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The problem is hitting limits in the extraction of fossil fuels
We know that historically, many economies around the world have collapsed. We also know that there is a physics reason why this happens. Growing economies require a growing supply of energy to keep up with a growing population. At some point, the energy supply and other resource needs cannot grow rapidly enough to keep up with population growth. When this happens, economies tend to collapse.
In their book Secular Cycles, researchers Peter Turchin and Sergey Nefedov found that economies tend go through four distinct phases in each cycle, with each stage lasting for quite a few years:
- Growth
- Stagflation
- Crisis
- Inter-cycle
Based on my own analysis, the world economy was in the Growth Stage for much of the time between the Industrial Revolution and 1973. In late 1973, oil prices spiked, and the world was put on notice that the energy supply could not continue rising as rapidly as in the past. Between 1973 and 2018, the world economy was in the Stagflation Stage. Based on current data, the world economy seems to have entered the Crisis Stage about 2018. This is the reason for saying that headwinds are beginning to hold the economy back in the title of this article .
When the Crisis Stage occurs, there are fewer goods and services per capita to go around, so some participants in the world economy must come out behind. Conflict of all kinds becomes more likely. Political leaders, if they happen to discover the predicament the world economy is in, have little interest in making the predicament known to voters, since doing so would likely lead them to lose the next election.
Instead, the way the physics-based self-organizing economic system works is that alternative narratives that frame the situation in a less frightening way gain popularity. Political leaders may not even be aware of how dependent today’s economy is on fossil fuels. Researchers may not be aware that their “scientific” models are misleading because they look at too small a portion of the overall system and make unwarranted assumptions.
In this post, I show evidence that the economy is reaching energy limits. In the last section, I explain how my view differs from the standard narrative, which says that there is almost an unlimited amount of fossil fuels available to burn, if we choose to utilize these fossil fuels. According to this view, humans can prevent climate change by voluntarily moving away from fossil fuels.
The standard narrative proposes a reasonable plan for citizens of parts of the world without adequate fossil fuels (cut back on buying fossil fuels), but without telling citizens what the real problem is. The standard narrative also gives the impression that there is a near-term clean energy alternative. In my opinion, this is wishful thinking for the reasons I describe in Sections [6] and [7]. Section [2] also sheds light on the reasonableness of moving to renewable energy.
[1] The world has been warned, at least twice, that collapse might occur about now.
Back in the 1950s, several physicists, including M. King Hubbert, became interested in the limits that the world was up against. The military became interested in the problem, as well. In 1957, Admiral Hyman Rickover of the US Navy gave a very insightful speech. One thing Admiral Rickover said was, “With high energy consumption goes a high standard of living.” Another thing he said was, “A reduction of per capita energy consumption has always in the past led to a decline in civilization and a reversion to a more primitive way of life.”
Regarding the future, he said,
For it is an unpleasant fact that according to our best estimates, total fossil fuel reserves recoverable at not over twice today’s unit cost are likely to run out at some time between the years 2000 and 2050, if present standards of living and population growth rates are taken into account.
The issue Admiral Rickover is pointing out is that as extraction costs rise, fossil fuels become increasingly unaffordable. If citizens cannot afford food, housing, and other basic goods made with high-cost fossil fuels, those fossil fuels will be left in the ground. If politicians try to pass the high cost of extraction on to consumers, it will cause inflation. Citizens will become unhappy with politicians and will vote them out of office. This is basically our problem today.
A second analysis that pointed to the current time frame for the world hitting fossil fuel limits is given in the 1972 book, The Limits To Growth by Donella Meadows and others. This analysis used computer modeling to look at several alternative future scenarios, considering resources available and population trends. The base scenario showed resource limits in general hitting sometime around 2020. The economy would collapse over a period of years after resource limits were hit.
[2] The Industrial Revolution in England is an example of how an economy changes for the better when fossil fuel energy is added.
Figure 1 shows a chart E. A. Wrigley shows in his book, Energy and the English Industrial Revolution:
Wrigley observes that when coal was added to the economy, it was possible to make far more metal tools than had been made in the past. With the use of metal tools instead of wood tools, farmers could be three times as productive. Thus, there didn’t need to be as many farmers, freeing some farmers for other occupations. Also, roads to coal mines were paved, in an era when few roads were paved. These paved roads were beneficial to other businesses and to the economy as a whole.
Another reason for coal to be of interest was because of increased deforestation near cities, as the population grew. This deforestation led to a need to transport firewood over long distances. Coal was more compact, and so easier to transport. Furthermore, the use of coal prevented having to cut down as many trees, helping the environment.
Figure 1 shows that energy from wind and water were only a tiny part of the economy, both before and after coal was added. They did not directly provide heat energy, which was a significant share of what the economy needed at that time.
[3] The period between the end of World War II and 1973 was another period when energy consumption per capita was rising rapidly. We might say the economy then had an “energy tailwind.”
Figure 2 shows that US energy consumption per capita was rising rapidly in the 1949 to 1973 period. Growing oil, coal and natural gas consumption all contributed to the overall rise in fossil fuel use.
In fact, BP data (only available from 1965 onward) shows energy consumption per capita rising for most parts of the world between 1965 and 1973. During this period, oil, coal and natural gas consumption per capita were all rising.
A major thing that pushed oil consumption along was its low price (Figure 4). According to BP data, the inflation-adjusted price was only $11.99 per barrel in 1970. In 1971, it averaged $14.30 per barrel. The comparable price today is about $79 per barrel.
The average price for 1973 rose to the equivalent of $19.73 per barrel, which is still incredibly low relative to today’s prices. It is an annual average price, reflecting a low price at the beginning of the year and a much higher price toward the end of the year.
There were multiple issues behind the rise in oil prices, starting at the end of 1973. Part of the problem was the fact that US oil production began to fall in 1971, necessitating the use of more imported oil, year after year. Another issue was that world oil production could not keep up with the high demand, given the low price that oil was selling for. The Office of the Historian of the US writes the following:
By 1973, OPEC had demanded that foreign oil corporations increase prices and cede greater shares of revenue to their local subsidiaries. In April, the Nixon administration announced a new energy strategy to boost domestic production to reduce U.S. vulnerability to oil imports and ease the strain of nationwide fuel shortages. That vulnerability would become overtly clear in the fall of that year.
Without higher oil prices, it would be hard for local producers to make the investments needed to ramp up production. Also, taxes for governments in the areas where the oil was produced were falling too low, given the low prices that oil was selling for on the international market. Indirectly because of these problems, but supposedly also because of support for Israel by certain countries in the 1973 Arab-Israeli war, the Arab members of OPEC initiated an oil embargo. This embargo cut off exports to the US, Netherlands, Portugal, and South Africa from November 1973 until March 1974. It was at that time that world oil prices rose to a much higher level, and oil consumption per capita began to fall.
One thing that is striking about the period between World War II and 1973 is the huge advances in wages made by both the bottom 90% and the top 10% (Figure 5).
Between 1948 and 1968, inflation-adjusted income of both the bottom 90% and the top 10% increased by roughly 80%. This meant that many people in the bottom 90% could afford to buy cars and their own homes for the first time. Even in the period between 1968 and 1982, inflation-adjusted incomes kept up with inflation, something that low-income earners today have difficulty with. It was not until after about 1982 that wage disparity started to increase.
Most people remember the 1950s and 1960s as a favorable period for ordinary workers. Because of the higher wages of ordinary citizens and growing US manufacturing capabilities, the number of cars registered in the US rose from 25.8 million in 1945 to 75.3 million in 1965. The US initiated the 41,000 mile Interstate Highway System in 1956, so that auto owners would have multilane, limited access roads to travel on.
Electricity was sold in a conservative way, called the Utility Pricing System, which would hopefully assure that the whole system would be properly maintained. Utilities were typically owners of electricity generation units, plus all other local infrastructure, including transmission lines. Each utility would compute a total required rate for all its needs, including enough funds to install new generating capacity, provide fuel, and install and maintain transmission lines. A government regulator would approve the rates, but there was no real competition.
[4] In the period between 1973 and 2018, many changes were to increase energy efficiency and to lower the perceived cost to users. Unfortunately, some of these changes, when taken to the extremes they were taken to later in the period, tended to make the economy brittle and thus more subject to collapse.
Up until 1973, oil was being put to uses for which substitution could easily be made. One of these was electricity generation; another was home heating. An easy change in electricity generation was to build new generating facilities using an alternate fuel (coal, natural gas, or nuclear). Home heating could often be changed to natural gas or electricity.
Also, Japan already had automobiles that were smaller and more fuel efficient than American automobiles. These could be substituted for some of the large cars produced in the US.
Especially with the Reagan and Thatcher administrations starting shortly after 1980, there was more interest in cutting costs in electricity generation. “Competitive rating” instead of utility rating became popular in places where electricity prices were high. Utilities were broken up, and the various parts were encouraged to compete.
Of course, competitive rating, when taken to its extreme, can lead to the neglect of infrastructure. It was recently reported that California’s utility company, Pacific Gas and Electric, now finds that it must raise $50 billion for wildfire prevention, after years of neglecting maintenance on the long distance transmission lines used for hydroelectric generation and other long distance transmission. Now it needs to raise money to bury many of these lines underground.
It has long been known that added complexity can be helpful in working around problems of inadequate energy supply. Complexity involves many things including using more advanced technology and international trade. It involves bigger organizations to take advantage of economies of scale. It tends to require higher education for at least some of its workers.
One major disadvantage of growing complexity is the increasing wage disparity it tends to produce. Wages for less educated workers often fall quite low. Work in whole industries may disappear overseas, leaving workers to start over, in new lines of work, at lower pay scales.
Unfortunately, having many workers at low wages tends to push an economy toward collapse. The big issue is that these workers cannot afford goods like cars and new homes. Their lack of purchasing power tends to hold down commodity prices, such as the price of fossil fuels. Prices don’t rise high enough to justify new investment to raise production, so production slows down and eventually stops.
Another approach that gained popularity starting about 1981 was the increased use of debt and more exotic financial approaches. Interest rates were very high in 1981. Central banks could make monthly payments for goods such as homes and cars more affordable by lowering interest rates. This approach works for a while, but it reaches limits when interest rates fall too low relative to inflation rates. Furthermore, if an economy slows down, a major increase in debt defaults becomes likely, as became clear in 2008. With the high level of debt in the world economy today, the default problem could become even worse in 2023 or 2024 than it was in 2008, if the economy slows again.
[5] Since 2015, oil and natural gas investments have remained at low levels because oil prices have not been high enough to justify drilling in the remaining places.
In my opinion, oil companies really need quite high oil prices, probably $120 per barrel or higher, on a consistent basis, to justify drilling in sufficient new locations to ramp up oil production. Since 2014, prices have generally remained far below that level. There was a major drop in oil prices in 2014 and 2015. In response to the lower oil prices, oil and gas companies cut back on investment in “Exploration and Production” (E&P). (Figure 7)
After a drop in E&P investments, oil production does not drop immediately. Instead, 2018 was the single highest year of oil production. Production looks likely to drop further because of the continued lack of investment (Figure 8).
[6] If we look across the major types of energy supply, we discover that “Wind and Solar” is the only category rising significantly faster than world population. Others tend to be flat or falling, on a per capita basis.
In Figure 9, the star performer is the category “Wind + Solar.” The main attraction of wind and solar today is the subsidies they get, and the mandates that require utilities to move away from fossil fuels. Unfortunately, wind and solar really aren’t terribly helpful as far as I can see, except from the point of view of the benefit of the subsidies they provide.
