberia 2. Maybe it will build more pipes linking them.
A lot more gas will be going to China anyway, so Russia will likely have more financial space to cut off Europe.
Uk is mouthing off about ruining Russia, so pay back for Europe may well be coming.
“will be kept below the weather-dependent standard temperature throughout the summer season”
Which means . . .what??
How can a “standard” temperature be “weather-dependent”?
And was kind of wasteful Unsinn is it to heat outdoor pools in the summer?
Which also, BTW, surely encourages the growth of things you do not want in a swimming pool, or on and in your body.
Especially since the supply of chlorine seems to have cratered lately . . .
There is a nice simple solution.
Just bung a couple of spent fuel rods into the pool.
That should warm the water nicely and sterilize it at the same time.
Now, I bet you are all thinking, “Why didn’t I think of that?”
A solar water heater was never in the cards ? Ah, it’s coming outta that pipe here…
Curious: “Internet Outages In Several French Cities After Cable “Attacks”: Report… fibre optic cables were cut overnight in “attacks” on the crucial infrastructure, telecom operators said… the company referred to “multiple malicious acts” targeting its cables.”
https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/france-cable-attacks-france-internet-outage-internet-outages-in-several-french-cities-after-cable-attacks-report-2925402
New ways of fighting back, I am afraid.
I wonder whether any Spaniards are buying up the old brass charcoal heaters which people relied on before the FF boom.
Rather decorative, too.
That authentic Don Quixote ambience!
“The UK is on the verge of food security concerns not seen since World War Two due to a ‘perform storm’ of issues consisting of Covid, Brexit and the Ukraine war, NFU Scotland has warned…
“As part of its lobbying efforts, it has been highlighting the impact that surging costs linked to fertiliser, fuel, energy, animal feed and labour are having on the UK’s ability to produce food.”
https://www.farminguk.com/news/uk-on-verge-of-food-security-concerns-not-seen-since-wwii-_60282.html
“Prices of fish and chips are going up and a third of friers could be forced to close within six months due to oil shortages, industry experts have warned.
“The UK sources most of its sunflower oil from Ukraine, but exports have been disrupted by supply-chain issues caused by Russia’s invasion of the country.”
https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/food-and-drink/fish-and-chips-oil-shortages-risk-shops-closing-b2065528.html
Oh great, we can look forward to endless pathetic WWII nostalgia propaganda while we go hungry. The suicide rate will likely go right up.
“President Xi Jinping has promised an “all-out” spending spree on Chinese infrastructure to help revive his country’s ailing economy.
“Beijing said it will ramp up construction on a range of projects including railways and airports in an attempt to offset an economic slowdown caused by its zero-Covid strategy.”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/04/27/xi-jinping-vows-all-out-construction-spending-spree-save-chinas/
“China policymakers clash over how to counter property slump.
“Chinese regulators led by vice-premier Liu He are concerned that the government is underestimating the economic impact of its crackdown on the property sector and Covid-19 lockdowns in Shanghai and other cities, according to officials and policy advisers.”
https://www.ft.com/content/81f56d32-67fc-4dca-9591-e0add4dd9d67
They don’t appear to know how to transition from an economy built around construction of infrastructure. That’s a worrisome sign. Eventually the marginal value becomes negative and you need to shift into sci-tech R&D (ideally) and/or consumerism (not so ideal).
At some point you run out of people to drive on the roads and fly in the planes. Time to invest in things that create long term jobs like R&D for everything food, construction, travel, housing, medicine, etc….
Harry
just watching ‘The Maggie’ on TV–i guess things have changed a lot on Islay since that was shot in 1954
a real look at the past though
Umpteenth scientific evidence about efficacy of Zinc and Flavonoids to help immune system to fight Covid-19
https://www.timesofisrael.com/israeli-made-dietary-supplement-fights-off-viruses-in-lab-tests-scientists-say/
Mom and I took a single dose of Quercetin 250mg and Zinc 30mg on top of our daily Vitamin D 5000IU a few months ago with a sore throat and congestion. The symptoms were gone the next morning. I have done this several times with good results. Neither my Mom (72, triple vaxxed) or Dad (75) or I (47) have gotten a serious case of any virus regardless of vaccination status with the Vitamin D 3k-5k IU as a common denominator.
Thank you,
Dennis L.
(Bloomberg)
”Eni Moves to Open Ruble Accounts for Gas as EU Warns Firms
– Oil giant wants to keep options open amid sanction uncertainty
– Four European gas buyers have already paid in rubles”
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-27/eni-prepares-to-open-ruble-accounts-for-gas-as-eu-warns-firms?srnd=premium-europe
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Some days the sun shines, the birds sing, and the ducks line up.
‘because everything here is pointing more and more toward: the vaccines are going to be a serious, long term preventer🤣 of herd immunity. this is an astonishing outcome from the agencies and experts that literally just changed the very definition of herd immunity to exclude natural immunity and include only vaccines.’
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/as-vaccine-failure-becomes-more-and?s=r
Where i work there is a 90% Jab uptake.
