Should the US add more LNG export approvals?

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In the US, companies that want to build liquefied natural gas (LNG) export terminals need to get advance approval for their plans from the US Department of Energy. There was a recent news item saying, “Biden pauses LNG export approvals under pressure from climate activists.” After looking into the situation, I 100% agree with Biden’s decision. There is no sense in the US adding more approvals for added LNG capacity at this time. This is the case, completely apart from climate considerations.

When looking into the situation, I found that the US already has a huge amount of LNG export capacity approved but not yet under construction. The likely roadblock is the need for debt financing. One obstacle is the need to find investors willing to make very long commitments–as long as 25 years, considering the time to build the LNG plants, plus the time that they are expected to be in operation. Issues that could be expected to get in the way of long-term investment would include:

  • Today’s relatively high interest rates.
  • Today’s low US natural gas prices (Henry Hub natural gas price is currently $1.64 per million Btus, a near-record low), discouraging investment in natural gas extraction.
  • The possibility that US oil and natural gas extraction from shale formations will reach limits within the next 25 years.
  • The possibility that overseas buyers will not be able to afford exported LNG at the prices needed to make extraction profitable. For example, a selling price of $25 per million Btus would probably greatly reduce the quantity of LNG that could be sold in the EU.
  • The possibility of construction delays caused by broken supply lines.
  • The possibility of fires causing significant down-time in operating facilities.
  • Even if natural gas is available for export, and even if LNG export facilities are built, there is the possibility that the rest of the system, including specialized LNG transport ships, may not be available in sufficient quantities.

In this post, I will try to give some background on this issue.

[1] Many people seem to believe that the US can easily ramp up natural gas production for export if it chooses to do so.

There seems to be a common belief that the US has an almost unlimited supply of oil. Natural gas is produced together with oil, so a corollary to the high supply of oil is that the US has an almost unlimited supply of natural gas.

At the same time, there are many parts of the world with an inadequate supply of natural gas. Many of these countries are trying to add wind and solar power generation. Natural gas is very helpful for balancing wind and solar because electricity production from natural gas can be ramped up and down very quickly, filling in when intermittent sources of supply are not available.

The European Union (EU) is one area that has very inadequate natural gas supply (Figure 1). The EU is also known for its use of wind and solar power, so it needs natural gas for its balancing ability.

Figure 1. European Union natural gas production divided between natural gas extracted within the European Union and that imported from elsewhere, either by pipeline or as LNG. Based on data from the 2023 Statistical Review of World Energy, produced by the Energy Institute.

If it is true that the US has a huge supply of US natural gas, all that would seem to be needed to solve the EU’s wind and solar balancing problem is for the US to export natural gas to the EU.

The modern way of exporting natural gas seems to be as LNG, transported by specialized ships at a very low temperature (about – 260°F (-161.5°C)). It appears that all that the US needs to do is to ramp up its natural gas production, and with it, its LNG export infrastructure.

[2] Natural gas prices vary widely around the world. US prices are much lower than elsewhere. These differences would also seem to support building more LNG export facilities.

Figure 2 shows that US natural gas prices are much lower than elsewhere. This has especially been the case since 2008 when the shale boom began, making it look as if the US can easily export natural gas if it likes. Even with the cost of shipping included, it looks as if consumers in the EU and Japan might find US LNG attractive in price.

Figure 2. Average annual natural gas prices, adjusted to 2020 price levels, based on data from the 2023 Statistical Review of World Energy by the Energy Institute. For the EU, the average of two price levels is used: German Average Import Price and Netherlands TTF. For Japan, the average of Japan CIF and Japan Korea Marker prices is used. US Henry Hub is directly from the report. All are converted to 2022 levels using the same inflation adjustment factors as used for oil prices.

[3] Natural gas tends to be cheap to extract but getting it to the customer and storing it until the right time of year is an expensive headache.

Natural gas is a fuel that is disproportionately used in winter to heat homes and businesses. This heat can be provided by burning the natural gas directly, or it can be provided by first burning the natural gas to produce electricity, and then using a device, such as a heat pump, to provide heat.

If natural gas can be utilized close to where it is extracted, there tends to be a huge cost advantage over long-distance transport. Clearly, one reason is that utilization near the point of extraction reduces transit costs. Also, empty gas caverns that can be used for storage are often available near the point of extraction. This storage approach is much less expensive than building specialized tanks for storage. These cost advantages are one reason why US natural gas prices shown on Figure 2 are much lower than those in the EU and Japan.

[4] Low natural gas prices in the US are now well “baked into the system.”

With natural gas prices remaining low for around the past 16 years, individuals and businesses have adjusted their consumption patterns based on the assumption that an abundant supply of inexpensive natural gas will be available permanently. US natural gas production has approximately doubled since its low point in 2005, and consumption has almost kept up.

Figure 3. US natural gas production and consumption, based on data from the 2023 Statistical Review of World Energy by the Energy Institute.

Many changes have taken place since gas prices fell. The US electrical system has significantly reduced its reliance on coal and instead increased its utilization of natural gas. People have built oversized homes based on the assumption that cheap natural gas will be available to heat them. Businesses have built factories in the US under the assumption that electricity costs of the US will continue to be low compared to those in Europe, Japan, and many other parts of the world, indirectly because of the US’s inexpensive supply of natural gas.

These low electricity and natural gas prices give the US a competitive advantage in making goods for export. With the shift away from coal for electricity production, the US can now say that it has reduced the carbon intensity of its electricity. Politicians like the competitive advantage for the US as well as the lower carbon intensity. Few of them would vote to go back to earlier ways, even if it was possible to do so.

[5] Natural gas tends to be utilized close to where it is produced. The early form of natural gas export was by pipeline. In recent years, LNG exports have increased.

Figure 4. World natural gas consumption by extent of inter-regional trade based on data from the 2023 Statistical Review of World Energy by the Energy Institute. In this analysis, Europe is a separate region, as are the United States and Russia.

Figure 4 shows that, consistently, about 75% of natural gas is used in the region where it is extracted. This happens because natural gas tends to be inexpensive close to the point of extraction. The use of inexpensive resources helps make an economy competitive in the world market, making them attractive for local use.

Pipeline trade tends to be inexpensive if the distance is short. The disadvantage is that pipeline gas tends to be inflexible; prices are often locked in for long periods. Pipelines can be a disadvantage if they pass through another county. The country allowing transit will likely want to make a charge for this service; this can lead to conflict. Pipelines can easily be blown up if countries start fighting with each other.

LNG is the newer approach to exporting natural gas. Its advantage is its flexibility; its disadvantage tends to be its higher cost when the entire cost of the operation is considered. There need to be export facilities where the natural gas is chilled and loaded into specialized tankers. Investors, quite possibly from another country, need to invest in the specialized tankers used to transport the LNG. At the other end, there is the need for regasification plants and for gas pipelines to the facilities where the gas is to be utilized.

Recouping the total cost of the system can be a problem with LNG. If prices are set under long-term contracts pegged to the price of oil, as has been the case between Japan and Russia, advantageous prices for the producers can be obtained. (Note the high prices Japan has been paying in Figure 2.) Of course, with long-term contracts, the flexibility of the system is lost.

In some years, there has been more LNG capacity than required in Europe. Exporters without long-term contracts started selling natural gas at spot prices, depending upon the balance between supply and demand at the time of the sale. (Notice the lower natural gas prices for Europe in Figure 2). It is not clear to me that investors can earn enough on their investments, if they are forced to depend on spot prices, which can easily fall too low if there is excess supply.

On the other hand, if the LNG market gets tight, as it did in 2022, spot prices can jump very high, making it difficult for LNG buyers to find affordable supply.

[6] An analysis by the EIA indicates that the US already has a great deal of LNG export capacity at some stage of development.

The most recent EIA analysis of LNG capacity in the process of being developed is shown at this link.

Figure 5. Chart prepared in March 2023 by the EIA showing forecasts of LNG exports, under several scenarios.

The above analysis was performed using data as of the end of 2022. It shows that at that time, the amount of liquefaction capacity was

  • 37.0 billion cubic feet/day (Bcf/d), considering existing, under-construction and approved liquefaction capacity.
  • 18.7 Bcf/d, considering existing and under-construction liquefaction capacity.

More recent information is also available. A release dated January 26, 2024, by the Department of Energy says,

The United States is the global leader in LNG exports with 14 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in current operating capacity and 48 Bcf/d in total authorizations approved by DOE to date, over three times our current export capacity.

This quote seems to imply that the total authorizations increased from 37.0 Bcf/d to 48 Bcf/d, based on an unpublished, more recent, analysis.

The 14 Bcf/d in current operating capacity is far above recent LNG export amounts. The actual quantity of US LNG produced in 2022 was 10.8 Bcf/d based on the data underlying Figure 5. Based on data through November 2023, I would estimate that amount of LNG produced in 2023 amounted to about 11.7 Bcf/d. These comparisons suggest that the actual amount of LNG produced may lag significantly below the stated export capacity.

If we compare the total exports authorized of 48 Bcf/d to the actual production amount (about 11.7 Bcf/d for 2023), the ratio is over 4, implying a very high amount of authorized additional LNG production capacity.

[7] The EIA model shown in Figure 5 indicates that several conditions need to hold for LNG exports to ramp up substantially.

(a) Figure 5 indicates that for NGL exports to increase significantly, both oil and natural gas prices need to be high. With low oil and low natural gas prices, exports do not increase much at all, regardless of the infrastructure built. (As I noted in the introduction, US natural gas prices are now very low. World oil prices are not very high, either. Thus, the model indicates that not much ramping up in NGL exports should be expected, even if more export capacity is added.)

(b) To enable export of the maximum amount of LNG overseas, “Fast Builds” of the rest of the infrastructure also needs to be high. In other words, there must be rapid growth in the number of LNG transport carriers and in receiving facilities for the exported LNG.

(c) The fact that the gray shaded area (indicating the scenarios the modelers thought likely) does not extend to the Fast Builds scenario means that the modelers consider this scenario unlikely. Even if infrastructure is built on this end, other parts of the system likely won’t be in place.

(d) Hidden in the assumptions is the fact that the citizens at the receiving end of the LNG must be able to afford electricity made with high-priced natural gas and products such as fertilizer, made with high-priced natural gas. If citizens at the receiving end cut way back on their use of natural gas (by not heating their homes as much, or by doing less manufacturing using electricity, or by making less fertilizer with natural gas), export prices are likely to fall.

[8] The reason why oil prices need to be high for high LNG exports is because much of the natural gas extracted is produced at the same time as oil.

If oil prices fall too low, US production of oil from shale is likely to drop (as it did in 2020), and with it the production of natural gas. With low oil prices, US natural gas extraction is also likely to lag. In this scenario, the natural gas necessary to support the hoped-for rise in natural gas exports won’t be available.

With both high oil prices and high US natural gas prices, consumers in the EU and elsewhere will have an especially difficult time affording the high cost of imported natural gas from the US. The problem is that if natural gas costs are already high before all of the cost of processing it to make LNG and shipping it long distance are incorporated, its cost will be doubly high for buyers in the EU (and elsewhere). Furthermore, the budgets of EU consumers will already be stretched by high oil prices, making high-cost LNG even more unaffordable.

[9] People believe that fossil fuels can rise arbitrarily high, but this is not true. Unaffordably high prices are the limiting factor for LNG exports.

Farmers are particularly strongly impacted by high oil and natural gas prices. High oil prices tend to make the cost of the diesel used to run farm equipment very high. High natural gas prices tend to make ammonia fertilizer very expensive. If both oil and natural gas prices are very high, the combination will tend to lead to very high-cost food. Citizens generally get very unhappy about very high-cost food. Farmers tend to protest, as farmers in Europe have done recently, because it becomes impossible for them to pass their high costs on to consumers.

