A Few Insights Based on CDC Data Regarding COVID and its Vaccines

My background is as a casualty actuary. I am used to looking at data from standard sources and trying to make some sense of it. I am hesitant to take someone else’s word for what the data show because I know that it is easy for mistakes to creep in. In this post, I will provide observations based on data from the databases of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the Johns Hopkins University. Hopefully, some of these observations will prove insightful.

I am aware that the proper reference for COVID is “COVID-19.” In this post, I have elected to use the shorter reference, except when shown in an exhibit prepared using software developed by someone else (Figure 3).

[1] Recent data show that COVID vaccines don’t really prevent a person from catching and passing along the virus that causes COVID. The CDC has recently changed its guidance to reflect the fact that the vaccines mostly reduce the chance of severe illness. Vaccines are still recommended by the CDC, not because they reduce transmission, but because they may reduce COVID-related healthcare costs.

Figure 1. Number of US vaccine doses provided to various age groups, based on data from a CDC database.

It is clear from Figure 1 that the big initial push for vaccine delivery peaked around April 2021. The rollout was substantially accomplished by July 2021. Then there was a second, lower peak, related primarily to boosters in the November 2021 to January 2022 period.

Figure 2 shows the pattern of newly reported COVID cases, relative to the first round of COVID vaccinations, based on data reported to the Johns Hopkins University database.

Figure 2.US reported COVID cases by month based on data from the Johns Hopkins University database.

Clearly, the first round of vaccinations did not put an end to new COVID cases. In fact, the CDC started becoming concerned about transmission among the vaccinated as early as July 2021. At that time, it started recommending that everyone wear a mask in conditions that represented high transmission. It also began using the term breakthrough infection to describe the (hopefully uncommon) condition of coming down with COVID after being vaccinated.

In fact, back when the Delta wave hit in the fall of 2021, it was possible to blame at least part of the problem on the lesser-vaccinated Southern part of the US. The well-vaccinated Northeast seemed to fare relatively much better (Figure 3).

Figure 3. US reported COVID cases (moving 7-day average, relative to population) by part of the US based on data from the Johns Hopkins University database. Visualization is available at this web address.

Figure 3 indicates that a quite different situation occurred when the Omicron variant hit close to the beginning of 2022. The heavily vaccinated Northeast clearly led the way, both in timing and in the number of COVID cases relative to population. The relatively less vaccinated South was much lower, close to the Midwest in its number of cases, relative to population.

The Omicron variant is very different from the original Wuhan version of the virus. This difference between virus variants is at least part reason that current mRNA vaccines fail to block transmission of the Omicron virus. Instead, current vaccines mostly reduce severe symptoms. This is very similar to the explanation we have heard when getting influenza vaccines each year. Researchers make a guess with respect to which particular strains will be circulating the following year. The level of protection will vary, depending upon whether the researchers’ guesses prove to be accurate the following year.

There are also indications from patterns elsewhere (and from theory) that it is not good practice to vaccinate at the time a virus is already starting to circulate widely. The booster vaccinations that took place in November and December 2021 (Figure 1) may have inadvertently raised, rather than lowered, their recipients’ chances of catching COVID. But, of course, the illness would be (on average) relatively mild. This lower severity of outcome is to be expected, partly because the mutated virus seems to be less virulent than the Wuhan COVID virus, and partly because the vaccines tend to reduce the severity of the disease.

The CDC started moving in the direction of treating vaccinated and unvaccinated people alike back in July 2021. Now, with the evidence from the Omicron wave coming in, it has had no choice but to move even further in the direction of treating everyone alike. For example, for domestic travel, the CDC recommends tests for both vaccinated and unvaccinated travelers if there is a concern about COVID. Recent CDC recommendations with respect to the wearing of masks do not depend upon vaccine status, either.

The idea of requiring everyone to be vaccinated likely originated from the cost-savings and profits that were expected to occur if people could be vaccinated and kept out of hospitals. Employers were very much in favor of such cost-savings because their workers likely would be able to stay on the job more of the time. Insurance companies were in favor of such an approach as well, because it would lower health care claim costs. Hospitals and physicians were in favor of the recommended COVID vaccines because physicians could perform more elective surgery (and thus make more money) if the hospitals were not full of COVID patients. Of course, the drug companies selling vaccines were in favor of selling more vaccines, too.

Furthermore, we know from prior experience with viruses that the ability to stop transmission with a vaccine varies greatly from virus to virus. Forecasting that any proposed vaccine will prevent transmission is a very “iffy” proposition. The viruses that cause the common cold, HIV and SARS are related (in some way) to the virus that causes COVID. Despite decades of research, none of these viruses has a successful vaccine. This suggests that COVID cannot be stopped by a vaccine, either. We also know, in general, that if a virus jumps from an animal to human hosts, transmission can only be stopped if all of the animal hosts are successfully vaccinated, as well.

[2] COVID vaccines used in the US do not seem to have done much to reduce total COVID deaths.

Figure 4. Number of US COVID deaths by month on two slightly different reporting bases. CDC data are based on death certificate data, reported up to several months after the date of the death, but backdated to the date of actual death. Thus, its indications will tend to be low for recent months. The Johns Hopkins University database contains reports sent in by providers. It should be more complete for recent dates.

Vaccinations started in December of 2020, but there were about 20% more COVID deaths in 2021 than in 2020. Part of the problem is that after the Delta peak in deaths in September, deaths never retreated to zero, or close to zero. COVID deaths immediately began increasing with the Omicron peak. While there was a lull during March 2022 in reported cases (Figures 2 and 3), data for April and May seem to indicate that reported cases are again on an upward path.

If today’s vaccines really worked as people initially hoped, I would expect to see a lot more progress in reducing new cases than shown to date.

[3] Data from OurWorldInData.org provides excess mortality indications for five age groupings. This data indicates that Ages 15-64 were particularly hard hit by the last two waves of COVID (Delta and Omicron). Ages 85+ were hit very lightly.

Figure 5. Chart prepared by OurWorldInData.org showing excess mortality.

Since these charts are for all causes of death combined, they will reflect deaths that might have occurred due to other problems of the 2020 to 2022 period, in addition to COVID deaths. For example, increased suicides and homicides would be included, as would a rise in drug overdoses and motor vehicle accidents. If there are deaths stemming from the use of vaccines, these deaths would be included in the total deaths from all causes, as well.

The rise in deaths in the Ages 15-64 grouping is particularly striking. This group is known for being more likely to be depressed by the events of the day. The base number of expected deaths is relatively lower than for the older ages. This allows the deaths from newly increased causes to magnify the total death rate of the period by a greater factor. Life insurance companies have been complaining about the high numbers of deaths experienced on their policies, predominantly for this age group.

The strikingly low deaths in the Ages 85+ group in 2021 may reflect the working of the vaccine. There might be other causes as well. Some of the weaker members of this group likely died in 2020, leaving fewer to die in 2021. This lower death rate may also reflect the impact of antibodies gained from catching COVID in 2020. People included in Ages 85+, more frequently than younger age groups, lived in care homes of various kinds during 2020. In this setting, they were more exposed to the early rounds of COVID than those living in home settings. Thus, they had more of a chance to develop antibodies from catching the illness.

[4] If we prepare charts showing provisional mortality data for 2021, together with similar indications for prior years, we can see how US mortality rates have been changing for different age groups. We can also see the relative role of COVID cases in these changes.

Figure 6. Death rates for four youngest age groupings, based on CDC Provisional Mortality Data for various years.

The CDC data show mortality rates based on deaths from all causes. For the years 2020 and 2021, it gives a separate indication of mortality associated with COVID. The orange line represents what the mortality would be if all COVID deaths (using a broad definition of COVID death, based on COVID appearing as “any cause” on the death certificate) were removed.

COVID vaccines were not available until mid-December 2020, and then for only a very small group, so the difference in the orange and blue lines at the 2020 point represents the number of COVID deaths for the age group, before the vaccines became available. The 2021 difference between the two lines represents the number of deaths from COVID taking into account whatever vaccines were used for this age group. We might expect the gap between the blue and orange lines to become smaller in 2021 than in 2020 if the vaccines given to the particular age group (or the prior antibodies from catching the illness) were making a significant change in reducing COVID cases in 2021.

Looking at Figure 6, COVID has essentially no impact on babies under Age 1. The total number of deaths seemed to drop more than usual in 2020, perhaps partly because mothers were at home more. For Ages 1-4, death rates are up in 2021, but not because of COVID. COVID seems to play practically no role in the mortality of Ages 5-14 and at most a very minor role for Ages 15-24. For the latter group, mortality is significantly up in both 2020 and 2021, perhaps because of more suicides and risky behavior resulting in death (such as car accidents and drug overdoses).

Figure 7. Death rates per 100,000 for four groupings between ages 25 and 64, based on CDC Provisional Mortality Data for various years.

We can see similar patterns to what we saw for Ages 15-24 in the chart above, but with progressively more COVID in the mix of causes leading to the uptick in the overall death rates. The share of COVID cases in the mix rises in 2021 relative to 2020 for all of these age groupings, despite the vaccines and prior immunity which should start building up (if immunity is truly “durable,” something that is not always the case).

