Why No Politician Is Willing to Tell Us the Real Energy Story

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No politician wants to tell us the real story of fossil fuel depletion. The real story is that we are already running short of oil, coal and natural gas because the direct and indirect costs of extraction are reaching a point where the selling price of food and other basic necessities needs to be unacceptably high to make the overall economic system work. At the same time, wind and solar and other “clean energy” sources are nowhere nearly able to substitute for the quantity of fossil fuels being lost.

This unfortunate energy story is essentially a physics problem. Energy per capita and, in fact, resources per capita, must stay high enough for an economy’s growing population. When this does not happen, history shows that civilizations tend to collapse.

Figure 1. World fossil fuel energy consumption per capita, based on data of BP’s 2022 Statistical Review of World Energy.

Politicians cannot possibly admit that today’s world economy is headed for collapse, in a way similar to that of prior civilizations. Instead, they need to provide the illusion that they are in charge. The self-organizing system somehow leads politicians to put forward reasons why the changes ahead might be desirable (to avert climate change), or at least temporary (because of sanctions against Russia).

In this post, I will try to try to explain at least a few of the issues involved.

[1] Citizens around the world can sense that something is very wrong. It looks like the economy may be headed for a serious recession in the near term.

Figure 2. Index of consumer sentiment and news heard of company changes as reported by the University of Michigan Survey of Consumers, based on preliminary indications for August 2022.

Consumer sentiment is at an extraordinarily low level, worse than during the 2008-2009 great recession according to a chart (Figure 2) shown on the University of Michigan Survey of Consumers website. According to the same website, nearly 48% of consumers blame inflation for eroding their standard of living. Food prices have risen significantly. Over the past year, the cost of car ownership has escalated, as has the cost of buying or renting a home.

The situation in Europe is at least as bad, or worse. Citizens are worried about possibly “freezing in the dark” this winter if electricity generation cannot be maintained at an adequate level. Natural gas supplies, mostly purchased from Russia by pipeline, are less available and high-priced. Coal is also high-priced. Because of the fall of the Euro relative to the US dollar, the price of oil in euros is as high as it was in 2008 and 2012.

Figure 3. Inflation-adjusted Brent crude oil price in US dollars and euros, in chart by the US Energy Information Administration, as published in EIA’s August 2022 Short Term Energy Outlook.

Many other countries, besides those in the Eurozone, are experiencing low currencies relative to the dollar. Some examples include Argentina, India, Pakistan, Nigeria, Turkey, Japan, and South Korea.

China has problems with developers of condominium homes for its citizen. Many of these homes cannot be delivered to purchasers as promised. As a protest, buyers are withholding payments on their unfinished homes. To make matters worse, the prices of condominium homes have started to fall, leading to a loss of value of these would-be investments. All of this could lead to serious problems for the Chinese banking industry.

Even with these major problems, central banks in the US, the UK and the Eurozone are raising target interest rates. The US is also implementing Quantitative Tightening, which also tends to raise interest rates. Thus, central banks are intentionally raising the cost of borrowing. It doesn’t take much insight to see that the combination of price inflation and higher borrowing costs is likely to force consumers to cut back on spending, leading to recession.

[2] Politicians will avoid talking about possible future economic problems related to inadequate energy supply.

Politicians want to get re-elected. They want citizens to think that everything is OK. If there are energy supply problems, they need to be framed as being temporary, perhaps related to the war in Ukraine. Alternatively, any issue that arises will be discussed as if it can easily be fixed with new legislation and perhaps a little more debt.

Businesses also want to minimize problems. They want citizens to place orders for their goods and services, without the fear of being laid off. They would like the news media to publish stories saying that any economic dip is likely to be very mild and temporary.

Universities don’t mind problems, but they want the problems to be framed as solvable ones that will offer their students opportunities for jobs that will pay well. A near-term, unsolvable predicament is not helpful at all.

[3] What is wrong is a physics problem. The operation of our economy requires energy of the correct type and the right quantity.

The economy is something that grows through the “dissipation” of energy. Examples of dissipation of energy include the digestion of food to give energy to humans, the burning of fossil fuels, and the use of electricity to power a light bulb. A rise in world energy consumption is highly correlated with growth in the world economy. Falling energy consumption is associated with economic contraction.

Figure 4. Correlation between world GDP measured in “Purchasing Power Parity” (PPP) 2017 International $ and world energy consumption, including both fossil fuels and renewables. GDP is as reported by the World Bank for 1990 through 2021 as of July 26, 2022; total energy consumption is as reported by BP in its 2022 Statistical Review of World Energy.

In physics terms, the world economy is a dissipative structure, just as all plants, animals and ecosystems are. All dissipative structures have finite lifespans, including the world economy.

This finding is not well known because academic researchers seem to operate in ivory towers. Researchers in economic departments aren’t expected to understand physics and how it applies to the economy. In fairness to academia, the discovery that the economy is a dissipative structure did not occur until 1996. It takes a long time for findings to filter through from one department to another. Even now, I am one of a very small number of people in the world writing about this issue.

Also, economic researchers are not expected to study the history of the many smaller, more-localized civilizations that have collapsed in the past. Typically, the population of these smaller civilizations increased at the same time as the resources used by the population started to degrade. The use of technology, such as dams to redirect water flows, may have helped for a while, but eventually this was not enough. The combination of declining availability of high quality resources and increasing population tended to leave these civilizations with little margin for dealing with the bad times that can be expected to occur by chance. In many cases, such civilizations collapsed after disease epidemics, a military invasion, or a climate fluctuation that led to a series of crop failures.

[4] Many people have been confused by common misunderstandings regarding how an economy really works.

[a] Standard economics models foster the belief that the economy can continue to grow without a corresponding increase in energy supply.

When economic models are designed with labor and capital being the important inputs, energy supply doesn’t seem to be needed, at all.

[b] People seem to understand that legislation capping apartment rents will stop the building of new apartments, but they do not make the same connection with steps taken to hold down fossil fuel prices.

If efforts are made to bring down the prices of fossil fuels (such as raising interest rates and adding oil from the US petroleum reserves to increase total oil supply), we need to expect that extraction will be adversely affected. One article reports that Saudi Arabia does not seem to be using recent record profits to quickly raise reinvestment to the level that seemed to be required a few years ago. This suggests that Saudi Arabia needs prices that are quite a bit higher than $100 per barrel in order to take significant steps toward extracting the country’s remaining resources. This would seem to contradict published reserves that, in theory, take current prices into consideration.

Reuters reports that Venezuela has reneged on its promise to send more oil to Europe, under an oil for debt deal. It wants oil product swaps instead, since it is lacking in its ability to make finished products from its oil itself. It would take a long run of prices much higher than today’s level for Venezuela to be able to sufficiently invest in infrastructure to do such refining. Venezuela reports the highest oil reserves in the world (303.8 thousand million barrels), even higher than Saudi Arabia’s reported 297.5 thousand million barrels, but neither country can be counted on to take major steps to raise supply.

Similarly, there have been reports that US shale drillers are not investing to keep production growing, despite what seem to be sufficiently high prices. There are simply too many issues. The cost of new investment is very high, outside of the already drilled sweet spots. Also, there is no guarantee the price will stay high. There are also supply line issues, such as whether appropriate steel drilling pipes and fracking sand will be available, when needed.

[c] Published information suggests that there is a huge amount of fossil fuels remaining to be extracted, given today’s level of technology. If we assume that technology will get better and better, it is easy to believe that any fossil fuel limit is hundreds of years in the future.

The way the economy works, the extraction limit is really an affordability issue. If the cost of extraction rises too high, relative to what people around the world have for spendable income, production will stop because demand (in terms of what people can afford) will drop too low. People will tend to cut back on discretionary spending, such as vacation travel and meals in restaurants, cutting back on demand for fossil fuels.

[d] How “demand” works is poorly understood. Very often, researchers and the general public assume that demand for energy products will automatically remain high.

A surprisingly large share of demand is tied to the need for food, water, and basic services such as schools, roads, and bus service. Poor people require these basics just as much as rich people do. There are literally billions of poor people in the world. If the wages of poor people fall too low relative to the wages of rich people, the system cannot work. Poor people find that they must spend nearly all their income on food, water and housing. As a result, they have little left to pay taxes to support basic governmental services. Without adequate demand from poor people, the prices of commodities tend to fall too low to encourage reinvestment.

The majority of fossil fuel use is by commercial and industrial users. For example, natural gas is often used in making nitrogen fertilizer. If the price of natural gas is high, the price of fertilizer will rise higher than farmers are willing to pay for the fertilizer. Farmers will cut back on fertilizer use, reducing yields for their crops. The farmers’ own costs will be lower, but there will be less of the desired crops grown, perhaps indirectly raising overall food prices. This is not a connection that economic modelers build into their models.

The lockdowns of 2020 show that governments can indeed ramp up demand (and thus prices) for energy products by sending out checks to citizens. We are now seeing that the approach seems to produce inflation rather than more energy production. Also, countries without energy resources of their own may see their currencies fall with respect to the US dollar.

[e] It is not true that energy types can easily be substituted for one another.

In energy modeling, such as in calculating “Energy Return on Energy Invested,” a popular assumption is that all energy is substitutable for other energy. This isn’t true, unless a person accounts for all of the details of the transition, and the energy needed to make such a transition possible.

For example, intermittent electricity, such as that generated by wind turbines or solar panels, is not substitutable for load-following electricity. Such intermittent electricity is not always available when people need it. Some of this intermittency is very long-term. For example, wind-generated electricity may be low for more than a month at a time. In the case of solar energy, the problem tends to be storing up enough electricity during summer months for use in winter. A naive person might assume that adding a few hours of battery backup would fix intermittency problems, but such a fix turns out to be very inadequate.

If people are not to freeze in the dark in winter, longer-term solutions are needed. One standard approach is to use a fossil fuel system to fill in the gaps when wind and solar are not available. The catch, then, is that the fossil fuel system really needs to be a year-around system, with trained staffing, pipelines and adequate fuel storage. A modeler needs to consider the need to build a whole double system instead of a single system.

Because of intermittency issues, electricity from wind and solar only substitute for fuels (coal, natural gas, uranium) that operate our current system. Publications often talk about the cost of intermittent electricity being at “grid parity” when its temporary cost seems to match the cost of grid electricity, but this is matching “apples and oranges.” The cost comparison needs to be in comparison to the average cost of fuel for plants producing electricity, rather than to electricity prices.

Another popular assumption is that electricity can be substituted for liquid fuels. For example, in theory, every piece of farm equipment could be redesigned and rebuilt to be based on electricity, rather than diesel, which is typically used today. The catch is that there would need to be an enormous number of batteries built and eventually disposed of for this transition to work. There would need also need to be factories to build all this new equipment. We would need an international trade system operating extraordinarily well, to find all the raw materials. Likely, there would still not be enough raw materials to make the system work.

[f] There is a great deal of confusion about expected oil and other energy prices, as an economy reaches energy limits.

This issue is closely related to [4][d], with respect to the confusion about how energy demand works. A common assumption among analysts is that “of course” oil prices will rise, as limits are approached. This assumption is based on the standard supply and demand curve used by economists.