There are clearly many other parts of the economy affected by high oil and natural gas prices. With high natural gas prices, electricity prices tend to be high. Families find their budgets stretched because of the high cost of both home heating and transportation. Food costs are likely to be high also. Economies tend to be pushed into recession by high oil and natural gas prices.

[10] A wise approach would be to go slowly in building LNG export capacity.

If excess LNG export capacity is built, those building the liquefaction plants will find the return on their investment very low.

In a self-organizing system, new technology is usually slowly adopted. Investors see a niche that appears to be profitable and build a little at a time. They wouldn’t try to put a huge amount of LNG export capacity in place without making certain that a little bit works. This same approach is used by manufacturers trying any new technology; they start on a small scale and then gradually scale up the process.

The US has already approved a very substantial amount of future LNG liquefaction capacity. It seems to me that there is a need to pause the acceptance of new applications for a while to see whether the many LNG facilities in the queue can actually be built and can sell the LNG they produce profitably. Perhaps profitable new LNG plants can only be built if firm long-term contracts at quite high prices can be signed.

Going slowly would seem to be an appropriate approach for now.

About Gail Tverberg

My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.
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2,426 Responses to Should the US add more LNG export approvals?

  1. Fast Eddy says:

    Fast Eddy has officially … left the building … enjoy your moon landings and helicopters on Mars you f789ing MOREONS… and be sure to shoot more Rat Juice

    • Withnail says:

      See you tomorrow.

    • postkey says:

      F.E . believes that Laser reflectors magically appeared on the moon!
      Time, date and mission number!
      Otherwise B/S!

    • Mike Jones says:

      Mission Accomplished..Fast Eddie has left the room..

      The MOREONS have done their DUTY for today..

      Tomorrow is a bigger challenge..which will be a success

      https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=dNSQgZGhJkE&pp=ygUUbWlzc2lvbiBhY2NvbXBsaXNoZWQ%3D

      Commercial spacecraft enters moon’s orbit ahead of landing attempt Thur

      The Odysseus spacecraft, developed by Intuitive Machines, is vying to become the first U.S. vehicle to land on the moon in more than 50 years
      By Christian Davenport

      A robotic spacecraft entered lunar orbit Wednesday, setting up a historic landing scheduled for early evening Thursday when an American spacecraft would touch down on the lunar surface for the first time in more than 50 years.

      The spacecraft, developed by Intuitive Machines, was in “excellent health,” the Houston-based company said, circling the moon at an altitude of about 57 miles, as it made its preparations to land on the moon Thursday at 5:30 p.m. Eastern time. If successful, it would be the first commercial vehicle to land on the lunar surface and the first American spacecraft since Apollo 17 in 1972. The landing was initially scheduled for 5:49 p.m. but the company announced Wednesday that the time had been moved up.

      The mission is being carried out under a $118 million contract with NASA, which is paying the company to deliver six scientific and technological payloads to the moon. Intuitive Machines’ 14-foot-tall Nova-C lander, dubbed Odysseus, is one of several robotic spacecraft being developed by the private sector that NASA hopes will land on the moon in the coming years, helping the space agency to eventually land astronauts there as part of its Artemis program.

      Unlike the Apollo program, which sent astronauts to the equatorial regions of the moon, Artemis is aiming to land at the lunar south pole, an unexplored yet potentially fruitful region where there is water, in the form of ice, in its permanently shadowed craters. Odysseus’s landing spot is in that area near a crater called Malapert A, named for a 17th-century Belgian astronomer, that is one of the landing sites under consideration for the Artemis program.

      Entering lunar orbit was a major milestone for Intuitive Machines — one that came six days after the craft lifted off on a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket from the Kennedy Space Center in Florida.

      “Over the next day, while the lander remains in lunar orbit, flight controllers will analyze the complete flight data and transmit imagery of the moon,” Intuitive Machines said in a post on X.

      Landing, however, is a significant challenge. Last month, another commercial space company, Astrobotic, tried but failed to reach the moon when its spacecraft suffered an engine problem, resulting in a fuel leak. It has said it will try again, perhaps as early as this year.

      As it flies around the far side of the moon, Odysseus will lose contact with the ground for about 45 minutes. Each pass will also present a challenge for the spacecraft as it alternates between the direct heat of the sun and the cold darkness behind the moon, which will require “heat drawn from batteries to keep its system warm,” according to the company.

      As the vehicle begins its descent toward the surface, it will fire its engine to drop from 62 miles to just over six miles. Then its cameras and lasers will feed data to onboard navigation computers that will autonomously guide it to a safe place on the surface. At about 100 feet, it will flip itself to a vertical position with its landing legs pointed down. During the descent, the engine thrust will continuously decrease as the lander burns fuel and, as a result, gets lighter and lighter.

      Odysseus also is carrying a NASA instrument designed to capture images of the dust plume kicked up by the spacecraft’s engines. Since the space agency anticipates eventually landing multiple spacecraft close to one another, it wants to better understand what effects landings have on the moon’s surface and environment.

      • The difficulties of the current program certainly makes a person skeptical that the 1972 landing happened in the way we were told.

        • Mike Jones says:

          We were lucky that the Apollo landing was not automatic, but visually preformed by Neil Armstrong that prevented the lunar module from crashing and remarkable as it was barely enough of fuel to leave the surface…per article posted

          • Withnail says:

            [eddy]But, but, it didn’t look like the spaceships I saw in the movies[/eddy]

            • Mike Jones says:

              Yes, and everything that was shown in the original Star Trek series with William Shatner has happened!
              Even the teleporter….
              Scientists have been able to do the same with CARBON….
              Beam me up? The paradoxes and potential of human teleportation
              How close are we to human teleportation? Successes in quantum teleportation experiments abound.

              https://bigthink.com/hard-science/human-teleportation/

              Human teleportation
              KEY TAKEAWAYS
              Teleporting humans presents technical and philosophical challenges. A recent experiment achieved tremendous accuracy in quantum teleportation over 27 miles. Human teleportation may be possible with advances in technology to process huge amounts of data.

    • Have a good move to Australia.

    • Kadmon says:

      Eddy don’t let the opinions of the conventionalised get you down.
      The world need rogues right now more than ever.
      The standardised were always asleep anyway.

  2. Fast Eddy says:

    The Definition of a MOREON – is someone who refuses to change their mind even if the evidence is overwhelming.

  3. I AM THE MOB says:

    British nuclear sub missile launch FAILS as Trident dramatically misfires and ‘plops’ into ocean just yards away

    https://www.the-sun.com/news/10450496/trident-nuke-sub-missile-launch-fails/

    “I have never seen a class so deeply demoralised, so incurably debased by selfishness, so corroded within, so incapable of progress, as the English bourgeoisie…”

    -Friedrich Engels, The Condition of the Working Class in England (1845)

    • Mish says,

      ” this allegedly booming economy left behind the renters and everyone under the age of 40 struggling to make ends meet.”

      This is because inflation measures leave out the cost of buying a new home.

      Home owners, who are getting the effect of inflation, are doing great. CPI does not reflect the increasing cost of home payments, considering both higher price and inflation.

      In general, the younger the people are, the worse off financially they are.

  4. Dennis L. says:

    At 2:10, Weinstein thinks Vatican II was a mistake, Latin had a magic.

    We need magic, we need hope.

    I like this one, will come back to it. I believe nothing is perfect, nothing is exact.

    The conspires among us will find some of this of interest.

    Dennis L.

    • Says someone who was never a Catholic.

      Vat II was an attempt by the RCC to remain relevant in the modern world after the two world wars made people lose hope on anything.

      I see you want to found the Church of Elon where you can become Pope. After all Jesus never really endorsed the Church, which was founded after he died.

  5. Fast Eddy says:

    How stoooopid do you have to be to believe this is on the moon?

    https://hackaday.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/indiamoon_feat.jpg

    What the f789 is wrong with people???? Mental Illness? Simulation? Yes – it’s a simulation … cuz like I said it is not possible to change a MOREONS mind…

    Surely that image MUST change their minds – but it doesn’t … their dummmbness is hard coded in by the simulation

    That’s not actually an insult… it’s like being born with no legs… it wasn’t a choice… none of this is a choice… some people are just born dummmb… and there is no way to change that…

    Then one out of 8B … like Fast Eddy … was created by the simulation to be a great genius… cuz HE changes HIS mind when necessary … it’s actually so easy … but not for those who are hard programmed not to

    Get it?

    • postkey says:

      F.E . believes that Laser reflectors magically appeared on the moon!
      Time, date and mission number!
      Otherwise B/S!

    • Mike Jones says:

      Why it’s so difficult to land on the moon, even five decades after Apollo
      Jackie Wattles
      By Kristin Fisher and Jackie Wattles Wed February 21, 2024
      Overall, more than half of all lunar landing attempts have ended in failure — tough odds for a feat humanity first pulled off nearly 60 years ago.
      The Soviet Union’s Luna 9 became the first spacecraft to make a controlled, or “soft,” landing in February 1966. The United States followed shortly after when its robotic Surveyor 1 spacecraft touched down on the moon’s surface just four months later.
      Since then only three other countries — China, India and Japan — have achieved such a milestone. All three reached the moon with robotic vehicles for the first time in the 21st century. India and Japan each pulled off the monumental feat just within the past six months, long after the US-Soviet space race had petered out. The US remains the only country to have put humans on the lunar surface, most recently in 1972 with the Apollo 17 mission.
      Regaining past knowledge and experience is a big part of the challenge for the US, Scott Pace, director of George Washington University’s Space Policy Institute, told CNN.
      “We’re learning to do things that we haven’t done in a long time, and what you’re seeing is organizations learning how to fly again,” Pace said. “Going to the moon is not a matter of just a brave or brilliant astronaut. It’s a matter of entire organizations that are organized, trained, and equipped to go out there. What we’re doing now is essentially rebuilding some of the expertise that we had during Apollo but lost over the last 50 years.”
      Technical know-how, however, is only part of the equation when it comes to landing on the moon. Most of the hurdles are financial.
      At the peak of the Apollo program, NASA’s budget comprised over 4% of all government spending. Today, the space agency’s budget is one-tenth the size, accounting for only 0.4% of all federal spending, even as it attempts to return American astronauts to the moon under the Artemis program.
      It’s also unrealistic to expect that NASA or one of its partners could simply drag out the blueprints of a 1960s lunar lander and recreate it from scratch. Most of the technology used on those missions has long been retired, cast aside by the massive leaps in computing power and material sciences made in the past half-century.
      Each piece of hardware on a lunar lander must be sourced from modern supply chains — which look far different than those of the 20th century — or designed and manufactured anew. And every sensor and electronic component on the spacecraft must be created to withstand the harsh environment of outer space, a process the industry calls “hardening.”

  6. Fast Eddy says:

    See the solar panel …hahahahahahahahahahaha

    https://hackaday.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/indiamoon_feat.jpg

    I recently showed that to a MOREON who is a moonie… I did not tell him what it was… just asked him what he thought … he said it looked like a lego set … or a cartoon…

    I told him it was the India moon lander… he went blank then he wondered why they’d do such a thing…

    Still wedded to his moonie position though … even though the lunar module thing is clearly no capable of a moon landing … it looks like a guy built it in his garage

    It just amazes me that anyone believes any of this … the PR Team must laugh at you clowns…. easiest job in the world actually … cuz everyone is really gullible… and really dummmb

    • Mike Jones says:

      Why it’s so difficult to land on the moon, even five decades after Apollo
      Jackie Wattles By Kristin Fisher and Jackie Wattles, CNN
      https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/21/world/moon-landing-attempts-challenges-scn/index.html
      There were literally hundreds of thousands of people working on Apollo. It was a $100 billion program in 1960s numbers. It would be a multi-trillion-dollar program in today’s dollars,” said Greg Autry, director of space leadership at Arizona State University’s Thunderbird School of Global Management. “There’s simply nothing that compares to it.”
      The lunar landers of the 21st century are attempting to accomplish many of the same goals at a small fraction of the price.

