A Few Insights Based on CDC Data Regarding COVID and its Vaccines

My background is as a casualty actuary. I am used to looking at data from standard sources and trying to make some sense of it. I am hesitant to take someone else’s word for what the data show because I know that it is easy for mistakes to creep in. In this post, I will provide observations based on data from the databases of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the Johns Hopkins University. Hopefully, some of these observations will prove insightful.

I am aware that the proper reference for COVID is “COVID-19.” In this post, I have elected to use the shorter reference, except when shown in an exhibit prepared using software developed by someone else (Figure 3).

[1] Recent data show that COVID vaccines don’t really prevent a person from catching and passing along the virus that causes COVID. The CDC has recently changed its guidance to reflect the fact that the vaccines mostly reduce the chance of severe illness. Vaccines are still recommended by the CDC, not because they reduce transmission, but because they may reduce COVID-related healthcare costs.

Figure 1. Number of US vaccine doses provided to various age groups, based on data from a CDC database.

It is clear from Figure 1 that the big initial push for vaccine delivery peaked around April 2021. The rollout was substantially accomplished by July 2021. Then there was a second, lower peak, related primarily to boosters in the November 2021 to January 2022 period.

Figure 2 shows the pattern of newly reported COVID cases, relative to the first round of COVID vaccinations, based on data reported to the Johns Hopkins University database.

Figure 2.US reported COVID cases by month based on data from the Johns Hopkins University database.

Clearly, the first round of vaccinations did not put an end to new COVID cases. In fact, the CDC started becoming concerned about transmission among the vaccinated as early as July 2021. At that time, it started recommending that everyone wear a mask in conditions that represented high transmission. It also began using the term breakthrough infection to describe the (hopefully uncommon) condition of coming down with COVID after being vaccinated.

In fact, back when the Delta wave hit in the fall of 2021, it was possible to blame at least part of the problem on the lesser-vaccinated Southern part of the US. The well-vaccinated Northeast seemed to fare relatively much better (Figure 3).

Figure 3. US reported COVID cases (moving 7-day average, relative to population) by part of the US based on data from the Johns Hopkins University database. Visualization is available at this web address.

Figure 3 indicates that a quite different situation occurred when the Omicron variant hit close to the beginning of 2022. The heavily vaccinated Northeast clearly led the way, both in timing and in the number of COVID cases relative to population. The relatively less vaccinated South was much lower, close to the Midwest in its number of cases, relative to population.

The Omicron variant is very different from the original Wuhan version of the virus. This difference between virus variants is at least part reason that current mRNA vaccines fail to block transmission of the Omicron virus. Instead, current vaccines mostly reduce severe symptoms. This is very similar to the explanation we have heard when getting influenza vaccines each year. Researchers make a guess with respect to which particular strains will be circulating the following year. The level of protection will vary, depending upon whether the researchers’ guesses prove to be accurate the following year.

There are also indications from patterns elsewhere (and from theory) that it is not good practice to vaccinate at the time a virus is already starting to circulate widely. The booster vaccinations that took place in November and December 2021 (Figure 1) may have inadvertently raised, rather than lowered, their recipients’ chances of catching COVID. But, of course, the illness would be (on average) relatively mild. This lower severity of outcome is to be expected, partly because the mutated virus seems to be less virulent than the Wuhan COVID virus, and partly because the vaccines tend to reduce the severity of the disease.

The CDC started moving in the direction of treating vaccinated and unvaccinated people alike back in July 2021. Now, with the evidence from the Omicron wave coming in, it has had no choice but to move even further in the direction of treating everyone alike. For example, for domestic travel, the CDC recommends tests for both vaccinated and unvaccinated travelers if there is a concern about COVID. Recent CDC recommendations with respect to the wearing of masks do not depend upon vaccine status, either.

The idea of requiring everyone to be vaccinated likely originated from the cost-savings and profits that were expected to occur if people could be vaccinated and kept out of hospitals. Employers were very much in favor of such cost-savings because their workers likely would be able to stay on the job more of the time. Insurance companies were in favor of such an approach as well, because it would lower health care claim costs. Hospitals and physicians were in favor of the recommended COVID vaccines because physicians could perform more elective surgery (and thus make more money) if the hospitals were not full of COVID patients. Of course, the drug companies selling vaccines were in favor of selling more vaccines, too.

Furthermore, we know from prior experience with viruses that the ability to stop transmission with a vaccine varies greatly from virus to virus. Forecasting that any proposed vaccine will prevent transmission is a very “iffy” proposition. The viruses that cause the common cold, HIV and SARS are related (in some way) to the virus that causes COVID. Despite decades of research, none of these viruses has a successful vaccine. This suggests that COVID cannot be stopped by a vaccine, either. We also know, in general, that if a virus jumps from an animal to human hosts, transmission can only be stopped if all of the animal hosts are successfully vaccinated, as well.

[2] COVID vaccines used in the US do not seem to have done much to reduce total COVID deaths.

Figure 4. Number of US COVID deaths by month on two slightly different reporting bases. CDC data are based on death certificate data, reported up to several months after the date of the death, but backdated to the date of actual death. Thus, its indications will tend to be low for recent months. The Johns Hopkins University database contains reports sent in by providers. It should be more complete for recent dates.

Vaccinations started in December of 2020, but there were about 20% more COVID deaths in 2021 than in 2020. Part of the problem is that after the Delta peak in deaths in September, deaths never retreated to zero, or close to zero. COVID deaths immediately began increasing with the Omicron peak. While there was a lull during March 2022 in reported cases (Figures 2 and 3), data for April and May seem to indicate that reported cases are again on an upward path.

If today’s vaccines really worked as people initially hoped, I would expect to see a lot more progress in reducing new cases than shown to date.

[3] Data from OurWorldInData.org provides excess mortality indications for five age groupings. This data indicates that Ages 15-64 were particularly hard hit by the last two waves of COVID (Delta and Omicron). Ages 85+ were hit very lightly.

Figure 5. Chart prepared by OurWorldInData.org showing excess mortality.

Since these charts are for all causes of death combined, they will reflect deaths that might have occurred due to other problems of the 2020 to 2022 period, in addition to COVID deaths. For example, increased suicides and homicides would be included, as would a rise in drug overdoses and motor vehicle accidents. If there are deaths stemming from the use of vaccines, these deaths would be included in the total deaths from all causes, as well.

The rise in deaths in the Ages 15-64 grouping is particularly striking. This group is known for being more likely to be depressed by the events of the day. The base number of expected deaths is relatively lower than for the older ages. This allows the deaths from newly increased causes to magnify the total death rate of the period by a greater factor. Life insurance companies have been complaining about the high numbers of deaths experienced on their policies, predominantly for this age group.

The strikingly low deaths in the Ages 85+ group in 2021 may reflect the working of the vaccine. There might be other causes as well. Some of the weaker members of this group likely died in 2020, leaving fewer to die in 2021. This lower death rate may also reflect the impact of antibodies gained from catching COVID in 2020. People included in Ages 85+, more frequently than younger age groups, lived in care homes of various kinds during 2020. In this setting, they were more exposed to the early rounds of COVID than those living in home settings. Thus, they had more of a chance to develop antibodies from catching the illness.

[4] If we prepare charts showing provisional mortality data for 2021, together with similar indications for prior years, we can see how US mortality rates have been changing for different age groups. We can also see the relative role of COVID cases in these changes.

Figure 6. Death rates for four youngest age groupings, based on CDC Provisional Mortality Data for various years.

The CDC data show mortality rates based on deaths from all causes. For the years 2020 and 2021, it gives a separate indication of mortality associated with COVID. The orange line represents what the mortality would be if all COVID deaths (using a broad definition of COVID death, based on COVID appearing as “any cause” on the death certificate) were removed.

COVID vaccines were not available until mid-December 2020, and then for only a very small group, so the difference in the orange and blue lines at the 2020 point represents the number of COVID deaths for the age group, before the vaccines became available. The 2021 difference between the two lines represents the number of deaths from COVID taking into account whatever vaccines were used for this age group. We might expect the gap between the blue and orange lines to become smaller in 2021 than in 2020 if the vaccines given to the particular age group (or the prior antibodies from catching the illness) were making a significant change in reducing COVID cases in 2021.

Looking at Figure 6, COVID has essentially no impact on babies under Age 1. The total number of deaths seemed to drop more than usual in 2020, perhaps partly because mothers were at home more. For Ages 1-4, death rates are up in 2021, but not because of COVID. COVID seems to play practically no role in the mortality of Ages 5-14 and at most a very minor role for Ages 15-24. For the latter group, mortality is significantly up in both 2020 and 2021, perhaps because of more suicides and risky behavior resulting in death (such as car accidents and drug overdoses).

Figure 7. Death rates per 100,000 for four groupings between ages 25 and 64, based on CDC Provisional Mortality Data for various years.

We can see similar patterns to what we saw for Ages 15-24 in the chart above, but with progressively more COVID in the mix of causes leading to the uptick in the overall death rates. The share of COVID cases in the mix rises in 2021 relative to 2020 for all of these age groupings, despite the vaccines and prior immunity which should start building up (if immunity is truly “durable,” something that is not always the case).

Figure 8. Death rates for three groups from age 65 and up, based on CDC Provisional Mortality Data for various years.