Figure 5. Standard economic supply and demand curve from Wikipedia. Description of how this curve works: The price P of a product is determined by a balance between production at each price (supply S) and the desires of those with purchasing power at each price (demand D). The diagram shows a positive shift in demand from D1 to D2, resulting in an increase in price (P) and quantity sold (Q) of the product.

The issue is that the availability of inexpensive energy products very much affects demand as well as supply. Jobs that pay well are only available if inexpensive energy products can leverage human labor. For example, surgeons today perform robotic surgery, requiring, at a minimum, a stable source of electricity for each operation. Furthermore, the equipment used in the surgery is created using fossil fuels. Surgeons also use anesthetic products that require fossil fuels. Without today’s fancy equipment, surgeons would not be able to charge nearly as much they do for their services.

Thus, it is not immediately obvious whether demand or supply would tend to fall faster, if energy supply should hit limits. We know that Revelation 18:11-13 in the Bible provides a list of a number of commodities, including humans sold as slaves, for which prices dropped very low at the time of the collapse of ancient Babylon. This suggests that at least sometimes during prior collapses, the problem was too low demand (and too low prices), rather than too low supply of energy products.

[5] The International Energy Agency and politicians around the world have recommended a transition to the use of wind and solar to try to prevent climate change for quite a few years. This approach seemed to have the approval of both those concerned about too much burning of fossil fuels causing climate change and those concerned about too little fossil fuel energy causing economic collapse.

A rough estimate of what the decline in energy supply might look like under the rapid shift to renewables proposed by politicians is shown in Figure 6.

Figure 6. Estimate by Gail Tverberg of World Energy Consumption from 1820 to 2050. Amounts for earliest years based on estimates in Vaclav Smil’s book Energy Transitions: History, Requirements and Prospectsand BP’s 2020 Statistical Review of World Energy for the years 1965 to 2019. Energy consumption for 2020 is estimated to be 5% below that for 2019. Energy for years after 2020 is assumed to fall by 6.6% per year, so that the amount reaches a level similar to renewables only by 2050. Amounts shown include more use of local energy products (wood and animal dung) than BP includes.

If a person understands the connection between energy consumption and the economy, such a rapid drop in energy supply looks like something that would likely be associated with economic collapse. The goal of politicians seems to be to keep citizens from understanding how awful the situation really is by reframing the story of the decline in energy supply as something politicians and economists have chosen to do, to try to prevent climate change for the sake of future generations.

The rich and powerful can see this change as a good thing if they themselves can profit from it. When there is not enough energy, the physics of the situation tends to lead to increasing wage and wealth disparities. Wealthy individuals see this outcome as a good thing: They can perhaps personally profit. For example, Bill Gates has amassed about 270,000 acres of farmland in the United States, including newly purchased farmland in North Dakota.

Furthermore, politicians see that they can have more control over populations if they can direct citizens in a way that will use less energy. For example, bank accounts can be linked to some type of social credit score. Politicians will explain that this is for people’s own good–to prevent the spread of disease or to prevent undesirables from using too much of the available resources.

One way of dramatically reducing energy consumption is by mandating shutdowns in an area, purportedly to prevent the spread of Covid-19, as China has been doing recently. Such shutdowns can be explained as being needed to stop the spread of disease. These shutdowns can also help hide other problems, such as not having enough fuels to prevent rolling blackouts of electricity.

[6] We are living in a truly unusual time, with a major energy problem being hidden from view.

Politicians cannot tell the world how bad the energy situation really is. The problem with near-term energy limits has been known since at least 1956 (M. King Hubbert) and 1957 (Hyman Rickover). The problem was confirmed in the modeling performed for the 1972 book, The Limits to Growth by Donella Meadows and others.

Most high-level politicians are aware of the energy supply issue, but they cannot possibly talk about it. Instead, they choose to talk about what would happen if the economy were allowed to speed ahead without limits, and how bad the consequences of that might be.

Militaries around the world are no doubt well aware of the fact that there will not be enough energy supplies to go around. This means that the world will be in a contest for who gets how much. In a war-like setting, we should not be surprised if communications are carefully controlled. The views we can expect to hear loudly and repeatedly are the ones governments and influential individuals want ordinary citizens to hear.

About Gail Tverberg

My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
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4,427 Responses to Why No Politician Is Willing to Tell Us the Real Energy Story

  1. Tim Groves says:

    A member of the Kiwi armed forces has been killed on the frontlines in Ukraine.

    What was he doing there?
    Apparently, he was taking a busman’s holiday.

    Jacinda is doing her best to comfort the family and to liaise with the Ukrainians to bring his body back home—or as much of it as they can find—draped in the NZ flag.

    https://rumble.com/v1hc18n-dominic-bryce-abelen-kiwi-mercenary-fighting-on-the-kiev-side-has-been-elim.html

  2. Someone sent me a link to this article:

    https://www.yahoo.com/news/without-diablo-canyon-california-overburdened-235142472.html

    ‘Without Diablo Canyon [Nuclear Generation], California’s overburdened electrical grid will collapse,’ Mathis says

    As the 2022 legislative season comes to a close in less than a week, the responsibility to craft and pass good-governance policies pertaining to energy production cannot be understated. As it stands today, there indeed is a proposal which focuses on the temporary elongation of the life of the Diablo Canyon Nuclear Power Plant. This facility, which has been in service since 1985, generates roughly 8% of California’s in-state electricity and accounts for 15% of our carbon-free energy production. Absent any action on the part of the state, this site will begin the process of powering down, and eventually cease to contribute to the state’s power grid by 2025.

    To put it plainly, without Diablo Canyon, California’s overburdened electrical grid will collapse. However, there are a number of groups that are advocating for its closure. In turn, these groups would like to see a bolstering of state financed renewable energies, such as solar, wind, and geothermal.

    I would agree. California is very dependent on electricity imported from other states. It is “close to the edge” right now, in meeting electricity demand. Taking a bit chunk of base-load off the grid is likely to create a lot of problems.

    Devon Mathis makes a calculation regarding how much new capacity would be required if the goal is to make if California generation is to be 100% non-fossil fuel by 2045. He shows that substituting 10 new nuclear power plants throughout the state would be a whole lot less expensive than adding a huge amount of renewables. His calculation understates the case because it leaves out the batteries or other backup that would be needed for a highly variable system.

    I am doubtful that either of these approaches would work. But California is so close to the “edge” now that taking down what little nuclear is available as base load doesn’t make sense.

    • Jane says:

      “cannot be *understated*”

      I think what he means is “cannot be overstated.

      I see this confusion a lot.

      Perhaps what he meant was “*must* not be understated.

    • Tim Groves says:

      It doesn’t make sense to take the remaining nuclear offline unless the objective is to crash the system and create chaos and catastrophe. Or unless one has been indoctrinated into a cult-like worldview, which I believe quite a lot of Californians have been.

      Rejecting nuclear power on the grounds that it is not clean or green or safe enough is IMHO making the good the enemy of the best. regardless of whether that’s true, it will certainly increase the demand for solar panels and help smooth the way towards more and bigger wind farms that will make for a much less stable and robust power grid.

      • Adonis says:

        I think the mission or mania for renewables is the plan maybe the elders want managed chaos in order to control us for the coming tough times the plan is austerity along with with an increase in the death rate renewables fit the bill for that so the green deal would be about toughening us up and killing off the weak.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Californians are all mentally ill

  3. Tim Groves says:

    Andrew Napolitano talks with Scott Ritter on Aug. 24 about then assassination of Darya Dugina

    This is a special treat for Mirror on the Wall if he hasn’t seen it yet, and also for everyone whose interested in the Russia/Ukraine situation, which I guess is most of us.

    Ritter doesn’t think the CIA would commit a felony. (Yeah, I laughed at that notion.) But he thinks M16 may have a hand in this as part of a strategy of getting the Ukrainians to do more and more outlandish things in order to provoke the Russians into retaliating in a way that would damage Russia’s own interests.

    Judge Napolitano: Well, why would the Ukrainians ratchet up the war by killing somebody whose father was in Putin’s Circle? What do the Ukrainians gain by this?

    Scott Ritter: Well, I believe that the target was Alexander Dugin, that the daughter was a tragic accident. The car that was targeted, he was supposed to drive. And, at the last second, he opted to drive another car, so his daughter went behind this wheel. He was driving right behind her when the explosion took place. He saw his daughter die! And, why hit Dugin? Look…

    Napolitano: He’s a philosopher. He’s not a military guy.

    Ritter: Right: well, I’m an American historian. And I’m on the same blacklist—now, death list—that he is. I mean, we need to understand that. The blacklist that we’ve been mocking, and I’ve belittled it a little bit, it’s a death list. And I warned people about this.

    It takes the Ukrainians just one second to shift over to kill people. When they call you an “information terrorist,” when they say that because you speak your mind, you deserve to be arrested, prosecuted as a war criminal, it’s a death sentence.

    Napolitano: But Ukraine is in a war it is destined to lose, it is losing. Why would it animate Putin to do the same, killing civilians in Ukraine?

    Ritter: Well, I mean, here’s the thing. The reason that I think MI6 was involved, is because MI6, British Secret Intelligence Service, does do this kind of black information operation.

    I think there’s universal recognition that Ukraine right now, if something doesn’t change, Ukraine is going to lose this war, and lose it badly. What they need to do, is change the algorithm.

    Get the Russians to do something they otherwise wouldn’t do. And you do that by provoking Russia. You do that, for instance, by attacking Crimean airbases. You do that by attacking Russian cities. You do that by assassinating ‘Putin’s brain.’ Because the goal is to get the Russians to deviate from the plan of action that they currently are implementing, and do something that changes the dynamic. And you’re hoping that that dynamic is changed in a way that is detrimental to Russia, and efficient.

    https://rumble.com/v1h7qub-judge-napolitano-and-scott-ritter-ukraine-russia-and-poland.html

    • Jane says:

      I respect Scott Ritter, but in this interview he adds nothing new that people who follow actual Ukraine/Russia news don’t already know—except that they know a lot more.

      It is not at all clear that Dugin was the actual target, since Darya Dugina is also on a hit list.

      As for Napolitano, he looks underinformed.

      Dugin is not in “Putin’s circle.”

      There is no evidence that the two have ever even met.

      The idea that Russia will change its plan as a result of this assassination is half cocked and shows a lack of understanding of how military and other planning is done in Russia.

      • Xabier says:

        I should have thought that while revenge for the murder will be exacted, it could not possibly alter any well-laid strategic plans.

        The idea that only wicked old MI6 would do sch a thing and not US security/intelligence is rather bizarre. Too dirty for the CIA, really?

        • Mirror on the wall says:

          I think that is probably correct.

          No doubt there will be checks in place precisely to make sure that strategy is not undermined by provocations. The Russian military is aware and self-aware, and it will not be falling into those traps.

          Russia sees the entire situation in Donbass and UKR as a massive provocation anyway, and it is proceeding in a very disciplined manner, avoiding much civilian collateral and keeping its own losses to a minimum in the attrition.

          Russia will be sticking to the plan.

          If anything, the UKR/ NATO resort to terrorism will confirm to Russia that its strategy is working, which is the only reason why UKR/ NATO is resorting to such desperate measures in the first place. The message that Russia will receive is, ‘carry on just as you are, it is working, as you already knew anyway.’