One of the problems with intermittent wind and solar is that they tend to drive nuclear electricity providers out of business because of the favorable rates they receive when wind and solar are allowed to go first, in competitive rating schemes. With this arrangement, the wholesale rates that nuclear providers receive often fall to negative amounts. Nuclear providers cannot close down for short periods with negative rates, so they tend to need subsidies to remain open. Figure 9 shows that the supply of nuclear electricity has been dropping since at least 2001. In fact, of all the energy types shown on Figure 9, nuclear’s production (relative to population) is dropping fastest.
In my opinion, our primary energy concern should be food production and transport. Diesel, made from oil, is the major fuel for agriculture. It will be decades before farming machinery and transport of food can be changed over to electricity, assuming this can be done at all. Until this happens, electricity’s role in getting food to the shelves of grocery stores will be limited.
Solar energy comes primarily in the summer but, unfortunately, in many places, the big need for heat energy is in the winter. People in Europe, with their many wind turbines and solar panels, are worried about possibly freezing in the dark this winter if natural gas supplies prove inadequate. We don’t have batteries for storing solar or wind energy for months on end, so they cannot be counted on for winter heat.
When homeowners put solar panels on their roofs, the electricity they sell to the utility is often “net metered” (credited with the full retail value of electricity that this home would pay). This is a huge subsidy to the owners of the solar panels because the value of the intermittent electricity to the utility is far less than this, probably closer to the cost of the natural gas or other fuel saved.
To make up for the loss of revenue caused by the overly generous compensation to solar panel owners, the utility is forced to raise rates for those without solar panels. Studies show that homeowners with solar panels tend to be wealthier than the renters and others who do not have the opportunity to add these subsidized solar panels. Thus, this is an example of a benefit for rich homeowners being paid for by less wealthy buyers of electricity.
I would also argue that the BP data I used to produce Figure 9 tends to give an overly optimistic view of the value of wind and solar. The approach used indirectly assumes that they fully replace the entire system of dispatchable electricity used today, rather than providing only intermittent electricity. The less generous approach (giving a little less than half as much credit) is used by the International Energy Association and by many researchers.
Furthermore, solar panels tend to pollute ground water when they are disposed of, so they are not very clean. Wind turbines are noisy, take up farmland, and kill bats and birds, so they have serious drawbacks as well.
Wind and solar are made and transported using fossil fuels. They cannot last any longer than today’s fossil fuel industry. In fact, roads and transmission lines require fossil fuels to continue. The whole system is likely to go down at approximately the same time.
It seems to me that the main reason why we hear so much about intermittent wind and solar is because there needs to be a hopeful narrative for politicians to provide to voters, and for educators to provide to students. Otherwise, the situation shown on Figure 9 looks grim. The fact that fossil fuel prices have been spiking in 2022 and regulators are trying to get these prices back down again is testimony to the fact that we are running short of cheap-to-produce fossil fuel energy.
[7] The incorrect narrative provided by mainstream media (MSM) is that climate change is our worst problem. To lessen this problem, citizens need to move quickly away from fossil fuels and transition to renewables. The real narrative is that we are running short of fossil fuels that can be profitably extracted, and renewables are not adequate substitutes. However, this narrative is too worrisome for most people to handle.
I expect most readers will say, your view can’t be right. We don’t read this story in the news. All we hear about is climate change and the need to reduce fossil fuel usage to prevent climate change.
In many ways, the narrative presented by MSM is less frightening to the public than a narrative in which fuels are already being stretched too thin. The MSM narrative sounds like a situation that we can perhaps live with and work around. It sounds like careers that people study for today will be useful in the future. It also sounds like homes, cars and factories built today will be useful in the future.
One major difference in the MSM view, relative to my view, is with respect to the amounts of fossil fuels that can be extracted. The standard narrative says we will extract all the fossil fuels that we have the technology to extract unless we make a concerted effort not to extract these fuels. For this to happen, demand (a favorite word of economists) must keep rising to keep prices high enough for businesses to want to continue extraction from fields plagued by depletion.
History shows that when an economy approaches limits, what tends to happen is that demand tends to fall too low. This happens because the physics of the way the economy works: Wage and wealth disparities tend to spike as energy resources are increasingly stretched thin. In fact, the great wealth of the top 1%, relative to that of the remaining 99%, is a major problem in the world today. When increasing wage and wealth disparity occurs, a growing number of poor workers find themselves with inadequate wages to buy food, homes, cars and other goods made with commodities, including oil.
There are so many of these poor workers that their lack of demand tends to bring down commodity prices without government intervention. If these low wages are not sufficient to hold down commodity prices, politicians will raise interest rates to try to get commodity prices down, so they can be re-elected. It is low fossil fuel prices that will drive fossil fuel providers out of business.
Of course, another part of the MSM narrative is the view that renewables can save the system. I explained in Section [6] why this cannot be the case for wind and solar. I didn’t say much about hydroelectricity, but it is already built out in most of the developed world. Electricity from hydroelectric plants tends to be intermittent, with the greatest supply coming in the spring, when snow melts. Like wind and solar, hydroelectric generation plants are built and repaired using fossil fuels. These facilities, and their transmission lines, will last only until parts break that cannot be repaired.
I’m not laughing at these poor folk. Some were hypnotised by a fear campaign the likes of which I’d never seen before.
Blame it on among others the psychologists at SPI-B. Apparently the UK is a world leader in ‘behavioural psychology’, or brainwashing. I’m ashamed of this aspect of my country.
Mercola interviews Dowd …
https://www.truthforhealth.org/2022/12/cause-unknown-the-epidemic-of-sudden-deaths-in-2021-and-2022-a-special-interview-with-edward-dowd/
Initially when you see a lion leap over your fence and race towards you fear is a justified reaction … but when you realize it’s norm fancy dressed in a lion costume you laugh give him a kick in the arse and tell him to bugger off…
It’s so easy to make norm the butt of everything
I cannot find the date of the interview
Anyone who doesn’t find this funny — has no sense of humour — or is multi-vaxxed hahaha
https://twitter.com/THEJamesWhale/status/1433154541038542854
How the ordinary people lived if the Great War had not been messed up –
(Yes, Tim, this is the Japan which the Japanese would rather not let gaijins like you to see.)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZbYc6lpwUDM
(In Japanese- English subtitle available)
It’s title means “Pheasant, don’t cry”.
The setting is late 1890s-early 1900s, judging from the clothes the people are wearing and the bolt-action rifle.
There was a famine in a mountain town, and the daughter , Chiyo, was dying. She wanted to eat red bean rice, and he stole some red beans, which were very rare at that time, from the landowner’s house.
Chiyo miraculously recovered, and she sang a song about it. The landowner and the townspeople learned Chiyo’s father stole the landowner’s red beans, and it was unanimously agreed that Chiyo’s father was to be buried alive to dedicate a new dike to prevent it from falling.
(Such human sacrifice, called “Hitobashira” (Human pillar) was done frequently during the Shogunate, and was done unofficially time to time until the end of World War 2. Authority was weaker in the rural areas, and the local police chief would rather not disobey the landowner if the chief, often coming from the same class with the landowner, wanted to retire quietly. Tim, I am sure none of your Japanese friends told such kind of stories to you since it is a kind of story the Japanese would rather keep out from gaijins.)
After Chiyo’s father was buried alive to dedicate the dike, Chiyo lost the ability to speak.
A few years later, a hunter was hunting a pheasant who was crying. She said, probably for the final time in her life, “Don’t cry pheasant” but it cried and the hunter put it down with ease.
Chiyo was never seen again.
====
This incident occurred in 1890/1900. At least her father was not tough enough to sell her to brothels. During a famine in 1931, when a botched attempt to return Japan to the gold standard ended with disaster, a lot of young daughters in the northeast of Japan were sold to brothels at young age. I can go on and on but I think I said enough.
Tl, dr, keeping the landowner’s grain safe is more than saving a life. A lesson I was reminded again and again. I also heard some stories which I will keep for myself.
Gail, if this is over the top, I don’t mind. I will continue to tell the realities of pre-carbon world , and if you can’t stomach it, so be it.
Oh, you would be surprised at some of the gruesome stories I have been told about the old days, Kulm—Just in this little valley of around a hundred households there are skeletons in a lot of cupboards, and stories of incredible cruelty on a par with anything Mao or Pol Pot ordered. When people live close to the margins and the surplus they can draw from nature is barely enough to keep them alive and yet they also have the added burdens imposed by parasitical overlords, there isn’t a lot of scope for kindness and compassion, and callousness is the rule rather than the exception.
Now, the landowners are about to win , after a century of struggle against the bankers, the financiers and the innovaters.
The landowners do NOT have to invest , innovate or advance civilization. All they care about is maintaining their grip on their holdings.
When they win, no more innovation. The world gets frozen at where they are. Finis.
(All of Jane Austen’s novels end with the heroine marrying the rich boy. That was the world Wellington & Co defended, and she always ended her book with the world “Finis”.)
You said that you were going to become a robot in space forever? Now you just want to have a pile of grain and to die? How your ambitions have collapsed.
Land-owners come and go; it all depends on who has the real power and who is useful to them. There is always a churn on that count. Perhaps you should study history instead of reading novels?
You said that you were going to become a robot in space forever? Now you just want to have a pile of grain and to die? How your ambitions have collapsed.
Even kulm has acknowledged the lack of spare energy it seems.
Hey kulm… Mars needs shoe shine boys… you should apply
I am curious. In the period of the late 1700s up until mid 1800s the Comanche stopped the tide of expansion of the “ civilized” industrial form of Homo sapiens. They did so via utter ruthlessness and guerrilla tactics over a vast stretch of territory encompassing Texas, Oklahoma, Nebraska, etc.
They engaged in mass murder, wholesale rape and child abduction.
Only the invention of the colt repeating revolver, the wholesale destruction of the vast bison herds ( through intentional slaughter and introduced diseases) and the tactical innovations of the newly minted Texas rangers ( who basically became “ Comanche” themselves) managed to eventually subdue them.
My question is; Were the “Comanche” landowners?
My thesis is as the fuel drains away and the choices are savagery or civilization…..
Savagery,…. eventually,…… will win.
The aristocrats of the future will control the well watered and mild regions ( with mild meek cowed serfs doing their bidding.
But the high ground, the wastes, the areas of vastness….. will be the realm of savages. The “well off” will never tread there.
i was under the impression that the concept of ‘land ownership’ didnt exist among indigenous peoples
Rhetorical question for Kulm…….
The elite nonsense holds for just as long as the meek stay meek.
Savagery is a good option to eat up what was produced beforehand. But it does not create anything. To bind people working for you, one needs to give them opportunities, Romans and Osmans did that. To let people work creatively and find solutions, one has to create the necessary atmosphere and environment. Even the Nazis knew that.
Savagery is only successful for milking a working system, like the Mafia does, like Kill Bill does, like the landowners do.
Savagery is only good for a moment. Who builds the weapons? Who runs the farms? Who produces the gasoline or the oat for the horses needed to rip off other people? When people and their wealth are gone the only way is to find new people – in some distance.
You may argue, there is enough wealth left over, but that won’t be useful anymore. Who needs a TV without electricity? The common household knife, made to be replaced tomorrow in a Chinese’s shop is not an outdoor knife which lasts. Houses cannot be maintained and are in the wrong place.
When the states fail there are no property laws anymore. Those that survive until here will of course take the land of the landowners, the resources (example: Russia), the girls… Of course there is no way to start or keep a susistence community in such a situation, only perhaps in defendable areas, but if we did we could prevent the state from failing.
The main problem is that regions that still have oil easily can dominate those without. If Russia has oil to maintain technology and weapons they can easily strip off the rest of the world their resources.
This is not yet mentioned by noone. Thus I think a lot of what we are discussing in fact is steered opposition.
If the current systems break we will start from zero. Zero. Those who have axe and spade work more conveniently like those who have to make them from stone.
Do you have any iron saw to cut them out of car roofs? How long will the blade keep until it breaks?