It is only when we get to these oldest ages that death rates stop increasing in 2021. In fact, when the impact of COVID deaths is removed, the death rates seem to be improving. These age groups tended to get the vaccine early. They also lost quite a few sickly members in 2020, when the first round of COVID hit. The remaining group may be in somewhat better health than the original mix. Also, as mentioned in Section [3], they may also have more antibodies from actually catching COVID during 202o, while living in a care home.

[5] We can perhaps get an inkling of what is going wrong with death rates by comparing deaths by cause for January 2020, January 2021, and January 2022, based on monthly provisional death data.

A sample of one month is not very much, but January tends to be bad for mortality because the cold weather encourages dry indoor conditions, especially in the colder parts of the country. People tend to stay inside more because of cold weather. Vitamin D levels tend to be low because of lower sunlight exposure. Communicable disease deaths, including those of COVID, tend to be high at this time of year.

Figure 9. Chart prepared by Gail Tverberg using CDC data for Select Natural Causes. Amounts for January 2022 are likely somewhat incomplete because of the lag in death certificate preparation.

Looking at Figure 9, the first thing we notice is that total January 2022 deaths from natural causes are still outrageously high compared with January 2020 deaths. These deaths exclude deaths from suicides, drug overdoses, car accidents and many other unnatural causes that we know are trending up substantially, so the overall situation is probably even worse than natural death indications would suggest.

One thing we notice is that heart disease deaths seem to be trending higher. This could be a fluke, or it might be caused by COVID or the vaccines (or both). Investigation might be useful.

Cancer deaths, at least based on this tiny sample, seem to be flat. This suggests that fears of a rapid rise in cancer deaths because of vaccine-related issues may be unwarranted.

COVID deaths in January 2022 are down from their very elevated level in January 2021.

Cerebrovascular diseases, diabetes and kidney disease deaths all are higher, in this very small sample. These diseases would all seem to possibly be influenced by a greater number of COVID cases or perhaps by side effects associated with vaccines or with treatments. Researchers interested in these topics should be aware that data are being collected that might give insight into changes in the number of deaths associated with these causes.

One thing that alarmed me when I looked at the CDC’s list of “selected” natural causes is that the list of diseases for which data is given is not very complete. One grouping that clearly has been omitted is diseases of the liver. I would strongly suspect that deaths from diseases of the liver are rising, if people have been staying at home and drinking more alcoholic beverages.

[6] Conclusions and ideas for further examination.

Clearly, the CDC has a huge quantity of data that can be examined if anyone wants to put the time and energy into looking at it. Too often researchers coming from the biological sciences do not stop and think about using whatever data is available to support or refute their ideas, at least based on the evidence to date.

The significant increases in mortality for the many age groups between 15 and 64 would seem to suggest that something is going badly wrong. Someone should be examining these changes. If part of the problem is that vaccines are having serious side effects, this can perhaps be seen by analyzing deaths by cause for these age groups.

The lack of COVID cases in the youngest age groupings (babies and Ages 1-4) would suggest that vaccines are not really needed for these age groupings. Babies don’t excessively fill hospitals with COVID cases. Training their immune systems to look for a long-extinct version of the virus cannot be very helpful in the long run.

If the underlying purpose of vaccines is to help the profitability of big companies, hospitals, doctors and vaccine-makers, this makes a big difference in our understanding of what we are being told. Clearly, the government is also a big employer; its ability to stay within its budget is enhanced by holding down the hospital and other medical costs of its employees. For example, if the government wants the hospitalization costs and work lost by those in the US Army and US Navy to be as low as possible, it will mandate vaccines for these employees. The CDC, being a government agency, cannot help but be at least somewhat influenced by what government leaders are demanding when interpreting scientific evidence.

The government cannot explain that the reason it wants everyone to be vaccinated has essentially nothing to do with disease transmission, without upsetting many people, so it publicizes its change in stance with respect to vaccines as little as possible. Businesses do not want it known that their reason for demanding vaccines is to hold down their own COVID healthcare costs, so they are not anxious to publicize the underlying reason, either. Thus, the vast majority of citizens are not aware of the fact that even with boosters, their chance of catching COVID and passing it along to others is still very high. Studies seem to indicate that boosters may provide an individual person with a short window (6 weeks, or so) of lower likelihood of catching COVID, but the overall effect is not enough to reduce the overall pattern of disease transmission.

If a vaccine against Omicron is developed, we need to be aware that there is a high probability that by the time the vaccine is widely distributed, the virus will have mutated sufficiently that its only benefit will be to somewhat reduce the severity of whatever version of COVID is prevalent at the time the next wave of cases appears. Thus, we cannot hope that with a better-directed vaccine, it will make any substantial difference in disease transmission. Thus, we should expect that the major benefit will always be “reduced healthcare costs with respect to COVID.”

There are quite a few people who have discovered from reading on-line articles that there are ways of potentially reducing the severity of COVID besides receiving the vaccine. These include raising vitamin D levels in advance of contracting COVID and taking any number of common, inexpensive drugs (including aspirin) if the disease does hit. They also recognize that the long-term effects of the vaccines are unknown. For example, if repeated too many times, the vaccines may damage the immune system, according to some analyses. The views of these vaccine-refusers need to be respected. The vaccine-refusers can easily be turned into scapegoats.

About Gail Tverberg

My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
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4,227 Responses to A Few Insights Based on CDC Data Regarding COVID and its Vaccines

  1. Fast Eddy says:

    hahaha she was EAGER to be jabbed… click the image — fantastic https://t.me/robinmg/20881?single

    TruDUNCE https://t.me/chiefnerd/3871

    Sinister Studies and Dangerous mRNA Jabs Going Directly into the Bloodstream – Dr. Naomi Wolf

    A Chinese study took two groups of mice: one injected with mRNA in the muscle and the other injected intravenously.

    – 34% of the mice who were injected intravenously developed enlarged hearts.

    – The mice who were injected in the muscle also suffered harm, but to a much lesser extent.

    – Inferred conclusion: If you get the injection into the bloodstream, you cause more harm.

    Coincidentally, two years ago, the CDC and NIH stopped telling healthcare workers to aspirate the needle, a practice that prevents injections into the bloodstream.


    @VigilantFox | Rumble (https://rumble.com/v19lxq2-sinister-studies-and-dangerous-mrna-jabs-going-directly-into-the-bloodstrea.html) | Full Video (https://www.redvoicemedia.com/video/2022/06/dr-naomi-wolf-majority-of-covid-vaccine-adverse-events-occurring-in-western-europe-and-america-video/ref/8/)

    • Xabier says:

      And another reason, perhaps, for using so many amateur injectors in mass vaccination centres?

      Further evidence of harm being intended and long-planned?

      We were set up for this years ago, it seems.

      Setting aside the dead and crippled, and the heart damage, we have whole populations with a presumably substantial – if varied – level of physical and immune system damage, perfect hosts for generating variants and highly vulnerable to all kinds of infection: just ripe for gradual but inexorable extermination – and it will all seem so natural…..

      • Fast Eddy says:

        I know someone who was injected at a pop up clinic by an off-duty shampoo girl from a hair salon … she was injecting people to make a few extra dollars.

        Duh… not that it’s rocket science … but keep in mind there are lots of completely useless MOREONS out there…. if one’s full time job is a shampoo girl… I’m thinking they are not competent to inject people

        The person went ahead and got injected anyway — hahaha — speaking of MOREONS

  2. Fast Eddy says:

    South Africa Ends All Remaining Covid Restrictions Including Vaccine and Testing Entry Requirements


    Of course you would — if you wanted Devil Covid to spread across countries and continents as quickly as possible!!!

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      yes we do want it as quickly as possible!

      last days of June?


      the waiting is the hardest part.

      que sera sera.

  3. Fast Eddy says:

    Make love not carbon … hahahahaha

    New Poll Reveals 39% of Students Think All Speakers Who Cause Someone Offence Should be Banned https://dailysceptic.org/2022/06/23/new-poll-reveals-students-want-less-free-speech-on-campus/

    This is our best and brightest hahaha

  4. Michael Diakakis says:


    had not visited the site for some time, and probably this has already been mentioned, in which case my apologies for everybody’s time. There is a Danish immunology professor (Dr Christine Stabell Benn) who has been studying the side-effects of various types of vaccines to the immune system. Very interesting, mainly for the reason that there are significant and highly counter-intuitive implications to any vaccination programme.

    ( Danish Institute for Advanced Study public lecture, which I have not listened to: )


    There is also an UnHerd U-T channel interview to Freddie Sayers (where I heard Dr Benn speak, which now I cannot find).

    • Dr. Benn is an interesting speaker. She is making the point that we cannot assume that a vaccine has no affect on human health, other than the effect on the particular disease that we are trying to eliminate with the vaccine. In some cases, the vaccines can have a very detrimental effect on health in general.

      I didn’t get a change to listen to all the video. (Some parts I felt like I needed to go back and listen to again.) My impression was that she was saying that the live attenuated vaccines often worked quite well; they provided more benefit, besides just stopping the disease they were aimed at. The example is the old tuberculosis vaccine.

      Other types of vaccines seem not to have as uniformly favorable effect. She talks about one vaccine that increased the mortality of female recipients by a factor of 2.5.