          It is a propaganda gift to Russia anyway; states will milk terrorism against its citizens for its own benefit, to get more support for the state and its actions against the enemy.

          It is obvious that UKR will lose anyway, Russia is a military superpower with a force of 2 million men, basically unlimited artillery and the industrial base to reconstitute its stocks. UKR is getting flattened by the superior force of artillery, and the West is sending ever less in replacement.

          Everyone already knows which way this will end.

          Ritter should be safe enough; UKR/ NATO might want to make the situation more dramatic or traumatic by assassinating a few Russians, but it would do nothing to help them to act against Westerners. The chances are as close to zero as they need to be.

  4. Tim Groves says:

    Your servant here, he has been told
    To say it clear, to say it cold
    It’s over, it ain’t going any further
    And now the wheels of heaven stop
    You feel the devil’s riding crop
    Get ready for the future: It is murder

    Things are going to slide (slide) in all directions
    Won’t be nothing (won’t be)
    Nothing you can measure anymore
    The blizzard, the blizzard of the world
    Has crossed the threshold
    And it has overturned the order of the soul

    When they said (they said) repent (repent), repent (repent)
    I wonder what they meant
    When they said (they said) repent (repent), repent (repent)
    I wonder what they meant
    When they said (they said) repent (repent), repent (repent)
    I wonder what they meant

    • Minority of One says:

      That is at least the second Leonard Cohen song you have posted I have not heard before. Great song, great lyrics. Hope there is more.

  5. CTG says:

    I am just sharing some information about those who think they are capable of reverting to “Little House on The Prairie”.

    Life is extremely hard without FF or very limited FF or modern conveniences. I mean really hard. Recalling the life of my great-grandfather from China, working in the farm is very back breaking and dangerous. Only a very small fraction of the people have servants and these people are not “safe” either when there are rebellions.

    Waking up everyday at day break and walk 2 miles to carry cold water from the well to the house. The house was not heated. Firewood has to be collected and used to boil water. Working on the fields are dangerous as there were snakes and wild animals. One has to ensure that the tools are sharp and good, otherwise, a blunt machete or a loose-fitting hoe will make the job extremely tiring.

    Everyone in the household as their own duties. Males have their own back-breaking duties but the females have to do a lot of work that even modern man will considered “too tough”. Collecting firewood is one, carrying heavy loads is another. Splitting firewood, carrying buckets of water around (if wells are nearby), rearing animals and butchering them, sewing clothes are some of the tasks.

    Lifespan is short and try not to get injured because wounds can turn bad quickly. Snake bites are usually fatal because there is just simply no medicine around. Herbs and traditional plants can stop the pain of a scorpion bite but vipers and cobras, just say your prayers.

    Child birth was very dangerous and mortality was high. So, having a few wives does help to ensure that the family continues. There are plenty of stories that even the Amish will find it hard. Talking the weak modern humans, sitting on the computer, working and dreaming of life on a homestead. I bet they will last no more than 3 days.

    • CTG

      you said it exactly like it was—and will be.

      i am only 2 generations removed from what you have described, maybe 3 in certain respects, but certainly no more than that–like you, my great grandparents.

      thanks

      • Herbie Ficklestein says:

        Yes, very few will make it threw the bottleneck of a post BAU world….and life will be hard, swift and brutal. …on the bright side perhaps adventurous…..at least for the what is left of the upper crust….
        One must remember it was not too long ago, even with fossil fuels, exploitation was rampant in society…especially for children….forced in the coal mines to extract the blessed black rock as some here worship it…
        Read Scott Hearings…”Making of a Radical” and how his Grandfather, Winfield Nearing, owner of a mine, struck with a heavy hand at striking coal miners…basically forced them out of their company dwellings in the dead of winter to the elements…
        Yes, we exist here in an easy peasy lala existence…
        Enjoy it

      • L Racine says:

        Like all things in life “it depends”. My family are french Canadian from Quebec. My Mom grew up in a home with no running water or electricity or car. When you look at the family (both Mom and Dad) records most of the past generation lived into their 80, including females. It is noticeable those that died in their 30. They came over in 1670 mol. Good land and water is the key, community and skilled farming knowledge also go a long way. My Mom insisted we all learn how to “take care of ourselves” if the “new fangled things ever disappeared”, which she believed they would. Canning, food production, using/storing wood for heat and cooking and small scale animal production skills were all passed down to all of her children.. we hated it!

        • as with many of the comments i make—it was a generalisation. it could be nothing else.

          all families have different ‘threads’ that affect their descendants

          • Pedro says:

            Yes, the generalisations have it.
            Retired to this ‘hard life’ at 69 and still going strong at 80..
            Sure it’s work, but can make life easier by doing useful work.
            E.g.Collect rainwater from your roof and store it. Walk to the stream if no rain.
            Leave snakes alone and chances of being bitten are low.
            Firewood, very hard work but keeps me warm all Winter ( I could live without electricity entirely but I’ll take it while I can).
            Growing veggies is getting harder to do but can manage a bit longer.
            When BAU ends, wild plants and native animals will feed me.
            Yes, I can identify the plants and can snare animals.
            I don’t expect to live as long, with access to a good port or Bourbon cut off, and will probably succumb to a mob of hungry morons who managed to get here from the city.
            My suggestion, read up on how people lived in your (proposed) area 200 years ago and at least give it a try.

            • lol Pedro…giving away your age in here will have you put on the extermination list….i’m nearly 87 and condemned out of hand, but luckily all my bits are in working order despite being well past sellby date

              we have much in common, but the only wild animals i can snare around here are neighbours cats

              i know exactly how my ancestors lived–thats out of the question

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Did they pass down any ideas on how to manage spent nuclear fuel ponds?

    • CTG says:

      Sorry for the messed up grammar…

    • banned says:

      I gave up hunting two decades ago because I got soft hearted. I still kill rattlesnakes. It makes me sad but I have responsibility to doggys. Rattlesnakes have very old eyes. They are really pretty defensive not offensive creatures. They warn when anything gets close. I kill them with a shovel. They skin out in about 30 seconds easiest of any animal. I bury the head deep so the dogs or a coyote dont dig it up then they go straight to the frying pan. Just a bit of heat not overcooked. They are freaking delicious. Spiral chi energy. It is a bit disconcerting the way they writhe forever with head removed. Never had a doggy bit but I keep the benadryl handy. Bird hunters dogs get bit all the time in the field. Some have given their dogs snake vax Yes it exists and has injured many a dog its just a bit of venom. Others just give their dog two or three benadryl if they get bit. When they get bit on the leg its not too bad but they often get bit on the snout. Some dogs are worse than others. little rat terriers as a rule go nuts when they see a reptile they wont be called off. Bull snakes I leave alone love em they are a rodent eating machines. Dumb asses run them over on the road on purpose they must like rats. I wear snake chaps when its bad june-september when out and about. No sandals. Its not uncommon to see a hay baler hit a snake patch and see dead rattlers baled up with the hay. There is really something about the sound of a rattle that sends chills up your spine. Genetic memory?

    • Tim Groves says:

      CTG, that was a good description of how tough life was a century ago in parts of China. It is also not so different to the kind of life a lot of people face today in places as diverse as some parts of Nepal, Ethiopia and Peru to name but a few.

      That kind of life imposes a degree of natural selection on people, weeding out the ones who are too weak to survive it. For several generations, that selection pressure has been relaxed in many of the more developed parts of the world including China, only to be replaced by other selection pressures that operate to restrict fertility rather than eliminating the weak before they reach adulthood.

      Culturally as well, people have not been trained to live the kind of Spartan life that they would need to engage in if they were to flourish at close to subsistence level.

      So there are two different reasons why the bulk of us citizens of the affluent society would find it very tough to survive for very long the conditions you’ve described.

    • NomadicBeer says:

      Just like any other animal, people will multiply until life is so miserable that rate of death equal the rate of births.

      It’s very simple and yet, people make a big drama out of it.

      There are times and places where societies are luckier (or smarter) and they keep the population density low enough that life can be, if not easy, then at least enjoyable.

      Read about life in medieval Europer after the plague. The population dropped almost in half and the poor were in high demand. A day of work was about 4-6 hours (with lunch break). There were ~150 holidays in a year. Peasants kept more of what they produced than the current middle-class.
      Of course there were still some very poor people (less than today). And childhood mortality was high and sick people had very few treatments available.

      I think a lot of people WANT the future to be bad so they can justify clinging to modern life, despite the fact that it is destroying most of the ecosystems and treating people like slaves.

      I suggest acceptance and a change of perspective:
      “Two people looked through prison bars,
      One saw mud, the other stars”

      • Xabier says:

        One thinks of those medieval films in which for some reason the weather is always bad, the people diseased and revolting, and the aristos just kill for no reason on a mere whim. Such a society wouldn’t have held together for long even with coercion.

        Having said that, an Italian traveller in France in about 1500 wrote in his diary that he was shocked at how the masses were treated there compared to Italy; at the same time another Italian noted how tall, strong and prosperous the English common people seemed to be, on the whole.

        We can’t judge, leading utterly different lives, but it’s interesting to note what people at the time were impressed or horrified by, from which w can infer what was normal or average.

        • NomadicBeer says:

          Xabier,
          If you are interested look at the historical differences between Eastern and Western Europe.
          Eastern Europe was much poorer in some ways – a lord’s house had two rooms and guests would sleep on the floor. Most people did not know how to read and write (including the rich and even some kings).

          On the other side of the scales, most western travellers are amazed at how many farm animals there are (from horses and buffalo to sheep, chickens and ducks). The “poor” people ate a much better diet than today with a lot of milk, eggs and meat. Most of the land was “wild” because there were not enough people to work it (why would they? They had enough!).

          So it looks like there are always trade offs. If you want to build giant palaces and gothic churches, someone has to suffer. As tourists today we don’t care about that but I think I would prefer to live in a society where the rich sleep on the floor but I get to eat well.

    • Gerry says:

      I love watching barnwood builders. You see and learn quite alot about how barns were built hundreds of years ago. One scene Mark Bowe raises to the camera a nail made out of wood, perfectly cylindrical, and says look can you imagine just this one nail what it took to make using no power tools!?

      https://www.imdb.com/title/tt3286608/

      I’m also reminded of a testimony of some people who desired to recreate the old wagon trains as an adventure and study to see how difficult it was to retrace the frontiersmen. They copied exactly taking no modern conveniences with them. Never forget they lasted barely three days out and gave up.

    • Minority of One says:

      I am inclined to believe hunter / gatherer is the future, if we have one.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      They won’t even try turning off the power for 24 hours… cuz that would destroy their little house delusions

  6. Fast Eddy says:

    This cannot be real … or he is mentally ill and should not be allowed out of his cage

    https://twitter.com/i/status/1559457411647389698

  7. Fast Eddy says:

    https://www.zerohedge.com/political/german-beastiality-buffs-demand-legalization-sex-animals

    Germans beastialitists are protesting to eliminate the country’s animal protection law – which forbids having any sexual relations between humans and animals.

    To that end, Bavarian zoophiles held a public demonstration demanding recognition in a ‘Zoophilia Pride March.”

    Video….