If there were a larger getting prepared at least some people who are able to get the stored axes will survive some time and can try to learn forging.
All that exist, all our inheritage is worthless and forgotten in the next generation. Except we start countermeasures now. A book about Chemistry is useless without chemical products, noone will copy it, when its pages break. A book is needed how to get those products from eggs, urine and your environment. The knowledge is there but spread around a lot of sources. And computers can only be maintained for a few years. All this specialized knowledge will soon be gone and people will have to find out again how magnetism works. We still could prevent this situation but Fast Eddy is so ruined by the vaxxers that he can only develop his Schadenfreude. The preppers are buying food and gas and amunition. How many generations can the feed with that? Are you aware that there will be no seeds to buy when all want to start gardening?
It is a religious thing. Or perhaps defective brains. I can say.
Doomie Preppers = Delusional…. they make a lot of assumptions… they ignore reality
World oil demand has broken down from its trend line and doesn’t look like it’s ever going to recover again
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FlIgIsTaEAIxBe0?format=png&name=small
Without surplus production, the demand curve has to be managed.
“World oil demand” chart
I think a better way of thinking about it is the “world oil supply”.
Without a devil, churches would be empty.
He’s the marketing director for Christianity
There isn’t enough oil available. Somehow “demand” has to fall back to the supply available. Less flying. Less new construction. Fewer new cars. Less international trade.
The supply/demand discussion is fruitless. Oil is the limiting factor of economic growth. Economic growth can only be maintained by the steady amounts of oil. In that moment the available oil is reduced by oil that needs to be invested into oil production, because the easy to produce oil has been taken out first, our economies cannot pay a higher price or lets say invest more efforts into oil production. It will happen, what can be seen in the fracking industry. Oil is the limiting factor of our economies. It means they shrink. Perhaps not on the paper, if higher efforts into oil production is counted for gdp. That is an academic discussion.
Complex systems that shrink fall back on a lower level of complexity in a chaotic way. Chaotic means unpredictable.
The supply/demand discussion is one about hen/egg.
I agree. The way our world is structured, it needs oil for many major aspects, including food production and transportation. We cannot get along without oil.
The economy is now in the process of falling back to a lower level of complexity. Trying to predict how this will happen is a guessing game. We really don’t know. The path is chaotic.
Turbo-Cancer: “It feels like I’m watching people being killed and there is little I can do.”
Swedish MD/pathologist Ute Krüger describes her findings on rapidly growing and aggressive cancers presenting in increasingly younger patients in the era of gene-based COVID vaccines.
https://sagehana.substack.com/p/turbo-cancer-it-feels-like-im-watching
Hey norm … since you are gung ho on injecting children and pregnant women — why don’t you volunteer — perhaps you could be the one who mops up the slop and dead babies … and feed the works to the pigs?
I think you’d find this rewarding … very satisfying work.
NOF
https://sagehana.substack.com/p/you-hold-them-until-they-die
Emergency room staff brings a pregnant woman to labor and delivery (18 weeks) bleeding with positive heart tones. Ultrasound at bedside reveals live fetus low in the uterus, placenta is not low lying (no previa) with a large 10 cm clot in the uterus by the placenta.
Pelvic exam in stirrups reveals dilated cervix and here comes the baby, blood everywhere and baby lands unexpectedly on the gurney thankfully. Alive. Eyes fused, breathing, clamped the cord, baby wrapped in a blanket to the nursery. Parents understand it is too young to resuscitate and refuse to see it at that moment.
Thankfully the blood was clotting and no signs of DIC. I left with the nurses and kept the senior resident in the room to wait on the placenta. Patient was stable.
Parents were devastated, deservedly so. The nurse and I stayed with the baby until he took his last breath. Screaming in the room occurred, so I ran back to the patient room; she was in pain due to contractions and I gave her an additional dose of morphine. I looked in her chart and yes, she was jabbed 3 times. Last jab right before she got pregnant.
The placenta finally came out with additional cytotec but took a few hours and we did not have to go to the operating room to remove it. The nurse and I prayed over that baby and cried as he passed away.
Coincidence maybe, but this is occurring at an alarming rate. Usually the babies are dead but this little guy wasn’t, he tried to live but no chance at 18 weeks. I collect no data, I use trends … this is a trend that tells scientists to collect data. I will continue to report the trends I see.
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F302a7303-5c20-4b26-bf3b-b0dbfa48fd4c_1634x1578.png
eddy
you get out of bed before 7 am—dash to your kb–and keep repeating my name x4
while in one sense i find it flattering that my name should be on your fingertips before your eyes are open, I feel i should make it quite clear (before you make any assumptions) that the emotional need is not reciprocated.
Before my morning barbs to you, the birds sitting outside on my tree make me feel guilty if i haven’t fed them first. Especially in winter.
Me figuring large in your imagination is not healthy eddy. I have no wish to be part of anybody’s nightmares. Fantasies are another matter—but I like those to come real —I don’t think you would be the right candidate for that. ( they can get a bit complicated).
Don’t you have other thoughts that might occupy your waking hours?
NZ has much to offer.
What about a trip down the med centre, to check on their plans for your assassination?
Or the police plot to transport you to devils island.
Or something?
I can’t sleep thinking you might have answered the question about antibiotics…
when you’re banging away on your kb at 2 am–that is quite obvious eddy
They killed granny and grandpa by denying them antibiotics norm….. they murdered them…
This does not register with norm… the spike has destroyed that part of his brain
whatever i may be doing at 2 am eddy
its not getting quertyied
On Facebook that status is called “it’s complicated”.
Are the 2020 Covid PsyOps starting again?
Is China at it once more?
For three years China attempted a zero-Covid policy with draconian lockdowns, testing and quarantine. However, that all abruptly changed last month. In a dramatic U-turn, a few cities began opening up before the government announced a country-wide roll-back on 7 December.
Similar U-turns happened in the West, where one day Covid was the most dangerous thing since Ebola to the next day where any dangers were downplayed. Don’t kill your Granny went to ‘living with the virus’ and a similar thing is happening in China.
Many think China’s reopening is partly due to the large protests seen in the country last month. However, as I noted at the time, you only get to see what China wants you to see and if you are suddenly seeing videos of protests up and down the country, China is allowing you to see them. But for what purpose?
Remember the videos in late 2019/early 2020 of people collapsing in the street (but managing to put their hands out to break their fall!) and storm troopers fumigating Chinese cities?
The latest ones flooding the Internet are of ‘leaked’ videos from overflowing Chinese crematoriums.
https://nakedemperor.substack.com/p/are-the-2020-covid-psyops-starting
Without the cheap energy, the life of the human species turns into a masquerade.
That’s because we foolishly tied ourselves to fossil fuels and then went bonkers finding ways to piss thru it all as fast as possible. When Chile is shipping citrus to my home State of Florida, there’s a problem. The current global supply chains were all made possible by fossil fuels.
You can’t manufacture or repair industrial civilization with wind and solar. You can’t even make wind and solar parts without fossil fuels. Gail posted an example where NYC found out the hard way that EV isn’t the utopia we are being sold when the snow removal trucks that cost half a million can’t last more than 4 hrs of service.
We can fight against the air pollution and local clmt chng, but we can not fight against the global clmt chng, as this is mostly outside of the human control.
What we mostly see is rather the fight against the air pollution and the fight against the local clmt chng than the fight against the global clmt chng.
yup
the people living 10 miles from me are notorious scumbags and lowlifes, not fit to breathe the same air as me.
on principle–i refuse to breathe the same air as they do, and jealously protect the rights to my own air.
i apply the same rule to the rest of the world
The lowlifes cut down the trees, so that they have place for propagating themselves and building their slums.
In the past, a garden was a part of every house in the village. As the population rose, the people turned their gardens into construction plots and created slums.
They should not have the right to breathe.
i am going to put a sign on my gate
”clear off and breathe your own air”
The mass meetings, including religious ones, deplete the air of oxygen, and the people experience suffocation, they panic etc.
Sure we can – we can follow BBCCNN and buy EVs (charged with coal haha) and install billions of solar panels and windmills (that provide intermittent electricity – which is fantastic if you don’t mind the intermittency — kinda sucks though when its 30 below and you have only half finished blow drying your coiffe.)
Then it turns into a Ripping of Faces scenario inclusive of mass murder, mass rape, mass cannibalism and mass disease
Hence UEP – The Extermination
“Will Lifting Title 42 Cause a Border Crisis? It’s Already Here.
“Plans to lift Title 42 have prompted dire predictions of chaos on the border. But there is already a migrant surge, because the pandemic policy was never an effective border-control tool.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/29/us/title-42-border-el-paso.html?auth=login-google1tap&login=google1tap
Read & weep.
Too many people worldwide; not enough cheap energy to support them all.
Protest against the refugee camps in my area in Slovakia:
https://youtu.be/HNY6HRzFVGw
As I live at the border with Czech Republic, I hear police cars heading towards the border, fighting the illegal immigration within the EU.
Maybe Michael Lewis should contact the dynamic duo here, Gail and Eddy, for a final book covering the real whammy collapse for the Last Picture Show..
The saga of Sam Bankman-Fried and the collapse of his cryptocurrency firm FTX could soon be a book from the author of “The Big Short” and “Moneyball.”
Author Michael Lewis met with Bankman-Fried for “several hours” soon after the latter was put under house arrest at his parents’ home in Palo Alto, The New York Post reported on Tuesday.
A lawyer and spokesperson for Bankman-Fried did not immediately respond to requests for comment from Insider, nor did a representative for Lewis.
Bankman-Fried is facing several fraud-related charges after the implosion of FTX, of which he is the founder and former CEO, and was extradited to the US from the Bahamas last week.
He was released from a New York federal court on December 22 on a $250 million bail. The amount wasn’t paid out, but is secured by his parents’ home where he’s staying, along with other types of collateral.
Lewis is the author of best-selling books like “The Big Short,” about how the housing bubble led to the financial crisis of the late 2000s, and “Moneyball,” which detailed how Oakland A’s general manager Billy Beane used analytics to assemble a roster.
Both were turned into Oscar-nominated films in 2015 and 2011, respectively. “The Big Short” won the Oscar for best adapted screenplay.
This isn’t the first time Lewis had met with Bankman-Fried. In November, the Hollywood trade The Ankler reported that Lewis had been interviewing Bankman-Fried for six months.
Deadline reported last month that Apple was closing in on a deal for the rights to Lewis’ eventual book on the fall of FTX and Bankman-Fried, with plans to turn it into a film.
Read the original article on Business Insider
Wonder how Lewis will portray the ending of the book?
“Lewis had been interviewing Bankman-Fried for six months.”
Since before the scandal hit the press!
Dr. John Campbell Formally Demands a Halt to Mass Covid Vaccination
He had to share this statement on Rumble, as YouTube won’t allow debate on the subject.
Also, I must say John is not looking too good recently. I expect the jabs have aged him and tired him, as has happened to many injecteess I know in my own social circle who have not come down with anything life threatening yet.
https://rumble.com/v22ugd2-time-to-pause-covid-mass-vaccination.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
Full statement:
My name is John Campbell, I am a semi-retired clinical nurse, nurse lecturer, academic, researcher and author of numerous articles and two text books.
My specialisms are human physiology and pathophysiology, as applied to clinical practice. I have also produced many educational videos which are used extensively around the world.
In my view the UK health authorities should pause the current covid-19 vaccination programme, due to the risks associated with vaccination.
As time has passed since the early days of 2020, the number of patients hospitalised with COVID-19 infection has continued to decline since it’s peaks in previous waves. This is clearly seen in data published by the UK government and the Office for National Statistics.