Figure 8. Death rates for three groups from age 65 and up, based on CDC Provisional Mortality Data for various years.

It is only when we get to these oldest ages that death rates stop increasing in 2021. In fact, when the impact of COVID deaths is removed, the death rates seem to be improving. These age groups tended to get the vaccine early. They also lost quite a few sickly members in 2020, when the first round of COVID hit. The remaining group may be in somewhat better health than the original mix. Also, as mentioned in Section [3], they may also have more antibodies from actually catching COVID during 202o, while living in a care home.

[5] We can perhaps get an inkling of what is going wrong with death rates by comparing deaths by cause for January 2020, January 2021, and January 2022, based on monthly provisional death data.

A sample of one month is not very much, but January tends to be bad for mortality because the cold weather encourages dry indoor conditions, especially in the colder parts of the country. People tend to stay inside more because of cold weather. Vitamin D levels tend to be low because of lower sunlight exposure. Communicable disease deaths, including those of COVID, tend to be high at this time of year.

Figure 9. Chart prepared by Gail Tverberg using CDC data for Select Natural Causes. Amounts for January 2022 are likely somewhat incomplete because of the lag in death certificate preparation.

Looking at Figure 9, the first thing we notice is that total January 2022 deaths from natural causes are still outrageously high compared with January 2020 deaths. These deaths exclude deaths from suicides, drug overdoses, car accidents and many other unnatural causes that we know are trending up substantially, so the overall situation is probably even worse than natural death indications would suggest.

One thing we notice is that heart disease deaths seem to be trending higher. This could be a fluke, or it might be caused by COVID or the vaccines (or both). Investigation might be useful.

Cancer deaths, at least based on this tiny sample, seem to be flat. This suggests that fears of a rapid rise in cancer deaths because of vaccine-related issues may be unwarranted.

COVID deaths in January 2022 are down from their very elevated level in January 2021.

Cerebrovascular diseases, diabetes and kidney disease deaths all are higher, in this very small sample. These diseases would all seem to possibly be influenced by a greater number of COVID cases or perhaps by side effects associated with vaccines or with treatments. Researchers interested in these topics should be aware that data are being collected that might give insight into changes in the number of deaths associated with these causes.

One thing that alarmed me when I looked at the CDC’s list of “selected” natural causes is that the list of diseases for which data is given is not very complete. One grouping that clearly has been omitted is diseases of the liver. I would strongly suspect that deaths from diseases of the liver are rising, if people have been staying at home and drinking more alcoholic beverages.

[6] Conclusions and ideas for further examination.

Clearly, the CDC has a huge quantity of data that can be examined if anyone wants to put the time and energy into looking at it. Too often researchers coming from the biological sciences do not stop and think about using whatever data is available to support or refute their ideas, at least based on the evidence to date.

The significant increases in mortality for the many age groups between 15 and 64 would seem to suggest that something is going badly wrong. Someone should be examining these changes. If part of the problem is that vaccines are having serious side effects, this can perhaps be seen by analyzing deaths by cause for these age groups.

The lack of COVID cases in the youngest age groupings (babies and Ages 1-4) would suggest that vaccines are not really needed for these age groupings. Babies don’t excessively fill hospitals with COVID cases. Training their immune systems to look for a long-extinct version of the virus cannot be very helpful in the long run.

If the underlying purpose of vaccines is to help the profitability of big companies, hospitals, doctors and vaccine-makers, this makes a big difference in our understanding of what we are being told. Clearly, the government is also a big employer; its ability to stay within its budget is enhanced by holding down the hospital and other medical costs of its employees. For example, if the government wants the hospitalization costs and work lost by those in the US Army and US Navy to be as low as possible, it will mandate vaccines for these employees. The CDC, being a government agency, cannot help but be at least somewhat influenced by what government leaders are demanding when interpreting scientific evidence.

The government cannot explain that the reason it wants everyone to be vaccinated has essentially nothing to do with disease transmission, without upsetting many people, so it publicizes its change in stance with respect to vaccines as little as possible. Businesses do not want it known that their reason for demanding vaccines is to hold down their own COVID healthcare costs, so they are not anxious to publicize the underlying reason, either. Thus, the vast majority of citizens are not aware of the fact that even with boosters, their chance of catching COVID and passing it along to others is still very high. Studies seem to indicate that boosters may provide an individual person with a short window (6 weeks, or so) of lower likelihood of catching COVID, but the overall effect is not enough to reduce the overall pattern of disease transmission.

If a vaccine against Omicron is developed, we need to be aware that there is a high probability that by the time the vaccine is widely distributed, the virus will have mutated sufficiently that its only benefit will be to somewhat reduce the severity of whatever version of COVID is prevalent at the time the next wave of cases appears. Thus, we cannot hope that with a better-directed vaccine, it will make any substantial difference in disease transmission. Thus, we should expect that the major benefit will always be “reduced healthcare costs with respect to COVID.”

There are quite a few people who have discovered from reading on-line articles that there are ways of potentially reducing the severity of COVID besides receiving the vaccine. These include raising vitamin D levels in advance of contracting COVID and taking any number of common, inexpensive drugs (including aspirin) if the disease does hit. They also recognize that the long-term effects of the vaccines are unknown. For example, if repeated too many times, the vaccines may damage the immune system, according to some analyses. The views of these vaccine-refusers need to be respected. The vaccine-refusers can easily be turned into scapegoats.

About Gail Tverberg

My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
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4,227 Responses to A Few Insights Based on CDC Data Regarding COVID and its Vaccines

  1. Artleads says:


    Well good luck with this!


  2. Yoshua says:


    When inflation tops and tanks…the markets tank too…just like 2008

  3. Kim says:

    My cat is pregnant so I looked up relevant vet advice on the web. Apparently the queen should not be vaccinated. Significant risk of birth defects.


    • More honest advice for cats than for people.

      • Xabier says:

        Of course it was the advice given to humans until rather recently…..

        Even on vitamin and supplement bottles it advises ‘consult your physician if pregnant or breast-feeding’.

        I have to say, to see female doctors – even young ones – pushing vaccination on other women has been shocking and incomprehensible. Is psychopathy now a professional requirement?

      • Student says:

        I can also say to all of you that my sweet dog has unfortunately a cancer and she is following a treatment.
        We ask various vets if it was the case to do the usual annual vaccines.
        They all answered that, as she is weak and she is following a treatment, it is not the case to do the annual vaccines (althought they are well experimented…) because she could easily suffer adverse events….

        • Student, if you can, try to get her on a raw diet. We did that with our dog and he lived twice as long as his siblings fed conventional food. It’s far easier in Italy than in the US since there are still local butcher shops: we used to get organs, scraps, and the odd stuffed pheasant or rolled breast of veal past its sell-by date for 1-2 euros/kilo (a decade ago). The dog ate better than we did!

          Wishing you both the best…

  4. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    Ah, The Good Old Days!…Blast from the past..

    O.J. Simpson Sued For $96 Million By Fred Goldman Over Son’s Death
    DeMicia Inman
    Sat, June 25, 2022, 1:20 PM·1 min

    O.J. Simpson is being sued over the 1995 deaths of his ex-wife Nicole Brown Simpson and her friend Ronald Goldman. According to TMZ, the lawsuit was filed by Goldman’s father Fred Goldman. The outlet reported the surviving Goldman family member is applying for a renewal of his old judgment against Simpson, claiming Simpson owes him $96 million over the murder of his son.

    In 1997, Simpson was ordered by a judge to pay $33.5 million to the Goldman family after he was found liable in the 1994 killings.

    TMZ reports in 2015, Fred Goldman claimed with interest Simpson owed him $57 million, and now seven years later, it has arrived at the $96 million total. He claims that through the years, Simpson has only delivered a “handful of relatively small payments” and has previously presented the argument that since Simpson’s 2018 release from prison, has resumed making money and should be continuing to make payments to the Goldman family.

    In 2018, Simpson’s lawyers argued he did not have the funds and claims the Goldman family is preventing him from making any money outside of his NFL pension and social security. The former athlete claimed that Goldman has “shattered” his attempts to “readjust to civilian life and family life.”

    It’s like paying your Hospital bill a token payment of $10.00 a month for a bill that is over $100,000
    I’m trying my best to pay it,really I am.

    OJ…in my youth one of the most endeared public figures in America! The juice during his NFL days had a backup that filled in during practice days and OJ showed up on GameDay to play!

    Poor Ron Goldman…lession to be learned from this…don’t return glasses to a hottie blonde bombshell with a crazy ex husband.

    Too bad OJ just didn’t slash the guys car tires instead

  5. Yoshua says:


    Copper leads and points to a coming recession…collapsing oil prices…and collapsing markets

    The Fed did it again

    • I agree. This is demand destruction and collapsing markets.