    More unhingement

    • fromoasa says:

      Years ago I came home to find my live-in girlfriend at it with Jake, my (at the time) 6-year-old Alsatian dog. She started sobbing and said I’d been neglecting her and claimed that the dog had seduced her. I was furious. I told her that I’d willingly buy her a one-way ticket to a Swiss clinic. She took the the hint and left. I felt degraded and waited until Jake had died before letting any other woman into the house.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Mental illness sucks.. yet is fascinating.

        I might take a job as a janitor in an asylum just for the entertainment… but there’s no asylum in QT 🙁

  8. Fast Eddy says:

    Australia COVID INFECTIONS, CASES, DEATHS, VACCINE RATE JULY 24TH 2022; based on the vaccination rates, do these graphs tell you that the COVID vaccine works? to stop infection or transmission?

    https://palexander.substack.com/p/australia-covid-infections-cases

    https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0da88210-13ef-4d1c-a70e-4aa54cd9bdda_3400x2400.png

    HILLarious!!!

  9. Fast Eddy says:

    I don’t recall ever putting a warning in my pieces, but if you get emotionally affected or distressed by some of these, you should avoid reading this one.

    This will be a many-fold write-up, I will often refer back to things I wrote earlier this year, as usual many of the dynamics I observed and forecasted came to pass, and lately to a worsening degree than the original observation, and some to the same level I described. Cascading failure has that effect on systems. And as a friend recently wrote, we came full circle in regards to SARS-CoV-2, with many papers now being published proving many of our observations and research.

    https://hiddencomplexity.substack.com/p/beyond-mathematical-odds-coming-full

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      how many will starve to death and when?

      the conditions that produce misery don’t necessarily lead to die-off.

      if 1% starve in the next year, 80 million, then there can be a discussion about when the next 80 million will starve.

      maybe in 4 weeks, or 4 years.

      I haven’t yet seen any reports of recent mass starvation.

      did I miss some news?

      (ps: near term human extinction looks better and better every day, even with bAU tonight, baby!)

      • Jon F says:

        I agree…..I expect most ordinary folk in the UK to muddle through…..September into October last year, oil and gas prices spiked upwards….the UK media wheeled out the “Winter of discontent” meme…didn’t materialize….will this year be different? We’ll see…..”Hungry and freezing in the dark” can be interpreted as intermittent fasting coupled with cold therapy a la Wim Hof….rather than dying off, Brits will arrive into spring 2023 leaner and healthier than ever!

        • Minority of One says:

          ‘the UK media wheeled out the “Winter of discontent” meme…didn’t materialize….will this year be different?’

          I would say it has started already. The bin men have been on strike in Edinburgh for a while and there are huge piles of rubbish all over the city. The rats will be feasting. Bin strikes started here in Aberdeen a few days ago. And now residents of Edinburgh are asked to keep their rubbish indoors:

          Edinburgh bin strike: Residents told to keep rubbish inside
          https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-62631963

          Quite a few groups of workers planning strikes, or striking already, throughout the UK.

          I doubt the UK will get through the winter without physical shortages of gas.

          • Xabier says:

            Chronic malnutrition and damp will kill quite as effectively as more dramatic starvation and bitter cold can.

            It will be interesting to see whether deaths peak in April/May due to the rigours of winter, as they once did historically.

            Pensioners on the minimal state pension and without much in the way of savings must be terrified.

            In a way, it is also a return to the old rhythms of life in these colder western realms.

            Not so bad in itself, perhaps, as we must return to reality some day, but what is infuriating and contemptible is being told in a patronising way by the likes of Johnson, and indeed nearly every other European ‘leader’, that it is all ‘necessary for the Ukraine’ and therefore moral and right……

            • Minority of One says:

              Will be interesting to see if TB, other diseases we thought we had seen the last of, make a come-back. I believe that TB is still endemic in parts of Europe.

  10. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Czechs to propose extraordinary meeting of EU energy council

    PRAGUE (Reuters) -The Czech Republic will propose an extraordinary meeting of the EU Energy Council as soon as possible to deal with soaring energy prices, Czech government officials said on Friday as they seek to build European support for energy price caps.

    With energy markets at record highs this month, Europe is facing massive increases in energy bills driven by rocketing gas prices in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and governments are scrambling for measures to ease the burden on people and companies.

    “We are in an energy war with Russia and it is damaging the whole EU,” Czech Industry Minister Jozef Sikela said on Twitter.

    “In agreement with the European Commission and Prime Minister Petr Fiala, I will propose to convene an extraordinary meeting of the EU Energy Council at the earliest possible date.”

    The Czech Republic holds the rotating presidency of the EU, and it has already scheduled a regular meeting of the energy ministers for October.

    Timing of the emergency meeting and other details were not immediately available, and the Czech Industry Ministry did not reply to questions.

    Czech Prime Minister Petr Fiala said a move toward capping energy prices was needed, but the solution needed to be at the European level.

    “I talked with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen today by telephone, I am negotiating support of other countries, I am in contact with other heads of government,” Fiala said. “I am trying to reach or create support for finding a Europe-wide solution.”
    https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/finance/news/czechs-propose-extraordinary-meeting-eu-122158119.html

    • Energy price caps? If there is no energy to buy at that cap, the people may be in the dark and out in the cold.

      • Minority of One says:

        Exactly. We can be sure that if Europe does not want to pay top dollars / Euros / roubles / etc for LNG, China and Japan will (Japan has for years, to ensure supply via long-term contracts – all its gas is imported).

        • Tim Groves says:

          There is a story from two days ago that ties in with this. Shell is pulling out of Sakhalin 2, which is still in the development phase, but two Japanese partners intend to stay in.

          I wonder if the American overlords will put pressure on them to withdraw, if if they’ve managed to wrangle a concession.

          “Japanese trading houses Mitsui & Co. and Mitsubishi Corp. plan to retain their interests in the Sakhalin 2 oil and gas project and will notify Russia by the end of the month, Mitsubishi and sources familiar with the matter said Thursday.

          The companies’ decision to invest in the new operator, set up by Moscow to take control of the natural resources project in the Russian Far East, was made in light of Japan’s aim to secure a stable supply of liquefied natural gas amid market disruptions following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.”

          https://english.kyodonews.net/news/2022/08/314390ffe22b-mitsui-mitsubishi-to-keep-stakes-in-russia-sakhalin-2-energy-project.html

  11. Fast Eddy says:

    The Art of Counter-Persuasion
    in which the people-shaped things get very very angry again

    It’s happening again, and so is the response. It’s becoming our one persistent cultural cycle.

    During the first availability of the Covid-19 “vaccines” — which don’t prevent transmission or infection, but we changed the meaning of that word, so shut up shut up shut up — I did what I usually do: I thought about the past to try to make sense of the present. If we’ve instantly produced safe and effective vaccines for SARS-CoV-2, I wondered, why didn’t we do the same for SARS-CoV-1? It took less than five minutes to answer that question:

    https://chrisbray.substack.com/p/the-art-of-counter-persuasion

    Oh no….

    • Herbie Ficklestein says:

      above all I had awakened to the quite obvious fact that the masters and shapers of the world and the possessors of the world’s riches were cleverly scattering crumbs of wealth and power among the masses. They gave just enough crumbs to divert, deceive and corrupt each generation to secure its adherence, and to keep it in line, serving the interests of masters and corrupters. This indeed was the essence of the social problem – the success of the Oligarchy in brainwashing the populace to the point where they believed that what is best for the Oligarchy is best for them. So long as the brainwashing worked the masses remained in line and the Oligarchy could follow its program of making the rich richer and the powerful, stronger. Whither mankind?”
      ― Scott Nearing, The Making of a Radical: A Political Autobiography

      Edwin, this has been going on for a long, long time…we get the point….really we do

      • all the ‘masters and shapers’ of the world do is acquire the necessary means to turn their part of the planet into cash–with which to repeat the process.

        this has gone on for millenia.

        in our times, things have changed, now they can literally tear the planet apart and set fire to it—with the same end in mind.

        But now the entire planet is on fire.

        This is the endgame of all those 000s of years of looting and burning, but we do not posess the means to stop.

        • Herbie Ficklestein says:

          Well, Norm, that’s not what really was conveyed in Dr. Nearing’s outtake. Of course, you are correct the minions also took part into turning the planet into cash in their attempt to join the ranks of the privileged.
          We all strive for the “better” life of ease and leisure along with a satisfying place in society.
          I get it ..the planets on fire…I get updates on it regularly from “Harry”, thank you.

          • Tim Groves says:

            I also get it that the planet’s on fire and has been since the planet first coalesced. But I don’t get that the entire planet’s on fire. fortunately, the little corner of it that I live in is pretty damp and pretty green most of the time.

            • Herbie Ficklestein says:

              That’s nice Tim, you get a part of it based on the laws of Science, that you recently wrote about…happy to here your little part is still doing dandy, good for you..all is well …

            • well Tim, your corner is all that matters i guess.

              the rest is just a hoax.

              but as far as human survival is concerned (with the exception of your good self of course) the planet would appear to be doing what it was forecast to do with C02 excess–ie extreme weather patterns, drastically reducing ice fields leading to rivers drying up (check Hoover dam/Lake mead)—not going to ramble into excess about that.
              Probably CGI images anyway.

            • Tim Groves says:

              Precisely. As long as it is not in my backyard, why should I worry?

              And, prey tell, how would my worrying change anything?

              Do you two gentlemen have any practical plans to end this “entire planet on fire” scenario that you are attempting to guilt-trip the rest of us with? Or are you just virtue signaling?

              Because the other day I distinctly remember the problem was too much water, wasn’t it? And now you’re saying there’s not enough of it?

              I find it hard to keep up with you.

            • Tim Groves says:

              We’ve been through the southwestern US water shortage here before, Norman and Herbie.

              We’ve learned that water has in short supply in the west for thousands of years and there was a real megadrought lasting over a century long before Americans mined their first coal or sunk their first oil well.

              So what we have at present is not so much a water shortage as a failure of the natural resource base to meet the growing demand of a rising population.

              Bring down the population out west by at least half and the problem will be a lot more manageable.

              That’s science, laddies!

              My little part of the planet is an example here. This valley had four times its current population a century ago and probably six times its current population two centuries ago. People cut the forest down two-thirds of the way up the mountainsides and made terraced vegetable fields. Old ladies would carry buckets of human waste fifty or even a hundred meters up hill to fertilize the soil. It was a bucolic existence with all manner of parasitic diseases.

              These days, with the lower population, nobody grows anything on the hillsides. In the lowland, half of the rice paddies stand abandoned, some have been converted into vegetable fields, and others paved over and built on, and the remaining ones that are still used to grow rice produce three times the yield per acre that they once did thanks to chemical fertilizers and herbicides.

              I suppose we could ask the locals around here to go back to wallowing in sewage-filled paddy fields and getting bilharzia and encephalitis in order to please Greta. Would you like me to do that? I’ll just explain to them that the entire world is burning and it’s their fault, shall I?

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Actually … it’s not much different than the behaviour we see in many animals… e.g. lions… the fittest get the females — and the best parts of the kill.

        This makes it more likely that the lion does not go extinct.

        The feeble should not be coddled.

  12. Mirror on the wall says:

    I am struggling to make sense of these ‘modern’ Westerners.

    From the natural perspective, it makes totally sense for women to use their breasts to get what they want from men, because men are into them.