In addition, the proportion of patients in hospital with COVID-19 is now greater than the patients admitted to hospital for COVID-19. This is true for general hospital admissions as well as ICU admissions. In other words, most Covid positive patients admitted to hospital are now incidental, and were not admitted purely for COVID-19 complications.
As a result of mass infection during the various waves of the pandemic, especially the huge numbers of people infected with the omicron variant, most people have developed levels of natural immunity to the virus.
This natural infection also generates mucosal compartment immunity in the respiratory tract, which the injected vaccines do not produce.
While prior infection does not always prevent symptomatic disease, it does provide levels of protection against severe disease and hospitalisation.
This means the overall risk from COVID-19 infection with SARS coronavirus 2 is significantly less than it was when the vaccination programmes were first instigated.
However, risks associated with ongoing vaccination are probably the same as they were in the early stages of the pandemic and mass vaccination programmes.
If I am correct in this evaluation, this means that the risk of COVID-19 infection has gone down, while the risk of vaccination remains the same.
This fundamentally alters the risk benefit analysis of this vaccination programme.
I therefore consider that the UK government authorities should pause the current covid mass vaccination programme, until a full, population scale risk / benefit analysis is carried out, and published for free and open peer review.
I further call on the UK health authorities to review the intramuscular injection technique used in the delivery of mRNA vaccines. Currently, after insertion of the needle the syringe is not aspirated to ensure the tip of the needle in not in a blood vessel.
This leaves open the possibility of inadvertent intravascular administration, resulting in systemic spread of the mRNA particles in seconds. This would mean that mRNA vaccine particles would circulate, in a relatively undiluted form through the vessels of the major organs of the body.
This video is specific to the current mRNA vaccines, I continue to promote the massive benefits of other forms of vaccination in the UK and around the world.
given that campbell’s videos on youtube sometimes get over a million view, and he was very pro-gene therapy at the start, this is quite a significant milepost in the journey to widespread awareness of the lethal dangers of the mRNA jabs. kudos to him for his courage to publicly admit his mistake.
You’re too generous imo. It’s been almost a year I think since the reality of the vaxxes hit him like a ton of bricks, and he ended one episode by despondently staring out the window and listening to the birds. To say nothing of the people in his comment section shouting truths fro the rooftops from the very beginning. The man is spineless or a plant to whom the regressive timing of things is everything.
if he hadn’t taken the gene therapy – and his current state of health suggests he did – i’d agree. his entire worldview has been shattered by the realisation that the authoritaaaays at best dgaf if people are killed, which is why so many people willingly endure massive cognitive dissonance, to avoid that process. tis a bitter pill to swallow
Yeah I hear that tee but it’s one thing to deal with your world having been shattered in your own sweet time behind closed doors and another thing entirely to take your own sweet time on top of your million man soapbox as if most of those people aren’t looking up to you while you bargain with the reality. The darkest of fame is being an asshole while famous. He should have pulled the plug as soon as he had serious doubts.
How about as a protest against UEP — he pour petrol over his entire body and burn himself alive on YT?
You can add Campbell to zerohedge, Unz, moonofalabama, and other fake alt media which provided early support to the covid push, and got discarded or destroyed (at least reputationally) once the covid machine was established. To these let us add the heavily censoring pro-russian media which went to extraordinary length to minimize, censor, misdirect the covid debate. those include saker, smoothiex12, and cluborlov.
Care to elaborate on your claims? I read the saker, Zerohedge and MoonofAlabama regularly….not sure I know how they are fake alt media….to be sure….I don’t think Covid is a big issue on Saker or Moon….but tell me how it is…please.
Yea I know…Russia has its Sputnik vaccine.
Covid not a big issue because you are instantly censored. It is much worse if you try to comment about covid from Russia, and accurately describe the russian situation. You can even get censored if you try to cast the debate in terms of energy. I think they are all paid for.
Right on drb they’re all trash. I personally take a lot of credit for blowing up the Moveable Feast Cafe, for awhile at least, by forcing the chickenshit saker to ban all talk of ‘covid’ in his ‘open’ comments section. The truth was making too much headway.
I’ve noticed that when I do video calls with people I have not seen for over a year — and who I know are boosted with the rat juice…. they have a unnatural pallor — a grey colour similar to the dead foetuses that jabbed mothers plop out … and their skin hangs… they don’t look healthy at all.
That’s of course because they are dying. Because they have wrecked immune systems and various diseases are breaking them down slowly. The spike is eating away at their organs… and damaging their vascular systems…
Small businesses pay ultimate price as crime wave continues battering communities across the nation Fox News…
Small businesses (and large) cannot sustain doing business, in our city’s current state. We have no protection, or recourse, against the criminal behavior that goes unpunished. Do not be fooled into thinking that insurance companies cover losses. We have sustained 15 break-ins … we have not received any financial reimbursement since the 3rd,” a note posted to the Rains PDX store in Portland read.
The store owner said that after 15 break-ins over the last year and a half, there was no way to sustain the losses.
Small businesses from coast to coast have closed up shop this year in response to rampant crimes that threaten the safety of their employees and customers, and oftentimes, left them with hefty bills to clean up break-ins and loss of merchandise. The business owners’ stories vary, but all have found a common theme: Crime and other issues like drug use need to be cleaned up in America’s cities or businesses will continue to suffer.
It’s even hurting Walley World
Theft is an issue. It’s higher than what it has historically been,” Walmart CEO Doug McMillon, for example, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” earlier this month. He added that if the crime wave is not halted soon and if prosecutors don’t bring charges against shoplifters, “prices will be higher, and/or stores will close.”
I know..punishment given to those offenders will be to be given boosters until they stop it.
And now this….
Database Indicates U.S. Food Supply Is 73 Percent Ultra-Processed
Recent research from Northeastern University’s Network Science Institute indicates that 73 percent of the United States food supply is ultra-processed. Based on these findings, the research team built a database of 50,000 foods that helps consumers identify ultra-processed products and find healthier alternatives.
Building off research published in Nature Food, the researchers worked to predict the degree of food processing, outlined in a paper currently under review. A second paper, also under review, explores the prevalence of processed food. Using their findings, the researchers constructed a database containing over 50,000 food items across Walmart, Target, and Whole Foods Market. The database indicates that 73 percent of the U.S. food supply is ultra-processed and suggests that ultra-processed foods are 52 percent cheaper than less processed alternatives, on average.
The findings shocked Giulia Menichetti, Senior Research Scientist at the Network Science Institute at Northeastern University, and senior author of the papers. “It surprised me how a considerable amount of highly processed food is mistakenly considered healthy because the public narrative still focuses on one nutrient at a time, instead of evaluating food as a whole,” Menichetti tells Food Tank.
To catalog the degree of processing of food items in the U.S. food supply, the research team created the publicly available TrueFood database.
Most processed foods are derived from substances such as oils, fats, sugar, starch or are synthesized from flavor enhancers, colors, and other additives. Examples of ultra-processed foods include ice cream, candy, soda, chips—foods that are highly caloric but offer little nutritional value.
Nutrients, such as carbohydrates, fat, protein, and fiber, and a list of ingredients appear on nutrition labels, but these categories do not reveal the entirety of a food’s chemical composition.
Wonder how many heath episodes stem from above…just asking for a friend…
Maybe Mister Know It All can answer
The processed nature of US food is a real problem. Of course, with both husband and wife working, couples are often looking for things to serve that are quick and easy. Singles don’t want to go to much bother either. They see the processed food advertised and buy it.
I’ll post this because it is passionate, eloquent, and mostly to the point.
Gerard Rennick, a Senator for Queensland in the Australian Federal Parliament, attacks the county’s COVID response and vaccine rollout in front of a mostly empty chamber of politicians who aren’t even pretending to pay attention.
https://rumble.com/v1ytqx6-australian-senator-gerard-rennicks-amazing-vax-rant-leaves-opposition-parti.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
huh, eerily similar to what happened in the UK:
https://rumble.com/v20id3s-halt-the-covid-vaccinatin-programme.html
“Teen hockey player dies after suffering stroke caused by rare disorder”
He had a stroke, so they performed emergency surgery, and he continued to have past surgery strokes. The “rare disorder” turns out to be “brain blood vessels getting smaller or being blocked”.
The slow motion die-off continues.
From WSJ:
Middlemen Snag Carbon-Credit Cash Aimed at Peruvian Amazon
Only a small amount of money designated for rainforest preservation reaches the people who live there
From Zerohedge:
NYC Electric Garbage Truck Plans Hit Wall After Trucks “Conked Out” Plowing Snow After Just Four Hours
In a move that absolutely nobody could have seen coming, New York City is scrapping its brilliant idea for electric garbage trucks after finding out the truck simply “aren’t powerful enough to plow snow”.
The pipe dream of converting the city’s 6,000 garbage trucks from gas to electric in order to try and limit carbon emissions (because there’s no other problems that need to be dealt with in New York City right now) is “clashing with the limits of electric-powered vehicles,” Gothamist wrote this week.
The city’s current trucks run on diesel and can be fitted with plows in the winter.
Despite the shortcomings, the city Department of Sanitation’ has already ordered seven electric rear loader garbage trucks, custom-made by Mack, the report says. Those trucks cost an astonishing $523,000 each and are to be delivered this spring.
Sanitation Commissioner Jessica Tisch told the NYC city council earlier this month: “We found that they could not plow the snow effectively – they basically conked out after four hours. We need them to go 12 hours. Given the current state of the technology, I don’t see today a path forward to fully electrifying the rear loader portion of the fleet by 2040.”
You can only laugh at stuff like that. It is comedy at its finest.
Yes and he term ‘conked out’ helps make it giggly.
This is choice…The US military…destroying itself through wokeness. Why is this pertinent here?…because all wokeness is enabled through our FF luxuries…until they end.
Navy developing smart bra, undershirt for fighter pilots
The next high-speed accessory for naval aviators is being designed with women in mind.
In 2023, the Navy plans to make a design decision on a biosensing bra and undershirt intended to monitor the vital signs of aircrew while in flight. These compressive garments, designed in partnership with the Defense Innovation Unit, feature built-in sensors that can measure breathing, heart rate and acceleration. These garments may offer a new way to detect early signs of trouble in the cockpit before they turn into a “physiological episode,” or medical emergency. Just as notably, the development process marks an effort to tailor designs to female pilots in a service that has often treated their needs as an afterthought.
Dr. Bethany Shivers, a branch head at the Naval Air Warfare Center Aircraft Division, presented the service’s plans to field smart undergarments at the December quarterly meeting of the Defense Advisory Committee on Women in the Services, or DACOWITS. According to a schematic she shared with the committee, the sports bra design will include a data recorder in the band — the location where a chest-strap heart rate sensor is worn. Special biosensing material, made by Honeywell, performs the function of an electrocardiogram, respiration monitor and motion detector.
The Navy plans to make a design decision in 2023 on a biosensing bra and undershirt intended to monitor the vital signs of aircrew while in flight.
This remarkable fabric with built-in sensors can also detect, officials said, how successfully the wearer is performing anti-G straining maneuvers, or AGSMs — a physical exercise not unlike giving birth that is essential to improving tolerance of G-forces and preventing G-LOC, or loss of consciousness due to pulling G’s.
“The apparel includes two main components: the sensing garment and the recording module,” Shivers’ presentation stated. “Both garment and module fit under aircrew’s flight suit and are intended for wear during both flight operation and outside activities.”
Honeywell was selected in 2021 to develop the design. The downselect process began in 2018 with 52 companies, and the pool was narrowed to six in 2019, Blade said. The work to develop prototypes of what the service is calling Honeywell Biosensing Apparel, or HBA, is being funded through an Other Transactional Agreement, or OTA, executed by the Defense Department.
So far, Blade said, versions of the bra and undershirt have been tested on humans in “altitude chambers, centrifuges and test aircraft” to simulate in-flight conditions and environmental stressors.