  7. Fast Eddy says:

    hahaha

    Mortgage Rates Rise Back to 7%, Housing Market Re-Freezes, Buyers’ Strike Continues. Prices Are Just Too High https://wolfstreet.com/2024/02/21/mortgage-rates-rise-back-to-7-housing-market-re-freezes-buyers-strike-continues-prices-are-just-too-high/

    • From the article:

      Homebuilders have figured out the drill and kept sales at decent levels by cutting prices, building at lower price points, and buying down mortgage rates. The median price of new houses has dropped 17% from a year earlier to a two year low, not including the costs of the mortgage-rate buydowns, which come out of builders’ profit margins.

      But homeowners that want to sell have not figured it out. Sales of existing homes have collapsed. And the national median price has put in a double top, with the high point in June 2022, the first such situation since the housing bust.

  8. Dennis L. says:

    This came up, will listen to it in fragments. Eric Weinstein – Why Does the Modern World Make No Sense?
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p_swB_KS8Hw

    It is three hours.

    We are in interesting times, sometimes wacky ideas have some basis in fact.

    For me, the universe has a fabric, some are further ahead that most of us.

    Dennis L.

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      the poor fabric is tattered and unraveling.

      • Dennis says:

        disagree strongly, david.

        The fabric is true historically, what goes before is subject to change.

        Watching a Chris Williamson podcast.
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p_swB_KS8Hw

        at about 2:00 hrs in, looking at religious music. Part of the podcast deals with belief.

        The universe will go on, choices will be made, some will work, some will not. Cut your losses, no one is right all the time.

        Dennis L.

    • nikoB says:

      I am surprised today that there isn’t a biggest gainer show. Biggest loser is over but surely there would be plenty of people ready to gain weight each week for TV. See who can get morbidly obese the quickest. Since it is a safe and effective lifestyle.

  9. Fast Eddy says:

    Hey ya’ll any idea why after decades of not going — we are suddenly sending missions to the moon every couple of months?

    Remember when they said — we have not gone back cuz there is no reason to go back?

    Why now? And what’s the purpose?

    Could it all be fake – a distraction — as we circle the drain as a species?

    • postkey says:

      F.E . believes that Laser reflectors magically appeared on the moon!
      Time, date and mission number!
      Otherwise B/S!

    • Mike Jones says:

      The cost of Chandrayaan-3 is merely Rs 600 crore ($72 million USD), whereas a Hollywood film on space and moon costs more than Rs 600 crore,” Singh told The Economic Times, a media outlet in India, in August.

      In the US, NASA is attempting to drastically reduce prices by outsourcing the design of small, robotic spacecraft to the private sector through its Commercial Lunar Payload Services program, or CLPS.

      Astrobotic was the first company to fly under the CLPS initiative, and after its January setback, Intuitive Machines has picked up the torch — aiming to soft-land Odysseus near the lunar south pole on Thursday.

      “We’re going a thousand times further than the International Space Station,” Intuitive Machines President and CEO Steve Altemus told CNN. “And then, on top of that, you set the target: Do it for $100 million when in the past it’s been done for billions of dollars.”
      https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/21/world/moon-landing-attempts-challenges-scn/index.html

  10. Tim Groves says:

    Keith dies!

    No, not our Keith; Big Keith from the Office. The actor Ewen MacIntosh, aged 50, has died in long-term care home after a two-year illness.

    The mass media don’t seem to know what he died of. When I asked them, they told me “He died of a Tuesday, or was it a Wednesday?” What I really I wanted to know if he had the Moderna, the Pfizer, the Johnson @ Johnson, or the AZ.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/entertainment-arts-68357976

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Didn’t Ricky G mock the vax refusers?

      • Tim Groves says:

        He might well have. After all, he mocks everyone else remorselessly, doesn’t he? But I am not aware of anything of that nature. He did make a point of calling Covid a naught word beginning with “C”. And he did make a joke about fighting an old lady over a Covid vaccine and declaring,”I will grab the needle right out of her arm.”

        In any case, coming from Ricky, mockery isn’t quite the same sort of thing as when it comes from someone who wants the audience to take them seriously, such as Neil Young, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Jennifer Anniston, Justin Trudeau or Joe Biden.

        Ricky is a sarcastic git to the core, and so if his vaxed mates are now dropping down dead well before their time because they’ve been duped into allowing themselves to be injected with poison while virtue signaling, I am sure he will be able to see the funny side of that.

  11. MG says:

    Why the black voices are so powerful? Because they sing us about our home in Africa:

    https://youtu.be/Ys0a2Yv2ZCo?si=Wal5RdvVYjh07Srl

  12. Fast Eddy says:

    Moving guy 1 says to moving guy 2… It’s a Persian rug — roll it don’t fold it.

    Fast says to moving guy 2… actually it’s from Afghanistan …

    Moving guy 2 says… ya still a Persian carpet …

    And people demand democracy

  13. Wet My Beak says:

    Superb South Carolina town hall for the Supreme Leader, President Donald J. Trump yesterday;

    https://youtu.be/C-yEZDxJW6E?si=tYcke1VgjZTfeJZd

    But something unexpected has emerged.

    As he weathers vast numbers of attacks in a storm probably unmatched by any individual in history there is the hint of greatness in this extraordinary man who is bearing a great burden for all of us.

    Peace be upon him.

    • He is an entertainer with not much in his pocket. He is also a relic of a time when things were expanding.

    • It is hard to know what will happen in the election. Trump certainly does sound more aware of what is going on than Biden, but there is still quite a while before the election in November.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        It sure is entertaining though!!! Meaningless… but entertaining…

        See

      • Sam says:

        Yes trumpet is a one trick pony. Adding massive debt while getting the minions to look the other way. Biden … ugh… same but worse woke distraction

    • Hubbs says:

      Born with a silver spoon in his mouth and $50 mil or so, Trump has been the consummate huckster, writing the Art of the Deal which should have been titled “Art of the Con.” 4 failed mega business ventures leaving investors holding the bag. Special loan forgiveness by Wilbur Ross when he was CEO of Deutsch Bank (and favor returned with Secretary of Commerce position) for up to 500 million? Trump is actually a lousy business man.
      Trump is no Mother Teresa. What matters to him in life is luxury golf courses, swanky hotels and casinos, WWF and UFC , beauty contests, and charlatan TV shows like The Apprentice. A draft dodger (heel spurs) like Clinton and Bush II, (and all the chicken hawks in Washington and mainstream media like Hannity.)

      AND,

      Whether you like Trump or not, he is getting screwed by our corrupt justice system which I persoanlly encountered over 32 years ago in KY and NC. Also by our corrupt election system which has Stalinized ( what matters is who cpounts the votes) the process to make elections meaningless.

      AND,
      I will vote for Trump no matter what only because of how corrupt our legal system is. Despite all his character flaws and enabling COVID-19 vaxxs, he at least didn’t start any wars and tried to build a border wall.

      I was asked whom I thought will be elected in 2024. I answered there is no way anyone can predict this with all the BS going on. Take you pick. Mkst likely it will be none of the follwoing, no matter how we try to envision it.

      1.)Trump actually gets elected

      2.)Trump gets assasinated
      3.) Trump gets convicted of something and he goes to jail, where his eligibility to act as President languishes in the SCOTUS. Julian Assange rot style.

      4.)Big Mike gets the nod for the Dems, making another stolen election more believable.

      5.)Biden gets Baderized, but still gets “elected” and runs the country from the hospice.

      6.)No elections at all. Mired in disputes, goes to the SCOTUS where the decison languishes and moots the election process for years.

      7.)Biden gets 25th’d or otherwise removed and “Deep Thinker” Kamala takes over and then wins in a rigged election since she will no doubt be muzzled by her handlers from the time Biden gets removed but before the election, allowing time for the people to “acclimate” to having this ditz as our acting President. The advantage of this scenario would be the huge incentive the Democrats /Uniparty would have to NOT rock the boat, i.e., getting in any more wars, not messing with interest rates if they can get away with leaving them as they are , or having any full blown civil unrest.

      8.)Place holder and war monger Nikki Haley winds up as the “heels up” Kamala version of the Republican Party who tags along with Trump, who is blackmailed into having to take Nikki as his running mate to avoid imminent prosecution, but who then suddenly gets impeached after he gets elected leaving Nikki, the darling of the Globalist uniparty as the ultimate cuckoo bird in the Washington DC political nest. JFK knows the scarifice he had to make to win the south when he had to take on LBJ as his running mate.

      9.) False flag like a war, monetary collapse, EMP, civil war event etc. Election cancelled.,

  14. Mirror on the wall says:

    Prof. Glenn Diesen has got a new book out. We have seen him chair discussion panels on The Duran YT channel with Prof. Mearsheimer and others.

    “Glenn Eric Andre Diesen (born 1979) is a Norwegian political scientist[1] who is known as a regular commentator on Russia Today (RT). In 2020 he became an associate professor at the University of South-Eastern Norway, where he was promoted to professor in 2021.[8][9] He specializes in Russian foreign policy, conservatism and Eurasian integration, and has written several books.”

    > New Study: THIS Is Why The West Is Really Doomed

    In his new book “The Ukraine War and the Eurasian World Order”, Professor Glenn Diesen argues compellingly that the way the world used to work not only for the past century, but for the past 500 years is over and done with. From here on, the global system will be much more dynamic, multi-polar, and much more complex. Professor Diesen also shows how Ukraine has been a pawn in the hands of NATO warmongers who despite their best efforts, however, have not been able to break even one of their strategic rivals in the system. The time of Western impunity is ending. The question is, what comes next?

    • Glenn Diesen says the world has been organized either with a balance of powers, or with one country acting as the hegemon.

      I didn’t get all of the way through this video, but if the US is losing its role as a hegemon though the Ukraine war, then the world would seem to be going back to a balance of power type of organization.

      With less fossil fuels, it would seem like a balance of power type of organization would work better.

  15. Lastcall said

    https://ourfiniteworld.com/2024/02/14/should-the-us-add-more-lng-export-approvals/comment-page-4/#comment-453694

    I answer:

    If the nordics still rule the world, we would have reached the outer space by now.

    The stock of USA is now mostly German and “Polish”, i. e. people who came from the “Polish” territories of Germany awarded by Woody Wilson in 1918 and also later in 1945. These people are less ‘Polish’ than Frederic Chopin , who only spoke French in his entire life but the Poles prefer to think that he is one of their own.

    The original stocks from the British Isles already became a minority in early 20th century but it retained its power until Donald Trump/Drumpf, whose grandpa came from Bavaria and was an Alpine, in 2016.

    In other words, USA is run by not those which made it great, but the freeloaders who rode along with it without really contributing any useful things.

    I am no fan of the Democrat party, but the very fact that the grandson of a draft dodger and a whorehouse owner claiming he will make America Great Again is nothing less than a farce.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Yes of course… but are you not entertained?

    • I am of Nordic background, myself.

      • Cromagnon says:

        Truth is,…..the world has no idea how great the Vikings really were. They were the founders of many great houses of Western Europe (mine included) and they also founded the Russian Imperial state.
        They penetrated deep into the middle east and northern Africa and I suspect they did more than just visit Vinland.

        Dragon ship symbolism means something.

        • dubrishukri says:

          Surely, Nordic countries are outer space unless you are an Akalla, Kildin or Kemi etc.No? Nords?