Almost all of the jabbed have had Convid. None of the unjabbed have.
The jabbed are so certain of their facts; the unjabbed are always questioning the pro’s and cons.
Perhaps they that doubt are the meek of which much has been written?
Time will tell.
Truth is a lazy chap, but enduring.
Say cheese!
Mr Fast Eddy,
Could you please discuss the recent developments that have caused the CEP to become the UEP? Thanks.
Can I get update on the new abriviation? What is U standing for?
Ultimate.
i think it is an upgrade…
Thanks, Lastcall
I think it is a free upgrade from CEP to UEP like Microsoft Windows 10 where you are forced to accept the updates, whether you like it or not.
compassionate -> uncompassionate
No compassion .. the Elders simply don’t want to be skinned alive by the hordes (or their protectors) when BAU collapses and their power structure vapourizes
(machine translation)
April 27.
> Statements of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation
During the morning briefing, the representative of the Russian Ministry of Defense, Igor Konashenkov, announced the elimination of more than 120 Ukrainian nationalists, 35 armored vehicles and vehicles as a result of 59 army aviation strikes on the territory of Ukraine on the night and morning of April 27. Among the hit targets are 50 places of accumulation of enemy troops, four warehouses with weapons and ammunition near Chervony, Dolgenkiy, Pashkovo, Vesely, and the Buk-M1 anti-aircraft missile system (SAM) near Slavyansk.
High-precision missiles “Caliber” struck hangars with foreign weapons on the territory of the Zaporozhye aluminum plant. In total, the rocket and artillery troops completed 573 combat missions during the night-morning, hitting 432 areas of concentration of manpower and equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (APU), 67 artillery positions, two batteries of multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS), seven ammunition depots.
Air defense systems shot down 18 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) over Oleksandrivka, Balakleya, Bryanka, Zaporozhye, Izyum, Kapitolovka, Peremoga, Petrovka, Popasny, Proletarsky, Trudolyubovka, including two Bayraktar-TB2s over Kalesnikovka and Liman. A Tochka-U missile was shot down over Ilyichevka.
Also during the night, the Armed Forces of Ukraine used drones to carry out attacks on Russian territory. Air defense systems worked in the Voronezh region (a UAV was shot down over Shilovo), Kursk, Belgorod (an ammunition depot near Staraya Nelidovka was attacked) regions.
During the evening briefing of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, it became known that during the day the Russian aerospace forces hit 17 military facilities on the territory of Ukraine with high-precision missiles, including two command posts of Ukrainian troops, as well as 15 areas of concentration of manpower and military equipment.
At the same time, army aviation attacked 38 targets, including seven command posts, 27 enemy troop concentration areas, two fortified areas, and two anti-aircraft missile systems: S-300 near Nikolayevka and Osa AKM near Velikaya Kamyshevakha. At the same time, more than 210 nationalists and 43 units of armored vehicles and vehicles were liquidated.
Rocket and artillery troops completed 309 combat missions, hitting 14 command posts, 292 areas of accumulation of units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, three ammunition depots in the Chervonoye and Ilyichevka districts of the Kharkiv region.
At the same time, air defense systems shot down two Ukrainian drones in the areas of the settlements of Pesky-Radkovsky and Borshchevka. The Mi-24 helicopter was liquidated near Cherkasskaya Lozova.
What happened in Ukraine on April 27: the destruction of warehouses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, demining in the LPR
In total, since February 24, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have lost 141 aircraft, 111 helicopters, 609 drones, 275 anti-aircraft missile systems, 2616 armored vehicles, 297 multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS), 1139 field guns and mortars, 2426 units of special military vehicles.
Two Russians sympathizing with Ukrainian nationalists were detained in Belgorod today. They collected information about the Russian military and planned to undermine the railway, which is followed by Russian military trains. The detainees gave confessions.
Russian President Vladimir Putin , during his speech at the Council of Legislators of the Russian Federation in connection with a special operation on the territory of Ukraine, once again noted that all the tasks assigned to the army would be fulfilled. He also said that Russia prevented a large-scale conflict that would unfold on its territory according to the rules of its opponents.
“If someone intends to intervene in the ongoing events from the outside, they should know that our counter strikes will be lightning fast, fast. We have tools that no one can boast of, ” he warned.
https://riafan.ru/23154062-chto_proizoshlo_na_ukraine_27_aprelya_unichtozhenie_skladov_vsu_razminirovanie_v_lnr
it is not gee wizz weapons it is the willingness to destroy weapons on the group before they are loaded into trains, trucks, airplanes.