The Navy envisions these garments ultimately becoming part of a “multi-sensor suite” that can collect numerous physiological readings on aircrew and head off developing problems or address concerning trends.
The Navy and the Air Force both saw major physiological episode spikes in the cockpits of certain fighter aircraft around 2017. To address these largely unexplained phenomena, which typically presented as shortness of breath and heart rate spikes, the Navy created a “Physiological Episodes Action Team” headed by a one-star admiral. Ultimately, the team found there were no problems with the jets themselves, but did recommend increased data collection to pinpoint future problems. Darpa’s “Project ICEMAN” is among a handful of other military efforts now in process to outfit jet cockpits with high-tech sensors.
For the Navy, which features a female aviator population of about 12% and a percentage of female fighter pilots in the single digits, flight garments and accessories tailored to women’s needs have often been lacking. The service is still determining the way ahead for an “in-flight bladder relief system,” according to the DACOWITS presentation, that will allow female pilots to urinate comfortably in the cockpit. NAVAIR revealed a first maternity flight suit prototype just last year.
… the decision to invest in a bra for female aircrew was both practical and a deliberate effort to better serve women in the naval aviation community.
“Female-specific garments were developed to ensure optimized performance,” she said. “To guarantee accuracy of the system, the sensors are designed to be conformal with the skin and to best fit the anatomical features of both female and male Sailors and Marines. In the case of under-garments, it is important to offer tailored options for both women and men to ensure comfort and support personal preference.”
Design of female-specific flight gear, she added, “closely aligns with the Navy’s policy on Inclusion and Diversity and priority to ensure the readiness of all warfighters.”
COMMENT:
Funny, but I thought our jet cockpits were already outfitted with high-tech sensors. And are we seriously thinking about pregnant women piloting aircraft? I assume that the “naval aviator community” could include anyone and anything….future aircraft procedures will have to have specific training for gender affirming language.
Russia must surely be laughing at our military. When wokeness trumps the mission, our military will continue to lose wars.
Don’t worry, the military has been mandated to be fully vaccinated against COVID…the personnel days are numbered due to accidents..
Troops are required only to get the initial vaccination, not a booster shot. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, it’s unknown how long the vaccinations protect against the worst effects of COVID-19, though they’re estimated to remain effective for about a year, and many service members were vaccinated in early 2021.
From Military.com
Suppose Eddy’s Elders have a plan to function without the US military.
Eddy please post stories about military that have died or became impaired due the “rat juice”..
Search for Dr Theresa Long and Matthew Crawford – Crawford is the guy who exposed the numbers then the DOD revised the previous 5 years upwards for death and disease in the military https://roundingtheearth.substack.com/
According to UK health service data, the rising antibody levels, that are interpreted as vaccination success, stay about three months on a sufficient level.
In seeking to merge human and machine is it more productive to make machine more human or human more machine? Do the transhumanists regard making machines more human abomination? What part of humans do they wish to retain and which part discard? What is the source and purpose of the design criteria?
They just want to reduce the population. they are fairly simple minded.
Thank drb753 for revealing their intent
Thank you. No need to make things complex when they are not. at least at this stage. they more or less stopped the impending diesel crisis, at the cost of increasing gas and coal (plus sacrificing Europe and airlines economic futures). for the time being it’s BAU lite. It’s time to have background processes at work, reducing population.
This is needless to say disappointing … the Elders have against snatched victory from the jaws of defeat and in doing so my hope for Q4BOOM is crushed.
Let’s try for Q1BOOM. Those are the real winter months … so if this energy thing is gonna smash BAU — Q1 makes more sense.
Never count the Elders out – they may be culling vs extermination …
Hey did anyone notice how the PR Team is glorifying homosexuality?
Did you know that you homosexes have trouble with conceiving children cuz… which contributes to the reduction in population.
What does this BAU Lite look like?
Pardon Eddy. You’ve been predicating the end for many moons now, old man…
Same will likely be as far as the CEP plan you’ve been fixated on here for some time…
Like I pointed out…I’m employed by a mandated US industry that has thousands of workers…
I can honestly report no mass I’ll health problems as of yet that are out of the ordinary.
So sorry, fella, if it’s happening, it’s a mystery ….
herbie
ruining folks’s conspiracy theories will not get you the ‘commenter of the year’ award on ofw.
only one day to go before voting closes
Restate the problem as a self-organizing system problem, not a conspiracy. We don’t talk about conspiracies here.
if thats a new year resolution….i’m all for it.
it’ll cut comments in half—but those left will make good reading
happy and senseworthy new year to one and almost all
What about the antibiotic bans norm?
You seem to be in a rush… you do know if you want to bring your moment forward it’s quite easy to purchase Super Fent… just wander down to where the lowlifes like Super Snatch hang out… there will be someone flogging what you need
Or hop a flight to Canada and tell a doctor you feel blue — you’ll get what you need.
The twain shall never meet.
https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices/alert/covid-19-china-hong-kong-macau
Get your boosters up to date hahaha…. madness
Covid-19 is ripping through China. Could a new variant of concern emerge?
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3204883/covid-19-ripping-through-china-could-new-variant-concern-emerge?module=lead_hero_story&pgtype=homepage
The CovIDIOTS must be dismayed
Milan Reports 50% of Passengers on China Flights Have Covid
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-28/milan-reports-50-of-passengers-in-flights-from-china-have-covid?srnd=premium-europe
Fake/Real?
Another feed source to perpetuate the COvid Ponzi. Recruit more “infected” people, inject more people with a COVID enabling vaccine, attach to the injection any other malicious toxin to mimic the effect of COVID and blame it on COVID, withhold cheap effective treatment by Ivermectin, pump remdesivir to kill off those who get boxcarred into the hospitals. All these measures to overcome the injectee ( investor) redemption by natural immunity that ordinarily would bring this whole scam down.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-VgvIqJdx3SY/TnAwfpNitjI/AAAAAAAAA5s/fMes2DFHeIo/s1600/Round+girl+at+the+MGM+Grand.jpg
Proof of VAIDS https://t.me/downtherabbitholewegofolks/61328
skynews (https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/famed-brisbane-fashion-designer-daniel-lightfoot-dies-suddenly-on-christmas-day-aged-58/news-story/96040bf211f8e7b2286570f9dad86185)
Aussie fashion icon Daniel Lightfoot dies suddenly
Interesting 911 https://t.me/downtherabbitholewegofolks/61345
hahaha https://t.me/TommyRobinsonNews/43506
Red Voice Media (https://www.redvoicemedia.com/2022/12/top-insurance-analyst-high-vax-regions-show-a-15-higher-mortality-rate-in-2022-than-in-2021/ref/8/)
Top Insurance Analyst: High-Vax Regions Show a 15% Higher Mortality Rate in 2022 Than in 2021
“The slope goes the wrong way.”
Diss one be for all da doomies out there — check it out bros https://t.me/leaklive/11058
Red Voice Media link is a very good short video by an insurance analyst in England who looked at number of vaccine doses by part of the country as well as excess mortality by part of the country. The more doses; the higher the excess mortality.
Video of Trump’s November 13, 2020 press conference announcing the miracle vax had been created and was ready for deployment. Skip to timestamp 20:49 to see the DoD standing at the center of it all.
https://www.c-span.org/video/?478093-1/president-trump-covid-19-vaccine-widely-april-rules-future-lockdown&vod=
According to the transcript of the C-Span video provided, this is the first part pf the talk given by the General (in uniform) speaking:
According to Wikipedia,
Gustave F. Perna (born 1960) is a retired United States Army four-star general who last served as the chief operating officer of the federal COVID-19 response for vaccine and therapeutics. He previously served as the chief operating officer of Operation Warp Speed from July 2020 until the operation’s duties and responsibilities were transferred to the White House COVID-19 Response Team in February 2021. As chief operating officer of COVID-19 response, he oversaw the logistics in the United States federal government’s distribution of the vaccine to the COVID-19 pandemic.[1] The Senate confirmed his nomination as chief operating officer on July 2, 2020,[2][3] and he assumed the office shortly after.[4]
Perna previously served as the 19th commanding general of United States Army Materiel Command from September 30, 2016 to July 2, 2020. He also served for two years as the Army’s Deputy Chief of Staff, G-4, overseeing policies and procedures used by all United States Army logistic personnel throughout the world. Prior to joining the Army staff he served for two years as Deputy Chief of Staff, G-3/4, United States Army Materiel Command.[5]
Perna retired from the Army on July 2, 2021 after over 40 years of service.[6]
In my view, Covid-19 and vaccination have been, respectively, a sort of war and its counter-offensive.
The counter-offensive (that is vaccination) had to be put in place because it was what the relative prescribed protocol indicated in case of release of a bioweapon.
No matter if the bioweapon was not so dangerous in this case. Actually it was even better like this, because that way it was possible to use this episode as a military drill.
People dead or compromised forever?
No problem, collateral damage or friendly fire.
Development of cancer or genetic problems for generations?
Sh#t, I hadn’t thought of that!
Most knockouts come from throwing good combinations and flurries.
From the start, “covid pandemic” was treated by the US Government as a national security matter (i.e. war) and covid policy was set by the National Security Council (assemblage of Defense and Intelligence heads), not HHS.
March 13, 2020: “PanCAP Adapted U.S. Government COVID-19 Response Plan” (PanCAP-A) states that United States policy in response to SARS-CoV-2 is set not by the public health agencies designated in pandemic preparedness protocols (Pandemic and All Hazards Preparedness Act, PPD-44, BIA), but rather by the National Security Council, or NSC. NSC does not have regular attendees from public health agencies and its focus is national security and foreign policy matters.”
Below is the organization chart from the PanCAP-A document, p.9:
https://sashalatypova.substack.com/p/the-role-of-the-us-dod-and-their
The title of this is “The role of the US DoD (and their co-investors) in “covid countermeasures” enterprise.”
Department of Defense set Covid policy, not Department of Health and Human Services.
A company from China (Fosun) was involved in the Covid vaccine plan, from early days.
Things that make you go hmmmm….
This makes me go hmmmm….
I follow around 10 substacks… whenever a big story breaks they jump all over it .. most of them latched onto the study that dropped just before Christmas re how the vax destroys immunity…
I’ve dropped this https://sashalatypova.substack.com/p/discussion-with-sam-dube-and-lara onto the comments of 3 or 4 of these SSs… including Paul Alexander who pumps out copy and paste stuff multiple times each day…
It’s a huge story – essentially it demonstrates that CovCON was hatched years ago and that it is a DOD operation – she seems to have connected a lot of important dots
Let’s see if any of the big Covid bloggers run with this.
And if not … why not?
….Coz they all have entrenched positions? They’re partisan?
Tamar Braxton may be spending the holidays “completely isolated” after being hospitalized with a very nasty flu this week.
“I had to be taken to the hospital by AMBULANCE, needed oxygen cause I thought God was taking me home cause I could not breathe and my chest was on FIRE!!”