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      copper and oil both plunged in 2008 and recovered in 2009.

      both sunk in later 2014 when QE ended, perhaps oil slightly ahead of copper.

      both plunged in early 2020 and recovered together.

      the copper chart looks more supportive of a solid decline than the WTI chart.

      recession ahead.

  6. she will have to take her place in the ‘cue’ eddy, like all the rest.

    where would your comments be without innuendo?

    without them, eddyrants would not be.

    Then what would happen to the validity of OFW?

  7. Fast Eddy says:

    My choice – robot? https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/36893

    hahahahaha… right! https://t.me/c/1588731774/12547

    • Rodster says:

      Coming to a Country or Nation near you.

      “When people lose everything and have nothing else to lose, THEY LOSE IT” – Gerald Celente

    • Rising food and fuel prices make citizens very unhappy. Government may be overturned.

  8. Fast Eddy says:

    “Life in Shanghai’s Lockdown” – For over two months, fear and insecurity dominated China’s most populous city

    “Shanghai Has No Plans for City Lockdown” read the headline of an article in China Daily, an English-language newspaper owned by the Chinese Communist Party, on March 24, four days before the start of what became the largest citywide lockdown in human history. Quoting health authorities, the article cheered on China’s financial metropolis, which reported just 981 Covid infections the previous day, almost all asymptomatic. The headline provided comfort to those in Shanghai like my family, who had been nervous about rumors of an impending lockdown similar to that in the northern city of Changchun, where residents had been complaining about food and water shortages on social media.


  9. HappyMotorist says:

    From EIA site:Several U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) product releases scheduled for the week of June 20, 2022, will be delayed as a result of systems issues. Our experts are working on a solution to restore the affected systems.

    We will release the Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report as scheduled on June 23. All other data releases scheduled for this week will be delayed. We will resume our normal production schedule and release delayed data as soon as possible.

    We apologize for the inconvenience of this delay, and remain committed to our mission of collecting, analyzing, and disseminating independent and impartial energy information as we resolve this issue.

  10. davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

    CTG says:
    haha…heheh…hohoho… I am now thinking that because we talked about it, it happened.

    davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:
    June 23, 2022 at 9:18 pm
    cool, now let’s all talk about WW3.

    CTG says:
    June 23, 2022 at 9:37 pm
    Need Gail to comment on WW3 and then perhaps, it will start 😉 😉

    Gail Tverberg says:
    June 25, 2022 at 11:12 pm
    Oh, dear!

    YES!… I think that all of the preconditions are in place.

    • CTG says:

      Release the kraken…

      • Kowalainen says:

        Did “we” finish WW1/2?
        You know; peace, prosperity and all that jazz?
        WW3 is an oxymoron.

        If you mean WW3 as annihilation by nukes?
        Let’s just call that WW2 “Grande Finale” – *boof*.

        Annnnddd it’s GONE!

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      Gail is not merely our own prophetess but the comic logos – what she says happens.

      ‘In the beginning, She said, let there be….’

  11. MG says:

    We live in the era of Great Carbon Release (GCR), caused by the organisms called humans.


    We, as the plants, which via photosynthesis capture and store the carbon in the ground for millions of years, feel a great opportunity for the revival of our species and the new dominance of plants on the Earth, as the end of the human species is approaching due to the depleted carbon resources which the humans reconnected with oxygen for the sake of obtaining energy for their dominance and returned the atmosphere to the era of our dominance.

    It is harder and harder for them to protect the cultural plants, they eat, from the attack of other plants, they call the weeds.

    These edible cultural plants provide them sugars as the source of energy. They burn us for energy, which is the abovementioned process of reconnecting carbon with oxygen. That is why we like wet and warm areas, where it is difficult for the humans to burn us.

    But with the rising carbon amounts in the atmosphere, the nice nice warm and humid environment of the greenhouse for us is recreated.

    Thank you, humans!

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      you are very welcome, plants!

      it’s great that humans were able to figure out how to burn FF and create IC.

      no IC, no OFW, yes?

      it’s enabled many of us to gain the knowledge of energy economics, and though that is mere minutia in the face of eternal time and infinite space, it’s still something to be content with in the here and now.

      plants may or may not survive through what may very well be a cataclysmic human extinction, but we’ll never know in the long run.

      Q2 is ending, and the plants remain.

      it is what it is.

      • MG says:

        We plants have skin that directly uses sunlight: it is as if your human body was
        covered with PV panels. You are just copying us.

        If you wanted to fly, you copied birds, if you want energy, you copy plants.

        You would like to be a plant now, when your energy supplies fade…

        • Alex says:

          Not really, solar panels don’t produce sugars.

          Not really, airplanes don’t flap their wings.

          Not really, the last thing we humans would want is becoming stationary.

        • Artleads says:

          Around the Santa Fe area the climate is such as to encourage the proliferation of deep rooted Siberian Elm. The power of the plant is such as to root out fences and walls. The state of the economy is such that no adequate human resistance to this destruction can be waged. Of course humans don’t want to hear this, but it might be time to abandon whole cities to invasives. WE should use highly flexible and mobile shelter. Very large urban buildings with deep foundations might actually be able to withstand the plant invasion and be of service to humans for a while.

  12. zgbjdk says:

    Kulm previously recommended this article…


    …which was quite rightly praised by Gail, Xabier, and FE, and I would expect most OFWers would agree was well-written and something we are familiar with. The author, ‘B’, has attracted over 700 followers with the quality of his writing on energy limits, civilisational collapse etc… What is interesting is that one of his followers is a chap named, Anthoney J. Blinken, current US Secretary of State. Blinken’s reading list contains a ‘B’ authored article titled, ‘Seppuku – The Story of Europe’s Economic Suicide’.



    Ergo, the current PTB are obviously well aware of our energy predicament and the likely consequences of their actions. Mr Putin says that Russia’s SMO is necessary because Russia faces an existential threat, and while this is claimed as hyperbole by Western MSM, last Thursday the US gov agency, CSCE, convened a meeting to discuss the “moral and strategic” necessity of partitioning Russia…


    Throughout history powerful people have competed and con-spired to shape events in their favour. Unlike previous generations of “little people”, thanks to the internet we now have a treasure trove of information available that gives a glimpse into the shenanigans of the “elites”, and using this information we can reason to conclusions about how they intend to manage the energy descent.

    By necessity, in absence of direct evidence provided by the current PTB, we can only reason/argue what their goals and strategies are. For some to try to prevent or diminish discussion by labelling those who engage in it, “CTists” is a form of censorship, which is anathema to anyone with an open mind and committed to furthering knowledge and understanding. If a theory is rubbish, it will be proved to be so either by better, more persuasive theories or real outcomes. The key point is that the process of reasoning and argumentation occurs. If we stop that, what is the point of OFW or any other discussion forum?

    It is probable that we will end up in some neo-feudal arrangement as that does seem to be the default for human psychology and human societal structure, assuming we are able to avoid extinction.

    But, if there is any hope of avoiding either of these outcomes, it is because some “little people” took advantage of the repository of knowledge and information that we now have at our fingertips, and with the power of argument used it to encourage and spread critical/creative thinking and understanding. From little acorns etc..

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      the decline in net (surplus) energy never sleeps.

      I encourage all humans to just give up.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      This was entirely predictable, thus preparations could have been made — but they weren’t.

      I disagree with that – unless he’s suggesting we should have not adopted industrial farming methods and nuclear energy… if so then ya … most people would have died.. but the remote tribes would have survived.

      • Xabier says:

        ‘Remote tribes’? What’s the fun in ruling them?! Barely human! I deserve more than a few fat pigs and juicy virgins under a thatched hut!

        We milked this as far as we could, now we’re moving to Plan B: unfortunately, you don’t figure in our plans anymore. Well, not many of you at any rate.

        But didn’t you just love planet-raping, instant-gratification, mass-consumerism too?

        Come on, admit it, you did!

        Weren’t those jet holiday packages for a few euros just a simply orgasmic climax? And still driving your fat backside just to buy a few beers and a chicken burger right until the very end?

        So long, farewell, and thanks for gallantly servicing your debts and paying taxes during those wild decades since WW2!

        We invested it well in our future-scoping think-tanks and deep, deep bunkers.

        Jacob R XX

        • Fast Eddy says:

          I must admit — it’s be tremendous fun — I’ve got a space heater on the go here in my space — and I’ve got a dog on either side of it feeling the heat and living large.

          It’s all about living large… humans sure know how to make that happen… our desires are without limits…

          • Xabier says:

            People are bewildered and rather pathetic: in so many comments on the Great Re-set one reads:

            ‘They’re going to take away my cheap holidays abroad. my car, my meat!’

            Their great-grandparents had no ‘lads’ holidays’ in Spain or Thailand, no cars, and little meat if they were ordinary workers.

            And the best one:

            ‘People shouldn’t ever go cold in the 21st century!’

            When in fact it’s precisely because we are in the 2020’s that people will soon die of cold (or heat waves)

            I think I’ll buy some sacks of anthracite, and join you in celebration this winter, FE…..

    • Interesting! We are now in competition with Russia for any net energy that might be available.