hahaha 8yr old with menstrual disorder post injection hahaha https://t.me/TheHealthForumNZch/851
Mothers f789ing their babies hahaaha dunces https://t.me/TheHealthForumNZch/852
https://aflds.org/news/post/uk-data-show-increased-mortality-in-vaccinated-compared-to-unvaccinated/
America’s Frontline Doctors (https://aflds.org/news/post/uk-data-show-increased-mortality-in-vaccinated-compared-to-unvaccinated/)
UK data show increased mortality in vaccinated compared to unvaccinated | America’s Frontline Doctors
All-cause mortality and COVID vaccination cause for concern
For doomie preppers – get remote – real remote https://jungefreiheit.de/politik/deutschland/2022/video-linksextremisten-erfurt/
hahahaha https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/35032
This link is especially important in this group:
https://aflds.org/news/post/uk-data-show-increased-mortality-in-vaccinated-compared-to-unvaccinated/
UK data show increased mortality in vaccinated compared to unvaccinated
All-cause mortality and COVID vaccination cause for concern
Within this article is discussion of another paper, which (to me) explains quite a bit:
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4072489
Randomised Clinical Trials of COVID-19 Vaccines: Do Adenovirus-Vector Vaccines Have Beneficial Non-Specific Effects?
This latter paper shows that it is the mRNA viruses that are adversely affecting mortality, not the adenovirus-vector vaccines (or at least affecting patients very differently). This would explain why the all cause mortality of the US and Israel is so terrible, compared to those countries that used a lot less of the mRNA vaccines in the mix.
This is the best though https://metatron.substack.com/p/covid-requiem-aeternam?s=r
More https://www.headsupster.com/forumthread?shortId=1621
When the new vaccines against COVID hit the market, one thing was made clear; the vaccines protect against serious cases of COVID including hospitalizations and deaths.
The clinical trials did not claim the vaccines reduced infections or transmission of the virus. Some may be still surprised about this, but with over a year of data, this point has become clear.
https://aflds.org/news/post/uk-data-show-increased-mortality-in-vaccinated-compared-to-unvaccinated/
Oh really? Then why: https://twitter.com/Lukewearechange/status/1463932846570192901
The data showed that participants who received the mRNA vaccine had more cardiovascular deaths, non-accidental deaths, and all-cause deaths compared to the placebo groups after examining nine randomized-controlled trials (RCTs).
If not for the lives the vaccines saved in COVID deaths, the mRNA vaccines would have killed more people than they saved. This is important since many people taking the mRNA vaccines are at low risk of dying from COVID.
It was noted in the conclusion that most of the wealthier countries chose the mRNA vaccines, which were connected to higher mortality. The authors concluded by saying that “this could turn out to be a very costly decision, both economically and health-wise.”
https://aflds.org/news/post/uk-data-show-increased-mortality-in-vaccinated-compared-to-unvaccinated/
Keep in mind the survival rate with or without any treatment … is just under 100%…
https://metatron.substack.com/p/covid-requiem-aeternam?s=r
hahahahahaahaha…. more boosters… more death …. more clots… more heart attacks… more more more!!!!
Hey norm… Hey mike…. you got suckered… have you guys seen any long term safety studies????
hahaha… inject… experiment… hahahaha
Any leader that had the Ukrainian peoples interests in heart would have focused on developing the huge gas resources lat lay in shallow water off Ukraine’s coast in the black sea.
Sad is not a sad enough word. Young people going to die. Ukrainian and Russian. There is nothing wrong with loving your nation. There is nothing wrong with loving your people. There is a lot wrong when that national identity focuses on a hate for another people. In this case the leaders of the Ukraine spent their energies on hateful actions. They allowed radical elements in their military. There is no place for hate of another culture in a modern military it is unacceptable in any percentage. They allowed bio labs that have dual purpose both research and military applications. They allowed the radical elements in their military to manifest acts of violence against Russian speaking citizens. And the talk of acquiring nuclear weapons.
All of this focus could have been used to develop the natural gas resources off their coast and transform Ukraine into a real power in the region capable of energy independence and being a real regional power holder. They could have had a real renaissance in both standard of living and self worth based on value not the 1000 year feud. Who did perpetuating that feud serve? Not the people of Ukraine.
Yes sad. Ironic. And neither adjective really conveys enough. The Ukrainians could have asserted their culture, identity in a wholesome and positive manner. They could have had everything a proud and deserving country could wish for. A regional energy producer with a high standard of living.
And now
They could still have it. They could negotiate a peace settlement and get their coast back. If the Russian speaking areas wish to be left out so be it. Why is it a issue? Why does Kiev care? Why is this a chip on their shoulder? Who benefits? The “country” borders are only so because of a a decree a few decades ago. Looks like a small tweak is needed. The areas that have strong Russian Identity should not have been included when “Ukraine” was defined as a nation state. This should be a small matter. Not even a issue except for the radical faction that exists in the Ukrainian military. Ukraine could still have everything a country could wish for. But their leader has chosen a path of self identity not from the gift of the resources that could change their country into a great place but a self identity based on conflict and indulgence in a feud.
Who benefits?
The young people go off to die when they could have a national identity based on something solid. They could have lived their life. Beyond ironic. Beyond sad. Beyond tragic. The life and love that is lost is real. Is it Ukrainian life and love that is lost? Is it Russian life and love that is lost? Why does that matter? The manipulators who are responsible are despicable.