  16. Wet My Beak says:

    Third world aspirant quasi-country sad new zealand lost an MP yesterday:

    https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/509812/fa-anana-efeso-collins-death-brings-another-new-green-mp-to-parliament

    He tipped over while on a leisurely community run at the tender age of 49. Vax?

    The chap who’s replacing him is, of course, a chinee immigrant no doubt ordered to pursue the goals of the CCP.

    Characterising a new zealander is relatively easy. Imagine a bunny frozen in the headlights of events.

    Its national symbol is the kiwi, a flightless bird facing extinction.

    It is such an appropriate symbol because the traditional new zealander is also facing extinction from mass immigration from other third world countries; mainly China, India and the Philippines.

    Stupid is as stupid does.

    (Lower case used for new zealand intentionally)

  17. Fast Eddy says:

    Houthis Now Have Drone Submarines. https://lionessofjudah.substack.com/p/end-times-headline-news-february-1e7/

    And it’s possible to charge a battery on Mars. hahahahahahaahahaha

    And Rat Juice is Safe and Effective hahahaahaha (according to bbccnn)

  18. Today’s winners and also mini-winners who own something will NOT share their gains with anyone.

    No sharing, all winner take all, no resources for most of the people.

    All gains from the space will be monopolized, with nothing for the general population.

  19. A lot of talk on the collapse circle is about the impossibility of rebuilding the old world after things go haywire.

    Lewis Dartnell, whose primary occupation is an astronomer, thought about it and he wrote a book called “The Knowledge : How to Rebuild Civilization in the Aftermath of a Cataclysm”.

    The following video is the tl, dr of that book

    https://youtu.be/CdTzsbqQyhY?si=urlE4bhL8sagTYqw

    Someone, possibly Dartnell himself, set up this website to preserve knowledge for the future
    http://the-knowledge.org/en-gb/

    So there are some people who are aware of losing everything, and are keeping enough knowledge for the posterity to continue the game.

    I personally bought the digital copies of the Harvard Classics, which is the collection of a bunch of books which the Harvard president in 1905 or so considered worth reading, for a very low price, and also the digital scanned copy of the 1911 Britannica, the final edition before Chucky and his 200/400 Worcester morons did ‘their duty’.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Anything about what to do with the spent fuel pond toxins that will be circulating through the food and water.. for thousands of years?

    • Withnail says:

      “The Knowledge : How to Rebuild Civilization in the Aftermath of a Cataclysm”.

      After this one collapses, that’s it. We are done.

      • We don’t know that collapse is the final outcome. The Universe is always moving toward increased complexity. The Universe is always expanding. It looks as if somehow energy is constantly being added to the system. Creation is a constant event, not just something that somehow happened at the big bang.

        The system works strangely–for every action there is an equal and opposite reaction, but this reaction doesn’t necessarily happen in the same timeframe. Pounding a mallet against a huge rock mostly gives a reaction back to your arm. But over a long enough time-frame, and hard enough hits, fissures form inside the rock. At some point, there may be an earthquake, and major shifts of the earth.

  20. Fast Eddy says:

    How are the OFW chickens this morning? Are ya’ll ready to get Mareks’ed

  21. Dennis L. says:

    Wonder why European farms seem to “feel” good. The photo at the head of this article is charming. The idea for the use of solar energy will be at best mildly critical.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/personalfinance/one-small-town-is-pioneering-an-energy-system-to-save-residents-from-costly-electricity-bills-here-s-how-they-re-doing-it/ar-BB1iDnQz?ocid=msedgntp&pc=U531&cvid=521aa45f3b9f420cbcf1df9f3f22e7f8&ei=22

    Have a very large dairy on the way to my farm, alongside I90. The fields have been flattened with earth moving machinery, they are efficient, the thousands of cows move from stall to milking parlor and don’t see the light of day. It works I expect.

    Rochester is a fairly well run city, the streets are maintained but the downtown is sterile, it is not inviting. Apartments by the thousands are/have been built, expensive, who will live in them?

    Spoke with a forty something student at my CC, EE curriculum, works in the Mayo power plant; expect he makes north of $100K per year plus benefits. His first education was in automotive body work, second in building maintenance and now EE. Did not ask, but expect little to no student debt. I don’t see what four year colleges are selling for the most part and I am a life long learner. This guy could stand to lose a few pounds but has a wife, family of two children and a home. He is still learning and working a full time job.

    I am probably an old man who wants too much.

    Dennis L.

    • Lastcall says:

      Caves were the original ground source heating/cooling system.

      And its still used in many places today.

      ‘Today, around 60% of Coober Pedy’s 3,500 locals live underground. Coober Pedy’s origins lie underground, too. About 100 years ago, a teenager discovered a piece of opal in the area. From there, miners flocked to the region, and soon enough, the town of Coober Pedy – the world’s largest source for opals – was borne.’

      ‘At depths of 2m and more, the ground temperature does not deviate very much from the average summer/winter surface temperatures (around 8° to 12°C [46ºF to 54ºF] in the UK depending on location). At this depth, there is an enormous store of heat that can be usefully tapped for heating in the winter.’

      Maybe each new house build should incorporate a single borehole to a depth sufficient to contribute meaningfully to moderating seasonal ranges in house temp. What depth and size would this be, and would it be better than this complex system?

    • The article links to a related article by Reuters, which is a whole lot more informative.

      https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/vast-village-heat-pump-tests-one-route-net-zero-rural-britain-2023-12-06/

      In Swaffham Prior, where a majority of homes were heated by oil, the team tested multiple scenarios to drive uptake. They found one large network would be more efficient than individual heat pumps, while the community approach and lack of upfront payment meant residents were more willing to sign up.

      “Homes heated by oil” means that current heating costs are sky high.

      “One large heat pump” would mean that homes would have no individual control of heating. Heat would come through district heating. China and Sweden have used this method for years, but it has tended to be replaced by more “modern” methods. Homes have no individual control over temperature. If it is too hot, people will need to open a window. I question whether the system will produce enough heat, if it is only from a new approach that I referenced in a link below.

      The 12 million pound ($15 million) cost was covered by a 3 million pound government grant and a loan secured by the local council which will be repaid via household bills over 60 years. To help the switch, bills are index-linked to be in line or less than the cost of heating oil and will in time be indexed to the price of electricity.

      I imagine those putting this plan together expect that heating oil will keep rising in price. “Paid back via household bills over 60 years” likely means that the interest rate assumed in this deal is effectively zero. If the cost becomes too high, the village will be abandoned.

      So far in a village of two churches, two windmills and around 300 houses, more than 60 are connected to the heat pump which uses both air and ground heat sources. More than 35 are ready to be added, and others are weighing whether to join.

      Uptake based on (60 + 35), relative to 300 houses is about 32%. Not great, but OK.

      I would expect there are a whole lot of upfront costs of putting in this system. Lots of fossil fuels used in putting it in place.

      I am wondering whether this whole system really works, especially in winter. It is supposed to harvest wind and rain, based on a related article.
      https://www.thecooldown.com/green-tech/power-plants-wind-rain-energy-harvesting-devices/

      I am guessing that it is basically a regular air source heat pump, with some ground source aspects, and maybe some from this new system that harvests wind and rain.

    • Cromagnon says:

      The future lies in burning cow shit for fuel in open firepits at the mouth of caves.
      So you guys are getting some of it correct.

      Those people will watch over the next centuries as all those “elite” satellites return to the planetary surface as shooting stars……they might even base mythologies on them.

  22. Mirror on the wall says:

    So you were assuming that the UK’s nuclear defence system actually works and is not falling apart and malfunctional like the rest of the UK’s military kit?

    > UK Nuclear Missile Test Fails Amid Russia, Houthi Threats, After Ship Crash, Aircraft Carrier Glitch

    UK military has suffered its third embarrassment in the matter of just a few weeks, as a nuclear missile test reportedly failed. This was the second consecutive test-firing of a Trident missile from a British submarine which ended in failure. It came just days after UK’s flagship aircraft carrier had to withdraw from NATO’s biggest drill since the Cold War due to a glitch. Recently, two British warships had collided in Bahrain. Watch the full video for more.

      • Mirror on the wall says:

        This is the aircraft carrier HMS Queen Elizabeth that broke down earlier this month before it could sail to lead the NATO ‘big up’ exercise in the Baltics.

        It boasts a carrying capacity of 36 F-35 planes but in practice UK has only ever managed between 0 and 8… and this is one of them in 2021.

        £100 million….

        > British F-35 crashes into sea after failing to take off

        An F-35 that crashed into the Mediterranean never managed to take off, footage has revealed.

        The leaked video shows the £100 million fighter jet accelerating up the ramp of HMS Queen Elizabeth’s flight deck, only for the pilot to eject as it reaches the top.

        Even though the jet went straight into the water from the ship, authorities have not yet been able to locate the aircraft because it would have travelled through the water for some distance.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Evidence please

          • Mirror on the wall says:

            Where is your ‘evidence’ for anything?

            It is funny how you see it as an issue when it comes to how sh/t the UK military is.

            It is sh/t and maybe you just need to over that?

            • Fast Eddy says:

              Exactly!!!

              So let’s just believe whatever cnnbbc tell us .. even though we have evidence that they lie continuously.

              Enjoy the matrix hahahahahaha

    • Rodster says:

      Whenever you are govern by Clowns, you tend to do clown stuff. So no surprise.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      What is the evidence of this?

      Same evidence that Rat Juice is Safe and Effective? cnnbbc?

      You see the problem here… how can you trust the msm on any topic?

  23. Mike Jones says:

    FINANCE NATIONAL DEBT
    Top economist ‘very worried’ about America’s $34 trillion national debts: ‘There’s absolutely no attempt to decrease them in any way, shape or form’

    Former IMF chief economist Olivier Blanchard talked to the House of Lords Economic Affairs Committee via video link on Tuesday.

    BY TOM REES AND BLOOMBERG
    February 20, 2024 4:34 PM EST

    The U.S. is in danger of a fiscal crisis erupting after a ballooning in deficits in recent years, according to Olivier Blanchard, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics.

    He is the latest to warn of a dire trajectory for U.S. debt after sharp increases in the deficit under President Joe Biden and predecessor Donald Trump.

    The huge deficit seen last year has caused concern as it comes after a rise in interest rates and when the economy is growing. US government debt held by the public topped $26 trillion in 2023, or 97% of GDP, according to the Congressional Budget Office. Total government debt is more than 120% of GDP.

    Blanchard has famously argued that the fiscal cost of debt is lower as long as interest rates on the debt are below economic growth. Speaking on Tuesday, he said he had a more sanguine attitude toward the risk of debt spirals in other countries, including the UK, where government borrowing is at levels last seen in the 1960s at around 100% of GDP.

    “I don’t see a big crisis coming, again except for the US where at some point it will happen, whether it’s in five years, 10 years I do not know,” he said. “As we know, if they struggle in the US, then this has implications for the rest of the world.”

    BAU Baby …says he don’t know ,.maybe tomorrow 5 , 10 years from now..
    BUT TODAY,….LIVE LARGE…FOR WE ARE ALL TO DIE SOON ANYWAY

    • The world economy needs more and more promises of various sorts to keep prices of commodities of all types high enough for producers. (This is necessary because some of these promises come back into the system as wages for poor people, or as unearned buying power for these people.)

      This is why Biden and the powers that be are so intent on ramping up spending and debt levels. The prices are borderline too low. We are seeing this in many types of commodities, recently. Lithium was in the news recently, also nickel.