  13. Adonis says:

    CTG thanks for bringing to my attention the giant sunspot story this could be the next false flag for bringing in major decarbonisation or shutting down many parts of the world eg Europe by the elders and then blame it all on the sunspot.

    • The sunspot story is a worry. I am afraid that it could bring down the electrical system for quite some time. We don’t hear much about this story. We are at a time when sunspots are expected to be increasing in number and size. The situation is concerning.

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      if the Earth is blasted, is it brief enough that the damage will be contained to a half of the Earth’s surface?

      or would the blast be at least 12 hours duration and so everything gets blasted, as the Earth rotates?

      what do we then do?

      cover all of our electronics in tin foil? (hahahahaha)

      I’ve never lived through one of these.

      would it be really exciting?

      I should sleep well tonight.

      • Tim Groves says:

        Perhaps you’d like to read Larry Niven’s Inconstant Moon as a bedtime story:

        First appearance: 1971 short story collection All the Myriad Ways. The short story won the 1972 Hugo Award for best short story.

        Stan, the narrator, notices that the Moon is glowing much brighter than ever before. The people he meets as the story begins all praise the Moon’s increased beauty but lack the scientific background to understand its cause. However the narrator surmises that the Sun has gone nova, the day side of the Earth is already destroyed, and this is the last night of his life. He then calls and visits his girlfriend Leslie, presuming her ignorant of the situation, but she realizes it independently when Jupiter brightens with appropriate delay; they then enjoy their last night on the town, before rain and winds start.

        Later, he realizes one other possibility. In case he is right, they find appropriate supplies and seek refuge from the coming natural disasters in Leslie’s high-rise apartment. The second possibility turns out to be correct: the Earth has “merely” been struck by an enormous solar flare—by far the worst disaster in human history, with most (if not all) people in the Eastern Hemisphere presumed dead, but humans in the Americas have a chance of surviving the cataclysm. The vaporized seawater leads to torrential rains, hurricanes and floods. The story ends at the break of an overcast, gray morning, with Leslie’s apartment becoming an island among the raging flood waters, but with the narrator rather optimistically wondering “if our children would colonize Europe, or Asia, or Africa.”

        I grew up on this sort of stuff.

        • Xabier says:

          Doris Lessing’s ‘Shikasta’ also has a somewhat hopeful ending of that kind, despite the immensity of the disaster which has transpired.

        • Kowalainen says:

          I grew up mostly with Asimov.

          One might be tempted to consider me as a particularly obnoxious negative optimist partly because of this.

          I hereby absolve myself from all the comedy and unintended irritation I might have caused. And for the affected, use the scroll wheel and the WtP of ignorance whenever my post appear in your crosshairs.

  14. Michael Le Merchant says:

    A ‘Great Purge’ is pushing small truckers out of business at an unprecedented rate

    • Small businesses of every kind are being pushed out of business. The big businesses by themselves cannot really make the system work.

      • Xabier says:

        In their arrogance they can’t see this: to the corporations it only looks like an opportunity and a way to grow in harder times, eliminating smalerl-business competition.

        Reminds one of King Midas: he thought it would be wonderful to turn everything he touched into gold, that would of course be his and his alone.

        But what he wished for was a curse in reality; he had been far happier when most things were neither gold, nor his.

  15. Slowly at first says:

    Driving to the supermarket, driving back from the supermarket: only two examples of the innumerable minutiae of the MIC lifestyle.

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      I like driving.

      I like gasoline.

      I love cars.

      I love supermarkets.

      I think I see a pattern here.

      • Tim Groves says:

        Yes, it’s all about “I”, isn’t it?

        • Kowalainen says:

          In most people the “I” merely suggests some self referential thought pattern that mostly is busy with egotistical fantasies. Let me conceptualize how this occurs:

          1. I gotta find me a MOARon (because male causes)
          2. I gotta tryhard to placate 1. (because female causes)
          3. I gotta repeat 1. and 2. (boom)
          4. Annnnnd it’s GONE! (bust)
          5. Bottleneck (reset)

          A rapacious primate gonna rapacious.
          It is what it is.


  16. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Video: Men line up for monkeypox vaccine in NYC ahead of Pride weekend

    • Rodster says:

      Why not? They fell for it the first time with the mRNA vaccines. This is what TPTB like to do. They first try to impose their will on the Plebs which includes making sh*t up “i.e. lying”, they then back off knowing that they have conditioned the Plebs for more.

    • JP says:

      “The Poor Homosexuals — They Have Declared War Upon Nature And Now Nature Is Extracting An Awful Retribution.”

      — Pat Buchanan.

      While I accept some percentage of people throughout history have always been homosexual, as a public political identity, on par with mom, dad, and grandma and grandpa, that’s an insane and corrosive idea.

    • Xabier says:

      What will they be lining up for later, one wonders? In fact, one knows……. Ugh!

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Best to get the monkey shot before heading off to the bath house for the drug-fuelled or.gy.

    • Student says:

      There was someone in this blog who predicted exactly this. I don’t remeber whom.

  17. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Bryan-Ward Perkins: A Real Economic Meltdown: The End of Roman Britain

    Shallit Lecture given at BYU on March 12, 2013. Bryan Ward-Perkins examines what happened when the Roman Empire dissolved in the fifth century A.D., by examining the particular experience of the province of Britain. Here practically every sign of economic sophistication and prosperity rapidly disappeared in the early fifth century, plunging the province back into deep prehistory. This was an economic crisis whose depth and duration (at least 500 years) puts our present economic troubles in perspective – but it is also a crisis that has much to teach us, and which we should certainly not view with complacency.

    • Actual lecture is about 45 minutes long, with Q/A afterward. He makes the point that very complex societies (where things like pots and pans are made by someone else, at a distance, and bought with currency) are much more in danger of a deep collapse than a much less complex society, where people are used to making things for themselves.

      • Rodster says:

        Yes I can see that. It’s also called domesticating the Plebs. As a government, you make things easy for them just so they can spend their free time eating, watching sports and procreating.

        When the system begins to wobble, they complain until it finally breaks. Now what? Do they have farming skills to grow their own food? Nope that’s what the endless amount of strip malls are for. Can they survive without electricity? Nope.

        But that’s really the purpose of centralized government. They create things so you need them. When the system finally breaks, they know the Plebs will come running and crying to them for a solution.

      • Herbie Ficklestein says:

        One of my own interests is the period of the Late Roman Empire and it’s so called fall. Just to add that the defeat of the Roman forces of then Emperor Valens
        August 9, 378 AD
        Romans routed at Adrianople
        In one of the most decisive battles in history, a large Roman army under Valens, the Roman emperor of the East, is defeated by the Visigoths at the Battle of Adrianople in present-day Turkey. Two-thirds of the Roman army, including Emperor Valens himself, were overrun and slaughtered by the mounted barbarians.
        The decisive Visigoth victory at the Battle of Adrianople left the Eastern Roman Empire nearly defenseless and established the supremacy of cavalry over infantry that would last for the next millennium. Emperor Valens was succeeded by Theodosius the Great, who struggled to repel the hordes of Visigoth barbarians plundering the Balkan Peninsula.

        Now, one author surmised that by this event it enabled the cultures to melt together as one culture….the same author pointed out in numerous cases the newcomers, as we will politely call them, often times respected property ownership of the current residences …I suppose if it favored THEM..makes sense…if those owners had a productive orchard or farm that was operated and managed, why run them off and kill a goose with a golden egg? It’s not easy to adapt and learn a new way of life and as was pointed out the Roman society had enacted extensive legalities that functioned. Actually, at this time the Theodosius Code was published

        The Codex Theodosianus (Eng. Theodosian Code) was a compilation of the laws of the Roman Empire under the Christian emperors since 312. A commission was established by Emperor Theodosius II and his co-emperor Valentinian III on 26 March 429[1][2] and the compilation was published by a constitution of 15 February 438. It went into force in the eastern and western parts of the empire on 1 January 439.[1] The original text of the codex is also found in the Breviary of Alaric (also called Lex Romana Visigothorum), promulgated on 2 February 506.[3][4]

        Originally, Theodosius had attempted to commission leges generales beginning with Constantine to be used as a supplement for the Codex Gregorianus and the Codex Hermogenianus. He intended to supplement the legal codes with the opinions and writings of ancient Roman jurists, much like the digest found later in Justinian’s Code. But the task proved to be too great, and in 435 it was decided to concentrate solely on the laws from Constantine to the time of writing. This decision defined the greatest difference between the Theodosian Code and Justinian’s later Corpus Juris Civilis.


        So, even in collapse, we may be surprised by some outcomes that are unexpected…
        As Gail has repeatedly pointed out..some parts MAY do better than others!!
        Choose wisely…

    • Xabier says:

      Utter tripe! It didn’t go back into ‘deep pre-history’, just banging rocks together for 500 years.

      The Vikings and later the Normans targeted Anglo-Saxon England precisely because it was so rich and prosperous.