    But it would make more sense for the women to threaten _not_ to rip their tops off unless they get what they want. What sense does it make for women to say to blokes that they are ripping their tops off in front of the blokes because they are not getting what they want? That is what the blokes want. That is not how leverage works, you are supposed to threaten to do something that the other party does not want or not to do something that they do want.

    I can of course understand the move as a charm offensive. ‘Look, I have ripped my top off for you, now you do what I want.’ But that is the opposite to what is going on here. The assumption is that the blokes do not want the women to rip their tops off – very odd.

    And these women are threatening to rip their tops off, not unless the bloke in question gives them something that they want, like affordable energy, like fire for the cave and for cooking, but instead unless he does not give them such. ‘No more fires for the cave or we will rip our tops off!’ It is back to front in every respect. ‘Do not give us what we want or else we will give you something that you want.’

    These ‘modern’ Westerners are just weird!

    > Germany: Topless women demonstrate against Russian gas in Scholz protest

    Topless protesters flanked German chancellor Olaf Scholz on Sunday to demonstrate against Berlin’s reliance on Russian gas.

    Two women, whose bodies were painted with the words “gas embargo now”, staged the protest during an open-day event at the Chancellery in Berlin, where the German leader had been posing for photographs with members of the public.

    They were quickly led away by the chancellor’s security team….

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/german-chancellor-olaf-scholz-topless-woman-b2149935.html

    • Agamemnon says:

      Easy to get mesmerized by titties to your detriment; it’s like a Venus brain trap.
      Like thingy works.
      Who pressed it first? 🙂

    • Student says:

      It is so stupid that it almost seems an orchestrated action to let appear stupid those who are against supporting with weapons Ukraine.

  13. Fast Eddy says:

    Excellent https://t.me/chiefnerd/4695

  14. Fast Eddy says:

    hahahaha Rogan… this is very very funny … watch to the end!!!

    Tell us what it’s like Zuck…

    https://rumble.com/v1her6h-joe-rogan-asks-zuckerberg-what-its-like-to-overthrow-governments.html

  15. Fast Eddy says:

    CNBC takes the piss of EVs

    California is banning the sale of new gas-powered vehicles by 2035

    https://rumble.com/v1heo8v-california-is-banning-the-sale-of-new-gas-powered-vehicles-by-2035.html

    • Lastcall says:

      Greenies are more fun than Covidiots. They will engage in argument and trot out all the lines given to them by Mainly Stupi Media. Questions about where did those batteries come from nd where will they go are an easy first.

      Covidiots shut down real quick when you start questioning them. Because safe and effective is their go-to, when you start to dig deeper the paniced look appears and they question your qualifications. When you point out they have placed their trust in faceless govt institutions, and Big Pharma with a track record of fraud they switch off real quick.

      Denial and the ego add up to zombie world. The more indoctrinated (educated) the better-er!

    • Where does California plan to get the electricity for the cars? It is in close to as poor shape as Europe, except the weather is warmer.

    • Jane says:

      The lady doesn’t understand the basic point that the EU plan was to use natural gas to transition to 100% renewables. So, it wasn’t a “mistake” of relying on one source (namely, nice cheap gas) but rather the mistake was to ditch their plan at the behest of the USA/NATO and Ze.

  16. Fast Eddy says:

    WEEK 33, NSW AUSTRALIA…

    zero unvaccinated in hospital with Covid last week.

    In the past 12 weeks only 21 unvaccinated people in hospital with Covid in NSW.

    (173 “unknown” vax status in hospital…so keep in mind this will “skew” the data in some direction)

    https://t.me/TheHealthForumNZch/1764

    https://t.me/TheHealthForumNZch/1765

    https://t.me/TheHealthForumNZch/1766

    I do recommend the app… the 3rd link is priceless

    • I notice that in the second link, there were 28 deaths among the unvaccinated. So there must have been some unvaccinated somewhere along the line. Probably in the “unknown” category.

  17. Fast Eddy says:

    I’m thinking … just as the MOREONS begin to realize they’ve been f789ed… Devil Covid will hit…

    Q4 Boom?

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      no chance.

      a tough winter for some, slightly elevated mortality, then IC rolls on to 2030.

      freakin’ bAU tonight, baby!

      • Sam says:

        Yes but for it to continue to BAU the snowball needs to stop. The problems start to compound as things break down. Imagine what happens when the pensions can’t pay? Complicated systems work well when everything is working but when you take a few things out of the system it crashes

  18. Fast Eddy says:

    Dr. Clare Craig: The FDA pressured Pfizer saying ‘give us anything you’ve got and we can push it through’. That makes sense to me because from Pfizer’s perspective what they have published, is just such rubbish science

    Pfizer did a trial on young children, a trial that should never have had ethics approval because there’s no benefit to them. They had to think of a way of measuring an outcome to say that the drug worked so they chose to show antibody levels had increased

    They started off with 4500 children but the data that got presented to the FDA was only on 1000 children. Of these children, they ignored there was more ‘Covid’ in the vaccinated group than in the placebo. They ignored 97% of the ‘Covid’ cases and what they presented to the FDA were 10 cases, which suggested that it worked

    They put error bars around the results which showed how confident they can be about their answers. They’ll say it’s 80% effective but it could be anywhere between 200% and -400%

    WATCH HERE (https://rumble.com/v1ewf9t-friday-roundtable-episode-19-covid-panic-with-pathologist-dr.-clare-craig.html)

  19. Fast Eddy says:

    Any Doctor That Recommends These Shots Is Utterly Irresponsible

    Dr Charles Hoffe; Any doctor that recommends these shots, where you cannot tell people what the risks are, is utterly irresponsible

    The top four parts of your body that these spike proteins end up in after your vax are: the liver, the spleen, the ovaries and the bone marrow; and the fact that most women after their shot have disrupted periods is evidence of what it is doing to them

    Figures from the US military show a 5 fold increase in female infertility in 1 year after they mandated it for the US military.

    The fact they want to give this to babies without any knowledge of what this is going to be doing to them in 5 to 15 years time is utterly irresponsible

    THE TIME HAS COME TO SAY NO

    WATCH HERE (https://rumble.com/v1f6qvl-dr-charles-hoffes-riveting-speech-in-vancouver-no-other-drug-has-killed-and.html)
    @childcovidvaccineinjuriesuk

  20. Fast Eddy says:

    ‘Everything Your Government Has Told You About This Virus Is a Lie’: FLUVID-19 – Official Trailer

    “Everybody sees what’s going on. People woke up. They’re not looking for anybody to save them; they’re saving themselves…”

    (https://rumble.com/v1hgsyl-everything-your-government-has-told-you-about-this-virus-is-a-lie-fluvid-19.html)

  21. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Lahore, Pakistan… Government has threatened to cut off banking with the use of Digital ID to anyone that protests against the regime…
    https://twitter.com/Resist_05/status/1562561488434278400

    • It looks like quite a few people are protesting, nevertheless. Perhaps only those arrested get cut off?

    • Fast Eddy says:

      You can fill it building … deep in me bones… this is gonna blow!

      We need these people to be frightened so they get back in their homes and wait for the food vans – that never come

      Somehow I think cutting off their ability to access $$$$… will not have the intended effect…. quite the opposite actually.

      • MM says:

        The government just announced that no more money is required when going on a shopping spree.

  22. Fast Eddy says:

    hahaha more unhinging statements

    NY Gov. Kathy Hochul Tells Trump Supporters to Leave the State

    “Get out of town because you do not represent our values. You are not New Yorkers.”

    https://rumble.com/v1hgphb-ny-gov.-kathy-hochul-tells-trump-supporters-to-leave-the-state.html

  23. Michael Le Merchant says:
  24. Fast Eddy says:

    Rochelle Walensky Says New COVID Deaths are in the Unvaccinated OR “Under Vaccinated”

    https://rumble.com/v1hfeel-new-rochelle-walensky-says-new-covid-deaths-are-in-the-unvaccinated-or-unde.html

    I don’t mind her saying this … it creates smugness in the vaxxed MOREONS… and they will definitely be keen on the Extra Strength Shot …

    Which will kill and maim big numbers of them.

    Stay tuned for loads of SADS hahahahahaha… it’s best when famous people are affected… dunno why … just is.

  25. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Comparing natgas, power and oil prices in Europe
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FbFlUIUWIAAw1-g?format=jpg&name=900×900

    Crack spread on diesel rises toward the highs in Europe as refineries’ margins are getting squeezed by the surging price of natural gas

    Therefore the price of diesel is set to increase further along with natural gas
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FbHXC9sUIAA56Nu?format=jpg&name=small

    • If diesel is cheaper than natural gas, utilities will burn diesel. But where does that leave the many trucks and the agricultural equipment that requires diesel?

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Was on a hike with a buddy earlier — he’s from E Europe … his parents are retired – their energy bills are up 3x +…. he is having to send money so they can make ends meet.

      Not everyone has someone to send them $$$ to make ends meet. And Winter is Coming

      This is.. The Real Deal! Crack – Boom – Q4?

      And they say peak energy is a conspiracy theory — right norm?

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Hey norm how big is SSS’ crack spread? Gotta be on par with the grand canyon by now

      https://youtu.be/capogE_A-2c

    • “Just to be clear, there is
      no plan to eliminate
      student debt.
      There is a plan to
      transfer that debt to
      those that don’t owe it.”

      I don’t think anyone will pay the student debt. It will just be one of the things that pushes the US government over.

  26. Fast Eddy says:

    Ray
    14 hr ago
    Pinned
    Twitter Censors Pfizer-Injured Israeli COVID Vaccine Director

    Prof. Shmuel Shapira MD MPH (Col.), who served as Director of the Israel Institute for Biological Research between 2013 and 2021, suggested that the monkeypox outbreak was connected to mRNA vaccines.

    He has published more than 110 peer-reviewed scientific articles and is the editor of Essentials of Terror Medicine, Best Practice for Medical Management of Terror Incidents, and Medical Response to Terror Threats.

    Last week, Twitter censored Prof. Shapira—who was “physically injured” after his third Pfizer vaccine—and forced him to remove a post which said: “Monkey pox cases were rare for years. During the last years a single case was documented in Israel. It is well established the mRNA vaccines affect the natural immune system. A monkey pox outbreak following massive covid vaccination: *Is not a coincidence.”

    https://kanekoa.substack.com/p/twitter-censors-pfizer-injured-israeli

    VAIDS!!!

  27. Fast Eddy says:

    Abstract

    Purpose of review

    The low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol level is a weak predictor of developing cardiovascular (CV) disease and can only explain a small proportion of CV risk. It is not used to determine CV risk on either the atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) calculator in the United States, or the Qrisk3 in the UK.

    A study in JAMA in 2022 suggested that ‘the absolute benefits of statins are modest and may not be strongly mediated through the degree of LDL reduction’. Perhaps it is time to look beyond cholesterol to a different causal model – the ‘thrombogenic’ model of ASCVD.

    Recent findings

    The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV2) pandemic demonstrated that infectious agents damage the endothelium and the glycocalyx – the glycoprotein layer protecting underlying endothelial cells. There are numerous other conditions leading to this kind of damage, which can trigger thrombus formation, causing strokes and myocardial infarctions.