      • Mike Jones says:

        To the MOON…right Fast Eddie?
        IM-1 ‘Odysseus’ lander on track to Moon landing on Friday morning
        https://cosmosmagazine.com/space/im-1-odysseus-lander-on-track-to-moon-landing-on-friday-morning/
        Intuitive Machines is poised to undertake its Moon landing at the end of this week, with its journey to the lunar surface proceeding without major issue.
        The ‘Odysseus’ Nova-C lander can start its landing procedures from 9.49am AEDT Friday 23 February (5.49pm USET Thursday 22 February).
        It’s scheduled to land near the Malapert A crater in the Moon’s southern polar region.
        …As with NASA’s Apollo missions, the CSIRO’s Murriyang radio telescope at Parkes in NSW,New South Wales,will receive data from the spacecraft throughout its exploration.
        Too funny, right where Fast Eddie is moving to boot..

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Where are the astronauts?

          How do you charge a battery in -60C on Mars and fly a chopper?

          Why doesn’t Pooty throttle back on the gas to the EU?

          • Mike Jones says:

            Stay tuned…it’s all live and will be televised for your pleasure…The time is posted to the article..
            Seeing is believing

            • Fast Eddy says:

              The Russians apparently did this long ago https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moon_landing Or maybe not.

              I look forward to the CGI — hopefully it’s better than the Indian one…

              BTW – how did they charge the helicopter battery in -60C on Mars? That looked very real … but it was obviously fake… cuz charging a battery in even moderate cold weather — is impossible.

              How does a helicopter fly when the atmosphere is 1% that of Earth

              Please answer. Please

            • ivanislav says:

              “How do you charge a battery at -60C”

              According to a video I watched a while back, there is CO2 insulating gas between the battery pack and the exterior and most of the battery energy goes to maintaining temperature overnight. During the day it’s not so cold, I guess.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              Ah right some clown on a video making stuff up…

              Does he also explain how you get lift in an atmosphere 1% that of Earth? That is even more ridiculous…. the rotors would have to spin at the speed of sound… imagine the drain on the battery!!

              hahaha.. don’t be so f789ing gullible… it’s nonsense…

              Meanwhile remember this? Note the pieces that are falling off hahaha

              https://i.pinimg.com/originals/2b/07/e6/2b07e6acd2c53c3a5f8a911121015059.jpg

              GAWD….

            • ivanislav says:

              >> Does he also explain how you get lift in an atmosphere 1% that of Earth?

              Eddy, you’re repeating back to me my own past statements from other threads.

  24. I AM THE MOB says:

    NY Atorney General says she’s prepared to seize Trump’s buildings if he can’t pay his $354M civil fraud fine

    https://abcnews.go.com/US/letitia-james-shes-prepared-seize-trumps-assets-pay/story?id=107381482

    No golfing where Trump’s headed. Bubba may sink a few balls mind you.

  25. Fast Eddy says:

    Has anyone noticed that the canal is no longer in the ‘news’?

    Funny how it just went away like that

    Same with Ukey…

    Same with the Tranny Freak stuff…

    Same with the hacking off of the kids body parts…

    It’s a cycle … and the MOREONS demand new entertainment

    • Withnail says:

      Has anyone noticed that the canal is no longer in the ‘news’?

      The canal wasn’t in the news. A British registered cargo ship was hit by a missile a couple of days ago in the Gulf of Aden though and the Houthis shot down a US Reaper drone.

      • ivanislav says:

        The ship wasn’t merely hit, it was sunk.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        It’s like the UKEY war… a few bits and pieces here and there… just to remind the gullible fools that they didn’t just flick off the switch … as usual zero evidence… just have AI write up a fake story over at the Ministry of Truth … and pump it out…

        No more front page headlines though… that opp will fade away… like the Trannies in the schools… and nobody will remember…

        War of the Worlds. Listen to it… how stoopid they were to believe that .. right?

        Hey Pootie is upset cuz NATO is trying to park on his border — he feels that danger… in fact he sees that as a direct threat to Russia…

        Yet he doesn’t use his best weapon… the gas throttle.

        And nobody here can explain why not… Duh

  26. Fast Eddy says:

    Say wut???? https://sheldonyakiwchuk.substack.com/p/holy-shit

    I’ll sell my pure sugar free energized by supplement blood to a Vaxxer… 10k per pint

    norm – for you — 20k…

    keith … poor keith .. vax ruined keith … we told you didn’t we keith … (keith can read OFW but has lost he ability to type)… now look at you … totally f789ed… beyond repair… off to the junk yard with keith — bury him under the dead solar panels

    • Withnail says:

      I’d like to buy 8 pints of your blood please, all in one go.

    • Mike Jones says:

      Eddie, a HOST of famous folks have medical conditions …

      The Many Hidden Health Challenges of Different Celebrities
      by Paige Reed

      Deep within the glamorous world of celebrities, behind the dazzling lights and red carpets, lies a realm of secrets that we all hold close to our hearts. Beneath their star-studded personas, these famous figures are, at their core, just ordinary individuals navigating life’s twists and turns. Like the rest of us, they grapple with daily tribulations and health concerns, yet their lives often play out under the unforgiving scrutiny of the public eye. Whether you’re wrestling with your own health issues or merely intrigued by the lives of the rich and famous, this compilation promises to be an eye-opening journey, unveiling surprises that linger behind the curtain of fame.
      https://excellenttown.com/celeb-health-is/35/

      Bookmark this ….you are welcomed, Bro😜

      • Fast Eddy says:

        If I was running the PR Team this is exactly the type of story I would plant … so that the MOREONS would read it and rather than being alarmed by the endless list of celebrity bad health and death …. I’d instead dismiss them as — everyone gets sick and dies …even young celebrities like Bieber and so on …

        Nothing to see here…

        Then I would go get caught up on my Rat Juice vaxxes.

        Cuz this is what a MOREON would do

    • Red Cross won’t take your blood if you have had a Covid vaccine in the last 12 months. It isn’t clear to me if this is nationwide, or a local restriction.

      I would say “hurray” for the Red Cross. The system doesn’t need blood from people who have recently had covid vaccines. It would be hard to get enough donations if all people who received vaccinations were excluded.

  27. Fast Eddy says:

    UK housing market sees first value drop in a decade. The total value of all homes across the UK has dipped for the first time since 2012. According to figures by Savills, the total value of UK homes now stands at £8.678 trillion. The analysis of the UK’s housing stock reveals that the total value has fallen marginally on 2022 – when values peaked – but remains £1.585 trillion higher than before the pandemic (2019). According to Savills, the value falls, were concentrated mainly in the south. The total value of London’s housing stock decreased by -£39.3 billion (-2.1%), while the South East, South West and East of England saw a combined -£16.5 billion (-0.5%) fall.

    https://www.property118.com/uk-housing-market-sees-first-value-drop-in-a-decade/

  28. Lastcall says:

    There has been many references to the elite and who rues the world.
    Been waiting for some pointers but none arrived; so I did my own research.

    Here they are.

    https://www.allreligionsareone.org/who%20runs%20the%20world.html

    A Saturnian cult that rules a wide range of cults and religions who, sometimes unknowingly, worship the black sun Saturn. It governs monotheïstic religions, the Catholic Church, the entire political and financial system, the entire entertainment industry. The jesuits have always infiltrated and trained their puppets through their education system (all big names in politics, in every country are educated at jesuit schools).

    https://www.allreligionsareone.org/Elite%20families.html

    The elite, the cult of Saturn (El) rules the whole planet. Modern day success stories of successfull entrepreneurs like Jeff Bezos, Steve Jobs, Bill Gates, Elon Musk, Warren Buffett, Richard Branson are propaganda, as they are mere actors to maintain the facade of a free market, open society. Like pop stars of the music industry, they serve as a programming to let the slaves believe they can become the same rags-to-riches success story, if they just keep reading their biographies with tips and secrets to success.

    The nordic Draco-Orion bloodlines became the pharaoh’s of Egypt, the Phoenicians, the emperors of Babylon, the emperors of the Roman Empire and the Merovingians.

  29. Fast Eddy says:

    I hope ya’ll are entertained… cuz that is what this is… everything is fake / entertainment … like watching a sports contest

    https://www.zerohedge.com/political/watch-pelosi-goes-unhinged-rant-about-trump-being-blackmailed-putin

  30. MG says:

    We will live in the world with the heaps of rotting equipment, devices, cars, solar panels, wind turbines, empty houses etc., as there will be no one to repair, dismantle and scrap them.

    • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

      true, these will add to landfill, and centuries from now Mother Nature will have grown on and around it all.

      but for now and a decade or two forward, The Core will keep consuming new stuff in high amounts.

      pedal to the metal.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      they will eventually turn to dust

    • Withnail says:

      We will live in the world with the heaps of rotting equipment, devices, cars, solar panels, wind turbines, empty houses etc

      And the skeletons

    • Kadmon says:

      Maybe God Loves watching ‘Wreaking Balls’ and so created US in His image
      Humans are high entropy creating beings, that SMASH!!! KABOOM!! and BAM along the path of least resistance and low moral attainment.

      Earth limits us.
      Otherwise we’d cause The energy death of the Universe.
      Good God Knows a thing or two about low hanging fruit.

    • Mike Jones says:

      Future Archaeologists have a lot of material to work with then,
      That will be a bright field to major in for ’employment”.
      I’m doing my part..leaving a massive legacy for them , hope it is appreciated.
      Right, Klum?

    • Sounds like entropy at work.

  31. Tim Groves says:

    Mike Yeadon writes about a new interview with Sasha Latypova:

    I confess that I rarely watch lengthy interviews these days.

    While there’s often something I’d not heard before, the frequency with which I learn something that’s both new AND important is now too low to justify the amount of time consumed in the hope of gems.

    However, I’d not listened to an interview with Sasha Latypova because she’s already given many, thorough interviews. This one I recommend a listen.

    She’s made a deduction that I’d missed. If you’re short on time, 44min onwards contains some ideas new to me.

    It doesn’t change anything much except for the anticipated duration of toxicity, if you were affected, post-injection.

    She speculates that transfecting recipients via circular bacterial plasmid DNA was always the objective & that the mRNA narrative was chosen as more likely to fool even most healthcare and pharma R&D people.

    That detail aside, this interview is typically full of well supported statements. Good for Advanced Level conspiracy realists.

    Best wishes,

    Mike

    Spoiler alert! Sasha doesn’t mention Fast Eddy at all in this otherwise fine interview.

    https://rumble.com/v4ebpp0-lead-me-in-your-truth-an-interview-with-sasha-latypova

    • lurker says:

      thanks for posting that, Tim. short version is that transfection damages people’s genomes (hence all the turbo cancers in particular) in novel and unpredictable ways over variable time periods, thereby making it hard to link cause and effect.

      • Therefore, vaccine cannot be blamed for the problems people are having.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          This is a good thing cuz the MOREONS never connect the dots so they keep on shooting and they keep on dying hahahahaha… This is a perpetual doom loop for them … they cannot escape … hahahahaha

          More Deaths please.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      Isn’t amazing how Sasha had no profile when she first came Onto the Scene… out of nowhere…

      Then she dropped DOD revelations… where did she get those? Surely they would be highly classified…

      And she continues to operate this Limited Hangout on SS… drink $400 bottles of wine … ski in Aspen … own a vineyard property in Bordeaux… and hurl homophobic insults at anyone who suggests that the end of cheap oil is behind all of this …

      Hardly the behaviour of someone with any sort of gravitas… and more in line with someone who is a MOREON and who has been recruited from Out Back a Dumpster … to work with the PR Team fronting as a Thought Leader.

      • Tim Groves says:

        Interestingly, Sasha’s been talking with Jane Ruby about her career and how she and Catherine Watt ferreted out the DOD information, which is not classified as Top Secret, but merely buried among mountains of official documents where very few people would bother to look.