I recommend to read theis article by Thierry Meyssan:
https://www.voltairenet.org/article216618.html
The prepping of Ukraine with “some elements” has been a very very long planned operation…
The ability to keep Russia united decreases with every attack on the exterior. The attack on Ukraine will not be ended by the death of the Putin, but by the desintegration of Russia. The same way the USSR disintegrated after war in Afghanistan: putting yourself into the black hole of conflict will suck off you more energy than the energy decline otherwise would be.
The war is the popping of the population bubble.
Really?
USA has been in untold wars over the past 20 years. When is that going to ‘disintegrate’ because of ‘conflict’?
You do talk some rubbish. But what is else is there for you to talk?
I see it a bit differently. The “west” is willing to taunt nuclear war. It seems to me they want nuclear war. This is of course insane. The leaders of the west are insane. It remains to be seen if Russia will participate in a nuclear war and end civilization and most all human life. Their protocol calls for it. Thats a very different than actually launching nuclear missiles.
Russia has a huge disadvantage. Their leaders are sane. If they dont participate in a nuclear war they will continue to be attacked covertly overtly and economically and they will indeed “disintegrate” as you say. No country withstands those actions.
There is no intention of allowing Russia to isolate to do business with China the stans and India. That of course would spell the end for the “west” in short order. Easily under a decade.
AUKUS is the equivalent of what Russia faces for China. No they cant take their ball and go home.
Just one fat old mans opinion.
It seems a lot like the beginning of WWI every one slowly creeping towards war until they wake up and see 10 million dead and wonder how did we get here?
probably be listed as another conspiracy
with 10 million crisis actors
Well, at least you’ve documented your prediction, MG. We can revisit it in a few months or even a year. I suspect it is more influenced by your desire to see Russia dissolve than any real logic.
Here are my predictions:
* The war will be over in 6 months and what remains of Ukraine will be landlocked. The army in the east will be killed or captured.
* Russia will continue to develop slowly, hampered by their poor demographics, but buoyed by their natural resources, while the EU flounders for 6-12 months before completely panicking at their collective suicide.
* Unrest in Europe will grow massively as cost of food and energy energy commodities rise. Russia will gradually convert all commodity sales (not just gas) to Ruble denomination. EU will be forced to either reverse their asset freeze or endure massively higher commodity costs that destroy their financial systems and industry.
* Russia will suffer near-term (6-18 months) difficulties in replacing Western supply chain inputs. China/Asia will fill most of the gaps that Russia cannot fill itself over that time period.
* Russian prices, inflation, and interest rates will remain at historical levels of ~8% or lower
* The sanctions will force Russia to further industrialize, which will be a long-term good for them. Areas will include aircraft and vehicle manufacturing and precision parts. I am less optimistic about their chip manufacturing as they’ve had a lot of past difficulties in building this sector.
A comment with more hope than substance perhaps.
This is Russia responding after 8 years of war within Ukraine.
The conflict was not reported by MSM until Putin had lost patience with Nato regimes’ reign of terror in Donbass.
5500 applications to European Human Rights commission about puppet US regime in Kyiv and not one investigated?
MG is just a butthurt slovak who dreams about the times of Vojtech Tuka. He has displayed numerous times his affinity towards final solutions about certain nationalities. I am almost sure he has a photo of Tuka under his pillow.
You are spreading lies, which is against the law and the moral.
Spare me please. It is opinion and i am sharing it not spreading it.
Borat has relations … with his sister!
What did you mean by “butthurt slovak”?
Pure bulshit MG. Levada – a foreign sociologic entity in Russia (listed as foreign agent due to it financing comming from usa and friends) shows that the russian society is strongly allinging behind Putin and the government’s policies. Here is the data (if you wish to look at it): https://www.levada.ru/en/ratings/
On the issue of energy, Russia is now exporting less but the profit is way more. So it seems they have balanced the enrgy. Here are the numbers: https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-energy-oil-gas-sanctions-economy-price-current-account-surplus-2022-4#:~:text=Russia's%20revenues%20oil%20and%20gas,%2Dyear%2C%20per%20Bloomberg%20Economics.
After all we all here are in pursuit of the truth and our shared quest is deconstructing reality. Our leanings and ideological biases are not the tools we should use if we want to understand reality 😉
es, Russia is imploding, too. But faster than warmer countries.
Are you even bothering to read or your brain is like algo hardwired to spew off-topic staple phrases the second it encounters a trigger word?
(the question is retorical)
I don’t refer to MG in particular who I don’t know, but I’m realizing lately, talking with people from old ‘Warsaw Pact’ (Poland, Slovakia, Baltic Countries and so on) that they see things about Russia with an emotional touch, thinking of what they unfortunately experienced in the past and desire now, instead of looking pragmatically at the present situation.
Unfortunately both EU and Nato are following or better are driven by (or it is useful to let things be driven by) that sentiment.
This sentiment will bring us in the cave, while US, China, India and Russia too will stay definitely better than us.