      I got the impression that Dr. Benn was hopeful that a live attenuated vaccine for COVID would work better than the ones we have now.

      The talk by Dr. Benn is only 35 minutes long, with a Q/A afterward.

      Maybe someone else can listen to more of this, and fill in what she really said.

    • ivanislav says:

      Excellent presentation. Finally a little intelligence from someone in the vaccine space – *obviously* we need to examine long term health effects of vaccines, not just their efficacy against the target disease. This is so blindingly obvious as to be maddening, yet it’s not done, probably because it could uncover that vaccinations can be harmful.

      I want to see measures of the health and well-being of those who receive the entire childhood vaccine schedule, versus those who receive none (eg Amish).

  5. Rodster says:

    “Summer Preview: Rolling Blackouts, Higher Gas Prices, Natural Gas Rationing In Europe And A Historic Diesel Crisis“


    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      Summertime, and the living is easy.

      2022 is already an epic year, where collapse has begun an acceleration, plus the minor detail of the giant historic immensity of the Great Russian Reset.

      can the second half of 2022 meet or exceed the awesomeness of the first half?

      Europe seems to think so.

      que sera sera.

  6. Fast Eddy says:

    Let’s go back in time to when UEP was presented to the Elders.. who had put together a team of best and brightest to provide a plan for what to do when cheap energy was mostly burned up…

    So… we have two options – ROF (face ripping – including you guys who will be skinned alive)… or UEP — extermination.

    Tell us more about how to exterminate so many people.

    First we convince them to take an experimental injection to protect against a flu like virus that we convince them is as deadly as the black plague…. we tell them they won’t get the virus if they inject…

    Then when they all get the virus multiple times in spite of the injection we tell them they won’t die… when they die we tell them they had long covid – get more boosters…

    In the meantime the vaccines which are not vaccines are causing more contagious and more deadly mutations… and we tell them they need to get more boosters to protect against the virus…

    The ‘vaccines’ are also meant to destroy their immune systems so they get sick all the time and many start to die — we blame that on long covid and they take more boosters.

    Then… they die in the hundreds of millions or billions — and everyone left is so frightened they lock down and starve to death.

    As we get close to detonation and the energy situation goes critical we invent a war and blame everything on Putin ….

    The hordes will be unaware of what we have done … and right to the very end.. when they are sick and dying .. and starving… they will crying out for more boosters…

    Wow – this is such an outlandish plan… surely the hordes will see through what we are up to?

    Oh no – we’ve run trials… most of them will do as they are told

    They are stoopid MOREONS.

    • Not necessarily the best and brightest.

      The best order takers who are the best bullshitters, ass kissers and liars who know how to say what the Elders want to hear.

  7. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    Business Insider
    Electric vehicles are getting more expensive because raw material costs have more than doubled to $8,000, research finds

    The cost of raw materials needed to make electric vehicles is rising.

    The average cost in raw materials is now around $8,255 per vehicle, according to consulting firm AlixPartners.

    EV manufacturers including Tesla have increased the price of their cars.

    The cost of producing electric vehicles is soaring, according to new research from consulting firm AlixPartners.

    The average cost of raw materials — including the cobalt, nickel, and lithium needed to make EV batteries — is now around $8,255 per vehicle, the research said.

    That cost represents an increase of more than 140% from the $3,381 in raw materials it cost to make an electric car in March 2020, according to CNBC.

    The cost in raw materials needed to produce an EV is now 125% more than the raw material cost of a comparable internal combustion engine vehicle, according to AlixPartners.

    High raw material costs come amid ongoing supply chain disruptions across the EV industry. The war in Ukraine has helped push prices even higher given Russia is a key exporter of some of the metals used in the production of battery cells.

    Many EV manufacturers are increasing the price of their cars, partly because of the rising cost of raw materials.

    Tesla has enacted price hikes across all models, with the cost of a Model X rising as much as $6,000, Insider’s Bea Nolan previously reported. The electric car giant has also been struggling with supplies of computer chips as a result of ongoing supply chain issues and staff layoffs.

    Ford and EV startup Rivian have also increased the cost of their vehicles. Ford previously said the rising cost of raw materials had hampered profitably, multiple outlets reported.

    AlixPartners predicted that the supply chain constraints and pent up demand for electric vehicles pushing up the cost of the cars would continue through to 2024, the report said.

    Interest in electric cars has increased as a result of high gas prices, but the rising cost of electric options is putting the vehicles more out of reach for many ordinary consumers.

    According to the car-buying site Edmunds, the average price paid for a new EV hit $60,054 in February. That price spiked to $60,984 in May, Bloomberg reported, citing Edmunds.

    Read the original article on Business Insider

    PS Scotty Kilmer on YouTube alerted that TIRES on EVs are killer expensive because of the excess weight of the vehicles.


    Scotty is (of course) 100% correct. I work as a technician for an EV company (big one) and the amount of tires I change in a daily basis is staggering. One model in particular frequently gets belt separation on the tires, even though they only have about 7-10k miles on them. Due to the weight of these cars, and the amount of power they can put out, the tire wear is much faster than normal cars. And as Scotty said, a full set is NOT cheap. When I think of all those tires that are gonna end up in a landfill, I wonder if these cars are really better for the environment…

    • Fast Eddy says:

      According to the car-buying site Edmunds, the average price paid for a new EV hit $60,054 in February.

      Wow! Probably closer to 70k by now .. I repeat – only a total f789ing re tard ed MOREON who has been sniffing glue … buys an EV. There are ZERO advantages. ZERO as in 0.

      If they were to admit it (but they won’t cuz saving planet) they would admit

      “The two best days of owning an EV are the day you buy it and the day you sell it.”

      • drb753 says:

        It is correct that the population be slowly introduced to the fact that every day is the best day of the rest of their life. Cherry on top, the day you sell it, is going to be a rare day that was better than the day before.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Haha … how much is a set of tires – USD2000+

      The EV owners never complain about this.. cuz saving the planet.

      F789ing MOREONS

      Another plastic sack of coal into the fire – in honour of them saving the world

  8. CTG says:

    I guess Gail has decided to “intention” it to happen :

    China Faces Power Shortage As Heatwave Pushes Demand To Record


    We just talked about this a few days ago when I mentioned tourism in China…

    haha…heheh…hohoho… I am now thinking that because we talked about it, it happened.

  9. https://thehonestsorcerer.medium.com/why-the-world-economy-hasnt-collapsed-yet-8205189f5a15

    tl.dr: the lockdowns did save BAU for two years plus and the companies still have some slack remaining.

    • This is a good article, saying thing that readers of OurFiniteWorld.com already know. The economy is collapsing; it is just not completely collapsed yet.

    • Rodster says:

      Thanks for a link to that article. It was indeed a very good read and most importantly humanity’s suicide pact they made with fossil fuels. We do indeed live in interesting times.

      • Xabier says:

        The Fossil Fuel devil gave us all our wishes, and more.

        We forgot about the contract: but now, he’s here to collect……

    • nikoB says:

      Pretty much channeling JMG’s work. Look at some other posts. And they are a sorcerer too. Perhaps not so honest.

  10. Fast Eddy says:

    Another call — same story as before EXCEPT that I am now finishing with I know you are not giving proper info to people who come in — so what I am going to do is walk in there and have others I know walk in and ask what the side effects are… and RECORD the conversation.

    So you better start informing people cuz if you don’t we will have this on a recording and when kids or adults get damaged – we will come after you for not giving them proper information and we’ll be seeking damages.

  11. Fast Eddy says:

    MONKEYPOX June 23rd 2022; we are damaging immune systems with these COVID shots, & suppressing the immune system; monkeypox is mild at present, localized to men-who-have-sex-men

    The vaccinated have suppressed immunity and are immunocompromised due the COVID shots; monkeypox as mild as it is and confined to MSM and bi-sexuals, can become very lethal to the rest of society

    Vanden Bossche also warns against what we are doing playing around with monkeypox and not acutely addressing it, with political games and word games and woke BS…monkeypox can become more virulent in humans! We are mocking around and allowing this mild monkeypox to expand in an immunosuppressed population (vaccinated). If you let it expand and spread as you CDC and PHAC etc. are doing now, we will drive it to more virulence societally.

    Don’t you think we should have cancelled PRIDE for this year? Don’t you think CDC guidance should have not been para ‘if you are infected and still want to go the rave or parties or bath houses then do this’…what mocking insanity is that? Why did you shut entire societies and children down for 2 years and caused suicides yet are afraid to tell the gay and bisexual community to have no sex contact for 2 weeks? I need to know. Why?


  12. Fast Eddy says:

    There’s been a 44% increase in death rate in just under a year of reporting according to the CDC.
    Why are they not informing the public?


    • Not on overall deaths, however.

      • drb753 says:

        I keep a tab on euromomo charts, and indeed after the vaccines mortality has increased, however, I estimate by 5%. About 1.2% of Europeans die every year, so 5% of 1.2% is not a lot. They do die younger.