      No Roman-style industrial potteries, no concrete, pan-tiles,bricks,fine masonry, and so on; but superb metal and woodworking skills, famous throughout Europe for rich embroideries and exquisite illuminated manuscripts, with a literate elite, and an administrative structure which the Normans had no need to change.

      In fact, a successor-civilisation which functioned well.

      Here I every day walk down two streets which were laid out in the urban and commercial redevelopment of Cambridge by King Edward the Elder 1,000 years ago, probably following a pattern set out much earlier, perhaps even Roman.

  18. Fast Eddy says:

    CDC Investigating ‘Worst Outbreak in History’ Among Gay & Bisexual Men in FL


  19. Fast Eddy says:

    Google memo on end of Roe v. Wade says employees may apply to relocate ‘without justification’

    “Google sent a companywide email Friday about the historic Supreme Court ruling overturning Roe v. Wade, explaining employees in affected states can apply for relocation without explaining why.

    Cicconi also said it will be providing ‘support sessions’ to employees in the coming days.”


    Hang on … shouldn’t abortion be considered a crime against humanity?

    If I ran PR for this I’d brand them ad Baby Killers… how much fun would that be!!!

    • The US population tends to move to “red states” and ” blue states,” perhaps.

      People in California should be able to see big problems with energy supply and wage disparity. Population seems to be falling already. People in New York are also worried about the high tax situation, and what happens with a flare up of COVID. New York’s population seems to be falling, also.

  20. Fast Eddy says:

    Horrifying: How Will Brainwashed Pro-Jab Mothers Respond When 38% of Their Babies Are Injured by the Moderna Jab?

    Horrendous Outcomes for Babies and Young Children in Moderna’s Study

    – The dosage is 25 micrograms, eight times Pfizer’s dosage of 3 micrograms.

    – A 6-month-old baby weighing 17 pounds receives the exact dosage as a 50-pound 5-year-old kid.

    – Young babies suffered a 500% increase in adverse events compared to the older cohort.

    – 678 of 1700, or roughly 38% of the children in Moderna’s study, suffered an adverse event that required medical attention.

    So the big concern is: how will a gung-ho pro-vaccine mother react when her 6-month-old baby suffers a serious adverse event?

    Full Video: redvoicemedia.com/video/2022/06/maria-zeee-millions-of-children-could-die-if-we-dont-stop-this-with-james-roguski-full-show/ref/8/

    • I have a hard time believing that the rate of adverse events requiring medical attention is 38%. If the situation is that bad, it would become obvious to everyone.

      On the other hand, if Moderna is using such a large dose, the adverse events in small babies could be very high. I was under the impression that it was just the Pfizer vaccine that has been approved for the youngest group.

      • I looked back, and it is really both vaccines that are recommended for age 6 months to age 5 years. Not good!

        • nikoB says:

          This is an active display of the FDA not doing its job. It has authorised two vaccines for babies that are essentially the same except for dosage rate. Pfizer is 3 mcg and Moderna 25mcg. It would be like the the FDA approving two baby tylenol (paracetamol) meds that have different strengths for the application. One will be fine (perhaps) but the other will be very dangerous.

          Just another piece of evidence that the FDA is corrupted.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        So I heard the local small hospital has lost 20%+ of their staff…

        I hit some ice skiing and smacked down on my bad shoulder… nothing serious but it was very stiff along with my ribs… so I thought I’d pop by the ER to get some painkillers …

        First I went to the brand new private hospital – it was locked and nobody was at the counters at the entrance… there was a number to call – nobody answered…

        Then I drove to the public hospital — the admin person at the entrance called a nurse who said — unless you are totally f789ed (or something similar to that) we’d ask that you go to the chemist and get what you need… it is a minimum 5 hour wait to be seen and we prioritize the sicker people…

        I asked her why the wait is so long — she said — there are a lot of very sick people… she had blood shot eyes and looked a bit frazzled…

        I have to admit – I was going to use the opportunity to work on my acting skills and see if I could convince them to give me Fentanyl …. but 5 hours … screw that…. I picked up some Voltaren and will make due.

        Seems we’ve got the situation the vax was supposed to prevent – hospitals are overwhelmed.

        • I am not sure what staffing is like up here in Alaska in hospitals. Businesses in general are short staffed.

          If a brochure says a place has a restaurant, it likely only has a breakfast buffet. Or you have to make a reservation many days ahead of time. This is in areas where tourists hang out. Restaurants in more “normal” parts of cities are probably better. I am sure the economics of keeping a restaurant open four months of the year are poor.

          Prices are often outrageously high. We found that the dinner buffet was $55 per person at one hotel. Breakfast buffets seem to be about $29 per person, with continental breakfast more like $24 per person. We found a popular breakfast place where a person could order from the menu, but there was an hour wait, except when the restaurant opened at 6:30 am or after 1:00 pm.

          Actually, Fairbanks was better than Anchorage for available restaurants. It is not so overrun with tourists as Anchorage and the hotels in the Denali area. There were lots of good Thai restaurants in Fairbanks where a person could order from the menu.

          • Xabier says:

            ‘Continental breakfast ‘ is I suppose coffee/ fruit juice, and a croissant or pastry? Wow!

          • Herbie Ficklestein says:

            I remember Back in the day trekking in Germany staying at private Zimmer’s which included breakfast buffet.
            Funny to think me and my girlfriend thought. It was outrageous that they had a limit of one small cup of coffee!! So, being. Youngsters, we bulked up on the eats and grabbed some for a continental lunch!
            How dare they limit coffee!!!..
            Well, glad to hear of your trip to Alaska and hope it’s going well. Yes, it’s crazy expensive…coming soon to the lower 48!

  21. Fast Eddy says:

    Army Guard troops risk dismissal as vaccine deadline looms; Up to 40,000 Army National Guard soldiers across the country — or about 13% of the force — have not yet gotten the mandated COVID-19 vaccine


    Surely if you were not in extermination mode … you’d exempt these people? And of course you’d consider not injecting babies and kids… you kinda need those people if you want to have a future as a species?

    It’s so f789ing obvious what they are doing — but few want to accept it…. cuz. Extinction sucks hahaha

  22. Fast Eddy says:

    Dramatic Decline in Births in Germany

    Germany is experiencing a strange decline in births in the first quarter of 2022, totally inconsistent with their experience in recent years.


  23. Fast Eddy says:

    Bit of monkey pox to go with your TB VAIDS f789ed MOREONS?

    Singapore widens tuberculosis checks after large cluster emerges; first monkeypox case also confirmed earlier in the week


  24. Fast Eddy says:

    Six-month-old Denied Life-Saving Heart Transplant Due to Vaccination Status



    • Heart transplant for a six.-month old? This is absurd.

    • D. Stevens says:

      If a baby is defective it should be discarded and the parents can try again for a healthy baby. This is how it worked for most of history and will again when our oil powered moral high horse runs out of fuel.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Yes I agree with that — but that was not the rationale… if the baby was jabbed it would be treated.

  25. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Energy costs are soaring, bitcoin’s price is plummeting — and that’s why big crypto miners are selling tokens at a discount

    Bitcoin miners are struggling to remain profitable as energy prices soar and crypto prices tank, putting some major players at risk of collapse.

    Publicly-listed companies are selling their mined tokens at a deep discount to repay bitcoin-backed loans and cover rising operating costs, which analysts told Insider could eventually lead to liquidations in the troubled sector.

    Electricity costs are surging worldwide, thanks in part to higher prices for natural gas and coal in the fallout from Russia’s war on Ukraine, and in the US, prices will rise 5% this summer, the EIA forecasts.

    At the same time, bitcoin has plummeted almost 70% from its November all-time high to hover around $21,000.

    Together, those pressures have hammered the profitability of crypto mining companies. They use rigs of carbon-generating supercomputers to “mine” the tokens, which consumes high amounts of energy.

    “Utilities make up around 79% of bitcoin miners’ operating costs,” Alexander Neumueller, the project lead for Cambridge University’s Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index, told Insider.

    “They’re essentially facing rising costs and a steep decline in revenue,” he said.

    Miners are attempting to boost their profits by cutting costs and selling some of their bitcoin, even though its price is around its lowest in 18 months amid a deep crypto sell-off.

    “Companies with variable electricity rates are likely going to have to power off machines during peak pricing periods. That could be for a few hours, or even days,” CleanSpark’s Matt Schultz said.

    • Bobby says:

      Remember this 😂


      Dog money, Dog Money, we’re Putin it all into Dog Money.

      There have been cats before, so can we please wrangle at leat one Doggie silhouette into our data on OFW at some point just for the love of pooch and a bit of fun?

    • Bitcoin miners are struggling to remain profitable. This sounds the like the problem everywhere.

  26. Michael Le Merchant says:

    France Sees Nuclear Energy Output Plummet At The Worst Possible Moment

    Until now, France has been relatively sheltered from the energy crisis squeezing its neighbors. But now the nuclear-reliant nation suddenly finds itself in the same boat as other energy-strapped European nations thanks to a “series of maintenance issues including corrosion at some of France’s ageing reactors, troubles at state-controlled energy group EDF and a years-long absence of significant new nuclear investment,” according to reporting from the Financial Times. The issues of corrosion, which are currently to blame for 12 of France’s 56 offline reactors, could take years to fix. Meanwhile, inflation is soaring and French electric bills have hit record highs.