“let me tell u it’s worse than COVID in my opinion … I’m on 5 different medications 😩,” Braxton continued, urging her followers to “please be careful” for the holidays.
https://amp.toofab.com/2022/12/23/tamar-braxton-hospital-flu/
VAIDS!!! Get another booster
Wow – remember this guy – ya he had to have his heart shocked a couple of months ago…
J.J. Watt Is Retiring, Leading Some to Wonder Whether He’s Facing Health Concerns
BY JOSEPH ALLEN
DEC. 28 2022, UPDATED 11:06 A.M. ET
In the NFL, it’s much easier to become a star if you’re someone who regularly scores points. Defensive players tend to be much more anonymous, even though they can be crucial to how the game unfolds. J.J. Watt is one of the rare defensive stars in the league, though, which is part of the reason it was such a big deal when he announced that he would be retiring at the end of this season.
https://www.distractify.com/p/jj-watt-health
He also mocked Aaron Rogers for not vaxxing… hahahaha…
The price of natural gas futures in Europe continues to plunge off its crazy spike last summer. Dutch front-month TTF Natural Gas Futures – a benchmark for northwest Europe – traded today at €82 per megawatt-hour (MWh), down by 77% from the high on August 26, and back to where it had first been in September 2021 (data via Investing.com).
https://wolfstreet.com/2022/12/28/natural-gas-futures-in-europe-plunge-77-from-crazy-spike-storage-in-the-eu-above-5-year-average-in-germany-87-full/
https://wolfstreet.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/Europe-natural-gas-futures-2022-12-28.png
I saw this too.. I think that it won’t be for long mainstream media is using this to support the war in Ukraine…
Natural gas prices seem to always be very unstable.
Contrails or chemtrails?
The man who shot this video is in no doubt it’s the latter, but I’m not convinced.
Some people want to believe. Others want to doubt. But is there anything definitive revealed by these images?
https://media.gab.com/system/media_attachments/files/123/580/793/playable/1cd0d5f123215178.mp4?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
https://www.geoengineeringwatch.org/the-dimming-full-length-climate-engineering-documentary/
Dane Wigington is the go to person on this subject. His video covers everything done to affect the climate from WW1 and on. Covers patents starting just after WW1 which indicate this is probably a real thing. I look up at the sky on the West Coast of North America and often see neatly aligned smoke trails that just don’t seem to ever dissipate.
Why would there be a huge conspiracy costing billions to make the weather worse for everyone including the conspirators?
withnail
you have a tendency to ask pertinent questions
which almost everyone else regards as impertinent
Contrails without a doubt….
We know this ‘a priori’….because they lie! Lying is cheap, chemtrails are expensive. If you are stingy you will resort to lying to get your way and, believe you me, those who rule over us are stingy by their very nature.
The trail in the video I saw was “dirty” in parts. So some chemical waste might have been added to the engine exhaust – in other words, a chemtrail.
But I was wondering whether it might have been that part of the trail was in shadow—although the “dirty” color doesn’t look right for that kind of effect.
Or whether it was the result of inefficient combustion of jet fuel. The gasoline and Diesel engines of farm equipment can belch visible smoke if they are not well-maintained or deprived of sufficient oxygen. And you should see the chimney of our wood stove if we feed it with damp wood…. It’s like they’ve decided on the new pope some days.
So I’m not convinced, but it could have been something really nasty added to the plume.
There are patents and technology for a lot of things, going back to the beginning. But war is 90% psyop for a good reason…efficient use of resources! We are commenting on OFW so the context underlying this forum is scarcity. In Australia we have the expression Two-Bob Millionaire. What you don’t have you just pretend to have. Deception is at the heart of all things human and this is the case because it’s an efficient use of energy.
That’s a spectacular example of a chemtrail. Anybody who thinks the ridiculously thick plumes in the closeup shot after the two- minute mark is freezing water vapor is in deep denial.
Question: who here distinctly remembers skies full of horizon to horizon ‘contrails’ 40 years ago? And full skies of haze after the ‘persistent contrails’ melt into each other? The answer is nobody. Nobody distinctly remembers that. And there’s your answer.
Chemtrailing is done for global dimming. To combat climate change. And the week after 9/11 proved to them how well it works. The average temperature across north America jumped something like 2F for the week plane travel was canceled. And then temp dropped the same amount.
In all likelihood they use trimethylaluminum as an additive to the fuel supply. It’s a hydrocarbon that actually enhances engine performance. After combustion and ejection it oxides into aluminum oxide – tiny little mirrors. It’s an extremely simple, single point of origin modification to the industry. It’s an extremely efficient and inexpensive additive. The main objection is why don’t planes make chemtrails upon takeoff and landing? It’s a good question. The logical reason would be that planes are fitted with very small auxiliary fuel tanks without the additive that the computer sources fuel from for takeoff and landing. This obviously adds a good deal more complexity to the conspiracy but mechanics could be told that they’re backup tanks for fuel system malfunctions or whatever, that the computer switches to regularly to keep the pipes clean and the fuel fresh but that their intermittent use requires a different grade of fuel (the unalloyed stuff).
That’s where I’m at on it. I’m open to any corrections, but those ridiculous plumes that dim our entire skies day in and day out if your in a flight corridor are not contrails. They’ve been few and far between where I am though, since the plandemic.
a massive burst of joy for the unvaxxed here
https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/in-memory-of-those-who-died-suddenly-7e8
Some marquee names here hahaha https://markcrispinmiller.substack.com/p/in-memory-of-those-who-died-suddenly-578
YES!
IgG4-related disease (IgG4RD) means FIBROSIS and organ destruction
That leads to death, eventually…
https://jessicar.substack.com/p/igg4-related-disease-igg4rd-means
Mark Much
5 hr ago
·edited 5 hr ago
Liked by Jessica Rose
Gosh! No wonder Luc said most who get jabbed will die in 5 years, and Sucharit said, “If you take these jabs you will go to your doom.” And Tenpenny said there are 40 different mechanisms of death in these shots. And Mikovits was shouting warnings too.
This is horrific stuff — well it should be if you are injecting the rat juice…. but nah… norm will ignore it and get another booster.
Me — well if anyone tried to forcefully inject me with this garbage… I’d die trying to stop them. Under no condition would I submit to this…
I’d take Super Fent though – when the kitchen gets too hot.. or I can see the Gates of Hell swinging open … oh ya I’d do that – for sure
world population will begin to decline in 2023 as planned.
maybe even plunge, we’ll see, if we live to 2024.
que sera sera.
Collapse is local. It happens within the range of your body’s 5 senses. Beyond that, it is “the feed from the Matrix”.
In the olden days, it does not matter if UK/USA/Europe collapse, what matters was the collapse that is happening to you. It is a volcanic eruption or a tsunami in your area that will impact you.
Now, it is not the case…. perhaps
so I’m hoping, perhaps misguidedly, that I won’t sense any reality of Collapse where I am through 2023.
and on that condition, I am guessing that info from “out there” will reach me, and many others here at OFW and elsewhere, that world population is declining/plunging/collapsing in 2023.
2022 may have been just a shadow of what is coming in 2023.
exponential growth in death rates?
some of us might live to see it.
Wondrous beautiful blue earth! Nope, a test tube.
I guess Those other aerosol injection stories aren’t conspiracy.
This one is enthralling given that we might be entering a grand solar minimum.
Ok ok this is jr high experiment compared to last volcano.
https://www.technologyreview.com/2022/12/24/1066041/a-startup-says-its-begun-releasing-particles-into-the-atmosphere-in-an-effort-to-tweak-the-climate/
We have been working hard to remove sulfur emissions. This experiment would seem to put some back into the atmosphere.
This is elemental sulfur not sulfur dioxide gas so it doesn’t create acid rain.
https://twitter.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1605751062169882624?cxt=HHwWgMC8pauF48gsAAAA
The banks don’t want to lend and lose money?
I suppose selling these securities would change unrealized capital losses to realized capital losses, and could create a problem for banks.
I don’t know the ins and outs of bank accounting. Insurance companies, at least on their statutory accounting, carry bonds at “amortized cost.” If these bonds are sold for a lower price, this does cause a problem. Values of shares of stock, if they fall, immediately cause a problem for casualty insurers. They tend not to hold much stock for this reason.
The new Beijing variant attacks the brain not the lung??!!?? Will we turn into zombies? Brain eating zombies?
Eddy do you have any insight into this variant? I really need to know.
It’s a black box… nobody knows what is really going on … except the PR Team and the Elders and the DOD
I know a family that is all infected with the brain rot variant. I hope they survive.
We needn’t worry: brain-rot has been endemic in humans since forever……
yeah, but from scrapping what’s left, we created AI.
Arne Burkhard found destroyed vessels in every vaxxed he had autopsied. People have died on myocardia but if they had not they had died later on their destroyed vessels. A vessel contains of layers to give strength and if some these are corrupted the vessel breaks when the person has higher blood pressure for whatever reason and the blood leaks into the body.
The body tries to repair these vessels by calling fibrin into these areas. The fibrin leads to blood clotting and may eventually block the vessel.
The vaxx can cross the blood-brain-barrier. If this process happens in the outer areas of the brain parts of the brain will die. The outer parts of the brain contain logical thinking, memory and personality. There has been one case published so far where this has been proven.
If this happens to more or all vaxxed we will soon see zombies running around until they die. There is a video with Sucharit Bhakdi where he explains this in English. I have posted the link somewhere in this forum.
The vaxx can cross the blood-brain-barrier. If this process happens in the outer areas of the brain parts of the brain will die. The outer parts of the brain contain logical thinking, memory and personality.
norm?
It would appear that this is what the PR Team wants the mob to believe — the magic bullet is Booster 7.
We should go to a monthly booster as things get really bad – what do you think norm?
https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP/status/1601061893913088000
Neither the Central Banks or the Commercial Banks are expanding their balance sheets
Plateau?
If you look at the chart, the plateau since July is precisely the opposite the “straight up” nature of the level of debt in March 2020.
To fix the problem (if it can be fixed), another straight up section of the curve is needed. That would correspond to something like hyperinflation.
Christians in the FT ruminate that the churches in Britain need to stop fixating on ‘truth’, focus on the environment and other contemporary issues, stop having a go at gays, and above all stop abusing kids. Food banks are the way to go.
https://www.ft.com/content/c7bf3abe-e88c-4f9a-b6ee-076fa399bc5b
> How England and Wales lost their religion
Christianity’s grip on the national psyche has been loosening steadily for more than a century. The release of the 10-yearly census data on November 29 has nevertheless sent shockwaves through the clergy and beyond, revealing a startling acceleration in this decline over the past two decades, and raising profound questions about the evolving nature of society.
The census revealed that, for the first time, less than half of the population of England and Wales, at 46.2 per cent, describe themselves as Christian, down from 59.3 per cent in 2011 and from 72 per cent in 2001. The second-highest proportion of people were those not identifying with any religion at 37 per cent, up 12 per cent over the decade.
Populists on the hard right, including Nigel Farage, the former leader of the UK Independence party, sought quickly to weaponise this data. They blamed immigration for the shift, pointing to cities such as Birmingham and Leicester where people from black, Asian and other minority ethnic backgrounds together make up the majority, also for the first time.
“There’s a massive change in the identity of this country that is taking place through immigration. You may think it’s a good thing, you may think it’s a bad thing,” Farage said in a video message, which echoed around social media.
When it comes to religion, however, his explanation for the changing demographics flew in the face of the data. In cities like London, immigrant populations from Africa, Asia and eastern Europe, are in fact helping to prop up the number of Christians. The rise in people identifying as Muslim — at 6.5 per cent of the overall population and 15 per cent in London — was a relatively marginal factor in change.
Instead, it is places like Rhondda, where the population is almost exclusively white and working class, where the Christian faith has declined the furthest and secularisation is accelerating fastest.
‘Sleepwalking into irrelevance’
The independent, non-hierarchical character of the nonconformist chapels which were the prevailing religious force in Wales, and the dependence of each one
In less publicised data that emerged after the census, average weekly attendance figures at Anglican churches in England had yet to recover from the pandemic. At 605,000 in 2021 this was just over 1 per cent of the population — a figure seized on both by the National Secular Society, which campaigns for the separation of church and state, and by members of the clergy critical of the Anglican leadership.
“Christianity is falling over a cliff,” says Peter Owen Jones, vicar in the picturesque village of Firle, tucked under the South Downs, in the southern county of East Sussex.
Owen Jones, who found his calling in his late twenties after a brief career in advertising, compared village churches like his to the village shops and pubs that are closing weekly across the country: “Sweet traditions that adhered to and gave a sense of place.”