We can go in the cave…, but please just let’s be aware why.
If he dislikes Russia so much then he knows what he can do. He can switch off all of his gas right now, and leave it off come winter, because all of that gas in Slovakia comes from Russia. All of it! He can let us know how he enjoys the winter without any of that wicked Russian gas.
spewing off topic phrases, in reaction to a trigger word
now there’s a favourite conversational stimulus.
even without the trigger word .
I do not understand where those off topic phrases come from???
I neither hate nor love Russia or Ukraine. I just try to figure out why the ruling party in Russia is named Yedinaya Rossiya (United Russia) and why the USSR collapsed and why Russia has got a history of attacks towards warmer countries.
Russian population simply bounces on the investment from the warmer countries. Russia is dependent on the warm countries, which means not just Europe. Like any other cold country.
It is not possible to do high tech in the cold areas without HUGE energy inputs. Your body reacts to the cold in the way that it burns energy for keeping you alive, which means that there is not much energy left for the muslces and brain.
When you are shivering from cold, you can not do something like a neurosurgery.
Ageing Vladimir Putin, with his KGB mafia history etc. is not able to understand and rule the imploding world, where a lot of Russians migrate to the warmer areas and they simply hate that f…..g cold, like e.g. me in Slovakia.
i dont know where they pop up from either
only that i’ve noticed that when a thread cannot be logically answered, a totally off topic comment is thrown in—i have no idea why
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7d5bcec7-da6d-43ca-8120-bda5ee0fad1f_1159x443.png
https://live2fightanotherday.substack.com/p/a-gift-that-keeps-giving-ontario?s=r
A Gift That Keeps Giving – Ontario Edition
We are being told that (repeated) Covid-19 jabs protect the recipients from severe outcomes. Apparently they do not consider death a severe outcome. Here’s the proof.
https://live2fightanotherday.substack.com/p/a-gift-that-keeps-giving-ontario
How embarrassing!
They want Biden out and Kamela in via the 25th. Was the plan from the beginning. That WaPo and NYT are reporting on hunters lap top now is the signal. Suddenly its not “russian disinformation” that the election is over. MSM exemplifies disinformation.
Secret service took a lesson from the grateful dead! Grateful dead would dress their huge security personal in bunny suits to deescalate conflict with their drug addled patrons who freaked out. Only now its the pres whose behavior is corrected. Perhaps a bunny could accompany the president at all times and it could be be reported as appropriate by the MSM because of his love of all creatures on the planet?
We need to put just Putin and Bidet in a locked room for 2 hours.
Recoed what happens, make everyone watch the recording.
Decide on future leadership of world after that.
Biden is the complete Easter Egg.
Unfortunately for us in the western world, if Putin will go away nothing will change, because Russia has by now made its decisions.
While, if Biden and Zelensky will go away, it is much probable that something will change.
It’s not actually funny at all.
It’s a cruel situation placing a person with clear cognitive impairment in a leadership position who otherwise would have had all the correct credentials; per se.
Decline aggressively ablates self confidence and self esteem. Holding a public facing profile in this context is like pouring an accelerant on the condition, it’s totally destructive to the persons’ being.
The Bullet Prof Bunny’s are interesting. Not sure if are they meant to be ‘in plain site cover? They look so out of place. If so; it’s a solid miss. I feel sorry for the Americans who care about their country. I think I feel sorry for all of us when a key place holder at a critical time is essentially empty. The occupier of the VP makes for possibly an even worse contingency.
I think to myself how could these conditions ever create stability?
It’s an extremely dangerous game to play with the chain of command.
But doesn’t it demonstrate that the President is in fact now entirely outside the chain of command?
Neither he, nor the VP, will ever make any decisions of substance.
One might as well have an Uncle Sam totem carved from wood to head the nation…
Yes, he is. But there are a lot of factions, and a lot of people unwilling to stick out their neck. Paralysis was palpable already during Trump. It must be as bad now, if not worse.
the question to ask is why this is being allowed?
A good question: it’s all rather unsubtle.
Is the purpose perhaps the utter humiliation of thinking Americans, rubbing their faces in the degradation of the system?
Just wait until the Bunny becomes President.
By the way, have you seen this cartoon?
I think it’s brilliant.
https://i.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/newsfeed/001/297/061/c49
The Easter Bunny has clearly got a better idea of what is going on than the POS (President of the States).
They are creating a Twilight Zone world… to confuse the hordes… same reason 10 yr old girls are being taught to use carrots on themselves…. destroy the fabric of society and the MOREONS will look to authority to tell them what to do … masks lockdowns all part of this
despite offering you civil discourse eddy.
your juvenile intellect cannot exert itself beyond the level of a prepubescent teenager.
i realise you cannot stop embarrassing yourself—that is accepted as ‘normal’…but could you possibly stop embarrassing everyone around you, who involuntarily cringe on your behalf?
Ok let’s discuss a serious issue then – who cares about 10 yr old girls being taught to pleasure themselves with carrots… as we know if they are injected they are becoming women at 8 …. so by 10 they need an outlet right?