    “Instead of pumping vast amounts of electricity to Britain, Italy and other European countries pivoting from Russian oil,” writes The New York Times, “France faces the unsettling prospect of initiating rolling blackouts this winter and having to import power.” The incredibly bad timing of the EDF’s crisis is compounded with Putin’s recent slashing of natural gas exports to the EU, which have pushed countries such as Germany, Italy, Austria, and the Netherlands to a “bitter and reluctant return to coal.”

    • France should have seen this problem coming for years. Their nuclear companies have been having financial problems. Proper maintenance is not been performed. The facilities are quite old. I expect that the processed uranium needs to come from Russia as well. The ridiculous credit being given for intermittent electricity leads to nuclear power plants earning too little revenue to keep their power plants open.

      All of this goes together. European authorities seem to be completely unaware of Europe’s need for cheap energy (including cheap electricity) of precisely the right kind for built infrastructure.

      • great ‘Spectator’ link


        brings it home again–that the EU will hold together only as long as prosperity holds together. Right now that seems to be coming apart. The USA is in much the same position.


        • Fast Eddy says:

          Why don’t you write an article justifying your support for experimenting on infants and children?

          I am sure it would be very popular

          • right now i am writing a ornithological treatise on the lesser spotted eddywit

            a very rare bird—so rare in fact that most people think it is extinct.

            this of course is part of its survival strategy—it never flies above waist level, and constantly imitates the cries of other birds, in particular the greater spotted eddywit–which went extinct at about the same time as the Dodo

            Its favourite perch is the barstool— (not above waist height you see)

            that’s the place where you have to look for eddywit flocks, all gathered round, trying to learn the distinctive wit-wit-wit note from one another, but never quite getting it right.–but fly off in all directions, repeating the wit-wit-wit call, all sounding different, then wondering why they do not attract female eddywits .

            my research is ongoing.

  27. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Interview with Alina Lipp

    She is aware that Germany considers anyone that supports the Russian special operation in Ukraine as committing a criminal act.
    She explains the documents she has received from the German authorities notifying her that a criminal case has been opened against her and why specifically for a telegram post from February 24 as well as for a video she published on March 12.

    However she is told she cannot be present at the hearing because it would disturb the prosecution.

    The court document has the letter “Z” printed at the top and the letter “Z” is forbidden in Germany.

  28. Michael Le Merchant says:

    CDC Eyes Monkeypox Vaccine for Kids as Outbreak Spreads

    U.S. health officials are looking to expand use of the monkeypox vaccine for children as the outbreak continues to spread across the U.S. and in countries around the world, with more than 3,300 cases reported globally.

    The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is developing a protocol aimed at allowing use of Bavarian Nordic A/S’s Jynneos vaccine in children, if needed, according to documents prepared for a meeting of agency advisers that took place this week. The vaccine is currently cleared for use in adults and is considered safer than Emergent BioSolutions Inc.’s ACAM2000 smallpox vaccine, which can also be used against monkeypox.

  29. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Europe natural gas crisis in one chart

    • It doesn’t look like LNG imports have really increased all that significantly. They rose, and then they fell again, when the one US export facility had problems.

  30. Mirror on the wall says:

    Goodness me, Europe has suddenly got really unstable. It seems only yesterday that ‘all you need is love’ was the dominant public ideology.

    ‘Yesterday, all my troubles seemed so far away….’

    We always said that conflict is more likely when there are inadequate resources to go around.

    > Now Russia threatens POLAND: Putin claims to have ‘killed 80 Polish fighters’ in east Ukraine and removes flag from memorial to WW2 Poles killed by Soviet Union amid fresh tensions mount over Kaliningrad enclave

    Tensions between Russia and NATO member Poland have been cranking up to boiling point in recent days amid Russian claims that it has killed ‘up to 80 Polish mercenaries’ in missile strikes.

    The reported losses come on the same day that Russia confirmed it has removed a Polish flag from a memorial commemorating the murder of thousands of Poles by the Soviet Union in 1940.

    To the north, Moscow has been furious over Lithuania’s blocking of EU-sanctioned goods from reaching the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad, sandwiched between the Baltic state and Poland.

    This has prompted Poland to call on NATO to further bolster its security presence in the Suwalki Gap, the narrow corridor of territory that connects the three Baltic states to the rest of their NATO allies and separates Kaliningrad from Russian ally Belarus.

    ‘We are going to seek the reinforcement of this corridor… in our talks with our partners from NATO,’ Mateusz Morawiecki told a news conference in Brussels after a European Union summit.

    Kaliningrad and the Suwalki Gap, on Polish territory, would be ground zero for any military conflict between NATO and Russia, as Vladimir Putin would immediately move to cut the Baltic states of Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia off from the rest of NATO and shore up the isolated exclave from inevitable NATO strikes.


    • Mirror on the wall says:

      It is all going off in Kaliningrad again?

      • Kowalainen says:

        Don’t worry, mankind is perfectly capable of learning from mistakes in the past. This time it will be different – trust me.

        Right; I forgot that the last idiot isn’t born yet.
        How silly of me.
        Never mind.

        • Mirror on the wall says:

          Right, all humans should live on oats alone, and ride about aimlessly on bicycles all days like a child… cuz.

          Oh wait, that ‘lifestyle’ assumes an entire historical economic development that is incompatible with a universality of that lifestyle.

          There will never be a dearth of ‘idiots’, will there?

          I would be careful of banding around such terms.

          • Kowalainen says:

            When did I suggest that wars and misery wasn’t necessary for the evolution of tech and devolution of the rapacious primate?

            On the contrary.

            The rapacious primate is fundamentally incapable of driving evolution without the proverbial business end of a firearm pointing at the forehead.

            Because the myopia of ordinary is a powerful drug for a species that can’t transcend the archaic (primate/mammalian) regions of the brain, despite the newfangled neocortex.


            Dullards gonna dull.
            MOARons gonna moar.
            Tryhards gonna try.
            Monkey business is what it is.

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      I am missing the part where ‘Now Russia threatens POLAND’, contrary to the headline. I got the bit where Poland is trying to militarise the Suwalki Gap between Russian territories. I suppose that is the NATO MSM for you.

  31. CTG says:

    Germany Fears Russia Could Shut Nord Stream 1 Within Weeks


    Do I need a brain redux

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      “Putin’s plan is to put pressure on the market to make prices in Europe more expensive. According to Habeck, it is mainly a matter of stirring up social unrest and breaking down unity. He wants to make sure that Putin “does not win,” the economy minister told ZDF heute Journal. Measures are also being taken to ensure the unity of society.”

      What goes around comes around?

      ‘Do you remember the attempt to collapse the Russian economy, remove Putin, and scupper the Russia war effort?’

      • Tim Groves says:

        Do you remember there is no such thing as objective truth and that it’s all will to power anyway, according to some nineteenth century German with an enormous moustache and a nervous tick?

        • Mirror on the wall says:

          Indeed I do. I do not however see how that would translate into that other centers of force would not retaliate. Perhaps you were trying to make some other point? Or perhaps you just wanted to ‘big up’ at the Germans. No one really knows – or probably cares.

        • Mirror on the wall says:

          I never said that there is no objective truth, rather that depends on how the ‘object’ is framed. I said that the possibility and conditions of ‘episteme’ (certain knowledge) are uncertain, and that humans work with ‘doxa’ (appearance). Indeed the entire point of the Kantian epistemology is to frame the ‘object’ as phenomenal and ‘truth’ in its regard possible, yet the schema renders the noumena inaccessible and episteme impossible. Or as Nietzsche puts it, ‘how the thing-in-itself became nothing‘.

          • Kowalainen says:

            There is no handle as where to grapple with self referential systems.

            It is the fallacy of divisibility into epistemological ‘atoms’. Ultimate Reality doesn’t yield to absurdities.

            Repeat after me:


            Therefore nonexistence. Both at the same time, neither and or.

            The world is what you make of it and what is is that makes you, if not the world. And so the cranks of ultimate reality turns, fueled by oats.


    • It can never be clear whether the problem is simply technical issues. Europe can’t hope to replace Russian gas with US gas either.

  32. Student says:

    (Israel National News)

    ‘French mural showing Macron as puppet of Jewish advisor to be removed’


    (The Local)

    ‘French city authorities agree to remove ‘anti-Semitic’ mural of Macron’


    • According to the article:

      The fresco is reminiscent of antisemitic Nazi cartoons of the 1930s depicting Jews as evil puppet masters manipulating world events.

      With Attali [Macron advisor] being Jewish, the antisemitic nature of the fresco was immediately commented upon and calls came for it to be removed, including from Jewish advocacy groups.