        • Lidia17 says:

          EU pop. = 450m x .012 x .05 = 270k.
          Still a lot of people to intentionally or negligently kill…

          I still think the fertility angle will develop into the bigger issue. Recent study on sperm not looking so good:

          the text of my 6/19/22 tweet understated the evidence of a possible longer term, ~ 5-month follow-up decline, calling it a “rebound” when “concentration and TMC were reduced also on T3, [though] these values did not reach statistical significance.” In other words, the trend was toward a persistent decline, although it did not “reach statistical significance,” but may well have been evident, and “statistically significant,” merely by studying more subjects.


          • Lidia17 says:

            Oh, and I should say, “kill SO FAR”. The two vacx fatalities I know of personally both occurred this month. I think we’ll see increasing rates.

  13. Fast Eddy says:

    Update for norm …. ski hill was too busy… some stoopid Maori holiday and the hordes poured in … so I turned around and came back….

    And called another chemist hahaha…cuz.

    Same story except I said wife took my kid in against my wishes… was not informed about possible heart damage before injecting… kid in hospital – serious heart damage… 20% chance of death within 5 years… possible need for transplant…

    Why did you not inform her????

    ‘Because it might scare them from going ahead with the shot’

    As you can imagine — that triggered a tirade of vitriol…

    Including how about I come and inject your kid with the Safe shots – and see what happens – let’s experiment on your family.

    Do you know that healthy kids are not getting very sick from covid – they are not dying… yet you inject them for what – to collect your 50 bucks????

    Endless – what is wrong with you – are you brain dead — are you mentally retarded — you are sick in your mind you are a murderer – you are destroying lives…

    My kids life is ruined and it is your fault – cuz you did not warn — that is on your conscience forever — you wrecked his life – and how many more????

    Are you at least going to warn other parents …. not my decision she says..

    Another tirade of Hate…

    Finishing up with you are a f789ing murdering disgusting bitch you are a monster you are destroying lives… have you seen al the people dying from your injections.

    Then as always – I hung up — that hopefully leaves them feeling violated. If only she’d do the right thing and hang herself.

    I highly recommend anyone who is feeling frustrated with this ghastly situation – pick up the phone – block your ID and start making some random calls of this nature

  14. Azure Kingfisher says:

    “First a trickle, then a flood: the vaccine adverse events dam is breaking,” by el gato malo:

    “For every 6.4 people Moderna kept out of hospital for COVID, it inflicted 15.1 serious AE’s.

    “For every 2.3 people Pfizer kept out of hospital, it inflicted 10.1 serious AE’s.

    “Moderna’s ratio is terrible.

    “Pfizer’s is tragic.

    “These vaccines fail massively on the most rudimentary harm-benefit analysis, and harms here look significantly suppressed and the placebo arms look salted with extras to make divergence appear less. There are lots of signs of pfraud in the trials.”


    • Fast Eddy says:

      The ship has sailed… it’s actually better that these fools do not realize they have destroyed their immune systems while at the same time helping to generate mutations of the virus…

      Why worry them… they won’t get it anyway cuz Stoopid… let them go to their graves believing Safe and Effective — More Boosters….

      Things are looking really good for anyone who has a fetish that involves misanthropy.

  15. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Father-of-two, 58, ‘left paralysed’ by first AstraZeneca Covid jab must use wheelchair and walking frame after 420 days in hospital

    A father-of-two who claims to have suffered a rare side effect of a coronavirus vaccine has finally been discharged from hospital – after 420 days.

    Former security worker Anthony Shingler was left ‘paralysed’ after taking his first AstraZeneca jab.

    He was rushed to the Royal Stoke University Hospital with severe aches, as well as pins and needles in March last year just days after being vaccinated. After spending months on a ventilator at the Royal Stoke, Anthony was transferred to Haywood Hospital in November to continue his long and painful recovery.

    Now the 58-year-old has returned home to Northwood to be with his wife Nicola, and their two daughters.

    ‘I can’t go to work, drive or dress myself. My hands are so bad that I can’t grip anything. I use a wheelchair and have a walking frame I have to lean on. I can’t stand on my own. I can only walk up to 20 metres with a frame.

    ‘I wouldn’t wish it on my worst enemy, it’s really bad. I did not like any of it but I am lucky to be alive.’

    Mr Shingler now regrets following Government advice to get vaccinated against coronavirus.

    He said: ‘It’s life-changing but I didn’t do something that caused this. We just did what the government told is to do. I regret getting the vaccine. If I had known there was a chance of getting this, I wouldn’t have gone anywhere near it.

    • Rodster says:

      “A father-of-two who claims to have suffered a RARE side effect of a coronavirus vaccine”

      It’s never the vaccines fault because we now know they are 100% safe and effect.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Why don’t you inform people that they can damage their hearts if they take the covid vaccine?

        “Because we don’t want to scare them off of taking the vaccine’

        This person should be beaten to death.

        What do you reckon norm?

    • Fast Eddy says:

      of course they were told the only risk was a sore shoulder…

      Why in the f789 are these idiots not returning to the person who injected them and raising hell?

      Or engaging in vendettas?

    • Fast Eddy says:

      We can breed these folks with Celine Dion… and make fetish movies of the ‘action’… Big Money Idea.

      • Lidia17 says:

        FE, have you ever considered that at some subliminal level they *want* the damage? They embrace the damage?

        • Lidia17 says:

          Maybe this is the kind of essential tribal rite of passage that moderns have eschewed.. trial by vacx. If you survive, ok… if you don’t, you’re clearly unworthy, the gods are not smiling upon you, etc.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Ultimate Sadomasochism?

  16. Fast Eddy says:

    If this new mutation is anything like Omicron in terms of contagiousness… it is gonna rip hard…

    When omicron hit NZ — most people in NZ contracted it within a few weeks of its arrival. So many in such a short time frame that some businesses had to close due to staff shortages… I went to the hardware store and there was a skeleton staff…

    The deaths will come hard and fast once this hits….

    Of course the borders were opened everywhere to ensure it spreads quickly. Hahaha… and the f789ing MOREONS were celebrating that and going on holleeeday!!!

    MOREONS hahaha Die MOREONS

    Very close to one final supermarket binge… the good thing is that it is winter… the food won’t go off… big pile of wood and coal out back — lots of ammo etc … plenty of popping corn…

    Settle in for the End of Days shortly

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      at last, the CEP is being implemented.



      • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

        on a personal note:

        I think that roughly about now is the 5th anniversary of me beginning to post comments here (though reading OFW and even The Oil Drum for many years before).

        5 years of annoying optimism!

        anyway, I expect Reality to deliver at least another 5.


        • JMS says:

          Nobody knows what the next six months will bring, but I can assure you that right now it feels almost like 2019 here, with job offers raining down on me from all directions. Clearly my clients don’t know that the world will end before next Christmas.

          I don’t know either, since what I am seeing is a desperate attempt to demolish our system, in order to prolong as much as possible some kind of BAU for some and avoid the financial collapse that would lead to rippping faces situation that our friend FE likes to stress. Covid was the first step in this demolishing process, Ukraine was the second, and it is inevitable that others will follow, starting (or ending?) with a big cyber blackout.

          Anyway, BAU today baby!

          • Fast Eddy says:

            The turkey was making plans for the new year… until the axe came down on his neck

            • JMS says:

              For turkeys as for pumpkins or Peruvians, to live is to put your life in danger. That’s why human wisdom abounds in adages about carpe diem, living each hour as if it were the last etc. The sad fact is that no animal (except perhaps jellyfish) owns its life. Alas beings are only tenants, and life’s contract says any tenant can be evicted at any moment, without warning. But we don’t complain, we understand, we’re not whining turkeys, we are OFWERS, which is the third best thing to be (after jellyfish and elder of course).

  17. Fast Eddy says:

    More on this excellent development:

    Covid: Omicron sub-variants ‘evolving to target the lungs and overcome immunity’ as UK cases surge Scientists fear the sub-variants may be similar to the more deadly Alpha and Delta variants
    We told you, we told world, these COVID vaccines would drive infectious variants but also more virulent variants; non-neutralizing Abs in URT drive infectiousness, in LRT, protects against illness


    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      “… the sub-variants may be similar to the more deadly Alpha and Delta variants”

      wow! OMG!!

      wholly cannoli, Batman!!!!

      run for the hills, give up, it’s over FOR REAL, I mean THIS TIME it’s REALLY FOR REAL.

      so… how incredibly HIGH were those Alpha and Delta death rates?

      • MM says:

        I read a shitload of people above the age of 82 died!
        Are them aged still around?

        Luckily I and david… and the Fast are still here to waste our time with chewing on nothingbrugers.

      • nikoB says:

        The issue here maybe that the vaxx induced Abs that are allowing high level but mild infection in the upper airways but also protecting the lower lungs will fail to protect as the variant reverts to a form more similar to delta and alpha. Devid covid maybe here. I am sure though that more vaccinating will help. /sarc off

        • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

          that could be a severe problem for many of the jabbed.

          indeed, the early waves of Alpha and Delta were mostly in an unjabbed world.

          there seems to be agreement.

          keep boosting!


        • Fast Eddy says:

          A highly contagious version that is anything similar to Delta circulating amongst a population that has the immune system functionality of an 85 year old … is likely to qualify as Devil Covid.

          Given the state of BAU this should be taken as welcome development… we are very close to ROF.

          BTW – recall GVB indicating he’d expect a problematic mutation ‘any day now – certainly within a few months’… he said that less than two months ago.

          • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

            these theeeories border on science fiction ie just wait until the big reveal of what is coming in the near future.

            and yes much science fiction is based on factual science, and we know the science of vaccine induced immune system damage.

            but there have been many promises of MASSIVE DEATHS and yet nothing has delivered.

            this repetition won’t be continuing into 2023, will it?

            so when do the MASSIVE DEATHS begin?



      • Replenish says:

        Recap. Early study of Diamond Princess Cruises ship (completely closed population) age adjusted.. projected IFR (infection fatality rate) of Covid-19 for China at 0.4-1.2%. Public told not to trust China’s numbers. Early document averaging out world studies on C-19 says IFR 0.38%. Sweden’s Tegnell and Imperial College modeler Prof. Ferguson have it out in an Unheard interview over IFR and pandemic response. Tegnell says closer to 0.2% don’t turn into totalitarian state over respiratory virus, Ferguson (Swine flu debacle, Gates funded) says we can use c-19 as a model for new concerted response with mass testing, definitely IFR 0.9-1.0%. Stanfard’s Dr. John Ioanndis says based on previous scientific calculation of disease 1.5%. Mid pandemic USA Today article says IFR 0.26%. Seasonal flu of 1957 and 1968 IFR +/-0.1%. Fauci says in March 26, 2020 NEJM article that Sars-Cov2 is more akin to ’57 ad ’68 flu than SARS or MERS. NEJM blocks my IP address for linking this article to Reddit. CDC guidelines prior to 2020 strongly suggest early antiviral treatment for deadly respiratory virus, current guidelines suggest pain relievers.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        You need to think before you hit submit.

        What has changed since Delta….

        • Replenish says:

          Thanks for the reply. Good point.

          Mass vaccination?

          • Fast Eddy says:

            Excellent response.

            Which of course results in VAIDS… which makes deep lung Covid a rather Devlish Delight for such fools!

            One can imagine the terror that will ensure … if indeed this new mutant proves deadly to those who have f789ed themselves…

            Please keep the borders wide open and the planes flying — and don’t test anyone hahaha… just let them roar across the planet spreading DC as quickly as possible

            hahaha…. funny that

            • Fred says:

              You’ve been watching too many zombie movies.

              We’re going to roll on for a while yet. Plenty of crappification to look forward to.

              Hope you’re using Russian coal in your Rayburn “bags of freedom”.

  18. When I go around and see poor women being pregnant or carrying an infant, I see walking dead.

    When I hear babies cry, I imagine their last cries, which will be faint since they would not have eaten anything.

    A huge cleansing of the earth , to rid of the unnecessariats, which will make 1845 look like a fasting exercise, is due. It is inevitable, and civilization will win.

  19. The revenge of the landowners against the rest will come as the crunch approaches.

    I have criticized Gail’s model of economy for a long time. The truth is, in the old days it was common to find people who would work for a cot and three hots (usually it was 1 hot and 2 lukewarm, but). No pay.

    A lot of buildings, particularly lower income housing, will be razed outright to provide green space for today’s winners’ children to play around.

    Resources are scarce, and they will go to those who can afford it. Those who can’t will simply be cleared out, to die in the wilderness.

    It will not be illegal to spray bullets to tenants who won’t leave. The owners will have all the rights, and they will have no shortage of people who will agree to be paid for nothing, just for some security.

    • If this happens, the economy is on the edge of collapse.

    • Fast Eddy says:


    • Artleads says:

      “A lot of buildings, particularly lower income housing, will be razed outright to provide green space for today’s winners’ children to play around.”

      In light of which, it’s fun–why not?–to go about saying: demolish nothing, build nothing. The low income ones whose shelter will be razed, won’t agree, will do nothing toward the no-demolition option that gives them a chance. We cannot fathom what is in their minds. They’ll go about making little irrelevant (fanciful) comments re developer control. Lambs to the slaughter, they’ll just wait to be pushed out to sleep under the bridge till things get too bad even for that.

  20. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Recession fears plunge Canadian banks into 20% drop from record

    Canadian banks fell more than 20 per cent from their record high set in early February as recession fears send investors fleeing.

    The S&P TSX Financials Sector Index and the S&P/TSX Commercial Banks Index, which tracks the country’s eight largest lenders, both dropped Thursday, adding to another day of losses after inflation in Canada surged to a four-decade high and US data pointed to rising unemployment and slumping manufacturing and services activity.

    Toronto-Dominion Bank, Canada’s second-largest lender, led losses as it dropped as much as 3.6 per cent to its lowest point in nine months. Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce and Bank of Nova Scotia fell as much as 3.4 per cent and 3.3 per cent, respectively.

    • There doesn’t seem to be much faith in Canadian banks right now.

      I noticed Deutsche Bank stock was down 11% today. It is worse off than the Canadian banks.

  21. Michael Le Merchant says:
    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      no surprise, since the USA is already in a recession.

      definitely a few more recessions to come, before The Collapse in the 2030s.

      • Rodster says:

        Or maybe in 2040 as the Collapse is always a decade away. See what I did there? 😜

        • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

          no Collapse of IC until 2040 is delusional fantasy.

          let’s suspend the irrrational optimism. 😉

          • Tim Groves says:

            Remember, nuclear fusion is (still) only ten years away. Electricity too cheap to meter! Imagine that!

      • Or maybe the system is starting to come apart now. We just don’t know which parts can continue.

        • MM says:

          Unfortunately we are tackling a rear window problem.
          Or a Cassandra problem, if you like the historical records.

          “This is an ongoing event” or as the guy said to the Donald:
          “This is a live event”

          and we’re right in it.
          Did we not all aspire to it?

          yes and no, i would say…

          One thing is sure: From what we see today, all this shit will just be burried in histroy, because it is made by the winners meaning that it has to repeat. (@mirror on thg wall here ?…)

    • With the dollar relatively high, making goods for sale as exports becomes harder to do.

  22. Michael Le Merchant says:

    This is signaling a major problem in the global credit markets coming at us quickly. DB is the most systemically dangerous bank in the world. It’s been kept on life support by the German Govt, ECB, BoE and Fed since 2008. This chart means extreme pain is coming our way:

    • HerbHere says:

      Please explain why the chart means extreme pain coming? What do you see in there?

      • Michael Le Merchant says:

        Euro banks trying to get corporate & HY bonds off their books at the same time. Seems DB & CS are particularly bad at it.

        With default risk increasing & Gov bonds uncertain direction, perfect storm is brewing for Eurobanks.

        Thank God LSE-graduated Lagarde is going to save the day…

        • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:


          the real primary energy economy of Europe has a FF supply crisis.

          the secondary financial economy of Europe has a banking crisis.


          que sera sera.

  23. Michael Le Merchant says:

    DB’s CDS about to take flight

    • We don’t need Deutsche Bank to become the next Lehman Brothers.

      • MM says:

        What do you mean by “we”?
        DB was long time signalled to be rotten from within.
        Do you have DB Stocks or securities?
        Nobody with more than 2ct worth of knowledge has.
        That applies to a lot of assets.
        The question is, who has the 3ct or the 4ct assets?
        And what exactly qualifies them?

  24. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Granholm triples down on ‘green’ as ‘the only way out’ of high gas prices a day ahead of meeting energy CEOs

    U.S. Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm on Wednesday warned that the nation would continue to feel the sting of price shocks if it did not break its dependence on fossil fuels.

    Speaking to reporters from the White House, Granholm said the nation would feel price shocks so long as it remains “overly reliant on oil and fossil fuels.”

    “This is not going to be the last time. The next time that there’s a war, the next time there’s a pandemic, or another hurricane – these extreme weather events we are experiencing – they will impact the access that we have to fossil fuels,” Granholm said.

    She added that the only way for the nation to avoid “boom-and-bust cycles” was to break its “sole reliance” on fossil fuels. That effort, she said, would mean diversifying the nation’s fuel sources by deploying “clean energy.”

    • Xabier says:

      ‘Clean energy’ = no economy, human near-extinction = no boom and bust.

      Damn it, she’s right!

    • Ed says:

      Mighty thin veneer. She knows nothing about the practicality of “clean energy”. We have the blind leading the blind.

    • This “energy secretary” doesn’t understand the problems we are up against.

      • MM says:

        The thing she needs to understand is to get her pension plan for “minimum representative seat duration” sorted out.

      • Kowalainen says:

        Yes, the fossil fuels isn’t the root cause of the perpetual “boom and bust”.

        Prey: Tryhards and MOARons breeding and consuming like rabbits on viagra.
        Predators: Depletion, disease, corruption.

        But nobody tell her, because within temptation is the truth of a species.


        • when surplus energy is available, all species breed to excess.

          when it isn’t, they die back.

          those in government are as fully aware of this as you and me, but can’t just get up and say so.

          instead they must offer ‘solutions’ which are of course nonsense, but that is what people want to hear.

          • Kowalainen says:

            Cope for yourself.

            But ultimately, cope is cope and it is what it is.

            • no idea what your reply meant

            • Fast Eddy says:

              It means — encourage more mothers to inject their infants so that they don’t spread the Vid to you norm… if they babies die then that’s even better cuz then they are non-vectors

            • Kowalainen says:

              You’re burning through copious amounts of finite resources and want to feel all right about that.