        Sasha and Jane also discuss how to separate the genuine truth diggers from the crisis agents and phonies in the medical freedom movement and, indeed, any anti-establishment movement.

        The most important takeaways from that chat is that there is controlled opposition contingent and there is also a genuine opposition, and it is possible to distinguish them if you have a discriminating palate that can tell the difference between $400 Bordeaux and $10 Albanian plonk, or indeed the linguistic knowledge and sense required to distinguish between a palate, a palette, and a pallet.

        https://rumble.com/v4ee920-after-talk-with-sasha-latypova-identifying-controlled-opposition.html

        • One point she makes is that the real truth is radical. People who only want a bigger following will try for a more “moderate” version of the truth.

          • Tim Groves says:

            Thanks for making the effort to browse that video, Gail.

            Certainly, your truth about our energy depletion issue is far too radical for most people to entertain. You don’t sugarcoat the message to make it taste less bitter, do you?

            Sasha also shares her view, ten minutes in, about many of “the leaders” of “the movement” complaining that people like her and Jane are divisive and weakening the movement by not staying on message.

            “Watch for the word unity.” Sasaha says. “There is definitely an intelligence campaign that has been set up with the keyword ‘unity’. I’ve seen the trolls, I’ve seen the prominent (smiles) freedom movement leadership using that word all the time—accusing us of ‘Oh, you are splintering the movement. We need unity.’ And unity is significantly overrated (Jane laughs at this bit!) It’s a way to control people.”

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Hmmm… so she just got her hands on mountains of info … and found the pea.

          I find this very hard to believe…

          I suspect she was handed the info … because she is controlled opposition

          Her drunken rant from a few weeks ago – and her antagonistic response to the energy issue … does not correlate with someone who spends countless hours digging through piles of info

          Oh and where did she find time to do that given she is skiing and mountain biking and enjoying her great wealth….

          Beggars belief….

          • Tim Groves says:

            Of course, all kinds of people MIGHT be feeding her all kinds of information for all kinds of reasons.

            And of course, she MIGHT be presenting the right information for the wrong reasons or the wrong information for the right reasons.

            And then again, she MIGHT not be.

            She is clear that she performs due diligence on the information she gets before passing it on. She vouches for it with her reputation. If it turns out to be BS, her reputation will be toast.

            She’s really big on due diligence. Her main Substack is called Due Diligence and Art.

            She has a second Substack dedicated to art. It’s called Art Without Due Diligence.

            In one post entitled On Learning to See, she starts with three quotations:

            There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see. ”
            – Leonardo da Vinci

            Beyond a doubt truth bears the same relation to falsehood as light to darkness. ”
            – Leonardo da Vinci

            Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication. ”
            – Leonardo da Vinci

            She comments: “I have a t-shirt with the last of the 3 quotes on it. I acquired it in Florence, Italy while studying Russian Academic drawing method in Sergei Chubirko’s studio and here over the winter and spring of 2017-2018.”

            https://allaprima.substack.com/p/on-learning-to-see

            It’s understandable she doesn’t understand the energy issue as she hasn’t done her due diligence on that. Her professional field was pharmaceuticals testing (although not vaccines). I would tend to cut her some slack on that. How many so-called experts in energy simply just don’t get it?

            I like the way she deals with detractors—reminds me of how the stricter school mistresses dealt with naughty pupils when I was in primary school. Not being a native English speaker, she can come across a bit blunter than Gail, who manages to be firm when without insulting anyone, even when they deserve it.

            Sasha—to use an old expression we used to hear in England—has an edge on her tongue. She doesn’t suffer fools either gladly or at all. And she doesn’t respect people who disrespect her. That doesn’t make her controlled opposition.

            She’s been consistently anti-jab since before the COVID jabs were brought out—while the likes of Malone and Kirsch were happily rolling up their arms and Bret Weinstein was wearing a bandana to protect himself from the plague.

            She’s that very rare commentator—sensible, well-informed, consistent and concerned without being either neurotic or hysterical—and I think, on the whole, honest.

  32. n15 says:

    Gail, the correction should be that it’s methane-compressed fuel. Not fossil fuels. That being said EROIE decline still applies to deeper drilling. There’s 4.5 billion years worth of uranium in the ocean, it just needs to be refined. https://youtu.be/E7IdLzxzINw?si=Wr8_SGEavVbTat9L

  33. Fast Eddy says:

    M Fast has 3 friends here picking up some stuff that we are discarding prior to the Big Exit… all of them are 4x Rat Juiced… ALL of them are sniffling with The Sickness..

    VAIDS.

    • Lastcall says:

      Same same.
      Just been on weeks holiday at beach; fine warm, sunny…you know, summer.
      And the one to get sick during our holiday been jabbed.

      Wasn’t until we got home that the news came thru that tested positive for Convid; for the 4th time.

      No cure for the summertime Flues!

  34. Fast Eddy says:

    I was in the gym earlier … and noticed a couple of women who go through the motions and remain flabby… no doubt they are fans of KFC and Soda…

    And I was thinking … you know how sometimes you try to change someone … e.g. convince a drunkard to stop boozing… convince an obese person to stop with the KFC Soda … convince a smoker to give it up….

    And how that never works….

    That’s cuz we are in a simulation — you cannot change what was meant to be…

    ‘A person has to want to change for them to change’ is nonsense… they also have no control… the simulation decides

    These are the sort of things that Fast Eddy and his 1500HP ponder…. you might call it genius … but to HIM … it’s just another day at the office as a visionary/messiah

    • ivanislav says:

      Sounds like you missed your chance to spit game and bag a woman well-prepared to ride out the Global Holodomor.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        the thing is…

        I may have changed my mind on Global Holodomor… cuz the unvaxxed chickens all died… and we are all unvaxxed.. even norm

        However it might be a good hedge to round up some Plough Hogs and cage them… get yourself some Real Big Fat Sows… with buffalo buttocks… good eatin.

        • nikoB says:

          Mareks won’t occurt with covid because the vaccines don’t work like the Mareks vaccines do. The pressure won’t be on unvaxxed immune systems as we are utilising NK cells not B and T cell antibody responses.

          • Fast Eddy says:

            And how do you know that?

            I smell wishful thinking….

            • nikoB says:

              The mareks vaccine in chickens actually works while modifying the immune response. Covid vaccines don’t work as you can still get the disease and it modifies the immune system in ways that are not beneficial to the injected.

              Lots of papers coming out to show why immune systems of the vaxxed are getting smashed and becoming susceptible to more respiratory diseases.

              You don’t really care anyway as it is all fake. Just a simulation that can be changed at will.

              Year of the dragon FE how many predictions of yours that failed to show up are we up to now?

              Can’t wait to hear what the new one is. We should set up a betting shop on predictions here at OFW.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              You mock… yet you know we are on the precipice of total permanent collapse…

              Would serve the mockers right if UEP failed… and you get to watch your family get gang raped then roasted alive … before the bad guys turn on you.

              I don’t think you’ll be doing much mocking if the Elders fail with the extermination – and that’s the end game for ya’ll… cuz that is the end game.

              Ya’ll should be praying for a Marek’s like outcome. Less suffering is your thing

            • nikoB says:

              like all of us we take our chances.

        • They can’t be expecting the death of the un-injected, else why would they still be mandating the injections (where I live) for children, state employees, and permanent immigrants)?

          • Fast Eddy says:

            The more people who inject the Rat Juice… the greater the chances of a Marek’s like outcome…. they need mutation factories…

            Eventually Ding Ding Ding — Jack Pot!

    • no wonder ladies feel raptured when they see you eddy

    • Schopenhauer: “A man can do what he wills, but not will what he wills.”

      “Der Mensch kann zwar tun, was er will, aber er kann nicht wollen, was er will.”

  35. Wet My Beak says:

    American president; leader of the free world:

    https://youtu.be/QAZTFuVVBeg?si=yC3PDs_0_NlH2Q7p

      • Wet My Beak says:

        Time to call in the sicarios.

        They shoot horses don’t they?

        • Fast Eddy says:

          The reason that Biden pretends to be a walking corpse… is the same reason they put tranny freaks in classrooms flashing their sacks while parents clapped along… why they had large gay men in parades in g-strings …. the same reason they keep charging Trump and Hunter but nothing ever comes of any of this…

          It’s called Operation Shi.t Show…

          Biden plays mentally ill shaking hands with ghosts (even though there is no mental illness that would cause anyone to do this)…. he is senile sometimes but then lucid… it’s fake. He is acting…

          The point of all of this is D-Moralization … the world has been turned upside down… freaks in classrooms — an incoherent POTUS etc etc… it is all fake…

          Throw Trump (fake hair – fake tan … ranting lunatic — who just so happened to support the Vax — yet he’s put forward as the saviour by A Vaxxers) …

          And you have nothing less than a completely insane Sh.it Show…

          Did I mention obviously fake contraptions from India and Japan landing on the moon? That adds to the insanity

    • Lastcall says:

      Too funny and the reason they don’t want parables taught at Kindergarten…

      ‘Everyone in the streets and the windows said, “Oh, how fine are the Emperor’s new clothes! Don’t they fit him to perfection? And see his long train!” Nobody would confess that he couldn’t see anything, for that would prove him either unfit for his position, or a fool.’

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Emperor%27s_New_Brave New World warns of the dangers of giving the state control over new and powerful technologies.

      Oh what a world that has such democrats in it…

      Shakepeare be damned.

  36. Agamemnon says:

    Cap Allon has a sub stack. You have to pay for full access but I was able to view
    The remarkable wolves clip.
    Poor Hoolio is missing the fun.

    https://electroverse.substack.com/p/chinas-big-freeze-expands-south-takes?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2

  37. drb753 says:

    Andreas Brehme dead at 63. Scored the winning goal in the 1990 World Cup.

    • Student says:

      It was a sudden heart attack.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        Dying like flies.. or like cockroaches when I stomp on them … cept cackroaches make a cracking sound

        F789ing id iots

      • drb753 says:

        Paolo Rossi died at 64 just before the vaccines hit (it was a turbo-cancer). But Brehme is a likely vaccine casualty. He lived a nice life. After having played for Inter many years, he had retired to Lake Garda.

  38. moss says:

    Last month a thread on the recent “collapse of China” was sparked by a Sino hit-piece from the cash machine pen of William Engdhal, of whom I’d never heard. Last week I came across him listed as a commenter of world ranking! And now the same writer is being planted here again, same referrant
    According to a ranking conducted this year by the University of Mexico, the 9 most read world geopolitical analysts in 2023 are:
    1 – Thierry Meyssan (Voltaire Network)
    2 – Alexandre Dougine (Fudan University)
    3 – Alfredo Jalife-Rahme (La Jornada)
    4 – Pepe Escobar (Russia Today)
    5 – Daniel Estulin
    6 – F. William Engdhal (Engdahl Strategic Risk Consulting)
    7 – Gideon Rachman (Financial Times)
    8 – Robert D. Kaplan (Foreign Policy Research Institute)
    9 – Parag Khanna (University of Singapore)

    voltairenet.org/article220389.html

    Since the old days at Asia Times, close to two decades, I’ve regularly read Escobar and for almost as long Meyssan. Robert Kaplan, of course we all know and envy as the cookie monster’s accomplice, but not a regular reading source for one so beneath the salt as me. Cough … Foreign Affairs.
    The other “analysts” all unknown to me. Am I blind to more genius?
    When seeing a cloud of flies arise from some waste we are tempted to wonder whether popularity is a measure of anything

    • Popularity may have to do with repeating the currently popular narrative being sponsored by the power that be. Whether or not it is correct is another question.

    • drb753 says:

      I don’t think Engdahl is bad compared to this list although I do not know them all. Meyssan is probably the best of the lot.