Never mind that .. let’s discuss the excess deaths that follow the injection curve in high vaxxed countries… and no excess deaths in countries that are not vaxxing much
https://www.headsupster.com/forumthread?shortId=1621
What’s going on norm — use that great intellect that you believe you have — to explain this
that Gail allows the constant outpourings of skoolyard wall obsc enities from you , is beyond my understanding. At least you are top of the delete list. Which is a plus.
i realise your mental development is stuck, as i said, at the pre-pubsecent level, and there must be some underlying driving urge to imagine that everyone else harbours the same thought processes.
comfort in numbers i guess–imagining that everyone is the same as you are, with the same level of se xual development.
i feel for those forced to exist in your RL
This is not the place to discuss your personal inclinations eddy, there are other forums for that i believe, i suggest you patronise those–a word of advice though– if your computer breaks down, don’t take it in for repair
But it’s true norm – the curriculum requires that to be taught … check it out:
https://youtu.be/qVTwHF0VE1g
Can we get on to the matter at hand now:
https://metatron.substack.com/p/covid-requiem-aeternam?s=r
Chain of Bunnies ?
Vicious Blame Game Erupts Among Putin’s Security Forces
The security institutions, the ‘siloviki’, that are key to propping up the regime are exchanging recriminations for a growing list of failures in the war on Ukraine.
Russia’s army is deeply unhappy at the new and curtailed strategy Putin has ordered them to adopt in Ukraine, abandoning the big goal of capturing Kyiv for a much more modest objective of invading Donbas, in the country’s east.
And they are pointing the finger at other agencies, the FSB’s foreign intelligence branch primarily, for misinforming the president about the true conditions inside Ukraine that have led to failure. Other FSB departments appear to share the military’s analysis.
The telegram channel “FighterBomber” associated with the Russian air force, posted on April 12 a comment about NATO’s weapon supplies to Ukraine: “Naturally, we’ll further increase air defense units on the border with Ukraine in order to cover our territory from ballistic missile strikes, but it is also clear that NATO countries have far more weapons than Russia.”
The author expressed optimism that the Russian air force will be able to staunch the flow of Western supplies, but warned that further Ukrainian victories “will almost certainly prompt the use of nuclear weapons” against targets in Ukraine.
https://cepa.org/vicious-blame-game-erupts-among-putins-security-forces/
Really?
“Such a confused message, like acceptance of provocations, creates opportunity for miscalculation. My concern remains that Russia’s limited, weak or non-existent responses to provocations invites more and worst provocations until a red line is crossed that results in nuclear war. Apparently, the Russians have never read Machiavelli. They had rather be loved than feared.”
“The long drawn-out process of flushing out and destroying the Ukrainian forces in Donbass has created the opportunity for mounting provocations of Russia, supported by Western populations under the influence of war propaganda. These provocations can easily result in a widening of the conflict, resulting in more forceful actions against Russia until the situation explodes.”
“To prevent a drawn-out process rife with opportunities to pile provocation on provocation is the reason I have thought that Russia needed to act decisively and quickly bring the conflict to an end. It is this failure that is the real threat in the Ukraine conflict. By trying to save a few Ukrainian lives, Russia might be endangering the lives of hundreds of millions.”
https://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2022/04/27/the-real-threat-in-the-ukraine-conflict/
Are those statements written by the blogger ‘Paul Craig Roberts’ supposed to prove something?
Have you got any clue whatsoever on the strategy of the Russian general staff? It does not look like it.
I do, we chat regularly. He says everything is just dandy. Don’t think he knows Paul CR. Will ask.
Nonsense verse?
> So she went into the garden
to cut a cabbage-leaf
to make an apple-pie
A reply to pcr from Orlov;
https://thesaker.is/does-paul-craig-roberts-like-genocide/
This comes to my mind from a book I read long long ago titled
Bullock’s “Hitler and Stalin: Parallel Lives” gives us a detailed, compelling and extremely informative portrait of the faces of evil. It is an indispensable book for all those who want to understand how totalitarian regimes function and the role sociopathic dictators play in changing the course of history. As luck would have it, sociopaths are too self-serving and power-hungry to form lasting alliances. Had Hitler and Stalin not turned on each other, totalitarianism might have triumphed across the globe. As Winston Churchill famously stated in a speech after the German invasion of the Soviet Union: “If Hitler invaded Hell I would make at least a favorable reference to the devil in the House of Commons.”
I remember one passage regarding the onslaught blitzkrieg that was unstoppable at the start of the war in which Kiev was lost to the Germans and over 600,000 taken prisoner.
Stalin called together an emergency meeting/conference with leading party officials in which it was suggested to offer the Ukraine territory to AH as a price to pay for a peace settlement.