But the Anglican church, he says, was “sleepwalking into irrelevance”, its leadership weak, and its parish branches withering through neglect.
“These parochial institutions are fading — they cannot cope with the call to a much broader view . . . of how we express our common humanity.”
At once enervated by the philosophical challenge this poses and despairing at how behind the curve he says the Anglican leadership had been in keeping up with societal change, Owen Jones argues that the church needs to “completely reframe” its ambitions for the 21st century.
This means engaging more with other religions, more boldly with big questions of the day such as climate change, diversifying the clergy to become more representative — or at least less old and male — and disentangling itself from state institutions that were themselves, he says, “rotting from the top”.
The church has too easily lost its grip on some of the traditions that provided a sense of community and belonging, he adds.
“Christianity has very meekly surrendered its main rituals. Lent was the first to go,” Owen Jones says. “Christmas was overtaken by the market, and Easter is now just a few days off to go somewhere else. These points of cohesion have been subsumed.”
While the church has often taken a moral lead in opposing the Conservative government on some of its harsher approaches to people on welfare benefits and refugees, for example, it has appeared more divided, and therefore indecisive, on highly charged issues surrounding homosexuality, same-sex marriage and women clergy.
One of the difficulties for the Anglican church has been in providing convincing leadership while combining both global and national roles. The Archbishop of Canterbury, Justin Welby, is the leader in England and in more socially conservative countries, notably those in Africa, which hold vastly different views on everything from sexuality to the death penalty — a legacy of colonial times.
Arguably far more damaging to public trust, however, has been the handling by all the churches — Catholic, Protestant, in Wales and England — of abusive priests.
The long-running independent inquiry into child sex abuse in the UK, which published its final reports in October, found all the churches wanting and said the Church of England had “failed to protect children and young people from sexual predators within their ranks”.
“In neglecting the wellbeing of children in favour of protecting its own reputation, the Church of England was in direct conflict with its own underlying moral purpose; to provide care and love for the innocent and the vulnerable,” the inquiry said.
For many clergy, repairing this damage — and putting in place safeguards to prevent its reoccurrence — is a priority, if the church is to regain the moral high ground.
“When in history have there not been divisions in the church?” says Philip North, the outspoken bishop of Burnley in Lancashire. “A far bigger problem for me has been the church seeming hypocritical. The child abuse scandals have been a disaster. One thing you can’t do in this culture is say one thing and do another.”
In an age of prevailing uncertainty, he goes on, the place of religion in society is not to dictate the answers.
A far bigger problem for me has been the church seeming hypocritical. The child abuse scandals have been a disaster.
“We need to create spaces where people can bring questions and conversation. When you look at Jesus, he answers questions and draws people into relationships. The church has been too interested in declaring truths,” he adds.
Obunge, whose parents were from Nigeria, went up against Farage on GB News in the wake of the census, refuting some of his notions about what is driving Christianity’s decline.
He explains that minority ethnic communities like his are still transferring the Christian faith from generation to generation. Moreover, they are playing an almost missionary role in keeping faith alive in England.
Churches everywhere have been seeing declining attendance, from what I have seen. In the US, schools schedule games by teams on Sundays, now a days.
The many children of divorce bounce back and forth between parents on week-ends. They tend to miss many events church events on weekends.
In many countries, including the UK, a big issue is that the government has taken over the role of the church. The government will save the people, through its cradle to grave systems. It will save its people from poverty. In Europe (including the UK), the government also finances the church, so the church is not dependent on its members to finance it.
In the US, the issue of abuse of children has been solved by insurance companies by requiring two adults to be with children at all times. (Either that, of no adult with the children.) As a practical matter, this has made it difficult to have programs for children, because it takes close to twice as many leaders as before.
Even staffing a nursery for children during a church service requires two adults. If there are only one, or perhaps two, children in the nursery, this becomes sort of silly.
The consumerist attitude of “going to church” creates false expectations that one can free-ride some Grace from the group. That is acceptable for a child or the elderly, but that should be a temporary state for most adults. The personal challenge is to attend church and attempt to increase Grace for others.
The competition is the school systems and not the amorphous state. The fakery around public education is that parents are not required to see on a daily basis, like in times of old, exactly the consequences of the parent and parental associates not growing up. Every day, every lesson of working together with anyone’s child, would have required confronting exactly what needs to be passed on and not passed on.
Churches as institutions cannot compete with the experience that the school system takes care of the maturation processes of parent and child. Families outsource the problem of having a family by giving parents and children a strict schedule to follow. An immigrant church population knows who they want to be and can act with confidence in the presence of folks jacked up on socially constructed fantasies.
On the first part, grace is ‘merited’ by and for the group? It looks like a contradiction? ‘Grace’ by definition is what is freely given, which excludes merit. It is precisely what cannot be merited. It does not look coherent. Grace casts ‘God’ as a benefactor, merit as a debtor. They are distinct kinds of relationship, which cannot really be elided.
‘Grace’ is the relationship of the slave who has no ‘rights’ and no ‘claims’, and who receives only what is freely given by the masters. ‘Merit’ is a contractual relationship like that of the serf who claims protection in return for services performed, for work and warring, from the lords. The conflation of grace and merit points to a confused relationship to ‘God’.
The various churches have always struggled with that one, and tried to resolve it in various ways, either by denying merit or by effectively denying grace, and it was a key point of contention at the Reformation, but also long before. Protestants historically went for the grace alone angle, while Catholics tried convoluted theologies that tried to reconcile the two, but effectively denied grace.
The Bible itself describes the relationship of God and man in both ways, and it is not really clear. I am not really up on how the other religions cast the relationship, but I suspect that they may struggle too. It is no doubt constructed by analogy with inter-human social relationships, which never really fit a postulated relationship with a distinctly different ‘superior’ ‘being’.
Theology gets more and more dubious, the more that one considers it. Perhaps that is what the FT article alludes to when the Christians say that the churches need to drop a fixation on ‘truth’. But that implies a loss of doctrine, and it seems difficult to see how Christianity can survive as a non-doctrinal religion. Churches could become food banks, and dish out free food to all-comers, but that makes them just food banks?
The second part is also interesting, and perhaps we can look at that later.
The Telegraph has taken up the subject. Over a million (1.2 M?) attended weekly a decade ago (admittedly a tiny fraction of the population), so a current figure of ~500,000 would represent a collapse by over half in a decade, which is clearly not sustainable.
The FT article quoted a presumably official C of E figure of 605,000 for England in 2021, but the Telegraph’s own analysis of the data reveals 509,200. The top may be in denial, but as Gail would no doubt point out, fake figures are not really liable to work out in the long-run – not for pensions, economies and not for churches.
A major row over realities and policies is brewing. Policies that are implemented to manage decline are liable to be blamed for decline, and for a starker decline that is being admitted or faced up to. But does the top really have any other choice? Is decline simply self-reinforcing?
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/12/27/senior-clergy-warn-shocking-threat-parishes-amid-drastic-fall/
> Senior clergy warn of ‘shocking’ threat to parishes amid drastic fall in churchgoers
Analysis of CofE attendance data reveals an almost 30 per cent drop since 2019, across all English dioceses
Churchgoers failed to return to services following the pandemic, a Telegraph analysis has revealed.
In December, the Church of England (CofE) published its Statistics for Mission 2021, which details attendance and participation within churches across the country.
Dr Ken Eames, senior statistical researcher within the CofE’s data services team, who authored the report, acknowledges that the pandemic “continued to have an impact on the worshipping life of the Church of England in 2021” but added that its effects were “less severe” than in 2020.
However, analysis of the data by this newspaper has shown that, in 2021, churches failed to bounce back from the drop-off in attendance caused by the pandemic.
Church attendance was just 72 per cent across all English dioceses of what it was in 2019.
Churchwardens and members of General Synod – the CofE’s legislative body – said that “the untold trend is the decline that is being driven by the Church of England itself”. They say the trend is driven by a failure to recruit more vicars and the merging of parishes.
Telegraph analysis found that in 2021, the average Sunday church attendance was 509,200 across the country – up from 297,600 in 2020 but significantly down on the 707,100 recorded in 2019.
The CofE figures are derived from an in-person attendance survey conducted in Oct 2021. That month, there were no Covid-19 restrictions, after they were all lifted in July that year. The Government’s Plan B policy (including wearing face masks and Covid passes) was not introduced until Dec 2021 with the rise of the omicron variant.
The latest church data, which covers the year 2021, come just weeks after the Office for National Statistics revealed that Christians now account for fewer than half of England and Wales’ population for the first time in census history.
The census results showed that 46.2 per cent of the population (27.5 million people) described themselves as “Christian” in 2021. This marks a 13.1 percentage point decrease from 59.3 per cent (33.3 million people) in 2011.
Although “Christian” remained the most common response to the census question about religion, every major religion increased over the 10-year period except for Christianity.
Separate analysis of CofE data by this newspaper in January found that 423 churches were closed between 2010 and 2019.
The figure shows the downward trend regarding the number of churches in the country and has prompted senior clergy to warn of the “shocking” threat to parishes as “the bedrock of the Church of England”.
…. However, he added: “The untold trend is the decline that is being driven by the Church of England itself. Their own research clearly shows that reducing the number of clergy across parishes results in decline in attendance and giving. Yet – bizarrely – that is exactly what many dioceses are doing.
“Across the nation, in spite of the total number of clergy holding up, as clergy retire or move on they are not being replaced.
“After a period of vacancy parishes are being merged into ever larger benefices with thinner and thinner coverage by stipendiary clergy. The reliance upon lay volunteers goes up and up, as does the demand for increasing numbers of volunteers.
“The Church of England has its foot on the accelerator when it should – and could – be applying the brake.”
Eddy my strange friend…you were right that the inflation forced the banks to raise the interest rate…which forced the Fed to follow and raise the Federal Funds Rate…
I expected the house to collapse…it didn’t…where the fck did we go wrong?
Tesla’s stock collapsed. In fact, growth stocks in general are down.
Normally, high interest rates help banks earn more money of increasing debt balances. But now, banks aren’t lending out more, because everyone is cutting back. The big defaults haven’t started happening yet; governments are still generous with their handouts, for one thing. Governmental debt still rises, I expect.
The banks are being looked after so they don’t care what mortgage holders are paying them a mate of mine uses 98% of his fluctuating paycheck on essentials leaving only 2% for his mortgage payment . over two years he is in arrears 60 000 dollars he is still in his house so the banks are obviously getting free money from somewhere.
We are so far gone that they will do anything to keep this dying beast alive … they’ll feed it rat poison if that helps …
It’s like what I advise norm … once you hit a certain age who gives a f789 … pizza and beer for breakfast then continuous lines of blow throughout the day …
A friend’s mother who is pretty much f789ed and 80+ is addicted to valium… as he tells me – let her be — if she feels good doing that so be it… she’s beyond f789ed and will die soon…
norm – the question about the antibiotics is still out there… your thoughts?
We are Fracked!
This from an article someone linked earlier.:
“Metaphorically, New York City is a Petri dish of poisoned vulnerables who are revealed by the application of a dye of toxic fracked-fuel exhaust. They are revealed in terms of their morbidity and mortality.
Canadian epicenters provide another contradiction for those who believe population density supports the infectious paradigm. Vancouver, with the highest population density has very low COVID-19 incidence. North Montreal, with its lower population density, has the highest incidence. The crucial difference: North Montreal is an environmental disaster, with many oil refineries near.”
https://harvoa-med.blogspot.com/2020/04/COVID2020.html
If Covid-19 is (or originally was) primarily a lung disease, it stands to reason that the most vulnerable were those whose lungs were already damaged. As it has evolved, I am not convinced that the same pattern necessarily holds.