    Although these are acute events, they highlight a mechanism for the development of ASCVD which centres on endothelial damage and thrombus formation as both the primary causal mechanism for acute events, and the driver behind progression towards atherosclerotic plaque development.

    https://drmalcolmkendrick.org/2022/08/26/a-new-paper-by-me-please-share-widely/#respond

  28. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    Analysis: Forget showering, it’s eat or heat for shocked Europeans hit by energy crisis
    By Bozorgmehr Sharafedin and Canan Sevgili
    Reuters

    https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/forget-showering-its-eat-or-heat-shocked-europeans-hit-by-energy-crisis-2022-08-26/

    Ercan Erden, 58, lives in the town of Nidda, northeast of Frankfurt, and works as a machine operator at a mineral water factory. “I now take my shower at the workplace after work, and I shave at work,” he said.
    Şeyda Bal, 27, in Istanbul, said she has limited oven use to three times a month to save on energy. Her husband commutes to work via bus to save on fuel, although it takes him three times longer.
    Keetley lost his job as a council adviser in April and lives on 600 pounds ($706.44) a month from a social security scheme. Half of that goes on rent, he said, with the remainder barely covering essentials.
    He now eats one meal a day and despite reducing energy consumption to a minimum, he spends more than 15% of his income on energy bills.
    In the east England town of Grimsby, Philip Keetley didn’t turn on his cooling fan at home as Britain sweltered under a record heat-wave this summer.

  29. banned says:

    Solutions. Lots of solutions. Eddy’s rasberry fent. Thats a solution. No sarcasm intended. One thing about it it will work. The problem with solutions that you know will work is they are often not desirable outcomes. Thats why its a difficult problem. There might not be desirable outcomes.

    When you are looking at a difficult problem its like a canoe ride on a river. There is that white water ahead. It is not illogical to scuttle the boat right there perhaps. You might have a plan. It doesnt work. So you try another plan. It might be less than desirable. Thats a guarantee with a difficult problem. For real problems the plan always gets abandoned or modified. The solution in the end doesnt resemble the original plan at all but it started with the original plan. The willingness to engage in the process is what allows solutions. Of course if you are getting dropped in a cage with a tiger you get et. Rasberry fent might well be a wise choice. Its really quite a paradox. Choosing not to engage in the process guarantees a outcome. You can decide you dont have a chance with that tiger- or that woman. The reality might be you dont. Unwillingness to engage in the process guarantees a undesirable outcome. It still might be better than the outcome if you engage in the process. The only way to find out is by engaging in the process. Whether its worth it or not is a personal decision.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      What is required is an intensive ad campaign to convince the MOREONS that raspberry fent is actually candy… how hard can it be considering they were so easily convinced the death shot was Safe and Effective hahahahahahaha

      We need a jingle.. ya that’s it.. a jingle

      • banned says:

        Watching the youtube videos of philly it seems fent is already available to anyone who has the inclination and $10 in the USA. The planet will implement its own solution as it always does when species overshoot. Another paradox. Paradoxes seem to be spawning like rabbits. Understanding both the beauty and abundance of the planet and that our species just like any other is 10 seconds to midnight. All of this every single thing we discuss and try to wrap our minds around is bigger than any of us. Its like Gail often brings our attention to things are quantifiably insane based on our perception but physical and natural law proceeds oblivious. At least that is my world right now. One moment I am caught up analysis. I mean my god. Look what has happened in the past three years. The next moment I am struck with the beauty and grace of it all. Like hoolios eyes. I guess if I get a choice my preference would be to go out focused on beauty and grace. Really it would seem that is the only thing we have power to manifest. But it means I have to understand Im like a drop of water that a ant is drinking. Nothing more but everything more. Nothing and everything simultaneously. Our ability to understand and analyze is a part of beauty and grace but it is not in itself beauty and grace. Is it possible that through contemplation of paradox I can come to acceptance? Can I live in that place? Because really you can only laugh at all this. Like a child laughing not a adult. A child laughs in wonder. A adult laughs in pain.

  30. Herbie Ficklestein says:

    Dire situation in Ceylon Sri Lanka

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=k001DzKczB8

    Rice crop expected to be 50% less and farmers doubting they will plant next harvest

    • Not a big surprise, after the ESG favored plan to skip nitrogen fertilizer.

      • Herbie Ficklestein says:

        What is surprising to me is the population literally consumes rich at every meal… breakfast, lunch and dinner and even for dessert. Very dependent on this one crop.

        The other, is without the yield of the boost of artificial fertilizers, it does not make sense to plant ANY RICE crop if the farmer is dependent on other BAU inputs, which costs are also rising! (i.e. Petro, pesticides..)
        If this is correct..we are facing starvation on an epic scale

  31. Kowalainen says:

    This comment is obviously not for Normal Pageant, as per Tim’s implied advice.

    I repeat and stress;

    THIS IS NOT FOR NORMAL!

    ————

    Apparently Dr Ute Kruger (Cancer researcher/oncologist in Lund University, Sweden) is reporting “Turbo Cancer” from clinical observation and histology of tumors.

    https://youtu.be/bCJRp0GNCyY

    (Use YT’s “subtitle” function since it is in Swedish)

    ————

  32. banned says:

    Ultimately IC will centralize as it dies. Pockets of civilization. Its already that way. If you knew what the restaurants call food here… There is better food for two bucks off a LA street vendor than what the best restaurant offers here. Straight up. You forget- what food is- after a while.

  33. MG says:

    The dire energy price situation in Slovakia:

    Do you heat with gas or electricity? After the new year, you can “hang yourself”, analyst Hirman fears

    https://spravy.pravda.sk/domace/clanok/638354-kurite-plynom-alebo-elektrinou-po-novom-roku-si-mozete-hodit-maslu-obava-sa-analytik-hirman/?utm_source=pravda&utm_medium=hp-box-najcitanejsie&utm_campaign=shp_rightbox

    • I couldn’t read this — it came up in Russian, or something.

      • Jan says:

        You also think, Mozart was from Australia, right? Ever heard that the Russian charset – ру́сский алфави́т – is a subset of Cyrillic?

        The tld .sk is for Slovakia. Important early copper production during Bronze age. Part of the Roman Reich. Member of the EU and Nato. The capital is Bratislava, 50kms from Vienna. People are modern, hard-working, friendly – and most of them speak English!

        • Mirror on the wall says:

          Clownworld update….

          • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

            and some mighty fine gas it is!

            https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/TG*1

            and what a month August has been.

            from 200 up to a new all time high 339.

            merely a 70% monthly increase.

            up 38% this week alone.

            I love numbers.

          • This video seems to go on and on. The 85% shortfall in natural gas in Germany has to do with the fact that Germany only has storage for 23% of the gas it uses (presumably during the winter). The target fill rate is 75% for this 23%. Germany is a little ahead of the 75% which is how it gets to the 15% stored up. The question is where the remaining 85% comes from.

            One of the issues seems to be that countries (like Romania) that export electricity end up paying as much for electricity as those that import electricity, under EU rules. The video didn’t mention the problem this creates. Why build a new nuclear reactor (or whatever), if you have to share the benefit with everyone else? I am sure the EU wanted to share intermittent electricity widely, but this doesn’t fix the intermittency problem.

            • Kowalainen says:

              Try the +1.25 or +1.5 speed increase to get through the introductory ramblings and general pleasantries if you can stand the increased voice pitch.

              I wish YT had a function to compress such pieces into “clips” that cuts the fluff or just “autotune” the pitch.

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      auto-translate:

      “Do you heat with gas or electricity? After the new year, you can “throw a bow”, analyst Hirman fears”

      so “throw a bow” is an idiom for “hanging” or was the auto-translate a poor job?

      anyway, it’s still late summer.

      bAU today, b-b-b-b-baby you ain’t seen nothin’ yet, but so far so good, though winter is coming.

      if I squint my eyes, I think I can see bAU 2030.

      let’s see about tonight, baby.

      • MG says:

        I can agree with you, except that BAU not for everybody.

        I would say that there is one thing sure: whatever happens, the humans will be weaker, be it due to the lack of cheap energy or ageing.

      • MG says:

        If you want a heat pump now to be installed, you have to wait because of personnel limits here in Slovakia.

        Imagine the ageing of the human population: the systems with piping and filled with coolants need extra installation work, i.e. the installation personnel.

        I would say some compact heating/HVAC systems that you can bring home and easily replace are the future, i.e. they must be light and portable.

        Do not believe in bulky heat pumps with piping and that there will be maintenance personnel available/affordable.

        • Tim Groves says:

          Last Time I had my heat pump water heater repaired —they replaced the inverter—the repairman was a 75-year-old who is semi-retired but works when the company is busy.

          At the time, the Olympics was going on in Tokyo and many of the events were without spectators, or, as the Japanese say “mukankyaku” (spectatorless). I was looking over the guy’s shoulder as he was fiddling with the machinery, and I spontaneously asked him if he preferred to work “mukankyaku”, and I remember we both laughed at that.

          I expect good workmen can continue in some capacity into old age. The farm machinery guy in my town retired at 90 because he wanted to keep the business going for his son. The son is now running the business alone, but he has a lot less skill, enthusiasm and and energy than his dad did. I expect he’ll retire by 70.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Hanging yourself is not a good way to good — you shit yourself and your head bloats and turns purple…. do you want the grand kids to see that?

      Better candied F. Jim Jones is your role model.

      Is everyone prepared? We’re almost certainly down to the final months now …

      I expect the Candied F to arrive in the post by mid October… just as the leaves start to fall.

      http://www.lbvd.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/dynamite601.gif

  34. This is crazy:
    https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/moderna-sues-pfizer-biontech-alleging-patent-infringement-covid-vaccin-rcna44965

    Moderna sues Pfizer and BioNTech alleging patent infringement over Covid vaccine

    “We believe that Pfizer and BioNTech unlawfully copied Moderna’s inventions, and they have continued to use them without permission,” Moderna’s chief legal officer said.

    Oligarchs fighting among one anther. The profits have been falling, with people not being interested in boosters as much.

    • lurker says:

      well, perhaps they’re right, moderna did patent a long sequence of the RNA long before covid was released. the CEO of moderna was even on fox news discussing this! of course, no-one has prosecuted them, so i guess suing other big pharma corps is the next logical step.

    • Jan says:

      They do it to pretend they are enemies. The states have unlawfully bought millions of risky shots and thus supported “a segment”. This is at least what a group of members of EU parliament have accused Mrs. van der Leyen of. As rumours say Bill Gayes is invested in all respective producers. Thus a court could rule they are all one owner and one company.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        More head fakes to make the horde believe it’s a $$$ thing.

        If it was about $$$ the injections would not be purposed to maim and kill.

    • Genomir says:

      My company was aquired by the biggest producer of precision medical instruments, lab equipment amd PCR kits. In the newsletter about Q4 2021 the CEO wrote: 2021 was unprecedented in revenue generated from selling pcr kits, unfortunately this revenue stream for 2022 will be juat a fraction from 2021s (citing by memory but you get the gist)

    • houtskool says:

      Or, blame game.

      Wet markets become deserts in an eyeblink. Especially during climate change.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      this would assume that the injections were always purposed to protect humans from a virus that apparently was set to outdo the black death…. aka Fauci has been telling the truth from day one…

      But of course… that’s ridiculous. It was never the plan.