      • Student says:

        What I think it is interesting of the murales is that Macron is considered a puppet of an important consultant.
        If that person is a Jew is just a detail, because Macron could be the puppet of a person of different origin.
        The point is the president being a puppet.
        The point for the Country is having a president manoeuvred by someone.
        The media finds an easy justification with antisemitic claims.
        And in addition. I would like to say that I appreciate israeli newspapers because they speak freely of various arguments.
        In Israel there is more freedom of speech than in European Countries.

      • Student says:

        Additional info from France.

        In my view it is surely disrespectful towards Macron, but I don’t see it as antisemitic, maybe it indicates more that the President is a puppet of someone and that he is not autonomous on what he is doing.


      • Fast Eddy says:

        Would it be ok to have frescos of the small group of Brits who ran the empire that controlled half the world?

    • Fast Eddy says:

      If UEP fails… they wont stop at anti Semitic murals… the hordes will demand skinning alive of the Macron and all others they hold responsible for the Global Holodomor…

      UEP is a wise plan.

  33. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    Survey finds 81% of hourly workers have cut back because of high gas prices
    Ben Werschkul
    Ben Werschkul·Senior Producer and Writer
    Fri, June 24, 2022, 1:29 PM
    The effects of inflation and high gas prices are hitting hourly workers hard, a new survey finds.

    Eighty-one percent of these workers report that higher gas costs have cut into their ability to pay for other things. Seventy-seven percent say that financial stress is impacting their health — and 22% report turning to payday loans this year to bridge the gaps.

    These are “some really stark results” said Emerson Sprick, policy analyst at the Bipartisan Center, who helped oversee the survey, during a Yahoo Finance Live Interview on Thursday. He added that gas prices are “causing people to have to make real trade-offs in what they spend money on, between gas and groceries, between a car repair and health care.”

    The most recent data from the American Automobile Association finds prices just under $5 a gallon across the U.S. Respondents to the survey report that the overall inflationary environment has led to struggles to pay a wide range of daily expenses like groceries, gas, utilities, and rent.

    Oh, the rabble will be OK… Wendy’s has the $5.00 Biggie Bag to keep them fed!
    I actually got that “meal” and it was more like a snack…a very tiny french fry, tiny hamburger and 4 nuggets and small soda…they act like it’s a big deal..
    Get something that fills you up…looking at 12 to 15 bucks.
    Also, usually get a fish and chips basket at Arthur Treachery that was $5.00 now 8.00
    The riff raff are definitely aware there is a problem brewing

  34. Tim Groves says:

    You are all going to like this one!

    Black sucker punches Libtard Mayor at celebration of Black liberation from slavery
    Louisville Democratic Mayor Greg Fischer Gets Punched in The Face at Juneteenth Celebration


    • Rodster says:

      The the moreon Mayor excused the incident, even sounding apologetic. Surely, he won’t press charges even if the assailant is caught. Which goes to show how stoopid libtards are in America. Maybe if he got sucker punched a few times more from the same guy, he just might figure it out but that’s asking for too much.

      • Xabier says:

        The mayor is such a deep philosopher: ‘things just happen’, like SADS and unprovoked assaults – that’s life!

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      Likely he thought that the DP is cynically appropriating his struggle for votes, which is likely true.

      RP is now getting sucked into s/xual ‘moralism’ for votes.

      None of them have got a clue what they are doing or why.

      They may as well all knock themselves out.

  35. Fast Eddy says:

    Here we go!

    Singapore Widens Tuberculosis Checks After Large Cluster Emerges



    • Xabier says:

      They are dialling us back to the pre-antibiotic age with universal vaxx-damage: all the delightful ways of dying familiar to the Victorians, progressing rapidly due to wrecked immune systems.

      This will, of course, be said to justify a range of new mandates for all manner of novel wonder-vaxxes, for the sake of public health.

      These will, in turn, serve only to further erode and degrade health.

      Really, it’s quite a brilliant strategy, combined with poor diet, unending stress, mass unemployment and impoverishment, war.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Imagine if this culminated in some sort of even more extreme version of the Black Death!!!

        If VAIDS becomes a serious thing… we should not rule that out

    • CTG says:

      Quoted from the article : The health ministry said tuberculosis is endemic in Singapore and is not uncommon in Singaporeans.

      TB is NOT common in developed country especially Singapore where healthcare is easy to access. Doing a Google search, in 2020, there were around 1500 cases in Singapore (for the whole year). This cluster has 170 cases. It does not include those who were not checked. Assuming it to be around 200 people, this cluster alone accounts for approximately 13% of the entire 2020 cases (1500 cases)

      Bear in mind that TB affects those who are immuno-compromised. It is very hard to get infected with TB unless your immunity is really weakened.

      Keep calm and continue the injection

      • Xabier says:

        My great-grandmother nursed her tubercular eldest son at home until he died at 21, no one else in the family caught TB.

        However, it is notable that even very rich families, presumably well-nourished as well as obviously properly housed, would still lose children and young adults to TB, especially before the 1950’s.

        Poorer, over-crowded, families lost a higher %, and much younger on the whole.

        Tubercular deaths can be either truly nightmarish and agonized, or fairly peaceful and painless, according to accounts I’ve read.

        • CTG says:

          Before prevalence of antibiotics, TB is rare. let us see how dormant diseases are making a comeback

    • Tuberculosis was one of the top diseases worldwide, before COVID hit. China has been mentioned as having a lot of tuberculosis. It is not surprising it is spreading now.

  36. Fast Eddy says:

    The Australian Bureau of Statistics has revealed that Australia has been suffering a huge amount of excess deaths compared to the historical average since around October 2021, with figures revealing the number of Australians who have lost their lives in 2022 is 18% higher than the historical average.

    However, the unusual rise in deaths cannot be attributed to Covid-19 because just 6% of all deaths in 2022 have been attributed to the alleged disease.



  37. CTG says:

    Like what we did as kids, playing God on the ant hill where we poked and poured water or used a magnifying glass on the helpless ants, It seems that the Creator is looking at doing the same to humans. Not contending with supply shortages, COVID, financial collapse, etc, now it is………

    Giant sunspot doubled in size in 24 hours, and it’s pointing right at Earth

    Note that If (or when) we have a Carrington event, that is the end of modern human civilization. Even if the intensity is not high, the power grid may not be able to take it and spares are hard or impossible to find. At its worst, if the intensity is very high and electronics are fried (including the electronics in the cars), it will be Mad Max in an instant.

    If it happens, we may have hours or latest 1-2 days before it hits earth.

    It can happen anytime, perhaps after I have finished typing this sentence. So, good to know you all here on OFW.

  38. Fast Eddy says:

    Excess Deaths in Australia are up 18% since the start of 2022 but only 6% of all deaths have been attributed to COVID-19

    “The answers doctors are looking for to explain what they are dubbing Sudden Adult Death Syndrome, are contained in official Government data…”


    • Rodster says:

      Maybe they should be calling Dr Pierre Kory, Peter McCullough, Ryan Cole or Robert Malone for the answers.

  39. postkey says:

    “Situation Update, June 22, 2022 – Diesel engine oil OUTAGE ALERT – entire supply WIPED OUT until 2023”?



    • CTG says:

      I hope so that diesel will be gone so that things will go Mad Max. My popcorn is ready…..

    • D. Stevens says:

      If ‘naturalnews’ is pushing this story about engine oil additives then I’m confident it’s fake news and BAU will continue on for a good while longer.

      • vbaker says:

        This situation is being mentioned and referenced commonly now. With the collapsing inventory systems for parts and chemical components, this outcome is well within the realm of being possible.

        This situation, if it is truly happening, is deeply concerning and would constitute “the big one:, as per Alice Friedmann’s “When the Trucks Stop Running”

        We should be watching this one closely.

    • Maybe. We will see.

  40. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    Salmonella Typhi. (Microbewriter/Wikimedia Commons/CC BY SA 4.0)
    An Ancient Killer Is Rapidly Becoming Resistant to Antibiotics, Scientists Warn
    23 JUNE 2022
    Typhoid fever might be rare in developed countries, but this ancient threat, thought to have been around for millennia, is still very much a danger in our modern world.
    According to new research, the bacterium that causes typhoid fever is evolving extensive drug resistance, and it’s rapidly replacing strains that aren’t resistant.

    Currently, antibiotics are the only way to effectively treat typhoid, which is caused by the bacterium Salmonella enterica serovar Typhi (S Typhi). Yet over the past three decades, the bacterium’s resistance to oral antibiotics has been growing and spreading.
    Sequencing the genomes of 3,489 S Typhi strains contracted from 2014 to 2019 in Nepal, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and India, researchers found a recent rise in extensively drug-resistant (XDR) Typhi.
    XDR Typhi is not only impervious to frontline antibiotics, like ampicillin, chloramphenicol, and trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole, but it is also growing resistant to newer antibiotics, like fluoroquinolones and third-generation cephalosporins.
    Even worse, these strains are spreading globally at a rapid rate.
    While most XDR Typhi cases stem from south Asia, researchers have identified nearly 200 instances of international spread since 1990.
    Most strains have been exported to Southeast Asia, as well as East and Southern Africa, but typhoid superbugs have also been found in the United Kingdom, the United States, and Canada.
    “The speed at which highly-resistant strains of S. Typhi have emerged and spread in recent years is a real cause for concern, and highlights the need to urgently expand prevention measures, particularly in countries at greatest risk,” says infectious disease specialist Jason Andrews from Stanford University.