              Cope is cheap, turning the cranks is hard.

            • Mirror on the wall says:

              You may as well try to hold a conversation with a bowl of porridge.

              ‘Be oats, Holy Br. Oats!’

              (And look out for that princess on the r/pe.)

            • Tim Groves says:

              Don’t worry about him, he’s from Finland.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Yes of course – clean energy!

    • Bobby says:

      So the alternative energy being what? The alternative natural gas chambers? Reality check please.

    • MM says:

      You ‘re right Babe, but tell me, what happened in the last 50 years?

  25. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Warwick, NY 6th-Grade Student Passes Away “Unexpectedly”

    Justin Reale of Warwick, New York passed away on Sunday, June 19 at the age of 12.

    “It is with deep regret that we inform you about a recent loss to our school community,” Warwick Valley Central School District Superintendent David Leach stated in a letter to the school community. “On June 19, 2022, Warwick Valley Middle School sixth-grader, Justin Reale, passed away. On behalf of the school district, I want to send Justin’s family our deepest condolences at this very hard time.”

    Justin’s parents told the school district that Justin had a great day on Saturday and was excited about upcoming school events. However, when his mom went to wake him that Sunday morning, she found him dead.

  26. Michael Le Merchant says:

    CRB Raw Industrial Materials – price declines are happening despite supply problems :

  27. Michael Le Merchant says:

    US existing home sales are down 9% from a year ago.

  28. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Over 400 Members of the European Union’s Parliament have shown their full support for the extension of the EU Digital COVID Certificate for another 12 months, for both EU citizens and third-country nationals, at a plenary meeting held today, on June 23.

    In a press release issued today, June 23, the Parliament has endorsed the deal with the Member States to prolong the legal framework of the EU Digital COVID Certificate, and the same has been supported by 453 members, while 119 were against, and 19 abstained for keeping the framework in place for EU citizens. Regarding keeping the scheme in place for third-country nationals, 454 voted in favour, 112 against, and 20 abstentions.

    While the existing scheme was set to expire a week later, on June 30, the newly approved one will remain effective until June 2023. However, the new test enables the EU Commission to put the scheme to an end after six months if the same is no longer deemed necessary, SchengenVisaInfo.com reports.

  29. Michael Le Merchant says:

    SHTF – Geert was right:

    Covid: Omicron sub-variants ‘evolving to target the lungs and overcome immunity’ as UK cases surge

    What they’re saying: The risk that strains BA.4 and BA.5 pose “to global health is potentially greater than that of original BA.2,” said Dr. Kei Sato, the study’s lead author, per The Guardian.

    “It looks as though these things are switching back to the more dangerous form of infection, so going lower down in the lung,” said Dr. Stephen Griffin, a virologist at the University of Leeds, per the report.

    By the numbers: Earlier in June, the BA.4 and BA.5 only constituted 6% and 7% of all cases in the U.S., respectively. Three weeks later, the BA.5 strain alone makes up 23.5% of cases in the U.S., while BA.4 has a hold on 11.4%, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention tracker.

    • Fast Eddy says:


      Geert is popping the Champagne and shouting I told you so!

      Let the dying begin! Let the hospitals be overrun.

      Imagine what it will be like to be a multi-jabbed MOREON who encounters this new mutation hahaha.. it would be like Pee Wee Herman being attacked by Mike Tyson hahahaha… no – no — more like a Christian child being attacked by lions in the Coliseum …



    • Bobby says:

      One trend that is irrefutable. The actual disease spreads faster and exposure to each variant occurs before the update ‘treatment’ arrives. Correct me if wrong
      Can this really be called protection?

  30. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Ecuador national strike: tens of thousands march in Quito and take over regional government buildings

    22 June was the 10th day of the national strike in Ecuador, called by CONAIE against the anti-working-class policies of banker president Lasso. The brutal police repression that has left two dead and dozens injured has not stopped the movement. Columns of indigenous peasant protesters have reached the capital, breaking through police and military lines and defying the state of emergency that was declared by the president in five provinces – including the capital Quito. The government and ruling class are in a panic, and the movement is taking on an insurrectionary character in some provinces.

    • According to the article (the end of it):

      The events in Ecuador are the continuation of the interrupted process of October 2019. The potential for such mass movements likewise exists in the rest of Latin America, a continent that is just coming out of the pandemic and finding itself increasingly devasted by the global capitalist crisis.

      Things were already going badly in 2019. The shutdown temporarily solved the problem. Now, Equador is back to th problems it. had earlier. The government is at risk of being overthrown.

  31. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Traffic recovering fast in China:

  32. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Europe in a recession, big misses:

  33. Michael Le Merchant says:

    More profits for Moderna

    Covid vaccine: Why Moderna’s new booster jab will be the best bet to fight surging BA.4 and BA.5 variants

    US vaccine company Moderna has now revealed its new “bivalent” booster jab, which targets both Omicron and the original Covid strain, provides good protection against BA.5 and BA.5.

    These latest findings build on previous research, published this month, which found that the jab provided good protection against the first version of Omicron, BA.1.

    At that point, the researchers said the booster’s effect on the later Omicron subvariants – BA.4 and BA.5 – was still to be determined, and now it has, although as is usual with evolving viruses, further research is needed to be absolutely sure.

    How good is the protection?
    “We think this is a strong, powerful antibody response, that is probably long lasting,” said Moderna’s chief medical officer Dr Paul Burton.

    The latest clinical data found that a dose of the booster – known as “214” – “elicited potent neutralising antibody responses against the Omicron subvariants BA.4 and BA.5 in all participants, regardless of prior infection”.

    • Lastcall says:

      “We think this is a strong, powerful antibody response, that is probably long lasting,” said Moderna’s chief medical officer Dr Paul Burton.”

      ‘We think….’
      ‘…is probably long lasting…’
      Anoher weasel spouting weasel words.

    • Bobby says:

      What Murderna is really saying to their conditioned believers is that they need to line up and support their installers narrative, cos “Cha Ching” is safe and effective and only ‘Cha Ching’ can provide protection so long as there is ‘Cha Ching’ available to pay for it. Definitely more research is needed, but eye blinders are available for all participants free of charge, if any adverse events are witnessed please insure eye blinders are installed correctly and to face sideways while walking forward in the queue. Instructions on gag orders are in place on the walls, which must be read and followed in order to remain employed, economically viable and part of the social herd. Avoid talking to actual scientists, Drs or introverts who have alternative cheaper views. Please leave personal responsibility for health choices and sovereignty over your dead body at the doorstep and sign the exemption from liability form on the way in. Most of all, please don’t think and have a grate next three months….maybe

      • MM says:

        Applying old school epidemiology here even if I am not:

        After 2 years of c9/11 without me being vaccinated that must statistically right now have infected just about every human on this planet I am not dead right now, Thus I will probably not die from any other strain of the c9/11 also without being vaccinated.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          I suspect you are correct — the problem is there will be no food when the CovIDIOTS die

          And that will not be a transitory situation….

    • nikoB says:

      Either el gato or Igor I think did a piece on this a few weeks ago.
      Apparently antibody response only occurs if they made a vaccine that still had the wuhan strain in it. The omicron on its own did not do mach at all.

  34. Michael Le Merchant says:

    NY diesel crack spread keeps heading higher:

  35. Michael Le Merchant says:

    “The cause of death is not yet known.”

    Schoolboy, 14, collapses and dies in class 30 minutes after telling gran ‘I love you’

    • Rodster says:

      Supposedly the UK has a vaccine and booster policy for school children so let’s assume this lad was vaxed and boosted.

    • Xabier says:


      What the propagandists and behavioural psychologists in the UK would call a ‘vaccine super-hero kid’, no doubt.

  36. Michael Le Merchant says:

    U.S. house price-to-rent ratio has gone parabolic!

  37. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    NO COMMENT from the JABBERS!!!


    Spokespeople for Pfizer and BioNTech were not immediately available to discuss the implications of the study’s findings.

    The United States’ newly dominant Omicron subvariants, BA.4 and BA.5, are evading vaccine and infection-acquired immunity, scientists have found.

    The subvariants recently caused a fresh wave of infections in South Africa, and are pushing the U.K. to the brink of another wave of the disease.

    BA.5 recently became the dominant subvariant in the U.S., accounting for almost a quarter of COVID infections last week, while BA.4 made up just over 11% of new cases, CDC data showed.

    In a letter to the editor of the New England Journal of Medicine on Wednesday, experts from Harvard Medical School’s Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center (BIDMC) outlined their findings from a recent analysis of 54 individuals’ antibody protection against various Omicron subvariants.

    Of the participants in their study, 27 had been vaccinated and boosted with the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine, and 27 had been infected with either the BA.1 or BA.2 Omicron subvariant a median 29 days earlier.

    All but one of the participants who had recently been infected with the virus had also been vaccinated.

    The researchers tested participants’ immune responses to the BA.1, BA.2, BA.4, and BA.5 subvariants, as well as a sample of the original strain of COVID-19 (WA1/2020).

    Six months after the initial two immunization doses, median antibody levels against WA1/2020 were 21 times higher than they were against Omicron subvariants BA.4 and BA.5.