      The global death rate for year of the “pandemic” 2020 was 0.76%. Global death rates for non-pandemic years 2018 and 2019 were…0.76%.

      https://2ndsmartestguyintheworld.substack.com/p/game-over-the-latest-society-of-actuaries

      • This is a study of the death results for group term life policies (sold through employers), including children on these policies. I expect that there would be relatively few people over the age 65 in the sample, and even fewer over 75 or 85. At these high ages, I would expect those who are employed and on these policies are much healthier than average. Thus, death rates on the elderly are not very high, compared to what might be expected.

        I am not sure what I would believe of these results at the high ages. It is possible that the vaccines really did benefit the oldest age groups, at least at first, before the mutations became too great.

    • Minority of One says:

      This does not make sense at all. Why sue now? I think something else is going on.

      Besides which, the mega-rich probably own shares in both companies.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        File this under pregnant men… tranny strippers/prosti tutes reading to children … and Hunter and Joe Biden… just more distraction for the hordes as the meat grinder is prepared

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      “And things are getting worse. British residents will see an 80% increase in their annual household energy bills, the country’s energy regulator announced Friday, following a record 54% spike in April.”

      obviously it’s already difficult for lower income households, and in October they “will see” that 80% increase and then what, an estimated 20% higher in January?

      no doubt the first 2023 increase will be much more than 20%.

      the UK experiment goes on.

      • Mirror on the wall says:

        The estimate keeps going up! From under 2000 a year to over 7000 so in April next. A massive crisis is coming here.

        https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/uk-news/annual-energy-bills-top-7000-24862403

        Average annual energy bills could hit more than £7,000 by spring next year, according to recent warnings. It comes as Ofgem announced that the energy price cap is set to increase by 80 per cent from £1,971 to £3,549 in October this year.

        Recent forecasts have suggested that the energy price cap, which is now being reviewed every three months instead of every six, could then top £5,400 in January, and rise above £7,000 in April, before falling back again in July and October next year. The cap is calculated based on the wholesale price of gas and electricity, which continues to soar amid the ongoing crisis in Ukraine….

        • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

          boof!

          I probably average $400 a month in energy costs for a medium size house (for sure will be higher for the next 12 months).

          7,000 GBP = about $8,400 = $700 per month.

          what do they call that?

          can’t pay, won’t pay.

          • MG says:

            Exactly: can’t pay, won’t pay.

            What is the meaning of making you the slave of an energy producer?

            You either provide energy or not. If you want me to be your slave, you can confiscate my property, but this changes nothing on your ability to provide me energy.

            You must provide me energy, my property and me personally can not exist without the energy.

          • Fast Eddy says:

            When your power bill + petrol costs exceed your mortgage payment … now that is a big problem

            • Xabier says:

              Many younger, better-off couples here have been helped to buy by their parents, and are still very stretched on the fixed-rate mortgage; but will they get a family bail-out on the energy bills? Maybe for a year or two……

              First signs of house sales stalling here, and it’s a very desirable location for young families.

          • JMS says:

            The British people will not accept being reduced to poverty without protesting violently, and the politicians know it. How could they deal with millions of rioters? State of siege and army in the streets? I don’t see it (at least in UK or Germany).
            Then the only option for governments will be to partially subsidize rising prices in energy and food and housing. Europeans will still be forced to live with less, which is the main goal, but at least they will feel grateful to the politicians for sparing no effort to help them!! Win-win. Wink-wink.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Remember those immigrants who went on a rampage in London some years ago — why are they not burning the city down now?

        Surely at some point they and others who cannot pay their bills — will unhinge?

        We need UEP to complete before that happens.

      • MM says:

        I think the UK did it just right:
        Cut all forests to battle the Spanish and Dutch over pepper corns
        Later on the grassland raise sheep with a substantial wool industry.
        Later burn down the wool industry and convince everybody that heating with coal in an industrially produced cotton shirt is just the right thing to do.
        As with the cotton, coal will just arrive when we need it. It is only a matter of how many bills you can put on the table.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      We’ll need a miracle to see Christmas

      On the + side… Q4 will see warm weather here in NZ … so it won’t be a dark grim cold day when we pop our Candied F.

      Just waiting for some big numbers of VAIDS and Vax Injured now…. bit of chaos never hurt no one?

      • Minority of One says:

        ” Just waiting for some big numbers of VAIDS and Vax Injured now”

        We have been waiting for quite a while now. Looks like here in the UK cold and hunger will arrive first, in coming weeks and months. It has been an exceptionally warm and dry summer, even here in Scotland. Winter has a habit of arriving overnight, skipping autumn.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Q4. Wait till then. If it doesn’t go down then get your weapons ready cuz it’s ROF.

  35. el mar says:

    Huawei founder warns of painful global slowdown and tells company to brace for ‘survival’
    In a leaked email intended only for company staff, CEO Ren Zhengfei warned that there will be “no bright spot in the world” for three to five years—a “very painful historical period” as the global economy declines. His comments were first reported by Chinese financial publication Yicai—and have since been taken down from the site—as well as other local media outlets.

    https://fortune.com/2022/08/25/huawei-ceo-economy-warning-china-no-bright-spot/

    Saludos

    el mar

    • Wow!

      Huawei is a leading global provider of information and communications technology (ICT) infrastructure and smart devices. Its base is in China, but it has operations elsewhere.

      I am afraid this executive is correct. He sees the major problems in China, I expect.

  36. Michael Le Merchant says:

    German benchmark year-ahead power price hits record €800 per MWh. German consumer confidence collapses.
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FbEvS7JX0AAGmph?format=png&name=4096×4096

  37. This article points out what I have been thinking:

    https://oilprice.com/Energy/Gas-Prices/Climbing-Natural-Gas-Prices-Could-Force-US-To-Slash-Exports-To-Europe.html

    Climbing Natural Gas Prices Could Force U.S. To Slash Exports To Europe

    Natural gas prices in the United States hit the highest in 14 years this week, with the Henry Hub benchmark temporarily topping $10 per million British thermal units. And demand is not going down anytime soon.

    The United States has emerged as the biggest supplier of natural gas to troubled Europe, as the latter first slipped into a gas crunch after demand outstripped supply last year. Then it slapped seven packages of sanctions against Russia—its main supplier—for its invasion of Ukraine.

    U.S. gas, liquefied and transported to the LNG import terminals in Europe, has been instrumental in filling up Europe’s gas storage caverns ahead of schedule. At the same time, it has highlighted Europe’s vulnerability in the gas supply department: it has virtually no alternatives to U.S. gas, and this has pushed its gas bill ten times higher than what European countries normally spend on gas.

    The vulnerability was also highlighted by the production outage at Freeport LNG, which supplies about a fifth of U.S. LNG and which has now said it will not restart production before November. Prices continue higher.

    “Virtually all of our fundamental and technical indicators continue to flash green lights toward higher price levels,” Ritterbusch & Associates said in a note cited by the Wall Street Journal earlier this week.

    I have a hard time imagining that the US can raise LNG exports to Europe in November without seriously damaging US supply. The US can raise exports to Europe, only by damaging its own supply. Of course, the natural gas industry in the US would like higher natural gas prices. They have been far too low. A $10 per million Btu price is equivalent to a $60 crude oil price. While in some sense this is low (certainly from the point of view of the producer), US industry has been built up when natural gas prices were less than half this amount.

  38. Michael Le Merchant says:

    Liquidity in the oil market is evaporating

    OPEC will be forced to cut production
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FbFzh8saMAAWvKv?format=jpg&name=large

    • Maybe you can explain the connection to me. Does the “open interest in oil futures” directly impact OPEC oil production? Or is the issue that with all of the QT and higher interest rates, debt is no longer easily available. There are recent cutbacks in a lot of financial markets. Many poor countries are nearly out of US$ for purchasing oil imports from almost anywhere.

      • Michael Le Merchant says:

        Means investors are still pricing in global recession. Not just the US, but also Europe, China…That means the Fed might not hike rates aggressively, which leads the oil futures to go up again.

        OPEC will be forced to cut production mostly because they don’t have the spare capacity and in the last months continued to produce below target quotas. In the 4th quarter demand will be above capacity, with a big deficit in the market.

        Really good article:

        OPEC+ is Protecting Oil Market Downside
        https://bisoninterests.com/content/f/opec-is-protecting-oil-market-downside

  39. It was the aspiration of poorer people, poorer families, and poorer countries which led to today’s crisis.

    For the sake of civilization, and retaining the ability to conquer space, they have to be destroyed. Go back to walking barefoot on the mud.

    Today’s winners will have to win. Otherwise there is no space conquest or entering the new stage of civilization.

    • Mirror on the wall says:

      Today’s winners are liable to be Russia and China, Russia because it has the territory and resources and military power, and China because it has the high IQ, the military power, it is in with Russia, and it has not been subverted by Christianity.

      I am guessing that you hail from some central European country with zero resources? If so then your existence depends on economic globalisation, and it will be you that is headed back to the mud without it.

      Space, why even? You want to be a robot too?

      • Artleads says:

        Maybe he’s not a bot, but he serves a similar purpose: identify a known weakness in mass belief systems, and harp on it just enough to continually weaken solidarity of purpose.

      • Kowalainen says:

        “You want to be a robot too?”

        That robot thingy would be wicked awesome. Where do I upload my obnoxious and obstinate? Is there a central repository somewhere, and how does one transfer the “continuity” of existence without jarring the universe? How about replacing a batch of neurons at a time until it’s all digitized?

        Many questions; few answers.
        🤔

      • A think a major issue is that young people need jobs. They need something to aspire to. This is why many (or at least a few) people will keep hope alive that we can go to space and solve some of our problems there. Textbooks need some “happily every after” endings.

        • Artleads says:

          Of course one does not know who/what Kulm is. So here’s some wild speculation: He would be an unusual young person, owing to the disciplined repetitiousness of the message. The message is extreme and illiberal, which he must know wouldn’t pass muster in this somewhat liberal site. So he’s not seriously hoping to change minds. But given the murkiness of our path, we might tend to pause and say, well, COULD it be? We’ve been surprised enough times. (Just enough distraction to confuse.) But this is guessing.

          • Xabier says:

            Kulm, whoever he is, is Terrible and Merciless to the poor, who tremble at his forecasts more than at those issued by the WEF.

            No window-dressing with Kulm: full on genocide, undisguised by snazzy graphics, happily grinning models, and a futuristic soundtrack.

            ‘We will do this to you, and who cares if you don’t like it! To the stars!’

            He’s much more honest and likeable than dear old Norman, gives this blog the spice of eccentricity, and is probably mostly correct except for the space civilization.

            Carry on Kulm!

        • MM says:

          I am currently in a rented flat with a new washing machine. It has an amazing amount of knobs and wheels. And a technical helpline badge.
          People manufacturing washing machines can not just manufacture washing machines because that does not grow the business. All people in the washing machine business are always busy adding anything they can imagine from the platonic realm, be it a new item or an old item that breaks faster, otherwise they would run out of jobs. If there is some sort of self eating landfill mechanism is unclear for me. The economy is a hen with it’s head chopped off, obsessed with growth, jumping around in the court.

          Megacancer is undervalued….

          If I were in the business of washing machines, I would quickly sell one for the whole world and then switch to holidays mode or in case, go for shoes next month….