    Scientists have been warning about drug-resistant typhoid for years now, but the new research is the largest genome analysis on the bacterium to date.
    In 2016, the first XDR typhoid strain was identified in Pakistan. By 2019, it had become the dominant genotype in the nation.
    Historically, most XDR typhoid strains have been fought with third-generation antimicrobials, like quinolones, cephalosporins, and macrolides.
    But by the early 2000s, mutations that confer resistance to quinolones accounted for more than 85 percent of all cases in Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Nepal, and Singapore. At the same time, cephalosporin resistance was also taking over.
    Today, only one oral antibiotic is left: the macrolide, azithromycin. And this medicine might not work for much longer.
    The new study found mutations that confer resistance to azithromycin are now also spreading, “threatening the efficacy of all oral antimicrobials for typhoid treatment”. While these mutations have not yet been adopted by XDR S Typhi, if they are, we are in serious trouble.
    If untreated, up to 20 percent of typhoid cases can be fatal, and today, there are 11 million cases of typhoid a year.

    Future outbreaks can be prevented to some extent with typhoid conjugate vaccines, but if access to these shots is not expanded globally, the world could soon have another health crisis on its hands.
    “The recent emergence of XDR and azithromycin-resistant S Typhi creates greater urgency for rapidly expanding prevention measures, including use of typhoid conjugate vaccines in typhoid-endemic countries,” the authors write.
    “Such measures are needed in countries where antimicrobial resistance prevalence among S Typhi isolates is currently high, but given the propensity for international spread, should not be restricted to such settings.”
    South Asia might be the main hub for typhoid fever, accounting for 70 percent of all cases, but if COVID-19 has taught us anything, it is that disease variants in our modern, globalized world are easily spread.
    To prevent that from happening, health experts argue nations must expand access to typhoid vaccines and invest in new antibiotic research. One recent study in India, for instance, estimates that if children are vaccinated against typhoid in urban areas, it could prevent up to 36 percent of typhoid cases and deaths.

    Pakistan is currently leading the way on this front. It is the first nation in the world to offer routine immunization for typhoid. Last year, millions of children were administered the vaccine, and health experts argue more nations need to follow suit.
    Antibiotic resistance is one of the world’s leading causes of death, claiming the lives of more people than HIV/AIDS or malaria. Where available, vaccines are some of the best tools we have to prevent future catastrophe.
    We don’t have time to waste.
    The study was published in The Lancet Microbe.

    © ScienceAlert US LLC

    Just a matter of time…something will nail the human hoard

  41. Jon F says:

    Latest from Tim Watkins….


    With respect to the UK:

    “Demand destruction is already happening. Just four items are holding average prices up – household energy (electricity and gas) transport (oil) second hand cars (chips) and food (fertilisers). Strip these out of the figures and you get an inflation rate below one percent – very much in line with where it was prior to the lockdowns. More importantly, it shows us that the price increases battering the UK economy are the result of factors beyond these shores and which our government and central bank are powerless to resolve.”

  42. Fast Eddy says:

    COVID-19 Deaths Remain Extremely Rare in Children and Young People

    “Of the COVID-19 deaths, 61 (75.3%) had an underlying condition, especially severe neurodisability (n=27) and immunocompromising conditions (n=12). Over the 22-month surveillance period, SARS-CoV-2 was responsible for 1.2% (81/6,790) of all deaths, with an infection fatality rate of 0.70/100,000 SARS-CoV-2 infections in CYP aged <20 years estimated through real-time, nowcasting modelling and a mortality rate of 0.61/100,000.”



    • Rodster says:

      Ah, just jab the little suckers anyway. We all know how safe and effective these vaccines are. We need to protect the vulnerable in society.

  43. Fast Eddy says:

    Heavily Vaccinated Taiwan Experiences Record COVID-19 Infections, Hospitalizations & Deaths

    “While Taiwan is 80.3% fully vaccinated, with one of the highest boost rates worldwide at about 65%, an unprecedented number of SARS-CoV-2 infections surge alongside record fatalities.”





    • Lastcall says:

      Have we permanently lost Duncan Idunno?
      Sad cos he also was a beacon of idiocracy to test our resilience in the search for truth.
      Lest we forget….

      • Herbie Ficklestein says:

        Perhaps he is smart enough to realize that our time left is short and babbling among the peanuts gallery here is not the best use of ones time and is enjoying an ocean voyage among the beautiful 😍❤️ people indulging in the pleasures of the bounty of BAU!
        Eat your hearts 💕🥰 out!

        PS Don’t call him out…he’s not listening

      • Fast Eddy says:

        I regret to inform OFWers that Dunc was caught up in the cull… you know – the one that he said was going to exterminate all the unvaxxed… ya – that one… only different.

        Sooo Eeeeee…!!!

        • Herbie Ficklestein says:

          Edwin, IM STILL Waiting myself since I got double boosted with Pfizer juice.
          I’m not saying that something won’t come about, but so far all is well
          I think perhaps there are many factors involved on if one has adverse reactions.
          I’ll keep everyone posted here on any developments.im not too worried because when BAU goes down all go down in modern industrial societies

        • Xabier says:

          Duncan was certainly rubbing his gnarled hands at the thought of us dying and ‘raising the intelligence level’, as he often reminded us.

          Maybe Un-natural Selection has claimed him first , after all?

          • Fast Eddy says:

            Imagine if dunc would have been correct and norm was the breeding stud …. hahaha… OMG… let’s not think about that.

          • Herbie Ficklestein says:

            Maybe so, hard to say what others hope. From.what I recall he was of the time of radical 60s/70s and knew or met some personalities of that period. We are all a product of our times and hard for me to relate to the mindset of say a 20 year old.
            Each generation has its own challenges…the ones following us will deal with the descending of the heat ladder, as Randy Udall called it. He also pointed out the boomers will leave a fraction of recoverable fossil fuels and resources for them…
            I work where the mandate had everyone required to get jabbed..
            Not aware of all these events that are posted here. So, I’m not declaring anything other than we have bigger issues….too many side shows…like Roe vs Wade, Gun control, ECT.
            I miss😷😷 Duncan Idaho and he probably is posting elsewhere…good for him

      • Yorchichan says:

        As of yesterday, Dunc can still be found posting on peakoil, where they have made him president.

    • ivanislav says:

      We need to update the boosters to match the new variants, ASAP! The only answer is to boost our way out of this.

  44. Fast Eddy says:

    New Study Links COVID Vaccines to 25% Increase in Cardiac Arrest

    “Study based on data from emergency services. COVID infection itself not linked to significant increase in cardiovascular complications.”


  45. Fast Eddy says:

    Israel Contemplating Fifth COVID Vaccine as Number of Infections Rises

    The country’s Corona Supervisor, Professor Salman Zarqa, stated on Wednesday at the 2042 Medicine Conference in Tel Aviv that “unfortunately, it seems that we are starting a new corona wave in Israel, the BA.5 wave, we are considering giving a fifth vaccine.”


  46. Fast Eddy says:

    Media Wonders Why Boosted Americans are Testing Positive for COVID More Than Those Without Extra Shot

    “Since late February, Americans who have gotten a booster shot appear to be testing positive for COVID-19 more often than those vaccinated without the extra shot, according to Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data.”


    I know!!!

    Cuz. VAIDS

  47. Fast Eddy says:

    BA.5 Omicron is Winning the Covid Variant Battle in the U.S.

    “BA.2.12.1 is only modestly (1.8-fold) more resistant to sera from vaccinated and boosted individuals than BA.2. On the other hand, BA.4/5 is substantially (4.2-fold) more resistant and thus more likely to lead to vaccine breakthrough infections.”


  48. Tim Groves says:

    Whah! That was fun! Asking “My Body, My Choice” “Pro Choice” marchers about vaxx mandates.


    • Kowalainen says:

      Being dumb is mental illness.

    • CTG says:

      My body. My choice. It is not hypocrisy. It is a programming error. A glitch in the Matrix.

      • Tim Groves says:

        Some of the programmed folks shouting “My Body My Choice” were genuinely perplexed by the question “what about vaccine mandates”, but only momentarily. You could see the error-correction circuitry cutting in as they simply denied that any valid parallel could be drawn between abortion on the one hand and vaccination on the other. I could also see some of them reacting like Hillary after drinking the cold chai.

    • D. Stevens says:

      What are they complaining about? It’s still their choice, isn’t it? Nobody is saying they can’t get an abortion, they just have to deal with the consequences.

      Same for vaccine mandates. A mandate isn’t force, you can still choose not to. Just because you can no longer work, travel, and you’re now a social pariah.. well that’s your choice.. deal with the consequences.

Comments are closed.