    Two weeks after a booster shot, antibody levels increased substantially, but remained three times higher against the BA.1 and BA.2 subvariants than they were against BA.4 and BA.5.

    Spokespeople for Pfizer and BioNTech were not immediately available to discuss the implications of the study’s findings.

    Researchers said their data showed that the BA.4 and BA.5 subvariants “substantially escape neutralizing antibodies induced by both vaccination and infection.”

    Adding that the findings suggested “the Omicron variant has continued to evolve with increasing neutralization escape,” the research team said the study provided “immunologic context for the current surges caused by the BA.4 and BA.5 subvariants in populations with high frequencies of vaccination and BA.1 or BA.2 infection.”

    Their findings come after a Chinese study published in the Lancet Infectious Diseases journal on Monday drew similar conclusions about BA.4 and BA.5’s ability to evade immunity.

    But it helps you stay out of the Hospital…. really!!!

  38. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Germany Warns of Lehman-Like Contagion From Russian Gas Cuts

    Germany warned that Russia’s moves to slash Europe’s natural gas supplies risked sparking a collapse in energy markets, drawing a parallel to the role of Lehman Brothers in triggering the financial crisis.

    With energy suppliers piling up losses by being forced to cover volumes at high prices, there’s a danger of a spillover effect for local utilities and their customers, including consumers and businesses, Economy Minister Robert Habeck said Thursday after raising the country’s gas risk level to the second-highest “alarm” phase.

    “If this minus gets so big that they can’t carry it anymore, the whole market is in danger of collapsing at some point,” Habeck said at a news conference in Berlin that was called at short notice. “So a Lehman effect in the energy system.”

    Europe’s largest economy faces the unprecedented prospect of businesses and consumers running out of power. For months, Russian President Vladimir Putin has gradually reduced supplies in apparent retaliation over sanctions imposed over the invasion of Ukraine. The standoff escalated last week after steep cuts to the main gas link to Germany, putting reserves for the winter at risk.

    • Rodster says:

      I guess more to the point is the question, what took Putin so long to figure it out? There’s no mention of the West, illegally seizing Russian assets around the world or the fact that the West has been bullying and threatening both Russia and Putin even before he sent in the troops into Ukraine. That’s what happens when you throw a boomerang, it eventually comes back your way.

    • Germany does. indeed have a big risk! The world economy is so interconnected that it cannot get along without Russia or without Germany. Losing both becomes a huge catastrophe for the interconnected financial system.

      • Harry McGibbs says:

        Javier Blas, commodities columnist, at Bloomberg is saying:

        “It sounds to me as if Berlin was laying the groundwork to impose price controls and suspend energy derivatives markets if it needs to declare stage 3 gas emergency.”

    • Fast Eddy says:

      UEP is in the final stages…

    • MM says:

      I do not see a reason why Russia should have slashed exports to Germany.
      Is it in the contracts?
      What contracts actually ?

      • Fred says:

        Germany took a Siemens turbine away from a Gazprom pumping station for repair. Only place that can repair it is Canada.

        Canada won’t return the turbine to Germany cos that breaches sanctions. Thus Gazprom can’t pump the gas.

        Hilarious, dumb, “let me shoot my own foot off” antics.

  39. Hubbs says:

    And just as I thought I was starting to get a handle on the financial scam being foisted upon the US citizens (and the rest of the world) I dug up this from Larouchepac on a comment by Richard Schaum on this post by Tony Papert on June 21, 2022:


    The Larouchepac, on my cursory review, fails to identify the underlying factors of natural resource depletion and energy supply constraints. So their proposals will be rendered moot once we have “corrected” all the ills of the banking and political corruption. Harley Schanger is a decent, honorable guy whom I first listened to on V the Guerilla Economist’s Rogue News podcast featuring “Hanging with Harley” which led me to this larouchepac website.

    However, there was an interesting comment I read by a poster named Richard Schaum on this thread “As Biden and FED fail, our fight to replace FED Advances.” I could read it on my iPad, but could not retrieve, copy and post this comment on my Brave Browser on my desktop PC.

    Basically Schaum writes that when you send your tax payment to the IRS, ostensibly part of the US Treasury, that check gets endorsed to the FED. Look at any check you have sent to the IRS he writes. The IRS is not part of the government nor is FED as is well known. The FED in turn deposits the tax payment money with the IMF, an agency of the United Nations where it is filtered down to the “International Bank Association” which is part of the “International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, commonly known as the World Bank.

    This sounds like a spigot and drain for trillions of US taxpayer dollars.

    • I am not sure that I believe this.

      • MM says:

        I really do not get why peoply still argue about legal stuff.
        That only applies to slaves.
        The other guys operate just as they go along without any constraints because things need gettig done. That is real progress!

    • Lidia17 says:

      A while back, they changed the designee from “Internal Revenue Service” to “United States Treasury”.

  40. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    Businesses in several different industries are rescinding job offers they made just a few months ago, in a sign the tightest labor market in decades may be showing cracks.

    Companies including Twitter Inc. , real-estate brokerage Redfin Corp. , and cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase Global Inc. have rescinded offers in recent weeks. Employers in other pockets of the economy are pulling away offers too, including some in insurance, retail marketing, consulting and recruiting services.
    More Companies Start to Rescind Job Offers
    The labor market remains hot. Yet businesses in a range of industries are pulling back job offers to recruits they were courting just a short time ago.

    At the same time, many companies have signaled a more cautious hiring approach. Netflix Inc. , Peloton Interactive Inc. , Carvana Co. and others announced layoffs. Technology giants such as Facebook parent Meta Platforms Inc. and Uber Technologies warned they will dial back hiring plans.

    The labor market remains strong overall, with an unemployment rate at 3.6%, near the half-century low it reached in early 2020.

    But these signs of caution in hiring show that executives are finding it tougher to predict the next 12 months in the economy, say hiring managers and recruiters. When a company revokes a job offer, it indicates a company’s business outlook has changed so quickly it has to undo hiring plans made sometimes weeks before.

    “I just couldn’t believe what I was hearing—like it’s a job I had had lined up for months and I really was counting on it,” said Franco Salinas, 24 years old, who learned this month that a data-analyst position he planned to start in July had been axed. “This just made me realize how fragile things are.”
    Some recruiters caution that there hasn’t been a large wave of job offers canceled. At the same time, employers still can’t find enough workers for many types of jobs.

    Yet, “going from zero to a fairly small amount seems like a big increase,” said Brian Kropp, vice president of human-resources research for advisory firm Gartner.

    He said having a job offer rescinded was almost unheard of six months ago. “If we’ve learned anything from the last couple of years, it’s that things can change quickly,” he said.

    Mr. Salinas is one of many recent college graduates who locked in a job while he wrapped his studies. Information-technology consulting firm Turnberry Solutions in October offered him a data-analyst job based in Minneapolis. An international student from Peru, he said he had passed on other offers to accept Turnberry’s. Having landed the employer-sponsored visa required to remain in the country, he felt secure in signing a lease and making other plans.

    The firm called to rescind the offer this month. A Turnberry spokeswoman confirmed two offers for data analysts had been rescinded, though the company says it is still hiring for other skill sets.


    • I can believe that companies are reminding job offers. The world outlook is suddenly a lot worse.

      • MM says:

        I really do not get what you mean:
        A Quarter is 3 months, something like the Ukraine inconvenience that had a planning framework of at least 8 years.
        3 Months ago, Yellen said inflation is transitionary, She will do what it takes and so on.
        She has exhausted her super powers in 3 months ?
        Is this an unexpected athletic vaccine death or what?

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Companies that have never made a profit and could just put out the beggars bowl and raise more funds cuz next Amazon… are now finding that’s no longer possible…

  41. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    Tony Siragusa, the NFL defensive tackle who became one of the game’s biggest players and personalities, died Wednesday at the age of 55.

    Ex-NFL DT Tony Siragusa, ‘the Goose,’ dies at age 55

    ESPN Staff Writer

    Tony Siragusa, the NFL defensive tackle who became one of the game’s biggest players and personalities, died Wednesday at the age of 55.

    The cause of Siragusa’s death was not immediately available.

    Affectionately known as “Goose,” Siragusa served as a vital cog in the middle of the Baltimore Ravens’ historic 2000 defense, which spearheaded the franchise’s first Super Bowl title that same season. He started his 12-year career by drinking away his $1,000 signing bonus as an undrafted free agent and left the game as one of its unique personalities who was known for his irreverent sense of humor and memorable pranks.

    “There was no one like Goose — a warrior on the field and a team unifier with a giving, generous heart who helped teammates and the community more than most people know,” former Ravens coach Brian Billick said. “We would not have won the Super Bowl without him. This is such stunning, sad news, and our hearts go out to Kathy and the Siragusa family.”

    Before joining the Ravens as a free agent in 1997, Siragusa spent the first seven seasons of his career with the Indianapolis Colts. Colts owner Jim Irsay tweeted that he was “heart broken as is all of Colts Nation.” Irsay added in a follow-up tweet that, “The Goose squeezed 200 fun loving years into 55!!”

    Another one bites the dust…the jab rolls on…
    Remember this awesome player back in the day..hard to believe at 55 he’s gone …

  42. Mirror on the wall says:

    Another Brexit bust up!