          • I have a refrigerator with double doors on the top. They don’t stay shut properly, because a little plastic part broke off over a month ago. I called a repairman. He said he would order a part. (This was actually quite a big piece, running the length of the refrigerator door.) The part for the repair still hasn’t come. What do I do next? Call another repair place? Get a new refrigerator? The LG refrigerator is 10 years old. The doors “sort of” stay closed, but not very well.

          • Lidia17 says:

            Yep, Megacancer! When you grok that we are merely cogs in the Maximum Entropy Production machine it all makes a lot more sense.

            I’ve been waiting over two months for my gas-stove repair guy to receive a couple of the for-some-reason-particular thermocouple thingies that will allow the burners to stay lit. On the bright side, my house won’t burn down if I can’t keep the burners lit, so I feel extremely safe.

            Along the lines of your washing machine idea, that’s why my first car was a Saab 900. It was that or a Volvo. At the time, those car models remained virtually identical for years, so I figured I was getting some of the quality/value associated with that strategy.

          • Artleads says:

            Since I rarely use (or service) my car, tire pressures grew uneven. The previous owner of our house left a bicycle/car pump (possibly) which we dug out and tried to use. It was futile. Now we see that there are no longer hand pumps that work predictably for cars. There are things with batteries and lights that you’d be lucky to figure out. If anyone knows of an easy-to-use pump at WalMart, please let me know the brand.

            • Jane says:

              What does “work predictably” mean?
              I should think a bike pump would work if you pumped long enough . . .

              Do you have a pressure gauge?

            • Artleads says:

              I have a pressure gauge, and, though ancient, am not weak. I assure you that the problems I encountered were not those of physical strength or endurance. A lack of technical intelligence, more likely. (I’ve been using old fashioned hand pumps since the 40’s, and I could manage them even as an older child.)

            • Fast Eddy says:

              were there ever hand pumps that could inflate a car tire?

              car tires are great for burning and making lots of black smoke — to create atmosphere during The Apocalypse

            • Yorchichan says:

              “were there ever hand pumps that could inflate a car tire?”

              Bicycle track pumps inflate a car tyre in no time with little effort. I’ve never used a pump at a service station.

            • Lidia17 says:

              I remember having seen foot pumps for sale for use with car tires, but that was years ago.

          • Jane says:

            When it comes to washing machines, give me an older Heavy Duty GE or Kenmore.

            No LED lights and digital programming to drive you mad. You start it by pushing in the knob and stop it by pulling out. Challenging!!!

        • Sam says:

          Yes I often think about this too… everyone needs a happy ending. That’s when you try and teach them about out energy predicament they turn it to a personal attack. Read the comments after they post your article on zero hedge lots of anger and attacks. They accuse you of being a lefty and pushing an agenda green energy 😣

          • Xabier says:

            I think Gail has been accused, from time to time, of being in the pay of both the oil industry and the Greens.

            Nice work if she could get it!

            Then a new washing machine, or what ever, would be no problem……

      • Jan says:

        You mean the little grey men looked like Schwabe, Gayes and Antoinette when they took off – loooong time before they arrived on Earth? An unidentified object did the rhombus?

      • Kim says:

        It has not been subverted by (((Christianity)))?

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      “Today’s winners will have to win. Otherwise there is no space conquest or entering the new stage of civilization.”

      humans tried to conquer Space.

      Space won.

      humans can try again and again, but the results will be the same.

      the coming “new stage of civilization” will have very little industry, after the collapse of Industrial Civilization.

    • Genomir says:

      Kulm, you know i respect you and we had many fruitful discussions on Cathal’s blog. But this time you are very wrong in your assertion. As someone whose family came from the unwashed common masses i can asure you that the peasents go berserk not because they want more but because someone has threatened the little they have. My family didn’t rise to prosperity because of greed or because they wanted what the powered ones had but because the powered ones wanted to take away what they barely had. Long story short – my family is prosperous and the families of the people who tried to fuck with us are just a footnote in the history records.

      • Xabier says:

        That is certainly the history of nearly all revolts among the lower classes – a reaction to being pushed too far, into destitution and starvation.

        Similarly, even aristocrats rebelled regularly against kings who threatened their privileges.

  40. Student says:

    (Ship & Bunker magazine)
    Western sanctions to Russian oil have only the effect to shift its export towards East, instead of West…

    https://shipandbunker.com/news/emea/425755-western-sanctions-send-russias-fuel-oil-eastwards

    • According to the article,

      In August, fuel oil exports from Russia to the Netherlands and Estonia fell to zero from 365,000 metric tones and 170,000 mt, respectively, in July, the report said citing Refinitiv data.

      Fuel oil shipments from Russian ports to Singapore could top 350,000 mt this month, after no
      shipments in June or July, according to the data, while exports for ship-to-shiploading off
      Greece’s Kalamata port have risen by a quarter month-on-month to almost 1 million mt.

  41. Student says:

    Hilarious.
    According to Italian politician Lucia Ronzulli of the declining Berlusconi’s party ‘Forza Italia’, the new regasification plant of Piombino is necessary because it is a fundamental system for the Italian natural gas extraction industry….

    https://t.me/giuseppemasala/20524

    • Italy’s natural gas production in 2021 was 0.11 exajoules, according to BP. According to the same report, Italy’s consumption in 2021 was 2.61 exajoules. Thus, Italy produced about 4% of the natural gas it consumed in 2021. In fact, the trend in production is down.

      • Student says:

        Thank you Gail, I didn’t know the exact figures about Italy.
        My post was mainly dedicated to the ignorance of that politician about what a regasification plant is for.
        That politician apparentely is not aware that a regasification plant is for the import of LNG and not for the Italian natural gas extration (which doesn’t need to be regasificated from liquid to gas, because it is already in the gas status).
        But the link is in Italian so I guess it was not immediately understandable, sorry.

  42. Restoration of civilization is no easy task.

    It will involve the death of billions, and utmost cruelty.

    Those who have a stake in society will have a life or death power for those who don’t.

    The dead will be forgotten, and today’s winners will conquer the space and expand beyond. However, that only happens if Civilization wins, and it is in a very serious danger of losing.

    When resource base contracts, the population has to contract as well and only the best and brightest have to remain

    • Maybe the best are the strongest, rather than the brightest. Or the best adapted to the changing conditions, whatever they are. For example, perhaps they are best adapted to high radiation.

      • Student says:

        Gail, when you talk about radiation, it is because you think it is highly probable a nuclear strike somewhere, in the near future?
        Thanks.

        • I am more worried about nuclear power plants that cannot be maintained and problems with cooling ponds. They may spread radiation.

          As I understand it, nuclear bombs have the potential to disrupt the climate, and thus agriculture. They also have radiation problems, especially in the area where they hit. But I don’t see nuclear bombs being a major issue. If they disrupt the climate, they disrupt food supply around the world. No one wants to go that route, I don’t think. In my opinion, a nuclear bomb explosion would likely be accidental, if it occurs.

          • Dennis L. says:

            Hiroshima, Nagasaki and Nevada come to mind. They all are seemingly doing fine. Too much of anything is a bad thing, e.g. water, or air as in tornado, fire as in forest fire(yes, I know burning the underbrush, the key word is too).

            Dennis L.

      • Dennis L. says:

        No sarcasm, but a metaphor: The best will not use and wear out their backs, they will invent a lever or wheel.

        Dennis L.

    • expeditions into space ‘and beyond’ requires a colossal industrial complex to do it.

      reduce Earth’s population by 90% and there will be insufficient ‘workers’ to put anything into off earth orbit, or provide movement to anything more complex than a horse and cart.

      keep Earth’s population at anything like current numbers, and they will be too busy fighting to survive to be interested in space travel.

      (just putting forward current problems thats all)

      The end result will be no space travel–because it will not be possible to bring a return on any investment in it.

      • Gerry says:

        @ Norman Pagett

        This is what I don’t understand at all?!?!?!?!?! The Artemis Project and building a moon base to begin a Mars expedition? The energy and money involved in todays financial climate is for me perplexing beyond belief? Maybe they really do believe in aliens and think we are on the verge of some glorious experience?

        • been banging on about that for years Gerry

          the equation is very simple: if you go on a journey (the distance is irrelevant), and return with a greater load of (potential) energy than was consumed by the journey itself, you have been on a successful commercial venture.

          If on the other hand, your energy return is negative, you have been on vacation.

          It really is that simple.

          The moon is a dead rock. Had it not been, there would have been commercial enterprise there decades ago.

          I suspect Mars is too….but even if it isnt, and there was something of ‘value’ there in Earth terms, whatever it is has to be brought back to Earth, and ‘converted’ into something else.

          It isn’t possible to convert one compound into another without heat. It doesn’t look as if Mars has any.

          And that is the one thing we are running out of right now.

          NASA , certainly in later years, has been a job creation scheme for PhDs

  43. Fast Eddy says:

    “Doomsday Scenario:” 70% Of British Pubs May Not Survive Winter As Power Costs Skyrocket

    More than 65% of the pubs surveyed said power costs rose more than 100%, 30% said utility costs jumped 200%, and 8% experienced 500% increases. Most pubs warned they couldn’t afford the exponential rise in energy costs.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/doomsday-scenario-70-british-pubs-wont-survive-winter-power-costs-skyrocket

    Stop moaning … it’s all for a good cause – Zelensky

    • Adonis says:

      There just gonna have to do without electricity

      • Fast Eddy says:

        I don’t understand why this would only cause pubs to close… they’d be saving on cooling their beer…

        Wouldn’t places like malls and cinemas and every other establishment that uses electricity also become non-viable? What about smelters – what about the underground — what about ski hills? Surely these outfits that use a lot more energy than a pub would not be able to operate?

        If they were to remain open they’d need to pass along the higher costs …. driving inflation through the roof….

    • Yorchichan says:

      Looks like those planning to go and sit in a pub to keep warm this winter will be out of luck.

      • Xabier says:

        And they let off so many criminals that even a strategic petty crime won’t get one into a nice warm prison!

        I haven’t come cross anyone else scavenging firewood here: I doubt anyone can quite credit what is going to happen this winter. The solitude of the woods is lovely.

        Of course, most people don’t have any fireplaces, gas was going to be cheap forever…..

        • Yorchichan says:

          The criminal justice system seems to be imploding too, with barristers going on all-out strike from 5 September.

          Is it even possible to be convicted of a crime in their absence?

          • Tim Groves says:

            Can’t sit in the bar. Can’t get the services of anyone whose been called to the bar. I hope you will at least be able to get the occasional Mars or Yorkie bar.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        When you’re down and troubled….

        Now I can’t get that out of my head!

  44. Fast Eddy says:

    The severity of the UK’s energy crisis in terms of its impact on households could be worse than the 2008 financial collapse, according to Bloomberg.

    https://summit.news/2022/08/26/uk-energy-crisis-could-be-worse-than-2008-financial-collapse/

  45. Fast Eddy says:

    A top Spanish official has warned that Europeans are about to endure a “winter of great suffering” as a result of Russia fully suspending gas supplies during the freezing months.

    https://summit.news/2022/08/25/spanish-official-warns-of-winter-of-great-suffering/

    https://youtu.be/0IGMNDBFx7w

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