One attending immediately stood up rejecting the idea and steadfastly argued We will best them, if we need to back up to the Urals they in the end will be defeated…
My point is doubt Putin and Russian leadership are going to relent and let the West /American CIA take over the region. IF Stalin was willing to sacrificed so much of Russia against the NANnies to keep the Ukraine..Doubt Putin and his circle will …
I think he means what he says and he ain’t bluffing
The US, and its puppets, are in effect demanding a form of ‘unconditional surrender’ by Russia: no longer even a regional power, no legitimate sphere of influence for security, regime change, dismemberment of the Russian Federation and the rape of Russia’s remaining resources.
Comments by Putin and Lavrov seem to indicate that this is how they interpret US actions.
It might well seem better to go down in a holocaust than submit to such terms. It is folly to push Russia to such extremities.
“If Hitler invaded Hell I would make at least a favorable reference to the devil in the House of Commons.”
As one of Old Nick’s most productive 20th C minions, Churchill was well placed to make such recommendations.
‘Had Hitler and Stalin not turned on each other, totalitarianism might have triumphed across the globe.”
Uh hum, totalitarianism did triumph across the globe.
The Soviet Union became an even more powerful and indeed nuclear armed international player, imprisoning all of Eastern Europe, China became communist, as well as Stalinist North Korea,
Thereafter, these countries all became patrons of communist terror movements worldwide, in South East Asia and in Africa.
But perhaps you thnk this was a good result for freedom and humanity.
What I see is a powerful military Country (Russia) operating in a progressive and constant way toward a tightening of its military and geopolitical actions, with the population knowing the potential consequences since the beginning.
While Nato Countries have started in a aggressive and stubborn way since the beginning and now population is starting to realize that the consequences can be terrible and what have been said at the beginning was not a joke.
Paul Craig Roberts has been publishing words in this direction for a long time.
There exists a little thing you might want to consider.
The Russian Federation has a parliament where not only one party is in charge. It also has some economic figures in place that are quite powerful but do not have rigid alignment with the govenment.
The govenment is basically trying to juggle internal and external threats. Some external threats also work fom the inside in Parlament and the economy as well as in media and NGOs.
Putin has always acted in some sort of “Well, here is the proposal, that is the deal, let’s discuss it…”
The President of the Russian Federation is excatly not acting like the roque other players abandoning all civilizational values.
This war will not end with a military defeat. It will end with one entity disintegrating. At least one of them openly states that goal…
Russia is commiting 7% of its millitary personel, 4% of its air force, 3% of its armored/tank, 5% of its artillery and has expanded 2% of its stand-off/precisice weapons so far in this war (according to both Russian MoD and ISW washington think tank). Ukraine has run out of ammo, fuel, operators, weapons systems and C4SIR. They are begging and extorting whoever they can for weapons and ammo and russia keeps destroying those supplies the moment they entered the country.
Looks like the west is providing military boosters which are failing right out of the gate.
Russian strategy does not indicate a rush to get stuck in a ‘second Afghanistan’, as the US seems to hope.
A study of ground warfare shows that artillery largely determines the victor of battles. Hence for Germany on the Eastern front, for every two artillery pieces they lost or had to leave behind, they could only replace with one. The German army was doomed the minute they failed to take Moscow, Leningrad and Stalingrad. Russia overwhelmed them with artillery from that moment on. Near the end, foolish Hitler issues orders that each German artillery piece could only fire so many shells a day. It was comical and disastrous.
In eastern Ukraine, Russia has degraded the Ukro-nazi armies such that they are now overwhelmed by Russian artillery which is basically limitless at this point in time.The Ukies cannot resupply adequately and are doomed. WIth air superiority you can kind of count air attacks as part of the overwhelming artillery in total. So the Russians will pound the Ukrainian army into dust…A Ukie army guy commented that whenever they encounter the Russians, the Russians call in artillery. And why not….it saves soldiers lives.
As a corollary, the Russians may have originally mistakenly calculated that the Ukrainian army would fold and the takeover painless, they are now pounding all Uki positions in eastern Ukraine into dust with artillery, destroying everything. And, if you are forced to destroy eastern Ukraine with artillery, then why hold back and not destroy the western Ukraine. Hence, from this point on, I predict western Ukraine will be more or less destroyed as long as they resist.
Russia will destroy the Ukrainian army in the east and will then move south and west.
‘Artillery is the god of war’ – ole jo stalin
I sincerely hope the Russian advisers are listening to some voice of sanity.
It must be difficult remaining so in the face of the response they’ve received from The West
in simple layman’s terms, this is showing you serious suppression of immune system training. mRNA vaccines do not train your immune system to recognize the nucleocapsid of SARSCOV. they cannot. they do not contain it. they contain instructions to teach your cells to express proteins on their surfaces that look like those created by cells infected with covid19 and to then elicit (and intensify) and immune response. this is a narrow, intense form of immune training.
it is also why, many have posited, these vaccines have proven so unable to provide sterilizing immunity. because this is an after effect. it’s akin to training your night watchman to recognize a burning building, but not an arsonist. until the fire gets lit, he won’t react, even if the arsonist is still standing right next to it. he’s never seen one. he does not know what an arsonist is.
exposure to live virus should teach him. the result of this learning is the ability and propensity to produce N antibodies against the nucleocapsid of the virus itself. now you WILL attack arsonists as soon as you see them.