    The UK anti-NI Protocol bill is to receive its second reading on Monday, before it proceeds to the committee stage. Report are that the bill has the votes of enough Tory MPs to go through. DUP is insisting that there are no amendments to the bill, as a precondition for rebooting Stormont.

    It could ultimately lead to a UK-EU trade war. LOL

    > On Monday the House of Commons will vote on the Government’s Bill to override aspects of the Northern Ireland Protocol. It would give ministers the right to scrap elements of the international agreement unilaterally without permission from the EU.

    The Bill is likely to pit Brexiteer MPs against their more pro-EU colleagues in what risks turning into the most bitter debate of legislation since the UK finally broke free of Brussels’ orbit.

    Leader of the DUP Sir Jeffrey Donaldson praised the Government for announcing a vote on the legislation would take place next week.

    He said: “It is important that this bill now progresses rapidly through its legislative stages in the Commons before the summer recess and we will want to see that not only does the bill receive substantial support at Westminster, but that it is not subject to either wrecking amendments or indeed other amendments that would dilute the framework and impact of the bill.”

    The Lagan Valley MP added: “We want to see the Northern Ireland Assembly and executive restored and that can be achieved when there is a sustainable basis for doing so.

    “We will continue to be condition and not calendar led as we look forward to this bill now making rapid progress.”


  43. Adonis says:

    The Elders seem to be implementing their plan a multi year vaccination plan along with expensive energy expensive mortgage or rental payments by doing this the fossil fuels will last a lot longer giving them time to reduce the worlds population and bring in their Utopian plan with transhumanism dictating human behavior in other words survival of the fittest you will probably have to be jabbed numerous times and survive the shots along with the jabs you will probably be stuck on a vegan diet and confined to your home indefinitely that is my gut feeling of what is going on they are all in this together that is why inflation is here to stay they will just create another reshuffle or redistribution of the resources to keep the prices up.Vladimir putin was in klaus schwabs great reset school along with most of the other world leaders so its a no brainer guys we are witnessing an example of good cop bad cop in order to share the resources

    • Herbie Ficklestein says:

      Thank you, Artleads, for the inside scoop…very grateful to be in the know among the Elders..perhaps you can post the minutes of their next board meeting or zoom conference.

    • Alex says:

      Bad times – even punctuation is rationed.

    • MM says:

      Don’t ask, what the government can do for you, ask what you can do for the government!

  44. Mirror on the wall says:

    ‘Payback is a / ?’

    > Germany Warns of Lehman-Like Contagion From Russian Gas Cuts

    (Bloomberg) — Germany warned that Russia’s moves to slash Europe’s natural gas supplies risked sparking a collapse in energy markets, drawing a parallel to the role of Lehman Brothers in triggering the financial crisis.

    “If this minus gets so big that they can’t carry it anymore, the whole market is in danger of collapsing at some point,” Habeck said at a news conference in Berlin that was called at short notice. “So a Lehman effect in the energy system.”

    Europe’s largest economy faces the unprecedented prospect of businesses and consumers running out of power. For months, Russian President Vladimir Putin has gradually reduced supplies in apparent retaliation over sanctions imposed over the invasion of Ukraine. The standoff escalated last week after steep cuts to the main gas link to Germany, putting reserves for the winter at risk.


    • Mirror on the wall says:


      The FT and IEA are virtue-signalling about renewables as a response to a complete cut off of Russian gas.

      “Ten EU states have declared early warnings of a gas emergency. The International Energy Agency has said the continent should be ready for a complete cut-off of Russian gas exports this winter.”

      > Russia’s gas squeeze: a moment of truth for Europe

      Russia is tightening its natural gas squeeze on Europe. Moscow has cut capacity through the main pipeline to Germany by 60 per cent since last week, claiming EU sanctions have caused maintenance problems — but has failed to step up supplies via other routes. Many capitals believe the Kremlin is using energy to exert pressure as its troops wage a war of attrition in Ukraine. European gas prices have soared 50 per cent in the past week and the shortfalls are making it hard to refill gas storage before the wintertime. Ten EU states have declared early warnings of a gas emergency. The International Energy Agency has said the continent should be ready for a complete cut-off of Russian gas exports this winter.

      The IEA is right to say the overall answer to today’s energy squeeze and to the climate crisis is the same: a “massive surge” in investment to accelerate the transition to clean energy. Things are moving the right way; in the five years after the 2015 Paris Agreement, clean energy investment grew 2 per cent a year; since 2020, the pace has accelerated to 12 per cent. But that partly reflects higher materials costs — and spending on renewables and energy efficiency is well below what is needed.


      • Green energy won’t get us anywhere, but there needs to be a rationalization for all of these strange actions.

        • Herbie R Ficklestein says:

          Can’t wait for the solution Greta will provide to us all as Winter sets in and folk are found frozen to death in their flats..

          How dare they!

    • Alex says:

      It’s nothing that more sanctions couldn’t solve.

    • Xabier says:

      As long as you do not intend to use it, why not CTG?

      Poisoned by order of our governments and doctors, a new surreal headline every day almost, fantasies about living on electricity and beetles, what a time to live!

    • Strange!

    • D. Stevens says:

      Is it possible the gas isn’t really there anymore and this is a way for the EU and Russia to blame each other? I have trouble believing EU would cut off its nose to spite its face.

      • Ed says:

        cut off nose to spite face

        Isn’t that what the EU has already done?

      • Fast Eddy says:

        I suspect that is the more likely explanation.

        No government can be so stooopid as to boycott the substance that keeps their countries alive.

        Someone said the Uke ‘war’ is dropping off the home pages now … haven’t looked… but if so … that is an ominous development… given the purpose of that war was to provide a scapegoat for all our woes… and to distract us as we waited for Devil Covid to arrive…

    • Fast Eddy says:

      As we go to the critical stages of UEP … BAU gets put on ice… I see them shutting down energy supplies and food supplies…

      This will happen as Devil Covid (which seems to be in play now)… along with other opportunistic diseases… rip through the global population .. fear headlines will roll out … then you lock it all down and starve everyone — stopping energy supplies is useful – fear + misery.. the hordes will lay down in the dark and starve

      But as bad as that sounds — it’s better than ROF.. admit it … UEP is a good plan… a kind plan.

      It’s more than we deserve

  45. There is nothing to worry about the chaos in New Zealand.

    Virtually all of New Zealand’s problems occur from the Maoris.

    Something nasty will be done to the Maoris. The Waitangi treaty , which established the rights of the Maoris, will be repealed.

    Before today’s winners arrive in New Zealand, the Maoris have to go away. It might not be fair for them, but business is business.

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      CCP might want to use it for sheep grazing. Not sure that it is good for much else. China has never with it before.

    • Herbie Ficklestein says:

      Hope Fast Eddie doesn’t end up on a barbecue spigot roosting like a 🐷.

  46. Fast Eddy says:

    Pro Wrestling – for real:

    ATLANTA — Disturbing video shows the moments a Veterans Affairs’ employee pushed an elderly Vietnam veteran into a door and body-slammed him to the ground.

    In the video, the two men appear to have a brief argument and Gaillard puts his finger up to Webb’s face. When Webb tries to push it away, Gaillard charges, shoving him against the wall, choking him with both hands around his neck, then body-slamming the elderly veteran to the ground, where he stomps on his head. He then kicks Webb in the head a second time.

    Link below 👇🏻


  47. Fast Eddy says:

    The Big Short: A Warning About Ed Dowd’s Market Predictions


    Hmmm… so he brags about being an awesome trader on Wall Street… then left that to work in education … cuz he’s Mega Loaded….

    And you have to now pay to comment https://roundingtheearth.substack.com/p/the-big-short-a-warning-about-ed

    Hahaha… he’s a big crypto cultists too — and was a rather miffed when I explained on another article involving crypto that crypto was another mass psychosis — the purpose of it is to create opportunity where none exist to perpetuate the rags to riches/upward mobility theme…. because when the hordes don’t believe that is possible any longer… they get unruly…

    What is wrong with these fools? Don’t they get that if the Fed wants a digital currency – THEY will make their own digital currency…. these idiots think Bitcoin will usurp the Fed hahahaha f789 me.

    Actually I wanted to comment on his latest article and say that all I know is that a very senior banker at Goldman Sachs told me when BC was over 60k that ‘I need to own BC’ he was urging me to buy at least one coin…

    It’s all going to zero. Surely that is obvious to such a ‘brilliant Wall St trader’

    Ed Dowd believes collapse is in the cards but he also believes we will resurrect BAU and start again…. I suppose he’s not read Trade Off either.

  48. Fast Eddy says:

    This deserves an encore!

    U.S. Life Insurance Company suffers 176% increase in payouts for Deaths among Young Adults in 2021 compared to 2019/2020 Average

    “The fifth largest life insurance company in the USA has confirmed it paid out $1.4billion in 2021 due to non-Covid related deaths among 18 to 64-year-olds. The amount represents a 176% increase since the Covid-19 injections were rolled out on the average payout for deaths over 2019 and 2020.”


    • D. Stevens says:

      Long COVID is deadly to even young people who don’t take the threat seriously. This is why it’s important to stay up to date with boosters, stay home, avoid crowds, and continue to mask when you leave home for essential reasons. The pandemic is not over.

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