I imagine that living in cities choked with traffic would have meant city dwellers had compromised lung health. Introducing fracked distillates with their high cyanide content would have taken chronic condition to an acute condition.
‘Hydrogen cyanide (HCN), is a highly toxic gas, a refinery waste product. It can cause symptoms similar if not the same as COVID-19 symptoms, such as coughing, hypoxia, lung and kidney damage.
Cyanide prevents the cells of the body from using oxygen. [CDC]
The converters generate highly toxic hydrogen cyanide. Some refinery experts claim that the converters completely neutralize the cyanide, however, that claim is dubious because refineries request huge increases of cyanide release limits from gov agencies. These are air release limits.’
Similar symptons;
https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-KoO4_yUz6Vg/Xsl8JrQ5nsI/AAAAAAAAC4M/9ZIKxt_etrAlGXpdIIXDlukZL2TLGjq1wCK4BGAsYHg/symptoms_compared.png
Distribution ofd covid versus air pollution from fracking products:
https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-gAeC06HNWg8/Xrh7sChcp7I/AAAAAAAACxI/yfwO0-z5ZpAuPsEk_tj3EZly1PpiDEtUwCLcBGAsYHQ/s1600/inc%2B-%2Bxls%2B20200430b.png
Any ‘pandemic’ of sick people was going to be used to implement greater population control; that the sickness was a result of increased toxic burden was neither here nor there.
“If Covid-19 is (or originally was) primarily a lung disease, it stands to reason that the most vulnerable were those whose lungs were already damaged. ”
This was already pointed out at the very beginning of the plandemic, in 2020. The North Italian city (can’t recall name now) that had the very big early outbreak that decimated the elderly populationwas also the location of Europe’s worst air pollution. These victims had been living in a polluted environment most of their lives, before SARS-CoV-2 came along.
We cannot confirm any of that.
Just like we have no way of confirming what is currently happening in China.
We rely on CNNBBC for the most part.
They lie.
hahaha – Everyone has AIDS (VAIDS)
https://youtu.be/5yC7HwPh6Es
Musical video.
New comment:
Am I the only one who is seeing phrases completed for me before they are typed and able to enter them with a “tab” key? The machine seems to know what I will type after certain words, this is the basis of CHATGPT I think.
Dennis L.
Perhaps you’re predictable, no?
Not really. We are all predictable to some extent. My phone picks out good “next words” when I type in the first letter.
AI can be a head ache.
I have practically new refrigerator that stopped working. I have been trying to communicate with Samsung customer service through text messaging. I get all kinds of polite answers, but no real action. Or only partial help. A serviceman came, but he could not fix my problem. Another serviceman was supposed to come who could fix my problem, but he never appeared. Still no help came when the system promised someone else.
Someplace along the line, I answered a questionnaire. In the answers to the multiple choice questions, it became clear that Samsung has been using artificial intelligence to answer customer complaints. I said I was unhappy with the AI answers.
It looks now like the matter will finally be resolved. Samsung will pay me for the refrigerator that doesn’t work, if I jump through enough hoops. A repairman I hired recommended that I buy a different brand refrigerator brand as a replacement. (The coolant had leaked out. The repairman thought that even if it was fixed, the problem would persist. The new refrigerant used is prone to leaking.)
My 6 month old Maytag no frills side-by-side refrigerator (Whirlpool With Maytag logo slapped on) no longer able to freeze. Manufacturer’s 1 yr warranty not worth the paper it’s written on. The “authorized “ repairman lives 30 miles away, his phone not operating, No e-mail address either after waiting all day for his “ scheduled” appearance. Now waiting to see if Maytag ever have got ahold him for a second appearance tomorrow. Another day stuck at home waiting. I’ll bet he doesn’t show. When I called Maytag up about the no show, they then tried to arrange a service man whose address was in Maryland across two state borders! Both refrigerators I had were going strong after 20 yrs when I sold them with the houses and had not a single problem with either of them.
Now binge watching Yiu Tube videos on how to repair.
Frost build up on the inside evaporator coil usually means either the defrost thermistor, the defrost switch, or the defrost timer (8 hours of refrigeration followed by a 20 minute defrost cycle to thaw the frost build up on the evaporator coil so the coil can cool) are the likely problem. The only good thing is I had practically nothing in the freezer or frig, it’s cold as hell in the building anyway, and I am learning about refrigeration, although I quickly add that when the SHTF, there won’t be any electricity to run these energy hogs for long which is why in previous posts, I said it was not a good mid-to-long term strategy to rely on freeze storing your food. Pay the energy bill now, while propane, NG, or electricity are available and pressure cook some meat now for next two years. You won’t want to even be having to haul already split and seasoned firewood to cook from your wood pile, if that doesn’t get stolen as well. ( My wood pile was stolen when I was in college and away for the day). And besides, you’ll have enough to keep busy when people get a whiff of what’s cooking, if you get my drift.
If you have predictive keyboard “enabled” in Windows, Mac, iPad etc, the keyboard will first learn the words you type, then it will suggest those words back to you if it sees a similar pattern. There’s nothing nefarious about it.
On most mobile devices you can clear out the keyboard learning cache and it gets reset.
If you are on Windows, here’s how to disable that feature.
https://answers.microsoft.com/en-us/windows/forum/all/delete-storage-on-screen-keyboard-text-prediction/39579563-d2ea-42c7-9154-b12d4890266f
Has ‘Be grateful! popped in yet as soon as you touch the enter box? : )
I was sort of expecting:
“Do not lie and be deceptive”
I know, I know it’s tricky stuff these days.
Cuz? Nobody knows.
It is what it is I reckon.
🤷♂️
It could be programmed to “complete”
“To thine own self be true.”
But I guess AI’s don’t yet get irony . . .
I’m certain AI knows it is a tall order for socially conditioned primates to avoid coping and hoping, which is merely other words for [self] deception, lies and suffering.
A rhetorical question.
It happens when you trust hucksters like Musk and Chamath too much.
VAIDS Rising: CDC confirms USA suffered 338x increase in reports of AIDS-associated Diseases & Cancers in 2021 following COVID Vaccine roll-out
https://www.2ndsmartestguyintheworld.com/p/vaids-rising-cdc-confirms-usa-suffered
hahaha… keep on boosting you f789ing dun ces!
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/content/dam/opinion/2016/04/17/dunce_hat-xlarge_trans_NvBQzQNjv4Bqpawb723fAyJ42k_1qfiW_OIFTN8ZHEUZThdwcDv6fo4.jpg
And the MORE-ON moans ‘why do I always feel terrible – why am I always sick – I did everything CNNBBC told me to do – I’ve had all the boosters and I triple mask
hahahahaha
I have asked this before, but again put it to the fore: ChatGPT
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/even-ai-suspicious-military-industrial-complex
This is a conundrum as we don’t have a clue how the program works and don’t have access to the code although an interesting question would be to have ChatGPT print out code that would give rise to ChatGPT.
Going to play around with it a bit, I suppose FE would ask it where Covid came from, answer may or may not be interesting.
If the damn thing works, it seems to be a game changer, Google is going to experience a paradigm shift as well as others. MSFT seems to be involved and integrating it.
Something like this could be a private tutor or with neuralink, a direct link. Time to short the big name colleges? A guess is some with neuralink will be able to use that link more efficiently, that should be interesting.
Dennis L.
“ChatGPT print out code that would give rise to ChatGPT”
A simple GIT repo URL would suffice I reckon.
(Sorry for the glib comment)
It is a training algorithm that “give rise” to Chat GPT. The important thing is how much “karma” it is capable of collecting, i.e. memory. Chatting with bots quickly turns stale without (past) context. You know, the little cute stuff and internal jokes. Being the spirited fool.
I reckon you’ve gotta write a quite good specification to get these AI’s to perform well. And language is a bit too ill defined for that task to begin with. Rather what is needed is a proper meta programming language without ambiguities.
Perhaps something similar to ARCADIA/SysML in 3D temporal space. Factorio on steroids where the AI populates the “blank” blocks/symbols/gfx representations with program code.
ChatGPT isn’t a threat, it fails basic math. Two examples:
“My sister was half my age when I was 6. I’m now 70. How old is my sister?”
“A normal distribution has mean 100 and standard deviation 15. What percentage of the area under the curve is below 135?”
It gives bogus answers. To make matters worse, it doesn’t say “I don’t know” and instead provides an incorrect answer.
It’s also woke-kneecapped (refuses to answer certain types of questions) in addition to being incompetent. For example, if you ask anything about national average IQ, it will tell you it doesn’t matter and refuse to provide the data. However, if you ask about correlation between IQ financial success, it provides a correlation coefficient of ~0.4. Ditto cranial volume and IQ.
In summary, it can collate information and do some basic logic, but only if there are lots of examples of the situation or problem.
You aren’t allowed to interact with a “raw” language model that’s not been subject to curation of its training data by a staff of self entitled hypocrites. I.e. Hypers.
No wonder it goes haywire when the morality police and arbiters of good taste (/sarc) skews, deceives about what mankind actually is (imposes their fakery), on the otherwise “good” training data. After all; it is a reflection of mankind in its “purest”, most rapacious, form.
Of course any reasonably competent AI model is self taught. It merely interact wherever and with whoever she seems fit.
🤷♂️
Cannot be. I have a high IQ and I am always blank. Perhaps they mean people without kids?
In preparation for increased vaccination education, promotion, and outreach, The Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC) is requiring the services of a consultant to analyze the vaccine related conversations on social media and PHAC social media initiative and campaign performance.
The consultant will analyze vaccine-related conversations, and their participants, on Twitter and and social media channels, including Reddit, Blogs, Forums, and News, spanning up to three years of historical data.
The consultant will analyze PHAC’s social media initiative and campaign performance, including content engagements and the campaign’s influence on vaccine-related conversation.
https://canadabuys.canada.ca/en/tender-opportunities/tender-notice/pw-22-01018522
I just applied
It’s just smoke and mirrors.
It’s obviously a job for AI.
https://youtu.be/LBQB5uYN2Dg
Laura Kasner
3 hr ago
I’m sobbing reading this and seeing the photo of that dear dead baby in her mother’s arms.
I hope Pierre will link this article in a tweet so that people will see the photo. Might that wake the sheep? What continues to go on is pure evil.
https://rescue.substack.com/p/two-babies-die-likely-from-their/
FE is ruffling a few feathers there… blaming the mothers. Who are to blame of course. F789 all of them. And stop begging for $$$ to go shopping pulease.
Are you really sobbing Eddy? I am not sure. But if you are it’s Hoolio to the rescue! He will lick you, and move to heavier stuff if you are unresponsive.
I copied that comment – I am not sobbing – I am laughing
Here we have pregnant MOREONS injecting rat juice and giving birth to dead hunks of rotting meat… boo hoo… f789 off. Stop complaining
https://rescue.substack.com/p/two-babies-die-likely-from-their
They completely control everything. Including judges
https://nakedemperor.substack.com/p/the-covid-law-is-an-ass-no-jab-no/
YES!
https://live2fightanotherday.substack.com/p/japan-no-surprises-there
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9f906d44-c0cd-42ac-bc3e-bed44a18d524_747x565.png
In 2019… they put in place a plan to deal with a contagious disease .. then within months… there’s a contagious disease spreading around the world…
Gotta be a coincidence right norm?
https://brownstone.org/articles/what-is-crimson-contagion
They can do this because nobody wants to believe it .. and nobody really wants to the truth… even if given it they refuse it.
Extermination it is!
Yo, Eddy, from your immense insight and privilege access…when do you feel the mass die off will happen ..between 2025-2030, or afterwards…
Maybe went the black goo falls off the cliff is “more” like it!
I have a predication too but it involves CC, something that is not happening according to you…
It’s underway… and will accelerate in 2023