93% of untreated who got the virus acquired this ability.
but only 40% of those who took the moderna vaccine and were then exposed to live virus did.
nearly 6 in 10 (57%) of those vaccinated who would have been expected to generate these antibodies did not.
welcome to OAS/antigenic fixation, population: probably you.
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/as-vaccine-failure-becomes-more-and
Meanwhile Fauci is claiming the opposite….
Ya think it’s not a plan folks??? I got some swampland for sale….
This is a link to the study (of data that has been around a long time, back before Omicron variations) that shows that the vaccine tends to prevent herd immunity.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.04.18.22271936v1
The comment is made in the blog article that if the new study had been done using indications when more recent COVID variants were active, the difference likely would have been even greater.
Bailouts for the wealthy, cuts in subsidies, austerity and increased taxes for the masses.
https://reliefweb.int/report/world/imf-must-abandon-demands-austerity-cost-living-crisis-drives-hunger-and-poverty
Demand destruction from here on down.
Famine and related causes likely to reduce population.
No value judgement was implied. Obviously people acting like that is a large part of what makes the world go around. It is all good.
The masses who swallowed the vaccination stuff hook, line and sinker without even expanding their brain cells -the problem is, we used our brain cells.
They will never change their views. So, applying back to renewables, klimat change and EV, it is the same as vaccination. They are already dead set.
Perhaps the politicians and the celebrities took the vaccine because they really really believe in them.
The problem seems to especially be the mRNA vaccines in raising all cause mortality. The adenovirus-vector vaccines (J&J and AstraZeneca) do not seem to have this same effect.
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4072489
It may still be that the adenovirus-vector vaccines help keep the virus circulating, and thus make the problem worse. But at least they don’t kill you off the same way the mRNA vaccines do.
as vaccine failure becomes more and more proven, it’s time to pivot to “nothing to see here”
fauci claims we are now “out of the pandemic phase”
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/as-vaccine-failure-becomes-more-and
Chinese woman (Shanghai/Beijing) jumps to her death due to starving; this is the cold reality of the ZERO-COVID lockdown policies we have warned against; it only denies herd immunity, destroys people
https://palexander.substack.com/p/chinese-woman-shanghaibeijing-jumps
If true then the Psych Team is having deep discussions about this incident… the analytics guys are watching as well… this is a great outcome… soosiside is within the acceptable parameters of the Extinction. What they don’t want is man vs man violence… no murder.. no rape… no cannibalism
No MRC… that’s the acronym for this…
This was a fun read!
Attorney Sarah Beth Burwick has written a phenomenal report on Dr. Risa Hoshino, who built a massive social media following promoting vaccines, non-pharmaceutical interventions, and fear of “Long Covid” while detailing her tribulations working 12-hour shifts in full PPE on the frontlines. Medical Marketing + Media dubbed Hoshino one of their “top 12 physician influencers,” Beckers HR called her a “top 10 physician influencer,” and The Scientist magazine even went so far as to laud her as “a veteran of using social media to debunk scientific falsehoods.”
But, as it turns out, Hoshino has long been employed as a school pediatrician—mostly working remotely—and does not appear to have done any significant work on the frontlines treating Covid patients or donning PPE for long periods.
Who is Risa Hoshino
Toggling seamlessly between bikini and lab coat, Dr. Risa Hoshino’s Instagram persona embodied the millennial feminist: a pediatrician treating covid patients on the front lines who could still show off her body and build her profile as a lifestyle influencer. A vaccine advocate who collaborates with nationally renowned physicians, yet also finds time to talk about her favorite lipstick stain. A physician who manages to create science-education content for free in her downtime, then complains about being so underpaid and overworked that she asks her followers to contribute $5 each to her personal “coffee fund” (hundreds of her followers obliged).
https://sarahburwick.substack.com/p/who-is-risa-hoshino?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=post_embed&utm_medium=email&s=r
https://nypost.com/2022/04/27/nyc-school-pediatrician-faked-being-covid-frontline-doctor-report/
I wonder if the bikini shot is faked/enhanced….
Here’s a link someone posted in the comments section:
https://citizenjournos.com/2021/10/06/confirmed-the-mater-hospital-was-not-full-of-unvaccinated-20-30-year-olds-on-ventilators-on-the-22nd-july/
Kudos to all the citizen journalists out there.
A response to UEP on Igor’s substack
Kelly12 hr ago
Remarkable information. Flows like a river and should be deposited into the ocean of humanity. What’s very troubling is that there is no resolution or offset included for the bleak outcome described. My feeble brain is unable to counter with any positivity. Hoping that someone out there that can.
UEP is gaining traction as the only logical and feasible explanation as to why we are being injected with the experiment…
Diesel for Dinner
https://doomberg.substack.com/p/diesel-for-dinner
Very good till the last paragraph.
Thanks! Whatever the government subsidizes looks good.