      • Art Lepic says:

        Thierry Meyssan used to be my boss and I still consider him as a friend. Very smart and gentle person, genuinely interested in connecting the dots.

        Yet, strangely, he’s given credit to the abiotic (abiogenic) oil theory without even looking into the basic geological facts.

        • Dennis says:

          Never understood where all the hydrocarbons on planets/moons other than earth came from – no apparent dinosaurs.

          Dennis L.

        • moss says:

          I’ve immense respect for his courage in telling what he consideres the truth, Art, on my part but mixed feelings about some of his positions. He’s certainly lived a precarious life and I hope one day he publishes his journals or autobiog. I’m surprised he’s still around. Here is a very worthwhile recent interview he did
          voltairenet.org/article220436.html

          Today, many world leaders realize that they are no different from the Na z!s and they bring the same horrors. The Third World is now educated and a member of the United Nations. It can no longer support the power of these people … It seems to me that this system of governance is already dead. At the United Nations, the annual resolution calling for an end to the blockade of Cuba was adopted by 197 States to 2 (the United States and Israel). 153 States adopted the resolution for an immediate and lasting ceasefire in Gaza. It’s a little less, but the stakes are much higher. Nevertheless we can see that a majority is emerging against the policies of these people. When the dam breaks – and we’re getting close to that moment, the political West will collapse. We absolutely must detach ourselves from this raft before it sinks.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          That’s a symptom of stooopidity … abiotic hahahahaha… surely he has noticed that most countries are well past peak production … duh

  39. Fast Eddy says:

    Sent: haveyoursay@bbc.co.uk

    https://www.bbc.com/news/entertainment-arts-68346057

    What was the cause of death? He looks very healthy – could it have been the Covid Vaccine?

    So many athletes celebrities and young people are dying suddenly. So sad.

  40. MikeJones says:

    Miami-Dade begins historic parking facility, infrastructure, and maintenance project at MIA
    BY CAROLINA BORGES, JORDAN SEGUNDO

    MIAMI INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, FLA. (WSVN) – Known as the “magic city,” living in Miami is undoubtedly a delightful experience, but navigating through its airport has posed some challenges for locals and tourists alike.

    The Miami International Airport (MIA) is set to undergo a change as it breaks ground on an historic parking facility, infrastructure and maintenance project on Tuesday.

    “We’re very excited this morning,” said Director of MIA, Ralph Gutierrez in a press release on Sunday.

    “It is critical that we keep this global gateway running effectively,” said Miami-Dade County Mayor Daniella Levine Cava.

    In 2023, approximately 52.3 million people went through MIA, which was an 11% growth from 2022. Projections estimate 74 million travelers passing through MIA by 2040.

    “Unfortunately, this powerful economic engine has been at the center of decades of neglected maintenance. But no more,” said Levine Cava.
    …The project savings from this project will put us on the map to be one of the most energy-efficient airports in the country,” said Mayor Levine Cava.

    The need for these investments arises from years of deferred maintenance at MIA, leading to the shutdown of the sky train and non-functional elevators.

    Mayor Levine Cava addressed the delays.

    “Full replacement. That does take time. In other words, they could not be repaired. So they were not adequately maintained, they are too old. They — It was kicked to the curb, if you will,” explained the Miami-Dade mayor.

    Most energy efficient in the country…

    • Karl Hubbard says:

      “Energy efficient.” The new “selling it.” I suspose the airport is going to install geothermic powered catapaults to launch the jets to their destination to save on kerosene?

    • As long as money is readily available to borrow, even at a relatively high interest rate, there are going to be groups out willing to spend the money. If the group can claim to be “energy efficient,” so much the better. No one stops to think over what long period the payback would need to take place, or whether there will be jet fuel for the planes planning to use the airport. It is a way of increasing entropy–also, using up scarce resources, and providing jobs to people.

  41. It is possible that today’s winners, having survived the Crunch in their bunkers, remote islands and oceangoing yachts and returning with a vengeance after most of the hoi polloi have perished, will evolve into a new species which can no longer be called humans.

    The new species, which I will call Transhumans for the lack of better name, will be much more inimical, efficient and emotionless.

    Partly or wholly augmented by AI and all that, the Transhumans will conquer the universe, enslave aliens and become Type III Civilization, playing with galaxies like poker chips.

    Of course none of the people who are not today’s winners will have to worry about this since they would be long extinct by that point of time.

  42. Fast Eddy says:
    February 19, 2024 at 12:14 am

    The Elders still rule the world… notice their ability to add trillions of dollars of new debt without anyone making the slightest peep.

    Kulm says

    Yes, and that is what runs the world

    Some people are under the delusion that things can be changed. I don’t think so. It is very possible that the domination of today’s winners will be permanent, with them evolving into a new species, with nothing for the rest.

    • Fast Eddy says:

      The Elders will run the show … till the very end of UEP… and they will die… along with the rest of us…

      Extinction … is Extinction… you can never be partly extinct

      • In parts of the world, civilization can be extinct, but not in other parts of the world. There are living hunter-gatherers, today, in small numbers, for example.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          For the first time in history … man is faced with Spent Fuel Ponds spewing cancer-causing toxins for thousands of years…

          This time… is different

          • Withnail says:

            As I said, irrelevant. They won’t kill off humans.

          • Mike Jones says:

            But Eddie..Nature always find a way..
            Wolves in the Chernobyl radiation zone developing resistance to cancer, says study
            Rebecca Rommen Feb 10, 2024, 10:46 AM EST
            https://www.businessinsider.com/chernobyl-wolves-resistant-to-cancer-despite-high-radiation-exposure-2024-2
            Chernobyl wolves are growing resistant to cancer despite their high radiation exposure.
            The wolves are exposed to six times the legal safety limit of radiation for humans.
            Decades after the nuclear disaster, wolves are showing genetic dispositions to cancer resistance.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              Wolves don’t shop in super markets… and Chernobyl did not involve spent fuel ponds.

              Starvation + toxins = extinction for any humans that survive UEP.

              One report from Sankei News said that there are over 700 fuel assemblies stored in one pool at Fukushima. If they all caught fire, radioactive particles—including those lasting for as long as a decade—would be released into the air and eventually contaminate the land or, worse, be inhaled by people. “To me, the spent fuel is scarier. All those spent fuel assemblies are still extremely radioactive,” Dalnoki-Veress says.

  43. raviuppal4 says:

    Oil inventories are at historic lows and the media tells us about flooding and excess oil. What is the truth ?
    https://futurocienciaficcionymatrix.blogspot.com/2024/02/los-inventarios-de-petroleo-estan-en.html
    Use Google translate .

      • drb753 says:

        6Mbpd is a 7.4% decline. That is a very high rate. at this rate we get to halving world oil production in less than 10 years. Has Davidinadecade been alerted?

        • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

          my region is USA and Canada, and production is up to 19+ mbpd.

          we should revisit this data in 2025.

          I have marked my calendar.

        • raviuppal4 says:

          Apologize for not putting things in context . The current decline rate is about 2% . That means that a loss of 1.6-2.0 mbpd is baked in . However this decline rate has been maintained by a high rate of infill drilling and water flooding the reservoirs . Saudi Arabia had a decline rate of 8% before they started infill drilling .These reservoirs are now approaching ” end of life” . Since they all started at once they will decline also simultaneously . Further the growth since the last 10 years is only shale oil . This growth was exponential so decline is expected to be exponential . This will accelerate the decline rate . Here is the latest report on the decline rates in the shale basin . The Red Queen effect .
          https://www.oilystuff.com/forumstuff/forum-stuff/good-news
          http://theoildrum.com/node/2429?nocomments

          • Fast Eddy says:

            I get giddy reading this stuff… real giddy …

            • raviuppal4 says:

              Let us make it simple :
              “Global oil supply is sufficient now, but natural declines at oilfields mean that the world would need to find a Saudi Arabia every two years to offset these production drops, Saudi Aramco’s chief financial officer Ziad Al-Murshed has said. ”
              ——————————————-
              Saudi has been screaming for about three years now that the shit is about to hit the fan. And if anybody should know, they should know. Saudi Arabia is seeing its fields decline to near the end of their lives. They are panicking. If Saudi is panicking and you are not, then there is something you just do not understand.—-Ron Patterson
              ——————————————-
              Now must get busy looking for a new KSA every two years ; 😂

      • There is lots of very heavy oil and lots of potential oil from shale in parts of the world other than the US. But extraction costs would be very high. It is basically unaffordable oil. It looks like it is there, but it really isn’t. We don’t need new discoveries; we need a way to get the oil we know about out, inexpensively (in other words, with low energy use and low other resource use).

      • ivanislav says:

        I don’t see the full quote in context, so I imagine they are talking about decline of existing wells, not accounting for the drilling of new wells. So net production is still stable/flat.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        As referenced on the front page:
        http://peakoil.com/production/hsbc-glob … ember-2016
        and the download link for the paper:
        https://t.co/d38JmCPLkx

        I’ve just read half of it (it’s a 54 page report), but it’s 1A doomer porn. Well, maybe not doomer porn per se but it summarizes the current state of global oil production. Which is gloomy (does that make it gloomer porn?).

        The paper doesn’t put forward any new arguments, or at least none that folks here are not familiar with, but IMO it does a good job of putting together the medium-term PO narrative and supporting it with facts, instead of just hyping the shales or focusing on overflowing inventories. A few highlights:

        “81% of world liquids production is already in decline (excluding future redevelopments).

        Even in a world of slower oil demand growth, we think the oil industry’s biggest long-term challenge is to offset declines in production from mature fields. The scale of this issue is such that in our view rather there could well be a global supply squeeze some time before we are realistically looking at global demand peaking.

        World decline rates have been slowly increasing: for instance, non-OPEC giant fields that peaked in the 2000’s are declining at ~10% p.a., vs <5% for fields that peaked in the 1970’s. This deterioration reflects several factors including the diminishing size of new giant fields, deteriorating geology and finally the impact of technology.

        Secondary and tertiary recovery (IOR/EOR) techniques play a crucial role in the oil supply equation and help to support global oil output, particularly for large fields where they are more frequently applied.

        However, studies show that technology not only increases reservoir recovery rates, but also brings production forward in order to keep output relatively flat. This leads to higher decline rates at the back end of the curve, once all the “tricks in the book” have been exhausted and fields actually start declining.

        Based to our analysis of Wood Mackenzie data covering 15,500 fields, the average size of new field start-ups has dropped significantly from over a billion barrels in the 1960’s to ~250mbbls in the 1980’s to just 75mbbls this decade.

        The size of oil discoveries has also been steadily diminishing over the years, fully consistent with our earlier findings on field start-ups. Oil fields typically start up within 5-15 years of discovery, so trends related to discoveries should simply anticipate those for producing fields with a time lag. According to Wood Mackenzie, the average size of oil discoveries has steadily declined over time and reached an all-time low in 2015 of just 24mmbbls of oil resources per discovery well. For context, this compares to 340mbbls in the 1960’s and 180mbbls in the 1970’s, and is equivalent to 18% of the historical annual average since 1960.

        When looking at exploration activity in aggregate rather than at the individual discovery level, we also observe that: 1) the number of exploration wells spudded has dropped markedly in the last couple of years, and 2) the exploration success rate has plummeted to an all-time low of 5%. As a result, the absolute amount of oil discovered fell to just 2.7bnbbls, 9% of the historical average."

        If you haven't read it, it's definitely worth your time.

        https://peakoil.com/forums/viewtopic.php?t=73144&p=1344783

    • Agamemnon says:

      We’ll be the last to know.
      This reserve list is worthless but I wouldn’t be surprised if usaoil moved to Venezuela that it would still be the #1 producer.
      It shows usa 10th but it’s 1st in production.
      I also won’t be surprised if we fall over the cliff after fracking.
      https://howmuch.net/articles/worlds-biggest-crude-oil-reserves-by-country

      • davidinamonthorayearoradecade says:

        yes as fracking declines, I would expect that the USA will be ramping up a cooperative oil business with Venezuela.

        I assume the major benefactor of that relationship will be obvious.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        True – they would never tell us that we are f789ed

        Instead they will regale us with tales of solar panels and EVS… did I mention only total MOREONS buy EVs?

        Yep

    • Translation starts:

      A few days ago I commented on the difference between the rhetoric of the media, conveniently managed by governments and institutions, and the reality of the data .

      In the case of oil, they have given new meaning to this point.

      They tell us for weeks that there is plenty of oil, that the market is flooded with supply from the US, Guyana, Brazil, Canada and that prices must sink to $50 in the near future, because more supply is coming , while demand sinks as a result of the electric car.

      Just a few days later, the February monthly report from the IEA (International Energy Agency) gives us a completely different view.

      Low oil inventories tell a different story.

      The issue is a lack of demand, not a lack of supply.

      Demand is added through a different mechanism than most people understand. It is added through promises (like added debt) that get back to the many poor people of the world through higher wages or through social benefits. Adding debt and other promises that only get back to the top 1% doesn’t help. Driving up to a gas station and honking a person’s horn doesn’t work. The problem is the many poor people of the world not being able to afford housing and food, simultaneously. They cut back on demand for goods and services, and this leads to low oil prices.

  44. MikeJones says:

    These 10 states saw the greatest increase
    Homeowners insurance rates have risen dramatically, according to an analysis by Bankrate.

    The average premium in February 2024 is about $141 a month for a home with $250,000 worth of dwelling insurance. That represents a 23% increase from January 2023.

    Louisiana
    Average premium in February 2024: $270.50
    Increase from January 2023: 63%
    Nebraska
    Average premium in February 2024: $395.41
    Increase from January 2023: 61%
    Colorado
    Average premium in February 2024: 267.67
    Increase from January 2023: 49%
    Arizona
    Average premium in February 2024: $148.17
    Increase from January 2023: 40%
    Utah
    Average premium in February 2024: $82.92
    Increase from January 2023: 37%
    Illinois
    Average premium in February 2024: $158
    Increase from January 2023: 35%
    District of Columbia
    Average premium in February 2024: $99.17
    Increase from January 2023: 33%
    North Dakota
    Average premium in February 2024: $209.92
    Increase from January 2023: 33%
    Arkansas
    Average premium in February 2024: $234.08
    Increase from January 2023: 32%
    Kansas
    Average premium in February 2024: $4,072
    Increase from January 202: 32%

    Not a problem for many..they moved into a tent for their golden years..largest rise in homelessness is for retired seniors in cities like San Diego…

    • I have been asked to give a 75 minute talk to the Casualty Actuarial Society at its May meeting in Atlanta on the topic “Beware: The World Economy Is Beginning to Shrink.” I have spoken quite a few times to Casualty Actuarial Society groups in the past, but these talks have been to smaller “breakout” groups, or to local groups.

      The unstable prices are a big reason that they would like me to speak.

      • Retired Librarian says:

        Go Gail! They are lucky to get you.🤗

        • MikeJones says:

          Yes they are indeed! Betcha she will cheer up those at this meeting…they just love “Casualty” talk..and Gail will provide them with just what they want to 🙉 hear.
          Have a nice time in Atlanta.
          Used to visit there decades ago working for Eastern Airlines, which had a major Hub with Delta Airlines there.
          Can’t imagine how much more the city and it’s surrounding areas have grown since then.

      • dobbs says:

        Don’t hide the central point that
        “DOOM IS UPON THEM”
        As catabolic contraction picks up its pace, on average all investments will lose value. Thier basic business model is now untenable. you can delay it a little bit by focusing on necessities and dropping all investments for discretionary expenditures.

        You do not invest expecting a profit anymore,
        you invest to maintain access to whatever that business produces.

      • Dennis L. says:

        It would be nice if we could hear a delayed broadcast of this talk.

        Dennis L.

      • Fast Eddy says:

        75 minutes??? Instead shorten it to 5 seconds… Ya’ll are f789ed. Which way to the buffet?

    • David says:

      These figures seem extortionate. I pay about £140 per year.

      • MikeJones says:

        Just received not our homers policy will be terminated in June..we do not meet travelers policy guidelines for the roof.

        It’s older than ten years and it is common practice here to drop policy holders. Many with older homes are being blacklisted.

        If you don’t own your home outright you need to be picked up by the Florida State run insurer Citizens. They are shedding their numbers too.

        It’s a real crisis here

        • The church I attend found out that its “package” policy is being non-renewed by Church Mutual. I am supposed to hear a presentation on Thursday on the progress on finding another insurance company to provide the coverage.

          The alleged reason that the church is being non-renewed is “excessive claims.” The church has had exactly one claim in over 20 years. It occurred several years ago, leading to the insurance company providing the church with a new roof. The previous roof was quite old and needed to be replaced, so this outcome was something people concerned about property repairs were quite happy about. I wasn’t involved at that time. I have always assumed that there really was hail damage, leading to the need to replace the roof.

          My parents, living in Minnesota, had all of the roofs in their subdivision replaced after a hail storm, quite a few years ago. I remember that at the time, hail was big enough to break the windshields of cars. I get the impression that hail damage can be a real problem, as well as one that can somewhat be faked.

          • Fast Eddy says:

            See if one of the choir boys will torch it before the policy expires… that is my advice.

            Tell them God commanded them to do it

            Alternatively dedicate a mass to asking God to provide a new roof…

            I am full of f789ed up ideas…

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Find someone to torch it. Before the policy expires hahaha

      • Dwelling insurance in the US covers more than elsewhere.

        (1) Damage caused by mold seems to be a recent coverage that has been added. I believe it has to be the result of something like a flooded basement, related to a storm.

        (2) US homes are quite a bit physically larger than those in the UK, adding to costs. And there have recently been broken supply lines, adding further to costs.

        (3) US home are often built at the edge of forests. There can be rules for not clearing underbrush from the forest, so these forests seem to burn easily, taking homes with them.

        (4) Overhead electrical wires are used as well. These blow down and start fires, sometimes taking homes with them.

        (5) US homes are often built near the ocean because of the pretty view. There are often hurricanes and major windstorms that especially affect these homes. State officials like the high taxes that buildings near oceans provide, so these officials don’t want high insurance rates to scare people off. Instead, they require that the cost of the many expect claims be spread widely. Thus, everyone gets taxed (high insurance rates) for the stupid idea of letting everyone build right in harms’ way.

        (6) There used to be (or perhaps still is) a scam in which college students, as a summer job, (hired by roofing companies) go around and tell people, “You can get a new roof if we can show that your roof was damaged by hail.” We have a drone that we can send overhead, and it will show that there are dents in your roof.”

        I ran into one of these young people a few years ago. Instead of going with what he said, I called the roofing company that I had used in the past, which I considered reputable. It explained to me that (a) there haven’t been any hail storms around here, in a very long time, and (b) the metal roof flashing around the edge should be damaged as well. The roofing company that I was familiar with said that there were some insurance companies that had not figured out the scam.

        (7) Insurance companies will replace a 90% degraded asphalt roof with a brand new one (as part of the insurance contract), so if people can figure out a way to claim that there is a problem caused by a storm, there is an incentive to do so.

      • Different jurisdictions seem to have different rates based on political distortions and monopolistic practices.

      • Thinking about selling our old home.. real estate commissions used to be 2.5%, then 4%, now they are commonly advertised as 6% of the selling price. This despite it being far easier for both individuals and realtors to advertise property. Boh!??

  45. MikeJones says:

    Anything to give the appearance our cushy, crazy lifestyle will continue after the oil 🛢️ is no longer at the pump…keeps the markets calm and the moreons in line.

    AIRLINES COULD ONE DAY ABANDON THE USE OF TRADITIONAL JET FUEL THANKS TO AN EFFECTIVE NEW ALTERNATIVE: ‘WE’RE ALREADY USING IT NOW’
    Yet challenges remain. By Leslie SattlerFebruary 20, 2024
    In an exciting move toward sustainable fuel, airlines are exploring powering planes with biofuels made from corn and other plants.
    This would slash aviation pollution and boost American farming, bringing tidy financial and environmental wins, according to The New York Times.
    Turning corn into ethanol for fuel could funnel money into rural economies all across the United States — and it’s already happening.
    In 2023, United Airlines signed a deal with a Nebraska ethanol company to buy enough ethanol to power 50,000 flights a year, and Delta announced plans to create a sustainable fuel hub in Minnesota.

    Should work after we don’t need so much food in the bellies of useless eaters

  46. postkey says:

    “In the first nine months of 2023, the revenues of Russia’s largest oil and gas producers dropped by 41% due to a fall in prices and the volume of exports, according to the Central Bank of Russia. “?
    https://www.offshore-technology.com/news/the-revenue-of-top-russian-oil-and-gas-companies-has-fallen-by-41-this-year/

    • I see that this article is from December.

      I noticed an article today in the WSJ called,
      https://www.wsj.com/business/energy-oil/russia-oil-trading-secret-network-sanctions-fc3981b7
      The Secret Oil-Trading Ring That Funds Russia’s War
      A little-known trader from Azerbaijan assembled a clandestine network that moves vast quantities of petroleum to China, India and other new markets

      The comparison between 2022 and 2023 is bad for all producers, because the prices in 2022 were significantly higher. This article compares to pre-war prices.

      In a sign that the makeshift trading network was working, Russian petroleum sales exceeded $180 billion last year, according to the International Energy Agency. That was down from more than $230 billion in 2022, when the invasion led to high oil prices, but only $5 billion below revenues from 2021, before the war. Russian oil prices have risen relative to the global benchmark for crude.

      So, it depends on what point an author wants to make.

      • Lastcall says:

        It is the collective, demented West that has a war in Ukie.

        Russia has a SMO; to liberate the ethnic Russians from the Ukrano-nasty pogom.

        • Fast Eddy says:

          Does anyone have Pooty’s phone number? I wanna call him and explain this idea that involves f789ing NATO and moving them away from the border by threatening to throttle back on the gas to the EU…

          It’s a really f789ing good idea… I betcha he’d be keen

      • postkey says:

        “Russia is entering its third year of war in Ukraine with an unprecedented amount of cash in government coffers, bolstered by a record $37 billion of crude oil sales to India last year, according to new analysis, which concludes that some of the crude was refined by India and then exported to the United States as oil products worth more than $1 billion.”?
        https://edition.cnn.com/2024/02/19/europe/russia-oil-india-shadow-fleet-cmd-intl/index.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

        • Fast Eddy says:

          I’ll believe this when someone explains why Pooty doesn’t use the ultimate weapon… it’s called The Spigot… just a slight turn….

          • Withnail says:

            It doesn’t matter what you believe.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              Any idea why Pooty doesn’t turn the valve… just a little?

            • Withnail says:

              Any idea why Pooty doesn’t turn the valve… just a little?

              You’ve grasped that Europe is currently deindustrialising, haven’t you? Not that Pooty turned the valve. Biden did that for us with explosives.

            • Fast Eddy says:

              You are not getting it. Why does he not starve the EU of gas … to stop them from supporting the UKEYS?

              This is not a difficult concept to grasp – why would you fuel your f789ing enemy?????

            • Withnail says:

              You are not getting it. Why does he not starve the EU of gas … to stop them from supporting the UKEYS?

              We are starved of gas, retard.

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